<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/smith-by-valli-collingwood-224-228-smith-street-collingwood-vic-3066">Smith Collingwood</a> is a new boutique apartment development bringing a refined, design-led approach to one of Melbourne’s most established inner-city neighbourhoods.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/pandolfini-architects">Pandolfini Architects</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/lisa-buxton-interiors">Lisa Buxton</a>, Smith by Valli sits on iconic Smith Street and comprises just 22 residences tailored toward owner-occupiers seeking a more considered style of apartment living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=140747 project_image_fid=367540]

The design of Smith focuses on a north-facing orientation across all residences, a relatively uncommon feature in dense inner-Melbourne settings. Each apartment has been planned to maximise natural light and outlook, alongside a material palette defined by warm tones, custom joinery, and a full suite of Gaggenau appliances.

The development comprises a mix of one, two, and three-bedroom apartments, with pricing currently ranging from just under $1 million to around $4.85 million for the premium penthouse-level residences, reflecting growing demand for luxury owner-occupier product in Melbourne’s inner urban market.

Residents will also have access to a private rooftop garden designed as an elevated retreat above the city, &nbsp;featuring curated landscaping, veggie boxes, intimate seating areas and spaces for relaxed gatherings. Sustainability has also been integrated into the project through a 7-star energy rating and two secure bicycle facilities for every residence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=140747 project_image_fid=367529]

Smith by Valli sits in the heart of one of Melbourne’s most established retail and hospitality strips, within walking distance of venues such as Falco Bakery, Carnation Canteen and Alimentari, alongside parks and everyday services. With a Walk Score of 99, the location reinforces the project’s positioning toward buyers prioritising walkability and access over car dependency.

With only a limited number of residences, Smith reflects growing demand for smaller, highly curated apartment developments that prioritise design quality, liveability, and connection to neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=140747]

Joel Robinson

Smith by Valli delivers a refined collection of luxury residences to Melbourne’s inner north

<a href="https://www.urban.com.au/developers/far-east-consortium">Far East Consortium</a>’s 640 Bourke Street stands as a testament to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.urban.com.au/developments/melbourne-vic-3000">Melbourne</a>’s ability to bridge its storied past with a bold vision for the future.&nbsp;

Rising above the heritage-listed Eliza Tinsley building, the development reflects a broader shift toward adaptive reuse in the city, where historical assets are retained and reinterpreted as part of new residential development.

Designed by <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/640-bourke-street-melbourne-640-bourke-street-melbourne-vic-3000">640 Bourke Street</a> incorporates the Eliza Tinsley building as its foundation, housing a grand gallery and lobby space that serve as both a functional and symbolic centrepiece. The heritage façade informs the tower’s design, creating a connection between Melbourne’s past and its contemporary skyline.

"It's a significant asset and wants to be celebrated and experienced by all residents every single time they go in and out of the building," Rothelowman Principal Stuart Marsland said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=509 project_image_fid=365684]

Above this historic base, the 68-storey tower will deliver just over 600 residences, a notable reduction from earlier schemes, reflecting a deliberate move toward larger-format apartments and a stronger owner-occupier focus.

Unlike traditional CBD developments that prioritised investor stock, 640 Bourke Street has been repositioned to respond to changing buyer expectations.

"The discussion was all around making 640 Bourke Street the best residence to live in, to be much more focused on the people in the building rather than people looking at the building," Marsland explained.&nbsp;

This shift is evident in the development’s interiors, which emphasise practical luxury with spacious layouts, high ceilings, and floor-to-ceiling windows framing sweeping views of Melbourne and Port Phillip Bay.&nbsp;

“What it's meant for 640 Bourke is we've actually reduced the number of apartments. We've increased the overall size of the apartments. We don't have any studios in here, and what that does for a project is it elevates it," Lauren Sheldon, Far East Consortium’s Director of Sales and Marketing, said.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=509 project_image_fid=365687]

Rothelowman Associate Jun Chang added, "We were given the opportunity to be more generous. The apartments became bigger and squarer than any other apartments which had been designed in the CBD before that."&nbsp;

Amenities spanning more than 3,000 sqm across multiple levels further reinforce this focus on resident experience. These include a pool, gym, co-working areas, and a range of hospitality-inspired spaces such as a whisky lounge, library, and private dining rooms, many drawing reference from traditional bathhouses and Melbourne’s laneway culture.

"We wanted to make both the pool and the gym area to be absolutely destinational, and when you traverse across to these spaces, there is a gentle familiarity to the beautiful notions of the hammams and the Roman baths, a gentle nod to history," Chang noted.

At street level, the project contributes to the ongoing transformation of the western CBD, with upgrades to Langs Lane and the introduction of retail, hospitality, and gallery spaces designed to activate the precinct and strengthen its connection to the surrounding city fabric.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=509 project_image_fid=365689]

The location places residents within walking distance of Southern Cross Station, Flagstaff Gardens, Queen Victoria Market, and the Docklands waterfront, positioning the development within a rapidly evolving inner-city neighbourhood.

"We believe it's the best site left in the city of Melbourne," Craig Williams, Executive Director at Far East Consortium, said.&nbsp;

640 Bourke Street is Far East Consortium’s 14th building in Melbourne’s western CBD.

"A very elegant designed building. It's going to be a Melbourne statement for many, many years to come."

