Article summary

<ul data-end="785" data-start="311">
	<li data-end="459" data-section-id="5hbcyr" data-start="311">Pikos Group has released the five-penthouse collection at Skye Kangaroo Point, headlined by a two-storey sky home spanning more than 1,000 sqm.</li>
	<li data-end="561" data-section-id="1p7lq8n" data-start="460">Early buyer interest suggests the residences could set a new Queensland apartment price record.</li>
	<li data-end="667" data-section-id="1y70z0l" data-start="562">The collection includes four move-in ready penthouses and the highly customised Skye One residence.</li>
	<li data-end="785" data-section-id="yvm0y1" data-start="668">The release caps one of Bri​sbane's most ambitious luxury apartment developments overlooking the Brisbane River.</li>
</ul>

<hr data-end="790" data-start="787" />
Pikos Group has released the five-penthouse collection at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/skye-residences-by-pikos-kangaroo-point-8-river-terrace-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Skye by Pikos</a> development in Kangaroo Point, with early buyer interest indicating the flagship residences could eclipse every apartment sale previously recorded in Queensland.

The collection crowns the luxury riverfront development with five residences, including four completed penthouses and Skye One, a two-level sky home spanning more than 1,000 sqm that will be tailored to its eventual owner.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=90059 project_image_fid=374075]

Wanting to offer a fully customisable home, Pikos is offering Skye One as a blank canvas, allowing the buyer to work alongside the developer's design team to customise the home's layout, finishes and internal spaces.

The residence will feature a 247 sqm private rooftop terrace with its own swimming pool, sauna, steam room, outdoor kitchen and multiple entertaining areas overlooking the Brisbane River and CBD skyline.

The remaining four penthouses have been completed and are ready for immediate occupation, each offering four bedrooms, expansive open-plan living areas, soaring ceilings and private lift access.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=90059 project_image_fid=374059]

One of the defining features throughout the project is its use of Roman Classic Travertine, with more than 20,000 sqm of the natural stone imported from Italy after being personally selected by Pikos Group Founder and Executive Director Pedro Pikos, interior designer Julie Williamson and third-generation stone specialist Mario Caucci.

Pikos said the penthouse collection represented the culmination of the company's long-term vision for Skye.

"True legacy isn't measured by what we build today, but by what endures tomorrow," Pikos said.

"Our ambition is to create places that become more valuable with time, enrich the lives of generations, and stand as timeless landmarks long after we've stepped away."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=90059 project_image_fid=374060]

Williamson said the interiors were inspired by the natural character of Kangaroo Point and the Brisbane River rather than international design trends.

"Materiality tells the story of a place," Williamson said.

"We looked to the movement of the Brisbane River, the texture of the cliff face and the warmth of the surrounding landscape to create interiors that feel understated, enduring and unmistakably Brisbane."

Positioned above the Kangaroo Point cliffs, Skye places residents within walking distance of Howard Smith Wharves, South Bank and James Street while offering uninterrupted river and city views.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=90059]

Joel Robinson

Brisbane's next apartment price record? Pikos unveils Skye's exclusive penthouse collection

Article summary

<ul data-end="888" data-start="289">
	<li data-end="442" data-section-id="8tsh6o" data-start="289">DVB Projects is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway at 137 Old Burleigh Road, Broadbeach.</li>
	<li data-end="573" data-section-id="1nyxl3e" data-start="443">The 34-level tower will comprise just 49 ultra-luxury residences, including half-floor, full-floor and penthouse apartments.</li>
	<li data-end="717" data-section-id="oiyimj" data-start="574">The launch follows strong demand at DVB's nearby Sea Glass project, which is more than 50 per cent sold and currently under construction.</li>
	<li data-end="888" data-section-id="epk9o9" data-start="718">The development adds to the transformation of Old Burleigh Road, with premium beachfront apartment projects continuing to reshape the tightly held Broadbeach strip.</li>
</ul>

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/dvb-projects">DVB Projects</a> is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway on the Broadbeach site as the Sydney developer moves closer to bringing the ultra-luxury project to market.

The 34-level tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/137-old-burleigh-road-broadbeach-qld-4218">137 Old Burleigh Road</a> will comprise just 49 residences, ranging from half-floor apartments through to full-floor homes and a penthouse. The launch follows the strong sales performance of DVB's nearby Sea Glass development. More than half of the apartments at Sea Glass, on the other side of Broadbeach, have been snapped up, well ahead of its late 2027 completion

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2944b4be-c84e-4b54-8dc1-c712e76704c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E02_Exterior_Street%20Level%20Entrance.jpg?VersionId=YoNig7pRdrE3HCue7sUj78LzJteeQf3H" />

The start of demolition at 137 Old Burleigh Road signals DVB Projects’ underlying confidence in the Gold Coast’s luxury beachside apartment sector.

“We see the Gold Coast as one of the most compelling lifestyle markets in Australia, particularly at the premium end where demand continues to deepen,” said Dean Brown, Managing Director of DVB.&nbsp;

“This project has been carefully designed to respond to that demand - delivering large-format residences with a level of quality, privacy and amenity that is still relatively rare in the apartment market on the beachside."

Brown says the site itself is "exceptional."

