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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
When politicians talk about tax and fairness, it’s easy for them to point out undeserved loopholes benefiting the wealthy, or multinational companies. But the elephant in the room is the difference between those who own and those who rent (or have recently bought and have huge mortgages) the house they live in.
The tax advantages of housing offend against justice on every count: they place financial stresses on the poor, they are unequal, and the increase in price is not deserved.
Owner-occupied houses are exempt from income and capital gains tax, and from social welfare means tests. Negative gearing gives investment properties a tax advantage, which is exacerbated by discounts on rates of capital gains tax. Rent assistance given to those on social security (currently a maximum of A$130 per week) is not sufficient to compensate for the difference.
The high price of housing is created by tax inequalities and by supply and demand imbalances created by government failure. At the same time, the government has encouraged banks to borrow hundreds of billions offshore to fund greater mortgage debt – pushing prices higher. Foreign depositors are faced with a low 10% withholding tax (reduced from 15%), and have not been subject to adequate money laundering controls.
And there is not much social benefit in higher house prices to counteract the costs to non-homeowners. Higher prices have not led to a significant increase in supply over time; people do not spend the increase, nor use it much to fund their retirement.
<h2>Defining ‘justice’</h2>
The word justice is used so widely, it needs some definition. While “fairness” is applied more widely, justice can be used to incorporate four sometimes conflicting objectives. Justice seeks, as much as possible to:
<ul>
<li>Contribute to economic equality</li>
<li>Give each person their just deserts</li>
<li>Meet people’s essential needs</li>
<li>Allow for personal liberty by not interfering in people’s lives.</li>
</ul>
Such a model of justice can be used to evaluate tax systems.
For those concerned that justice comes at a cost to efficiency and economic growth – there is considerable evidence to show that the relationship, where it exists, is positive. Giving people their just deserts provides the material incentives so beloved of economists. Evidence from a broad group of countries shows little overall relationship between income inequality and rates of growth and investment. Fairer taxes lead to greater compliance with tax laws. Research has found a significant increase in Australian tax morale between 1981 and 1995, which was explained by reforms that people saw as making the system more just.
<h2>Clouded by politics</h2>
Amid the ongoing debate about tax reform during the last year, many had hoped for some meaningful changes in the coming federal budget.
Instead, the current debate on the tax system, and more recently negative gearing, is concerned with perceptions of political acceptability.
This was also typified by the dismissal of any change to the taxation of housing in the Re:think tax discussion paper:
“Given the central importance of the home for Australian families, there is a strong consensus that it would not be appropriate to tax either the imputed rent on owner-occupied housing or capital gains derived from it.”
“Strong consensus”, whatever that means, is not a good reason if it involves injustice. The argument works the other way: given the central importance of the home, and its place in income and assets, it is essential for housing to be included in our tax and welfare systems. Let’s be the land of the fair go, even if we have to give up some personal advantages.
<h2>Reform options</h2>
Addressing the issue is complicated politically in that around 70% of voters own their houses, and a significant minority have borrowed heavily to get into the market in recent times. If prices drop, they will suffer through no fault of their own, as would the banking industry. With more than two million shareholders, banks are also strong politically.
The Henry tax review did, however, recommend a transition from stamp duties to a land tax, a significant increase in rental assistance and the removal (albeit with a high threshold) of the exemption of owner occupied homes from the means test for pensions.
The greater efficiency, and justice, of land taxes means that they have fairly widespread support from informed commentators. Taxes on property currently raise A$29 billion annually for the states and another A$14 billion for local governments in Australia. If land accounts for 50% of the value of residential housing, the additional revenue would be of the order of A$75 billion. Another A$40 billion might be possible if commercial land was also be included.
Removing capital gains discounts and taxing imputed rents should also be considered. <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10511482.1994.9521152?journalCode=rhpd20#.VyAWCmR96X0">Research released in 1994</a> found the latter would be both efficient and more equitable in Australia. The advantage of this is that such a system allows for the tax deductibility of mortgage repayments, so would provide compensation for the minority that had recently bought into the housing market. A higher withholding tax on international deposits would also reduce the availability of funds to push up assets, and encourage local businesses by removing some of the artificial support for the currency.
Housing accounts for more than 60% of the value of total assets held by Australians. Translated into imputed rent it amounts to about A$150 billion annually, or 20% of the gross personal income of those who own their homes. If taxed at marginal rates of tax, imputed rents would add about a third to current personal tax of A$190 billion annually.
Anthony Asher is associate professor, UNSW Australia, and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/anthony-asher-247115" target="_blank">here</a>.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

The way Australia taxes housing is manifestly unfair

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The latest renovation series House Rules debuted last night with a 718,000 metro audience, finishing the night in 10th most watch show.
The new season of House Rules has a lot of heart, says host Johanna Griggs.
The fourth series of the reality renovation show features five sets of parents hoping to secure a better future for their children to wipe their mortgage. 
Each week, the six teams must renovate the interiors of each other's homes.
The home owners aren't allowed to work on their own properties, and instead must leave their set of house design rules for their competitors to carry out.
With little to no previous renovation or interior design experience, the House Rules teams have a steep learning curve, she said. 
House Rules on Channel 7 continues tonight with first up the renovation of the house of Fil and Joe from Melbourne, with their five design rules below.
The finale of Nine’s controversial dating show Married at First Sight was watched by 1.048 million metro viewers, airing from 7:30pm to 9:30pm, up on its season launch which drew 771,000 metro viewers, but down on last year’s finale, which attracted 1.290m metro viewers.
The season-ender is the only episode during season two which broke the 1m audience mark, mumbrella reported.
 