One-bedroom apartments are priced from around $640,000, with 640 Bourke Street targeting completion in 2029.

Renders shown are Artist's Impressions correct as of May 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=509]

Heritage-led design anchors Far East Consortium’s 640 Bourke St, Melbourne

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD Group</a> has set a new residential price record in Queensland with the $30 million sale of the penthouse at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/one-burleigh-88-the-esplanade-burleigh-heads-qld-4220">ONE Burleigh</a> development in Burleigh Heads.

The sale equates to around $37,500 per sqm.

The two-level, 800 sqm penthouse, featuring five bedrooms, five bathrooms, five car spaces, and a private infinity pool overlooking the Pacific Ocean, was acquired by a Gold Coast-based entrepreneur, highlighting continued demand for ultra-premium beachfront product.

Selling agent Freddie Tehle of PRD Burleigh Heads said the result reflects tightening supply of high-quality, large-format apartments in Burleigh.

“There’s very limited opportunity to secure this level of scale and absolute beachfront position in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/burleigh-heads-qld-4220">Burleigh Heads</a>,” Tehle said.

“Buyers are increasingly seeking apartments that genuinely replace a standalone home, and this penthouse delivers that with its size, privacy, and direct ocean frontage.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146358 project_image_fid=323057]

The sale comes as construction progresses on ONE Burleigh, a boutique development of 17 full-floor residences at 88 The Esplanade, scheduled for completion in early 2027.

Developed by MAYD Group and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/mas-architecture-studio">MAS Architecture</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/sici-design">Sici Design</a>, the project has been positioned as a collection of house-sized beachfront apartments, each occupying an entire floor with around 381 sqm of internal and external living space.

When construction commenced, MAYD director Todd Mould pointed to the long-term resilience of premium coastal real estate as a key driver behind the project.

“Real estate, particularly at the premium end, remains one of the most resilient and proven long-term investment avenues,” Mould said.

“Our ambition is that anyone who buys a MAYD-built product can genuinely feel the care, craftsmanship and commitment we bring to every detail.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146358 project_image_fid=323055]

Each residence has been configured with four bedrooms, multiple living zones, a private office, and expansive ocean-facing terraces. Interiors draw on a restrained material palette, including travertine stone, timber joinery, and integrated premium appliances.

Interior designer Sici Design said the approach was to reflect the project’s coastal setting through both materiality and spatial planning.

“ONE Burleigh is our vision of luxury living, designed to bring the essence of Burleigh Heads' vibrant coastal beauty into an unparalleled residential experience.”

Residents will have access to a suite of wellness-focused amenities, including pools, sauna facilities, and dedicated relaxation spaces, reflecting a broader shift toward lifestyle-driven apartment design on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146358 project_image_fid=323052]

The project occupies a southern Esplanade site with uninterrupted beachfront frontage, an increasingly rare offering in Burleigh Heads, free from the Norfolk Pines that line much of the coastline and often limit direct ocean outlook.

Mould said the design intent was to balance that outlook with a sense of retreat.

“Living at ONE Burleigh is about how your day naturally unfolds, morning light across the ocean, coffee on the balcony, and being in Burleigh but elevated above the noise.”

The result further reinforces Burleigh Heads’ emergence as one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held and supply-constrained beachfront markets, where boutique, owner-occupier-focused developments are increasingly setting new price benchmarks.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=146358]

MAYD Group sets Queensland record with $30 million penthouse sale at ONE Burleigh in Burleigh Heads

Apartment developers in the Gold Coast are finding new, creative ways to differentiate themselves from competing projects, as new supply starts to flow through up and down the Coast.

Developer BIG Projects brought in the renowned Sydney-based design studio YSG Studio to craft the interiors for The Frederick, BIG Projects' new Mermaid Beach project and YSG Studio's first move into the multi-residential development space.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5346]

It was a strategic move for BIG Projects to bring in a Sydney eye to the development.

“Our role is to give our design partners the space and freedom to explore,” says Matt Barrett, Director of BIG Projects.

“We wanted YSG Studio to capture the essence of Nobby’s, to design a building that embraces life, light and connection, while creating a genuine sense of place.”

There are only 39 apartments in The Frederick, including a striking beach house, just 100 metres from the booming Nobby Beach precinct.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5347]

Yasmine Ghoniem, Director of YSG Studio, says their vision&nbsp;for The Frederick "reinvents coastal living."

“Nobby’s has such an iconic energy, it’s one of those rare pockets of the Gold Coast where the community, the beach, and the streets all feel connected,” Ghoniem says.

"Responding to the neighbouring coastline, soothing curves add a relaxing regional overlay, while unique detailing really sets it apart. It’s a place that feels lived in from the moment you step inside.”

A standout feature of The Frederick is its rooftop terrace, an uncommon inclusion for a boutique, low-rise building, where amenity is typically concentrated at ground level.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5360]

Positioned to capture panoramic views from the hinterland to the ocean, the rooftop has been designed as a series of intimate zones. It includes a pool, sauna, sun decks, workspaces and dedicated entertaining areas.

“The rooftop was conceived as a collection of spaces where residents can unwind and connect, an extension of the Nobby’s lifestyle,” Barrett says.

