Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.

The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.

The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.

The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.

The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.

MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.

Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.

The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.

<img alt="MAYD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1bcbb05-e659-4b47-8bd4-1e595315e2ad" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%202.05.03%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=jj0XEud1X1DuLt7_KyElhjMdZGOXmLHP" />

MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.

"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.

"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."

The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.

Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.

Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.

"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.

"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."

MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.

"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.

"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."

Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.

"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."

The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.

MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.

Joel Robinson

First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

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Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.

But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.

Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]

The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.

It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]

Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.

Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.

Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]

Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.

"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.

A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.

It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.

At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.

Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]

Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.

"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.

The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.

More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]

<h3 data-end="3697" data-section-id="q3n5ak" data-start="3672">&nbsp;</h3>
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Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

A collection of just 25 large-format apartments and penthouses overlooking Goodwin Park is entering the Coolangatta market, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marea-residences-coolangatta-27-27a-dixon-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Maréa Residences</a> combining a low-density, residential-only approach with uninterrupted park and Pacific Ocean outlooks.

Located at 27 Dixon Street, Maréa comprises three and four-bedroom residences alongside a limited number of dual-level penthouses, with the project positioned between Goodwin Park and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/coolangatta-qld-4225">Coolangatta</a>’s coastal precinct.

Construction has commenced, with completion currently estimated for late 2027. Three-bedroom residences are priced from $1.8 million.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374005]

The project has been designed around its northern outlook across the park, with the building’s architecture, landscaping and material palette intended to establish a connection with the neighbouring green space. The residences have been configured to maximise natural light and views across Goodwin Park towards the ocean.

Inside, the material palette incorporates timber, stone and brushed brass, complemented by curved detailing and ambient lighting. Kitchens and bathrooms carry the same natural material approach, while residences also include basement parking, storage and lift access.

Maréa’s penthouses are arranged over two levels and include private pools, adding another layer to the project’s focus on larger-format apartment living. Across the development, residences are configured with three or four bedrooms rather than the broader mix of smaller apartment types commonly found in larger projects.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374010]

Resident amenity is concentrated at rooftop level, where landscaped entertaining terraces and pools take advantage of elevated views across Coolangatta and the Pacific Ocean.

The project has so far been particularly well received by local owner-occupiers and downsizers, according to Urban Activation Property Sales and Marketing Director Matt George, with the residential-only format, construction quality and northern park outlook among the features resonating with purchasers.

“The uninterrupted northern aspect overlooking Goodwin Park has been a key point of difference, with buyers attracted to the sense of serenity and open space the park provides, while still enjoying easy access to the ocean and being within walking distance of the lifestyle and amenities Coolangatta has to offer,” George said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374002]

“The combination of high-quality construction, a residential-only building, park outlook and proximity to the beach has resonated strongly with the local downsizer market.”

The Dixon Street address is within walking distance of Coolangatta Beach and the broader southern Gold Coast coastline, including the surf breaks at Snapper Rocks and Kirra. Coolangatta’s cafés, restaurants and retail are nearby, while Gold Coast Airport is also within close proximity.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150999]

Maréa Residences brings parkside apartments to Coolangatta

Melbourne developer PDG has secured Victorian Government approval for its $1.5 billion Southbank development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-1-queens-bridge-street-southbank-vic-3006">The One</a>, clearing the way for the long-dormant riverfront site opposite Crown to finally be developed.

The Minister for Planning has approved the project at 1-29 Queens Bridge Street, with the Department of Transport and Planning issuing the planning permit following its assessment.

The approval will allow PDG to develop the prominent 5,059 sqm site with a major mixed-use tower comprising premium apartments, including branded residences, a luxury hotel and boutique office space.

PDG acquired the site in late 2024, with its position directly opposite Crown's main entrance and near Melbourne's Arts Precinct making it one of Southbank's most significant remaining development opportunities.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3933013e-6332-4386-b9be-089df05caf17" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sITIgBqDL0N3VNSMwWEmF5UA.uvcsRyu" />

Designed by COX in collaboration with ODO and PDG, the tower's architecture draws on the movement of the Yarra River, with six vertical pleats running the height of the sculpted facade.

The project will also see the heritage-listed Queens Bridge Hotel restored and incorporated into the development&nbsp;with new hospitality and public uses, including a rooftop venue.

A significant component of The One will be its residential amenity.

