<p>Melbourne-based property developer ALTA Property has this week achieved planning approval for the adaptive re-use of a former commercial tower into a $200 million, 169-apartment project at 10 Queens Road, one of the last developable sites along the Albert Park Lake-fronting boulevard.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Set within one of Melbourne’s most sought-after precincts and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fraser-partners-0">Fraser and Partners</a>, the illustrious building will offer unparalleled views across Albert Park Lake, Port Phillip Bay and Melbourne CBD.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The mix of 1, 2 and 3-bedroom residences will be complemented by a ground-floor amenity featuring private dining, a lounge bar, gym and wellness spaces, co-working, outdoor communal gardens, and retail.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The 17-storey building is a masterclass in adaptive re-use, with the existing commercial building’s façade, shell and internal structure to be retained, before high-end residences are built from the ground up in a newly built Albert Park facing addition to the building.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sitting atop the building will be two 320+sqm penthouses with private rooftop terraces, which are expected to be priced between $9 - $11 million.&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa11211b-5581-43f9-940c-fc84d30a0e61" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/C_04.png?VersionId=Yhf5p_1EgGDu_zOIMFgvA8Ug8j3sTFQs" /></p>

<p>Architecturally, the building will feature a curved, geometric façade that celebrates and elevates the existing structure, with warm, muted tones which were selected to extend the materiality of the existing building rather than contrast it.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors will bring together three metre high ceilings with waffle concrete in some spaces, natural timber, granite and Australian materials, culminating in crafted, generous and considered spaces that are defined by authenticity.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The adaptive re-use means that the Queens Road project will be a sustainability led, high-quality finished product, with a 62% saving in carbon emissions by re-using the existing structure rather than knocking it down and rebuilding.&nbsp;</p>

<p>ALTA Property was launched by Nigel Givoni in 2023, bringing over 25 years of experience in multi level residential delivery.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Melbourne’s property market growth is currently led by apartments. According to RPM VIC Apartments &amp; Townhomes Market Report (April 2026), units are outpacing houses, especially in the middle ring suburbs where median prices hit $757,500 – a four-year high that represents 2.9 percent growth quarter-on-quarter.&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="647e13d7-b4bc-433a-9bc9-fe3c3dd4f2ec" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/V_06.png?VersionId=ou4NUCWUgA3NAy.6CQJlEdKX50j3dOk6" /></p>

<p>For ALTA Property Founder Nigel Givoni, this performance speaks to the confidence he has in the Melbourne market.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“Queens Road represents a rare opportunity to continue to shape our presence in the Melbourne market.,"&nbsp;Givoni says.</p>

<p>"With a considered project team and a premier site along one of the city’s most sought-after boulevards, we look forward to contributing to the fabric of this established address.</p>

<p>“Other Australian markets are getting a lot of attention, but I believe the depth of value in Melbourne is being overlooked. The fundamentals are strong, population growth is steady and, based on our preliminary conversations with a leading builder, construction costs are beginning to normalise, creating further opportunity."</p>

<p>Givoni says the project is a&nbsp;highly considered example of adaptive re-use, delivering quality, high-end residences, premium hotel-inspired amenities and an architecturally striking façade, all achieved without the need to remove the existing structure.</p>

<p>"We are really looking forward to the market’s response,” he said.&nbsp;</p>


Joel Robinson

ALTA Property to deliver $200 million Queens Road apartment tower

<p>Construction is set to begin at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/orchard-mews-glen-iris-18-scott-grove-glen-iris-vic-3146">Orchard Mews</a> in Glen Iris, with&nbsp;PC Whitehall &amp; Sons&nbsp;now appointed as the townhome development moves into its next phase.</p>

<p>The development by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/montcoeur">MontCoeur</a>,&nbsp;located at 18 Scott Grove, is now around 30 per cent sold, with completion targeted for late-2027.</p>

<p>Orchard Mews comprises a curated collection of three- and four-bedroom customisable townhomes, positioned within one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/glen-iris-vic-3146">Glen Iris</a>’ more tightly held residential streets. The low-density project has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a>, with landscape architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/jack-merlo">Jack Merlo</a>, bringing together a team known for high-end residential projects across Melbourne.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366285]</p>

<p>The development is defined by its focus on flexible living and long-term usability. Each residence includes multiple living zones and a customisable multipurpose room, allowing buyers to tailor spaces to suit changing needs, whether as a home office, additional bedroom, wellness area or entertainment space.</p>

<p>Architecturally, the townhomes emphasise natural light and spatial volume, with dual-aspect layouts and double-height living areas incorporated into the design. Interiors feature natural stone benchtops, premium appliances, and a neutral material palette intended to support everyday functionality rather than statement-driven finishes.</p>

<p>All residences are all-electric and include private lifts and secure double garages, reflecting a broader shift toward sustainability and future-focused housing in Melbourne’s established suburbs.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366277]</p>

<p>Outdoor connections are also central to the offering, with a mix of private courtyards and terraces extending internal living spaces and integrating with the landscaped surrounds.</p>

<p>The Scott Grove address places Orchard Mews within close proximity to some of Melbourne’s key lifestyle and education amenities, including Scotch College, Sacré Cœur, Cabrini Hospital and the retail hub of Chadstone. Public transport access is also nearby, with trams and Gardiner Station providing connectivity to the CBD and surrounding suburbs.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150128]</p>


Construction to commence at luxury Glen Iris townhome project, Orchard Mews

<p data-end="150" data-start="66">A rare new apartment development has been proposed on the fringe of St Ives Village.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152">Developer Newquest Property has lodged plans for a low-rise apartment project designed by well-regarded architecture firm Warren &amp; Mahoney, which is best known for its work in the multi-residential sector in Melbourne.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152">The building, proposed for a 1,916 sqm site on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/st-ives-residences-3-5-memorial-avenue-nsw-2075">Memorial Avenue</a> opposite St Ives Village Green, has been designed to blend into the surrounding natural environment.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152"><img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5c1c7437-2fba-4345-a6d7-05321714ad3e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.28.46%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=KrYyMaJvNqR7vbx0xbB3Ef8sJ6FuHpmn" /></p>