Architecture for the project was led by Plus Studio, with landscape design by LDG Landscape Architecture.

SRQ Projects Director Nick Clydsdale, who is handling sales at The Frederick, says the majority of enquiry is coming from South East QLD and Victorian buyers who have been actively searching between Broadbeach and Mermaid Beach for some time.

"They’ve reviewed a number of projects, however this one has stood out for its unique detailing and compelling design,"&nbsp;Clydsdale says.

Site demolition is slated for this month, with construction commencing soon after. BIG Projects is targeting a late 2027 completion.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=110588]

Sydney’s YSG Studio makes Gold Coast multi-residential debut with BIG Projects at The Frederick

Melbourne-based property developer ALTA Property has this week achieved planning approval for the adaptive re-use of a former commercial tower into a $200 million, 169-apartment project at 10 Queens Road, one of the last developable sites along the Albert Park Lake-fronting boulevard.&nbsp;

Set within one of Melbourne’s most sought-after precincts and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fraser-partners-0">Fraser and Partners</a>, the illustrious building will offer unparalleled views across Albert Park Lake, Port Phillip Bay and Melbourne CBD.&nbsp;

The mix of 1, 2 and 3-bedroom residences will be complemented by a ground-floor amenity featuring private dining, a lounge bar, gym and wellness spaces, co-working, outdoor communal gardens, and retail.&nbsp;

The 17-storey building is a masterclass in adaptive re-use, with the existing commercial building’s façade, shell and internal structure to be retained, before high-end residences are built from the ground up in a newly built Albert Park facing addition to the building.&nbsp;

Sitting atop the building will be two 320+sqm penthouses with private rooftop terraces, which are expected to be priced between $9 - $11 million.&nbsp;

<img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa11211b-5581-43f9-940c-fc84d30a0e61" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/C_04.png?VersionId=Yhf5p_1EgGDu_zOIMFgvA8Ug8j3sTFQs" />

Architecturally, the building will feature a curved, geometric façade that celebrates and elevates the existing structure, with warm, muted tones which were selected to extend the materiality of the existing building rather than contrast it.&nbsp;

Interiors will bring together three metre high ceilings with waffle concrete in some spaces, natural timber, granite and Australian materials, culminating in crafted, generous and considered spaces that are defined by authenticity.&nbsp;

The adaptive re-use means that the Queens Road project will be a sustainability led, high-quality finished product, with a 62% saving in carbon emissions by re-using the existing structure rather than knocking it down and rebuilding.&nbsp;

ALTA Property was launched by Nigel Givoni in 2023, bringing over 25 years of experience in multi level residential delivery.&nbsp;

Melbourne’s property market growth is currently led by apartments. According to RPM VIC Apartments &amp; Townhomes Market Report (April 2026), units are outpacing houses, especially in the middle ring suburbs where median prices hit $757,500 – a four-year high that represents 2.9 percent growth quarter-on-quarter.&nbsp;

<img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="647e13d7-b4bc-433a-9bc9-fe3c3dd4f2ec" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/V_06.png?VersionId=ou4NUCWUgA3NAy.6CQJlEdKX50j3dOk6" />

For ALTA Property Founder Nigel Givoni, this performance speaks to the confidence he has in the Melbourne market.&nbsp;

“Queens Road represents a rare opportunity to continue to shape our presence in the Melbourne market.,"&nbsp;Givoni says.

"With a considered project team and a premier site along one of the city’s most sought-after boulevards, we look forward to contributing to the fabric of this established address.

“Other Australian markets are getting a lot of attention, but I believe the depth of value in Melbourne is being overlooked. The fundamentals are strong, population growth is steady and, based on our preliminary conversations with a leading builder, construction costs are beginning to normalise, creating further opportunity."

Givoni says the project is a&nbsp;highly considered example of adaptive re-use, delivering quality, high-end residences, premium hotel-inspired amenities and an architecturally striking façade, all achieved without the need to remove the existing structure.

"We are really looking forward to the market’s response,” he said.&nbsp;

ALTA Property to deliver $200 million Queens Road apartment tower

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The three cities of Sydney, the Harbour City, the River City and the Parkland City will need a vision to have robust growth over the next 20 to 30 years.
With concerns being expressed across Sydney’s suburbs, that medium density could destroy the character of the detached house suburbs, it would seem that major development should occur inSydney’s three cities.
The Urban Taskforce has developed 20 to 30 year visions for the three cities of the Harbour City, the River City and the Parkland City at the Aerotropolis, to give a futuristic feel for how Sydney’s centres could look from 2040 onwards.
We were asked to produce these visions by the Sunday Telegraph and the Daily Telegraph so that their readers could get a glimpse of the future form of the three cities. 
To develop the visions, the Urban Taskforce has worked with Sydney 3D modelling firm Arterra Interactive, Sydney architects LAVA who provided futuristic building forms, and architects Bates Smart who provided a base form for growth aroundCircular Quay.
The Urban Taskforce supports the Greater Sydney Commission’s approach to the three cities, but we are concerned that there seems to be a very suburban approach to Sydney’s character that is beingpromoted particularly in relation to local character. 
The best way to preserve local character is to ensure that most new development occurs in more urban locations in city centres and around railway stations.
 Soour visions for Sydney’s three cities are deliberately robust with significant height and the incorporation of greenery within the urban cores.
It is good to see that the Lord Mayor of Parramatta, Andrew Wilson, is a supporter of a robust city for Parramatta, with building forms that are not just boxes. And that Sam Sangster, the CEO of the Aerotropolis Authority supports the futuristic vision for the Aerotropolis while expressing some concerns about the heights illustrated.
For the Harbour City, Sydney Lord Mayor, Clover Moore, supports more height but is concernedthat her plans are being held up by the state government.
An essential part of the Urban Taskforce vision for the three cities is that they are connected by fast rail and that they work as a connected economic system. 
Cities around the world are now becoming polycentric networks of economic power, where urban centres with quality jobs, retail and urban livingbecome cosmopolitan hubs for local communities.
Here are futuristic and current views of the three major cities for Sydney.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/22/harbour%201.jpg" alt="">
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/22/harbour%202.jpg" alt="">
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CHRIS JOHNSON is the Urban Taskforce CEO
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cjohnson-8xfqfuuCSq

