<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD Group</a> has set a new residential price record in Queensland with the $30 million sale of the penthouse at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/one-burleigh-88-the-esplanade-burleigh-heads-qld-4220">ONE Burleigh</a> development in Burleigh Heads.

The sale equates to around $37,500 per sqm.

The two-level, 800 sqm penthouse, featuring five bedrooms, five bathrooms, five car spaces, and a private infinity pool overlooking the Pacific Ocean, was acquired by a Gold Coast-based entrepreneur, highlighting continued demand for ultra-premium beachfront product.

Selling agent Freddie Tehle of PRD Burleigh Heads said the result reflects tightening supply of high-quality, large-format apartments in Burleigh.

“There’s very limited opportunity to secure this level of scale and absolute beachfront position in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/burleigh-heads-qld-4220">Burleigh Heads</a>,” Tehle said.

“Buyers are increasingly seeking apartments that genuinely replace a standalone home, and this penthouse delivers that with its size, privacy, and direct ocean frontage.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146358 project_image_fid=323057]

The sale comes as construction progresses on ONE Burleigh, a boutique development of 17 full-floor residences at 88 The Esplanade, scheduled for completion in early 2027.

Developed by MAYD Group and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/mas-architecture-studio">MAS Architecture</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/sici-design">Sici Design</a>, the project has been positioned as a collection of house-sized beachfront apartments, each occupying an entire floor with around 381 sqm of internal and external living space.

When construction commenced, MAYD director Todd Mould pointed to the long-term resilience of premium coastal real estate as a key driver behind the project.

“Real estate, particularly at the premium end, remains one of the most resilient and proven long-term investment avenues,” Mould said.

“Our ambition is that anyone who buys a MAYD-built product can genuinely feel the care, craftsmanship and commitment we bring to every detail.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146358 project_image_fid=323055]

Each residence has been configured with four bedrooms, multiple living zones, a private office, and expansive ocean-facing terraces. Interiors draw on a restrained material palette, including travertine stone, timber joinery, and integrated premium appliances.

Interior designer Sici Design said the approach was to reflect the project’s coastal setting through both materiality and spatial planning.

“ONE Burleigh is our vision of luxury living, designed to bring the essence of Burleigh Heads' vibrant coastal beauty into an unparalleled residential experience.”

Residents will have access to a suite of wellness-focused amenities, including pools, sauna facilities, and dedicated relaxation spaces, reflecting a broader shift toward lifestyle-driven apartment design on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146358 project_image_fid=323052]

The project occupies a southern Esplanade site with uninterrupted beachfront frontage, an increasingly rare offering in Burleigh Heads, free from the Norfolk Pines that line much of the coastline and often limit direct ocean outlook.

Mould said the design intent was to balance that outlook with a sense of retreat.

“Living at ONE Burleigh is about how your day naturally unfolds, morning light across the ocean, coffee on the balcony, and being in Burleigh but elevated above the noise.”

The result further reinforces Burleigh Heads’ emergence as one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held and supply-constrained beachfront markets, where boutique, owner-occupier-focused developments are increasingly setting new price benchmarks.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=146358]

Joel Robinson

MAYD Group sets Queensland record with $30 million penthouse sale at ONE Burleigh in Burleigh Heads

Apartment developers in the Gold Coast are finding new, creative ways to differentiate themselves from competing projects, as new supply starts to flow through up and down the Coast.

Developer Big Projects brought in the renowned Sydney-based design studio YSG to craft the interiors for The Frederick, Big Projects' new Mermaid Beach project and YSG's first move into the multi-residential development space.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5346]

It was a strategic move for Big Projects to bring in a Sydney eye to the development.

“Our role is to give our design partners the space and freedom to explore,” says Matt Barrett, Director of Big Projects.

“We wanted YSG Studio to capture the essence of Nobby’s, to design a building that embraces life, light and connection, while creating a genuine sense of place.”

There are only 39 apartments in The Frederick, including a striking beach house, just 100 metres from the booming Nobby Beach precinct.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5347]

Yasmine Ghoniem, Director of YSG Studio, says their vision&nbsp;for The Frederick "reinvents coastal living."

“Nobby’s has such an iconic energy, it’s one of those rare pockets of the Gold Coast where the community, the beach, and the streets all feel connected,” Ghoniem says.

"Responding to the neighbouring coastline, soothing curves add a relaxing regional overlay, while unique detailing really sets it apart. It’s a place that feels lived in from the moment you step inside.”

A standout feature of The Frederick is its rooftop terrace, an uncommon inclusion for a boutique, low-rise building, where amenity is typically concentrated at ground level.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5360]

Positioned to capture panoramic views from the hinterland to the ocean, the rooftop has been designed as a series of intimate zones. It includes a pool, sauna, sun decks, workspaces and dedicated entertaining areas.

“The rooftop was conceived as a collection of spaces where residents can unwind and connect, an extension of the Nobby’s lifestyle,” Barrett says.

Architecture for the project was led by Plus Architecture, with landscape design by LDG.

SRQ Projects Director Nick Clydsdale, who is handling sales at The Frederick, says the majority of enquiry is coming from South East QLD and Victorian buyers who have been actively searching between Broadbeach and Mermaid Beach for some time.

"They’ve reviewed a number of projects, however this one has stood out for its design flair/ appeal,"&nbsp;Clydsdale says.

