Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

Joel Robinson

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

&nbsp;

Developer GURNER™ Group has revealed $1.65 billion in residential sales nationally across the 12 months to December 2025, driven largely by the continued momentum of its Docklands wellness-focused precinct, Elysium Fields.

The sales result was generated across seven projects in Victoria and New South Wales, headlined by Elysium Fields, GURNER™’s $2.75 billion mixed-use precinct planned for Harbour Esplanade in Docklands.

The project has recorded more than $500 million in sales across the first three towers, equating to around 580 apartments sold.

The first tower, Helios, has now sold out of its 240 private residences, with GURNER™ preparing to release a premium penthouse collection comprising 15 three-bedroom penthouses in coming weeks.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370975]

Elysium Fields is being developed on the long-held 20,000 sqm Docklands site at 208-226 Harbour Esplanade, which had remained undeveloped for more than two decades prior to GURNER™ taking over the project around four years ago.

Construction has now commenced across four towers ranging between 18 and 30 storeys, with Hamilton Marino and Maxcon appointed as builders.

Once complete, the precinct is expected to comprise around 1,100 residences, alongside retail, hospitality and public realm uses integrated throughout the site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370981]

Designed by Fraser &amp; Partners in collaboration with GURNER™ Design House, the project has been positioned around the developer’s broader focus on wellness-led residential living.

“We don’t sell apartments. We create a true luxury lifestyle that simply doesn’t exist elsewhere in the market today,” Founder and Executive Chairman Tim Gurner said.

“To deliver that requires an extraordinary level of detail, coordination and discipline across multiple verticals, from design and hospitality through to wellness and service.”

“We’ve always believed that living extends far beyond the physical residence. It’s about how you feel the moment you arrive, how you live day-to-day, and the ecosystem that supports that.” 
[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370977]

The project’s design places a heavy focus on landscaping, wellness amenities and biophilic design principles.

Plans include around 3,700 sqm of landscaped gardens and open space throughout the precinct, alongside a retail and dining offering spanning approximately 5,000 sqm.

The broader public realm strategy centres around what GURNER™ describes as the “Path of Life”, an urban forest and landscaped pedestrian environment intended to connect the various buildings and wellness spaces across the precinct.

The apartments themselves will incorporate a range of wellness-focused inclusions, including purified air and water systems, circadian lighting, antimicrobial surfaces, and optional in-home wellness upgrades.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370980]

Gurner said the company’s experience through its Saint Haven wellness clubs had directly informed the residential offering now being incorporated into Elysium Fields.

“We’re seeing a clear global shift toward longevity, performance and proactive health,” Gurner said.

“Our role is to deliver that in a way that feels seamless, highly private and beautifully resolved within the environments we create.”

A large component of the wellness offering is planned through the resident amenity and health facilities proposed within the precinct.

That includes plans for bathing and recovery facilities spread throughout the towers, incorporating mineral pools, saunas, steam rooms, flotation therapy, red light therapy and wellness lounges.

The developer is also seeking approvals for what it describes as a “reverse ageing medical clinic” within the precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370978]

According to project information released by the group, the proposed facility would include cryotherapy, IV infusion therapy, infrared and dry saunas, PEMF beds, MRIs, DEXA scans, brain scans and blood analysis services.

Within the first tower, Helios, residents will also have access to a dedicated amenity offering known as the Sky Private Club.

The upper 15 levels of the building will include private lounges, dining spaces, rooftop amenities and optional private wellness studios integrated within residences.

The Helios tower itself comprises 260 apartments ranging between 60 sqm and 300 sqm, including a collection of penthouses.

That includes a planned two-storey penthouse spanning around 600 sqm with uninterrupted bay views.

The Elysium Fields precinct is being delivered in partnership with Digital Harbour Holdings, a consortium that includes the Liberman family, which controls the development rights across the Docklands site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370979]

The sales result comes as GURNER™ continues expanding its national development pipeline beyond Victoria.

“We have a strong pipeline across Australia and are now focused on scaling into key markets including New South Wales and Queensland, while continuing to build on our Melbourne base,” Gurner said.

“We currently have more than $3 billion in the market, growing to over $5 billion by October, and expect to materially outperform last year in the 2026 calendar year.”