<p data-end="745" data-start="537">“Drawing inspiration from the pale trunks and flowering canopies of the scribbly gums and blue gums prevalent in the area, a considered material palette was developed,” the architectural design report states.</p>

<p data-end="912" data-start="747">“This palette references the established materiality of the suburb while elevating it through refined finishes to achieve a more luxurious architectural expression.”</p>

<p data-end="1185" data-start="914">Of the 33 apartments proposed, 21 will be three-bedroom residences. The remaining mix includes nine two-bedroom apartments, one one-bedroom apartment and two four-bedroom residences. The development will be supported by 62 car parking spaces and 33 secure bicycle spaces.</p>

<p data-end="1270" data-start="1187">The proposal would replace two single-storey brick buildings currently on the site.</p>

<p data-end="1270" data-start="1187"><img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="21422eaf-09a9-4439-9278-b9bd9daf22a1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.38.10%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=v.fXSgcUcEscvOZzqcjG5nk3gVqk_Amt" /></p>

<p data-end="1467" data-start="1272">St Ives remains a relatively untapped market for new apartment development. North Shore developer WINIM has a number of projects in the area, while INCA is nearing completion of Ellis Residences.</p>

<p data-end="1635" data-start="1469">More recently, Traders In Purple has lodged plans for one of the denser projects proposed in the suburb, a 75-apartment development on a 5,900 sqm site on Cowan Road.</p>

<p data-end="1635" data-start="1469">NewQuest, a construction, design and development firm, has delivered over 24 projects across commercial, residential, industrial, and lad markets.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>


First look: NewQuest Property proposes new St Ives apartment development

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/centa-property-group">Centa Property Group</a> has achieved two major milestones at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bilinga-house-107-golden-four-drive-bilinga-qld-4225">Bilinga House</a> apartment development in the sought-after southern Gold Coast.</p>

<p>They've almost sold 50 per cent of the Golden Four Drive building, while at the same time announcing the commencement of construction through reputable builder Greyburn Construction.</p>

<p>The boutique 10-storey building, with 47 two- and three-bedroom apartments, now has a mid-to-late 2028 completion date.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5333]</p>

<p>The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>-designed project is positioned just 200 metres from Bilinga Beach and brings a relatively rare apartment offering to a market that has seen limited new supply in recent years.</p>

<p>Residences have been designed to maximise natural light and ventilation, with open-plan interiors, generous glazing, and material palettes that reflect the surrounding coastal landscape.</p>

<p>Interiors incorporate engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, and custom joinery, with layouts designed to adapt to both permanent living and lock-and-leave use.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]</p>

<p>Rothelowman Senior Project Leader Matthew Tencate said the design approach centres on liveability and community.</p>

<p>“Providing curated on-site amenities and communal spaces for residents that facilitate a sense of community, liveability, and wellness,” Tencate said.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a suite of private amenities including a pool, gym, sauna, and communal alfresco areas, alongside practical features such as surfboard storage and bicycle facilities.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]</p>

<p>Centa Property Group Director Jason Yuen said the project has been designed to appeal to a range of buyers seeking flexibility in how they use their property.</p>

<p>“Bilinga House is designed for those who want the best of both worlds – a modern beachside escape with the flexibility to generate income when you're not there,” Yuen said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5338]</p>

<p>Bilinga remains one of the quieter pockets of the Gold Coast, sitting between the more established hubs of Coolangatta and Palm Beach. Its appeal has strengthened in recent years, supported by proximity to the Gold Coast Airport and the Oceanway coastal path.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150037]</p>


Bilinga House apartments snapped up as Greyburn commences construction

<p>Breaking into the Sydney property market has long felt out of reach for many first home buyers, particularly as median house prices sit above $1.6 million and unit prices push beyond $900,000.</p>

<p>But entry points still exist in pockets of Greater Western Sydney, where pricing, government incentives, and product mix are aligning to make ownership more attainable.</p>

<p>Understanding where those opportunities sit, and how the numbers actually stack up, is becoming increasingly important for buyers weighing up their next move.</p>

<h2>Work out what you can actually afford</h2>

<p>Sydney is expensive, but it isn’t uniformly expensive. The Greater Parramatta region continues to offer comparatively accessible entry points, particularly for buyers open to alternative configurations like studios.</p>

<p>There's an assumption that a first home needs to be a certain size, that anything smaller than a one-bedder is a concession rather than a choice. That assumption doesn't hold up against what well-designed studios in the right location actually offer: immediate liveability, strong urban amenity, and a price point that makes the deposit target realistic rather than theoretical.</p>

<p>At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/mason-main-merrylands-249-259-merrylands-road-merrylands-nsw-2160">Mason &amp; Main</a>, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/coronation-property">Coronation Property</a>'s multi-award winning precinct in Merrylands, studio apartments are unlike the typical studio configuration.</p>

<p>Starting from $498,000, the bedroom is fully enclosed, separated from the living area by a cavity sliding door, creating a genuinely private sleeping space that functions more like a one-bedroom apartment than a traditional open-plan studio.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=31751 project_image_fid=359814]</p>

<p>At 42 sqm internally, with an open-plan kitchen, built-in robes, modern bathroom, and separate laundry, the apartments are designed for everyday liveability rather than short-term use.</p>

<p>With a five per cent deposit under the Federal Government's First Home Guarantee, that equates to a deposit of around $24,200, achievable for many first home buyers without the added cost of Lenders Mortgage Insurance.</p>

<h2>Understand the real cost of renting versus buying</h2>

<p>For buyers weighing up the shift from renting to owning, the numbers are closer than many expect.</p>

<p>Here’s how the numbers stack up for a studio at Mason &amp; Main (based on a $498,000 purchase):</p>

<ul>
	<li><strong>Purchase price:</strong> $498,000</li>
	<li><strong>Five per cent deposit (First Home Guarantee):</strong> ~$24,900</li>
	<li><strong>Loan amount:</strong> ~$473,100</li>
	<li><strong>Estimated mortgage repayment (6.29% variable, 30-year term):</strong> ~$675–$695/week*</li>
	<li><strong>Estimated rental return:</strong> $590–$620/week*</li>
	<li><strong>Rental yield:</strong> 6.16% - 6.47%</li>
</ul>

