Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.

The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.

The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.

The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.

The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.

MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.

Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.

The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.

<img alt="MAYD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1bcbb05-e659-4b47-8bd4-1e595315e2ad" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%202.05.03%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=jj0XEud1X1DuLt7_KyElhjMdZGOXmLHP" />

MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.

"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.

"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."

The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.

Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.

Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.

"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.

"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."

MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.

"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.

"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."

Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.

"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."

The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.

MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.

Joel Robinson

First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

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Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.

But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.

Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]

The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.

It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]

Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.

Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.

Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]

Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.

"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.

A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.

It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.

At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.

Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]

Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.

"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.

The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.

More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]

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Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

A collection of just 25 large-format apartments and penthouses overlooking Goodwin Park is entering the Coolangatta market, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marea-residences-coolangatta-27-27a-dixon-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Maréa Residences</a> combining a low-density, residential-only approach with uninterrupted park and Pacific Ocean outlooks.

Located at 27 Dixon Street, Maréa comprises three and four-bedroom residences alongside a limited number of dual-level penthouses, with the project positioned between Goodwin Park and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/coolangatta-qld-4225">Coolangatta</a>’s coastal precinct.

Construction has commenced, with completion currently estimated for late 2027. Three-bedroom residences are priced from $1.8 million.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374005]

The project has been designed around its northern outlook across the park, with the building’s architecture, landscaping and material palette intended to establish a connection with the neighbouring green space. The residences have been configured to maximise natural light and views across Goodwin Park towards the ocean.

Inside, the material palette incorporates timber, stone and brushed brass, complemented by curved detailing and ambient lighting. Kitchens and bathrooms carry the same natural material approach, while residences also include basement parking, storage and lift access.

Maréa’s penthouses are arranged over two levels and include private pools, adding another layer to the project’s focus on larger-format apartment living. Across the development, residences are configured with three or four bedrooms rather than the broader mix of smaller apartment types commonly found in larger projects.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374010]

Resident amenity is concentrated at rooftop level, where landscaped entertaining terraces and pools take advantage of elevated views across Coolangatta and the Pacific Ocean.

The project has so far been particularly well received by local owner-occupiers and downsizers, according to Urban Activation Property Sales and Marketing Director Matt George, with the residential-only format, construction quality and northern park outlook among the features resonating with purchasers.

“The uninterrupted northern aspect overlooking Goodwin Park has been a key point of difference, with buyers attracted to the sense of serenity and open space the park provides, while still enjoying easy access to the ocean and being within walking distance of the lifestyle and amenities Coolangatta has to offer,” George said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374002]

“The combination of high-quality construction, a residential-only building, park outlook and proximity to the beach has resonated strongly with the local downsizer market.”

The Dixon Street address is within walking distance of Coolangatta Beach and the broader southern Gold Coast coastline, including the surf breaks at Snapper Rocks and Kirra. Coolangatta’s cafés, restaurants and retail are nearby, while Gold Coast Airport is also within close proximity.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150999]

Maréa Residences brings parkside apartments to Coolangatta

Melbourne developer PDG has secured Victorian Government approval for its $1.5 billion Southbank development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-1-queens-bridge-street-southbank-vic-3006">The One</a>, clearing the way for the long-dormant riverfront site opposite Crown to finally be developed.

The Minister for Planning has approved the project at 1-29 Queens Bridge Street, with the Department of Transport and Planning issuing the planning permit following its assessment.

The approval will allow PDG to develop the prominent 5,059 sqm site with a major mixed-use tower comprising premium apartments, including branded residences, a luxury hotel and boutique office space.

PDG acquired the site in late 2024, with its position directly opposite Crown's main entrance and near Melbourne's Arts Precinct making it one of Southbank's most significant remaining development opportunities.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3933013e-6332-4386-b9be-089df05caf17" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sITIgBqDL0N3VNSMwWEmF5UA.uvcsRyu" />

Designed by COX in collaboration with ODO and PDG, the tower's architecture draws on the movement of the Yarra River, with six vertical pleats running the height of the sculpted facade.

The project will also see the heritage-listed Queens Bridge Hotel restored and incorporated into the development&nbsp;with new hospitality and public uses, including a rooftop venue.

A significant component of The One will be its residential amenity.

More than 5,000 sqm of resident facilities will be delivered across a single level, making it one of the largest consolidated residential amenity offerings proposed in an Australian apartment development.

