Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

Joel Robinson

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

&nbsp;

Developer GURNER™ Group has revealed $1.65 billion in residential sales nationally across the 12 months to December 2025, driven largely by the continued momentum of its Docklands wellness-focused precinct, Elysium Fields.

The sales result was generated across seven projects in Victoria and New South Wales, headlined by Elysium Fields, GURNER™’s $2.75 billion mixed-use precinct planned for Harbour Esplanade in Docklands.

The project has recorded more than $500 million in sales across the first three towers, equating to around 580 apartments sold.

The first tower, Helios, has now sold out of its 240 private residences, with GURNER™ preparing to release a premium penthouse collection comprising 15 three-bedroom penthouses in coming weeks.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370975]

Elysium Fields is being developed on the long-held 20,000 sqm Docklands site at 208-226 Harbour Esplanade, which had remained undeveloped for more than two decades prior to GURNER™ taking over the project around four years ago.

Construction has now commenced across four towers ranging between 18 and 30 storeys, with Hamilton Marino and Maxcon appointed as builders.

Once complete, the precinct is expected to comprise around 1,100 residences, alongside retail, hospitality and public realm uses integrated throughout the site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370981]

Designed by Fraser &amp; Partners in collaboration with GURNER™ Design House, the project has been positioned around the developer’s broader focus on wellness-led residential living.

“We don’t sell apartments. We create a true luxury lifestyle that simply doesn’t exist elsewhere in the market today,” Founder and Executive Chairman Tim Gurner said.

“To deliver that requires an extraordinary level of detail, coordination and discipline across multiple verticals, from design and hospitality through to wellness and service.”

“We’ve always believed that living extends far beyond the physical residence. It’s about how you feel the moment you arrive, how you live day-to-day, and the ecosystem that supports that.” 
[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370977]

The project’s design places a heavy focus on landscaping, wellness amenities and biophilic design principles.

Plans include around 3,700 sqm of landscaped gardens and open space throughout the precinct, alongside a retail and dining offering spanning approximately 5,000 sqm.

The broader public realm strategy centres around what GURNER™ describes as the “Path of Life”, an urban forest and landscaped pedestrian environment intended to connect the various buildings and wellness spaces across the precinct.

The apartments themselves will incorporate a range of wellness-focused inclusions, including purified air and water systems, circadian lighting, antimicrobial surfaces, and optional in-home wellness upgrades.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370980]

Gurner said the company’s experience through its Saint Haven wellness clubs had directly informed the residential offering now being incorporated into Elysium Fields.

“We’re seeing a clear global shift toward longevity, performance and proactive health,” Gurner said.

“Our role is to deliver that in a way that feels seamless, highly private and beautifully resolved within the environments we create.”

A large component of the wellness offering is planned through the resident amenity and health facilities proposed within the precinct.

That includes plans for bathing and recovery facilities spread throughout the towers, incorporating mineral pools, saunas, steam rooms, flotation therapy, red light therapy and wellness lounges.

The developer is also seeking approvals for what it describes as a “reverse ageing medical clinic” within the precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370978]

According to project information released by the group, the proposed facility would include cryotherapy, IV infusion therapy, infrared and dry saunas, PEMF beds, MRIs, DEXA scans, brain scans and blood analysis services.

Within the first tower, Helios, residents will also have access to a dedicated amenity offering known as the Sky Private Club.

The upper 15 levels of the building will include private lounges, dining spaces, rooftop amenities and optional private wellness studios integrated within residences.

The Helios tower itself comprises 260 apartments ranging between 60 sqm and 300 sqm, including a collection of penthouses.

That includes a planned two-storey penthouse spanning around 600 sqm with uninterrupted bay views.

The Elysium Fields precinct is being delivered in partnership with Digital Harbour Holdings, a consortium that includes the Liberman family, which controls the development rights across the Docklands site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370979]

The sales result comes as GURNER™ continues expanding its national development pipeline beyond Victoria.

“We have a strong pipeline across Australia and are now focused on scaling into key markets including New South Wales and Queensland, while continuing to build on our Melbourne base,” Gurner said.

“We currently have more than $3 billion in the market, growing to over $5 billion by October, and expect to materially outperform last year in the 2026 calendar year.”

The result also reflects the continued strength of the upper-end apartment market in Melbourne, particularly for owner-occupier-focused product with large-scale amenity and lifestyle offerings.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144441]

Record result anchored by the Group’s “utopian” Elysium Fields precinct – defying market headwinds in Docklands.

Elysium Fields drive Gurner to $1.65 billion in apartment sales over 2025

National Australia Bank (NAB) will fund <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera</a>, a $1 billion, 52-level luxury residential tower being developed by Central Equity in one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held coastal locations at Northcliffe.

