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Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.

But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.

Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]

The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.

It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]

Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.

Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.

Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]

Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.

"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.

A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.

It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.

At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.

Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]

Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.

"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.

The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.

More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]

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Joel Robinson

Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

A collection of just 25 large-format apartments and penthouses overlooking Goodwin Park is entering the Coolangatta market, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marea-residences-coolangatta-27-27a-dixon-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Maréa Residences</a> combining a low-density, residential-only approach with uninterrupted park and Pacific Ocean outlooks.

Located at 27 Dixon Street, Maréa comprises three and four-bedroom residences alongside a limited number of dual-level penthouses, with the project positioned between Goodwin Park and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/coolangatta-qld-4225">Coolangatta</a>’s coastal precinct.

Construction has commenced, with completion currently estimated for late 2027. Three-bedroom residences are priced from $1.8 million.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374005]

The project has been designed around its northern outlook across the park, with the building’s architecture, landscaping and material palette intended to establish a connection with the neighbouring green space. The residences have been configured to maximise natural light and views across Goodwin Park towards the ocean.

Inside, the material palette incorporates timber, stone and brushed brass, complemented by curved detailing and ambient lighting. Kitchens and bathrooms carry the same natural material approach, while residences also include basement parking, storage and lift access.

Maréa’s penthouses are arranged over two levels and include private pools, adding another layer to the project’s focus on larger-format apartment living. Across the development, residences are configured with three or four bedrooms rather than the broader mix of smaller apartment types commonly found in larger projects.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374010]

Resident amenity is concentrated at rooftop level, where landscaped entertaining terraces and pools take advantage of elevated views across Coolangatta and the Pacific Ocean.

The project has so far been particularly well received by local owner-occupiers and downsizers, according to Urban Activation Property Sales and Marketing Director Matt George, with the residential-only format, construction quality and northern park outlook among the features resonating with purchasers.

“The uninterrupted northern aspect overlooking Goodwin Park has been a key point of difference, with buyers attracted to the sense of serenity and open space the park provides, while still enjoying easy access to the ocean and being within walking distance of the lifestyle and amenities Coolangatta has to offer,” George said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374002]

“The combination of high-quality construction, a residential-only building, park outlook and proximity to the beach has resonated strongly with the local downsizer market.”

The Dixon Street address is within walking distance of Coolangatta Beach and the broader southern Gold Coast coastline, including the surf breaks at Snapper Rocks and Kirra. Coolangatta’s cafés, restaurants and retail are nearby, while Gold Coast Airport is also within close proximity.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150999]

Maréa Residences brings parkside apartments to Coolangatta

Melbourne developer PDG has secured Victorian Government approval for its $1.5 billion Southbank development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-1-queens-bridge-street-southbank-vic-3006">The One</a>, clearing the way for the long-dormant riverfront site opposite Crown to finally be developed.

The Minister for Planning has approved the project at 1-29 Queens Bridge Street, with the Department of Transport and Planning issuing the planning permit following its assessment.

The approval will allow PDG to develop the prominent 5,059 sqm site with a major mixed-use tower comprising premium apartments, including branded residences, a luxury hotel and boutique office space.

PDG acquired the site in late 2024, with its position directly opposite Crown's main entrance and near Melbourne's Arts Precinct making it one of Southbank's most significant remaining development opportunities.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3933013e-6332-4386-b9be-089df05caf17" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sITIgBqDL0N3VNSMwWEmF5UA.uvcsRyu" />

Designed by COX in collaboration with ODO and PDG, the tower's architecture draws on the movement of the Yarra River, with six vertical pleats running the height of the sculpted facade.

The project will also see the heritage-listed Queens Bridge Hotel restored and incorporated into the development&nbsp;with new hospitality and public uses, including a rooftop venue.

A significant component of The One will be its residential amenity.

More than 5,000 sqm of resident facilities will be delivered across a single level, making it one of the largest consolidated residential amenity offerings proposed in an Australian apartment development.

The planning approval also incorporates a major upgrade of Queensbridge Square, which PDG will deliver in partnership with the City of Melbourne.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73167fcd-1031-4b6f-a408-a064cfe45ed1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Pf1AEWxw6SNmBqR0zQW5lyEze.MtxgFp" />

The existing square will be revitalised as a new civic and pedestrian space along the Yarra River, strengthening the connection between the project, Southbank and the riverfront.

PDG Founder and Managing Director Vince Giuliano said the approval represented a major milestone for a site which has remained largely underutilised for more than 15 years.

“This is the most significant Planning Permit approval Melbourne has seen in recent years,” Giuliano said.

“For more than 15 years, this site has remained underutilised. This approval enables us to deliver a project that will contribute meaningfully to the revitalisation of Southbank, restore and reactivate an important heritage building, and create a new civic and hospitality destination for Melbourne.”

The latest approval follows an earlier planning permit issued by the City of Melbourne covering demolition works across part of the site at 9-29 Queens Bridge Street. Those demolition and early works are already underway.

PDG has also started generating early interest in the residential component from owner-occupiers ahead of a planned public launch in early 2027.

PDG secures approval for $1.5bn Southbank apartment development, The One

Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.

The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.

That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.

The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.

A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.

&nbsp;

Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.

Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.

While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;

Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.

First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

IN BRIEF

<ul>
	<li>
	Just three double-storey Sky Homes sit at the top of The Waterline, each with its own private marina berth and rooftop terrace.
	</li>
	<li>
	Construction on The Waterline is complete, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.
	</li>
	<li>
	Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and are priced from $3.65 million.
	</li>
</ul>

<hr />
Lewis Land has opened the first completed sky home for inspection at Harbour Shores, giving buyers their first opportunity to step inside one of just three double-storey residences crowning The Waterline.

