<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> has lodged plans for a $750 million, three-tower mixed-use precinct that would complete the long-running redevelopment of Carlton's former Carlton United Breweries site.

The proposal at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/185-195-queensberry-street-carlton-vic-3053">46-78 Bouverie Street and 185-195 Queensberry Street</a> spans a 6,468 sqm site, the last remaining undeveloped parcels within the former brewery's 2007 masterplan.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the development will comprise two purpose-built student accommodation towers and a third build-to-sell apartment tower above a shared commercial podium and basement.

Across the three towers, SP Setia is proposing 606 build-to-sell apartments and 1,499 student accommodation units containing 2,009 beds.

The apartments will sit in the tallest tower, which will rise nearly 200m and 55 storeys. It will become&nbsp;one of the more substantial new build-to-sell apartment projects at the northern edge of Melbourne's CBD.

The apartment mix is weighted toward smaller inner-city product, with 188 studios, 206 one-bedroom apartments, 192 two-bedroom apartments and 20 three-bedroom apartments

<img alt="First look: SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8271bc87-1b0a-41b7-ac73-a425ee375261" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/3_2.png?VersionId=G4lw23o90B1boX4k4dj7rdz2ZEajS9wy" />

Part of the precinct will be a large-scale&nbsp;3,684 sqm supermarket and a further 2,198 sqm of speciality retail, creating close to 5,900 sqm of new commercial space within the precinct.

But one of the biggest components of the proposal is what sits between the buildings.

Around 4,650 sqm, or roughly 72 per cent of the site, will be publicly accessible open space, incorporating plazas, pedestrian connections, landscaped laneways and retail spill-out areas.

The ground plane is intended to finally complete pedestrian connections envisaged when the CUB masterplan was first approved nearly two decades ago, stitching together Victoria Street, Queensberry Street, Bouverie Street and Swanston Street through the former brewery precinct.

Urbis said the development would "complete the CUB precinct", with the public realm providing important north-south and east-west connections through what is currently the final undeveloped portion of the masterplanned site.

SP Setia is also exploring a new linear park within the Bouverie Street road reserve, with the concept to be developed further with the City of Melbourne through the planning process.

The proposal is being pursued through the Victorian Government's Development Facilitation Program under Clause 53.23 for significant residential development with affordable housing.

The planning report acknowledges the proposed heights exceed those contemplated under the original Comprehensive Development Plan and masterplan, but argues the built-form context has changed considerably over the past two decades.

Urbis said the three towers would instead create a stepped transition between Carlton and the Hoddle Grid, rising progressively from the 94.1-metre Tower One along the Queensberry Street edge to the 199.44-metre Tower Three closer to the established CBD-scale buildings to the south.

<img alt="SP Setia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e885a07a-592c-40fc-bf82-e6dbaf32da54" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.52.24%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=7s_ErUkSKAdY1mAWp3GRZgMNCGtwhk5m" />

SP Setia plans to deliver the development across three stages.

Stage One would deliver the basement, podium and retail areas for the entire precinct alongside the first student tower. Tower Two would follow in Stage Two, before the 606-apartment Tower Three is delivered as the final stage.

If approved and delivered, the project would close out a redevelopment process that has been underway since the former brewery masterplan was approved in 2007, adding more than 2,600 student beds and apartments to a precinct already home to Swanston Central, the Barak Building, RMIT Design Hub and several large student accommodation developments.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct

Melbourne developer Lowe Living is seeking to add to its growing bayside apartment pipeline, filing plans for a boutique eight-residence development in tightly held Middle Park.

Lowe Living, which has built much of its development portfolio across Melbourne's affluent bayside and south-east suburbs, is behind the plans for the 730 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/123-125-erskine-street-middle-park-vic-3206">123-125 Erskine Street</a>, just off Armstrong Street and within the Armstrong Street Neighbourhood Activity Centre.

The developer is seeking approval for a five-storey residential building above two basement levels, with just eight large-format apartments and 18 car spaces.

“This is a deliberately very different proposition for us,"&nbsp;Tim Lowe, Co-Founder of Lowe Living, said.

"Eight residences is exceptionally boutique, but that's precisely what this site calls for.

“There is a strong community in Middle Park and the surrounding suburbs who have spent decades building a life here. They no longer want the maintenance of a large period home, but they aren't prepared to compromise on space, quality or location. We think there is a real opportunity to capture that hyper local market. A site like this rarely comes to market.”

<img alt="Lowe " data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="875fe572-0f14-4d90-9e11-55b28dd07731" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.42.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=GDNQRv9BfpR9r1zkZ5UDyUM4ZvpIksut" />

The low-density proposal has been designed by Cera Stribley and is being progressed through the Victorian Government's Great Design Fast Track pathway, having already secured eligibility from the Minister for Planning.

The Office of the Victorian Government Architect supported its eligibility after finding the proposal demonstrated consistency with the program's seven design principles, while the project's financial feasibility has also been independently confirmed by Invest Victoria.

The project is targeting the downsizer market, with the planning documents describing the homes as larger-format residences and noting the two penthouses could otherwise have been configured as four separate apartments.

<img alt="Lowe 2" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="60ab0987-2da6-4175-adac-315dcf6053c6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.15%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=bOCPH0B2MFwlmaRW.TTCF9TzyifgVoQI" />

The site has dual frontage to Erskine Street and Canterbury Place and currently comprises a collection of commercial buildings used as offices, including a former heritage bakehouse, a former stable, a later gabled addition and a central courtyard.

It sits within the Commercial 1 Zone and the Armstrong Street Commercial Precinct heritage overlay, with the existing property classified as a contributory heritage place.

Heritage has subsequently played a significant role in Cera Stribley's design.

The front section of the former bakehouse facing Erskine Street will be retained, including its return walls, street-facing hipped roof and chimneys, while the Erskine Street façade and part of the western return wall of the former stable will also be incorporated into the new development.

Levels four and five will be set back five metres from the retained stable façade, while bricks removed through demolition are proposed to be salvaged and reused within the new building where possible.

