<p data-end="309" data-start="290"><strong data-end="309" data-start="290">Article summary</strong></p>

<ul data-end="785" data-start="311">
	<li data-end="459" data-section-id="5hbcyr" data-start="311">Pikos Group has released the five-penthouse collection at Skye Kangaroo Point, headlined by a two-storey sky home spanning more than 1,000 sqm.</li>
	<li data-end="561" data-section-id="1p7lq8n" data-start="460">Early buyer interest suggests the residences could set a new Queensland apartment price record.</li>
	<li data-end="667" data-section-id="1y70z0l" data-start="562">The collection includes four move-in ready penthouses and the highly customised Skye One residence.</li>
	<li data-end="785" data-section-id="yvm0y1" data-start="668">The release caps one of Bri​sbane's most ambitious luxury apartment developments overlooking the Brisbane River.</li>
</ul>

<hr data-end="790" data-start="787" />
<p data-end="896" data-section-id="ojaazg" data-start="792">Pikos Group has released the five-penthouse collection at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/skye-residences-by-pikos-kangaroo-point-8-river-terrace-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Skye by Pikos</a> development in Kangaroo Point, with early buyer interest indicating the flagship residences could eclipse every apartment sale previously recorded in Queensland.</p>

<p data-end="1358" data-start="1137">The collection crowns the luxury riverfront development with five residences, including four completed penthouses and Skye One, a two-level sky home spanning more than 1,000 sqm that will be tailored to its eventual owner.</p>

<p data-end="1358" data-start="1137">[smartcode_project:default project_id=90059 project_image_fid=374075]</p>

<p data-end="1577" data-start="1360">Wanting to offer a fully customisable home, Pikos is offering Skye One as a blank canvas, allowing the buyer to work alongside the developer's design team to customise the home's layout, finishes and internal spaces.</p>

<p data-end="1781" data-start="1579">The residence will feature a 247 sqm private rooftop terrace with its own swimming pool, sauna, steam room, outdoor kitchen and multiple entertaining areas overlooking the Brisbane River and CBD skyline.</p>

<p data-end="1977" data-start="1783">The remaining four penthouses have been completed and are ready for immediate occupation, each offering four bedrooms, expansive open-plan living areas, soaring ceilings and private lift access.</p>

<p data-end="1977" data-start="1783">[smartcode_project:default project_id=90059 project_image_fid=374059]</p>

<p data-end="2314" data-start="1979">One of the defining features throughout the project is its use of Roman Classic Travertine, with more than 20,000 sqm of the natural stone imported from Italy after being personally selected by Pikos Group Founder and Executive Director Pedro Pikos, interior designer Julie Williamson and third-generation stone specialist Mario Caucci.</p>

<p data-end="2423" data-start="2316">Pikos said the penthouse collection represented the culmination of the company's long-term vision for Skye.</p>

<p data-end="2519" data-start="2425">"True legacy isn't measured by what we build today, but by what endures tomorrow," Pikos said.</p>

<p data-end="2688" data-start="2521">"Our ambition is to create places that become more valuable with time, enrich the lives of generations, and stand as timeless landmarks long after we've stepped away."</p>

<p data-end="2688" data-start="2521">[smartcode_project:default project_id=90059 project_image_fid=374060]</p>

<p data-end="2840" data-start="2690">Williamson said the interiors were inspired by the natural character of Kangaroo Point and the Brisbane River rather than international design trends.</p>

<p data-end="2900" data-start="2842">"Materiality tells the story of a place," Williamson said.</p>

<p data-end="3105" data-start="2902">"We looked to the movement of the Brisbane River, the texture of the cliff face and the warmth of the surrounding landscape to create interiors that feel understated, enduring and unmistakably Brisbane."</p>

<p data-end="3300" data-start="3107">Positioned above the Kangaroo Point cliffs, Skye places residents within walking distance of Howard Smith Wharves, South Bank and James Street while offering uninterrupted river and city views.</p>

<p data-end="3300" data-start="3107">[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=90059]</p>


Joel Robinson

Brisbane's next apartment price record? Pikos unveils Skye's exclusive penthouse collection

<p data-end="288" data-start="269"><strong data-end="288" data-start="269">Article summary</strong></p>

<ul data-end="888" data-start="289">
	<li data-end="442" data-section-id="8tsh6o" data-start="289"><strong data-end="374" data-start="291">DVB Projects is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development</strong>, with demolition now underway at 137 Old Burleigh Road, Broadbeach.</li>
	<li data-end="573" data-section-id="1nyxl3e" data-start="443"><strong data-end="513" data-start="445">The 34-level tower will comprise just 49 ultra-luxury residences</strong>, including half-floor, full-floor and penthouse apartments.</li>
	<li data-end="717" data-section-id="oiyimj" data-start="574"><strong data-end="646" data-start="576">The launch follows strong demand at DVB's nearby Sea Glass project</strong>, which is more than 50 per cent sold and currently under construction.</li>
	<li data-end="888" data-section-id="epk9o9" data-start="718"><strong data-end="787" data-start="720">The development adds to the transformation of Old Burleigh Road</strong>, with premium beachfront apartment projects continuing to reshape the tightly held Broadbeach strip.</li>
</ul>

<p data-end="1011" data-start="790"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/dvb-projects">DVB Projects</a> is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway on the Broadbeach site as the Sydney developer moves closer to bringing the ultra-luxury project to market.</p>

<p data-end="1296" data-start="1013">The 34-level tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/137-old-burleigh-road-broadbeach-qld-4218">137 Old Burleigh Road</a> will comprise just 49 residences, ranging from half-floor apartments through to full-floor homes and a penthouse. The launch follows the strong sales performance of DVB's nearby Sea Glass development. More than half of the apartments at Sea Glass, on the other side of Broadbeach, have been snapped up, well ahead of its late 2027 completion</p>

<p data-end="1296" data-start="1013"><img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2944b4be-c84e-4b54-8dc1-c712e76704c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E02_Exterior_Street%20Level%20Entrance.jpg?VersionId=YoNig7pRdrE3HCue7sUj78LzJteeQf3H" /></p>

<p>The start of demolition at 137 Old Burleigh Road signals DVB Projects’ underlying confidence in the Gold Coast’s luxury beachside apartment sector.</p>