<p>At this level, the gap between renting and owning is relatively narrow, particularly when factoring in long-term equity, with rental returns also making the apartments a viable option for investors.</p>

<p>The rental range reflects current asking rents for remaining studio stock in the development and, based on prevailing asking prices, equates to an indicative gross rental yield of up to 6.47 per cent.</p>

<p>For buyers seeking more internal space, Mason &amp; Main also offers a range of one-bedroom apartments from $629,000, alongside larger one-bedroom plus multipurpose room configurations priced from $680,000 - all priced under $800,000 and eligible for first home buyer incentives.</p>

<ul>
	<li><strong>Purchase price:</strong> $629,000</li>
	<li><strong>20 per cent deposit:</strong> ~$125,800 (5% deposit on exchange: $31,450)</li>
	<li><strong>Loan amount 80%:</strong> ~$503,200</li>
	<li><strong>Estimated mortgage repayment:</strong> ~$720–$740/week*</li>
	<li><strong>Estimated rental return:</strong> $650–$680/week*</li>
	<li><strong>Rental yield:</strong>&nbsp;5.37% - 5.62%</li>
</ul>

<p>One-bedroom apartments continue to present a balanced option for both owner-occupiers and investors, supported by steady rental demand across Western Sydney.<span style="font-size:small"><span style="color:#222222"><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif"><span style="font-style:normal"><span style="font-variant-ligatures:normal"><span style="font-weight:400"><span style="white-space:normal"><span style="background-color:#ffffff"><span style="text-decoration-thickness:initial"><span style="text-decoration-style:initial"><span style="text-decoration-color:initial">&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=31751 project_image_fid=359812]</p>

<h2>Make sure you're across the government incentives</h2>

<p>Government incentives continue to play a key role in reducing the upfront cost barrier.</p>

<p>At Mason &amp; Main, studio, one, and two-bedroom apartments are priced under $800,000, allowing eligible buyers to access a full stamp duty exemption under the NSW First Home Buyers Assistance Scheme.</p>

<p>On a $498,000 purchase, that represents a saving of roughly $17,900 that would otherwise need to be paid at settlement.</p>

<p>Combined with the First Home Guarantee, which enables purchases with as little as a five per cent deposit, the total capital required to secure a home is significantly reduced compared to traditional lending pathways.</p>

<h2>No waiting, no uncertainty</h2>

<p>For first home buyers who want to move sooner rather than later, Mason &amp; Main removes one of the more common pain points from the purchase process entirely. The development is already complete and move-in ready, meaning buyers can walk through the apartments, inspect the finishes, and have full certainty about what they're purchasing before signing anything.</p>

<p>Coronation brought in renowned architecture firm <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a> to design the development.&nbsp;</p>

<p>"The project's design drew inspiration from the area's rich heritage, in particular the nearby brickworks and aqueduct, infusing a contemporary perspective to seamlessly integrate historical influences into the design," Woods Bagot Principal Dom Alvaro says.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=31751 project_image_fid=736]</p>

<h2>Factor in location and lifestyle</h2>

<p>Beyond the apartment itself, the surrounding infrastructure matters, particularly for a first purchase. Merrylands Station sits 350 metres from the development, putting the Parramatta CBD a five-minute drive away and the Sydney CBD roughly 25 minutes via the Western Line. Directly across the road is Stockland <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/merrylands-nsw-2160">Merrylands</a>, one of Greater Western Sydney's major retail centres.</p>

<p>At street level, Mason &amp; Main's own retail and dining precinct has more than 30 tenants trading, including Iftar, Macelleria, Hayat, San Churro, Yuzu, and Fat Jaks. Residents also have access to a resort-style pool, a Technogym-equipped gym, private dining rooms, and a rooftop terrace with panoramic views across Parramatta, the Sydney CBD, and the Blue Mountains, all exclusive to the building.</p>

<p>Due to the mix of configurations, including studios which are rarely offered in today's new apartment market, first home buyers and investors have driven Mason &amp; Main to over 90 per cent sold.</p>

<p>Coronation Property Managing Director Joe Nahas says the development is driving a revitalisation of Merrylands, setting a high standard for future developments in the area.</p>

<p>Mason &amp; Main is move-in ready and is the latest in a series of award-winning mixed-use developments by Coronation Property.</p>

<p><em>Disclaimer: Mortgage repayment figures are estimates only, based on a 6.29 per cent variable rate over a 30-year term (Canstar, April 2026). Pricing and rental estimates are indicative and based on current listings and project information. Gross yield figures are indicative and derived from asking prices and estimated rental ranges. Stamp duty savings are indicative only. Buyers should seek independent financial and legal advice before proceeding.</em></p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=31751]</p>


How first home buyers can enter the Sydney property market for under $500k

<p>Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.</p>

<p>They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.</p>

<p>They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.</p>

<p>Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" /></p>

<p>Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor</p>

<p>Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" /></p>

<p>Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>​</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.</p>

<p>With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.</p>


Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

<html><body>
<p>Remember the TV show Deal or No Deal?  </p>
<p>It’s a show where the player has a suitcase that contains an amount of money. They choose cases to eliminate them in the hope to end up with the highest amount which is $200k at the end. Along the way contestants can choose to take the bank deal offered or take a risk and continue to play. They may end up with $200k or with a much smaller sum.</p>
<p>I used to love the show and I’m always yelling ‘take the deal!’ as I vigorously rub the tips of my fingers together (this may sound weird if you haven’t seen the show).  My pleads directed at the TV get louder as the odds get slimmer.  I realised from playing this game even though I’m a property developer, I don’t like to take too much of a risk if it means losing money.</p>
<p>This threw me a bit as I always thought of myself as a risk taker.  Then I worked out that I do like risk, but only <em>calculated risk</em>.</p>
<p>Calculated risk is defined as:  “A risk associated with a certain course of action which has been given full consideration prior to making the decision to pursue that action. This is usually done when the potential gain is greater than any potential harm that might occur.” investorwords.com</p>
<p>The bit I like in this definition is ‘...when the potential gain is greater than any potential harm...’ ah, so that’s why I like risk, it’s what I do everyday; assess the potential gains in a property deal.  Also my job as property development project manager is to ‘give full consideration’ to a development and inform our clients before they ‘pursue action’.</p>
<p>In a way, the show was a bit like property developing.  If you hit the jackpot, there is good money to be made.  Making the decision on what case to chose could be somewhat like choosing a development site. </p>
<p>If you chose the wrong site, you can uncover a $50,000 problem and eliminate a lot of your profit.  If you chose the right site, you may create $200,000. </p>
<p>Property developing is about spotting potential and taking calculated risks. That’s why I love it.</p>
<p><em><em>Jo Chivers is chief executive officer of property development project managers <a href="https://www.propertybloom.com.au/about" target="_blank">Property Bloom</a><a href="https://www.propertybloom.com.au/">.</a></em></em></p>
</body></html>