More than 5,000 sqm of resident facilities will be delivered across a single level, making it one of the largest consolidated residential amenity offerings proposed in an Australian apartment development.

The planning approval also incorporates a major upgrade of Queensbridge Square, which PDG will deliver in partnership with the City of Melbourne.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73167fcd-1031-4b6f-a408-a064cfe45ed1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Pf1AEWxw6SNmBqR0zQW5lyEze.MtxgFp" />

The existing square will be revitalised as a new civic and pedestrian space along the Yarra River, strengthening the connection between the project, Southbank and the riverfront.

PDG Founder and Managing Director Vince Giuliano said the approval represented a major milestone for a site which has remained largely underutilised for more than 15 years.

“This is the most significant Planning Permit approval Melbourne has seen in recent years,” Giuliano said.

“For more than 15 years, this site has remained underutilised. This approval enables us to deliver a project that will contribute meaningfully to the revitalisation of Southbank, restore and reactivate an important heritage building, and create a new civic and hospitality destination for Melbourne.”

The latest approval follows an earlier planning permit issued by the City of Melbourne covering demolition works across part of the site at 9-29 Queens Bridge Street. Those demolition and early works are already underway.

PDG has also started generating early interest in the residential component from owner-occupiers ahead of a planned public launch in early 2027.

PDG secures approval for $1.5bn Southbank apartment development, The One

Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.

The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.

That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.

The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.

A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.

&nbsp;

Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.

Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.

While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;

Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.

First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

Housing Market

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Home prices are expected to have increased by around 1.5 per cent in Sydney and Melbourne in August when the final data is released by CoreLogic on Monday. Property sentiment has improved. Better sentiment is evidenced by a jump in auction clearance rates to 2-year highs – pointing to a lift in demand on the back of lower mortgage rates.
And there is more policy certainty, together with an easing in lending criteria from the bank regulator.
That said, listings, turnover and volumes remain low with the Spring selling season a key catalyst for the outlook for the market.
While housing market conditions are improving, the broader residential property market remains challenging for home builders – especially the apartment markets in Sydney and Melbourne – which have seen double-digit annual declines in council consents.
The value of building approvals on an annual rolling basis is still above the decade average, but the number of new homes approved to be built has fallen to the lowest level since January 2013.
The continued slowdown in dwelling investment will continue to act as a drag on broader economic activity and hiring intentions for tradies and construction workers continue to weaken. And concerns about building defects could crimp investor demand for new apartments in Sydney and Melbourne, despite an improvement in lending conditions.
Solid population growth, location appeal of apartments near amenities and transport hubs, lower borrowing costs, improved access to credit for housing borrowers and rising home prices should help eventually stabilise building approvals. Approvals should level-out and modestly lift next year as property developers continue to acquire sites.
Private sector credit &amp; APRA data (July)  
<ul>
<li>Private sector credit (effectively outstanding loans) rose by 0.2 per cent in July after 0.1 per cent growth in June. </li>
<li>Annual credit growth fell from 3.3 per cent in June to an 8- year low of 3.1 per cent in July.</li>
<li> Housing credit grew by 0.3 per cent in July. And the annual growth fell from 3.5 per cent to 3.3 per cent – the slowest growth rate on record. </li>
<li>Owner occupier housing credit rose by 0.5 per cent in July to stand 4.9 per cent higher over the year – equalling the weakest annual growth rate in the past five years. </li>
<li>Investor housing finance fell in July with annual growth the slowest on record at 0.3 per cent. </li>
<li>Personal credit fell by 0.4 per cent in July after declining by 0.3 per cent in June. Lending fell by 3.7 per cent over the year – the biggest annual decline in almost a decade. </li>
<li>Business credit rose by 0.2 per cent in July after a flat result in June. The annual growth rate fell from 4.1 per cent to an 11-month low of 3.9 per cent. </li>
<li>The M3 money aggregate rose 0.4 per cent in July (strongest growth in four months) and Broad Money also lifted by 0.4 per cent. Annual growth of the M3 money aggregate rose from 3.9 per cent to 4.1 per cent with Broad Money annual growth rate up from 4.0 per cent to 4.2 per cent. </li>
<li>Loans and advances by banks grew by 4.0 per cent in the year to July, up from 3.4 per cent in the year to June (the slowest growth rate in 27 years). </li>
<li>Deposits at deposit-taking institutions rose by 1.2 per cent in July.</li>
<li>According to APRA, loans by deposit taking institutions to households via credit cards fell from $39.2 billion to a near 9-year low of $38.6 billion in July. Credit card lending is down by a record 5.0 per cent over the year (biggest fall in 14 years).</li>
</ul>
Building Approvals
<ul>
<li>Council approvals to build new homes fell by 9.7 per cent in July to 12,944 units – the weakest level in 6½ years. Approvals are down by 28.5 per cent over the year.</li>
<li>House approvals fell by 3.1 per cent in July and apartment approvals fell by 19.6 per cent. </li>
<li>In trend terms, overall approvals fell by 3.2 per cent in July, the 20th straight fall. </li>
<li>Over the past year 182,321 new homes were approved (decade average 195,365) – the lowest number of new approvals in 5½ years. </li>
<li>Dwelling approvals across states/territories in July: NSW (down 17.5 per cent); Victoria (down 24.3 per cent); Queensland (up 10.9 per cent); South Australia (up 34.8 per cent); Western Australia (up 5.8 per cent); Tasmania (up 21.5 per cent). Trend terms: Northern Territory (flat); ACT (down 22.4 per cent). </li>
<li>The value of all commercial and residential building approvals fell by 7.3 per cent in July to be down 19.9 per cent on the year. Residential approvals fell by 5.4 per cent in July; new building fell by 6.2 per cent; alterations &amp; additions rose by 0.4 per cent. Commercial building fell by 9.9 per cent.</li>
<li>Over the year to July, building approvals totalled $111.9 billion, up 13.6 per cent above the decade average</li>
</ul>
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
<ul>
<li>The latest data provides little in terms of fresh direction. Demand for homes has lifted after the election, as shown by home price data. But few are rushing to architects to get new projects off the ground. Both new building and home prices should recover gently over the coming year. </li>
<li>Private sector credit (effectively outstanding loans) responds with a lag to activity in the economy. New loans are added to the stock of loans and old loans get paid down and paid out over time. But credit growth will lift modestly as owner-occupiers and investors respond to a firmer housing market and as more confident business start investing again following the election</li>
</ul>
The Commonwealth Bank Group expects two further rate cuts in November 2019 and February 2020.
CRAIG JAMES is CommSec's Chief Economist
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Housing to stabilise, Credit card debt slides: CommSec's Craig James

