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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
Other than renting, the most common way to get a roof over your head is to buy a home and live in it. Another way is to buy a home and rent it out, and then rent a similar home (buy, rent, rent). Thanks to the perverse nature of negative gearing, the buy, rent, rent strategy can be cheaper than the most obvious path of home ownership. How?
Consider a first home buyer considering a modest two bedroom, two bathroom unit in Ashfield in Sydney’s inner west for A$600,000.
Assuming the buyer has enough to afford a 20% deposit and initial transaction costs (legal fees and stamp duty, etc.), she may consider buying and living in it, or buying and investing and then renting a similar unit. She is able to borrow 80% of the unit’s value paying interest of 5% p.a (A$24,000 a year). The annual maintenance costs are A$6,000 (or 1%), deductible depreciation expenses are also A$6,000. A similar unit rents for A$450 per week. Her marginal tax rate is 34.5%. What is the cost to buy and live compared with buy, rent, rent?
The first home buyer’s housing cost is A$30,000 per year if she buys and lives in the unit, and A$25,653 per year for buy, rent, rent. This means she saves A$4,347 or 0.72% of the unit price with buy, rent, rent.
The saving is solely due to the negative gearing tax savings effect. The mortgage interest, maintenance and depreciation deductions are tax deductible when investing, but cannot be deducted when living in the unit. Without negative gearing there would be no tax savings and the first home buyer would not consider such a convoluted strategy.
From the calculations, we can also see that the bigger the negative gearing tax savings, the better it is to buy, rent, rent. Buying homes with lower rent, higher maintenance costs and higher depreciation allowances (eg. new developments) and being at a higher marginal tax rate increases the incentives to do so. There is also little incentive to pay off principal in the unit as the negative gearing strategy may be done almost perpetually and any savings invested (or spent) elsewhere.
On the other hand, once the property is positively geared (when net rent exceeds cost of ownership) it no longer becomes cheaper than to buy and live. This can happen if the buyer chooses to pay off the mortgage, earns increased rent or reduces maintenance and depreciation deductions.
When it comes to selling, there may be capital gains tax on the rental property although your own home is capital gains tax exempt. Non-financial factors are that the home buyer may have a preference to live in their own home rather than to rent, despite the buy, rent, rent savings. This may be from the greater flexibility to customise your own home or not having to deal with real estate agents.
Of course, in the example renting still remains the cheapest option, though if home ownership is the goal then with the perversion of negative gearing, buy, rent, rent remains a cost effective choice.
The above scenario is just one of the many ways that negative gearing distorts housing decisions. Those on high marginal tax rates (i.e. high income earners) have incentive to invest in multiple homes. This leads to incentives to borrow excessively to invest as the negative gearing tax savings effectively reduces the ownership costs to investors compared with home owners.
Furthermore this pushes housing prices up due to the increased demand from negative gearing. Compare this to a home owner who requires only one home and is restricted in the amount that they may borrow as they do not earn rent on the home as income.
Another effect is that new homes which tend to be of higher quality are more desirable to investors as they tend to have higher maintenance costs and depreciation deductions which increases tax savings. Home owners on the other other hand are unable to deduct such costs thereby making ownership of new homes more costly than to investors.
The sooner that negative gearing is removed, the quicker simple buying and living can be the norm.
This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or taxation advice.
Adrian Lee is senior lecturer in Finance, University of Technology Sydney and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/adrian-lee-94688" target="_blank">here</a>.
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Buy, rent, or do both: the perversion of negative gearing

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The property website REA Group has bought Australia’s largest share accommodation website, Flatmates.com.au for $25 million.
The move sees REA, which operates Australia’s largest property portal Realestate.com.au, buy 100% of the Australian business.
It has also agreed to an earn-out with its founders based on an international expansion.
REO Group CEO Tracey Fellows said there was enormous growth in the sharing economy.
"The share accommodation segments in the Australian property market with traffic across the sector growing at over 50 year-on-year." 
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REA buys flatmates.com.au

