<p data-end="150" data-start="66">A rare new apartment development has been proposed on the fringe of St Ives Village.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152">Developer Newquest Property has lodged plans for a low-rise apartment project designed by well-regarded architecture firm Warren &amp; Mahoney, which is best known for its work in the multi-residential sector in Melbourne.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152">The building, proposed for a 1,916 sqm site on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/st-ives-residences-3-5-memorial-avenue-nsw-2075">Memorial Avenue</a> opposite St Ives Village Green, has been designed to blend into the surrounding natural environment.</p>

<p data-end="370" data-start="152"><img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5c1c7437-2fba-4345-a6d7-05321714ad3e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.28.46%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=KrYyMaJvNqR7vbx0xbB3Ef8sJ6FuHpmn" /></p>

<p data-end="745" data-start="537">“Drawing inspiration from the pale trunks and flowering canopies of the scribbly gums and blue gums prevalent in the area, a considered material palette was developed,” the architectural design report states.</p>

<p data-end="912" data-start="747">“This palette references the established materiality of the suburb while elevating it through refined finishes to achieve a more luxurious architectural expression.”</p>

<p data-end="1185" data-start="914">Of the 33 apartments proposed, 21 will be three-bedroom residences. The remaining mix includes nine two-bedroom apartments, one one-bedroom apartment and two four-bedroom residences. The development will be supported by 62 car parking spaces and 33 secure bicycle spaces.</p>

<p data-end="1270" data-start="1187">The proposal would replace two single-storey brick buildings currently on the site.</p>

<p data-end="1270" data-start="1187"><img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="21422eaf-09a9-4439-9278-b9bd9daf22a1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.38.10%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=v.fXSgcUcEscvOZzqcjG5nk3gVqk_Amt" /></p>

<p data-end="1467" data-start="1272">St Ives remains a relatively untapped market for new apartment development. North Shore developer WINIM has a number of projects in the area, while INCA is nearing completion of Ellis Residences.</p>

<p data-end="1635" data-start="1469">More recently, Traders In Purple has lodged plans for one of the denser projects proposed in the suburb, a 75-apartment development on a 5,900 sqm site on Cowan Road.</p>

<p data-end="1635" data-start="1469">NewQuest, a construction, design and development firm, has delivered over 24 projects across commercial, residential, industrial, and lad markets.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>


Joel Robinson

First look: NewQuest Property proposes new St Ives apartment development

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/centa-property-group">Centa Property Group</a> has achieved two major milestones at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bilinga-house-107-golden-four-drive-bilinga-qld-4225">Bilinga House</a> apartment development in the sought-after southern Gold Coast.</p>

<p>They've almost sold 50 per cent of the Golden Four Drive building, while at the same time announcing the commencement of construction through reputable builder Greyburn Construction.</p>

<p>The boutique 10-storey building, with 47 two- and three-bedroom apartments, now has a mid-to-late 2028 completion date.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5333]</p>

<p>The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>-designed project is positioned just 200 metres from Bilinga Beach and brings a relatively rare apartment offering to a market that has seen limited new supply in recent years.</p>

<p>Residences have been designed to maximise natural light and ventilation, with open-plan interiors, generous glazing, and material palettes that reflect the surrounding coastal landscape.</p>

<p>Interiors incorporate engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, and custom joinery, with layouts designed to adapt to both permanent living and lock-and-leave use.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]</p>

<p>Rothelowman Senior Project Leader Matthew Tencate said the design approach centres on liveability and community.</p>

<p>“Providing curated on-site amenities and communal spaces for residents that facilitate a sense of community, liveability, and wellness,” Tencate said.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a suite of private amenities including a pool, gym, sauna, and communal alfresco areas, alongside practical features such as surfboard storage and bicycle facilities.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5336]</p>

<p>Centa Property Group Director Jason Yuen said the project has been designed to appeal to a range of buyers seeking flexibility in how they use their property.</p>

<p>“Bilinga House is designed for those who want the best of both worlds – a modern beachside escape with the flexibility to generate income when you're not there,” Yuen said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150037 project_image_fid=5338]</p>

<p>Bilinga remains one of the quieter pockets of the Gold Coast, sitting between the more established hubs of Coolangatta and Palm Beach. Its appeal has strengthened in recent years, supported by proximity to the Gold Coast Airport and the Oceanway coastal path.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150037]</p>


Bilinga House apartments snapped up as Greyburn commences construction

<p>Breaking into the Sydney property market has long felt out of reach for many first home buyers, particularly as median house prices sit above $1.6 million and unit prices push beyond $900,000.</p>

<p>But entry points still exist in pockets of Greater Western Sydney, where pricing, government incentives, and product mix are aligning to make ownership more attainable.</p>

<p>Understanding where those opportunities sit, and how the numbers actually stack up, is becoming increasingly important for buyers weighing up their next move.</p>

<h2>Work out what you can actually afford</h2>

<p>Sydney is expensive, but it isn’t uniformly expensive. The Greater Parramatta region continues to offer comparatively accessible entry points, particularly for buyers open to alternative configurations like studios.</p>

<p>There's an assumption that a first home needs to be a certain size, that anything smaller than a one-bedder is a concession rather than a choice. That assumption doesn't hold up against what well-designed studios in the right location actually offer: immediate liveability, strong urban amenity, and a price point that makes the deposit target realistic rather than theoretical.</p>

<p>At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/mason-main-merrylands-249-259-merrylands-road-merrylands-nsw-2160">Mason &amp; Main</a>, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/coronation-property">Coronation Property</a>'s multi-award winning precinct in Merrylands, studio apartments are unlike the typical studio configuration.</p>

<p>Starting from $498,000, the bedroom is fully enclosed, separated from the living area by a cavity sliding door, creating a genuinely private sleeping space that functions more like a one-bedroom apartment than a traditional open-plan studio.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=31751 project_image_fid=359814]</p>

<p>At 42 sqm internally, with an open-plan kitchen, built-in robes, modern bathroom, and separate laundry, the apartments are designed for everyday liveability rather than short-term use.</p>

<p>With a five per cent deposit under the Federal Government's First Home Guarantee, that equates to a deposit of around $24,200, achievable for many first home buyers without the added cost of Lenders Mortgage Insurance.</p>

<h2>Understand the real cost of renting versus buying</h2>

<p>For buyers weighing up the shift from renting to owning, the numbers are closer than many expect.</p>

<p>Here’s how the numbers stack up for a studio at Mason &amp; Main (based on a $498,000 purchase):</p>

<ul>
	<li><strong>Purchase price:</strong> $498,000</li>
	<li><strong>Five per cent deposit (First Home Guarantee):</strong> ~$24,900</li>
	<li><strong>Loan amount:</strong> ~$473,100</li>
	<li><strong>Estimated mortgage repayment (6.29% variable, 30-year term):</strong> ~$675–$695/week*</li>
	<li><strong>Estimated rental return:</strong> $590–$620/week*</li>
	<li><strong>Rental yield:</strong> 6.16% - 6.47%</li>
</ul>

