Longstanding Gold Coast and Canberra developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/morris-property-group">Morris Property Group</a> is continuing to roll on with its Glitter Strip apartment pipeline, seeking to return to Mermaid Beach with a new 68-apartment development.

Morris, founded by Barry Morris in 1978 and one of the Gold Coast’s most prolific apartment developers over the past two decades, has filed plans for a 12-storey mixed-use building at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/36-seabeach-avenue-mermaid-beach-qld-4218">34-36 Seabeach Avenue</a>, on the prized eastern side of the Gold Coast Highway.

The 1,227 sqm site occupies a prominent corner position at Seabeach Avenue and the Gold Coast Highway, opposite the Mermaid Plaza retail and office precinct and around 140 metres walking distance from the future Mermaid Beach South light rail station.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fraser-partners-0">Fraser &amp; Partners</a> has designed the project, which will comprise 68 apartments across a mix of 48 two-bedroom and 20 three-bedroom residences.

The building will rise 12 storeys, reaching a maximum height of 36 metres, with the apartments accounting for a total of 156 bedrooms. The development application also seeks approval for short-term accommodation across the 68 apartments, while two office tenancies are proposed at ground level.

The plans show 108 car spaces across the development, with parking accommodated at ground level and within a three-level basement accessed from Seabeach Avenue.

<img alt="Seabeach Avenue and the Gold Coast Highway" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c2175c99-12fd-4a3c-9be1-89bbf258a90d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-20%20at%202.59.41%E2%80%AFPM_0.png?VersionId=iNLzWcE6gaAE76rafhEXfHve.4g4Se0p" />

Resident amenity will be concentrated on level two, where Fraser &amp; Partners has designed a recreation deck with a swimming pool, 90 sqm pool terrace, outdoor barbecue area and gym.

The broader communal offering will also incorporate landscaped spaces, with the planning documents noting the amenity has been designed to provide areas for recreation, social interaction and outdoor living.

The proposal would continue the transformation of the Gold Coast Highway corridor through Mermaid Beach ahead of the arrival of the light rail.

The site is zoned Neighbourhood Centre and sits within the Mermaid Beach/Broadbeach Light Rail Corridor neighbourhood plan. While the prescribed building height is 24 metres, the site is identified within an Urban Neighbourhood context providing for a 50 per cent height uplift to 36 metres.

Planning documents describe the stretch of the Gold Coast Highway between Broadbeach and Nobby Beach as increasingly characterised by medium and high-rise development, with the proposed Morris tower joining projects including Ventura, The Alfred, Oceans and Otto.

<img alt="Seabeach Avenue and the Gold Coast Highway" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="911f193f-e381-4a55-be08-58be87fcf978" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-20%20at%202.59.48%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=oxVvLJaY.SOXEdXrIcogfyEXDfvCmmpM" />

The development would mark Morris Property Group's latest investment in Mermaid Beach, where it has already delivered two apartment projects.

Otto, at 1 Bondi Avenue on the western side of the Gold Coast Highway, comprises 70 apartments across nine storeys. The project was completed in 2019 and includes a residents' gym, recreation deck and swimming pool.

Morris also developed Oceans at 46 Ocean Street, a nine-storey, 70-apartment build-to-rent development completed in 2019. Oceans was the group's first build-to-rent project and incorporates commercial space at ground level.

The two existing Morris projects sit further north along the same Gold Coast Highway corridor as the proposed Seabeach Avenue development. Fraser &amp; Partners' planning analysis specifically identifies both Otto and Oceans among the established built-form precedents surrounding the site.

<img alt="Seabeach Avenue and the Gold Coast Highway" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="14925119-7b71-4812-8149-340317512c7c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-20%20at%203.00.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=aEJqYuw_nTCjcin17BSD0piB1EFotTlj" />

Mermaid Beach represents only part of Morris' considerable Gold Coast footprint.

The family-owned developer has been particularly active in neighbouring Broadbeach, delivering projects including Sierra Grand, Eclipse, Synergy, Qube, Koko, Opus and Malo, while its current pipeline includes Maison and the two-tower Crest development.

Further south, Morris has also developed a string of projects in Burleigh Heads, including Element, Boardwalk and Sandbar, while Essentia expanded its footprint north into Surfers Paradise.

The Seabeach Avenue application has been lodged by PMM Broadbeach Pty Ltd and seeks a development permit for a Material Change of Use for multiple dwellings, short-term accommodation and office uses. Zone Planning Group prepared the planning application, with Fraser &amp; Partners commissioned as architect.

The project comes as the developer continues to expand its Gold Coast pipeline while retaining a significant presence in Canberra. Morris now has more than $2.5 billion of development in its national pipeline and has delivered more than 7,000 homes during its near five-decade history

Joel Robinson

First look: Morris Property Group returns to Mermaid Beach with new Seabeach Avenue apartment development

<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/fortis&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1787272340808000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3hvFB2uWTRfEyEcpTSnnK9" href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/fortis" target="_blank">Fortis</a>&nbsp;is continuing its stronghold on Sydn​ey’s eastern suburbs apartment market, launching&nbsp;in September&nbsp;its latest boutique&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/double-bay-nsw-2028&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1787272340808000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0GI5S9-wNeiLUnM-d1uYkw" href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/double-bay-nsw-2028" target="_blank">Double Bay</a>&nbsp;development,&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/55-william-double-bay-55-william-street-double-bay-nsw-2028&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1787272340808000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2YNouJQcFjiTTgVHbgDLA-" href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/55-william-double-bay-55-william-street-double-bay-nsw-2028" target="_blank">55 William</a>.

55 William presents&nbsp;just eight north-facing&nbsp;two-bedroom, three-bedroom and full-floor&nbsp;residences to the market, priced from $4.5 million.

The upcoming launch comes just weeks after Fortis secured approval for the $80 million development, its third eastern suburbs approval in two months. Construction is already underway, with completion targeted for 2028.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152579 project_image_fid=376250]

55 William adds to a growing concentration of Fortis projects in and around Double Bay, a market the developer has become increasingly active in over recent years.

Fortis previously completed the nine-residence Marmont on New South Head Road, while it is currently developing a mixed-use residential and retail project at 12 Cross Street. Its wider Double Bay footprint also extends into commercial and retail development.

The developer's broader Sydney residential pipeline is particularly concentrated across the eastern suburbs, with projects spanning Doub​le Bay, Ro​se Bay, Wo​ollahra, Dar​ling Point, Poi​nt Piper and Eli​zabeth Bay.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152579 project_image_fid=376253]

At 55 William, Fortis has again turned to MHN Design Union, the architecture practice behind several of its eastern suburbs projects, while London-based 1508 London has been appointed to handle the interiors and Wyer &amp; Co the landscaping.

The six-level building will comprise a combination of two and three-bedroom apartments, including a garden residence, full-floor apartments, a sub-penthouse and penthouse. Each residence will have secure basement parking and private outdoor space.

A rooftop terrace for all residents, along with select apartments, enjoys views across Double Bay Harbour and toward the Sydney skyline.