"Old Burleigh Road is one of the most tightly held beachfront strips, and opportunities to deliver a project of this scale and calibre in this location are extremely limited.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="398f377a-c037-455e-9250-0c5e0d84c35b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/I12_FF%20Balcony.jpg?VersionId=NwOiRWGMubR1c8wthuEfggklcja7al9." />

The project will comprise 40 half-floor residences of approximately 260 sqm, alongside eight full-floor residences spanning around 524 sqm.

A single penthouse will crown the building, featuring a private pool, barbecue area, indoor gym and dedicated entertaining spaces.

Residents will have access to a resort-style suite of amenities, including a 20-metre pool with daybeds, a gymnasium, hot and cold plunge pools, a sauna, and private residents’ lounge and dining facilities.

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1642bb0-9a66-4427-a022-dfc0988c6287" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A02_Pool%20to%20View.jpg?VersionId=c0IXPyn_Gp_Kn3XCwzMrqIVkAdCEwVXP" />

Sales agent Todd Matheson, of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/pezet-matheson">Pezet Matheson</a>, which is marketing both 137 Old Burleigh Road and Sea Glass, said 137 Old Burleigh Road would address a clear gap in the market for genuine luxury products.

“There are very few opportunities on the Gold Coast where buyers can secure a residence of this size and quality in a new building,” Matheson said.

“What we’re seeing is a growing cohort of downsizers and interstate buyers who still want space - they’re not willing to compromise on living area, entertaining or finishes.

“This project has been designed with that buyer in mind. It offers the scale of a home, combined with the convenience and security of apartment living, in one of the coast’s most desirable positions.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="59aae0ca-5639-4320-8aca-d0bf60f48e43" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E01_Exterior%20Hero.jpg?VersionId=DS8Zfy2WtgUEtdfe0TEUuf1W1GfcZq8S" />

Located on a 1,156 sqm site one block from the beachfront, the development will replace an ageing walk-up building and is expected to contribute to the ongoing transformation of the Old Burleigh Road strip into one of the Gold Coast’s most prestigious residential corridors.

With the development moving into the delivery phase, 137 Old Burleigh Road is slated to hit the market later this year.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145141]

DVB Projects to launch second Broadbeach apartment tower as demolition commences

A proposal to redevelop one of North Sydney's ageing commercial buildings has taken another step forward, with plans for a 38-storey mixed-use tower adding momentum to the long-awaited transformation of the Alfred Street precinct.

Now on public exhibition through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority-led State Significant Development pathway, the proposal for 271-273 Alfred Street would replace an underutilised commercial building with 95 apartments, ground-floor retail, commercial space and affordable housing. The proposal was submitted by&nbsp;Tara Shore Pty Ltd, acting for the John Taylor Family Trust.

While the project will deliver much-needed housing on the southern edge of the North Sydney CBD, it also represents another piece of a broader precinct that has spent years in planning limbo.

<img alt="First look: New public domain vision underpins 95-apartment North Sydney tower on Alfred Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7e1ce1b4-38df-48ab-992f-386814d86308" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Alfred%20St%20da%20podium.png?VersionId=sC_h6w.A9VEoB98qsqowPlIoz__sBZBt" />

Despite its proximity to both North Sydney Station and the Victoria Cross Metro, redevelopment of Alfred Street has progressed slowly over the past decade as broader planning controls, zoning and building heights remained unresolved. The introduction of the Housing Delivery Authority pathway has provided a new avenue for projects to progress, allowing rezoning and development assessment to occur concurrently and unlocking sites that have long been earmarked for renewal.

Designed by Office of Cortese &amp; Gilder, the proposal seeks to do more than replace an ageing office building. The architects have positioned the project as the first stage of a wider public domain vision that would improve pedestrian connectivity and create a more cohesive mixed-use precinct as neighbouring sites are redeveloped over time.

The proposal includes a widened Alfred Street setback, new street trees, landscaping and outdoor seating, along with a landscaped through-site pedestrian link connecting Alfred Street with Little Alfred Street. The connection is intended to become the first section of a future east-west pedestrian network extending across the precinct.

<img alt="First look: New public domain vision underpins 95-apartment North Sydney tower on Alfred Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8ea39ac3-46ad-4562-b4a0-b862e91c2dda" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Alfred%20St%20da%20site.png?VersionId=K7umCd21KpetEFuVfsPlnJKhUOsmTTdV" />

The mixed-use tower would comprise retail space at ground level, commercial uses on level two and apartments from level three upwards.

In total, the development would deliver 95 apartments, including nine one-bedroom, 28 two-bedroom, 56 three-bedroom and two four-bedroom residences. Twenty-one apartments, representing 15 per cent of the residential gross floor area, would be secured as affordable housing and managed by a registered community housing provider for at least 15 years.

Nine basement levels would provide 133 resident car spaces, seven motorcycle spaces and 111 bicycle spaces.

According to the Architecture and Urban Design Report, the public domain strategy is designed to transform what is currently an inward-facing commercial edge into a more active and connected pedestrian environment, creating a stronger relationship between the commercial core and surrounding residential neighbourhoods.

Office of Cortese &amp; Gilder has also prepared a broader public domain framework spanning neighbouring properties between 263 and 283 Alfred Street, arguing that a coordinated approach to redevelopment will deliver better public spaces, improved tower separation and a more connected streetscape as the precinct evolves.