The project, launched recently by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a>, one of Victoria’s largest private residential developers, comes at a time when construction funding for large residential developments has become increasingly competitive as lenders tighten exposure to the sector.

Multiplex has been appointed the builder, and construction is now underway.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365784]

Since its first project, Central Equity has delivered more than 85 residential developments with a combined end value exceeding $8 billion.

Palmera reflects Central Equity’s growing focus on the Gold Coast luxury apartment market and continues a relationship between Central Equity and NAB that dates back to the late 1980s, when the bank funded one of Melbourne’s earliest inner-city residential towers at a time when high-rise apartment living in the CBD was largely unproven.

“NAB’s funding of Central Equity’s $36 million CBD development in the late 1980’s to the financing of the billion-dollar tower today highlights the long-term relationship between the two organisations in delivering major residential projects” said Central Equity Founder and Chairman Eddie Kutner.

He said NAB’s early support was instrumental in helping establish the company’s development model.

“When we commenced our first residential tower in the late 1980s the concept of funding off-the-plan apartments was still largely untested in Australia,” Kutner said.

“NAB recognised the opportunity early and supported the project when others were uncertain. That relationship has now continued for more than 37 years across many developments.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Central Equity was established in 1987 when Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank precinct were still dominated by warehouses and commercial buildings. Fewer than 100 residents lived in Southbank at the time, and large-scale residential development in the inner city was not widely considered.

Recognising changing demographics and lifestyle preferences, the company began developing high-rise residential projects designed to bring permanent residents into the city centre.

Central Equity has provided accommodation for approximately 40,000 residents across Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank, while also incorporating supporting infrastructure including essential lifestyle facilities like retail spaces, childcare facilities and neighbourhood activity centres.

Central Equity has spent many years assembling the Palmera development site on the corner of Garfield Terrace and Frederick Street in Northcliffe, creating a supersite of around 3,300 sqm.

The developer said the Palmera apartment tower reflects its long-term view of the Gold Coast as a growing and increasingly diversified economy.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365768]

Supported by infrastructure including the light rail network, major road upgrades expanded education, hospital and medical facilities and continued expansion at the Gold Coast Airport with more international and domestic flights.

Positioned in the tightly held Northcliffe precinct, the 52-level tower will deliver 347 apartments, targeting buyers seeking a high-end coastal lifestyle, from downsizers to interstate investors.

Designed by Marchese Partners with interiors by DBI, Palmera has been conceived as a next-generation residential offering, featuring a collection of oversized apartments, with premium three-bedroom residences offering sweeping northern views stretching from Surfers Paradise through to Burleigh Heads.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

NAB funds $1 billion Surfers Paradise apartment development, Palmera

Two years after completing one of the newest developments in North Sydney, developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aqualand-australia">Aqualand</a> is turning its attention to the rapidly evolving St Leonards apartment market.

The developer, which completed AURA by Aqualand on North Sydney's Walker Street, has lodged plans for a 5,918 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/33-37-herbert-street-st-leonards-nsw-2065">33-37 Herbert Street, St Leonards,</a> seeking approval for a pair of residential towers rising above a shared podium opposite Royal North Shore Hospital.

The proposal forms part of the broader transformation underway across the St Leonards-Crows Nest precinct, where former industrial and commercial sites are increasingly being redeveloped into high-density mixed-use projects tied to major transport infrastructure.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2cc428cf-fe70-4cac-9cd5-264ad53af62c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=otKSnHtbjAvAddOnovyXQMgcAwE6DMe1" />

According to the planning documents, the site sits “within the St Leonards–Crows Nest Strategic Centre, identified by the NSW Government as a key area for accommodating future jobs and housing across Sydney.”

The proposal has been designed by fjcstudio, formerly FJMT Studio, and is being progressed through the State Significant Development pathway due to its scale and affordable housing provision.

The scheme would comprise 413 apartments, including 46 affordable housing units, alongside retail and commercial uses fronting Herbert Street. The project would also include communal open space, landscaping, a swimming pool, gymnasium, children’s play areas and podium-level resident amenities.

Planning documents show the development would consist of a part-13, part-39 storey tower form positioned above a four-storey podium.

“The development comprises a unified podium that activates the street interface, and two setback towers to accommodate new housing supply while maintaining an appropriate human scale at ground level,” fjcstudio noted in its Design Report.

The northern and southern towers have been shaped to respond to the surrounding skyline while also limiting overshadowing impacts to nearby public open space, particularly Talus Reserve.

The design report said the differing tower heights were intended to “contribute to a varied skyline while responding to the surrounding built form context and solar access considerations.”

