Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.

The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.

The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.

The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.

The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.

MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.

Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.

The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.

<img alt="MAYD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1bcbb05-e659-4b47-8bd4-1e595315e2ad" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%202.05.03%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=jj0XEud1X1DuLt7_KyElhjMdZGOXmLHP" />

MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.

"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.

"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."

The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.

Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.

Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.

"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.

"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."

MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.

"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.

"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."

Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.

"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."

The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.

MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.

Joel Robinson

First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

<main data-perf-region="main">
Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.

But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.

Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]

The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.

It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]

Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.

Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.

Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]

Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.

"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.

A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.

It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.

At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.

Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]

Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.

"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.

The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.

More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]

<h3 data-end="3697" data-section-id="q3n5ak" data-start="3672">&nbsp;</h3>
</main>

Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

A collection of just 25 large-format apartments and penthouses overlooking Goodwin Park is entering the Coolangatta market, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marea-residences-coolangatta-27-27a-dixon-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Maréa Residences</a> combining a low-density, residential-only approach with uninterrupted park and Pacific Ocean outlooks.

Located at 27 Dixon Street, Maréa comprises three and four-bedroom residences alongside a limited number of dual-level penthouses, with the project positioned between Goodwin Park and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/coolangatta-qld-4225">Coolangatta</a>’s coastal precinct.

Construction has commenced, with completion currently estimated for late 2027. Three-bedroom residences are priced from $1.8 million.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374005]

The project has been designed around its northern outlook across the park, with the building’s architecture, landscaping and material palette intended to establish a connection with the neighbouring green space. The residences have been configured to maximise natural light and views across Goodwin Park towards the ocean.

Inside, the material palette incorporates timber, stone and brushed brass, complemented by curved detailing and ambient lighting. Kitchens and bathrooms carry the same natural material approach, while residences also include basement parking, storage and lift access.

Maréa’s penthouses are arranged over two levels and include private pools, adding another layer to the project’s focus on larger-format apartment living. Across the development, residences are configured with three or four bedrooms rather than the broader mix of smaller apartment types commonly found in larger projects.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374010]

Resident amenity is concentrated at rooftop level, where landscaped entertaining terraces and pools take advantage of elevated views across Coolangatta and the Pacific Ocean.

The project has so far been particularly well received by local owner-occupiers and downsizers, according to Urban Activation Property Sales and Marketing Director Matt George, with the residential-only format, construction quality and northern park outlook among the features resonating with purchasers.

“The uninterrupted northern aspect overlooking Goodwin Park has been a key point of difference, with buyers attracted to the sense of serenity and open space the park provides, while still enjoying easy access to the ocean and being within walking distance of the lifestyle and amenities Coolangatta has to offer,” George said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374002]

“The combination of high-quality construction, a residential-only building, park outlook and proximity to the beach has resonated strongly with the local downsizer market.”

The Dixon Street address is within walking distance of Coolangatta Beach and the broader southern Gold Coast coastline, including the surf breaks at Snapper Rocks and Kirra. Coolangatta’s cafés, restaurants and retail are nearby, while Gold Coast Airport is also within close proximity.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150999]

Maréa Residences brings parkside apartments to Coolangatta

Melbourne developer PDG has secured Victorian Government approval for its $1.5 billion Southbank development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-1-queens-bridge-street-southbank-vic-3006">The One</a>, clearing the way for the long-dormant riverfront site opposite Crown to finally be developed.

The Minister for Planning has approved the project at 1-29 Queens Bridge Street, with the Department of Transport and Planning issuing the planning permit following its assessment.

The approval will allow PDG to develop the prominent 5,059 sqm site with a major mixed-use tower comprising premium apartments, including branded residences, a luxury hotel and boutique office space.

PDG acquired the site in late 2024, with its position directly opposite Crown's main entrance and near Melbourne's Arts Precinct making it one of Southbank's most significant remaining development opportunities.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3933013e-6332-4386-b9be-089df05caf17" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sITIgBqDL0N3VNSMwWEmF5UA.uvcsRyu" />

Designed by COX in collaboration with ODO and PDG, the tower's architecture draws on the movement of the Yarra River, with six vertical pleats running the height of the sculpted facade.