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
The world of work has become an increasingly difficult environment for young people. Youth unemployment in Australia is persistently higher than for other age groups.
In response, our governments have delivered one-size-fits-all policies that focus on national targets encouraging education programs to make unemployed young people more “work ready”.
These approaches assume that, with the right education or training, a young person will be able to get a job. However, this is not the case, especially for young people who live in areas of high youth unemployment.
To reduce youth unemployment, education and labour market policies must go beyond a focus on individual young people to offer solutions at a community level.
Rural and regional areas hit hardest
Youth unemployment has been a feature of developed economies since the 1980s. As the Australian economy continues to open to global competitive pressures, the decline in the availability of manufacturing work and the growth of the services sector have changed the nature of work.
However, as recent research has highlighted, youth unemployment rates vary in different places and local communities.
Rural and regional areas are among the hardest hit by these changes. Places such as outback Queensland and the New South Wales Hunter Valley have youth unemployment rates of 28 percent and 22 percent respectively.
These levels of youth unemployment reflect these regions’ reliance on industries that are changing rapidly and may no longer provide reliable local employment.
These powerful shifts are not adequately recognised at a policy level.
Policies targeted at youth currently encourage the development of individual human capital. This takes place through a one-size-fits-all approach focused on increasing levels of educational qualification, with the promise that young people will find professional work.
This kind of future is not available to all young people, no matter how “work ready” they may be, especially for those in areas with high youth unemployment.
Again, these policies ignore the reality of the forms of work available in different local communities.
Does this matter in a world where young people are encouraged to be as mobile as possible in search of work and a fulfilling future?
The answer to this question is a resounding yes, for reasons connected with the role of local communities in shaping young people’s identities and pathways through work.
The critical role of local communities
Australian and international research has shown the critical role that processes of identity construction play both in young people’s engagement with work and in the strategies they use to survive unemployment.
Rural and regional young people are key examples of this process. Research has demonstrated the importance of local community connections for young people’s orientation towards their future in work. This applies even to those whose imagined futures take them beyond the boundaries of their local communities.
In one example from this research, a young man who imagines a future as a teacher described his plans in terms of existing family connections to the profession and the availability of accommodation with family members who lived close to the nearest regional university.
This process, in which young people imagine futures around established community connections and ways of life, is common in regional areas. While schools encourage young people to plan their own individual futures, the lives of relatives and other community members continue to shape their desires and perceptions of what is possible for them.
Community support in tough times
These communities may also be zones of high youth unemployment. Research conducted in former manufacturing centres of the UK with high unemployment shows that local community relationships provide critical support when times are tough. These local networks may also provide access to casual employment.
However, these communities operate as both resources and limits to young people’s biographies. The resources they offer may not provide opportunities beyond their local place, and young people may be personally invested in forms of work that reflect the history of their community. For example, young men may aspire to futures in manufacturing that are no longer locally available.
Similar <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.palgrave.com/us/book/9781403939326">results</a> have been found in rural Australia, where established expectations about suitable work may not reflect actually existing opportunities available to local youth.
As a consequence, people must re-evaluate who they are and who they can become. This re-negotiation of personal identity is a key aspect of navigating changing labour markets in areas of high youth unemployment.
A complex policy issue
Youth unemployment is a complex policy issue with no silver-bullet solutions. Simple approaches based on individual employability are destined to fail.
Local communities and young people themselves are grappling with rapid economic change.
To be successful, education and training programs must work with local communities alongside investment in regional economies aimed at creating new employment opportunities when established industries leave.
Only in this way can education and employment policies support young people to navigate regional Australia’s changing labour markets.
David Farrugia is lecturer, School of Humanities and Social Science, University of Newcastle and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/david-farrugia-243862" target="_blank">here</a>.
 
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Youth unemployment: local communities essential for helping young people find work