<p>At this level, the gap between renting and owning is relatively narrow, particularly when factoring in long-term equity, with rental returns also making the apartments a viable option for investors.</p>

<p>The rental range reflects current asking rents for remaining studio stock in the development and, based on prevailing asking prices, equates to an indicative gross rental yield of up to 6.47 per cent.</p>

<p>For buyers seeking more internal space, Mason &amp; Main also offers a range of one-bedroom apartments from $629,000, alongside larger one-bedroom plus multipurpose room configurations priced from $680,000 - all priced under $800,000 and eligible for first home buyer incentives.</p>

<ul>
	<li><strong>Purchase price:</strong> $629,000</li>
	<li><strong>20 per cent deposit:</strong> ~$125,800 (5% deposit on exchange: $31,450)</li>
	<li><strong>Loan amount 80%:</strong> ~$503,200</li>
	<li><strong>Estimated mortgage repayment:</strong> ~$720–$740/week*</li>
	<li><strong>Estimated rental return:</strong> $650–$680/week*</li>
	<li><strong>Rental yield:</strong>&nbsp;5.37% - 5.62%</li>
</ul>

<p>One-bedroom apartments continue to present a balanced option for both owner-occupiers and investors, supported by steady rental demand across Western Sydney.<span style="font-size:small"><span style="color:#222222"><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif"><span style="font-style:normal"><span style="font-variant-ligatures:normal"><span style="font-weight:400"><span style="white-space:normal"><span style="background-color:#ffffff"><span style="text-decoration-thickness:initial"><span style="text-decoration-style:initial"><span style="text-decoration-color:initial">&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=31751 project_image_fid=359812]</p>

<h2>Make sure you're across the government incentives</h2>

<p>Government incentives continue to play a key role in reducing the upfront cost barrier.</p>

<p>At Mason &amp; Main, studio, one, and two-bedroom apartments are priced under $800,000, allowing eligible buyers to access a full stamp duty exemption under the NSW First Home Buyers Assistance Scheme.</p>

<p>On a $498,000 purchase, that represents a saving of roughly $17,900 that would otherwise need to be paid at settlement.</p>

<p>Combined with the First Home Guarantee, which enables purchases with as little as a five per cent deposit, the total capital required to secure a home is significantly reduced compared to traditional lending pathways.</p>

<h2>No waiting, no uncertainty</h2>

<p>For first home buyers who want to move sooner rather than later, Mason &amp; Main removes one of the more common pain points from the purchase process entirely. The development is already complete and move-in ready, meaning buyers can walk through the apartments, inspect the finishes, and have full certainty about what they're purchasing before signing anything.</p>

<p>Coronation brought in renowned architecture firm <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a> to design the development.&nbsp;</p>

<p>"The project's design drew inspiration from the area's rich heritage, in particular the nearby brickworks and aqueduct, infusing a contemporary perspective to seamlessly integrate historical influences into the design," Woods Bagot Principal Dom Alvaro says.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=31751 project_image_fid=736]</p>

<h2>Factor in location and lifestyle</h2>

<p>Beyond the apartment itself, the surrounding infrastructure matters, particularly for a first purchase. Merrylands Station sits 350 metres from the development, putting the Parramatta CBD a five-minute drive away and the Sydney CBD roughly 25 minutes via the Western Line. Directly across the road is Stockland <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/merrylands-nsw-2160">Merrylands</a>, one of Greater Western Sydney's major retail centres.</p>

<p>At street level, Mason &amp; Main's own retail and dining precinct has more than 30 tenants trading, including Iftar, Macelleria, Hayat, San Churro, Yuzu, and Fat Jaks. Residents also have access to a resort-style pool, a Technogym-equipped gym, private dining rooms, and a rooftop terrace with panoramic views across Parramatta, the Sydney CBD, and the Blue Mountains, all exclusive to the building.</p>

<p>Due to the mix of configurations, including studios which are rarely offered in today's new apartment market, first home buyers and investors have driven Mason &amp; Main to over 90 per cent sold.</p>

<p>Coronation Property Managing Director Joe Nahas says the development is driving a revitalisation of Merrylands, setting a high standard for future developments in the area.</p>

<p>Mason &amp; Main is move-in ready and is the latest in a series of award-winning mixed-use developments by Coronation Property.</p>

<p><em>Disclaimer: Mortgage repayment figures are estimates only, based on a 6.29 per cent variable rate over a 30-year term (Canstar, April 2026). Pricing and rental estimates are indicative and based on current listings and project information. Gross yield figures are indicative and derived from asking prices and estimated rental ranges. Stamp duty savings are indicative only. Buyers should seek independent financial and legal advice before proceeding.</em></p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=31751]</p>


How first home buyers can enter the Sydney property market for under $500k

<p data-end="390" data-start="110">Australia’s housing debate has rarely been more urgent. The National Housing Supply and Affordability Council forecasts the country could fall around 262,000 homes short of housing needs by 2029, underscoring the scale of the challenge facing planners, governments and developers.</p>

<p data-end="514" data-start="392">In response, much of the conversation has centred on high-density towers around transport corridors and strategic centres.</p>

<p data-end="676" data-start="516">Diversified developer Coronation Property, while also focused on well-located, strategic sites, is incorporating an arguably underutilised typology, the terrace.</p>

<p data-end="983" data-start="678">Difficult to integrate into true high-rise developments, terraces have become a defining feature of Coronation’s lower-rise portfolio, including projects in Ashbury and Erskineville. <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/ashbury-terraces-165-171-milton-street-ashbury-nsw-2193">Ashbury Terraces</a> places a stronger emphasis on this housing type, forming part of a broader community mix.</p>

<p data-end="1188" data-start="985">At its Erskineville development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/lillian-erskineville-9-metters-street-erskineville-nsw-2043">Lillian</a>, terraces are more limited, with just a handful&nbsp;included within the wider, predominantly apartment-led precinct, one of the first developments to launch in Erskineville in several years.</p>

<p data-end="1188" data-start="985">[smartcode_project:default project_id=135149 project_image_fid=368392]</p>

<p data-end="1524" data-start="1190">Terrace residents at Lillian benefit from many of the same advantages as apartment owners, the lock-up-and-leave lifestyle and access to shared amenities like the rooftop wellness space, but with significantly more space.</p>

<p data-end="1524" data-start="1190">Spanning multiple levels, the terraces also feature front and rear courtyards, providing direct access to the central landscaped gardens within the precinct.</p>

<h3 data-end="212" data-section-id="1n97jye" data-start="191">The terrace model</h3>