The result also reflects the continued strength of the upper-end apartment market in Melbourne, particularly for owner-occupier-focused product with large-scale amenity and lifestyle offerings.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144441]

Record result anchored by the Group’s “utopian” Elysium Fields precinct – defying market headwinds in Docklands.

Elysium Fields drive Gurner to $1.65 billion in apartment sales over 2025

National Australia Bank (NAB) will fund <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera</a>, a $1 billion, 52-level luxury residential tower being developed by Central Equity in one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held coastal locations at Northcliffe.

The project, launched recently by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a>, one of Victoria’s largest private residential developers, comes at a time when construction funding for large residential developments has become increasingly competitive as lenders tighten exposure to the sector.

Multiplex has been appointed the builder, and construction is now underway.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365784]

Since its first project, Central Equity has delivered more than 85 residential developments with a combined end value exceeding $8 billion.

Palmera reflects Central Equity’s growing focus on the Gold Coast luxury apartment market and continues a relationship between Central Equity and NAB that dates back to the late 1980s, when the bank funded one of Melbourne’s earliest inner-city residential towers at a time when high-rise apartment living in the CBD was largely unproven.

“NAB’s funding of Central Equity’s $36 million CBD development in the late 1980’s to the financing of the billion-dollar tower today highlights the long-term relationship between the two organisations in delivering major residential projects” said Central Equity Founder and Chairman Eddie Kutner.

He said NAB’s early support was instrumental in helping establish the company’s development model.

“When we commenced our first residential tower in the late 1980s the concept of funding off-the-plan apartments was still largely untested in Australia,” Kutner said.

“NAB recognised the opportunity early and supported the project when others were uncertain. That relationship has now continued for more than 37 years across many developments.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Central Equity was established in 1987 when Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank precinct were still dominated by warehouses and commercial buildings. Fewer than 100 residents lived in Southbank at the time, and large-scale residential development in the inner city was not widely considered.

Recognising changing demographics and lifestyle preferences, the company began developing high-rise residential projects designed to bring permanent residents into the city centre.

Central Equity has provided accommodation for approximately 40,000 residents across Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank, while also incorporating supporting infrastructure including essential lifestyle facilities like retail spaces, childcare facilities and neighbourhood activity centres.

Central Equity has spent many years assembling the Palmera development site on the corner of Garfield Terrace and Frederick Street in Northcliffe, creating a supersite of around 3,300 sqm.

The developer said the Palmera apartment tower reflects its long-term view of the Gold Coast as a growing and increasingly diversified economy.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365768]

Supported by infrastructure including the light rail network, major road upgrades expanded education, hospital and medical facilities and continued expansion at the Gold Coast Airport with more international and domestic flights.

Positioned in the tightly held Northcliffe precinct, the 52-level tower will deliver 347 apartments, targeting buyers seeking a high-end coastal lifestyle, from downsizers to interstate investors.

Designed by Marchese Partners with interiors by DBI, Palmera has been conceived as a next-generation residential offering, featuring a collection of oversized apartments, with premium three-bedroom residences offering sweeping northern views stretching from Surfers Paradise through to Burleigh Heads.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

NAB funds $1 billion Surfers Paradise apartment development, Palmera

Two years after completing one of the newest developments in North Sydney, developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aqualand-australia">Aqualand</a> is turning its attention to the rapidly evolving St Leonards apartment market.

The developer, which completed AURA by Aqualand on North Sydney's Walker Street, has lodged plans for a 5,918 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/33-37-herbert-street-st-leonards-nsw-2065">33-37 Herbert Street, St Leonards,</a> seeking approval for a pair of residential towers rising above a shared podium opposite Royal North Shore Hospital.

The proposal forms part of the broader transformation underway across the St Leonards-Crows Nest precinct, where former industrial and commercial sites are increasingly being redeveloped into high-density mixed-use projects tied to major transport infrastructure.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2cc428cf-fe70-4cac-9cd5-264ad53af62c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=otKSnHtbjAvAddOnovyXQMgcAwE6DMe1" />

According to the planning documents, the site sits “within the St Leonards–Crows Nest Strategic Centre, identified by the NSW Government as a key area for accommodating future jobs and housing across Sydney.”

