<p>Apartment developers in the Gold Coast are finding new, creative ways to differentiate themselves from competing projects, as new supply starts to flow through up and down the Coast.</p>

<p>Developer Big Projects brought in the renowned Sydney-based design studio YSG to craft the interiors for The Frederick, Big Projects' new Mermaid Beach project and YSG's first move into the multi-residential development space.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5346]</p>

<p>It was a strategic move for Big Projects to bring in a Sydney eye to the development.</p>

<p>“Our role is to give our design partners the space and freedom to explore,” says Matt Barrett, Director of Big Projects.</p>

<p>“We wanted YSG Studio to capture the essence of Nobby’s, to design a building that embraces life, light and connection, while creating a genuine sense of place.”</p>

<p>There are only 39 apartments in The Frederick, including a striking beach house, just 100 metres from the booming Nobby Beach precinct.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5347]</p>

<p>Yasmine Ghoniem, Director of YSG Studio, says their vision&nbsp;for The Frederick "reinvents coastal living."</p>

<p>“Nobby’s has such an iconic energy, it’s one of those rare pockets of the Gold Coast where the community, the beach, and the streets all feel connected,” Ghoniem says.</p>

<p>"Responding to the neighbouring coastline, soothing curves add a relaxing regional overlay, while unique detailing really sets it apart. It’s a place that feels lived in from the moment you step inside.”</p>

<p data-end="236" data-start="64">A standout feature of The Frederick is its rooftop terrace, an uncommon inclusion for a boutique, low-rise building, where amenity is typically concentrated at ground level.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5360]</p>

<p data-end="523" data-start="308">Positioned to capture panoramic views from the hinterland to the ocean, the rooftop has been designed as a series of intimate zones. It includes a pool, sauna, sun decks, workspaces and dedicated entertaining areas.</p>

<p data-end="670" data-start="525">“The rooftop was conceived as a collection of spaces where residents can unwind and connect, an extension of the Nobby’s lifestyle,” Barrett says.</p>

<p data-end="760" data-start="672">Architecture for the project was led by Plus Architecture, with landscape design by LDG.</p>

<p data-end="951" data-start="762">SRQ Projects Director Nick Clydsdale, who is handling sales at The Frederick, says the majority of enquiry is coming from South East QLD and Victorian buyers who have been actively searching between Broadbeach and Mermaid Beach for some time.</p>

<p data-end="951" data-start="762">"They’ve reviewed a number of projects, however this one has stood out for its design flair/ appeal,"&nbsp;Clydsdale says.</p>

<p data-end="951" data-start="762">Site demolition is slated for this month, with construction commencing soon after. Big Projects is targeting a late 2027 completion.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=110588]</p>


Joel Robinson

Big Projects taps Sydney’s YSG for first multi-residential project at The Frederick Mermaid Beach

<p>Melbourne-based property developer ALTA Property has this week achieved planning approval for the adaptive re-use of a former commercial tower into a $200 million, 169-apartment project at 10 Queens Road, one of the last developable sites along the Albert Park Lake-fronting boulevard.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Set within one of Melbourne’s most sought-after precincts and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fraser-partners-0">Fraser and Partners</a>, the illustrious building will offer unparalleled views across Albert Park Lake, Port Phillip Bay and Melbourne CBD.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The mix of 1, 2 and 3-bedroom residences will be complemented by a ground-floor amenity featuring private dining, a lounge bar, gym and wellness spaces, co-working, outdoor communal gardens, and retail.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The 17-storey building is a masterclass in adaptive re-use, with the existing commercial building’s façade, shell and internal structure to be retained, before high-end residences are built from the ground up in a newly built Albert Park facing addition to the building.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sitting atop the building will be two 320+sqm penthouses with private rooftop terraces, which are expected to be priced between $9 - $11 million.&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa11211b-5581-43f9-940c-fc84d30a0e61" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/C_04.png?VersionId=Yhf5p_1EgGDu_zOIMFgvA8Ug8j3sTFQs" /></p>

<p>Architecturally, the building will feature a curved, geometric façade that celebrates and elevates the existing structure, with warm, muted tones which were selected to extend the materiality of the existing building rather than contrast it.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors will bring together three metre high ceilings with waffle concrete in some spaces, natural timber, granite and Australian materials, culminating in crafted, generous and considered spaces that are defined by authenticity.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The adaptive re-use means that the Queens Road project will be a sustainability led, high-quality finished product, with a 62% saving in carbon emissions by re-using the existing structure rather than knocking it down and rebuilding.&nbsp;</p>

<p>ALTA Property was launched by Nigel Givoni in 2023, bringing over 25 years of experience in multi level residential delivery.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Melbourne’s property market growth is currently led by apartments. According to RPM VIC Apartments &amp; Townhomes Market Report (April 2026), units are outpacing houses, especially in the middle ring suburbs where median prices hit $757,500 – a four-year high that represents 2.9 percent growth quarter-on-quarter.&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="647e13d7-b4bc-433a-9bc9-fe3c3dd4f2ec" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/V_06.png?VersionId=ou4NUCWUgA3NAy.6CQJlEdKX50j3dOk6" /></p>

