Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

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One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

Joel Robinson

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

&nbsp;

Developer GURNER™ Group has revealed $1.65 billion in residential sales nationally across the 12 months to December 2025, driven largely by the continued momentum of its Docklands wellness-focused precinct, Elysium Fields.

The sales result was generated across seven projects in Victoria and New South Wales, headlined by Elysium Fields, GURNER™’s $2.75 billion mixed-use precinct planned for Harbour Esplanade in Docklands.

The project has recorded more than $500 million in sales across the first three towers, equating to around 580 apartments sold.

The first tower, Helios, has now sold out of its 240 private residences, with GURNER™ preparing to release a premium penthouse collection comprising 15 three-bedroom penthouses in coming weeks.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370975]

Elysium Fields is being developed on the long-held 20,000 sqm Docklands site at 208-226 Harbour Esplanade, which had remained undeveloped for more than two decades prior to GURNER™ taking over the project around four years ago.

Construction has now commenced across four towers ranging between 18 and 30 storeys, with Hamilton Marino and Maxcon appointed as builders.

Once complete, the precinct is expected to comprise around 1,100 residences, alongside retail, hospitality and public realm uses integrated throughout the site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370981]

Designed by Fraser &amp; Partners in collaboration with GURNER™ Design House, the project has been positioned around the developer’s broader focus on wellness-led residential living.

“We don’t sell apartments. We create a true luxury lifestyle that simply doesn’t exist elsewhere in the market today,” Founder and Executive Chairman Tim Gurner said.

“To deliver that requires an extraordinary level of detail, coordination and discipline across multiple verticals, from design and hospitality through to wellness and service.”

“We’ve always believed that living extends far beyond the physical residence. It’s about how you feel the moment you arrive, how you live day-to-day, and the ecosystem that supports that.” 
[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370977]

The project’s design places a heavy focus on landscaping, wellness amenities and biophilic design principles.

Plans include around 3,700 sqm of landscaped gardens and open space throughout the precinct, alongside a retail and dining offering spanning approximately 5,000 sqm.

The broader public realm strategy centres around what GURNER™ describes as the “Path of Life”, an urban forest and landscaped pedestrian environment intended to connect the various buildings and wellness spaces across the precinct.

The apartments themselves will incorporate a range of wellness-focused inclusions, including purified air and water systems, circadian lighting, antimicrobial surfaces, and optional in-home wellness upgrades.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370980]

Gurner said the company’s experience through its Saint Haven wellness clubs had directly informed the residential offering now being incorporated into Elysium Fields.

“We’re seeing a clear global shift toward longevity, performance and proactive health,” Gurner said.

“Our role is to deliver that in a way that feels seamless, highly private and beautifully resolved within the environments we create.”

A large component of the wellness offering is planned through the resident amenity and health facilities proposed within the precinct.

That includes plans for bathing and recovery facilities spread throughout the towers, incorporating mineral pools, saunas, steam rooms, flotation therapy, red light therapy and wellness lounges.

The developer is also seeking approvals for what it describes as a “reverse ageing medical clinic” within the precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370978]

According to project information released by the group, the proposed facility would include cryotherapy, IV infusion therapy, infrared and dry saunas, PEMF beds, MRIs, DEXA scans, brain scans and blood analysis services.

Within the first tower, Helios, residents will also have access to a dedicated amenity offering known as the Sky Private Club.

The upper 15 levels of the building will include private lounges, dining spaces, rooftop amenities and optional private wellness studios integrated within residences.

The Helios tower itself comprises 260 apartments ranging between 60 sqm and 300 sqm, including a collection of penthouses.

That includes a planned two-storey penthouse spanning around 600 sqm with uninterrupted bay views.

The Elysium Fields precinct is being delivered in partnership with Digital Harbour Holdings, a consortium that includes the Liberman family, which controls the development rights across the Docklands site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370979]

The sales result comes as GURNER™ continues expanding its national development pipeline beyond Victoria.

“We have a strong pipeline across Australia and are now focused on scaling into key markets including New South Wales and Queensland, while continuing to build on our Melbourne base,” Gurner said.

“We currently have more than $3 billion in the market, growing to over $5 billion by October, and expect to materially outperform last year in the 2026 calendar year.”

The result also reflects the continued strength of the upper-end apartment market in Melbourne, particularly for owner-occupier-focused product with large-scale amenity and lifestyle offerings.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144441]

Record result anchored by the Group’s “utopian” Elysium Fields precinct – defying market headwinds in Docklands.