The proposal has been designed by fjcstudio, formerly FJMT Studio, and is being progressed through the State Significant Development pathway due to its scale and affordable housing provision.

The scheme would comprise 413 apartments, including 46 affordable housing units, alongside retail and commercial uses fronting Herbert Street. The project would also include communal open space, landscaping, a swimming pool, gymnasium, children’s play areas and podium-level resident amenities.

Planning documents show the development would consist of a part-13, part-39 storey tower form positioned above a four-storey podium.

“The development comprises a unified podium that activates the street interface, and two setback towers to accommodate new housing supply while maintaining an appropriate human scale at ground level,” fjcstudio noted in its Design Report.

The northern and southern towers have been shaped to respond to the surrounding skyline while also limiting overshadowing impacts to nearby public open space, particularly Talus Reserve.

The design report said the differing tower heights were intended to “contribute to a varied skyline while responding to the surrounding built form context and solar access considerations.”

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36da62dc-ff9e-41f2-a7e3-7be38373751c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.45%E2%80%AFAM_0.png?VersionId=Mo6Rp2r.XRLTzIfg_PEEpw8NepDH8UBs" />

The site sits directly opposite Royal North Shore Hospital and within walking distance of both St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

While the site itself sits just outside the formal Crows Nest Transport Oriented Development boundary, the planning documents repeatedly reference its alignment with the broader TOD objectives reshaping the Lower North Shore.

“The site is located adjacent to St Leonards Station and in close proximity to Crows Nest Metro which is within the Crows Nest Transit Orientated Development Accelerated Precinct which has been identified by the NSW Government to support housing delivery,” the Design Verification Statement noted.

According to fjcstudio, the project has been designed to respond to the broader transition occurring across St Leonards, where increasing residential density is being concentrated around transport infrastructure and employment hubs.

“The broader precinct is undergoing significant change, with a mix of existing mid-rise buildings and newer high-density developments,” the report stated.

“Recent and approved projects indicate a consistent shift toward taller built form, typically organised as tower-and-podium typologies with more active ground levels.”

The proposal includes close to 6,000 sqm of retail and commercial space across the ground floor and podium levels, designed to create a more activated street edge along Herbert Street.

Aqualand’s plans would also introduce a landscaped podium shared between the two towers, with communal open space in the form of a podium rooftop designed to support resident interaction and improve urban greening outcomes. The scheme would also introduce pocket parks at the northern and southern ends of the site, including a landscaped area at the corner of Herbert and Ella streets designed to improve pedestrian amenity and soften the streetscape.

&nbsp;

The proposal is being progressed through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway, which was introduced to accelerate housing supply across the state. The application was declared State Significant Development in April 2025 following an expression of interest process.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="faf6d97d-2671-454f-b85a-fe1c6a7be608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=diVd28OBVr5.YV.7prrOz.uAanwwwm7a" />

St Leonards has been particularly active with new developments in recent weeks. Developer SP Setia’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-sp-setia-targets-st-leonards-skyline-with-40-storey-tod-tower">plans for a new 42-storey tower</a> recently went on exhibition through the same pathway, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">Stockland’s 52-storey tower proposal</a> was also recently unveiled.

Aside from the St Leonards project, which is expected to take around nine months to move through the approvals process ahead of a potential 2027 launch, Aqualand is also preparing to launch Boronia, a new apartment project in Roseville comprising around 111 apartments on Larkin Street.

The developer also has approvals in place for the next stage of the Barangaroo precinct, which will feature new residential, retail, hospitality and community uses, alongside a new metro entry across the five-hectare site.

More than 50 new retail destinations are planned for Central Barangaroo, alongside a 270-metre-long boulevard connecting Hickson Park to Nawi Cove. Together with Harbour Park, more than 50 per cent of the precinct will comprise public open space and parkland.