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House Rules returns with renovation of Fil and Joe house in Melbourne

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Billionaire developer Harry Triguboff says Sydney apartment price growth was flattening.
And the Meriton boss expects some rival developments will stall as the heat came out of the market.
But Meriton, which last week started work on a 200-unit and a 400- unit project in Sydney’s Mascot and 500 units at nearby Rosebery, was still going strong.
“We are going flat out,” Mr Triguboff told The Australian.
However, he warned against the tightening of lending to apartment investors and offshore buyers, with news yesterday of Westpac following rivals ANZ and CBA in restricting lending for foreign buyers.
Westpac will decline all mortgage applications from non-residents, temporary visa holders living overseas and those with foreign self-employed income.
Mr Triguboff warned the banks could create a self-fulfilling prophesy of falling apartment prices by lending less at settlement than indicated when contracts were signed for off-the-plan sales.
In its recent biannual review of financial stability, the RBA noted the dominance of Chinese buyers in Sydney and Melbourne and the risks posed if China’s economy stalled or Beijing clamped down on outbound capital flows.
Melbourne apartments would have a tougher time, Mr Triguboff tipped as prices — and therefore development margins — were lower than in Sydney.
Demand for apartments in Sydney remained strong although price growth was flat, The Australian reported Triguboff saying.
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Harry Triguboff says Sydney apartment price growth was now flat

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GUEST OBSERVER
Australian CPI numbers surprised significantly to the downside. The RBA’s preferred measures of underlying inflation both fell well short of market expectation and are tracking well below the RBA’s last set of forecasts. 
These core measures of inflation have also declined to be convincingly below the bottom edge of the RBA’s 2-3 percent target band. The average of these underlying measures was 1.55% y-o-y.
This puts the RBA in a tricky spot. Most of the demand indicators have held up recently, with the unemployment rate falling and business conditions improving.
Normally a lift in the activity generates a solid rate of inflation. However, although growth has been solid, it has not been strong enough to keep inflation on target.
Low inflation partly reflects that the end of the mining investment boom has brought an extended period of below-trend growth, which has weighed on wages and price pressures in the economy. Global inflation has also been very low. More recently, low global inflation and rates have seen the AUD climb, which is set to weigh further on the outlook for inflation and could also weigh on growth.
All of this adds up to suggesting that the RBA will need to cut its cash rate further. It now also seems likely that a 25bp cut may not be enough.
The RBA also faces a tricky timing issue. The government is due to hand down the federal budget on 3 May, which is the same day as the RBA meets next week and a federal election looks likely on 2 July. The RBA typically looks to stay out of the political process, so cutting rates around these events is less than ideal.
Weighing all of this up, there is no denying that inflation is too low, which means that the cash rate almost certainly needs to be cut. The usual rule of thumb is the sooner the better. We retain our view that the RBA is likely to cut by 25bp in Q2. We now expect that a cut in May is likely, despite the budget. We now also expect a follow-up 25bp cut in Q3 and for the cash rate to remain at 1.50% over the forecast horizon.
<a href="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.22.30%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.22.30%20AM.png" alt="">
Q1 CPI was very weak
Today’s CPI numbers showed that inflation was weak across the board. The headline CPI print showed a fall of -0.2% q-o-q, which was the first decline in seven years (Chart 1). The y-o-y rate of headline CPI inflation has now been below the RBA’s 2-3% target band for six quarters, which is the longest period of below-target headline inflation since 1999. The fall in the headline CPI rate reflected weakness in imported prices, but also, and more worryingly, a fall in domestic inflationary pressures (Chart 2).
Of course, the RBA focuses on its preferred underlying measures of inflation – the trimmed mean and weighted median – which strip out the volatile items. Here the news is even less promising. The average of the two preferred underlying measures fell to its lowest rate in the history of Australia’s inflation-targeting regime (since mid-1993) (Chart 3). The average of the two underlying measures was running at 0.15% q-o-q in Q1. In y-o-y terms, underlying inflation is well below the RBA’s 2-3% target band and also at its lowest level on record (Chart 4).
The challenge is that this has occurred at the same time that domestic demand indicators have been lifting. Surveyed business conditions also remained at high levels in Q1 and the unemployment rate has continued to edge lower. As we have pointed out recently though, the improvement in the labour market has not yet been enough to lift wages growth (see Downunder Digest: Looking for signs of rising wages, 15 April 2016). At the same time, the rising AUD is likely to weigh on growth and inflation (see Downunder Digest: Services exports and the AUD, 30 March 2016).
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<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.23.49%20AM.png" alt="">
 
The timing is tricky, given the budget and election
 
With the Prime Minister, Malcolm Turnbull, having pulled the budget forward by a week to 3 May in order to facilitate calling an early election on 2 July, the budget is now due to be handed down on the same day as the RBA board meeting. This is less than ideal for the RBA, if it is looking to cut rates on that day. Typically, the RBA would like to stay apolitical and the Governor, Glenn Stevens, has also spoken on a number of occasions about monetary policy reaching its limits and other arms of policy (fiscal policy) needing to be more supportive of growth. Ideally, we would be hoping this allows the government to announce its policies without a cash rate cut also being part of the message. The RBA may also be reluctant to cut in the lead-up to an election (likely on 2 July) as it typically seeks to remain apolitical.
 
However, if the RBA deems that rates will need to be lowered at some point, the typical rule of thumb is: the sooner the better. Governor Stevens also has a track record of setting policy independent of the political cycle, having lifted the cash rate only a few weeks before the 2007 election. With this in mind, if the RBA does consider that the CPI print warrants it cutting further, as we think is likely, getting it done in May seems a little easier than waiting until June, given that it can more easily point to the lower-than-expected CPI as the trigger.
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<a href="https://www.about.hsbc.com.au/hsbc-in-australia/management-team" target="_blank">PAUL BLOXHAM</a> IS CHIEF ECONOMIST (AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND) FOR HSBC. 
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Tricky, but expect RBA rate cut next week: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

