Apartment developers in the Gold Coast are finding new, creative ways to differentiate themselves from competing projects, as new supply starts to flow through up and down the Coast.

Developer Big Projects brought in the renowned Sydney-based design studio YSG to craft the interiors for The Frederick, Big Projects' new Mermaid Beach project and YSG's first move into the multi-residential development space.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5346]

It was a strategic move for Big Projects to bring in a Sydney eye to the development.

“Our role is to give our design partners the space and freedom to explore,” says Matt Barrett, Director of Big Projects.

“We wanted YSG Studio to capture the essence of Nobby’s, to design a building that embraces life, light and connection, while creating a genuine sense of place.”

There are only 39 apartments in The Frederick, including a striking beach house, just 100 metres from the booming Nobby Beach precinct.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5347]

Yasmine Ghoniem, Director of YSG Studio, says their vision&nbsp;for The Frederick "reinvents coastal living."

“Nobby’s has such an iconic energy, it’s one of those rare pockets of the Gold Coast where the community, the beach, and the streets all feel connected,” Ghoniem says.

"Responding to the neighbouring coastline, soothing curves add a relaxing regional overlay, while unique detailing really sets it apart. It’s a place that feels lived in from the moment you step inside.”

A standout feature of The Frederick is its rooftop terrace, an uncommon inclusion for a boutique, low-rise building, where amenity is typically concentrated at ground level.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5360]

Positioned to capture panoramic views from the hinterland to the ocean, the rooftop has been designed as a series of intimate zones. It includes a pool, sauna, sun decks, workspaces and dedicated entertaining areas.

“The rooftop was conceived as a collection of spaces where residents can unwind and connect, an extension of the Nobby’s lifestyle,” Barrett says.

Architecture for the project was led by Plus Architecture, with landscape design by LDG.

SRQ Projects Director Nick Clydsdale, who is handling sales at The Frederick, says the majority of enquiry is coming from South East QLD and Victorian buyers who have been actively searching between Broadbeach and Mermaid Beach for some time.

"They’ve reviewed a number of projects, however this one has stood out for its design flair/ appeal,"&nbsp;Clydsdale says.

Site demolition is slated for this month, with construction commencing soon after. Big Projects is targeting a late 2027 completion.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=110588]

Joel Robinson

Big Projects taps Sydney’s YSG for first multi-residential project at The Frederick Mermaid Beach

Melbourne-based property developer ALTA Property has this week achieved planning approval for the adaptive re-use of a former commercial tower into a $200 million, 169-apartment project at 10 Queens Road, one of the last developable sites along the Albert Park Lake-fronting boulevard.&nbsp;

Set within one of Melbourne’s most sought-after precincts and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fraser-partners-0">Fraser and Partners</a>, the illustrious building will offer unparalleled views across Albert Park Lake, Port Phillip Bay and Melbourne CBD.&nbsp;

The mix of 1, 2 and 3-bedroom residences will be complemented by a ground-floor amenity featuring private dining, a lounge bar, gym and wellness spaces, co-working, outdoor communal gardens, and retail.&nbsp;

The 17-storey building is a masterclass in adaptive re-use, with the existing commercial building’s façade, shell and internal structure to be retained, before high-end residences are built from the ground up in a newly built Albert Park facing addition to the building.&nbsp;

Sitting atop the building will be two 320+sqm penthouses with private rooftop terraces, which are expected to be priced between $9 - $11 million.&nbsp;

<img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa11211b-5581-43f9-940c-fc84d30a0e61" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/C_04.png?VersionId=Yhf5p_1EgGDu_zOIMFgvA8Ug8j3sTFQs" />

Architecturally, the building will feature a curved, geometric façade that celebrates and elevates the existing structure, with warm, muted tones which were selected to extend the materiality of the existing building rather than contrast it.&nbsp;

Interiors will bring together three metre high ceilings with waffle concrete in some spaces, natural timber, granite and Australian materials, culminating in crafted, generous and considered spaces that are defined by authenticity.&nbsp;

The adaptive re-use means that the Queens Road project will be a sustainability led, high-quality finished product, with a 62% saving in carbon emissions by re-using the existing structure rather than knocking it down and rebuilding.&nbsp;

ALTA Property was launched by Nigel Givoni in 2023, bringing over 25 years of experience in multi level residential delivery.&nbsp;

Melbourne’s property market growth is currently led by apartments. According to RPM VIC Apartments &amp; Townhomes Market Report (April 2026), units are outpacing houses, especially in the middle ring suburbs where median prices hit $757,500 – a four-year high that represents 2.9 percent growth quarter-on-quarter.&nbsp;

<img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="647e13d7-b4bc-433a-9bc9-fe3c3dd4f2ec" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/V_06.png?VersionId=ou4NUCWUgA3NAy.6CQJlEdKX50j3dOk6" />

For ALTA Property Founder Nigel Givoni, this performance speaks to the confidence he has in the Melbourne market.&nbsp;

“Queens Road represents a rare opportunity to continue to shape our presence in the Melbourne market.,"&nbsp;Givoni says.