<img alt="Lowe 3" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e97927a9-a2de-4a0f-83b6-65451238abfa" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.06%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=VR44AChLrX9q1XPB9GvVQV.ALXXbe4gC" />

Rather than presenting as a single five-storey building to Erskine Street, Cera Stribley has broken the development into a series of distinct forms.

A three-storey infill element will sit between the retained bakehouse and stable façades, with the upper levels recessed behind the heritage fabric. Canterbury Place will similarly feature two three-storey podium forms, separated by a central pedestrian accessway, before the upper two levels step back from the street.

A pedestrian through-link will run through the centre of the project between Erskine Street and Canterbury Place, creating entrances from both sides of the site and introducing landscaping and communal areas through the ground plane.

Landscape architect Acre has designed planting across the ground level, private terraces and upper levels, including a feature canopy tree at level three and integrated planting and arbours across the level four terraces. Five existing Erskine Street trees are proposed to be retained.

Sustainability is also a significant component of the Great Design Fast Track application. The apartments are targeting an average eight-star NatHERS rating, with no residence below 6.5 stars, while the project has achieved a 75 per cent BESS score. Seven of the eight apartments are designed for cross-ventilation, with the remaining residence using mechanically assisted natural ventilation.

The plans also incorporate an 8kWp rooftop solar system, a 5,000-litre rainwater tank and infrastructure allowing future electric vehicle charging for every residence.

Lowe has a strong portfolio across Melbourne's blue-chip suburbs. They recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/jardin-house-by-lowe-living-camberwell-335-camberwell-road-camberwell-vic-3124">Jardin House by Lowe Living</a> in Camberwell, their first development in the Stonnington LGA.

Lowe Living unveils Middle Park apartment development

Article summary

<ul data-end="888" data-start="289">
	<li data-end="442" data-section-id="8tsh6o" data-start="289">DVB Projects is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway at 137 Old Burleigh Road, Broadbeach.</li>
	<li data-end="573" data-section-id="1nyxl3e" data-start="443">The 34-level tower will comprise just 49 ultra-luxury residences, including half-floor, full-floor and penthouse apartments.</li>
	<li data-end="717" data-section-id="oiyimj" data-start="574">The launch follows strong demand at DVB's nearby Sea Glass project, which is more than 50 per cent sold and currently under construction.</li>
	<li data-end="888" data-section-id="epk9o9" data-start="718">The development adds to the transformation of Old Burleigh Road, with premium beachfront apartment projects continuing to reshape the tightly held Broadbeach strip.</li>
</ul>

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/dvb-projects">DVB Projects</a> is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway on the Broadbeach site as the Sydney developer moves closer to bringing the ultra-luxury project to market.

The 34-level tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/137-old-burleigh-road-broadbeach-qld-4218">137 Old Burleigh Road</a> will comprise just 49 residences, ranging from half-floor apartments through to full-floor homes and a penthouse. The launch follows the strong sales performance of DVB's nearby Sea Glass development. More than half of the apartments at Sea Glass, on the other side of Broadbeach, have been snapped up, well ahead of its late 2027 completion

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2944b4be-c84e-4b54-8dc1-c712e76704c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E02_Exterior_Street%20Level%20Entrance.jpg?VersionId=YoNig7pRdrE3HCue7sUj78LzJteeQf3H" />

The start of demolition at 137 Old Burleigh Road signals DVB Projects’ underlying confidence in the Gold Coast’s luxury beachside apartment sector.

“We see the Gold Coast as one of the most compelling lifestyle markets in Australia, particularly at the premium end where demand continues to deepen,” said Dean Brown, Managing Director of DVB.&nbsp;

“This project has been carefully designed to respond to that demand - delivering large-format residences with a level of quality, privacy and amenity that is still relatively rare in the apartment market on the beachside."

Brown says the site itself is "exceptional."

"Old Burleigh Road is one of the most tightly held beachfront strips, and opportunities to deliver a project of this scale and calibre in this location are extremely limited.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="398f377a-c037-455e-9250-0c5e0d84c35b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/I12_FF%20Balcony.jpg?VersionId=NwOiRWGMubR1c8wthuEfggklcja7al9." />

The project will comprise 40 half-floor residences of approximately 260 sqm, alongside eight full-floor residences spanning around 524 sqm.

A single penthouse will crown the building, featuring a private pool, barbecue area, indoor gym and dedicated entertaining spaces.

Residents will have access to a resort-style suite of amenities, including a 20-metre pool with daybeds, a gymnasium, hot and cold plunge pools, a sauna, and private residents’ lounge and dining facilities.

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1642bb0-9a66-4427-a022-dfc0988c6287" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A02_Pool%20to%20View.jpg?VersionId=c0IXPyn_Gp_Kn3XCwzMrqIVkAdCEwVXP" />

Sales agent Todd Matheson, of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/pezet-matheson">Pezet Matheson</a>, which is marketing both 137 Old Burleigh Road and Sea Glass, said 137 Old Burleigh Road would address a clear gap in the market for genuine luxury products.

“There are very few opportunities on the Gold Coast where buyers can secure a residence of this size and quality in a new building,” Matheson said.

“What we’re seeing is a growing cohort of downsizers and interstate buyers who still want space - they’re not willing to compromise on living area, entertaining or finishes.

“This project has been designed with that buyer in mind. It offers the scale of a home, combined with the convenience and security of apartment living, in one of the coast’s most desirable positions.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="59aae0ca-5639-4320-8aca-d0bf60f48e43" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E01_Exterior%20Hero.jpg?VersionId=DS8Zfy2WtgUEtdfe0TEUuf1W1GfcZq8S" />

Located on a 1,156 sqm site one block from the beachfront, the development will replace an ageing walk-up building and is expected to contribute to the ongoing transformation of the Old Burleigh Road strip into one of the Gold Coast’s most prestigious residential corridors.

With the development moving into the delivery phase, 137 Old Burleigh Road is slated to hit the market later this year.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145141]

DVB Projects to launch second Broadbeach apartment tower as demolition commences

<a data-end="327" data-is-only-node="" data-start="250" href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/norus-projects" rel="noopener" target="_new">Norus Developments</a> has lodged plans for a new apartment development in Clayton that would add further momentum to the suburb's emerging Green Street corridor.