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36da62dc-ff9e-41f2-a7e3-7be38373751c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.45%E2%80%AFAM_0.png?VersionId=Mo6Rp2r.XRLTzIfg_PEEpw8NepDH8UBs" />

The site sits directly opposite Royal North Shore Hospital and within walking distance of both St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

While the site itself sits just outside the formal Crows Nest Transport Oriented Development boundary, the planning documents repeatedly reference its alignment with the broader TOD objectives reshaping the Lower North Shore.

“The site is located adjacent to St Leonards Station and in close proximity to Crows Nest Metro which is within the Crows Nest Transit Orientated Development Accelerated Precinct which has been identified by the NSW Government to support housing delivery,” the Design Verification Statement noted.

According to fjcstudio, the project has been designed to respond to the broader transition occurring across St Leonards, where increasing residential density is being concentrated around transport infrastructure and employment hubs.

“The broader precinct is undergoing significant change, with a mix of existing mid-rise buildings and newer high-density developments,” the report stated.

“Recent and approved projects indicate a consistent shift toward taller built form, typically organised as tower-and-podium typologies with more active ground levels.”

The proposal includes close to 6,000 sqm of retail and commercial space across the ground floor and podium levels, designed to create a more activated street edge along Herbert Street.

Aqualand’s plans would also introduce a landscaped podium shared between the two towers, with communal open space in the form of a podium rooftop designed to support resident interaction and improve urban greening outcomes. The scheme would also introduce pocket parks at the northern and southern ends of the site, including a landscaped area at the corner of Herbert and Ella streets designed to improve pedestrian amenity and soften the streetscape.

&nbsp;

The proposal is being progressed through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway, which was introduced to accelerate housing supply across the state. The application was declared State Significant Development in April 2025 following an expression of interest process.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="faf6d97d-2671-454f-b85a-fe1c6a7be608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=diVd28OBVr5.YV.7prrOz.uAanwwwm7a" />

St Leonards has been particularly active with new developments in recent weeks. Developer SP Setia’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-sp-setia-targets-st-leonards-skyline-with-40-storey-tod-tower">plans for a new 42-storey tower</a> recently went on exhibition through the same pathway, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">Stockland’s 52-storey tower proposal</a> was also recently unveiled.

Aside from the St Leonards project, which is expected to take around nine months to move through the approvals process ahead of a potential 2027 launch, Aqualand is also preparing to launch Boronia, a new apartment project in Roseville comprising around 111 apartments on Larkin Street.

The developer also has approvals in place for the next stage of the Barangaroo precinct, which will feature new residential, retail, hospitality and community uses, alongside a new metro entry across the five-hectare site.

More than 50 new retail destinations are planned for Central Barangaroo, alongside a 270-metre-long boulevard connecting Hickson Park to Nawi Cove. Together with Harbour Park, more than 50 per cent of the precinct will comprise public open space and parkland.

First look: Aqualand joins St Leonards apartment party

Interest Rates

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Some positive signs for the economy and a push by the federal government for banks to relax lending standards for small business will allow the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to take a break from cutting official interest rates.
With the cash rate reduced to a record low of 0.75 per cent, the RBA may have done enough for the time being to help boost consumer confidence despite disappointing September retail sales figures.
Having confident consumers is a major contributor to an economic turnaround and the domestic economy is still showing signs of improvement. 
It is good to see the Government talking to the banks about the way they have been applying the responsible lending guidelines to small and medium-sized enterprises. By supporting more lending and our SMEs we should see positive signs of further economic improvement.
In this environment there is no real need for the RBA to do much more until they get a better view of the economy into the first quarter of next year.
It will be good to see consumers break the shackles and start spending again in the lead up to Christmas. Hopefully the central bank’s rate reductions have helped give consumer confidence a boost.
I urge mortgage holders to regularly review their home loans to ensure they were getting the best possible deal.
Mortgage holders should never be complacent about their home loan.
While interest rates are at historic lows, lenders are willing to battle for your business. Contact a mortgage broker to make sure you are getting the best terms possible and, most importantly, save money.
John Kolenda is the managing director at <a href="https://www.finsure.com.au/" target="_blank">Finsure</a>.
 