"With a considered project team and a premier site along one of the city’s most sought-after boulevards, we look forward to contributing to the fabric of this established address.

“Other Australian markets are getting a lot of attention, but I believe the depth of value in Melbourne is being overlooked. The fundamentals are strong, population growth is steady and, based on our preliminary conversations with a leading builder, construction costs are beginning to normalise, creating further opportunity."

Givoni says the project is a&nbsp;highly considered example of adaptive re-use, delivering quality, high-end residences, premium hotel-inspired amenities and an architecturally striking façade, all achieved without the need to remove the existing structure.

"We are really looking forward to the market’s response,” he said.&nbsp;

ALTA Property to deliver $200 million Queens Road apartment tower

Construction is set to begin at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/orchard-mews-glen-iris-18-scott-grove-glen-iris-vic-3146">Orchard Mews</a> in Glen Iris, with&nbsp;PC Whitehall &amp; Sons&nbsp;now appointed as the townhome development moves into its next phase.

The development by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/montcoeur">MontCoeur</a>,&nbsp;located at 18 Scott Grove, is now around 30 per cent sold, with completion targeted for late-2027.

Orchard Mews comprises a curated collection of three- and four-bedroom customisable townhomes, positioned within one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/glen-iris-vic-3146">Glen Iris</a>’ more tightly held residential streets. The low-density project has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a>, with landscape architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/jack-merlo">Jack Merlo</a>, bringing together a team known for high-end residential projects across Melbourne.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366285]

The development is defined by its focus on flexible living and long-term usability. Each residence includes multiple living zones and a customisable multipurpose room, allowing buyers to tailor spaces to suit changing needs, whether as a home office, additional bedroom, wellness area or entertainment space.

Architecturally, the townhomes emphasise natural light and spatial volume, with dual-aspect layouts and double-height living areas incorporated into the design. Interiors feature natural stone benchtops, premium appliances, and a neutral material palette intended to support everyday functionality rather than statement-driven finishes.

All residences are all-electric and include private lifts and secure double garages, reflecting a broader shift toward sustainability and future-focused housing in Melbourne’s established suburbs.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366277]

Outdoor connections are also central to the offering, with a mix of private courtyards and terraces extending internal living spaces and integrating with the landscaped surrounds.

The Scott Grove address places Orchard Mews within close proximity to some of Melbourne’s key lifestyle and education amenities, including Scotch College, Sacré Cœur, Cabrini Hospital and the retail hub of Chadstone. Public transport access is also nearby, with trams and Gardiner Station providing connectivity to the CBD and surrounding suburbs.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150128]

Construction to commence at luxury Glen Iris townhome project, Orchard Mews

A rare new apartment development has been proposed on the fringe of St Ives Village.

Developer Newquest Property has lodged plans for a low-rise apartment project designed by well-regarded architecture firm Warren &amp; Mahoney, which is best known for its work in the multi-residential sector in Melbourne.

The building, proposed for a 1,916 sqm site on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/st-ives-residences-3-5-memorial-avenue-nsw-2075">Memorial Avenue</a> opposite St Ives Village Green, has been designed to blend into the surrounding natural environment.

<img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5c1c7437-2fba-4345-a6d7-05321714ad3e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.28.46%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=KrYyMaJvNqR7vbx0xbB3Ef8sJ6FuHpmn" />

“Drawing inspiration from the pale trunks and flowering canopies of the scribbly gums and blue gums prevalent in the area, a considered material palette was developed,” the architectural design report states.

“This palette references the established materiality of the suburb while elevating it through refined finishes to achieve a more luxurious architectural expression.”

Of the 33 apartments proposed, 21 will be three-bedroom residences. The remaining mix includes nine two-bedroom apartments, one one-bedroom apartment and two four-bedroom residences. The development will be supported by 62 car parking spaces and 33 secure bicycle spaces.

The proposal would replace two single-storey brick buildings currently on the site.

<img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="21422eaf-09a9-4439-9278-b9bd9daf22a1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.38.10%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=v.fXSgcUcEscvOZzqcjG5nk3gVqk_Amt" />

St Ives remains a relatively untapped market for new apartment development. North Shore developer WINIM has a number of projects in the area, while INCA is nearing completion of Ellis Residences.

More recently, Traders In Purple has lodged plans for one of the denser projects proposed in the suburb, a 75-apartment development on a 5,900 sqm site on Cowan Road.

NewQuest, a construction, design and development firm, has delivered over 24 projects across commercial, residential, industrial, and lad markets.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

First look: NewQuest Property proposes new St Ives apartment development

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/centa-property-group">Centa Property Group</a> has achieved two major milestones at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bilinga-house-107-golden-four-drive-bilinga-qld-4225">Bilinga House</a> apartment development in the sought-after southern Gold Coast.