Site demolition is slated for this month, with construction commencing soon after. Big Projects is targeting a late 2027 completion.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=110588]

Big Projects taps Sydney’s YSG for first multi-residential project at The Frederick Mermaid Beach

Melbourne-based property developer ALTA Property has this week achieved planning approval for the adaptive re-use of a former commercial tower into a $200 million, 169-apartment project at 10 Queens Road, one of the last developable sites along the Albert Park Lake-fronting boulevard.&nbsp;

Set within one of Melbourne’s most sought-after precincts and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fraser-partners-0">Fraser and Partners</a>, the illustrious building will offer unparalleled views across Albert Park Lake, Port Phillip Bay and Melbourne CBD.&nbsp;

The mix of 1, 2 and 3-bedroom residences will be complemented by a ground-floor amenity featuring private dining, a lounge bar, gym and wellness spaces, co-working, outdoor communal gardens, and retail.&nbsp;

The 17-storey building is a masterclass in adaptive re-use, with the existing commercial building’s façade, shell and internal structure to be retained, before high-end residences are built from the ground up in a newly built Albert Park facing addition to the building.&nbsp;

Sitting atop the building will be two 320+sqm penthouses with private rooftop terraces, which are expected to be priced between $9 - $11 million.&nbsp;

<img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa11211b-5581-43f9-940c-fc84d30a0e61" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/C_04.png?VersionId=Yhf5p_1EgGDu_zOIMFgvA8Ug8j3sTFQs" />

Architecturally, the building will feature a curved, geometric façade that celebrates and elevates the existing structure, with warm, muted tones which were selected to extend the materiality of the existing building rather than contrast it.&nbsp;

Interiors will bring together three metre high ceilings with waffle concrete in some spaces, natural timber, granite and Australian materials, culminating in crafted, generous and considered spaces that are defined by authenticity.&nbsp;

The adaptive re-use means that the Queens Road project will be a sustainability led, high-quality finished product, with a 62% saving in carbon emissions by re-using the existing structure rather than knocking it down and rebuilding.&nbsp;

ALTA Property was launched by Nigel Givoni in 2023, bringing over 25 years of experience in multi level residential delivery.&nbsp;

Melbourne’s property market growth is currently led by apartments. According to RPM VIC Apartments &amp; Townhomes Market Report (April 2026), units are outpacing houses, especially in the middle ring suburbs where median prices hit $757,500 – a four-year high that represents 2.9 percent growth quarter-on-quarter.&nbsp;

<img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="647e13d7-b4bc-433a-9bc9-fe3c3dd4f2ec" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/V_06.png?VersionId=ou4NUCWUgA3NAy.6CQJlEdKX50j3dOk6" />

For ALTA Property Founder Nigel Givoni, this performance speaks to the confidence he has in the Melbourne market.&nbsp;

“Queens Road represents a rare opportunity to continue to shape our presence in the Melbourne market.,"&nbsp;Givoni says.

"With a considered project team and a premier site along one of the city’s most sought-after boulevards, we look forward to contributing to the fabric of this established address.

“Other Australian markets are getting a lot of attention, but I believe the depth of value in Melbourne is being overlooked. The fundamentals are strong, population growth is steady and, based on our preliminary conversations with a leading builder, construction costs are beginning to normalise, creating further opportunity."

Givoni says the project is a&nbsp;highly considered example of adaptive re-use, delivering quality, high-end residences, premium hotel-inspired amenities and an architecturally striking façade, all achieved without the need to remove the existing structure.

"We are really looking forward to the market’s response,” he said.&nbsp;

ALTA Property to deliver $200 million Queens Road apartment tower

Construction is set to begin at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/orchard-mews-glen-iris-18-scott-grove-glen-iris-vic-3146">Orchard Mews</a> in Glen Iris, with&nbsp;PC Whitehall &amp; Sons&nbsp;now appointed as the townhome development moves into its next phase.

The development by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/montcoeur">MontCoeur</a>,&nbsp;located at 18 Scott Grove, is now around 30 per cent sold, with completion targeted for late-2027.

Orchard Mews comprises a curated collection of three- and four-bedroom customisable townhomes, positioned within one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/glen-iris-vic-3146">Glen Iris</a>’ more tightly held residential streets. The low-density project has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a>, with landscape architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/jack-merlo">Jack Merlo</a>, bringing together a team known for high-end residential projects across Melbourne.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366285]

The development is defined by its focus on flexible living and long-term usability. Each residence includes multiple living zones and a customisable multipurpose room, allowing buyers to tailor spaces to suit changing needs, whether as a home office, additional bedroom, wellness area or entertainment space.

Architecturally, the townhomes emphasise natural light and spatial volume, with dual-aspect layouts and double-height living areas incorporated into the design. Interiors feature natural stone benchtops, premium appliances, and a neutral material palette intended to support everyday functionality rather than statement-driven finishes.

All residences are all-electric and include private lifts and secure double garages, reflecting a broader shift toward sustainability and future-focused housing in Melbourne’s established suburbs.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150128 project_image_fid=366277]

Outdoor connections are also central to the offering, with a mix of private courtyards and terraces extending internal living spaces and integrating with the landscaped surrounds.

The Scott Grove address places Orchard Mews within close proximity to some of Melbourne’s key lifestyle and education amenities, including Scotch College, Sacré Cœur, Cabrini Hospital and the retail hub of Chadstone. Public transport access is also nearby, with trams and Gardiner Station providing connectivity to the CBD and surrounding suburbs.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150128]

Construction to commence at luxury Glen Iris townhome project, Orchard Mews

A rare new apartment development has been proposed on the fringe of St Ives Village.