<p data-end="464" data-start="214">Terrace housing has long been part of Australia’s urban fabric. From Paddington and Surry Hills to Glebe and Annandale, rows of terrace homes have shaped neighbourhood streets, offering a housing form that sits between detached houses and apartments.</p>

<p data-end="631" data-start="466">The contemporary terrace, however, addresses many of the limitations of older designs, where narrow staircases and constrained layouts often compromised liveability.</p>

<p data-end="703" data-start="633">[smartcode_project:default project_id=135149 project_image_fid=368157]</p>

<p data-end="834" data-start="705">“Terraces represent one of the city’s most intelligent housing models,” says Joe Nahas, Managing Director of Coronation Property.</p>

<p data-end="1085" data-start="836">“They deliver density without losing the human scale that makes neighbourhoods liveable. In many ways, they provide a bridge between the Sydney we know and the Sydney we need to build. If Sydney is going to grow well, it can’t rely on towers alone.”</p>

<hr data-end="1090" data-start="1087" />
<h3 data-end="1124" data-section-id="1a7l0gw" data-start="1092">The evolution of the terrace</h3>

<p data-end="1262" data-start="1126">That thinking has shaped Coronation’s approach at Ashbury Terraces, where the terrace typology has been reinterpreted for modern living.</p>

<p data-end="1459" data-start="1264">Designed by SJB, the project recently received recognition at the 2026 Better Future World Design Awards, acknowledging its architectural clarity and response to the surrounding suburban context.</p>

<p data-end="1564" data-start="1461">SJB Director Adam Haddow says the intent was to evolve a familiar housing form rather than reinvent it.</p>

<p data-end="1723" data-start="1566">“The terrace is one of Sydney’s most familiar housing forms, so our approach at Ashbury was to reinterpret that typology in a contemporary way,” Haddow says.</p>

<p data-end="1888" data-start="1725">“The homes are designed to sit comfortably within the existing neighbourhood while introducing more light, landscape and shared spaces that support modern living.”</p>

<p data-end="2082" data-start="1890">Ashbury Terraces combines terraces, apartments and penthouses across a series of low-rise buildings, integrating contemporary architecture with landscaped communal spaces and resident amenity.</p>

<p data-end="2264" data-start="2084">That same typology is now being carried into Coronation’s Lillian development in Erskineville, where a smaller number of terraces sit within a predominantly apartment-led precinct.</p>

<hr data-end="2269" data-start="2266" />
<h3 data-end="2289" data-section-id="cazuws" data-start="2271">Buyer response</h3>

<p data-end="2486" data-start="2291">Coronation’s decision to include terraces at Lillian was informed by strong buyer feedback from Ashbury Terraces, where purchasers were drawn to the flexibility and scale the housing type offers.</p>

<p data-end="2588" data-start="2488">One resident, Sweta Pursem, purchased a terrace as a single buyer, citing its long-term versatility.</p>

<p data-end="2720" data-start="2590">“As a single buyer, it might seem surprising that I chose a terrace over an apartment, but I was thinking long term,” Pursem says.</p>

<p data-end="2851" data-start="2722">“The terraces are incredibly versatile, catering to a range of lifestyles while still offering the space and privacy of a house.”</p>

<p data-end="2962" data-start="2853">For Pursem, the multi-level layout provides a level of functionality not typically found in apartment living.</p>

<p data-end="3202" data-start="2964">“Having a separate living area from the bedroom and home office makes everyday living feel both functional and comfortable. When friends and family come to visit, the layout gives a sense of privacy while still feeling open and spacious.”</p>

<p data-end="3279" data-start="3204">Her terrace also supports a more connected, lifestyle-driven way of living.</p>

<p data-end="3537" data-start="3281">“I love entertaining, and the courtyard is ideal for relaxed weekend drinks with friends. I tend to use each level differently throughout the day, it creates a natural rhythm between work, downtime and entertaining, which I didn’t have in apartment living.”</p>

<p data-end="3692" data-start="3539">Ashbury Terraces is now complete and ready to move in, while Lillian in Erskineville is under construction and expected to welcome residents in mid-2027.</p>


Coronation champions terraces as a key piece of Sydney’s housing mix

<p data-end="490" data-start="206"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sunkin-property-group">Sunkin Property Group</a> has launched <em data-end="251" data-start="241">Live Now</em> at its recently completed Highett Common masterplan in Highett, centred on a collection of two- and three-bedroom apartments now available for immediate move-in, alongside curated furnishing and appliance packages valued at up to $70,000.</p>

<p data-end="908" data-start="492">The offering, which includes flexible move-in and settlement terms, marks a shift in the 9.3-hectare Bayside precinct as it transitions from construction into an established residential community. As part of delivering early amenity to the first residents, Sunkin has completed a one-hectare park and children’s playground, while the three-hectare Highett Grassy Woodland Conservation Area is set to open next month.</p>

<p data-end="1270" data-start="910">Further amenity, including a dedicated wellness facility, is planned to enhance the precinct over time. The surrounding neighbourhood also plays a key role in the project’s appeal. A Woolworths supermarket sits next door, Highett Train Station is directly across the road, and the shops, bars and restaurants along Highett Road are all within walking distance.</p>

<p data-end="1632" data-start="1272">The completed residences are located within the Park House and North Lane buildings, forming part of the first stage of the masterplanned development. Each apartment is delivered with a tailored move-in package developed in collaboration with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/coco-republic-interior-design">Coco Republic</a> and Dolce Dominique, alongside a suite of household appliances designed to support immediate occupancy.</p>

<p data-end="1958" data-start="1634">For two-bedroom apartments, the package is valued at $45,000, while three-bedroom residences include an expanded $70,000 offering. Both packages incorporate furnishing and styling by Coco Republic, a curated artwork selection by Dolce Dominique, window furnishings, and a full appliance suite across the kitchen and laundry.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=368404]</p>

<p>Coco Republic’s Rohan Smith said the approach to the packages was aligned with a more considered, design-led outcome rather than a standardised furniture inclusion.</p>

<p>“We approached these residences the way we’d approach a private client brief,” he said.</p>

<p>“Each package has been tailored to the proportions and orientation of the apartments at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/highett-common-37-graham-road-highett-vic-3190">Highett Common</a>, the furniture selections, the textiles, the placement. It’s not a cookie-cutter styling job. These are considered interiors designed to feel personal from day one.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=368403]</p>

<p>Dolce Dominique founder Dominique Gauci added that the artwork selections were intended to respond to the surrounding Bayside environment.</p>

<p>“Art changes the way a room breathes," Gauci said.</p>

<p>"We’ve curated pieces that respond to the natural light and the leafy outlook these apartments have, work that feels connected to the Bayside environment rather than dropped in from a catalogue.”</p>