<p>“We see the Gold Coast as one of the most compelling lifestyle markets in Australia, particularly at the premium end where demand continues to deepen,” said Dean Brown, Managing Director of DVB.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“This project has been carefully designed to respond to that demand - delivering large-format residences with a level of quality, privacy and amenity that is still relatively rare in the apartment market on the beachside."</p>

<p>Brown says the site itself is "exceptional."</p>

<p>"Old Burleigh Road is one of the most tightly held beachfront strips, and opportunities to deliver a project of this scale and calibre in this location are extremely limited.”</p>

<p><img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="398f377a-c037-455e-9250-0c5e0d84c35b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/I12_FF%20Balcony.jpg?VersionId=NwOiRWGMubR1c8wthuEfggklcja7al9." /></p>

<p>The project will comprise 40 half-floor residences of approximately 260 sqm, alongside eight full-floor residences spanning around 524 sqm.</p>

<p>A single penthouse will crown the building, featuring a private pool, barbecue area, indoor gym and dedicated entertaining spaces.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a resort-style suite of amenities, including a 20-metre pool with daybeds, a gymnasium, hot and cold plunge pools, a sauna, and private residents’ lounge and dining facilities.</p>

<p><img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1642bb0-9a66-4427-a022-dfc0988c6287" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A02_Pool%20to%20View.jpg?VersionId=c0IXPyn_Gp_Kn3XCwzMrqIVkAdCEwVXP" /></p>

<p>Sales agent Todd Matheson, of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/pezet-matheson">Pezet Matheson</a>, which is marketing both 137 Old Burleigh Road and Sea Glass, said 137 Old Burleigh Road would address a clear gap in the market for genuine luxury products.</p>

<p>“There are very few opportunities on the Gold Coast where buyers can secure a residence of this size and quality in a new building,” Matheson said.</p>

<p>“What we’re seeing is a growing cohort of downsizers and interstate buyers who still want space - they’re not willing to compromise on living area, entertaining or finishes.</p>

<p>“This project has been designed with that buyer in mind. It offers the scale of a home, combined with the convenience and security of apartment living, in one of the coast’s most desirable positions.”</p>

<p><img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="59aae0ca-5639-4320-8aca-d0bf60f48e43" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E01_Exterior%20Hero.jpg?VersionId=DS8Zfy2WtgUEtdfe0TEUuf1W1GfcZq8S" /></p>

<p>Located on a 1,156 sqm site one block from the beachfront, the development will replace an ageing walk-up building and is expected to contribute to the ongoing transformation of the Old Burleigh Road strip into one of the Gold Coast’s most prestigious residential corridors.</p>

<p>With the development moving into the delivery phase, 137 Old Burleigh Road is slated to hit the market later this year.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145141]</p>


DVB Projects to launch second Broadbeach apartment tower as demolition commences

<p>A proposal to redevelop one of North Sydney's ageing commercial buildings has taken another step forward, with plans for a 38-storey mixed-use tower adding momentum to the long-awaited transformation of the Alfred Street precinct.</p>

<p>Now on public exhibition through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority-led State Significant Development pathway, the proposal for 271-273 Alfred Street would replace an underutilised commercial building with 95 apartments, ground-floor retail, commercial space and affordable housing. The proposal was submitted by&nbsp;Tara Shore Pty Ltd, acting for the John Taylor Family Trust.</p>

<p>While the project will deliver much-needed housing on the southern edge of the North Sydney CBD, it also represents another piece of a broader precinct that has spent years in planning limbo.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: New public domain vision underpins 95-apartment North Sydney tower on Alfred Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7e1ce1b4-38df-48ab-992f-386814d86308" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Alfred%20St%20da%20podium.png?VersionId=sC_h6w.A9VEoB98qsqowPlIoz__sBZBt" /></p>

<p>Despite its proximity to both North Sydney Station and the Victoria Cross Metro, redevelopment of Alfred Street has progressed slowly over the past decade as broader planning controls, zoning and building heights remained unresolved. The introduction of the Housing Delivery Authority pathway has provided a new avenue for projects to progress, allowing rezoning and development assessment to occur concurrently and unlocking sites that have long been earmarked for renewal.</p>

<p>Designed by Office of Cortese &amp; Gilder, the proposal seeks to do more than replace an ageing office building. The architects have positioned the project as the first stage of a wider public domain vision that would improve pedestrian connectivity and create a more cohesive mixed-use precinct as neighbouring sites are redeveloped over time.</p>

<p>The proposal includes a widened Alfred Street setback, new street trees, landscaping and outdoor seating, along with a landscaped through-site pedestrian link connecting Alfred Street with Little Alfred Street. The connection is intended to become the first section of a future east-west pedestrian network extending across the precinct.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: New public domain vision underpins 95-apartment North Sydney tower on Alfred Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8ea39ac3-46ad-4562-b4a0-b862e91c2dda" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Alfred%20St%20da%20site.png?VersionId=K7umCd21KpetEFuVfsPlnJKhUOsmTTdV" /></p>

<p>The mixed-use tower would comprise retail space at ground level, commercial uses on level two and apartments from level three upwards.</p>

<p>In total, the development would deliver 95 apartments, including nine one-bedroom, 28 two-bedroom, 56 three-bedroom and two four-bedroom residences. Twenty-one apartments, representing 15 per cent of the residential gross floor area, would be secured as affordable housing and managed by a registered community housing provider for at least 15 years.</p>

<p>Nine basement levels would provide 133 resident car spaces, seven motorcycle spaces and 111 bicycle spaces.</p>

<p>According to the Architecture and Urban Design Report, the public domain strategy is designed to transform what is currently an inward-facing commercial edge into a more active and connected pedestrian environment, creating a stronger relationship between the commercial core and surrounding residential neighbourhoods.</p>

<p>Office of Cortese &amp; Gilder has also prepared a broader public domain framework spanning neighbouring properties between 263 and 283 Alfred Street, arguing that a coordinated approach to redevelopment will deliver better public spaces, improved tower separation and a more connected streetscape as the precinct evolves.</p>

<p>The proposal comes at a time where North Sydney is slated for future residential growth. Commercial developer FiveX has residential plans for the neighbouring site at 275 Alfred Street. They've proposed a 39-storey mixed-use tower with 184 apartments, while Freecity was recently approved for nearly 300 apartments across a 51-storey building on Walker Street.</p>