Developer Newquest Property has lodged plans for a low-rise apartment project designed by well-regarded architecture firm Warren &amp; Mahoney, which is best known for its work in the multi-residential sector in Melbourne.

The building, proposed for a 1,916 sqm site on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/st-ives-residences-3-5-memorial-avenue-nsw-2075">Memorial Avenue</a> opposite St Ives Village Green, has been designed to blend into the surrounding natural environment.

<img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5c1c7437-2fba-4345-a6d7-05321714ad3e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.28.46%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=KrYyMaJvNqR7vbx0xbB3Ef8sJ6FuHpmn" />

“Drawing inspiration from the pale trunks and flowering canopies of the scribbly gums and blue gums prevalent in the area, a considered material palette was developed,” the architectural design report states.

“This palette references the established materiality of the suburb while elevating it through refined finishes to achieve a more luxurious architectural expression.”

Of the 33 apartments proposed, 21 will be three-bedroom residences. The remaining mix includes nine two-bedroom apartments, one one-bedroom apartment and two four-bedroom residences. The development will be supported by 62 car parking spaces and 33 secure bicycle spaces.

The proposal would replace two single-storey brick buildings currently on the site.

<img alt="St Ives" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="21422eaf-09a9-4439-9278-b9bd9daf22a1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-04%20at%201.38.10%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=v.fXSgcUcEscvOZzqcjG5nk3gVqk_Amt" />

St Ives remains a relatively untapped market for new apartment development. North Shore developer WINIM has a number of projects in the area, while INCA is nearing completion of Ellis Residences.

More recently, Traders In Purple has lodged plans for one of the denser projects proposed in the suburb, a 75-apartment development on a 5,900 sqm site on Cowan Road.

NewQuest, a construction, design and development firm, has delivered over 24 projects across commercial, residential, industrial, and lad markets.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

First look: NewQuest Property proposes new St Ives apartment development

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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<div>
APRA announced further measures to cool certain sectors of the housing market last week.
Every man and his dog has written about this already, with a few excellent insights and some interpretations that were just plain weird - so let's keep this post as short as possible, shall we? 
OK, here we go...
APRA wants lenders to place strict internal limits on the volume of interest-only lending at loan-to-value ratios (LVRs) above 80 percent, so firstly some lenders will immediately require a 20 per cent deposit for this type of loan. A shift in this direction has already taken place to some extent, so the impact of this may be marginal.
Lenders must now also ensure there is "strong scrutiny and justification of any instances of interest-only lending at an LVR above 90 percent", so interest-only loans with a deposit of less than 10 per cent will generally go the way of the dodo and the lo-doc loan. 
Again, this has by and large already happened, but will have the ongoing effect of knocking a few more first-time buyers out of the market, while having no impact on incumbent owners with existing equity.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge </a>
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<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/02/C2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Speed limit</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The existing 10 per cent cap on growth for investment mortgage books will remain in place. I've spoken to branch managers and bank owners, and their view is generally that this won't have too much impact since new loans can always be pushed back a month.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But a third impact may be that some lenders have to wind their necks in just a little bit further. </div>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a> 
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<div>Fourthly, there will likely be a shift in the investor loan segment of the market towards private financiers or non-bank lenders, perhaps some of whom may offer commercial-style rates. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Fifthly, banks have been presented with an open goal here for raising the rates on their investor loans, so rates will inevitably be ratcheted higher in due course. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Switch...</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Between July 2015 and February 2017 some $50 billion of loans were switched from investor to owner-occupier mortgages following the introduction of an interest rate differential between the two types of loan. A sixth impact will therefore be yet further switching of loan purpose. </div>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C3.jpg" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a>
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Why worry?
<div>
So far, so unremarkable. But there's more...
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>By far the most important impact will be a new 'speed limit' on interest-only loans in Australia, with APRA now aiming to limit the flow of new interest-only lending to 30 per cent of total new residential mortgage lending.</div>
<div> At the heady peak more than 45 per cent of new loans were interest-only in nature, with investors in particular favouring this type of product in order to maximise their tax deductible expenses.  </div>
<div> </div>
<div>A seventh impact will be that new owner-occupiers wanting to use this type of product in future may be given their marching orders, and possibly some aged borrowers too. </div>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Eighthly, if that is even a real word, two of Australia's major banks have been rolling over interest-only loans more or less automatically at the end of the interest-only period, and these lenders will almost certainly now require a far more stringent assessment. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of course, few borrowers will default on a loan when they've seen the value of their Sydney property double over the preceding five years, though they might choose to sell off their investment if the repayments become too arduous. The impact in markets where dwelling prices have declined might prove to be an altogether more dramatic story.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The ninth impact - perhaps an over-arching point really - is that far too many investors have simply assumed they will continue rolling interest-only debt ad infinitum, and they may now have to get it into their heads that they will be paying back principal sooner or later.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Seemingly every other week an article surfaces featuring 'young gun investors' with a dozen interest-only loans having been used to buy high-yielding properties in far-flung areas. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Credit markets tend to move in cycles, so APRA's changes may or may not be permanent, but in the prevailing market conditions some borrowers could get caught short if they've simply planned to continue rolling interest-only debt on an endless loop. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Oh, and there may be further macroprudential measures to come!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