<p>The appliance package includes a Haier fridge, Bosch washing machine and dryer, small kitchen appliances from Smeg, a Breville Barista Pro coffee machine, and a Dyson robotic vacuum, positioning the apartments as fully equipped from the point of settlement.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=368407]</p>

<p>Highett Common has been masterplanned by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/tract-landscape-architects">Tract Consultants</a> with architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/clarke-hopkins-clarke">Clarke Hopkins Clarke</a>, and is structured around a network of green spaces, pedestrian links, and community facilities. More than 40 per cent of the site is dedicated to open space, including parkland, a conservation reserve, and landscaped walking trails.</p>

<p>The precinct also incorporates a new Highett library, community gardens, and a series of pedestrian laneways known as The Mews, designed to connect different parts of the neighbourhood and encourage walkability.</p>

<p>Future stages of the project will introduce a private amenity suite for residents, including an indoor pool, gym, wellness spaces, and shared dining and lounge areas, with delivery aligned to later construction phases.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=300073]</p>

<p>Located around 17 kilometres south-east of the Melbourne CBD, Highett Common benefits from proximity to Highett Station, local retail along Highett Road, and broader Bayside amenity, positioning it as a connected middle-ring option for a range of buyer groups.</p>

<p>Sustainability remains a core component of the development, which is targeting Net Zero Carbon status. Residences are designed to achieve an average 8-star NatHERS rating, supported by all-electric systems, solar readiness, EV charging infrastructure, and water-sensitive landscaping.</p>

<p>With no construction timeline or off-the-plan wait, the completed apartments at Highett Common offer a more immediate pathway to ownership, allowing buyers to move in as soon as settlement is complete.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108019]</p>


Sunkin offers Live Now packages at Highett Common as first stage completes

<p>Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.</p>

<p>They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.</p>

<p>They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.</p>

<p>Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" /></p>

<p>Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor</p>

<p>Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" /></p>

<p>Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>​</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.</p>

<p>With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.</p>


Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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<p><span>So far this week, 1,494 capital city auction results have been reported to CoreLogic RP Data, resulting in a preliminary auction clearance rate of 75.7% across the combined capital cities. </span></p>
<p><span>There were a total of 1,862 capital city auctions held this week. This week’s result indicates that clearance rates are still tracking higher than they were one year ago, when the final auction clearance rate over the week was 68.9 per cent across 1,473 auctions.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Capital-City.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Capital-City.jpg" alt="" width="787" height="588"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>Across </span><strong>Melbourne</strong><span>, this week’s preliminary clearance rate was recorded at 78.6 per cent, up from a recent low of 75.7 per cent last week and remaining well above the clearance rate for the city one year ago (69.0 per cent). This week, Melbourne was host to 760 auctions, significantly lower than the 918 held last week, but higher than a year ago when there were 636 Melbourne auctions held over the week. Of the 9 individual Melbourne sub-regions, this week the strongest performer, in terms of clearance rates, was the Outer West. So far, CoreLogic RP Data has collected 48 results for the region and the preliminary results shows 93.8 per cent of these auctions were successful.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Melbourne.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Melbourne.jpg" alt="" width="728" height="491"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><strong>Sydney’s</strong><span> preliminary auction clearance rate was 78.8 per cent this week, the fourth week in a row where Sydney has recorded a result below 80 per cent. Last week, Sydney’s clearance rate was 79.9 per cent, while one year ago results show that 76.7 per cent of Sydney homes taken to auction were successful, showing the gap between this year’s clearance rate and last year’s clearance rate is starting to close. In terms of the number of auctions across the city, this week volumes were lower, down to 816 from 906 last week. One year ago just 588 Sydney homes were taken to auction over the week. The Blacktown sub-region of Sydney has shown the strongest performance so far this week, with 94.4 per cent of the 18 reported results selling, with 2 remaining results yet to be collected.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Sydney.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Sydney.jpg" alt="" width="759" height="518"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>There were 140 </span><strong>Brisbane</strong><span> homes taken to auction this week, with 94 results reported so far. The preliminary clearance rate for the city is 60.6 per cent, up from 54.0 per cent last week and higher than one year ago, when just 36.7 per cent of the 96 properties taken to auction were successful. Across the </span><strong>Gold Coast </strong><span>44 results have been reported so far, with a success rate of 47.7 per cent (21 sales).</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Brisbane.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Brisbane.jpg" alt="" width="836" height="561"></span></p>
<p><span>This week, </span><strong>Adelaide</strong><span> saw a preliminary clearance rate of 71.9 per cent, with 57 reported results across a total of 75 scheduled auctions. In comparison, over the previous week Adelaide’s clearance rate was 58.9 per cent and 61.0 per cent one year ago.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Adelaide.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/08/03/20150803-Adelaide.jpg" alt="" width="823" height="564"></span></p>
<p>There were 23 <strong>Perth</strong> auctions this week, with a preliminary clearance rate of 43.8 per cent. Last week, Perth recorded its strongest auction clearance rate for July, at 52.6 per cent.</p>
<p>Across <strong>Canberra</strong> a total of 40 auctions were held this week, compared to 49 last week and 28 at the same time last year. Canberra’s preliminary clearance rate of 79.2 per cent is higher than it was the previous week (68.8 per cent).</p>
<p>Of the 6 <strong>Tasmanian</strong> auction results reported so far this week, 2 sales have been recorded.</p>
<p><span> </span></p>
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smiller-vwPjRHTkST