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has said he will call a July 2 double-dissolution election if the Senate does not pass legislation aimed at restoring the Australian Building and Construction Commission (ABCC).
The PM has said that:
<ul>
<li>since abolition of the ABCC, days lost to industrial disputes have increased by 34 percent;</li>
<li>two-thirds of all industrial disputes in Australia are in the construction sector and;</li>
<li>industrial disputes in Australia are at their highest level since 2010.</li>
</ul>
Are those assertions correct? Let’s check the data.
Are days lost to industrial disputes up 34 percent since the ABCC was abolished?
The ABCC was introduced in 2005, under the Howard government. Labor abolished the ABCC in March 2012 and replaced it with the Office of the Fair Work Building Industry Inspectorate.
When asked for a source to support his assertion about the 34 percent increase, the PM’s spokesman sent a table drawing on figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) data set on industrial disputes:
The spokesman said that:
ABS data suggests the introduction of the ABCC in late 2005 helped to reduce the rate of industrial disputes in the construction industry.
<ul>
<li>Pre-ABCC, the number of working days lost per 1000 employees in construction was five times as much as for all industries (56.1 versus 10.4 days).</li>
<li>During the ABCC’s operation, this dropped to around two times as much (9.6 days versus 4.2 days).</li>
<li>Since the ABCC’s abolition, the number of working days lost per 1000 employees in construction has averaged around 4.5 times the rate for all industries.</li>
</ul>
Indeed, we can clearly see from the graph below that, in construction, working days lost due to industrial disputes fell after 2005 and stayed low to 2009. Then, there was an increase in 2010 and big spikes in 2011 and 2012.
The big spikes in construction sector working days lost due to industrial disputes in between 2010 and 2012 coincided with several large construction sector <a href="https://www.fwbc.gov.au/fwbc-secures-200000-finding-against-cfmeu-and-mcdonald">disputes</a> and strikes.
As reported elsewhere, a 2014 Productivity Commission report concluded that:
The evidence that the ABCC stimulated material improvements in aggregate productivity or achieved cost reductions is weak… The ABCC is likely to have had its primary impact on unlawful conduct and on local productivity and costs at particular sites.
By taking the average number of working days lost in the construction industry (per 1000 employees) during the ABCC era and comparing it with the average number of working days lost in the construction industry (per 1000 employees) in the post ABCC era, it is possible to conclude it has risen 34% (or 3.3 days).
The PM’s statement is supported by ABS data.
Are two-thirds of all industrial disputes in Australia in the construction sector?
This assertion only true for the December 2015 quarter – which happened to be unusually high.
In other quarters, construction accounted for a much smaller proportion of working days lost, as the chart below shows:
Working days lost in construction due to industrial disputes has been consistently higher than the average across all industries since 2012.
It’s worth noting though, that the same data set, at certain time points, puts working days lost due to industrial disputes in the coal mining sector at much higher than construction.
The coal mining industry disputes were happening at the peak of the mining boom. Days lost due to industrial disputes spiking in 2010 and 2012 when a shortage of workers on major projects put unions in a strong bargaining position.
To sum up: the PM’s assertion that two-thirds of all industrial disputes in Australia are in the construction sector is correct for December 2015 only.
Overall, however, his comment is misleading because he is using the unusually high December 2015 quarter as a benchmark. The long run average for construction for 2010 to 2015 is just under 30% of all days lost (still the highest share of any industry). The average between 2005 and 2009, with the ABCC, was around 10% of all days lost.
Are industrial disputes in Australia at their highest level since 2010?
As shown in the chart below, ABS data shows the total number of industrial disputes in the 12 months ending December 2010 at 227. For the 12 months ending December 2015, the figure is 228.
What that time frame doesn’t show you is that, overall, the number of industrial disputes has declined greatly in the last few decades. The longer term trend is depicted in the chart below:
So the PM’s assertion that industrial disputes in Australia at their highest level since 2010 is correct, but relies on a selective choice of time periods.
The rate of industrial disputes has been trending down in recent decades, basically following the fall in trade union membership.
Verdict
It’s true that days lost to industrial disputes in the construction sector (reported to the ABS) have increased since 2010. They are now running at a higher level than when the ABCC was operating – at about 34% higher for the time periods indicated.
The PM’s statement that two-thirds of all industrial disputes in Australia are in the construction sector is correct for December 2015 only. Overall, his comment is misleading because the PM is using the unusually high December 2015 quarter as a benchmark. The long run average for 2010 to 2015 is just under 30 percent of all days lost (still the highest share of any industry). The average between 2005 and 2009, with the ABCC, was around 10 percent of all days lost.
The PM’s assertion that industrial disputes in Australia are at their highest level since 2010 is correct, but relies on a selective choice of time periods. There were more disputes in March 2010 and December 2009 than December 2015. However, for the time period he referred to, the claim is correct. 
Gerard de Valence is senior lecturer, University of Technology Sydney and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/gerard-de-valence-105933" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Are two-thirds of all industrial disputes in Australia in the construction sector?

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Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has written a blog disputing the Grattan Institute's report recommending significant changes to negative gearing that could save more than $5 billion a year.
"I have a great deal of respect for John Daley and the Grattan Institute, but on this occasion they have it wrong," <a href="https://www.malcolmturnbull.com.au/media/misconceptions-about-negative-gearing" target="_blank">Mr Turnbull wrote in a blog post on his website</a>.
"Unfortunately, the paper is littered with factually incorrect statements, claims that are unsupported by evidence and direct contradictions.
"And its economic analysis in many places leaves a lot to be desired."
"And its economic analysis in many places leaves a lot to be desired.
Malcolm Turnbull's then lists the following examples:
<ul>
<li>
The paper claims that negative gearing “goes beyond generally accepted principles for offsetting losses against gains”.  But this is factually incorrect.  The ability to deduct interest and other costs from personal exertion income has been a generally accepted principle in Australia’s tax system for more than a hundred years. While there are some exceptions to this principle, they have been strictly limited to instances of flagrant abuse (as was claimed to occur with ‘hobby farms’) or to situations where taxpayers might use losses to gain welfare benefits.
</li>
<li>
The paper argues that negative gearing and the CGT discount create significant distortions in the housing market, but then directly contradicts this when it says that changing them will have little impact.  Really?  How can changing the policies that Mr Daley says are supposed to create such huge distortions have no impact?
</li>
<li>
The paper argues that negative gearing benefits wealthier taxpayers. However, in countries which have adopted the ‘quarantining’ approach, the result has been to drive middle and low income earners out of the investment market, as they cannot afford to carry the loss-making periods when costs are high relative to rentals. In contrast, under both Daley’s proposal and Labor’s, wealthy Australians would continue to be able to deduct net rental losses from their other investment and property income. How can a change which would actually make the tax system more advantageous to those on higher incomes be fair? How will it improve wealth inequality when it will make it more difficult for those on lower incomes to build up wealth?
</li>
<li>
The paper ignores the fact that reducing the CGT discount to 25 per cent would give Australia the second highest CGT rate among comparable countries. While the paper claims this too would have no harmful impacts, that assertion is directly contrary to the evidence, which it systematically ignores.  
</li>
<li>
The paper also ignores the fact that under reasonable assumptions, if the CGT discount was reduced to 25 per cent, the effective tax rate on real capital gains would under reasonable assumptions be close to 70 per cent.  As a result, the paper dismisses, with little analysis, the important point that high rates of capital gains discourage entrepreneurial investment, whose returns generally come in the form of capital gains.    
</li>
<li>
Removing negative gearing would mean a tax increase for wage and salary earners and would affect incentives to work. The paper ignores these efficiency costs.
</li>
</ul>
 
Tax reform to target Australia’s distorting capital gains tax and negative gearing regimes could net the government A$5.3 billion in tax revenue per year, according to a new report from the Grattan Institute.
The report can be found <a href="https://grattan.edu.au/report/hot-property/" target="_blank">here</a>.
 
