New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.

It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.

With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.

The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.

Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.

"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.

"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.

Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.

That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.

"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.

"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."

Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.

"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=5374]

The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.

Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.

That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.

"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

Joel Robinson

The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.

The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.

The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.

The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.

Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.

"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.

"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."

<img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" />

Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.

Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.

Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.

"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.

"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."

Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.

Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.

Rainbow Bay apartment doubles in price since off the plan sale during pandemic

The long-planned transformation of Brisbane's historic Shafston Estate has taken another major step, with Capella Hotel Group announced as the luxury hospitality partner behind what will become Brisbane's first branded residences.

The project, to be known as Capella Residences Brisbane, is being delivered by Verso Projects at the landmark Kangaroo Point riverfront estate, with completion targeted for 2029.

The announcement follows a series of planning changes to the project over recent years. The site was originally approved in 2023 for a 15-level, 37-apartment development designed by Rothelowman for Burgundy Group before Verso Projects took over the 10,070 sqm riverfront holding and lodged revised plans with Kerry Hill Architects to increase the development to a 25-level tower with 51 apartments.

The latest announcement confirms Capella Hotel Group will bring its branded residential offering to the project, marking just the second Capella Residences development globally after Seoul, and the group's first branded residential project in Australia.

The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/23-castlebar-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Castlebar Street development</a> will centre around the restoration of the heritage-listed Shafston House, one of Brisbane's oldest residences, originally constructed in 1851 by Reverend Robert Creyke as a single-storey cottage known as Ravenscott.

<img alt="Capella" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2b9f4ce5-638f-4d6b-8082-3ca7e4b75fca" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-09%20at%207.20.41%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=f7aeqsW_DzOJI4FymWb3lD8NptSfsP7q" />

Capella said the project aligns with its focus on heritage-led developments, with the Brisbane estate combining the restored historic residence with a new luxury apartment tower and hospitality-inspired resident amenities.

Residents will have access to the Capella Living Room, a concierge-led communal space inspired by the group's luxury hotels, alongside landscaped gardens, six swimming pools, wellness and recreation facilities.

The broader estate will also include two riverfront homes, a six-berth private marina, porte cochère arrival experience, secure basement parking and a new section of public riverwalk along the Brisbane River frontage.

The heritage Postal Depot Building will also be retained and repurposed as a guest house, in line with the revised development plans.

The project represents another evolution for the site, which Kerry Hill Architects previously described as a rare opportunity to restore one of Brisbane's most significant heritage estates while creating a new benchmark for apartment living.

"The Shafston Estate provides a once-in-a-generation opportunity to restore one of Brisbane's finest heritage precincts and to reinstate residential use as a unique site perched on the edge of Kangaroo Point," Kerry Hill Architects said in its Urban Context Report accompanying the planning submission.

"The project will celebrate excellence in sub-tropical residential design, setting a new benchmark for vertical living in Brisbane."

Verso Projects, which now has an $8.5 billion development pipeline spanning more than 6,000 dwellings across apartments, townhouses, retail and commercial projects, said the partnership with Capella would elevate the development beyond a traditional residential project.

"We feel honoured to be restoring Shafston Estate to its former glory, elevating it to new heights of luxury and excellence underpinned by Capella's distinctive service ethos and design philosophy, and making it a standout landmark in Brisbane," Verso Projects CEO Steve Laffey said.

"By partnering with Capella, globally recognised for its refined approach to luxury hospitality and deep respect for cultural and historical context, we will elevate this project beyond a residential offering into a world-class destination."

Capella Hotel Group President Roland Fasel said Brisbane's emergence as a global city made it the right location for the company's Australian residential debut.

"Brisbane is a city on the cusp of something remarkable, and Capella Residences is our commitment to being part of that story," Fasel said.

"The Capella residential experience is more than luxury. It is about a sense of belonging to a place with deep meaning."

Private appointments have now opened for the project, with a display suite expected to open in late 2026 ahead of the planned 2029 completion.

Capella to launch Brisbane's first branded residences at Shafston House, Kangaroo Point

Lewis Land's latest apartment release within its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplan is targeting one of the Gold Coast's fastest-growing buyer groups, with almost a third of apartments at Solis priced below $1 million.

The seven-storey building at Biggera Waters will comprise 91 apartments, including 24 one-bedroom residences starting from $778,000, a price point Lewis Land says is aimed squarely at first home buyers struggling to enter the Gold Coast market.

<img alt="Harbour Shires" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e7486e37-22f6-4c92-b212-9b0622070b8f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-08%20at%209.09.34%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=W8MJwJUCf6HkIyl_EVSksnd.QI6MZryY" />

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/lewis-land-group">Lewis Land</a> Head of Development Michael Long said the developer deliberately allocated a significant proportion of the project to more affordable apartment types.