The planning approval also incorporates a major upgrade of Queensbridge Square, which PDG will deliver in partnership with the City of Melbourne.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73167fcd-1031-4b6f-a408-a064cfe45ed1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Pf1AEWxw6SNmBqR0zQW5lyEze.MtxgFp" />

The existing square will be revitalised as a new civic and pedestrian space along the Yarra River, strengthening the connection between the project, Southbank and the riverfront.

PDG Founder and Managing Director Vince Giuliano said the approval represented a major milestone for a site which has remained largely underutilised for more than 15 years.

“This is the most significant Planning Permit approval Melbourne has seen in recent years,” Giuliano said.

“For more than 15 years, this site has remained underutilised. This approval enables us to deliver a project that will contribute meaningfully to the revitalisation of Southbank, restore and reactivate an important heritage building, and create a new civic and hospitality destination for Melbourne.”

The latest approval follows an earlier planning permit issued by the City of Melbourne covering demolition works across part of the site at 9-29 Queens Bridge Street. Those demolition and early works are already underway.

PDG has also started generating early interest in the residential component from owner-occupiers ahead of a planned public launch in early 2027.

PDG secures approval for $1.5bn Southbank apartment development, The One

Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.

The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.

That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.

The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.

A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.

&nbsp;

Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.

Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.

While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;

Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.

First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

Westpac

Westpac have revised upwards its outlook for Australian dwelling prices.

It had predicted, earlier this year, a 20% increase over 2021 and 2022.&nbsp;

But a stronger than expected surge over the first half of 2021 is now expected to see prices up 18% this year with a further 5% coming next year.

While the duo, Bill Evans, Westpac&#39;s chief economist and Matthew Hassan, its senior economist, see lockdowns as likely to cause some loss of momentum in the third quarter, particularly in the Sydney market, they see a swift rebound with price growth lifting again into year end.

Price growth is expected to slow to 5% in 2022 with most of the increase occurring in the first half.&nbsp;

Prices are then expected to decline 5% in 2023 as stretched affordability in most markets combines with the RBA&rsquo;s first rate hike cycle since 2009.

<a href="/developments/sydney-nsw?source_news_article_id=107113&amp;ref=news_body_link"><img alt="" height="800" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/template_photoshop_sydneycbd_3.png" width="1200" /></a>

&quot;The upswing that emerged at the start of this year has continued to run ahead of expectations with markets carrying strong momentum into the second half,&quot; they noted.

Prices nationally rose 12.2% over the first six months, an extraordinary 25.6% pace in annualised terms.

The update noted deteriorating affordability is already weighing heavily on buyer sentiment with the &lsquo;time to buy a dwelling&rsquo; index in the Westpac Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Survey is down 25% from its peak last November.&nbsp;

&quot;There are also tentative signs that finance to owner occupiers has peaked.&quot;

They see macro&ndash;prudential tightening as highly likely.

<a href="/developments/melbourne-vic?source_news_article_id=107113&amp;ref=news_body_link"><img alt="" height="800" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/template_photoshop_melbournecbd_10.jpg" width="1200" /></a>

&quot;The timing is expected to be delayed until around March&ndash;June 2022.&nbsp;

&quot;Measures are expected to be successful and to weigh more heavily on markets where affordability is stretched.&nbsp;

&quot;Price growth is expected to stall in Sydney and Melbourne through the second half of 2022 but maintain some positive momentum in most other markets where affordability is still attractive.&quot;

The combination of rising rates; stretched affordability; and macro&ndash;prudential policies is likely to see prices easing off their highs by an average of around 5% in 2023 with all markets expected to see modest declines, Westpac forecast.

Bill Evans, Westpac's chief economist and Matthew Hassan, its senior economist now see a total gain over the two years of 23% with 18% coming in 2021

jchancellor

Westpac forecast 18% dwelling price rise in 2021 and 5% next year

National multi-unit approvals increased by 36 per cent in the three months to May 2021 to be 25.7 per cent higher than last year.&nbsp;

It was the strongest quarterly result for apartment approvals since 2018, stated HIA economist, Angela Lillicrap.

They were driven by a rise in apartment approvals in Queensland and Western Australia.

<img alt="" height="855" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/approvals_broad.jpg" width="1200" />

Matthew Hassan, the Westpac economist noted high rise approvals, where up 186 percent year on year in Queensland and 105 percent in WA.&nbsp;

In NSW highrise approvals were up 59 percent year on year based on the quarterly data, while it was 42 percent in Victoria.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7758 project_image_fid=150460]

Hassan noted that high rise approvals were greater than low rise apartment approvals.