First look: Aqualand joins St Leonards apartment party

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NAB has caved to funding pressures and hiked home loan rates just months after they said they were keeping their variables rates on hold.
NAB chief Andrew Thorburn said on September 10, “we are listening and acting differently”.
“We need to rebuild the trust of our customers, and by holding our NAB standard variable rate longer, we help our customers for longer,” Mr Thorburn he stated.
NAB is lifting rates by 0.12 per cent for owner occupiers paying principal and interest, and 0.16 per cent for investors and interest only customers, effective 31 January 2019.
The average NAB customer on a discounted variable rate will now pay $25 extra per month, almost $300 annually.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/24/NAB%20rate%20hikes%202.JPG" alt="">
(Source: RateCity.com.au)
RateCity.com.au research director Sally Tindall said, “NAB tried to put their customers first, but it appears profit has won out in the end."
“NAB’s previous decision to keep rates on hold was designed to win back the trust of their customers. It was also a play to get new customers in the door."
“The strategy appears to have worked. In October 2018, NAB surpassed ANZ in terms of home loan market share. They now have the third largest home loan book, according to APRA data."
“Already this year we’ve seen BoQ and Virgin Money hike rates due to cost of funding pressures. Now that NAB has hiked as well, others are likely to follow in its shadow,” she concluded.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/24/NAB%20rate%20hikes.JPG" alt="">
(Source: RateCity.com.au)
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

NAB hikes variable rates after saying they wouldn't less than 20 weeks ago

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A NAB survey has forecast Melbourne house prices to fall 7 per cent in 2019, more than the drop expected in Sydney house prices.
Sydney house prices are forecast fall 5.4 per cent in 2019.
The only capital cities forecast to grow in 2019 or 2020 are Adelaide and Hobart.
The NAB survey suggests Adelaide house prices will grow 1.7 per cent in 2019 and 2020 while Hobart house prices grow 1.8 per cent in 2019 and 2020.
In the uncertain market Australians plan to sit tight and <a href="/news/australians-plan-to-sit-tight-and-do-nothing-in-the-2019-property-market-nab-survey">do nothing in the 2019 property market</a>, according to the NAB survey. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/24/NAB%20sentiment%20outlook%203.JPG" alt="">
On average, consumers expect price falls of ‐2.1% over the next 12 months, according to property professional forecasts in NAB’s latest Residential Property Survey. 
NAB's survey found that New South Wales (‐3.1%) and Victoria (‐2.9%) are expected to lead the way down, with consumers a little less pessimistic than property professionals.  
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/1/Strip%20ad%20keep%20up%20in%202019.jpg" alt=""></a>
Numerous consumers in VIC (39%) and NSW (37%) anticipate price drops of 5% or more with 16% and 17% respectively also predicting falls of more than 10%.
Click <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/1/24/NAB%20sentiment%20outlook%201.JPG" target="_blank">here</a> to enlarge.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/24/NAB%20sentiment%20outlook%201.JPG" alt="">
 
Tasmania is the only state with positive expectations (2.2%).
“Tasmanians are by far the most positive across states, with almost 1 in 2 people there still expecting a positive price outcome, followed by Queensland at around 1 in 3”, said Mr. Oster.
Interestingly 1 in 5 consumers in New South Wales and Victoria still expect house prices to grow next year.  
Click <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/1/24/NAB%20sentiment%20outlook%202.JPG" target="_blank">here</a> to enlarge.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/24/NAB%20sentiment%20outlook%202.JPG" alt="">
By region the downturn is being driven by expectations for larger falls in capital city house prices (‐2.8%), with smaller falls in rural towns (‐1.0%) and major regional cities (‐0.9%).
Consumers living more than 5km from the nearest town (or the ‘bush’) are on average predicting modest growth of 0.6%.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/24/NAB%20sentiment%20outlook%204.JPG" alt="">
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Melbourne houses set to fall the most in 2019: NAB survey

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Online retail sales accelerated over 2018 but were slower over the month of November, according to the latest data from NAB's Online Retail Sales Index (NORSI).
ABS data on traditional retailers showed month on month seasonally adjusted sales rose (0.3%) in October 2018, outpaced by NORSI which grew 0.9% in that month.
NAB estimates put Australian online spend at around $28.86 billion over the 12 months to November 2018, which is equivalent to 9.0% of spending at traditional bricks &amp; mortar retailers, as measured by the ABS.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/10/NAB%20online%20retail.JPG" alt="">
The fastest growth in online retail sales over the year was recorded by department stores whose sales accelerated 10.6%.
Online grocery and liquor sales was again the second fastest category, growing 19.1% over the year to October.
Online sales in the personal and recreational category grew 12.4%, while media sales grew 14.6%, fashion grew 15.5%, and games and toys grew 55.5%.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
Food catering grew 6.7% and the and the smallest spend share category, daily deals grew 5.7%.
The largest sales category, homewares and appliances contracted slightly.
SME merchants represent over 35% of all online sales. 
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Australian online spending equaled 9% of spending at brick and mortar stores: NAB