jochivers-wq5Bp59R5a

Spotting property development potential and taking calculated risks: Jo Chivers

<html><body>
<p>At the end of 2014, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) wrote to mortgage lenders reinforcing what they saw as sound mortgage lending practices. </p>
<p>The key points from that letter were that serviceability policy limits should be based on mortgage rates at least 2 percent above the product loan rate with a minimum floor assessment of 7 percent. </p>
<p>The second point was that APRA was going to impose a speed limit on investment credit growth to lenders of 10 percent per annum. It is important to note investment credit refers to total outstanding mortgages not new lending.</p>
<p>The impact of these policies was likely to be that as interest rates fell, more buyers weren’t encouraged into the market because mortgages were being granted based on the ability to repay a mortgage at 7 percent interest which was well above standard rates at that time.  The other impact was that the 10% cap on investor housing credit growth would slow demand from the investment segment as there was less new lending to go around.</p>
<p>While the serviceability limits mean that new first time buyers are unlikely to come into the market as interest rates fall, it does nothing to discourage current owners from buying investment properties or upgrading homes.  Given that the vast majority of home loans are on a variable rate, interest rate cuts have an almost immediate impact on household budgets. </p>
<p>While the serviceability limits won’t result in marginal purchasers entering the market, as interest rates have come down it appears that home owners that weren’t previously considering buying an investment property or upgrading have come out of the woodwork and decided to purchase.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-1-1-580x176.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p> <img src="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-1-1-580x176.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>It is somewhat difficult to gauge exactly how effective the serviceability changes have been, but the 10% cap on investor housing credit led to a significant decline in growth in lending to that market segment.  Shortly following the implementation of the investor lending cap we also saw lenders place an interest rate premium on investment mortgages.  This muddied the waters somewhat because a lot of mortgages which were previously designated as investment mortgages were reclassified as owner occupier mortgages. </p>
<p>Nevertheless, annual investor housing credit growth peaked at 10.8 percent in May 2015 according to Reserve Bank data and the latest data shows that it has slowed to growth of 4.8% over the year to July 2016.  Investor housing credit growth has slowed dramatically since its recent peak following these curbs and over the past year has increased at its slowest annual pace since November 2009.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-2-1-580x210.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-2-1-580x210.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Housing finance data which tracks new lending, has showed a bounce in new lending to investors over the three months to July 2016.  Over that period, the monthly value of investment lending has increased by 9.2 percent from $10.8 billion in April 2016 to $11.8 billion in July 2016, new lending to investors is at its highest level since August 2015.  With investor housing credit growth well below 10 percent per annum, it is clear that lenders have scope to now offer more lending to the investment segment and clearly there are investors grabbing that opportunity.  </p>
<p>But why is this the case when you have a record supply of new housing under construction, record low rental yields and a historically weak rental market? We are about to delve into some possible reasons why, for some investors, housing investment still makes sense however, investors looking to purchase residential properties should be aware of the potential risks on the horizon.</p>
<p><strong>Capital growth</strong></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-3-1-580x211.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-3-1-580x211.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Since the current growth phase commenced in June 2012, combined capital city home values have increased by 39.9%.  As the above chart shows, the growth has been very uneven with Sydney and Melbourne leading the way in terms of value growth and rises relatively moderate elsewhere.  After such a long growth phase, the question must be asked as to how much longer the growth can continue for in Sydney and Melbourne, particularly considering the affordably obstacles that are becoming more pronounced and the diminishing yield profile caused by the fact that dwelling values are rising at a much faster pace than rents.</p>
<p><strong>Housing supply</strong></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-4-1-580x197.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-4-1-580x197.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The supply of new housing under construction is at a record-high with an historic high level of units under construction.  The 2011 national Census showed that units were much more likely to be occupied by renters than houses.  At that time, and across homes occupied on Census night, 21.8 percent of houses and 57.8% of units were occupied by renters. </p>
<p>Of course housing choices are likely to have shifted somewhat since that time but the fact is likely to remain that units are much more likely to end up as rental accommodation than houses are.  As a result a large proportion of these units recently built and under construction will end up as rental accommodation.  In many cities we are also already seeing a significant difference in the rate of growth for houses as opposed to units.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-5-1-580x212.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-5-1-580x212.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Rental markets are showing the weakest growth conditions on record, in fact, capital city rental rates are -0.5 percent lower over the past year.  In the two cities where the highest level of investment activity is occurring, Sydney and Melbourne, rents are unchanged in Sydney and 2.4 percent higher in Melbourne.  For units specifically, rental rates are 0.7 percent higher over the year across the combined capital cities with rental rates 1.8 percent higher for Sydney units and 1.3 percent higher for Melbourne units.</p>
<p>There is a large supply of housing stock that is going to be added to the market over the coming year(s) in these cities and others.  Most of the supply is in the form of units, which as shown are more likely to be rental properties.  Subsequently it seems as if landlords are set to find it more difficult to keep renters and may have to reduce rents in order to keep their properties tenanted over the coming years.  Higher vacancy rates may be felt by those landlords who own units that are in need of repair or refurbishment as tenants look for higher quality or new rental accommodation that may be more comfortable at a similar rental rate.</p>
<p><strong>Rental returns</strong></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-6-580x209.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-6-580x209.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Rental yields are expressed as gross figures so the net returns are likely to be much lower than the headline figure.  The gross rental yield has been forced lower over recent years due to little rental growth (and falls in some areas) coupled with comparatively high levels of home value growth. As a result, at the end of August 2016 the combined capital cities gross rental yield was recorded at an historic low 3.3 percent with figures of 3.0 percent in Sydney and 2.9 percent in Melbourne.  </p>
<p>A couple of things to note about the yield figures; firstly they assume that a property is occupied for 100 percent of the year and secondly they are based off current values, most investors would not borrow 100 percent of the loan value for an investment property.  Given these two points, lower than 100 percent occupancy would reduce the yield however, borrowing less than 100% of the property’s value would increase the yield.</p>
<p>As pointed out earlier, units are much more likely than houses to be used for rental accommodation and there is a record pipeline of unit stock under construction.  Gross rental yields for units specifically are higher than those for houses and recorded at 4.1 percent for combined capital city units, 3.9 percent in Sydney and 4.0% in Melbourne.  Each of these figures are at historic lows and have trended lower over recent years.  Nevertheless, when you factor in a level of equity used to purchase investment properties the returns are still far superior to most other asset classes.</p>
<p><strong>Total returns</strong></p>
<p>Click to enlarge</p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/09/21/Chart-7-580x208.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>When you factor in rental returns and capital growth, the total returns from residential property remain attractive.  Over the past year, total gross returns across the combined capital cities have been recorded at 10.7% with each capital city other than Perth and Darwin recording total returns in excess of 7.0% over the past year. Since home values ended their most recent declines in May 2012, combined capital city total returns have been recorded at 62.7% and no capital city has recorded returns of less than 25% over the period</p>
<p><strong>Other asset classes</strong></p>
<p>A major reason why investors remain attracted to residential property is due to the fact that with low interest rates and low economic growth internationally, returns have reduced.  Based on the most recent end of month data, 10 year Australian Government bonds were yielding 1.88 percent, 1 year term deposit rates were 2.65 percent and total returns from the ASX 200 were 9.3 percent.  The safe investment classes of bonds and term deposits are providing extremely low returns.  At the same time total returns from equities have been much stronger however, equities are a more volatile asset class than housing.</p>
<p>While the housing market has provided relatively strong investment returns over recent years and may continue to provide comparatively strong returns over the coming years, there are certainly some headwinds that investors need to be aware of.  Keep in mind too that the purchase cost of a residential property is significantly greater than investing in other asset classes.  The additions to housing supply underway and the weakening rental market should provide a level of caution for investors. </p>
<p>Given the cost of housing and the looming challenges we would expect that although there is likely to be some further uplift in investment demand it is unlikely to result in growth in investor credit to head back towards the 10%pa speed limit.  Investors will also need to be much more selective around which properties they choose given achieving strong returns are seemingly going to be more difficult to achieve over the coming years given the looming headwinds described within.</p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.</em></p>
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Investors re-entering the housing market but should do so with caution: Cameron Kusher