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Australians are feeling more optimistic about purchasing a home, according to new research from Westpac.
Just over half of all participants suggested that they felt more confident about the housing market than they did 12 months ago, while 53% stated they were eager to take advantage of record low interest rates.
Those who already owned at least one home were the most optimistic demographic, with almost three quarters (71%) feeling more confident about the market than last year, and two thirds (66%) believing now is a good time to purchase their next home.
The primary motivations for those signally an intention to invest in the current housing market were (1) low interest rates (20%), (2) falling house prices (18%), and (3) the desire to live in a new area (17%).
The study also indicates that Australians are significantly more likely to be looking to buy a new home to live in themselves (37%), particularly for the sake of upsizing (24%) – these figures have more than doubled since 2018.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
“Record low interest rates have created a positive environment for home owners to not only get ahead on their mortgage repayments, but to also purchase their next home,” said Will Ranken, the general manager of home ownership at Westpac.
The findings showed relief might be on the way with Australian home owners now 50% more likely to sell their home compared to last year, with one in ten (10%) intending to sell in the next 12 months.
“We’ve seen a recent rise in auction clearance rates, so it could be an opportune time for sellers to capitalise on growing demand, particularly in the lead up to spring; the time of year when house hunters tend to be the most active,” said Ranken.
A limitation of investment options was the primary concern of participants in the study, with almost one in five (18%) next home buyers feeling challenged by a lack of property supply listed on the market.
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Australians are feeling more optimistic about the housing market: Westpac