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

RBA can take a summer holiday: Finsure's John Kolenda

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At its meeting today, the Board decided to keep the cash rate on hold at 0.75 per cent.
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<div class="rss-mr-content">
While the outlook for the global economy remains reasonable, the risks are tilted to the downside. The US–China trade and technology disputes continue to affect international trade flows and investment as businesses scale back spending plans because of the uncertainty. At the same time, in most advanced economies, unemployment rates are low and wages growth has picked up, although inflation remains low. In China, the authorities have taken steps to support the economy while continuing to address risks in the financial system.
Interest rates are very low around the world and a number of central banks have eased monetary policy in response to the persistent downside risks and subdued inflation. Expectations of further monetary easing have generally been scaled back over the past month and financial market sentiment has improved a little. Even so, long-term government bond yields are around record lows in many countries, including Australia. Borrowing rates for both businesses and households are also at historically low levels. The Australian dollar is at the lower end of its range over recent times.
The outlook for the Australian economy is little changed from three months ago. After a soft patch in the second half of last year, a gentle turning point appears to have been reached. The central scenario is for the Australian economy to grow by around 2¼ per cent this year and then for growth gradually to pick up to around 3 per cent in 2021. The low level of interest rates, recent tax cuts, ongoing spending on infrastructure, the upswing in housing prices in some markets and a brighter outlook for the resources sector should all support growth. The main domestic uncertainty continues to be the outlook for consumption, with the sustained period of only modest increases in household disposable income continuing to weigh on consumer spending. Other sources of uncertainty include the effects of the drought and the evolution of the housing construction cycle.
Employment has continued to grow strongly and has been matched by strong growth in labour supply, with labour force participation at a record high. The unemployment rate has remained steady at around 5¼ per cent over recent months. It is expected to remain around this level for some time, before gradually declining to a little below 5 per cent in 2021. Wages growth remains subdued and is expected to remain at around its current rate for some time yet. A further gradual lift in wages growth would be a welcome development and is needed for inflation to be sustainably within the 2–3 per cent target range. Taken together, recent outcomes suggest that the Australian economy can sustain lower rates of unemployment and underemployment.
The recent inflation data were broadly as expected, with headline inflation at 1.7 per cent over the year to the September quarter. The central scenario remains for inflation to pick up, but to do so only gradually. In both headline and underlying terms, inflation is expected to be close to 2 per cent in 2020 and 2021.
There are further signs of a turnaround in established housing markets, especially in Sydney and Melbourne. In contrast, new dwelling activity is still declining and growth in housing credit remains low. Demand for credit by investors is subdued and credit conditions, especially for small and medium-sized businesses, remain tight. Mortgage rates are at record lows and there is strong competition for borrowers of high credit quality.
The easing of monetary policy since June is supporting employment and income growth in Australia and a return of inflation to the medium-term target range. Given global developments and the evidence of the spare capacity in the Australian economy, it is reasonable to expect that an extended period of low interest rates will be required in Australia to reach full employment and achieve the inflation target. The Board will continue to monitor developments, including in the labour market, and is prepared to ease monetary policy further if needed to support sustainable growth in the economy, full employment and the achievement of the inflation target over time.
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Established housing turnaround: RBA Governor Philip Lowe's November 2019 meeting statement

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The Reserve Bank have decided to leave the cash rate on hold at a historic low 0.75 per cent.
It <a href="/expert-insights/finance/established-housing-turnaround-rba-governor-philip-lowes-november-2019-meeting-statement">noted a further turnaround in established housing</a>, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne.
The decision comes after a month of some positive news for the Reserve Bank, namely in unemployment which <a href="/news/rba-breathe-sigh-of-relief-as-seasonally-adjusted-unemployment-nudges-lower">dropped back to 5.2 per cent</a>.
Last weeks slight inflation uptick was <a href="/expert-insights/investing/inflation-rate-creeps-towards-rba-target-zone-commsec">further good news for the RBA</a>.
CoreLogic's head of research Tim Lawless said the decision to hold rates was widely anticipated given the RBA is running out of conventional monetary policy ammunition.
"The decision to keep rates on hold was supported by the latest labour market and inflation readings, which saw the national unemployment rate nudge lower, while annual headline inflation edged slightly higher," Lawless said.
"Additionally, a rebound in housing values and a rise in buyer activity will hopefully begin to flow through to a gradual improvement in household wealth and spending. 
Lawless suggested the RBA will be carefully monitoring other indicators which have continued to lose momentum such as consumer confidence, residential construction activity and retail spending. 
"One of the negative side-effects of such historically low interest rates is that Australian households and businesses are reading through the low rate setting and becoming less confident about their household finances and the outlook for the economy, which is offsetting some of the stimulatory benefits of historically low interest rates. 
"Although the cash rate has remained on hold, lenders are becoming increasingly competitive, particularly for high quality borrowers – ie those with low debt relative to their incomes and a responsible track record of savings together with expenses that are in line with their incomes. 
"No doubt the lowest mortgage rates since at least the 1950’s and improved access to credit following APRA’s decision to adjust the interest rate serviceability floor are contributing to a rebound in housing market conditions. 
"While the improved housing market conditions are a positive for broader economic conditions, an increase in speculative activity from property investors or a slip in the quality of lending standards could be the trigger for a new round of macro-prudential policies aimed at maintaining prudent lending standards and keeping a lid on further accrual of housing related debt.
Finder.com.au's RBA Cash Rate Survey saw all of its 38 experts predict a rate hold at today's meeting, however two thirds of the experts surveyed believed the cash rate will drop to 0.5 per cent in February 2020.
Only 21 per cent think there will be a cut in December.
Sally Tindall, research director at RateCity, says that despite there being no movement this month, another rate cut is still very much on the cards for the future: 
"When you look at the big 4 banks, on average their 3-year fixed rates are a quarter of a percent lower than their lowest variable rates, which is a strong indication the cash rate will continue to fall," Tindall said.
"In fact, the market is expecting rates will remain low for very long time. Five year fixed rates have hit an all time low of 2.74% while variable rates are as low as 2.69%.
"But these rates are reserved for new customers so if you want to take advantage of this, you might have to turn yourself from an existing customer into a new one."
Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP Capital, says the are still expecting an easing in December and February.
"With growth likely to remain subdued and the econ a long way from full employment further easing is needed," Oliver tweeted.
"So in the absence of significant fiscal stimulus soon we still expect another easing in Dec &amp; Feb."
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RBA holds interest rates at November Cup Day meeting

