Iwan Sunito's vision for a landmark mixed-use precinct in Sydney's Inner West has taken a major step forward, with approval granted for the $1.9 billion Five Dock development first unveiled earlier this year.

The approved scheme by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/one-global-capital">One Global Capital</a> will deliver an 80,500 sqm mixed-use precinct comprising 840 apartments, integrated hotel accommodation, commercial and retail space, alongside publicly accessible open space designed to create a new destination for the growing suburb.

"This is a significant milestone for One Global Capital and for the future of housing delivery in Sydney," Sunito said.

"The Housing Delivery Authority was established to identify major housing projects capable of delivering meaningful supply more efficiently, and we are delighted that Spencer Street has been recognised as one of those projects.”

He said the declaration reflected the rapid progress achieved since acquiring control of the site.

"In less than seven months we have progressed from taking control of the site to securing entry into one of the NSW Government's most important planning pathways. It reflects the experience of our team, the strength of our consultant group led by Urbis, and our long-term commitment to delivering transformational projects that contribute to Sydney's future."

When the project was revealed earlier this year, Sunito described the opportunity as one of the strongest development sites he had worked on.

"I probably hadn't appreciated the uniqueness of the site until more recently when putting together the concept plans," Sunito said.

"The proximity to the water, and the golf course opposite, is unlike any other part of Parramatta Road. We have a unique position and view corridors over the water that makes this one of the best sites I've worked on."

The development has evolved since its initial announcement, with the approved plans increasing the residential component from the originally proposed 750 apartments to 840 homes while retaining the project's focus on creating an integrated neighbourhood rather than a standalone residential development.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/a-city-within-a-city-iwan-sunito-flags-1-5-billion-mixed-use-precinct-in-five-dock">"A city within a city": Iwan Sunito flags $1.5 billion mixed-use precinct in Five Dock</a>

The precinct will combine apartments with hotel accommodation, commercial workplaces, retail offerings and public spaces, creating a mixed-use environment intended to serve both residents and the broader Five Dock community. The proposal also continues the collaboration between One Global Capital and internationally recognised architect <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/koichi-takada-architects">Koichi Takada</a>, whose previous work with Sunito includes Infinity, Arc and Skye North Sydney.

Takada previously said the design was driven by a philosophy of integrating nature into the built environment.

"The concept for this development is born from our design approach to naturalising architecture," Takada said.

"The public realm benefits from biophilic design that integrates generous landscaping, and the development is optimised for natural daylight, airflow and water views to foster wellbeing, sustainability and spaces that foster community interaction."

Sunito has consistently described the project as a "city within a city", with a strong emphasis on creating a destination that extends beyond housing.

"We want to create a development that's not only to be seen, but to be experienced by the whole local community," he said.

The approval comes as Five Dock continues its transformation ahead of the opening of the Sydney Metro West line, with the new Five Dock station set to significantly improve connections between the Inner West, Parramatta and the Sydney CBD.&nbsp;

The precinct will also benefit from its proximity to the Parramatta Road corridor, nearby waterfront parklands and established retail and dining offerings that have made Five Dock one of Sydney's most tightly held Inner West suburbs.

Joel Robinson

Iwan Sunito secures approval for $1.9 billion Five Dock mixed-use precinct

The new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a> development in Melbourne's inner west is showing that landscaping can be just as influential as architecture, with buyers responding strongly to the garden-first approach adopted from the outset by developer Excelon Projects and the project's design team.

Excelon appointed Six Degrees Architects and landscape architects SBLA to work collaboratively on the development, with a brief to create "a sustainable, design-led building with a focus on community."

That approach has resonated with buyers. According to Next Chapter Director Tom Hirini, who is leading the sales campaign, the landscaped communal garden has become one of the project's defining features, alongside its boutique scale and European-inspired cluster housing concept.

Local downsizers, right-sizers and established families already living in Yarraville and surrounding suburbs have accounted for the majority of purchasers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297740]

Yarraville Green will comprise 53 homes, including apartments and townhomes, arranged around the shared central garden to maximise connections to the landscaped open space. Parking has been moved underground, allowing the ground plane to be dedicated to greenery, pedestrian movement and communal spaces.

The landscape extends well beyond passive planting. Productive garden beds, a pergola, communal gathering spaces, garden sheds and a pet wash have all been integrated into the masterplan, creating spaces designed to encourage everyday interaction between residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297741]

The interiors continue Excelon's focus on craftsmanship, incorporating bespoke elements by Melbourne artisans including leadlight detailing by Adadaz, hand-turned timber hardware by Auburn Woodturning and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen.

