<p data-end="587" data-start="368">Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.</p>

<p data-end="778" data-start="589">The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.</p>

<p data-end="907" data-start="780"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.</p>

<p data-end="1052" data-start="909">The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.</p>

<p data-end="1311" data-start="1054">The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.</p>

<p data-end="1451" data-start="1313">The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.</p>

<p data-end="1676" data-start="1453">MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.</p>

<p data-end="1908" data-start="1678">Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.</p>

<p data-end="2142" data-start="1910">The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.</p>

<p data-end="2142" data-start="1910"><img alt="MAYD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1bcbb05-e659-4b47-8bd4-1e595315e2ad" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%202.05.03%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=jj0XEud1X1DuLt7_KyElhjMdZGOXmLHP" /></p>

<p data-end="2308" data-start="2144">MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.</p>

<p data-end="2648" data-start="2310">"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.</p>

<p data-end="2797" data-start="2650">"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."</p>

<p data-end="2938" data-start="2799">The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.</p>

<p data-end="3216" data-start="2940">Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.</p>

<p data-end="3325" data-start="3218">Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.</p>

<p data-end="3442" data-start="3327">"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.</p>

<p data-end="3662" data-start="3444">"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."</p>

<p data-end="3818" data-start="3664">MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.</p>

<p data-end="4076" data-start="3820">"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.</p>

<p data-end="4375" data-start="4078">"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."</p>

<p data-end="4503" data-start="4377">Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.</p>

<p data-end="4741" data-start="4505">"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."</p>

<p data-end="4910" data-start="4743">The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.</p>

<p data-end="4951" data-start="4912">MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.</p>


Joel Robinson

First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

<main data-perf-region="main">
<p data-end="600" data-start="394">Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.</p>

<p data-end="733" data-start="602">But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.</p>

<p data-end="970" data-start="735">Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.</p>

<p data-end="970" data-start="735">[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]</p>

<p data-end="1159" data-start="972">The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.</p>

<p data-end="1357" data-start="1161">It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.</p>

<p data-end="3400" data-start="3216">[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]</p>

<p data-end="3400" data-start="3216">Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.</p>

<p data-end="1664" data-start="1517">Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.</p>

<p data-end="1826" data-start="1666">Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.</p>

<p data-end="1826" data-start="1666">[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]</p>

<p data-end="2045" data-start="1828">Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.</p>

<p data-end="2269" data-start="2047">"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.</p>

<p data-end="2430" data-start="2271">A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.</p>

<p data-end="2606" data-start="2432">It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.</p>

<p data-end="2724" data-start="2608">At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.</p>

<p data-end="2892" data-start="2726">Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.</p>

<p data-end="2892" data-start="2726">[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]</p>

<p data-end="3004" data-start="2894">Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.</p>

<p data-end="3214" data-start="3006">"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.</p>

<p data-end="3400" data-start="3216">The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.</p>

<p data-end="3400" data-start="3216">More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.</p>

<p data-end="3670" data-start="3538">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="3670" data-start="3538">[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]</p>

<h3 data-end="3697" data-section-id="q3n5ak" data-start="3672">&nbsp;</h3>
</main>


Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

<p>A collection of just 25 large-format apartments and penthouses overlooking Goodwin Park is entering the Coolangatta market, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marea-residences-coolangatta-27-27a-dixon-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Maréa Residences</a> combining a low-density, residential-only approach with uninterrupted park and Pacific Ocean outlooks.</p>

<p>Located at 27 Dixon Street, Maréa comprises three and four-bedroom residences alongside a limited number of dual-level penthouses, with the project positioned between Goodwin Park and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/coolangatta-qld-4225">Coolangatta</a>’s coastal precinct.</p>

<p>Construction has commenced, with completion currently estimated for late 2027. Three-bedroom residences are priced from $1.8 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374005]</p>

<p>The project has been designed around its northern outlook across the park, with the building’s architecture, landscaping and material palette intended to establish a connection with the neighbouring green space. The residences have been configured to maximise natural light and views across Goodwin Park towards the ocean.</p>

<p>Inside, the material palette incorporates timber, stone and brushed brass, complemented by curved detailing and ambient lighting. Kitchens and bathrooms carry the same natural material approach, while residences also include basement parking, storage and lift access.</p>

<p>Maréa’s penthouses are arranged over two levels and include private pools, adding another layer to the project’s focus on larger-format apartment living. Across the development, residences are configured with three or four bedrooms rather than the broader mix of smaller apartment types commonly found in larger projects.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374010]</p>

<p>Resident amenity is concentrated at rooftop level, where landscaped entertaining terraces and pools take advantage of elevated views across Coolangatta and the Pacific Ocean.</p>