Ceiling heights will reach up to three metres&nbsp;in select residences, while the kitchens will feature natural stone and integrated Gaggenau appliances.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

The boutique nature of the project reflects the type of stock Fortis has increasingly targeted across Sydney's eastern suburbs, where larger apartments and smaller buildings are being pitched primarily toward local owner-occupiers and downsizers.

Fortis Group General Manager Ed Eve said the developer continues to see demand from buyers wanting to remain in the eastern suburbs but move into newer, lower-maintenance housing.

“We're seeing continued demand from local owner-occupiers and downsizers looking for high-quality homes that allow them to remain in the eastern suburbs, close to the lifestyle and community they know,” Eve said.

55 William is also one of the early projects to respond directly to the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing reforms. Fortis had previously secured approval for just two townhouses on the 599 sqm site before revising the scheme to eight apartments following the planning changes.

Situated one street back from Double Bay's water's edge, the project enjoys an enviable harbourside setting within walking distance of Double Bay Village and the ferry wharf.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152579 project_image_fid=376252]

Fortis has increasingly made the eastern suburbs a major focus of its Sydney pipeline. Beyond Double Bay, it recently completed the 14-residence Piper in Point Piper and has projects underway or planned across Rose Bay, Woollahra and Darling Point.

The developer recently secured approval for Verano in Rose Bay, a six-level development comprising 21 two, three and four-bedroom apartments, also designed by MHNDU.

55 William&nbsp;is soon to be release to the market with VIP appointments commencing early September,&nbsp;with residences priced from $4.5 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152579]

Fortis continues eastern suburbs push with 55 William launch

UAE-based developer Arada has unveiled plans for a $2 billion twin-tower apartment development in Broadbeach, marking its first move into Queensland as it continues its rapid expansion across Australia.

Arada will develop 952 apartments across two towers on a prominent site opposite the Gold Coast Convention and Exhibition Centre, with the project targeted for completion ahead of the Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games.

The project represents Arada's largest commitment to the Australian market since arriving in the country in 2024 and significantly expands a local pipeline that has now grown to eight projects and more than 5,000 homes.

It will also be the first major Queensland project delivered by Roberts Co since the tier-one contractor was acquired by Arada Group in 2025.

Plus Studio has designed the Broadbeach development, which will comprise one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two towers connected by a landscaped podium.

A significant resident amenity offering will include lagoon and lap pools, a gym, sauna and steam room, alongside a mist room, infrared room and salt scrub facilities. Communal terraces, private dining areas, a library, residents' lounge and work-from-home spaces are also planned. Around 1,200 sqm of retail and hospitality space will occupy the ground floor.

The site puts Arada in one of the Gold Coast's most active apartment markets, directly opposite the convention centre and within walking distance of Pacific Fair, The Star Gold Coast and Broadbeach's dining and retail precinct.

It also has immediate access to the Gold Coast light rail network and sits just a few blocks from the beach.

Arada Group Chief Executive Ahmed Alkhoshaibi said Broadbeach represented an opportunity for the developer to expand beyond its initial NSW pipeline.

“Broadbeach is a world-class address that gives us the canvas to create a community of exceptional design and lifestyle quality that genuinely enriches the daily lives of the people who call it home,” Alkhoshaibi said.

“This is our first development outside New South Wales, and it reflects our growing ambition to grow in key urban markets around the country.”

Alkhoshaibi said bringing Roberts Co into the project would give Arada greater control over the development and construction process.

“Delivering this project through Roberts Co, our own tier-one construction business, means we can bring the quality, pace and accountability that our buyers expect.”

The move into Broadbeach comes as Arada accelerates its Australian expansion following its entry into the market two years ago. The developer has assembled a pipeline of eight projects comprising more than 5,000 homes, while the acquisition of Roberts Co last year gave the group its own Australian construction capability.

Globally, Arada has a development portfolio valued at $50 billion comprising more than 55,000 homes across the UAE, United Kingdom and Australia.

The Gold Coast is emerging as the next major market for the developer, with strong population growth and infrastructure spending ahead of the 2032 Games continuing to underpin significant apartment development across the coastal strip.

Arada plots $2 billion Broadbeach towers in major Queensland move

Sydney’s downsizer market is changing, with a growing cohort of buyers prioritising the right home over simply finding a smaller one.

Coronation Property Head of Sales Cam Porter says the traditional idea of downsizing does not necessarily reflect what many buyers are now looking for, particularly those moving from established family homes across Sydney.

Instead, he says they are increasingly becoming “right-sizers”, seeking lower-maintenance homes without sacrificing the space, amenity or quality they have become accustomed to.

“We are increasingly seeing buyers who are not motivated by the idea of simply moving into a smaller property,” Porter says.

“They are right-sizers. They want a home that is easier to manage and better connected, but they still expect generosity, quality and a floorplan that supports the way they live.”

It is a subtle but important distinction in a market where apartment developers are increasingly targeting established owner-occupiers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135149 project_image_fid=377495]

For many of these buyers, moving from a house to an apartment is not driven by a desire to dramatically reduce their living space. Instead, the appeal is in removing some of the maintenance associated with a larger home while retaining generous living areas, storage and enough flexibility to accommodate family and friends.

Coronation’s sales team is seeing buyers place particular importance on natural light, practical storage and additional rooms that can be used as guest bedrooms, home offices or secondary living spaces.

Kitchens and dining areas are also playing an increasingly important role, particularly for buyers who regularly entertain or have children and grandchildren visit.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135149 project_image_fid=377494]

“These buyers still want their home to feel generous,” Porter says.

“They may want less maintenance, but they are not looking for less life.”

The challenge for the broader housing market is providing enough of the right stock to encourage that move.

While much of the discussion around Sydney’s housing shortage has centred on the number of homes being delivered, Porter says the diversity of those homes is equally important.

Older homeowners can remain in large family houses for longer when they cannot find an appropriate alternative in the neighbourhoods where they have built their lives.

“The decision is rarely as simple as wanting fewer bedrooms,” Porter says.

“People are weighing up their connection to a neighbourhood, the space they need for family, the quality of the home and whether it will continue to work for them over the long term.”

It also has implications beyond the downsizer market. Providing suitable apartments for smaller households can free up established houses for families who need the additional bedrooms and land, creating greater movement through the housing market.

<h2>Lillian targets the next stage of apartment buyer</h2>

It is a buyer Coronation is targeting at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/lillian-erskineville-9-metters-street-erskineville-nsw-2043">Lillian</a>, its new collection of apartments, terraces and penthouses at Erskineville Village.

Designed by Silvester Fuller, Lillian has been shaped around larger living spaces, natural light and flexible floorplans, alongside landscaped areas, wellness amenity and communal spaces for residents.

The development will form part of Coronation’s broader Erskineville Village precinct, which will combine new homes with green space, retail, hospitality and new pedestrian connections.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135149 project_image_fid=377688]

McPherson Park will sit at the centre of the precinct, creating a significant new green space alongside the project’s retail and hospitality offering.

For Porter, the opportunity is to give buyers another housing option without forcing them to leave the part of Sydney they already know.

“People should be able to change the type of home they live in without having to change their entire life,” he says.