"First home buyers have been priced out of many parts of the Gold Coast, and we saw a clear opportunity to address this and play our part in a longer-term housing solution," Long said.

"That's why 24 of the 91 apartments being delivered at Solis have been designed and priced for the city's next generation of homeowners, quality one-bedroom apartments, half of which include an additional multipurpose room to maximise space and flexibility.

"This approach places 30 per cent of apartments in Solis under $1 million, and with close proximity to Harbour Town's future light rail extension connecting residents to the city's major employment and knowledge hubs, it's a win for buyers looking to secure their first property."

<img alt="Sores" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="550526d3-73ba-4710-9739-c5f4294a30ef" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-08%20at%209.09.29%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=cQQdXHt9wS0UXwZEm5Py5bH_3kAmzyhu" />

Designed by BDA Architecture, Solis will deliver a mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments, with residences ranging up to 232 sqm. Apartments feature generous balconies and contemporary finishes, while residents will have access to Harbour Shores' lagoon pool, clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga studio and sauna.

The focus on first home buyers resonated with purchaser Holly Humphreys, who said she and her boyfriend spent more than a year searching for their first property before shifting their attention from houses to apartments.

"We fell in love with the first house we bid on and got our hopes up, but after repeated knockbacks we learned not to get too attached," Humphreys said.

"We offered at the high end of price guides, but sales kept going even higher. That's where we really struggled and we needed to re-evaluate our budget and our expectations. Standalone houses were off the table, and we pivoted to apartments and townhouses."

Humphreys said it was encouraging to see developers recognising the growing demand from first home buyers.

"There's a growing number of young buyers looking to enter the market earlier because they understand that getting in now can make a real difference as prices continue to rise," she said.

"It's fantastic to see a developer recognise this and then actively take measures to deliver an apartment with us in mind."

Solis is the first development planned within the second stage of the Harbour Shores masterplan, with early works expected to commence in September 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]

Lewis Land targets first home buyers at latest Harbour Shores release, Solis

Luxury apartment developer Abadeen has recorded $19.25 million in apartment sales across two of its Lower North Shore developments in the lead-up to the end of the financial year, headlined by the sale of a $6.75 million penthouse at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/koyo-crows-nest-5-rodborough-avenue-crows-nest-nsw-2065">KOYO in Crows Nest.</a>

The transactions also included the sale of a newly completed three-bedroom apartment at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/park-residences-cremorne-2-sutherland-street-cremorne-nsw-2090">Park Residences in Cremorne</a> for $6.35 million, with the residence selling shortly after the project's first public inspections following completion.

The sales come as completed, owner-occupier-focused apartments continue to attract strong demand across Sydney's Lower North Shore, particularly from buyers looking for certainty and immediate occupancy.

The penthouse at KOYO spans 491 sqm across a single level and was designed by architect Koichi Takada. The development is one of Abadeen's flagship boutique projects in Crows Nest.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108800 project_image_fid=370093]

Abadeen Executive Chairman and Founder Justin Brown said buyer activity lifted noticeably in the lead-up to the end of the financial year.

"We saw a clear increase in enquiry levels, inspection numbers and buyer engagement across our completed projects leading into the end of the financial year," Brown said.

"Buyers have become far more decisive over the past six months. The combination of improving confidence, limited supply and the ability to physically inspect completed residences is creating strong competition for premium apartments in the best locations."

Brown says the&nbsp;response to Park Residences following completion has been particularly strong.

"Buyers want certainty and are responding positively to the opportunity to walk through a finished product, inspect the quality firsthand and move in immediately," Brown suggested.

"Projects such as Park Residences and KOYO demonstrate that when the product is exceptional and the location is irreplaceable, buyers are prepared to act quickly."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114246 project_image_fid=370116]

Abadeen CEO Joe Tack said quality continued to differentiate projects in the current market.

"Today's buyers are incredibly discerning," Tack said.

"They are seeking larger floorplans, premium finishes, walkability, lifestyle amenity and confidence in the developer delivering the project. Well-designed boutique developments continue to outperform because they offer something genuinely difficult to replace.

"The enquiry we are seeing across our completed and recently completed Lower North Shore portfolio is very encouraging, and we expect this momentum to continue into spring."

The sales follow increased enquiry across Abadeen's Lower North Shore portfolio which also includes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/northcote-collective-naremburn-2-northcote-street-naremburn-nsw-2065">Northcote Collective in Naremburn</a> which also completed recently.