The proposal comes at a time where North Sydney is slated for future residential growth. Commercial developer FiveX has residential plans for the neighbouring site at 275 Alfred Street. They've proposed a 39-storey mixed-use tower with 184 apartments, while Freecity was recently approved for nearly 300 apartments across a 51-storey building on Walker Street.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-freecity-gets-green-light-for-mixed-use-apartment-and-hotel-tower-in-north-sydney">First look: Freecity gets green light for mixed-use apartment and hotel tower in North Sydney</a>

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-fivex-plans-39-storey-residential-tower-in-booming-north-sydney">First look: Fivex plans 39-storey residential tower in booming North Sydney</a>

&nbsp;

Alfred Street the latest North Sydney pocket to be transformed by residential development

Buyers considering a residence at boutique Gordon townhouse development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/lume-gordon-43-47-dumaresq-street-gordon-nsw-2072">Lume</a>&nbsp;now have another reason to bring forward their decision.

For a limited time, purchasers of a residence at Lume will receive a BMW iX3 50 electric SUV, valued at more than $120,000, as part of their purchase. The offer is designed to add value for buyers while complementing the lifestyle envisioned for the architecturally designed Upper North Shore development.

Scott Timmins, Development Manager at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/winim">WINIM</a>, said the partnership was created to provide buyers with a compelling reason to act.

"In today's market, buyers need a compelling reason to act now, and the BMW partnership was designed to create that catalyst. We wanted to add genuine value for our future purchasers. Choosing the all-electric BMW iX3 50 also reflects the values behind LUME, forward-thinking design, innovation and a more sustainable way of living. It's a premium incentive that complements the lifestyle our buyers aspire to and rewards those who commit early."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7354 project_image_fid=374893]

Delivered by WINIM in partnership with Burtonwood Investment Partners, Lume comprises 14 architecturally designed two, three and four-bedroom townhomes created for families seeking the space of a freestanding house with the ease of modern, low-maintenance living.

The three-storey residences, designed by award-winning architecture practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>, have been tailored for families and multi-generational living, featuring private internal lifts, flexible lower-level spaces, generous open-plan living and entertaining areas, media rooms, and landscaped outdoor spaces with custom outdoor kitchens.&nbsp;

Inside, engineered oak flooring, bespoke dining joinery with integrated wine fridges and backlit bars, sculptural porcelain bathrooms, Parisi freestanding baths and Astra Walker tapware create interiors that balance functionality with refined finishes.

Each townhome has been designed to combine generous internal spaces with sustainability initiatives such as EV charging infrastructure, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/arcadia-landscape-architecture">Arcadia</a>'s landscaped communal areas, centred around a restored creek line and native planting, encourage residents to connect with nature and spend more time outdoors.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7354 project_image_fid=269527]

Rothelowman's Gary Tsui said the architecture was conceived to respond carefully to its Upper North Shore setting.

"Our vision was to create elegant, uplifting homes that draw on and positively contribute to the local character through meticulously considered design and an interaction with the surroundings."

The communal landscape has been designed as more than an open space between homes. Arcadia's Ben Newell and Kate Phillips said the adjoining reserve provided an opportunity to create a distinctive natural retreat for residents.

"Just as waterways carve their way through Ku-ring-gai's landscape, a raised boardwalk weaves through the reserve, connecting the homes to this tranquil oasis."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7354 project_image_fid=374892]

Located just 300 metres from <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/gordon-nsw-2072">Gordon</a> Village and Gordon railway station, Lume offers convenient access to Sydney's CBD while placing residents close to some of the North Shore's leading schools, including Ravenswood, Pymble Ladies' College and Knox Grammar. Lane Cove National Park, Gordon Golf Club and a range of cafés and restaurants further reinforce the family-focused lifestyle on offer, with the BMW iX3 50 complementing everything from local trips around Gordon to weekend drives and city commutes.

Construction is underway with completion expected in mid-2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=7354]

Boutique Gordon townhomes now come with a BMW iX3 50

Two apartments have sold for more than $10 million at EADE Byron Bay, setting some of the highest apartment prices ever achieved in the coastal town and underlining the growing appetite for luxury beachfront apartments in Australia's most popular coastal locations.

The $210 million project by Vitale Property Group has now secured more than $70 million in sales, led by residences that changed hands for $12.75 million and $11.75 million.

The record-breaking transactions reinforce the shift occurring in Byron Bay's premium property market, where affluent downsizers and lifestyle buyers are increasingly opting for high-end apartments over large beachfront homes.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/eade-byron-bay-29-shirley-street-byron-bay-nsw-2481">EADE Byron Bay</a> occupies a rare 6,000 sqm absolute beachfront site on the corner of Shirley and Milton Streets overlooking Main Beach and The Wreck surf break, just 350 metres from Byron Bay's town centre.

The 25-residence development is the first beachfront apartment project approved in Byron Bay in more than a decade and is currently under construction, with completion expected in May 2027.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145590 project_image_fid=359521]

The project has attracted a mix of local Byron Shire residents downsizing from larger homes, alongside interstate buyers from Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane seeking a permanent coastal lifestyle without compromising on space.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hayball">Hayball</a> and with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/alexander-co">Alexander &amp; Co</a>, EADE comprises&nbsp;10 garden apartments ranging from 284 sqm to 622 sqm, nine with private pools, five full-floor apartments and 10 rooftop residences with private plunge pools, expansive outdoor entertaining areas and uninterrupted ocean views.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145590 project_image_fid=359527]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/vitale-property-group">Vitale Property Group</a> Managing Partner Chris Vitale said the project's combination of scale, location and limited future supply was driving buyer demand.