Sydney’s clearance rate below 80%: CoreLogic RP Data's Shana Miller

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<p>If one was looking for a single word that is missing from the ongoing property debate, look no further than 'perspective'.</p>
<p>Some are looking at the property market from a perspective that has lead them to a conclusion which is totally and completely wrong.</p>
<p>Investors have got it completely right given (in the case of Sydney) we are suffering from a chronic undersupply which explains why the vacancy rate in a 10 kilometre radius from the CBD has sat below 2% for the best part of a decade.</p>
<p>Never before have we seen a better time to convene an inquiry into the Australian real estate markets because nobody has an accurate perspective as to what is actually happening. Earlier this year I was one of the first to write that something was not right with the influx of overseas buyers.</p>
<p>This brought about an inquiry (that is still going) although it has exposed the Australian Foreign Investment Board (FIRB) to be in total disarray.</p>
<p>Last week, Federal MP Kelly O'Dwyer told ABC <em>Lateline</em>:</p>
<p>"What we've found out though, through the evidence that our committee has received, is that these rules have simply not been enforced through prosecution since 2006 by the FIRB. I think there has been a failure of leadership of the FIRB on this. I think they have dropped the ball. I think if we have rules in place, those rules need to be properly enforced. That is the only way we can give confidence to the Australian people that our foreign investment framework's working as it should. So we would be looking to tighten up exactly what occurs in terms of enforcement penalties that can be applied, but also to make sure that FIRB is doing its job."</p>
<p>Well it's very clear that FIRB have not been doing their job, so in the meantime Ms O'Dwyer should be introducing a temporary ban on all overseas purchases until such time that the government can fully determine how big this matter is.</p>
<p>In my opinion there is no better person qualified to chair the inquiry than Bill Moss who is a former Macquarie Group banker and head of property. Speaking to <em>The Weekend Australian</em>, he said:</p>
<p>"This is the first (property) cycle we've seen where there's a deregulated global market,where capital is free to flow from Asia to Australia. We have a free floating dollar, equity makers are global and now our residential markets are going the same way."</p>
<p>The major concern in Australia is that nobody knows just how many properties have been acquired given nobody has a perspective as to the exact number.</p>
<p>Although, negative gearing presents a much bigger problem in the Australian property markets than overseas investors.</p>
<p>Another person who must be appointed to an inquiry is Saul Eslake, who this week called on Canberra to put an end to negative gearing for new investors as the best way to dampen frothy property markets in Sydney and Melbourne.</p>
<p>It should be noted that he referred to them as 'frothy' not a 'bubble'. He accepts that it is not politically feasible to abolish negative gearing because around 15%of voters are currently taking advantage of negative gearing – which explains why no politician should participate in the inquiry given they have vested interests.</p>
<p>Australian investors are smart and can sense a change to the property tax landscape in Australia, which I pointed out last week.</p>
<p>It is important to note the recommended measures are nothing more than temporary until such time that the government can get a correct perspective on the Australian property markets.</p>
<p>Bill Moss went on to say in his interview that our housing markets were better tackled at a state or local government level, with the federal government or the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) macro prudential tools such as restricting how much banks can lend to investors. "Rather than react to what's happening, what the government needs to do is understand what is going to happen."</p>
<p>The interview keeps getting better, when he commented that "governments should look how to make money from a real estate bubble."</p>
<p>In my opinion, overseas buyers should be paying a much higher Stamp Duty and a Vacancy Tax for all properties where the owners decide to landbank by locking them up. All these taxes should be flowing into new infrastructure strategies.</p>
<p>The problem is that governments have neither perspective nor understanding about real estate machinations. So they need to establish an inquiry to better understand what exactly is going on as against merely flying from the seats of their pants.</p>
<p> </p>
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robertsimeon-hRNTwJyXkQ

The new 'P' in property is perspective

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<p>Meh.</p>
<p>Retail trade increased by a seasonally adjusted 0.1% in August, missing expectations of a solid 0.4% rise. The trend still looks a bit sticky.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2014/10/8/RT1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Although we got a nice result in July, August was once again fairly ordinary.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2014/10/8/RT2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>We'll have to wait and see what the September data brings in order to assess the impact on the growth of the economy in Q3 in chain volume measures terms. In particular, care should be taken not to be head faked by retail trade data while forgetting to acknowledge household consumption of services, which is not well captured by this data series.</p>
<p><strong>State versus state</strong></p>
<p>The state level data shows that New South Wales continues to experience boom conditions for retailers.</p>
<p>Sydneysiders would be forgiven for wondering what the fuss is about when it comes to all the talk of a "weak economy". In Sydney, shoppers have simply been lapping it up thanks to low interest rates and the recognised "wealth effect" associated with rising house prices.</p>
<p>A look at other states shows a less than rosy picture. Retail trade has under-performed badly in South Australia over the past five years. Queensland has enjoyed a somewhat better run, but is now threatening to roll over, while the year-on-year trend in Western Australia is looking a bit flat to say the least.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2014/10/8/RT3.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>A look at the quarterly and annual data shows New South Wales miles out in front, but the mining states are now treading water somewhat.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2014/10/8/RT4.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>More pizzas</strong></p>
<p>As for where Aussies are spending their money...well, yet more eating out, of course! The value of retail trade has almost doubled in this sector over the past decade...an extraordinary trend.</p>
<p>It does not follow that this is necessarily a great industry to get into to make money, though, since the barriers to entry are relatively low and therefore it is difficult for businesses to build an "economic moat". The scores of eating establishments in suburbs such as Newtown in Sydney bear ample testimony to that fact.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2014/10/8/RT5.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Listed pizza takeaway companies in Britain have long opined that this trend towards takeaway food and eating out is a generational shift. And they're absolutely right.</p>
<p>Some of the increase is no doubt attributable to a rise in apartment-dwelling, where inhabitants look to spend more time out of their place of residence than was previously the case. But a big part of it is simply a generational change, which is reflected in the fact that the increases are also seen in regions where unit and apartment dwellers are in the minority.</p>
<p>For all of the seemingly zillions of cookery shows on television, a significant proportion of younger people have very little interest in cooking for themselves.</p>
<p>I can hardly claim to be exempt from the trend myself. Being from a family of five lads I can count the number of times we ate out as kids on the fingers of one hand - one family wedding, perhaps a birthday treat at a pizza house another time...not a lot else!</p>
<p>These days, eating out or going to a cafe is an almost daily occurrence.</p>
<p>Disposable incomes have increased again over the past decade, but - as is the nature of such things - as incomes increase so too does expenditure on what people begin to believe are "necessities".</p>
<p>Of course we have absolutely zero need to spend more money on dining out than any previous generation. The only thing that has really changed in this regard is an exponential rise in our own laziness and an equivalent increase in our own lifestyle expectations.</p>
<p>Then of course people complain that living costs are "too high" while simultaneously eating out for one meal in every four and in so many cases inevitably spending up to $200 per week on dining and drinking out - that's more than $10,000 per annum in after-tax dollars spent.</p>
<p>On that sombre note, off out for a coffee...</p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

An ordinary August as retail trade fails to reach expectations

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<p>There are 992 auctions scheduled this week in Melbourne compared to 1008 for the same time last year (the fourteenth week with over 1,000 auction this year).</p>
<p>The highest volume of auctions will be in Mount Waverly with 19 expected.</p>
<p>After a few weeks where sellers were holding the upper hand, last week showed that they still need to ensure that their sale price expectations are not too high.</p>
<p>While the Melbourne market is healthy, it is recording more moderate growth than in the two previous upswings in 2007 and 2010.</p>
<p>September quarter property values showed that the strongest growth in house values on a suburb basis were in the inner east.</p>
<p>Armadale saw a 25.4% rise over the last year and similar growth was recorded in nearby Malvern East, Glen Iris and Camberwell. It is often the case that in an improving market the most expensive segment records the strongest increase in values.</p>
<p>It was also interesting to note that Fairfield joined its neighbor, Alphington, as a suburb with a median house value of in excess of a million dollars. Buyers who can't afford Mont Albert or Balwyn are gravitating north of the Yarra.</p>
<p>On a city wide basis, the time on market results for houses sold at private sale rose from 39 days to 40 days over the last week while vendor discounting fell from -5.3% to -5.1%.</p>
<p>Key data</p>
<ul>
<li>Clearance rate week ending 5 October: 69.1%</li>
<li>Melbourne auctions expected week ending 12 October: 992</li>
<li>Melbourne private sales time on market week ending 5 October: 40 days (houses)</li>
<li>Melbourne vendor discounting market week ending 5 October: -5.1% (houses)</li>
<li>Listings being prepared for market are 3.9% higher in month ending 5 October (seasonally adjusted)</li>
</ul>
<p> </p>
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rlarocca-zWhvjay44N