They've almost sold 50 per cent of the Golden Four Drive building, while at the same time announcing the commencement of construction through reputable builder Greyburn Construction.

The boutique 10-storey building, with 47 two- and three-bedroom apartments, now has a mid-to-late 2028 completion date.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5333]

The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>-designed project is positioned just 200 metres from Bilinga Beach and brings a relatively rare apartment offering to a market that has seen limited new supply in recent years.

Residences have been designed to maximise natural light and ventilation, with open-plan interiors, generous glazing, and material palettes that reflect the surrounding coastal landscape.

Interiors incorporate engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, and custom joinery, with layouts designed to adapt to both permanent living and lock-and-leave use.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]

Rothelowman Senior Project Leader Matthew Tencate said the design approach centres on liveability and community.

“Providing curated on-site amenities and communal spaces for residents that facilitate a sense of community, liveability, and wellness,” Tencate said.

Residents will have access to a suite of private amenities including a pool, gym, sauna, and communal alfresco areas, alongside practical features such as surfboard storage and bicycle facilities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]

Centa Property Group Director Jason Yuen said the project has been designed to appeal to a range of buyers seeking flexibility in how they use their property.

“Bilinga House is designed for those who want the best of both worlds – a modern beachside escape with the flexibility to generate income when you're not there,” Yuen said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5338]

Bilinga remains one of the quieter pockets of the Gold Coast, sitting between the more established hubs of Coolangatta and Palm Beach. Its appeal has strengthened in recent years, supported by proximity to the Gold Coast Airport and the Oceanway coastal path.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150037]

Bilinga House apartments snapped up as Greyburn commences construction

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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Few markets across Australia are pumping as strongly as the market in the Wyndham City LGA in the south-west of Melbourne.
Areas that offer affordable homes are attracting increasing attention in Melbourne and the Wyndham City area is now the most active market in the metropolitan area, with key suburbs Hoppers Crossing, Point Cook, Tarneit, Werribee and Wyndham Vale achieving a combined 3,500 house sales in the past 12 months.
All of these suburbs have seen significant increases in sales volumes in the past 12-18 months and strong price growth has resulted. Most have had median price growth well above 10% in the past 12 months.
Wyndham City sits in the corridor between Melbourne and Geelong, and is one of Australia’s leading population growth areas. It has good transport links to central Melbourne (helped by the $5 billion Regional Rail Line), plenty of major jobs nodes, solid infrastructure and some of the Melbourne region’s most affordable housing.
It has suffered from oversupply issues in the past, thanks to over-zealous developers – but currently vacancy rates in the key suburbs are low. There is a strong need for new dwellings, with the LGA’s population rising around 10,000 per year.
Given all of that, it’s no surprise that the City of Wyndham is a place for young families. Those aged from 20–44 represent 42% of the population, compared to the state average of 36%, while children aged 0–19 make up 31%, also higher than the state average of 24%.
Wyndham City has a diverse economy, with a number of key industries, including:- 
<ul class="ul1">
<li class="li1">industrial and technology precincts (including major industrial estates at Laverton North which generate $7.3 billion in annual economic activity);</li>
<li class="li1">several large retail precincts, including Pacific Werribee, Point Cook Town Centre, the Werribee CBD (which has both retail and commercial space) and Old Geelong Road, Hoppers Crossing (a precinct of 250 homemaker stores and bulky goods retail);</li>
<li class="li1">tourist attractions such as Werribee Park Mansion, the Open Range Zoo, the State Equestrian Centre and the Point Cook RAAF Museum; and </li>
<li class="li1">agriculture, including vegetable growing and grazing (Werribee South has one of Victoria’s leading market garden areas).</li>
</ul>
One of the features of the municipality is the number of significant jobs nodes. These include RAAF bases at Laverton and at Point Cook, the Werribee Agriculture &amp; Food Technology Precinct, the Werribee Park Tourism Precinct and the Melbourne Water Western Treatment Plant.
The Agriculture &amp; Food Technology Precinct is the largest in Australia, covering 800ha and specialising in food, food packaging and bio-technology. The LGA has 3,000ha of market gardens in the Werribee South area and is considered the broad leaf vegetable capital of Australia. 
Property development and construction is a major part of the economy. Dwelling approvals have risen from fewer than 1,000 a year before 1999 to consistently above 2,300 a year since 2001.
Melbourne’s strong run of house price growth has rippled out to the outer-ring suburbs and now many of the growth locations are in the cheaper areas, led by the suburbs of Wyndham City.
The relatively-low house prices are enticing buyers to the area. The median price for a house in Tarneit, 30km west of Melbourne’s CBD, is $470,000 – compared to Ringwood East, 30km east of the CBD, where the median is $830,000.
Consequently, sales activity in Wyndham has been rising, led by Hoppers Crossing, Truganina and Werribee. Annual sales in Hoppers Crossing grew from 468 in 2014 to 630 in 2015, according to realestate.com.au, and have continued on a steady incline since.
This has been accompanied by price growth. In SQM Research’s latest Housing Boom and Bust report, Melbourne’s south-west was identified as the nation’s best-performing region for house price growth. 
With 972 house sales in the last 12 months, Point Cook is one of Melbourne’s busiest markets and its median house price has grown 16% to $585,000 in the past 12 months.
Elsewhere across the LGA, median house prices remain mostly in the $400,000s, despite strong growth in the past 12 months. 
The longer-term growth rates (average annual rises over 10 years) are 6–7% per year for most suburbs in this precinct, while yields are generally in the 3.6% to 4.3% range.
All of this, together with the recent decreases in vacancy rates, makes Wyndham City a market worthy of consideration by property investors. 
The market is dominated by standalone houses (84%), but the mix is changing as the ratio of units-to-houses increases. Since the 2011 Census, the market share of units has increased from 10% of total dwellings to 16%, according to the 2016 Census.
In suburbs like Werribee and Hoppers Crossing, units typically sell in the low $300,000s, with typical rental yields around 5%.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Wyndham City south-west of Melbourne 'pumping strongly': Hotspotting's Terry Ryder 

