<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/shayher-group">Shayher Group</a> has secured approval for its major mixed-use development at 309 North Quay, paving the way for more than 1,100 apartments across two towers on the western edge of the Brisbane CBD.

The approval marks a significant step forward for the 6,436 sqm riverfront-adjacent site near the William Jolly Bridge, an area increasingly targeted for high-density residential development as Brisbane’s Roma Street precinct evolves into one of the city’s key transport and lifestyle hubs.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a>, the approved scheme will deliver <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/309-north-quay-brisbane-city-qld-4000">two towers</a> rising 56 and 51 storeys, incorporating a mix of one to four-bedroom apartments, branded residences, retail, and hospitality offerings.&nbsp;

The development has been designed as a two-stage project. The eastern tower will accommodate 611 residences, including branded residences and a rooftop sky restaurant, while the western tower will introduce a further 511 apartments.&nbsp;

Rather than treating the site as a standalone tower project, the proposal focuses heavily on the public realm and pedestrian connectivity, responding to the transformation underway around Roma Street Station and the Cross River Rail precinct.

<img alt="Shayher Group secures approval for dual-tower 1,100-apartment North Quay development in Brisbane CBD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c11aa631-aea6-499d-8728-683126f3fa52" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/240522_n11-2.jpg?VersionId=NeKLHwbYutfM7uPGlkyl5Gz92cHrbOPB" />

The towers will rise from a layered podium designed by Blight Rayner, featuring publicly accessible retail, landscaped terraces, and a cross-block pedestrian link connecting May Street to North Quay. The podium design incorporates what the project team describes as a “cliff garden,” with subtropical planting integrated throughout the built form from street level upward.

Plus Studio Director Danny Juric said the design approach sought to establish a stronger relationship between the site, the river edge, and the wider city renewal occurring around Roma Street.

“The design for North Quay by Shayher represents our most significant project in the Brisbane CBD to date,” Juric said.

“Our design proposes two distinctive towers that aim to serve as an organic gateway to the city, framing views to the river, Mount Coot-tha and Roma Street.”&nbsp;

The architecture adopts slender tower forms with faceted glazing and articulated façades intended to respond to Brisbane’s subtropical climate, while also reducing wind impacts at height and maximising river and city views.

<img alt="Shayher Group secures approval for dual-tower 1,100-apartment North Quay development in Brisbane CBD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ea686017-3f17-44e1-8d10-9659b6f6f306" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/09_2025_five-dock-comms-plan.jpg?VersionId=LNvkRBrj2irHReA8cpx_COJ4KOIZHCm." />

According to planning documents prepared by Urbis, the project has been positioned to support Brisbane City Council’s broader inner-city intensification strategy and the ongoing renewal of the Roma Street precinct.

The location places future residents within walking distance of Roma Street Station, the future Brisbane Metro interchange, and the city’s expanding pedestrian and cycling network. The site also connects directly to major road corridors including Coronation Drive and the Inner City Bypass.&nbsp;

The approval adds to Shayher Group’s growing Queensland development pipeline, which also includes the redevelopment of the former Bulimba Barracks site in Brisbane’s inner east.

Joel Robinson

First look: Shayher Group secures approval for dual-tower, 1,100-apartment North Quay development in Brisbane CBD

A full-scale Sky Homes prototype apartment for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/zeste-at-the-orchards-norwest-104-fairway-drive-norwest-nsw-2153">Zeste</a> has been opened by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a>, offering buyers a look at the final residential release within The Orchards masterplan in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/norwest-nsw-2153">Norwest</a>.

The prototype launch coincides with buyer demand for larger apartment living continuing across Sydney’s Hills District.

David Lee, Sales Manager, Apartment &amp; Mixed-Use Developments at Sekisui House Australia said it was evident from the preceding four stages at The Orchards that a large number of buyers were local owner occupiers or downsizers specifically looking for oversized apartments with additional living spaces.

“The majority of buyers prefer to touch, feel and physically sight a full-scale completed apartment, rather than imagining the living spaces from floor plans," Lee says.

"The prototype apartment provides greater clarity and buyer confidence. We expect this will increase sales momentum for Zeste and the Sky Homes in particular.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150510 project_image_fid=351878]

Positioned within Stage 5’s Zeste project, the Sky Homes form part of the final opportunity to purchase within the award-winning master-planned community, which will ultimately deliver approximately 1,300 apartments.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>, Zeste comprises two residential buildings, Essence and Eden, providing 209 apartments surrounded by extensive landscaping, resort-style amenities and community spaces.

Ben Pomroy, Principal at Rothelowman said Zeste explores a reinvention of the traditional house, in the orchard, synthesising the nostalgic story of the orchard homestead of yesteryear with a contemporary aesthetic inspired by the landscape.

“Natural light and ventilation are key to the design, contributing to a higher quality of life at the human scale. Across all Rothelowman projects, our ethos of ‘a generous eye for life’ drives our consideration of the human experience as the central point of focus of our design process.”

Pomroy says a&nbsp;notable design element is the cathedral glass light boxes incorporated in the joinery, inspired by the idea of wandering the orchard homestead with a lantern in hand, something familiar and nostalgic.

"We took this narrative and gave it a contemporary twist that is both beautiful and functional, creating unique features that unify the kitchen and bathrooms design.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150510 project_image_fid=351874]

In addition to the two residential buildings, Zeste comprises a single-story community amenity pavilion nestled in the landscape between Essence and Eden.

“The communal pavilion is a distinctive feature designed to foster a deep sense of community, with nature at its heart," Pomroy added.

"Whether it is watching the football grand final or hosting a family BBQ, the pavilion is designed as a place where residents can create memorable moments with friends, family and neighbours.

Since launching Essence, the first building within Zeste, buyer demand has remained strong with more than 30 per cent of residences already sold. Sky Homes have accounted for nearly 40 per cent of all sales achieved since launch.

“Purchasers are responding positively to the oversized layouts, diverse apartment configurations and the vast range of community facilities that will be available at completion,”David Lee noted.

Zeste Sky Homes represent approximately 35 per cent of the entire Stage 5 offering and are available across both Essence and the yet-to-launch Eden building. Prices for the Sky Homes range from $1,135,000 with one car space through to $1,500,000 for two car spaces.

Apartments across the broader Zeste release start from approximately $715,000, with generous floorplans ranging from 59 to 144sqm. Select residences also feature integrated ‘Max’ spaces, designed to function as flexible areas for home offices, children’s playrooms or additional storage.