“For many buyers, Lillian offers the opportunity to remain connected to the Inner West and the city, while gaining access to a more convenient, walkable and considered way of living.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135149 project_image_fid=377687]

Coronation will explore the changing <a href="https://lillianresidences.com.au/news/lillian-x-space-x-downsizers-event-27-august/">right-sizer market at an event on August 27</a>, bringing together experts across property, design and lifestyle.

Held in partnership with SPACE, Poliform and Downsizer.com.au, the event will include a property market outlook from economist Michael Blythe alongside discussion around the considerations facing buyers planning their next move.

Attendees will also be able to learn more about the residences and amenity planned at Lillian Erskineville.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135149]

From downsizing to right-sizing: What Sydney buyers want from their next home

Family-owned builder and developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/omaya">Omaya</a> is bringing its 27-storey The Maybelle development to market, with the 229-apartment tower rising alongside Ismay Reserve near North Strathfield.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-maybelle-21-parramatta-road-homebush-nsw-2140">The Maybelle</a> will comprise one, two and three-bedroom apartments, with its height providing elevated outlooks towards the Sydney skyline and Harbour Bridge, while other residences will look across neighbouring Ismay Reserve.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/squillace-architects">Squillace Architects</a>, the tower combines its parkside setting with proximity to the established retail, dining and transport amenity around North Strathfield.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134873 project_image_fid=376196]

Residences will feature open-plan living spaces and a choice of two interior schemes, while communal amenity is spread across two elevated levels of the building.

Level 8 will be home to the Garden Pavilion, a full-floor resident space incorporating communal entertaining and breakout areas, seating and recreation spaces. Further up the tower, a landscaped Sky Terrace on Level 14 will provide another communal area with panoramic views towards the Harbour Bridge and Sydney skyline.

At ground level, the development sits directly alongside Ismay Reserve, where lawns, walking paths, children's play areas, picnic spaces and recreational facilities extend the green space available immediately around the project.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134873 project_image_fid=376194]

The Maybelle is also within walking distance of North Strathfield and the Bakehouse Quarter, which provides a mix of cafés, restaurants, shops and everyday services.

Existing rail and bus services provide connections across Sydney, while the future North Strathfield Metro and access to the M4 will add to the transport options available around the precinct. Walking and cycling routes also extend via Powells Creek towards Sydney Olympic Park and its sporting, entertainment and parkland precincts.

Families are also well positioned for access to a broad selection of established schools and education options across Strathfield and the surrounding Inner West.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134873 project_image_fid=376181]

Omaya has operated in Sydney for more than 35 years, managing projects from acquisition and design through to construction and delivery. The family-owned company is both developer and builder of The Maybelle.

Apartments start from $560,000, with the development protected by 10-year Latent Defects Insurance.

Construction is well underway, with completion expected by the end of 2026 and move-in anticipated from Q1 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134873]

The Maybelle brings 27-storey parkside tower to market near North Strathfield

First Home Buyers

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If you're looking at buying a first home, or perhaps a first investment property, there are many hoops to jump through.
For those of you who have just started considering and becoming serious about purchasing, here are 11 questions that you should be looking at answering for yourself - including links to more helpful information.
If there's a question you'd like assistance with, or answered, then leave a comment and Property Observer will take it to the experts.
<ol>
<li>
What time frame am I looking at? If you’re looking to buy within the next month, then you need to ensure that you have everything in order, including your deposit and funds for costs as well as any auction practice or professionals you need to have engaged. If you have longer, then you are able to save more – and put a budget plan into place as necessary – and spend more time to research. Your personal time frame will shape how you approach the other questions in this list. 
</li>
<li>
Who should I speak to for advice? There are many professionals out there, and you’d be wise to engage with an accountant, broker and potentially even a buyer’s agent early on in the piece – not to mention start to scope out real estate agents (though remember, they work for the vendor not for you). You will also want to eventually grow your team to include either a solicitor or a lawyer, perhaps a building and pest inspector and so on. You can see a number of articles on how to choose these experts here. 
</li>
<li>
What deposit do I have? If you have a small deposit, it’s time to <a href="/expert-insights/finance/what-is-an-lvr-investment-terms-explained">understand LVRs and how LMI might play a factor in this</a>. This may cause you to re-think how much money you’re putting in, and perhaps have you saving for longer. Remember, also, that you will also need funds to cover <a href="/news/vic/how-to-work-out-how-much-buying-a-home-costs">all those extra hidden costs</a>. 
</li>
<li>
How much can I borrow? An online calculator can quickly help with rough estimates around what you can borrow. A broker can further assist you with this. Knowing this figure, the bank’s limit, can quickly help you understand what is out of your reach. You can also ask your broker what you can do to push this limit up if it comes in too low (for instance, increasing earnings and minimising expenditure). Here are some <a href="/expert-insights/finance/six-tips-to-help-improve-your-serviceability">other tips on improving serviceability</a>. 
</li>
<li>
How much can I afford? Just because the banks are willing to give it to you, <a href="/expert-insights/finance/just-how-much-should-you-prudently-borrow-even-if-the-banks-ignore-the-rba-cheap-money-warning">it doesn’t necessarily mean that you can service the debt and maintain your lifestyle</a>. Now is time to practice putting aside the repayment amounts, and factoring in aspects such as interest rate increases, to see if you can really afford it. Speak to your mortgage broker about <a href="/expert-insights/investing/speak-to-your-mortgage-broker-and-banker-to-know-what-you-can-afford-with-a-nice-buffer">the importance of buffers and not overstretching yourself financially</a>. 
</li>
<li>
What type of property am I looking at? Are you looking for a run down property to renovate, or a new build? An apartment or a house? How many bedrooms? Get a clear picture in your mind about the type of property you’re after, and what you’ll need for your own situation. For some with pets, a garden is non-negotiable. For those with children on the way, consider how long you may need to be in this property for and the space available.   
</li>
<li>
What suburbs am I interested in? Now look to the areas that you are keen to live in. Look at what is selling and the prices, and see whether what you can borrow matches up with the area and the type of property you need. If not, see the next question. You can check the median prices and movements with our free suburb data here. 
</li>
<li>
Which factors am I prepared to negotiate on? It’s<a href="/expert-insights/investing/sacrifice-and-compromise-the-reality-of-first-home-ownership-terry-ryder"> time to do some compromising with yourself or some sacrificing</a>. Could you go a couple of suburbs further away where it becomes cheaper? How about a smaller property? If you can’t afford it, sadly you’re going to need to compromise. Perhaps the compromise is waiting for longer until you can afford it. This is a growing reality for first home buyers – just remember, it’s your first home, not your last. 
</li>
<li>
Do I need pre-approval? If you’re looking to head to an auction soon, or would just like some peace of mind, <a href="/expert-insights/finance/why-you-should-secure-finance-pre-approval-before-looking-for-property">have a pre-approval at the ready</a>. Be wary of the limitations around these documents as explained here in this <a href="/expert-insights/finance/a-quick-guide-to-home-loan-pre-approval">quick guide to pre-approvals</a>. 
</li>
<li>
Have I thought about the risks? Taking on any amount of debt comes at a risk to you, and with a substantial amount of debt comes a substantial amount of risk. While you may have heard the term “safe as houses”, buying a property leaves you open to the mercy of the market. You need to be prepared for any eventuality that may affect your financial situation. This includes, but is of course not limited to, losing your job, becoming sick, perhaps having a child, damage to the property, divorce, death and so on. Prepare insurances adequately, and ensure you have a clear understanding of what you’re purchasing. Here are some <a href="/guides" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">examples of off-the-plan risks</a>, and here are <a href="/expert-insights/investing/10-risks-first-time-property-investors-need-to-overcome">10 risks that first time investors need to overcome</a>. 
</li>
<li>
What grants and assistance are available to me? Lastly, look into what is currently available to you in terms of first home buyer grants and stamp duty exemptions. These are easily accessed by your state or territory’s office of state revenue or treasury, however you can also <a href="/expert-insights/buying/the-national-guide-to-first-home-buyer-grants">see our cheat sheet guide here</a>. They regularly change, so ensure you seek careful advice.
</li>
</ol>
YOU MAY ALSO WANT TO READ
Letter from the editor: <a href="/expert-insights/buying">FHBs, if you’re not wealthy, you will have to compromise</a>
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