KOYO penthouse headlines Abadeen's $19.25 million EOFY sales flurry

Melbourne

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The past 12 months mark one of the state’s strongest residential property markets we have seen in recent years. 
More homes went to auction than ever before with multiple records falling, including the highest number of auctions held in a single day, weekend and year. High transaction volumes, low interest rates and buyer and vendor confidence all contributed to strong capital growth. As the year draws to a close, it is timely to review the market in 2015 and the outlook for Victoria in 2016.
TRANSACTIONS &amp; AUCTION VOLUMES 
Transaction volumes in Victoria have been at their highest in five years with around 116,000 sales in the year to November 30. This is a 5% increase on last year when there were 110,400 transactions. 
In the year to November 30, around 40,000 auctions have been held with almost 30,000 homes selling under the hammer. Just over 37,000 of those auctions were held in Melbourne, compared to 2,500 in regional Victoria where private sales are more popular. 
The key to the 2015 market has been auction levels, which have hit an all-time high in recent months. In the last weekend in November, multiple national auction records fell including most auctions in a single day with 1,648 auctions held  - 22 more than the previous record which was set in October last year. November 2015 was also a record month for auctions with 5,669 auctions held – 259 more auctions than the previous record month (November 2014).  
MEDIAN PRICE GROWTH
Significant house price growth has been recorded in metropolitan Melbourne throughout 2015 with the median surpassing the $700,000 barrier for the first time ever in the September quarter. Growth has been widespread across the city, with price increases recorded in all three regions – inner, middle and outer. 
Growth has been consistent during the year. In the first quarter of 2015, the median house price topped $671,000, up from $664,500 in December 2014. Suburbs in the city’s south east experienced the highest growth in the first three months of the year with Mount Waverley, Bentleigh and Beaumaris all up more than 16% on 2014 figures. 
Solid price growth continued in the June quarter with metropolitan Melbourne’s median house price almost reaching $700,000, at $698,000. Melbourne’s eastern suburbs recorded the highest median house price growth in the quarter with Templestowe, Glen Waverley and Balwyn North all rising by at least 17%. 
The September quarter saw the city’s median house price rise 4.5% to a record high $729,500. Bayside suburbs Brighton, Dromana and Seaford topped the highest growth suburbs in the third quarter of the year, up more than 17 per cent on June quarter figures. 
House prices have also increased in regional Victoria over the year with the median house price hitting $347,000 in the three months to September 30. This was up from $341,000 in the first quarter of 2015. 
MILLION DOLLAR SUBURBS
Buyer demand in traditional million dollar suburbs has pushed up the median house price in neighbouring areas. As a result of the ripple effect, more of these suburbs have joined the million-dollar club this year. There were 61 suburbs valued at $1 million or more in the March quarter, and this has since increased to 87 in the September quarter. Toorak remains Melbourne’s most expensive suburb with a median house price of almost $4 million. This is followed by Canterbury and Balwyn with median house prices of $2,430,500 and $2,281,000 respectively.
LOOKING AHEAD
While clearance rates moderated slightly in November, they have still been strong given the record auction levels – and continuing high auction numbers to late 2015 indicates a high level of vendor confidence.
The mix of population increases, a robust economy and relatively low interest rates is likely to also encourage buyer interest moving forward.  
Across Melbourne, the market is likely to remain steady, with solid growth in a range of areas across the city. This growth is likely to be strongest in Melbourne’s inner and middle suburbs, which have seen strong buyer interest in recent months. 
While this growth may not be as strong as what has been experienced this year – with up to five per cent increases per quarter – a city-wide population upturn and low interest rates both signal consistent buyer demand in the first quarter, and into the second quarter, of the new year. 
‎Enzo Raimondo is chief executive officer of <a href="https://www.reiv.com.au" target="_blank">The Real Estate Institute of Victoria</a>.
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enzoraimond-7fvRFHPR52

