One of Brisbane's last major riverfront redevelopment opportunities has taken a significant step forward, with Lendlease selected as the Queensland Government's preferred development partner for the former Visy site in South Brisbane.

The seven-hectare industrial site, positioned between South Bank and West End and 1.3 kilometres from the Brisbane CBD, will be transformed into a mixed-use precinct expected to deliver more than 4,000 new homes alongside extensive public open space and riverfront parkland.

The project is one of the largest urban renewal opportunities currently planned in Brisbane and is expected to play a key role in accommodating the city's growing population ahead of the 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games.

Plans for the precinct include a network of riverfront promenades and boardwalks, new public plazas, parkland, amphitheatre-style gathering spaces and shared pedestrian and cycling links designed to reconnect the long-isolated site with the Brisbane River.

The Queensland Government is targeting delivery of the first homes and key public spaces before the 2032 Games, allowing the precinct to begin contributing new housing and public amenity well before the broader masterplan is complete.

The redevelopment is also expected to support more than 3,000 jobs across planning, construction and ongoing operations.

For Lendlease, the appointment adds another major urban regeneration project to its Queensland portfolio. The developer has operated in the state for more than 70 years and has delivered a number of large-scale mixed-use precincts in partnership with government.

Lendlease Development CEO Claire Johnston said the project represented one of Brisbane's most significant redevelopment opportunities.

"The transformation of the former Visy site represents a rare opportunity to reimagine one of Brisbane's most significant riverfront locations, deliver thousands of much-needed homes, and create long-term legacy," Johnston said.

"In partnership with the Queensland Government, we have the opportunity to create a new riverside destination that will help shape Brisbane's growth and how people experience the city for decades to come.

"This is exactly the type of large-scale, city-shaping development that will provide lasting benefits for Queensland, bringing together housing, jobs and world-class public spaces."

Deputy Premier and Minister for State Development, Infrastructure and Planning Jarrod Bleijie said the riverfront transformation would deliver a thriving new community precinct.

“The Crisafulli Government is delivering this golden opportunity to unlock a riverfront jewel for all Queenslanders,” Deputy Premier Bleijie said.

“This is a once-in-a-generation moment to reshape a significant slice of Brisbane and deliver lasting benefits – thousands of new homes, and public spaces for all Queenslanders to enjoy well beyond the 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games – unlike Labor’s plan which would have delivered zero benefits and zero new homes.

“Queensland is well and truly open for business and through partnership with the private sector, we are accelerating delivery while ensuring strong housing, community and economic outcomes."

Early works on the precinct are expected to commence in April 2027.

Joel Robinson

Lendlease selected to deliver transformative South Brisbane riverfront precinct

Eddy Haddad's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/level-33">Level 33</a> is levelling up its approved Wollongong development, as the coastal city south of Sydney continues to prove popular in the high-density development space.

Level 33, a longtime developer in the Wollongong area, has gone through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority to upsize its approved two-tower development on the corner of Crown Street and Gladstone Avenue, just 100 metres from Wollongong Station.

The developer currently has approval for 252 apartments across two buildings rising to 19 storeys. It is now seeking approval for 33 and 38-storey towers that would deliver 467 apartments, including 67 affordable homes.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bka-architecture">BKA Architecture</a>, the development would comprise apartments above a three-level podium with around 1,100 sqm of retail space, along with basement parking for 448 vehicles.

According to the Urban Design Report by BKA, the proposal has the capacity to "reinforce the precinct's identity by strengthening links between health, education, and transport services, while also contributing to Wollongong's ongoing evolution as a key regional centre."

Wollongong is somewhat in vogue. Between Level 33 and Urban Property Group, the two developers have several thousand apartments planned across the city.

Level 33 is currently delivering Easterly Wollongong, one of its most boutique projects to date with just 21 high-end apartments, as well as Atchison &amp; Kenny, a 329-apartment development due for completion later this year.

The developer plans to redevelop the 13,088 sqm WIN Grand megasite into <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crown-square-216-238-keira-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Crown Square</a>, a new $500 million precinct with nearly 600 apartments. It also has more than 900 apartments planned for the former Bunnings Warehouse site at the intersection of Gipps and Flinders streets.

Urban Property Group is also playing a major role in the city's transformation. Its five-tower Keira Place precinct will deliver more than 800 homes, and it has recently lodged plans for a further 300 apartments near Wollongong Station.

First look: Level 33 upsizes Wollongong apartment towers

Just a week after filing plans for the final stage of its major Keira Place masterplan, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has unveiled another significant housing proposal in Wollongong, this time targeting a prominent site opposite North Wollongong Station.

The developer has lodged a State Significant Development Application for a 38-storey mixed-use tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-4a-flinders-street-north-wollongong-nsw-2500">4-4A Flinders Street</a>, around one kilometre north of the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/keira-place-wollongong-120-122-smith-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Keira Place precinct</a> currently taking shape on the edge of the CBD.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group plans 38-storey North Wollongong tower as Keira Place expansion gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2b6428f1-6405-4038-8476-897de440e90d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/flinders%20podium.png?VersionId=QLqEvK0OuCEwRC47oHNftrw2B1YqaHF8" />

Designed by Studio.SC, the proposal comprises a 38-storey mixed-use development containing 303 apartments, including 45 affordable housing units, alongside 174 co-living residences. The scheme also includes ground-floor retail space, extensive landscaping and public domain improvements.

Studio.SC noted in the proposal it "outlines a vision for a landmark transit-oriented mixed-use development centred around North Wollongong Station, designed to support the city’s future growth while responding to the NSW Government’s housing and planning reforms."

The architecture firm said the proposal responds to the opportunities and constraints shaping future growth within the 400-metre catchment of the station and represents "a coordinated and future-focused approach to urban intensification, contributing to the long-term evolution of North Wollongong as a connected, walkable and high-density station precinct."

The site occupies a strategic corner bounded by Flinders Street, Station Street, Stafford Street and the Princes Highway, directly opposite North Wollongong Station.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group plans 38-storey North Wollongong tower as Keira Place expansion gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7863adad-1f71-4022-b850-f44b252738fd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/flinders%20podium%20a.png?VersionId=WsU7av0g8_8R2tGHWxgHeFSlhu7yeY1V" />

The proposal follows Urban Property Group's recent submission for the second and final stage of Keira Place, which would deliver a further three buildings comprising 657 homes opposite Beaton Park. It builds on the first stage, which features 150 apartments across two towers and recently commenced construction.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said breaking ground on the first stage marked a significant milestone for Wollongong and reflected the developer's long-term commitment to regional cities.

"Today's groundbreaking is about turning approvals into homes and moving quickly to deliver much-needed housing in Wollongong's city centre," Elias said.

"Keira Place will provide a diverse mix of homes close to jobs, transport and services, while setting a high benchmark for quality, durability and consumer protection."