Plans have been lodged for the consolidated site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/1359-1365-centre-road-clayton-vic-3168">1359-1365 Centre Road</a>, where Norus is seeking approval for 218 apartments across a 12-storey apartment building designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/life-architecture-and-urban-design">Life Architecture</a>.

The proposal sits within the Clayton Major Activity Centre at the threshold of the planned Green Street corridor, a landscaped pedestrian connection intended to improve links through the precinct towards Clayton Railway Station.

The development would replace the site's existing collection of low-scale residential and commercial buildings with a single consolidated building, introducing significantly greater housing density to this part of Centre Road.

A retail tenancy is proposed at ground level to activate the Centre Road frontage, accompanied by transparent street interfaces and landscaping intended to create a more pedestrian-focused edge to the development.

<img alt="First look: Norus Developments plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0a5a763a-d9e9-4253-af2f-88008de27ebf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Clayton%20a.png?VersionId=S2WJJbat1XVkZwB9SnYtygirXgWHiklX" />

The building has been designed with stepped massing and upper-level setbacks to manage its transition towards surrounding residential properties. The planning report describes the approach as one that integrates the building into the landscape rather than treating landscaping as a secondary element.

"A strong landscape and public realm strategy underpins the proposal," Urbis states in the planning report.

"Public benefits include an affordable housing contribution, a new pocket park, generous landscaped setbacks, deep soil planting and integrated Water Sensitive Urban Design."

The report adds that these elements are intended to create "a permeable, pedestrian-focused ground plane that enhances walkability, supports urban cooling and reinforces the emerging Green Street character."

Biophilic and passive design principles extend through the residential levels, with planting, daylight, natural ventilation and views towards landscaped areas forming part of the amenity strategy.

Parking would be concentrated away from the public realm, with 145 car spaces proposed from the rear laneway rather than dominating the Centre Road frontage.

The proposal follows an extensive pre-application process with the City of Monash. Three formal meetings were held between the project team and Council from December 2025 to March 2026, with the scheme evolving through several concept iterations before the current design was lodged.

The project arrives as Clayton prepares for substantial change around its established activity centre and the wider Suburban Rail Loop precinct. Its position on Centre Road places the development within an existing concentration of shops, services and public transport, while the Green Street connection is intended to strengthen pedestrian access towards Clayton Railway Station.

First look: Norus plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gardner-vaughan-group">Gardner Vaughan Group</a> has officially commenced construction on Bronze on Chevron, celebrating the sod turning of its first-ever Gold Coast development and marking a significant milestone in the company's continued expansion across South East Queensland.&nbsp;

Following the successful delivery of premium residential developments throughout Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bronze-on-chevron-8-mawarra-street-chevron-island-qld-4217">Bronze on Chevron</a> represents Gardner Vaughan Group's entry into the Gold Coast market. Bronze will deliver 119 one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments above two ground-level retail tenancies.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107520 project_image_fid=367193]

The recent sod turning ceremony was attended by Deputy Mayor Mark Hammel, President of the Surfers Paradise Surf Life Saving Club, Cassandra Sedgman, project consultants, purchasers, project partners and invited guests to celebrate the commencement of construction.&nbsp;

Gardner Vaughan Group Chief Executive Officer Simon Betteridge said Bronze on Chevron represented an exciting new chapter for the business.&nbsp;

"We've spent almost four decades building homes that respond to the way people want to live, and we're excited to bring that experience to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/chevron-island-qld-4217">Chevron Island</a>," Betteridge said.

"Bronze on Chevron is particularly significant because it marks Gardner Vaughan Group's first development on the Gold Coast following many successful projects across Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107520 project_image_fid=367183]

Betteridge said the ground breaking is a proud moment for the&nbsp;team and their purchasers, who can now see their future homes beginning to take shape.&nbsp;

"As both developer and builder, we're able to oversee every aspect of the project from design through to construction, ensuring the quality and attention to detail Gardner Vaughan Group has become renowned for."&nbsp;

Designed by acclaimed architectural practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cottee-parker-architects">Cottee Parker</a>, Bronze on Chevron has been thoughtfully designed to complement Chevron Island's evolving streetscape while embracing its relaxed coastal lifestyle.

The development will offer generous residences with refined interiors, premium finishes and resort-style amenities, with completion anticipated in early 2029.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=107520]

The development will offer generous residences with refined interiors, premium finishes and resort-style amenities, with completion anticipated in early 2029

Gardner Vaughan Group breaks ground on first Gold Coast development, Bronze on Chevron

National Australia Bank (NAB) has brought forward the timing of the first RBA cash rate cut by three months.

NAB is now expecting a cut in February, in line with ANZ and Westpac, having initially thought a cut wouldn't come until May.

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB changed its call following the August monthly inflation figures that were released at the end of September, showing it had dropped to 2.7 per cent.

"The risk has been skewed to a first cut earlier in 2025, and today’s change acknowledges the balance of risks has likely shifted sufficiently for the RBA to feel comfortable cutting a little sooner than we earlier expected," NAB noted in its latest update.

They added that the cadence of the cuts may be faster than its central profile.

"Domestic inflation pressures are cooling, but only gradually, and we continue to expect the conditions for a cut will not be in place this year.

NAB believes the easing cycle will end at 3.1 per cent by early 2026, which is five cuts from the current 4.35 per cent cash rate.&nbsp;

CBA also thinks 3.1 per cent will mark the end of the cutting cycle, while Westpac is forecasting 3.35 per cent, and ANZ is the most pessimistic at 3.6 per cent, which would be just three interest rate cuts.