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Fractional property investment company DomaCom has announced that it has entered into an agreement to subscribe to the CoreLogic – Moody’s Analytics Australian Forecast Home Value Index.
This will allow DomaCom to create highly targeted research backed residential property investment strategies for Independent Financial Advisers (IFAs) and direct investors.
DomaCom will initially offer a Top Australian Residential Strategy drawing on the top sector in the CoreLogic – Moody’s Analytics Australian Forecast Home Value Index, as well as a Top Australian Cities Strategy with a choice of Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth, Hobart or Darwin.
DomaCom CEO Arthur Naoumidis said the move is a step change in the evolution of their product.
“While independent financial advisers are typically at the core of most client’s investment decisions they have not previously been able to offer clients a comprehensive property investment solution, effectively excluding the world’s largest asset class from the discussion.
“This is a step change in the evolution of our product suite, providing a simple, comprehensive solution for investors incorporating every step in the process from research to execution with a very low investment threshold of $2,500.
“This puts the investor in the driver’s seat with the power to choose a residential property strategy backed by highly credible, independent research and underpinned by the confidence of having professional advice to execute that strategy through the selection of an appropriate property.”
DomaCom will engage professional property buyers’ advocates to shortlist suitable properties to acquire using the residential strategy campaigns selected by the investors. Investors will be able to open accounts on the platform and apply for units in the strategy of their choice.
Moody’s Analytics extensive economic forecasting expertise coupled with Corelogic’s historic index values offer sophisticated insights into the future trends of Australia’s residential property market and DomaCom is pleased to be able to offer investors access to these insights and the platform to act on them.
Highlights of the deal
• DomaCom signs agreement to subscribe to the 10-year CoreLogic – Moody’s Analytics Australian Forecast Home Value Index
• DomaCom will use the forecasts to create Residential Crowdfunding campaigns for each Australian capital city
• Paves the way for financial planners to access highly targeted residential property investment strategies for clients that leverage off institutional grade research
• Gen X/Y/Millennial Investors can participate in these crowd funding campaigns to save their housing deposit in the market they wish to live in.
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

DomaCom subscribes to Moody’s Analytics property highlights index

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Interstate migration to Queensland is picking up again as expected as folks head north from crowded and pricey Sydney, but it was the record interstate migration to Victoria which really shot the lights out over the year to September. 
The driver of this is clear, since Victoria alone has been creating almost all of Australia's jobs lately.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/24/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<div id="post-body-1155932946791358378" class="post-body entry-content">
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 Net overseas migration also accelerated into Sydney, Melbourne, and south east Queensland.</div>
<div class="post-body entry-content">
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 <div>As a result the most populous states are mopping up a huge share of population growth, with New South Wales and Victoria alone accounting for 68 percent of the population increase, and Queensland a further 19 percent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/24/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
 <div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/24/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
 <div>Absolute population growth increased to 67,700 in Queensland and a massive 109,600 in New South Wales - mainly into Greater Sydney - but Victoria is breaking demographic records not seen since the gold rush, with the total population exploding 127,500 higher over the year to September. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/24/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/24/A6.jpg" alt=""></div>
 <div>Here are those same numbers looked at over the past three years, with South Australia and Western Australia losing momentum, and the largest capital cities gaining population growth at their expense. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/24/A7.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
 <div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/24/A7.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The massive headcount growth into Melbourne in particular explains why residential housing vacancy rates have been falling, close to a decade low at the last count. 
</div>
<div>Despite many new tower blocks adorning the skyline, a record supply of small apartments has only partially absorbed a vast surge in migration to the Victorian capital.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/">blogger</a>.
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</div>
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Melbourne crowned king of jobs and growth