Zeste also continues Sekisui House Australia’s sustainability partnership with Altogether Group, delivering integrated water, power and data services alongside passive design initiatives including cross-ventilation, landscaping and water features.

Early purchasers are currently able to access a selection of premium upgrade options, with VIP buyers receiving one complimentary upgrade package. A 2.5 per cent deposit is available for a short time.

Sekisui recently commenced its pre-construction phase. They are expecting an early 2028 completion of Zeste.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150510]

Zeste Sky Homes prototype opens as buyer demand surges for oversized apartment living

Having recently announced its entry into the booming Gold Coast new apartment market with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aere-chevron-island-18-20-mawarra-street-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Aere Chevron Island</a>, developer Martello™ is offering generous stamp duty savings for buyers before June 30.

Martello™ says the incentive creates a more accessible entry into premium apartment living.

"While incentives in property are nothing new, today’s stamp duty contributions arrive at a particularly important moment," the developer says.

"Buyers are not only seeking quality homes and strong locations; they are also looking for smarter financial entry points. Reducing or offsetting stamp duty can represent tens of thousands of dollars in savings - funds that can instead be directed toward furnishing a home, reducing mortgage pressure, or simply providing peace of mind during the transition into ownership."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=143932 project_image_fid=367517]

Aere is one of the more boutique new developments on Chevron Island, with just 33 apartments across 18 storeys on Mawarra Street

The developer has placed a strong emphasis on wellness, briefing architecture firm Raunik Design to embed this philosophy into the project.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/martello">Martello™</a>&nbsp;has positioned Aere as a continuation of its human-centric development approach, with a focus extending beyond amenity to the fundamentals of layout, natural light, and spatial planning.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=143932 project_image_fid=368446]

To bring a heightened level of confidence to the project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/martello">Martello™</a>&nbsp;has already appointed Promax Construction to build the tower. They are expected to start construction in the coming months.

Martello™ says that in any market cycle, confidence matters.

"Buyers who may have been waiting on the sidelines are now reassessing their timing as developers and vendors introduce meaningful incentives designed to support decision-making. For owner-occupiers, it creates an opportunity to secure a premium residence with reduced upfront costs. For investors, it can improve the overall acquisition equation at a time when rental demand remains exceptionally strong across many key markets."

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=143932 project_image_fid=367507]

Aere offers a mix of two-, three-, and four-bedroom apartments, the latter of which occupy half a flor. These layouts prioritise separation between living and sleeping zones, along with increased privacy and storage, features more commonly associated with detached housing than traditional apartment product.

Aere’s private resident amenity spaces centre on wellness. A rooftop level will incorporate a heated swimming pool, sauna and spa, alongside a residents’ lounge, dining areas and barbecue spaces, while additional shared facilities throughout the building include a gym and yoga area.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=143932 project_image_fid=367515]

&nbsp;

"What we are seeing now is a market that rewards readiness," Martello added.

"Buyers who are informed, financially prepared, and willing to act decisively are finding opportunities that may not exist once conditions shift again. Incentives such as stamp duty contributions are typically limited in duration and allocation, particularly within tightly held developments where demand remains high.

&nbsp;

Offer available on selected residences at Aere Chevron Island only. Stamp duty contribution provided by the developer at settlement and cannot be exchanged for cash or combined with any other offer unless approved by the developer. Offer valid for contracts signed on or before 30 June 2026. The developer reserves the right to amend or withdraw the offer at any time without notice. Terms and conditions apply.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=143932]

Martello™ offers limited time stamp duty concessions at Aere Chevron Island

New development specialists Lachlan Cottee and Ben Dalgleish have unveiled their new development firm, Dalcott, following several successful projects delivered under the Pyco banner across the region.

Pyco is currently delivering Atelier in nearby West End, Nouveau in Albion, and Onde at Kirra, its debut Gold Coast apartment development in the booming Kirra Beach precinct.

Its first plans under the new Dalcott banner are in South Brisbane, which has been Brisbane’s most enquired-on suburb so far in 2026, while neighbouring West End has also continued to record strong demand.

The developer already has approval for an 11-storey building with 65 apartments on Browning Street, however has recently acquired the adjoining 910 sqm site at the rear, creating a combined 2,746 sqm footprint that will now allow for two 11-storey buildings with 92 large-scale apartments, a configuration Cottee and Dalgleish have focused on across their local portfolio.

The project, known as <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marrone-south-brisbane-39-browning-street-south-brisbane-qld-4101">Marrone</a>, will comprise 84 three-bedroom apartments, 16 of which will include an additional multipurpose room, and just eight two-bedroom residences.

DAH Architecture has led the design of Marrone, which will include more than 330 sqm of communal open space and rooftop recreation areas.

<img alt="Marrone" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7eeea1a0-be23-47c8-80fb-3409428241fd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-21%20at%209.36.38%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=pZW7o.tB7oJovYCRIFSxrZbMr6QdpHy." />

Cottee told Apartments.com.au the project reflects a gap in Brisbane’s apartment market.

"It is an area we know well with Atelier, another development which focuses on large apartments, less than 300 metres away," Cottee says.

"There's limited supply of large-scale apartments of this size in a single building in Brisbane. The majority of apartments in this category are in considerably smaller buildings, on the water, and are only really accessible to the deepest of pockets.

"Marrone will offer the same size and scale, but with greater amenity and at a much more realistic price point for the market."

The architectural approach reflects the continued evolution of South Brisbane’s higher-density residential character. Renders show a heavily landscaped façade composition with curved balconies, textured brickwork, deep recesses, and integrated planting aimed at softening the scale of the twin towers.

The revised proposal builds on the design narrative established in the original scheme. In the earlier submission, Gatehouse Architects described the project as a continuation of Browning Street’s long-term urban transformation.

“The proposal echoes the spirit of early developments like Watson Terrace (built in 1888), by contributing to the growth and diversification of the local population,” the original design statement noted.

“Just as Watson Terrace played a role in the area’s early gentrification, this development continues that trajectory, delivering contemporary housing that addresses the evolving needs of South Brisbane’s expanding community.”

The updated proposal, designed by DAH Architecture, spans a 2,746 sqm corner site with frontages to Browning and O’Connell Streets. The development will comprise two 11-storey residential buildings delivering 92 apartments, replacing the previously proposed 65-unit scheme.

The apartment mix has shifted further toward larger owner-occupier residences, continuing Dalcott’s established strategy across South East Queensland. The plans include 68 three-bedroom apartments, 16 three-bedroom apartments with multipurpose rooms, and eight two-bedroom residences. Two basement levels will provide 142 car spaces, alongside bicycle parking for 115 bikes.