<p><em>Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-freecity-gets-green-light-for-mixed-use-apartment-and-hotel-tower-in-north-sydney">First look: Freecity gets green light for mixed-use apartment and hotel tower in North Sydney</a></em></p>

<p><em>Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-fivex-plans-39-storey-residential-tower-in-booming-north-sydney">First look: Fivex plans 39-storey residential tower in booming North Sydney</a></em></p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>


Alfred Street the latest North Sydney pocket to be transformed by residential development

<p>Buyers considering a residence at boutique Gordon townhouse development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/lume-gordon-43-47-dumaresq-street-gordon-nsw-2072">Lume</a>&nbsp;now have another reason to bring forward their decision.</p>

<p>For a limited time, purchasers of a residence at Lume will receive a BMW iX3 50 electric SUV, valued at more than $120,000, as part of their purchase. The offer is designed to add value for buyers while complementing the lifestyle envisioned for the architecturally designed Upper North Shore development.</p>

<p>Scott Timmins, Development Manager at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/winim">WINIM</a>, said the partnership was created to provide buyers with a compelling reason to act.</p>

<p>"In today's market, buyers need a compelling reason to act now, and the BMW partnership was designed to create that catalyst. We wanted to add genuine value for our future purchasers. Choosing the all-electric BMW iX3 50 also reflects the values behind LUME, forward-thinking design, innovation and a more sustainable way of living. It's a premium incentive that complements the lifestyle our buyers aspire to and rewards those who commit early."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=7354 project_image_fid=374893]</p>

<p>Delivered by WINIM in partnership with Burtonwood Investment Partners, Lume comprises 14 architecturally designed two, three and four-bedroom townhomes created for families seeking the space of a freestanding house with the ease of modern, low-maintenance living.</p>

<p>The three-storey residences, designed by award-winning architecture practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>, have been tailored for families and multi-generational living, featuring private internal lifts, flexible lower-level spaces, generous open-plan living and entertaining areas, media rooms, and landscaped outdoor spaces with custom outdoor kitchens.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Inside, engineered oak flooring, bespoke dining joinery with integrated wine fridges and backlit bars, sculptural porcelain bathrooms, Parisi freestanding baths and Astra Walker tapware create interiors that balance functionality with refined finishes.</p>

<p>Each townhome has been designed to combine generous internal spaces with sustainability initiatives such as EV charging infrastructure, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/arcadia-landscape-architecture">Arcadia</a>'s landscaped communal areas, centred around a restored creek line and native planting, encourage residents to connect with nature and spend more time outdoors.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=7354 project_image_fid=269527]</p>

<p>Rothelowman's Gary Tsui said the architecture was conceived to respond carefully to its Upper North Shore setting.</p>

<p>"Our vision was to create elegant, uplifting homes that draw on and positively contribute to the local character through meticulously considered design and an interaction with the surroundings."</p>

<p>The communal landscape has been designed as more than an open space between homes. Arcadia's Ben Newell and Kate Phillips said the adjoining reserve provided an opportunity to create a distinctive natural retreat for residents.</p>

<p>"Just as waterways carve their way through Ku-ring-gai's landscape, a raised boardwalk weaves through the reserve, connecting the homes to this tranquil oasis."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=7354 project_image_fid=374892]</p>

<p>Located just 300 metres from <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/gordon-nsw-2072">Gordon</a> Village and Gordon railway station, Lume offers convenient access to Sydney's CBD while placing residents close to some of the North Shore's leading schools, including Ravenswood, Pymble Ladies' College and Knox Grammar. Lane Cove National Park, Gordon Golf Club and a range of cafés and restaurants further reinforce the family-focused lifestyle on offer, with the BMW iX3 50 complementing everything from local trips around Gordon to weekend drives and city commutes.</p>

<p>Construction is underway with completion expected in mid-2027.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=7354]</p>


Boutique Gordon townhomes now come with a BMW iX3 50

<p>Two apartments have sold for more than $10 million at EADE Byron Bay, setting some of the highest apartment prices ever achieved in the coastal town and underlining the growing appetite for luxury beachfront apartments in Australia's most popular coastal locations.</p>

<p>The $210 million project by Vitale Property Group has now secured more than $70 million in sales, led by residences that changed hands for $12.75 million and $11.75 million.</p>

<p>The record-breaking transactions reinforce the shift occurring in Byron Bay's premium property market, where affluent downsizers and lifestyle buyers are increasingly opting for high-end apartments over large beachfront homes.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/eade-byron-bay-29-shirley-street-byron-bay-nsw-2481">EADE Byron Bay</a> occupies a rare 6,000 sqm absolute beachfront site on the corner of Shirley and Milton Streets overlooking Main Beach and The Wreck surf break, just 350 metres from Byron Bay's town centre.</p>

<p>The 25-residence development is the first beachfront apartment project approved in Byron Bay in more than a decade and is currently under construction, with completion expected in May 2027.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145590 project_image_fid=359521]</p>

<p>The project has attracted a mix of local Byron Shire residents downsizing from larger homes, alongside interstate buyers from Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane seeking a permanent coastal lifestyle without compromising on space.</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hayball">Hayball</a> and with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/alexander-co">Alexander &amp; Co</a>, EADE comprises&nbsp;10 garden apartments ranging from 284 sqm to 622 sqm, nine with private pools, five full-floor apartments and 10 rooftop residences with private plunge pools, expansive outdoor entertaining areas and uninterrupted ocean views.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145590 project_image_fid=359527]</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/vitale-property-group">Vitale Property Group</a> Managing Partner Chris Vitale said the project's combination of scale, location and limited future supply was driving buyer demand.</p>

<p>"There isn't another beachfront holding in Byron Bay of this size and position that could be developed again," Vitale said.</p>

<p>"Buyers are responding to the scarcity and the irreplaceability of a site of this calibre and to floorplans they can't find elsewhere in the market.</p>

<p>"We are seeing buyers place significant value on quality, space, design, resort-style amenities and the rarity of the location. The sales achieved to date demonstrate that discerning purchasers recognise the long-term significance of what is being created at EADE Byron Bay.</p>

<p>"Many are coming from larger homes in the Byron region, or from Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, and are after the space, security and convenience, without the upkeep of a house."</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145590 project_image_fid=359523]</p>

<p>The Byron Bay project follows Vitale Property Group's delivery of the Mondrian Hotel and Private Residences at Burleigh Heads, with EADE continuing the developer's focus on luxury coastal developments.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a resort-style swimming pool, gymnasium, sauna, cold plunge pool, concierge services and dedicated workspaces, while the project is targeting an 8-Star Green Star rating.</p>