The 11 questions every first home buyer should ask themselves

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A new Centre for Independent Studies report, Eight Housing Affordability Myths, has sought to debunk key claims relating to the major drivers in the long-term price growth.
<ol>
<li>Myth: Lower interest rates make housing more affordable </li>
<li>Myth: House prices are a speculative ‘bubble’ </li>
<li>Myth: The supply of land is fixed </li>
<li>Myth: Housing is an unproductive asset </li>
<li>Myth: Australians invest too much in housing </li>
<li>Myth: Foreign investors are responsible for rising house prices </li>
<li>Myth: Domestic investors/negative gearing/capital gains tax concessions are responsible for rising house prices </li>
<li>
Myth: House prices are fuelled by a credit ‘bubble’/excessive leverage 
</li>
</ol>
Source: Centre for Independent Studies report, 'Eight Housing Affordability Myths' 
The reported noted the debate over housing affordability was typically conducted in zero-sum terms.
"First home buyers are pitted against investors and incumbent property owners, baby boomers against younger age groups," it noted.
The implicit assumption is that there is fixed housing stock to be carved up among these competing interests. 
"In principle, the housing market should be able to accommodate increasing demand without upward pressure on prices," Dr Stephen Kirchner suggested.
But he concluded the supply side of the housing market had been taxed and regulated to the point that supply has not been able to keep pace with demand, leading to higher house prices. Rising real house prices have become a secular phenomenon, with the cyclical variation in house prices taking place around this rising trend. 
"Each of the housing affordability myths reviewed and debunked here serves to distract public policy from an increased focus on improving housing supply. He concludes many of the policies pursued by Australian governments in the name of housing affordability, such as first home buyer grants and concessions, increase demand for housing, while failing to tackle regulatory and cost barriers to housing supply."
The report noted new land supply had declined by an average 21% across Australia’s five largest capital cities in the past decade, pushing prices up by an average 148% to $504 per square metre.
"This report seeks to tackle these myths in an effort to improve the quality of public debate about housing affordability," Dr Stephen Kirchner said, adding housing affordability is a relative rather than an absolute concept. 
He also suggest it was also meaningless to assert that house prices are driven by ‘speculation’.
"Few people buy or invest in housing with the expectation of making a capital loss. 
"In that sense, every decision to buy (or not to buy) property is speculative. 
"As Ludwig von Mises observed, ‘Every action is a speculation, i.e., guided by a definite opinion concerning the uncertain conditions of the future.’
"The belief that housing markets are driven by ‘speculation’ misunderstands the role of speculation in an economy and encourages the pursuit of demand-suppression and diversion policies on the basis that prices are disconnected from fundamentals."  
<a href="https://www.cis.org.au/images/stories/issue-analysis/ia146.pdf?utm_source=140708+Media+Release+Housing&amp;utm_campaign=140709+MR+Housing&amp;utm_medium=email" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">The report</a> by Dr Stephen Kirchner noted home ownership had eased from 71% of households in 1995 to 67% in 2012.
Dr Stephen Kirchner, a research fellow at The Centre for Independent Studies and senior fellow with the Fraser Institute, also posted a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VowSAoV0bw4" target="_blank">YouTube video</a>.
Bob Day, Saul Eslake, and Cameron Kusher helped guide his thinking.
{qtube vid:=VowSAoV0bw4}
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Eight housing affordability myths debunked: CIS

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Westpac has cut the introductory variable interest rate for its Flexi First Option Home Loan product by 49 percentage points. 
Customers opening a new Flexi First Option Home Loan with conditional approval by 3 October will have a 4.84% per annum interest rate for the first two years of their loan. The interest rate converts back to 5.33% after the two year period (comparison rate 5.38%).
Westpac has offered an ongoing discount on its Flexi First Home Loan product since April 2013, with a 0.21% per year rate cut bringing the variable rate to 5.12%. Borrowers cannot take advantage of both discounts at the same time.
Westpac also removed its $600 Home Loan Establishment Fee on all new home loans. According to The Adviser, Westpac brokers were told the discounts would “position Westpac competitively in the market as the bank to assist your first home buyers with their home loan and other financial needs”.
The bank has applied special interest rate offers to a variety of its other variable products.
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jrichardson-uRX5hFdKfN

Westpac courts first home buyers with 4.84% variable rate

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Prospective first home buyers may want to consider using credit, and positive exposure to it, to give them a leg up, according to Smartline Personal Mortgage Advisers.
While they warn that if you cannot manage the responsibility then it’s best to avoid credit, disciplined new buyers may see themselves benefiting from the consideration.
In fact, Smartline executive director, Joe Sirianni, said that responsible management of debt is a positive in this age of bank credit scoring, but it should be handled carefully.
“Debt isn’t unlike fire. Managed correctly and carefully, it can be incredibly useful, but in the wrong hands there’s a good chance you could get burnt,” said Sirianni.
He said that while years ago it was suggested that you had a personal or car loan or credit card that you would pay off, as a form of ‘proof’ that you can handle money, this is no longer the case when it’s far less likely you know your local branch manager.
In the late-1980s, when banks moved to centralised decision making, the emphasis shifted to whether or not you had defaults. Sirianni notes that with more automated credit scoring on computers in recent years, a lack of a previous credit facility can count against you.
You want to be building a good track record.
“Computer programs are essentially doing what the humans used to do – making a value judgment on your past performance and assessing your character,” he said, explaining that leaving a blank field in relation to previous credit conduct could be a negative.
“However, having never borrowed and never made a mistake is still always better than having borrowed and made a mistake,” he said.
“But it’s not as good as having borrowed and having repaid it.”
He said that if you’re planning to take a few thousand dollars on a credit card or car loan, and are able to repay, then this would be a positive, even while excess unnecessary debt should be avoided.
“It might even be as little as a credit card with a $500 limit that you’ve kept in good order – that would be all you would need to do well on the credit score,” he said.
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How to: Use credit to your benefit as a first time buyer

