<p>Apartment developers in the Gold Coast are finding new, creative ways to differentiate themselves from competing projects, as new supply starts to flow through up and down the Coast.</p>

<p>Developer Big Projects brought in the renowned Sydney-based design studio YSG to craft the interiors for The Frederick, Big Projects' new Mermaid Beach project and YSG's first move into the multi-residential development space.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5346]</p>

<p>It was a strategic move for Big Projects to bring in a Sydney eye to the development.</p>

<p>“Our role is to give our design partners the space and freedom to explore,” says Matt Barrett, Director of Big Projects.</p>

<p>“We wanted YSG Studio to capture the essence of Nobby’s, to design a building that embraces life, light and connection, while creating a genuine sense of place.”</p>

<p>There are only 39 apartments in The Frederick, including a striking beach house, just 100 metres from the booming Nobby Beach precinct.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5347]</p>

<p>Yasmine Ghoniem, Director of YSG Studio, says their vision&nbsp;for The Frederick "reinvents coastal living."</p>

<p>“Nobby’s has such an iconic energy, it’s one of those rare pockets of the Gold Coast where the community, the beach, and the streets all feel connected,” Ghoniem says.</p>

<p>"Responding to the neighbouring coastline, soothing curves add a relaxing regional overlay, while unique detailing really sets it apart. It’s a place that feels lived in from the moment you step inside.”</p>

<p data-end="236" data-start="64">A standout feature of The Frederick is its rooftop terrace, an uncommon inclusion for a boutique, low-rise building, where amenity is typically concentrated at ground level.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5360]</p>

<p data-end="523" data-start="308">Positioned to capture panoramic views from the hinterland to the ocean, the rooftop has been designed as a series of intimate zones. It includes a pool, sauna, sun decks, workspaces and dedicated entertaining areas.</p>

<p data-end="670" data-start="525">“The rooftop was conceived as a collection of spaces where residents can unwind and connect, an extension of the Nobby’s lifestyle,” Barrett says.</p>

<p data-end="760" data-start="672">Architecture for the project was led by Plus Architecture, with landscape design by LDG.</p>

<p data-end="951" data-start="762">SRQ Projects Director Nick Clydsdale, who is handling sales at The Frederick, says the majority of enquiry is coming from South East QLD and Victorian buyers who have been actively searching between Broadbeach and Mermaid Beach for some time.</p>

<p data-end="951" data-start="762">"They’ve reviewed a number of projects, however this one has stood out for its design flair/ appeal,"&nbsp;Clydsdale says.</p>

<p data-end="951" data-start="762">Site demolition is slated for this month, with construction commencing soon after. Big Projects is targeting a late 2027 completion.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=110588]</p>


Joel Robinson

Big Projects taps Sydney’s YSG for first multi-residential project at The Frederick Mermaid Beach

<p>Melbourne-based property developer ALTA Property has this week achieved planning approval for the adaptive re-use of a former commercial tower into a $200 million, 169-apartment project at 10 Queens Road, one of the last developable sites along the Albert Park Lake-fronting boulevard.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Set within one of Melbourne’s most sought-after precincts and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fraser-partners-0">Fraser and Partners</a>, the illustrious building will offer unparalleled views across Albert Park Lake, Port Phillip Bay and Melbourne CBD.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The mix of 1, 2 and 3-bedroom residences will be complemented by a ground-floor amenity featuring private dining, a lounge bar, gym and wellness spaces, co-working, outdoor communal gardens, and retail.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The 17-storey building is a masterclass in adaptive re-use, with the existing commercial building’s façade, shell and internal structure to be retained, before high-end residences are built from the ground up in a newly built Albert Park facing addition to the building.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sitting atop the building will be two 320+sqm penthouses with private rooftop terraces, which are expected to be priced between $9 - $11 million.&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa11211b-5581-43f9-940c-fc84d30a0e61" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/C_04.png?VersionId=Yhf5p_1EgGDu_zOIMFgvA8Ug8j3sTFQs" /></p>

<p>Architecturally, the building will feature a curved, geometric façade that celebrates and elevates the existing structure, with warm, muted tones which were selected to extend the materiality of the existing building rather than contrast it.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors will bring together three metre high ceilings with waffle concrete in some spaces, natural timber, granite and Australian materials, culminating in crafted, generous and considered spaces that are defined by authenticity.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The adaptive re-use means that the Queens Road project will be a sustainability led, high-quality finished product, with a 62% saving in carbon emissions by re-using the existing structure rather than knocking it down and rebuilding.&nbsp;</p>

<p>ALTA Property was launched by Nigel Givoni in 2023, bringing over 25 years of experience in multi level residential delivery.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Melbourne’s property market growth is currently led by apartments. According to RPM VIC Apartments &amp; Townhomes Market Report (April 2026), units are outpacing houses, especially in the middle ring suburbs where median prices hit $757,500 – a four-year high that represents 2.9 percent growth quarter-on-quarter.&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="647e13d7-b4bc-433a-9bc9-fe3c3dd4f2ec" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/V_06.png?VersionId=ou4NUCWUgA3NAy.6CQJlEdKX50j3dOk6" /></p>