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GUEST OBSERVER
Today’s extraordinarily low annual headline and underlying inflation rates reflect not only lower petrol prices but widespread price discounting by retailers. Six of the eleven CPI categories had price falls in the quarter.
The QI CPI fell by 0.2 percent, sharply lower than the market expectation which centred on a rise of 0.2 percent (CBA (f) 0.3%). The AUD fell about US1 cent and interest rate futures are now pricing in a 55 percent chance of an RBA rate cut next Tuesday. While the headline inflation rate in annual terms is low, at 1.3 percent, it is the underlying inflation rate which is the big issue. It is running at 1.5 percent, the lowest rate on record. 
The 10% fall in petrol prices was largely expected. But the big expenditure categories also surprised with low results. Food prices (fruit, dairy, cakes and cereals) fell by 0.2% in the March quarter to be unchanged over the past year. It most probably reflects the competitive pressures between the big supermarkets and the new entrants. Housing costs, the largest expenditure category, rose by only 0.3 percent to be just 1.7 percent higher over the year. Even the highly regulated sectors, health and education, had relatively low QI rises (for them) of 1.9 percent and 3.1 percent. 
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The lower AUD over the past year has not, so far, produced the usual higher imported consumer goods and services prices. Tradables inflation fell by 1.4 percent in QI, reflecting the falls in petrol, furnishings, clothing, audio-visual equipment and international holiday travel. 
We are reviewing our RBA rate call in light of the lower than expected inflation trends. Clearly the chances of a rate cut next week have moved a lot higher. But today’s numbers may still not “demand” a rate cut. 
The RBA has tolerated below target inflation on a number of occasions. It is after all how the inflation targeting regime is supposed to work. The last time we saw inflation rates around the current figures was in 1997-98. Back then there were 6 out of 7 quarters where underlying inflation was below target. For most of that period the RBA left the cash rate at 5 percent.
There was a one-off 25bpt cut at the very end of 1998 (after 6 quarters of below target inflation). That cut was justified more on a deteriorating global outlook rather than low inflation. When thinking about what today’s CPI outcome will mean for RBA forecasts it is worth remembering that the Q4 GDP numbers were noticeably stronger than the RBA was expecting (2.5 percent expected versus 3 percent actual). Higher GDP and a lower unemployment rate, now 5.7 percent, mean the “if needed” components for a rate cut are not quite as pressing. With the release of today’s Australian CPI our replica of the RBA’s model suggests the Australian real TWI is less overvalued than previously estimated. In fact, the Australian real TWI is just inside the fair value band (+/- one standard deviation).
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<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-27%20at%203.02.05%20PM.png" alt=""> 
The detail 
As anticipated, the volatile items had a major impact on the much lower than expected headline CPI outcome of a 0.2 percent fall. The QI CPI (excluding volatile items) rose by 0.2 percent (to be up 1.7 percent on a year ago). In other words, the volatile items sliced 0.4 percent from the headline QI CPI. 
Leading the volatiles deflationary impact were petrol prices which dived by 10 percent over QI, to be 6.4 percent lower over the year. The QI petrol prices drop sliced 0.31ppts from the QI CPI outcome. The other key volatile item, namely fruit and vegetable prices sliced 0.11pts from the headline QI CPI. The key driver was an 11.1percent drop in fruit prices (down 6.9 percent pa) which made a 0.13ppt negative contribution to headline inflation. This impact was partially offset by a 1.5 percent rise in vegetable prices in QI (but which were down 4.3 percent in annual terms). 
These volatile items account for most of the gap between underlying and headline inflation forecasts. 
Price falls 
Six of the eleven components of the headline CPI registered price falls in QI. As mentioned above and as expected, the sharp decline in automotive fuel prices was the most prominent factor deflating the quarterly headline CPI result. 
Other CPI items weighing down on the headline outcome were clothing and footwear prices which dropped by 2.6 percent in QI and made a negative 0.1ppt contribution. The main contributor to the decline in this component was accessories prices which declined by 4.3 percent in QI. 
The other CPI categories posting falls in QI were the recreation and culture group, (-1.0 percent), the communications group (-1.5 percent), and furnishings household equipment and services (-0.4 percent). The main contributors to the fall in the recreation and culture group prices were international holiday travel and accommodation (-2.0 percent) and domestic holiday travel and accommodation (-1.9 percent). 
Elsewhere, a 1.7 percent drop in telecommunications equipment and services was the key driver of the 1.5 percent fall in communications group prices. Meanwhile, a 4.1 percent fall in household textiles prices and a 1.6 percent decline in furniture prices contributed to the 0.4 percent decrease in furnishings and household equipment and services prices. 
Price rises 
The largest offsetting price rises in QI were secondary education (+4.6percent), medical and hospital services (+1.6percent) and pharmaceutical products prices (+ 4.8percent). These outcomes are largely due to seasonal factors but were smaller than usual. Overall, these health and education groups contributed 0.2ppts to the QI CPI. 
Also contributing in a positive way to the quarterly headline CPI outcome were increases in household fuels (+3.0percent) and new dwelling purchasing by owner occupiers (+0.2percent) suggesting housing activity may well be cooling but it certainly isn’t crashing. 
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<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-27%20at%203.14.22%20PM.png" alt="">
Imported or “tradables” inflation 
Tradables prices fell by 1.4percent in QI and were up by a modest 0.6percent over the year to March. The quarterly fall in tradables prices was due to a combination of the higher AUD in QI, falling fuel prices, and falling international holiday travel and accommodation prices. Tradable prices make up 40percent of the CPI basket and are a reflection of imported prices. 
Domestic or “non-tradables” inflation 
Domestic inflation or non-tradables inflation rose by a modest 0.4percent over QI and lifted by a tame 1.7percent on a year ago. This category accounts for around 60percent of the total CPI basket. The most significant contributors to the QI rise in non-tradables inflation were increases in gas and other household fuels and beer prices. Also, the non tradables services of secondary education and medical and hospital services prices helped the quarterly rise in this component. The key offsetting declines in 
non tradables inflation were electricity prices and domestic holiday and accommodation and telecommunication equipment prices. 
Plenty of spare capacity in the economy and softer wages growth has helped cap non-tradables inflation in recent quarters. 
States 
It is very unusual to see uniformly low inflation across all the capital cities. Prices rose in Canberra by 0.2percent in QI, were flat in Brisbane and fell in the other capitals. 
The price falls were in Sydney, -0.2percent, Melbourne -0.1percent, Adelaide -0.3percent, Perth -0.6percent, Hobart -0.2percent and Darwin -0.9percent. Perth and Darwin had the largest QI price falls. 
In annual terms, inflation was running highest in Melbourne and Brisbane at 1.7percent, then 1.3percent in Sydney and Hobart, 1.0percent in Canberra, 0.7percent in Perth and Adelaide, and -0.3percent in Darwin. 
The capital cities with the weakest retail activity, like Perth, Adelaide and Darwin have the weakest inflation outcomes, indicating the widespread retail discounting pressure. But there are other issues underway. Perth’s residential rents have fallen 4.4percent over the past year. 
Wages trends and inflation 
Wages trends provide a major input to structural inflation in the Australian economy. The trend around private sector wages over the past few years is towards consistently lower than expected outcomes. There are also clear compressions in wages outcomes across industry sectors and regions which are relatively new phenomenon and have been a feature of the post-mining investment and construction boom landscape. 
Annual private sector wages growth was running at a paltry 2percent in the year to December 2015, the weakest growth rate since the series began in 1997, and well below the 3percent to 4percent annual growth that has been the norm from the late 1990s until after the mining boom started to dissipate. Ongoing spare capacity in the labour market and job security anxieties are likely to continue to cap wages growth by workers limiting wage claims. 
Nationally, QIV wages growth continued to track lower in a range of industries and all industries have experienced wages growth well below their decade averages. On an industry basis across all sectors (i.e. public and private) the strongest annual wages growth was posted in financial and insurance services at 2.8percentpa, and weakest in mining at 1.5percentpa. 
The industry sector wages outcomes show that about 80 percent of industries are paying less than 2.5percent wage increases and the remaining 20percent are between 2.5percent and 3.0percent. The regional trends are also similar, with a trend towards State wage growth below 2.5percent. WA, the State with the highest wages growth for the decade up to 2013, now has growth of just 2percent. The end of the mining boom is having similar effects on wages trends in Queensland and NT. 
The sectors with the strongest jobs growth over the past few years are health, accommodation, cafes and retail. They also tend to be ones where part-time employment is significantly higher than in other sectors. The sectors with mainly full-time employment, like mining, utilities and construction, are losing jobs. So the pressures in the labour market that favour more part-time employment are producing a period of distinctly lower wages outcomes. 
A key reason behind ongoing tepid wages growth recently could be that a much more flexible labour market in recent years has enabled companies’ greater capacity to cap wages growth in a lacklustre labour market. In a period of labour market slack employees tend to be more satisfied to accept lower wages growth in return for more job security. 
The resultant ongoing tame wages growth seems to have contributed to more jobs growth than normally would have been the case. Indeed, the latest employment data showed annual jobs growth of 2.0percentpa. (I.e. +235.3k or an average +19.6k a month) in March. The unemployment rate stood at 5.7percent in March.
Ongoing soft wages growth and labour costs have helped wind back non-tradables (or domestic) inflation in recent quarters. This is especially the case for services inflation (with its very high labour component). Thus modest wages growth is a very handy tool in maintaining the current low inflation environment. 
Inflation expectations 
Central banks and policy makers care about inflation rates and where they may be headed. But they also care about the inflation expectations held by businesses and consumers. These expectations influence how economic agents act, with a flow on to economic activity. And these expectations influence the support or restraint that a given level of interest rates provides. 
The extended period of weak inflation in many countries has seen inflation expectations move lower. Some central banks have become concerned about the impact of low expectations. And certainly some recent policy easings in Europe, Japan and New Zealand reflect these concerns. Even in the US, where interest rates have been nudged higher, Fed Chair Yellen has recently expressed concerns about low inflation expectations. They are yet another reason for a caution approach to rate changes by the Fed. 
Our thoughts on global inflation expectation trends and what they mean for policy directions can be found here. 
The RBA monitors inflation expectations. But they are of less concern than for other central banks. They are rarely mentioned in post RBA meeting Statements. And comments are generally limited to a summary paragraph in the quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP). 
More importantly, inflation expectations in Australia are low but look well anchored. They have not been influenced by low headline inflation rates and the general lack of business pricing power. 
Policy makers are actually probably quite happy with aspects of the inflation expectations story. The decline in house price expectations as views on the housing market have softened will be seen as a desirable outcome. Especially given the concerns evident about rapid price growth and elevated expectations in 2015. The restraint in wage expectations is seen as a positive through the support it gives to labour demand.
Michael Workman is senior economist, <a href="https://www.commbank.com.au/corporate/research?ei=mv_research" target="_blank">Commonwealth Bank</a>.
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Low inflation raises the chances of an RBA rate cut next week: CBA's Michael Workman