<p>EADE Byron Bay is being exclusively marketed by Projx Australia in conjunction with WHITEFOX Projects.</p>

<p>WHITEFOX National Projects Director Phillip Rand said demand had been driven predominantly by owner-occupiers.</p>

<p>"We are seeing buyers at EADE place significant value on quality, space, design, resort-style amenities and the rarity of this location," Rand says.</p>

<p>"The sales achieved to date demonstrate that purchasers at this level recognise the long-term significance of what is being created at EADE Byron Bay."</p>

<p>Residences at EADE Byron Bay are currently priced between $4.75 million and $15.95 million.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145590]</p>


Vitale breaks Byron Bay records with EADE sales flurry 

<p>Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.</p>

<p>They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.</p>

<p>They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.</p>

<p>Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" /></p>

<p>Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor</p>

<p>Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" /></p>

<p>Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>​</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.</p>

<p>With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.</p>


Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

<html><body>
<p><span>The November 2015 building approvals data show a sharp fall in dwelling approvals led by the volatile unit segment. Seasonally adjusted total dwelling approvals were -12.7 percent lower over the month, their largest monthly fall since July 2012.  </span></p>
<p><span>Year-on-year dwelling approvals are -8.4 percent lower and approvals have retracted to be -16.8 percent lower than their recent record highs. The data indicates a slowing in developer appetite for approvals and, given the slowing demand for mortgages from investors and slowing home value growth, it is a trend which is likely to continue over the coming months.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/01/11/Chart-1-580x181.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p> <img src="/images/2016/01/11/Chart-1-580x181.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><span>The decline in approvals in November was led by units however, house approvals, which haven’t seen the same level of acceleration as units, also recorded a fall over the month.  House approvals were -0.6 percent lower over the month and -2.2 percent lower year-on-year. Meanwhile, unit approvals declined by -24.0 percent in November and were -15.0 percent lower year-on-year.  Although the unit approvals series is much more volatile series than houses, it has now started trending lower with approvals -30.3 percent lower than their recent record high of 11,084 approvals in July 2015.  </span></p>
<p><span>House approvals are also trending lower, albeit at a more moderate pace, down -9.4 percent from their recent peak of 10,376 approvals in April 2015. The most recent Census in 2011 shows that 21.2 percent of detached houses are rented compared to 56.0 percent of units. The recent sharp fall in investor housing finance commitments is much more likely to impact on demand for new units than new houses and we may be seeing developers starting to react to this market shift.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/01/11/Chart-2-580x209.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/01/11/Chart-2-580x209.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The data on unit approvals by type further highlights the recent boom in high-rise (4 storeys and greater) unit approvals. Historically townhouses have been the product of choice for medium and high density developers however, over the past four years we have seen record high levels of high rise construction. Both monthly and annual data points to demand for high-rise approvals starting to fall although it should be noted that high-rise approvals still account for a majority of unit approvals. </span></p>
<p>High-rise approvals could be considered a bit of a double-edged sword for developers, in one instance they are considered the highest and best use of land in areas of strategic significance (eg along transport spines and in areas closed to major working nodes like the CBD) however, they are heavily reliant on achieving a particular level of presales.</p>
<p>From an economic sense they take longer to build so the economic benefit of the construction is stretched over a longer period of time however, they are ultimately less likely to end up constructed because much more financing is required and they are so dependent on adequate levels of presales.</p>
<p>It is likely that given units are much more likely to be purchased by investors and investor demand is now falling that a larger than normal proportion of these units will not end up constructed in this new phase of the housing cycle.  Historically around 98% of units approved are constructed compared to around 85% of units.</p>
<p>Much like home sales, values and investment related mortgage demand, we are now also seeing early signs of a slowing in dwelling approvals. Although approvals are slowing there is still a large number of unit projects under construction which should continue to provide a high level of economic benefit as the recent record high number of dwelling approvals continues for a few years. Of course the huge surge in housing construction at a time when population growth is slowing means that there is a better balance between housing supply and demand. In fact in certain areas there are now concerns about oversupply, particularly in inner city unit markets.</p>
<p>This is going to be a key theme to watch during 2016 particularly considering that we are already seeing investor demand falling and record low levels of rental growth. The next challenge will be when these units come to settlement will their initial valuation hold up and will the changed lending landscape mean that some purchasers will have to find larger deposits in order to settle.  Furthermore, if they purchased for investment purposes the next challenge may just be finding someone to rent the property.</p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic RP Data. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
<p> </p>
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Will new housing approvals continue to ease through 2016? Cameron Kusher

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<p>OK, here we go again. 2016 has well and truly kicked in and before we know it January will be gone. Strewth, it's Australia Day next week!</p>
<p>So have you set your goals for 2016?ï¿½ Yeah, I know...boring!</p>
<p>Yes, goal setting can be pretty dry - what do they say? Make your goals SMART - Specific, Meaningful, Action Orientated, Realistic and Timely. That's so 1980's - I'm going to an 1980's themed birthday party soon, maybe I'll dress as a SMART goal!</p>
<p>So here's my fun way to set goals.</p>
<p>Each year I go away on a girls weekend and we share our goals or dreams for the following year over a few glasses of wine. One of us stays sober enough to write them all down and then we check in to see how we've all tracked the next year, over more wine of course. It's fun and sharing our goals in this way makes us more accountable.</p>
<p>What I tried to do this year was think about what I wanted to achieve from my goals or dreams. Actually, I focussed on HOW I was going to ENJOY the results of achieving the goals rather than the goals themselves.</p>
<p>So here's the <span style="text-decoration: underline;">results</span> of my goals that I'll be enjoying soon:</p>
<p>- more time hanging out with those I love.</p>
<p>- going to Europe next year with those I love.</p>
<p>- relaxing time at the beach or immersed in other elements of nature.</p>
<p>- becoming fitter and healthier.</p>
<p>- growing my awesome business.</p>
<p>As Napoleon Hill said; "A goal is a dream with a deadline".</p>
<p>Once I had written down what I wanted to enjoy from achieving my goals, writing the goals and setting the deadlines was easy.</p>
<p>Basically my goals are to create more opportunity. Opportunity is defined as; a time or set of circumstances that makes it possible to do something.</p>
<p>Opportunity, whether it be to make money or to meet people or to simply relax, is golden. Being specific and visualising opportunity is important. But the most important thing is to take action.</p>
<p>I've been talking to a number of people lately who are doing just that - taking action. There are some that I'd spoken to months ago, in fact one chap I started talking to five years ago, and after thinking about their investment goals over the Christmas break, they are now ready.</p>
<p>So action will be taken, sooner than later and by Property Bloom for these new clients. By helping them develop property, I'll also be achieving my goals.</p>
<p>I read a funny Seth Godin story where he lists seventeen times to start taking action, my favourite is "The best time to start was last year, the best opportunities are gone" (I've heard this one so many times from property investors) but then he finishes his long list of the best time to starts with; "Actually, as you've probably guessed,ï¿½<strong>the best time to start</strong>ï¿½was last year. The second best time to start isï¿½<em><strong>right now</strong></em><em>."</em></p>
<p><em>ï¿½</em></p>
<p><em><em>Jo Chivers is chief executive officer of property development project managersï¿½<a href="https://www.propertybloom.com.au/about" target="_blank">Property Bloom</a>.</em></em></p>
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Setting your 2016 property investment goals: Jo Chivers