The project will also see the heritage-listed Queens Bridge Hotel restored and incorporated into the development&nbsp;with new hospitality and public uses, including a rooftop venue.

A significant component of The One will be its residential amenity.

More than 5,000 sqm of resident facilities will be delivered across a single level, making it one of the largest consolidated residential amenity offerings proposed in an Australian apartment development.

The planning approval also incorporates a major upgrade of Queensbridge Square, which PDG will deliver in partnership with the City of Melbourne.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73167fcd-1031-4b6f-a408-a064cfe45ed1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Pf1AEWxw6SNmBqR0zQW5lyEze.MtxgFp" />

The existing square will be revitalised as a new civic and pedestrian space along the Yarra River, strengthening the connection between the project, Southbank and the riverfront.

PDG Founder and Managing Director Vince Giuliano said the approval represented a major milestone for a site which has remained largely underutilised for more than 15 years.

“This is the most significant Planning Permit approval Melbourne has seen in recent years,” Giuliano said.

“For more than 15 years, this site has remained underutilised. This approval enables us to deliver a project that will contribute meaningfully to the revitalisation of Southbank, restore and reactivate an important heritage building, and create a new civic and hospitality destination for Melbourne.”

The latest approval follows an earlier planning permit issued by the City of Melbourne covering demolition works across part of the site at 9-29 Queens Bridge Street. Those demolition and early works are already underway.

PDG has also started generating early interest in the residential component from owner-occupiers ahead of a planned public launch in early 2027.

PDG secures approval for $1.5bn Southbank apartment development, The One

Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.

The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.

That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.

The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.

A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.

&nbsp;

Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.

Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.

While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;

Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.