NSW lead the low to mid rise apartment growth, up 69 percent, followed by Victoria up 8 percent and Queensland by 4 percent.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102309 project_image_fid=163979]

Meanwhile detached building approvals fell back in May from the record level set in April but remain elevated according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics release.

Approvals for private sector houses fell across all mainland states: Western Australia (-18%), South Australia (-16.9%), Queensland (-13.8%), Victoria (-5.8%) and New South Wales (-4.6%), in seasonally adjusted terms. 
&nbsp; 
Detached approvals will remain elevated for several more months as approval authorities work through the remaining HomeBuilder projects, stated HIA economist, Angela Lillicrap.

Ryan Felsman, the senior economist at CommSec, noted council approvals to build new homes fell by 7.1 per cent in May after falling by 5.7 per cent in April.&nbsp;

&quot;But approvals are still up 52.7 per cent on the year &ndash; the strongest annual growth rate in 11 years,&quot; Felsman advised.

In May, total house approvals fell by 10.3 per cent (up 53.6 per cent on the year) with apartments up 0.7 per cent (up 51.0 per cent on the year).&nbsp;

Over the past year, 144,827 new houses were approved &ndash; the most for a 12-month period in over 37 years.

AMP Capital cheif economist Shane Oliver noted the decline in building approvals from their peak likely reflects the end of the HomeBuilder subsidy at the end of March, which brought approvals forward.&nbsp;

&quot;However, approvals remain very high, the AIG&rsquo;s June Construction PMI survey continues to point to strong new orders for new houses and the lagged impact of the surge in approvals up until recently points to a significant further rise in dwelling construction activity over the remainder of this year.

&quot;This is good news for continuing economic and jobs recovery.&nbsp;

&quot;Continuing strength in home building against the back drop of the collapse in population growth also holds out the prospect that the property market will move into a situation of underlying oversupply in the next year or so which should ultimately slow the gains in home prices and help improve affordability,&quot; Oliver said.

Multi-unit approvals increased by 36 per cent in the three months to May 2021, the strongest quarterly result since 2018

Apartment approvals see strongest quarterly result since 2018

Westpac now expect more of their recent 20 percent property price rise forecast to occur in 2021.

Westpac economists Bill Evans and Matthew Hassan kept their forecast for a 20 per cent gain in dwelling price forecasts for 2021 and 2022 but shifted it from thinking it would be evenly spread at 10 per cent gains expected in both years.

&ldquo;We now expect more of this rise to come in 2021, retaining the 20 per cent call overall but with a 15 per cent gain in 2021 slowing to 5 per cent in 2022,&rdquo; they said.

The initial forecast came in mid-February.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=27728 project_image_fid=73042]

The duo noted Australia&rsquo;s housing market is &quot;evolving quickly.&quot;

&quot;The strong upswing that emerged late last year has seen price growth run well ahead of expectations over the first few months of the year.

&quot;At the current cracking pace, our forecast 10% lift in prices for 2021 set down in February will be achieved by around mid-June.

&quot;Some moderation is likely, particularly as affordability becomes more stretched for owner occupiers.

&quot;However, a sudden loss of momentum near term looks unlikely, particularly with markets tight, price expectations bullish, investor activity showing signs of picking up and highly stimulatory financial conditions still firmly in place.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6798]

&quot;Accordingly, we have marked up our near-term forecast for dwelling prices with a 15% gain now expected nationally in 2021.

&quot;This represents a pull-forward of the cumulative 20% rise we had already been forecasting over 2021 and 2022.

They noted the 20% &lsquo;limit&rsquo; reflects two key views: &quot;that deteriorating affordability will become a more binding constraint for owner occupiers as prices rise; and that regulators will intervene in the market in 2022 as investor activity lifts and credit growth reaches uncomfortable levels.&quot;

Westpac now expect more of their 20 percent rise forecast to occur in 2021

Westpac forecasts even stronger 2021 housing price rise

<html><body>Westpac has announced that it will sell its Lender Mortgage Insurance (LMI) business to Arch Capital Group.

The deal will however see Arch becoming Westpac’s exclusive provider of LMI on new mortgage originations for a decade.

The transaction requires antitrust and regulatory approvals from APRA and from the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission.

Arch which has provided reinsurance services to Westpac since 2011.

“Westpac is pleased to be entering into a long-term partnership with Arch as LMI is an important product that helps the group make home ownership more accessible for more Australians,” said Jason Yetton, chief executive, specialist businesses and group strategy at Westpac. 