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<div>The latest Consumer Prices Index revealed some interesting trends in rental growth to December 2015.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>At the national level rental growth of just +1.2 percent is the slowest we have seen since 1995, which makes a good deal of sense given the great surge in the number of investors and the construction response to rising dwelling prices. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Essentially this is the opposite of what happened in 1985 when investors exited the market following restrictive changes to tax legislation.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/01/29/B1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/01/29/B1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>City by city</strong></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div>In most quality locations, rental growth is simply following the cycle, slowing in response to a surge in both construction and the number of investor-owned dwellings.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Annual rental growth remains positive in Sydney (+2.3 per cent), Melbourne (+1.7 per cent), Brisbane (+1.0 per cent), Adelaide (+1.2 per cent), and Hobart (+1.1 per cent).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It is a truism to say that there are diverging trends within those markets, particularly noteworthy being slowing rents in high density and high rise apartment complexes.  </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Rental growth has turned negative in Perth and Darwin, following an enormous surge through the mining boom, while Canberra has actually recorded moderately negative rents for the past three years.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/01/29/B2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/01/29/B2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Long run trends</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>It pays to be wary about analysis calling "plummeting" rental growth, but it is true that the rental market will generally need to slow in order that the high levels of investor stock can be absorbed. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Eventually stronger rental price growth will return, but only once investor finance has pulled back, and the cycle does take time to work through. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The long run data shows the cyclical nature of rental growth by capital city. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/01/29/B3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/01/29/B3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>Looking at rental growth by year it is clear that while rental price growth been strongest in Sydney over the past five years, over the past decade the resources states have seen the greatest increase in the cost of renting, some of which is now unwinding.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/01/29/C4.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2016/01/29/C4.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</div>
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National rental growth slowest since 1995: Pete Wargent

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<div>Monoline mortgage insurer Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia (GMA) released its FY15 results late last week, with new CEO (and fellow former Deloittian) Georgette Nicholas taking the helm for its latest investor presentation.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As expected following the loss of a key contract gross written premium was down by 20 per cent from FY14, largely due to Westpac canning its Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI) deal with Genworth in February 2015, but underlying earnings performance remained resilient.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div> </div>
<div>The number of paid claims was well down to 616 in 2H15 from 664 in the prior corresponding period of 2H14 (and way down from 1,091 in 2H13) although the average paid claim increased year-on-year to $63,500 from $54,400.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Delinquencies very low</span></strong></p>
<div> </div>
<div>Genworth's ASX releases are perhaps most interesting for their ongoing insights into mortgage delinquencies, and the latest presentation showed that delinquencies remain at a very low level of just 0.38 per cent nationally. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Queensland has the highest delinquency rate of the states (0.53 per cent), in no small part thanks to the now discredited belief that house prices and vacancy rates in mining towns could emerge unscathed from the end of the resources construction boom. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Queensland's delinquency rate has also been elevated since the 2011 book year when delinquency developments were exacerbated by flooding across huge swathes of the state.<br><br>Strip out those exceptional items and mortgage books in the remainder of the Sunshine State are in reasonably solid nick.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>South Australia is next in line at 0.51 per cent, perhaps unsurprising given the elevated rates of unemployment consistently being recorded in Adelaide and regional South Australia. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Delinquency rates were exceptionally low in New South Wales for such a populous state at just 0.27 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Mapping GMA's delinquency developments by book year shows how delinquency rates have cascaded handsomely lower since the particularly troublesome 2008 and 2009 book years. </div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA4-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA4-1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Share price rebound</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The share price responded positively to the FY15 investor presentation to trade up by +4.33 per cent by the market close yesterday at $2.65.</div>
<div>
<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span><br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA6.jpg" alt=""></div>
</div>
<div>If Genworth is perceived to be any kind of worthwhile bellwether for property market sentiment (commonly claimed when the market cap is down) then the 20 per cent recovery in the share price from $2.21 to $2.65 augurs well for the mortgage default outlook.<br><br>This is particularly so given that the share price dipped sharply in September as the APRA crackdown on property investors bit hard, adversely impacting expected volumes through 2016.<br><br>The Genworth share price had slumped to a 52 week low of $2.21 on September 2015 as the Glencore share price crash rocked commodities companies and share market confidence.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Genworth's mortgage delinquencies remain low

