Sydney developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-element">Central Element</a>&nbsp;is doubling down in Drummoyne, lodging plans for a boutique apartment development on St Georges Crescent, only one-kilometre down the road from its first Drummoyne development, Bianca.

The new project at 15A-21 St Georges Crescent,&nbsp;a&nbsp;1,701sqm north-facing site overlooking Iron Cove, will have 45 apartmnts across 10 levels. Eight of the units will be dedicated to affordable housing.

The site sits within walking distance of Drummoyne Village, Birkenhead Point, ferry services and the Bay Run, and offers harbour views towards the Sydney Harbour Bridge and CBD skyline.

Designed by MHN Design Union, the development will deliver a mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments, alongside resident amenity including a gym, landscaped communal open space and three levels of basement parking.

The project has been lodged under the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing reforms, with Drummoyne Village identified as a town centre capable of accommodating additional housing supply.

Central Element acquired the site earlier this year as part of its continued expansion across Sydney's eastern suburbs, lower north shore and inner west.

The developer's current pipeline includes luxury apartment projects Pearl Bondi and a separate development on Lamrock Avenue in Bondi, a residential project in Barry Street, Neutral Bay, and a mixed-use seniors living community in Greenwich.

Central Element Managing Director Nathan Chivas said the project would address a shortage of new owner-occupier housing opportunities in Drummoyne.

"While we're seeing a significant shift across Canada Bay as major infrastructure investment, population growth and planning reform drive a new chapter for the region, in suburbs like Drummoyne there remains a genuine shortage of new boutique luxury housing opportunities for owner occupiers," Chivas said.

"Sites of this nature are increasingly difficult to secure, particularly those that combine a north-facing aspect with direct water outlook. Our St Georges Crescent project responds directly to the market demand, offering a level of exclusivity, outlook and lifestyle in the highly sought after suburb."

The development application has been lodged with the City of Canada Bay Council, with the project expected to launch to market in early 2027.

&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Central Element seeks second Drummoyne apartment development

The NSW Government has unveiled plans that could deliver around 1,300 new homes across Nowra and Kiama, continuing its push to unlock housing in well-located regional centres along the South Coast.

The proposals, now on public exhibition, would pave the way for around 830 homes in Nowra and a further 450 homes in Kiama, while also introducing affordable housing requirements and increased building heights in key locations.

The larger of the two proposals is centred on Nowra, where the NSW Government is seeking to rezone land within the Mandalay and Riverfront precincts.

The Mandalay sub-precinct, located close to Shoalhaven Memorial Hospital, Nowra Library and the city's aquatic centre, could accommodate around 530 new homes. Around 30 per cent of housing delivered on Homes NSW-owned land would be dedicated to social and affordable housing, equating to roughly 100 homes. Building heights would increase from the current two-storey limit to between three and six storeys.

A separate rezoning proposal for the Nowra Riverfront Precinct would unlock a further 377 homes while creating stronger connections between the Shoalhaven River and the CBD. The plans include building heights ranging from five to 12 storeys, floor space ratios of up to 2:1 and a requirement for two per cent affordable housing.

Together, the two proposals would deliver more than 900 homes across the broader Nowra area, reinforcing the city's role as one of regional NSW's key growth centres.

The housing push builds on previous infrastructure commitments in the Shoalhaven, including government funding aimed at supporting thousands of future homes in West Nowra through upgrades to water and wastewater infrastructure.

Further north, the NSW Government is also progressing plans for the former Kiama Depot site, a two-hectare parcel near Kiama's town centre.

The rezoning proposal would transform the former industrial site into a residential community capable of delivering up to 450 homes. Buildings would range between six and eight storeys, with at least 10 per cent of homes allocated as affordable housing. The proposal also includes approximately 600 parking spaces and improved walking and cycling connections.

Planning Minister Paul Scully said the proposals are designed to increase housing supply in locations close to jobs, transport and services.

"For too long, families have struggled to find somewhere to live, and activating underutilised sites allows us to deliver the new homes these families need," Scully said.

"The Minns Labor Government is getting on with the job of unlocking well-located sites close to transport, jobs, and town centres and building the homes our communities need.

"These rezonings are about removing barriers to housing delivery and making sure land is put to better use so more people can find a place to call home within the communities they choose."

The latest rezonings form part of the Minns Government's broader strategy to accelerate housing delivery across NSW, particularly in established centres where existing infrastructure can support additional population growth.

Community consultation on the proposals is now underway, with feedback set to inform the final planning controls before the rezonings are determined.

Around 1,300 new homes earmarked for Nowra and Kiama as NSW Government pushes housing supply

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mrcb">MRCB International</a> has commenced construction on its latest Gold Coast apartment development, Maris, on the site of the former Sundale Motel in Southport.

The start of construction by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/binah-constructions">Binah</a> follows an exceptionally strong sales campaign, with more than 90 per cent of apartments sold since launch. Every purchaser has been local, an&nbsp;indicator of confidence in both the development and Southport's evolution into a thriving CBD.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/maris-southport-20-queen-street-southport-qld-4215">Maris</a> will deliver 192 residences across 20 levels. The project forms part of MRCB's Australian and New Zealand development pipeline now exceeding $1.6 billion in gross development value, alongside a growing portfolio of projects globally.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134403 project_image_fid=350663]

The company also commenced construction on its $600 million 26 Vista residences in Surfers Paradise last year, following strong sales momentum, with over 70 per cent of residences sold.

Maris has been designed to meet evolving buyer demand, offering architecturally designed layouts suited to long-term liveability. The approach reflects a growing preference for quality and adaptability among Gold Coast buyers.

Positioned next to the Broadwater in the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/southport-qld-4215">Southport</a> CBD, Maris sits directly opposite the Broadwater Parklands light rail station and within easy reach of retail, dining and lifestyle precincts, placing residents at the centre of one of the Gold Coast's most connected and rapidly maturing urban centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134403 project_image_fid=372756]

Maris will offer a full suite of resort-style residential amenities, including a pool, gym and sauna, along with a rooftop level featuring decks, lounges and dining and yoga areas that command sweeping views across the Broadwater and out to the ocean.

Binah, a New South Wales headquartered company co-founded by Amen Zoabi and Khalil Hafza in 2008, has expressed its excitement at establishing its first partnership with MRCB.

Binah's Managing Director Khalil Hafza said partnering with MRCB on Maris is a significant moment for Binah.

"MRCB's financial strength and a track record that speaks for itself give this project a solid foundation, and this marks the beginning of what will be a long and successful relationship.

"With the right people, systems and partnerships behind it, Maris is set to become a significant addition to the Gold Coast's premium residential market."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134403 project_image_fid=350664]

MRCB International CEO Ravi Krishnan said the project's progression to construction reflects both sustained demand and tightening conditions across the apartment sector, as well as MRCB's continued confidence in the Gold Coast market.