First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

Pete Wargent

<html><body>
I never used to think of myself this way, but as I get older, I'm increasingly becoming quite a traditionalist and something of a curmudgeon.
Don't really like change too much. Used to hate white weddings in churches, but now don't mind them - as long as they aren't mine, of course. Would probably keep the Australian flag the same given a choice (and, despite not being anything remotely close to a monarchist, probably inclined towards the status quo there too). I vote for centre-right parties. Still like to buy weekend newspapers and prefer hard copy books written on paper, though I do buy e-books too. If I wasn't vegetarian, I'd probably be described as a meat-and-three-veg type.
When it comes to finance and investment, I'm generally conservative and like to stick to the tried and tested, and prefer to diversify broadly rather than gamble too much on individual stocks.
I believe in the endurance of traditional market cycles, although they may appear to be shorter than in times past with the advent of faster information flow and especially since cycles are no longer to be carried along on a tidal wave of inflation. 
When I read in press articles that "Gen Y are lazy" or "young people are opting out", I generally don't believe them. Most younger people will be pragmatic and forge their way in life, just as previous generations always have.
While the specifics will always change, I believe that history repeats.
And having been around through a few market cycles, most unfashionably of all, I believe that monetary policy generally still works.
Low rates
If you have been reading my blog since late 2011, you'll know that my absolute conviction has been that cuts in interest rates would dramatically change the way people invest their dollars.
As I clarified the other day, and has been known about for decades, when it comes to investment markets, <a href="/expert-insights/investing/six-places-to-invest-money-and-four-rules-for-doing-so">interest rates are like gravity</a> - ultimately, you just can't get away from them.
Since Australia is not in recession and credit markets have remained liquid, if my belief is correct then after an initial lag the delivered cuts in interest rates should see property investors flooding back into the markets and share markets catapulted higher.
Markets 
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released its <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/5609.0" target="_blank">Housing Finance data</a> this week, which is a key indicator of what to expect in the property markets in the months to come.
I pulled out the housing finance data specifically as it relates to investment loans, which printed as below:
<a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-pDastlTKFXc/U0T-Y1yBaiI/AAAAAAAAMaQ/cwa_dJQ3oRE/s1600/Investment+Loans.jpg"><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-pDastlTKFXc/U0T-Y1yBaiI/AAAAAAAAMaQ/cwa_dJQ3oRE/s1600/Investment+Loans.jpg"></a>
The value of investment loans jumped by 4.4% after a fall last month and are now up by a monster 32.3% year on year to the highest level ever recorded in Australia's history.
To me this represents proof beyond any reasonable doubt that monetary policy still works and property markets remain sensitive to the cost of borrowing.
Most lenders offer interest-only loans to investors for five years, at which point they flip into principal and interest loans or must be renegotiated by the borrower. 
The total value of dwelling commitments chart prepared by the ABS tells its own story.
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/a866861f12e106e0ca256a38002791fa/05dbce56402ec566ca25723d000f2999/Body/0.1FF2!OpenElement&amp;FieldElemFormat=gif" alt="Graph: Value of dwelling commitments, Total dwellings" width="248" height="320"></div>
Source: ABS
None of this is surprising when you consider that we have an interest rate of 2.50% yet an inflation rate of 2.60%.
After tax is paid on interest income, returns from bank accounts and term deposits are so dismal that return-seeking investors have been practically forced into the share markets or property investments.
Owner occupier mortgages and first home buyers
Owner occupiers can tend to march to their own drum to some extent, although of course fear of missing out can often see would-be home buyers jump into the market too.
But in the event owner occupier non-refinance commitments have also roared upwards by 17.5% over the past 12 months and owner occupier refinance commitments are a whopping 27.9% higher.