<p>For ALTA Property Founder Nigel Givoni, this performance speaks to the confidence he has in the Melbourne market.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“Queens Road represents a rare opportunity to continue to shape our presence in the Melbourne market.,"&nbsp;Givoni says.</p>

<p>"With a considered project team and a premier site along one of the city’s most sought-after boulevards, we look forward to contributing to the fabric of this established address.</p>

<p>“Other Australian markets are getting a lot of attention, but I believe the depth of value in Melbourne is being overlooked. The fundamentals are strong, population growth is steady and, based on our preliminary conversations with a leading builder, construction costs are beginning to normalise, creating further opportunity."</p>

<p>Givoni says the project is a&nbsp;highly considered example of adaptive re-use, delivering quality, high-end residences, premium hotel-inspired amenities and an architecturally striking façade, all achieved without the need to remove the existing structure.</p>

<p>"We are really looking forward to the market’s response,” he said.&nbsp;</p>


ALTA Property to deliver $200 million Queens Road apartment tower

<p>Construction is set to begin at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/orchard-mews-glen-iris-18-scott-grove-glen-iris-vic-3146">Orchard Mews</a> in Glen Iris, with&nbsp;PC Whitehall &amp; Sons&nbsp;now appointed as the townhome development moves into its next phase.</p>

<p>The development by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/montcoeur">MontCoeur</a>,&nbsp;located at 18 Scott Grove, is now around 30 per cent sold, with completion targeted for late-2027.</p>

<p>Orchard Mews comprises a curated collection of three- and four-bedroom customisable townhomes, positioned within one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/glen-iris-vic-3146">Glen Iris</a>’ more tightly held residential streets. The low-density project has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a>, with landscape architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/jack-merlo">Jack Merlo</a>, bringing together a team known for high-end residential projects across Melbourne.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366285]</p>

<p>The development is defined by its focus on flexible living and long-term usability. Each residence includes multiple living zones and a customisable multipurpose room, allowing buyers to tailor spaces to suit changing needs, whether as a home office, additional bedroom, wellness area or entertainment space.</p>

<p>Architecturally, the townhomes emphasise natural light and spatial volume, with dual-aspect layouts and double-height living areas incorporated into the design. Interiors feature natural stone benchtops, premium appliances, and a neutral material palette intended to support everyday functionality rather than statement-driven finishes.</p>

<p>All residences are all-electric and include private lifts and secure double garages, reflecting a broader shift toward sustainability and future-focused housing in Melbourne’s established suburbs.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366277]</p>

<p>Outdoor connections are also central to the offering, with a mix of private courtyards and terraces extending internal living spaces and integrating with the landscaped surrounds.</p>

<p>The Scott Grove address places Orchard Mews within close proximity to some of Melbourne’s key lifestyle and education amenities, including Scotch College, Sacré Cœur, Cabrini Hospital and the retail hub of Chadstone. Public transport access is also nearby, with trams and Gardiner Station providing connectivity to the CBD and surrounding suburbs.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150128]</p>


Construction to commence at luxury Glen Iris townhome project, Orchard Mews

<p data-end="150" data-start="66">A rare new apartment development has been proposed on the fringe of St Ives Village.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152">Developer Newquest Property has lodged plans for a low-rise apartment project designed by well-regarded architecture firm Warren &amp; Mahoney, which is best known for its work in the multi-residential sector in Melbourne.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152">The building, proposed for a 1,916 sqm site on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/st-ives-residences-3-5-memorial-avenue-nsw-2075">Memorial Avenue</a> opposite St Ives Village Green, has been designed to blend into the surrounding natural environment.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152"><img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5c1c7437-2fba-4345-a6d7-05321714ad3e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.28.46%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=KrYyMaJvNqR7vbx0xbB3Ef8sJ6FuHpmn" /></p>

<p data-end="745" data-start="537">“Drawing inspiration from the pale trunks and flowering canopies of the scribbly gums and blue gums prevalent in the area, a considered material palette was developed,” the architectural design report states.</p>

<p data-end="912" data-start="747">“This palette references the established materiality of the suburb while elevating it through refined finishes to achieve a more luxurious architectural expression.”</p>

<p data-end="1185" data-start="914">Of the 33 apartments proposed, 21 will be three-bedroom residences. The remaining mix includes nine two-bedroom apartments, one one-bedroom apartment and two four-bedroom residences. The development will be supported by 62 car parking spaces and 33 secure bicycle spaces.</p>

<p data-end="1270" data-start="1187">The proposal would replace two single-storey brick buildings currently on the site.</p>

<p data-end="1270" data-start="1187"><img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="21422eaf-09a9-4439-9278-b9bd9daf22a1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.38.10%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=v.fXSgcUcEscvOZzqcjG5nk3gVqk_Amt" /></p>

<p data-end="1467" data-start="1272">St Ives remains a relatively untapped market for new apartment development. North Shore developer WINIM has a number of projects in the area, while INCA is nearing completion of Ellis Residences.</p>