"There isn't another beachfront holding in Byron Bay of this size and position that could be developed again," Vitale said.

"Buyers are responding to the scarcity and the irreplaceability of a site of this calibre and to floorplans they can't find elsewhere in the market.

"We are seeing buyers place significant value on quality, space, design, resort-style amenities and the rarity of the location. The sales achieved to date demonstrate that discerning purchasers recognise the long-term significance of what is being created at EADE Byron Bay.

"Many are coming from larger homes in the Byron region, or from Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, and are after the space, security and convenience, without the upkeep of a house."

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145590 project_image_fid=359523]

The Byron Bay project follows Vitale Property Group's delivery of the Mondrian Hotel and Private Residences at Burleigh Heads, with EADE continuing the developer's focus on luxury coastal developments.

Residents will have access to a resort-style swimming pool, gymnasium, sauna, cold plunge pool, concierge services and dedicated workspaces, while the project is targeting an 8-Star Green Star rating.

EADE Byron Bay is being exclusively marketed by Projx Australia in conjunction with WHITEFOX Projects.

WHITEFOX National Projects Director Phillip Rand said demand had been driven predominantly by owner-occupiers.

"We are seeing buyers at EADE place significant value on quality, space, design, resort-style amenities and the rarity of this location," Rand says.

"The sales achieved to date demonstrate that purchasers at this level recognise the long-term significance of what is being created at EADE Byron Bay."

Residences at EADE Byron Bay are currently priced between $4.75 million and $15.95 million.

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[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145590]

Vitale breaks Byron Bay records with EADE sales flurry 

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

<html><body>
When we think about the housing market we tend to focus on when values rise but in the recent past values have fallen in each capital city; this week we look at the magnitude and duration of these falls in the past.
Throughout the past 20 years it has been much more common for combined capital city dwelling values to have been increasing than falling. 
Although value rises have been more common, it doesn’t mean that the housing market is bulletproof and in some instances values have fallen quite dramatically and rapidly. 
Typically the Reserve Bank (RBA) or the Government have adjusted fiscal and/or monetary policy to support the housing market and arrest the value falls.
Across the combined capital cities, dwelling values have increased by 346.4% over the 20 years to April 2017. 
In the two periods in which values have fallen, capital city dwelling values fell by -6.1% between March and December 2008 and they fell by -7.4% between October 2010 and May 2012.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.53.45%20am.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.53.45%20am.jpg" alt="">
At an individual capital city level housing markets have cycled quite differently however, the majority of capital cities recorded a decline in dwelling values in both 2008 and from late 2010/early 2011. 
The 2008 decline occurred as the financial crisis hit with values falling however, stimulus measures in the form of aggressive interest rate cuts along with cash handouts and boosts to first home buyer’s grants proved enough to spur demand and turnaround the decline in values.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.53.56%20am.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.53.56%20am.jpg" alt="">
In 2010 dwelling values fell as the post financial crisis stimulus was being wound out of the market with interest rates increasing and first home buyer incentives being removed. 
These value falls were arrested as the RBA reversed direction and started to cut official interest rates again in late 2011.
Looking at the declines which commenced in 2008, the magnitude of falls was fairly minor considering most advanced economies fell into recession as a result of the financial crisis. 
Hobart and Darwin were relatively unaffected by the declines however, Melbourne (-8.3%), Perth (-6.8%) and Sydney (-6.2%) were more impacted than all other capital cities. 
The period of decline proved quite short and it has become clear that the stimulus measures effectively staved off sharper declines and possibly a national recession.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.54.07%20am.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.54.07%20am.jpg" alt="">
From 2010 to 2011/12 all capital cities experienced falls in dwelling values as the financial crisis stimulus and low interest rates were wound out of the market. 
Sydney (-5.0%), Adelaide (-6.9%) and Canberra (-4.4%) were the only capital cities in which values didn’t fall by more than 10% over this period. 
The largest falls were recorded in Darwin (-19.7%), Hobart (-14.3%) and Brisbane (-11.7%). 
Over the period of falls, Darwin (-1.2%) averaged the largest average monthly fall along with Hobart (-0.8%), Melbourne (-0.6%) and Perth (-0.6%). 
Across the other capital cities, Sydney, Adelaide and Canberra recorded average declines of -0.3%/month and Brisbane’s declines averaged -0.5%/month.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.54.19%20am.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.54.19%20am.jpg" alt="">
This analysis serves as a reminder that although capital city dwelling values have largely increased over the past 20 years, they are not immune from potential declines. 
The impetus for these previous declines have been external economic shocks and the stimulus of low interest rates and grants to first home buyers being removed. 
We aren’t currently seeing any economic shocks of the size of the 2008 financial crisis but we are seeing unemployment rate at similar levels to 2008/09 and historically high levels of underemployment. 
The market is also slowly seeing historic low mortgage rates moving higher against a backdrop of record low wages growth and record high household debt. 
Depending on how much mortgage rates are increased (noting that this is not happening due to the RBA) home owners should be aware that it could lead to a slowing or even some potential falls in dwelling values.
Cameron Kusher is head of research for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