Each sky home comes with its own private marina berth, rooftop terrace and Broadwater views, combining the scale of a larger home with direct access to the boating lifestyle that underpins the wider <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366708]

Lewis Land Head of Development Michael Long said the inclusion of a berth with every Sky Home had become increasingly valuable as marina access across the Gold Coast tightened.

“Marina berths are becoming increasingly difficult to secure across the Gold Coast, so including one with every Sky Home makes this a genuinely rare offering,” Long said.

“The private 70-berth marina will accommodate boats up to 12 metres in length and is positioned just 2.5 kilometres from the Broadwater, placing the open ocean only 15 minutes away.

“Being able to step out of your home onto your boat is a rare luxury, and it’s something residents here can look forward to when it opens later this year.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366709]

The display opening comes as construction completes on The Waterline, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.

The three Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and each feature three bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive kitchens with butler's pantries and large balconies taking in the Broadwater outlook.

Each residence also has three secure basement car spaces and additional storage.

“This is the first opportunity the Gold Coast has had to step into Harbour Shores and see, touch and feel what we’re bringing to life here,” Long said.

“There are only three Sky Homes within The Waterline, ranging in size from 282sqm to 367sqm, with each residence featuring three large bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive custom-built kitchens with butler’s pantry, and large balconies capturing Broadwater views.”

<img alt="Harbour Shores" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bab65e10-4fab-45e1-92d8-fc56e2ab98ff" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-25%20at%202.00.16%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=XT8q76LsPkw3cYTsvN3JfFDaPLud90PN" />

Residents of The Waterline will have access to a private pool, along with Harbour Shores' wider collection of amenity including a lagoon pool, social clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga facilities and sauna.

Lewis Land partnered with Studio Collective to furnish the completed display, with the interiors designed to demonstrate how the residences could function as permanent homes rather than simply as show apartments.

Studio Collective Director Melissa Park said the surrounding waterways informed the interiors, but in a more restrained way than a traditional coastal scheme.

“We drew inspiration from the canals and coastal surrounds, but our approach was to interpret that subtly through layered materials and a grounded palette of earthy tones, rather than literal coastal references,” Park said.

“We introduced hero moments of green and teal to reference the surrounding waterways, while mirrored elements help reflect natural light.

“The result is a residence that feels elevated yet comfortable, somewhere buyers can genuinely imagine themselves living, entertaining and unwinding.”

Sky Homes are priced from $3.65 million.

Lewis Land is also offering private marina berths with The Residences, its limited collection of three and four-bedroom villas positioned directly along the Harbour Shores waterfront boardwalk.

Three-bedroom villas are priced from $2.99 million, while four-bedroom residences start from $3.19 million.

Harbour Shores is being marketed by Colliers International.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]

Lewis Land opens sky home display as The Waterline completes at Harbour Shores

Economy

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Property investors who stake their income on the performance of mining towns need to be aware of a variety of factors that might impact their properties, from new mines to the international resource markets. 
Those investing in coal mining towns will no doubt be interested to know that the price of thermal coal has dropped 51% since July 2011, according to Australian Ethical Investment - and the company's international equities trust portfolio manager Nathan Lim thinks the trend is likely to continue. 
According to Lim, the reasons coal is struggling are largely "secular", not cyclical. 
There are nine factors Lim thinks are driving the resource's slowdown:
<ol>
<li>
"Global production isn't coming off-line fast enough" Lim claims that in Australia, around "40% of all seaborne coal is unprofitable". In order to fulfill prior shipping commitments, producers are forced to sell the resource at a loss. However, Lim believes the problem will self-correct, once demand picks up or producers run out of money. 
</li>
<li>
Japan's consumption is up... but it won't continue With many of its nuclear power plants out of action, Japan has increased its consumption of coal, pushing up prices, Lim explains. But the push is only temporary, with nuclear power plants to restart and an increase in the use of solar energy. 
</li>
<li> "Electricity consumption in the developed world has either stopped growing or is in outright decline" According to Lim, the weakened position of the global economy has cut power consumption, but he also believes increased energy efficiency and "behavioural changes" are behind the decrease in demand. 
</li>
<li>
"Domestic coal is not so welcome at home anymore" Lim believes that the United States' increase in coal exports over the past decade is the result of more stringent legislative requirements for power plants, which lead some owners to close their facilities. He predicts another set of closures after new US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)rules on mercury come into play in March 2015, degrading demand further. "This coal is finding its way into the international coal markets further expanding the gap between supply and demand," explains Lim. 
</li>
<li>
New carbon emission legislation for existing power stations The switch to natural gas from coal is a big feature in new EPA legislation targeting carbon emissions from power stations. Given the low price of natural gas, Lim predicts the legislation will lead to more coal-fired power plant closures, and effectively restrict new coal fired plants from being constructed. He believes even more coal will enter the international markets as a result.  </li>
<li>
EU greenhouse gas emission targets "For its next decadal goal, the EU has targeted a 40% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 levels by 2030," explains Lim. "Amongst the highest emitting fossil fuels, coal will continue to be friendless in Europe." 
</li>
<li>
"A more punitive price on carbon will make the EU’s goal more easily achievable" Lim predicts that although carbon prices have been "distorted by unintended policy decisions", eventually policy makers will find the "right" structure. "When this happens, we expect the cost of coal pollution will dramatically increase the cost of coal-fired electricity and allow other, low emission technologies to better compete," Lim claims. 
</li>
<li>
India's new Prime Minister appears to favour renewable energy According to Lim, India's new Prime Minister Narendra Modi is "very much pro-solar", with a history of supporting renewable energy. "Calling for solar power to bring electricity to 400 million people is ambitious without equal," notes Lim. "This goal tacitly recognises that India has failed to bring its people out of energy poverty using conventional methods." 
</li>
<li>
China plans to ban coal-fired power from Beijing by 2020 Though some claim that the move is a token one given China's total coal consumption, Lim suggests that China is continuing its practice of "experimentation" before it comes to a decision. "It is more instructive that China is taking such extraordinary steps to deal with air pollution that high emitters should heed the warnings coming from the government," states Lim. "Ordinary Chinese citizens are fed up with the pollution and coal is an obvious target for their frustrations. Given that China is also experimenting with carbon pricing, are the world’s biggest producers of solar power (and a close second or third in wind) and have made pollution abatement a priority, we might be seeing the beginnings of a major structural shift in China’s generation mix."</li>
</ol>
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jrichardson-uRX5hFdKfN