<p data-end="1635" data-start="1469">More recently, Traders In Purple has lodged plans for one of the denser projects proposed in the suburb, a 75-apartment development on a 5,900 sqm site on Cowan Road.</p>

<p data-end="1635" data-start="1469">NewQuest, a construction, design and development firm, has delivered over 24 projects across commercial, residential, industrial, and lad markets.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>


First look: NewQuest Property proposes new St Ives apartment development

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/centa-property-group">Centa Property Group</a> has achieved two major milestones at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bilinga-house-107-golden-four-drive-bilinga-qld-4225">Bilinga House</a> apartment development in the sought-after southern Gold Coast.</p>

<p>They've almost sold 50 per cent of the Golden Four Drive building, while at the same time announcing the commencement of construction through reputable builder Greyburn Construction.</p>

<p>The boutique 10-storey building, with 47 two- and three-bedroom apartments, now has a mid-to-late 2028 completion date.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5333]</p>

<p>The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>-designed project is positioned just 200 metres from Bilinga Beach and brings a relatively rare apartment offering to a market that has seen limited new supply in recent years.</p>

<p>Residences have been designed to maximise natural light and ventilation, with open-plan interiors, generous glazing, and material palettes that reflect the surrounding coastal landscape.</p>

<p>Interiors incorporate engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, and custom joinery, with layouts designed to adapt to both permanent living and lock-and-leave use.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]</p>

<p>Rothelowman Senior Project Leader Matthew Tencate said the design approach centres on liveability and community.</p>

<p>“Providing curated on-site amenities and communal spaces for residents that facilitate a sense of community, liveability, and wellness,” Tencate said.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a suite of private amenities including a pool, gym, sauna, and communal alfresco areas, alongside practical features such as surfboard storage and bicycle facilities.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]</p>

<p>Centa Property Group Director Jason Yuen said the project has been designed to appeal to a range of buyers seeking flexibility in how they use their property.</p>

<p>“Bilinga House is designed for those who want the best of both worlds – a modern beachside escape with the flexibility to generate income when you're not there,” Yuen said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5338]</p>

<p>Bilinga remains one of the quieter pockets of the Gold Coast, sitting between the more established hubs of Coolangatta and Palm Beach. Its appeal has strengthened in recent years, supported by proximity to the Gold Coast Airport and the Oceanway coastal path.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150037]</p>


Bilinga House apartments snapped up as Greyburn commences construction

<p>Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.</p>

<p>They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.</p>

<p>They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.</p>

<p>Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" /></p>

<p>Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor</p>

<p>Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" /></p>

<p>Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>​</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.</p>

<p>With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.</p>


Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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<p>The Reserve Bank of Australia released its Financial Aggregates data for January 2016, which showed credit growth of +6.5 percent in the year to January 2016, a steady increase on the +6.1 percent recorded for the year to January 2015.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div>Total annual housing credit growth has slowed a bit from its recent peak of +7.47 per cent in November 2015 to +7.33 per cent in January 2016, reflecting in part the shift in composition of lending from investors to owner-occupiers. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Investor credit growth is now well below APRA's arbitrary +10 per cent threshold at just +7.9 per cent and consistently slowing from +11 per cent in June, meaning that theoretically major banks could in due course start to ramp up lending into this sector should they feel the urge to do so. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of course, any such move would be dependent upon a range of regulatory factors, and whether APRA has the appetite to loosen its throttle.<br><br>Meanwhile owner-occupier annual credit growth recorded another significant jump in surging to a 64 month high of +6.95 per cent, with homebuyers looking to take advantage of attractive mortgage rates.</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA1.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div><span>Deposit growth seems to present few headaches for banks right now. While term deposits have been understandably less popular in the prevailing low interest rate environment, total deposits with banks have expanded in a robust manner over the year to January. </span></div>
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<div><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
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<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Business credit</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Business credit grew by +6.2 per cent in the year to January 2016, up from +5.5 per cent in the year to January 2015. It is as yet unclear whether this is the end of the uptrend for business lending growth, or a blip in the upwards trajectory. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA4.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Housing credit</span></strong><br><br><span>The chart below shows how lenders in the housing market have conveniently managed to shift almost seamlessly away from investment lending to owner-occupier credit, with a bit of reclassification jiggery-pokery along the way.</span><br><br><span>In fact, the data submitted by lenders makes it look as though the chart has been drawn up on an Etch-A-Sketch.</span>
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<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Total housing credit continued to push beyond $1.53 trillion, growing at an annual pace of +7.33 per cent, although naturally there are marked differences between the states and capital cities, with some faring much better than others.<br><br>There have been a few pro-equities articles today discussing "plummeting" lending and investors "leaving the market in droves".<br><br>That's interesting, but it's not what I'm seeing. Don't forget that housing credit expanding at a pace of +7 per cent implies a doubling in outstanding credit over a decade.<br><br>It's all in the marketing, I guess.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA6.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Credit growth was fairly steady in January, with owner-occupiers continuing to pick up the baton from investors within the housing sector.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>A key question going forward will be whether having managed to push investor credit growth below its preferred +10 per cent threshold APRA releases its grip on investor lending at all. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As APRA's data last week showed, the overwhelming majority of property buyers these days have substantial deposits, the question is whether tougher criteria are to be maintained surrounding mortgage serviceability. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Another key factor could be movements in the cash rate, with interest rate cuts potentially set to stimulate demand for mortgage borrowing further, although it appears likely that lenders would hold back 10bps to15bps of a prospective 25bps interest rate cut.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Adding to the parts of GDP we already know such as net exports, the Business Indicators released by the ABS this morning including inventories (-0.4), wages (+0.5), and company profits (-2.8), each suggested that headline GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2015 is likely to be weak. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>These GDP partials may prove to be another tack in the coffin for the next movement in interest rates being down. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Owner-occupiers lead housing lending: Pete Wargent