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Purchasing your first home is a great achievement, but do you feel like you are in over your head? 
Buying your first home won’t necessarily happen overnight. So, to help keep you on the right track, we gathered the top apps that covers everything from government grants and home loans to finding the perfect property.
<ol>
<li>
<a href="https://itunes.apple.com/au/app/house-hunter/id445304335?mt=8" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">House hunter </a>Buying a property is full of new procedures that can be extremely confusing if you are new to the property market. The House Hunter app is a great tool for first home buyers as it can make the process easier and quicker. Some of the useful features include: track and compare and unlimited number of houses, a scoring method to help identify which house suit your needs, list of information of each property including ‘must-haves’ and ‘missing’, a mortgage calculator and a Quick Notes feature to save time and typing when putting in information about a property.  
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://itunes.apple.com/au/app/sro-mobile/id390079760?mt=8" target="_blank">SRO Mobile </a>Are you buying your first property in Victoria? Then this app will be extremely useful. The State Revenue Office of Victoria app helps first home buyers assess what Victorian grants they are eligible for. The Land Transfer Duty calculator is also available with this app. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://itunes.apple.com/au/app/tapmortgage-australia-mortgage/id402187202?mt=8" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">tapMortgage </a>Do the terms stamp duty, transfer fees, first home concessions and mortgages make your head spin? Then take a look at the tapMortgage app to help clear the air. This app has a range of calculators for the items above as well for total interest paid, total savings for weekly or fortnightly repayments compared to monthly repayments as well as the savings you would make based on any extra repayments.  tapMortgage can help give you an indication of how much you can afford. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/myofi/id660150695?mt=8" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">MyOFI </a>Open inspections are a large part of house hunting, but can be time consuming.  MyOFI is a great way to organise and speed up your open for inspection schedule. Being one step ahead of other potential buyers in the market can make all the difference.  All you need to do is sign up, enter your contact information and property search requirements and the app will give you an individual QR code. You can then give this to the real estate agent at every open house instead of filling out your information, saving you time. This app also allows you to log all of your inspections to help you keep track. It will store the photos, address and agent’s details as well as any notes you wish to include yourself. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://itunes.apple.com/au/app/savings-goals/id507466769?mt=8" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">Savings Goals </a>Are you struggling to save for a 20% deposit? Saving 20% of the purchase price or more cannot only help give you a more competitive interest rate, but it can also keep other costs to a minimum, such as Lender’s Mortgage Insurance.  With this app, you simply enter a target amount and a target date and this app will give you a suggested schedule and will also track your progress. It will let you know how close you are to your target date, what proportion of your target you’ve saved and whether you are ahead or behind schedule. What’s even better is that you can create as many savings goals as you like.  Saving for a large deposit can be extremely advantageous when it comes to applying for a home loan, so the more you can save, the better. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://itunes.apple.com/au/app/state-custodians-approve-me/id574346429?mt=8" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">Approve Me </a>This app is great for those looking to obtain a home loan. You are able to select the product most suited to your requirements as well as see the current interest rates. You are also able to calculate if you can afford the home loan repayments and even obtain an instant online pre-approval. This would be extremely useful if you are out house hunting as you will have an idea of how much you will be able to afford.
</li>
</ol>
Gavin Smith is director and general manager of <a href="https://www.statecustodians.com.au." target="_blank">State Custodians</a> and has over 20 years’ experience in leadership roles within the banking services sector.
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gsmith-qGJafBfKnu

Six handy apps for first home buyers

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GUEST OBSERVATION
It’s Saturday morning in West Brunswick, a suburb in Melbourne’s inner north. From my bedroom window I can see a crowd gathering across the road for a house inspection.
The crowd swells to 60 or so people – couples, couples with school-aged children, couples with small babies and then there are small groups of young people, clearly looking for share housing. Surveying the scene I feel like I can predict who my new neighbours might be.
Or, at least I am fairly sure who they won’t be. This semi-renovated three bedroom house has been up for rent three times in the past three years. At $560 per week the rental price is steep, yet each house inspection has attracted crowds like this one. And each time my new neighbours have been couples with a small baby. Young single people did not get a look in.
This is hardly surprising. The scene played outside my bedroom window reflects broader trends. Landlords <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/blog/finding-the-right-tenant/" target="_blank">want safe bets</a> – people who can pay the rent, withstand rent increases, won’t trash the property and may even improve it.
And in a tight housing market with national demand outstripping supply – especially at the low end of the <a href="https://www.treasury.gov.au/~/media/Treasury/Publications%20and%20Media/Publications/2012/NHSC/Downloads/PDF/housing_supply_affordability_report.ashx" target="_blank">affordability market</a> – and rental vacancy rates <a href="https://www.ahuri.edu.au/housing_information/review/evrev053" target="_blank">between 1% and 4%</a> in capital cities across Australia, most landlords can afford to be choosy.
Young people find it hard to compete, especially in some segments of the rental market. Recent evidence indicates that young people are more likely to be in precarious housing than other age cohorts. They are more likely to be in unaffordable housing, private rental or overcrowded households, and to have recently experienced a forced move. And compared with couples with children they are almost seven times more likely to dwell in housing that is in poor condition.
<a href="https://www.vichealth.vic.gov.au/~/media/ResourceCentre/PublicationsandResources/Health%20Inequalities/Precarious%20housing/Precarious_Housing_Full_FINAL_2August.ashx" target="_blank">Preliminary evidence</a> is also emerging that like other age groups, young people’s experience of precarious housing also impacts negatively on their health and well-being, especially their mental health.
It’s little wonder, then, that young people are leaving home later than previous generations, typically around 23 or 24, often returning to the family home multiple times following job loss, tenancy breakdown or other life crises, before they settle into <a href="https://aifs.org.au/institute/pubs/diversity/DiversityAndChange.pdf" target="_blank">fully independent adulthood</a>.
This social trend has real consequences: for family finances, parent-child relationships and the way young people themselves imagine their place in the world, their rights and responsibilities, as well as their sense of capability, agency and autonomy.
This trend is only likely to increase if the <a href="https://theconversation.com/young-people-are-now-on-the-edge-of-our-reconfigured-welfare-state-26697" target="_blank">proposed changes</a> to the Youth Allowance and Newstart proceed as outlined in the recent federal budget. In a policy first, 30 is defined as the upper age of youth. And young people who finish their education and are looking for jobs – or those who get a job and lose it – will not be entitled to Youth Allowance (up to to the age of 25) or Newstart Allowance (25 years and older) for six months.
On $207 for <a href="https://www.humanservices.gov.au/customer/enablers/centrelink/youth-allowance/payment-rates" target="_blank">Youth Allowance</a> (living away from home) per week or $255 <a href="https://www.humanservices.gov.au/customer/enablers/centrelink/newstart-allowance/payment-rates-for-newstart-allowance" target="_blank">Newstart Allowance</a>, combined with maximum payment of $63 in <a href="https://www.humanservices.gov.au/customer/services/centrelink/rent-assistance" target="_blank">Commonwealth Rent Assistance</a>, young people currently find it extremely difficult if not impossible to access and maintain affordable housing. This will quite simply be impossible if benefits are, as proposed, suspended for six months.
While difficult for those young people who enjoy the support of their families, it is almost impossible for those who lack such support. These are the 22,000 or more young people estimated to be homeless on census night – a figure recognised by the Australian Bureau of Statistics as an underestimation of the <a href="https://www.aihw.gov.au/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=60129545638" target="_blank">actual population</a>.
This lack of support extends to nearly 3,000 young people nationally who are exiting out-of-home care services. A range of evidence suggests that anywhere between 40-60% of these young people will be homeless within a year of leaving care. Currently, it is estimated that 43,000 young people are receiving the youth allowance and living away from home.
These young people, who typically aspire to nothing less than their home-based peers (a house, job, sense of belonging and money to make a life), are <a href="https://www.vichealth.vic.gov.au/~/media/ResourceCentre/PublicationsandResources/Health%20Inequalities/Precarious%20housing/Precarious_Housing_Full_FINAL_2August.ashx" target="_blank">multiply disadvantaged</a> in the housing market. Without the safety net provided by the family they risk free-falling into long-term poverty and disadvantage. Most have low levels of education, with over half in some studies recording their highest level of education as Year 11 or below. Of those who find their way to services, nearly 90% are unemployed or not in the labour force.
We know that these young people are <a href="https://www.bsl.org.au/Social-exclusion-monitor" target="_blank">three times more likely</a> to experience social exclusion. Also compared to full-time employees, unemployed people are around 15 times more likely to be in <a href="https://www.vichealth.vic.gov.au/~/media/ResourceCentre/PublicationsandResources/Health%20Inequalities/Precarious%20housing/Precarious_Housing_Full_FINAL_2August.ashx" target="_blank">unaffordable housing</a>.
Like other homeless populations, these young people have <a href="https://www.aihw.gov.au/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=60129545051">few other housing options</a>. Most do not qualify for public housing, and when they do many languish on long waiting lists for a housing tenure that is widely recognised by policymakers and young people themselves as unsuitable.
Once homeless, some – depending on what area are living in, be it metropolitan, rural or remote – may find temporary refuge for six to 12 weeks in crisis accommodation. Some of these – if they are lucky – may go on to government-funded transitional accommodation for up to 12 months. A tiny number, and arguably the luckiest of all, end up in youth foyers: housing that is combined with tailored education and employment support.
The rest, however, continue to live rough, couchsurf, or try to make a go of it in rooming houses with shared bathroom and kitchen facilities. Increasingly, some find themselves in unregistered rooming houses: ordinary houses in the suburbs in which unscrupulous landlords sublet bedrooms at a premium price. Here, disadvantage is concentrated and a culture of violence and conflict is common. These are hardly the places to build sustainable, independent lives.
With a generation at risk of being locked out of the housing market and a significant minority of these falling through the gaps of the rental market, the need for a national youth housing policy has never been more pressing.
Oh, I almost forgot. We have new neighbours across the road: a couple with a small baby.
Shelley Mallett is professorial fellow in social policy, School of Social and Political Sciences at <a href="https://www.unimelb.edu.au/" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">University of Melbourne</a>.
Shelley Mallett has received ARC and AHURI funding in the past. She is general manager, Research &amp; Policy Centre at the Brotherhood of St Laurence.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>.
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