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<div id="post-body-8750789597338754868" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>If there's a subject that I get more emails about than anything else it's the supply of new apartments in Sydney.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>When prices take off you should generally expect a supply response as more projects become viable, until eventually the new supply kills the up-cycle.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/09/22/8.3%20PROPERTY%20CONSTRUCTION%20CYCLE.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/09/22/8.3%20PROPERTY%20CONSTRUCTION%20CYCLE.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>And after a period of under-building you only need a working pair of eyes to see that this is taking place in Sydney.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But instead of drawing conclusions based on emotions or pre-determined 'crashnik' conclusions, let's take a look at what the actual numbers say to see whether we can draw some more specific inferences. </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></strong></div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Approvals boom</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The first thing to note is how far approvals are tilted towards the multi-unit sector in Sydney today, partly as a result of the constrained supply of land close to the city and the Pacific Ocean.</div>
<br>There were some 55,458 approvals over the year to May 2016 - almost double the level of three years ago - and almost exactly two-thirds of these were multi-units at 66 per cent.<br><br><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
</div>
<div class="post-body entry-content">
<img src="/images/2016/09/22/A2.jpg" alt=""><br><br><div>When looking at the individual LGAs the most striking point of note is just how many approvals there have been in western areas such as Camden, Blacktown, Parramatta, and Liverpool, as well as in the increasingly populated Hills District.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Incidentally, the Sydney LGA actually covers an enormous area and more than thirty inner ring suburbs, so it's generally expected that there would be the highest number of approvals in that LGA.</div>
<br><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
</div>
<div class="post-body entry-content">
<img src="/images/2016/09/22/A3.jpg" alt=""><br><br><div>When the weight of new apartment supply hits home there is likely to be fallout in some of these western suburban localities.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It's also noticeable how remarkably few approvals there have been in some of the blue chip LGAs such as Mosman, Hunters Hill, Manly, and Woollahra. </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></strong></div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Completions lag</span></strong></div>
<br><div>If the impact of the supply response has been muted to date, then the next chart explains why. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Despite a 21 per cent year on year increase in annual approvals, annual net dwelling completions have increased by only 3 per cent to 30,901 in the year to May 2016 (with a slightly lower 62 per cent of these being multi-unit dwellings).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>While this is an improvement in completions of about one third over the past three years, it needs to be acknowledged that the Greater Sydney population growth is now tracking at abou<span>t <span>~</span>85,00</span>0 per annum (while the cyclical low for completions in 2009 was cataclysmically bad, and the lowest nadir since 1953).</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/09/22/A1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>This implies that as I have concluded here previously the ratio of dwelling completions to population growth in Sydney was still tracking at below its long run average at least until 31 May 2016.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>And although population growth in Sydney is higher today than it was in the past, there have been 10 years since 1950 where more net dwelling completions were notched up than there were over the past year. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">A prime reason for the supply response being slower than through preceding market cycles is that multi-unit projects on brownfield sites requiring land remediation take a great deal longer to complete than turnkey detached housing developments on greenfield land. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">The number of net dwelling completions remains almost comically low in the blue chip LGAs of the eastern suburbs and lower north shore - with NIMBYism clearly alive and well - but supply is starting to hit its straps in some of the aforementioned higher-density LGAs.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/09/22/A4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Where the pipeline will hurt</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The widening gap between approvals and completions means that there are more dwellings under construction in Sydney than has ever been the case before in any Australian city. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>In particular, there is a concentration risk in play with so many of the dwellings under construction being high-rise apartments. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Take a look at the figures for Parramatta, for example, where there have been 8,646 multi-unit approvals since July 2012 but only 4,946 net dwelling completions. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>That's one heck of a potential supply pipeline, with more units due to come online in adjoining LGAs as well. </div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/09/22/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong><br><br><div>These data lag by a few months, and they show that despite having had relatively little impact to date Sydney's supply response is poised like a coiled spring. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Up until the end of May 2016 net dwelling completions had barely increased from the prior year in tracking at around 30,000.<br><br>However, there is a record number of dwellings in the under construction phase, so this will be one data series to watch closely. </div>
<div> </div>
</div>
<div class="post-footer">
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Sydney apartment completions lag: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>Perth represents both danger and opportunity for property investors at present. </span></p>
<p><span>The city, which led the nation on price and rental growth in 2012 and early 2013, is three years into a cyclical downturn, exacerbated by the wind-down in the resources investment boom.</span></p>
<p><span>Sales activity has been falling steadily since 2013 and the decline has gathered pace since the start of 2016. Some Perth suburbs have sales volumes at a fraction of their former levels, indicating further price decline is likely. </span></p>
<p><span>This situation has been further impacted by vacancies well above 3% in many areas, as workers have left the city in the wake of the resources downturn and the ripple effect that has had on business in Perth (creating CBD office vacancies above 20 percent).</span></p>
<p><span>The situation also represents opportunity for counter-cyclical investors to buy well while price are down and competition is weak. Perth historically has been a population growth leader and one of the strongest capital cities for long-term capital growth. Perth property markets will recover and now is a good time to be looking for bargains.</span></p>
<p><span>Investors, however, should continue to avoid the inner-city apartment markets which have very high vacancies and an oversupply situation that is likely to get worse before it gets better. Housing markets will recover before apartment markets do.</span></p>
<p><span>Hotspotting’s latest research on sales activity demonstrates that the downward trend in the Perth market has deepened recently. Growth markets have vanished and there are now multiple suburbs classified as “danger” markets, with more likely to be added to the warning list if current sales patterns continue in coming quarters. </span></p>
<p><span>Perth’s decline has been happening since the peak in early 2013 and the downturn has worsened since the beginning of 2016.</span></p>
<p><span>The number of dwelling sales in the WA market was above 16,000 per quarter in early 2013. Sales dropped below 15,000 per quarter in 2014 and below 13,000 in 2015. The market has dropped further in 2016, with around 8,300 sales in the March Quarter and fewer than 7,000 in the June Quarter. Sales rates are now well under half those of two years ago.</span></p>
<p><span>The suburb of Mt Pleasant in the Melville LGA has the kind of sales trend that sellers don’t want: sales totaling 62, 50, 42, 25 and 15 in the past five quarters. </span></p>
<p><span>The suburb of Nollamara in the Stirling LGA has dropped from well above 100 per quarter to 55 in the March Quarter and 35 in the June Quarter. In nearby Yokine, the sales pattern has been 103, 95, 75, 74, 79, 51 and 38 (with vacancies at 5.3% in that postcode).</span></p>
<p><span>In Fremantle, the sales pattern since early 2014 has been 85, 61, 66, 60, 59, 47, 49, 45, 27 and 25. In Rivervale in the Belmont LGA, the sales pattern has been 101, 84, 100, 69, 78, 55, 81, 71, 74, 32 and 24. With a vacancy rate around 8%, the immediate future looks bleak.</span></p>
<p><span>The malaise has spread to all market sectors. Upmarket Mosman Park’s quarterly sales record is 74, 72, 76, 62, 51, 62, 47, 41, 30 and 25. In downmarket Gosnells, quarterly sales since early 2014 have been 153, 158, 134, 123, 103, 118, 109, 82, 75 and 53, so current sales are a third of the peak levels.</span></p>
<p><span>So what should investors do? Avoid Perth altogether? Wait until they read about recovery? Or become counter-cyclical buyers?</span></p>
<p>Most investors are herd animals who never take advantage of down markets. They jump into markets when they read there’s a boom under way, as so many did in Sydney over the past few years.</p>
<p><span>The really smart investors, and there were some, saw what was coming, bought before 2013 and got full benefit from the capital growth that followed.</span> </p>
<p><span>The switched-on ones who think and act counter-cyclically will see opportunities to buy bargains in Perth. Prices are down right across the metropolitan area so there’s no shortage of good opportunities, as well as a lack of competition from other punters.</span></p>
<p><span>High vacancy rates would deter many, because of difficulties finding tenants at acceptable rentals, but not everywhere has 5-6 percent vacancy rates.</span> </p>
<p><span>Investors just need to believe Perth has a future. And obviously it does, although it may not feel much like it at present. WA has been a nation-leading growth economy many times and will be so again in the future. Perth has led on population growth and property price escalation, and has had two notable up-cycles in the past 10-12 years. It will recover.</span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span> T<em>erry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au</em></span></p>
<p><span><a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au"><em>ryder@hotspotting.com.au</em></a></span></p>
<p><span><em>twitter.com/hotspotting</em></span></p>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Perth represents both danger and opportunity for property investors: Terry Ryder