APRA offers further measures to cool certain housing market sectors

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There are growing signs that some regional markets impacted by the resources sector have passed the worst and are starting to improve.
These are locations where increased dwelling supply coincided with a downturn in demand as the mining investment boom subsided (or miners built workers camps), causing sales and prices to fall.
Places where demand appears to be rising again include NSW towns impacted by the coal industry (Muswellbrook, Singleton and Mudgee), WA centres for the iron ore and gas sectors (Port Hedland and Karratha), and Queensland towns impacted by coal (Emerald, Mackay and Moranbah).
But that’s not a signal for investors to start buying in these places again. I would hope the many boom-bust scenarios that occurred over the past 4-5 years has left a lasting impression on investors across Australia.
Before the end of the resources investment boom, far too many investors jumped into these markets without understanding the extreme volatility of them and/or their own risk profiles.
The extent of the slump in some of these locations is demonstrated by these figures: at the pinnacle of the resources investment boom, the median house price for Port Hedland in WA was well above $1 million. The latest figures shows a median price around $400,000, following a further 33 percent decline in the past year.
In the coal-mining town of Moranbah in Central Queensland, the median house price has fallen from above $700,000 at the peak of the boom to around $160,000 today.
These are some of the most extreme examples of decline but there are many others, including Queensland centres like Gladstone, Mackay, Emerald and Surat Basin towns such as Chinchilla.
In many cases the downturn in local markets was not caused by any decline in the key resources industry (in many cases it was the CSG/LNG sector which continued to create jobs and economic activity in the affected locations) but by a fundamental switch in the approach of the mining companies to accommodating personnel in workers camps.
Developers who built lots of new product in these places found out, too late, that there was not the expected demand for local dwellings. Places like Gladstone in Queensland and Newman in WA had a boom economy but a doom property market.
Now there is evidence that sales activity is rising in some of these places, after slumping significantly in the past three years. In 2015, each quarter had fewer than 45 sales for Port Hedland and South Hedland combined. But the past three quarters have each had more than 60 sales, with a pattern of rising sales numbers.
In Karratha, residential sales numbered fewer than 55 in most quarters throughout the three years covering 2013 to 2015. But sales activity rose noticeably in 2016, with the past three quarters each delivering more than 75 sales. The general trend is up and we await evidence that 2017 will continue the pattern.
In the meantime, I urge extreme caution for investors considering dipping a toe in these dangerous waters. Resources-related markets are at the high-risk end of the spectrum - there are periods of sharp rises, often followed by catastrophic decline.
I would never buy in these places, because the risks are too high. And the modern trend of workers camps mean that the dwelling demand generated by major mining projects is considerably lower than in the past.
A warning is timely because there is renewed confidence in the resources sector. New projects are being planned and mothballed ventures are being reactivated, particularly in Queensland and WA. As sales activity rises in resources centres, the industry will be pumping out press releases suggesting the boom days are returning.
Hopefully the massive price and rental decline of recent years will live long in the memories of investors.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can  <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=/'display:%20none;/'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting">Twitter.</a>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Growing signs resources-heavy regional property markets on the improve

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GUEST OBSERVER
Those who find Sydney a tad rich don’t have to go too far to find major markets with greater affordability and good growth prospects.
Newcastle has a rising economy, a strong property market and appears to be settling into a sustained period of growth.
The city, about 160km north of Sydney, presents an appealing formula for property investors: relatively affordable prices, an overall solid growth record and major impetus from economic activity in and around the city.
It has delivered steady price rises over the past three years and in the past 12 months several Newcastle suburbs have recorded double-digit median price growth. There’s more to come, I think.
Key projects keeping the Newcastle economy strong include the CBD revitalisation, residential construction, upgrades to transport infrastructure and expansion of the Newcastle port.
Newcastle is already the world’s biggest coal export port and major upgrades to export facilities occur regularly. A $1 billion upgrade to the Newcastle Airport and RAAF Base is also under way.
The airport – where the runway is shared with the RAAF Base Williamtown – is already a major employer, with around 3,000 military and civilian personnel working at the base.
Newcastle is Australia’s seventh largest city and one of its oldest. It has a busy harbour, many beaches and plenty of elegant historic buildings. Despite its reputation as an industrial city, Newcastle is ranked the sixth most visited place in Australia, attracting 9.6 million visitors per year.
It thrives as part of the Hunter Region, which is the largest economic base in NSW outside of Sydney. The Hunter region is also well known for its primary industries, notably equine breeding and winemaking. It’s also a key area for mining and power generation.
But in recent years, much of Newcastle’s employment growth has been experienced within the services sector, especially in health and the tertiary education sector.
Generally, Hotspotting regards Newcastle as one of Australia’s most under-rated markets. It has strong prospects as an affordable alternative to Sydney, offering an attractive beach lifestyle, proximity to the Hunter Valley and to Port Stephens, plus solid job prospects in a growing economy.
The impetus of the State Government’s Urban Renewal Strategy for Newcastle has become clearly evident; building activity has been rising for the past 3-4 years – especially with unit construction – as the city strives towards higher-density living to cater for population growth.
Over 100,000 new dwellings will be needed in the Lower Hunter region by 2031, according to the NSW State Government.
The affordability of Newcastle relative to Sydney is shown in the median house prices in the Mayfield suburbs ($445,000 to $484,000), Shortland ($380,000), Wallsend ($415,000) and Waratah ($500,000), as well as the median unit prices in New Lambton and Waratah (both $380,000), and Adamstown ($405,000).
There are good prospects for real estate in Newcastle, based on extensive spending on infrastructure and property developments.
Newcastle has recently been the beneficiary of investment activity, largely stimulated by the $6.55 billion State Government investment mandate covering projects such as the new light rail system on Hunter Street, the transport interchange at Wickham and construction of the Newcastle City University Campus.
A June 2016 map of Newcastle building activity showed 28 residential projects with a combined value of $1.6 billion in the construction pipeline, with more proposals in planning. Around 3,000 apartments will be added to the city’s housing stock as a result, including 1,200 in the west end.
Work on revitalising the CBD began in December 2014, with the $73 million transport interchange at Wickham expected to open late in 2017. The interchange will integrate trains, buses, taxis, light rail, cyclists and car drop-off and pick-ups, alongside a light rail service from Wickham to the beach.
The Hunter Street Mall is also receiving a serious makeover, transforming the CBD into 50 percent residential and 50 percent commercial/retail. Included in the plans are an “eat street”, an entertainment precinct and around 500 apartments.
The State Government plans to move sections of Newcastle University into the CBD to help revitalise the inner-city.
Key projections for the university over the coming decade include increasing its student numbers to 40,000, making it one of the top three regional universities in Australia.
Construction has started on the $95 million NewSpace campus, with the NSW Government contributing $25 million towards the cost. By 2020, the university expects to have moved its business, law and creative arts faculties entirely to the CBD.
All this activity is helping to keep the Newcastle economy vibrant, providing a strong underpinning to a growth property market.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can  <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=/'display:%20none;/'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting">Twitter.</a>
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Housing affordability and price growth prospects in Newcastle