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Local government areas just beyond the Melbourne metropolitan area are increasingly attracting the attention of home buyers and investors.
The big attractions are relatively low prices, a more relaxed lifestyle and the ability to commute to city jobs nodes.
The standout areas are Cardinia Shire in the far south-east and both Mitchell Shire and Macedon Ranges Shire north of the capital city. Sales activity has increased significantly in all three LGAs in the past 12 months.
Of course the LGA just beyond Melbourne with the strongest market is the City of Greater Geelong, which continues to be unchallenged as the clear market leader in regional Victoria – and one of the strongest markets nationwide.
Hotspotting research for the new Autumn edition of The Price Predictor Index finds that the Geelong LGA has seven rising markets, as well as 13 steady markets, which outranks most of the LGAs in metropolitan Melbourne.
Markets doing well in the Geelong region include Norlane, Armstrong Creek, Belmont, Clifton Springs, Geelong West, Newcomb and Waurn Ponds.
Most of the busiest locations in Greater Geelong are locations at the affordable end of the market, reinforcing the region’s appeal as a cheaper lifestyle alternative to Melbourne.
But, Geelong aside, there are a number of municipalities just outside the Melbourne metropolitan area have rising markets because they, too, provide affordable lifestyle options within reasonable commuting distance of city jobs nodes.
The Shire of Cardinia is a neighbour of the City of Casey, one of Melbourne’s strongest population growth areas in the far south-east of the metropolitan area. It includes towns such as Pakenham and Officer which are getting spill-over growth and have steadily growing property markets.
Sales in Pakenham have been 215, 253, 277 and 290 in the past four quarters, while Officer sales have grown from 23 to 40 to 49 to 55 in the same time frame.
The Macedon Ranges and Mitchell LGAs are rural areas north of Melbourne and are attracting growing attention for their affordable country towns with good road and rail links to the city.
Sales activity is rising in towns like Kilmore and Wallan in Mitchell Shire and Gisborne and Kyneton in the Macedon Ranges LGA.
Median prices include $330,000 in Kilmore, $240,000 in Seymour, $280,000 in Broadford and $360,000 in Wallan, which emphasises the affordability attraction. Another part of the appeal is median rental yields in the 5 percent to 5.5 percent range.
Larger Victorian regional centres like Bendigo and Ballarat continue to present steady real estate markets, without delivering any substantial growth. Both these cities have more suburbs with steady sales activity and solid performance than those with growing activity.
There are plenty of solid regional centres with similar stories throughout the rest of the state - including Warrnambool, Mildura, Wodonga, Sale Echuca and Wangaratta – but there is nothing in the sales numbers to suggest strong price growth in the near future.
Mildura features on our National Top 50 list for highly consistent markets. Every quarter for the past two years has recorded between 205 and 235 dwelling sales in Mildura.
But the growth markets in regional Victoria are generally found among the smaller centres.
Smaller regional centres with growing sales activity – in addition to the towns of Mitchell Shire and Macedon Ranges Shire - include Ararat, Bacchus Marsh, Bairnsdale, Bannockburn, Castlemaine, Colac, Portland and Traralgon.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can  <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=/'display:%20none;/'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting">Twitter.</a>
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City of Greater Geelong one of the strongest markets nationwide

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<div>Today's Lending Finance figures from the ABS showed that total lending is trending down from a relatively high level. </div>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/13/C3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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<div> </div>
<div>You'll have to subscribe for my reports to get the industry level insights as there isn't enough space for them here, but summarily commercial lending to businesses is rather struggling along. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Reflexivity in action</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I will just take a quick look at property investor loans here, though, as this is always a popular data series. </div>
<div>
 The value of investor loans is still trending down in Western Australia, though of course the median value of property has also declined. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Most of the recent resurgence in investor lending since the ALP pledged to quarantine negative gearing deductions to new builds has been seen in Sydney and then Melbourne, in that order. </div>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/13/C1.jpg" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a>
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 Meanwhile, investors continue to give Darwin the cold shoulder.
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<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Paradoxically, macroprudential policies implemented at the national level are needed by many of Australia's declining housing sub-markets like a hole in the head. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>That's ultimately why investors need to focus on quality - it doesn't necessarily matter all that much what 'the' Aussie housing market is doing, rather that the property or properties you own is doing relatively better than the rest! </div>
<div> </div>
<div>This is particularly true now that banks are becoming far less inclined to extend loans to investors for large portfolios, while implementing tighter serviceability criteria. </div>
 
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
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Investors pile into Sydney: Pete Wargent