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GUEST OBSERVER
<a name="x_OLE_LINK9" target="_blank" href=""></a>Inflation is pretty much non-existent. In fact in the March quarter the Australian economy essentially went through a period of deflation.
The economic environment in Australia is still far different from other parts of the globe, but when it comes to inflation central banks across that globe are facing the same concerns. The euro zone continues to worry about the deflationary threat from sluggish growth and sliding oil prices, while inflation remains below the Fed’s target rate in the US. And here in Australia inflation is holding below the Reserve Bank’s target 2-3 percent.
It is pretty clear that inflation is not a threat to the domestic economy, meaning that the Reserve Bank can comfortably keep interest rates at exceptionally low levels over the medium term. Domestic inflationary pressures remain well contained and given the slow growth in wages it is unlikely to result in a change to the domestic inflation landscape.
The headline inflation measure fell by 0.2 percent in the March quarter, and even more importantly some of the underlying measures were decidedly soft. The annual growth rates remain below the low end of the Reserve Bank’s 2-3 percent target band. The average of the three key underlying inflation measures lifted by 0.2 per cent in the quarter to be up 1.6 per cent over the year.
Looking across the contributors to inflation, the seasonal increases in education fees and medical services were amongst the key factors driving inflation higher. While the fuel price recorded a 10 per cent decline in the March quarter. Whichever way you cut it, inflation is not a threat to the economy. Interestingly the stronger Aussie dollar over the March quarter, seems to have had a significant impact on curtailing imported inflation. The tradeable component of the CPI result fell by 1.4 per cent in the March quarter.
While we don’t think there is a screaming need for interest rates to be cut on economic activity grounds, the low inflation result opens the door for the Reserve Bank to cut rates if they deem it is necessary. The question is whether the Reserve Bank believes that cutting interest rates will actually provide a boost to the economy given that interest rates are already at generational lows.
Interestingly if the Reserve Bank did not cut rates next week, the market could take that as a sign that it would take a drastic downturn in the domestic economy to cut rates and as such it would provide more impetus for the Australian dollar – an undesirable result. The bottom line is that underlying inflation is undershooting the 2-3 per cent target band and that suggests little risk in cutting rates a little further. CommSec believes there is a strong chance the Reserve Bank will cut the cash rate to a historical low of 1.75 per cent in May.
<a href="/images/2016/04/27/image003.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/27/image003.png" alt="">
What do the figures show?
CPI
The All Groups Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.2 per cent in the March quarter, well below expectations. In seasonally adjusted terms the CPI fell by 0.1 per cent. The annual rate of inflation fell from 1.7 per cent to 1.3 per cent.
Underlying measures of inflation were lower than forecasts in the March quarter. The trimmed mean rose by 0.2 per cent in the March quarter (1.7 per cent annual); the weighted median rose by 0.1 per cent (1.4 per cent annual) and the CPI less volatile items rose by 0.2 per cent (0.6 per cent annual). Overall, underlying inflation rose by 0.2 per cent in the quarter and by 1.6 per cent over the year (equal lowest growth in 33 years of records).
The Bureau of Statistics noted: “The most significant price falls this quarter are automotive fuel (-10.0%), fruit (-11.1%) and international holiday travel and accommodation (-2.0%). The most significant offsetting price rises this quarter are secondary education (+4.6%), medical and hospital services (+1.6%) and pharmaceutical products (+4.8%).”
Prices of tradables fell by 1.4 per cent in the March quarter, driven by lower prices for automotive fuel. The most significant offsetting rise in the tradable goods component was for pharmaceutical products. The tradables component rose by 0.8 per cent over the year to March.
Prices of non-tradables rose by 0.4 per cent in the March quarter. Price increases were recorded for secondary education, gas and other household fuels, and beer. The most significant offsetting fall was for electricity and domestic holiday travel and accommodation. Non-tradables prices rose by 1.7 per cent in the year to March. Tradable goods are those items whose prices are largely determined on the world market. Non-tradable prices are more affected by domestic economic conditions.
Why is the data important?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is regarded as Australia’s premier measure of inflation. The CPI is published quarterly and measures price changes for a ‘basket’ of goods and services that dominate expenditure of metropolitan households. The “All Groups” index is the main focus, but other inflation measures are also published such as so-called ‘underlying’ measures. These include measures that abstract from price changes in volatile price items such as fresh food and petrol.
The Reserve Bank aims to keep the headline inflation rate between 2-3 per cent over an economic cycle. If inflation is high and expected to rise, the Reserve Bank may elect to raise interest rates in order to constrain price pressures. Conversely, if inflation is low and expected to remain low, the Reserve Bank may elect to cut interest rates if it believes the growth pace of the economy is in need of strengthening.
What are the implications?
At present the national economy is tracking ok. Economic growth is healthy and more encouragingly unemployment is at a 2½-year low. However the concern for policymakers is that the deflationary environment becomes more firmly entrenched in coming quarters. A sustained super low inflation landscape will lead to low inflationary expectations over time and in turn a shift in asset allocation.
It seems there is a broader thematic playing out. The technology disruption and the ability to be able to buy goods whenever and wherever you want is adding to the already challenging environment for domestic businesses. Essentially making it hard to lift prices. The key for business in a low inflation environment is to lift productivity. 
CommSec believes there is a credible risk that the Reserve Bank cuts interest rates to 1.75 per cent next week.
The focus now shifts to the Federal Reserve (FOMC) meeting and rates decision (due out tomorrow morning) and the likely impact on the Australian dollar – particularly given the Fed has been more cautious in recent rhetoric d on the outlook for interest rate hikes.
Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a>
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First fall in prices in seven years: CommSec's Savanth Sebastian