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GUEST OBSERVER
It seems that lenders were already scaling back their appetite for investment lending as early as January this year, with the value of housing finance commitments for investment purposes falling by almost 6 percent in February; the largest fall in lending for investment purposes since September 2015. 
While this is only one month of data, it is likely that investment lending has moved, or is moving through the peak of the cycle.
The February 2017 housing finance data which was released today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). 
The data showed that in February 2017 there was $32.9 billion worth of housing finance commitments which was -2.7 percent lower over the month but 3.5 percent higher compared to the value in February 2016. 
To highlight how much lending is going to housing it is interesting to note that five years earlier, $20.4 billion worth of housing finance commitments was recorded in February 2012.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/12/chart-1-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/12/chart-1-1.jpg" alt="">
The $32.9 billion of housing finance commitments in February 2017 consisted of $20.0 billion to owner occupiers and $12.9 billion to investors. 
The value of lending to owner occupiers has changed very little over the past eight months and was -0.5 percent lower over the month and -2.3 percent lower year-on-year. 
The value of lending to investors fell by -5.9 percent in February but is still 14.0 percent higher year-on-year. 
The -5.9 percent monthly fall in the value of lending to investors was the largest monthly fall since September 2015 and is a dramatic change in direction for investment lending which has been trending higher since January 2016.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/12/chart-2-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/12/chart-2-1.jpg" alt="">
Owner occupier housing finance commitments are split into four types: construction of dwellings ($1.8 billion), purchase of new dwellings ($1.0 billion), refinancing of established dwellings ($6.2 billion) and purchase of established dwellings ($11.0 billion).  Construction of dwellings and purchase of new dwellings rose over the month and were also the only commitment types higher year-on-year. 
Lending for refinances in particular have been in a steady decline since December 2015, at that time there were $7.3 billion in commitments over the month with the $6.2 billion in February 2017 tracking -15.6 percent lower. 
This does seem a little counter-intuitive given that since December 2015 there has been substantial repricing of mortgage rates since that time and investors have returned to the market which could have involved refinancing of their owner-occupied properties to fund the investment.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/12/chart-3-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/12/chart-3-1.jpg" alt="">
Lending to investors slowed markedly in February 2017 with the two components: new construction ($1.0 billion) and established dwellings ($11.9 billion) each recording a fall over the month. 
Lending for construction was -13.6 percent lower in February while lending for established dwellings fell by -5.2 percent. 
The decline in housing finance commitments predates the new policy announcement from APRA to lenders a week ago notifying them of changes to lending policies, in particular for interest-only lending which is popular amongst investors. 
Although the letter was only recently published, the discussions about the lending policy changes have probably been ongoing with lenders for a number of months and may help to explain the fall in investor lending in February. 
Over the next few months it will be interesting to see the direction of lending to investors, if it falls like it did after April 2015, it could lead to a slowdown in the rate of value growth in the housing market although there is little evidence of this occurring as yet.
Click to enlarge
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/12/chart-4-1.jpg" alt="">
The above chart shows the value of lending for new housing compared to the value for existing housing, note that refinances are excluded from this data.  New housing is defined as: owner occupier construction of dwellings, owner occupier purchase of new dwellings and investment construction of dwellings which totalled $3.9 billion in February 2017 compared to $22.9 billion for existing housing. 
New housing accounted for 14.5 percent of total housing finance commitments over the month. Even though we are in the midst of a housing construction boom there has been no substantial increase in the value of finance commitments for new housing over recent years. Keep in mind though that there are substantially more established properties than new with the 9.8 million dwellings nationally only increasing by 1.8 percent over the past year.
The next few months of housing finance commitments data will be interesting to follow to see if the softness in investor demand continues.  Also with many lenders repricing mortgage rates since February there may be an increase in refinance activity which has been slowing since the end of 2015. 
Overall the nature of the mortgage market is changing with higher interest rates and a fresh round of macroprudential controls recently implemented. The next few months should provide insight into whether these tools can ultimately slow some of the current exuberance being shown by investors.
Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Investor lending slows in February before the APRA crackdown was announced