"Commencing construction at Maris is a significant step and reflects the depth of demand for quality apartments in well-connected urban locations," said Krishnan.

"Across Southeast Queensland, new apartment supply remains constrained, particularly in established precincts with infrastructure and amenity already in place. Projects like Maris are increasingly critical in meeting that demand, especially on the Gold Coast and in the city's CBD precinct."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134403 project_image_fid=372761]

Krishnan said Southport's ongoing transformation, supported by infrastructure investment and long-term planning, was underpinning renewed buyer confidence.

"We're seeing a clear shift back towards well-located urban centres where infrastructure, connectivity and amenity are already established," said Mr Krishnan. "Southport is evolving into a more mature CBD environment, and that is being reflected in buyer behaviour."

Construction at Maris is anticipated to be completed in 2029.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134403]

Construction commences on MRCB’s $200m Maris Residences in Southport

Moonee Valley Park’s latest residential release <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-eveline-at-moonee-valley-park-moonee-ponds-100-thomas-street-moonee-ponds-vic-3039">The Eveline</a>, has achieved a new benchmark for off-the-plan apartment sales in the suburb, with the sale of The Alexandra penthouse selling for $5,435,000.

Positioned on the top floor of a 16-level residential building, the three-bedroom, three and-a-half-bathroom penthouse features uninterrupted city skyline views across the future Valley racetrack.&nbsp;

The landmark sale comes as momentum at the precinct continues to build, with the Moonee Valley Racing Club progressing works on its new racetrack ahead of the 2027 Cox Plate. The transformative development will see MVRC reimagine the beloved Valley as a vibrant year-round entertainment and lifestyle destination.

Alongside a world-class racing experience, the historic precinct will be activated with events, hospitality and public green spaces designed to attract broader audiences, while breathing new life into one of Melbourne’s most iconic destinations.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=142519 project_image_fid=372786]

Development partners <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/hamton">Hamton Property Group</a> and Hostplus have delivered five residential stages over the past four years, the most recent in November 2025 with Trackside House and Stonepine House. The flourishing community is now home to almost 500 families.&nbsp;

The latest residential release, The Eveline, has recorded strong demand since launching publicly last July, securing more than $200 million in sales to date, satisfying its pre sales hurdle for construction to commence.&nbsp;

Hamton Founder and Executive Chairman, Paul Hameister OAM said, the sales&nbsp;team have been overwhelmed by demand for these unique homes in this unique project.

"Buyers continue to be predominantly hyperlocal and attracted by the 40 hectare botanic masterplan in Melbourne’s inner north west," Hameister said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=142519 project_image_fid=372788]

Hamton’s Sales and Marketing Director Fergus Humphries said the team has achieved more than 70 sales over the past eight weeks, including the penthouse purchase by a local buyer.

"These results reinforce that, even in a challenging market, purchasers continue to be drawn to quality projects that offer more than just a home, they offer a lifestyle.”

Designed by Cera Stribley, the penthouse has been created with entertaining in mind, spanning close to 400 sqm of indoor and outdoor living space, including multiple terraces designed to capture sweeping views across Melbourne’s skyline, the new Valley racecourse and sunset views over Moonee Ponds.

Moonee Valley Park is one of Melbourne’s largest urban renewal projects, transforming the iconic racecourse site into a vibrant mixed-use neighbourhood integrating homes, parklands, retail, racing and community amenities.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=142519]

Moonee Valley Park penthouse sets suburb record as sales surge clears construction benchmark

A company linked to one of Australia's largest privately owned cattle businesses has lodged plans for a new residential tower in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newstead-qld-4006">Newstead</a>, continuing the rapid transformation of one of Brisbane's most sought-after, inner-city precincts.

Bottletree Holdings, an entity associated with Stanbroke Managing Director Brendan Menegazzo, has submitted a development application for a 28-storey mixed-use tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/9-longland-street-newstead-qld-4006">9 Longland Street</a>, a site that made headlines last year when it changed hands in an off-market transaction that reportedly set a benchmark land rate for the suburb.

The proposal would replace an existing two-storey commercial building on the 1,510 sqm corner site with a Bureau Proberts-designed tower comprising 76 apartments, ground-floor retail, office space and a suite of resident wellness amenities.

<img alt="9 Longland" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c710a836-568e-4382-bc91-3c34b8e80a8b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-22%20at%209.41.45%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Vy.mQWBc7GA_a.vIBdxKqRC9XGjWalo2" />

According to planning documents lodged with Brisbane City Council, the development would comprise a mix of 36 two-bedroom apartments, 24 three-bedroom apartments and 16 four-bedroom residences, positioning the project firmly at the premium end of the market. The apartments would sit above a podium containing retail and commercial space, with three levels of communal recreation facilities spread throughout the tower. The proposal also includes 198 car spaces and 95 bicycle spaces.

Bureau Proberts has drawn heavily on Newstead's industrial heritage in developing the architectural response.

"Occupying a prominent corner in the heart of Newstead, the proposal draws from the area's industrial lineage of robust brick warehouses to deliver a distinctly contemporary response," the architects said in the design statement.

"It is conceived as a subtropical sanctuary and elevated private retreat embedded within one of Brisbane's most vibrant lifestyle precincts."

The design seeks to reinterpret the traditional Queensland vernacular through wraparound verandahs, deep shading elements and permeable facades that respond to Brisbane's subtropical climate.

<img alt="9 Longland" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="25524f59-395c-4825-8fad-9b639822fa8a" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-22%20at%209.42.09%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=dlWlbpCc_g3Y6yTLGqRVKvGJvO2ubMJ3" />

Planning documents describe the building as embodying the principles of "buildings that breathe", a design approach increasingly favoured in Brisbane's apartment market as developers focus on natural ventilation and outdoor living spaces.

The tower itself would rise above a heavily landscaped podium designed to reference the woolstore architecture that helped define Newstead and neighbouring Teneriffe for generations. At ground level, fine-grain retail tenancies would activate Longland Street, Wyandra Street and the existing Wyatt Street laneway, further extending the pedestrian network that has become a hallmark of the Gasworks precinct.

The application notes that more than 54 per cent of the site would be dedicated to landscaping and deep planting, while approximately 1,750 sqm of communal recreation space would be delivered across multiple levels.

<img alt="Planning" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fed3b189-1054-4b68-af5f-b0befc4a66e5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-22%20at%209.42.19%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=gqeE3cjsbnLAfeTUKA1HtPZfqDs6S4Xa" />

Bottletree paid $22 million for the 1,510 sqm development site, equating to more than $14,500 per sqm, a reflection of the strong demand for development opportunities in Newstead. The suburb continues to attract both developers and buyers, underpinned by the ongoing evolution of the Gasworks and Teneriffe precincts into some of Brisbane's most sought-after lifestyle destinations.