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<p><span>The first week of February shows auction market activity continuing to bounce back from the festive period slowdown, with almost twice the number of auctions held this week compared with last week.  </span></p>
<p><span>CoreLogic RP Data was tracking 854 auctions this week, compared with 987 auctions over the same week one year ago. The lower number of auctions was mostly due to a low auction numbers in Sydney where there were only 255 auctions held over the week compared with 421 at the same time last year.  </span></p>
<p><span>The lower number of homes put up for auction highlights that vendors haven’t been as willing to put their homes into the auction market as they were a year ago.  Auction numbers were actually higher than a year ago across Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth.  </span></p>
<p><span>Despite the lower number of auctions compared with last year, the preliminary auction clearance rate, based on the 621 auction results reported so far,  was recorded at  71.0 per cent across the combined capital cities. </span></p>
<p><span>This week’s clearance rate was higher than at the same time last year (67.3%) however the clearance rate in Sydney continued to track lower than at the same time last year.  All cities recorded a stronger preliminary clearance rate than what was recorded at the end of 2015, however, with auction numbers still gathering pace over February we should get a better gauge over the coming weeks as to whether the auction market is truly staging a rebound on higher clearance rates.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Capital-City.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Capital-City.jpg" alt="" width="846" height="638"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>This week, 262</span><strong> Melbourne</strong><span> auctions were held and so far 206 results have been reported. The preliminary auction clearance rate of 80.1 per cent is higher than last week, when across just 151 auctions, 69.9 per cent were successful. One year ago, Melbourne’s auction clearance rate was 60.7 per cent across 255 auctions. Across Melbourne, the busiest region for auctions this week was the Outer East, where 40 homes went under the hammer. Of the 30 reported results so far, 83.3 per cent have been successful. Melbourne’s Inner East recorded the strongest preliminary clearance rate at 93.8 per cent, however there were only 19 auctions held within the region and 16 results reported so far</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Melbourne.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Melbourne.jpg" alt="" width="835" height="560"><span>The </span><strong>Sydney</strong><span> auction market was substantially weaker over the final months of last year when compared to earlier in 2015. Clearance rates fell from the high 80 per cent mark to the mid-50 per cent mark towards the end of the year. Given this, it is likely that a lack of vendor confidence is currently being reflected with only 265 auctions held this week, compared to 421 at the same time last year. Although auction volumes across the city were low, this week Sydney’s preliminary clearance rate was 70.2 per cent, a strong result compared to 44.9 per cent last week (across just 61 auctions), but not reflective of the 80.6 per cent last year. The best performing Sydney sub-regions this week were Inner South West (85.7 per cent across 21 results) and North Sydney and Hornsby, with a clearance rate of 80 per cent across 35 results.</span></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p> </p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Sydney.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Sydney.jpg" alt="" width="811" height="548"></p>
<p><span>In </span><strong>Brisbane</strong><span> the preliminary clearance rate was 55.8 per cent this week across 77 auction results. There were 111 auctions held in Brisbane this week, compared to 60 last week, with a clearance rate of 52.7 per cent and 109 last year when 47.6 per cent of auctions were successful. Further south, across the </span><strong>Gold Coast </strong><span>there were 33 auctions reported this week with 13 sales.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Brisbane.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Brisbane.jpg" alt="" width="781" height="519"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><strong>Adelaide’s </strong><span>preliminary clearance rate was 79.4 per cent this week, higher than last week at 61.1 per cent and also higher than one year ago (58.2 per cent). There were 104 Adelaide auctions this week, 97 last week and 94 held over the comparable week last year.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Adelaide.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/02/08/20160802-Adelaide.jpg" alt="" width="801" height="543"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p>In the westernmost city, <strong>Perth’s</strong> preliminary clearance rate was 35 per cent this week and there were 37 auctions held. Last week, 29 Perth auctions were held and 44.9 per cent were successful, while one year ago 31 Perth auctions were held with a clearance rate of 40 per cent.</p>
<p>Across <strong>Canberra</strong> 67 auctions were held this week, compared to 27 last week and 69 one year ago. Based on preliminary results this week’s clearance rate is 72.9 per cent, higher relative to last year (67.9 per cent).</p>
<p>CoreLogic RP Data has recorded just 2 auction results across <strong>Tasmania</strong> this week with one sale.</p>
<p> </p>
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A strong start to the year, with 71 percent of capital city auctions selling: Shana Miller

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<p>As Property Bloom nears it's one hundredth development project, it occurred to me that we, as project managers and our clients as investors/developers, have been contributing to the diversity of main stream housing supply.</p>
<p>What I mean by this is that we build small dwellings - two or three bedroom villas that once subdivided end up on small, manageable lots. The majority of new housing stock is still four or five bedroom family homes.  </p>
<p>I read a document released by the NSW Government Planning and Environment  department about the importance of housing diversity. It mentions the changes occurring in the housing market which are driven by demographics, affordability and lifestyle trends. </p>
<p>Families are having less children and some choosing not to have any at all, couples are working longer hours leaving less time for property and yard maintenance, there are more single person households than ever before,  first home buyers are looking for more affordable homes and we are living independently  longer and so older people are looking for low maintenance properties.  </p>
<p>Whilst the mainstream consumer is still after the large four to five bedroom homes, there is a definite need for smaller dwellings. In one of the locations we are developing in, there is strong demand by older buyers who want to down size but live close to their kids who have built their four bedroom dream home in this premium estate. There are so few smaller dwelling available that when one does become available there are several buyers vying for it.</p>
<p>So this is what we do, find these areas and meet the demand. There is a need to diversify the types of housing available in new release areas to ensure housing is affordable and meets the needs of all community members.</p>
<p><em>Jo Chivers is chief executive officer of property development project managers <a href="https://www.propertybloom.com.au/about" target="_blank">Property Bloom</a>.</em></p>
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The importance of housing diversity: Jo Chivers