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GUEST OBSERVER
First home buyers are close to record lows in many of Australia’s states and they are below the long term average in every state except Western Australia.  
As at the end of April 2017, first home buyers comprised just 13.9 percent of all owner occupier mortgage demand nationally.  The situation is worse in New South Wales, where first time buyers comprised only 8.4 percent of the market over the first four months of the year so far; based on the long term average, first home buyers ‘normally’ comprise around one fifth of owner occupier demand across New South Wales.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/29/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-29%20at%2011.51.30%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge </a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/06/29/Screen%20Shot%202017-06-29%20at%2011.51.30%20AM.png" alt="">
With first home buyer participation declining as prices rise, it’s an easy connection to suggest that housing affordability is to blame for the low participation rate, but that is probably only part of the reason.  South Australia, for example, doesn’t have the same affordability challenges as New South Wales, yet first time buyers are the second lowest of any state at 12.2 percent and first time buyer activity in Victoria (16.6 percent) is more substantial than participation in Tasmania (15.2 percent) where housing is the most affordable of any state.
Availability of jobs is an important factor for first home buyers and this is likely to be one of the factors supporting first time buyer demand in Victoria, even though stamp duty rates (prior to July 1) are high and affordability measures are the second highest of any capital city outside of Sydney.   
Over the past five years 39 percent of the jobs created nationally have been in Victoria which is substantially higher than the long term average of 24 percent.
The two states where first time buyers are most active, at least on a proportional basis, are Western Australia, where first time buyers comprise 28.4 percent of owner occupier mortgage demand, and Queensland at 21.5 percent.  
First home buyers are higher than the long term average in Western Australia and Queensland first timers are close to the long term average participation rates.  Jobs growth has been mild across both states over the past five years, however housing prices have been tracking lower in Perth and increasing roughly in line with incomes in Brisbane.  
The dwelling price to income ratio in Brisbane is 5.9 and in Perth its 6.0; substantially lower than the larger capital cities.  
It’s likely that the healthier affordability of housing in these regions, despite the mild jobs growth, is a primary factor in supporting first time buyer demand.
Other factors come back to transaction costs, particularly the cost of stamp duty and deposit.  
There is a high likelihood that stamp duty exemptions for first home buyers, which go live on July 1st in Victoria and New South Wales will temporarily boost first time buyer numbers in the market.  
While the exemptions are likely to drive first home buyer demand, it’s likely that additional demand concentrated across the lower priced end of the market could simply push prices higher over the short to medium term. 
Tim Lawless is head of the CoreLogic research and analytics team and can be contacted <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>.
 
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tlawless-5VLUrbAk9s

First home buyers at record lows

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Household net worth increased by $227 billion to $9.64 trillion in the first quarter of 2017. 
Contrary to what you intuitively might expect, the total value of residential housing as a share of the total assets hasn't really changed all that much over recent decades, even today sitting at just a little over half. 
A big part of the reason for that has been due to the popularity and success of compulsory superannuation, while Aussies are also now hoarding some $1.06 trillion in cash and deposits, a thumping 22 per cent of financial assets. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/30/HW1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/30/HW1.jpg" alt="">
Average net worth per capita has come absolutely storming back since the March 2009 nadir, rising by an extraordinary 67 per cent to make Australia the world's second wealthiest country after Switzerland in per capita terms.
Now someone will no doubt Tweet me to say that the housing component should be subtracted - you can do it yourself, the numbers are right there above!
Average net worth per capita increased by ~$34,500 over the year to a record high of ~$394,000.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/30/HW2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/30/HW2.jpg" alt="">
Housing loan debt also continues to rise to well beyond $1.6 trillion, making households twitchier about increases in mortgage rates than has ever been the case before. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/30/HW5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/30/HW5.jpg" alt="">
Mortgage debt has expanded at a slower pace than asset values, however, bringing the household debt to assets ratio down to 19.5 per cent, while the mortgage debt to land and dwelling values ratio declined again to 26.4 per cent.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/30/HW3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/30/HW3.jpg" alt="">
The most noteworthy housing market change in recent months has been mortgage rates being ratcheted higher on interest-only loans.  
Given that the hikes largely took place after the end of March, it's likely that interest payable will rise throughout the remainder of 2017.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/30/HW4.jpg" target="_parent">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/30/HW4.jpg" alt="">
EOFY brings super returns
It's the end of another financial year today!
After an up-and-down sort of a year at times - and assuming the share market doesn't unexpectedly crash this morning - superannuation funds will return about 10 per cent for 2016/17 to notch up an eighth successive year of positive returns, as the share market continues to claw its way back.
From a housing market perspective, almost all commentators are now on board with the notion that the Sydney market has moved into a slowdown phase, which will have knock-on effects to household net worth later in 2017.
Banks will continue to push home loans hard, but investment mortgages will be harder to come by following a raft of tightening measures. 
Yet we also shouldn't ignore that every set of labour force figures released lately has been pointing to a Sydney jobs market that is firing on all cylinders. 
Population growth accelerated to about 91,000 in Sydney in 2016, despite internal migration to Queensland. 
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate has declined to 4.4 per cent, and job vacancies in New South Wales have risen to unprecedented highs, suggesting that many more jobs are being created. 
Anecdotally, I've heard from more than one source that some professional jobs in Sydney are attracting dozens if not hundreds of applications, though whether the applicants are unemployed, under-employed, or from interstate, who can say? 
With first homebuyers sitting out of the market in recent weeks awaiting the introduction of new incentives - applicable to established properties priced up to $800,000 from 1 July - I wouldn't yet rule out a resurgent Sydney housing market later in 2017, at least in the bottom quartile of the market.
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Mortgage rate tweaks set to bite: Pete Wargent