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<div>
<em>SQM Research</em> found that listings fell slightly by 0.4% in November, with monthly falls being seen in Sydney, Brisbane and Perth.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>This is fairly unusual to see as the spring selling season typically reaches its peak, although the decline did follow on from a surge in October. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/8/SQM1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/8/SQM1.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>
<div>Over the past year listings are up in Sydney (+11.8%) and Darwin (+11.4%).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>On the other hand Melbourne (-7.0%) and Hobart (-9.1%) listings have declined sharply over the year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/8/SQM2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/8/SQM2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Despite the increased vendor activity in Sydney over the past 12 months, the harbour city still only had 28,597 listings as at November 2015 compared to more than 44,000 in Melbourne.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>A market slowdown is to be expected in Sydney given that house prices have increased by +59.4 per cent since July 2012, or nearly $400,000.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/8/Residex.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/8/Residex.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Slight listings decline in November: Pete Wargent

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<div>At the headline level it was another spirited month for housing finance nationally, with the seasonally adjusted $32.6 billion in October being the sixth greatest month on record following a lending blitz through 2015.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Although owner-occupier commitments increased again in the month, investor finance continued to slump, dropping by 6.1%.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/9/HF1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/9/HF1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>The devil of this data series forever lies within the detail, with a number of sources indicating that there has been a level of jiggery-pokery with regards to the classification of loans between owner-occupiers and investors (since there is now a clear price incentive to opt for homebuyer loans).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The second chart below shows that owner-occupier commitments and refinancing have both increased solidly, while APRA's macroprudential measures have ensured that investor finance is now falling away quickly.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The net result was that total housing finance in trend terms remained flat in the month at $33.2 billion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/9/HF2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/9/HF2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Whether or not housing markets can push forward in 2016 will depend upon the extent to which the growth in owner-occupier loans can offset declining investor lending. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Certainly we can see that the number of owner-occupier loans is trending up, but equally there is a chance that tightening mortgage rates could slow this sector of the market going forward.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/9/HF3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/9/HF3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">State versus state</span></strong><br><br><div>Skipping down to the state level we can see that the trend number of owner-occupier commitments is in decline in Western Australia, Tasmania, the Northern Territory, and Queensland, which is home to a significant number of declining regional markets in line with the resources investment collapse.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The trend in the number of owner-occupier commitments in the Australian Capital Territory has been stone dead flat for months.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The increase in the number of mortgages written has been driven purely by the two most populous states, New South Wales and Victoria. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/9/HF4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/9/HF4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Generally speaking the higher value loans are written in the capital cities, and as such the dollar value of owner-occupier commitments tends to be a better indicator of what is playing out in the capitals.<br><br>In terms of the trend <strong>value</strong> of owner-occupier commitments, both Western Australia and the Northern Territory are again in decline. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Brisbane market is faring relatively well at the present time, helping to nudge the aggregate value of owner-occupier commitments in Queensland steadily up, while Victoria and New South Wales in particular are rising fast.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In fact, trend monthly owner-occupier commitments in New South Wales have ripped up the chart to sit some 43 per cent higher over the year at more than $8 billion (awooga!).</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/9/HF5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/9/HF5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>As noted, when it comes to housing finance the devil is always in the detail: more than $3 billion of the New South Wales monthly figure related to refinancing, and over the past year there has also been a slight uptick in finance for renovations.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/9/HF6.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/12/9/HF6.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><br></span></strong>