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The employment report for September printed a modest fall in the unemployment rate from 5.26% to 5.20%. Further, the underemployment rate fell from 8.53% to 8.35%.
That will be sufficient to avert another rate cut from the RBA in November.
Westpac has consistently argued that a cut in November was unlikely and the Employment Report strengthened our case.
The October RBA meeting minutes made an important point that had not been part of earlier commentaries:
“Members also discussed the possibility that policy stimulus might be less effective than past experience suggests. They recognised that some transmission channels, such as a pick-up in borrowing or the effect on the home-building sector, may not be operating in the same way as in the past, and that the negative effect of low interest rates on the income and confidence of savers might be more significant. Notwithstanding this, transmission through the exchange rate channel was still considered likely to work effectively, and evidence suggested that the positive effects of lower interest rates on aggregate household cash flows via lower debt repayments was likely to support household spending, given that household interest payments exceed receipts by more than two to one”.
This point is highly relevant for any discussion around the Effective Lower Bound (ELB) for the cash rate in this cycle.
Certainly, with the Board targeting full employment (currently assessed by the RBA as 4.5% compared to the actual of 5.2%)and a move into the 2–3% target zone for underlying inflation, it seems certain that the RBA will reach its ELB before it achieves its objectives.
Westpac’s current forecast (first set out on July 24) is that the ELB is 0.5% and will be reached at the February Board meeting.
However this process is different to the normal process for forecasting the end point of any policy cycle. That forecast typically hinges around forecasting how far below (or above) neutral (or R*) the cash rate will need to be pushed before the authorities can be comfortable of achieving the objectives of full employment and inflation sustainably in the 2–3% target range.
So the policy around choosing the ELB will likely be determined by the trade-off between the expected impact of further cuts and unanticipated consequences of ultra-low interest rates.
The minutes have already highlighted one risk – the impact of ultra-low rates on confidence. That effect was further emphasised by the 5.5% fall in the Westpac-MI Consumer Sentiment Index in October to its lowest level for four years. The survey was conducted during the week of the announcement of the 0.25% cut in the cash rate from 1% to 0.75%.
Read full report <a href="https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/wibiqauthoring/_uploads/file/Australia/2019/October/er20191021BullPolicyDebate.pdf" target="_blank">'Policy debate' (PDF 99kb)</a>
BILL EVANS is the Chief Economist at Westpac
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Policy debate hinges around risks of ultra low interest rates: Bill Evans