Melbourne auction activity at all time high: REIV's Enzo Raimondo

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Most research sources have Melbourne leading on annual house price growth – and it’s not so surprising, when you look at the sales data.
The ABS, the Real Estate Institute of Australia and Domain all have Melbourne leading the nation for house price increases (although Hobart is challenging strongly).
Where’s Sydney in all this? CoreLogic continues to publish massive growth numbers for the Sydney house market, but those other three sources listed in the previous paragraph all record annual growth around 3 or 4 percent for the Sydney housing market.
Quite apart from the ludicrous proposition that you can reduce a metropolitan area with over 700 suburbs down to a single growth figure, this reinforces my view that all real estate statistics are rubbery figures to some degree.
When you have media constantly quoting one source (the one that reports massive annual growth) and then all those other sources which are suggesting Sydney’s price boom is over (but largely ignored by media), it’s difficult to know what to believe.
Here’s what I do know for certain: sales volumes gradually faded in Melbourne throughout 2016 but, late in the year and early in 2017, staged a revival. The city’s various markets are proving very resilient, no doubt boosted by nation-leading population growth and a state economy which, while not as strong as Sydney’s, is performing well.
My research shows that the busiest markets are split between the best of the Middle Melbourne areas and the strongest of the affordable outer-ring areas.
And the most affordable areas of metropolitan Melbourne have taken over as the city’s price-growth leaders. Many have delivered double-digit growth in their median house prices in the past 12 months.
As one example, all suburbs in the Sunshine precinct in Melbourne’s west are above 12%, including some which have grown 23-25% in the past year. Again, this data is presented with a reminder that all real estate figures are rubbery – but when all suburbs in an area are delivering the same strong growth pattern, you can be reasonably confident that something notable is happening.
Two Middle Melbourne precincts stand out: the Moreland LGA and the Whitehorse LGA. Both have numerous suburbs where sales activity is still growing.
These and other Middle Ring precincts had been fading gradually, in terms of sales activity, throughout 2016 but have come roaring back to life. Sales levels are still lower than the peaks of 2015, but remain very solid and prices continue to grow.
Typical growth areas in the Moreland LGA include Glenroy, where sales have been 113, 149, 143 and 165 in consecutive quarters. Other standout suburbs are Coburg, Coburg North, Hadfield, Pascoe Vale, Oak Park and Pascoe Vale South.
Whitehorse was the Melbourne market leader in 2015 before sales levels plateau-ed in most of its suburbs throughout 2016. But there has been a recent revival to stronger sales activity, led by Blackburn, Burwood East, Mitcham, Nunawading and Surrey Hills.
Four bottom-end markets are close behind in the terms of the number of growth markets: the LGAs of Brimbank (west), Whittlesea (far north), Casey (far south-east) and Hume (far north).
The far north of metropolitan Melbourne features strongly. The Whittlesea LGA (seven) and the Hume LGA (five) jointly have 12 suburbs with growing sales activity.
Whittlesea is consistently one of the city’s strongest markets, driven by affordability, strong infrastructure and proximity to jobs nodes. The suburb of Lalor, with sales rising from 64 to 101 to 117 to 121 in recent quarters, is typical. Nearby Epping has lifted quarterly sales from 110 to 135 to 145. 
Neighbouring Hume has similar qualities. The suburb of Craigieburn has recorded sales totalling 175, 228, 239 and 244 in the past four quarters.
The leading precinct in the far south-east is the City of Casey, which has five Rising Steadily suburbs, led by Cranbourne, Doveton and Narre Warren.
Other affordable outer-ring precincts with growth markets include Melton is the far west, Wyndham in the far south-west and Frankston in the far south-east.
Middle-ring areas travelling well, in addition to Whitehorse and Moreland, include the LGAs of Monash (Ashwood, Glen Waverley and Mulgrave), Maroondah (Croydon North, Ringwood and Ringwood East) and Banyule (Heidelberg Heights, Ivanhoe and Greensborough).
The worst performers in an otherwise strong Melbourne market are the inner-city apartment precincts.
I classify both the Melbourne CBD and Docklands as Danger markets. Sales levels have dropped markedly at a time of increasing apartment supply and growing state and federal measures likely to discourage foreign investors, who are the target of many of the inner-city high-rise projects.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can  <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=/'display:%20none;/'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting">Twitter.</a>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Melbourne's two dangerous residential markets

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Over the year to March 2017 Victoria delivered an impressive 66,085 new dwellings, 31,337 of which were attached dwellings of one sort or another.
Yet annual population growth has exploded to +146,600.
In short, you can basically forget any chance of an oversupply in Melbourne until population growth comes down from the stratosphere. 
It's not happening, and indeed Melbourne's vacancy rates appear to be approaching decade lows.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/07/13/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<div id="post-body-2953428177568349591" class="post-body entry-content">
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/07/13/A1.jpg" alt=""></div>
 <div>Different dynamics Annual population growth has ramped up in New South Wales too at +116,400.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But with 64,824 new dwellings delivered over the year this crude ratio has shifted favourably towards the supply side after ten years of relative under-building in Sydney.</div>
</div>
<div class="post-body entry-content"> </div>
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 <div>With some 82,836 dwellings under construction across New South Wales there's plenty more to come too, in spite of dwelling starts now finally having passed their peak. </div>
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<div>Despite being a more diverse state - as well as being home to traditional boom/bust markets such as the Gold Coast - Queensland has followed a similar pattern. </div>
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<div>The Sunshine State delivered 46,469 dwellings over the year through a period where population growth had slowed dramatically following the peak of resources construction boom in 2012. </div>
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<div>Although population growth has now picked up in Queensland and dwelling starts are apparently slowing to a crawl, it's clear that an oversupply of new dwellings is writ large.</div>
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<div>The number of dwellings under construction has been in decline since September 2016, with 37,624 dwelling units 'live' as at the end of the first quarter of 2017, and new starts have slowed dramatically, so the market is in the process correcting itself.  </div>
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<div>Notably, 28,391 of the dwellings under construction were of the attached variety, reflecting the super-boom in apartment construction up north. </div>
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<div>Of course these models aren't intended to be anything other than a crude dashboard, but are a simple display of the apartment oversupply that faces parts of inner city Brisbane. Finally, Western Australia saw the completion of 28,535 dwellings in 2016, yet population growth slowed sharply to 16,835, illustrating what can happen to population growth in an economic slowdown.</div>
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 Population growth appears to have bottomed out in WA in line with a number of other indicators, but there is now a clear oversupply of dwelling stock to be absorbed. </div>
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PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
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Forget any chance of an oversupply in Melbourne dwellings: Pete Wargent