</div>
<div>Overall, there are many more different trends to cover than can be analysed in one blog post - it was a solid result nationally, and it all rather depends upon which market you are interested in.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>One thing that we can say with certainty is that the investor boom is a cooked goose for this cycle, with investor finance now down by 9.2 per cent year-on-year. In 2016, the homebuyer sector of the market will swim back into focus.</div>
<p> </p>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Investor boom is a cooked goose: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>The past 12 months mark one of the state’s strongest residential property markets we have seen in recent years. </span></p>
<p><span>More homes went to auction than ever before with multiple records falling, including the highest number of auctions held in a single day, weekend and year. High transaction volumes, low interest rates and buyer and vendor confidence all contributed to strong capital growth. As the year draws to a close, it is timely to review the market in 2015 and the outlook for Victoria in 2016.</span></p>
<p><span><strong>TRANSACTIONS &amp; AUCTION VOLUMES</strong></span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p><span>Transaction volumes in Victoria have been at their highest in five years with around 116,000 sales in the year to November 30. This is a 5% increase on last year when there were 110,400 transactions. </span></p>
<p><span>In the year to November 30, around 40,000 auctions have been held with almost 30,000 homes selling under the hammer. Just over 37,000 of those auctions were held in Melbourne, compared to 2,500 in regional Victoria where private sales are more popular.</span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p><span>The key to the 2015 market has been auction levels, which have hit an all-time high in recent months. In the last weekend in November, multiple national auction records fell including most auctions in a single day with 1,648 auctions held  - 22 more than the previous record which was set in October last year. November 2015 was also a record month for auctions with 5,669 auctions held – 259 more auctions than the previous record month (November 2014). </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p><span><strong>MEDIAN PRICE GROWTH</strong></span></p>
<p><span>Significant house price growth has been recorded in metropolitan Melbourne throughout 2015 with the median surpassing the $700,000 barrier for the first time ever in the September quarter. Growth has been widespread across the city, with price increases recorded in all three regions – inner, middle and outer. </span></p>
<p><span>Growth has been consistent during the year. In the first quarter of 2015, the median house price topped $671,000, up from $664,500 in December 2014. Suburbs in the city’s south east experienced the highest growth in the first three months of the year with Mount Waverley, Bentleigh and Beaumaris all up more than 16% on 2014 figures. </span></p>
<p><span>Solid price growth continued in the June quarter with metropolitan Melbourne’s median house price almost reaching $700,000, at $698,000. Melbourne’s eastern suburbs recorded the highest median house price growth in the quarter with Templestowe, Glen Waverley and Balwyn North all rising by at least 17%. </span></p>
<p><span>The September quarter saw the city’s median house price rise 4.5% to a record high $729,500. Bayside suburbs Brighton, Dromana and Seaford topped the highest growth suburbs in the third quarter of the year, up more than 17 per cent on June quarter figures. </span></p>
<p><span>House prices have also increased in regional Victoria over the year with the median house price hitting $347,000 in the three months to September 30. This was up from $341,000 in the first quarter of 2015. </span></p>
<p><span><strong>MILLION DOLLAR SUBURBS</strong></span></p>
<p><span>Buyer demand in traditional million dollar suburbs has pushed up the median house price in neighbouring areas. As a result of the ripple effect, more of these suburbs have joined the million-dollar club this year. There were 61 suburbs valued at $1 million or more in the March quarter, and this has since increased to 87 in the September quarter. Toorak remains Melbourne’s most expensive suburb with a median house price of almost $4 million. This is followed by Canterbury and Balwyn with median house prices of $2,430,500 and $2,281,000 respectively.</span></p>
<p><span><strong>LOOKING AHEAD</strong></span></p>
<p><span>While clearance rates moderated slightly in November, they have still been strong given the record auction levels – and continuing high auction numbers to late 2015 indicates a high level of vendor confidence.</span></p>
<p><span>The mix of population increases, a robust economy and relatively low interest rates is likely to also encourage buyer interest moving forward.  </span></p>
<p><span>Across Melbourne, the market is likely to remain steady, with solid growth in a range of areas across the city. This growth is likely to be strongest in Melbourne’s inner and middle suburbs, which have seen strong buyer interest in recent months. </span></p>
<p><span>While this growth may not be as strong as what has been experienced this year – with up to five per cent increases per quarter – a city-wide population upturn and low interest rates both signal consistent buyer demand in the first quarter, and into the second quarter, of the new year. </span></p>
<p><em>‎Enzo Raimondo is chief executive officer of <a href="https://www.reiv.com.au" target="_blank">The Real Estate Institute of Victoria</a>.</em></p>
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Melbourne auction activity at all time high: REIV's Enzo Raimondo