<p>For ALTA Property Founder Nigel Givoni, this performance speaks to the confidence he has in the Melbourne market.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“Queens Road represents a rare opportunity to continue to shape our presence in the Melbourne market.,"&nbsp;Givoni says.</p>

<p>"With a considered project team and a premier site along one of the city’s most sought-after boulevards, we look forward to contributing to the fabric of this established address.</p>

<p>“Other Australian markets are getting a lot of attention, but I believe the depth of value in Melbourne is being overlooked. The fundamentals are strong, population growth is steady and, based on our preliminary conversations with a leading builder, construction costs are beginning to normalise, creating further opportunity."</p>

<p>Givoni says the project is a&nbsp;highly considered example of adaptive re-use, delivering quality, high-end residences, premium hotel-inspired amenities and an architecturally striking façade, all achieved without the need to remove the existing structure.</p>

<p>"We are really looking forward to the market’s response,” he said.&nbsp;</p>


ALTA Property to deliver $200 million Queens Road apartment tower

<p>Construction is set to begin at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/orchard-mews-glen-iris-18-scott-grove-glen-iris-vic-3146">Orchard Mews</a> in Glen Iris, with&nbsp;PC Whitehall &amp; Sons&nbsp;now appointed as the townhome development moves into its next phase.</p>

<p>The development by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/montcoeur">MontCoeur</a>,&nbsp;located at 18 Scott Grove, is now around 30 per cent sold, with completion targeted for late-2027.</p>

<p>Orchard Mews comprises a curated collection of three- and four-bedroom customisable townhomes, positioned within one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/glen-iris-vic-3146">Glen Iris</a>’ more tightly held residential streets. The low-density project has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a>, with landscape architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/jack-merlo">Jack Merlo</a>, bringing together a team known for high-end residential projects across Melbourne.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366285]</p>

<p>The development is defined by its focus on flexible living and long-term usability. Each residence includes multiple living zones and a customisable multipurpose room, allowing buyers to tailor spaces to suit changing needs, whether as a home office, additional bedroom, wellness area or entertainment space.</p>

<p>Architecturally, the townhomes emphasise natural light and spatial volume, with dual-aspect layouts and double-height living areas incorporated into the design. Interiors feature natural stone benchtops, premium appliances, and a neutral material palette intended to support everyday functionality rather than statement-driven finishes.</p>

<p>All residences are all-electric and include private lifts and secure double garages, reflecting a broader shift toward sustainability and future-focused housing in Melbourne’s established suburbs.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366277]</p>

<p>Outdoor connections are also central to the offering, with a mix of private courtyards and terraces extending internal living spaces and integrating with the landscaped surrounds.</p>

<p>The Scott Grove address places Orchard Mews within close proximity to some of Melbourne’s key lifestyle and education amenities, including Scotch College, Sacré Cœur, Cabrini Hospital and the retail hub of Chadstone. Public transport access is also nearby, with trams and Gardiner Station providing connectivity to the CBD and surrounding suburbs.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150128]</p>


Construction to commence at luxury Glen Iris townhome project, Orchard Mews

<p data-end="150" data-start="66">A rare new apartment development has been proposed on the fringe of St Ives Village.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152">Developer Newquest Property has lodged plans for a low-rise apartment project designed by well-regarded architecture firm Warren &amp; Mahoney, which is best known for its work in the multi-residential sector in Melbourne.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152">The building, proposed for a 1,916 sqm site on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/st-ives-residences-3-5-memorial-avenue-nsw-2075">Memorial Avenue</a> opposite St Ives Village Green, has been designed to blend into the surrounding natural environment.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152"><img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5c1c7437-2fba-4345-a6d7-05321714ad3e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.28.46%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=KrYyMaJvNqR7vbx0xbB3Ef8sJ6FuHpmn" /></p>

<p data-end="745" data-start="537">“Drawing inspiration from the pale trunks and flowering canopies of the scribbly gums and blue gums prevalent in the area, a considered material palette was developed,” the architectural design report states.</p>

<p data-end="912" data-start="747">“This palette references the established materiality of the suburb while elevating it through refined finishes to achieve a more luxurious architectural expression.”</p>

<p data-end="1185" data-start="914">Of the 33 apartments proposed, 21 will be three-bedroom residences. The remaining mix includes nine two-bedroom apartments, one one-bedroom apartment and two four-bedroom residences. The development will be supported by 62 car parking spaces and 33 secure bicycle spaces.</p>

<p data-end="1270" data-start="1187">The proposal would replace two single-storey brick buildings currently on the site.</p>

<p data-end="1270" data-start="1187"><img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="21422eaf-09a9-4439-9278-b9bd9daf22a1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.38.10%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=v.fXSgcUcEscvOZzqcjG5nk3gVqk_Amt" /></p>

<p data-end="1467" data-start="1272">St Ives remains a relatively untapped market for new apartment development. North Shore developer WINIM has a number of projects in the area, while INCA is nearing completion of Ellis Residences.</p>

<p data-end="1635" data-start="1469">More recently, Traders In Purple has lodged plans for one of the denser projects proposed in the suburb, a 75-apartment development on a 5,900 sqm site on Cowan Road.</p>

<p data-end="1635" data-start="1469">NewQuest, a construction, design and development firm, has delivered over 24 projects across commercial, residential, industrial, and lad markets.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>