What happens when house prices start falling? Cameron Kusher

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Sydney's Beecroft is among the top 10 fastest selling suburbs across Australia, according to Investar’s latest report.
The property data firm says that the median waiting time for houses in Beecroft is 42 days.
Recently a three bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-nsw-beecroft-124763610" target="_blank">11 Bambara Crescent</a> (above) was on the market for 25 days before it was sold for $1.8 million.
Another recent example is a three bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-nsw-beecroft-124601950" target="_blank">5 Park Avenue</a> (below) that was listed for 15 days before it was sold for $2.245 million.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/14/5%20Park%20Avenue.jpg" alt="">
<table style="width: 473px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Suburb
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
State
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
Postcode
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Dwelling
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Bedrooms
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
Days on market
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
Current median price
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Croydon Park
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2133
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Studio and 1
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
38
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$412,500
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Kensington
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
VIC
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
3031
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
2
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
39
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$775,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Bowden
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
SA
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
5007
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Studio and 1
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
40
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$340,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Annandale
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2038
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
4
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
41
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$2,500,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Woolloomooloo
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2011
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Studio and 1
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
41
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$800,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Beecroft
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2119
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
42
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$1,350,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Fairlight
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2094
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
2
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
42
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$900,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Narraweena
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2099
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
43
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$1,250,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Caulfield South
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
VIC
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2162
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
44
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$1,100,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Allambie Heights
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2100
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
45
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$900,000
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
The median price of a house in Beecroft is $1,740,250, this is an increase of $60,250 from last year’s median house price.
Beecroft has 554 more website property listing visits than most suburbs in NSW.
Older residents make up almost 39 percent of the residents in the area.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Beecroft ranks in the fastest selling suburbs

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The Brisbane property market, in terms of public perceptions, is a victim of the way research companies and media choose to portray price growth.
It’s a stronger market than the published numbers suggest. Sales activity is generally buoyant and there are suburban precincts with growth markets right across the Brisbane metropolitan area.
But the various research firms publish a single figure to describe house price growth across an entire metropolitan area - and that’s what media reports. In the past year, the single figure published for Brisbane suggests only moderate growth, much lower than Sydney or Melbourne. It’s caused some talking-head pontificators to declare that “there’s nothing happening in the Brisbane market”.
But individual parts of the Brisbane metropolitan area have performed better than the reported research suggests. Over the past 2-3 years, various precincts have recorded double-digit annual growth in median prices - but the growth has not been felt across the board, so the overall Brisbane growth figures have been quite small.
Hotspotting analysis of sales activity shows that the Brisbane metro area is one of the most active capital city markets in Australia and I expect good price growth in specific areas in 2017.
Brisbane has greater buoyancy in its markets than do Sydney and Melbourne, where sales activity fell markedly in 2016. But media continues to report distorted figures for price growth and auction clearance rates in the bigger cities, especially for Sydney, creating a misleading impression.
The notion that Sydney house prices are still growing at an annual rate of almost 20 percent is ludicrous but various media outlets keep stating it as fact, because one popular source says it’s so. Domain chief economist Andrew Wilson, on the hand, says comparing all Sydney sales in 2016 with all sales in 2015 gives an annual growth rate of just 4.4 percent, while the latest figure from the ABS is 3.3 percent and the Real Estate Institute of Australia says 3.4 percent.
Meanwhile, Brisbane chugs along, largely under the radar of national media – but not property investors who are smart enough to do their own research. A recent national survey found that Brisbane is the No.1 choice for property investors who plan to buy in 2017. Cheaper prices and much higher rental yields, compared to the two biggest cities, are strong attractions for nationally-focused investors.
Having just completed my latest analysis of sales data, I can confirm that the leading precinct for market activity is the Moreton Bay Region in Brisbane’s far north, where affordability, infrastructure and proximity to jobs nodes are key factors.
The Redcliffe Peninsula, which is part of the Moreton Bay Region LGA, has received particular impetus from the completion of the Moreton Bay Rail Link, a long-awaited piece of transport infrastructure. Some of the Peninsula suburbs have recorded double-digit growth in their median house prices in the past 12 months.
But while the Moreton Bay LGA leads, there is growth to be found in almost every segment of the Brisbane market. Some of the middle-market precincts both northside and southside, which appeared to have faded somewhat in 2016, have revitalised and there are numerous areas with growth momentum.
Logan City, the mirror image of Moreton Bay in the south of the Greater Brisbane Area, has been a market leader in the past two years. It appears to have faded a little but still has growth precincts and will continue to attract home-buyers and investors because of its cheap housing, excellent transport links and generally strong infrastructure.
Ipswich City, the south-western precinct with similar qualities to Logan City, is also rising and many suburbs are now delivering good price growth.
Redland Bay, which encompasses the bayside suburbs in Brisbane’s far east, is also now producing rising sales activity. It attracts buyers because of its affordable bayside lifestyle. It is increasingly emerging as an area of economic development and has good proximity to the Port of Brisbane and to Brisbane Airport, where there are major employment nodes.
Investors should continue to avoid the inner-city apartment markets. The CBD and near-city suburbs all have vacancy rates in the 5-7% range and these will increase as new high-rise projects are completed. Median apartment prices and median rentals are falling.
The latest Market Monitor from the REIQ shows that median apartment prices fell in all the inner-city markets last year including the CBD (down 4 percent), South Brisbane (down 7 percent), Fortitude Valley (down 5 percent), West End (down 5 percent) and Woolloongabba (down 7 percent).
There are also suburban precincts, particularly in the middle-ring areas, with above-average vacancies too, thanks to over-building of small-to-medium developments of units and townhouses.
But those cautions aside, the Brisbane metro area is a place of busy markets where growth will be found by investors in 2017. It presents as a good hunting ground for those disillusioned by the high prices in Sydney and parts of Melbourne.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can  <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=/'display:%20none;/'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting">Twitter.</a>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Brisbane property market stronger than numbers suggest: Terry Ryder