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Nyko Property director Bill Nikolouzakis has attributed his company's 90% increase in sales in Melbourne in the 2014 financial year to buoyant property market conditions.
However, they sell through 228 intermediaries, with 73% in the financial services industry. This includes mortgage brokers, accountants and financial planners, with the other 27% being a mix of local and offshore estate agents.
“In particular, we had a very busy second half of the year (January-June) following the 46% increase in sales in the 2013 financial year, with demand from the SMSF sector playing a key role,” said Nikolouzakis.
Of their sales, 69% were made by the financial services sector. These were predominantly sales of townhouses and small apartment complexes in Melbourne’s suburbs.
The increase in demand from those selling property in the financial services is down to two points, he says.
This includes the financial services industry increasingly embracing direct property as an investment option, and SMSF trustees becoming more attracted to residential property.
A drop in SMSF investment, to 28% in 2014 financial year compared to 36% in the 2013 financial year, does not have impacted their overall positive views of the market.
“SMSF property investment is being driven by clients of accountancy and financial advisory firms and will continue to be a strong growth area for Nyko Property, despite the slight 8% drop in sales,” he said.
“While we might not see such a high increase in SMSF property investment as we did in 2013, we expect it to continue to be about 30% of our business,” he said.
“One in seven Australians invest in property so financial planners, accountants and mortgage brokers are starting to understand their SMSF clients are investing in property – with or without their advice.
“For those advisors who can value add for their clients by ensuring they are giving strategic advice both in terms of the property acquisition itself, as well as how it dovetails with the client’s investment portfolio, will benefit from growing investor interest in residential property,” he said.
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Financial services industry increasingly selling property, SMSFs playing a key role: Nyko Property

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Melbourne’s booming auction market, with a record 40,000 auctions last year, attracts headlines. But behind the scenes are the quiet achievers: private sales, actually the means by which most homes across Victoria, including in Melbourne, are sold.
While the number of auctions has grown, with vendors seeing the high prices obtained at auction by others and wanting that for their own home, more than 60 per cent of all sales in Melbourne last year were private sales. This resulted in close to 50,000 Melbourne homes being sold through private sale over the 12 months.
While auctions can be favourable to the seller, with the white heat of competition encouraging ever-higher bids and buyers to be highly assertive, private sales avoid that stress. They also allow a longer marketing period than an auction campaign, which is generally a month. 
Traditionally outer suburbs and regional areas, where homes can take longer to sell than in the highly competitive inner suburbs of Melbourne, have been the main centres of private sale activity. 
And last year was no different, with almost all of the top private sale suburbs in Melbourne’s outer region.
The trend has continued in 2015 – with the outer eastern, southern and western suburbs leading the way. Among those with the most private sales this year have been Frankston with 635, Pakenham with 620, Point Cook with 571 and Croydon with 470. Also on the top 10 list were: Mornington, Mooroolbark and Mount Martha.
The active property market in Mildura resulted in 560 private sales for that year, Victoria’s fifth highest total.
What may come as a surprise to some is the number of private sales in Melbourne city itself. In the city of Melbourne there were 717 private sales – a result of the large number of apartment private sales in Docklands and the CBD. Another top performer was the very large middle north suburb of Reservoir, which racked up the highest auction total for the year, and also had the eighth highest total private sales: 409.
While private sale levels are still extremely high, there has been a steady growth in auction levels statewide. So while in January and February last year just 12 per cent of all sales in outer suburbs were by auction, that had risen to 18 per cent in the first two months of this year. Areas with the largest increase in sales by auction included Rosebud, Craigieburn, Edithvale, Springvale and South Morang.
This reflects the value offered by outer suburbs, where population growth is leading to improved infrastructure including shopping centres such as the expanded centre in Craigieburn, transport hubs such as the station at South Morang to which the Epping line was extended, and recreation facilities.
Affordability is also a driver of outer suburban sales in 2015. Melbourne’s most affordable locations at present include Werribee, Hoppers Crossing, Carrum Downs, Wyndham Vale and Hampton Park.
While clearance rates – that is the percentage of properties at auction that sell – are a measure of the health of the auction market, days on the market are the comparable measure for private sales. All the suburbs in which properties sold fastest in February were in outer Melbourne – and, more specifically, outer eastern Melbourne. Top of the list was Croydon Hills with 17.5 days on the market, followed by Croydon South with 19 days and Montrose and Ringwood, both with 21.
Others on the list of the top 10 fastest selling areas were the Basin, Chirnside Park – the biggest improver compared with January, down by 2.5 days to 23, Mooroolbark, Yallambie, Scoresby and Kilsyth.
<a href="https://reiv.com.au/news-resources/latest-news/ceo-steps-down-after-16-years" target="_blank">Enzo Raimondo is the REIV Chief Executive Officer</a>
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Melbourne auction versus private treaty numbers: REIV's Enzo Raimondo