Brisbane City Council's Sustainable Growth Strategy and Inner City Strategy both identify Newstead as a priority growth precinct capable of accommodating additional housing density due to its proximity to employment hubs, public transport and lifestyle infrastructure.

The proposed tower joins a growing pipeline of high-end apartment developments in the suburb. Fortis recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a>, a 65-apartment owner-occupier-focused development on Kyabra Street, while Consolidated Properties Group is preparing to launch <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a 227-apartment waterfront project on Skyring Terrace.

Meanwhile, builder-developer BPG is planning its own Newstead project on Maud Street, comprising just over 100 apartments and more than 1,380 sqm of dedicated wellness and resident amenity spaces, further highlighting the shift towards lifestyle-driven apartment developments in Brisbane's inner-city market.

Newstead apartment boom continues with Longland Street tower plans

Sydney’s property market is known for high prices, competitive bidding, and mounting pressure on first home buyers. But change is on the horizon.

From late 2025, eligible first home buyers in New South Wales will have access to a new federal government initiative aimed at addressing affordability: the Help to Buy Scheme.&nbsp;

<h2>What is the Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

The program introduces a shared equity model intended to reduce the upfront cost of entering the property market, particularly in high-demand urban areas such as Sydney.

The scheme operates under a shared ownership structure in which the federal government takes an equity stake of up to 40 per cent for new homes, or 30 per cent for existing dwellings. This arrangement allows eligible buyers to significantly reduce their loan size and avoid the added cost of Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI).

Under this model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required. The government’s contribution is not a loan but a co-ownership stake in the property. As such, there is no interest or rent charged on its portion.

Because the government’s equity combined with the buyer’s deposit typically meets or exceeds the 20 per cent threshold, LMI does not apply. The remaining balance, generally between 60 and 70 per cent of the property’s value, is financed through a standard home loan with a participating lender.

The government's equity in the property remains in place until the buyer chooses to repay it voluntarily or until the property is sold. Buyers can buy back the government’s share over time, in increments of at least five per cent, depending on their financial situation.

There is no fixed repayment timeline, but the amount to be repaid will be based on the property's market value at the time of repayment, not the original purchase price.

<h2>How do you qualify for the&nbsp;Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

To qualify for the Help to Buy Scheme, applicants must meet the following conditions:

<ul>
	<li>Be an Australian citizen at least 18 years of age.</li>
	<li>Be a first-home buyer who does not currently own property.</li>
	<li>Intend to live in the property as their primary residence.</li>
	<li>Earn less than $100,000 per year for individuals, or $160,000 for couples.</li>
	<li>Purchase a property within the regional price caps, currently $950,000 in Sydney, though this is expected to rise to approximately $1.3 million ahead of the program’s launch.</li>
</ul>

While the Help to Buy Scheme does not solve affordability challenges across the board, it does offer a more accessible pathway for a defined segment of the market, particularly younger buyers with moderate incomes who have been priced out of traditional lending routes.

The scheme is expected to commence in NSW in late 2025, as part of a national rollout.

Under the new model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required

Help to Buy Scheme: What first home buyers in NSW need to know

The First Home Owners Grant (FHOG) is a government initiative designed to help eligible first-time home buyers by offering financial assistance towards the purchase or construction of a new home.

While the FHOG is a nationwide program, it is administered separately by each state and territory, meaning the eligibility criteria, grant amounts, and property requirements can vary depending on your location. This means that the amount available and the conditions attached to the grant will differ, so it is important to check the specific guidelines for your state or territory.

It’s important to note that the FHOG is just one of several incentives available to first home buyers. In most states and territories, the grant is not linked to stamp duty exemptions or concessions, with the exception of the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). The FHOG is typically a one-off payment, reducing the overall cost of purchasing or building a new home before any stamp duty concessions are applied.

Below, we provide a breakdown of the First Home Owner Grants available across Australia, outlining the specific details for each state and territory.

<h2>New South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $600,000. For land purchases and owner-builders, the threshold extends to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Provides full stamp duty exemption for homes valued up to $800,000, with concessions available for properties up to $1 million.

<h2>Victoria South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides a $10,000 grant for first-home buyers purchasing or building new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Offers full stamp duty exemption for properties up to $600,000, with concessions available up to $750,000.

<h2>Queensland First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers $30,000 for contracts signed between 20 November 2023 and 30 June 2025. The FHOG applies to new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Provides additional concessions for properties valued up to $800,000.

<h2>Western Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

&nbsp;

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $750,000 in the southern regions and up to $1 million in the northern regions.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Available for homes valued up to $600,000 for transactions entered into on or after 9 May 2024.

<h2>Australian Capital Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Replaced by the Home Buyer Concession Scheme, offering full stamp duty concessions for eligible buyers.

<h2>South Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides up to $15,000 for new homes, including houses, apartments, and townhouses. As of 6 June 2024, there is no property value cap for eligibility.

Stamp Duty Relief: Available for new homes and vacant land purchases.

<h2>Tasmania First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes and off the plan purchases.

Stamp Duty Exemption: Between 18 February 2024 and 30 June 2026, first home buyers of established homes valued up to $750,000 receive a full exemption on property transfer duty.

<h2>Northern Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: The Northern Territory provides a $10,000 grant for new homes only. Additional government grants and concessions are available for first home buyers.

Stamp Duty Exemption: The only stamp duty exemption available to property buyers is the House and Land Package Exemption (HLPE).

Eligibility criteria and application processes differ across states. Prospective buyers should refer to their respective state revenue offices for full details on grant availability, conditions, and additional concessions.

Every First Home Owner Grant for new property by state

In the ever-evolving landscape of sustainable architecture and environmentally conscious design, systems and ratings in place can help determine the energy efficiency of residential buildings in Australia.

Australia has multiple building rating systems that evaluate energy efficiency and sustainability in existing and new building designs.

Some systems assess individual building components, while others provide an overall rating for the entire structure.

A rating system ensures that homes are comfortable and energy-efficient, whether you are buying, renovating, or building.

NatHERS (Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme) is a common way for new homes to meet energy efficiency requirements.

As new developments continue to shape the urban environment, understanding NatHERS ratings becomes essential for developers and homeowners. This article delves into the concept of NatHERS ratings, their significance, and how they contribute to creating energy-efficient homes.

<h2>What is NatHERS?</h2>

NatHERS is a national initiative implemented by the Australian government to promote energy efficiency in residential buildings. The scheme aims to provide a standardised method for assessing the thermal performance of homes, considering factors such as insulation, orientation, ventilation, and building materials.&nbsp;

NatHERS ratings are the most common way new homes meet the National Construction Code's (NCC's) minimum energy efficiency requirements.&nbsp;

NatHERS assessments provide thermal and whole-home ratings for new homes, townhouses, and apartments.