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Within the outer eastern suburbs of Melbourne, typical options for first time buyers under $500,000 would tend to be restricted to apartments and single storey units constructed in the 1960s and 1970s, according to HTW’s Month in Review: March 2017. 
However, the valuation firm says options exist further east in suburbs such as Wandin North and Seville.
HTW says a common strategy is to purchase a small two bedroom unit and rent one of the bedrooms to cover the mortgage costs.
Developments within the suburbs of Croydon, Ringwood, Wantirna and Ferntree Gully, where the average resale price of one bedroom apartments is between $310,000 and $375,000, are also affordable option for first time buyers, the report says.
“It would be wise for first time home buyers to do their sums before purchasing an apartment due to the fact that body corporate fees can often be a significant additional monthly outlay in addition to the mortgage payments.
“Older units within the outer eastern suburbs are also a good option as the body corporate fees tend to be lower and the accommodation tends to be larger than the newer apartments with a better scope to renovate or change the property.
“Low rise apartments within Ringwood are a property type that first home buyers should consider.”
Eastland shopping centre, transport links and ongoing development are key drawcards for the area, HTW says.
A three bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-wandin+north-124560762" target="_blank">1-5 Wanda Avenue</a>, Wandin North (above) was recently sold for $680,000.
Similarly a three bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-wandin+north-124314650" target="_blank">15 Sirocco Court</a>, Wandin North (below) was sold for $600,000.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/10/15%20Sirocco%20Court.jpg" alt="">
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Wandin North and Seville options for first home buyers in Melbourne's east: HTW

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NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian’s promise to tackle home ownership affordability is a welcome sign to first time buyers being pushed out of the market, according to HTW’s Month in Review: March 2017. 
The valuation firm says with just over 186,000 loans approved in NSW in 2016, the first home buyer formed a small market segment with almost 16,500 loans approved or less than 9 percent of the total mortgage pool.
First home owner grants have reduced as data from the Office of State Revenue shows that 9,391 grants worth $138 million were handed out in 2015/16 as opposed to the 32,574 grants worth $266 million paid in 2010/11, the report states.
“Sydney is widely considered the most expensive city within Australia and one of the most expensive to rent when compared with other states and territory capitals, making for a tough path to home ownership,” HTW says.
“Furthermore, it appears that NSW is the equal lowest for first home owner grants when compared to other states:
<ul>
<li>QLD – $20,000 for new builds valued up to $750,000</li>
<li>SA – $15,000 for new builds only, valued up to $750,000</li>
<li>WA – $15,000 for new builds, valued up to either $750,000 or $1,000,000 (depending on the location).</li>
<li>VIC – $10,000 for new builds only, valued up to $750,000</li>
<li>NSW – $10,000 for new builds only, valued up to $750,000</li>
</ul>
“Typical first home buyers may consider purchasing off-the-plan as it allows them to save money while the property is under construction which can typically take between two to three years.
“This has been a strategy adopted by many in the Sydney market hoping to achieve capital appreciation during the course of construction and ‘lock in’ a lower purchase price compared to the ‘on completion’ or settlement price.”
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Sydney first home buyers turning to off-the-plan: HTW

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It was only a matter of time before some property punters would cash in simply because property data is now pointing to a significant price correction.
The latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) data has inflation adjusted wage growth sitting most uncomfortably around zero which spells disaster for households carrying excessively large mortgages. Time to cool the heels-cash in, and lock oneself into a lease for twenty-four months or so and watch what happens as there are some worrying signs out there, although some areas will see minimal change and others massive.
The RBA also announced this week that it was concerned how the financial system would handle a significant price correction in the apartment investment sector. Between now and June 30 there are a staggering 15,000 apartments settling so we are approximately 90 days away from knowing if the investment apartment sector is about to collapse.
With the clear majority of these sales to Chinese investors we will soon find out if they can raise the funds to settle without the assistance of the major banks who have walked away from overseas investors.
Li Ming, a co-director of Aussiehome, recently announced that “the off-the-plan apartment markets is now the worst I have seen in the last 10 years.” He then went on to say that almost 80 percent of Chinese buyers can’t settle on the Australian apartments they have purchased and now would prefer to walk away. In the clear majority of cases, these properties are now worth considerably less than when they were an artist’s impression on a glossy brochure.
Property is a confidence game so when we start reading negativity we also start seeing an immediate response in consumer sentiment. This would almost certainly explain why the RBA is now sounding clear warnings directed at the investment apartment markets. This usually only happens when their internal research is discovering anomalies in the markets so immediately they start sounding the fog-horns.
I well remember remarking back in December 2008 when Wayne “The World’s Best Treasurer” Swan strangely increased the off-the-plan ratio from 50 percent to 100 percent that this would not have a happy ending. Who knows I may well be wrong although I still stand by my predictions where nearly nine years on we are now starting to see the result.
This also coincides with Sydney house prices presently posting the highest annual growth in 14 years. We all know (well most anyway) that for property markets to change direction you need a trigger. Should Li Ming be correct about the apartment investment market this will have a significant impact on this newly created apartment investment market right across the eastern seaboard.
If this does happen our governments and banks need to play this intelligently by riding the storm out by becoming landlords. In the past, they have panicked (especially the banks) by engaging in massive sell offs which cause more problems. What should be happening now is the intelligent preparation of worst case scenarios where lenders should be looking at first home buyers to create lease and buy back packages.
Having said that the first problem with housing affordability is the rental markets despite governments going down the wrong track of building more homes. If rents are flat and even decreasing as was the case 15 years ago, then the pressure on tenants is removed as it then becomes cheaper to rent over owning. What we forget are the many solid arguments back then that clearly showed renting was a smarter option than buying – how quickly we forget.
Obviously with so many brand-new apartments set to hit the rental markets rents will fall – just imagine what would happen if the NSW government forced the 200,000 plus permanently vacant Sydney apartments onto the market?
The Victorian government has acted on this with the introduction of the Vacant Residential Property Tax (VRPT) which will address the permanently vacant properties across inner and middle suburbs of Melbourne. The VRPT will be levied at 1 percent, multiplied by the capital improved value of the taxable property. A property worth $650,000 would then be charged a VRPT of $6,500 which in my opinion is too low because the clear majority are wealthy which is why they are not interested in renting the property out in the first place.
The VRPT should be between 3 and 5 percent although the Victorian government knows only too well that a 1 percent VRPT won’t have a significant impact on overseas buyers which is why they introduced it.
On the flip side, the NSW government is looking to further increase stamp duty for foreign buyers which would be an absolute disaster – just ask the Canadian government who did precisely this and then managed to collapse their investment markets by upwards of 30 percent.
I don’t worry too much about the property markets, I worry more about how our elected politicians will respond to these challenges. Generation Rent should be watching these markets very closely.
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. 
He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000.
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robertsimeon-hRNTwJyXkQ