The larger Marrone proposal arrives amid sustained redevelopment momentum across South Brisbane and the wider Kurilpa precinct, where developers are increasingly targeting owner-occupiers seeking larger apartments close to the CBD, cultural precincts, and riverfront amenity.

The site sits within walking distance of South Bank, the Queensland Performing Arts Centre, Brisbane State High School, and several major transport connections, while nearby Fish Lane and West End continue to drive demand for higher-end inner-city apartments.

Cottee is expecting Marrone to launch around August with Realm Projects.

Exclusive: Dalcott doubles down on South Brisbane with twin-tower Marrone plans

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<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/doma-group">DOMA Group</a> has unveiled plans for Newcastle Quay, a major waterfront precinct set to reshape Newcastle’s harbourfront and further cement the city’s evolution into one of Australia’s fastest-growing urban destinations.

Positioned on a prominent site within the Honeysuckle Precinct, Newcastle Quay will span both sides of Honeysuckle Drive, connecting directly to the Foreshore Promenade and sitting within walking distance of Newcastle Interchange.

The mixed-use precinct is planned to include around 1,000 apartments, more than 28,000 sqm of commercial office space, 6,000 sqm of retail, and a 180-room hotel anchored by a 500-seat conference and exhibition centre, a move expected to significantly lift Newcastle’s ability to attract major business and tourism events.
</section>

<img alt="DOMA Group unveil Newcastle’s future with transformative Newcastle Quay Precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0642ca09-67cc-4920-8a7e-d18df9729b4e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/%3D.png?VersionId=CnDmZxQnOV5LN0ePu7jaFBXC9tPGTrWm" />

The proposal builds on DOMA’s growing Newcastle pipeline, where the developer has already delivered 866 apartments and more than 19,000 sqm of commercial and retail space since entering the market in 2013. A further $2 billion pipeline is also in the works across the city.

The masterplan and executive architecture are led by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a>, with building concepts developed alongside Stewart Architecture, Architecture AND and Curious Practice, and landscape design by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/turf-design">Turf Design Studio</a>. More than 11,000 sqm of open space is planned, including a new waterfront park known as Honeysuckle Green, upgrades to Tree of Knowledge Park, and new pedestrian and cycling links throughout the precinct.

At the centre of the development will be the heritage-listed Wickham School of Arts, which DOMA plans to reposition as the civic and cultural heart of the precinct through restaurants, bars, events and public gathering spaces.

The broader vision is to create a genuine day-to-night precinct, blending residential, hospitality, retail, commercial and cultural uses in a way Newcastle has yet to experience at this scale.

<img alt="DOMA" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="16e5478e-40a1-4aae-bad0-520cf226eb24" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-22%20at%209.20.45%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Zs7UFgzGYEbDefCBsqI6W507xnyyiGlm" />

DOMA Group Managing Director Jure Domazet said the aim was to create a precinct that becomes synonymous with Newcastle itself.

“Our vision is to create a precinct that not only delivers high-quality commercial, residential, and cultural spaces, but also defines Newcastle’s waterfront for generations to come,” Domazet said.

DOMA’s Chris Farrington said the project would fundamentally change how Newcastle is perceived nationally.

“Newcastle Quay is more than a waterfront precinct, it is a national announcement for this city,” Farrington said.

“A world-class Conference and Exhibition Centre will open Newcastle and the Hunter Region to a national and international audience for the first time, delivering something this city has long deserved.”

The project is expected to generate more than 4,000 full-time equivalent jobs and act as a major economic driver for the Hunter region through tourism, business events, hospitality and commercial investment.

Minister for Planning and Public Spaces Paul Scully said the final parcel of harbourfront land will be a "true mixed-use precinct destination that includes housing, hospitality and entertainment, commercial spaces, retail, economic and social outcomes."

DOMA Group unveils 1,000-apartment Newcastle Quay precinct

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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A preliminary auction clearance rate of 78.0% was recorded across the combined capital cities this week having increased from 77.3% last week. There were 1,777 auction results reported this week with a total of 2,205 scheduled auctions showing that auction volumes have remained virtually unchanged when compared to the previous week (2,268). In comparison, over the same week last year 66.6% of the 1,991 homes taken to auction sold.
<a href="/images/2015/06/29/shana1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
 <img src="/images/2015/06/29/shana1.jpg" alt="" width="820" height="620">
The preliminary auction clearance rate across Melbourne was 78.5% this week, down from the previous weeks final result of 79.3% and stronger than at the same time last year (68.3%). So far this year, Melbourne’s weekly auction clearance rate has been, on average, 10.6 per cent higher than over the comparable week one year ago. Across Melbourne’s individual sub-regions, the strongest preliminary clearance rate this week was across the North East region at 85.8%, followed closely by the Inner East region where the preliminary clearance rate was 85%.
 
<img src="/images/2015/06/29/20150628-Melbourne.jpg" alt="" width="796" height="539">
There were 887 Sydney homes taken to auction this week and a preliminary clearance rate of 83.5% across 747 results. Over the previous week, the final auction clearance rate was 82.4% with 862 auctions held across the city. At the same time last year, 71.1% of the 861 homes taken to auction recorded a successful result. This week, the strongest sub-region performance across Sydney’s sub-regions was the Ryde region, with 90.6% of the reported results clearing at auction.
<img src="/images/2015/06/29/20150628-Sydney.jpg" alt="" width="811" height="556">
Brisbane’s preliminary clearance rate was 51.1% this week, compared to 52.2% last week and 42.2% at the same time last year. Across Brisbane, a total of 140 auctions were held this week which is higher than last week (128), but lower than at the same time last year (153).
<img src="/images/2015/06/29/20150628-Brisbane.jpg" alt="" width="801" height="539">
 
Adelaide hosted 81 auctions this week and across the 48 reported results, CoreLogic RP Data’s preliminary auction clearance rate is 70.8%. Last week, Adelaide’s clearance rate was 63.5% across 83 auctions in the city, while at the same time last year 62.7% of the 79 homes taken to auction were sold.
<img src="/images/2015/06/29/20150628-Adelaide.jpg" alt="" width="844" height="566">
For Perth, the number of homes taken to auction this week was 29, less than last week (47) and last year (39). Meanwhile, Perth’s clearance rate of 57.1% this week was higher than last week (38.9%) and last year (50.0%.
Across Canberra 72 homes were taken to auction this week and the preliminary clearance rate across 32 auctions was 81.3 per cent.
There were 22 auctions across Tasmania this week, with 10 successful results out of the 20 reported.
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smiller-vwPjRHTkST