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The national housing market has just experienced its largest downturn in dwelling values since at least the 1980s.
The fact that values nationally fell by less than 10% speaks to the ongoing strength of the housing market over the past 40 years which has culminated in Australia being one of the most expensive places in the world in which to buy property.
Since the federal election in May, there have been ongoing signs of improving market conditions.
This has been driven by a number of factors including: an unexpected win by the Coalition in the federal election which removed uncertainty about changes taxation policies relating to investment, two 25 basis point cuts to interest rates, tax cuts for low income earners and an easing of some of the previous lending restrictions that were in place.
While there are clear signs of improving conditions, many point to the fact that the very low volume of sales in the market indicate that the recovery is not real or unsustainable.
While that could very well prove to be true if/when stock levels rise, the truth of the matter is that in a downturn, sales volumes typically fall and subsequently, the early stages of a housing recovery are usually characterised by low volumes of sales.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/8/23/CL%20Recovery%201.JPG" alt="">
The above chart shows the monthly volume of settled sales for dwellings nationally, together with the rolling three month change in dwelling values nationally. The dotted line represents 0% change, so anything below means that values are falling and anything above is indicative of growth. What becomes quite clear from the data is that when values are declining, sales volumes typically fall and increasing values typically leads to higher volumes.
What is also evident is that the market doesn’t respond immediately, when values start rising, initially at least, it isn’t necessarily occurring in concert with a rise in sales volumes. Even recent examples in the 2009 and 2011 market recoveries show this to be the case.
This is precisely what is occurring at the moment, specifically in Sydney and Melbourne where housing conditions are improving following a sharp downturn.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/8/23/CL%20Recovery%202.JPG" alt="">
Another way to look at how a housing market recovery starts out with low sales volumes is the auction market.
Coming out of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), values nationally started to lift in January 2009. Equally, the above chart shows how auction clearance rates bounced however, this bounce occurred with very low volumes of auctions taking place.
Equally, the housing recovery which started in early 2012 saw a relatively low number of auctions occurring right through until early 2013. It is a similar story right now with auction clearance rates having bounced higher since the middle of May, yet the volume of properties going to auction remaining quite low.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/8/23/CL%20Recovery%203.JPG" alt="">
Finally, you can only really take to auction or purchase what is available for sale. One of the major reasons why transaction volumes remain so low is because there is very little actually available for sale. The number of new listings nationally (new listings are anything not previously advertised for sale over the past 6 months) are the lowest they’ve been at this time of year for many years and are -18.9% lower than they were last year.
Total listings are also lower than they’ve been at this time of year for many years and are -4.4% lower than they were a year ago.
Auction volumes have certainly fallen much more than volumes in the general market however, as housing market conditions have softened, vendors have become much more selective about which properties are appropriate to be taken to auction.
Notwithstanding that, as we have seen in the past you can’t say that an increase in dwelling values is not sustainable just because the volume of stock either selling or going to auction is low.
Ultimately, you can only transact that which is actually available for sale and at this point there is not a lot of stock available for sale. Of course as we enter spring that may change and a higher volume of stock for sale may prove to snuff out any increases in housing values but at this stage the improving trend is quite real.
CAMERON KUSHER is the head of research for the Australian branch of CoreLogic
Kusher regularly posts on the <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news" target="_blank">CoreLogic website</a>.
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The signs of a market recovery: CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