The big property shift is fast heading to a sell recommendation: Robert Simeon

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Despite a classically miserable March day, Sydney recorded its strongest preliminary auction clearance rate of the year to date on Saturday, according to Domain, at above 82 percent. 
Even if the final clearance rate is revised down a bit, it's clearly a very high result on higher listings, with some big results in the inner suburbs. 
Two of the last four weekends have seen phenomenally high median auction prices, with this weekend's $1,355,000 a little below the record $1,420,000 set four weeks ago but 14 percent higher than a year ago.
On a rolling monthly basis auction prices hit their highest ever level on Saturday.
The Sydney market had clearly lost momentum in the face of macroprudential measures implemented in 2015, but was reinvigorated by two interest rate cuts in May and August 2016.
Melbournites returned from the break with a 78 per cent preliminary clearance rate according to Domain.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/20/A2-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/20/A2-1.jpg" alt="">
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Sydney property market sell off 

<html><body>
Sydney’s housing market is showing signs of a controlled slowdown, according to CoreLogic’s latest July update.
The property data firm says that clearance rates are trending lower and time on market is starting to edge upwards.
For more information see the video below:
<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/p3ABSDStcnc" frameborder="0" width="450" height="253"></iframe>
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tlawless-5VLUrbAk9s

Sydney housing market's controlled slowdown update: Tim Lawless

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Generalised commentary masquerading as analysis is the curse of the real estate consumer.
Much of what appears in mainstream media about residential real estate discusses Australia as a single market. That’s an early clue for consumers that the commentator has shallow knowledge.
If you’re reading something from an alleged expert and they’re talking about what’s happening with “the Australian property market” or forecasting trends with “Australian housing prices”, turn the page because you’ve tuned into a charlatan.
Too much has been written about “the Australian property boom” and “the national affordability crisis”.
A core problem is that so much of the commentary comes out of the Sydney and the situation in our biggest city dominates the thinking and attitudes of commentators. We have outcry about a national problem that generally does not exist and “solutions” that will slug the whole nation to fix issues isolated to a small section of the national geography.
The 20 million Australians who don’t live in Sydney must wonder what the fuss is about. Any resident of Perth, Adelaide or Darwin would be bemused by the ongoing debate about soaring prices, affordability catastrophes and the need for major national action.
Many of the worst culprits for generalised and usually misinformed commentary are based overseas. Often they’re major international organisations or ratings agencies which seek to manufacture publicity by making dire warnings about Australian real estate based on generalised national statistics pumped up by the strength of the Sydney market.
There are plenty of local pontificators making the same mistake, most of them economists who should never be consulted for comment on residential real estate, a subject that’s not within their area of expertise, if indeed they have one.
Anyone who thinks Australian has had a national property boom recently should compare the price growth statistics for the capital cities in 2016 with the results in 2002 and 2003.
Back in 2002/2003, the last time we had a genuine nationwide boom, every capital city had sharply rising prices. In 2003, according to the ABS, house prices grew at least 13 percent in every one of the eight capital cities, including four where prices rose by more than 20 percent.
The ABS figures for last year have a very different look about them.  Only Melbourne and Sydney managed double-digit growth and only just. Two cities, Perth and Darwin, recorded falling prices, while Brisbane, Canberra and Adelaide managed only moderate (4 or 5 percent) rises. Hobart rose 8 percent, according to these numbers.
When you compare this with that genuine boom at the start of the century, it’s apparent that even Sydney’s growth was tame compared with back then. Melbourne, meanwhile, has mostly been below 10 percent with its annual house price growth in the past four years, only recently bursting out into double digits (and now leads the nation, according to most sources).
Now the growing chorus among the generalised pontificators is that “the Australian property boom is over”.
If they’re talking about Sydney, they’re probably right. But out there in the heartland beyond the biggest cities, different things are happening, including places where markets are rising, even as Sydney is subsiding.
They include regional New South Wales, which now has far more rising markets than Sydney does.
The same is true of regional Queensland, which has many ascendant markets (as well as a few that you might still want to avoid), much more so than Brisbane at the moment.
Melbourne is less advanced than Sydney in its growth cycle, so has more time to run with price growth than Sydney does.
Both Hobart and Canberra have sparked to life recently on the back of improving local economies and are likely to continue heading in the opposite direction to Sydney.