The rating helps evaluate the energy performance of buildings, guides homeowners and developers to make informed decisions about the energy efficiency of their properties, and encourages the construction of more sustainable, comfortable, and cost-effective homes.

<h2>How NatHERS Ratings Work</h2>

NatHERS ratings are determined through four accredited software tools (AccuRate, BERS Pro, FirstRate5, HERO) using a calculation engine CSIRO developed to predict building temperature based on various factors.

The tools can model complex effects of building mass, insulation, window size, and other elements.

The outcome is a star rating that reflects the building's overall thermal efficiency, indicating how well it can maintain a comfortable indoor temperature without excessive reliance on heating or cooling systems.

The star rating scale ranges from 0 to 10, with a 6-star rating being the minimum requirement for compliance with the National Construction Code (NCC).&nbsp;

Achieving a higher star rating demonstrates a commitment to energy efficiency and sustainability, as the building is better equipped to minimise its environmental impact and reduce long-term energy costs.

Anyone can use NatHERS tools, but accredited assessors can provide certified ratings and professional advice.

<h2>Benefits of Higher NatHERS Ratings</h2>

Energy Efficiency: Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings are more energy-efficient, requiring less heating and cooling energy. This reduces the structure's carbon footprint and lowers occupants' energy bills.

Cost Savings: Homes with higher NatHERS ratings are generally more energy-efficient, resulting in reduced energy consumption for heating and cooling. This translates to lower energy bills for homeowners, making sustainable living environmentally friendly and economically viable in the long run.

Environmental Impact: Lower energy consumption directly translates to a reduced environmental impact. Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings contribute to the overall goal of mitigating climate change by lowering greenhouse gas emissions associated with heating and cooling systems.

Improved Comfort: Buildings with high NatHERS ratings offer better thermal comfort to occupants. Proper insulation, well-designed ventilation, and optimal orientation maintain a consistent and comfortable indoor temperature, providing occupants with a more enjoyable and healthier space.

Market Value and Desirability: Higher NatHERS ratings can enhance the market value of a property. As energy efficiency becomes a more significant consideration for homebuyers, a well-rated building may attract a premium price and stand out in the real estate market.

Compliance with Building Codes: NatHERS ratings are a vital component of the National Construction Code (NCC), and compliance with these ratings is often a mandatory requirement for new developments. Local councils and planning authorities may set minimum energy efficiency standards that must be met to obtain development approval.

The Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme (NatHERS) is a crucial initiative shaping the future of energy-efficient, resilient, and cost-effective homes. With its recent upgrades, NatHERS has evolved into a world-leading tool for the building sector, supporting the global commitment to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.

Staff Writer

What is a NatHERS rating in new off the plan apartment developments?

Mixed-use developments have gained significant popularity across Australia in recent years due to their unique blend of residential, commercial, and recreational spaces.

Unlike traditional single-purpose developments, mixed-use projects offer a harmonious integration of various functions within a single locale.

Residential units seamlessly coexist with commercial establishments, retail outlets, dining venues, entertainment hubs, and recreational facilities, with the combination not only enhances convenience but also fosters a vibrant lifestyle and a sense of community.

<h3>Convenience and accessibility</h3>

Mixed-use developments are designed with convenience in mind. They often integrate residential units with commercial spaces, retail outlets, restaurants, and recreational facilities, creating a self-contained community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=204874]

The proximity allows residents to enjoy the convenience of having essential amenities and services within walking distance. Whether it's grabbing a cup of coffee, going grocery shopping, or accessing healthcare services, everything is conveniently located, saving residents time and effort.

<h3>Vibrant lifestyle and community</h3>

One of the major advantages of mixed-use developments is the vibrant lifestyle they offer. With a diverse range of amenities and communal spaces, residents have ample opportunities to interact, socialise, and build a sense of community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107714 project_image_fid=214122]

The presence of parks, community centres, and shared spaces fosters a lively atmosphere, encouraging residents to engage in various activities and events. The vibrant lifestyle within these developments creates a unique sense of belonging and camaraderie among the residents.

<h3>Potential for higher rental yields and property value appreciation</h3>

Mixed-use developments tend to attract a broad range of tenants and buyers due to their versatile nature. This high demand can result in higher rental yields for investors and potentially lead to property value appreciation over time.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=139989 project_image_fid=212887]

The integration of commercial and retail spaces attracts businesses, which can provide a stable rental income stream. Additionally, the popularity of mixed-use developments often drives up property values, making them a potentially lucrative investment in the long term.

<h3>Enhanced security and maintenance</h3>

Mixed-use developments typically have comprehensive security measures in place. With controlled access points, CCTV surveillance, and professional security staff, residents can enjoy enhanced safety and peace of mind.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=212658]

Additionally, these developments often have dedicated maintenance teams responsible for the upkeep of common areas, landscaping, and infrastructure. This ensures that the overall appearance and functionality of the development are well-maintained, creating a pleasant living environment for residents.

<h3>Live-work-play balance</h3>

One of the key attractions of mixed-use developments is the ability to achieve a desirable live-work-play balance. The integration of residential and commercial spaces allows residents to live closer to their workplaces, reducing commuting time and improving work-life balance.

The proximity to various amenities and recreational facilities encourages an active and healthy lifestyle. Residents can easily access fitness centres, parks, restaurants, and entertainment options, all within the same development, leading to a more fulfilling and convenient way of life.

alisonwarters@gmail.com

The top five reasons to buy in a mixed-use development

When buying a property, everyone needs to be aware of the additional costs that come as part of the buying process.

Often the largest outlay, after the deposit which goes to the bank, is stamp duty.

<h2 style="line-height: 1.38;">What is Stamp Duty?</h2>

Stamp duty is an extra tax to pay the government when you buy land, a property, and other certain assets.

It happens when the legal ownership is transferred. It can also be known as property transfer duty or transfer duty.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/C32BWkB5--c" title="YouTube video player" width="660"></iframe>

<h2>Who pays Stamp Duty?</h2>

In some circumstances, you may get an exemption. For some states, you won’t have to pay for stamp duty if you are a first home buyer or a pensioner for houses under a particular price. There are also stamp duty concessions, where you may be entitled to a discount.

<h2>How much does Stamp Duty cost?</h2>

Each state has different rules which affect how much you need to pay. These rules can affect the rate you pay, and the timeframe you will need to pay in. Before you buy land or a property, make sure you check the up-to-date information for your state’s stamp duty.

You can use a free stamp duty calculator online to see approximately how much you’ll need to pay. Find out if you’re eligible for an exemption by enquiring on a project via Urban!

Overall, the stamp duty you need to pay will depend on:

<ul>
	<li aria-level="1">How much your land/property is worth</li>
	<li aria-level="1">Where your land/property is located</li>
	<li aria-level="1">What type of land/property it is</li>
</ul>

Want to find out more? <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanAustralia?utm_source=YouTube&amp;utm_medium=Video&amp;utm_campaign=Subscribe&amp;utm_id=Subscribe">Subscribe to our YouTube channel</a> for more property videos.