Melbourne buyers head north of the Yarra: RP Data's weekend auction preview

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<div>Anyone who implies you that they have any genuine clarity around what is happening with Housing Finance data at the moment is telling you porkies, but since the September data was released today, let's at least see what we can deduce!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>At the margin there are evidently blurred lines between loans that are being classified as investor lending, and those which are determined to be owner-occupier approvals. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The figures reported for new investor lending dropped sharply in September to $12.3 billion on a seasonally adjusted basis, having pulled back from a record peak of above $14 billion in April. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As sure as night follows day, however, with Australia's major lenders continuing to target high returns on equity (ROE) there will certainly be a strong push to promote owner-occupier lending (ask for a mortgage discount!), and this was once again in evidence with another 3 per cent seasonally adjusted surge in the value of commitments in September to more than $21 billion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Thus while the monthly value of investor lending is now broadly flat year-on-year, the total value of owner-occupier commitments has leapt more than 23% higher.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/11/12/HF1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/11/12/HF1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Blurred lines</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Given the blurred lines in relation to loan classifications and refinancing right now, the most straightforward measure of housing market activity is simply to look at the aggregate value of housing finance. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There was more than a slight suspicion that the rocketing value of owner-occupier commitments in the preceding month was partly a result of the mis-classification of refinancing as new lending.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>While this story remains somewhat unclear for now, the housing finance data showed another very strong month of lending in aggregate at a seasonally adjusted $33.4 billion, taking the trend estimate up to a fresh high.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/11/12/HF2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/11/12/HF2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Classification issues or no, given that total seasonally adjusted monthly housing finance breached $25 billion for the first time only two years previously in September 2013, a total result of $33.4 billion is a phenomenally high level of activity by any reckoning.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Ultimately, as pointed out by Reserve Bank Governor Stevens recently, borrowers can still source mortgage rates of close to 4 per cent despite the recent tightening on some investor loans, and there is still a good deal of appetite for borrowing where finance can be successfully sought.</div>
<br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Unintended consequences</span></strong><br><div> </div>
<div>Macroprudential measures taken to cool housing markets will inevitably have some unintended consequences, one of which may be that lenders demanding a high ROE target potential borrowers with existing equity, which in a curiously reflexive manner might skew lending towards markets which have already outperformed through the cycle.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That is, cooling measures could accidentally spill fuel onto raging fires, since banks still have a desire to lend even in the face of stricter loan-to-value ratio (LVR) controls. </div>
<div>
<br>Certainly in London we saw the Pommie equivalent Mortgage Market Review (MMR) gum up UK market activity in aggregate, yet by the end of Q2 2014 the London housing market was blowing off in a spectacular starburst of bubbliness, recording its fastest annual rate of price growth in nearly three decades at +26 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Nor has the underlying problem remotely gone away since, with record low mortgage rates helping to thrust the average London house price considerably <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2015/10/average-london-house-price-500000" target="_blank">hig</a><span><a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2015/10/average-london-house-price-500000" target="_blank">her still to <span>£</span>500,000</a>, </span>and the latest <a href="https://www.cityam.com/228290/uk-house-prices-london-property-prices-to-rise-a-third-by-2019-as-demand-continues-to-outweigh-supply" target="_blank">forecasts</a> projecting another kamikaze 31 per cent boom in London house prices by 2019. </div>
<div>
<br>Commentary suggesting that Auckland house prices would be curbed by macroprudential measures also proved to be misguided, at least in the near term, with house prices thereafter bubbling up in rampant fashion towards the million dollar mark, although a reversal may at last now be falling due.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Another of the unintended consequences of macroprudential measures may be a premature end to Australia's residential building boom, with loans for the construction of new homes sinking almost right across the board over the past year, and investor loans for the construction of new residential properties having tanked by nearly a quarter.<br><br>Thirdly, tighter lending measures will almost certainly knock more budding first time buyers out of the market, with market share tumbling from 15.8 per cent to 15.4 per cent in the month, and first time investors or "rent-vestors" doubtless befalling a similar fate due to their lack of existing equity.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Granularity of markets</span></strong></div>
<div>
<br>In this context it will be interesting to see what happens to lending in Sydney and Melbourne over the year ahead, since there exists tentative evidence of similar patterns unfolding.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of the 23 per cent boom in the value of monthly owner-occupier commitments over the past year, New South Wales has accounted for nearly two thirds of that increase, and Victoria one third.<br><br>The two most populous states - and home to the two capital cities which have overwhelmingly played host to the housing value growth through this cycle to date - have accounted for almost all of the increase in the value of lending.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/11/12/HF3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/11/12/HF3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Queensland is home to any number of regional markets which have floundered in contrast to their supposed hotspot status of 2012 - Moranbah, Dysart, Emerald, Bowen, Chinchilla, Roma, and Gladstone, to name but a few - so in this context the relatively moderate uptick in lending commitments at the state level can be no surprise.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Indeed the figures conversely augur well for housing market activity across the Greater Brisbane area given that the original data for Queensland in September showed solid total owner-occupier lending of $3.44 billion, taking lending volumes up to a 67 month high on a 12mMA basis.</div>
<br><div>As for the New South Wales figures in September, there has never been a month of home lending like it in Australia, with the original data busting out a +46.2% year-on-year increase in the value of lending to an astonishing $8.55 billion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/11/12/HF4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/11/12/HF4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
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Investor lending cools: Pete Wargent