<h2>What would a rate cut in February look like for borrowers?</h2>

According to&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vK2ujS77CHs9VRvSSXzLC" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG" target="_blank">Canstar</a>, if there is a cut in February, a borrower with a $600,000 loan today and 25 years remaining would see their monthly repayments drop by $92.&nbsp;

<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Impact of 0.25% pt cut in February 2025
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Current loan size
			</td>
			<td>
			Drop in monthly repayment
			</td>
			<td>
			New monthly repayment
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$600,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$92
			</td>
			<td>
			$3,907
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$750,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$114
			</td>
			<td>
			$4,884
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$1M
			</td>
			<td>
			-$153
			</td>
			<td>
			$6,512
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Source:&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2qVnp6oqATgqDUi2Frm22q" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL" target="_blank">www.canstar.com.au</a>. Starting rate is the RBA existing average owner-occupier variable rate of 6.36%. Assumes banks pass the cash rate cut on in full the month after the meeting.
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Canstar Data Insights Director, Sally Tindall, says if core inflation continues to track in the right direction, or unemployment starts to accelerate significantly, we could well see a cash rate cut as early as February of next year.

“All four big banks now believe the RBA will be ready to cut the cash rate in just over four months’ time, if not before, in the case of CBA.

“However, the outlook for both inflation and unemployment is still highly uncertain. A couple of wobbly sets of inflation data could see the RBA holding for longer, particularly if unemployment remains relatively steady."

&nbsp;

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

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One of the biggest changes for investors has been the repricing of investment home loans, in response to the removal of the interest-only investment lending caps from January 2019 and the continuing slowdown in demand, according to Canstar.
Since September 2018, 47% of the lenders on Canstar’s database have decreased one or more of their investment interest-only offerings across fixed or variable rate loans.
The average interest rate for interest-only has come down across variable, one-year fixed, two-year fixed, three-year fixed and five-year fixed by up to 0.08%.
“What’s interesting is while we’re seeing the average investor home loan rates decrease, the lowest offer in the market is where the greatest movement has happened over the last six months with decreases of up to 0.20% on fixed loans,” Mickenbecker adds.
When comparing the average one-year fixed interest only loan amount of $400,000, the average decrease could mean a saving of up to $253 per year. Looking at the market minimum the rate cuts could mean a potential annual saving of up to $518 for investment property owners.
On the reverse side, the majority of increases for investment lending that occurred since September 2018 have been on variable rate loans, with an average increase of 0.15%, meaning that investors are paying higher rates for their existing loans.
While that market has observed more increases on variable rate investment loans than fixed, there has still been a 0.01% reduction on the average variable rate for new borrowers. The reduction has resulted from a number of large downward movements with the average decrease being 0.25%.
Mickenbecker says with great deals out there for new loans it’s a good time for investors, and homeowners for that matter, to check their rate, fees and loan features to see if they could be getting a better deal.
With lenders’ home and investment loan interest rates on the move in both directions, Australia’s biggest financial comparison website, Canstar, released its latest Home Loan Star Ratings research.
Canstar considered more than 4,800 home loans finding that on average a 5-Star Rated home or investment loan had access to lower interest rates compared to the market average.
Canstar’s finance expert, Steve Mickenbecker says it’s not hard to see how borrowers may be left confused as to whether they’re getting a good deal or should look to refinance their home loan.
While the latest Australian Bureau of Statistics figures show a 17.1% year-on-year decline in value for new lending commitments to owner occupiers compared with a 28.6% decline in value for lending commitment for investment dwellings, the door is still wide open for investors, he said.
Canstar has awarded a 5-Star Rating to 26 home loan lenders after they were found to offer outstanding value.
Owner-Occupier Home Loan Star Ratings
Outstanding Value – Home Lender
This award goes to home loan lenders that provided outstanding value products to owner-occupiers across variable and fixed-rate loan terms considered in these ratings. Home loans were assessed across four loan amounts ranging from $200,000 up to $750,000, for borrowers making principal and interest repayments. Here are the winners, listed in alphabetical order:
<ul>
<li>Bank Australia</li>
<li>Freedom Lend</li>
<li>Greater Bank</li>
<li>Heritage Bank</li>
<li>Homestar Finance</li>
<li>HSBC</li>
<li>ING</li>
<li>Qudos BanK</li>
<li>RACQ Bank</li>
</ul>
The new Canstar research found owner-occupiers with a 5-Star Rated home loan had access to lower interest rates compared to the market average.
Outstanding Value – Variable Home Lender
This award recognises lenders that consistently offered outstanding value products to owner- occupiers across varying loan amounts. Home loans were assessed across four loan amounts ranging from $200,000 up to $750,000 for borrowers making principal and interest repayments. Here are the winners, listed in alphabetical order:
<ul>
<li>AMO Group</li>
<li>Easy Street Financial Services</li>
<li>Freedom Lend</li>
<li>Homestar Finance</li>
<li>HSBC</li>
<li>MOVE Bank</li>
<li>Pacific Mortgage Group</li>
<li>Reduce Home Loans</li>
<li>SCU</li>
</ul>
The research shows owner-occupiers who choose a 5-Star Rated home loan have the potential to save themselves thousands of dollars over the life of the loan. For instance, the average variable interest rate for a 5-Star Rated residential loan valued at $350,000 with an 80% loan-to-value ratio (LVR) and principal and interest repayments was 3.68%. This compares favourably to the marketaverage of 4.47% out of all products on Canstar’s database. Over a 25-year loan term, that difference could equate to more than $50,000 in savings on the total cost of the loan.
Outstanding Value – Fixed Home Lender
This award recognises home loan lenders that consistently provided outstanding value products to owner-occupiers across one, two, three and five-year fixed rate loan terms. Home loans were assessed across four loan amounts ranging from $200,000 up to $750,000 for borrowers making principal and interest repayments. Here are the winners, listed in alphabetical order:
<ul>
<li>BankVic</li>
<li>Freedom Lend</li>
<li>Greater Bank</li>
<li>ING</li>
<li>Newcastle Permanent</li>
<li>Qudos Bank</li>
<li>RACQ Bank</li>
<li>TicToc Home Loans</li>
<li>UBank</li>
</ul>
Borrowers looking to fix their home loan for a set period may want to consider the difference in interest rates between a 5-Star Rated loan and the market average. For example, the average 5-Star three-year fixed interest rate for a residential loan valued at $350,000 with an 80% LVR and principal and interest repayments was 3.83%, compared to the average from our database of 4.19%.
Investment Home Loan Star Ratings
Outstanding Value – Investment Home Lender
This award acknowledges lenders that consistently offered outstanding value products to investors across the variable and fixed-rate loan terms considered in these ratings. Home loans were assessed across four loan amounts ranging from $200,000 up to $750,000 for borrowers making principal and interest and interest-only repayments. Here are the winners, listed in alphabetical order:
<ul>
<li>Freedom Lend</li>
<li>Greater Bank</li>
<li>Homestar Finance</li>
<li>loans.com.au</li>
<li>Newcastle Permanent</li>
<li>RACQ Bank</li>
<li>TicToc Home Loans</li>
<li>Virgin Money</li>
<li>Reduce Home Loans</li>
<li>Suncorp Bank</li>
</ul>
The research revealed 5-Star Rated home loans offer investors lower interest rates when compared to the market average within the investor home lender profile.
Outstanding Value – Investment Variable Home Lender
This award goes to home loan providers that consistently offer outstanding value products to investors across variable loans. Home loans were assessed across four loan amounts ranging from $200,000 up to $750,000 for borrowers making principal and interest and interest-only repayments. Here are the winners, listed in alphabetical order:
<ul>
<li>Freedom Lend</li>
<li>Gateway Bank</li>
<li>Homestar Finance</li>
<li>loans.com.au</li>
<li>Newcastle Permanent</li>
<li>Pacific Mortgage Group</li>
<li>RACQ Bank</li>
<li>Reduce Home Loans</li>
<li>State Custodians</li>
<li>Community First Credit Union</li>
</ul>
The research revealed there were potential savings to be found for investors if they chose a 5-Star Rated home loan. For instance, the average 5-Star variable interest rate for an investment loan valued at $350,000 with an 80% LVR and principal and interest repayments was 4.25%, while the interest-only rate was 3.98%. These average rates compare favourably to the market averages from our database of 5.08% and 4.77%, respectively. These differences can potentially add up to be quite significant over time. For example, over a 25-year loan term, that difference means investors making principal and interest repayments could save more than $51,000 on the total cost of the loan.
Outstanding Value – Investment Fixed Home Lender
This award recognised lenders that consistently provided outstanding product offerings to investors across one, two, three and five-year fixed rate loan terms. Home loans were assessed across four loan amounts ranging from $200,000 up to $750,000 for borrowers making principal and interest and interest-only repayments. Here are the winners, listed in alphabetical order:
<ul>
<li>Aussie</li>
<li>Freedom Lend</li>
<li>Greater Bank</li>
<li>Newcastle Permanent</li>
<li>RACQ Bank</li>
<li>Suncorp Bank</li>
<li>TicToc Home Loans</li>
<li>Virgin Money</li>
</ul>
For borrowers looking to fix their investment home loan, the difference in interest rates between a 5- Star Rated loan and the market average can be significant. For instance, the average 5-Star three- year fixed interest rate for an investment loan valued at $350,000 with an 80% LVR and principal and interest repayments was 4.01%, while the interest-only rate was 4.11%, compared to averages from our database of 4.32% and 4.53% respectively.
Line of Credit Star Ratings
Outstanding Value – Line of Credit
Canstar’s Research team compared the price and features of 48 lending institutions that provided a line of credit secured by a property. Here are the winners, listed in alphabetical order:
<ul>
<li>Aussie</li>
<li>BankVic</li>
<li>Suncorp Bank</li>
<li>State Custodians</li>
</ul>
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Canstar reveals top rated lenders for investors