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I can’t see anything that would compel an investor to buy in Sydney right now, other than the FOMO (fear of missing out) syndrome.
Given four years of strong price growth in Sydney, and the proliferation of attractive alternatives around the nation, it’s not surprising that surveys indicate that many investors are looking elsewhere. The best time to buy in Sydney was 2012, ahead of the marauding pack.
But some people want to buy only in Sydney, especially those who live in the city and believe you have to buy in your own backyard (so you can drive by and keep an eye on it).
For people who think that way, the best strategy is the follow the infrastructure trail – particularly the one created by plans for the second airport.
The Federal Government announced in the Budget it would invest $5.3 billion into the Western Sydney Airport Corporation over the next 10 years. 
The corporation will build and operate the Western Sydney Airport, with earthworks expected to start on the 1,800 hectare Badgerys Creek site in the second half of 2018.
Even more important than the airport itself is what will be created around it. Big city airports generate massive employment nodes featuring businesses that want to be near it.
Commercial and industrial businesses will be clambouring to get a foothold near the airport facility. We’ve already had American defence company Northrop Grumman announcing it will invest $50 million to create a centre of excellence in the Badgerys Creek precinct.
Expect a lot more announcements like this. Many businesses will be established there before the first plane takes off.
Sydney Business Chamber’s western Sydney director David Borger says: “I think it is really significant. We’ve always thought this airport area could be an aerotropolis or airport city with lots of jobs nearby, and one of the areas that has great potential is aerospace and defence.
“To have, within a week of the government deciding to build the airport, a decision by the private sector to establish a centre of excellence in aerospace and defence is fantastic news and we hope it will be the start of a massive business park in the precinct around the airport.”
Borger says the big winner may be western Sydney families, with the aerotropolis set to create thousands of local jobs and a better lifestyle. “The biggest challenge facing western Sydney is the jobs deficit of 300,000 people,” he says. “People have to get out of the region for work, so the airport could be a real game-changer.”
Exactly. People want to live close to where they work, so demand for real estate will be strong as the Badgery’s Creek precinct evolves.
We’ve already seen considerable impact. Residential land values in the outer-western suburbs of Sydney have close to doubled over the past five years, with the Badgerys Creek airport as the prime influence.
A NSW Valuer-General’s report shows that housing land in outer-western suburbs including Mulgoa, Luddenham, Bringelly, Horsley Park and Rossmore has become highly sought-after residential property — in some cases rising in value above city trends. 
The biggest jumps in valuation have been over the past two years, in the time since (then) Prime Minister Tony Abbott announced that Badgerys Creek would be the site of the second airport.
The Valuer-General’s data shows the biggest gains in land value have occurred south of Badgerys Creek at Bringelly.
The value of one 2ha rural property jumped from $700,000 in 2012 to $1.45 million last year. A 1018m2 property’s value jumped from $270,000 to $592,000 over the same period.
The value of a typical block in Luddenham almost doubled in value between 2012 and last year, from $475,000 to $924,000, while the value of another Luddenham site rose from $755,000 to $2.7 million.
We can expect this kind of capital growth to continue as the airport – and the employment nodes that will spring up around it – get closer to reality.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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Local property price growth takes off around Badgerys Creek: Terry Ryder