<p>The project has so far been particularly well received by local owner-occupiers and downsizers, according to Urban Activation Property Sales and Marketing Director Matt George, with the residential-only format, construction quality and northern park outlook among the features resonating with purchasers.</p>

<p>“The uninterrupted northern aspect overlooking Goodwin Park has been a key point of difference, with buyers attracted to the sense of serenity and open space the park provides, while still enjoying easy access to the ocean and being within walking distance of the lifestyle and amenities Coolangatta has to offer,” George said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374002]</p>

<p>“The combination of high-quality construction, a residential-only building, park outlook and proximity to the beach has resonated strongly with the local downsizer market.”</p>

<p>The Dixon Street address is within walking distance of Coolangatta Beach and the broader southern Gold Coast coastline, including the surf breaks at Snapper Rocks and Kirra. Coolangatta’s cafés, restaurants and retail are nearby, while Gold Coast Airport is also within close proximity.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150999]</p>


Maréa Residences brings parkside apartments to Coolangatta

<p data-end="535" data-start="324">Melbourne developer PDG has secured Victorian Government approval for its $1.5 billion Southbank development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-1-queens-bridge-street-southbank-vic-3006">The One</a>, clearing the way for the long-dormant riverfront site opposite Crown to finally be developed.</p>

<p data-end="717" data-start="537">The Minister for Planning has approved the project at 1-29 Queens Bridge Street, with the Department of Transport and Planning issuing the planning permit following its assessment.</p>

<p data-end="918" data-start="719">The approval will allow PDG to develop the prominent 5,059 sqm site with a major mixed-use tower comprising premium apartments, including branded residences, a luxury hotel and boutique office space.</p>

<p data-end="1131" data-start="920">PDG acquired the site in late 2024, with its position directly opposite Crown's main entrance and near Melbourne's Arts Precinct making it one of Southbank's most significant remaining development opportunities.</p>

<p data-end="1131" data-start="920"><img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3933013e-6332-4386-b9be-089df05caf17" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sITIgBqDL0N3VNSMwWEmF5UA.uvcsRyu" /></p>

<p data-end="1318" data-start="1133">Designed by COX in collaboration with ODO and PDG, the tower's architecture draws on the movement of the Yarra River, with six vertical pleats running the height of the sculpted facade.</p>

<p data-end="1433" data-start="1320">The project will also see the heritage-listed Queens Bridge Hotel restored and incorporated into the development&nbsp;with new hospitality and public uses, including a rooftop venue.</p>

<p data-end="1658" data-start="1591">A significant component of The One will be its residential amenity.</p>

<p data-end="1864" data-start="1660">More than 5,000 sqm of resident facilities will be delivered across a single level, making it one of the largest consolidated residential amenity offerings proposed in an Australian apartment development.</p>

<p data-end="2011" data-start="1866">The planning approval also incorporates a major upgrade of Queensbridge Square, which PDG will deliver in partnership with the City of Melbourne.</p>

<p data-end="2011" data-start="1866"><img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73167fcd-1031-4b6f-a408-a064cfe45ed1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Pf1AEWxw6SNmBqR0zQW5lyEze.MtxgFp" /></p>

<p data-end="2191" data-start="2013">The existing square will be revitalised as a new civic and pedestrian space along the Yarra River, strengthening the connection between the project, Southbank and the riverfront.</p>

<p data-end="2365" data-start="2193">PDG Founder and Managing Director Vince Giuliano said the approval represented a major milestone for a site which has remained largely underutilised for more than 15 years.</p>

<p data-end="2473" data-start="2367">“This is the most significant Planning Permit approval Melbourne has seen in recent years,” Giuliano said.</p>

<p data-end="2775" data-start="2475">“For more than 15 years, this site has remained underutilised. This approval enables us to deliver a project that will contribute meaningfully to the revitalisation of Southbank, restore and reactivate an important heritage building, and create a new civic and hospitality destination for Melbourne.”</p>

<p data-end="2943" data-start="2777">The latest approval follows an earlier planning permit issued by the City of Melbourne covering demolition works across part of the site at 9-29 Queens Bridge Street. Those demolition and early works are already underway.</p>

<p data-end="3145" data-start="3001">PDG has also started generating early interest in the residential component from owner-occupiers ahead of a planned public launch in early 2027.</p>