“The sale continues the simplification of our business and builds on our progress in becoming a simpler, stronger bank focussed on consumer, business, and institutional banking.”

Arch notes the company’s position as the only globally diversified insurer of mortgage credit risk.

Arch has mortgage insurance and reinsurance operations in Bermuda, Europe and the United States.

There are two major LMI providers in Australia, QBE and Genworth.

LMI companies offer significantly different premiums for different types of loans (low doc or normal), types of borrowers (first home buyers or other borrowers), and LVRs (90%, 95% etc) and loan amounts.</body></html>

Westpac has announced that it will sell its Lender Mortgage Insurance (LMI) business to Arch Capital Group by the end of August

Westpac to sell its Lender Mortgage Insurance (LMI) business to Arch Capital Group.

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Westpac have followed ANZ and NAB and cut their two and three year fixed mortgage rates for new owner-occupiers.

They now have the lowest two year fixed rate on the market at 1.79 per cent, having chopped 20 basis points from their record-low 1.99 per cent offering.

Westpac's three year rate has seen an 11 basis point cut, now at 1.88 per cent.

The rates are only for owner-occupiers paying principal and interest with an LVR ratio of 70 per cent or less.

The two year investor fixed rates have also been cut by 0.2 per cent.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=22584]

RateCity.com.au database shows that 57 lenders now have home loan rates under two per cent, including three of the big four banks.

“Westpac has thrown down the gauntlet to its competitors today proving there’s still heat in the fixed rate market.” RateCity.com.au research director Sally Tindall said.

“While we’re nearing the bottom of the rate cycle, provided the cash rates remains above zero, it’s likely there’ll be more cuts in the weeks to come as banks compete for the record levels of new lending coming through the door.

“Lenders are currently in a strong position to offer low fixed rates, which also have the benefit of locking a customer in for the fixed term.

“Westpac is now offering the lowest 2 year fixed rate, and was already offering the lowest 4-year fixed rate in the market – an unusual position for a big four bank.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=2772]

Tindall says home loans at the nation's largest lender, Commonwealth Bank, are starting to look outdated, with just one fixed rate under 2 per cent.

“Westpac group is reserving its sharpest rates for people who own at least 30 per cent of their home.

“Property price rises aren’t just helpful for people planning to sell. If you’ve had your home loan for a few years you might find you have more equity than you think and qualify for one of these low-rate loans."
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RateCity.com.au database shows that 57 lenders now have home loan rates under two per cent, including three of the big four banks.

Westpac offer lowest two-year fixed rate mortgage after cutting home loans

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Expert Observer

The Q4 National Accounts confirmed a brisk rebound in activity.

GDP printed at 3.1%qtr, -1.1%yr.

This was above expectations, market median and Westpac 2.5%.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7275]

As we had flagged, the risks were to the upside – with the expenditure partials having surprised to the high side. That is how it played out.

The key theme, the economy rebounded rapidly through Q3, +3.4%, and Q4, +3.1%, with considerable momentum into 2021.

Consumers and businesses are upbeat, state governments are spending up, the housing market is red hot and the vaccine roll-out is underway.

Success on the health front has permitted the rolling back of most, but not all, covid restrictions. Victoria emerging from a second lock-down boosted activity in Q4 and will do so again in Q1.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=92985]

The recovery broadened in Q4:

(1) home building, up 4.1%, following a +1.6% for Q3, the first gains since June 2018, in response to cheap credit and government incentives, and

(2) business investment advanced, up 2.6%, led by equipment spending, +8.1%, in response to the accelerated depreciation allowance. That follows a string of negatives.

Real estate activity (ownership transfer costs) surged a further 15.2%, after a 21.6% rebound in Q3, to be 15.3% higher over the year – with the established housing market booming.

Consumer’s ability and willingness to spend is the key dynamic – certainly the relaxing of covid restrictions provides consumers with more opportunities to spend.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=2772]

The household saving ratio spiked to 22% in Q2, on the drop in spending associated with the lock-down and the wave of government income support. The savings rate moderated to 18.7% in Q3 and retraced to 12% in Q4 and will unwind further in 2021.

The critically important point, while there was a tapering of government support in Q4, which saw business profits moderate off a high level, consumers have a sizeable savings buffer to fund a further lift in spending – and that is what they are choosing to do.

The consumer picture was largely as expected with spending posting another strong gain, led by normalising conditions in Victoria, and despite a material drag on incomes from reduced fiscal supports.