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<p>The future is a different country and 2016 will certainly be a different place to the year just ending.</p>
<p>As Sydney’s boom ends, other locations around Australia are stepping up as locations poised for price growth. Success in property investing will depend, as always, on buying in the right places.</p>
<p>But there are a number of key steps investors need to take before considering where they might buy in 2016. Here’s my five-step process to stay safe and do well in the year ahead.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body"><strong>1 Develop a plan</strong></p>
<p class="Body"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Most wannabe investors start the process with the search for properties to buy. They’re destined to fail from the very start.</span></p>
<p class="Body"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">No one should start looking online for properties before taking a series of steps leading to that point. There needs to be a plan, which should contain goals, strategies and tactics.</span></p>
<p class="Body">If you don’t know the end game – your ultimate goal – it’s difficult to develop a strategy for getting there.</p>
<p class="Body">Part of the planning process is understanding yourself. I receive emails every day from people who bought investment property in a resources-related location and now are freaking out because the market is down. These kinds of locations are always volatile and most investors don’t have the temperaments or financial means needed to ride the troughs while they wait for the peaks.</p>
<p class="Body">There are myriad ways to invest in real estate. Most people think passive investment – buy a property and find a tenant – but there are other options. The investment technique you choose will dictate what you buy and where you buy it.</p>
<p class="Body"><strong>2 Be willing to pay for quality research and good advice</strong></p>
<p class="Body">All of the truly successful investors I know, people with 20, 30 or more properties, spend money to make money. They treat property investment as a business - they spend on advice from experts and on good research sources before making any buying decisions.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">The proposition of most wannabe investors is this: Yes, I’ll spend $500,000 buying an investment property, but No, I won’t spend $50 on a research report, and I won’t spend $500 on an independent valuation to make sure I’m paying the right price and I certainly won’t spend $5,000 accessing specialist advice on how to invest wisely and build a property portfolio.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">It’s the worst kind of false economy.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body"><strong>3 Build a team</strong><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">Part of the process outlined in step 2 is building a team of experts. They include mortgage brokers, research specialists, property advisors who can help develop strategies, accountants who understand real estate investment (many don’t), specialist lawyers and depreciation experts.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">You need a team of consultants you can go to for quality advice. Refusing to spend money on these things is another example of false economy.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body"><strong>4 Education and research</strong></p>
<p class="Body">It’s alarming how little the average punter knows about real estate. They’re proposing to spend hundreds of thousands of dollars on something about which they know nothing, other than vague impressions absorbed from media.</p>
<p class="Body">Research is the foundation of all successful investment strategies. It takes time and if you don’t have the time, you need to be willing to spend money buying good research. If you’re unwilling to spend the time or the money, forget about property investment.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">I often tell audiences a key part of the research process is to stop reading newspapers. Newspapers are full of misinformation, much of it sensational negatives, about residential property.</p>
<p class="Body">Right now, mainstream media is running simplistic and misleading story lines such as: the boom is over, the bubble is about to burst, no one can afford to buy, etc. The reality is that, while Sydney’s boom is winding down, there are many locations around the nation which will have growth markets in 2016 and beyond.</p>
<p class="Body">People should read specialist sources of real estate information – like Property Observer – where they can access information and opinions from people with genuine credentials.</p>
<p class="Body"><strong>4 Look for locations with the right fundamentals.</strong><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">It’s no accident that some locations out-perform on capital growth. Areas become hotspots with superior growth for clearly defined reasons.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">Investors might consider why Sydney has had three years of rising prices, while most parts of Australia have been dormant or going backwards. Sydney boomed for specific reasons – and record low interest rates have had little to do with it.</p>
<p class="Body">Four years ago New South Wales had one of the weakest economies in Australia. Today it’s the clear No.1, by a considerable margin. Sydney’s boom fed off that.</p>
<p class="Body">What changed? In 2011 the worst state government in the history of Australia was tossed out in a landslide election defeat. The new regime started governing to reactivate the state economy. They started spending money on infrastructure around Sydney and today tens of billions of dollars are being poured in roads, rail links and hospitals. It’s had a massive impact.</p>
<p class="Body">Another factor is that Sydney had 10 years without any major price growth before 2013. From 2004 to 2012, prices had risen only about 15% - but rents had increased an average 70%. It had become cheaper to own real estate than to rent it. The city was primed for an explosion of buying and price growth.</p>
<p class="Body">Many things drive real estate markets but one of the most influential is infrastructure – both existing and new. Areas with good infrastructure – transport links, schools, medical services, jobs nodes – will always be solid performers. Areas with that, plus spending on major new infrastructure, will have additional impetus.</p>
<p class="Body"><strong>5 Beware the high-rise unit markets.</strong></p>
<p class="Body">The greatest danger for investors in 2016 will come from buying real estate in markets that are oversupplied – or heading for surplus.</p>
<p class="Body">Primarily that means the high-rise apartment markets, where developers are building towers of units destined for sale to overseas investors. It will lead to rising vacancies and falling rents (leading to falling values) in specific locations.</p>
<p class="Body">The danger markets include central Melbourne, central Brisbane, central Perth and the beachside suburbs of the Gold Coast.</p>
<p class="Body">For success in 2016, stick to the genuine residential markets. Buy established dwellings in suburban markets – and always check local vacancy rates and also building approval data. A location may have a 2% vacancy rate, but if building approvals doubled in the last 12 months, there may be oversupply in its future.</p>
<p class="Body">In simple terms, the best buying in 2016 for future growth will be found in Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart, parts of Melbourne and selected regional centres, including the Gold Coast, the Sunshine Coast, Cairns, Port Macquarie, Newcastle and environs, Albury-Wodonga, Geelong and Bendigo.</p>
<p class="Body"> </p>
<p class="Body"><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p>
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As Sydney’s boom ends, other locations step up: Five tips from Terry Ryder