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Malcolm Turnbull blog disputing Grattan Institute negative gearing report

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Confidence in the residential building sector will be boosted by the Government’s announcement that it has out ruled out any change to the current negative gearing arrangements in the forthcoming May Budget, Wilhelm Harnisch from the Master Builders said. 
“The retention of negative gearing provisions for new and established homes is a long held policy by Master Builders and therefore Master Builders strongly backs today’s announcement,” he said. 
“The Prime Minister’s announcement means $8 billion of investment each year spent on renovation of private rental properties will continue and thereby boost economic growth and jobs for tradies,” Wilhelm Harnisch said. 
“Negative gearing underpins investment, largely by mums and dads, in private rental properties and plays a critical role by supplementing the shortage in public and social housing rental stock where there is a waiting list estimated to be around 200,000 households,” he said. 
“Master Builders in strongly backing today’s announcement is now looking to the major parties for sound policies that will tackle the structural barriers to housing affordability which is to increase the supply of new housing.
"Master Builders has called for national competition policy payments to state governments and local councils to implement targeted and permanent removal of the current unnecessary blockages that delay the supply of new housing and inflate the cost of new housing,” Wilhelm Harnisch said. 
“This is one of the key housing affordability reforms that Master Builders will be calling on both parties to deliver on for the next term of government,” Wilhelm Harnisch said. 
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MBA backs Coalition housing policy on negative gearing

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The five bedroom Castle Cove home of Kings Cross identity Fadi Ibrahim has been listed through Craig and Sharon Ireson of Ireson First National.
It was the luxury four storey <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-castle+cove-122472810" target="_blank">Castle Cove </a>home, which now comes with a sophisticated 16 camera security system with finger print entry, where he survived a near-fatal shooting in 2009.
He was gunned down and shot five times as he sat in the front seat of his Lamborghini outside the home.
His wife Shayda Ibrahim was shot in the thigh. No one was ever charged over the shooting.
The Ibrahim's, who paid $1.05 million for the 1,021 sqm unrenovated property in 2006, are apparently eastern suburbs bound.
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Ibrahim Castle Cove home with 16 camera security for sale

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The Ukraine born entreprenuer Leon Kamenev has been pinpointed as the $80 million Vaucluse harbourfront mystery buyer.
He is expected to build his own private compound after securing four adjoining properties on Coolong Road.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2016/04/26/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-26%20at%2010.19.02%20AM.png" alt="" width="1041" height="641">
He made his fortune co-founding the online takeaway delivery service Menulog which was sold last year for $855 million. His share was 55 percent.
He has been in Sydney since 1990 having graduated with an economics degree from the Moscow Academy of Management.
His current focus is the interactive maths teaching platform and app Matific.
The whispers of his site amalgamated emerged on the weekend, dubbed Sydney's most audaciously expensive residential property play since settlement.
The sellers were the Shein, Cohen and Singer families.
It involved two harbourfront homes and two non-harbourfront homes, totalling 4,250 sqm.
Occupying land between Nielsen Park beach and Vaucluse Bay beach, the location enjoys a northerly aspect with views over the boat-filled bay across the Harbour towards Manly. 
Kamenev currently owns in Vaucluse paying $4.4 million in 2003.
The deal tops the $70 million purchase by the billionaire Chinese property developer Dr Chau Chak Wing of the 3,300 sqm Vaucluse property of the casino tycoon James Packer and his former wife Erica.
Coolong Road's record was set at $45 million in 2008 with Ivan Ritossa, the then global head of foreign exchange at Barclays Capital, buying a heritage house on 4100 sqm.
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Menulog's Leon Kamenev secures $80 million Vaucluse harbourfront compound