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/urban-property-group-unveils-trio-of-towers-for-next-stage-of-new-wollongong-precinct-keira-place">Urban Property Group unveils trio of towers for next stage of new Wollongong precinct, Keira Place</a>

First look: Urban Property Group plans next major Wollongong tower

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/arada">Arada Australia</a> has wasted little time expanding its ambitions in Campsie, lodging plans for a second major project in the rapidly transforming town centre just months after unveiling its three-tower One Campsie proposal on Beamish Street.

The UAE-backed developer has now taken aim at one of the suburb’s most strategically positioned sites, filing a State Significant Development Application for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/10-north-parade-campsie-nsw-2194">33-storey mixed-use tower</a> at 10 London Street and 43 North Parade, directly opposite the future Campsie Metro Station. The proposal is currently on public exhibition and represents another significant vote of confidence in Campsie's emergence as one of Sydney’s key transit-oriented growth centres.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the development would deliver 156 apartments above a podium containing retail and commercial space, creating a new residential and commercial gateway to the town centre. The scheme also includes a four-level above-ground parking podium and a dedicated residential amenity floor featuring wellness and recreation facilities. At least 10 per cent of the apartments would be allocated as affordable housing for a period of 10 years.

The proposal occupies a 1,631 sqm site bounded by London Street, North Parade and Dispensary Lane, immediately adjoining the future Metro station precinct and just metres from Beamish Street’s retail and dining strip. According to the Urban Design Report, the project seeks to deliver "a great place that prioritises human-scaled experience and provides spatial improvements to the area."

<img alt="First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="175a8324-015b-4856-abe3-ce6f23199fa7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/podium%20campsie.png?VersionId=742UGwXFhFBX4GEl6wX4PYIWREAgn6il" />

Woods Bagot describes the tower as a key marker within Campsie's next phase of growth.

"Located directly opposite the new Campsie Metro Station on North Parade, 10 London Street is a thoughtfully composed 33-storey mixed-use tower that contributes to the ongoing transformation of the town centre," the Architectural Design Report states. The report says the project is intended to provide "high-quality homes within a vibrant, connected urban environment, while helping define Campsie's future skyline."

A strong emphasis has been placed on the public realm. The ground floor incorporates over 500 sqm of retail space and active frontages along both London Street and North Parade, while the podium is wrapped by extensive landscaped planting intended to soften the building's scale and strengthen the pedestrian experience. The development would also widen surrounding footpaths and improve connections between the Metro station and the broader town centre.

Above the podium, residents would have access to more than 1,400 sqm of communal amenities, including a pool, gym and landscaped recreation spaces. A distinctive green-wall treatment extending across four podium levels forms a major architectural feature, helping differentiate the project within the emerging high-density precinct.

The tower's design is closely tied to the broader Campsie Town Centre Master Plan and the arrival of Sydney Metro. The Urban Design Report notes the proposal "directly supports the Campsie Town Centre Master Plan by delivering new homes in a location explicitly identified for growth, improved accessibility, and high-quality urban renewal." It adds that the project contributes to the master plan's vision for a strengthened town centre supported by thousands of new homes around the future Metro station.

<img alt="First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bfd17654-253e-489a-bade-6278d63db412" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/base%20campsie.png?VersionId=3roJPMQGs36dazpkhvpvbDDP73Ld.Ica" />

The application follows Arada Australia's recently lodged One Campsie project at 124–142 Beamish Street and 16–18 Ninth Avenue, where the developer is seeking approval for 346 apartments across three towers rising 24, 32 and 39 storeys. Together, the two proposals would cement Arada Australia as one of the most influential developers shaping Campsie's future urban form.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-arada-files-for-trio-of-apartment-towers-in-campsie-town-centre">First Look: Arada Australia files for trio of apartment towers in Campsie town centre</a>

Arada Australia entered the Australian market in 2024 and has rapidly assembled a significant development pipeline across Sydney. Alongside its Campsie holdings, the developer is soon to launch <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/wattle-green-2-fishburn-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Wattle Green</a> in Castle Hill, and has expanded its local operations following its acquisition of construction firm Roberts &amp; Co.

Located around 14 kilometres south-west of the Sydney CBD, the site sits at the centre of one of Sydney's fastest-changing middle-ring precincts. The Metro conversion of Campsie Station, combined with Canterbury-Bankstown Council's master planning framework, is driving significant residential intensification around Beamish Street and North Parade, with thousands of new homes expected over coming decades.

First look: Arada Australia doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans

For the first time in a long time, Australia's inflation story is starting to look more like a landing than a fight.

The latest Consumer Price Index figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed annual inflation eased to four per cent in May, down from 4.2 per cent in April. On the surface, that might not seem like a major move. Inflation remains above the Reserve Bank's target range and some categories continue to record stubborn price growth.

But the significance of this result lies less in where inflation sits today and more in what it means for where interest rates are likely heading next.

The biggest takeaway is that inflation continues to move in the right direction.

Markets had been bracing for another sticky result after a period where progress appeared to stall. Instead, headline inflation came in softer than expected, helped by falling fuel prices and easing transport costs. Annual transport inflation halved from 6.6 per cent in April to 3.3 per cent in May, while automotive fuel prices fell 11.9 per cent during the month following lower oil prices and the impact of reduced fuel excise measures.

While petrol prices don't solve Australia's affordability challenges, they are one of the most visible and immediate costs for consumers. Falling fuel costs feed through the economy quickly, helping ease pressure on household budgets and business operating expenses.

The ABS data also showed headline inflation is now sitting at its lowest annual level in several months, reinforcing the broader trend that price growth is gradually moderating.

That trend is important because it aligns with what many economists and lenders have been saying for the last month.

Prior to this week's inflation data, ANZ, NAB and Commonwealth Bank had all shifted their forecasts, now believing the Reserve Bank had likely reached the peak of the interest rate cycle. Following the May inflation release, ANZ reaffirmed that view.

In its latest economic update, ANZ said it expects quarterly trimmed mean inflation to come in at 3.7 per cent for the June quarter, slightly below the Reserve Bank's forecast of 3.8 per cent. Importantly, the bank said that outcome, when combined with slowing economic activity, "supports our view that the cash rate has peaked".

The Reserve Bank has spent the better part of three years attempting to bring inflation under control through higher interest rates. If Australia's major banks are correct and rates have now peaked, the conversation shifts from how much higher rates could go to when they might begin coming down.

Westpac's caution comes from underlying inflation. The trimmed mean, the measure most closely watched by the Reserve Bank, increased from 3.4 per cent to 3.6 per cent annually. Housing inflation remains elevated at 6.5 per cent, reflecting ongoing increases in rents, electricity costs and new dwelling construction.

Electricity prices remain particularly problematic, rising 21.1 per cent over the past year following the removal of government rebates.