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<p>The ABS reported that Building Approvals remained resolutely strong in August 2016, with some 20,788 private sector dwellings approved, driven yet by another rebound in attached dwellings.</p>
<p>The trend in detached house approvals has declined by about 5 percent since peaking in April 2015, while attached dwellings have just kept on trucking. </p>
<div id="post-body-9064765407508357015" class="post-body entry-content"><a href="/images/2016/10/07/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="post-body entry-content">
<br><div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/10/07/A1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Over the year to August some 238,204 dwellings were approved, with the annual total levitating above 200,000 for 23 months on the bounce since October 2014. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Commentators have been calling for an end to the boom for, well, basically all of that time, but those pesky numbers just won't sit down. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/10/07/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><img src="/images/2016/10/07/A4.jpg" alt=""><br><br><div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">City by city (moar apartments!)</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Perth and Darwin continue to adjust to their respectively slowing markets, with house approvals accordingly in a steep decline. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Melbourne remains the city with the strongest trend in house approvals, which may be just as well given the awesomely strong population growth in that city.</div>
</div>
<div class="post-body entry-content"> </div>
<div class="post-body entry-content">
<a href="/images/2016/10/07/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a><br><div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/10/07/A3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div class="separator">Sydney has seen a number of monumental projects put forward for consideration over the past year, including a 10-tower monster being proposed for the site of the present Fish Markets, opposite the old Wentworth Park Dogs.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">It's never entirely clear specifically which projects the ABS approvals figures relate to, but Sydney has approved an all-comers record 11,838 attached dwellings in only three months (wow-wee!). </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">Records are being zinged all over the shop here.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/10/07/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/10/07/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">High rise kaboom</span></strong></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">It's no particular surprise to note that the rebound has been driven by high-density apartment projects of four or more storeys - a high proportion of these will be sold to mainland Chinese - with approvals for most other dwelling types in a steady decline.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/10/07/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/10/07/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>While Victoria may have seen a number of high-rise projects pulled forward into FY2015/16 due to planning changes, New South Wales is rubber-stamping projects for fun right now (although whether all of these approvals come to fruition is another thing).</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/10/07/a6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/10/07/a6.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The approvals figures have elicited quite a lot of excitement, although the completions delivered to date have been far less arousing.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Housing Monitor reported that Sydney saw a total of 30,191 houses and apartments completed during 2015/16, which was the strongest result since 1999/2000 (which if anything just underscores how long it has been since Sydney constructed a decent number of dwellings). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>This sounds quite impressive until you compare it to the hugely strong population growth of the Greater Sydney region over the same time period. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Unsurprisingly, the impact on price growth was precisely zip, with dwelling prices rising by about 10 per cent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, the key characteristic of this construction cycle is the lag - and apartment completions will increase further in 2016/17. In fact, a lot further. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The figures clearly continue to show that the delivery of this glut of high-rise projects is the most at-risk sector of the market.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div id="post-body-4803553000461029700" class="post-body entry-content">
<div class="separator">
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div> </div>
</div>
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High rise projects most at-risk sector: Pete Wargent