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<h1 class="title"> </h1>
<p><span>The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released housing finance data for September 2015 earlier this week.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/11/12/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-12%20at%2010.10.17%20AM.png" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/11/12/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-12%20at%2010.10.17%20AM.png" alt="" width="623" height="488"></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>The broad housing finance trends show that demand from the owner occupier segment of lending is falling while demand from investors fades.  Of course since late December last year we have seen limits come into effect regarding annual investment credit growth as well as, more recently, higher interest rates for all investment borrowers and lower loan to value ratios for many.  </span></p>
<p><span>Given these changes it is no real surprise that demand from this market segment is falling; there is less investment borrowing to be had and lower LVRs mean that for many borrowers negative gearing becomes somewhat less attractive. On the other hand, demand from owner occupiers is rising, largely from upgraders and those refinancing while there is little sign that first home buyer demand is rising. </span></p>
<p><span>Much of the recent refinance activity has subsequently translated into eventual housing investment, it will be interesting to see if the current refinance activity is just home owners shopping around for a better mortgage deal or if it will start to flow to investment in other asset classes.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/11/12/Chart-2.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/11/12/Chart-2.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>Looking more closely at owner occupier lending, the seasonally adjusted data shows that there was $21.0 billion worth of commitments in September 2015.  This represented a monthly increase of 3.0% and a year-on-year rise of 23.1%. The $21.0 billion consisted of $1.8 billion in lending for construction of dwellings, $1.3 billion in lending for purchase of new dwellings, $6.7 billion in lending for refinances and $11.2 billion in lending for purchase of established dwellings. </span></p>
<p><span>Each of the four components of owner occupier housing finance commitments have increased over the month with most having increased year-on-year.  Year-on-year, the changes have been recorded at -1.3% for lending for construction of dwellings, +32.1% for lending for purchase of new dwellings, +30.0% for refinances and +23.0% for purchases of established dwellings. </span></p>
<p><span>Clearly owner occupier demand is rising however, the ABS does note that ADIs are currently making changes to lending classifications which are seeing more investor loans classified as loans to owner occupiers. This will be contributing to a proportion of this rise, how big that proportion is we are unsure.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/11/12/Chart-3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/11/12/Chart-3.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>In September 2015 there was a seasonally adjusted $12.3 billion worth of housing finance commitments to investors, this was the lowest value of investor lending since August 2014.  The monthly value of lending to investors has fallen by -12.8% from its peak of $14.1 billion in April 2015.  The $12.3 billion figure consists of $0.6 billion in lending for new construction which is the lowest level in a year and $11.7 billion in lending for established homes which is the lowest level since August of last year.  Lending for new construction tends to be volatile however, it has fallen by -42.2% from its recent peak of $1.1 billion worth of commitments in December 2014.  The less volatile investment lending for established homes has fallen by -11.0% from its peak of $13.1 billion in April 2015.  Again, recent reclassifications of lending by ADIs will be contributing to some of the recent weakness however, a changing investment lending landscape is undoubtedly the most significant contributor.</span></p>
<p><span>The latest housing credit data shows that the annual rate of investor credit growth still remains above 10% (10.4%) so it is reasonable to expect that investor housing finance commitments will continue to fall over the coming months. With the rate of value growth slowing, higher interest rates and lower LVRs for many investors, the attractiveness of purchasing an investment property is also easing. </span></p>
<p><span>While investment lending has been cooling down, owner occupier lending has been rising however, much of the rise is due to upgraders and refinances.  We anticipate that this trend is likely to continue although probably not rising by the same magnitude as we’ve seen over recent months. Furthermore we anticipate that less of the refinance activity is going to flow back into housing in the form of investment purchasing.</span></p>
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<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic RP Data. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/author/cameron-kusher/" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
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Investor housing demand continues to fall sharply: Cameron Kusher

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<p>Misinformation is the scourge of real estate consumers.</p>
<p>And too much of it comes from people who present themselves in public as experts providing “analysis” when in reality they’re mis-diagnosing situations and adding to the media pipeline of misinformation.</p>
<p>It’s extraordinary how often economists, mortgage brokers, researchers, valuers, Reserve Bank officials and others do that.</p>
<p>This connects to my comments earlier in the week about the way many commentators arrive at their conclusions: if Event A coincides with Event B, then Event A must have caused Event B.</p>
<p>That’s about as sophisticated as real estate analysis gets for most cases.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p>Therefore, if low interest rates coincided with Sydney’s boom, then low interest rates are obviously the cause of the Sydney boom. This is accepted as fact by almost everyone out there among the chattering classes with almost-knowledge of real estate.</p>
<p>Question: why have low interest rates not caused equivalent booms in Perth, Canberra, Darwin, Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart and most of regional Australia?</p>
<p>Many markets have been going backwards, un-stimulated by the level of interest rates.</p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Here are some other things Sydney’s property boom coincided with: the change in state government in 2011, the subsequent massive rise in infrastructure spending and the surge in the NSW economy to No.1 in the nation. Perhaps those events had something to do with it.</span></p>
<p>Here’s another thought. The other city market that’s shown some buoyancy in recent years is Melbourne, though not as much as Sydney. Is it not relevant that Victoria’s economy has been the No.2 in the nation, not as strong as NSW but above the national average? Melbourne also has a fairly big infrastructure spend happening, though not as big as Sydney’s.</p>
<p>The relative performances of the property markets in those cities have mirrored the health of their respective state economies and their outlay on new infrastructure, which generates economic activity, jobs and housing demand.</p>
<p>The issue of the week has been housing finance data and how it has been interpreted by commentators with almost-knowledge of property.</p>
<p>Regulatory authorities have introduced “macro prudential measures” to slow down property investor activity. The latest ABS data on housing finance shows a decline in lending to investors.</p>
<p>There’s only one conclusion a reasonable observer could draw from that, right? Clearly the regulatory measures are working. I mean, duh!</p>
<p>Well, that’s what you would say if you’re a business with a lust for limelight and your vision extends no further than the length of your upturned nose.</p>
<p>And multiple commentators rushed out press releases saying just that, including the ever-hungry RateCity which claimed: “Today's sharp drop in investor housing commitments shows that differential pricing is having a dramatic effect on the housing market.”</p>
<p>There were many others expressing similar views. APRA makes announcement, lenders lift interest rates for investors, investors stop taking out loans – simple, obvious and clear-cut.</p>
<p>Except it’s not.</p>
<p>Investors haven’t stopped staking out loans. They’ve switched the status of their borrowing from investor to home-buyer, thereby accessing cheaper rates and easier terms.</p>
<p>The apparent fall in investor borrowing reflects a trend towards reclassifying loans as owner-occupier. Most commentators have missed that.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p>“The (APRA) moves are having a dual impact: weakening investor loans but indirectly boosting owner-occupier loans as these become more appealing for both lenders and borrowers that have the option of purchasing as an owner-occupier,” Westpac economist Matthew Hassan says.</p>
<p>And National Australia Bank economist Tapas Strickland says that while there appears to be a decline in investor lending, “caution is warranted”.</p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">A dose of caution generally, before commentators rush to shallow analysis in the pursuit of profile, would be welcome.</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></span></p>
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Investors switching borrowing status: Terry Ryder