First look: NewQuest Property proposes new St Ives apartment development

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/centa-property-group">Centa Property Group</a> has achieved two major milestones at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bilinga-house-107-golden-four-drive-bilinga-qld-4225">Bilinga House</a> apartment development in the sought-after southern Gold Coast.</p>

<p>They've almost sold 50 per cent of the Golden Four Drive building, while at the same time announcing the commencement of construction through reputable builder Greyburn Construction.</p>

<p>The boutique 10-storey building, with 47 two- and three-bedroom apartments, now has a mid-to-late 2028 completion date.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5333]</p>

<p>The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>-designed project is positioned just 200 metres from Bilinga Beach and brings a relatively rare apartment offering to a market that has seen limited new supply in recent years.</p>

<p>Residences have been designed to maximise natural light and ventilation, with open-plan interiors, generous glazing, and material palettes that reflect the surrounding coastal landscape.</p>

<p>Interiors incorporate engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, and custom joinery, with layouts designed to adapt to both permanent living and lock-and-leave use.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]</p>

<p>Rothelowman Senior Project Leader Matthew Tencate said the design approach centres on liveability and community.</p>

<p>“Providing curated on-site amenities and communal spaces for residents that facilitate a sense of community, liveability, and wellness,” Tencate said.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a suite of private amenities including a pool, gym, sauna, and communal alfresco areas, alongside practical features such as surfboard storage and bicycle facilities.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]</p>

<p>Centa Property Group Director Jason Yuen said the project has been designed to appeal to a range of buyers seeking flexibility in how they use their property.</p>

<p>“Bilinga House is designed for those who want the best of both worlds – a modern beachside escape with the flexibility to generate income when you're not there,” Yuen said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5338]</p>

<p>Bilinga remains one of the quieter pockets of the Gold Coast, sitting between the more established hubs of Coolangatta and Palm Beach. Its appeal has strengthened in recent years, supported by proximity to the Gold Coast Airport and the Oceanway coastal path.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150037]</p>


Bilinga House apartments snapped up as Greyburn commences construction

<p>Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.</p>

<p>They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.</p>

<p>They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.</p>

<p>Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" /></p>

<p>Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor</p>

<p>Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" /></p>

<p>Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>​</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.</p>

<p>With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.</p>


Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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<p>It’s danger time for investors tempted to buy high-rise apartments on the Gold Coast. </p>
<p>There are few entities more skilled in the art of seduction than the Gold Coast propaganda machine. </p>
<p>What makes it doubly dangerous is that the Gold Coast can spin a pretty plausible story right now, as long as it ignores its appalling record on capital growth.</p>
<p>There’s the high level of spending on infrastructure. There’s the billions that corporations, both Australian and foreign, want to throw at casinos, resort hotels, cruise ship terminals and mega high-rise apartment blocks. There’s the marketing appeal of the 2018 Commonwealth Games.</p>
<p>Marketers can pull together some credible-sounding data which suggests that the oversupply of the past has been soaked up and that markets are growing again.</p>
<p>The marketing machine will have little trouble mounting a case that the market is beyond recovery and is rising rapidly. And there is no shortage of gun-for-hire companies purporting to be independent and willing to make a statistics-based case for the viability of all those new mega towers.</p>
<p>Last week a report claiming the Gold Coast will need another 133 apartment towers just to cope with the impending population boom got widespread media coverage. It’s amazing how readily media will take a piece of crystal-ball-gazing and turn it into fact for consumption by a gullible public.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p>A bullish and self-serving forecast was converted into a statement that the population <span>will</span> jump 76% in the next 20 years. And “many of those people <span>will</span> need to be housed in high-rise apartments” and the population growth <span>will</span> “mean demand for 156,000 new dwellings to cope with the influx”.</p>
<p>I wonder how many investors will pause to consider the outcome if those predictions are wide of the mark. Population projections are never accurate. Even in the short periods between the official census counts, government and private sector population estimates are shown to be faulty, and sometimes wildly inaccurate.</p>
<p>Property investors are essentially herd animals and the impulse to follow the pack as it starts to stampede towards the latest Gold Coast mirage will be irresistible for many. The FOMO Syndrome will drive too many to pay too much for generic high-rise dwellings in an oversupplied market and spend the next five to ten years regretting it.</p>
<p>It’s all happened many times before on the Gold Coast. But investors seldom learn the lessons of history, in some cases because they are blissfully ignorant of it.</p>
<p>They need to know that the Gold Coast has not yet fully emerged from the most recent glut of high-rise apartments, one that has taken six years to absorb. In that time property values have gone backwards in all the major high-rise suburbs – and are still in reverse.</p>
<p>Two major research sources – Australian Property Monitors and the Real Estate Institute of Queensland – confirm that the median prices for apartments Surfers Paradise, Main Beach, Broadbeach and Southport remain significantly lower than they were five years ago.</p>
<p>And prices are still falling. In the past 12 months, prices have fallen further in Surfers Paradise (down 2.9%), Main Beach (down 4.1%) and Southport (down 4.3%). </p>
<p>In the cases of both Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, apartments are worth less today than they were in 2005. For both Main Beach and Southport, prices are still at the same levels as 10 years ago. The investors who bought in these locations a decade ago have had no capital growth at all. How many markets can you say that about?</p>
<p>In Surfers Paradise, prices fell in the past three months, the past 12 months ago, the past three years, the past five years and the past 10 years. Not a single growth figure to be found. Of all the big-name markets around Australia, perhaps only Noosa on the Sunshine Coast is a bigger dud.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p>Those who bought in the Gold Coast high-rise markets five years ago have lost a lot of money. In Main Beach, the median unit price has dropped from $652,000 in 2010 to $561,000 today. The average punter is $91,000 worse off. There are similar results for Surfers Paradise, Broadbeach and Southport.</p>
<p>And it’s all about to happen all over again. Only this time, the outcomes will be worse, because the towers being built are larger and more numerous.</p>
<p>For investors who are susceptible to a strong marketing pitch, it’s time to be afraid, be very afraid.</p>
<p><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Beware the Gold Coast propaganda machine: Terry Ryder