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>This week 1,667 capital city auctions were held, less than last week (1,831)  and also less than one year ago (2,603).</p>
<p>Auction volumes were substantially higher last year as there were only two weeks between the Easter long weekend and the ANZAC day weekend. Preliminary results show that 68.6 per cent of auctions were successful this week, marking the third consecutive week of auction clearance rates below the 70 per cent mark. This week’s result is higher than last week (67.1 percent), but much lower than one year ago when 78.9 percent of the capital city auctions held were successful.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/19/20160418-capital-city.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/19/20160418-capital-city.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Across Australia’s largest auction market of Melbourne 882 residential homes were taken under the hammer this week, with a preliminary clearance rate of 71.7 per cent, falling from 73.2 per cent last week (the strongest result since February) and lower than one year ago (79.5 per cent). While the clearance rate fell, auction volumes rose from 803 last week. The most auction activity for the city was held in the Inner region where 170 homes went to auction and 73.5 per cent of reported auctions were successful.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/19/20160418-melbourne.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/19/20160418-melbourne.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>Sydney</strong> has recorded a preliminary clearance rate of 69.7 percent this week across 457 auctions, compared to a low of 67.1 percent last week and a substantial difference from 87.0 percent one year ago, which happened to be the 11th consecutive week for the city of clearance rates over 80 percent, and the city’s clearance rate remained above 80 percent until mid-July. This week’s top performing Sydney sub-region was the Eastern Suburbs with a clearance rate of 87.0 percent, followed by Sutherland (84.2 percent) and North Sydney and Hornsby (80.4 percent).</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/19/20160418-sydney.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/19/20160418-sydney.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The preliminary clearance rate across <strong>Brisbane</strong> was 53.5 per cent this week, up from 47.7 per cent and also higher than the 46.4 per cent last year. This week 145 Brisbane auctions were held, compared to 160 last week and 140 one year ago. With the two upcoming public holidays, it is expected that Brisbane’s auction market will be relatively quiet over the next two weeks. This week 47 Gold Coast auctions have been reported with 21 sales.</p>
<p><a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160418-brisbane.jpg" rel="attachment wp-att-6654"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6654" src="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160418-brisbane.jpg" alt="20160418 brisbane" width="971" height="653"></a></p>
<p>Adelaide saw 99 auctions take place this week and based on the 75 results so far, the preliminary clearance rate was 66.7 per cent. Last week Adelaide’s clearance rate was 63.6 per cent, while one year ago it was higher, at 69.7 per cent.</p>
<p>The number of Perth auctions held this week was 30, down from 36 both last week and one year ago. Preliminary results show 28.6 per cent of Perth auctions cleared this week.</p>
<p>Preliminary results for Canberra show the clearance rate for this week sitting at 71.9 per cent, up from 61.9 per cent last week when 68 homes were taken to auction.</p>
<p>There were 9 Tasmanian auctions this week with 5 reported results and 4 sold.</p>
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Capital city clearance rate below 70 percent for three weeks running: CoreLogic RP Data's Shana Miller

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<div>The Housing Industry Association (HIA) released its Land Report for the December 2015 quarter, which showed that land prices continued to soar through 2015. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The median lot price in Australia ripped +5.2 percent higher in the three months to December alone to $234,600. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Over the last half decade median lot values have increased by about +22 percent, while lot sizes have also been shrinking, meaning that land prices per square metre have been increasing sharply. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/21/HIA.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<img src="/images/2016/04/21/HIA.jpg" alt=""><br><div> </div>
<div>This has not been regional Australia phenomenon through this cycle, with price rises driven overwhelmingly by the capital cities (although Adelaide's lot prices actually decreased in the year to September 2015). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The same dynamic was in evidence this quarter, with capital city land prices screaming another +6.6 percent higher in just three months, while the number of transactions tightened again by a further -2.3 percent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>That said, there are two "regional" locations which have experienced solid population and employment growth, and now have elevated and rising land prices, being the Sunshine Coast ($272,000) and the Gold Coast ($230,500). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The coastal areas of south-eastern Queensland are enjoying the lower dollar and increasing tourism, particularly from China as far as I can tell.  </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As you can see in the chart above, it's clear that supply isn't keeping pace with demand, with the number of lot sales actually declining by -1.6 percent in the December quarter. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Transaction levels have been fading for nearly two years now despite rampant demand.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Indeed vacant residential land sales crashed lower in Sydney (-22.3 percent) and Brisbane (-20.1 percent) on supply restrictions in the quarter, although there were increased sales volumes in some other capital cities. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Through the course of 2015 vacant land sales dived by 14 percent, and by a staggering 19 percent in the capital cities, where demand is actually higher. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The HIA noted that the dynamic of falling sales and rapidly rising prices points to supply bottlenecks.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Capital city land prices through the roof: Pete Wargent

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<h3 class="post-title entry-title"> </h3>
<div id="post-body-4441479046766558951" class="post-body entry-content">
<p>Looks like someone forgot to tell Sydney's inner west about its alleged oversupply of apartments.</p>
<p><span>Erko.</span></p>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/04/22/Erko.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/22/Erko.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><br>St. Peters.</div>
<div class="post-body entry-content"> </div>
<div class="post-body entry-content">
<a href="/images/2016/04/22/St%20Peters.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a><br><br><div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/22/St%20Peters.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><br><div>You can also add to this Haberfield, Stanmore, Sydenham, Five Dock, Canada Bay, Abbotsford, Chiswick, etc. etc. all of which have remarkably tight vacancy rates of 1 per cent or under. </div>
<br><div>In fact, stretching the tarp out a bit further, and while on the subject, you might also add Surry Hills, Ultimo, Darlinghurst, Botany, Banksmeadow, Roseberry, Eastlakes, Redfern, Waverley, Bronte, Coogee, South Coogee, Pagewood, Maroubra...</div>
<br><div>Heck even Waterloo and Zetland have a vacancy rate of 0.5 per cent (OK, so that one might not a real number).</div>
<br><div>Maybe when we start to see some numbers beginning with a 4-handle it might start to get interesting, but if anything, for quality properties at least, the rental market actually seems to be tightening and rents rising. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Out west? Maybe a different story there, granted.<br><br><p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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No inner west Sydney rental oversupply: Pete Wargent