Elysium Fields drive Gurner to $1.65 billion in apartment sales over 2025

National Australia Bank (NAB) will fund <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera</a>, a $1 billion, 52-level luxury residential tower being developed by Central Equity in one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held coastal locations at Northcliffe.

The project, launched recently by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a>, one of Victoria’s largest private residential developers, comes at a time when construction funding for large residential developments has become increasingly competitive as lenders tighten exposure to the sector.

Multiplex has been appointed the builder, and construction is now underway.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365784]

Since its first project, Central Equity has delivered more than 85 residential developments with a combined end value exceeding $8 billion.

Palmera reflects Central Equity’s growing focus on the Gold Coast luxury apartment market and continues a relationship between Central Equity and NAB that dates back to the late 1980s, when the bank funded one of Melbourne’s earliest inner-city residential towers at a time when high-rise apartment living in the CBD was largely unproven.

“NAB’s funding of Central Equity’s $36 million CBD development in the late 1980’s to the financing of the billion-dollar tower today highlights the long-term relationship between the two organisations in delivering major residential projects” said Central Equity Founder and Chairman Eddie Kutner.

He said NAB’s early support was instrumental in helping establish the company’s development model.

“When we commenced our first residential tower in the late 1980s the concept of funding off-the-plan apartments was still largely untested in Australia,” Kutner said.

“NAB recognised the opportunity early and supported the project when others were uncertain. That relationship has now continued for more than 37 years across many developments.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Central Equity was established in 1987 when Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank precinct were still dominated by warehouses and commercial buildings. Fewer than 100 residents lived in Southbank at the time, and large-scale residential development in the inner city was not widely considered.

Recognising changing demographics and lifestyle preferences, the company began developing high-rise residential projects designed to bring permanent residents into the city centre.

Central Equity has provided accommodation for approximately 40,000 residents across Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank, while also incorporating supporting infrastructure including essential lifestyle facilities like retail spaces, childcare facilities and neighbourhood activity centres.

Central Equity has spent many years assembling the Palmera development site on the corner of Garfield Terrace and Frederick Street in Northcliffe, creating a supersite of around 3,300 sqm.

The developer said the Palmera apartment tower reflects its long-term view of the Gold Coast as a growing and increasingly diversified economy.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365768]

Supported by infrastructure including the light rail network, major road upgrades expanded education, hospital and medical facilities and continued expansion at the Gold Coast Airport with more international and domestic flights.

Positioned in the tightly held Northcliffe precinct, the 52-level tower will deliver 347 apartments, targeting buyers seeking a high-end coastal lifestyle, from downsizers to interstate investors.

Designed by Marchese Partners with interiors by DBI, Palmera has been conceived as a next-generation residential offering, featuring a collection of oversized apartments, with premium three-bedroom residences offering sweeping northern views stretching from Surfers Paradise through to Burleigh Heads.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

NAB funds $1 billion Surfers Paradise apartment development, Palmera

Two years after completing one of the newest developments in North Sydney, developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aqualand-australia">Aqualand</a> is turning its attention to the rapidly evolving St Leonards apartment market.

The developer, which completed AURA by Aqualand on North Sydney's Walker Street, has lodged plans for a 5,918 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/33-37-herbert-street-st-leonards-nsw-2065">33-37 Herbert Street, St Leonards,</a> seeking approval for a pair of residential towers rising above a shared podium opposite Royal North Shore Hospital.

The proposal forms part of the broader transformation underway across the St Leonards-Crows Nest precinct, where former industrial and commercial sites are increasingly being redeveloped into high-density mixed-use projects tied to major transport infrastructure.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2cc428cf-fe70-4cac-9cd5-264ad53af62c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=otKSnHtbjAvAddOnovyXQMgcAwE6DMe1" />

According to the planning documents, the site sits “within the St Leonards–Crows Nest Strategic Centre, identified by the NSW Government as a key area for accommodating future jobs and housing across Sydney.”

The proposal has been designed by fjcstudio, formerly FJMT Studio, and is being progressed through the State Significant Development pathway due to its scale and affordable housing provision.

The scheme would comprise 413 apartments, including 46 affordable housing units, alongside retail and commercial uses fronting Herbert Street. The project would also include communal open space, landscaping, a swimming pool, gymnasium, children’s play areas and podium-level resident amenities.