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<p>The hottest market across Brisbane is the middle-ring precinct on the city’s southside.</p>
<p>There’s been quite a chorus of commentators suggesting that, with Sydney having almost exhausted its three-year ride at the top, that Brisbane and South East Queensland is the next market to demand the focus of buyers.</p>
<p>At Hotspotting we tend to agree with that, although Brisbane sales activity has been elevated for some time now. It just hasn’t shown up yet in the generalised figure that describes the price growth rate for the entire city, although individual precincts have had good growth.</p>
<p>Brisbane’s recovery, in terms or rising sales volumes, began in the middle-ring suburbs north of the CBD – the precinct I call Brisbane Northside – about 18 months ago. This has translated into double-digit growth in median prices in many of the Brisbane Northside suburbs.</p>
<p>More recently, the focus has switched to the south. A year or so ago, Logan City (the LGA which covers the urban landscape between Brisbane City and Gold Coast City) began to rise. The <em>Price Predictor Index</em> nominated Logan City as the No.1 municipality in Australia in terms of the number of suburbs with rising sales volumes, for both the December 2014 and March 2015 quarters.</p>
<p>Then in the June Quarter Brisbane Southside surged and is now level with Logan City in terms of growth suburbs.</p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">In the past week the Hotspotting team has been researching properties on the market in the middle-ring suburbs in the Brisbane Southside precinct and has found properties listed online are going under contract with startling speed. Most of the homes we targeted a week ago have sold since.</span></p>
<p>Other sectors across the Brisbane metropolitan area also have elevated activity, but properties are not selling as quickly as they are in the Southside precinct.</p>
<p>This area includes a range of middle market suburbs and affordable suburbs south of the CBD.</p>
<p>Typical suburbs include Greenslopes (median house price $585,000), Holland Park ($630,000), Annerley ($640,000), Mount Gravatt ($555,000), Sunnybank ($660,000), Sunnybank Hills ($560,000), Robertson ($720,000), Eight Miles Plains ($625,000). </p>
<p>Cheaper locations include Algester ($460,000), Oxley ($490,000) and Coopers Plains ($490,000). The most affordable options include Inala ($310,000), Darra ($340,000) and Acacia Ridge ($350,000).</p>
<p>Some suburbs have unit/townhouse markets with affordable prices, including Greenslopes ($median $355,000), Holland Park ($290,000), Holland Park West ($380,000) and Annerley ($390,000). Many investors in this precinct are seeking opportunities to buy houses where there’s the ability to build duplexes or townhouses on the block.</p>
<p>These areas are generally well-serviced by major roads, including the Pacific Motorway, and some have commuter train stations linking north the Brisbane CBD and south to the Gold Coast.</p>
<p>One of the standout regions within this precinct is the one centred on Nathan, where there is Griffith University, Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Hospital, Westfield Garden City shopping centre and quick access to the Pacific Motorway. </p>
<p>Macgregor (median house price $660,000) is well positioned to access those amenities.</p>
<p><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p>
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Hottest Brisbane market is in the middle-ring: Terry Ryder

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<p><span>Last week, the auction clearance rate across the combined capital cities was 71.2%, the lowest weekly clearance rate since February this year, however it was the fifth busiest week for auctions so far this year (2,654). </span></p>
<p><span>To put this into perspective based on reported results, last week an estimated 1,890 homes were sold as a result of an auction campaign across the nation’s capital cities. This week, CoreLogic RP Data is tracking just shy of 2,600 auctions, showing the number of homes being taken to auction remains relatively steady.</span></p>
<p><span>This week, Melbourne is expected to host 1,120 auctions, followed closely by Sydney with 1,068. Last week, across both cities the clearance rates fell on a week-on-week basis, down to 74.3% for Melbourne and 73.1% for Sydney. This result for Sydney was the lowest recorded so far this year; however, it still represented the second strongest result across any other capital city market.</span></p>
<p><span>Across Adelaide, auction volumes will rise this week, up from 89 last week to 101 this week. In Canberra, 124 auctions are scheduled this week, compared to a lower 79 last week. Meanwhile, auction volumes remain relatively steady in Perth, down slightly from 35 last week to 32 over<br> the current week.</span></p>
<p><span>Brisbane is expecting 149 auctions this week, compared to 179 last week and 154 at the same time last year.</span></p>
<p><span>The busiest suburb for auctions across Australia this week is located in Sydney, with 19 Mosman auctions to be held. Mount Waverley (Vic) and Reservoir (Vic) both have 18 residential auctions this week. </span></p>
<p><span> </span></p>
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Combined capital cities record lowest clearance rate since February: CoreLogic RP Data's Shana Miller