National auction clearance rate rises: CoreLogic RP Data's Shana Miller

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The Australian property markets find themselves in an unprecedented quandary with record low cash rates that have driven investment property prices in Sydney and Melbourne to record levels. The problem as I see it is that it is highly unlikely that such dizzy heights can be maintained, so that said one can assume that prices should start plateauing. 
The problem with that scenario is that given the present market conditions this is highly unlikely as property investors are only interested in Sydney and Melbourne real estate.
The owner occupier property market is much slower with stock levels at all-time lows which can be attributed to the fact that businesses are no longer paying cash bonuses preferring to reward staff with shares. What this has done is take billions of dollars from the owner occupier property markets which explains in principle why the owner occupier markets are so slow.
Nobody can really explain why property investors are only interested in Melbourne and Sydney especially when Australia is experiencing an unprecedented population explosion. This becomes even more confusing when we hear that Australia’s east coast is the destination expected to feel the full brunt of this population explosion.
This year I have been in dialogue with Richardson &amp; Wrench Projects where I have attended some information seminars to learn more about this fascinating investor market. The problem with real estate agents is that our knowledge is always contained within a particular postcode, hence a reluctance to look outside our comfort zone which is the very same mindset as property investors.
So the first question I wanted to know was where are the next best areas to invest outside Sydney and Melbourne, that are more much affordable with strong capital growth, excellent rental returns and with strong depreciation allowances. My question was answered immediately with two areas – Newcastle and Brisbane – well, that makes sense as they are both on the east coast with strong population forecasts.
With that in mind it was off to Brisbane to have a look around and see just why Brisbane is considered the next area to chase property investor returns. The first thing you notice is their road infrastructure is superior to Sydney’s with nowhere near the traffic congestion. Just like what we are now seeing with NSW where government is now on a record infrastructure spend, although in NSW we keep adding a new lane to infrastructure that was only constructed ten years ago. The government has allocated a further 120 billion dollars for infrastructure over the next three decades.
A new international airport and the big star attraction is the new Las Vegas style $4.000 billion casino – in many instances the South Bank area (which is the area I liked the most) reminded me of what’s happening at Barangaroo on Sydney Harbor. Although at a fraction of the price.
One of the most interesting points that really resonated with me was that the Richardson &amp; Wrench Projects team told me that they actually reject 90 per cent of projects that fail their strict criteria – which was evidenced in their project investment reports which are about sixty pages of research data. Investors in Sydney and Melbourne usually get a one or two page report if they are lucky which always have the usual disclaimers.
So what happens to the ninety per cent of developments that were rejected was my next question? Well, they lure those unsuspecting property investors and stitch them up which explains why property investors stick to the areas that sit well within their comfort zones – even though they know they are paying top dollar.
Australians love investing in property which explains why so much is written about bubbles, crashes and fear factor frenzies. So if you are contemplating stepping out of your comfort zone and looking for an investment area to watch closely we would recommend Brisbane – it’s a very interesting exercise especially for those who insist that you only invest in Sydney and Melbourne. I am the first to admit that this week’s visit to Brisbane has completely changed my property investment train of thought.
It’s important to note that Australia is changing (so must our perceptions) with the latest Bureau of Statistics projections now have Melbourne as Australia’s biggest growing city. Melbourne is tracking to become the country’s biggest city in 2056 and has also overtaken Western Australia to now be Australia’s fastest growing state.
MOSMAN – 2088
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 74
• Number of houses on the market last week – 46
• Number of houses on the market this week – 43
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 57
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 43
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 39
CREMORNE – 2090
Number of houses on the market this time last year – 11
• Number of houses on the market last week – 6
• Number of houses on the market this week – 4
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year –11
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 8
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 12
NEUTRAL BAY – 2089
* Number of houses on the market this time last year – 3
• Number of houses on the market last week – 2
•Number of houses on the market this week – 2
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 42
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 30
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 39
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985.  He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000.
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Searching for the next investor hot spots? Robert Simeon

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reiwa.com’s latest preliminary data shows Perth's residential vacancy rate has risen to 4.9 per cent in the past three months to May as the number of properties for lease increased.  This is the highest vacancy rate in six years, after it reached 4.8 per cent in the September quarter of 2009.  There are now 8,147 homes available for tenants, up by almost 600 over the last month. 
Top Suburbs - Available Rentals
Perth 236
East Perth 225
Baldivis 176
Scarborough 167
REIWA President David Airey said the slowdown in Western Australia’s population growth rate had created the oversupply, along with a significant newly constructed dwellings coming to completion.  “The competition among property owners is having an effect on price, with the metropolitan median rent dropping by five dollars on the March quarter to $425 per week, which represents a cut of $25 on the same time last year,” Mr Airey said.  Perth’s median rent peaked at $475 per week in the middle of 2013, but has since fallen by $50, or around 10 per cent, across the board.  “The long term equilibrium for Perth’s vacancy rate is three per cent, so the current situation means there is over 50 per cent more properties on the market than is usual,” Mr Airey said. 
The City of Belmont saw the biggest individual drop, with its local rental median falling from $450 per week to $425 per week between April and May. 
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Perth's highest residential landlord vacancy rate since 2009

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The Eagle Ridge Golf Course, at 215 Browns Road, Boneo at the entrance to the Mornington Peninsula has been listed for sale.
The 45 hectare property is set about one hour from Melbourne. Two holes in one were scored just last month.
Eagle Ridge Golf Course began as the smaller Carlogie Golf Course until March 1988 when an additional parcel of land was purchased, earthworks commenced and a new Kevin Hartley designed championship course was opened in 1989.
Kevin Hartley was the Australian amateur golf champion of 1958 and runner up to Bruce Devlin in the 1959 Australian Amateur.
He captained the Victorian state team thirteen times, was the leading amateur at three Australian Opens and represented Australia many times, including winning the 1966 Eisenhower Cup team in Mexico.
Hartley based his design vision on Eagle Ridge becoming “the Royal Melbourne of the Mornington Peninsula”.
<div title="Page 1">The ownership of Eagle Ridge transferred to the Russo family in 1995 and, in 1999 Pacific Coast Design was commissioned to design a master plan for course improvements and the new clubhouse opened in 2000. The late Nick Russo was passionate about the business ensuring construction of the functions venue.</div>
Under the management of the golf course superintendent Scott Balloch, the course master plan was completed about 10 years ago.
In 2007 Eagle Ridge closed for a summer to change all fairways to Santa-Ana couch – a more drought tolerant grass with a 45% reduction in water consumption since re-opening.
<div><img src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CETLYqfW8AAYWS6.jpg" alt="Embedded image permalink" width="640" height="640"></div>
<a href="https://cbre.realcommercial.com.au/property-hotel+leisure-vic-boneo-501537999" target="_blank">CBRE</a> has the listing.
 