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The Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has asked the ACCC to investigate the banking sector over its refusal to pass on interest rate cuts to customers in full. 
He has asked the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission to look into the pricing of residential mortgage products.
The competition watchdog will also report back on any obstacles customers face in switching banks. 
It will examine the entire sector but the Government has made it clear that the big four banks will be the focus.
The ACCC is able to use “compulsory information-gathering powers” to obtain data from financial institutions, through holding an inquiry under Part VIIA of the Competition and Consumer Act (2010).
“We will aim to provide answers to the questions that banking customers have long asked,” said ACCC chair Rod Sims.
Mr Frydenberg said customers are "sick and tired of the merry dance" as the banks have neglected to pass on the rate in full despite consistent calls from the Government and the RBA. 
"The banks have just ignored that advice and that call," Mr Frydenberg said. 
"We need the ACCC to use its particular powers to compel documentation to lift the hood and get to the bottom of this issue." 
"The Aust people are sick of the merry dance where the RBA reduces the cash rate, political leaders AND the RBA call on the banks to pass them on in full AND that advice is ignored."
However Mr Frydenberg ruled out introducing legislation to force the banks to pass on the rate in full.
He phoned the chief executives of the big four banks on Sunday and told them the inquiry could help them "clear the air" and explain why they had not passed on the rate in full. 
The Australian Banking Association (ABA) has said the banks stand ready to assist the ACCC in the inquiry.
"Banks are no stranger to public scrutiny and look forward to the opportunity to cast more light on mortgage pricing and the many important factors that influence the setting of interest rates," the ABA advised.
"The first priority of Australia’s banks is the implementation of the Royal Commission.
"Banks are also working night and day to prepare for the Consumer Data Right to empower customers to more easily shop around for the financial service that best meets their needs."
The Customer Owned Banking Association (COBA) has welcomed the ACCC's inquiry into home loan pricing and competition in the retail banking market.
COBA’s director of strategy Sally Mackenzie said it’s important that the inquiry investigates ways to make it easier for consumers to switch banks while avoiding more red tape.
“This inquiry is an opportunity to deliver a more competitive banking sector by examining what is holding consumers back from switching bank providers.
“Empowering consumers to switch their banking and to shop around is an unambiguously good thing.
“A more competitive market will make all players care more about their customers.
“There are barriers that prevent consumers from switching, which makes it challenging for smaller banks to win market share from the big four banks.
“Consumers can benefit personally by shopping around, and the market will function more effectively if there is more intense competition for borrowers.
“It’s important that policy makers empower consumers to drive competition.
“Policy makers need to careful consider regulatory interventions because smaller players are already subject to a disproportionately high regulatory burden.
“We look forward to this inquiry coming up with creative new ways to unleash consumer power.”
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Banks' failure to pass on rate cuts to home loan customers prompts ACCC inquiry

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Borrowers refinancing are at the highest levels in three years, according to data released by the ABS.
They're taking advantage of the lower interest rates, with a 7.7 per cent jump in the value of new homes loans being refinanced.
Owner-occupiers lead the charge, posting an 8.4 per cent jump in value, the highest value of refinanced loans since September 2016.
There was a surprise to see a drop in the number of loans to first home buyers over the month, down 0.7 per cent.
Sally Tindall, research director at RateCity.com.au, said the increase in refinancing activity came on the back of the June and July rate cuts.
“The first two rate cuts have clearly encouraged borrowers to sit up and take notice of their home loan rates.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/10/11/Housing%20Finance%20August%20Westpac.jpg" alt=""> Source: Westpac
“We expect this trend will continue as refinance applications, that are still in the pipeline, are settled.
"The most recent cash rate cut, and the decision by most banks not to pass it on in full, is also likely to spur more refinancing activity."
There are suggestions the loosening of serviceability is starting to effect the market. 
Despite the value of owner-occupier loans soaring, the number of new loans for owner-occupiers rose just 0.7 per cent, suggesting there are bigger loans being approved as opposed to a large uptick in number of loans.
Westpac's Matthew Hassan said the 0.7 per cent rise in owner-occupier loans was considerably softer than the consensus forecast of a 2.3 per cent gain, however he noted approvals have risen 5.9 per cent from their April low.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/10/11/New%20finance%20approvals%20Westpac.jpg" alt=""> Source: Westpac
Approvals are still down -5.1 per cent over the year.
Investors are well and truly back in the market. The 5.7 per cent increase in value of investor loans over August puts the value of loans approved up 10 per cent over the last two months, adding to the 4.2 per cent rise in July.
The values however are still 13 per cent lower than they were a year ago.
Mortgage Choice chief executive Susan Mitchell said the growth in demand from investors is unsurprising given the factors which may be positively impacting their appetite.
"The result of the Federal Election took the potential removal of property tax concessions off the table," Mitchell said.
"“Things are looking up for investors with the election now behind them, and the threat of negative gearing changes gone. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/10/11/Housing%20finance%20approvals%20by%20segment.jpg" alt=""> Source: Westpac
"As a result, once cautious investors may have been encouraged to put their buying plans in action. 
“Policy and pricing on investment loans are now much more favourable," Mitchell added.
"Investor rates have continued to tumble, in many cases further than owner occupier rates.
"This, combined with the relaxing of APRA’s serviceability requirements means the market is looking increasingly appealing for investors."
 