Sydney's three city policy needs a vision for robust growth: Chris Johnson

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The business conditions index decreased 3pts to +1 in 2019 Q2 continuing the downtrend since early 2018 and is now just below average.
Business confidence rose sharply, lifting to +6 index points after a 0 index point reading in Q1. 
The down trend in conditions continued in Q2 2019, and for the first time since 2014 the quarterly survey has now shown a below average readying.
The decline in conditions suggests the business sector has lost significant momentum over the past year and that we are unlikely to see a substantial pickup in growth in the Q2 national accounts.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%20table%20.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%20table%20.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
The strong lift in confidence appears to be related to the outcome of the Federal election, with the bulk of the survey conducted post election day and also around the time of firming expectations of rate cuts.
Based on the June Monthly Business survey we already know this effect was short-lived with confidence pulling back.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%201.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
The decline in conditions has been broad-based over the past year, with all industries seeing a decline and the slowdown evident across all states. 
Mining continues to see the most favourable conditions, while retail and property are now weakest.
Across the states, NSW and VIC are only just positive, while the other mainland states are at the threshold of improving versus deteriorating.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%202.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
Unfortunately, there is evidence of a softening in activity almost everywhere. All industries have weakened and the pull-back is evident in all states. 
Given the current focus on labour market developments for the future path of monetary policy, the slowing growth momentum and softness in leading indicators of employment warrant close watching.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%203.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%203.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
In the quarter, current and expected employment measures all deteriorated – though all remain above average.
The share of firms reporting difficulty in finding suitable labour as a constraint on output ticked up in the quarter, and is elevated, but below pre-GFC levels. Over the past year, this measure has tracked broadly side-ways.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%204.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%204.jpg" alt="">
Source: NAB
Overall, it appears that while there is some tightness in some sectoral labour markets (e.g. mining) it is not yet tight enough nor broadly enough based to see significant nationwide wage rises. 
For now, the survey suggests ongoing employment growth but given the recent trends in the forward-looking measures, we will continue to watch closely. Our worry is that the slowdown in activity may translate into a more substantial weakening in labour demand.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%205.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%205.jpg" alt="">
Source: NAB
Overall, price and wage measures in the survey continued to suggest weak inflationary pressures in the economy.
Output prices growth edged lower in the quarter and input prices growth and the wage bill tracked sideways – all at a low level.
Declining capacity utilisation and weak surveyed price measures suggest that inflation outcomes are likely to be meek for some time.
The impact of labour demand on wage growth will remain an important dynamic in this sense – with slack already evident in the labour market, any weakening in labour demand could well see further action from the RBA on rates to bolster the economy.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/nab%206.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/nab%206.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: NAB
ALAN OSTER is NAB's Chief Economist.
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Business sector losing momentum with quick turnaround unlikely: NAB's Alan Oster

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St Joseph's Convent, a 1890s brick two-storey building in Bungendore, New South Wales is still on the market. 
Doug Merriman of Ray White Bungendore has the listing. 
Opened in 1891, St Joseph's Convent at 54 Turallo Terrace was once the home of Saint Mary MacKillop during her trips to Bungendore.
The original features of the building include fireplaces, skirting boards, cedar doors, plaster cornices, ceiling roses and stained glass window.
It currently comprises four guests with bathrooms, three additional bedrooms, two kitchens, scullery, dining room, lounge room and two additional bathrooms.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/bungendore%202.jpg" alt="">
There is a Chapel to the eastern side of the Convent comes with stained glass windows and mezzanine area where madrigal singers once preformed.
Other features of the property include large Catalpa tree, rose covered arbour, lavender hedges, flowering bulbs, large walled courtyard and terrace.
Approved as a dual occupancy residence, St Joseph Convent could be converted to accommodate various uses such as retail, medical centre, four individual apartments, wedding venue, restaurant or educational facility with council permission. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/bungendore%203.jpg" alt="">
It is close to local amenities including schools, restaurants, shopping centre and train station, a short 20 minutes drive to Queanbeyan and an easy 30 minutes from Canberra. 
It was previously offered by expression of interest with a March closing date. 
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Historic St Joseph's Convent in Bungendore, NSW listed