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At 6.00 pm on Saturday 11 October , the James Clearance Rate for Melbourne's $1 million plus property was 66% on the 32 auctions we covered.
Our overall summary of Melbourne's million dollar-plus auctions:
<ul>
<li>Ducks (auctions with no bidders): 18%</li>
<li>Lone Rangers (auctions with one bidder): 18%</li>
<li>Norms (auctions with two or three bidders): 36%</li>
<li>Volcanoes (four or more bidders at auction): 28%</li>
</ul>
Biggest auctions:
<ul>
<li>Camberwell, 73 Bowen Street (Paul Richards, Bekdon Richards), under hammer, $3,600,000, 6 bidders. <img src="/images/2014/10/16/Bowen-597x399.jpg" alt=""> Auction of the day: a huge crowd of more than 100 people at the auction of 73 Bowen Street. 
</li>
<li>Hawthorn, 74 Robinson Road (Scott Patterson, Kay &amp; Burton), under hammer, $2,820,000, 4 bidders, pictured below. <img src="/images/2014/10/16/hawthorn.jpg" alt=""> 
</li>
<li>Albert Park, 382 Montague Street (Kaine Lanyon, Marshall White), under hammer, $2,750,000, 3 bidders, pictured below. <img src="/images/2014/10/16/albertpark.jpg" alt=""> 382 Montague Street auction shown in main picture.
</li>
</ul>
Bidder buzz:
<ul>
<li>Malvern East, 28 Darling Road (Daniel Wheeler, Marshall White), under hammer, $1,391,000, 6 bidders</li>
<li>Glen Iris, 19 Ashburton Road (Andrew Gibbons, Marshall White), under hammer, $1,910,000, 5 bidders</li>
<li>Camberwell, 20 Killarra Avenue (Damien Davis, Jellis Craig), under hammer, $1,660,000, 5 bidders</li>
</ul>
Biggest Pass Ins:
<ul>
<li>East Melbourne, 81 Wellington Parade, passed in, $4,000,000, no bidders</li>
<li>Balwyn North, 48 Tuxen Street, passed in, $3,750,000, no bidders</li>
<li>Balwyn, 1 Monash Avenue, passed in, $2,775,000, 2 bidders</li>
</ul>
 This article continues on the next page. To read Mal James' market summary, click below. 
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
 
The post Grand Final market summary trifecta
<ol>
<li>
DEMAND It feels like there should be strong interest prior to the Melbourne Cup for good homes. We have a number of auctions we are bidding on in the next fortnight (but still some vacancies). Open for Inspections for good homes have been crowded and prior to the Grand Final, we have been consistently recording over 2.2 bidders per auction.</li>
<li>
VENDOR PRICING Many agents on the selling side are moaning about some vendors opinions on price. We have no issue with that – it's their home – it's a free country – but they are not selling. While we have bought four in the last week: <ul>
<li>A Toorak off-market apartment (Marcus Chiminello)</li>
<li>A Malvern East off-market home (John Manton)</li>
<li>A Brighton family home at auction (Regina Schmidt)</li>
<li>A South Melbourne apartment at auction (Gary Omrod)</li>
</ul>
We have also walked away from several negotiations where we have offered good money and got a reply we couldn't go near. I went through two on Saturday and walked straight out when told the price. I admire courage but a few sellers right now are into "hero" territory on asking price. <img src="/images/2014/10/16/Oct25-Super-Saturday-597x448.jpg" alt=""> Next Week is a Super Saturday and the week after, 25 October, is always expected to be a big one, but is now actually a huge one – as my feeble graph above attempts to show. 
</li>
<li>
SUPPLY Let's be happy as we are at the highest levels of good quality stock across all price levels, in almost all market segments since May 2010. And the quality spread is very good – I've been to a number of absolutely brilliantly built/renovated homes. Here are three I have rated but are currently not acting for a buying client on:
<ul>
<li>11 Malin St Kew (Greg Toogood). James Rating: 783/1000</li>
<li>3 Myamyn Avenue Armadale (Peter Bennison). James Rating: 801/1000</li>
<li>A $10m+ old classic in East Melbourne (Jeremy Fox). James Rating 800/1000</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
It's a little tighter by the Bay for the classics but there is plenty out there. So if you can't find something to tickle your fancy now, then you may have to revisit your fancy or your tickle – there is a lot of good property for sale right now.
 Mal writes weekly auction reports, advice and in-depth market analysis on his <a href="https://www.jamesbuyeradvocates.com.au/" target="_blank">website</a>.
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Melbourne's upmarket auction update: Plenty of good stock on offer