Ellen Walker

Off-the-plan property explained: What is stamp duty?

Are mortgage holders set to get a reprieve from the RBA in 2026?

Big Four bank NAB believes so. They are now expecting the next move from the RBA to be a cut, rather than a hike, which they had pencilled in for August. They are unsure of the timing of the cut however, they note in their latest&nbsp;NAB Economics RBA Watch.

NAB Chief Economist, Dr Sally Auld, said recent data suggests the economy has lost momentum and the outlook for rates has shifted, noting that the broader economic backdrop has changed since earlier in the year.

“The next move in the cash rate is likely to be down, but the timing is uncertain," Dr Auld said.

"In February, growth was above trend, the economy was operating above capacity and there was uncertainty over the restrictiveness of rates. None of these conditions exist today,” she outlined.

Dr Auld said recent data pointed to softer momentum across the economy while acknowledging that at the same time, uncertainty remains a key feature of the outlook.

“Both Q1 GDP data and the NAB business survey suggest momentum in the economy has slowed, meaning that growth has likely peaked for the cycle. That said, we are cognisant there is still considerable uncertainty around the outlook, both with respect to activity and inflation.”

Dr Auld said inflation risks and labour market outcomes would be important to watch.

“On the prices side, we are still forecasting above target core inflation through to mid-2027. Margins will compress and weaker labour market outcomes are a risk.”

She said tighter financial conditions are expected to weigh on housing and activity.

“Tighter financial conditions will be reflected in a slowing in house price growth and housing credit growth. In summary, we have greater conviction that the next move in rates is down, but less conviction on the timing.”

Mortgage relief? NAB forecasts RBA rate cut, not hike, after softer economic conditions

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Sydney rents rank 10th place among the most expensive cities in the world

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A one bedroom unit at Bacchus Marsh, kms from Melbourne, was sold for $166,000 in the nation's cheapest weekend sale.
It last sold at $101,000 in 2006, reflecting 4.7 percent annual growth.
Located at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-unit-vic-bacchus+marsh-124468598" target="_blank">2/22 Grant Street</a> it is within walking distance to Bacchus Marsh Hospital, cafes and restaurants.
It features a generous bedroom with a recently updated en-suite.
A lounge room, meals area, functional kitchen and separate laundry are in the property.
The property was offered through PRD Nationwide agents Sean Tan and Russell Parker.
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One bedroom Bacchus Marsh unit sold for $166,000

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The combined capital city weekend clearance rate remained in the high 70s, despite auction volumes reaching the highest level so far this year
The larger number of auctions was driven by a substantial rise across the Sydney and Melbourne markets, while there was a small decrease across the smaller capital cities.
The strongest clearance rates, based on preliminary data, were in Sydney and Canberra, where 83 per cent and 81 percent of auctions returned a successful result.
Melbourne recorded a strong preliminary clearance rate, with 76 percent of auctions clearing, just below the 77 percent national average.
The preliminary combined capital city clearance rate was higher on the weekend than the 71 percent in same period last year.
The 2,280 auctions held was lower as 2,347 auctions were held over the same time last year.
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Across Melbourne, this week’s preliminary clearance rate was recorded at 76.7 percent, up from 75.9 percent last week and also higher the clearance rate recorded over the same week last year (74.1 percent).
This week, Melbourne was host to 1,103 auctions, higher than the 556 held last week, and only marginally lower than what was seen one year ago, when there were 1,105 Melbourne auctions held over the week.
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This weekend in Melbourne, the number of properties for sale is expected to rise to 1400 with Domain's Dr Andrew Wilson suggesting the listings were big for February when auctions were usually only just starting to build up again.
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Of the Melbourne sub-regions, the highest clearance rate was recorded across the North East region, with preliminary results showing 85.5 percent of the 91 auctions were successful.
Sydney’s preliminary clearance rate this week was 83.5 percent across 661 auction results.
There were a total of 844 auctions held across the city. Looking back at the same weekend last year, 800 auctions were held across Sydney and a clearance rate of 76.5 percent was recorded.
The North Sydney and Hornsby region hosted the most auctions of any Sydney sub-region this week, with 137 properties taken to auction.
"It's another extraordinary result for Sydney," Domain chief economist Dr Andrew Wilson told Domain.
"Next week it could be even bigger with the number of property listings to rise about 30 percent to 900." 
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The preliminary clearance rate for the region is 89.8 percent across 108 results.
Brisbane’s preliminary clearance rate this week was 50.6 percent, decreasing from 53.1 percent last week.
There were 117 Brisbane auctions this week, compared to 131 last week.
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The Gold Coast was host to 59 auctions this week.
Based on the 42 results reported to CoreLogic so far, 50.0 percent were successful.
Adelaide recorded a clearance rate of 68.9 percent across 86 auctions this week, up from 66.7 percent across a higher volume of auctions last week (91).
At the same time last year, 112 homes were taken to auction, with 64.6 percent recording a successful result.
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Perth’s clearance rate of 36.8 percent across 41 auctions is up from the previous week, when 74 auctions were held and a clearance rate of 25.0 percent was recorded.
Over the same week last year, the clearance rate was a lower 41.0 percent, and 42 auctions were held.
Canberra’s preliminary auction clearance rate of 81.5 percent this week is consistent with last week, when the final auction clearance rate was 81.5 percent and higher than the 61.9 percent recorded last year.
Tasmania saw 5 auctions take place this week, 3 results have been reported so far, with 1 sale.
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Preliminary auction clearance rate remains in high 70 percent: CoreLogic

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GUEST OBSERVER
Super Saturday is coming early for Cooley Auctions with 100 homes set to go under the hammer on February 25 - a personal best for the successful team.
Looking back at the same weekend over the past five years, February has never looked hotter for Cooley Auctions. Only 2014 came close with 97 auctions in one day, but this year will smash that record.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Sydney cracks 1,000 auctions. It's definitely going to be a very big day. 
There are already 926 auctions scheduled for February 25 according to APM price finder figures, but that number could be higher on the day.
With so many homes on the auction block on one day, the Cooley Auctions team will be far busier than the same weekend last year when there were 66 auctions scheduled. In 2015 there were 83 auctions on the corresponding Saturday.
All eyes turn to February as the month when consumers and industry insiders can truly gauge how the year's auction season will shape up.
It's extremely important that the day passes the acid test. If the market goes well on a big Saturday with big volumes then the indication will be that the market is in a really good position to continue through the Easter period and most likely well into the first half of 2017.
If the autumn season starts with a bang then it almost always guarantees that the winter market will be hot. However, timing is everything.
Super Saturday usually comes just before Easter, but Easter this year is in mid April which is actually really good news for agents.
Agents can capitalise on that time frame. When Easter is a little bit later it means that we get a couple more weeks of auctions in before the holiday weekend.
Despite 2017 barely being two months in, the Sydney auction scene is already showing signs of market sentiment.
Honestly, I think there is a bit of fear about. A lot of vendors are trying to come onto the market as early as they can because there's a lot of talk of a market correction. There is a fear of missing out on the peak of the market which is absolutely a contributing factor to the number of auctions on February 25.
With such a bumper February that will see 403 auctions in the bag, Cooley Auctions is gearing up for a busy 2017. The closest February auction numbers were back in 2015 when the firm clocked up 379 auctions for the shortest month of the year and subsequently went on to perform more than 6,000 auctions over the 12-month period.
Damien Cooley, managing director of Cooley Auctions and can be contacted <a href="https://cooleyauctions.com.au/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Super Saturday in February: Damien Cooley