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<p>Asking prices for houses in Melbourne are 11.4 percent higher than a year ago, and in Sydney the figure was 11.5 percent, according to SQM Research.</p>
<p>Hobart also recorded outsized gains, while Brisbane, Canberra, and Adelaide each recorded moderate increases. </p>
<p class="p4"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/09/SQM3.jpg" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p class="p4"><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/09/SQM3.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">A key driver appears to be a lack of new stock being brought to market, with upgraders perhaps discouraged by prohibitive transaction costs in the form of stamp duty. </span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">Sydney listings were down by 6.6 percent in January from a month earlier to just 21,633 (remember that Sydney is Australia's most populous capital city, and this number is much lower than in Melbourne, and even Brisbane and Perth). </span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"> </span></p>
<p class="p3"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/09/SQM2.jpg" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p class="p3"><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/09/SQM2.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">It's still quite early in the year to make an accurate assessment, but if this trend towards a constipated market continues there will be a relatively high amount of competition for not much stock this year in Sydney and Melbourne. </span></p>
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Asking prices jump in Sydney and Melbourne

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<p>New home sales hit a two-year low in October 2016, but have since staged something of a recovery. While new detached house sales dipped by 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter, sales of new multi-unit dwellings ticked back up by 3.2 percent.</p>
<p class="p3"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/10/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-10%20at%209.16.02%20AM.png" target="_blank"><span class="s1">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/02/10/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-10%20at%209.16.02%20AM.png" alt=""> </span></p>
<p>In fact the result for multi-units in December was the highest seen for a year-and-a-half, at least in seasonally adjusted terms. </p>
<p>Detached house sales were strongest in the two most populous states, according to the Housing Industry Association (HIA). </p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> </span></p>
<p class="p4"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/10/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-10%20at%209.16.08%20AM.png" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p class="p4"><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/02/10/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-10%20at%209.16.08%20AM.png" alt=""></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of </em><a href="https://allenwargent.com/"><span class="s2"><em>AllenWargent</em></span></a><em> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and </em><a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/"><span class="s2"><em>blogger</em></span></a><em>. </em></span></p>
<p class="p5"> </p>
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New home sales staging a recovery: Pete Wargent

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<p>Vacancy rates declined in January, after December's seasonal spike, according to SQM Research.</p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">All of the capital cities recorded a drop in January, not unusually for the time of year. </span></p>
<p class="p3"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/17/SQM.jpg" target="_blank"><span class="s1">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/17/SQM.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">Nationally the vacancy rate of 2.4 percent was the same as one year previously.</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">The tightest market was Hobart at 0.7 percent, the Tasmanian capital recording strong gains in median asking rents, while the highest vacancy rate was in Perth at 4.8 percent. </span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">Although the figures aren't seasonally adjusted, below I've smoothed them on a 4mMA basis to give some kind of feel for the trend. </span></p>
<p class="p3"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/17/SQM2.jpg" target="_blank"><span class="s1">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/17/SQM2.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">Perth and Darwin have continued to record declining rents, while SQM noted that inner city apartments in Brisbane have seen declines of 2.5 to 5 per cent in asking rents, something I can confirm from having witnessed it first-hand. </span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">To date the Sydney and Melbourne apartment markets appear to be holding up better, with the reported vacancy rate in Melbourne actually lower than a year ago, and median asking rents higher in both of the most populous capital cities. </span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"> </span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">After some truly diabolical declines in dwelling prices ranging anywhere from 50 to 90 per cent in some cases, SQM notes that the bust in some mining towns may now finally be bottoming out. </span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"> </span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">Vacancy rates are down in a range of resources towns from a year previously.</span></p>
<p class="p3"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/17/SQM-1.jpg" target="_blank"><span class="s1">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/17/SQM-1.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s2"><em>Source: SQM Research</em></span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">No, still not a buy, before you ask! </span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of </em><a href="https://allenwargent.com/"><span class="s2"><em>AllenWargent</em></span></a><em> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and </em><a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/"><span class="s2"><em>blogger</em></span></a><em>. </em></span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> </span></p>
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Vacancy rates ease after seasonal spike: Pete Wargent