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By some measures, Hobart is the hottest market in Australia. In terms of typical days on market for houses to sell, the fastest-selling suburbs in Australia are now found in Hobart.
The latest survey of sales activity by Hotspotting confirms that impression: relative to its size, Hobart has more growth markets than any other capital city in Australia. Agents we trust tell us they’re selling homes as fast as they can list them.
Other sectors of the Tasmanian market are busy also, led by Launceston and some of the towns in the state’s north.
Sales activity in the state has been rising steadily over the past three years. In 2016 and early 2017, every quarter has achieved higher house sales than the equivalent period a year earlier, a pattern that’s been evident now for the past three years.
For example, if we compare the past three September quarters, sales have increased from 2,300 (2014) to 2,580 (2015) to 2,832 (2016). Sales in consecutive December quarters have climbed from 2,515 to 2,718 to 3,017.
For those and other reasons, Hotspotting has been forecasting the advance of real estate markets in Tasmania for the past two years.
Real estate in Hobart, and Tasmania generally, has risen on the back of greatly improved economic performance and elevated infrastructure spending. In the State of the States report by CommSec, Tasmania’s national ranking has recently risen from 7th to 4th - putting it ahead of Queensland, WA, SA and the Northern Territory.
This is reflected in the increasing number of busy suburbs in Hobart. Our latest survey reveals that the number of suburbs with rising markets has more than doubled in the last six months.
Affordability is a big driver in this market. There is a rising influence of investor buyers in the market, attracted by the status of Hobart as the cheapest capital city market in Australia (as well as the city with the lowest vacancies and highest rental yields).
With affordability a core attraction, it’s the cheaper areas of the Hobart metropolitan area that are doing the best (although all sectors are busy).
The Glenorchy LGA has five growth suburbs (Berriedale, Claremont, Glenorchy, West Moonah and Austins Ferry), while the Clarence LGA has four  (Geilston Bay, Rokeby, Warrane and Bellerive). To put that in context, the median house price for both Warrane and Claremont is $265,000, while Rokeby is $215,000 and Glenorchy is $275,000.
Glenorchy (the suburb) is typical of the growth markets - sales levels have been 47, 49, 55, 67, 70, 85, 80 and 91 in the past eight quarters. In Kingston in the Kingborough LGA in Hobart’s south, sales levels have been 50, 61, 65, 68, 71, 79, 70 and 82 in consecutive quarters.
Rising sales activity is now translating into good price growth. The latest figures from the SQM Research Asking Prices Index has Hobart houses up 14% and units up almost 17% in annual terms. Meanwhile, asking rents have risen 7% on average for houses and 13% for units.
But it’s not just a Hobart story; other centres, notably Launceston and Devonport, are doing well also.
In Launceston, house sales in consecutive quarters throughout 2016 were 422, 465, 470 and 480 - a rising pattern which has continued in 2017. The number of growth suburbs in the Launceston area, covering the Launceston and West Tamar LGAs, has risen strongly in recent surveys.
South Launceston typifies the growth in this market. Its sales levels have grown from 20 to 29 to 34 to 46 to 52 in the past five consecutive quarters, a pattern highly likely to deliver growth in property values.
In the north, the Wynyard, Devonport, Shearwater and Somerset markets are all rising.
So while there’s growing evidence that the headline markets like Sydney and Melbourne are fading, Hobart is still quite early in its up cycle and is likely to continue growing for some time.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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Hobart the hottest market in Australia

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The word “hotspot” has become one of the most over-used in Australian real estate.
Many times the word is mis-used and downright abused.
Last month I spoke at a seminar in Melbourne hosted by The Property Education Company, where Greville Pabst from WBP Property Group gave a well-informed presentation about identifying good investments. He commented that there is no such creature as a “hotspot” and that investors should not waste time searching for them.
And I would tend to agree with him, in terms of the definition many people apply to word – places that show short-term flash-in-the-pan spurts of price growth, such as mining towns which have been a recent graveyard for many investors.
The areas I identify as hotspots are places I believe will show superior growth over time, taking a long-term view.
In recent weeks there has been considerable publicity for a Housing Industry Association report which, according to media reports, identified the nation’s leading “housing hotspots”.
It’s importance for investors to understand what is really meant in this instance and the nature of these places. I would suggest that while these are hotspots according to the HIA definition, they are usually not good places to buy for capital growth. 
Darwin’s daily newspaper, the NT News, went overboard with parochial enthusiasm when it reported that “two housing markets in the Northern Territory rank among the strongest in the country”. Another media outlet reported that Pimpama on the northern fringe of the Gold Coast had been identified as “Australia’s top housing hotspot”.
It’s crucial to understand the nature of the HIA report, which is suggested by the report title – Population and Residential Building Hotspots 2017.
Essentially this report reveals the leading areas for new residential construction around the nation. These are places where there’s land available for new dwelling construction. You’re not going to find any middle-ring city suburbs in this report, because such places are built out and any new construction is likely to be apartments.
Locations make this report by virtue of high building approvals and high percentage population growth (usually from a very low base).
A “hotspot” is defined as a local area where population growth exceeds the national rate (which was 1.4 percent in the year to June 2016) and where the value of residential building approvals is more than $20 million.
The area in which Pimpama sits – the precinct between Brisbane and the Gold Coast – is always likely to feature in a report like this, because it has lots of largely empty land ripe for new development and it sits between two growing cities.
The two Darwin locations which the NT News claimed were among the nation’s leading housing markets are two new suburbs, Zuccoli and Lyons. The paper said Zuccoli was “the third strongest housing market in Australia” - which was seriously misleading.
The percentage growth rates for population in these places are high because they have been newly-created as suburbs only recently.
So are these good places to invest for capital growth? In most cases the answer is emphatically no. I would rate many of these locations as no go zones. The existence of ample land for ongoing new development means there’s no shortage of supply and often the capital growth rates are poor. Indeed developers often pile into these areas and create oversupply, which means prices fall.
The Gold Coast has been a national leader on population growth for decades but a poor performer on capital growth because developers periodically flood the market with new product. This is especially true in the high-rise unit market – the median apartment price in Surfers Paradise today is pretty much the same as it was 10 years ago – i.e. zero growth in the past decade.
Another example is provided by a new growth area which challenged the Gold Coast’s status as the leading LGA in the nation for population growth – Wyndham City in the south-west of the Melbourne metropolitan area. This happened because there’s lots of former rural land available for new suburbs there.
Six or so years ago widespread publicity about growth in Wyndham City caused the inevitable stampede by developers who quickly generated oversupply. Vacancies rose and prices fell. Developers employed marketeering companies to flog the unwanted product to distant investors, many of whom regretted believing the publicity about this being a national housing hotspot.
Zuccoli in the Darwin region is the opposite of a good place to buy. Darwin’s market has been in reverse for the past four years, with prices and rents falling, and the Zuccoli postcode currently has a 7 percent vacancy rate, according to SQM Research. CoreLogic data suggests the median price fell 17 percent in the past year.
The Pimpama postcode, ranked by the HIA report as the nation’s No.1 hotspot, has a vacancy rate around 5 percent. And the average annual growth rate for house prices over the past decade is less than 1 percent, similar to the performance of apartments in Surfers Paradise, for similar reasons – rampant supply has overpowered all the other positive growth drivers.
Construction hotspots, yes. Investment hotspots, no.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
</body></html>