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Data released by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) earlier this week has shown that high loan to value ratio (LVR) lending continues to fall indicating new buyers are in many instances using larger deposits. 
The latest authorised deposit-taking institution (ADI) property exposures data for the March 2017 quarter revealed the ongoing trend as a moderate pull-back in the share of new interest-only mortgage lending however, there will be a lot more work to do for lenders in this space.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/31/Chart-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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The data showed that over the March 2017 quarter there was $89.257 billion in mortgage lending from the ADIs which was the lowest quarterly value of lending since the same quarter last year. 
Of course, part of this is seasonal due to the Christmas / New Year slowdown and lending over the quarter was 9.5 percent higher than the corresponding quarter last year. 
Over the quarter 65 percent of lending was to owner occupiers ($58.009 billion) with the remaining 35 percent ($31.248 billion) to investors. 
The value of lending to owner occupiers was 3.9 percent higher year-on-year while investor lending was 21.7 percent higher.
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There is currently a big focus on interest-only lending with APRA recently announcing policy changes which limit the value of new interest-only lending to less than 30 percent of the flow of total new mortgage lending.
Over the latest quarter, 36.2 percent of the value of total mortgage lending was for interest-only purposes signifying that further rationing of this type of lending is required. 
Although as a proportion of total lending interest-only lending has slowed, the value of this type of lending has increased by 13.8 percent from the same quarter last year. 
Importantly, interest-only lending peaked at 45.6 percent of the value of total new lending over the June 2015 quarter, so as a proportion of total lending it has already fallen substantially but has quite a way further to slow over the coming quarters as lenders work to meet the new 30 percent APRA benchmark by rationing the availability of this type of mortgage.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/31/Chart-3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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Low documentation ($377 million), non-standard ($142 million) and outside of serviceability loans ($1.461 billion) accounted for a cumulative 2.2 percent of new lending over the quarter. 
Although this was an historic low proportion, it should be noted that in value terms, low documentation (+42.5 percent) and non-standard (+21.6 percent) loans have increased over the year while outside of serviceability mortgages are -59.4 percent lower.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/31/Chart-4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/31/Chart-4.jpg" alt="">
Over the quarter, $6.896 billion in new mortgages written had an LVR of greater than 90 percent. 
This represents the lowest value of new mortgage lending for LVRs above 90 percent since March 2011. 
It also indicates that 90 percent + LVR mortgages accounted for just 7.7 percent of all new mortgages over the quarter which was an historic low proportion. 
If you look at new mortgages with an LVR greater than 80 percent, they accounted for 22.0 percent of lending which is also an historic low. 
This indicates that borrowers are using either larger deposits upon entry to the market or using greater equity in their existing properties.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/31/Chart-5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/31/Chart-5.jpg" alt="">
According to the data, the average outstanding mortgage balance was recorded at $259,400 at the end of March 2017 which was 0.8 percent higher over the quarter and 3.9 percent higher over the year. 
By loan type, the average outstanding balances were recorded at: $314,100 for loans with an offset facility, $346,100 for interest-only mortgages, $100,100 for reverse mortgages, $193,100 for low-documentation loans and $185,600 for other non-standard loans. 
Other non-standard loans were the only mortgage type to see a fall in outstanding balance over the year, -4.0 percent lower while the average outstanding balance for interest-only mortgages recorded the greatest rise, 4.2% higher.
The reduction in new lending to higher LVR borrowers is encouraging from a risk perspective with borrowers typically utilising larger deposits. 
While the proportion of lending for interest-only purposes has slowed, it has much further to fall over the coming quarters as lenders seek to reign interest-only lending in to less than 30% of the new flow of lending. 
With interest-only lending favoured by investors it may lead to a slowing in demand from this segment. 
Keep in mind that borrowers utilising interest-only mortgages are assessed on their ability to repay a principal and interest loan. 
Given this there is the possibility that the impact on investor demand may be minimal as they choose to just use a principal and interest loan rather than interest-only.
Investors face a broadening range of disincentives in the market, with mortgage rates for investment purposes up more than 25 basis points compared with their low point last year, record low rental yields and overall tighter credit policies from lenders. 
Additionally, there seems to be growing acceptance that the housing market is losing some momentum which is likely to further weigh on investor purchase decisions.
Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

High LVR lending is easing up with a further slowdown expected: Cameron Kusher

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SQM Research posted its listings figures which suggested "ongoing strength" in the housing market. 
Listings were somewhat higher in the month in Brisbane and Sydney (though miles below the peak of around 44,000 in the case Sydney). 
Melbourne's market continues a multi-year trend of tightening since 2012, while Hobart arguably has the tightest market of all of the capital cities.  
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/07/SQM1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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 <div>Indeed, both Melbourne (-19.5 percent) and Hobart (-18.9 percent) have recorded enormous year-on-year declines in total stock listings. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/07/SQM2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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 <div>Melbourne recorded a massive near 6 percent uplift for houses in the month, for a 22.6 percent annual increase. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Melbourne housing market is performing extremely bullishly, echoing out-performance in the local economy.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It's also worthy of note that the annual change in listings in resources cities has flattened, after increasing for a long period of time. </div>
 
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</div>
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Listings suggest ongoing strength: Pete Wargent

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The number of auctions held this week saw a significant decrease, with 1,265 properties taken to market across the combined capital cities, down from 2,578 over the week prior. 
The decrease in auction activity this week is attributable to the Queen’s Birthday public holiday this Monday, which has affected activity across most states, including Australia’s two largest auction markets. 
The lower volume is consistent with what is historically seen over this period, with 1,100 auctions reported over the same week last year. Last week saw the final auction clearance rate revise lower to reach 69.8 percent; an equal second lowest clearance rate for the year so far.  
The final clearance rate last week was the lowest over 2017 to date in Sydney and Melbourne.  
This week the preliminary auction clearance rate increased slightly to 71.8 percent, however it is typical to see clearance rates revise lower as final results are collected.
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Across Melbourne, this week’s preliminary clearance rate was recorded at 77.1 per cent, up from 73.1 per cent last week and remaining well above the clearance rate for the city one year ago (64.5 per cent). This week, Melbourne was host to 392 auctions, lower than the 1,188 held last week, but higher than a year ago when there were 341 Melbourne auctions held over the week. Of the 9 individual Melbourne sub-regions, this week the strongest performer, in terms of clearance rate was the North West. So far, CoreLogic has collected 29 results for the region and the preliminary result shows 89.7 per cent of these auctions were successful.
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Sydney’s preliminary clearance rate this week was 71.3 percent across 457 auction results. There were a total of 610 auctions held across the city. Looking back at this weekend last year, 463 auctions were held across Sydney and a clearance rate of 74.1 percent was recorded. 
Sydney’s North Sydney and Hornsby hosted the most auctions of any Sydney sub-region this week, with 100 properties taken to auction. The preliminary clearance rate for the region is 75.8 percent across 66 results.
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There were 112 Brisbane auctions this week with a preliminary clearance rate of 64.8 percent, having increased from 42.5 percent last week across 151 auctions and higher than one year ago when there were 142 auctions with a success rate of 46.3 percent. The Gold Coast’s preliminary clearance rate was 51.6 percent across 31 results this week.
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This week, Adelaide saw a preliminary clearance rate of 73.9 percent, with 46 reported results across a total of 66 scheduled auctions. In comparison, over the previous week Adelaide’s clearance rate was 59.3 percent and 75.4 percent one year ago.
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There were 42 Perth auctions this week and so far 12 results have been reported, with just 50.0 percent selling. Last week there was a 47.6 percent clearance rate for Perth.
Canberra’s preliminary auction clearance rate of 66.7 percent this week is lower than last week, when the final auction clearance rate was 68.6 percent and lower than the 73.9 percent recorded last year.
Tasmania saw 4 auctions take place this week, 3 results have been reported so far, with 2 sales.
Cameron Kusher is head of research for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.
 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Preliminary auction clearance rate holds above 70 percent on lowest volumes since Easter