Adelaide’s market is quite busy but is unlikely to deliver strong price growth, other than in selected pockets, because it lacks the economic and population growth impetus of other major cities.
Perth has been going backwards throughout the four years that Sydney has been advancing – and now, as Sydney fades, Perth is showing the early signs of recovery.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting">Twitter.</a>
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As Sydney fades, Perth shows early signs of recovery: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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GUEST OBSERVER
I’ve been charting to rise of regional markets throughout this year and it’s now a trend worthy of note by property watchers.
New South Wales and Queensland both have large numbers of growth markets outside the capital cities. Victoria has more than a few as well and even laggard states like South Australia and Western Australia are starting to show some life in their regional markets.
Perhaps the most significant trend is that NSW and Queensland have more growth markets in their regions than in their capital cities. This is a strong feature of the research I conducted for the Winter Edition of The Price Predictor Index.
The Sunshine Coast has more growth locations that any other municipality in Australia. When combined with neighbouring Noosa Shire, this region is the most upwardly-mobile market in the nation, in terms of trends with sales activity.
Noosa Heads and its neighbours have delivered little growth in the past decade but are now rising, with both sales levels and prices increasing. Noosaville is the local star: sales levels in the past two years, quarter by quarter, have been: 111, 124, 154, 156, 152, 162, 186 and 188. A little further south, Coolum Beach is also rising strongly.
But a regional challenger has emerged: following the merger of the Wyong and Gosford LGAs to form the Central Coast council area, this municipality is now the leading individual LGA in NSW: it has eight locations with rising markets, as well as 21 with steady sales performance.
Markets with forward momentum include Blue Haven, Gosford, Hamlyn Terrace, Point Frederick, Wyoming and Wyong.  Sales in Hamlyn Terrace have increased from 37 to 42 to 45 to 59 in the past four quarters.
The strength of the NSW Regional market has grown, with the number of rising markets increasing steadily in the past five quarters. In terms of growth in sales activity, NSW Regional has more to offer investors now than Sydney does.
While the Sydney market is past its peak and has relatively few growth markets compared to 2015, Regional New South Wales is rising, with the number of growth markets increasing from 30 to 49 to 51 to 55 to 61 in the past five quarterly surveys for The Price Predictor Index.
This is reinforced by other research, such as Time On Market statistics, which shows the fastest-selling locations in NSW are outside Sydney, in locations such as Newcastle, Gosford and the Blue Mountains.
The city of Newcastle, and the locations surrounding it (including the municipalities of Port Stephens, Lake Macquarie Maitland, Cessnock, Singleton and Muswellbrook) continue to be a stand-out region.  Jointly they have 17 rising markets, such as the Newcastle suburb of New Lambton, where sales have lifted from 44 to 49 to 59 to 61 to 63 in recent quarters.
Surrounding LGAs, such as Maitland, Cessnock and Port Stephens, all have growth markets. Hunter Valley locations like  Muswellbrook and Singleton continue to improve after the previous downturn caused by over-development.
There are still no challengers to Geelong‘s status as the No.1 market in regional Victoria. The City of Greater Geelong also has more growth suburbs than any of the LGAs of Melbourne. The Geelong economy is performing strongly and its property market thrives as a cheaper alternative to Melbourne.
But there are a number of other busy markets in regional Victoria, most of them just outside the footprint of the Melbourne metropolitan area. They include towns like Pakenham and Officer in the far south-east, as well as the Macedon Ranges and Mitchell LGAs north of Melbourne.
Usually the last place you’d expect to find multiple growth markets is regional South Australia, where there’s little in the way of economic or population growth. But several country regions of SA are rising, headed by the Goolwa district, where sales have risen from 76 to 88 to 110 in the past three quarters. Nearby Strathalbyn is also rising.
Similar growth patterns have been seen in the seaside town of Victor Harbor and the regional centre of Murray Bridge.
There are growing signs that some regional markets impacted by the resources sector have passed the worst and showing evidence of recovery.
Places where demand is rising again include NSW towns impacted by the coal industry (Muswellbrook, Singleton and Mudgee), WA centres for the iron ore and gas sectors (Port Hedland and Karratha), and Queensland towns impacted by coal (Emerald, Mackay and Moranbah).
There is, for example, a definite upward trend in sales activity in both Karratha and Port Hedland, although price levels remain extremely low, at a fraction of their boom-time levels. Port Hedland has seen its median house price fall from above $1 million to $370,000.
Investors should continue to be wary of buying in such places. Markets like this are always volatile and high-risk. Far safer to buy in regional cities with diversified economies, such as recovering Townsville in Queensland or Wagga Wagga, Dubbo and Tamworth in NSW.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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