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Westpac has decided to stop lending to offshore customers who are not citizens or residents of Australia with an eligible visa.
“It continues to be Westpac's priority to support Australian citizens and permanent residents (including applicable visa classes) living outside of Australia on their journey to own a home or investment property in Australia,” the bank said.
Effective immediately, changes to applicants earning foreign income policy will also occur.
For non-residents, no lending is permitted even if the applicant income is not relied on to meet serviceability, a letter to brokers obtained by Mortgage Business advised.
Local applications that include foreign income will be given a lower loan-to-value ratio of 70 per cent, down from 80 per cent. 
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The new policy from April 26 will apply to all loans that were pre-approved but have not been issued. 
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Last week developers said any withdrawal of bank lending could lead to a possible self-fulfilling fear of "apartment collapse". 
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"The problem is they [Chinese buyers] don't know how much the banks will give till the end," the Meriton boss Harry Triguboff said. 
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Westpac tightens residential lending to foreign buyers

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The heritage-listed Terminus Hotel on the corner of Harris and John Streets, Pyrmont, has been sold by Auswin TWT for around $5 million.
The purchaser identity remains confidential. Justin Hemmes inspected but it seems decided, notwithstanding its exterior, it would not to be an addition to his ‘Ivy’ stable.
Zoned B4 Mixed Use, the hotel provides an opportunity for multiple bars, dining and accommodation options.
It was sold by Andrew Jolliffe of Ray White Hotels Australia and Steven Tsang and James Aroney of JLL Sales and Investments NSW.
Mr Jolliffe said the successful purchaser identified with the significant character of the property, and is understood to be considering a number of uses, including the reactivation of the licensed premises.
Mr Tsang said more than 60 private inspections were conducted with hoteliers, developers, owner-occupiers and community groups.
It was long owned the Wakil family.
Auswin TWT will still retain the 2,300 square metre carpark on the south-western side of the hotel where it plans to develop luxury terraces. Auswin TWT is also awaiting approval of a DA for a prestigious mixed-use development at nearby 495 Harris Street Ultimo which will contain 210 apartments and ground floor retail/commercial space. 
The <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://digitalcollections.anu.edu.au/handle/1885/9134" target="_blank">Terminus Hotel </a>is two storeys and sits on a 493 square metre site with a gross floor area of 543 square metres. 
Built in the early 1900’s Federation Style, the hotel was originally called <a href="https://www.lostcollective.com/gallery/1603-terminus-hotel/" target="_blank">The Cooper’s Arms Inn</a> but took its current name in 1911 in reference to the tram service which terminated on Jones Street.
The hotel retains many original features including the red brick façade and the distinct parapet skyline detailing. Despite remaining uninhabited for the past three decades, the interiors maintain the charm of a bygone era with their metal ceilings and ornate floor and wall tiling.
 
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Pyrmont's heritage-listed Terminus Hotel sold

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The Bondi hoarder’s house has returned to the market once again with the potential to sell for more than $2 million.
More than 14 months after Mary Bobolas and her daughters Elena and Liana came up with the $180,000 to pay Waverly Council’s cleaning and legal bills, the home is once again being forcibly sold.
A statement from Waverley Council said the family now owes $160,000.
The sad case of <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-bondi-118903099" target="_blank">19 Boonara Ave</a> sees the NSW Sheriff’s Office commissioning Raine &amp; Horne Double Bay agent Ric Serrao to sell the property so that clean-up costs can be recovered on behalf of the council.
The 550 sqm property offers proximity to the beach, cafes, restaurants, shops and public transport.
No inspections of the home are scheduled.
When it was listed in 2015, around 63 contracts were issued, but the Bobolas family managed to come up with the money just hours before last year’s auction.
The property is listed for a May 19 auction.
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Bondi hoarders home back for sale