Planning documents show the development would consist of a part-13, part-39 storey tower form positioned above a four-storey podium.

“The development comprises a unified podium that activates the street interface, and two setback towers to accommodate new housing supply while maintaining an appropriate human scale at ground level,” fjcstudio noted in its Design Report.

The northern and southern towers have been shaped to respond to the surrounding skyline while also limiting overshadowing impacts to nearby public open space, particularly Talus Reserve.

The design report said the differing tower heights were intended to “contribute to a varied skyline while responding to the surrounding built form context and solar access considerations.”

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36da62dc-ff9e-41f2-a7e3-7be38373751c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.45%E2%80%AFAM_0.png?VersionId=Mo6Rp2r.XRLTzIfg_PEEpw8NepDH8UBs" />

The site sits directly opposite Royal North Shore Hospital and within walking distance of both St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

While the site itself sits just outside the formal Crows Nest Transport Oriented Development boundary, the planning documents repeatedly reference its alignment with the broader TOD objectives reshaping the Lower North Shore.

“The site is located adjacent to St Leonards Station and in close proximity to Crows Nest Metro which is within the Crows Nest Transit Orientated Development Accelerated Precinct which has been identified by the NSW Government to support housing delivery,” the Design Verification Statement noted.

According to fjcstudio, the project has been designed to respond to the broader transition occurring across St Leonards, where increasing residential density is being concentrated around transport infrastructure and employment hubs.

“The broader precinct is undergoing significant change, with a mix of existing mid-rise buildings and newer high-density developments,” the report stated.

“Recent and approved projects indicate a consistent shift toward taller built form, typically organised as tower-and-podium typologies with more active ground levels.”

The proposal includes close to 6,000 sqm of retail and commercial space across the ground floor and podium levels, designed to create a more activated street edge along Herbert Street.

Aqualand’s plans would also introduce a landscaped podium shared between the two towers, with communal open space in the form of a podium rooftop designed to support resident interaction and improve urban greening outcomes. The scheme would also introduce pocket parks at the northern and southern ends of the site, including a landscaped area at the corner of Herbert and Ella streets designed to improve pedestrian amenity and soften the streetscape.

&nbsp;

The proposal is being progressed through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway, which was introduced to accelerate housing supply across the state. The application was declared State Significant Development in April 2025 following an expression of interest process.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="faf6d97d-2671-454f-b85a-fe1c6a7be608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=diVd28OBVr5.YV.7prrOz.uAanwwwm7a" />

St Leonards has been particularly active with new developments in recent weeks. Developer SP Setia’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-sp-setia-targets-st-leonards-skyline-with-40-storey-tod-tower">plans for a new 42-storey tower</a> recently went on exhibition through the same pathway, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">Stockland’s 52-storey tower proposal</a> was also recently unveiled.

Aside from the St Leonards project, which is expected to take around nine months to move through the approvals process ahead of a potential 2027 launch, Aqualand is also preparing to launch Boronia, a new apartment project in Roseville comprising around 111 apartments on Larkin Street.

The developer also has approvals in place for the next stage of the Barangaroo precinct, which will feature new residential, retail, hospitality and community uses, alongside a new metro entry across the five-hectare site.

More than 50 new retail destinations are planned for Central Barangaroo, alongside a 270-metre-long boulevard connecting Hickson Park to Nawi Cove. Together with Harbour Park, more than 50 per cent of the precinct will comprise public open space and parkland.

First look: Aqualand joins St Leonards apartment party

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Former NAB branch manager Mathew Alwan has pleaded guilty in the Local Court of NSW to one count of ‘intention to defraud by false or misleading statement’, an offence under the NSW Crimes Act.
An ASIC investigation found that between 23 October 2013 and 19 September 2015 Alwan dishonestly made false and misleading statements to NAB in relation to 24 home loan applications.
Alwan told the bank that a NAB introducer had referred the 24 borrowers under the loan applications to NAB when he knew that this was not true.
The NAB introducer he claimed had assisted in the loan application was Mr Alwan’s uncle, operating under the business name ‘Suit Club’.
As a result of the fraud, NAB paid Suit Club $56,995 in commissions.
Alwan will be back before the Court on 1 October 2019 for sentence.
Since 2000, NAB operated a ‘spot and refer’ Introducer Program which allowed third party ‘introducers’ registered with NAB to refer the name and contact details of potential borrowers to the bank. If the borrower subsequently took out a loan with NAB, the introducer would receive a percentage of the loan amount as a commission. Between 2013 to 2016, NAB’s Introducer Program generated $24 billion dollars’ worth of loans.
In February 2016, NAB breach reported to ASIC that it had uncovered several of its bankers, including Mr Alwan, were engaged in fraudulent misconduct in Greater Western Sydney. This misconduct was later featured in the first case study before the Royal Commission into Misconduct in the Banking, Superannuation and Financial Services Industry.
On 25 March 2019, NAB announced that it will be terminating the Introducer Program on 1 October 2019.
In October 2018, ASIC permanently banned Mr Alwan from engaging in credit activities and providing financial services as a result of this conduct.
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Former NAB home loan branch manager pleads guilty to intention to defraud