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There are 1,187 auctions scheduled this week in Melbourne compared to 1,172 for the same time last year.
The most auctions are expected in <a href="/news">Reservoir</a> with 24 expected followed by 23 in both <a href="/news">Bentleigh East</a> and <a href="/news">Glen Waverley</a>.
The clearance rate over the past few weeks has provided further confirmation that the market is healthy but not booming.
This is also obvious when the home values are both corrected for inflation and then compared to the previous peaks. At the end of September house values in Melbourne were 3% below their peak in real terms and units 5.4% lower. In many parts of Melbourne buyers have better purchasing power than they did in 2010.
Clearance rates may have dropped but the private sale market continues to tighten.
On a citywide basis, the time on market results for houses sold at private sale was stable at a very low 31 days over the last week and vendor discounting dropped to -4.7%.
Key data:
<ul>
<li>Clearance rate week ending 16 November: 68.9%</li>
<li>Melbourne auctions expected week ending 23 November: 1,187</li>
<li>Melbourne private sales time on market week ending 16 November: 31 days (houses)</li>
<li>Melbourne vendor discounting market week ending 16 November: -4.7% (houses)</li>
<li>Listings being prepared for market are 4.3% higher in month ending 16 November (seasonally adjusted)</li>
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Market healthy, but not booming: RP Data's weekend auction preview

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Investment decisions in property are often presented as choices between yield and capital gains. In Melbourne, there is a small selection of suburbs where both objectives can be met; they have above average capital gains and a yield higher than the citywide one.
As past performance is not a guarantee of future performance in the property market these are not suburbs investors should automatically buy into, rather it shows that with some astute property hunting strong investment outcomes may be found.
Over the past decade the compounding annual growth rate for a house in Melbourne was 5.77% and 5.16% for a unit. The gross rental yield over the last year for a house was 3.6% and 4.1% for a unit.
In the unit market there were 34 suburbs that recorded capital growth and with yields in excess of the citywide outcome, and five of those stood out. In the market for houses there were 33 suburbs.
The five standouts in the unit market, predominantly because of reasonable sales volumes providing opportunities for buyers, were <a href="/news">Ferntree Gully</a>, <a href="/news">Brunswick West</a>, <a href="/news">Chelsea</a>, <a href="/news">Mount Martha</a> and <a href="/news">Boronia</a>.
In the market for houses the five that stood out were <a href="/news">Bayswater</a>, <a href="/news">Altona North</a>, Boronia, <a href="/news">Collingwood</a> and <a href="/news">Mooroolbark</a>.
In it interesting to note that many suburbs in the outer eastern suburbs, around the base of Mount Dandenong, have recorded above average yields and capital gains over the past decade.
The other area of Melbourne that has multiple suburbs with good capital gains and yield is in the inner east.
Obviously the skill for an investor is not just finding the right suburb but the right property and that can take time and requires both research and a strong understanding of the local market.
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The Melbourne suburbs offering both yields and capital gains