Crowded housing market gives youth little chance for independence

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There are many measures of affordability in the marketplace, sadly I believe that many of these measures fail to accurately depict the affordability or otherwise of housing in Australia.  
The main reason being that housing affordability is an extremely complex issue and many factors drive the affordability of housing. In my future posts I am going to investigate some of these factors and tell you what you should really be asking yourself about affordability when purchasing a home.
Can I start by stating that simplistic means of comparing property prices between countries I believe are ineffective. 
Due to different tax regimes, standards of housing and attitudes to property and wealth accumulation there may be perfectly good reasons why a household is prepared to spend more on housing in Australia for example than they are in the United States.  I think common measures such as the median multiple (ratio of household income to property prices) are not necessarily a good way to measure affordability or otherwise, there are a lot more factors at play.
Interest rates
Interest rates are obviously an important component in determining housing affordability.  When interest rates are lower, interest repayments on home loans are lower and as a result ‘affording’ the repayments on a mortgage should be easier.  Of course, as we are seeing at the moment, lower mortgage rates often encourage higher property values. 
So while it’s true that lower interest rates make housing relatively more affordable, if values are rising and sales increase then it can somewhat off-set the affordability benefit of lower mortgage rates.
Furthermore, the typical home loan in Australia is 25 years and the vast majority of home loans are on a variable rate.  As a result, as the Reserve Bank adjusts monetary policy there is virtually an instant effect on household budgets and balance sheets.  For example, at the moment the standard variable mortgage rate sits at 5.95% however, over the past 10 years the variable mortgage rate has averaged 7.27%, over the last 20 years it has averaged 7.45% and over the past 25 years (the typical home loan length) it has averaged 8.47%. Over the past 25 years, standard variable mortgage rates have been as high as 17.0% and as low as 5.75%.
The point is that interest rates can vary greatly over 25 years and over the life of the loan the current interest rate is not a great means of measuring the cost of a mortgage over its lifetime.
Wages / Income
If you are going to take out a mortgage on a home (as most purchasers do) you are going to need an income and you are going to need some savings.  In Australia there are a number of measures of wages/income and it is difficult to know exactly which one is best to use to measure housing affordability.
The National Accounts measure the ‘Real net national disposable income – chain volume’.  This measure does have a number of shortcomings in that it is not an individual measure and that it includes items that one can’t really spend such as superannuation.  Additionally this data is only available from a national standpoint. 
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) publishes its wage price index each quarter however, it measures wages only and doesn’t measure income captured from other sources.  The Census is undertaken each five years and does report on the median weekly household income however, the shortcoming here is that it is only updated every five years. 
We also have the Household Income Survey from the ABS however it is only undertaken bi-annually and takes a fairly macro view of household incomes
Unfortunately all of these measures have significant shortcomings which need to be considered when looking at any housing affordability measure.
Article continues on next page. Please click below.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
Labour force / unemployment
Paying off a mortgage eats up a significant portion of a family’s wage.  Undoubtedly if home values weren’t so high and mortgages weren’t so large disposable incomes would be much greater.  Although labour force data or unemployment statistics need not necessarily be an input into any housing affordability measure they are a key consideration for someone looking to purchase. 
The threat of unemployment means that despite the fact housing may seem affordable it is less likely someone would purchase. Obviously if you are unemployed it is going to be difficult to purchase a home.
Another factor to consider is although measures of income show that over recent years wages and disposable income have increased, what they don’t take into account is how many more women are working nowadays.  Labour force data shows that in May 2014, 54.1% of the workforce was male and 45.9% was female, 30 years ago 62.3% was male and 37.6% was female.  Today, 35.5% of full-time workers are female compared to 28.9% 30 years ago. 
The point here is that although household incomes have increased, a big proportion of the increase is due to the structural change associated with a greater number of women in the workforce.  
The rising prevalence of dual income households means that whereas 20 to 30 years ago couples could afford mortgage repayments on a single wage, today they largely require dual incomes.
Home values / prices
Most measures of housing affordability look at median prices or median values. 
The important thing to remember here is that a median is just the middle value so there are just as many homes worth more and less than that figure.  In fact the median price looks only at the middle value of properties which have sold over a period.
This obviously has significant shortcomings because what is predominately selling could be at the affordable or expensive end of the market and this could bias the median one way or another.  Remember that typically only 5% to 7% of total housing stock transacts in a given year.
Another important consideration here is that a national median measure doesn’t really tell you very much at a localised level.  In Australia, 66% of residents live in a capital city with around 55% in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane or Perth. 
Quite simply many residents don’t have a choice but to live in a capital city so if you are trying to determine affordability in Melbourne, the cost of housing in Mildura is of no valuable comparison whatsoever.
Rental rates
If you don’t own a home or pay-off a mortgage you have to live elsewhere, for the most part non-homeowners rent.  The cost of renting is an important consideration when trying to determine housing affordability.  If rents are increasing but home values are flat or falling purchasing a home may start to look a more attractive prospect. 
Once again the challenge with a measure which compares rents to house price (or mortgage repayments) is that it is not a localised analysis.  For example for the cost of renting in Paddington in Sydney you may actually be able to pay off a mortgage in Guildford but to the renter is the opportunity cost of owning their own home and being further away from the city centre, harbour and the beaches worthwhile? 
Who knows but for anyone looking to purchase these are the sorts of questions they need to be asking themselves.
The other key consideration is that the ongoing costs associated with owning a home as opposed to renting are difficult to determine, but they are much more than renting.  As a renter, the ongoing costs generally include: the rent, the bond, electricity, gas (if applicable), cleaning (if you move rentals) and the cost of moving if/when you move. 
As an owner of a home the costs incurred include: the mortgage, electricity, gas, council rates, stamp duty when you purchase, ongoing maintenance of the property, strata fees (if you own a unit) and agent fees if/when you decide to move.  The ongoing costs associated with owning a home are much greater than the ongoing costs of renting.
Who does housing affordability affect most?
Housing affordability affects everyone.  The high cost of housing acts as a disincentive for people to move to more appropriate locations, discourages people from upsizing and downsizing and discourages movement intra or interstate for employment.  The group most affected by housing affordability however is those who don’t as yet own a home.
Again if we think about many of the measures of affordability used they look at typical or median prices values and compare to interest rates and typical wages.  The problem with this approach is that very few people are actually typical.  As a generalisation, most people that rent are younger, starting out their careers. 
There is a high likelihood that their wage is currently lower than the median (although there is a good chance it will increase as they are promoted or move jobs).  If their wage is below the typical wage then they should not be looking to buy the typical (or median house).
Of course there are plenty of renters that earn above average wages but choose not to purchase as well but when trying to tackle the affordability question I think many of the measures that we look at are far too simplistic, but hamstrung by the quality and granularity of income data. 
Housing affordability is an individual thing and none of the measures really tell the true story about how affordable or unaffordable housing in Australia is.  When determining whether you can afford to buy a home I think the most important things to consider are:
<ol>
<li>What are current mortgage rates and at what higher level would I not be able to repay my mortgage?</li>
<li>How secure is my job and what would happen if I was to lose my job for an extended period?</li>
<li>Over the next few years what is the realistic expectations for my wage, will it rise and by how much?</li>
<li>What impact would it have if I found a partner or lost a partner on my ability to repay the mortgage?</li>
<li>If I plan to have children, children cost a lot what impact would that have on my ability to repay the mortgage?</li>
<li>Compared to my current rent and associated costs, how much more is paying off a mortgage and the other day-to day costs of home ownership really going to be and can I afford this?</li>
<li>What am I willing to sacrifice in order to buy a home; lifestyle, location, overseas travel etc?  What is the opportunity cost of buying a home?</li>
</ol>
I am sure there are many more questions to ask when looking to purchase but I think as a start these questions are essential.  I say that the measures of affordability which are readily available should be taken with a grain of sale. 
It’s more important to ask yourself some tough questions about whether or not you can really afford to be a home owner.  If you have any doubt you really need to consider whether it is worth the risk or not.
For what it’s worth, I think that housing affordability is a significant issue for young Australians, particularly those within our capital city markets.  he major problem is that most Australian’s choose to build wealth through property and 23 years of unabated economic growth has on exacerbated this. 
The challenge now is how can you deliver affordable housing for younger Australians without bringing down the cost of existing housing which politically and economically would be detrimental to the overall health of the Australian economy.
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Forget affordability measures and ask yourself some tough questions