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The NAB has scrapped its forecast for two late 2019 rate cuts.
It now predicts no change until late 2020.
"We have delayed our expectation for the first RBA increase in the cash rate to the second half of 2020," Alan Oster, its chief economist said today.
"While output growth has been largely as expected over the 2018, wages pressure remains weak and hence inflationary pressure has remained low, with the core measures continuing to track below the RBA’s target band.
"We expect that will continue through all of 2019.
"Our forecasts see a moderation in growth back to potential of around 2.3 to 2.5% and unemployment falling a little further to 4.75% and then remaining at that level.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/12/12/NAB4.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/12/12/NAB4.jpg" alt="">
"Falling house prices suggest a bigger impact on housing construction than previously incorporated and additional concerns about the consumer, though low rates and unemployment are important offsets.
"The past year, despite growth being stronger than expected, the RBA has overall proven more relaxed about current policy settings than we expected – largely as wage growth failed to lift significantly on the stronger growth outcomes - and we don’t see that changing any time soon.
"The Bank will be looking very carefully at the extent of the slowing in house prices – and in particular that the adjustment remains orderly.
"We can see the case for a forward-looking central bank beginning to very moderately start increasingly rates from the second half of 2020.
"As always the exact timing will be data dependent – with a lift in both wages growth and the inflation forecast particularly important in this regard."
It noted that markets have become very concerned and are now toying with the possibility of the risk of an interest rate cut in the next 6-9 months.
"While that is a possibility we would not rate it as more than a 30% probability.
"Indeed the rate cut view underplays the strength currently evident and likely to remain elsewhere in the economy."
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/12/12/NAB2.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/12/12/NAB2.jpg" alt="">
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“While falling house prices have garnered much media attention of late, businesses do not yet suggest they are having a material impact," Oster said.
"Falling house prices in themselves may have a ‘wealth effect’ on households but given the prior large run up the impact of the declines to date is unclear. 
"Also lower turnover of house sales and less housing construction activity is likely to have additional negative impacts on both the consumer and house building” Mr Oster said.
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Based on recent momentum NAB now expect house prices to fall further than previously forecast over the next two years.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/12/12/NAB-dwelling.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge</a>.
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But its expects the decline to be orderly, with prices still remaining well up on 4 years ago. 
"We now expect peak-to-trough declines of around 15% in both Sydney and Melbourne. 
"We expect more moderate outcomes in the other capitals. 
"The decline in house prices to date represents a significant correction compared with recent housing cycles.
"It is unusual for prices to decline while the unemployment rate is falling and interest rates are low and relatively stable. 
"We believe that these declines have been driven by a number of factors including tighter credit, investor price expectations (which also see lower demand for credit) and weaker foreign demand. 
"It is also likely that with house prices having significantly outpaced the growth in household incomes overs recent years, there is some adjustment occurring to restore this balance," Oster said.
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NAB scraps its two 2019 rate hike prediction - nothing until late 2020 