The nine reasons coal towns will continue to struggle: Australian Ethical Investment

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The major Australian banks have recently cut fixed mortgage rates below 5%. They have done so without any prompting from the Reserve Bank of Australia, which may actually start raising the policy rate within the next six months, especially if inflation continues to run around the top end of its 2-3% target range.
Why, then, did the Australian banks cut their mortgage rates?
One possible reason lies in an obscure old macroeconomic theory of “secular stagnation” that has been gaining credence recently throughout the financial industry worldwide.
Resurrecting an old theory
In a speech at the International Monetary Fund last November, Larry Summers, Harvard economist and former US Treasury Secretary, resurrected this old theory, originally developed by another Harvard economist, Alvin Hansen, in the late 1930s.
When a consumption-led recovery in the midst of the Great Depression started to falter, Alvin Hansen was inspired by the then nascent Keynesian idea that the economy as a whole could persistently suffer from inadequate demand in the absence of a massive policy intervention.
US population growth had slowed dramatically during the Great Depression and Hansen believed this was a “secular” (that is, long-term, non-policy) source of decline in private investment in new capital infrastructure. According to his very Keynesian theory, this weak investment brought consumption down with it and, like John Maynard Keynes, Hansen did not believe in the ability of wage and price adjustment to restore the economy to full employment in the face of inadequate demand. Instead, he believed that fiscal policy would have to take up the slack, which it did with the onset of World War II.
The baby boom after the war meant that the theory of secular stagnation was largely forgotten. But Larry Summers sees similar forces at work in recent times and he considers secular stagnation as a leading explanation for why the US housing bubble in the 2000s didn’t result in an overheated economy at the time.
One might question the idea that the US economy didn’t overheat prior to the global financial crisis. But real GDP growth and inflation were actually quite moderate by historical standards throughout the 2000s. Summers speculates that this was because economic growth would have been much slower in the absence of a bubble due to secular stagnation.
Global savings glut and the chase for yield
This story is somewhat related to former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s “global savings glut” hypothesis about why interest rates remained so low throughout the 2000s. In Bernanke’s view, there were too many savers, especially from Asia, chasing too few high-return and often risky investments. This “chase for yield” put downward pressure on interest rates and fuelled the US housing bubble.
So what is the prediction of secular stagnation for the future and why might it explain the Australian banks’ recent cuts in mortgage rates?
The basic prediction of the theory is that economies throughout the world will continue to stumble along with anaemic growth and no inflationary pressures for the foreseeable future. At best, there will be more moderate growth from time to time, but it will occur due to periodic financial bubbles triggered by a chase for yield and low interest rates. Faced with slow economic growth and low inflation, central banks will contribute to these bubbles by lowering their policy rates or making large-scale asset purchases (aka “quantitative easing”) when rates hit the zero lower bound.
In cutting their mortgage rates, the Australian banks appear to have bought into the secular stagnation theory and are clearly betting on continued downward pressure on interest rates driven by a global chase for yield.
Is there hope for a less stagnant future?
Can anything to be done about secular stagnation or, perhaps, is its relevance to the current economic situation overstated?
Similar to Alvin Hansen in the 1930s, Larry Summers argues that public investment in infrastructure provides the best way to address inadequate demand. He notes that current low interest rates also mean that the cost of financing public infrastructure investment is unusually low.
Would this fiscal policy approach work? Japan is an obvious place to look at in terms of what might happen in the face of demographic-led stagnation. And the results are not particularly promising. Japan has undertaken massive debt-financed infrastructure spending and this has not exactly produced a booming economy. Of course, unemployment has remained low and deflation, not inflation, has been the greater problem. So perhaps things would have been even worse in the absence of Japan’s massive fiscal interventions.
Meanwhile, it’s not really clear how relevant secular stagnation is for the rest of the world, including Australia. Indeed, in an odd way, the possibility of secular stagnation means that we should at least briefly celebrate when we see Australian inflation running at the top end of its target range.
This is not to say that the RBA should abandon or revise up its inflation target. But higher inflation is an indication that the secular stagnation hypothesis may be incorrect, while the RBA can always raise its policy rate to bring inflation down again in the future. Of course, the Australian banks currently betting on low interest rates won’t be quite as happy if this scenario were to play out.
James Morley is professor of economics and associate dean (research) at <a href="https://www.asb.unsw.edu.au/Pages/default.aspx" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">Australian School of Business</a>. He receives funding from the Australian Research Council.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>.
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jmorley-2PQc6nmtuL

Why did Australian banks cut their mortgage rates?