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GUEST OBSERVER
According to the Australian Institute of Petroleum, the national average Australian price of unleaded petrol fell 3 cents per litre to 113.9 cents per litre in the week to April 24.
The national average wholesale (terminal gate) unleaded petrol price stands at 102.4 cents per litre, down 1.5 cents per litre on a week ago and still up 6.7 cents a litre on the lows set in mid-February.
The petrol figures have implications for retailers, especially petrol marketing groups.
What does it all mean?
The latest data on petrol prices confirms that - contrary to popular belief and media reports – pump prices do not tend to rise ahead of a long weekend. Motorists enjoyed the cheapest petrol ahead of ANZAC Day in 11 years, with the national average price falling by 3 cents a litre.
As always, competitive factors, the discounting cycles and variable lags between wholesale and retail prices determine how capital cities and regional centres fare. But at present the key driver of pump prices is the variations in the discounting cycle across the capital cities. In Sydney, prices have been falling for 18 days and in
Melbourne prices have been falling for almost four weeks, with petrol at around $1.08 a litre in both capital cities.
Brisbane prices have been falling for a fortnight and are closer to $1.14 a litre. Adelaide prices spiked a week ago and have started to drift lower. Adelaide motorists would benefit by holding off from filling up the family vehicle.
Not only have global oil prices eased in the past week but the Aussie dollar has held up relatively well – ensuring that any saving in regional oil prices should get passed through to the bowser within the next fortnight.
In the short term, oil production disruptions in Kuwait and speculation of a further lift in potential supply by major oil producers will keep oil markets volatile. CBA commodity analysts expect oil to potentially drift to US$30-35 a barrel in the near term.
Importantly cheap fuel continues to keep inflation contained and the Reserve Bank will keep an implicit easing bias in play over the next six months.
<a href="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-27%20at%209.57.20%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-27%20at%209.57.20%20AM.png" alt="">
What do the figures show?
Petrol prices
According to the Australian Institute of Petroleum, the national average Australian price of unleaded petrol fell 3 cents per litre to 113.9 cents per litre in the week to April 24. The metropolitan petrol price fell by 4.9 cents to 113.6 cents per litre while the regional price rose by 0.9 cents to 114.5 cents per litre.
The national average Australian price of diesel petrol fell by 0.2 cents to 111.8 cents per litre in the week to April 24. Last week the metropolitan price fell by 0.3 cents to 110.6 c/l, while the regional average price was down 0.1 cents to 112.8 c/l.
Average unleaded petrol prices across states and territories over the past week were: Sydney (down 9.3 cents to 108.5 c/l), Melbourne (down 6.2 cents to 111.5 c/l), Brisbane (down 7.8 cents to 118.9 c/l), Adelaide (up 6.7 cents to 124.4 c/l), Perth (up 1.2 cents to 111.5 c/l), Darwin (down by 0.3 cents to 115 c/l), Canberra (down 0.7 cents to 115.9 c/l) and Hobart (unchanged at 117.4 c/l).
Today the national average wholesale (terminal gate) unleaded petrol price stands at 102.4 cents per litre, down 1.5 cents per litre on a week ago and still up 6.7 cents a litre on the lows set in mid-February. The terminal gate diesel price stands today at 98.5 cents a litre, up 0.2 cents a litre over the week.
Last week the key Singapore gasoline price rose by US$1.75 or 3.2 per cent to US$56.10 a barrel. However prices eased yesterday to US$55.30 a barrel. In Australian dollar terms the Singapore gasoline price rose by $2.13 a barrel (0.2 per cent) to $72.61 a barrel or 45.7 cents a litre. Yesterday prices eased to $71.73 a barrel or 45.1 cents a litre.
MotorMouth records the following retail prices for capital cities today: Sydney 108.1c; Melbourne 107.5c; Brisbane 113.7c; Adelaide 119.4c; Perth 120.5c; Canberra 107.5c; Darwin 113.8c; Hobart 117.8c.
What is the importance of the economic data?
Weekly figures on petrol prices are compiled by ORIMA Research on behalf of the Australian Institute of Petroleum (AIP). National average retail prices are calculated as the weighted average of each State/Territory's metropolitan and non-metropolitan retail petrol prices, with the weights based on the number of registered petrol vehicles in each of these regions. AIP data for retail petrol prices is based on available market data supplied by MotorMouth.
<a href="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-27%20at%209.59.05%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-27%20at%209.59.05%20AM.png" alt="">
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
Lower oil prices may add further downward pressure on energy stocks and increase volatility across sharemarkets. However cheap fuel is a positive for a number of sectors including transport and logistics.
Filling up the car with petrol is the single biggest weekly purchase for most families. So the savings being reaped at the petrol bowser are serving to boost discretionary spending in areas such as cafes, restaurants and takeaway outlets.
Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a>
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Cheapest ANZAC Day petrol in 11 years: CommSec's Savanth Sebastian

An entity directed by HSN's Rafi Assouline and Rebel Property's Allen Linz has filed plans for an impressive new precinct in Woolloomooloo.

The major mixed-use development would transform a prominent William Street site into a new residential village anchored by affordable housing and a large public park.

The proposal, submitted as a State Significant Development Application, covers 164-172 and 174-194 William Street, a 6,398 sqm site between Forbes Street and Dowling Street on the southern edge of Woolloomooloo.

Designed by fjcstudio in collaboration with Bangawarra, Studio Bright and Tribe Studio Architects, the scheme would deliver 227 apartments across four residential buildings ranging in height up to 18 storeys, alongside retail space, public domain improvements and a new publicly accessible park.

<img alt="Rebel" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0eb59b7c-914a-4a5c-b849-3a56749f5e93" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-12%20at%2011.18.51%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=mxM6EEqeoLjrCiTlCzTKTvzpKuh6kSkH" />

It's another design scheme for Rebel, who took <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-rebel-property-group-takes-woolloomooloo-precinct-to-nsw-government">concept plans to the NSW Gov late last year</a>.

The latest plans will be a mix of 167 build-to-sell apartments and 60 affordable apartments, with the affordable housing component representing 15 per cent of the project's gross floor area. The apartment mix includes 12 one-bedroom, 53 two-bedroom, 89 three-bedroom apartments and 13 penthouses, while the affordable housing component would comprise 42 one-bedroom and 18 two-bedroom apartments.

<img alt="Rebel" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3b3d4553-8a8c-4af5-aa8c-519ffb1e28c6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-12%20at%2011.20.12%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=_Yb6ibN7eDnOtQjCNDK2eviORa4qzgv." />

Rebel Property is seeking to take advantage of the NSW Government's infill affordable housing bonus provisions under the Housing SEPP, which provide additional floor space and height in exchange for the delivery of affordable housing for a minimum of 15 years. The planning pathway allows a 30 per cent increase in floor space ratio and building height where 15 per cent of the development is dedicated to affordable housing.