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The upcoming weekend auction market in Sydney's will be another big test with nearly 700 auctions listed, up from last weekend's 543 according to Domain's Dr Andrew Wilson.
He said nearly 900 homes will be up for auction in Melbourne, nearly double last weekend’s 471 listings, with Melbourne's  west suburban region hosting the most number of auctions on Saturday with 156.
"This is followed by the inner south with 130, the inner city 123, the outer east 115, the inner east significantly higher this weekend with 111, the north east 100, the north 67 and the south east with 63 auctions listed on the weekend.
"The most popular suburb for auctions this weekend in Melbourne is Richmond with 18 followed by Glen Waverley with 16, Northcote and Hawthorn each with 14, Preston 13, St Albans and Craigieburn each with 12 and Mt Waverley and Armadale with 11 auctions each on Saturday.
"The Sydney auction market is now in full swing with a higher proportion of homes from inner suburban, higher-priced regions now looking for buyers.
"The city and east will host the most number of auctions with 108 followed by the upper north shore 98, the inner west 88, the northern beaches 63, the south 58, the lower north 56, the west 47, Canterbury Bankstown 45, the south west 39, the north west 28, the central coast 22 and the Blue Mountains with 1 auction listed for Saturday.
"The most popular suburb for auctions this weekend in Sydney is Randwick with 12 followed by Mosman 11, Manly and St Ives each with 9 and a number of suburbs with 8 auctions listed including Epping, Cronulla, Lindfield and Greenacre."
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Big test for auction numbers this weekend: Andrew Wilson

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Weekend auction numbers are rising week on week in Sydney and Melbourne with 1,005 auctions scheduled to be held in Melbourne and 807 properties set to go to auction across Sydney, according to CoreLogic.
CoreLogic report 2,136 capital city auctions for the week, up from 1,591 last week.
In the same week last year 2,347 auctions were held.
Corelogic said across the smaller markets, auction activity is set to be lower this week compared to last week, and also lower than the same week last year. 
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Richmond in Vic is the busiest individual suburb for auctions across the nation this week, with 21 residential homes set to go 
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under the hammer, followed by Glen Waverley also in Vic with 18, Cronulla (NSW) with 14, Randwick (NSW) and Brunswick (Vic) both set to hold 13 auctions. 
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Sydney, Melbourne weekend auction numbers rising week on week: CoreLogic

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Inner city suburbs such as Port Melbourne, St Kilda, South Yarra, Richmond, Carlton and Fitzroy are worth watching to see if they maintain the capital growth shown over the past few years, according to HTW's February 2017 update.
The valuation firm says that, in particular, established apartments offering functional floor plans and superior living areas are expected to grow due to their attractiveness compared to new off the plan stock.
With the continuing development of large apartment complexes outside the Melbourne CBD, these apartments are usually marketed for lower than off the plan apartments and often provide a superior product, the report says.
“The Melbourne apartment market however is one that should be treated with caution as the threat of oversupply looms large, with the RBA warning that the rush of apartments scheduled for completion in the next couple of years will constrain price growth and also impact rents,” HTW says.
“There is also the increased risk of off the plan apartments not settling upon completion.”
The firm says the inner north western apartment market should be treated with caution due to the large amount of supply particularly in the suburbs of North Melbourne, West Melbourne, Travancore and Parkville. This concern may be contributing to softening values.
At the average price of $950,000 an investor can purchase a house such as the one at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-north+melbourne-123638770" target="_blank">44 Bryon Street</a>, North Melbourne (above) that was sold for $990,000.
Similarly at the average price of $521,000 an investor can purchase a unit such as the one at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-apartment-vic-north+melbourne-124513242" target="_blank">307/139 Chetwynd Street</a>, North Melbourne (below) that is available for $520,000.
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“While North Melbourne had unit capital growth of 5.2%, there was negative capital growth in unit prices in West Melbourne of -19% (Core Logic, 2017).
It will be interesting to watch the performance of this submarket over the year ahead as more supply is released on to the market.”
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Inner Melbourne buyers ditching off the plan for established units: HTW

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The strength of Gold Coast house prices is forcing first home buyers to look further west to obtain an affordable home, according to HTW’s February 2017 update.
The valuation firm says the north-west Gold Coast and southern Logan area is one of the largest growth areas within south-east Queensland with a number of satellite cities now gaining momentum and newer residential estates moving in to a more mature phase with established infrastructure, schools and local amenities.
“The growth area of Upper Coomera continues to be underpinned by the investment and interstate market with these buyers accounting for the majority of vacant lot purchases and house and land sales,” the report says.
“This market saw vacant land prices increase during the second half of 2016, with larger lots coming on to the market, which hadn’t been offered in this area for some time.”
“Over the coming year, this market should be treated with caution as these prices may be reaching their peak.”
The government increased the First Home Buyer’s Grant to $20,000 during the latter part of 2016 which encouraged more construction activity.
“However with price levels increasing in this area, it is becoming extremely difficult for first home owners to purchase or build new product and are we are seeing these buyers moving further west to the satellite cities of Yarrabilba and Flagstone at Jimboomba.”
Property Observer found a four bedroom house in Upper Coomera on 1001sqm that recently sold for $730,000 (above).
The property, <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-qld-upper+coomera-123855210" target="_blank">74a River Meadows Drive</a>, fronts the river.
A four bedroom home, <a href="https://www.domain.com.au/9-summerview-avenue-yarrabilba-qld-4207-2013311045?topspot=1" target="_blank">9 Summerview Avenue, Yarrabilba</a> (below) is currently on the market expecting offers over $575,000.
The home features an in-ground saltwater swimming pool and is on 640sqm.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/02/16/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-16%20at%201.35.12%20PM.png" alt="">
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Gold Coast prices forcing first home buyers west: HTW