Housing construction costs are also showing signs of renewed pressure. ANZ noted new dwelling costs rose 0.9 per cent in May and are now running at an annualised pace of 8.6 per cent over the past three months. Builders continue to face higher labour, fuel and material costs, a reminder that inflationary pressures have not completely disappeared.

Housing affordability has deteriorated largely because of higher interest rates rather than higher property prices alone. Even modest reductions in mortgage rates would improve borrowing capacity, increase buyer confidence and reduce repayment pressure on existing homeowners.

While August is far from a certainty, the latest inflation result has strengthened the view that the next move in rates is more likely to be down than up. For borrowers, buyers and the development sector, that alone represents a significant shift from the conversation that dominated much of the past two years.

The inflation result the property market was waiting for

Sydney’s property market is known for high prices, competitive bidding, and mounting pressure on first home buyers. But change is on the horizon.

From late 2025, eligible first home buyers in New South Wales will have access to a new federal government initiative aimed at addressing affordability: the Help to Buy Scheme.&nbsp;

<h2>What is the Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

The program introduces a shared equity model intended to reduce the upfront cost of entering the property market, particularly in high-demand urban areas such as Sydney.

The scheme operates under a shared ownership structure in which the federal government takes an equity stake of up to 40 per cent for new homes, or 30 per cent for existing dwellings. This arrangement allows eligible buyers to significantly reduce their loan size and avoid the added cost of Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI).

Under this model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required. The government’s contribution is not a loan but a co-ownership stake in the property. As such, there is no interest or rent charged on its portion.

Because the government’s equity combined with the buyer’s deposit typically meets or exceeds the 20 per cent threshold, LMI does not apply. The remaining balance, generally between 60 and 70 per cent of the property’s value, is financed through a standard home loan with a participating lender.

The government's equity in the property remains in place until the buyer chooses to repay it voluntarily or until the property is sold. Buyers can buy back the government’s share over time, in increments of at least five per cent, depending on their financial situation.

There is no fixed repayment timeline, but the amount to be repaid will be based on the property's market value at the time of repayment, not the original purchase price.

<h2>How do you qualify for the&nbsp;Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

To qualify for the Help to Buy Scheme, applicants must meet the following conditions:

<ul>
	<li>Be an Australian citizen at least 18 years of age.</li>
	<li>Be a first-home buyer who does not currently own property.</li>
	<li>Intend to live in the property as their primary residence.</li>
	<li>Earn less than $100,000 per year for individuals, or $160,000 for couples.</li>
	<li>Purchase a property within the regional price caps, currently $950,000 in Sydney, though this is expected to rise to approximately $1.3 million ahead of the program’s launch.</li>
</ul>

While the Help to Buy Scheme does not solve affordability challenges across the board, it does offer a more accessible pathway for a defined segment of the market, particularly younger buyers with moderate incomes who have been priced out of traditional lending routes.

The scheme is expected to commence in NSW in late 2025, as part of a national rollout.

Under the new model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required

Help to Buy Scheme: What first home buyers in NSW need to know

The First Home Owners Grant (FHOG) is a government initiative designed to help eligible first-time home buyers by offering financial assistance towards the purchase or construction of a new home.

While the FHOG is a nationwide program, it is administered separately by each state and territory, meaning the eligibility criteria, grant amounts, and property requirements can vary depending on your location. This means that the amount available and the conditions attached to the grant will differ, so it is important to check the specific guidelines for your state or territory.

It’s important to note that the FHOG is just one of several incentives available to first home buyers. In most states and territories, the grant is not linked to stamp duty exemptions or concessions, with the exception of the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). The FHOG is typically a one-off payment, reducing the overall cost of purchasing or building a new home before any stamp duty concessions are applied.

Below, we provide a breakdown of the First Home Owner Grants available across Australia, outlining the specific details for each state and territory.

<h2>New South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $600,000. For land purchases and owner-builders, the threshold extends to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Provides full stamp duty exemption for homes valued up to $800,000, with concessions available for properties up to $1 million.

<h2>Victoria South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides a $10,000 grant for first-home buyers purchasing or building new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Offers full stamp duty exemption for properties up to $600,000, with concessions available up to $750,000.

<h2>Queensland First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers $30,000 for contracts signed between 20 November 2023 and 30 June 2025. The FHOG applies to new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Provides additional concessions for properties valued up to $800,000.

<h2>Western Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

&nbsp;

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $750,000 in the southern regions and up to $1 million in the northern regions.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Available for homes valued up to $600,000 for transactions entered into on or after 9 May 2024.

<h2>Australian Capital Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Replaced by the Home Buyer Concession Scheme, offering full stamp duty concessions for eligible buyers.

<h2>South Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides up to $15,000 for new homes, including houses, apartments, and townhouses. As of 6 June 2024, there is no property value cap for eligibility.

Stamp Duty Relief: Available for new homes and vacant land purchases.

<h2>Tasmania First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes and off the plan purchases.

Stamp Duty Exemption: Between 18 February 2024 and 30 June 2026, first home buyers of established homes valued up to $750,000 receive a full exemption on property transfer duty.

<h2>Northern Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: The Northern Territory provides a $10,000 grant for new homes only. Additional government grants and concessions are available for first home buyers.

Stamp Duty Exemption: The only stamp duty exemption available to property buyers is the House and Land Package Exemption (HLPE).

Eligibility criteria and application processes differ across states. Prospective buyers should refer to their respective state revenue offices for full details on grant availability, conditions, and additional concessions.

Every First Home Owner Grant for new property by state

In the ever-evolving landscape of sustainable architecture and environmentally conscious design, systems and ratings in place can help determine the energy efficiency of residential buildings in Australia.

Australia has multiple building rating systems that evaluate energy efficiency and sustainability in existing and new building designs.

Some systems assess individual building components, while others provide an overall rating for the entire structure.

A rating system ensures that homes are comfortable and energy-efficient, whether you are buying, renovating, or building.

NatHERS (Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme) is a common way for new homes to meet energy efficiency requirements.

As new developments continue to shape the urban environment, understanding NatHERS ratings becomes essential for developers and homeowners. This article delves into the concept of NatHERS ratings, their significance, and how they contribute to creating energy-efficient homes.

<h2>What is NatHERS?</h2>

NatHERS is a national initiative implemented by the Australian government to promote energy efficiency in residential buildings. The scheme aims to provide a standardised method for assessing the thermal performance of homes, considering factors such as insulation, orientation, ventilation, and building materials.&nbsp;

NatHERS ratings are the most common way new homes meet the National Construction Code's (NCC's) minimum energy efficiency requirements.&nbsp;

NatHERS assessments provide thermal and whole-home ratings for new homes, townhouses, and apartments.

The rating helps evaluate the energy performance of buildings, guides homeowners and developers to make informed decisions about the energy efficiency of their properties, and encourages the construction of more sustainable, comfortable, and cost-effective homes.