&nbsp;

At the centre of the development is a 1,356 sqm sunlit public park designed to become a new community gathering space at the gateway to Woolloomooloo. The park would be complemented by a network of pedestrian laneways connecting William Street with the surrounding streets, improving permeability through what is currently a largely impermeable block.

<img alt="Rebel" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="257af931-a393-4007-8c6d-7219796df58d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-12%20at%2011.20.51%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=KAHy94GrhaReFsWTGDKfy39EDJ8gEEv4" />

The design team says the public domain has been heavily influenced by the site's topography and Aboriginal cultural heritage, drawing on the escarpments, gullies and landscape characteristics that historically defined the area before urbanisation. The landscape design has been developed in partnership with First Nations consultancy Bangawarra.

The project would be delivered across four separate buildings. The William Street East and William Street West buildings, designed by fjcstudio, would contain the majority of the apartments. Melbourne-based Studio Bright has designed the Forbes Street building, while Tribe Studio Architects is responsible for the Dowling Street building.

Rebel had secured approval for the concept plans late last year.

Joel Robinson

First look: HSN, Rebel, advances Woolloomooloo precinct plans

A locally heritage-listed furniture showroom on Water Street is set to become the centrepiece of a new mixed-use residential development as local developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/keylin-group">Keylin</a> seeks approval for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/lotus-on-water-street-290-water-street-fortitude-valley-qld-4006">Lotus on Water Street</a>, a 15-storey project on the Fortitude Valley side of Spring Hill.

The proposal spans 290 Water Street and 137-141 Warry Street, combining several properties into a 2,869 sqm site that sits between Fortitude Valley, Spring Hill and the rapidly evolving Victoria Park precinct. Keylin's plans would deliver 132 apartments alongside new retail, hospitality and commercial space, while retaining and repurposing the historic Brunswick Home Furnishers Showroom that fronts Water Street.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/jackson-teece">Jackson Teece</a>, Lotus on Water Street comprises a 12-storey residential tower rising above a three-storey podium and communal rooftop terrace. The development includes 76 apartments classified as multiple dwellings and a further 56 units proposed as short-term accommodation, designed to be flexibly used as either accommodation or permanent residences. The apartment mix comprises six one-bedroom, 54 two-bedroom and 16 three-bedroom homes.

<img alt="First look: Keylin unveils heritage-led Lotus on Water Street tower in Fortitude Valley" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9822bb79-6c49-49c9-95ba-319e8c8d81c3" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/fortitude%20valley%20front.png?VersionId=ioW8zbN4UVebbLetTFuv92t.HkdgfR5e" />

Residents would have access to an extensive rooftop recreation level spanning more than 1,200 sqm of communal open space. Plans include a pool, gym, sauna, infrared sauna, yoga area, library, private dining room, barbecue facilities and landscaped entertainment spaces, making the rooftop the project's largest shared amenity offering.

At street level, the proposal focuses on the adaptive reuse of the heritage buildings along Water Street, where 518 sqm of retail and commercial space is planned across shop, office and food and drink outlet uses. A permeable residential lobby would be positioned between the retained heritage buildings, creating a pedestrian connection between the historic streetscape and the new tower behind.

<img alt="First look: Keylin unveils heritage-led Lotus on Water Street tower in Fortitude Valley" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="269cf3e0-7d13-48bf-a318-05a00deb5c10" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/fortitude%20valley%20podium.png?VersionId=DLXmTCLsp6GOcLpQ0h.0z7wKCw59EhN_" />

The heritage retention strategy is central to the scheme. The development application notes that the Brunswick Home Furnishers Showroom and adjoining heritage buildings will remain, with only non-significant structures on the site earmarked for removal under a previously issued Heritage Exemption Certificate. Levels one and two of the new podium are recessed behind the heritage façades to maintain their prominence within the streetscape.

Jackson Teece has drawn inspiration from the site's manufacturing history when designing the podium. The planning documents state that the façade incorporates perforated metal screening that references the woven and rattan furniture historically produced on the site. Cascading and climbing plants are integrated throughout the podium to soften the building's presentation and screen parking levels behind. The landscape strategy also informs the project's name, Lotus on Water Street, drawing on the historic Spring Hollow waterholes that once ran through Spring Hill and the blue water lilies associated with Meeanjin, Brisbane's traditional name.

The proposal also incorporates the neighbouring property at 141 Warry Street, currently occupied by a healthcare service. The existing building would remain, with nine dedicated parking spaces allocated within the new development to support its ongoing operation. In total, Lotus on Water Street proposes 117 car spaces, including 110 resident spaces and seven visitor bays, alongside 100 bicycle spaces.

<img alt="First look: Keylin unveils heritage-led Lotus on Water Street tower in Fortitude Valley" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="70cf07bc-4fd8-4e70-92dd-be8b21c4e4f0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/fortitude%20valley%20site.png?VersionId=txlxrJImM0Sm_vTzHVKh5DDUkyL_CiiA" />

The site sits within the Spring Hill East Precinct of the Spring Hill Neighbourhood Plan and is positioned around 650 metres from both Fortitude Valley Station and Exhibition Station. It is also within walking distance of the King Street precinct, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston Quarter and Victoria Park, which is earmarked to become a major venue precinct ahead of the Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games.

Planning documents describe the location as a key gateway between Spring Hill and Fortitude Valley and highlight the area's increasing importance as new transport infrastructure and Olympic-related investment reshape Brisbane's inner north. The development team argues the project will contribute additional housing supply while activating a section of Water Street that has historically received less investment than other parts of the Valley.

Keylin has become increasingly active across Brisbane and southeast Queensland, assembling sites in strategic inner-city locations. They are currently selling and delivering <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/oria-spring-hill-447-gregory-terrace-spring-hill-qld-4000">Oria Spring Hill</a>, just over 140 apartments due for completion in 2027.

Keylin plans heritage-led Lotus on Water Street apartment development in Fortitude Valley

Roseville is poised for a wave of new apartment development following the NSW Government's rezoning of land around Roseville Station under its Transport Oriented Development program.

The new planning controls have unlocked significant development potential within walking distance of the station, with a number of sites expected to be amalgamated and redeveloped in the coming years as developers seek to take advantage of the increased density allowances.

One of the more restrained developments in the precinct, and set among the first to be delivered having commenced well before the recent changes, is Hyecorp's Juliet. The boutique apartment project is already well under construction and remains on track to welcome residents by the end of the year, offering a markedly different proposition to many of the larger-scale developments now likely to emerge across the suburb.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278194]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/juliet-roseville-64-pacific-highway-roseville-nsw-2069">Juliet</a> will comprise just&nbsp;34 one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments opposite Roseville Station. For Hyecorp, which has delivered projects across Sydney's Lower North Shore for more than three decades, Roseville presented a rare opportunity to address a growing gap in the market.