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John McGrath, chief executive of McGrath Limited told The Weekend Australian that the recent stockmarket savaging caught the veteran real estate agent off guard.
“We were surprised and disappointed,” McGrath told The Weekend Australian in his first interview since an earnings forecast downgrade on Monday.
McGrath again increased their holdings, last week spending $500,000 to top up his stake to near 30 per cent.
McGrath says while listings are down across the industry and in most of the areas it operates in, the agency has increased its share from 3.2 percent to 3.5 percent of the market.
Meanwhile he has his team who bought into the float.
“This is my family, it’s not just an investment or a company I work for,” McGrath says.
“It’s something I started in my loungeroom.
“I can see the medium term long term, I know where we are gong to end up, but in the short term there is no doubt there is a feeling a pain for me as CEO, largest shareholder and founder of the business that we are having to go through this.”
But, he adds: “This is a long-term game.”
“Even post the market downgrade we will be delivering $26m-$27m in earnings.
"We have cash in the bank and we have no debt.
"We think we are in as good a position as ever,” he says, arguing he and the board — which includes chairman David Mackay, a former Kellogg CEO, and tech entrepreneur Daniel Petre — maintain their belief that a public listing was the right path for the company.
But Wendy McCarthy, a founding chair of McGrath Operations who left in June as she was never a float proponent, told Fairfax Media she imagined "he must be finding it very challenging and very disappointing."
"You've got people telling you everything is going to be fabulous and the float is oversubscribed and you believe it," said McCarthy, who praised McGrath's imagination and generosity.
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John McGrath says the listed real estate agency is his family

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 Six months ago we noted that there were more people in jobs or looking for jobs than ever before across a raft of age categories. And at that time we suggested there were signs that participation rates seemed to be topping out – starting to trend sideways. 
But interestingly over the past six months workforce participation rates for those older than 55 years have lifted and to fresh record highs (using 12-month rolling averages).
<a href="/images/2016/04/26/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-26%20at%209.07.39%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/26/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-26%20at%209.07.39%20AM.png" alt="">
But while seniors are more active in the labour force, the participation rate for the 15-19 years grouping continues to trend lower. And the participation rate of 20-24 year Aussies has been largely stable and still well below the record highs set 25 years ago.
In rolling average terms, the overall labour force participation rate has been rising since May 2015 and now stands at a 2ó-year high of 65.0 percent, but still below the high of 65.5 per cent set in 2011. However a key reason why overall workforce participation is still below record levels is the lower participation rate of young people, with more choosing to do further studies before joining the workforce.
The latest job numbers also show that there are 3.66 million people over the age of 65 compared with 3.53 million Australians aged between 25-34 years. The number of people over the age of 65 is growing at a 3.4 percent annual rate. In contrast the number of people aged 25-34 is growing at a 1.58 percent annual rate (8-year low) and the number aged 35-44 is growing at a 0.21 percent annual rate – slowest rate recorded.
Australians are living longer and are opting to stay in the workforce longer – even if on a more casual or part-time basis.
But the trends are incredibly positive for Government finances and the economy as a whole. The risk had been that the ageing population would lead to lower tax revenues and rising health and social security spending. But a healthier aged population and greater workforce participation by seniors can buy the politicians more time in coming up with a new tax structure that will take the economy forward.
What do the figures show?
 Detailed employment data
A raft of detailed job data for March was released yesterday. Data on employment by industry is released quarterly and the most recent data was published last month. 
This month we focus on participation rates (proportion of people in jobs or looking for work) across age brackets and have assessed rolling annual averages.
In the year to March, the participation in the job market of those 25-34 years was 83.2 per cent, just off the record high of 83.3 percent set in the year to February.
The participation in the job market of those 35-44 years was 83.8 percent,  a record high.
The participation in the job market of those 60-64 years was a  record high of 56.0 percent.
The participation in the job market of those 65 years plus was 12.3 percent,  a record high
The participation in the job market of those 55-59 years was 73.6 percent,  a record high.
The participation in the job market of those 45-54 years was 83.4 per cent, just below the record high of 83.6 percent set in April 2011.
The participation in the job market of those 20-24 years was 79.2 per cent, up from the record low of 78.0 per cent set in November 2014.
The participation in the job market of those 15-19 years was 53.8 per cent, up from the record low of 53.2 percent set in July 2014.
The number of people in the civilian population aged 65 plus is 3.66 million, up 3.43 percent on a year ago.
Those aged 25-34 years total 3.53 million people (up 1.58 per cent) and those aged 35-44 years total 3.22 million people (up 0.21 per cent).
There are 3.61 million Aussies not in the labour force and the number is currently falling at a 1.51 per cent annual rate – just off the fastest annual decline seen in the past nine years.
Average hours worked in the year to March was 32.3 hours. The average measure has been largely unchanged over the past year but down on recent highs of 32.9 hours set in early 2012.
<a href="/images/2016/04/26/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-26%20at%209.09.25%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/26/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-26%20at%209.09.25%20AM.png" alt="">
What is the importance of the economic data?
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) provides  detailed labour market figures one week after releasing ‘top level’ statistics of employment &amp; unemployment levels across states and territories. The detailed data is useful in identifying broader underlying trends and instructive about the health of the economy.
<a href="/images/2016/04/26/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-26%20at%209.11.31%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/26/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-26%20at%209.11.31%20AM.png" alt="">
Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.
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Record share of seniors in workforce: CommSec's Craig James

An entity directed by HSN's Rafi Assouline and Rebel Property's Allen Linz has filed plans for an impressive new precinct in Woolloomooloo.

The major mixed-use development would transform a prominent William Street site into a new residential village anchored by affordable housing and a large public park.