The first home buyer data, however, continues to be a complete waste of everyone's time since it fails to record the large number of first-timers who are electing to buy investment property first instead of a home, which, in Sydney at least, is a very regular occurrence.
There is no way to quantify this at present, but since every second inquiry I get as a property buyer fits into that category, it must surely be a significant factor - in New South Wales at any rate. 
As noted two years ago, if you don't listen to what the data is telling you, then you will certainly misinterpret it. 
Naturally a certain percentage of buyers are unquestionably priced out of the locations they want/need to buy in. 
But the recorded data is not commensurate with "an entire generation" of the population casually sitting out of the market, particularly when high LVR mortgages remain <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/money/borrowing/seeking-to-get-a-foot-in-the-door-20140401-35uqu" target="_blank">so widely available</a>, making saving deposits less of a hurdle than would otherwise be the case. 
Dwelling construction?
If the Reserve Bank's grand rebalancing plan is to work then new dwelling construction needs to take off, and there was healthy news from the data here too. I can't plot this any more clearly than the Housing Industry Association (HIA) has already done, so let's go with their chart:
<div class="separator">
<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-3mpHbrztgJk/U0UB5RC3fTI/AAAAAAAAMac/FFJ64X28QPY/s1600/HIAcons.jpg"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-3mpHbrztgJk/U0UB5RC3fTI/AAAAAAAAMac/FFJ64X28QPY/s1600/HIAcons.jpg" width="400" height="202"></a> 
</div>
Source: HIA
Monthly figures were down a bit after an exceptionally strong month in January, but on a moving annual basis the number of finance commitments for new homes and construction was up by more than 14%. The trend since August 2012 is tremendously strong which bodes well for a large pick-up in dwelling construction.
History repeats 
At such times, experienced heads tend to speak the most sense. 
Back in 2004 at the end of Sydney's last boom the AFR's David Bassanese attracted a level of ridicule for suggesting that "housing affordability is just about where it should be". 
Prices in Sydney subsequently fell a little and were flat for some years, yet with dwelling prices having underperformed household incomes significantly over the past decade, now they are catching back up again. 
Steve Keen's old sparring partner Rory Robertson has been quite outspoken this week on the same subject, suggesting that buy-and-hold on Sydney property for the long term is a "no-brainer", and as for whether the market is demonstrating irrational exuberance...
<img src="/images/2014/04/11/tweet-april-11-one.jpg" alt="">
Other experienced heads such as economist Stephen Koukoulas also added that he wouldn't be surprised by higher prices....
<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-4rRcCUErWQM/U0UVhuwFliI/AAAAAAAAMa8/AL3MACrCVsI/s1600/KOUKOULAS.jpg"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-4rRcCUErWQM/U0UVhuwFliI/AAAAAAAAMa8/AL3MACrCVsI/s1600/KOUKOULAS.jpg" width="400" height="67"></a>
Tight market 
It's very rarely noted that during the last boom period in 2003, the REIA recorded that Sydney's property markets had a vacancy rate as high as 4.4%. The rate of vacant properties was at an even more elevated 5.3% in the outer ring suburbs.  
By way of contrast, today's vacancy rate in <a href="https://www.sqmresearch.com.au/SQMResearchVacancyRatesFebruary2014.pdf" target="_blank">Sydney is just 1.6%</a>, and much lower still in certain popular market sectors, such as in the inner west: e.g. Erskineville 0.6%, Enmore 0.8%, and so on. 
Our capital cities and their infrastructure are bursting at the seams, and with <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/comment-and-analysis/is-australia-ready-for-23-million-more-people-20131028-2wb0n" target="_blank">2.3 million more people expected</a> to live in Australia in the next five years alone, we're going to have a heck of job keeping up.
If I learned one thing from the experience of the United Kingdom property markets since 2007, it's how the right properties in the right locations fare so much better when each cyclical downturn inevitably arrives, particularly the types of properties which are most in demand such as. For example, well-located dwellings close to the median price for the suburb. 
You can visit <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) or Pete's <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blog</a>.
His new book '<a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' is out now.
</body></html>

pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Investment mortgages crunch all-time record high

<html><body>
When <a href="https://www.sqmresearch.com.au/" target="_blank">SQM Research</a> predicted back in September last year that Sydney dwelling prices <a href="https://propertyupdate.com.au/sydney-dwelling-prices-to-rise-15-20-in-2014-louis-christopher/" target="_blank">would rise by 15-20%</a> in 2014, and possibly by significantly more, there were more than a few raised eyebrows.
<img src="https://dev.propertyupdate.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/sydney-dwelling-prices.png" alt="sydney dwelling prices">
Source: SQM Research
Some went so far as to be directly scornful. Yet, given the fundamentals of the market at that time, the underlying logic of the prediction was sound enough and SQM will once again likely prove to be pretty close to the mark.
Dwelling prices in Sydney had under-performed household income growth for almost a decade, and, crucially, interest rates appear set to remain at what are historically extremely low levels throughout the year and potentially well beyond. Notably Australia's official cash rate will remain materially below where it was during Sydney's last property boom through to early 2004 for some time to come yet. 
<div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-GHyZPPEi6S0/U0DWI2miS_I/AAAAAAAAMXE/Av5bxBTmK5w/s1600/OCR.jpg"></div>
 
Even now in April, the <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2014/mr-14-05" target="_blank">Reserve Bank rhetoric</a> suggests that the first rate hike is potentially some way off, particularly since inflation is expected to be consistent with the Reserve Bank's stated 2-3% target over the next two years.
In other words, interest rates are not going to be the handbrake which stops the current Sydney property boom in its tracks.
Rather, the music is only likely stop in this Sydney property market cycle once buyers deem yields to have fallen too low, such as they eventually did in Q1 2004.
<blockquote>
Those who plan to own well-located, desirable property in Sydney over the coming decades appear set to be very happy with the outcome.
</blockquote>
Auction clearance rates in Sydney remain remarkably high, the levels of stock on the market remain significantly lower than where they were a year ago in spite a flurry of vendor activity, and prices have continued to rise.
RP Data's index shows Sydney outperforming the rest of Australia over the past year, and indeed the five capital cities price growth has largely been driven by Sydney's dwelling price growth itself, in concert with broadly equivalent price activity in Melbourne.
<img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gSgKWhHSXzU/U0DFN4LkLgI/AAAAAAAAMWs/TzNAnNxE2n4/s1600/SQM.jpg">
Whether 2014 price growth in Sydney ends up being 10%, 15% or even 20%, SQM's logic will prove to have been broadly accurate. For what it's worth, below are the year to date figures as reported by RP Data.
<img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-F48tiydlEdI/U0DFVlXWpFI/AAAAAAAAMW0/w2AgIVQtYq0/s1600/SQM2.jpg">
We're only a week into April and it already looks likely that another month of gains will be recorded in the harbour city. And if you take the view that such indices are inclined to lag, then SQM's prediction looks very much to be in decent shape.
In any case, certain locations are beginning to <a href="https://domainmastheads.homepriceguide.com.au/saturday_auction_results/Sydney.pdf" target="_blank">record blistering results</a>, including <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-apartment-nsw-waverton-116398555" target="_blank">Sydney's lower north shore</a>. 
And you can probably begin to add parts of the Campsie/Canterbury/Bankstown sector of the market to that. Meanwhile, the popular inner west suburbs closer to the central business district have been flying for some years now. 
When I discussed Sydney's real estate prospects in a brief chat with SQM's Managing Director Louis Christopher, he likened Sydney dwelling prices "to a high PE stock", which I thought was a worthy analogy.
Sydney's property will likely continue to trade at a premium to dwelling prices elsewhere in Australia since massive population growth and the sheer intensity of demand for inner suburb real estate factors in that Sydney will be a solid city for property owners for generations to come. The population of Sydney is expected to grow to some 8 million over the coming decades. I've spent plenty of time in other high-density cities including London, Hong Kong and Singapore and observed with interest the appreciating prices of well-located real estate. Those who plan to own well-located, desirable property in Sydney over the coming decades appear set to be very happy with the outcome.
You can visit <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) or Pete's <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blog</a>.
His new book '<a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' is out now.
</body></html>