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<h1><img src="https://62e528761d0685343e1c-f3d1b99a743ffa4142d9d7f1978d9686.ssl.cf2.rackcdn.com/files/55198/width668/h3p45kff-1406675366.jpg" alt="" style="color: #333333; font-family: Tahoma, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; line-height: 1.3em;"></h1>
<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/29843/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
Charis Palmer is deputy business editor and Emil Jeyaratnam multimedia editor at <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a>.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a>.
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

Australia’s housing debt: The infographic that shows why we should be cautious

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It may be a wide brown land, but 80% of the dollar value of all goods and services in Australia is generated on just 0.2% of the nation’s land mass according to a study released this week.
While it is <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/growth/economy/42737-did-you-know-you-spend-11-000-each-year-while-at-work?utm_source=SmartCompany&amp;utm_campaign=7fc71d8377-Friday_9_July_201409_07_2014&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_234118efee-7fc71d8377-93033274">notoriously expensive to work in the CBD</a>, the study by the Grattan Institute shows nearly all of the dollar value of Australia’s goods and services is coming out of our central business districts.
The <a href="https://grattan.edu.au/static/files/assets/d9ea2b85/814-mapping-australia-economy.pdf">study</a> shows workers in Perth’s relatively small CBD were the most economically productive employees in the country, generating the highest value of economic activity per working hour in 2011-12, at $124 per hour.
Sydney workers produced $100 in value for every hour they worked there, while workers in the Melbourne CBD (including Docklands and Southbank) produced $87 per hour.
Grattan Institute cities researcher Paul Donegan told SmartCompany Perth’s productivity is tied to the mining boom, with one in three employees of mining companies located within the Perth CBD.
“Jobs such as engineers and software programmers, those jobs play a very important role in generating productivity, just as important as fly in fly out workers,” says Donegan.
If workers employed in the mining industry are excluded form Perth’s figures, the area’s labour productivity drops to below $90 per hour.
The report shows the combined CBDs of Sydney and Melbourne alone – 7.1 square kilometres – generate nearly 10% of Australia’s economic activity, three times that produced by the agricultural sector.
Donegan says there are two major reasons why the CBD produces the greatest wealth – because it has the best access to skilled workers and because it places businesses close to other businesses.
“As the workforce becomes more skilled and specialised, you want to have best choice of possible employees,” says Donegan. He says being in an area well-connected to public transport is particularly important to make it as easy as possible for the best talent to access a company.
“Being close to other businesses makes it easier for businesses to come up with new ideas, get deals done and meet people face to face,” says Donegan.
He says the Australian economy has shifted its reliance from regional agricultural areas, to manufacturing areas dispersed across the country, and now to highly digitised industries found in CBDs. Industries such as professional and financial services now makes up a large percentage of Australia’s wealth generation.
Donegan says the major challenge this concentration will create moving forward is the issue of population growth away from city centres.
“Employment growth is highest in the centre of the city, meanwhile population growth is the highest further away from the city,” he says.  
“These are areas not well serviced by public transport and are a long way from where employment growth is happening.  People in those areas, to some extent, are cut off form opportunities created by concentrated economic growth.”
Donegan says this will in turn harm the economy if business can’t get the best access to the deepest pools of skilled employees.
“If people can’t access those potential employers, that is bad for business because they won’t find the best fit.”
This article first appeared on <a href="https://www.SmartCompany.com.au" target="_blank">SmartCompany</a>.
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krobb-aCrRNnPq6D

Australia’s top money-making hotspots revealed

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Victorian Planning Minister Matthew Guy has approved the rezoning of land outside Mildura, paving the way for a $174 million biomass power plant.
However, it might not mean that property prices will skyrocket in the town, which sits a six hour drive north-west of Melbourne.
Providing a rezoning approval for the multi-million dollar project, it was noted that land at <a href="/news">Carwarp</a> was given approval for the 35-megawatt power station with 18-kilometre electricity transmission line and substation.
“Transforming plant waste into a new source of power has numerous benefits for the region and our environment. Residents are likely to see lower power bills, farmers will have a new income stream and the local economy will be bolstered by new industry and jobs,” Guy said.
  “With an increasing focus on renewable energy, long-term planning for the region has identified this opportunity to expand on traditional regional industries to drive jobs and economic growth.
“As envisaged in the Loddon Mallee North Regional Growth Plan, the region is quickly becoming a centre for investment in sustainable energy production, such as solar and biofuels. This next stage will confirm the region’s reputation as a clean energy centre.”
The plant will create 26 new full time jobs and generate enough electricity to power 20,000 homes, according to Mildura MLA Peter Crisp.
Yet despite this, and a $3 million Regional Growth Fund government grant, it won’t necessarily see prices rise.
Hotspotting’s Terry Ryder told Property Observer that Mildura is classified as a “long shot”.
“Mildura often appears to be on the verge of a boom, but never quite gets there,” he explained.
“The Biomass proposal is just the latest in a long line of alternative energy projects proposed for the Mildura area. A number of solar power stations have been planned. But, like so many alternative power developments planned around Australia, they never seem to happen.”
He also noted that there’s more money being poured in, with a major rail upgrade, but if it goes ahead according to plan then investors shouldn’t expect to see it completed until 2018.
“Mildura has appeal because of its cheap prices and good rental yields, but the missing factor is capital growth. It needs some of these major proposals to happen to push the property market into a growth phase.”
At present, <a href="/news">Mildura's median house price sits at $230,000</a>, according to RP Data, offering a median weekly advertised rent of $265.
In 2012, along with Shepparton, it <a href="/expert-insights/investing/mildura-and-shepparton-most-affordable-regional-areas-in-australia-demographia">topped Demographia's list of Victoria's most affordable regional areas</a>.
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A $174 million economic boost for Mildura, but property boom further off