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<div>Following APRA's actions to slow investor lending, annual credit growth in this sector has fallen very sharply over the past 9 months from 11 percent to 7 percent, with undoubtedly more declines to come.</div>
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<div>The Reserve Bank's Financial Aggregates figures for March showed that housing credit has continued to switch its focus towards homebuyers, with annual owner-occupier credit growth increasing to a 66-month high of 7.2 percent.</div>
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<div>The net result is that annual housing credit growth has gradually moderated to 7.2 percent, from a cyclical peak of 7.5 percent six months previously.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/A1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><br><span>Overall credit growth in the economy has also eased back to an annual pace of 6.2 per cent. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/A2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Business and banking</span></strong></p>
<div>Business credit growth notched up a result of only 0.3 per cent growth for the month, with the annual pace of growth steady at 6.5 per cent.</div>
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<div>This mirrors softening trends suggested elsewhere such as in the ABS lending finance data series, while initial and secondary capital raised on the securities exchange has also slowed in 2016.</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2016/05/02/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/05/02/A4.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>The cost of business funding is at a record low, but research has shown that expected returns and hurdle rates can be a more important driver of business or project funding decisions.</div>
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<div>In terms of bank lending and funding, although growth in term deposits has been understandably weak in the prevailing low interest rate environment, the growth in other bank deposits has been hugely strong.</div>
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<div>Combined with equity raisings this means that banks will have few problems meeting their funding requirements in 2016, strong deposit growth and capital raised helping to offset any moderate rising in funding costs.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/a3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/a3.jpg" alt=""></p>
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<div>Bank funding costs declined significantly in 2015 in any event, and sit way below the levels seen in 2012 or during the financial crisis.</div>
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<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Housing and outstanding credit</span></strong></div>
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<div>Although the pace of growth has slowed a notch, overall outstanding housing credit has continued to power higher to $1.55 trillion.</div>
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<div>The composition of housing credit has shifted dramatically over the past eight months, with the investor share of outstanding credit having fallen by fully 3 per cent over that timeframe, a remarkably rapid shift in market dynamics exacerbated by loan reclassifications.</div>
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<div>One other curious observation is how personal credit is actually now in decline. <br><br>One wonders whether this is related to the growth in the use of mortgage buffers and offset accounts, as it is certainly very unusual to see personal credit going backwards in Australia, even with mortgage repayments at such low levels for many existing homeowners.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/A6.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div>Total credit increased by 1.5 percent or $38 billion in the first quarter of 2016 to a grand total of $2.54 trillion.</div>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Overall, the result was pretty much as expected on all fronts, with tightening measures restricting the annual growth in housing credit somewhat over the past six months to 7.2 per cent, and total credit growth a bit steadier at 6.4 percent.</span></p>
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Annual housing credit growth moderating: Pete Wargent

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<div>Well, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) went ahead and did it anyway, with no telegraphing needed!</div>
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<div>With global interest rates and inflation remaining stubbornly low, the Official Cash Rate was cut by 25 basis points at 2.30pm to its lowest level in history, on the back of much softer than expected inflation figures.</div>
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<div>The cash rate is now at a historic low of 1.75 percent.<br><br>Obviously this is unbelievably happy news for homeowners who can probably barely believe the affordability dividend that has been slung their way since the financial crisis.</div>
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<div>This will pull forward demand for homebuyer loans, although restrictions on investor credit will mean that this interest rate cut may be somewhat less stimulatory than some of those delivered previously. </div>
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It will be interesting to see who passes on what from the three major lenders that haven't yet announced, but it wouldn't be a surprise to see some of the major banks holding back a few basis points of the 25bps cut. </div>
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<div>That said with the guillotine threat of a Royal Commission hovering above their respective heads, perhaps the majors will need to pass on a minimum 22bps...lol.</div>
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<div>Interestingly National Australia Bank (NAB) immediately announced that it would pass on the full 25 basis points to variable rate homeowners. </div>
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<div>It is interesting to remember that an interest rate cut is rarely a "lone wolf", and this potentially makes it much more likely that we'll see a "double tap" (i.e. interest rates only tend to be cut if significant action is deemed necessary). <br><br>Counting against this, however, the wording of the statement's final paragraph which noted that "at this meeting" growth prospects would be improved by monetary easing. Does this mean that no further cuts are expected? Perhaps so, though that's open to interpretation.<br><br>The RBA's policy decision is <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2016/mr-16-10" target="_blank">here</a>.</div>
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<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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