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Eagle Ridge Golf Course, Boneo listed for sale on Mornington Peninsula

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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released demographic data for the December 2014 quarter yesterday. The data highlighted a continuing slowdown in the rate of national population growth, with the quarterly increase now lower than slump in population growth recorded during the GFC. In particular the mining states and territories are recording the biggest slowdown in population growth fueled by a slowdown in both interstate and overseas migration.
<a href="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-13.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-13.jpg" alt="">
 
The data showed that throughout 2014 Australia added another 330,202 persons.  Although this is still a relatively high rate of population growth, it is the lowest annual increase in population since the population increased by 327,637 persons over the 12 months to September 2011.  Over the final quarter of the year the national population increased by 64,010 persons which was its lowest quarterly increase since June 2006 (52,834).
<a href="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-23.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-23.jpg" alt="">
 
At a national level population growth is comprised of overseas migration (arrivals minus departures) and natural increase (births minus deaths), any interstate migration is neutral at a national level.  Over the past year, the country experienced a natural increase of 146,067 persons and net overseas migration of 184,135 persons.  The rate of annual natural increase is at its lowest level since December 2006 (139,793) and annual net overseas migration is at its lowest level since June 2011 (180,372).  On a quarterly basis, natural increase was recorded at 36,517 persons (its lowest level since December 2006) and net overseas migration was recorded at 46,034 persons (its lowest level since June 2011).
<a href="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-33.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-33.jpg" alt="">
With the national population increasing by 330,202 persons over the past year, the majority of population growth has taken place in the largest states.  NSW (31.2%) and Vic (30.7%) accounted for a combined 61.9% of national population growth.  If you add Qld (19.4%) and WA (12.1%) the four largest states accounted for 93.5% of national population growth over the year.
As far as the rate of population growth goes, for the first time since September 2006 WA is no longer the state with the most rapid rate of population growth with Vic taking over the mantle. Vic’s population increased by 1.8% over the year followed by: WA (1.6%), NSW and Qld (both 1.4%), ACT (1.1%), SA (0.9%), NT (0.4%) and Tas (0.3%).  Qld, WA and NT in particular are seeing the impact of the mining downturn with fewer workers required in these states as the pipeline of major infrastructure projects winds down translating into slower population growth. Two years ago these states were recording annual population growth of 2.0% in Qld, 3.7% in WA and 2.8% in NT.
<a href="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-42.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-42.jpg" alt="">
Net overseas migration has been slowing at a national level and as the above chart shows, all states are experiencing a fall in net overseas migration.  The full brunt of the slowdown in net overseas migration is once again being felt by the resource states.  Annual net overseas migration is -30.9% lower in Qld, -47.6% lower in WA and -56.0% lower in NT.  All other states except for NSW (+1.9%) and ACT (+4.1%) have recorded a fall in net overseas migration over the year, but nowhere near the extent of the mining states and territories.  The declines in these states were recorded at -4.2% in Vic, -9.0% in SA and -2.9% in Tas.  The data also highlights that overseas migrants have a clear preference to settle in the larger states.  Over the past year, 37.9% of net migration occurred in NSW with a further 30.4% in Vic, 13.2% in Qld and 10.3% in WA.
<a href="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-53.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/26/Chart-53.jpg" alt="">
 
At a national level net interstate migration has no impact however, it does have a significant impact across individual states.  Over the 12 months to December 2014, there were 335,256 interstate movements across the Australian states.  Historically Qld has attracted as high number of interstate migrants however; net interstate migration to the state has slowed sharply over recent years.  Across the states, Vic now attracts the most net interstate migrants (9,336) followed by Qld (5,598) and these are the only two states that have recorded a net gain in interstate migration over the year.  Vic’s net gain from interstate migration is a record high while migration to Qld is at its lowest level on record.  The net outflow of residents from the remaining states was recorded at: -5,572 persons in NSW, -2,744 in SA, -400 in WA, -1,278 in Tas, -3,392 in NT and -1,548 in ACT.  Despite the net outflow, the net number of residents leaving NSW is at a record low.  On the other hand the loss of residents from WA is the largest since September 2003 and the outflow from NT is the largest on record.
In terms of natural increase the states with the largest overall populations also have the greatest natural increase.  There has been a sharp decline in natural increase in NSW over the past few years while natural increase is trending higher in WA.  The state-by-state shares of natural increase are: 26.5% in NSW, 24.8% in Vic, 23.5% in Qld, 4.9% in SA, 14.8% in WA, 1.0% in Tas, 2.0% in NT and 2.6% in ACT.
The demographic data highlights challenges for the Australian economy and individual states. Gross domestic product has been slowing and is much lower on a per capita basis. With population growth slowing and set to slow further in coming quarters (as foreshadowed in the monthly overseas arrivals and departures data) this poses a challenge for the national economy.  The resource states in particular are being impacted as they are attracting fewer migrants from both interstate and overseas. Conversely, NSW and Vic (which are a proxy for Sydney and Melbourne) are the places that both domestic and international migrants want to head to. 
This in turn fuels demand for housing, creates the need for more jobs and requires more spending on infrastructure. To-date it doesn’t look as if the sharp rises in home values in Sydney and to a lesser degree Melbourne over recent years is stopping migrants heading to these areas. You would have to think that at some point this will change but no one has a crystal ball to know exactly when that inflection point will occur. Particularly given how low the cost of debt currently is with interest rates so low, furthermore rental pressures are easing given already high new housing construction and a record high pipeline of approvals to potentially follow.
Cameron Kusher is RP Data’s senior research analyst. Follow Cameron on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/cmkusher" target="_blank">here</a>. 
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Australia’s rate of population growth continues to slow: Cameron Kusher