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The NAB has advised its mortgage delinquencies are on the rise.
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The ratio of 90+ days past due and gross impaired assets to gross loans and acceptances increased from 0.79% to 0.85%, largely due to rising Australian mortgage delinquencies, it advised today.
The bank said asset quality overall remained broadly sound.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/8/14/NAB%20arrears%20rise.jpg" alt="">
The acting chief Philip Chronican released its third quarter trading update this morning, reporting unaudited statutory net profits of A$1.70bn, and A$1.65bn in unaudited cash earnings – a 1% increase year-over-year.
Revenue also increased, as NAB continues to see robust growth in (SME) small business lending.
But Chronican noted there was a "backdrop of a challenging operating environment, including subdued home lending growth.
He advised the bank's 3Q19 performance compared with the 1H19 quarterly average was "solid," with revenue increasing and costs flat.
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Its seen a 27% reduction in over-the-counter transactions and an 18% reduction in call centre volumes.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

NAB mortgage delinquencies on the rise

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NAB made changes to its home loan serviceability assessment policy, dropping its interest-rate floor to 5.5 per cent and increasing its interest-rate buffer to 2.5 per cent.
The changes are effective for all new home loan applications from 5 August.
The changes came after APRA revised its home-lending guidance, abolishing the 7 per cent interest-rate floor for mortgage assessments and raising the buffer rate to 2.5 per cent.
It is the last of the Big Four to tweak its serviceability policy with the other three announcing revisions and cuts earlier in July.
NAB has matched ANZ’s rate floor of 5.5 per cent.
They beat out their Big Four peers CBA and Westpac, who dropped their floor rates to 5.75 per cent.
<a href="/news/westpac-immediately-relaxes-serviceability-conditions-on-low-risk-owner-occupier-home-loans">Westpac was the first of the Big four</a> to make the cut.
All four increased the buffer rate to 2.5 per cent.
<a href="/expert-insights/finance/macquarie-bank-cuts-interest-rate-floor-2-per-cent-cba-unmoved">Macquarie</a> currently has the lowest interest rate floor at 5.3 per cent.
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NAB last of the Big Four to cut interest rate floor

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The business conditions index decreased 3pts to +1 in 2019 Q2 continuing the downtrend since early 2018 and is now just below average.
Business confidence rose sharply, lifting to +6 index points after a 0 index point reading in Q1. 
The down trend in conditions continued in Q2 2019, and for the first time since 2014 the quarterly survey has now shown a below average readying.
The decline in conditions suggests the business sector has lost significant momentum over the past year and that we are unlikely to see a substantial pickup in growth in the Q2 national accounts.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%20table%20.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%20table%20.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
The strong lift in confidence appears to be related to the outcome of the Federal election, with the bulk of the survey conducted post election day and also around the time of firming expectations of rate cuts.
Based on the June Monthly Business survey we already know this effect was short-lived with confidence pulling back.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%201.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
The decline in conditions has been broad-based over the past year, with all industries seeing a decline and the slowdown evident across all states. 
Mining continues to see the most favourable conditions, while retail and property are now weakest.
Across the states, NSW and VIC are only just positive, while the other mainland states are at the threshold of improving versus deteriorating.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%202.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
Unfortunately, there is evidence of a softening in activity almost everywhere. All industries have weakened and the pull-back is evident in all states. 
Given the current focus on labour market developments for the future path of monetary policy, the slowing growth momentum and softness in leading indicators of employment warrant close watching.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%203.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%203.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
In the quarter, current and expected employment measures all deteriorated – though all remain above average.
The share of firms reporting difficulty in finding suitable labour as a constraint on output ticked up in the quarter, and is elevated, but below pre-GFC levels. Over the past year, this measure has tracked broadly side-ways.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%204.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%204.jpg" alt="">
Source: NAB
Overall, it appears that while there is some tightness in some sectoral labour markets (e.g. mining) it is not yet tight enough nor broadly enough based to see significant nationwide wage rises. 
For now, the survey suggests ongoing employment growth but given the recent trends in the forward-looking measures, we will continue to watch closely. Our worry is that the slowdown in activity may translate into a more substantial weakening in labour demand.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%205.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%205.jpg" alt="">
Source: NAB
Overall, price and wage measures in the survey continued to suggest weak inflationary pressures in the economy.
Output prices growth edged lower in the quarter and input prices growth and the wage bill tracked sideways – all at a low level.
Declining capacity utilisation and weak surveyed price measures suggest that inflation outcomes are likely to be meek for some time.
The impact of labour demand on wage growth will remain an important dynamic in this sense – with slack already evident in the labour market, any weakening in labour demand could well see further action from the RBA on rates to bolster the economy.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%206.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%206.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
ALAN OSTER is NAB's Chief Economist.
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Business sector losing momentum with quick turnaround unlikely: NAB's Alan Oster