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In recent weeks, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has revealed that the number of loans taken out for the purposes of construction has increased to the highest level in around four and a half years.
If we smooth the numbers out on a rolling annual basis, we can see that while an upturn is entrenched, the uptrend still remains relatively shallow at this stage, and there is much more lifting to be done here:
<img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-tqj0YZO7Kec/U8oJqJk0eXI/AAAAAAAAOmc/BmOyCPYotp0/s1600/constr1.jpg">
With dwelling prices having risen over time the total value of construction loans on a rolling annual basis is getting set to break new record highs:
<img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-QBdi5yNpAsg/U8oJqNmc-fI/AAAAAAAAOmY/NcXlcmhEXo4/s1600/consrt2.jpg">
Importance of this?
It's worth noting here why this is considered to be important.
Dwelling construction been extensively researched by the ABS in years gone by, and the data uncovered showed the construction industry to have a very strong multiplier effect on the economy.
One of the more depressing things about visiting Britain over the past six or seven years - apart from the ongoing under-performance of the national sporting teams, that is - has been the near total lack of cranes on the horizon. 
That's rarely a sign of a thriving economy.
Things have been picking up strongly for UK construction of late, but it's been a moribund period indeed for the construction industry.
<a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/Ausstats/abs@.nsf/94713ad445ff1425ca25682000192af2/ed6220072793785eca256b360003228f!OpenDocument" target="_blank">Here's the ABS</a> on the effect of construction on the multipliers on the wider economy in terms of output and employment in Australia:
"For every $1 million spent on construction output (houses, non-residential buildings, etc.) in 1996-97, a possible $2.9 million in output would be generated in the economy as a whole, giving rise to nine jobs in the construction industry (the initial employment effect), and 37 jobs in the economy as a whole from all effects.
"These flow-on effects are made up as follows. The initial effect of the additional construction is $1 million. The first round effect for this additional construction would be the increased value of activity of around $0.5 million in those businesses manufacturing the materials needed for the additional construction, such as concrete and steel frames.
"The businesses supplying and servicing the concrete and steel frame businesses, such as aggregate quarrying and raw steel production, experience an increased demand for their products and services. This industrial support effect is estimated to be an additional $0.4 million.
"As activity has increased in the construction industry, as well as in the suppliers to that industry and the suppliers to the suppliers, there is an increase in wages and salaries to employees in this chain. The spending of these wages and salaries induces a further round of consumption effects in other areas of the economy totaling an additional $1 million."
Multiplier of three for construction
So, there you have it: construction in Australia has a multiplier effect of close to three. That is, for every $1 million invested, an additional $3 million is generated in the economy as a whole. 
Now let's put this in its wider context.
Below is what has happened in Aussie construction over the long run. Note the gargantuan boom in engineering construction driven by the resources building boom.
This sector is set to tail off quite nastily over the coming few years, although it's not yet entirely clear how quickly that will happen. Note how construction has become overwhelming dominated by mining and resources:
<img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-4H062eDXc9U/U8oKjO5YRII/AAAAAAAAOms/774bYa3YBso/s1600/cons3.jpg">
In terms of other building work done, the split between residential and non-residential building has tracked as follows:
<img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gtWrJsICYfs/U8oKvGB0FQI/AAAAAAAAOm0/-JrUJyQa-WU/s1600/CONS4.jpg">
We don't need to get bogged down too much in the headline numbers here, other than to note that if mining capital expenditure falls by 20% in the 2015 financial year (which <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Latestproducts/5625.0Main%20Features3March%202014?opendocument&amp;tabname=Summary&amp;prodno=5625.0&amp;issue=March%202014&amp;num=&amp;view=" target="_blank">forecasts suggest</a> may well eventuate), and does something similar again in the following financial year too, this leaves a monster hole in the Australian economy to somehow be filled.
Only one shining light exists in the state economies at the moment for infrastructure and dwelling construction, that being New South Wales, which is busily tackling its infrastructure and dwelling deficit:
<img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-GSjRk0aOP2A/U8oPWO50R4I/AAAAAAAAOnI/YQx8kQ8oq0o/s1600/NSW+cwd.jpg">
Article continues on the next page. Please click below. 
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States which need to rebalance?
The implication of the mining and resources construction boom detailed on the previous page is that the Aussie economy has gotten itself quite dramatically out of balance.
In the March 2014 quarter the total value of engineering construction seasonally adjusted at around $31,850 million was way, way bigger than the total value of building at closer to $21,750 million.
This means that some states are going to face very significant challenges when the mining construction drops away.
The quarterly engineering construction figures by state clarify which which states - Queensland and Western Australia in particular - are going to face an uphill struggle in the coming years.
Those two states have benefited greatly from the boom, so they face more of a challenge from the forthcoming downturn:
<img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-o2yTIzIBqpE/U8ouGvfyJNI/AAAAAAAAOnc/-GshYS_mTcY/s1600/BWDa.jpg" style="line-height: 1.3em;">
This is especially so because when you look at the uplift in building work done in this cycle only New South Wales to date has shown any real sign of thriving. These figures are not seasonally adjusted so the next seasonal uplift will be key, but it's clear that Western Australia has hit a plateau, Victoria's house building boom was last decade's news and something is not working as it should be in Queensland in terms of building work. South Australia and the minnow states are floundering, and in any case they aren't going to add much value in chain volume measures terms:
<img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-maZf5-kXmds/U8ouGnGYKhI/AAAAAAAAOnY/q4Z8QSzDQ-w/s1600/BWD1.jpg">
This something to be wary of when commentators start talking up the Brisbane property market with the usual hyperbole this year, stating that it is "due for a boom".
Look, maybe, yes, and the general consensus is that Brisbane offers relatively good bang for the buck and the outlook for the property markets over the the next few years appears bright. But equally it always pays to be careful of the shallow property market commentary which takes little (or more typically zero) account of what is actually happening in relation to these huge structural shifts in the Aussie economy. Yes, there is an argument for dwelling prices to rise strongly in response to low interest rates, but as a general rule people don't buy property when they don't have jobs, and there is a major rebalancing challenge lying right ahead in the Aussie economy, especially in the mining states. You'd need rocks in your head to call a sustainable property boom while taking no account whatsoever of what the wider economy and labour markets are up to. It's one to watch carefully. Rates to fall lower still 
The charts detailed above show quite clearly that the hole left by mining construction can't readily be filled only by building more houses and a moderate level of infrastructure.
Net exports need to increase, which they indeed have been doing, albeit in the face of lower commodity prices. Household consumption needs to increase, which it was doing quite nicely, but then appears to have stalled again post-budget.
With the economy looking likely to tread water in Q2 (the unpredictable effect of inventories left aside), futures markets are quickly getting around to realising that the next move in interest rates must be down. To me another rate cut is looking more and more likely by the week. Pencil in a likely interest rate cut before Xmas, for my money.
You can visit <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) or Pete's <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blog</a>.
His latest book is '<a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' .
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Why residential construction is so important to the Australian economy