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Dwelling investment increased 1.0% in the quarter, and has risen in each of the last four quarters, according to the Q3 Report released by NAB.
However this quarter, NAB found that the increase was entirely driven by alterations &amp; additions (up 4.5% q/q), as investment in new dwellings fell 0.8% q/q.
Alongside the cooling in the housing market, NAB expect dwelling investment to decline over the next couple of years.
Alan Olster, NAB Group Chief Economist said that a pull-back in new building approvals is already evident, though the large pipeline of work yet to be done will provide some support, suggesting the real weakness will likely occur in 2020.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/12/5/NAB%20Q3.JPG" alt="">
The report also found that underlying business investment declined for the second consecutive quarter (-1.9% q/q).
Reflected largely by a fall in non-dwelling construction (-5.6% q/q) as both new building and new engineering construction declined.
Mr Olster noted, "the weakness in non-dwelling construction appears to be at least partly related to the mining sector as despite overall non-mining investment being up (1.0% q/q),  mining sector investment declined 7.5% q/q."
"There was a large fall in Northern Territory non-dwelling construction, he added"
As the tail-end of the construction phase of the LNG mega-projects wraps up, NAB expect mining investment to stabilise, with some potential upside given the improvement in business conditions in the sector.
Following the latest releases of growth, labour market and prices data, NAB have stated they are reassessing their view on monetary policy.
They currently have the next cash rate movement forecast as an increase in mid 2019, but are in the process of reviewing this statement.
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Increase in dwelling investment driven by renovations: NAB

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
The economy grew at a strong pace over the first half of 2018 – with output expanding by over 4% in annualised terms.
Looking forward, we expect growth to slow in annual terms, though still at a pace which should erode spare capacity.
Public sector demand – both infrastructure spending and NDIS-related consumption will remain strong. We also expect non-mining business investment to benefit from additional spill-overs.
Exports are expected to continue to grow relatively strongly - as the last of the large LNG projects reach full production capacity – and then level off.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/11/14/NAB%20GDP.JPG" alt="">
Mining is a potential upside factor to the forecasts, with that sector now clearly reporting the strongest conditions and confidence, commodity prices having remained high and the drag from the unwinding of the boom now fading.
Despite the above special factors adding to growth, our main concern remains weak consumption growth - which is likely to weigh on broader economic growth (accounting as it does for over half of all economic activity).
With an already low savings rate, weak wage growth, high debt levels and some anxiety from slower growth in household wealth - we see a very cautious household sector over the next couple of years.
The construction cycle is also expected to move down but, only moderately and as such its impact on growth will be small.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/11/14/NAB%20GDP%202.JPG" alt="">
On a more positive note, recent data suggest that the labour market remains healthy with trend employment growth tracking at around 25-30 k per month.
This should be enough to see the unemployment rate decline further after falling to a 6-year low of 5.0% in September.
Despite the strong growth and tightening labour market, the September quarter CPI suggests that inflationary pressure remains weak.
While a number of one off adjustments to administered prices drove the weakness in headline inflation, our overall read is that both imported and domestic inflation remain subdued.
We have left our outlook for interest rates unchanged this month but our view remains heavily data dependent.
While growth has been strong and progress has been made on reducing the unemployment rate, the RBA will likely want to see further evidence of a pickup in wages growth and inflation.
There has been some progress on this front but the process has been gradual and is likely to remain so, with still some spare capacity in the labour market and the economy more broadly.
Readings on the WPI for Q3 and labour market data for October will provide important updates on the current pace of wage growth and momentum in the labour market.
ALAN OSTER is NAB's Chief Economist
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NAB forecast economic growth to slow: Alan Oster

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National Australia Bank, Australia's fourth largest bank, has announced it will be changing the special on its base variable rate from 3.69% to 3.87%.
Their shift to retain customers is a reaction to the tighter lending restrictions continuing to impact mortgage applications, which continue to slide.
NAB have shifted focus to maintaining their existing customers, which chief executive Andrew Thorburn said has put the bank in 'unchartered territory."
"The decision to stop chasing new business with aggressive discounts and to reward loyal customers has put the bank in uncharted territory after delivering a result that revealed further deterioration in its net interest margin," Thorburn said.
”The discount for the standard variable rate has continued to go up and up and up and up and so as the housing cycle has slowed that increases the pace and increases the intensity, it’s been a long-term trend and its got worse in the last two or three years."
From Friday 9 November, NAB’s Base Variable Rate Special Offer, which is available for new owner occupier principal and interest customers, will be 3.87%.
The change will only affect new customers taking out this product. This means existing customers will not experience a rate hike. 
From Friday, CBA will now have the lowest ongoing variable rate out of the big four banks.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/11/5/Nab%20Rates%20Hiked.JPG" alt="">
 
RateCity.com.au research director Sally Tindall said over the last six months NAB has been "a champion of competitive pricing, forcing other lenders to put low rates on the table".
"It is rare to see a bank hike an interest rate but grant immunity to their existing customers. NAB is clearly focused on backing its own customers, over potential new ones," she said.
While NAB has stepped back from low rate loans, HSBC and CBA both cut their owner occupier principal and interest rates, with HSBC now offering 3.59%, and CBA now offering 3.79% for new customers with 70% equity in their home.
 