 
 
 
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Borrowers taking advantage of falling interest rates

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Despite ACCC chair Rod Sims’ recent criticism of the bank practice of charging higher rates to loyal existing borrowers than they do for new business, lenders are rolling out big fixed rate home loan cuts - that apply to new customers only.
In October, many lenders have reserved their biggest rate cuts for the fixed rate home loan market – where rates only apply to new loans. The 2 and 3-year fixed rate market in particular is active right now with plenty of rate cut announcements. 
All of the big four banks have slashed fixed rates in recent weeks. 
From today, 10th October, Commonwealth Bank’s advertised 2 and 3 year (OO, P&amp;I) fixed rates in the “Wealth Package” have been cut to 2.99 per cent pa (Comparison rates from 4.46 per cent pa). 
Commonwealth Bank have now cut two and three-year fixed rates by 0.80 percentage points since June. The RBA has cut the official rate by 0.75 percentage points. Commonwealth Bank’s variable (OO, P&amp;I) advertised home loan rate has come down by 0.57 percentage points in the same period.
ANZ Bank cut two and three-year fixed rates last week by up to 0.30 percentage points. ANZ Bank now boasts 2 and 3-year fixed rates from 2.98 per cent pa (comparison rates from 4.45 per cent pa) with a package deal discount. ANZ cut variable rates last week by 0.14 percentage points. 
NAB have cut their fixed rates by up to 0.40 percentage points (OO, P&amp;I). NAB’s two-year rate is now 2.98 per cent pa (comparison rate 4.47 per cent pa).
Westpac (and subsidiaries) cut fixed rates by up to 1.3 percentage points in September. Westpac’sone-year Premier Advantage (OO, P&amp;I) rate was cut by 0.80 percentage points to 3.29 per cent pa (comparison rate 4.05 per cent pa)
Other lenders have also announced big rate cuts on fixed home loans with more announcements expected in coming days. 
From yesterday, 9th October, ING cut two and three-year fixed rates (OO, P&amp;I) by up to 0.20 per cent pa. ING now has fixed home loan rates starting at 2.89 per cent pa (comparison rate 4.23 per cent pa) and variable rates starting at 3.14 per cent pa (comparison rate 3.17 per cent pa).
There are now 44 two-year fixed rate home loan products (OO, P&amp;I) with advertised headline rates under 3.0 per cent on the InfoChoice database of 145 institutions.
There are now 48 three-year fixed rate home loan products (OO, P&amp;I) with advertised headline rates under 3.0 per cent on the InfoChoice database of 145 institutions.
There are 11 variable rate home loans (OO, P&amp;I) with advertised rates under 3.0 per cent listed by InfoChoice. 
Borrowers can not expect a great deal simply because they have been loyal to a particular institution for many years. 
When lenders announce rate cuts for fixed rate loans, they only apply to new customers. Existing customers continue to pay the fixed rate that applied at the beginning of the loan.
Banks and other lenders are competing with other and constantly trying to win new business.
Fixed rates are clearly now being set with the future in mind. Banks are apparently expecting the RBA to keep rates low well into 2021 and 2022 and that’s why they are setting 2 and 3-year fixed rates at these very low levels.
Borrowers who don’t like their rate are entitled to ask for a better deal and move to a better offer if they don’t get a good deal.
Borrowers need to factor this into their calculations. If rates change, a fixed rate will stay the same until the end of the term.
Vadim Taube is the CEO of leading Australian financial comparison site InfoChoice.com.au.
 
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More banks cut rates – for new customers only