PDG secures approval for $1.5bn Southbank apartment development, The One

<p>Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.</p>

<p>The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.</p>

<p>That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.</p>

<p>The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.</p>

<p>A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.</p>

<p>Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.</p>

<p>While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.</p>


First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

Pete Wargent

<html><body>
<p>The Reserve Bank's Chart Pack is always worth a gander, being consistently and independently produced... and free from spin.</p>
<p>You can view the full chart pack <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/index" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>Let's run through what the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has found this month for households and the housing market.</p>
<p><strong>Part 1: Households and finances</strong></p>
<p>Retail sales growth is humming along both in terms of values and volumes, largely driven by Sydney retail.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/01/8/graph%201.gif" alt=""></p>
<p>Savings ratios have been elevated since the financial crisis as households shored up their finances, but the ratio now appears to be gradually declining again as low interest rates encourage investment in growth assets.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/01/8/graph%202.gif" alt=""></p>
<p>Consumer sentiment has been knocked around a little by budgets and other adverse news, but remain fairly close to where it has been averaging for the last 34 years.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/01/8/graph%203.gif" alt=""></p>
<p>Household wealth in Australia is now at record highs in absolute terms. In terms of net worth as a percentage of annual household disposable income, asset values are growing nicely, and liabilities are holding steady.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/01/8/graph%204.gif" alt=""></p>
<p>Interest paid as a percentage of household disposable income has declined in tandem with mortgage rates . Indeed, mortgage serviceability is at its best level in more than a decade.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/01/8/graph%205.gif" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>Part 2: The housing market</strong></p>
<p>Stimulated by rising dwelling prices, building approvals brushed record highs, but have now seemingly passed their peak. We will see an oversupply of dwellings <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2014/12/melbourne-continues-to-hammer-high-rise" target="_blank">in a few regions</a> – one would be wise to steer clear of these, of course.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/01/8/graph%206.gif" alt=""></p>
<p>Housing loan approvals rise to record highs, largely driven by investors in this cycle, the direct result of low borrowing rates.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/01/8/graph%207.gif" alt=""></p>
<p>And finally, to housing prices. As we expected some years ago, due to an inherent undersupply of dwelling stock and infrastructure, Sydney prices are soaring towards $1 million.</p>
<p>With both the M2 and the M7 closed again earlier this week, and barely a day passing without news of diabolical traffic woes, expect there to be a continuing surge of demand for properties located close to key transport hubs such as rail or light rail links.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/01/8/graph%208.gif" alt=""></p>
<p>Elsewhere, Melbourne has been looking peaky for months but has held up reasonably well to date.</p>
<p>Perth's market is trending slightly up but only moderately, while Canberra is now all set for a downturn. The Adelaide market – and particularly its economy – remains unconvicing,</p>
<p>Counter-cyclical investors should be scoping out opportunities in Brisbane, where housing finance is gathering momentum – as reconfirmed this week by <a href="https://www.afgonline.com.au/mortgage-index-january-2015/" target="_blank">AFG's December Mortgage Index data</a>.</p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
</body></html>

pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

How Australian households will look in 2015

<html><body>
<div>A couple of things happened in 2016 that changed the outlook for interest rates in Australia. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Swaps had been seeking out lower and lower rates, yet fairly abruptly around September time someone or something called time on that particular party.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Well, what happened?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It wasn't that the economy suddenly became stronger. Hardly! </div>
<div> </div>
<div>In fact, GDP growth was actually negative for the third quarter of the calendar year, while employment growth went backwards in the months of both August and September too.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>And all measures of inflation are actually below the target 2 to 3 per cent range.<br><br>Then, what? </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Change of Governor</div>
<div> </div>
<div>While we should be wary of imposing simplistic narratives over historical trends (with hindsight giving the supposed benefit of 20/20 vision), it appears that the change in Reserve Bank Governor may have been a factor.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>During the month of September, Philip Lowe began suggested that interest rate cuts are losing their power, and seemed to infer that further cuts would only be delivered reluctantly, if at all.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>From the first meeting he chaired in the first week of October, the <a href="https://rba.gov.au/media-releases/2016/mr-16-26" target="_blank">wording</a> of the Monetary Policy Statement concluded that policy was consistent with growth and inflation returning to target over time. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Since the day of that October meeting, 6-month OIS rates have trended only in an hawkish direction, from 1.42 per cent back up to 1.50 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/03/RBA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/03/RBA1.jpg" alt=""></div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p>The Reserve Bank of Australia now has a duty to "keep consumer price inflation in the economy to 2 to 3 per cent, on average, over the medium term", apparently implying no immediate need to cut rates.</p>
<div> </div>
<div>Trump bump</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The other significant event in 2016 was Donald Trump's election victory in the US, which promptly changed the inflation outlook.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Australia's bond yields had already starting ticking back up before Trump's election triumph, with the yield on government bonds with a 10-year maturity recovering from a low of just 1.83 per cent in August to 2.31 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But then, after an initial post-election blip, the 10-year bond yield increased sharply to 2.87 per cent, before settling down a bit to finish the year at 2.78 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/03/RBA5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/03/RBA5.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div> </div>
<div>Easy, tiger!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Through November the indicative standard variable rate (SVR) for owner-occupier mortgages was 5.25 per cent, although of course by shopping around you can get much better deals than this (the indicative discounted rate was reported at 4.50 per cent, for example). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The reported 3-year fixed rates for both owner-occupiers and investors were lower again at 4.10 per cent and 4.25 per cent respectively. </div>
</body></html>