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<p> </p>
<p><span>Over the 2014-15 financial year vacant land selling prices have continued to rise across the combined capital cities. Meanwhile, vacant land prices have actually fallen over the year in regional markets.</span></p>
<p> </p>
<div>
<p>Data based on settled sales over the 2014-15 financial years shows that vacant land selling prices have increased by 6.0% across the combined capital cities. While capital city land prices are increasing, across the combined regional markets land prices have fallen by -3.4% over the year.</p>
<p>As at June 2015, the median selling price of vacant land was recorded at $258,543 across the combined capital cities and $156,500 across the combined regional markets. Median land prices in regional areas of the country are now -39% lower than those in capital cities, the widest differential since August 1990. Over the 25 years to June 2015, median vacant land prices have increased by 417% (6.8%pa) across the combined capital cities and by 422% (6.8%pa) across the combined regional areas.</p>
</div>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/21/2015-09-21--median-vacant-land-prices.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<h3>Median vacant land prices over time</h3>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/21/2015-09-21--median-vacant-land-prices.png" alt=""></p>
</div>
<p>While prices have fairly consistently risen, there has been a consistent trend towards smaller lot sizes. Although you pay a lot more for land you get a lot less for your money. Of those vacant land lots sold over the year to June 2015, the median lot size was 452sqm across the combined capital cities and 810sqm across the combined regional markets.</p>
<p>The median lot size has been reasonably stable across the combined capital cities over the past twelve months, whereas it has actually risen by 8.3% over the past year across regional markets. The median lot size for capital city vacant land has seemingly hit a trough having been relatively stable over the past 2 years. Meanwhile lot sizes have trended higher over the past year in regional areas.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/21/2015-09-21--pp-median-vacant-lot-sizes.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<h3>Median vacant land lot sizes over time</h3>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/21/2015-09-21--pp-median-vacant-lot-sizes.png" alt=""></p>
<p>With higher prices and fairly steady land areas, the rate per square metre of land has continued to rise over the past year across the combined capital cities while it has fallen in regional markets. At the end of June 2015 the rate per square metre was recorded at $557 across the combined capital cities and $170/sqm across the combined regional markets.</p>
<p>Chart 3 shows that the differential in the rate per square metre between capital city and regional residential vacant land is significant. This is a function of the high cost of vacant land in capital cities and the relatively small lot sizes. To put this in perspective, 25 years ago the rate/sqm for capital city vacant land was $66 and the typical lot size was 750sqm. Today capital city land costs $557/sqm and is only 450sqm on average. While a 750sqm lot in a capital city cost $50,000 25 years ago, today it would cost $417,800.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/21/2015-09-21--pp-median-rate-per-sqm.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<h3>Median rate per square metre for vacant land over time</h3>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/21/2015-09-21--pp-median-rate-per-sqm.png" alt=""></p>
<p>When looking at individual capital cities, vacant land prices are much higher than all other capital cities in Sydney. The cost of vacant land has risen sharply over the past year in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth over the past year. Typical lot sizes have actually risen across most cities over the past year but have generally fallen over the past decade. On a rate per square metre basis, vacant land in Sydney and Perth is much more expensive than all other capital cities. The rate per square metre has generally risen over the past year.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/21/2015-09-21--pp-capital-city-vacant-land.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<h3>Capital city vacant land statistics - June 2015*</h3>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/21/2015-09-21--pp-capital-city-vacant-land.png" alt=""></p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic RP Data. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/author/cameron-kusher/" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
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Capital city land prices just keep on rising: Cameron Kusher