"<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/roseville-nsw-2069">Roseville</a> has long been one of the North Shore's most tightly held and desirable suburbs, offering a unique combination of village charm, established greenery, excellent transport connections, and proximity to some of Sydney's best schools and lifestyle amenities," Hyecorp said.

"We recognised a growing demand from local homeowners seeking to downsize without leaving the community they have built their lives around. The location presented a rare opportunity to create homes that cater specifically to that buyer profile."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278196]

The six-level development has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/pbd-architects">PBD Architects</a> as a collection of residences that feel more like homes than apartments. The brief centred generous floorplans, abundant natural light, quality finishes, and strong connections to outdoor space.

PBD Architects drew inspiration from Roseville's established garden suburb character, creating a building that sits comfortably within its surroundings rather than dominating them. The architecture incorporates natural materials, soft forms, layered landscaping, expansive balconies, and generous setbacks to strengthen the connection between residents and the suburb's leafy environment.

"The focus was on designing spacious, house-like residences for discerning owner-occupiers and downsizers who wanted to remain on the North Shore without compromising on comfort, privacy, or design," PBD said.&nbsp;

"Every apartment was to feel considered, timeless, and highly functional."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278195]

Inside, residences feature engineered timber flooring, stone kitchen benchtops and splashbacks, integrated Fisher &amp; Paykel appliances, ducted air conditioning, and large outdoor entertaining areas designed to take advantage of district and treetop views.

Residents will also have access to a rooftop barbecue and lounge area, alongside practical amenities including parcel lockers, EV charging capability, bicycle storage, a dog wash bay, and a basement car wash facility.

The majority of purchasers so far have been local owner-occupiers from Roseville, Lindfield, Chatswood, Killara, and the broader Upper North Shore, many of whom are transitioning from larger family homes.

"Buyers are looking for spacious, house-like apartments that allow them to downsize without feeling like they are sacrificing comfort or functionality," Hyecorp noted.

"They value large kitchens, generous living areas, ample storage, quality finishes, secure parking, lift access, and low-maintenance living."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278204]

Juliet sits directly opposite Roseville Train Station and within walking distance of Roseville Village, while Chatswood's retail and dining precinct is only minutes away. The development is also surrounded by some of Sydney's most established schools, including Roseville College, Ravenswood, Pymble Ladies' College, and Knox Grammar, as well as nearby parklands and golf courses.

Juliet is currently more than 75 per cent sold ahead of its anticipated completion in late 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=7395]

Juliet to sit quietly amid Roseville apartment boom

Sherpa Property Group has unveiled the third instalment of its Flourish series, securing full approval for the two-tower, $500 million Flourish Soleira development in Palm Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-1150-1154-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> will rise from a prominent site in the commercial heart of Palm Beach, the long-time home of Cash Converters and a range of local retailers.

The project will introduce a new retail and dining precinct at ground level, beneath 286 apartments.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370959]

“We’re very committed to not only providing affordable residential offerings that are much needed in Palm Beach, but also delivering a vibrant new commercial heart that complements the extraordinary growth of the southern Gold Coast,” Sherpa Property Group founder Christie Leet said.

The development will sit under Sherpa's Flourish brand, which is aimed at providing a pathway into the beachside suburb for locals, first-home buyers and downsizers. In a move designed to assist first-home buyers entering the market, Sherpa has reserved all one and two-bedroom, one-bathroom apartments exclusively for eligible first-home buyers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370964]

“Our vision through Flourish is to create a vibrant retail and lifestyle focal point within the Palm Beach centre zone, delivering thriving communities underpinned by lifestyle-rich locations,” Leet said.

“So far, Flourish has been an incredible success, and we hope to carry this momentum as we progress the next two Flourish projects in Palm Beach.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=371430]

Located across 1150-1164 Gold Coast Highway and 3 Sixth Avenue, the development will comprise two towers. The northern tower will deliver 154 apartments, while the southern tower will add a further 132 residences, helping address ongoing demand for new apartments in the tightly held coastal suburb.

Flourish Soleira will also feature the most extensive rooftop amenity offering ever delivered in Palm Beach.

The two towers will be connected by a skybridge, with residents gaining access to a rooftop recreation deck featuring a full-width swimming pool, hot and cold plunge pools, wellness spaces, a gymnasium, private dining facilities, massage treatment rooms, barbecue areas, a basketball court, golf simulator, indoor and outdoor dining spaces, sun lounges and extensive landscaping.

LPS Group is expected to start construction later this year.

Sherpa is already well advanced on construction of its debut Flourish project, Flourish Amargo, located just around the corner from Soleira. Meanwhile, Flourish Oasis, positioned opposite Amargo, recently commenced construction and has nearly sold out its collection of 47 apartments.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa unveils $500m mixed-use Palm Beach precinct, Flourish Soleira

Are mortgage holders set to get a reprieve from the RBA in 2026?

Big Four bank NAB believes so. They are now expecting the next move from the RBA to be a cut, rather than a hike, which they had pencilled in for August. They are unsure of the timing of the cut however, they note in their latest&nbsp;NAB Economics RBA Watch.

NAB Chief Economist, Dr Sally Auld, said recent data suggests the economy has lost momentum and the outlook for rates has shifted, noting that the broader economic backdrop has changed since earlier in the year.

“The next move in the cash rate is likely to be down, but the timing is uncertain," Dr Auld said.

"In February, growth was above trend, the economy was operating above capacity and there was uncertainty over the restrictiveness of rates. None of these conditions exist today,” she outlined.

Dr Auld said recent data pointed to softer momentum across the economy while acknowledging that at the same time, uncertainty remains a key feature of the outlook.

“Both Q1 GDP data and the NAB business survey suggest momentum in the economy has slowed, meaning that growth has likely peaked for the cycle. That said, we are cognisant there is still considerable uncertainty around the outlook, both with respect to activity and inflation.”

Dr Auld said inflation risks and labour market outcomes would be important to watch.

“On the prices side, we are still forecasting above target core inflation through to mid-2027. Margins will compress and weaker labour market outcomes are a risk.”

She said tighter financial conditions are expected to weigh on housing and activity.

“Tighter financial conditions will be reflected in a slowing in house price growth and housing credit growth. In summary, we have greater conviction that the next move in rates is down, but less conviction on the timing.”

Jonathan Chancellor

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