<h2>How NatHERS Ratings Work</h2>

NatHERS ratings are determined through four accredited software tools (AccuRate, BERS Pro, FirstRate5, HERO) using a calculation engine CSIRO developed to predict building temperature based on various factors.

The tools can model complex effects of building mass, insulation, window size, and other elements.

The outcome is a star rating that reflects the building's overall thermal efficiency, indicating how well it can maintain a comfortable indoor temperature without excessive reliance on heating or cooling systems.

The star rating scale ranges from 0 to 10, with a 6-star rating being the minimum requirement for compliance with the National Construction Code (NCC).&nbsp;

Achieving a higher star rating demonstrates a commitment to energy efficiency and sustainability, as the building is better equipped to minimise its environmental impact and reduce long-term energy costs.

Anyone can use NatHERS tools, but accredited assessors can provide certified ratings and professional advice.

<h2>Benefits of Higher NatHERS Ratings</h2>

Energy Efficiency: Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings are more energy-efficient, requiring less heating and cooling energy. This reduces the structure's carbon footprint and lowers occupants' energy bills.

Cost Savings: Homes with higher NatHERS ratings are generally more energy-efficient, resulting in reduced energy consumption for heating and cooling. This translates to lower energy bills for homeowners, making sustainable living environmentally friendly and economically viable in the long run.

Environmental Impact: Lower energy consumption directly translates to a reduced environmental impact. Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings contribute to the overall goal of mitigating climate change by lowering greenhouse gas emissions associated with heating and cooling systems.

Improved Comfort: Buildings with high NatHERS ratings offer better thermal comfort to occupants. Proper insulation, well-designed ventilation, and optimal orientation maintain a consistent and comfortable indoor temperature, providing occupants with a more enjoyable and healthier space.

Market Value and Desirability: Higher NatHERS ratings can enhance the market value of a property. As energy efficiency becomes a more significant consideration for homebuyers, a well-rated building may attract a premium price and stand out in the real estate market.

Compliance with Building Codes: NatHERS ratings are a vital component of the National Construction Code (NCC), and compliance with these ratings is often a mandatory requirement for new developments. Local councils and planning authorities may set minimum energy efficiency standards that must be met to obtain development approval.

The Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme (NatHERS) is a crucial initiative shaping the future of energy-efficient, resilient, and cost-effective homes. With its recent upgrades, NatHERS has evolved into a world-leading tool for the building sector, supporting the global commitment to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.

Staff Writer

What is a NatHERS rating in new off the plan apartment developments?

Mixed-use developments have gained significant popularity across Australia in recent years due to their unique blend of residential, commercial, and recreational spaces.

Unlike traditional single-purpose developments, mixed-use projects offer a harmonious integration of various functions within a single locale.

Residential units seamlessly coexist with commercial establishments, retail outlets, dining venues, entertainment hubs, and recreational facilities, with the combination not only enhances convenience but also fosters a vibrant lifestyle and a sense of community.

<h3>Convenience and accessibility</h3>

Mixed-use developments are designed with convenience in mind. They often integrate residential units with commercial spaces, retail outlets, restaurants, and recreational facilities, creating a self-contained community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=204874]

The proximity allows residents to enjoy the convenience of having essential amenities and services within walking distance. Whether it's grabbing a cup of coffee, going grocery shopping, or accessing healthcare services, everything is conveniently located, saving residents time and effort.

<h3>Vibrant lifestyle and community</h3>

One of the major advantages of mixed-use developments is the vibrant lifestyle they offer. With a diverse range of amenities and communal spaces, residents have ample opportunities to interact, socialise, and build a sense of community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107714 project_image_fid=214122]

The presence of parks, community centres, and shared spaces fosters a lively atmosphere, encouraging residents to engage in various activities and events. The vibrant lifestyle within these developments creates a unique sense of belonging and camaraderie among the residents.

<h3>Potential for higher rental yields and property value appreciation</h3>

Mixed-use developments tend to attract a broad range of tenants and buyers due to their versatile nature. This high demand can result in higher rental yields for investors and potentially lead to property value appreciation over time.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=139989 project_image_fid=212887]

The integration of commercial and retail spaces attracts businesses, which can provide a stable rental income stream. Additionally, the popularity of mixed-use developments often drives up property values, making them a potentially lucrative investment in the long term.

<h3>Enhanced security and maintenance</h3>

Mixed-use developments typically have comprehensive security measures in place. With controlled access points, CCTV surveillance, and professional security staff, residents can enjoy enhanced safety and peace of mind.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=212658]

Additionally, these developments often have dedicated maintenance teams responsible for the upkeep of common areas, landscaping, and infrastructure. This ensures that the overall appearance and functionality of the development are well-maintained, creating a pleasant living environment for residents.

<h3>Live-work-play balance</h3>

One of the key attractions of mixed-use developments is the ability to achieve a desirable live-work-play balance. The integration of residential and commercial spaces allows residents to live closer to their workplaces, reducing commuting time and improving work-life balance.

The proximity to various amenities and recreational facilities encourages an active and healthy lifestyle. Residents can easily access fitness centres, parks, restaurants, and entertainment options, all within the same development, leading to a more fulfilling and convenient way of life.

alisonwarters@gmail.com

The top five reasons to buy in a mixed-use development

When buying a property, everyone needs to be aware of the additional costs that come as part of the buying process.

Often the largest outlay, after the deposit which goes to the bank, is stamp duty.

<h2 style="line-height: 1.38;">What is Stamp Duty?</h2>

Stamp duty is an extra tax to pay the government when you buy land, a property, and other certain assets.

It happens when the legal ownership is transferred. It can also be known as property transfer duty or transfer duty.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/C32BWkB5--c" title="YouTube video player" width="660"></iframe>

<h2>Who pays Stamp Duty?</h2>

In some circumstances, you may get an exemption. For some states, you won’t have to pay for stamp duty if you are a first home buyer or a pensioner for houses under a particular price. There are also stamp duty concessions, where you may be entitled to a discount.

<h2>How much does Stamp Duty cost?</h2>

Each state has different rules which affect how much you need to pay. These rules can affect the rate you pay, and the timeframe you will need to pay in. Before you buy land or a property, make sure you check the up-to-date information for your state’s stamp duty.

You can use a free stamp duty calculator online to see approximately how much you’ll need to pay. Find out if you’re eligible for an exemption by enquiring on a project via Urban!

Overall, the stamp duty you need to pay will depend on:

<ul>
	<li aria-level="1">How much your land/property is worth</li>
	<li aria-level="1">Where your land/property is located</li>
	<li aria-level="1">What type of land/property it is</li>
</ul>

Want to find out more? <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanAustralia?utm_source=YouTube&amp;utm_medium=Video&amp;utm_campaign=Subscribe&amp;utm_id=Subscribe">Subscribe to our YouTube channel</a> for more property videos.

Ellen Walker

Off-the-plan property explained: What is stamp duty?