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Moody's Investors Service says that the 30-plus day delinquency rate for prime Australian residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) increased in the fourth quarter of 2018.
It tips they will likely continue to rise moderately amid declining house prices, high levels of debt, and the conversion of interest-only mortgages to principle and interest loans. 
The 30-plus day delinquency rate for prime RMBS increased to 1.58% in December 2018 from 1.49% in September 2018.  
The increase was driven in part by declining house prices, with house prices in Australia declining by 6.3% for the 12 months to February 2019, and by 10.4% and 9.1% in Sydney and Melbourne.  
Moody's expects prices will continue to decline moderately through 2019, while record-high household debt – at 191% of annual gross disposable income – will also contribute to a moderate increase in delinquencies.  
"Nevertheless, we expect the increase in mortgage delinquencies to be limited, while defaults and losses will remain low, as continued GDP growth and low unemployment will continue support borrowers' ability to meet mortgage repayments," says Alena Chen, a Moody's Vice President and Senior Analyst.  
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/3/22/RMBS%20.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/3/22/RMBS%20.jpg" alt="">
Specifically, Moody's forecasts real GDP growth of around 2.5% in both 2019 and 2020, and for Australia's unemployment rate to remain relatively stable at 5.5% over the same period.  
"Mortgage delinquencies will likely increase over the short term in areas hit by the far north Queensland floods in February 2019, as borrowers may lose income or face costs while dealing with the aftermath of the disaster," adds Chen.  
However, Moody's says this is unlikely to translate into a material increase in defaults, given that insurance payouts, government assistance and financial hardship arrangements entered into with lenders will ease the burden on borrowers.
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Australian RMBS delinquencies to rise as house prices fall: Moody's

How the RBA looks at property, debt and financial stability: RBA's Michele Bullock