The proposal, submitted as a State Significant Development Application, covers 164-172 and 174-194 William Street, a 6,398 sqm site between Forbes Street and Dowling Street on the southern edge of Woolloomooloo.

Designed by fjcstudio in collaboration with Bangawarra, Studio Bright and Tribe Studio Architects, the scheme would deliver 227 apartments across four residential buildings ranging in height up to 18 storeys, alongside retail space, public domain improvements and a new publicly accessible park.

<img alt="Rebel" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0eb59b7c-914a-4a5c-b849-3a56749f5e93" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-12%20at%2011.18.51%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=mxM6EEqeoLjrCiTlCzTKTvzpKuh6kSkH" />

It's another design scheme for Rebel, who took <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-rebel-property-group-takes-woolloomooloo-precinct-to-nsw-government">concept plans to the NSW Gov late last year</a>.

The latest plans will be a mix of 167 build-to-sell apartments and 60 affordable apartments, with the affordable housing component representing 15 per cent of the project's gross floor area. The apartment mix includes 12 one-bedroom, 53 two-bedroom, 89 three-bedroom apartments and 13 penthouses, while the affordable housing component would comprise 42 one-bedroom and 18 two-bedroom apartments.

<img alt="Rebel" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3b3d4553-8a8c-4af5-aa8c-519ffb1e28c6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-12%20at%2011.20.12%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=_Yb6ibN7eDnOtQjCNDK2eviORa4qzgv." />

Rebel Property is seeking to take advantage of the NSW Government's infill affordable housing bonus provisions under the Housing SEPP, which provide additional floor space and height in exchange for the delivery of affordable housing for a minimum of 15 years. The planning pathway allows a 30 per cent increase in floor space ratio and building height where 15 per cent of the development is dedicated to affordable housing.

&nbsp;

At the centre of the development is a 1,356 sqm sunlit public park designed to become a new community gathering space at the gateway to Woolloomooloo. The park would be complemented by a network of pedestrian laneways connecting William Street with the surrounding streets, improving permeability through what is currently a largely impermeable block.

<img alt="Rebel" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="257af931-a393-4007-8c6d-7219796df58d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-12%20at%2011.20.51%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=KAHy94GrhaReFsWTGDKfy39EDJ8gEEv4" />

The design team says the public domain has been heavily influenced by the site's topography and Aboriginal cultural heritage, drawing on the escarpments, gullies and landscape characteristics that historically defined the area before urbanisation. The landscape design has been developed in partnership with First Nations consultancy Bangawarra.

The project would be delivered across four separate buildings. The William Street East and William Street West buildings, designed by fjcstudio, would contain the majority of the apartments. Melbourne-based Studio Bright has designed the Forbes Street building, while Tribe Studio Architects is responsible for the Dowling Street building.

Rebel had secured approval for the concept plans late last year.

Joel Robinson

First look: HSN, Rebel, advances Woolloomooloo precinct plans

A locally heritage-listed furniture showroom on Water Street is set to become the centrepiece of a new mixed-use residential development as local developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/keylin-group">Keylin</a> seeks approval for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/lotus-on-water-street-290-water-street-fortitude-valley-qld-4006">Lotus on Water Street</a>, a 15-storey project on the Fortitude Valley side of Spring Hill.

The proposal spans 290 Water Street and 137-141 Warry Street, combining several properties into a 2,869 sqm site that sits between Fortitude Valley, Spring Hill and the rapidly evolving Victoria Park precinct. Keylin's plans would deliver 132 apartments alongside new retail, hospitality and commercial space, while retaining and repurposing the historic Brunswick Home Furnishers Showroom that fronts Water Street.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/jackson-teece">Jackson Teece</a>, Lotus on Water Street comprises a 12-storey residential tower rising above a three-storey podium and communal rooftop terrace. The development includes 76 apartments classified as multiple dwellings and a further 56 units proposed as short-term accommodation, designed to be flexibly used as either accommodation or permanent residences. The apartment mix comprises six one-bedroom, 54 two-bedroom and 16 three-bedroom homes.

<img alt="First look: Keylin unveils heritage-led Lotus on Water Street tower in Fortitude Valley" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9822bb79-6c49-49c9-95ba-319e8c8d81c3" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/fortitude%20valley%20front.png?VersionId=ioW8zbN4UVebbLetTFuv92t.HkdgfR5e" />

Residents would have access to an extensive rooftop recreation level spanning more than 1,200 sqm of communal open space. Plans include a pool, gym, sauna, infrared sauna, yoga area, library, private dining room, barbecue facilities and landscaped entertainment spaces, making the rooftop the project's largest shared amenity offering.

At street level, the proposal focuses on the adaptive reuse of the heritage buildings along Water Street, where 518 sqm of retail and commercial space is planned across shop, office and food and drink outlet uses. A permeable residential lobby would be positioned between the retained heritage buildings, creating a pedestrian connection between the historic streetscape and the new tower behind.