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Veteran banking executive Ross McEwan — who turned around Royal Bank of Scotland in the wake of the global financial crisis — has been appointed new chief executive of the National Australia Bank.
He was most recently CEO of Royal Bank of Scotland, before that he was an executive at CBA.
The announcement comes five months after NAB's former CEO Andrew Thorburn resigned in the wake of the banking royal commission
McEwan won't commence work with NAB until his current obligations at RBS are completed, no later than April 2020.
The former head of retail banking at the Commonwealth Bank is a New Zealand-born banking heavyweight.
National Australia Bank acting chief executive Phil Chronican, who succeeds Dr Ken Henry as chairman in November this year, praised Mr McEwan's long-standing knowledge of Australian banking.
"Ross McEwan is the ideal leader for NAB as we seek to transform our operations and culture firmly around leading customer service, experience and products," Mr Chronican said in a statement to the stock exchange.
"Ross brings a compelling range of experience across finance, insurance and investment with a track record of delivering important and practical improvements for customers.
Mr McEwan had announced his resignation from RBS in April 2019.
The British Government still owns 62 per cent of RBS, although it plans to sell that stake by 2024.
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NAB announce new CEO Ross McEwan

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The NAB have forecast an upcoming stabilization in the housing market, but suggest a flat market in the near future.
"NAB's view is that prices will stabilise in the near term, and remain broadly flat over the next year or so," the big four bank advised.
They had previously expected further falls of around five percent in Sydney and Melbourne.
NAB expect both Sydney and Melbourne to see little change in 2020. They forecast total house price declines of 4.4% over 2019 in Sydney and 5.1% in Melbourne.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/17/NAB%20House%20Price%20Forecasts.jpg" alt="">
Peak to trough losses in Sydney looks to be around 15% and Melbourne around 11%.
Hobart is forecast to be the strongest performer in 2019 and 2020.
NAB forecast it will be the only capital city with house price growth next year.
The NAB Residential Property Survey for Q2 2019 saw an increase in market sentiment following the federal election.
The seven point jump took the NAB Residential Property Index to a 12 month high, although it still sits in the negative.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/17/NAB%20Residential%20Property%20Index.jpg" alt="">
Future expectations improved sharply.
"The average survey expectation now is for basically flat national house prices in the next 12 months, reversing expectations for further declines in the last survey," NAB suggested. 
NAB are the second big four bank to amend their house price forecast following a slowing in house price declines.
ANZ <a href="/news/anz-sees-bottoming-of-the-housing-market-in-coming-months">amended their forecast</a>, however suggested, after the imminent bottoming of the market, there will be growth in the bank end of 2019 and prices will jump around three percent over 2020.
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NAB forecast flat property prices in Sydney and Melbourne

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The NAB have changed their forecast for the next official interest rate cut, bringing it forward from August to July
"We do not see a need for the Board to wait," NAB economists said.
They cited RBA Governor Philip Lowe's recent speech at CEDA where he said we're not making any in roads.
“The most recent data – including the GDP and labour market data – do not suggest we are making any inroads into the economy’s spare capacity ... [and] it is not unrealistic to expect a further reduction in the cash rate as the Board seeks to wind back spare capacity ... and deliver inflation outcomes in line with the medium-term target.”
The NAB say they see a strong case for the Reserve Bank to do even more on policy and expect another cut to 0.75% in November.
"The Governor is still making the case that lower rates are directed at reducing spare capacity in the labour market rather than responding to deterioration in the economy," NAB said.
"We disagree, believing there is a more pressing need to deliver stimulus given the economy has lost some momentum and reflecting our weaker economic outlook.
"In brief, the RBA is behind the curve and needs to catch up quickly."
 