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
With the Reserve Bank of Australia cutting official rates to 0.75% on Tuesday, has been a wave of commentary about the move doing little to help the economy apart from boosting housing prices.
There are two parts to assessing this claim. First, do rate cuts drive up property prices? Second, is that all they do?
Do rate cuts drive up property prices?
Economists have a precise answer to this question, and also a more practical one.
The precise answer is that all assets – stocks, bonds, property, stamps, vintage baseball cards, you name it – can be priced using <a href="https://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/john.cochrane/research/papers/samplechapters.pdf" target="_blank">what is known as</a> the stochastic discount factor (SDF).
This says that in pricing an asset you should factor in all the future cash flows the asset will generate (rent or dividends or capital gains) and then translate those returns into today’s money, adjusting for the riskiness of those cash flows.
An easier way to think about how rate cuts might affect property prices – consistent with the asset-pricing approach – goes like this.
People look at how much money they can borrow based on what they can afford to pay back. An interest rate cut boosts their borrowing power.
Even though the major banks have only passed on about half of the Reserve Bank’s latest cut (owner-occupied mortgage rates have been cut by 13-15 basis points), that’s enough to give a household with income of $150,000 about another $12,000 to $14,000 in borrowing power.
They thus spend more and, because there is a limited supply of properties, this pushes prices up. So, yes, lower interest rates do tend to boost property prices.
Is that all rate cuts do?
But boosting property prices is not all that rate cuts do.
Higher prices for new dwellings help developers. They often lead to an increase in construction jobs as developers anticipate better conditions for selling properties. New property construction has a number of other effects, too, such as changing <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2019/pdf/rdp2019-01.pdf" target="_blank">the average quality of the rental stock</a> and spurring more retail spending (because those new homes need to be furnished).
Perhaps even more important is the pseudo-psychological effect of existing home owners feeling wealthier when house prices go up. This can lead to increased consumer spending – and this can have a big economic effect, given consumer spending accounts for about 60% of GDP.
This “wealth effect”, rational or not, seems to be real. It is part of the reason the Reserve Bank’s governor, Philip Lowe, appeared to be concerned about Sydney and Melbourne house prices falling in the past couple of years. It is also why federal treasurer Josh Frydenberg is happy to see property prices again on the rise.
Finally, lower interest rates do make business investment cheaper.
Would corporate tax cuts provide a bigger boost to investment? You bet. Are there diminishing returns to rate cuts as the cash rate approaches zero? That’s very likely to be the case.
But would businesses invest more if rates were two percentage points higher? No way. And would business like rates to be higher? I seriously doubt it.
Rate cuts do something to drive down unemployment, drive up consumer prices, and boost investment generally.
Are rate-cut driven prices increases bad?
But they certainly do also drive up residential property prices.
The important question is whether that’s bad or not. The answer to this question is a little murkier.
Let’s start with the fact borrowers should be thinking about how much to borrow.
If they borrow too much and are unable to repay their loans, that’s very bad news for them. Defaulting on a mortgage is a wrenching experience. Most people try hard to avoid that.
That said, sometimes people make poor choices through lack of information, lack of thought or lack of willpower. Occasionally an unscrupulous third party will encourage them to borrow more than they should.
But it’s not in the interest of banks to make too many loans that don’t get repaid. If borrowers are the first line of defence again bad price increases, lenders are the second line of defence.
There is a third line of defence: prudential regulation. The <a href="https://www.apra.gov.au/" target="_blank">Australian Prudential Regulation Authority</a> and the <a href="https://asic.gov.au/" target="_blank">Australian Securities and Investments Commission</a> are charged with enforcing “responsible lending laws” and ensuring the animal spirits and (sometimes) bad incentives of borrowers and lenders don’t get out of control.
So property prices increasing a few percent on the back of the rate cuts is unlikely to be problem – though as the Reserve Bank governor is fond of saying, “<a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2019/sp-gov-2019-09-24" target="_blank">time will tell</a>”.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/124600/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
Richard Holden, Professor of Economics, UNSW.
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/vital-signs-yes-house-prices-will-rise-with-lower-interest-rates-but-thats-not-the-only-effect-124600" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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House prices will rise with lower interest rates, but that’s not the only effect

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Three of the Big Four Banks have dropped rates on their fixed home loans in the past week, with NAB the latest all set to cut its rates by up to 0.40%.
In total, 17 lenders – including CBA and ANZ – have cut rates on fixed home loans since the RBA's October 1 decision.
In the month before the October rate cut, 27 lenders cut fixed rates, in particular Westpac, which slashed rates by up to 1.30%.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/10/8/Rate%20cuts%201.JPG" alt="">
(Source: RateCity.com.au)
Paul Marshall, chief executive at RateCIty.com.au, said this flurry of rate cuts is a sign banks are foreseeing a further cash rate cut, which could come as soon as next month.
“Fixed rates have been tumbling since the last rate cut, which indicates lenders could be pricing in yet another RBA cut,” he said.
“As a result, we are seeing record low fixed rates and it’s now possible to lock in a rate under 3% for five years. This suggests many banks are forecasting a sustained period of low rates.
“Many punters appear to be betting on a further rate cut as soon as Melbourne Cup day where we could see the cash rate drop to 0.50%.”
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/10/8/Rate%20cuts%202.jgp.JPG" alt="">
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NAB announce fixed rate cuts following RBA's October decision

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Australia’s fifth largest bank, ING, has announced that it is cutting home loan interest rates by 0.15%.
The bank’s interest rates will drop for both new and existing customers, and will be effective from October 16.
The cuts take ING’s lowest variable interest rate for new customers to 2.99%, for home loans over $1 million, and 3.03% for loans under $1 million.
A total of 26 lenders have announced rate cuts for their customers three days after the Reserve Bank cut the official cash rate to 0.75%.
The average interest rate reduction across the owner-occupier home loan market is currently 0.17% and just five lenders are passing on the full 0.25% RBA cut.
The chief executive of RateCity.com.au, Paul Marshall, said there are still dozens of lenders yet to announce what cuts they’ll make.
“With the cash rate now below one%, banks are cautiously considering what to pass onto home loan customers, while still appeasing shareholders and savers,” Marshall said.
“If your bank hasn’t declared their hand, you should call, email or even tweet them into action.”
 
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