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<p><span>The ABS released its l</span>ending finance<span> figures for the month of September 2015 which showed a seasonally adjusted 9.5% jump in commercial finance, though in trend terms commercial finance has looked somewhat peaky.</span><br><br><span>Total lending finance increased from a seasonally adjusted $70.7 billion in August to a new cyclical high of $75.3 billion, another signal that low interest rates are gradually biting and having a positive impact on credit flows.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/11/16/A1.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/11/16/A1.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<div>Although there have been instances of stronger monthly results for lending finance - a flood of recapitalisation through the financial crisis saw spikes in June 2007 and January 2008 respectively - the monthly trend result has now hit a fresh high of above $73 billion.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Shifting composition</span></strong>
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<div> </div>
<div>With APRA having clamped down on property investment loans, lenders are evidently pushing owner-occupier products harder, with the red line in the chart below denoting another 3% increase in the month to beyond $21 billion.<br><br>In trend terms owner-occupier lending has surged more than 20% higher over the past year, while major renovations activity ("alterations and additions") trended up to its best result in four years.</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/11/16/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/11/16/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>The great surge in owner-occupier loans over the past year has been almost entirely accounted for by New South Wales and to a somewhat lesser extent Victoria.<br><br>Mirroring figures previously reported by the Reserve Bank, September was a healthy result for commercial finance with a 9.5 per seasonally adjusted jump in the month to $46.1 billion.<br><br>While the trend result looks peaky, this can be a rather unpredictable series, and in rolling annual terms commercial lending has surged 50 per cent higher over the past half decade to sit at its highest level in some 7.5 years.</div>
<br><div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Property investor loans clamp-down</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Loans to purchase investment property are now clearly softening, which overall is a healthy sign for residential real estate markets which had become far too top-heavy with investors, resulting in rising vacancy rates and declining rents in some regions.<br><br>On a rolling annual basis NSW investment loans tore out a new record of $67.9 billion, but this particular peak is now close to being in following three months of softer results.<br><br>In June the Premier State had seen an unprecedented $6.6 billion of investor loans written in a single month, but over the last two months of available data the total dollar value of NSW property investment loans has come in at around $5.6 billion (which is nevertheless still a huge volume in historical terms).</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/11/16/A1-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/11/16/A1-1.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>
<span>Despite the softening in investment loans, with the volume of NSW owner-occupier lending booming by </span>an astonishing 46.2%<span> over the past year, September was the greatest month on record for total NSW property lending at well over $14 billion at the state level.</span>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/11/16/LF3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/11/16/LF3.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Now it may be that some of the outlandish $8.55 billion of NSW owner-occupier lending in September was bogus - or at least not genuinely representative of new property market demand - with some existing owners having opted to refinance following the tightening of mortgage rates by some lenders.<br><br>At the sub-regional level it would be no surprise on this evidence to see surprisingly strong auction and property market results in some of Sydney's inner ring, particularly in the eastern suburbs.<br><br>However it's clear that the heat has already come right out of the western and outer south-western suburbs, leaving some recent buyers wondering what they've let themselves in for.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Generally speaking APRA's macroprudential measures have been effective in slowing the pace of investor lending right across the board. Next up, I'll take a look at the trends in investor lending across each state and territory.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Shifting sands (record NSW lending?) Pete Wargent

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<p>SQM Research released its latest vacancies and asking rents figures up to October 2015, which showed vacancy rates steady across much of the east coast but rising in the resources capitals. <br> <br>Reported vacancy rates were steady in Brisbane (2.6%) and Adelaide (1.9%), while Canberra (2.1%) saw a slight decline.<br> <br>The vacancy rate in Sydney declined to 1.6%, which has been reflected in moderately rising asking rents for houses (+1.9%) and units (+3.1%) over the year, although the rents figures may mask divergent trends at the sub-regional level.<br> <br>While both Melbourne (2.4%) and Hobart (1.1%) saw vacancy rates ticking up in October, over the past year both have recorded declines, and as such asking rents have been rising solidly in these cities too. </p>
<p>Click to enlarge</p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/11/18/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-19%20at%2010.43.38%20AM.png" alt=""></p>
<p>Resources woes</p>
<p>On the other hand vacancy rates rose further still in Perth (3.8%) and Darwin (3.5%).</p>
<p>Asking rents for houses in Darwin have tanked by more than 20% over the past year according to SQM, with Darwin set for a significant price correction.</p>
<p>Asking rents are down for houses in Perth too (-6.4%), albeit by a less dramatic margin.</p>
<p>Perth has reportedly seen the price of premium property fall sharply this year, although prices at the bottom end of the market have not shifted too much to date.</p>
<p>Perth will become an attractive buyers' market again in time, but most data - including the iron ore price which was walloped by another 4.5% overnight to be down by a stonking 76% since 2011 and 36% this calendar year alone - suggests that this time is not yet upon us!</p>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Vacancy rates a mixed bag: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>Last week, the combined capital city auction clearance rate increased slightly, up from 61.4% the previous week to 62.3%. </span></p>
<p><span>Over the week there were 3,274 auctions held which was the second highest number of auctions over a week this year. CoreLogic RP Data captured results for 2,947 of these auctions which is a collection rate of 90%. </span></p>
<p><span>The two major capital city markets of Sydney and Melbourne are both showing variations in their latest results. Last week Sydney had 1,223 total auctions compared to 1,567 auctions in </span><span>Melbourne. Sydney’s clearance rate fell from 58.4% the previous week to 58.0% last week </span><span>which was the cities lowest clearance rate since February 2013. </span></p>
<p><span>While Sydney clearance rates </span><span>fell, Melbourne’s clearance rate was recorded at 69.8% up from 69.0% the previous week, </span><span>which is the highest clearance rate for the city in four weeks. </span></p>
<p><span>For 10 consecutive weeks now Melbourne’s auction clearance ra</span><span>te has been higher than </span><span>Sydney’s. Between 2010 and mid</span><span>-</span><span>2013, it was common for Melbourne’s clearance rate to outperform Sydney’s, however since that time, Sydney’s auction clearance rate has been </span><span>consistently outperforming until recently. </span></p>
<p><span>Auction activity across the capital cities is expected to fall this week with 3,171 auctions currently expected by CoreLogic RP Data, providing plenty of stock for buyers to choose from. Melbourne is expecting 1,518 residential auctions, which is greater than the 1,433 auctions held this week last year. In Sydney we are anticipating 1,130 auctions this week which is lower than both last week (1,248) and the same week last year (1,337). </span></p>
<p><span>Brisbane is set for a busy week, with 214 auctions, compared to 198 last week, while in Adelaide (141 compared to 121) and Canberra (116 compared to 102) auction activity is also expected to be higher than last week. In Perth there is set to be little change in auction activity with 38 auctions scheduled this week compared to 39 last week. </span></p>
<p><span>Melbourne’s busiest suburbs for auction this week are: Glen Waverley (29), Mount Waverley </span><span>(29) and Reservoir (26). In Sydney, the busiest suburbs for auctions this week are: Chatswood (20), Marrickville (15) and Merrylands (13). </span></p>
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