SQM Research's Sydney price rise predictions have been vindicated

<html><body>
Someone asked me last week if I am "bullish on property?".
It's a bit of wild concept if you think about it.
At the last count there are around 9,300,700 dwellings in Australia, and the vast majority of them I wouldn't invest in.
There are a huge number of areas that I would consider to be extremely risky, in fact, including a whole range of mining towns and regional centres, and even some larger cities with weak population growth and job markets.
My position always been that if you can demonstrate a certain level of skill and invest in the right suburbs and property types you can make a lot of money, but I wouldn't say that makes me bullish on housing per se.
In Britain, London and its surrounds has been the only area worthy of investing for my money over all the years.
In Australia, I generally stick to certain suburbs in Sydney. 
In 2007, that meant a number of key suburbs in the inner west, and even then only certain types of property. 
Last year we were buying on the lower north shore, but again only in a handful of suburbs and certain types of property. 
At the weekend, the lower north recorded another blistering auction clearance rate of 92%. 
I wouldn't get too bogged down in the weekly conspiracy theories about under-reporting: just look at the actual results <a href="https://domainmastheads.homepriceguide.com.au/saturday_auction_results/Sydney.pdf" target="_blank">reported</a> in suburbs like Kirribilli, Wollstonecraft, Cremorne and Neutral Bay. 
The lower north shore is now absolutely flying!
We expect to see Milsons Point and Waverton outperforming in 2014 too.
We try to avoid buying in heated markets, however, so we may leave the hordes to the auction frenzies at ever-higher prices now, and look elsewhere.
Next on our hit-list will include three suburbs in particular to the west and south-west, a little further out than the traditional capital growth hotspots, in order to catch the ripple effect of capital growth which is repeated in most property market cycles. 
March property prices 
RP Data will released its <a href="/expert-insights/investing/melbourne-tops-the-list-of-best-performing-capital-cities-in-march-quarter-rp-data-rismark">property price results for the month of March</a>, which unsurprisingly will continue to report very strong gains in Australian capital cities (+2.3%) for the 10th month in a row.
Leading the way, of course, were Sydney (+2.8%) and Melbourne (+2.3%), although in fact gains were recorded everywhere in March.
Over the past 12 months, the best performing capital city has continued to be Sydney, and the worst, perhaps not surprisingly given its weak jobs market and low population growth, Adelaide.
<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-j43vYsDmeWo/Uzjzxz9ceQI/AAAAAAAAMN4/3tun4W9-5oA/s1600/RPD111.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-j43vYsDmeWo/Uzjzxz9ceQI/AAAAAAAAMN4/3tun4W9-5oA/s1600/RPD111.jpg" width="460" height="181"></a>
Philosophy 
Like most people, my investment philosophy has changed a bit over time, but the basic principles remain the same.
About a decade and a half ago, Robert Kiyosaki wrote a book, Rich Dad Poor Dad, which showed a diagram something like the one below which demonstrates the difference between the typical financial profile of a salary earner (lots of expenses, lots of liabilities) and that of an investor (fewer expenses and lots of income-producing assets).
<blockquote>
My basic philosophy is to think of investment as being like a snowball, compounding and growing its income and capital appreciation year after year, for as long as I live.
</blockquote>
Spending less than you earn and investing the difference was a real "aha!" or "light bulb" moment for millions of people around the globe. Kiyosaki sold 26 million copies of that book alone and went on to build a substantial business empire from this one very simple core idea.
<div><img src="https://www.richdad.com/MediaLibrary/RichDad/images/blogs/rdpd-wealthy-vs-middleclass-chart.jpg" width="400" height="303"></div>
Concept: Robert Kiyosaki
Kiyosaki's point was that investors should try to avoid getting into bad debts (credit cards, car loans, school loans etc) and instead load up the asset column with your business, real estate and stocks.
My one simple big idea
Like many people I've experimented with a few different approaches, including trading or buying speculative stocks. These days I have stripped back my investment philosophy to keep it as simple as humanly possible. My one simple ideas as it relates to my investment philosophy is this: 
I want every single dollar I invest to still be going out to work for me if I live to be 110 years old. 
That's my basic philosophy, to think of investment as being like a snowball, compounding and growing its income and capital appreciation year after year, for as long as I live.
What to invest in? 
So what assets to invest in to achieve that goal? 
You can spend a lot of time analysing companies and still get it wrong. The simplest method for most average investors might be to pick out some diversified Listed Investment Companies (LICs) which have a proven track record of increasing their profits and dividends for decade after decade after decade.
I don't recommend individual stocks for others to invest in. You have to pick companies which suit your own risk profile. But this is the kind of chart that I look for:
<div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-iZUT2PTDq2g/Uznpgh8Z4HI/AAAAAAAAMOI/AX9f8KgSmjc/s1600/MLT.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-iZUT2PTDq2g/Uznpgh8Z4HI/AAAAAAAAMOI/AX9f8KgSmjc/s1600/MLT.jpg" width="400" height="173"></a></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">Source: MLT Annual Report 2013</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-7UCvvjPl6TU/Uzn3J6MCj2I/AAAAAAAAMPA/lWOyNZnEWAY/s1600/WHF.jpg"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-7UCvvjPl6TU/Uzn3J6MCj2I/AAAAAAAAMPA/lWOyNZnEWAY/s1600/WHF.jpg" width="400" height="236"></a></div>
Source: WHF Annual Report 2013