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<h3 class="post-title entry-title"> </h3>
<div id="post-body-183755154986059073" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>New South Wales stamp duty and land transfer receipts were back up to $9.4 billon over the year to January 2017.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The rolling annual number of transactions is down from previous heights, though remains high with so many apartments being constructed.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/21/NSW.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge </a></div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/21/NSW.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><span>With a record construction boom and rising Sydney dwelling prices, it shouldn't be a surprise that stamp duty and transfers paid rose to record highs in FY2016.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>In fact, the NSW state budget surged into a massive $4.7 billion surplus in 2015-16.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>This result was miles ahead of forecasts and left the state government with net debt of less than zero.</span></div>
<div><span><br>Yes, the state government moved into a cash positive position for the first time ever.  </span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>To complete the virtuous circle, billions of these funds need to be rolled into urgently required infrastructure projects, not least to plug the hole in the economy that will be left by declining housing construction from 2018 forth. </span></div>
</div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>Plenty more where this came from in 2017 as apartment completions hit the market (recall too that the 2016 NSW Budget introduced a 4 per cent surcharge purchaser duty on the acquisition of residential real estate by foreign persons from June 21, 2016.).</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>It's important to recognise that the record windfall represents a surge in pre-sold apartments as much as any recent increase in market liquidity, as stock on market levels to date remain relatively low.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div>
<div><span>The number of transactions jumped to above 25,000 in November 2016, and total receipts seared to an unprecedented $1.78 billion in the month.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>Just to put that number in context, the prior year equivalent figure had been only $729 million, and the previous record for any individual month was just $1.2 billion.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>The November number was so much higher than the prior year that it seemingly defies logic, although there had been a change in purchase duties for non-residents, and then there was the $16 billion Ausgrid sale.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>In January 2017 there were 17,473 transactions, a slightly lower figure than in the prior year.</span></div>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/"><span class="s2">AllenWargent</span></a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/"><span class="s2">blogger</span></a>.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s3"><em>His latest book is </em><a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx"><span class="s2"><em>Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</em></span></a><em>.</em></span></p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="post-footer"> </div>
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NSW stamp duty boom continues in 2017: Pete Wargent  

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<p class="Body1">I’ve often referred to Canberra as the Goldilocks of the Australian real estate market: not too cold, not too hot, just right.</p>
<p class="Body1">The national capital seldom booms, nor does it ever seem to crash. It’s so even and steady in its performance, it’s downright boring.</p>
<p class="Body1">It’s underpinned by a steady economy, high average incomes, low unemployment and the Territory Government’s close control of residential land supply, designed to keep land prices (and government revenue) high.</p>
<p class="Body1">So it’s no great surprise that the Canberra market is cantering along quite nicely. It hasn’t replicated the boom in Sydney, three hours up the road, but sales activity picked up as 2016 progressed and the number of ascendant markets rose significantly.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Most of the pick-up has been in the housing sector, with apartment sales generally declining compared to 2015. The strong house sales activity has resulted in solid price growth, with some sources recording 10% annual price growth, while others suggest 5-6%.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Overall, compared to 2015, sales activity was a little down in 2016, but only marginally so. Sales in 2016 were higher than in 2012, 2013 and 2014, notably for houses. The December Quarter is always the highest for Canberra sales, and this was true also in 2016.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">In terms of total residential sales, volumes have been gradually rising since 2012, when most quarters were a little below 2,000 sales. In 2016, all four quarters delivered well over 2,000 home sales, including 2,400 sales in the December Quarter.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">The apartment market peaked with around 1,000 sales per quarter in 2014-15 and volumes have been gradually decreasing since then, with about 850 sales in each of the September and December Quarters of 2016. Previous oversupply in this market has now been largely absorbed (Canberra now has the lowest vacancy rate among the capital cities, except for Hobart) and we can expect unit sales to rise again in 2017.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Meanwhile, the house sales market has gathered strength and the December 2016 Quarter was the biggest for house sales in the past five years, except for December 2015. The number of suburbs with growing sales activity has increased significantly and is the highest since we began our quarterly surveys three years ago.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Overall, the standout characteristic of Canberra is the steadiness of its performance.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Another predictable factor in the ACT market is the predominance of the northern part of the city in terms of markets with upward momentum.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">While there are now growth suburbs across the Canberra metropolitan area, the strongest precincts once again are the Belconnen and Gungahlin districts.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Canberra has 19 suburbs classified as <em>Rising Steadily</em> markets and 11 of those are in the Belconnen (six) and Gungahlin (five) districts in the north of the metropolitan area.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">These districts also have a large number of suburbs characterised by their consistent sales levels.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Suburbs with rising markets in the Belconnen District include Flynn, Bruce, Macgregor, Kaleen, Holt and Evatt, along with Amaroo, Bonner, Gungahlin, Ngunnawal and Palmerston in the Gungahlin District.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">In Holt, house sales have risen from 20 to 30 to 33 to 40 in consecutive quarters, while Macgregor is up from 33 to 37 to 46 to 51. Both are suburbs with median house prices around $450,000 and attract buyers for their relative affordability (Canberra’s median house price is around $650,000).</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">There are growth markets elsewhere as well, including in the Tuggeranong and Woden Valley districts, as well as in some of the inner-city areas.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">But the most typical Canberra suburbs are the ones with steady sales levels. In Dunlop in the Belconnen District, sales in consecutive quarters have been 35, 39, 37, 36, 34, 38, 40, 41, 40, 38 and 36 over the past three years. That kind of steadiness is what Canberra real estate is really about.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy"><span>T</span><em>erry Ryder is the founder of </em><a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank"><span class="s2"><em>hotspotting.com.au</em></span></a><em>. You can  </em><a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=/'display:%20none;/'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E" target="_blank"><span class="s2"><em>email him</em></span></a><em> or follow him on </em><a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank"><span class="s2"><em>Twitter.</em></span></a></p>
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