<img alt="First look: Keylin unveils heritage-led Lotus on Water Street tower in Fortitude Valley" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="269cf3e0-7d13-48bf-a318-05a00deb5c10" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/fortitude%20valley%20podium.png?VersionId=DLXmTCLsp6GOcLpQ0h.0z7wKCw59EhN_" />

The heritage retention strategy is central to the scheme. The development application notes that the Brunswick Home Furnishers Showroom and adjoining heritage buildings will remain, with only non-significant structures on the site earmarked for removal under a previously issued Heritage Exemption Certificate. Levels one and two of the new podium are recessed behind the heritage façades to maintain their prominence within the streetscape.

Jackson Teece has drawn inspiration from the site's manufacturing history when designing the podium. The planning documents state that the façade incorporates perforated metal screening that references the woven and rattan furniture historically produced on the site. Cascading and climbing plants are integrated throughout the podium to soften the building's presentation and screen parking levels behind. The landscape strategy also informs the project's name, Lotus on Water Street, drawing on the historic Spring Hollow waterholes that once ran through Spring Hill and the blue water lilies associated with Meeanjin, Brisbane's traditional name.

The proposal also incorporates the neighbouring property at 141 Warry Street, currently occupied by a healthcare service. The existing building would remain, with nine dedicated parking spaces allocated within the new development to support its ongoing operation. In total, Lotus on Water Street proposes 117 car spaces, including 110 resident spaces and seven visitor bays, alongside 100 bicycle spaces.

<img alt="First look: Keylin unveils heritage-led Lotus on Water Street tower in Fortitude Valley" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="70cf07bc-4fd8-4e70-92dd-be8b21c4e4f0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/fortitude%20valley%20site.png?VersionId=txlxrJImM0Sm_vTzHVKh5DDUkyL_CiiA" />

The site sits within the Spring Hill East Precinct of the Spring Hill Neighbourhood Plan and is positioned around 650 metres from both Fortitude Valley Station and Exhibition Station. It is also within walking distance of the King Street precinct, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston Quarter and Victoria Park, which is earmarked to become a major venue precinct ahead of the Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games.

Planning documents describe the location as a key gateway between Spring Hill and Fortitude Valley and highlight the area's increasing importance as new transport infrastructure and Olympic-related investment reshape Brisbane's inner north. The development team argues the project will contribute additional housing supply while activating a section of Water Street that has historically received less investment than other parts of the Valley.

Keylin has become increasingly active across Brisbane and southeast Queensland, assembling sites in strategic inner-city locations. They are currently selling and delivering <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/oria-spring-hill-447-gregory-terrace-spring-hill-qld-4000">Oria Spring Hill</a>, just over 140 apartments due for completion in 2027.

Keylin plans heritage-led Lotus on Water Street apartment development in Fortitude Valley

Roseville is poised for a wave of new apartment development following the NSW Government's rezoning of land around Roseville Station under its Transport Oriented Development program.

The new planning controls have unlocked significant development potential within walking distance of the station, with a number of sites expected to be amalgamated and redeveloped in the coming years as developers seek to take advantage of the increased density allowances.

One of the more restrained developments in the precinct, and set among the first to be delivered having commenced well before the recent changes, is Hyecorp's Juliet. The boutique apartment project is already well under construction and remains on track to welcome residents by the end of the year, offering a markedly different proposition to many of the larger-scale developments now likely to emerge across the suburb.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278194]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/juliet-roseville-64-pacific-highway-roseville-nsw-2069">Juliet</a> will comprise just&nbsp;34 one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments opposite Roseville Station. For Hyecorp, which has delivered projects across Sydney's Lower North Shore for more than three decades, Roseville presented a rare opportunity to address a growing gap in the market.

"<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/roseville-nsw-2069">Roseville</a> has long been one of the North Shore's most tightly held and desirable suburbs, offering a unique combination of village charm, established greenery, excellent transport connections, and proximity to some of Sydney's best schools and lifestyle amenities," Hyecorp said.

"We recognised a growing demand from local homeowners seeking to downsize without leaving the community they have built their lives around. The location presented a rare opportunity to create homes that cater specifically to that buyer profile."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278196]

The six-level development has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/pbd-architects">PBD Architects</a> as a collection of residences that feel more like homes than apartments. The brief centred generous floorplans, abundant natural light, quality finishes, and strong connections to outdoor space.

PBD Architects drew inspiration from Roseville's established garden suburb character, creating a building that sits comfortably within its surroundings rather than dominating them. The architecture incorporates natural materials, soft forms, layered landscaping, expansive balconies, and generous setbacks to strengthen the connection between residents and the suburb's leafy environment.

"The focus was on designing spacious, house-like residences for discerning owner-occupiers and downsizers who wanted to remain on the North Shore without compromising on comfort, privacy, or design," PBD said.&nbsp;

"Every apartment was to feel considered, timeless, and highly functional."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278195]

Inside, residences feature engineered timber flooring, stone kitchen benchtops and splashbacks, integrated Fisher &amp; Paykel appliances, ducted air conditioning, and large outdoor entertaining areas designed to take advantage of district and treetop views.