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Well, more real estate baloney.
This time it is about first home buyers – or the lack of them.
The ABS statistics released today show that first home buyer activity, measured as the proportion of all owner-resident lending, is the lowest in 23 years.
You would have heard all about it on the news tonight or will read about in tomorrow’s papers.
But something is wrong here.
<blockquote>
The fact is, we should all question a lot more of the real estate data that is being fed to us.
</blockquote>
And like many things these days in the real estate world, it’s the figures that are incorrect.  The ‘official’ statistics are measuring only part of the whole, yet very few question the results.
In short, there is a hell of a lot of first home buying taking place.
Most first home buyers buy an established property, and in most places across Australia, first home buyer grants do not apply to established property, only new stock.  And where it does apply, it amounts to very little, and to many it isn’t worth the paper work.
So, for mine, the ABS (along with others) is not correctly corralling first home buying activity.
It is interesting to watch the property intelligentsia trying to explain the reasons for the fall in first home buyer interest, as shown in the first two charts below.
"Generation X are choosing to rent rather than buy – they are buying investment housing instead of homes for themselves – housing is unaffordable so they cannot buy – we need more grant monies"; and it goes on.
<a href="https://matusikmissive.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/FHB-1.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-7359" src="https://matusikmissive.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/FHB-1.jpg" alt="FHB #1"></a>
<a href="https://matusikmissive.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/FHB-2.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-7360" src="https://matusikmissive.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/FHB-2.jpg" alt="FHB #2"></a>
I think the statistics are wrong.
Why wouldn’t first home buyers be buying?
<ul>
<li>Interest rates are extremely low</li>
<li>Banks are keen to lend</li>
<li>Mum and dad are practically paying for the deposit to get rid of their ‘boomerang’ adult children (at 30, one wonders if ‘children’ should really apply)</li>
<li>Yet according to the same talking heads who claim low first home buyer take-up – housing affordability is the best in over a decade</li>
<li>And to prove that point, there has been little change in the size of the average first home loan in recent years – see my third chart below</li>
</ul>
<a href="https://matusikmissive.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/FHB-3.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-7361" src="https://matusikmissive.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/FHB-3.jpg" alt="FHB #3"></a>
Late last year the ABS put out a great study – sadly it comes out only every five years or so – called Housing Occupancy and Costs (catalogue number 4130.0 for those who want to read the 92 page document).  This shows that first home buyer activity is much higher than the housing finance loan data suggests.
The HOC study shows that over the past three (3) years (and importantly, covering much of the recent first home buyer slump) just short of 1 million households (988,000) bought a property across Australia.
Of the 988,000 transactions over the last three years, 36% or 355,000 were first home buyers.  Eight out of ten first home buyers (289,000 or 81%) bought a second-hand or established home.  Just 19% bought a new property or something off-plan.
My conversations with real estate agents, including those selling new stock, indicate that first home buyer activity is much higher than the low levels officially reported.
I suspect that first home buying activity is close to the historic average – something around 35% of the total owner-resident market and around 20% of the total housing market, when including investors.  This is what I am seeing on the ground; and it explains the strong sales results across much of the country over the last 12 to 18 months.
First home buyers must be taking part; otherwise those upgrading or downsizing would not be able to sell as fast or as often as they currently are.  It is first home buyers that make up a significant part of the buying audience for their established homes.
It is good to see that others, too, are starting to question the results.
I note that the RBA, in their current chart pack (June quarter), have left off first home buyers in the graph outlining loan activity across the country.  See the last chart on page 6 of <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/index" target="_blank">this</a> document.  It has been included in previous RBA charts.
Michael Pascoe, too – thinking man that he is – has also questioned the results.  See <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/comment-and-analysis/first-home-buyer-statistics-not-adding-up-20140609-39sam" target="_blank">here</a>.
You should too.
The fact is, we should all question a lot more of the real estate data that is being fed to us.
The media – for the most part – aren’t interested in checking the statistics before they regurgitate them.
Much of what you read these days about property is sadly bunkum.
Ohh…….. and don’t get me started on the need for or accuracy of a daily price index or suburban median house/unit prices!
Visit Michael's <a href="https://www.matusik.com.au/" target="_blank">website</a>, read <a href="https://www.matusikmissive.com.au/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">his blog</a>, follow him on <a href="https://www.facebook.com/ThinkMatusik?fref=ts" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Facebook</a> and <a href="https://www.twitter.com/michaelmatusik" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Twitter</a>, or connect via <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/michaelmatusik" rel="nofollow">LinkedIn</a>.
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michaelmatusik-49YzLvdmNv