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A two bedroom one bathroom Hermit Park mortgagee unit has sold for $120,000.
The sale marks a $86,000 reduction on its previous sale price.
Dayne Watson and John Bowen of First National held the listing.
Situated at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-unit-qld-hermit+park-131134566" target="_blank">1/18 Armstrong Street</a>, it is part of a six apartment complex.
Set on 55 sqm, the property comes with a lockup garage.
Last sold for $206,000 the property transacted in 2008.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
The median price for a unit in <a href="/developments/hermit-park-qld-4812">Hermit Park</a> is $125,000, according to CoreLogic, which calculate its annual change in median price over the past 10 years as -3.6%.
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Hermit Park, Queensland mortgagee apartment sold for $85,000 loss

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The last big auction weekend before Christmas saw continued strong listing and buying activity across Melbourne.
Some 1,394 Melbourne homes were taken to auction, returning a preliminary clearance rate of 73 percent.
<div>
The top sale was <a href="https://www.marshallwhite.com.au/property/3a-st-martins-close-kooyong-857637/" target="_blank">3A St Martins Close, Kooyong</a> (pictured main) which fetched $2.99 million, with six registered parties.
The contemporary four bedroom, three bathroom home sold through Marshall White whose price guide had been $2.1 million to $2.3 million.
It was built two years ago on its 509 sqm block.
Melbourne's cheapest sale was $175,000 when the studio apartment at <a href="https://www.edwardthomas.com.au/listings/residential_sale-2086708-flemington/" target="_blank">32/22-28 Canterbury Street, Flemington</a> (below) was sold.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/12/16/3222-28%20Canterbury%20Street%20Flemington.jpg" alt="">
It had been listed with $170,000 to $180,000 having sold earlier this year at $172,000.
Edward Thomas selling agent Evie Glentzes said the top floor apartment had been recently "refreshed."
It had been a $230 a week rental.
Over the previous week, a higher 1,520 homes were taken to auction across Melbourne, returning a 73 percent final clearance rate, according to CoreLogic.
Over the same week last year, a much lower clearance rate of 44 percent was recorded across 1,173 auctions.
</div>
<div>
There were 846 homes taken to auction across Sydney this week, down on the week prior when 976 auctions were held.
Preliminary results show a clearance rate of 73 percent, which was around last week’s final result.
One year ago, 723 auctions were held across Sydney returning a final clearance rate of only 38 percent.
The top sale in Sydney was at Dural when <a href="https://lumbyhampson.com.au/buy/real-estate/1425181/7-wyoming-road-dural-nsw-2158" target="_blank">the Duralong acreage estate</a> (below) fetched $5.08 million with four registered bidders.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/12/16/Duralong.jpg" alt="">
The two hectare holding with five bedroom, five bathroom home is set within manicured gardens with inground saltwater pool and championship size tennis court .
The 7 Wyoming Road home sold through Kate Lumby and Will Hampson having last sold six years ago for $3.025 million.
The weekend listings were much higher than anticipated, the boss of SQM Research Louis Christopher noted for what, effectively, was the last auction weekend of 2019.
"It has been an eventful one for the housing markets," he noted, saying a "V shaped recovery" came with the bottom of the market occurring immediately after the May election.
Both Sydney and Melbourne saw strong" finishes to the year, the chief economist at AMP Capital Shane Oliver said. 
Melbourne has around 240 scheduled auctions for next Saturday December 21, with 120 offerings in Sydney, according to Domain, although many agents will seek to find a buyer ahead of auction, or withdraw the property from auction if buyer interest is not sufficient.
The final week of auction reporting for the year saw the national combined capital city clearance rate drop just below 70 per cent, with the CoreLogic head of research Tim Lawless advising volumes were seeing their usual seasonal taper.
<div>
There were 2,750 homes taken to auction across the combined capital cities this week, with volumes down by 5.6 percent on last week’s 2,912 auctions.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/12/16/Cap%20Dec%2016.jpg" alt="">
Preliminary results show a clearance rate of 69 percent, after last week’s final clearance rate of 71.1%.
One year ago, 2,406 auctions were held across the combined capitals, with only 40 percent returning a successful result.
</div>
The smaller capital cities returned varied results, with Adelaide coming in with the highest preliminary clearance rate of 60 percent, while only 34 percent of Perth homes sold at auction.
There was a 45 percent success rate in Brisbane. It was 57 percent in Canberra.
The nation's cheapest sale was $126,000 when LJ Hooker sold a one bedroom unit at <a href="https://queanbeyan.ljhooker.com.au/unit-in-queanbeyan-nsw-2620-au-1czhfan?search=%2fsearch%2fproperty-for-sale%2fpage-1%3ffilter%3dauctionsonly#.XfWaii2B18c" target="_blank">31/22 Mowatt Street, Queanbeyan East</a>.
The 33 sqm space had last been up for rent at $190 a week three years ago.
"Auction activity won't pick up in earnest until February," Lawless said.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Auction result strength continues in last big weekend before Christmas

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A warehouse in Sydney’s west has sold for $6.5 million at auction, surpassing its reserve by $800,000.
17 Lisbon Street, in Fairfield East, was purchased by a private investor.
It comprises a freestanding 1,070 square metre warehouse on a concreted site area of 5,574 square metres.
CBRE’s Elijah Shakir and John Tsoutsa managed the campaign and sold the site with a 12-month lease-back to Carways Pty Ltd at an annual net rental of $280,000+GST.
“The listing offered an array of options to developers, investors and owner-occupiers,” Mr Tsoutsa said.
“Bidding at the auction was incredibly competitive and resulted in the property selling for $800,000 above its reserve.”
In October of last year a commercial property on Seville Street, in Fairfield East, sold for a suburb record of $8.1 million.
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wdavis-8cCN98p7xp

Western Sydney commercial site in Fairfield East exceeds reserve by almost $1m

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Tom Shelton’s Bridport Property, a child-centre located in the Melbourne suburb of Kensington, has sold for $8,250,000 at auction.
The former office building-turned-childcare centre has a land area of 824 square metres and a building area of 1,451 square metres. 
It has a passing income of $450,800 and is zoned Mixed Use – allowing for development of up to eight-storeys.
The landmark site at 64-66 Stubbs Street is well-known for its red brick finish, the only one in the area, and benefits from dual street frontages. 
The centre’s building is classified by the state government as historically significant for demonstrating the historical and social development of the area (Kensington), making it of important aesthetic or scientific contribution. 
Located in the state government’s Arden Urban Renewal Precinct, an area slated to become a global knowledge hub and central city destination, Kensington has significant growth potential – the area is expected to act as a base for 34,000 jobs by 2051. 
The precinct has been rezoned to cater for population growth and will create a sustainable living and working environment, featuring cycle paths, green spaces and a newly constructed train station, Arden Central.  
 