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EXPERT OBSERVER
An expected soft update but a robust trend in participation is making it very hard to see unemployment getting below 5% any time soon, let alone getting down the RBA’s natural rate of 4.5%. Westpac is forecasting the unemployment rate to rise from here.
The June Labour Force Survey reported a 500 gain in employment. So far this year employment has been quite robust with a three month average gain of 29.2k in June from 35.8k in May and 24.45k in April.
The trend in employment remains on par with the three month average gain of 31.2k in January.
The May survey reported a strong 45.3k gain in employment (revised from 42.3k) with participation surging to a new record high of 66.0% boosting the labour force and lifting unemployment to 5.2%.
As such, we had thought there was a high risk of a statistical correction this month which is why we forecast a modest 10k rise in employment. The market median was 9k.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/unemployment%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/unemployment%201.jpg" alt="">
 
In the year to June, employment has grown 296.3k or 2.4%.
The pace of employment growth has eased back from 2.9% in May but it is still stronger than the 2.2% at the end of 2018.
Our Jobs Index suggests employment should be growing around 2.4%yr currently before slowing to 2.1% through Q4.
In June, unemployment was flat at 5.2% (5.24% at two decimal places so just a whisker from 5.3% - it was 5.19% in May) and with the participation holding a record high of 66.0% (65.98% at two decimal places from 66.03% in May) the labour force grew just 700.
We had expected that a statistical decline in participation would have seen the unemployment rate fall to 5.1%.
Today’s update is further confirmation of a robust upwards trend in participation particularly in NSW which hit a record high of 66.2% in May.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/unemployment%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/unemployment%202.jpg" alt="">
The big surprise in June was the drop in underemployment (those employed who are willing and able to work more hours) which fell 0.4ppts to 8.2%.
Underemployment did not improve as much as unemployment through 2018 and had recently been trending higher compared to the unemployment rate.
The correction in June has mostly reversed the surprising 0.3ppt jump in April.
In Victoria, the underemployment rate fell 1.5ppt taking that state’s underemployment rate back to 7.9%, more in line with 7.5% in NSW.
We had been surprised by just how high underemployment has been in Vic over the last few months.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/unemployment%203.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/unemployment%203.jpg" alt="">
In the last year to June, most of the gains in employment have been full-time (246.5k/2.9%) and the share has been split evenly between males (121k/2.2%) and females (125.5k/4.0%).
As females are growing from a lower base they have a much faster growth rate but it is somewhat surprising that in the year to June, part-time female employment has been broadly flat while male part-time employment has grown at a 4.2% pace over the year. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/unemployment%204.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/unemployment%204.jpg" alt="">
Employment growth has held together so far in 2019 even if it is on a softening trend.
Unemployment and underemployment are drifting higher but the employment to population ratio has held around 62.4% since the end of 2019 highlighting that the rise in unemployment is more about rising participation than weak employment.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/unemployment%205.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/unemployment%205.jpg" alt="">
In the year to June, employment has grown 121.9k/3.5% in NSW compared to 126.5k/3.8% gain in Victoria.
Employment grew more modestly in Queensland (27.9k/1.8%) and just 11k/1.7% in South Australia and 20.5k/0.9%yr in Western Australian.
In the year to April unemployment has fallen 0.1ppt in NSW to 4.6% (the national low), –0.8ppt in Victoria to 4.8% and rose 0.6ppt in Queensland at 6.5%.
In which case, Queensland rose to 6.5% from 6.2% in May or 5.8% in June 2018. But this trend is shifting with unemployment up 0.3ppt in the last six months in NSW, 0.6ppt in Victoria with a 0.4ppt rise in Queensland.
Justin Smirk is ‎senior economist, Westpac Group and can be contacted <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/about-westpac/westpac-group/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Unemployment rate set to rise: Westpac's Justin Smirk

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The agreement by Building Ministers to establish a national approach to the implementation of the Shergold-Weir Report will assist the building industry, governments and the community to move forward with greater certainty and provides a significant recognition that a nationally consistent approach to improve community confidence in the building system is needed.
Whilst each state needs to take on board the recommendations of the Shergold-Weir report in a way that suits their existing regulatory frameworks, it is important that the end result after implementation will essentially be to deliver a consistent approach to the way buildings are approved, to the way building professionals are held responsible and to providing greater certainty for building owners.
HIA called on Ministers to include in this approach consideration of the current disjointed professional indemnity insurance arrangements with a view to ensuring that once implemented building professionals can move back to a situation where they can obtain affordable and appropriate insurance coverage.
National guidance is needed to limit the introduction of exclusions which go beyond combustible cladding.
HIA was pleased to once again be part of the Industry Forum with the Building Ministers, and we look forward to the Ministers releasing more details on the national approach and an ongoing dialogue.
Kristin Brookfield is HIA Chief Executive Industry Policy.
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Agreement on national approach to combustible cladding building reforms an important step: HIA