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A textile manufacturing company that has been operating in the Victorian regional city of Wangaratta for more than sixty years has collapsed into liquidation due to the offshoring of government contracts and an increasingly competitive market.
Bruck Textile Technologies <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/growth/42794-popular-cake-business-with-reality-tv-show-collapses-for-a-second-time" target="_blank">went into liquidation</a> on 11 July, with Barry Taylor and Andrew Needham from HLB Mann Judd appointed as liquidators.
Speaking to SmartCompany, Taylor said in prior years the manufacturer had a turnover of around $56 million.
“More recently to June 2013 it had dropped to about $38 million,” he said.
Taylor said creditors are owed around $7-8 million, with employees’ entitlements estimated to be worth an additional $4 million.
In recent days the textile manufacturer has been <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/victoria/wangaratta-textile-maker-shreds-company-sheds-worker-entitlements-20140713-zt65q" target="_blank">accused of deliberately entering into a questionable business arrangement</a> with another company, Australian Textile Mills, to avoid paying 60 redundant workers their entitlements – including annual leave, long service leave and redundancy pay entitlements.
This has caused Federal Employment Minister Eric Abetz to refer the matter to ASIC, and Taylor said as joint liquidator he is instructing solicitors to review the transaction.
“ASIC have been in touch with us and we are assisting them with their enquiries,” he said.
In a statement, Australian Textile Mills chief executive Geoff Parker told SmartCompany Bruck Textile Technologies was a company losing money despite its best efforts.
“With the demise of the local automotive industry and the offshoring of key government contracts, it was not a sustainable business and was incurring ongoing, significant losses,” said Parker.
“Under this strain, in the last six months alone, significant funds were invested by the shareholder to fund day to day activities, which was simply not sustainable,” he said.
Parker said the manufacturer’s board took professional financial and legal advice and decided it either had to liquidate the company – which would have affected more than 200 jobs – or sell the business to Australian Textile Mills in order to retain two-thirds of its staff.
Parker said all creditors will be paid and Australian Textile Mills will take on liabilities of approximately $20 million.
“The Directors of Australian Textile Mills are confident that they have made the correct decision,” said Parker.
“The only other option would have been far more devastating to the local Wangaratta community, creditors and employees.”
Bruck Textile Technologies has a long history in northeast Victoria and Cathy McGowan, the local federal MP, told SmartCompany there has been a huge amount of support shown for the workers both in Parliament and Wangaratta itself.
“The footwear clothing and textile industry is a very tough industry and it’s extraordinarily competitive,” says McGowan.
“This is a wake-up call for this sector in rural and regional areas.”
McGowan says it’s crucial for government to work with business in order to create an environment where manufacturing can reach its long-term potential.
“When businesses get into trouble they have to seek advice early,” says McGowan.
“There is absolutely no point in waiting until the death knoll. In a much bigger context, we need to look at how we can plan for the future of manufacturing.”
This article first appeared on <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/" target="_blank">SmartCompany</a>.
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60-year-old Wangaratta manufacturing giant collapses