Can you comfortably afford to repay a mortgage in a 6% or even 7% scenario?: Pete Wargent

<html><body>
<div>When I first came to Sydney in the 1990s, there was a lot of talk about housing being expensive, although in truth it was still possible buy decent blocks of land reasonably close to the city, at least in the less fashionable inner western suburbs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I can also remember years ago reading a blog by Property Update contributor Stuart Wemyss, which argued that although some parts of Melbourne were evidently expensive, most of the talk about oversupply and a property bubble was just short term noise. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Wemyss highlighted a very similar point: you could still find decent blocks of dirt close to the city, for a price that wasn't absurd - demonstrably not the case in many so-termed 'global cities', which Melbourne aspires to become - and over the years he was proven right.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I feel a bit the same about Brisbane today.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Sure, there are some suburbs that are expensive, as you would expect with the Greater Brisbane population approaching 2.5 million. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>But you can still find blocks of land reasonably close to the city, within a 6-8km radius of the CBD, for a relatively good price. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of course, there will be ups and downs, but over the next couple of cycles the right property types and locations will likely perform very well, in my opinion, especially in good school zones. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Although some areas have been overbuilt with high rise apartments, south-east Queensland will offer some of the best opportunities over the decades ahead, as it expands as a population hub and becomes more popular with Asian migrants. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The forthcoming Commonwealth Games will be a plus too.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Slump, and rebound</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Queensland has always attracted migrants from interstate, and as the resources mega-projects kicked off through the early years of the mining boom, the Sunshine State was pulling in tens of thousands of internal migrants per annum. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>These were unbridled boom years both for Queensland's economy and Brisbane housing.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>From 2010, demand for Brisbane housing slumped, broadly in tune with internal population flows.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Unfortunately, with apartment projects often taking an age from approval to completion, this was also a time at which many interstate investors settled on new units, which are now under water, figuratively speaking (not only in Brisbane, but in other parts of Queensland too). </div>
<p> </p>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-d0I2CmhdgPk/Wc9CDDm3V6I/AAAAAAAAmYM/Pk3tVR5P5YMB9zNT-8oVgi4R06aVWBMSQCLcBGAs/s1600/QLD2.jpg"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-d0I2CmhdgPk/Wc9CDDm3V6I/AAAAAAAAmYM/Pk3tVR5P5YMB9zNT-8oVgi4R06aVWBMSQCLcBGAs/s640/QLD2.jpg" width="640" height="380" data-original-height="758" data-original-width="1271"></a></div>
<p> </p>
<div>More literally speaking, Brisbane experienced severe floods in 2010-11, which arguably exacerbated a downturn that was already in the post as LNG projects approached completion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>By March this year, estimated interstate migration to Queensland had risen to its highest level since 2009.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>So, what's going on? It's partly a function of the housing market cycle, with Sydney now expensive, and congested.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Another boon for Queensland is that took its capex downturn medicine earlier than Western Australia, so although it was painful, the drag has now ended, with roads and other infrastructure projects having kicked off.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-14swRzkG8Sg/Wc9rrn08RXI/AAAAAAAAmYk/zodXh_b89Ns1Mm_M21U6coYIVx8ybiRigCLcBGAs/s1600/ENG.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-14swRzkG8Sg/Wc9rrn08RXI/AAAAAAAAmYk/zodXh_b89Ns1Mm_M21U6coYIVx8ybiRigCLcBGAs/s640/ENG.jpg" width="640" height="380" data-original-height="825" data-original-width="1386"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>And, after a terrible lull, Queensland employment is suddenly now picking up, rising by an <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2017/09/jobs-explosion-shatters-forecasts" target="_blank">outsized +95,400 over the year to August 2017</a>.<br><br>And population growth is in turn ramping up just as dwelling starts now collapse, helping to rebalance the ratio of demand to supply.<br><br><div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-NZ6sGlCUijI/Wc-BAtgAALI/AAAAAAAAmY4/jAB2Gm1ySpkxztQzoMQnS8YgwGDJsY9wgCLcBGAs/s1600/A1.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-NZ6sGlCUijI/Wc-BAtgAALI/AAAAAAAAmY4/jAB2Gm1ySpkxztQzoMQnS8YgwGDJsY9wgCLcBGAs/s640/A1.jpg" width="640" height="390" data-original-height="830" data-original-width="1362"></a></div>
</div>
<div>You didn't really need ABS estimates to tell you about the migratory shifts, since every second person in inner city Brisbane seems to have just relocated from Sydney, or from Perth in many cases. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>With the Sydney market now slowing, there will no doubt be a great surge in interest in Brisbane property - that's just the way the cycle goes. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">White shoes alert</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>A few caveats, however, if you're thinking of buying a Brisbane property investment.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of all the capital cities, Brisbane plausibly has the patchiest housing market - some locations and dwelling types are experiencing strong price growth, while others are struggling big time.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Be wary about locations prone to flooding, and definitely watch out for white ants (termites)! </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Oh, and real estate laws are different up north, so you need to understand how to make offers subject to certain conditions. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Personally, I would buy established not new property, for way too many heads have been burned buying new of off the plan up north. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Finally, there is a long history of southern buyers getting brazenly fleeced on Queensland property deals by slick sales techniques - the famed white shoe brigade - so make sure you don't become yet another casualty. </div>
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Southerners need to avoid being fleeced by Queensland's famed white shoe brigade