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>Population growth nationally remains strong but continues to trend lower, meanwhile dwelling construction is booming creating a much closer relationship between housing supply and demand.</p>
<div>
<p>Demographic data for December 2015 was released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The data showed that the national population was estimated at 23.9 million persons, with the population having increased by 326,073 persons over the 2015 calendar year. The annual increase in population has fallen substantially from a peak of 459,504 persons over the 12 months to December 2008.</p>
<p>While population growth (ie housing demand) has slowed, dwelling construction has increased to record highs. Over the 12 months to December 215, there was a record-high 190,072 dwellings constructed nationally. </p>
<p>With an increasing population, and the majority of growth coming from overseas migration, additional demand for housing is created. The charts published in this report look at the ratio of population growth to dwelling completions.  A few important things to note from this analysis:</p>
<ol>
<li>The figures don’t take into consideration demolitions and homes constructed for non-permanent or semi-permanent occupation (previously estimated by the RBA at approximately 15 percent)</li>
<li>Dwelling completions data may include construction of temporary accommodation such as hotels or serviced apartments</li>
<li>An increase in population doesn’t necessarily create more demand for housing. For example a family having a baby may not create an immediate requirement for more housing while a new arrival from overseas is more likely to create additional housing demand.</li>
</ol>
<p>The latest housing and occupancy costs research from the ABS showed that the average household sizes across each state and territory in June 2014 was: 2.6 persons in NSW, Vic, Qld and ACT, 2.4 persons in SA and Tas and 2.7 persons in WA and NT.</p>
<h3>Ratio of population growth to dwelling completions</h3>
<p><a href="/images/2016/07/06/2016-07-04--nsw-qld-image1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><br><img src="/images/2016/07/06/2016-07-04--nsw-qld-image1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/07/06/2016-7-04--nt_Act-image2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/07/06/2016-7-04--nt_Act-image2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>If we look at the charts, over 2015 the ratios of population growth to dwelling completions have been recorded at: 2.4 in NSW, 1.9 in Vic, 1.6 in Qld, 1.0 in both SA and WA, 0.8 in Tas, 0.4 in NT and 1.3 in ACT. </p>
<p>Based on these measures compared to the average household size it would appear that each state and territory is currently over-building however, there are some short-comings of this analysis as detailed above.  It is clear that the ratio compared to the long-run average implies that under-building is still taking place in NSW and Vic while over-building is occurring elsewhere.</p>
<p>Additionally, in most states, there has previously been a substantial undersupply of housing which will continue to overhang any overbuilding for a period of time.</p>
<p>Another thing to consider when looking at this analysis is the type of dwellings that are being constructed.  Units are becoming a much more prominent part of dwelling construction.  Units are often smaller and therefore likely to house fewer residents than a detached house which also has an impact on these figures.</p>
<p>Although this analysis doesn’t provide a definitive answer to whether too much construction is taking place it is clear that as population growth has slowed and dwelling construction has ramped-up there is now a much better relationship between housing supply and demand.  This is highlighted by the fact that in most states and territories there has been a sharp decline in the ratio of population growth to dwelling completions over recent years.</p>
<p>With many new dwellings under construction and even more approved to commence construction, developers should take heed of these figures and exercise caution when looking to undertake new projects.  As population growth trends lower and construction ramps up, housing shortages appear to be diminishing quite rapidly.</p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic RP Data. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.</em></p>
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Dwelling completions boom as population growth slows: Cameron Kusher

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<div id="post-body-3241568079110976919" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>Australia's construction boom hit "peak apartments" in the March 2016 quarter the latest Building Activity data from the ABS showed, with developers now beginning to crunch their way through the record number of dwellings approved but not yet commenced. </div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/18/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/07/18/A1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Total quarterly commencements accordingly rose to a record high of 59,684.<br><br>Attached dwelling commencements - townhouses, units, and apartments - were up by 21 per cent from the first quarter of calendar year 2015, leading to just shy of 230,000 dwellings commenced in the year to March 2016, also a record.<br><br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/18/A1-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/07/18/A1-1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br>As you can see in the chart above, annual house commencements have already passed their peak for this cycle, with Sydney in particular constructing fewer detached dwellings through the cycle as the harbour city becomes more dense - building up, not out - while on the other hand Melbourne continues its heroic sprawl.  </div>
<div> </div>
<a href="/images/2016/07/18/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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<div class="post-body entry-content">
<img src="/images/2016/07/18/A6.jpg" alt=""><br><br><div>Annual attached dwelling commencements are now at their highest ever level.</div>
<br><a href="/images/2016/07/18/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
</div>
<div class="post-body entry-content">
<img src="/images/2016/07/18/A5.jpg" alt=""><br><br><div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Completions slower to come online</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The curious aspect of this cycle is that with so many of the commencements being multi-unit developments, the supply has been considerably slower to come online.<br><br>Why? Because on average it's much faster to build a house on a shovel-ready block of greenfield land (perhaps only a few months) than it is to deliver a block of apartments on a brownfield site, which could chew up a period of several years from approval to completion. <br><br>The outcome of this is an epic supply bottleneck.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Bottleneck!</span></strong><br><br>There are now more dwellings stuck in the "under construction" phase than we have ever witnessed before: a thunderous total of 218,262 dwellings, more than 150,000 of which are attached dwellings.<br><br>If you can see a lot of cranes on the city horizon, this is why!<br><br>
</div>
<div>A record 74,530 of the dwelling units under construction are located in New South Wales (including more than 56,000 attached dwellings), 67,748 are in Victoria (nearly 48,000 of which are attached dwellings), and 39,816 are in Queensland (more than 31,000 of which are attached dwellings, an eye-popping ratio).<br><br>In other words, lots and lots of apartment projects are underway but not yet finished.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Indeed, completions have been so slow to come online that actual dwelling completions have declined for the past four quarters on the bounce, from 49,733 in the first quarter of last calendar year to just 45,619 in the first quarter of this year.</div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/18/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/07/18/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>This huge lag between record approvals and completion helps to explain why super-strong population growth in the two most populous capital cities has to date continued to outpace and absorb dwelling supply. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Annual attached dwelling completions in NSW (22,400) and VIC (23,000) not only remain below previous peaks, but are also tracking way behind the romping pace of state population growth of 106,000 and 109,000 per annum respectively.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/18/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/07/18/A3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>
<em>The Australian</em> recently reported an estimated year's oversupply of dwelling based upon an assumption of 47,000 net additions to the dwelling stock per quarter. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Yet reported vacancy rates in Sydney and Melbourne - even if the figures are arguably incomplete - have actually declined, the slowdown in rental price growth as much reflective of the number of <em>investors</em> in the market through this cycle as the number of physical dwellings.<br><br>Because the record high volume of units and apartments under construction are slower to come online than houses, the assumptions reported by <em>The Australian</em> have been over-egged when compared to the number of actual completions by some 85,000 dwellings. </div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/18/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/07/18/A4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">Moreover these assumptions overlook that up to 25,000 commencements per annum simply replace existing stock, as pointed out by the good Prof. Philips of the ANU.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/18/PHILLIPS.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/07/18/PHILLIPS.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">The picture is complicated somewhat further by the addition of granny flats which are not well captured by the data, but after accounting for demolitions the new supply has so far had a relatively muted impact in Sydney and Melbourne.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>What has transpired to date is localised bursts of oversupply, not nothing too dramatic at the macro level.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">There are more than 150,000 units, townhouses, and apartments now under construction in Australia, easily the highest figure on record, so construction activity will remain at or close to full capacity for some time yet. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">Attached dwellings can take a long period of time to complete, so to date at least the impact of new supply hasn't been all that great. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">But what is Australia going to do with all these new high-rise dwellings during a period when its post mining-boom economy isn't supporting such high levels of immigration? </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">Mr. Turnbull does have a plan. And like most of Australia's cunning plans these days, it involves tapping demand from China. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">It's only been a fortnight since the new "streamlined" student visa rules kicked in, but early anecdotal indications suggest that the plan might just be working. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/18/VISAS.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Making sense of Australia's super-duper construction boom: Pete Wargent