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GUEST OBSERVATION
At the current frequency of financial system inquiries (Campbell 1982, Wallis 1997, Murray 2014) there will not be another until 2030. That makes this week’s interim report from David Murray all the more critical.
By far the biggest problem with Australia’s financial system is the retirement savings system. Its fundamentally flawed structure is damaging the welfare of millions of Australian households.
There are three closely related problems. First, Australia’s retirement system forces households to make complex decisions that most households are not well placed to make.
Households in Australia have more freedom in managing their retirement savings than in any other developed country. That freedom would be terrific if it was matched by a world-leading level of financial literacy, but it is not. So the putative freedom is really more a burden to the majority of households who cannot navigate a complicated system without help from advisers.
The second problem is the poor quality of financial advice provided to households. The certification required to be employed as a financial adviser is an RG146. A person of average ability takes a few weeks to meet the RG146 requirements. That is, with a few weeks' training almost anyone can be employed in a financial advisory group and advise households on their lifetime savings.
The knowledge hurdle for financial adviser certification is not low because the requisite knowledge is small. It is low because of political pressure not to make it too high. In the 1980s and 1990s the life insurance sales sector morphed into the financial advice sector. Financial advice deals with much more complicated questions than insurance but the sector was able to resist regulation that would force its members to be properly trained.
Lobbyists have won
To this day the financial advisory firms have successfully resisted attempts to raise the bar on the expertise required by their employees to provide financial advice. Because most financial advisers are so poorly trained they cannot provide quality advice solutions to the problems of their clients. Most financial advisory firms simply have a set of cookie-cutter solutions for clients and the financial adviser’s job is to decide which cookie cutter goes with which client.
The third problem is by the far the most important. Most financial advisers have a substantial conflict of interest – the interests of their employer are at odds with the interests of their clients.
To make the point imagine the following situation. Your doctor is an employee of the Acme Drug Company. Acme has a suite of drugs covering many but not all medical conditions. For some conditions the Acme drug is the best, but for many conditions there are better drugs.
You pay for medical advice by the hour, but your doctor is paid by Acme. Your doctor can prescribe whichever drug she chooses, but her compensation depends on the volume of Acme drugs she prescribes, not other drugs.
Even though the medical profession has a well-deserved reputation for putting patients first, drug companies are not allowed to own medical practices. It is obvious that vertical integration in the medical system, where drug companies employed doctors, would corrupt the system. Sadly, this is exactly the situation we have in the retirement savings sector in Australia.
Conflicts remain
Over 80% of financial advisers work for firms that are either directly owned by, or very closely affiliated with, firms that provide a suite of financial management products. When a household goes to a financial advisory firm they will most likely be talking to a financial adviser who works for a firm that is vertically integrated with a provider of financial products. The financial adviser may or may not be free to select whichever financial products he chooses for the client’s solution, but he will only be compensated for recommending his own product provider (investment management firm).
This obvious conflict of interest is leading to dreadful outcomes in Australia. Households are being put into retail funds when they would be better off in industry funds. They are being put into very high-fee investment products when low-fee products would deliver the same expected returns before fees. They are being encouraged to borrow money to invest, to be underdiversified, to make the wrong decisions all around.
The financial system inquiry should address each of these three problems. First, it should recommend the federal government implement a long-term program of public education about fundamental ideas in retirement savings: save while you are young, don’t put all your eggs in one basket, and get a second opinion from an adviser who is certified as independent.
Second, it should insist on a proper level of training for all financial advisers.
Third, it should insist that financial advisers cannot be affiliated with financial product providers in any way – using the medical sector as its template.
The missing institution
There is another retirement savings problem that is of first order importance but unrelated to financial advice. Elderly households need a way of releasing the equity in their homes without the uncertainty that they will lose control of their residence.
The largest form of saving that most Australian households undertake over their lifetimes is that they buy homes that appreciate in value. The equity that Australian households have in residential real estate (value minus debt) is about A$2.8 trillion. That is nearly twice the A$1.6 trillion that Australian households have in retirement savings. Yet, there is no direct connection between these great pools of value.
There is a missing institution in the Australian financial system. What is needed is a financial organisation that will allow Australian households to borrow against their homes without any fear of losing control of the home and at an interest rate close to government treasury rates.
There are reverse mortgage products in the market. But those products are too expensive and poorly structured for most households. Releasing the equity in the homes of retirees is essential for solving the fiscal problems of the ageing of the Australian population.
Sam Wylie is principal fellow at <a href="https://mbs.edu/Pages/Default.aspx" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">Melbourne Business School</a><img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/28725/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="font-size: 12px; line-height: 1.3em;">.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a>.
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Three financial system flaws David Murray can’t ignore

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Governments and regulators need to keep their noses out of the future of the sugar industry, the newly elected NSW Liberal Democrats senator David Leyonhjelm claims.
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The sugar industry was notorious for attaching itself to the public teat, said David Leyonhjelm, who has worked in agribusiness for over three decades. 
His commentary came as a controversy erupted over the decision by the sugar processing company Wilmar to sell all its sugar direct to international customers rather than via the grower-owned marketing organisation, Queensland Sugar Limited (QSL), beginning in 2017. 
It has prompted another processor, Thai-owned MSF Sugar, to suggest it may follow suit. 
"True to form, there are numerous calls for regulators and governments to intervene," <a href="https://www.theland.com.au/blogs/agribuzz-with-david-leyonhjelm/agrarian-socialisms-sticky-end/2704390.aspx?storypage=0" target="_blank">David Leyonhjelm wrote in an editorial piece on The Land</a>. 
"A horde of politicians, including the Queensland Minister for Agriculture, is taking a close interest."
Wilmar is a Singapore-based agribusiness firm now among the top ten global raw sugar producers as well as the largest raw sugar producer and refiner.
"Fear of foreigners, particularly big multinationals, is never far from the surface in rural Australia. 
"In conjunction with the ever present assumption that everyone is out to rip farmers off, it is a formula for conspiracy theories and high anxiety.
"Such concerns are being stoked by QSL, which is probably fighting for its very existence, with its arguments stoking lingering agrarian socialist sentiments surrounding the fate of profits.
"In the end, this is a matter for the market to sort out.
"If Wilmar turns out to offer inferior service or prices to QSL, the market will deal with it by attracting new competitors.
"If growers think they need greater control over their marketing, they will either compel Wilmar to cooperate or find a way to avoid using it.
"If it turns out Wilmar is pointing the way of the future, QSL will be gone within five years and the industry will have finally restructured.
"Whatever the outcome, governments and regulators need to keep their noses out of it," he said.
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David Leyonhjelm says government should steer clear of sugar industry regulation