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<p><span>Home loan arrears are just beginning to creep a bit higher on weak income growth.</span><br><br><span>So reports the Commonwealth Bank (ASX: CBA) in its trading update.</span><br><br></p>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-Pmu1pNOxlig/WvI_Z6QG82I/AAAAAAAAp6k/BOUkDZcbQ1MFLXlP6aL2Pe5dtLBJFaXBwCLcBGAs/s1600/CBA.jpg"><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-Pmu1pNOxlig/WvI_Z6QG82I/AAAAAAAAp6k/BOUkDZcbQ1MFLXlP6aL2Pe5dtLBJFaXBwCLcBGAs/s640/CBA.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="505" data-original-width="863"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Source: ASX</span></em><br><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><br></span></em>
</div>
<div>
<div>The market was unhappy with the trimmed unaudited cash profit of $2.35 million.<br><br>The result is 2.1 per cent lower than the unaudited figure for the prior year's corresponding period. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Share price latest: down -3.4 per cent to $71, having bounced off the intraday lows at $70.80.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Our latest report for funds and institutional investors <a href="https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/3-immediate-implications-of-tighter-lending-standards" target="_blank">Chemical Change</a> discusses the downside risks eventuating from a combination of trimmed lending volumes, a potential loss of market share, compressed margins, and an uptick in home loan arrears. </div>
<div> </div>
<em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</em>
</div>
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Weak income growth triggering higher arrears: Pete Wargent

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<div>There were nervous onlookers aplenty as APRA Chairman Wayne Byres prepared to speak in Sydney last week on prudential lending standards and sound lending practices.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>They needn't have been quite so fearful, in the event, as Byres reassured markets that while heightened scrutiny had uncovered some displeasing practices, most of the heavy lifting has already been done with regards to tighter lending standards.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>For subscribers to our market reports, a number of familiar themes raised: tightening standards have been applied incrementally over a period of several years (rather than overnight as often assumed), a new focus on comprehensive credit reporting to better capture pre-existing debt commitments of borrowers, and some very useful analysis of lower loan-to-value ratios and the decline of interest-only loans. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>While much has been made of a potential 'credit crunch' - mainly by interests hoping to see a credit crunch, it must be said - Byres reiterated how in aggregate annual credit growth has continued to track at 'very healthy' levels, especially for owner-occupiers at about 8 per cent.<br><br>Of course, there are many unknowns about how this will all play out from here. Some parts of the housing market will fare well where demand from homebuyers is high, and others will struggle where the opposite holds true.<br><br><em>Caveat emptor.</em>
</div>
<div><em> </em></div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Computer says no credit crunch</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>As Byres was busy adjusting his tie pre-speech in Sydney, financial markets were digesting the latest housing finance figures for the month of May.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Supporting what Byres would go on to say in his speech, there was a seasonally adjusted <em>increase </em>in the number of mortgages written across all loan categories, defying market expectations, and a corresponding increase in the total value of lending.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The 'trend' figures are still shaping lower, but at $31.9 billion the seasonally adjusted housing finance figures were pointing to anything but a credit crunch, especially for the homebuyer cohort.</div>
<p> </p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-9qcKV8e6VMk/W0WgxdkJlzI/AAAAAAAArAU/_QoKjOjlLjACVEwN5shP6yjjT1cHkehbgCLcBGAs/s640/HF1.jpg" width="640" height="364" data-original-height="785" data-original-width="1378"></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>The average loan size for both first homebuyers ($344,600) and non-first homebuyers ($412,000) also hit a record high in May - both in monthly and rolling annual terms - so it appears that those borrowers able to commit to a loan have not seen borrowing capacity trimmed as much as feared, at least in aggregate. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-NeN8sCx2QBU/W0WkChZvp7I/AAAAAAAArAo/b4bh7Uixy3olAUp0eP05tBZDUfIqmftmQCLcBGAs/s640/HF2.jpg" width="640" height="368" data-original-height="802" data-original-width="1388"></div>
<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Where to from here?</span></strong><br><br></p>
<div>Clearly no credit crunch in these figures, then, but my sense is that everyone would feel a bit happier with the world if the household debt to disposable income ratio was seen to be no longer rising from its present level of 1.9x. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>APRA has played its part in tightening lending standards for investors, rapidly reducing the stock and flow of interest-only loans (meaning more Aussies paying are now down their debt), and ensuring that new borrowers are stress-tested with what are very significant mortgage rate buffers. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>It's interesting to consider momentarily how so much market commentary has become morbidly fixated on a bad news narrative, almost wilfully overlooking a string of upbeat data over recent months.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Westpac reported this morning that its consumer confidence index had surged to the highest level since all the way back in 2013, mirroring Aig's index showing the services sector expanding at the fastest pace on record, and jobs vacancies firing to their highest ever level.<br><br>So much for it all being doom and gloom!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Meanwhile the unemployment rate is easing back towards the lowest level in years, exports are tracking at record highs, and the rolling annual Budget deficit is in the best nick in a decade.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>All sanguine observers are quite clear on the missing piece of the puzzle, though: wages growth!</div>
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Lenders gonna lend: Pete Wargent