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This week I met with a lovely couple wanting to understand more about property developing and if it was the right strategy for them. They asked a simple but very good question which is relevant for anyone looking to take their first steps into property development. 
They wanted to know what the main risks were in developing property.
I think most people understand there can be risks associated with any investment whether it be buying shares (to me the volatility of the share market is scary), even putting your money in the bank in some countries (particularly Greece!) can be risky. In Australia, our banking system is very stable but the return on cash term deposits is hardly worth the effort right now.
Investing and/or developing property can be risky if you don't do adequate research. Even if you do, there are still some environmental factors that cannot be controlled like weather and governments. 
Firstly, it's important you chose a good location and a good property. Ask yourself "can I add further value to this property?"
By adding value I mean through renovating the existing dwelling and/or developing the land. At Property Bloom we always look for houses with 'good bones'. Large homes that have a minimum of three bedrooms and areas that may be converted to extra bedrooms. Adding a bedroom is the number one way of adding value to a house. We like homes with nice features that you can enhance through renovation, it's amazing what we've found hidden away after starting a renovation - some beautiful, ornate ceilings or fire places that have been covered over by previous owners. 
Location is most important as you need to be within close proximity of community services such as schools, transport, shopping and sporting facilities.
The development sites or bare land we look for needs to be in high demand areas and must be subdividable - this is the number one rule if you want to create equity or value. Getting two or more properties from one is key when developing property.
We love master planned estates that have been thoughtfully designed to meet resident's needs. These estates can be are valued higher by owner occupiers and tenants than the older, established areas that have less facilities.
When you develop property, you need to be aware of outside forces that may pose risk for your project.  They may include: 
·     Change in the economic environment such as a new government or rising Interest rates.
·     Increasing costs in materials and labour, like when the carbon tax was implemented. This led to higher construction costs at the time.
·     Changing council requirements; new Local Environment Plans being gazetted, state or federal law changes and land being rezoned.
·     Reliability and financial security of your  contractors and builders, there is nothing worse than a builder going into liquidation half way through a   development project.
·     A change in the property cycle may see the end values and rents change during the development period.
·     Weather and environmental issues holding up the construction progress.
·     Unexpected costs e.g. hitting rock on site, in adequate provisional allowances and builder's contract exclusions or unfair terms.
·     Disputes with builders and tradespeople leading to an extended construction period.
Using an experienced project manager for your first development will minimise some of these risks but it's still very important for all property developers to do as much due diligence on the location, property, council requirements and contractors/builders they will be relying on to ensure a successful property development. 
What makes me sleep well at night is knowing we have amazing builders. We've used them for many years and they are happy to share their financial situation with us. They are flexible and good communicators and so we have built a strong relationship and trading terms with them. 
This coupled with our experience in choosing relatively safe development sites and locations for our clients means nasty surprises are minimised and we have a very good idea of how the project will finish up. Our job is to de-risk a development as much as possible and to teach our clients along the way so that they can feel more confident embarking on their next property development.
 Jo Chivers is Chief Executive Officer of property development project managers <a href="https://www.propertybloom.com.au/about" target="_blank">Property Bloom</a>.
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The main risks associated with property development: Jo Chivers

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Sales data over the 12 months to March 2015 shows that there have been more homes sold across the combined capital cities for less than $200,000 than there have been homes sold for more than $1 million. As you would expect there is a growing proportion of sales in excess of $1 million in Sydney and Melbourne while homes selling for less than $200,000 are almost exclusively found in Hobart and Adelaide.
Over the 12 months to March 2015, a record low 6.1% of capital city home sales were below $200,000 and 31.8%sold for between $200,000 and $400,000, the lowest proportion since the 12 months to October 2001. While we are seeing a decline in sales at the lower price points, predictably more expensive sales are increasing.  Over the 12 months to March 2015, 10.0% of all homes sold across the combined capital cities sold for more than $1 million, a record high. As we will discover the proportion of homes selling in excess of $1 million is substantially higher within cities such as Sydney and Melbourne.
Sydney
<a href="/images/2015/06/25/chart-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/25/chart-1.jpg" alt="">
Over the 12 months to March 2015, a record low 8.9% of Sydney houses sold for less than $400,000 compared to a record high 34.0% of houses selling above $1 million.  The remaining 59.2% occurred between $400,000 and $1 million.  For the unit market, a record low 18.6% of sales were below $400,000 whilst there was a record high 71.1% between $400,000 and 1 million and a record 10.3% above $1 million.  The impact of a surge in home values over the past year is being felt at the lower end of the market with a sharp drop in sales below $400,000 for both houses and units over the past year.
Melbourne
<a href="/images/2015/06/25/chart-2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/25/chart-2.jpg" alt="">
24.5% of Melbourne houses and 36.9% of Melbourne units sold for less than $400,000 over the 12 months to March 2015.  In comparison, 16.5% of houses and 5.1% of units sold for more than $1 million.  For houses, the proportion of sales below $400,000 was at a record low while it was just shy of a record low for units.  Conversely, both houses and units logged a record high proportion of sales over $1 million.  Like Sydney, the impact of the value rises over recent years is being felt most at the lower-end of the housing market with a sharp decline in sales below $400,000.  This is highlighted both by the table above which shows a sharp drop in sales below $400,000 over the past 20 years.  Unlike Sydney, finding more affordable housing options is relatively easier in Melbourne with almost 1 in 4 houses and more than a third of units selling for less than $400,000.
Brisbane
<a href="/images/2015/06/25/chart-3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/25/chart-3.jpg" alt="">
Across all sales, 30.6% of houses and 52.5% of units transacted in Brisbane over the year to March 2015 sold for less than $400,000.  The proportion of houses sold for less than $400,000 was at a record low while the proportion for units was lower in the middle of last year.  House sales in excess of $1 million were at a record high 5.9% over the past year while the 2.3% of unit sales over $1 million is still a way off the record high 3.1% in early 2011.  Brisbane has seen fairly moderate value growth over recent years however, we are still seeing an erosion in sales at the lower end of the market, albeit the deterioration is moderate compared to Sydney and Melbourne.  10 years ago, almost three quarters of houses and more than 4 out of every 5 unit sales was below $400,000, as the above table shows there has been a marked shift over the past decade to fewer lower priced sales.  Relative to Sydney and Melbourne properties selling for less than $400,000 are much more common across Brisbane.
Adelaide
<a href="/images/2015/06/25/chart-4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/25/chart-4.jpg" alt="">
 