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A medical facility in Melbourne’s west is set to hit the healthcare investment market, representing the second day hospital offering in Melbourne this year. 
The Sunshine facility is currently leased to the largest gastroenterology and hepatology practices in Melbourne’s west, Dr Gastroenterology and Dr Scope, on two 10-year terms, both with further 10-year options. 
The 493 Ballarat Road property earns a passing income of $520,000 per annum with a fixed rental increase of 3% from April 2020. 
It is being marketed by CBRE’s specialist Healthcare team of Sandro Peluso, Josh Twelftree, Jimmy Tat and Marcello Caspani-Muto.
It follows the recent $5.52 million sale of Chesterville Day Hospital in Cheltenham on a yield of 5.1%.  
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/18/493%20Ballarat%20Rd-82.JPG" alt="">
“The recent Chesterville Day Hospital campaign generated strong interest from high-net-worth investors and national medical funds, highlighting a growing demand for premium hospital investments,” Peluso said.
The 2,130 square metre site is activity centre zoned, features 21 car parks and is surrounded by a range of retail and lifestyle amenity, including Sunshine Plaza and Sunshine Marketplace.  
“Located within a major activity centre, the property will benefit from the Brimbank City Council’s intentions to make Ballarat Road the gateway to Sunshine’s town centre,” Twelftree commented. 
 The expressions of interest campaign for the property ends August 21.
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Sunshine day hospital hits the market

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The retirement of the longtime owners of Elaine’s The Railway Hotel has prompted its listing.
It has an asking price of $749,000
Dean Wilson of Stockade &amp; Leggo Bannockburn is marketing the property.
Wilson says the pub benefits from being on the main road between Ballarat and Geelong.
“There’s no footy club here, so the pub’s the place to meet," he told The Herald Sun.
Situated at 5280 Midland Highway the hotel sits on a 1.23 acre plot.
With 5,000 square metres of internal space has a bar and meal trade, multiple accommodation and is also set up for functions.
Fully featured with main bar, bistro, mens and ladies W.C's, appointed kitchen, store room/cool room, warming wood fires, large undercover beer garden and five bedrooms with two bathrooms and two separate toilets.
Located between Buninyong and Meredith on Midland Highway, it is only 25 minutes to Ballarat and 40 minutes to Geelong.
Last sold in 2006, the property traded for $250,000.
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The Railway Hotel in Elaine, Victoria listed

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The unemployment rate has remained unchanged at 5.2% according to the recent figures from the ABS.
The figure is in line with market expectations.
The RBA are trying to drive the unemployment rate down to 4.5%, however the RBA believe it needs to below 5% in order for the economy to see adequate wage growth.
The number of unemployed persons edged higher, from 697,000 to 701,700.
The unemployment rate crept up slightly from 5.19% in May to 5.24% in June. It is now at its highest level in 10 months.
The unemployment rate dropped in Perth, however saw a rise in Victoria, Queensland, South Australia and Tasmania.
To see the state by state breakdown, <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/18/ABS%20Unemployment%20figures.jpg" target="_blank">click here</a>.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/18/ABS%20Unemployment%20figures.jpg" alt="">
There were forecasts from economists that there would be around another 9,000 jobs added, following on from the increase of 45,300 jobs in May. 
There were only 500 jobs added.
Full time jobs rose by 21,100, but part-time jobs fell by 20,600.
The trend participation rate increased to 66 percent over the month.
ABS Chief Economist Bruce Hockman said, "Australia's participation rate was at 66 per cent in June 2019, which means nearly two of every three people are currently participating in the labour market. " "The participation rate for 15 to 64 year olds was even higher and closer to four out of every five people, " Hockman said.
CommSec economist Ryan Felsman said the Reserve Bank is expected to hold for now.
"The Reserve Bank is expected to ‘sit pat’ for now, assessing incoming economic data over the coming months before deciding the next move for the cash rate," Felsman said.
"But the Board stands ready to act, “if needed” to support the economy and job market. 
"The end-of-month June quarter inflation data release is the next test."
 
  
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Unemployment rate meets forecasts and remains at 5.2%