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<div>A double-shot Friday, with speeches from both Reserve Bank Governor Lowe and Assistant Governor Luci Ellis.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Lowe's speech effectively confirmed that the inflation target is asymmetric.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Although 'committed' to the 2 to 3 per cent inflation target, the next move in interest rates will be up, he noted, even though inflation is yet again set to fall below the target.<br><br>As energy and fuel price pressures ease the rate of inflation will likely drop over the second half of the year.<br><br>That's good to the extent that it eases pressure on household budgets, of course.<br><br>But, in the spirit of Mr. Micawber, it is hoped that eventually inflation will pick up again.<br><br>Amazon might have something to say about that as retail price deflation again rears its head.<br><br><strong>Rates on hold</strong>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Whether you agree or otherwise, at least it's been made clear: the cash rate is going to be set at 1.5 per cent for a long time!<br><br>Probably a very long time.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Lowe also delivered an interesting interpretation of housing credit dynamics, noting that the slowing of the housing market had reduced demand for credit by investors, in doing so citing low mortgage rates as evidence that the reduced supply of credit has not been the main story.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The plural of anecdote is not data, but that's not quite the feedback we've been getting from mortgage brokers. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Semantics, maybe, given the reflexive nature of such things.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong>Luci on lags</strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Assistant Governor Ellis also presented an interesting speech on lags, showing how the unemployment rate has been improving (if not very much for the long term unemployed).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>No arguments there, although building permits are now falling away outside Melbourne (OK, and Hobart), while money growth is now at the lowest level in more than a quarter of a century. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>If those weak leading indicators persist, then eventually the economy will start to slow too...yes, it's those pesky lags again!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Maybe that's already happening, according to the timeliest business surveys.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The labour force figures released this week also showed that the growth in hours worked is already on the way down. </div>
<p> </p>
<div><a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-kDmz34Ipxs0/W3dJwWlfd7I/AAAAAAAArlU/3SWaE5U_PZwsGrTrZ21uEB5LO6qLF99oACLcBGAs/s1600/a1.jpg"><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-kDmz34Ipxs0/W3dJwWlfd7I/AAAAAAAArlU/3SWaE5U_PZwsGrTrZ21uEB5LO6qLF99oACLcBGAs/s640/a1.jpg" width="640" height="378" data-original-height="795" data-original-width="1342"></a></div>
<p>Long story short, inflation is low because the economy remains well below its full capacity.</p>
<div><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</em></div>
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The cash rate is going to be locked at 1.5 per cent for a very long time: Pete Wargent