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GUEST OBSERVATION 
The Royal Commission has sparked fresh discussions in Australia surrounding mortgages, in particular, what it means for homeowners who are currently paying interest only loans and how this will shape the Australian property market in years to come.
In-depth investigations during the commission put newfound pressure on Australian Financial Institutions to significantly improve their lending standards and reduce higher risk lending. Currently, approximately 200,000 Australians have interest-only loans but with the government removing the interest-only benchmark at the start of 2019, this figure is set to change drastically.
In the past, Australian banks offered interest-only mortgages to customers which could be renewed every five years. However, the removal of the benchmark now means that homeowners cannot renew interest-only loans and instead, must begin principal repayments as part of their mortgage repayments.
In addition to this, commissioner Kenneth Hayne proposed changes to the mortgage broker industry, whereby the consumer would be required to pay the mortgage broker’s commission, instead of the banks.
These proposed changes have the ability to drastically affect the landscape of the mortgage industry by potentially wiping out the whole mortgage broking system, leaving larger financial institutions with the freedom to set the interest rates however high they choose.
But who will be the most affected if these changes are confirmed? Unsurprisingly, it’s fairly widespread and will impact current Australian homeowners as well as those looking to borrow money, even impacting those in the rental market.
Homeowners will be paying more for their mortgages
There is approximately $360 billion worth of money wrapped up in interest-only mortgages. In the past, mortgage repayments have been dependant on interest rates, which fluctuate due to mortgage brokers and banks offering competitive rates.
But with the expiration of interest-only loans after three-years, homeowners will be required to fork out a lot more for their mortgage repayments, potentially increasing a massive 70%. An example of this is if you are currently paying $3,000 a month in repayments on interest only, interest and principal would escalate monthly repayments to $4,700.
The impact of requiring to pay principal will depend on the financial situation and lifestyle of the homeowner but those with a large property portfolio of interest-only will be hit the hardest.
This means having a buoyant property portfolio will only be available to those who are cashed up, which then leads to a flow on affect in the rental industry.
Tenants will likely experience an increase in rent
Even with the current market experiencing price declines, the prospect of purchasing a home will now seem even more daunting to prospective buyers due to these changes, driving one-third of Australians to rent instead.
Typically, most interest-only loans are covered by the rental income on an investment property. But with investors now set to be more out of pocket due to principal repayments, it’s only natural that this will affect how tenants are charged, with some landlords opting to charge more in rent in an effort to cover the difference.
Less money in the tenant's pockets means less money to put towards their own house deposit and this creates a vicious cycle. It’s unfortunate that salaries do not increase the same way houses do.
The fallout from the commission has led many people to debate how they should react but the truth is, it’s still a bit blurry. Once the new government is in place in May and the new budget is announced, things will start to cement.
But one thing that is certain is it going to be a lot tougher to borrow money, whether it be for investment or as an owner occupier. It’s not that banks don’t want to lend, more the Royal Commission has governed them to be more responsible when it comes to lending. We live in a society where it is very easy to shift the blame to others but at the end of the day, it comes down to each individual’s financial situation and the lifestyle they lead.
Bruce Oliver is the co-founder of Xynergy Realty, a Melbourne-based real estate agency.
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How the Royal Commission will affect the property market: Bruce Oliver

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The RBA Board has taken a step closer to cutting rates by emphasising the near-term importance of data releases. Westpac sees this approach as consistent with its expected timetable of rate cuts in August and November.
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
The Minutes of the March Reserve Bank Board meeting emphasise the Board’s uncertainty around the slowdown in output data while labour market data remains robust.
In the final paragraph of the section on the policy outlook, the Board noted “they assessed that it would be appropriate to hold the cash rate steady while new information became available that could help resolve the current tensions in the domestic economic data”.
Presumably, the release of the December quarter national accounts the day after the Board meeting will have further accentuated this tension. In the minutes, the Board speculated that “GDP growth over 2018 had been a little lower than anticipated at the time of the February Statement on Monetary Policy”. In fact, annual GDP growth in 2018 printed 2.3% compared to the RBA’s estimate in February of 2.75% - hardly consistent with the description “a little lower”. The minutes also noted that the accounts were likely to confirm a “markedly slower pace of growth in the second half of 2018 than in the first half”. In fact, the accounts printed a 4% annualised pace in the first half, down to a 1% annualised pace in the second half.
The tension that the minutes refer to is around conditions in the labour market, which “had continued to improve”, while “leading indicators continued to suggest that employment growth was likely to remain above average, although some indicators have turned down a little recently”.
Based on the key policy conclusion, developments in the monthly labour market series and associated lead indicators will be very important for the policy response, although the sharper than expected slowdown in 2018 H2 will probably make the RBA more prepared to act than appears to be the mindset in these minutes.
Because the forecasts are only reviewed every three months, it is entirely unsurprising  that the minutes confirm the current GDP growth forecast in 2019 of 3 per cent and a further decline in the unemployment rate to 4 ¾ per cent over the next couple of years. With the momentum in the economy having slowed to a 1% pace in the second half of 2018, it remains a courageous call that growth could lift to 3% in 2019. Westpac expects that the RBA will lower its forecast for 2019 to 2.75% and to 2.5% in 2020 in its May Statement on Monetary Policy and adopt a specific easing bias.
We are disappointed to note that the RBA is persisting with a view that “the pipeline of work to be done remained large and was expected to support dwelling investment through 2019”. It appears that dwelling investment peaked in mid-2018 with around a 6 per cent fall in the second half of 2018. We support the RBA’s expectation for a “marked slowing in dwelling investment”, but expect that this has come earlier than their expectation of “in 1-2 years’ time”.
Nervousness around consumer spending remains a consistent theme in these minutes. Indeed, the expectation was that “consumption was expected to have contributed more to growth in the December quarter than in the September quarter”. In fact, December’s consumption growth of 0.4% was only slightly greater than the 0.3% reported for September. A 1.5% annualised growth pace for consumption is around half the expected trend.
The discussion around housing remains quite understated, “the process of adjustment in the housing market had continued”, although there is some recognition of the spill-over of housing prices to activity, “some part of the slowdown in retail and motor vehicle spending in NSW was likely to have been related to declines in housing prices”.
We are always interested in how the Board describes market pricing. According to our pricing model, the market was giving an 88% probability of a rate cut of a full 25bps by December 2019 as at 4 March. In contrast, the minutes note “financial market pricing implied the cash rate was expected to remain unchanged in 2019, but a reduction in the cash rate was expected by early 2020”.
Finally, it is important to note that “members noted significant uncertainties around the forecasts remain, with scenarios where an increase in the cash rate would be appropriate at some point, and other scenarios where a decrease in the cash rate would be appropriate”. As the Federal Reserve likes to emphasise, policy has become “data-dependent”.
Conclusion
The Board has raised the importance of data releases over the next few months and has left open the possibility to cut rates should those releases disappoint. Certainly, the December quarter national accounts would have fitted into that category, although the emphasis remains on the labour market data.
Westpac does expect that consistent with the slowdown in spending and deterioration in both business and consumer confidence, we will see emerging evidence of a slowing labour market over the course of the next six months.
Westpac’s timetable for policy action remains a 25bps cut in August to be followed by a second 25bps cut in November. These dates will give the RBA appropriate scope to explain their decisions in the context of weaker growth, employment and inflation forecasts in an orderly fashion, rather than be seen to overreact to any particular data report.
BILL EVANS is Chief Economist at Westpac
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
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bevans-rYk9SxEa4r