Residents will also have access to a rooftop barbecue and lounge area, alongside practical amenities including parcel lockers, EV charging capability, bicycle storage, a dog wash bay, and a basement car wash facility.

The majority of purchasers so far have been local owner-occupiers from Roseville, Lindfield, Chatswood, Killara, and the broader Upper North Shore, many of whom are transitioning from larger family homes.

"Buyers are looking for spacious, house-like apartments that allow them to downsize without feeling like they are sacrificing comfort or functionality," Hyecorp noted.

"They value large kitchens, generous living areas, ample storage, quality finishes, secure parking, lift access, and low-maintenance living."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278204]

Juliet sits directly opposite Roseville Train Station and within walking distance of Roseville Village, while Chatswood's retail and dining precinct is only minutes away. The development is also surrounded by some of Sydney's most established schools, including Roseville College, Ravenswood, Pymble Ladies' College, and Knox Grammar, as well as nearby parklands and golf courses.

Juliet is currently more than 75 per cent sold ahead of its anticipated completion in late 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=7395]

Juliet to sit quietly amid Roseville apartment boom

Sherpa Property Group has unveiled the third instalment of its Flourish series, securing full approval for the two-tower, $500 million Flourish Soleira development in Palm Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-1150-1154-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> will rise from a prominent site in the commercial heart of Palm Beach, the long-time home of Cash Converters and a range of local retailers.

The project will introduce a new retail and dining precinct at ground level, beneath 286 apartments.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370959]

“We’re very committed to not only providing affordable residential offerings that are much needed in Palm Beach, but also delivering a vibrant new commercial heart that complements the extraordinary growth of the southern Gold Coast,” Sherpa Property Group founder Christie Leet said.

The development will sit under Sherpa's Flourish brand, which is aimed at providing a pathway into the beachside suburb for locals, first-home buyers and downsizers. In a move designed to assist first-home buyers entering the market, Sherpa has reserved all one and two-bedroom, one-bathroom apartments exclusively for eligible first-home buyers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370964]

“Our vision through Flourish is to create a vibrant retail and lifestyle focal point within the Palm Beach centre zone, delivering thriving communities underpinned by lifestyle-rich locations,” Leet said.

“So far, Flourish has been an incredible success, and we hope to carry this momentum as we progress the next two Flourish projects in Palm Beach.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=371430]

Located across 1150-1164 Gold Coast Highway and 3 Sixth Avenue, the development will comprise two towers. The northern tower will deliver 154 apartments, while the southern tower will add a further 132 residences, helping address ongoing demand for new apartments in the tightly held coastal suburb.

Flourish Soleira will also feature the most extensive rooftop amenity offering ever delivered in Palm Beach.

The two towers will be connected by a skybridge, with residents gaining access to a rooftop recreation deck featuring a full-width swimming pool, hot and cold plunge pools, wellness spaces, a gymnasium, private dining facilities, massage treatment rooms, barbecue areas, a basketball court, golf simulator, indoor and outdoor dining spaces, sun lounges and extensive landscaping.

LPS Group is expected to start construction later this year.

Sherpa is already well advanced on construction of its debut Flourish project, Flourish Amargo, located just around the corner from Soleira. Meanwhile, Flourish Oasis, positioned opposite Amargo, recently commenced construction and has nearly sold out its collection of 47 apartments.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa unveils $500m mixed-use Palm Beach precinct, Flourish Soleira

Are mortgage holders set to get a reprieve from the RBA in 2026?

Big Four bank NAB believes so. They are now expecting the next move from the RBA to be a cut, rather than a hike, which they had pencilled in for August. They are unsure of the timing of the cut however, they note in their latest&nbsp;NAB Economics RBA Watch.

NAB Chief Economist, Dr Sally Auld, said recent data suggests the economy has lost momentum and the outlook for rates has shifted, noting that the broader economic backdrop has changed since earlier in the year.

“The next move in the cash rate is likely to be down, but the timing is uncertain," Dr Auld said.

"In February, growth was above trend, the economy was operating above capacity and there was uncertainty over the restrictiveness of rates. None of these conditions exist today,” she outlined.

Dr Auld said recent data pointed to softer momentum across the economy while acknowledging that at the same time, uncertainty remains a key feature of the outlook.

“Both Q1 GDP data and the NAB business survey suggest momentum in the economy has slowed, meaning that growth has likely peaked for the cycle. That said, we are cognisant there is still considerable uncertainty around the outlook, both with respect to activity and inflation.”

Dr Auld said inflation risks and labour market outcomes would be important to watch.

“On the prices side, we are still forecasting above target core inflation through to mid-2027. Margins will compress and weaker labour market outcomes are a risk.”

She said tighter financial conditions are expected to weigh on housing and activity.

“Tighter financial conditions will be reflected in a slowing in house price growth and housing credit growth. In summary, we have greater conviction that the next move in rates is down, but less conviction on the timing.”

Jonathan Chancellor

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