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<p>A quick look at half a dozen of the more interesting housing finance slides for January 2018.</p>
<p>Total housing finance increased by +0.7% in seasonally adjusted terms to $33 billion, but was pretty flat in trend terms, with investor loans continuing to decline and owner-occupier lending growing at +7% per annum to fill the breach.</p>
<p>Click here <a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-M24lH5yOIb0/WqdKC1BohRI/AAAAAAAAo3Y/uStoaGTkvc0KHaEzNHMWx4EbCygq9IxBACEwYBhgL/s640/HF4.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge. </a></p>
<p><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-M24lH5yOIb0/WqdKC1BohRI/AAAAAAAAo3Y/uStoaGTkvc0KHaEzNHMWx4EbCygq9IxBACEwYBhgL/s640/HF4.jpg" width="640" height="376" data-original-height="812" data-original-width="1377"></p>
<p>January is generally a quiet month due to summer holidays, but first homebuyers continue to be drawn into the market by concessions, now accounting for a market share of 18% in the month. </p>
<p>Click here <a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ag8KiMutZ-8/WqdLJLhxNrI/AAAAAAAAo4A/3-pDL-QN38ITRbwAKoRjKZRiNWwSYJ3xQCLcBGAs/s640/FHB.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a></p>
<p><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ag8KiMutZ-8/WqdLJLhxNrI/AAAAAAAAo4A/3-pDL-QN38ITRbwAKoRjKZRiNWwSYJ3xQCLcBGAs/s640/FHB.jpg" width="640" height="382" data-original-height="818" data-original-width="1367"></p>
<p>While first homebuyers are on average struggling to increase their loan sizes due to serviceability caps and stress-testing at above 7% mortgage rates, established owners have been able to use more leverage. </p>
<p>Click here <a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ruSrZ6NBTT0/WqdKCqS0GnI/AAAAAAAAo3U/j7Bj1E2K1wI0ovyEfh9IzQ9JT_gqM0PqgCLcBGAs/s640/HF1.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a></p>
<p><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ruSrZ6NBTT0/WqdKCqS0GnI/AAAAAAAAo3U/j7Bj1E2K1wI0ovyEfh9IzQ9JT_gqM0PqgCLcBGAs/s640/HF1.jpg" width="640" height="372" style="font-size: 12.16px;" data-original-height="809" data-original-width="1390"></p>
<p>That's especially true in Victoria where the average loan size for non-first homebuyers hit a record high. </p>
<p>Click here <a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-J8LLXGMj_SM/WqdKCR0vYCI/AAAAAAAAo3Q/tt-VaLWXam0tMPaj2XM1cmbUe6deQYlQQCLcBGAs/s640/HF2.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a></p>
<p><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-J8LLXGMj_SM/WqdKCR0vYCI/AAAAAAAAo3Q/tt-VaLWXam0tMPaj2XM1cmbUe6deQYlQQCLcBGAs/s640/HF2.jpg" width="640" height="380" data-original-height="819" data-original-width="1377"></p>
<p><strong>Surge of completions</strong></p>
<p>A number of indicators have suggested that the Sydney market saw a huge number of dwelling completions in or around the final quarter of 2017, as construction activity now drops back from record highs and a spike in vacancy rates is observed. </p>
<p>The number of finance commitments for new dwellings is coming down off four-decade highs.</p>
<p>Click here <a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-8h3hCJlrxJM/WqdKDkn_fDI/AAAAAAAAo3c/GJx-yaHcc0c2Eq7JbEfbZMNOUrViqXVdQCLcBGAs/s640/HF5.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a> </p>
<p><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-8h3hCJlrxJM/WqdKDkn_fDI/AAAAAAAAo3c/GJx-yaHcc0c2Eq7JbEfbZMNOUrViqXVdQCLcBGAs/s640/HF5.jpg" width="640" height="380" data-original-height="801" data-original-width="1342"></p>
<p>New South Wales has seen more new dwellings financed by homebuyers than ever before over a 12-month stretch, underscoring the point. </p>
<p>Click here <a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-k9QfN15EP3s/WqdKEO_HtDI/AAAAAAAAo3g/_20z2zxy8N4Ik_9evFiPhEKP-GPba0g4QCLcBGAs/s640/HF6.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a></p>
<div class="separator">
<img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-k9QfN15EP3s/WqdKEO_HtDI/AAAAAAAAo3g/_20z2zxy8N4Ik_9evFiPhEKP-GPba0g4QCLcBGAs/s640/HF6.jpg" width="640" height="388" data-original-height="831" data-original-width="1364"><p><strong>The wrap</strong></p>
<p>Overall, if you piece this together with other figures out recently including from APRA, the stats point toward a surge in apartment completions in Sydney, and investor lending being quelled as first homebuyers are increasingly drawn into the market by stamp duty and other concessions.</p>
<p><span>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and </span><a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a><span>.</span></p>
</div>
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Investor loans in decline: Pete Wargent