Reserve Bank Board minutes emphasise importance of data releases: Bill Evans

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Despite pressures to cut rates, the RBA have held firm, suggesting there is no need for an adjustment to the cash rate in the near term.
"Members agreed to continue to assess the outlook carefully," RBA Governor Philip Lowe said in the <a href="/expert-insights/finance/minutes-of-march-2019-monetary-policy-meeting-of-the-reserve-bank-board">March meeting minutes</a>.
"Given that further progress in reducing unemployment and lifting inflation was a reasonable expectation, members agreed that there was not a strong case for a near-term adjustment in monetary policy.
"Rather, they assessed that it would be appropriate to hold the cash rate steady while new information became available that could help resolve the current tensions in the domestic economic data."
On housing, Lowe said the process of adjustment in the housing market had continued. 
"Housing prices in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth had declined further, and turnover in the housing market had fallen significantly," he said.
Lowe noted that available data showed continued declines in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth into 2019, however also said the data was difficult to interpret when taking into account the always quiet January period.
"In Sydney, housing prices were 13 per cent lower than their July 2017 peak, while in Melbourne housing prices were 10 per cent lower than their November 2017 peak," Lowe suggested.
He highlighted the auction clearance rates picking up in Sydney and Melbourne over February, although added that demand for housing credit had slowed 'noticeably' as conditions in the housing market changed.
Lowe noted that despite the likelihood dwelling investment was expected to decrease in the December quarter, however the pipeline of work to be done remained large.
"Members noted that the pipeline of work to be done remained large and was expected to support dwelling investment through 2019, particularly in New South Wales and Victoria," Lowe said, although added there will be a marked slowing in dwelling investment soon.
"Residential building approvals and information from the Bank's liaison program pointed to a marked slowing in dwelling investment in one to two years' time, unless pre-sales increased significantly in the following few quarters.
"The recent weakness in sales of detached new houses had been most pronounced in Sydney and Melbourne, but had also been evident in other locations.
"Contacts had reported that tighter access to credit for off-the-plan and project homes had been constraining buyer demand," Lowe said.
The RBA are still hopeful of growth in GDP of around three percent of 2019 and a further decline in the unemployment rate to 4.75% over the next couple of years.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

No strong case for cash rate hike as housing turnover 'falls significantly': RBA March 2019 minutes

Minutes of March 2019 Monetary Policy Meeting of the Reserve Bank Board

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The RBA held the cash rate firm at 1.5 percent at the March meeting, making it 28 consecutive meetings since the rates last moved.
There is growing expectation from economists, and pressure from housing markets, for the RBA to cut rates.
In February Westpac's Bill Evans was the first to <a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-now-expects-the-rba-to-cut-the-cash-rate-twice-bill-evans">forecast two rate cuts</a>, one in August and one in November.
He was joined earlier this month by <a href="/news/nab-now-predicting-two-cash-rate-cuts-in-2019-alan-oster">NAB's Alan Oster,</a> who said cuts may come sooner, in July, and November.
The RBA March chart pack has given the central bank little relief from the expected looming rate cut by commentators.
The RBA's biggest concern will be to growing gap between the declining house prices and housing debt.
The pair have continued to go in opposite directions, and as far as the RBA is concerned, the wrong direction, for well over a year.
Household continues to hit record highs month after month, with no sign of debt, nor the house price decline, slowing down.
Click here to enlarge.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/3/19/RBA0.jpg" alt="">
With house prices declining, home owners are cautious.
They're not wanting to spend money on unnecessary items until house prices have stopped declining.
Growth in consumption has been slow, but it is somewhat holding firm, unlike a households disposable income.
The average household's disposable income is declining toward levels not seen since half way through 2016.
Click here to enlarge.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/3/19/RBA1.jpg" alt="">
Home loan approvals are continuing to decline across the board.
When house prices started declining and investors were hit with higher home loan rates, first home buyers were back in the driving seat.
But due to the continued declines, first home buyers are in no hurry to enter the market just yet.
Back in late 2018 Finder's RBA survey suggested tightened lending could <a href="/expert-insights/finance/tightening-lending-practices-could-negatively-effect-economy-finders-rba-survey">affect the economy negatively</a>.
However in February the RBA stressed that the tightening of lending <a href="/news/tightening-in-lending-standards-not-the-cause-of-housing-credit-growth-decline-rba">was not the cause</a> for the house price falls.
Click here to enlarge.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/3/19/RBA3.jpg" alt="">
To see the full chart pack <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/" target="_blank">click here</a>.
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Little relief in housing finance could trigger rate cuts: RBA March chart pack