 Over the 12 months to March 2015 45.3% of Adelaide houses and 65.9% of units sold for less than $400,000.  The proportion of houses and units sold for less than $400,000 was at a record low over the past 12 months however, lower priced housing stock is much more readily available than across all other mainland capital cities.  While sales at a lower price point are falling, a record high 4.7% of houses sold for more than $1 million over the past year.  For units, 2.6% of all sales were over $1 million which was lower than the 3.5% recorded in mid-2008.  Value growth across Adelaide has been limited since the financial crisis, nevertheless the proportion of homes selling for less than $400,000 has continued to decline.  Adelaide offers much more affordable housing options than all other mainland capital cities.
Perth
<a href="/images/2015/06/25/chart-5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/06/25/chart-5.jpg" alt="">
15.1% of Perth houses and 37.7% of Perth units sold for less than $400,000 over the 12 months to March 2015.  In comparison, 10.8% of Perth houses and 4.2% of units sold for more than $1 million over the past year.  The proportion of houses and units selling for below $400,000 is above the record-low of 14.7% and 36.9% respectively both of which occurred over the past year.  The climb in more affordable sales over recent months is likely to be reflective of the fact that value growth has hit a stand-still in Perth over the past 12 months. Furthermore, new supply of homes is at close to record highs across the city currently.  Perth has recorded one of the strongest capital growth rates over the past decade and as a result there has been a substantial decline in the proportion of homes selling for less than $400,000.  This is highlighted by the fact that 10 years ago 81.7% of Perth houses and 88.0% of units sold for less than $400,000. In fact, Perth currently has fewer house sales below $400,000 than all capital cities except for Sydney and Canberra.
Hobart
<img src="/images/2015/06/25/chart-6.jpg" alt="">
 
Hobart is the nation’s most affordable capital city and also sees an overwhelmingly larger proportion of lower priced house and unit sales.  Over the 12 months to March 2015, 61.4% of Hobart houses and 82.0% of units sold for less than $400,000.  Hobart is the only capital city in which a majority of houses have sold for less than $400,000 over the past year.  Subsequently, relatively few homes sell for over $1 million with just 1.5% of all house sales and 1.7% of unit sales over that price point.  Hobart’s housing market has seen very little growth in home values over the past 10 years yet there has still been a fairly substantial decline in house sales below $400,000 while unit sales below $400,000 have seen little change.    10 years ago, 86.9% of all house sales were less than $400,000 and 88.5% of unit sales sat within that price point.
Darwin
<img src="/images/2015/06/25/chart-7.jpg" alt="">
Darwin has recorded the strongest value growth of all capital cities over the past decade; as a result it has shifted from being one of the most affordable capital cities to now being one of the most expensive.  Over the 12 months to March 2015, 20.8% of houses and 28.8% of units sold for less than $400,000.  Alternatively, 6.3% of houses and 4.8% of units in the city sold for more than $1 million.  The proportion of houses selling for less than $400,000 has started to trend higher over recent months as values have fallen while unit sales below $400,000 are at a record low.  The proportion of sales above $1 million is below its record high for houses and units with the record high coming for houses over the past year and in late 2010 for units.  With value growth in Darwin the strongest of all capital cities over the past decade, the decline in the availability of more affordable housing is clear.  Around 1 in 5 house sales nowadays are below $400,000 compared to 9 out of 10 a decade ago.  For units, just over 1 in 4 sales nowadays are below $400,000 compared to more than 9 in 10 a decade ago.
Canberra
<img src="/images/2015/06/25/chart-8.jpg" alt="">
 
Over the 12 months to March 2015, 7.8% of Canberra houses and 42.3% of Canberra units sold for less than $400,000.  On the other hand, 5.9% of house sales and 2.4% of unit sales were for more than $1 million over the year. The proportion of houses selling for less than $400,000 is currently at a record low while unit sales below $400,000 reached their low point throughout the past year at 39.7%.  The number of houses selling over $1 million is below its peak of 6.2% a couple of months earlier, as are unit sales at this price point.  Although home value growth in Canberra has been moderate over the past 5 years, there’s been a fairly substantial fall in sales below $400,000 over that time.  5 years ago, 23.2% of Canberra houses and 56.7% of units were sold for less than $400,000.
The data shows that whether you look at interest rates, household incomes or any other factor that can influence affordability; we have seen a sharp decline in homes selling at a lower price point in over the past decade.  Of course, even a home priced at $400,000 won’t be cheap enough for some potential home buyers.  It is to be expected that the cost of housing rises over time however, there are social issues surrounding the sharp decline in lower priced homes.  The result is that more people have to choose to rent or alternatively they have to move away from our capital cities or to smaller capital cities.  Of course, finding employment in smaller capital cities and regional markets can be more difficult.
Anecdotally we are also hearing that in markets such as Sydney and Melbourne first time buyers are purchasing investment properties rather than owner occupied properties for their first home.  We also hear that a number are purchasing investment properties outside of these two cities where you can seemingly get better value for money.  Of course, in most markets outside of Sydney and Melbourne the economies are currently weaker and capital growth has been much more moderate.
Housing affordability is a very individualistic issue however; the data contained here shows that housing at a lower price is becoming much harder to come by, particularly in our larger capital cities.
Cameron Kusher is RP Data’s senior research analyst. Follow Cameron on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/cmkusher" target="_blank">here</a>. 
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1 in 10 capital city home sales over $1 million: Cameron Kusher

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This is my final post looking at what figures from the Rental Bond Board tell as about the make-up and direction of the rental market, in Sydney and across NSW. While supply of rental accommodation has been below population growth trends, the numbers are now catching up and the popularity of investing in residential property has seen a big increase in supply, and this is slowing rental growth.
Rental Growth Slows
The general trend of median rents across the metropolitan area between 2010-11/2013-14 shows that growth in median rents has been slowing. In 2010-11 the increase was 3.1% and in 2011-12 it was 4.3%.
However in 2012-13 the figure fell below 4% to 3.1% and in 2013-14 the increase was 2.9%. Recent figures published by Corelogic RP Data and the ABS both show a slowing in rental growth with Corelogic reporting an increase of only 1.5% over the past 12 months. The ABS CPI rental series notes an increase of 2.1% over the year to March 31. Both these results confirm the trend noted in the Board’s figures.
Supply Increasing
One key factor that is putting downward pressure on rents has been the big jump in supply in NSW over recent years as more investors look to residential property, driven by falling deposit rates and the availability of cheap finance. The number of bonds held by the Board clearly shows the trend, in the following table:
 