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<p>Over the month there were $32.3 billion in housing finance commitments which is 1.0 percent higher over the past month. </p>
<p>Although the value of housing finance commitments increased in May 2016, they are now -4.6 percent lower than their August 2015 peak of $33.8 billion worth of commitments. </p>
<p>The CoreLogic Mortgage Index, which tracks 95 percent of national valuation activity, indicates that in June 2016 the level of mortgage activity is set to slow from May, pointing to a slowing of housing finance demand.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/07/18/Chart-1-580x210.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/07/18/Chart-1-580x210.jpg" alt=""></p>
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<p> </p>
<p>In May 2016 there were $20.5 billion worth of owner occupier housing finance commitments and $11.7 billion worth of investment commitments.  Owner occupier commitments fell by -0.6 percent over the month but were 15.4 percent higher year-on-year.  Conversely, investor housing finance commitments increased by 3.9 percent over the month and are -13.3 percent lower year-on-year.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/07/18/Chart-2-1-580x210.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/07/18/Chart-2-1-580x210.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The $20.5 billion in housing finance commitments by owner occupiers was both lower over the month and -4.9 percent lower than the December 2016 peak of $21.6 billion worth of commitments.  Across the components of owner occupier housing finance commitments there was $1.8 billion in commitments for construction of dwellings, $1.0 billion for purchase of new dwellings, $7.0 billion for refinances of established dwellings and $10.7 billion for purchase of established dwellings. </p>
<p>Each segment of owner occupier mortgage lending except for purchase of established dwellings fell over the month with each segment now also lower than the recent peak.  The respective declines are recorded at -3.8 percent for construction of dwellings, -27.0 percent for purchase of new dwellings, -5.9 percent for refinancing of established dwellings and -5.6 percent for purchase of established dwellings.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/07/18/Chart-3-1-580x212.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/07/18/Chart-3-1-580x212.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>There was $11.7 billion worth of investment housing finance commitments in May 2016 which is -18.2 percent lower than its $14.4 million peak in April 2015.  Looking at the components, there was $1.2 billion worth of commitments for construction of dwellings and $10.5 billion in commitments for established housing.  The value of commitments for construction of dwellings was 15.5 percent higher over the month and 22.4 percent higher year-on-year.  Meanwhile, the value of commitments for established housing was 2.7 percent higher over the month and -16.1 percent lower year-on-year. </p>
<p>Since mortgage lenders began to implement investment lending changes to slow annual investment credit growth below 10% there has been a significant slowing in lending to this segment.</p>
<p>The May 2016 housing credit data from the Reserve Bank (RBA) shows that investment credit has advanced 6.0% which is its slowest annual increase since July 2013 and well below 10% annually.  Perhaps this is why investor lending picked up in May with mortgage lenders now having more scope to lend to investors.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/07/18/Chart-4-1-580x214.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/07/18/Chart-4-1-580x214.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Looking at the value of new lending (excluding refinances) for new housing and established housing shows that in May 2016, $4.0 billion was for new housing and $21.3 billion was for existing housing.  Based on this data, 15.9 percent of total lending over the month was for new housing with the remaining 84.1 percent for established housing. </p>
<p>Of this $4.0 billion in lending for new housing, $1.2 billion or 30.6 percent was lending for investment purposes with the remaining $2.8 billion or 69.4% of lending for owner occupation purposes. Of the 84.1 percent of new lending for established housing, $10.7 billion or 50.5 percent was borrowing by owner occupiers with the remaining $10.5 billion or 49.5% borrowed for investment purposes. </p>
<p>The data shows that much more lending is for established housing which makes sense when you consider the flow of new housing, despite being at record highs, is only a fraction of the total housing stock.</p>
<p>Despite low interest rates that are anticipated to go lower over the coming months it is difficult to imagine how growth in housing finance commitments will experience a significant uplift. Investor demand may pick up a little but historically weak rental growth and record low rental yields along with a surge in new investment housing stock should limit any uplift. </p>
<p>This should also contribute to a slowing in value growth in Sydney and Melbourne and although other areas may see a pick-up in mortgage demand, much lower home values in those regions will likely limit any significant pick-up in housing finance commitments.</p>
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Investor housing finance commitments bounce in May 2016: Cameron Kusher

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<div id="post-body-1941822993323597666" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>The Victorian State Government released an interesting document showing some of the key trends in Victoria's population and household projections out to 2051.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>One of the most notable trends is that Greater Melbourne is attracting younger and aspirational folk.</div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/19/VIC2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/07/19/VIC2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Source: DELWP</span></em></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The projections out to 2051 show Greater Melbourne's population exploding to well beyond 8 million, while the regional population growth figures project only a moderate increase. </div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/19/VIC.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/07/19/VIC.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>If anything, these regional figures look to be potentially overcooked to me, given that they project an ongoing strengthening in population growth despite there being any number of rural areas where the population is actually in decline. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Long term outlook</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>One of the challenges facing property investors - and indeed nearly all investors today - is myopia. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>They tend to focus on shorter and shorter term outcomes instead of long term results. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>And given that we are on average living much longer today, almost all of us should be focusing on longer time horizons for investment. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>To explain what I mean, the below figures show the projected population growth over the four decades to the middle of the century.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The population of Greater Melbourne is projected to expand hugely by 3,854,700 over that time to a total of 8,024,000, accounting for 85 per cent of the growth.</div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/07/19/VIC3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/07/19/VIC3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>Geelong, which is located very close to the south-western edge of Greater Melbourne, is also expected to grow by 229,000 persons, accounting for 5 per cent of the growth. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Everywhere else, over time there is going to be less upwards pressure on land values. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Partly that's because smaller cities have more land available for release, acting as a safety valve on rising land prices.<br><br>And partly it's because absolute regional population growth just won't be very big, even if these relatively bullish forecasts prove to be somewhere close to accurate. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Similar trends are expected in other states. </div>
<div> </div>
</div>
<div class="post-footer">
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</body></html>

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