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Melbourne is the No.1 capital city, still buoyant in contrast to Sydney’s steady decline. But South-East Queensland – the vast urban area including the Gold Coast, Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast – now has more growth suburbs than the Melbourne metropolitan area.
In simple terms, Melbourne has been strong for at least two years while many South-East Queensland markets are still quite early in their cycle. There are strong growth precincts right throughout this region, headed by Gold Coast City, but with Logan City, Moreton Bay Region and the Sunshine Coast Region all providing lots of rising markets.
According to our quarterly surveys of sales activity for The Price Predictor Index, the Gold Coast remains the clear national leader among the Local Government Areas of Australia. It has the most growth suburbs, by a wide margin, as has been the case in recent surveys. Among the standouts are some of the canal suburbs south of Surfers Paradise.
They include Burleigh Waters, where sales rates have risen from 85-90 per quarter 18 months ago to 140 more recently. Mermaid Waters has also shown a pattern of rising sales levels, while nearby Miami has increased sales from 56 to 69 to 81 to 87 to 95 in consecutive quarters.
The Moreton Bay Region in Brisbane’s north stands out as a market that has come from a long way back in the field to challenge Logan City as the No.1 market in Brisbane. If the pattern continues, Moreton Bay Region will be Brisbane’s market leader in the next quarterly survey.
Three suburbs in this LGA make our national top 30 list of growth suburbs – Morayfield, Deception Bay and Warner. Sales rates have doubled over the past two years in Morayfield, while sales in Warner over the past five quarters have been 57, 60, 75, 87 and 92. 
Logan City, which borders the Gold Coast to the south and Brisbane City to the north, led the revival of Brisbane markets in 2015 and continues to be the standout precinct (just ahead of Moreton Bay). It has more growth suburbs than any other Brisbane precinct, headed by Beenleigh, the LGA’s administration centre, where house sales have increased steadily over the past 18 months. Another standout suburb is affordable Shailer Park, where sales have increased steadily from 65 per quarter 18 months ago to 105 in the survey. 
Meanwhile, there are growing signs that Melbourne’s up-cycle is close to its peak. As in many growth markets, Melbourne’s cycle started in the near-CBD areas and over a couple of years has gradually rippled further out. During 2015 the leading precincts were mostly middle-market areas like the outstanding Whitehorse LGA (where some suburbs recorded 20%-plus growth in their median prices).
Now the outer-ring areas are rising to prominence, always a sign that the cycle has almost run its course. Among the Melbourne market leaders are the Casey LGA in the far south-east, the Brimbank LGA in the west and the Whittlesea LGA in the far north.
Growth is the Whittlesea LGA is headed by the suburb of Mill Park (median house price $480,000), where sales rates have been 87, 108, 109 and 140 in the past four quarters. Other growth suburbs in this precinct include Mernda, Wollert and Thomastown.
The LGA of Brimbank is an under-rated area in Melbourne’s west, centred on the suburb of Sunshine. This area has been stigmatised as downmarket in the past but its perception and market performance is improving on the back of good infrastructure and urban renewal developments. Deer Park is a standout suburb, with sales totaling 68, 97, 95, 100, 110 and 115 in the past six consecutive quarters.
That growth pattern is now being reflected in a steady rise in median prices.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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SEQ overtaking Melbourne in price growth prospects: Terry Ryder

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Price growth in the outer ring suburbs of Melbourne has been extraordinary in the past 12 months.
Most suburbs in local government areas (LGAs) like Wyndham, Hume, Whittlesea and Casey have recorded double-digit growth in the median house prices. Many have grown more than 20% and some have topped 30%.
The big price rises have come on the back on massive demand for homes from buyers of all sorts chasing affordability, against a background a strong Victorian economy and continuing high population growth. 
The strength of the growth in the outer-ring areas of Melbourne provides further evidence that proximity to the CBD is not an essential factor for buyers seeking capital growth.
Proximity to employment is a core factor but the reality is that most people work in suburban jobs nodes, not in the CBD (that’s true in all capital cities, including Melbourne).
In the City of Casey in the far south-east of the Melbourne metropolitan area, eight suburbs have each recorded over 330 house sales in the past 12 months. 
They include Narre Warren, Clyde North and Cranbourne North, which have each recorded more than 450 house sales, and Berwick where over 700 houses have been sold in the past year. 
Every suburb in the Casey LGA has had double-digit growth in median house prices. Cranbourne, Hallam, Cranbourne East, Hampton Park and Narre Warren have all had median price growth above 20%.
It’s been a similar scenario in the Whittlesea LGA in the far north of the Melbourne metro area. Four suburbs have had over 400 house sales each in the past year and five more have each sold between 225 and 300 houses. 
All the suburbs of Whittlesea have had double-digit growth in their median house prices, including four (Epping, Lalor, Mernda and South Morang) which have grown 20-25% and one (Thomastown) which has risen 33%.
The pattern is similar in the neighbouring Hume LGA. Broadmeadows, Greenvale, Meadow Heights and Roxburgh Park have each sold between 200 and 350 houses, while Craigieburn had made over 500 house sales. 
All the Hume suburbs have had double-digit growth in their median house prices, including six suburbs which have grown more than 20%. They include Jacana (up 26%), Gladstone Park (up 24%) and Broadmeadows (up 29%).
Most of the suburbs of the Melton LGA in the far north-west have each sold over 200 houses in the past year, led by Melton West (335) and Caroline Springs (343).
Every suburb has recorded at least 12% growth in median house prices, while Melton and Melton South are both up 27%.
But, in terms of turnover, the star market is Wyndham City in the south-west heading towards Geelong. 
The sales turnover is prolific in Hoppers Crossing (682 house sales), Wyndham Vale (436), Tarneit (684), Werribee (791) and in particular Point Cook (953).
All of the five suburbs mentioned have grown their median house prices at least 13% in the past year, led by Hoppers Crossing (up 21%) and Werribee (up 22%).
The important lesson is that downmarket, outer-ring areas do record strong price growth and that affordability is a prime driver of activity and prices. That’s especially so in places where the infrastructure is good.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
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