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GUEST OBSERVATION
What a backdown.
On Tuesday, with all the grace he could muster, Treasurer Josh Frydenberg declared that he wouldn’t be implementing as many of the banking royal commission recommendations as he had said he would.
As he <a href="http://jaf.ministers.treasury.gov.au/media-release/040-2019/" target="_blank">put it</a>:
"Following consultation with the mortgage broking industry and smaller lenders, the Coalition Government has decided to not prohibit trail commissions on new loans, but rather review their operation in three years’ time."
Trail commissions are the small annual payments lenders make to mortgage brokers to reward them for loans they have arranged, typically between 0.165% and 0.275% of the amount outstanding per year.
They are paid in addition to the upfront commission, which is typically between 0.65% and 0.7% of the amount lent.
On a loan of A$500,000 they could amount to A$1000 per year, a payment which, in the words of Royal Commissioner Kenneth Hayne is “<a href="https://financialservices.royalcommission.gov.au/Pages/default.aspx" target="_blank">money for nothing</a>”.
Hayne recommended that the borrower, not the lender, pay the mortgage broker a fee. Trail commissions would be axed straight away, and after a period of two or three years upfront commissions would go too.
In responding to the report on Day 1, Frydenberg more or less endorsed Hayne’s recommendation.
From July 1, 2020, the government would <a href="https://static.treasury.gov.au/uploads/sites/1/2019/02/FSRC-Government-Response-1.pdf" target="_blank">outlaw trail commissions on new loans</a>.
It would ask the Council of Financial Regulators and the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission to review the impact of the changes and implications of moving to complete borrower-pays remuneration in three years time.
The backdown means trail commissions are also safe for three years, which, given the likelihood of another lobbying campaign from brokers in three years time, means they are probably safe forever.
There’s a case against commissions
Anyone who has seen the movie “The Big Short” has seen a dramatic and only somewhat fictional representation of what can go wrong in the mortgage broking industry.
In that rendition, a bunch of highly incentivised, all care and no responsibility brokers help borrowers get loans they have no reasonable ability to repay. The brokers make out like bandits and the world economy is brought to the brink of total collapse.
We can all agree that was a bad outcome. According to Hayne, the problem with commissions is that they make brokers act in their <a href="https://financialservices.royalcommission.gov.au/Pages/reports.aspx" target="_blank">own interests</a>, rather than those of their customers.
But commissions are common…
It’s a legitimate concern, but let’s not forget that a range of actors in the economy act in their own interests all the time. Consumers buying everything from orange juice to health insurance to television sets act in their own interests. And firms selling them do too. Many pay their sales staff commissions.
Deferred commissions are common too. For executives, they ensure that they have something at risk after their term of services. For mortgage brokers, they create an incentive to recommend loans their customers won’t later switch out of.
Hayne thought that wouldn’t be needed. He recommended (and the government agreed) that the law be amended to require mortgage brokers to act in the best interests of borrowers.
It’s a nice idea, but tricky to police. It might be better to properly align the incentives to ensure the interests of the broker and borrower coincide, which is the position the government has belatedly adopted.
If it keeps commissions, as it now seems determined to do, it might need to apply some latitude to the term “best interests”. It is hard to require brokers to act in the literal best interests of their clients when the best loans for many of them will be the cheapest – mortgages from lenders that don’t pay commissions.
…and so is politics
The politics are complicated. Mortgage brokers account for more than half of all new mortgages written.
Notwithstanding the desire to look tough and adopt all of the Hayne recommendations, both sides of politics are aware that brokers are typically small(ish) business people of the kind they usually court aggressively, and that many would not survive having to charge upfront fees.
If the old adage is right, that the most dangerous place is between a politician and a camera, then another fairly hazardous spot is between a voter and property.
Mortgage brokers play an important role. At their best they help borrowers get better terms and inject some competition into an otherwise very concentrated banking market.
But if their incentives are not well-aligned then things can go awry, Big Short style.
We’ll have to wait
The best solution might be to make sure brokers get paid for getting their clients a good mortgage, rather than just a big mortgage.
This could involve “bands” of commissions based on mortgage size, rather than a bigger commission for every extra dollar borrowed.
And it could involve “skin in the game” where the size of the repayment is related to the commission.
Doing nothing would be a bad idea. So too might be doing something radical as Hayne has proposed.
But nothing might be exactly what we’ll get. The Coalition appears to have put off designing a proper commission structure for the next three years in order to buy some peace.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/113544/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
Richard Holden, Professor of Economics, UNSW
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/vital-signs-its-one-thing-to-back-down-on-haynes-recommendation-about-mortgage-brokers-its-another-to-offer-nothing-in-its-place-113544" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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It’s one thing to back down on Hayne’s recommendation about mortgage brokers, it’s another to offer nothing in its place: Richard Holden

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The Independent Pricing and Regulatory Tribunal (IPART) is reviewing the fees associated with electronic conveyancing (eConveyancing) for the first time.
Around 85% of property transactions in NSW will be required to use eConveyancing from 1 July 2019.
Transactions such as transfers, mortgages and caveats will have to be lodged electronically.
eConveyancing is designed to be a more efficient and accurate way of conducting the settlement and lodgment stages of a conveyancing transaction.
IPART Chair, Dr Paul Paterson, said IPART’s review is focused on the fees charged by and to the electronic lodgment network operators (ELNOs). 
ELNOs operate electronic workspaces allowing lawyers, conveyancers and financial institutions to exchange data and collaborate to prepare conveyancing documents, settle funds, pay duties and lodge documents with the land registry online instead of on paper.  
“Essentially, eConveyancing allows parties to complete conveyancing transactions (like a sale of land) and disburse settlement funds electronically,” Paterson said.  
“The electronic lodgment network also allows other documents that are not necessarily part of a sale, such as caveats, to be lodged electronically.”
Currently there is only one ELNO in NSW, PEXA.  Another ELNO, Sympli, is expected to commence operations in NSW during 2019, with the prospect of more entering the market soon.
A paper released by IPART today seeks feedback on a range of issues to be considered as part of the review. These include: 
<ul>
<li>The state of the eConveyancing market, including possible barriers to entry such as the lack of arrangements for different ELNOs to participate in a transaction</li>
<li>The maximum fees that ELNOs charge lawyers, conveyancers and financial institutions to use the electronic lodgment network </li>
<li>The maximum fees that the NSW Land Registry Services charges ELNOs </li>
<li>The maximum fees that Revenue NSW can charge ELNOs in the future. </li>
</ul>
“We are also looking at the costs that will be incurred to connect multiple ELNOs when more enter the market, and how these costs should best be recovered to drive efficient outcomes and avoid excessive charges,” Paterson said. 
Submissions on the Issues Paper will be received until 30 April and considered by IPART before a draft report is released by July.
Recommendations on the final prices will be provided to the NSW Government by October 2019.
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