Hotspot or no-go zone? Terry Ryder

<html><body>
The Sydney suburb of Annandale is among the fastest suburb across Australia, according to Investar’s latest report.
The property data firm says that the average time that a house in Annandale stays on the market is 41 days.
A example is a recently sold four bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-nsw-annandale-124862262" target="_blank">65 View Street</a> (above) that stayed on the market for 26 days before it was sold for $3.83 million.
Another example is a recently sold four bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-nsw-annandale-124819934" target="_blank">159 Nelson Street</a> (below) that stayed on the market for 28 days before selling for $2.85 million.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/14/159%20Nelson%20Street.jpg" alt="">
<table style="width: 473px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Suburb
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
State
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
Postcode
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Dwelling
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Bedrooms
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
Days on market
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
Current median price
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Croydon Park
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2133
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Studio and 1
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
38
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$412,500
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Kensington
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
VIC
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
3031
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
2
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
39
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$775,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Bowden
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
SA
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
5007
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Studio and 1
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
40
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$340,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Annandale
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2038
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
4
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
41
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$2,500,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Woolloomooloo
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2011
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Studio and 1
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
41
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$800,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Beecroft
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2119
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
42
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$1,350,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Fairlight
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2094
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
2
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
42
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$900,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Narraweena
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2099
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
43
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$1,250,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Caulfield South
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
VIC
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2162
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
44
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$1,100,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Allambie Heights
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2100
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
45
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$900,000
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
The average median price of a house in Annandale is $1.69 million, an increase of $21,000 compared to last year’s median price.
Annandale is popular with 1831 more website listing visits than most suburbs in NSW.
Established independent residents take up 25 percent of the residents in the area.
</body></html>

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Annandale among the fastest selling NSW suburbs

<html><body>
Caufield South is among the fastest selling suburbs across Australia, according to Investar’s latest report.
The property data firm says that houses in the Victorian locality spend 44 days on the market before being sold.
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Suburb
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
State
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
Postcode
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Dwelling
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Bedrooms
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
Days on market
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
Current median price
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Croydon Park
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2133
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Studio and 1
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
38
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$412,500
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Kensington
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
VIC
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
3031
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
2
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
39
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$775,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Bowden
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
SA
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
5007
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Studio and 1
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
40
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$340,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Annandale
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2038
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
4
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
41
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$2,500,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Woolloomooloo
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2011
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
Studio and 1
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
41
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$800,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Beecroft
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2119
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
42
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$1,350,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Fairlight
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2094
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
Unit
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
2
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
42
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$900,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Narraweena
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2099
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
43
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$1,250,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Caulfield South
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
VIC
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2162
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
44
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$1,100,000
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="98">
Allambie Heights
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="64">
2100
</td>
<td valign="top" width="65">
House
</td>
<td valign="top" width="72">
3
</td>
<td valign="top" width="52">
45
</td>
<td valign="top" width="77">
$900,000
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
A recent example is a two bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-caulfield+south-125309742" target="_blank">213 Bambra Road</a> (above) that spent 11 days on the market before being sold for $962,500.
Another recent example is a three bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-caulfield+south-125300874" target="_blank">82 Trevelyan Street</a> (below) that spent 26 days on the market before it was sold for $1.83 million.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/15/82%20Trevelyan%20Street.jpg" alt="">
The median price of a house in Caulfield South is $1.475 million, which is a decline from last year’s median price of $1.505 million.
Caulfield South has 876 more website listing visits than most suburbs in Victoria.
Older residents account the majority taking up almost 20 percent of the residents in the area.
</body></html>

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