Total consumption rose 4.3%qtr to be down just 2.7%yr. Victoria posted a 10.4% gain in the quarter, spending up 2.3%qtr across the other states combined.

The spending detail was a little stronger than expected around vehicles and retail but a touch softer than expected on services.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=24323]

Around incomes, wages rose 1.4%qtr with a strong increase in employment and hours worked more than offsetting initial drags from the wind-back in JobKeeper support. However real disposable income – including small business and non wage incomes and net of interest and tax – recorded a sizeable 3.3% fall. The rise in spending was thus funded out of a reduction in new savings, the savings rate falling from 18.7% in Q3 to 12% in Q4

Public demand continues to be a growth driver, up 1.0% in the quarter and a very brisk 6.5% over the year, in part driven by the response to covid.

Net exports were a small negative, -0.1ppt, as imports roared back, +4.9%, to meet the brisk rebound in domestic demand. Inventories, in total, subtracted -0.1ppt.

In other detail, the Expenditure measure of GDP printed at 3.0%, Income at 3.3% and Production at 3.1%.

Andrew Hanlan is a senior economist at Westpac.
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Consumers and businesses are upbeat, state governments are spending up, the housing market is red hot and the vaccine roll-out is underway.

December quarter sees GDP grow 3.1%: Westpac's Andrew Hanlan's insights

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Having previously forecasted four per cent gains in 2021 in September, Westpac economists have lifted their forecast for dwelling prices and are now expecting 10 per cent gains in both 2021 and 2022.

Westpac chief economist Bill Evans and senior economist Matthew Hassan's expectation is the market will flatten in 2023 as rising fixed-term interest rates combine with prudential measures aimed at reining in the associated lift in leverage.

"These headwinds are not expected to emerge until 2022 with prudential measures likely to be timed for the second half of 2022," Evans and Hassan suggest.

The forecast has Perth leading the way in 2021 with 12 per cent gains, followed by Sydney, Brisbane and Adelaide at 10 per cent. Hobart and Melbourne are predicted to see eight per cent gains, with the latter jumping to 10 per cent over 2022.  

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They say the September forecast of four per cent gains in 2021 was "considered bold", given Victoria was still in lock down.

<img alt="" height="824" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/dwelling_forecast_westpac_2021.jpg" width="1200">

"The forecast for 2021 incorporated ongoing COVID-related headwinds – particularly around the end of temporary loan repayment deferrals and the impact of closed international borders on migrant inflows," Evans and Hassan continued.

"These headwinds and uncertainties around the pace of reopening and risks of further virus outbreaks were expected to restrain price gains through the first half of 2021.

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"However, the last four months have seen a faster and stronger than expected turnaround, particularly in markets that will see little or no effects from these headwinds. Even in those that are more exposed, demand is looking materially stronger than expected back in September, suggesting momentum will be better sustained.

Evans and Hassan says the upturn is being supported by record low interest rates; the confident expectation amongst borrowers that these rates will remain low for years to come; ample credit supply; and an improving economic backdrop, as the roll-out of vaccines promises to bring the pandemic to an end and drives a sustained lift in confidence.
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Westpac chief economist Bill Evans and economist Matthew Hassan's expectation is the market will flatten in 2023



Westpac now forecast 20 per cent dwelling price gains over next two years

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EXPERT OBSERVER

The ABS reported a 0.9% lift in the December quarter CPI which was greater than Westpac’s (and the market median) forecast of 0.7%. At two decimal places the CPI lifted 0.86% with the annual pace lifting a touch from 0.7%yr to 0.9%yr.

The core measures were around expectations with the trimmed mean lifting 0.4%qtr (WBC forecast 0.3%/market median 0.4%) while the weighted median gained 0.5%. Excluding the imputed series had little impact on the core measures.

The CPI is still being influenced by government taxes and subsidies which have been pushing and pulling on the data. However, outside of dwelling prices we found little to suggests more broad based inflationary pressures.

The main surprise compared to our forecast was how the surge in housing demand lifting dwelling prices to swamp the benefit of the Home Builders Grants. In many capital cities developers were able to lift prices in excess of the value of the grants, even in Perth and Hobart were the Federal Grant ($25,000) was supplemented by state government grants ($20,000).  