Sustainability has also been embedded throughout the project, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating through passive design principles, rooftop solar servicing common areas and rainwater harvesting for landscape irrigation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297735]

Construction continues to progress at Yarraville Green, with structural works well underway and framing works approaching completion under builder Balmain &amp; Co. The project remains on track for completion in mid-2027.

Apartments at Yarraville Green are currently priced from $625,000, while townhomes start from $1.4 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]

Garden-led design drives buyer demand at Yarraville Green

National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.

Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]

The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.

Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.

"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.

"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.

"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]

Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.

The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]

Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.

Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]

Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.

Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]

Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.

It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 41-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.

Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.

While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]

Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 41-storey tower, which has 229 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.

The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.

"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.

"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.

"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]

One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.

"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.

While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.

"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.

"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]

There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.

As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.

"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.

A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.

The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]

A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.

It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.

Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.

The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]

"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.

"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.

"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]

The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.

Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]

The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.

The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]

Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.

Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]

While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.

It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.

Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]

That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.

Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

Westpac

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Westpac has revised its growth forecasts for the Australian economy in 2020 to take into account the expected impact from the Coronavirus. The numbers are based on a "no fiscal stimulus package" basis. The Government is set to announce its policy response later in the week and it will be necessary to adjust the numbers according to our assessment of the impact of the policies.
We expect the Australian economy will grow by 1.6% (in the year to the December quarter 2020) although growth momentum will be in two halves with the first half showing a contraction of 0.6% and the second half growing by 2.2%.
On a quarterly basis we expect the economy will contract in both the first and second quarters by 0.3% and 0.3% respectively to be followed by a rebound of 1.4% and 0.8% respectively in the third and fourth quarters.
That growth profile constitutes a technical recession but given the expected recovery in the second half of the year it is much more realistic to characterise the situation as a "major disruption" to growth rather than the style of recession that Australia has experienced in the past. Indeed, recall that in Australia’s last two recessions the unemployment rate lifted from 6% to around 11%.
We expect the unemployment rate to hold below 6% through this period.
Furthermore, there is much greater uncertainty around these forecasts due to the unpredictable course of the outbreak.
In discussing this profile it is probably best to consider the growth dynamics through each of the quarters in 2020.
The first point to note is that the economy will be dealing with the impact of the virus when it is in a relatively fragile state with growth in 2019 at 2.2% compared to potential of 2.75%.
In particular, consumer spending has been insipid with the annualised pace running at only 1% in the second half of 2020.This means that consumer spending is likely to be less resilient to shocks than if momentum had been robust.
Whereas exports (tourism; foreign students; agriculture; resources) and inventories (disrupted supply chains) will explain the major shocks in the March quarter given their exposure to the Chinese economy, the June quarter contraction will be dominated by Australia’s and the rest of the world’s exposure to the virus and the lagged effect of China’s recession in the March quarter. In particular the impact on the rest of the world has already been affecting financial markets which is likely to puncture confidence more widely.
BILL EVANS is <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/news/authors/bill-evans/" target="_blank">chief economist of Westpac</a>. 
This article was <a href="https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/Article/42476/14186/" target="_blank">first published on WestpacIQ</a>.
 
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Westpac cuts growth forecasts for 2020