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Tom Shelton’s Kensington childcare centre sold at auction

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A modern office/showroom space, in the middle of Melbourne’s most popular beachside suburb of St Kilda, is being marketed by Teska Carson.
The 35 Wellington Street property comprises a 69 square metre ground floor space which is part of a newly completed, three-level apartment development designed by Bruce Henderson Architects.
According to marketing agent, Teska Carson Director George Takis, the property offers an exciting opportunity for investors or owner occupiers.
“This is a prized bayside location offering all essential amenities for its growing business and residential communities as well as close proximity to Melbourne CBD.”
“The immediate area is experiencing continuous growth including a range of high profile residential/mixed use projects within close proximity which provide an excellent metric for rental and capital growth in the years to come,’’ Mr Takis said.
He said he expected the property to attract significant interest from owner-occupiers.
The property is being sold with vacant possession.
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 St Kilda commercial space on Wellington Street comes onto market

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An investor from Melbourne has paid $1.785 million, on a 3.8 per cent yield, for a multi-tenancy retail and residential investment, in the Melbourne suburb of Carnegie.
According to selling agents, Teska Carson’s George Takis and Commercial Bureau Real Estate’s Gideon Marcus, four parties from a 50 plus crowd contributed to the auction. 
“There was no doubt that this property was going to sell right from the outset as the bidders quickly bid and counter bid, one after the other, quickly reaching the reserve and selling on a  very tight yield for this area,” Mr Takis said. 
Located at 115 Koornang Road, the property comprises a 220 square metre, two storey, building including a ground floor retail tenancy, a rear ground floor, one bedroom apartment, and a first-floor, two bedroom apartment. 
The three tenants contribute to a combined net annual income of $67,860. 
The building sits on a 307 square metre site, zoned Commercial 1, with nearly seven metres frontage to Koornang Road and rear access via Neerim Road to on-site parking. There is additional public parking accessed via Kokaribb Road.
“The property offered a great opportunity to break into that highly regarded and tightly-held market in an area which will continue to see strong capital growth on the back of continued residential and commercial development,’’ Mr Marcus concluded. 
The vendor was a Melbourne based investor.
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Carnegie mixed-use investment on Koornang Road sells

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Specialist leasing agency Cadigal has formed a joint venture partnership with flexible workspace marketplace Rubberdesk.
The duo have announced that Cadigal will provide professional real estate expertise and access to industry relationships with Rubberdesk delivering advanced marketplace technology and an experienced customer care team.
Cadigal has also invested in the Rubberdesk business acquiring a stake in the proptech company and cementing its commitment to technology in the rapidly growing flexible and coworking space market.
“Our national partnership with Rubberdesk enables Cadigal to remain focussed on direct leasing activities, while supporting Rubberdesk’s growth in the flexible space marketplace. We will benefit from the learnings and insights derived from the flexible space market. This brings us closer to growing businesses that will seek to directly lease space in the future,” Mr Mark Tindale, Director of Cadigal said.
“The major coworking operators have delivered on pent-up demand for flexible office space. Led by WeWork and a cohort of other providers, they have successfully introduced a new look and feel for next generation office space with shared services and a sense of community. Customer service has also been elevated to a new level, with concierge staff and regular event programming” Mr Tindale said.
Rubberdesk’s Australian flexible workspace market currently has an estimated 106,000 square metres of available office space, representing 4.8 per cent of the nation’s total vacant office space.
Rubberdesk tripled its listings last year with bookings growing by 650 per cent during the same period. It currently has some 2,500 listings Australia-wide and exclusively powers www.commercialrealestate.com.au’s coworking platform.
“Rubberdesk is really the Airbnb of flexible office space, providing a full service online platform for organisations to list spare space and for businesses to find it. Our success has been driven by a combination of tightly-held office markets and a groundswell of businesses seeking quality premises on flexible terms. Rubberdesk is the only flex space platform to manage payments and licence agreements where needed, making the whole process easy,” said Mr Jim Groves, co-founder and CEO of Rubberdesk.
According to Mr Groves, Rubberdesk‘s clients include private businesses with surplus office space as well as major global and domestic coworking operators such as WeWork, Hub Australia and Workspace 365.
Rubberdesk’s customers include major corporates looking for off-site locations for special projects, growing businesses looking for flexibility, and freelancers looking to connect into a workplace community. 
Three quarters of Rubberdesk bookings are for private offices where the average occupancy is for six people. Rates vary based on location and provider, with the national average $741 per person per month and Sydney CBD rates at around $941 per person per month.
Flexible space and coworking currently represents around three per cent of commercial office stock nationally, and the due expects this to increase towards seven per cent over the coming years.
 
 
 
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Cadigan and Rubberdesk form joint venture partnership