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EXPERT OBSERVER
CoreLogic estimates of monthly settled sales data points to a levelling in housing market activity, following several years of falling home sales.
Despite signs that market activity is leveling out, annual transaction numbers remain lower year on year across every capital city region of the country.
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Annually, transaction volumes continued to decline, however, recent monthly data indicates that transaction volumes may have stabilised. 
The decline in home sales has taken market activity to similar levels as what was recorded during the previous downturns in 2008-09 and 2011- 12.
Nationally, an estimated 412,154 settled dwelling sales occurred over the past 12 months which was - 17.5% fewer than the previous year. 
Although sales volumes are lower on an annual basis, monthly sales volumes have risen from recent lows and although market activity is lower than a year ago, the number of sales is relatively unchanged over recent months.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/18/CL%201.png" alt="">
Sydney recorded an estimated 82,427 settled sales over the 12 months to June 2019; -21.9% fewer than the previous year and well down on the decade average.
 While annual sales are significantly lower, the chart highlights that on a six-month trend basis, sales volumes have started to increase slightly but are sitting at a level close to what was recorded in the 2008-09 downturn. 
With an unprecedented volume of off-the-plan unit stock under construction and already under contract, there will inevitably be some revision to these figures over coming years.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/18/CL%202.png" alt="">
The six-month trend for Melbourne shows that the estimated number of sales trended slightly higher over recent months. 
Notwithstanding the recent improvement in transaction volumes, market activity has fallen to levels similar to those during the 2011-12 housing downturn.
Annually there were an estimated 64,546 settled sales over the past year which was -27.0% lower than over the previous year.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/18/CL%203.png" alt="">
Unlike Sydney and Melbourne, there is little evidence as yet to indicate that transaction volumes in Brisbane may be stabilising. 
Transaction volumes continue to trend lower on a monthly basis and, although they are similar levels to those in 2008-09 they are not yet as low as volumes were during 2011- 12 downturn. 
Over the past year there were an estimated 39,641 settled sales across Brisbane which was -13.4% lower than annual sales over the previous year.
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The estimate of monthly sales across Adelaide have been trending higher over recent months and market activity has recently trended above the decade average.
Although there has been a recent uptick in sales volumes, over the past 12 months there were an estimated 22,650 settled sales which was -4.1% previous than the previous year.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/18/CL%205.png" alt="">
Perth sales transactions slumped over recent years as the housing market downturn has carried on. 
Transaction volumes have recently stabilised, albeit at a level below previous housing market downturns. 
Over the past 12 months there were an estimated 29,263 settled sales which is -7.3% lower than the previous year. 
Although sales are lower on an annual basis monthly data suggests market activity has been steady of late.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/18/CL%206.png" alt="">
Hobart is one of the few capital cities where sales have been above the decade average over recent years.
 Monthly transaction volumes have been declining for two years and are now sitting at around the decade average levels and likely to fall further. 
Over the past 12 months there were an estimated 4,691 settled sales which was down -11.4% compared to the previous year.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/18/CL%207.png" alt="">
Transaction volumes in Darwin fell on an annual basis over the past year, down -9.2%. 
With ongoing market weakness, monthly data indicates that housing market activity has continued to slide, with the decline mirroring the ongoing decline in dwelling values. 
With the NT seeing a population loss and negative jobs growth, it seems as if demand for housing is continuing to shrink which is a major contributor to the ongoing slide in sales activity.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/18/CL%208.png" alt="">
Although the monthly sales estimates are below the decade average in Canberra, market activity has begun to steady over recent months. 
On an annual basis, there was an estimated 7,386 transactions over the past year which was -8.6% lower than sales volumes over the previous year.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/18/CL%209.png" alt="">
Across most cities there are some tentative signs that sales volumes may have bottomed. With two 25 basis point cuts to interest rates and lenders now lowering their serviceability buffers, access to finance is easing somewhat and borrowing power is increasing which should support a further increase in transaction volumes. 
One of the challenges for the market at the moment is historically low volumes of new properties entering the market for sale which is contributing to the low volume of sales. We anticipate that come Spring, new listings will increase which should lead to more transaction activity.
The challenge for vendors will be whether or not a potential pick-up in listings is accompanied by a commensurate pick-up in buyers in the market. While some restrictions on credit have been removed, accessing finance is still much more difficult than it has been in the past so demand could still be fickle over the coming months. 
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CAMERON KUSHER is the head of research for the Australian branch of CoreLogic
Kusher regularly posts on the <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news" target="_blank">CoreLogic website</a>.
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Home sales and housing market stabilising: CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Westpac is forecasting a 0.5% rise in the June quarter consumer price index (CPI) lifting the annual pace to a 1.5% rise from a 1.3% rise.
The June quarter tends to be a seasonally soft quarter with the ABS projecting a seasonal factor of 0.2ppt increase. The seasonally adjusted CPI is forecast to rise 0.7%.
The trimmed mean is forecast to rise 0.33% in the June quarter or 1.5% over the year and the weighted median is forecast to rise 0.30% in the June quarter/1.1% over the year.
The average of the core inflation measures is forecast to print 0.31% in the June quarter with the annual pace easing back to a 1.3% rise from a 1.4% rise.
In June, we forecast that fresh fruit and vegetable prices drag food prices down 0.4% in the quarter.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/CPI%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/CPI%201.jpg" alt="">
Source: Westpac 
Housing costs are down slightly due to falling utilities and there is the usual seasonal fall in pharmaceuticals while car prices fall again.
Auto fuel is forecast to make the single largest contribution rising 11%.
Alcohol and tobacco rose modestly while clothing and footwear had a positive quarter.
Health costs continue to rise solidly (as rising medical and hospital services more than offset falling pharmaceuticals) and there was an unseasonal gain in domestic holiday travel.
Traded prices are forecast to rise 0.8% in the June quarter while non- traded prices are forecast to rise 0.4% in the June quarter.
Outside of fuel, there is very little inflationary pressure in the Australian economy.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/CPI%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/CPI%202.jpg" alt="">
 