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<p>The hardest sell in Australian real estate is convincing anyone they should invest in Tasmania.</p>
<p>It’s been many years since I wanted to try. But the time has arrived to put Tasmania back on the investor radar screen.</p>
<p>For years Tasmania has ranked last or second last among the states and territories on most economic and property indicators. It has a reputation, justified in many cases, as a place that lacks growth of any sort that matters, whether it be population, economic or housing prices.</p>
<p>It’s a cruel reality that it’s easy to get a bad reputation and very hard to lose it. Tasmania is emerging from the deep doldrums that had it ranked last on the list of investment possibilities for most Australians – but it will take time to convince anyone.</p>
<p>But, for the first time in many years, Tasmania’s main cities have been included in the Hotspotting reports that forecast of the growth markets of the future.</p>
<p>Slowly, but steadily the news is getting better. Economic indicators have improved and market dynamics are more positive.</p>
<p><span>A recent NAB report gave a generally optimistic outlook for the Tasmanian economy. It </span>found that the state’s economic outlook had improved over the past year, thanks in part to increased business investment and a domestic tourism renaissance.</p>
<p>“This trend is set to continue as the Australian dollar falls, making domestic holidays more attractive for Australians,” it said. “Meanwhile, a falling unemployment rate alongside a rising participation rate suggest that the fundamentals in the Tasmanian labour market are improving.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p>“This is further supported by a slowing rate of interstate migration, which points to a stabilising labour force.</p>
<p>“Stronger activity in dwelling construction is also expected to contribute positively to growth.”</p>
<p>The report forecast economic growth of 2.25% in 2015-16 and 2.0% in 2016-17. </p>
<p>The tourism revival is a big part of the brighter picture. A record 988,000 interstate travellers crossed Bass Strait in 2014-15, a 13% increase. With international visitors up 22%, overall visitors totaled 1.15 million.</p>
<p>With Qantaslink adding 11 return flights to Hobart per week, meaning an estimated 60,000 additional visitors per year, that record may be surpassed.</p>
<p>Visitor spending rose 9% (or $150 million) to $1.89 billion last financial year, so the industry packs some punch for the state’s economy.</p>
<p>Against that background, property markets have been slowly improving over the past 12-18 months. Sales volumes have grown in both Hobart and Launceston – in baby steps, but heading in the right direction.</p>
<p>Affordability is a big factor in favour of the Tasmanian market. Hobart’s median dwelling price of $320,000 looks attractive to mainland investors when placed alongside Melbourne’s $560,000 and Sydney’s $770,000.  </p>
<p>Hobart also looks good from the viewpoint of rental returns, particularly units which have a median rental yield around 5.5%, the best among the capital cities. The median house yield, 5.2%, is second only to Darwin.</p>
<p>It brings to mind the last time Tasmania had a genuine property boom, back in 2003/2004, when it caught the property invesetment wave from the mainland. With Melbourne prices now high after a couple of years of solid growth, we may see a similar pattern of behaviour this time around.</p>
<p><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
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Tasmania the hardest sell in Australian real estate: Terry Ryder