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GUEST OBSERVER
Labour market statistics are among the most valuable pieces of data we analyse to gauge the health and strength of an economy. 
Trends in the labour market influence virtually every part of an economy. And they have a major impact on monetary and fiscal policy decisions as well as the functioning of society more generally. 
The latest ABS employment report allows us to draw a line under the sand on how the Australian labour market performed over 2016. It also provides a good stepping off point for thinking about how conditions in the labour market will evolve over 2017. 
In this note we take a frank look at how the Australia labour market performed over the past twelve months. We analyse key metrics like employment, unemployment, participation and hours worked. And we take a brief look at outcomes by state. We conclude by presenting our views on what we think is in store for the labour market over 2017 and what it means for policy. 
1. Employment 
We kick off with employment growth because job creation goes hand in hand with output growth (chart 1). Throughout 2016 average monthly employment growth was significantly lower than in was in 2015. The average monthly gain was 7.1k which is a third less than it was in 2015 (chart 2). As a result, annual employment growth in the year to December 2016 slowed to 0.9 percent compared with 2.5percent the previous year. And unsurprisingly, output growth eased over 2016. The latest national accounts put annual GDP growth at a below trend 1.8 percent in QIII 2016.
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In addition to soft employment growth, the composition of jobs growth has been suboptimal. Part-time employment was the sole driver of jobs growth over 2016 (chart 3). The ABS estimates that part-time employment lifted by 126k over 2016 while full-time jobs fell by 34k. To be fair, there was a pickup in full-time jobs over the December quarter which provides a glimmer of hope that things may be improving. But over the calendar year as a whole, the news was ordinary for those seeking full-time work.
To recap, a worker is deemed to be employed full-time if they are working more than 35 hours a week. Working between 1 and 35 hours a week means a worker is considered part-time. So a part-time worker could be working a significant number of hours or hardly working at all.
The latest figures show that a part-time employee works on average 17.0 hours a week. A full-time worker on average clocks up 39.2 hours. Having this data enables us to calculate full-time equivalent (FTE) employment growth and the news here is particularly sobering (chart 4). On our calculations, FTE employment growth was flat in the year to December 2016. In other words, the Australian economy created no FTE jobs over 2016. This should concern policymakers because growth in FTE jobs should be a lot higher (1 percent or above) to take into account new entrants into the labour market. It’s therefore no surprise that Australia has near record higher underemployment (see section 3). 
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2. Unemployment
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It’s fair to say that from where we were 18 months ago, the decline in the unemployment rate has bettered RBA and market consensus forecasts which previously had it stuck above 6 percent over 2016 and 2017. But before we get carried away, the unemployment rate moved a little lower over the year purely because of a fall in participation (see section 4). 
Australia has a strong population growth rate and generally needs to generate at least 15k a jobs a month to stop the unemployment rate rising. But over 2016 the economy was generating half as many jobs a month and yet the unemployment rate moved marginally lower. This is reconciled by a fall in participation. On our calculations, the unemployment rate would have risen to around 6.2 percent if the participation rate has remained constant. 
The slight downward trend in the unemployment rate has had a positive impact on job security concerns (chart 6). The WBC MI monthly gauge on unemployment rate expectations moved down a little over 2016 (a decrease indicates that respondents are less pessimistic about the labour market). This helps to loosen the consumer purse strings and since the spending of one person is the income of another, we also welcome the fall in job security fears. 
There is more work to be done, however, because the unemployment rate is still above the level we associate with full employment (around 5 percent) and job security fears are still quite elevated even though they have been receding. Further, the unemployment rate in Australia is higher than the equivalent rate in the US, Japan and the UK – three economies that Australia is generally assumed to be doing better against (chart 7). 
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3. Underemployment and underutilisation 
In the past the unemployment rate was deemed sufficient to measure labour market slack and therefore very little air time was given to the underemployment rate. But over the past two years it’s become increasingly fashionable to talk about the underemployment rate because it’s been rising while the unemployment rate has been falling. Underemployment provides a gauge of the proportion of people who are employed but whose labour is not fully utilised. That is, they have a job but want to work more and can’t find the work. 
The underemployment rate largely tracked sideways at around 8.4% over 2016 which is near its record high. This is undesirable and means spare capacity in the labour market is a lot higher than the unemployment rate implies. 
The sum of the unemployment rate and the underemployment rate produces the underutilisation rate which is the broadest measure of spare capacity in the labour market – it has been stuck above 14 percent for the past 18 months (chart 8).
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The number of additional hours of work wanted by underemployed workers has been stable at around two days (or a little under 15hrs) per week since the mid- 2000s. This compares with unemployed people who are on average looking for an additional 33 hours per week1. To put it in layman’s terms, at the end of 2016,  
8 1⁄2 percent of the Australian workforce wanted to work two more days per week than hey are currently working and 5 3⁄4 percent of the workforce were out of a job and wanted one. These numbers are too high and should concern policymakers.
There is a large pool of the workforce who either need work or want more work. 
Having the information on hours of additional work sought enables us to construct an adjusted underutilisation rate. To do this we weight the underemployment rate to take account of the average underemployed person seeking 15hrs a week work compared with 33hrs for an unemployed person. This measure provides the purist measure of spare capacity in the labour market. It moved a touch lower over 2016 from 9.7 percent to 9.5 percent but it is very high by our historic standards and presently sits above the level hit during the GFC. In fact, you have to go back to the late 1990s for the last time the adjusted underutilisation rate was so high.
The data shows that the economy is operating well below its capacity and there is an output gap. As we have covered previously, this has dragged down the pace of wages growth and inflation.
4. Employment to population and participation
The share of the Australian workforce in a job trended down over 2016. The employment to population ratio ended the year 0.4ppts lower at 60.9 percent (chart 9). This shift downwards basically reflects employment growth running below population growth. Normally that would be associated with the unemployment rate drifting higher, but a decline in the participation rate has allowed the unemployment rate to grind lower. A declining participation rate and flat employment to population ratio means that the downward trend in the unemployment rate is overstating the relative strength of labour demand.
The participation rate fell over 2016 for cyclical and structural reasons .
The cyclical force dragging the participation rate lower over the year largely reflects the discouraged job seeker syndrome. The participation rate fell sharply over 2016 in the mining states of WA and QLD (chart 10). And more so for men than women. The big downturn in mining-related investment has greatly reduced job prospects for workers in these states. Some workers appear to have given up looking for employment and have left the workforce. As a result, the participation rate has fallen. 
Structurally, the ‘grey army’ – those aged 65 and over – have continued to grow as a share of Australia’s population. This story will continue to play out over a long period of time and it will drag the participation rate down. Basically, the ageing of the population has increased the dependency ratio (the age-to-population ratio of those typically not in the labour force). This underpins the need for fiscal reform.
There is a misconception that Australia’s immigration policy will help to offset the impacts of the growth in the dependency ratio. It works in the short term, but it’s not a long term solution. As the Productivity Commission argued in April 2016, “the continuation of an immigration system oriented towards younger working- age people can boost the proportion of the population in the workforce and, thereby, provide a ‘demographic dividend’ to the Australian economy. However, this demographic dividend comes with a larger population and over time permanent immigrants will themselves age and add to the proportion of the population aged over 65 years.” In other words, it’s a policy more akin to kicking the can down the road. 
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5. Hours worked
Hours worked, as you would expect, is strongly correlated with output, consumption and employment growth. It is also a key input into examining productivity growth because we can measure output per hour (or unit of labour).
Monthly aggregate hours worked is quiet volatile so we look to the annual change in trend terms to best gauge what’s been happening in that space (chart 11). The 
news is not good. But it’s not surprising given what the other indicators of the labour market aforementioned are suggesting.
The data indicates that total hours worked was just 0.4 percent higher in the year to December 2016. This is weak given population growth is running at 1.4%. As such, hours worked per capita fell over 2016 to a multi-decade low (chart 12). In fact, you have to go back as far as the recession of the early 1990s for when per capita hours worked was as low as it is now. This trend is concerning because it means that unless there is a big lift in productivity, output per worker will be weak along with per capita income. It’s no wonder that there has been no meaningful improvement in Australia’s fiscal position given per capita hours worked has been falling. As we covered back in October, the performance of the Australian economy looks far from spectacular on a per capita basis.
Labour market by state
Back in November we flagged that Australia has a new “two-speed” economy that comprises: (i) NSW and Victoria (driven largely by Sydney and Melbourne); and (ii) the rest of Australia (see here). The evidence is in, among other things, the labour market.
There has been little in the way of jobs growth outside of NSW and Victoria (charts 13 and 14). Employment growth in the Garden State has powered along, driven in part by particularly strong population growth. Jobs growth has slowed in NSW, but Australia’s Premier State put on a lot of jobs in late 2015/early 2016 and the unemployment rate is close to the level we would associate with full employment.
On the other hand, the impact of the downturn in mining investment is particularly evident in the labour markets of Australia’s two resource-rich states. Employment growth in QLD is down a sizeable 1.4% through the year to December 2016 while it’s down by a similar amount in WA. Things have picked up in SA and employment growth is running at a respectable pace. Jobs growth in Tasmanian remains soft but things improved a little in the second half of 2016.
The unemployment rates across the states vary just like the employment data (chart 15). The unemployment rate has trended lower in NSW and sits at a healthy 5.0%. In Victoria, despite solid jobs growth, the unemployment rate ended 2016 unchanged on a year earlier at 5.9% because of a rise in participation. For the rest of the country, the unemployment rate sits at or above 6.0%. The trend is WA is particularly concerning given the unemployment rate has been moving north. It ended the year 0.6ppts higher at 6.7%. 
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What can we expect in 2017?
Our frank assessment is that the labour market was soft over 2016. But there are tentative signs that things may be a little better in 2017, at least in the near term. More specifically, jobs vacancies and business surveys are pointing to a lift in employment growth.
The latest NAB Business Survey (January) showed a material jump in the employment conditions indicator (chart 16). This index has historically had a high correlation with the ABS labour force data. It currently sits at its highest level since 2011 which points to a near term lift in employment growth. The rise in the employment index is consistent with a lift in capacity utilisation which provides a source of optimism for business investment - an essential ingredient to long-run job creation. The ANZ jobs vacancies series also posted a solid rise in January (4.0%) and annual growth accelerated to its strongest pace since August 2016.
In addition to the business surveys, the lift in commodity prices over the latter part of 2016 is flowing through to export receipts which filters through to domestic  income. Higher income growth supports consumption which ultimately underpins the demand for labour. So there are some causes for optimism.
But equally, there are plenty of risks. The rate cut chamber only has a few bullets left and even then, the ability of monetary policy to stimulate genuine economic activity from here is questionable. Consumer confidence is still fragile and the geopolitical backdrop suggests that the global economic outlook contains more uncertainties than usual. So while the business surveys suggest that near term employment growth should improve, that picture can change quite quickly, particularly given that the improvement in business confidence and increase in capacity utilisation has yet to translate into actual investment.
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What does it mean for monetary policy 
In our view, trends in the labour market are the one to watch in 2017 for clues on the next move in rates. Market participants became fixated on the inflation data throughout 2016 because the RBA eased twice, in May and August, when core CPI came in below target. But since Governor Lowe has been in the top job, inflation has continued to print below target and yet rates have remained unchanged. Concerns around the further build-up of household debt and strong dwelling price growth mean that it would take a slowdown in employment growth (or lift in the unemployment rate) for Lowe to entertain the idea of taking the policy rate lower. 
We think that jobs growth will be sufficient to keep the unemployment rate crabbing sideways which should fend off calls for rate cuts. The risk, however, sits with easing over the next six months while ever inflation is below target. Labour market slack needs to be gobbled up before we start to see wages growth lift. And in our view, that’s some way off. As such, talk of rate rises is premature and we cannot see the case for the policy rate rising over the next year. 
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Gareth Aird is economist at Commonwealth Bank and can be contacted <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://au.linkedin.com/pub/gareth-aird/14/790/905">here</a>.
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Labour market trends the clue to future rate cuts: Gareth Aird