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EXPERT OBSERVER
A deeper awareness of social and environmental issues and their interdependencies with financial performance is prompting major businesses, like Westpac and Singapore's Olam International, to elevate the importance of sustainability in their corporate strategies.
The world's population is forecast to hit 9.7 billion by 2050, which means there will billions more mouths to feed over the next two decades. This rapid population growth is occurring in parallel with the challenges of resource scarcity, climate change and decent livelihood.
One organisation leading the response to these calls - and creating an example for corporate sustainability in action - is Olam International, a Singapore-based, global food and agri-business that supplies a broad portfolio of products – from cotton to cashew nuts – to over 19,800 customers.
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I recently had the privilege of hosting an in-depth discussion at Westpac’s Singapore co.lab with Olam’s Group Chief Financial Officer, Neelamani Muthukumar. He shed light on how Olam has become a pioneer in the field and provided valuable insights for companies aiming to bring sustainability closer to the heart of their operations, including through the use of sustainable finance.
Just why has this become so important? As Muthumkumar pointed out, sustainability is presenting companies with a host of new pressures as well as opportunities. For instance, as a society, we now increasingly demand granular information on the food we consume. A range of studies have revealed staggering facts about the social and ecological footprint of the agriculture industry, making people question the methods employed and their long-term viability. Consider these statistics: producing one kilogram of beef requires <a href="https://sites.psu.edu/foodsustainability/2018/02/11/our-water-footprint/" target="_blank">15,415 litres of water</a>; about 25-30% of food is wasted and not eaten; and as much as <a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/chapter/technical-summary/" target="_blank">37% of total greenhouse gas emissions</a> are attributable to the food system.
The urgency surrounding climate change and resource management is also driving the expansion of ESG (environmental, social and governance) investing. More investors are factoring ESG criteria, such as climate change, modern slavery and cybersecurity, into their investment decisions in an effort to protect and create financial and societal value. 
This trend is also powering a boom in sustainable finance. For example, global issuance of green, social and sustainability bonds surged about 40% in 2019, with a combined issuance reaching US$290 billion. In Australia, the value of green or sustainability linked loans grew approximately 14 times, to US$2.3 billion.
Despite this strong growth, we anticipate further growth in the sustainable finance market. Preliminary data from a survey on sustainable finance commissioned by Westpac and conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), previewed at the co.lab event, showed 77% of companies polled intend to utilise some form of sustainable financing within the next year.
Investors are similarly bullish. In the same survey, 68% of investors plan to increase their allocation of funds in sustainable investments over the next 12 months.
Embedded in the business model
As Muthukumar explained to our audience, these realities mean sustainability should not be a last-minute add-on to any business model. At Olam, “sustainability is integrated into the strategy formulation, so it is not a distinct piece,” he said. “We believe that the agricultural and food systems in the world today are broken, and we want to fix that. We think about how we can produce more food with fewer natural resources and improve biodiversity so that we leave something for future generations.”
Known as <a href="https://www.olamgroup.com/content/dam/olamgroup/homepage/homepage-pdfs/Olam-annual-report-fy18-3-in-1.pdf" target="_blank">Olam 2.0</a>, the initiative re-imagines Olam as a ‘purpose-led company’ with an emphasis on three main outcomes: prosperous farmers and food systems; thriving communities; and regeneration of the living world. These overarching goals have determined 10 priority areas which include economic opportunity, gender diversity and safer workplaces.
Setting industry and regional benchmarks
By establishing measurable and ambitious sustainability targets, Olam was able to secure Asia’s first sustainability-linked loan in 2018. The three-year revolving credit facility, worth US$500 million, was based on the company meeting specific key performance indicators as assessed by specialist ESG firm Sustainalytics. The metrics are tested annually and if the KPIs are met, then there is a subsequent reduction of the loan’s interest rate.
Last year, Olam successfully tapped the market once again with a second KPI-linked loan for US$525 million. According to Muthukumar, third-party verification assures stakeholders that the company is meeting its sustainability targets and the reduction in financing cost incentivises executives to embrace non-traditional financing options without fear of reputational damage. As a result, Olam aims to make 20% of its debt portfolio sustainability-linked by the end of 2020.
Besides examining its own activities, Muthukumar went on to describe how Olam positions itself as a constructive partner in the wider industry landscape to promote the spread of ESG policies.
“We want to understand what CFOs can do in their respective organisations to improve sustainability, and engage with the Big Four accounting firms and regulators to develop simple, easy-to-understand standards with a finite number of metrics,” he said, noting that a lack of clearly defined frameworks were preventing many investors and issuers in Asia from committing to this segment of the market.
Indeed, the EIU survey reveals that although investors in the region are overwhelmingly interested in sustainable finance structures, they do share concerns about qualifying criteria, regulatory support, and generally insufficient ESG investment prospects in Asia Pacific.
Ultimately, sustainability is not just about being socially responsible. It makes rational business sense for companies to be at the forefront of this transformation. As Muthukumar told us that day, proactively addressing the forces reshaping our natural ecosystem, as well as the expectations of both investors and consumers, will prove that “sustainable profits are equal to corporate longevity.”
As more corporates see how sustainable finance can incentivise and compel further action on sustainability, and how such action can be good for business, I’m confident that we will see strong continued growth in the sustainable finance market.
MICHAEL CHEN is the Head of Sustainable Finance for Westpac
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How can rejuvenating global food systems enhance sustainability: Michael Chen

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Westpac are the first of the big four banks to cut following the RBA cutting the official cash rate to 0.5 per cent.
They acted within four minutes of the RBA announcement, passing on the full 25 basis point cut to their variable home loans.
The changes will take effect on 17 March.
Westpac <a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-the-final-big-four-bank-to-fail-to-pass-on-full-rate-cut">were last to cut in October</a>, the last time the RBA cut rates, when they cut 15 basis points.
Sally Tindall, research director at <a href="http://ratecity.com.au/">RateCity.com.au</a>, said Westpac should be commended for passing on a full cut to their variable rate customers.
"Hopefully this will prompt the other big four banks to follow suit", Tindall said, adding the average Westpac home loan customer would save around $55 a month or $662 a year. 
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<div>“Some banks may choose not to pass on the full cut, due to pressure on their profit margins. Variable rate customers should call their bank and find out what they intend to do.</div>
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<div>“If borrowers aren’t happy with the cut their bank is passing on, they can choose to take their business walking.</div>
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<div>“Switching lenders in this competitive environment is likely to secure a far bigger cut than the 0.25 per cent on offer from the RBA.</div>
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<div>“A number of smaller lenders have already committed to cutting their rates by the full 0.25 per cent, sending variable rates to a new low of 2.44 per cent,” she said.</div>
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Westpac first of the big four to cut rates in full after RBA cut