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A recent poll of 6,000 folk in WA said they could experience mortgage stress if interest rates are ratcheted back up, with housing stress defined as spending more than one third of disposable income on a mortgage.
Usually one might treat such surveys with caution, but a look at data for WA over recent years does seem to back the point up to a certain extent.
Retail turnover, for example, went on a blazing run for half a decade from early 2008, but perhaps consumers are now 'tapped out', with WA retail sales growth having tapered off since late 2012 on a seasonally adjusted basis:
<img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-WPy4jftppA0/U6lXKZYJyTI/AAAAAAAAODI/U_y1qb-Na1Y/s1600/WA.jpg">
Perth's property markets have been on a very strong  run over the past dozen years, and after a prolonged lull which broadly ran from 2009 to 2012, dwelling prices in many areas saw another 10% price uplift in 2013:
<img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-leRz10fqeBU/U6lkfevZ3XI/AAAAAAAAOEQ/DPoVp8eOeSk/s1600/11+year+prices.jpg">
Western Australia is now in transition mode as the mining construction boom passes its peak and the less labour intensive production phase of the mining boom kicks in.
It's important to note that in the short term this is likely to result in an uptick in unemployment and a slowing of the economy, which is one of the reasons why our 2014 forecasts were only for a far more moderate 0% to 3% growth, which essentially looks to be about on track at this juncture:
<img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-Yx1uPLpOLEo/U6lXRLmlWXI/AAAAAAAAODQ/mlPbLaVk2zo/s1600/Perth.jpg">
It's worth noting that some of the data reported to date needs putting in perspective.
While the state population growth of +71,300 in 2013 represented a significant slowdown from an romping annualised pace of 3.7% to 2.9% in Q4, this is still by far and away the strongest population growth rate of any state, even though the larger states recorded higher absolute population growth numbers:
<img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-vABYA1a-56M/U6laOIp5jJI/AAAAAAAAODk/L-M9YAl-LYU/s1600/Population.jpg">
Similarly, while the unemployment rate has ticked up from its pre-crisis lows, the unemployment rate is still only 5%, which is comfortably the lowest rate of any state, and a world apart from the southern states of Tasmania and South Australia where unemployment rates are flirting with a 7% level or higher:
<img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-qakZ_6v1Occ/U6lkD8xMonI/AAAAAAAAOEA/8baFNVl-0iY/s1600/UEby+state.jpg">
Jobs growth in WA has tapered off too of late, but the past decade has been an undeniably strong one in WA:
<img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-yEuaK3IhBnc/U6lkEGbqLoI/AAAAAAAAOEE/I5Xq5W7RvJg/s1600/WAjobs.jpg">
Mining boom over or changing?
When commentators saw that the "mining boom is over", what they are really referring to is that the mining construction boom of the past decade has now passed its peak and will start to decline, representing a drag on economic growth.
Refer to the national figures for engineering construction below:
<img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-ZQDm9Ohq790/U6n_cBNmdhI/AAAAAAAAOEw/hPGAhgm3XRo/s1600/CWD.jpg">
Mining boom over or changing?
When commentators saw that the "mining boom is over", what they are really referring to is that the mining construction boom of the past decade has now passed its peak and will start to decline, representing a drag on economic growth.
Refer to the natClearly, however, the whole point of constructing resources projects is to bring reserves to production, and in this sense, the mining commodity exports boom is only in its infancy, with exports to China in particular accelerating by the month.onal figures for engineering construction below:
<img src="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/images/16-17-balance-payments/16tr-bcomx-small.gif?accessed=2014-06-24-20-45-07" alt="Bulk Commodity Exports graph">
Take a look at what's happening in WA's Pilbara region for example.
Iron ore cargo shipped out by the Port Hedland Port Authority (PHPA) in the month of May totaled an extraordinary 36.05 Mt (million tonnes), a whopping 30% increase in volumes on the May 2013 figure, with some 85% of that cargo bound for China or Taiwan, and Korea and Japan mopping up the rest:
<img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-IngIN3j-joE/U6lhHYbvm1I/AAAAAAAAOD0/EXb798ksuYk/s1600/PHPA.jpg">
It was announced recently that on Saturday 7 June 2014 the PHPA shipped out an extraordinary 1,270,271 tonnes of iron ore on only a single tide, crunching the previous record set in April by a whopping 160,000 tonnes.
The last time I checked there are two tides in day, you can see how this could potentially comfortably equate to new monthly and annual throughput records in June when the data are reported in a week's time.
Summary
Western Australia will continue to be Australia's exporting powerhouse in the decade to come.
Clearly, however, there will be a very strong level of interest in how the Chinese economy continues to fare, since it is China's demand for iron ore in particular which is driving the boom (although Port Hedland, for example, also exports salt, copper concentrate and manganese ore to China and Taiwan).
The key data to watch for WA will be the presently low unemployment rate and where that peaks, and the all-important Labour Force figures which are released monthly by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
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