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The Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe has acknowledged that lower interest rates had pushed up Sydney housing prices during the 2012 to 2017 boom.
"I think that’s pretty clear," he acknowledged when recently addressing our federal politicians.
But he went onto say there were other things that were "probably more important over the past decade".
"They go to population growth and the slow response to that on the supply side," he said. 
Lowe pinpointed that population growth picked up in Australia quite a lot and it took almost a decade for the rate of growth of the supply to respond to that.
He added he was raising the topic in the context of the next phase in the housing market.
"Because what we’re seeing at the moment is quite strong population growth, which I think is good, but the additions to supply of the housing stock are slowing right down.
"New development is slowing down, and one of the issues we’re going to keep a very close eye on over the next little while is what the supply of housing is doing.
"If developers cannot get financed, the supply of housing will slow a lot and we will be sowing the seeds for the next upswing."
The property market is a dynamic entity, always evolving.
One of the great marketing tools bandied about the market is that strong population growth is an indicator of future price growth.
But not just by itself as the governor advises this point fails to heed the impact of supply and demand.
Australia's population stands at around 25.4 million, up 404,000 in 2018.
The ABS calculates one birth every 1 minute and 40 seconds, one death every 3 minutes and 19 seconds, one person arriving to live in Australia every 56 seconds, one Australian resident leaving Australia to live overseas every 1 minute and 53 seconds, leading to an overall total population increase of one person every 1 minute and 13 seconds.
NSW's population sits at just over eight million, up 1.6% last year.
Victoria recorded the highest growth rate of all states and territories at 2.2%. The Northern Territory recorded the lowest growth rate at -0.4%.
Capital city growth accounted for 79% of Australia's total population growth. The capital city with the largest increase in population was Melbourne (119,400 people), followed by Sydney (up 93,400 to around 5.2 million) and Brisbane (50,100).
The fastest growing Sydney localities were around Riverstone, Marsden Park, Cobbitty, Leppington, Rouse Hill and Beaumont Hills.
Taking a look at dwelling approvals, which of course don't all get undertaken, Australia's new housing pipeline currently sits at a five-year low.
The rolling yearly total sits around 199,000, official figures show.
The peak was 232,000 approvals in 2015.
It hasn't been lower than 100,000 nationally since 2001.
There were 180,000 plus peaks in the mid-70s, late 80s, mid-90s, 2000 to 2004 and 2011.
It was running at around 70,000 in the 1950s. 
NSW's approvals peaked in 2017 at around 70,000.
Housing markets are not homogeneous across Australia’s states and territories, or even in neighbouring suburbs.
The relationships between housing markets and the broader demographic shifts are complex, although conventional wisdom does suggest house prices are primarily influenced by the factors headlined by interest rates, building activity and population growth.
When house prices move in an ‘abnormal’ way it is often because one or more of these drivers become distorted relative to their ‘normal’ settings.
This article was first published in the Saturday Telegraph.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Low interest rates alone don't explain house price boom – demographics are also key

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The national dwelling value increased for the first time in nearly two years, according to CoreLogic's Home Value Index for July.
Having seen 0.1 percent declines over June, values were up 0.1 percent over July.
The last time the national value index recorded gains was in September 2017 when values rose 0.3%.
July saw a continued bounce back in house prices in the two biggest capital city markets, Sydney and Melbourne.
Sydney's house value rose 0.2% over July, with unit values increasing 0.3%. Melbourne saw the same gains in houses but a 0.4% jump in unit values.
Only three of the eight capital cities recorded losses in dwelling values. Perth was the biggest hit, with 0.5% declines over July, driven by units which saw 1.1% declines.
Canberra had losses of 0.3%. Houses were down -0.3% and units 0.5%, while Adelaide also saw 0.3% dwelling declines, -0.8% in units and -0.3% in houses. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/8/1/CoreLogic%20July%20Index%20Results.jpg" alt="">
Corelogic head of research Tim Lawless says since peaking the national index is down 8.3%, but it seems to have found a floor.
“Our national dwelling value index may have found a floor in July, with dwelling values holding firm over the month following a consistent trend towards smaller month-on-month declines through the first half of the year," Lawless said.
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“The stabilisation in housing values is becoming more broadly based, with five of the eight capital cities recording a subtle rise in values over the month, while the regional areas of South Australia, Tasmania and Northern Territory also recorded a lift in housing values in July.” 
Lawless suggests a number of factors are supporting the turnaround in housing conditions, however lower mortgage rates, improved access to credit, a boost in housing market confidence post the federal election and recent tax cuts are likely the primary drivers.
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Other factors include improvements in housing affordability and a reduction in advertised supply levels. 
“All of which is creating a stronger selling position for vendors,” Lawless added.
Darwin saw the best gains over July, a 0.4% dwelling value increase driven by both houses (+0.4%) and units (+0.5%).
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Perth downturn continues, but Sydney and Melbourne carry on resurgence: CoreLogic