 
 
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NAB announces variable rate hike for all new customers

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
China’s response to growing trade tensions with the United States has been multi- faceted. China’s central government has proposed loosening policy restrictions on infrastructure investment – developments that are typically managed and funded at the local government level. 
The latter could be problematic, as China’s local government debt could be much larger than widely thought – an echo of earlier fears from early 2014.
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COMPLEXITY OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT DEBT MAKES IT HARD TO ASSESS
China’s local government debt levels are at best opaque. According to official data, the total debt of local governments – which comprise a broad range of authorities at provincial, city, county and village/town level – was RMB 18.3 trillion in September 2018, equivalent to around 21% of GDP. 
However, it is likely that this figure does not present the full picture of their debts – which are larger, more complex and risky.
CHINA’S BUDGET IMBALANCE
Local governments struggle to fund their spending.
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Following the 1994 Budget Law, which shifted much of the revenue generation from local governments to Beijing, local governments were forced to generate alternative sources of funding to meet their expenditure requirements. The local government share of fiscal revenue fell from 78% in 1993 to 44% in 1994. Prohibited by this law from issuing bonds or borrowing directly from financial institutions, they established local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) – which secured debt from banks, shadow banks and other sources.
The scale of this debt expanded rapidly in the post-GFC period, as China’s infrastructure program spared the country from the worst of the crisis.
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At the end of 2013, China’s National Audit Office released a detailed review of local government debt – highlighting the broader scale of these liabilities. In addition to the debts that local governments had direct obligations to repay (around RMB 10.9 trillion in mid-2013) – which matched the official debt statistics above – these authorities also had hidden debts (including those debts they guaranteed for LGFVs or public-private partnerships) – which totalled an additional RMB 7.0 trillion. However, this broader estimate of local government debt has not been updated since late 2014.
Fears around this debt largely dissipated since this period, in part because Beijing permitted provincial, municipal and some city governments the authority to issue bonds from mid-2014 (subject to annual caps). Ministry of Finance data suggests that bonds accounted for almost 90% of the reported total debt at the end of 2017. 
However, the bulk of bond purchasers have been banks – at the behest of the central government and regulators – with the returns on these bonds usually unattractive to other investors. Overall, the lower level of concern appears due to hidden debt being overlooked, rather than it being effectively addressed.
In late March 2018, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences estimated that the total off-balance sheet liabilities of LGFVs was in the order of RMB 30 trillion, while a further RMB 10 trillion could be hidden within so-called public-private partnerships (where the “private” partner has often been a state-owned enterprise). 
A recent report by Standard and Poor’s produced a similar range for off-balance sheet debts. These estimates are relatively uncertain, since the sheer number and complexity of LGFV arrangements makes them difficult to track.
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OFF-BALANCE SHEET DEBT
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Growth largely overlooked since 2014
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Combining these estimates of off-balance sheet debts to the officially reported sums suggests that China’s local government debt could be in the range of 55% to 66% of GDP in September 2018. With another 16% of GDP in central government debt, this suggests that China’s total government debt is well above the 60% benchmark that is seen as a prudent limit in advanced economies. It is also above the IMF’s estimate of China’s total government debt – which was around 47% of GDP in 2017.
DEBT RISKS RISING IN CURRENT CLIMATE
A critical problem related to China’s local government debt is the capacity of these authorities to service these liabilities. The total fiscal revenue of local governments was just RMB 9.1 trillion in 2017 (less than one-fifth of the lower bound estimate of total debt).
 With limited ability to collect tax revenue (following the 1994 law change), many local governments have relied on land sales as a key source of income – averaging around 32% of the total in 2017 (behind central government transfers) – albeit the share differs widely across the country.
Land sales are not considered a sustainable long term of revenue, and a fall in sales could result in local governments defaulting on their debts or failing to support distressed LGFVs. This could flow into greater instability in China’s financial sector, particularly if central authorities follow through on public statements and do not provide a bail out.
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LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUE (2017)
Land sales contribute too much to funding
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Similarly, increasing infrastructure investment in the short term could mean a large expansion in local government debt, leading to higher interest payments even if revenue levels can be maintained. The mismatch between the short term maturity of many sources of local government debt – such as bank loans and shadow banking products – and longer term return on infrastructure investment leads to greater risk.
CONCLUSIONS
The greater scale of local government debt than is widely acknowledged in official figures highlights the risks associated with infrastructure led stimulus to China’s economy. It also highlights the need to continue reforms to the broader economy – where progress has been disappointing. A key reform that would boost the sustainability of local government revenues would be the implementation of property taxes – proposed for over a decade, but repeatedly delayed. A nationwide tax had been scheduled for introduction in 2019, however this proposal has been delayed with an uncertain start date.
GERARD BURG is senior economist - Asia Group Economics at National Australia Bank.
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Chinese local government debt fears are returning: NAB's Gerard Burg