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<div>Having recently listed on the securities exchange, Australian Finance Group (AFG) now opts to release its aggregate mortgage data on a quarterly basis, having previously released monthly figures.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The figures for the September 2015 quarter, which are not seasonally adjusted, revealed a +16% year-on-year increase in mortgage volumes.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/15/AFG1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/15/AFG1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<span>Mortgage volumes have increased by more than +68% over the past three years, which may be partly reflective of changes in market share. </span><br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Average mortgage size soars</span></strong><br><br><div>Significantly the average new mortgage size in Australia has soared further from $433,000 to $471,000 over the past year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/15/AFG2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/15/AFG2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Unsurprisingly, the main driver of the gains has been the average size of mortgages sold in New South Wales which has jumped by more than $60,000 over the past year, and has soared from $454,000 to $584,000 over the past three years. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Over the past year the average mortgage size also increased significantly in Victoria (+$34,000), Queensland (+$24,000), South Australia (+$30,000).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There were also increases over the last year in Western Australia and the Northern Territory, but these resources states saw declines in their respective average mortgage sizes in Q3 2015.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/15/AFG3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/15/AFG3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Investor market share declines</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Perhaps the most significant aspect of this release was the very sharp drop in investor market share.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>According to AFG the investor share appears to have stabilised in recent months at around 32 to 33% of the mortgage market.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Notably investor market share for Q3 2015 of just 33% was well below the 3 year average of 38%.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/15/AFG4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/15/AFG4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div class="separator">This once again implies that APRA's advisory speed limit of +10 per cent annualised credit growth in relation to invetsment loans will be comfortably met in due course, and the housing market story going forward will largely be one of to what extent owner-occupier loans pick up the slack.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Westpac taps the market with raising</span></strong></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">This morning Westpac went into a trading halt and announced that it would be tapping investors for a $3.5 billion renounceable entitlement offer in order to bolster its capital position, while noting in a separate announcement to the ASX that it will be whacking 20bps onto its home loan and investment loan rates, effective from November.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">It is widely expected that the other retail banks will follow suit in due course in respect to mortgage rates.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">This move seems likely to be a game changer for cash rate futures markets, with another interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank as soon as next month already considered by some to be an each way bet.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">If Thursday's employment data is weaker than expected then a rate cut in November may become more likely than not.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">AFG noted in its release that many borrowers consider further rate cuts to be increasingly likely, with fixed rate mortgages declining to just 11.3% of total loans processed for the quarter, which is the lowest level for more than three years. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Average mortgage size soars: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>'Tis an odd thing, by but the </span>Detailed Labour Force<span> figures are so often overlooked or ignored by market commentary, though fortunately not by everybody. Here's ex-Reserve Bank boffin and now ANZ market economist Justin Fabo.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/Fabo.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/Fabo.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<div>Indeed so, the employment data has improved significantly for Brisbane over the year to September 2015. Let's take a look at the latest figures in 3 short parts.</div>
<div> </div>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Part 1 - Large states</span></strong></p>
<div> </div>
<div>Most employment growth over the last 12 months has taken place in Sydney (+68k) and Melbourne (+55k)...but lookee here, because hey presto, regional New South Wales is now creating jobs again (+55k)!<br><br>Regional New South Wales has seen jobs created particularly in Newcastle &amp; Lake Macquarie, the Hunter Valley and the Illawarra. On the other hand regional Victoria has seen total employment decline.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/LF1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/10/26/LF1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><span>Looking at employment growth cumulatively in the two most populous states, we can see that the outlook in regional New South Wales has certainly improved, although the most employment is still created in the Greater Metropolitan area. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/LF2.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/LF2.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>Better still, the total figures reported for regional unemployment now seems to be declining again after a worrying surge through 2014.</span><br><br><span>This represents evidence that at least some of the fallout from mining and construction contract layoffs is now in the rear view mirror, at least from an employment perspective. While aggregate demand may still be in declining in some mining regions, many of those contracted for the construction phase of mining projects have now returned to the capital cities. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/LF3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/LF3.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Part 2 - Brisbane bounce</span></strong><br><br></p>
<div>The other location which created a material number of jobs over the past year was Brisbane (+34k).<br><br>In fairness - while not charted here due to immateriality - Hobart's small labour market has also been picking up very nicely (+3k).<br><br>Not so much doing elsewhere.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/26/LF4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/26/LF4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>Piecing the jobs growth data together, over the past year the growth in employment has been almost entirely accounted for by Greater Sydney (30 per cent), Greater Melbourne (25 per cent), Greater Brisbane (15 per cent), and regional New South Wales (24 per cent).</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/26/LF5.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/LF5.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Part 3 - Unemployment dispersion</span></strong><br><br><div>The dispersion of unemployment rates across Australia continues.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Amazingly enough Hobart recorded an unemployment rate of just 4.9 per cent in September, a remarkable turnaround as the Aussie dollar has depreciated, evidently boosting the local economy.<br><br>Unemployment has also declined steadily in Greater Brisbane (5.4 per cent) and Melbourne (6.3 per cent).<br><br>Meanwhile in Greater Sydney unemployment remains relatively low (5.3 per cent), though the Sydney result has been skewed higher by rising unemployment rates on the Central Coast, and in Blacktown.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>On the other hand, Perth (6.1 per cent) and Adelaide (7.6 per cent) have unemployment rates that remain in a clear uptrend.<br><br>Smoothing the original data on a rolling annual basis reveals the dispersion more clearly, with Hobart, Brisbane, and Melbourne showing the greatest improvement.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/26/LF6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/26/LF6.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>I've been concerned about unemployment rates in a number of regional centres of the last year or two, so it has been pleasing to see the reported unemployment rates falling sharply in cities such as Geelong (4.8 per cent), Newcastle (5.1 per cent), the Hunter (7.3 per cent), though unemployment rates remain too high for comfort in a number of Queensland regions.</div>
<br><div>Greater Brisbane's unemployment rate has ticked down to 5.9 per cent on a 12mMA basis after some elevated readings at the beginning of 2015, despite an unemployment rate of above 9 per cent in Logan-Beaudesert.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/LF7.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/10/26/LF7.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>On the other hand Greater Adelaide's unemployment rate is now tracking consistently at around 7.6 per cent or above, and has ticked up to 7.3 per cent on a 12mMA basis. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/LF8.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/LF8.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p><span> </span></p>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
<p><span> </span></p>
</div>
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Brisbane looking up: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>The number of homes taken to auction this week increased to 3,086, up from 2,858 over the previous week, while the preliminary clearance rate of 66.6% is down from 67.4% last week, making this week the second lowest clearance rate recorded all year. </span></p>
<p><span>The clearance rate has now been below the 70% mark for 6 weeks in a row. Over the corresponding week last year, the clearance rate was 69.3% and 3,231 auctions were held.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-capital-city.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-capital-city.jpg" alt="" width="743" height="558"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>Across </span><strong>Melbourne</strong><span>, auction volumes are the highest they have been all year with 1,663 properties taken to auction this week, while the clearance rate of 69.8% fell from 72.7 per cent across 1,398 auctions last week. This is the third lowest clearance rate for the year. At the same time last year, Melbourne was host to 1,837 auctions and a clearance rate of 71.0% was recorded. The busiest Melbourne sub-region this week was the Inner region where 341 auctions were held and a clearance rate of 73.7% was recorded.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-Melbourne.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-Melbourne.jpg" alt="" width="676" height="454"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><strong>Sydney’s</strong><span> preliminary auction clearance rate improved this week after the lowest clearance rate for the year was recorded last week. This week, 64.4% of the 995 auctions scheduled were successful, up from 63.7% across 1,105 auctions over the previous week. Although the clearance rate has improved this week, it is still well below the 74.8% recorded across 961 auctions at the same time last year. The Eastern suburbs sub-region of Sydney has shown the strongest performance so far this week, with 84.3% of the 109 reported results selling, with 20 remaining results yet to be collected.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-Sydney.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-Sydney.jpg" alt="" width="704" height="475"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>In </span><strong>Brisbane</strong><span>, 223 auctions were held this week and a clearance rate of 54.8 % was recorded. Looking at last week, volumes were lower with 145 properties taken to auction and a clearance rate of 47.6%. Over the same week last year, 46.3% of the 211 auctions were successful. The </span><strong>Gold Coast </strong><span>saw 71.4% of the 21 reported auctions sell this week.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-Brisbane.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-Brisbane.jpg" alt="" width="795" height="530"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>This week, </span><strong>Adelaide</strong><span> recorded a preliminary clearance rate of 74.6%; with 67 reported results across a total of 103 scheduled auctions. In comparison, over the previous week Adelaide’s clearance rate was 67.5% and 56.5% one year ago.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-Adelaide.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/26/20151026-Adelaide.jpg" alt="" width="814" height="552"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p>There were 33 <strong>Perth</strong> auctions this week and so far 16 results have been reported, with just 31.3%selling. Last week there was a 46.2% clearance rate for Perth although only 16 auctions were held.</p>
<p><strong>Canberra’s</strong> preliminary auction clearance rate of 67.6% this week is similar to last week, when the final auction clearance rate was 68.0% and higher than the 58.3% recorded last year.</p>
<p>Of the 8 <strong>Tasmanian</strong> auction results reported so far this week, 4 sales have been recorded.</p>
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Melbourne’s clearance rate falls below 70%: CoreLogic RP Data's Shana Miller