Year:              Number of Bonds:          Increase:
2008/09          643,518                        ^8028
2209/10          648,142                        ^4624
2010/11          662,756                        ^14,614
2011/12          680,150                        ^17,394
2012/13          703,158                        ^23,008
2013/14          726,337                        ^23,179
The upward trend has been most notable since 2012/13 with some 46,187 new tenancies added to the NSW rental pool and the trend is sure to have continued into 2014/15.
Invest in Quality
As more stock becomes available, I suggest that investors, just like owner-occupiers should invest in quality and do their research to help ensure that despite more supply, they secure good opportunities in popular rental locations.
I suggest that no matter how strong investment demand is, you can never beat quality and with banks taking a tighter line on investment loans it’s even more important. The key items to keep in mind are by no means new, but it’s sensible non the less to keep them in mind, so I suggest a simple check list, in particular for off-the-plan buyers would include the following items to tick off.
Firstly try to get in early and learn all about the area where you might invest. Understand the quality of the project, if the finishes and fixtures appeal to you personally, then they will also be acceptable to tenants, and if there’s a competitive market this will be an important consideration.
Check that you can secure all of the finance for your investment, and always include the added cost of stamp duty and legal fees, plus take into account the ongoing costs like strata and management fees. Visit the project location, at least a few times, even more important if you’re going to invest outside of your home city. Do your research and gain an understanding of what sort of supply pipeline and tenant demand there might be when your project is complete. These are simple ideas, and I suggest the same even when buying an established property, because as supply continues to increase and we possibly see rents moderate, these factors will help secure tenants.
The trends come from a very big pool of tenants as the Rental Bond Board looks after what might soon be approaching 750,000 tenancy bonds across NSW, and so the figures are a very reliable reflection of the wider rental market.
Given all of the activity across our property market in the last 12 months the Board’s report for 2014-15 will I am sure make very interesting reading.
To read the first part of Peter's two-part post click here.
Peter Chittenden is managing director for residential of Colliers International. He can be contacted <a href="https://www.projectagenda.com.au/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Rental trends supply heading upward: Peter Chittenden

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Here’s the most remarkable statistic to emerge from the residential real estate industry this year: 32% of people think there’s a bubble.
The remarkable thing is that so few believe in the bubble BS. Media has been running bubble stories daily. Recently a new B word has taken up headline space: bloodbath, now a popular word to describe predictions from the lunatic fringe who subscribe to bubble theories.
But, according to an Investor Insight Survey, 55% of respondents said there was no property bubble and 13% were unsure.
Media, being the strange twisted animal that it is, chose to highlight the 32% who do apparently believe there’s a bubble, with the inference that this number is significantly high. My reaction was quite the opposite: that it’s amazingly low, given that media constantly tells us that one exists.
Among the many unworthy things that Nazi propaganda guy Joseph Goebbels gave to the world was the notion that “if you tell a lie big enough, and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to accept it as the truth”.
That principle, if that’s the right word, is alive and thriving in Australian media today. Most of what consumers believe to be true about real estate – the affordability crisis, the chronic housing shortage crisis, the bubble, the Great Australian Dream is dead, etc – are lies that have been repeated so often that many people accept them as truth.
This week the Australian Bureau of Statistics published its Residential Property Price Indexes, which are the latest figures to demonstrate the lie in the boom/bubble/bloodbath nonsense much beloved by tabloid media.
Sydney’s price index is up 13% and the next best is Melbourne’s 4.7% annual rise. Brisbane has managed 3.9%, Canberra 3%, Adelaide 2.5% and Hobart 1.9%. The price indexes for both Perth and Darwin have fallen slightly. The weighted average rise for the eight cities is 6.9%, but seven of the eight cities are well below that average.
I’ve scrutinised these figures, and similar data from other sources, from lots of different angles and directions. I’ve turned them upside down. I’ve looked at them in a mirror. I’ve examined them through a magnifying glass. And I cannot find a national property boom there. And without a boom, there is no bubble. And without a bubble, there is no prospect of a bloodbath.
Few media outlets reported the ABS figures, as they don’t fit with the pre-conceived story line of runaway markets, blistering price surges and world-shatter<a name="_GoBack" href=""></a>ing bubbles. Goebbels also gave us the idea, much utilised by journalists today, that you never let the facts get in the way of a good story.
The latest “bloodbath” forecast has come from a couple of attention-seeking conspiracy-theory twits who have put in a submission to yet another parliamentary inquiry in an attempt to drum up a bit of publicity for their consulting business.
They’ve predicted a bloodbath. Naturally media had a field day with it. If someone is silly enough to predict a market crash, journalists will be delighted to recycle it as news, regardless of how outlandish it is or how often the forecasters have been wrong in the past.
I’ve added this to the very large list of people who have predicted bloodbaths, bubbles bursting and markets collapsing in Australian real estate over the past 15 years.
I have a heightened awareness of such predictions because I recently conducted a research exercise for a client on the predictions newspapers and other media outlets have made about real estate prices since the start of the century.
Over 15 years there has been a constant barrage of articles making doomsday predictions about the housing market. Subsequent outcomes have proved them all wrong. Not one has been correct.
I recently published a Top 20 list of worst predictions about property prices. For example, in January 2012 visiting US spruiker Jordan Wirsz, seeking to drum up some free publicity, predicted a bloodbath in which house values would fall 60% in 2013. He forecast land values would fall 90%. 
Not surprisingly, this did not happen. There is no precedent, not in Australia nor in any other nation on planet Earth, for such a calamitous decline in values. The actual outcome? Capital city prices, on average, rose 9% in 2013 and 8% in 2014, with most of that growth occurring in Sydney.
But Wirsz’s ludicrous prediction, which should not have been published by any credible media organisation, was just one of numerous doomsday forecasts made over the past 15 years, and all of them have been proven false. They have come from US spruikers, Australian economists and the lunatic fringe brigade of anti-real estate campaigners.
But if Wirsz lobs in Australia again next month and predicts our property values will fall 100% - in other words, every property will be worth zero - newspapers around the nation will publish it, television will rush to do interviews and politicians will call for a parliamentary inquiry.
TERRY RYDER is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a> 
Terry was recently joined by Property Observer editor at large Jonathan Chancellor for a webinar on why research is the key to successful property investing in 2015. You can download slides and audio from the webinar here.
 
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Without a boom, there is no bubble: Terry Ryder

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Core Reality has taken out a 135 square metre lease on a five year term in the six-storey Argus Building in Melbourne's CBD.
Located on the corner of La Trobe and Elizabeth Streets, the heritage listed property has 12 metre high ceilings and exceptional ground-floor exposure.
Savills Australia Retail Executive, Jock Thomson, brokered the deal with colleague Michael Di Carlo.
The Beaux-Arts inspired designing was used by The Argus newspaper from 1926 to 1957.
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