Have first home buyers really gone missing?

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Foreigners’ access to the $5,000 New Home Owner Grant will be scrapped in ­tomorrow’s state budget.
Foreign investors have been able to secure $5,000 for each new home purchase. They represented 1.3% of the scheme's take-up.
The decision, heralded in today's Daily Telegraph, follows <a href="https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/realestate/buying/foreign-buyers-are-cashing-in-on-nsws-new-home-grant-scheme/story-fni0cate-1226817098977" target="_blank">a campaign by the The Daily Telegraph since February</a> which secured the support of Opposition Leader John ­Robertson.
The grant will be only available to individuals who are Australian citizens or permanent residents.
The Telegraph's state rounds reporter Andrew Clennell published previously unavailable data that showed some $2 million has been paid out to non-residents.
“We’re all about making sure these grants help those in our own backyard,” NSW Treasurer Andrew ­Constance told the News Ltd audience.
Since the New Home Owner Grant scheme was instituted in July 2012, there have been 429 ­recipients who are non-residents — or 1.3% of recipients.
The figures come despite NSW Premier Mike Baird expressing recent concern about the lack of official information on foreign investment residential purchases in NSW.
His concerns were made to <a href="/expert-insights/investing/nsw-treasury-in-the-dark-with-firb-foreign-buyer-data">the House of Representative inquiry into foreign ownership of residential property</a>.
The scheme began after the government scrapped first homeowner grants for existing properties and raised them for newer properties.
There have also been a small number of multiple applications.
From now on the New Home Grant will be restricted to one grant per person per year.
Opposition Leader John ­Robertson called in February for the government to change the New Home Grant scheme.
“The O’Farrell Liberal government is paying $5000 to overseas property investors to buy homes and land in Australia – that’s money taken straight out of the pockets of young first home buyers,” Opposition Leader John Robertson said at the time on the then O'Farrell government policy.
“Young couples doing the right thing and working flat-out to save for that deposit are paying the price for the O’Farrell Liberal government’s bungling of this scheme."
Last week John Robertson noted ABS figures showed that just 1,099 first home buyers received financing to purchase a home in April 2014 – down from 1,191 in March 2014 and less than half the level of the 2,415 who received financing in March 2011 before the Liberals came to power.
“Mike Baird has been patting himself on the back over the weekend for extending the threshold for first home buyers purchasing new properties – the ABS has confirmed that he is locking more young families out of owning their own home.
“First home buyers now represent only 7.6% of the NSW housing market – they have plummeted from 18.3% share of the market in March 2011."
The Shadow Treasurer Michael Daley accused the government of giving a leg up to overseas speculators – "and people buying their second, third or tenth property."
The grant is paid as a discount on stamp duty for properties worth up to $650,000 and vacant land worth up to $450,000. 
<a href="/expert-insights/building/nsw-first-home-buyers-can-buy-up-to-750-000-under-extended-fhog">The grant will be extended to new home purchases up to $750,000 in another pre-budget advisory</a>. 
The prospect of overseas non-citizens buying up newly built houses and apartments in bulk - all receiving multiple $5,000 grants under the NSW New Home Grant Scheme - was alarmingly raised in the Daily Telegraph.
<a href="/news/stay-calm-local-buyers-dominate-in-sydneys-sutherland-shire">It was wrapped within the now refuted suggestion that these Chinese investors were keeping first home buyers out of the property market</a>.
 
 
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Foreign buyers to be denied NSW new home owners grant

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There are two very frequently asked questions in real estate. The first is what counts as a “good” investment property, also known as investment-grade stock. The second is the damage that securing one of these properties will do to your back pocket.
Of course, this differs from city to city. Wakelin Property Advisory, who specialise in the Melbourne market, have answered these two questions for one-bedroom apartments, two bedroom apartments and two bedroom houses.
Firstly, they note that the property must be in a high land value location, close to transport, schools, village-type shops, restaurants and recreation activity and must be on an attractive street with architecturally consistent streetscape.
These are the non-negotiable aspects when they property hunt.
Richard Wakelin notes that this is so you can ensure somewhere with consistent, historical growth and that has the crucial scarcity factor.
So how much do you need to scrape in to purchase these types of property?
Wakelin notes that $400,000 is the starting point (if you aren't yet at this capacity, the video below includes some tips for starting out on less).
This nets a one bedroom apartment within the inner north that fulfils the above criteria.
Suburbs for a $400,000 budget (inner north):
<ol>
<li>
<a href="/news">Carlton North</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Brunswick</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Kensington</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Flemington </a> 
</li>
<li><a href="/news">Ascot Vale</a></li>
</ol>
Suburbs for a $450,000 budget (inner bayside apartments):
<ol>
<li>
<a href="/news">Elsternwick</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Elwood </a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">St Kilda </a> 
</li>
<li><a href="/news">St Kilda West</a></li>
</ol>
Suburbs for a $450,000 budget (inner eastern suburbs apartments):
<ol>
<li>
<a href="/news">Hawthorn</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Toorak</a> 
</li>
<li><a href="/news">South Yarra </a></li>
</ol>
Higher budgets:
<ul>
<li>$600,000: Can net you a two-bedroom apartment in the inner north</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>$650,000: Can net you a two-bedroom apartment in the bayside and inner eastern suburbs 
</li>
<li>$700,000: Can net you a single fronted two-bedroom cottage in the inner north 
</li>
<li>$800,000: Can net you a single fronted two-bedroom cottage in the bayside and inner eastern suburbs</li>
</ul>
You can watch the video below for more of Richard Wakelin’s thoughts on investing in Melbourne and what to do if your budget doesn't yet stretch to $400,000.
{qtube vid:=G4xUGkdIFrs}
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