 
 
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NAB bring forecast forward, now predict RBA cut in July

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The NAB have changed their cash rate forecast call to include an extra cut in late 2019.
They now believe the official cash rate from the RBA will drop to 0.75%, scheduling in another rate cut in November, following a cut in August.
"While heavily data dependent, we have tentatively placed the cut in November," NAB senior economist Alan Oster said.
"We also think that lower interest rates will be supported by fiscal stimulus later this year."
The view joins that of Westpac's Bill Evans, who penned in <a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-tips-interest-rate-cuts-in-both-june-and-august-bill-evans">two rate cuts in June and August</a> before adding November to their <a href="/news/rba-to-halve-the-cash-rate-by-november-bill-evans">cut forecast</a>.
Before June's rate cut, NAB said that the at the next three RBA meetings there will be a <a href="/expert-insights/finance/next-three-rba-meetings-are-live-for-a-possible-rate-cut-nab">real possibility for three cuts</a>.
The RBA <a href="/expert-insights/finance/rba-cut-official-cash-rate-to-a-historic-low-1-25-at-june-2019-meeting">cut the cash rate</a> at the June meeting for the first time in nearly three years to a historic low 1.25%.
Oster said they can't predict whether the next cut will be in July or August.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/14/NAB-Forecasts.jpg" alt="">
"On the question of a July or August cut that is very hard – and to a large extent is less relevant for the economic outlook," Oster noted.
"On the one hand given a starting point problem (i.e. the economy is weaker than the RBA expected and continues to lose momentum) the RBA should probably get on with the cutting cycle. 
"On the other hand, there does seem to have been a post- election boost to confidence and it is too early to assess if that has flowed into activity in any sustained way. 
"Also back to back cuts could send a strong signal that the economy has bigger problems than we thought.  On balance we have opted to stay with our August cut forecast – but would not at all be surprised by a July move. 
Oster said that the possibility of alternative monetary action in early 2020 can not be ruled out.
"The forecast of a larger reduction in interest rates reflects our judgment that the economy is losing momentum and is weaker than reflected in the Reserve Bank’s recently downgraded near-term growth outlook," Oster suggested.
"The loss of momentum is apparent in private demand, which has barely grown over the past year, and more timely indicators, such as the NAB business survey and internal data, which point to a weaker labour market and entrenched weakness in spending.   
"The Reserve Bank Board said when cutting rates earlier this month that the lower cash rate would help make further inroads into spare capacity and “achieve more assured progress towards the inflation target”, with Governor Lowe emphasising that the cut did not reflect a weaker outlook for the economy. 
 
 
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NAB add extra cut forecast in November to take rate down to 0.75%

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NAB has announced they will reduce all standard variable rate (SVR) home loans by 0.25% per annum, in line with the RBA announcement.
As a result the bank’s SVR will be the lowest it has been in more than 40 years.
Mike Baird, Chief Customer Officer – Consumer Banking said, “we strongly believe reducing rates is the right thing to do by our customers and reflects our focus on earning trust in the community and rewarding our loyal existing customers."
“This will save owner-occupier customers making principal and interest repayments on a $400,000 home loan about $62 per month or $744 per year, which will provide more money in household budgets for other expenses at a time when cost of living remains challenging,” Mr Baird added.
NAB will reduce all standard variable rate home loans by 0.25% per annum, making it their lowest rates they've offered in more than 40 years.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/4/NAB%20new%20rates.JPG" alt="">
(Source: NAB)
NAB are the third of the Big Four banks to reduce rates following the announcement and the second to reduce rates at an equal amount to that of the full RBA rate shift <a href="/news/cba-announce-full-rate-cut-after-june-rba-meeting">as CBA did</a>.
ANZ, the first of the Big Four <a href="/expert-insights/finance/anz-first-to-pass-on-part-of-june-2019-rba-rate-cut">to announce rate reductions</a>, will only reduce SVR loans by 0.18 basis points.
 
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