If a company can achieve this type of result with its bottom line profits with its and franked dividend payments then the share price will likely take care of itself over time.  Through investing in these types of diversified companies your dollars can go to work for you from now until... forever.
You don't even need to know what the wires do, although of course, you can lift the cover plate and see what the inner workings are up to if you so desire.
<div class="separator"><a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-m6Ug96wmaaE/UznqPMdYIPI/AAAAAAAAMOQ/Yg_SYJCw978/s1600/BKI.jpg"><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-m6Ug96wmaaE/UznqPMdYIPI/AAAAAAAAMOQ/Yg_SYJCw978/s1600/BKI.jpg" width="400" height="317"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Source: BKI Annual Report 2013</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-a8UdJKNChMo/Uzn2XPoACII/AAAAAAAAMO4/eTCnft7XLm0/s1600/ARGO.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-a8UdJKNChMo/Uzn2XPoACII/AAAAAAAAMO4/eTCnft7XLm0/s1600/ARGO.jpg" width="400" height="371"></a></div>
Source: ARG Annual Report 2013
Companies may in theory be perpetual but, surprisingly, many of them come and go. How much more re-assuring it is to be invested in a company which holds 100-120 top companies and trusts? Even if one of the companies held experiences a huge corporate fraud or failure, the investor should not be hurt too much. I covered in more detail why I like LICs <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/2013/04/5-reasons-to-consider-lic" target="_blank">here</a>.
Real estate 
I apply very similar principles in property investment. I want to invest in cities which will still be thriving if I live to be 110 years old. That means that for the core of my portfolio, I tend to steer away from small regional cities or one-industry towns. 
It's no coincidence that my company has offices in London and Sydney, by the way, for those are two cities with tremendously strong fundamentals for the long-term.
Knight Frank reported yesterday that London prices are up by 68% in the last five years since March 2009. How on earth, and why on earth, is that happening? 
It's partly because of desperately inadequate construction. Parts of the market are desperately undersupplied and the activity in the market resembles a feeding frenzy at the moment.
It's also because in recent times, there has been a tremendous shift of funds towards residential real estate as a store of wealth, but only in certain key global cities. It's fairly obvious why prices have been growing when you consider this chart.
<div><img src="https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/2014/03/London%20market_0.jpg" width="400" height="322"></div>
<div> </div>
<div>If you know your history, you'll know that London has had something of a rollercoaster ride as a city.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gLopaBB9AhA/UzntvXvbM7I/AAAAAAAAMOc/wCMOLBe16KE/s1600/LONPOP.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gLopaBB9AhA/UzntvXvbM7I/AAAAAAAAMOc/wCMOLBe16KE/s1600/LONPOP.jpg" width="460" height="275"></a></div>
Centuries ago we had wars, plagues and even a Great Fire, and from the Second World War through to 1991 the city population declined for five consecutive decades as the city de-industrialised and went through a process of slum clearance and suburbanisation. 
Since 1991, London has been busy establishing itself as a major financial centre, and international migration combined with an economic boom has seen the population explode from 6.4 million to above 8.1 million. London's population has been increasing at twice the speed of that of the rest of the UK and is expected to surpass 9 million by the end of this decade.
Importantly, the population in inner London has often been expanding at the same percentage rate as that of the Greater City of London, despite the limited availability of land. I don't worry too much what the talking heads in the press consider likely to happen this year or next. I just know that over the decades, London property will continue to represent an absolute no-brainer.
Sydney
As a newer city, Sydney has not been through such a rollercoaster ride: the population trend is simply up, up, up and away.
The below is a dated population projection from the Bureau of Statistics. More recent data suggests that the estimates have been under-cooked and that Sydney's population could rise much more rapidly still than this (click chart) to <a href="https://www.afr.com/f/free/national/why_australia_needs_to_get_real_7hEC3IX0RZWitSkELPcJEI" target="_blank">around 8 million by 2050</a>, instead following the trajectory of the red line (click chart). 
<div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-bS0zccQITYI/Uzn49dmzSuI/AAAAAAAAMPM/WMo25KmGhDU/s1600/POPSYD.jpg"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-bS0zccQITYI/Uzn49dmzSuI/AAAAAAAAMPM/WMo25KmGhDU/s1600/POPSYD.jpg" width="460" height="245"></a></div>
So much energy is diverted towards what might happen to prices in the next 12 months, but as an investor, inactivity can actually be your greatest friend. 
As for the flow of international funds, well let's be blunt: this will have very little (if any impact) on regional centres. The impact will be felt most keenly in inner Sydney where land is scarce, and inner Melbourne.
Through owning properties in suburbs where the supply is fixed you can be assured that your dollars you invested in investment properties will still be out there working for you for decades and decades to come. And more comforting still, the nature of compound growth means that they gains just get better and better over time. 
You can visit <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) or Pete's <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blog</a>.
His new book '<a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' is out now.
</body></html>

Pete Wargent

Editor's Picks

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News

Pete Wargent

Editor's Picks

Receive the latest news stories to your inbox

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News