Core inflation remains well below the bottom of the RBA target band as moderating housing costs hold back modest inflationary pressure elsewhere.
Competitive deflationary pressure in consumer goods is limiting the pass through of the weaker AUD though it is having an impact.
As such, we find it hard to see how core inflation could break higher any time soon.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/2019%20Q2.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/2019%20Q2.jpg" alt="">
Recap March quarter CPI - above expectations
The CPI was flat in the March quarter compared to a market median expectation of 0.2% and Westpac’s 0.1%.
The annual rate eased back to 1.3% from 1.8% in Q4.
Of note, housing costs were flat in the quarter as falling dwelling prices offset modest gains in rents and other housing costs which is key to low non-tradable and core inflation prints.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/dwelling%20inflation.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/dwelling%20inflation.jpg" alt="">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/dwelling%20prices.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/dwelling%20prices.jpg" alt="">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/weaker%20AUD.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/weaker%20AUD.jpg" alt="">
Drought is a surprising negative for food prices in Q2
The continuing dry conditions on the east coast have, for now, suppressed wholesale prices for agricultural goods as growers sell stock they can no longer support increasing supply. 
This is particularly so for meat (beef and lamb) but we have to be careful not to take this too far due to significant variation in the quality of stressed stock plus, for now, anecdotally many growers are choosing to bear the costs of feeding stock rather than selling.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/lamb%20price%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/lamb%20price%201.jpg" alt="">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/beef%20price.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/beef%20price.jpg" alt="">
Beef and veal prices are expected to rise modestly as are lamb and goat prices.
Pork should have a seasonal fall in price but we are closely watching the rise in global pork prices as a large proportion of the Chinese pork herd is slaughtered to control an outbreak of African swine flu. This should be boosting the price of imported pork and has been boosting the demand for alternative meats including chicken.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/veggie%20price.png" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/16/veggie%20price.png" alt="">
Wholesale prices are pointing to meaningful fall in fresh fruit and vegetable prices. All up we are looking for a –0.4% fall in food prices (–0.07ppt contribution).
Alcohol and tobacco remains a source of inflation
Tobacco in particular remains a key source of inflationary pressure.
Even without excise indexing, tobacco prices are expected to rise 2% in Q2 contributing 0.06ppt to the CPI.
By comparison alcohol is expected to rise 0.4% contributing 0.02ppt to the CPI.
Clothing and footwear has a small seasonal rise
In recent years clothing and footwear prices have tended to rise in the June quarter due to the repricing post the New Year sales and before the start of the end of financial year sales.
We also expect to see some pass-through from the weaker AUD that has given a small boost to imported goods prices.
However, the trend has been for the Q2 rise to be softer than historically hence Westpac is forecasting a very modest 0.5% gain in the quarter contributing 0.02ppt.
Housing set to be flat in the quarter
We are looking for rents to be flat in Q2. Industry data suggests that with vacancy rates rising, particularly in Sydney, the pressure remains on rents.
But this series measures all rents being paid, including public sector rents, and not just the new contracts being signed (which is what is reported in most industry data).
As such, we caution against forecasting ongoing falls in rental prices, at least for now.
Dwelling purchase price changes in Sydney and Melbourne have been quite volatile on a quarterly basis but there has been a moderation in the annual pace consistent with industry data.
Price changes have eased in Brisbane and Adelaide while the correction in Perth was having a second wind through the second half of 2018 but stabilised in 2019 Q1.
For utilities we are also looking for the usual June quarter rebound in gas prices while the wholesale prices suggest some further correction in electricity prices is likely.
Our forecast a 0.1% fall in housing costs will contribute –0.01ppt to the CPI.
Household contents and services to have a seasonal bump
Furniture and carpets, household textiles and appliances are set to have a seasonal bump but we have muted it a bit for appliances as the price competition here has been limiting this rise.
Our estimate is 0.5% (contributing 0.04ppts) does include an allowance for some modest pass through from the impact of the weaker AUD on import goods prices.
Health has a seasonal bump despite falling pharmaceuticals
The June quarter is the first quarter for many households where the PBS (Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme) kicks in as they have spent over the threshold limit on healthcare and thus can access government assistance.
But the rise in other health costs more than offsets this price fall and Westpac is forecasting 2.1% rise in health costs contributing 0.12ppt.
Automotive fuels will be the main boost to prices
For transport, pump prices of automotive fuels lifted 11% in the June quarter.
However, allowing for a seasonal fall in vehicle prices, and modest gains elsewhere, transport costs are likely to rise 2.9% in the June quarter contributing 0.29ppt.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/auto%20fuel.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/auto%20fuel.jpg" alt="">
Airfare data suggests domestic holiday travel prices are rising rather than the seasonal norm for a fall.
Normally domestic holiday travel costs fall in the June quarter as it is the offseason for the Australian travel/holiday industry. But BITRE airfare data suggests there were some modest gains in the quarter.
In addition, the weaker AUD is pointing to some price gains for international holidays.
When you add in the ongoing falls in the price of audio visual and computer equipment, recreation and culture is forecast to rise 0.7% in the June quarter contributing 0.07ppt.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/domestic%20travel.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/domestic%20travel.jpg" alt="">
Core inflation remains below the bottom of the band.
The trimmed mean is forecast to rise 0.3% with the annual pace easing back to 1.5% from 1.6% over the year.
Our forecast for the average of the RBA core measures of inflation is a modest 0.3% in the June quarter with the annual rate easing back to 1.3% from 1.4% over the year.
This will see the two quarter annualised pace of the average of the core measures ease back to 1.0% from 1.2% over the year.
Traded goods and services are forecast to rise 0.8% in the June quarter/0.7% over the year and non–traded prices are forecast to rise 0.4% in the June quarter /1.9% over the year.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/7/16/indicator%20of%20cpi.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/16/indicator%20of%20cpi.jpg" alt="">
JUSTIN SMIRK is ‎a senior economist, Westpac Group and can be contacted <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/about-westpac/westpac-group/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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