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When we think about the housing market we tend to focus on when values rise but in the recent past values have fallen in each capital city; this week we look at the magnitude and duration of these falls in the past.
Throughout the past 20 years it has been much more common for combined capital city dwelling values to have been increasing than falling. 
Although value rises have been more common, it doesn’t mean that the housing market is bulletproof and in some instances values have fallen quite dramatically and rapidly. 
Typically the Reserve Bank (RBA) or the Government have adjusted fiscal and/or monetary policy to support the housing market and arrest the value falls.
Across the combined capital cities, dwelling values have increased by 346.4% over the 20 years to April 2017. 
In the two periods in which values have fallen, capital city dwelling values fell by -6.1% between March and December 2008 and they fell by -7.4% between October 2010 and May 2012.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.53.45%20am.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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At an individual capital city level housing markets have cycled quite differently however, the majority of capital cities recorded a decline in dwelling values in both 2008 and from late 2010/early 2011. 
The 2008 decline occurred as the financial crisis hit with values falling however, stimulus measures in the form of aggressive interest rate cuts along with cash handouts and boosts to first home buyer’s grants proved enough to spur demand and turnaround the decline in values.
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In 2010 dwelling values fell as the post financial crisis stimulus was being wound out of the market with interest rates increasing and first home buyer incentives being removed. 
These value falls were arrested as the RBA reversed direction and started to cut official interest rates again in late 2011.
Looking at the declines which commenced in 2008, the magnitude of falls was fairly minor considering most advanced economies fell into recession as a result of the financial crisis. 
Hobart and Darwin were relatively unaffected by the declines however, Melbourne (-8.3%), Perth (-6.8%) and Sydney (-6.2%) were more impacted than all other capital cities. 
The period of decline proved quite short and it has become clear that the stimulus measures effectively staved off sharper declines and possibly a national recession.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.54.07%20am.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.54.07%20am.jpg" alt="">
From 2010 to 2011/12 all capital cities experienced falls in dwelling values as the financial crisis stimulus and low interest rates were wound out of the market. 
Sydney (-5.0%), Adelaide (-6.9%) and Canberra (-4.4%) were the only capital cities in which values didn’t fall by more than 10% over this period. 
The largest falls were recorded in Darwin (-19.7%), Hobart (-14.3%) and Brisbane (-11.7%). 
Over the period of falls, Darwin (-1.2%) averaged the largest average monthly fall along with Hobart (-0.8%), Melbourne (-0.6%) and Perth (-0.6%). 
Across the other capital cities, Sydney, Adelaide and Canberra recorded average declines of -0.3%/month and Brisbane’s declines averaged -0.5%/month.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.54.19%20am.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/14/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-14%20at%209.54.19%20am.jpg" alt="">
This analysis serves as a reminder that although capital city dwelling values have largely increased over the past 20 years, they are not immune from potential declines. 
The impetus for these previous declines have been external economic shocks and the stimulus of low interest rates and grants to first home buyers being removed. 
We aren’t currently seeing any economic shocks of the size of the 2008 financial crisis but we are seeing unemployment rate at similar levels to 2008/09 and historically high levels of underemployment. 
The market is also slowly seeing historic low mortgage rates moving higher against a backdrop of record low wages growth and record high household debt. 
Depending on how much mortgage rates are increased (noting that this is not happening due to the RBA) home owners should be aware that it could lead to a slowing or even some potential falls in dwelling values.
Cameron Kusher is head of research for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.
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