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GUEST OBSERVER
While many media outlets paint a rather bleak and uncertain future for the world economy, long-term bond yields in Australia finished 2016 higher than at any other point throughout the year.
This is even more impressive considering that the cash rate (which has a strong correlation with bond yields) was cut twice for a total of 50 basis points over 2016. Figure 1 shows how much long-term rates increased towards the end of last year and into 2017. Yields on 10-year Australian government bonds have increased by 74 basis points since September and nearly 100 points since the last interest rate cut in August. 
Table 1 shows the difference between yields on 10-year government bonds and 90-day treasury bills in basis points (1 point = 0.01 percent). 
This tells a similar story to the graph in Figure 1; a widening between short-term and long-term rates. The important point is that this widening from August until December last year is driven by an increase in long-term yields rather than a cut in short-term rates, as it was from July to August.
 
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Often if the yield curve becomes too inverted, the RBA is forced to cut short term rates to improve liquidity by incentivising banks and other institutions to lend out money. 
An increase in long-term yields is a dream scenario for the Reserve Bank, as this is a signal of higher investor confidence and a better outlook for the Australian economy. 
December was also the first month since September 2014 that the entire yield curve was positive (long term rates above medium, and medium term rates above short term). This is a sign that investors expect improving economic condition in the long run. It also shows investors’ belief that the economy will do well over the next few years.
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The ASX Cash Rate Futures market pegs the chances of a decrease in official cash rates at the next meeting (7th March) at 5 percent. While this may seem appropriately low, it does highlight that even with a rising yield curve, investors still believe an interest rate cut is more likely than a hike in 2017. 
For more information from Secret Agent, <a href="https://secretagent.com.au/" target="_blank">click here</a>.
 
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