In our preview we had expected that the know rise in childcare would be offset by falling housing costs but rising underlying dwelling prices swamped the discounts. Prices fell in Sydney (-0.3%), Adelaide (-0.5%), Darwin (-2.3%) and Canberra (-0.5%) but lifted in Melbourne (0.9%), Brisbane (2.0%), Perth (2.2%) and Hobart (1.1%). The large rise in Perth and Hobart is somewhat very surprising given the lower level of house prices in those capital cities and the almost doubling of the size of the grants in those cities.

It is also worth noting that rents rose 0.1%, while modest it was stronger than the expected fall -0.3%. Electricity prices fell -7.5% due to a $600 in WA which saw electricity prices fall -66.7% in Perth.  

There was the expected rise in two key components; the 33.7% lift in childcare and the 10.9% rise in tobacco prices.

The ABS informed us earlier of the magnitude of the rise in child care due to the ending of free child care in Victoria. Overall, household equipment and services rose 3.4% (WBC forecast 3.5%). Excluding child care this group would have fallen -0.7%.

Tobacco prices rise every December quarter due to the re-indexing of the excise to the CPI.

Unlike the NZ CPI it was harder to find any broader inflationary pressures from the COVID induced changes in demand. Holiday travel cost did rise bit more than expected but household contents were close to expectations while clothing fell more than expected.

However, dwelling prices are running well ahead of our expectations and even rents have turned positive. These factors can have a meaningful impact on estimates of core inflation, something we will be looking more deeply at for our monthly update.

Justin Smirk is an economist at Westpac.
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The main surprise compared to our forecast was how the surge in housing demand lifting dwelling prices to swamp the benefit of the Home Builders Grants

Q4 CPI above expectations as dwelling prices surge: Westpac

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Westpac is cutting lending to self-managed super funds for residential investment properties, according to the Australian Financial Review.
The bank has cut maximum loan-to-value ratios from 80 to 70% and tightened other lending criteria.
Super fund borrowing has increased from less than $500 million to more than $9 billion, the Australian Taxation Office says over the past five years.
The recent financial system inquiry warned that current growth rates could create a systemic risk in the future, even though total borrowing was small compared to the overall economy.
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SMSF borrowing gets tougher for Westpac customers

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After interest rate hikes for investors, Westpac has now turned its attention to self-managed superannuation funds with likely changes including halving the maximum interest-only repayment term from 10 years to five.
SMSF property investors will be slugged with tougher rates, policies and processes in the lead up to this weekend's changes to caps on tax concessions being imposed by the federal government, The Australian Financial Review reported.
Westpac subsidiaries Bank of Melbourne, BankSA, St George, are also increasing mortgage rates for interest-only property buyers.
"This will help us meet our regulatory requirements and apply responsible lending practices in assessing a customer's ability to pay," a bank spokesman told the AFR.
Also, for a loan application, there has to be a minimum SMSF balance of $200,000.
"There are no exceptions to this requirement," the bank is warning clients.
SMSF trustees will also have to complete a new statutory declaration stating that customers have sought independent financial and legal advice when applying for an SMSF loan.
There are about 570,000 funds with about $654 billion under management and 1.1 million members, according to the AFR.
Borrowing – or gearing – for property by SMSFs has always been a debated issue because too much exposure to property could be a disaster in the event of a housing market crash.
A 2014 Financial Systems inquiry recommended that SMSF borrowing should cease.
Real property within SMSFs grew from $15 billion in 2003-04 to more than $100 billion by the end of last year, statistics from the Australian Taxation Office show.
Westpac changes, which are expected to be followed by other major lenders, will be imposed as the federal government introduces changes to concessional and non-concessional caps are introduced this Saturday.
That means the use of limited recourse borrowing arrangements will be included in a member's total superannuation and $1.6 million transfer balance cap calculations.
Lenders face higher risk with a limited recourse loan because it is debt in which the creditor has limited claims if a default occurs.
A typical SMSF property investor will pay about 5.85 per cent for a loan, which is about 135 basis points higher than for an investor loan outside a fund.
Over a 25-year term a borrower would make additional repayments of more than $270,000, assuming rates remained constant, according to analysis by Canstar.
Several other lenders have already restricted access to interest-only loans for SMSF by either no longer offering them or imposing strict loan-to-value ratios.
SMSF investors continue to increase exposure to listed trusts and other managed investments, latest analysis by the ATO shows.
For example, more than $207 billion is held in listed trusts compared to about $14 billion in 2012 as the global economy struggled to recover from the global financial crisis.
During that time cash and term deposits have fallen from about $134 billion to $28 billion.
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