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Melbourne house prices are expected to significantly outperform units in the medium to long term, according to Moody's Analytics.
They forecast the Greater Melbourne area's house values to increase by a 1.3% in 2020 and make a large recovery of 6% in 2021, after a -10.8% decline in 2019. 
Moody's said the fall in values has been most pronounced in Melbourne’s inner suburbs, where house values have fallen as much as 21% from their peak
The decline of unit values across Greater Melbourne has been less pronounced than for detached houses.
Similar to the detached house market, however, unit values have also displayed tentative signs of improvement.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Melbourne%20Moodys%201.JPG" alt="">
House values in Melbourne-Inner East have edged up since April, while the pace of declines has slowed noticeably in Melbourne-Inner South and Melbourne-South East.
"Notably, dwelling fixed investment declined for the second straight quarter, with the fall in residential building approvals suggesting further weakness ahead," the report said.
"Indeed, housing finance commitments in Victoria, including those for construction of new dwellings continue to fall from year-ago levels.
"In 2019 Melbourne Inner East, Inner South and Outer East are expected to experience the largest declines, with home values forecast to fall by 13.9%, 14.9% and 12.7%, respectively."
By early 2020, house values across most of Greater Melbourne are forecast to experience a return to month-on-month growth.
Overall, Greater Melbourne house values are expected to tick up 1.3% in 2020, with Melbourne-Inner East and Melbourne-North East leading the recovery.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Melbourne%20Moodys%202.JPG" alt="">
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Melbourne house values to recover 7.3% in two years: Moody's Analytics

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
New home sales in May bounced back to their highest monthly level in over a year.
The HIA New Home Sales report – a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states – provides an early indication of trends in the residential building industry.
The pickup in sales during May follows lacklustre results throughout the first four months of 2019.
Federal Elections always impact market confidence and the discussion around new tax imposts on investors through an increase in Capital Gains Tax magnified this uncertainty in the first part of the year.
This month’s result confirms our expectation that the decline in building activity will start to level off in the second half of 2019 and stabilise at a level below the highs achieved back in 2017.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/2/New%20Home%20Sales%20June.JPG" alt="">
 
The resurgence in home sales was evident across all five states covered by the New Home Sales survey, suggesting a broad based improvement in housing market sentiment around the country. 
An easing of the credit squeeze, lower interest rates and an expectation that APRA will implement reforms to mortgage lending guidelines are also factors supporting the lift in sales activity.
The slow start to 2019 has seen intense competition amongst home builders. The lift in sales shows that more homebuyers are seeing opportunities in this competitive trading environment.
Income tax cuts, solid population growth and accelerating wage growth are necessary to ensure that the market does not decline further.
New home sales jumped in all four major states, up by 54.2 per cent in New South Wales, by 34.0 per cent in Western Australia, by 26.0 per cent in Queensland, by 25.3 per cent in Victoria and by 0.9 per cent in South Australia.
TIM REARDON is HIA’s Chief Economist
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New home sales bounced back: HIA's Tim Reardon

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EXPERT OBSERVER
After falling by 8.5 per cent in 2018 new home sales appear to have stabilised in the first quarter of 2019.
The HIA New Home Sales report – a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states – provides an early indication of trends in the residential building industry.
Given the rapid decline in new home sales throughout 2018, this moderation in the fall in new home sales suggests that the credit squeeze is easing as the market adjusts to the new lending norms,.
The credit squeeze impacted the market at a time when the natural housing cycle was already beginning to cool.
Banks reduced the amount of money they were willing to lend and the time it took to get a loan approved blew out. The market is now showing signs of adjusting to the new levels of lending.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/5/2/PNHS%20-%20AUS%20-%20HIA.JPG" alt="">
 
Three of the five mainland states experienced a significant increase in new homes sales on the previous month, reversing some of the declines experienced in 2018.
There is uncertainty surrounding the federal election, which typically subdues new home sales and approvals as investors and owner occupiers put decisions on hold until after the election.
The election result will rectify this uncertainty but the potential for higher taxes on housing means a post-election rebound in sales may not eventuate.
The HIA New Home Sales report for March shows that across the state’s New South Wales (4.8 per cent), South Australia (8.6 per cent) and Western Australia (2.3 per cent) all experienced an increase in new home sales compared to the previous month.
Queensland experience a decrease of 4.7 per cent and Victoria was down by 2.9 per cent on the month of February.
GEORDAN MURRAY is a Senior Economist for HIA
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New home sales show signs of stabilising: HIA's Geordan Murray