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<div>Another data series suggesting that 30-60 day arrears are now very close to the lowest level on record.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>First it was <a href="http://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2017/12/arrears-down-again" target="_blank">S&amp;P Global</a> that reported as such, as I charted at the attached link. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>And this time, it's Moody's.</div>
<p> </p>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-zDA0uid4qrw/WlxunAW2WVI/AAAAAAAAn7o/nNM0owABILQ81EpoWGwXoqVbINf1otG0wCLcBGAs/s1600/Moody%2527s.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-zDA0uid4qrw/WlxunAW2WVI/AAAAAAAAn7o/nNM0owABILQ81EpoWGwXoqVbINf1otG0wCLcBGAs/s640/Moody%2527s.jpg" width="640" height="310" data-original-height="667" data-original-width="1375"></a></div>
<p><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Source: Moody's</span></em></p>
<div>Total 90+ day Prime RMBS arrears declined from 1.62 per cent to 1.54 per cent in the September quarter, according to Moody's Investor Service.<br><br>The main improvement was seen in shadow lenders, with delinquencies declining from 2.85 per cent to 2.59 per cent, which there was also a solid decline in non-confirming loan arrears to 3.3 per cent.<br><br>Elsewhere it was reported that loan impairment charges were also close to record lows in 2017. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Good to see. </div>
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Mortgage arrears down again, including shadow lenders: Pete Wargent

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<p>Total housing finance was lower as expected back in August at $30.67 billion in seasonally adjusted terms, well down from the peak of above $34 billion a year earlier.</p>
<p>The Reserve Bank of Australia posted some useful insights on household finances, financial stress (or rather the lack of it), and the impact of tighter lending standards on loan sizes.</p>
<p>The RBA doesn't always help itself when citing very old data, but made some handy insights on borrowing capacity, specifically noting how most loans are made significantly below borrowing capacity.</p>
<p>In the surveyed figures only about 13 per cent borrowed 90 per cent or more of the maximum amount potentially available, while some two-thirds borrowed only 70 per cent or less of their capacity (thereby implying that tighter lending standards only impact some borrowers).</p>
<p>This was to some extent borne out by the housing finance data, with average loan sizes having continued to rise for owner-occupiers to be significantly higher than a year earlier, including in all three of the most populous states.</p>
<p>The borrowers most likely to be materially impacted by tighter lending standards include portfolio investors, and this is also reflected in the totals for investment loans.</p>
<p>The monthly trend result for investment loans has fallen from $14 billion at the 2015 peak to $10 billion, suggesting that the best performing properties are likely to be those actively sought by homebuyers (and the worst, investment units designed primarily for leasing).</p>
<p>More interest-only loans were reset in the third quarter.</p>
<p>Non-banks have been picking up more business, as expected.</p>
<p>With construction loans and the number of new dwellings financed now in decline new supply will be dropping off in time.</p>
<p>First homebuyers continued to account for about 18 per cent of new home loans, partly driven by incentives.</p>
<p><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</em></p>
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Housing finance squeezed in August: Pete Wargent

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<p>Home prices rose by 10.9 per cent in the capital cities in 2016.<br><br>The gains were largely concentrated in Sydney (+15.5 per cent) and Melbourne (+13.7 per cent).<br><br>In Sydney home values rose by $10,000 per month in 2016.<br><br>Brisbane was a clear two-speed market and recorded gains of only +3.6 per cent overall.<br><br>Australia's regional centres recorded moderate gains of +2.8 per cent.<br><br></p>
<div><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-V0-hx0y4Hxg/WGt1IW6r61I/AAAAAAAAhBc/Hj7EGOAF1XELqgVtmeNSeTEU2dTKG3bsACLcB/s1600/CL.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-V0-hx0y4Hxg/WGt1IW6r61I/AAAAAAAAhBc/Hj7EGOAF1XELqgVtmeNSeTEU2dTKG3bsACLcB/s640/CL.jpg" width="640" height="314"></a></div>
<p><br>In Perth home values are now 7.9 per cent below their 2014 peak, and in Darwin prices are down by 5.9 per cent cumulatively.</p>
<div>However, CoreLogic noted that both markets appear to be "moving through their low points" with both markets reporting strong gains in the last quarter of the year of +2.8 per cent and +5.9 per cent respectively.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>These figures seem to be at odds with low sentiment and high vacancy rates, but will be interesting to watch in 2017.</div>
<p>Regional NSW performed well in parts but there was comparatively little joy elsewhere:</p>
<div>"The remaining rest-of-state regions showed relatively sedate conditions, with values rising by half a per cent across regional Victoria, 1 per cent across regional Queensland and 1.1 per cent across regional South Australia.  </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Regional Western Australia recorded a 7 per cent fall in house values over the year."</div>
<div>
<p>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</p>
<p>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</p>
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Pete Wargent

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