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports on housing prices quarterly using a stratified median methodology.
This method is different to CoreLogic’s hedonic regression series; in simple terms, the stratification methodology measures price changes across a number of ‘strata’ or sub-regions before aggregating the data back to the capital city level. Generally the ABS and CoreLogic measures show very similar trends over time, however, the CoreLogic series is more timely (one day in arrears), higher frequency (monthly rather than quarterly) and provided across small regions as well as quartile and decile based valuation cohorts.
Overall, the ABS reported a 2.4% rise in residential property prices across the combined capital cities over the September quarter. In comparison, the CoreLogic index for the September quarter reported a 2.2% lift in capital city housing values over the same period of time.
Across each of the state capitals, the ABS has reported a slightly stronger result on price growth relative to the CoreLogic index, while quarterly results for Darwin and Canberra were higher on the CoreLogic method. The broad trends from the ABS mirror those already reported by CoreLogic more than two months ago.
Sydney and Melbourne are leading the recovery trend with housing values up 3.6% over the quarter, with a softer growth trend across most of the smaller capitals while Adelaide, Perth and Darwin values drifted lower.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/12/13/ABS%20VS%20CL.JPG" alt="">
Sydney
The ABS reported a 3.6% rise in Sydney housing values over the quarter compared with a 3.5% rise in the CoreLogic index.
The growth trend is skewed towards houses (+4.0%) compared with the unit sector (+2.8%). Since the September quarter, the CoreLogic index has continued to gather pace, with November results showing Sydney housing values rose at their fastest monthly pace since 1988.
Melbourne
Housing values were 3.6% higher over the September quarter, according to the ABS, compared with a reported 3.4% rise based on the CoreLogic home value index results for the same quarter. The ABS shows very little difference in the performance of houses compared with units, with the quarterly results up 3.7% and 3.6% respectively.
The two months following September have seen Melbourne’s rebound remaining strong. Based on CoreLogic’s monthly series, Melbourne dwelling values were up a further 4.5% over the two months ending November.
Brisbane
The growth trend across Brisbane has been mild compared with the rebound in Sydney and Melbourne. The ABS reports a 0.7% rise in Brisbane housing values over the September quarter, compared with a 0.5% rise based on CoreLogic data.
Brisbane’s detached housing market has recorded a slightly higher quarterly growth rate relative to the unit sector, with values up 0.9% for houses and 0.4% for units. The October and November results from CoreLogic show the Brisbane housing market to be gathering some pace, with values up 1.6% in total over the most recent two months.
Adelaide
Adelaide’s housing market has been weakening since moving through a peak rate of growth in the December quarter of 2016 and slipping into negative price movements in the first quarter of 2019. The September quarter data from the ABS shows a subtle improvement in the rate of decline, with values down 0.3%, compared with a 0.6% decline reported by CoreLogic for the same period.
The trends were similar between the broad product types, with house values down 0.3% over the quarter and unit values down 0.4%. The monthly data from CoreLogic showed Adelaide home values moving back into positive monthly growth, with values up 0.9% over the two months ending November.
Perth
The ABS reported further slippage in Perth home values, down 1.2% over the quarter compared with a 1.9% fall reported by CoreLogic for the same period. The ABS has reported a 1.0% rise in Perth unit values over the quarter and a 1.7% fall in house values.
The monthly CoreLogic series has reported a further improvement in the rate of decline across the Perth market in October, followed by a month-onmonth rise of 0.4% in November, suggesting the Perth housing market is likely moving through the bottom of what has been a very long downturn.
Hobart
The ABS have reported a 1.3% rise in Hobart housing values over the quarter; a stronger result than CoreLogic’s index which was up 0.4% for the quarter. The rise in the ABS series was almost entirely attributable to higher house values (+1.5%) while unit values were relatively flat (+0.1%) over the quarter.
The monthly updates from CoreLogic post-September have shown further strength in Hobart housing values, with the hedonic index up a total of 3.2% over the past two months.
Darwin
Darwin housing values have been in decline since 2014, with the ABS reporting a further 1.2% fall over the September quarter, which was a slightly larger decline than the CoreLogic index, which was down 1.1%. The Darwin unit sector was the biggest drag on the market, down 2.6% over the quarter compared with a 0.6% fall in house values.
CoreLogic has continued to report a fall in Darwin values over the past two months, however the quarterly rate of decline is showing an easing trend.
Canberra
The ABS reported a 0.5% slip in Canberra dwelling prices over the September quarter, while CoreLogic figures were up 1.4%. Based on ABS data, the growth in Canberra home prices was a attributable to a 2.4% rise in unit values which more than offset a 1.4% fall in house values.
Since September, CoreLogic has reported a further 2.2% lift in Canberra housing values, with the index up for both house and unit values over the most recent two months.
 Differences between the indices can be explained by a number of factors.
Although both index providers utilise the same source data (CoreLogic supplies the record level data that powers the ABS residential property price index), the methodologies for cleaning and filtering the underlying transaction data are likely to be very different, and there are also likely to be differences in how property types are derived (houses v units).
Of course there are also the pure methodological differences with the ABS utilising a stratified median while CoreLogic prefers a hedonic regression series.
Despite the differences, its clear that over time both series show very similar trends. The housing market is clearly on a strong recovery path in the largest cities and growth is now rippling out to many of the smaller capital cities.
TIM LAWLESS is the CoreLogic head of research
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tlawless-5VLUrbAk9s

Comparing ABS and CoreLogic housing data: Tim Lawless

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EXPERT OBSERVER
On Monday the Australian government will release the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO). This will – as required by <a href="https://www.legislation.gov.au/Details/C2012C00230/Html/Text#_Toc317146004" target="_blank">the Charter of Budget Honesty</a> – provide an update on the key assumptions made in this year’s budget, and track the implications of decisions made since the budget for the projected surplus.
There are two things you can count on about MYEFO.
First, the government will have to pare back its forecasts for economic growth, wages growth and employment growth.
Second, no matter what the economic reality is, the forecast for a budget surplus will remain.
The government has made economic management – as measured by the rather dubious criterion of budget balance – the central plank of its electoral strategy. As the Australian National University’s 2019 <a href="https://australianelectionstudy.org/" target="_blank">Australian Election Study</a> revealed, voters preferred the government’s economic policies to Labor’s by a wide margin (47% to 21%, with 17% thinking there was no difference). On the management of government debt, the margin was 44% to 18%.
But the <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/snapshots/economy-indicators-snapshot/" target="_blank">economy isn’t doing very well</a>. GDP annual growth is 1.7%, not the 2.75% <a href="https://www.budget.gov.au/2019-20/content/overview.htm" target="_blank">forecast in the budget</a>. The unemployment rate is 5.3%, compared to the forecast of 5.0%. Wage growth is 2.2%, not the 2.75% forecast.
<h2>Iron ore supplements</h2>
The forecast budget surplus for the fiscal year to June 2020 will be made to hang together, thanks to a higher-than-forecast iron ore price.
That price – which determines the dollar value of Australia’s biggest export and hence the tax revenue it generates – is not reflected in the GDP figure, which only takes into account volumes.
The iron-ore price is now <a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/iron-ore" target="_blank">US$92.50 a tonne</a>. The budget assumed the average price would be $US88 for the 2020 budget year, thanks to a reduction in the international supply of iron ore caused by <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-12/iron-ore-price-explainer-after-mining-dam-collapse/10800698" target="_blank">a tailings dam bursting</a> in January at the Córrego do Feijão mine near the town of Brumadinho in southeastern Brazil.
<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/sKZUZQytads?wmode=transparent&amp;start=0" frameborder="0" width="440" height="260"></iframe>
The dam’s collapse released a tsunami of sludge that destroyed farms, houses, roads and bridges, and killed 272 people.
Ensuing mine shutdowns reduced iron ore output from operator Vale (the world’s biggest iron ore miner) by about a third. This in turn led to the price of iron ore this year being very high, as the following chart illustrates.
<hr>
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/306498/original/file-20191212-85391-1v12glu.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/306498/original/file-20191212-85391-1v12glu.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a> Iron ore price (US$/MT) <a class="source" href="https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/iron-ore" target="_blank">tradingeconomics.com</a>, <a class="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/" target="_blank">CC BY-NC-SA</a>
<hr>
The Australian government sensibly assumed the Brazilian mine would come back online and the ore price would revert to $US55 per tonne by March 2020.
But just think about the 2020-21 fiscal year. The <a href="https://www.budget.gov.au/2019-20/content/bp1/download/bp1_bs7.pdf" target="_blank">government’s own sensitivity analysis</a> shows for the full 2020-21 budget year a difference in the iron ore price of US$10 a tonne translates to a A$3.7 billion difference in the budget bottom line.
That has helped this year, but it also shows how dependent the budget’s relatively small A$7.1 billion “underlying cash balance” is on a commodity price that’s out of our control.
Yet, given the political non-negotiability of the surplus, we can expect assumptions that stretch credulity to maintain a surplus forecast.
<h2>Some action?</h2>
This is all against a backdrop of calls for fiscal stimulus from the governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Business Council, every mainstream economist and <a href="https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/ceos-call-for-fiscal-stimulus-20191209-p53i7y" target="_blank">recently Australia’s top chief executives</a>.
But any stimulus meaningful enough to boost the ailing economy would blow the budget surplus. And the assumptions have already been stretched to breaking point, so there’s very little room for the government to manoeuvre.
The government will probably announce some sort of “investment allowance” – where companies get a modest tax break for specific types of investments in the short term. As I <a href="https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/what-we-should-do-about-the-gdp-numbers-20190904-p52nw9" target="_blank">have argued before</a>, this will do something to boost investment and the economy generally, but not nearly as much as a full-scale reduction in the company tax rate to 25% for all businesses.
But the government can’t afford to do a proper tax cut because of its devotion to a wafer-thin surplus.
<h2>The danger of too little action</h2>
In the end, what the government ends up announcing will really be an allocation of responsibilities. It will determine how much of the work of economic recovery it will do itself, and how much it will want to palm off to the Reserve Bank.
The downside of the former is losing the budget surplus.
The downside of the latter is that the Reserve Bank will have no choice but to cut the cash rate to 0.25% in early 2020 and then embark upon a bond-buying program – i.e. “quantitative easing” or “QE”.
 