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For the tenth consecutive quarter, property experts identified tight credit as the biggest constraint on new housing development in the country, according to the latest NAB Residential Property Survey.
Moreover, they said it was causing more concern than at anytime since mid-2011.
Clearly, intensified lending scrutiny by banks and APRA-inspired tighter credit policies has played a key role.
Tight credit was also singled out as the biggest constraint for new housing development in all states - particularly in NSW where it was viewed as a ‘very significant’ constraint.
The overall level of concern over rising interest rates also grew. It was seen as being most problematic by property professionals in NSW and SA/NT and least problematic in VIC.
Property professionals overall were less concerned about all other factors, especially around lack of development sites and labour availability.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/10/11/NAB%20QARP%201.JPG" alt="">
Access to credit remains the most ‘significant’ impediment for buyers of existing property as well according to surveyed property professionals.
It was also seen as a much bigger issue than in the last survey and more so than at any time since the Survey began. In fact the property experts surveyed in all states considered access to credit to be the most ‘significant’ issue in their state.
Rising interest rates replaced employment security as the second biggest issue for buyers of existing property in Australia - and in all states expect VIC (house price levels) and WA (employment security).
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/10/11/NAB%20QARP%202.JPG" alt="">
Heightened concern about interest rates is consistent with NAB’s view of the market.
The author's of the survey stated:
"We expect growth to remain above trend which should see the labour market tighten, wages growth lift and inflation more broadly begin to rise.
"As spare capacity is reduced, and inflationary pressures become more evident, the degree of accommodation in monetary policy will be gradually reduced, with the RBA starting a process of rates normalisation towards a more neutral setting."
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Constraint on credit a growing concern for new and established housing: NAB

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FOREIGN BUYERS
The boom in Australian real estate sales to foreign investors has run its course, according to the NAB survey of property industry participants.
These results highlight a continuing decline in foreign buying activity resulting from policy changes in China on foreign investment outflows and tighter restrictions on foreign property buyers in Australia.
In Q3, there were fewer foreign buyers in the market for Australian property, with their market share falling to a seven-year low of 8.1% in new housing markets and a survey low 4.1% in established housing markets.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/10/10/Foreign%20Buyers%203.JPG" alt="">
The share of sales to foreign buyers fell in all states except VIC where their share rose to 13.0% (11.7% in Q2), but still well below the record highs approaching 33% in late-2014.
The share of foreign buyers in NSW was unchanged at 7.5% but also well down from a high of 21.0% in Q1 2015.
The share of foreign buyers in QLD also fell to 6.2%, down from 22.8% in Q2, to its lowest level since mid-2014.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/10/10/Foreign%20Buyers%201.JPG" alt="">
A similar trend is evident in established markets with the shares of sales to foreign buyers falling in all states.
Property professionals in VIC reported the highest share of buyers in established housing markets at 5.5%, followed by NSW (4.5%), WA (3.7% and QLD (3.7%).
Moreover, the share of foreign buyers has well fallen below survey average levels in all states.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/10/10/Foreign%20Buyers%202.JPG" alt="">
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