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<div>Now the construction sector is expanding again per AIG.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Some good analysis from AIG that is well worth a read - apartment construction is an obvious strong point, which makes the drag on second quarter GDP by dwelling construction something of a mystery.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Perhaps the residential construction industry is operating at or close to its full capacity?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In any case, I expect dwelling construction to contribute to the economic growth in the third quarter.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/09/PCI.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/09/PCI.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>All three of </span>AIG's Performance Indices<span> are now in expansion territory - manufacturing, construction and services.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/09/AIG.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/09/AIG.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Source: AIG</p>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Construction expands in August: Pete Wargent

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<div>The ABS released its Labour Force data for August 2015, which came in somewhat better than had been expected. </div>
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<div>The market had feared material downward revisions to employment figures following amendments to population growth assumptions, but happily in the event the impact was fairly benign.</div>
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<div>It is nevertheless worth looking at the revised data in the long run employment chart below to show the new shape of the chart...which is to say, essentially very similar.</div>
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<div>Total employment was revised down, but over the year total employment still increased by +235,000 or +2.0% (up from +1.8% in the year to July), an impressive headline figure and the strongest annual increase in the seasonally adjusted data series since April 2011.</div>
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<div>Handily this rate of employment growth is now far ahead of the rate of population growth, which following the latest Arrivals &amp; Departures (see link for more) figures I now estimate to be tracking at only around +1.3%.</div>
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<div><span>Employment rose by +17,400 in August following an upwardly revised gain in employment of +39,200 in August, which is a fine result in the circumstances and well ahead of market expectations of +5,000.</span></div>
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<div><span>Full time jobs accounted for most of the monthly gains, and over the past year there have been more full time jobs created (+130,700) than part time positions (+104,200) - although as you can see below part time employment is taking a more significant role in the labour force than it once did. </span></div>
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<div class="separator"><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">State versus state...&amp; the unemployment rate</span></strong></div>
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<div class="separator">The net employment gains in August were mainly accounted for by Queensland (+11,200) and New South Wales (+9,200), with the New South Wales economy adding a thunderous +118,800 jobs over the past year, more than half of the total for Australia, and overwhelmingly full time positions.</div>
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<div class="separator">Victoria (+63,000), Western Australia (+22,100) and Queensland (+20,700) also added net employment over the past year, but South Australia has gone backwards over the same time period. </div>
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<span>I have been warning here for at least a couple of years now that the longer this ugly dynamic continues and without a kickstart for the local economy the greater the fallout could be in terms of South Australian unemployment. </span><br><span><br></span><span>Amazingly there were more full time employed persons in Q4 2007 in South Australia than there are today. </span><br><span><br></span><span>The below graphic shows that while the New South Wales economy has added a stonking +267,200 jobs over the past five years, the two southern states combined have added essentially none. </span>
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<div>That said, with the depreciating dollar the outlook for Tasmania has improved considerably over the past 18 months, and without sigificant population growth to be absorbed the trend unemployment rate in the Apple Isle has declined from a peak of 8.1 per cent in August 2013 to just 6.5 per cent today.<br><br>That's great to see.</div>
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<div>Unfortunately the same cannot be said for South Australia where the trend unemployment rate has spiked alarmingly from 6.6 per cent to 8.1 per cent and rising in less than a year. </div>
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<div>Concerningly it appears likely that there may yet be worse to come as the "Holden effect" takes its toll across the suburbs of Adelaide, with mining and manufacturing two of the worst hit sectors of the labour market.</div>
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<div>The unemployment rate in resources rich Western Australia has also continued to trend up to 6.1 per cent from just 3.7 per cent in June 2012. </div>
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<div>New South Wales has been the clear standout despite soft regional employment growth, with low interest rates allowing the Sydney economy and housing market to fire on all cylinders. </div>
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<br>At the national level despite some statistical noise along the way the trend unemployment rate has now been steady for the past 12 months at 6.2 per cent.</div>
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<div>With the rate of employment growth comfortablt outpacing the rate of population growth, has the unemployment rate therefore peaked for this cycle? Perhaps, but the jury is still out on that one. </div>
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<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></div>
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<div>This was a robust result with the economy adding a sprightly +235,000 jobs over the past year and with corresponding important implications for monetary policy settings. </div>
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<div>Had the unemployment rate jumped higher as had been anticipated by some analysts prior to this release then the Reserve Bank may well have been inclined to pull the trigger on further interest rate cuts.</div>
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<div>Fortunately in the event the labour force figures were considerably better than had been feared and markets now appear fairly certain that interest rates will stay on hold at 2 per cent through October. </div>
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<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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