As even Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe has himself admitted, more aggressive monetary policy brings with it the (further) risk of asset-price bubbles and financial instability.
Right now the government is putting all its chips on the surplus. Will that turn out to be a good bet? Time will tell.
2020 will reveal much about the future of the Australian economy and whether we manage to escape dramatic problems like a recession.
We live in interesting times – but perhaps more in the “Ancient Chinese curse” kind of way than any of us would like.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/128705/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/richard-holden-118107" target="_blank">Richard Holden</a>, Professor of Economics, <a href="http://theconversation.com/institutions/unsw-1414" target="_blank">UNSW</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/vital-signs-australias-wafer-thin-surplus-rests-on-a-mine-disaster-in-brazil-128705" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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Australia’s wafer-thin surplus rests on a mine disaster in Brazil

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There have been 27 lenders endorsed to participate in the First Home Loan Deposit Scheme which kicks in at the beginning of next year.
There will no doubt be a huge amount of first home buyers looking to secure one of only 10,000 opportunities across to country to access the extra lending.
Some 100,000 first home buyers are forecast to be entering the market in 2020, <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/forward-planning/investment-strategy/65-first-home-buyers/105815-20-000-fhbs-set-to-take-up-the-low-deposit-scheme-in-2020" target="_blank">however 2020 will see 20,000 home loans written</a> for the scheme given the cut off dates in the future will be July 1.
The scheme will enable first home buyers <a href="/expert-insights/buying/how-to-buy-your-first-home-with-5-percent-deposit">who have only been able to save five per cent deposit</a> to gain a further 15 percent to take them to the 20 per cent mark, forgoing lenders mortgage insurance.
Commonwealth Bank have joined the NAB as the only two major lenders <a href="/news/westpac-ditched-from-government-s-first-home-loan-deposit-scheme">after Westpac were dumped</a> following their recent scandal.
The full list of lenders are:
<table class="gmail-MsoTableGrid" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" valign="top" width="614">
Major bank lenders
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
National Australia Bank
</td>
<td colspan="2" valign="top" width="415">
Commonwealth Bank of Australia
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" valign="top" width="614">
Non-major lenders
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
Australian Military Bank
</td>
<td valign="top" width="246">
Auswide Bank
</td>
<td valign="top" width="170">
Bank Australia
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
Bank First
</td>
<td valign="top" width="246">
Bank of us
</td>
<td valign="top" width="170">
Bendigo Bank
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
Beyond Bank Australia
</td>
<td valign="top" width="246">
Community First Credit Union
</td>
<td valign="top" width="170">
CUA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
Defence Bank
</td>
<td valign="top" width="246">
Gateway Bank
</td>
<td valign="top" width="170">
G&amp;C Mutual Bank
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
Indigenous Business Australia
</td>
<td valign="top" width="246">
Mortgageport
</td>
<td valign="top" width="170">
MyState Bank
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
People’s Choice Credit Union
</td>
<td valign="top" width="246">
Police Bank (including the Border Bank and Bank of Heritage Isle)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="170">
P&amp;N Bank
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
QBANK
</td>
<td valign="top" width="246">
Queensland Country Credit Union
</td>
<td valign="top" width="170">
Regional Australia Bank
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
Sydney Mutual Bank and Endeavour Mutual Bank (divisions of Australian Mutual Bank Ltd)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="246">
Teachers Mutual Bank Limited (including Firefighters Mutual Bank, Health Professionals Bank, Teachers Mutual Bank and UniBank)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="170">
The Mutual Bank
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="198">
WAW Credit Union
</td>
<td valign="top" width="246">
 
</td>
<td valign="top" width="170">
 
 
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
All lenders have committed not to charge eligible customers higher interest rates than equivalent customers outside of the Scheme.
Michael Sukkar, the minister for housing and the assistant treasurer, said the Morrison Coalition Government is committed to helping make home ownership a reality for more Australians and to get them into the property market sooner.
 "The Scheme has been warmly welcomed by major industry peak bodies, and the composition of the initial lending panel reflects the industry’s confidence in the Morrison Coalition Government’s plan to assist first home buyers", Sukkar said.
"Further, the Scheme has been deliberately designed to ensure strong representation of smaller lenders on the panel. This will promote competition between the large and small banks, and ensure the Scheme has broad geographic reach, including in regional and remote communities.
Graham Wolfe, managing director at The Housing Industry Association, said it's encouraging to see so many lenders wanting to be involved.
“The Government’s commitment to involve a range of lenders in the Scheme is important in ensuring that first home buyers have a genuine choice from whom they obtain their home loan,” said HIA Managing Director, Graham Wolfe.
"Their commitment to offer the same interest rates to participants in the Scheme is also critical", Wolfe said.
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<div class="column">
“Home ownership provides people with stability in so many aspects of their life. Housing supply needs to remain a national priority to stem the decline in home ownership rates in Australia in the last 25 years.
“HIA has long argued for a national approach to addressing the added costs that affect the final price of a home for many first home buyers. 
“The time it takes to save a 20 per cent deposit, along with the added upfront cost of mortgage insurance, along with stamp duty and securing finance, remains one of the main barriers to people’s home ownership aspiration. 
“Helping 10,000 first home buyers a year achieve their home ownership dream sooner by providing a guarantee under this Scheme to remove one of these added costs will make a real difference. 
“With the house price caps and lenders panel now locked in, people saving for their first home can begin to make a choice about whether to take up the opportunity in the new year and get into their first home sooner.” 
</div>
</div>
</div>
Applicants will be subject to eligibility criteria, including having taxable incomes up to $125,000 per annum for singles and up to $200,000 per annum for couples and eligible dwelling price thresholds.
 
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