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The Sydney price recovery could be just one or two cash rate cuts away.
That's a real possibility based on the latest research of no-less, the Reserve Bank of Australia.
Their researchers found falling interest rates was the chief catalyst behind the huge surge in prices between 2012 and 2017.
“We find that low interest rates — partly reflecting lower world long-term rates — explain much of the rapid growth in housing prices and construction over the past few years," RBA economist Trent Saunders and RBA senior research manager Peter Tulip noted.
Their modelling of the Australian housing market sought to quantify the inter-relationships between prices, rents, construction and vacancies.
They found the building boom seen in recent years would not have been as pronounced were it not for the lower borrowing costs and higher prices prompting a supply response from developers.
Another demand factor, high immigration, helped explain the tight housing market and rapid growth in rents.
“The model estimates that the reduction in real interest rates (actual interest rates, less inflation) accounts for most of the boom in dwelling prices and a large part of the boom in dwelling investment,” said the researchers in their 35 page report.
It is not the official view of the board that sits in judgement on the first Tuesday of the month, but the insights are going to shape the timing and speed of any next move in the cash rate.
The speculation of the rate cut hit the mainstream in early this year when Shane Oliver, the chief economist at AMP Capital, raised the prospect.
Oliver noted home price weakness was at levels where the RBA started cutting rates in 2008 and 2011 and the 2015-16 property slowdown was also turned around by rate cuts in May and August 2016.
"Ongoing home price falls in Sydney and Melbourne will depress consumer spending as the wealth effect goes in reverse and so homeowners will be less inclined to allow their savings rate to decline," Oliver noted.
The RBA rate cut whisperer Bill Evans at Westpac chimed in last month expecting the Reserve Bank to cut the cash rate by 25bps in both August and November this year.
Evans noted headwinds for the housing market and activity were also apparent in developments around credit.
Evans noted there was less lending demand and supply, after concerns around falling prices and stretched affordability and lending supply being hit by new regulations and caution from some lenders in a falling market.
Evans anticipates unlike the response of the property markets in 2016 to two rate cuts that he does not expect that these two cuts will immediately stabilise housing markets.
Last week NAB's Alan Oster who said the RBA outlook for a further fall in unemployment to gradually lift wages and ultimately inflation is increasingly in doubt.
He therefore expects the RBA to provide some further support to the economy in the form of lower interest rates.
Oster anticipates in July and November. 
While the RBA research will contribute to the commentary, there's little risk that home prices will rise rapidly.
The introduction of tougher lending standards towards household expenses and outstanding debt held by individual borrowers ought make sure of this.
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The Sydney price recovery could be just one or two cash rate cuts away

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
Housing finance approvals posted a further decline in Jan, albeit a slightly milder one than in previous months for owner occupiers.
The total number of owner occupier loan approvals ex refi declined 1.2%mth, slightly better than the consensus forecasts of a 2% decline. As always, January housing data should be treated with caution due to the summer holiday disruptions. Approvals are still weak on a year ago, down 13.6%. Notably, what was initially an investor-led cycle is now seeing clear weakness in owner occupier activity – both the value and number of loans.
The value of investor loans ex refi posted a larger 4.1%mth fall, this component showing no real moderation, the decline in line with falls over the previous five monnths. The monthly value of loans to this segment is now down 28.6%yr.
The combined total value of housing finance approvals across both owner occupier and investor segments (and excluding refi) declined 2.1%mth to be down 20.6%yr.
Construction finance approvals fared a little better, dipping just 0.2% in the month but still down over 15%yr. Approvals for the purchase of newly built dwellings, including 'off the plan apartment sales' were down sharply though, –9.5%mth, –27.6%yr and a 4yr low.
By state the number of owner occupier approvals excl refi showed the biggest falls in NSW (–4.9%mth, –18.3%r) and Qld (–2.4%mth, –16.6%yr), with approvals down only 0.7%mth in WA and SA, and up slighly in Vic (+0.4%mth, –15.4%yr) and Tas (+2.4%mth, +10.6%yr), the latter the only state seeing gains on a year ago.
Overall, the January update was soft but not quite as soft as expected for owner occupier activity. However, given the less reliable nature of January housing data this is not enough evidence to signal a shift in the clear weakening trend over the second half of 2018.
Other more recent market indicators suggest weak conditions have extended into the new year. Auction clearance rates have been around the low 50s for Sydney and and high 40s for Melbourne. As noted in our recent <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/Article/37494">article</a>, both markets are seeing abnormally high pre-auction withdrawal rates at the moment.
Adjusting for this (and allowing for preliminary and seasonal bias), the latest weekly clearance rates are around 48% for Sydney and 46% for Melbourne. While low, these are somewhat improved from reads late last year which were in the 30s and low 40s respectively.
MATTHEW HASSAN is a Senior Economist for Westpac
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