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The Australian National Accounts, to be released on Wednesday March 4, will provide an estimate of economic activity for the December quarter, including any boost to date from recent policy stimulus. This is ahead of the substantial disruptions from the coronavirus outbreak.
The economy appears to be stuck in the slow-lane after decelerating sharply through the second half of 2018, when the home building cycle swung from boom-to-bust.Moreover, growth is lopsided, centred on public demand and exports, while private demand is weak.
Powerful headwinds persist: construction activity is contracting; weak wages growth and a lack of confidence are impacting consumers; and the global backdrop is challenging.
Tail winds are from: brisk government spending (in the form of public demand), with a focus on health and investment; and the export uptrend, supported by the lower dollar.
Policy stimulus has been deployed - with 3 RBA rate cuts and modest tax rebates. Housing is responding, with prices rebounding sharply. But the flow-on effects to the real economy are yet to emerge. The tax rebates seem to have been largely saved.
The severe bushfires this summer have disrupted activity, across construction activity, consumer spending and possibly business investment. The impact in Q4 may be about -0.1ppt.
In Q3, real GDP growth was 0.4%qtr, 1.7%yr. The arithmetic being: domestic demand +0.2%; net exports +0.2ppts; inventories, +0.1ppt; and the statistical discrepancy, -0.1ppt. For Q4, real GDP growth is a forecast 0.5%qtr, 2.1%yr, with risks tilted a little to the downside. The arithmetic: domestic demand 0.1%; net exports +0.2ppts and inventories +0.1ppt, as well as the statistical discrepancy, +0.05ppt.
Private demand, on our figuring, contracted further, -0.1%qtr, -0.5%yr. Home building is contracting, so too business investment and consumer spending is soft. The last time private demand expanded was 2018 Q2.
On the consumer, accounting for 57% of domestic demand, the national accounts provide us with a detailed update on spending, saving and incomes. Notable is the softness in incomes (wages and non-labour income). Households are income constrained and the savings rate has declined in recent years, to a low of 2.7% in June 2019, then spiking to 4.8% in September 2019 as tax rebates were saved.
The labour market was on the softer side in the December quarter. Job numbers increased by 0.3%qtr, 2.0%yr and hours worked by 0.3%qtr, 1.8%yr. Productivity remains weak, exacerbated by the severe drought.
National income has been running at a 5% plus annual pace of late, supported by higher commodity prices. That changed in Q4, with commodity prices moving into reverse and the terms of trade down an estimated 4.7%. Nominal GDP growth is a forecast -0.3%qtr, 4%yr.
For 2020, our assessment is that output growth will remain stuck below trend, at around 2%. The coronavirus will have a material impact, particularly in the March quarter, when overall activity may stall, with a sizeable hit to trade, particularly tourism and education.
Read the full report <a href="https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/Article/42327/14186/" target="_blank">https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/Article/42327/14186/</a>
ANDREW HANLAN is a senior economist for Westpac
 
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Economy stuck in the slow-lane with coronavirus impact yet to come: Andrew Hanlan

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The recently departed Westpac boss Brian Hartzer and wife Georgiana are selling their Vaucluse mansion.
They desire to downsize.
The US-born banker bought the home after returning to Australia following a two year stint in London with Royal Bank of Scotland.
It was secured for $12.75 million just a few months before he was announced as chief executive at Westpac Group, replacing the retiring Gail Kelly.
The Michael Dysart-designed trophy home was bought from ISS Australia chief executive Dane Hudson.
The 1,230 sqm private estate that features 765 sqm of internal living space across its three levels, each accessed by internal lift has been listed by Brad Pillinger at Pillinger Real Estate with reported $20 million hopes after its refurbishment.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/Hartzer%202.jpg" alt="">
There are five ensuited bedrooms across the separate parents, children and guest wings, although it is now overly spacious with several of their children now staying near or on campuses.
The living spaces comprise formal lounge and dining areas, a family room, a library, media room, rumpus and home office. In the gardens, designed by Jane Coleman, is a gas-heated swimming pool.
The home is crowned with an observation deck with views across the harbour.
There is a Pittwater’s weekender, a charming sandstone home, but the couple are set to find a city bolthole.
 
 
 
 
 
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Former Westpac boss Brian Hartzer lists Vaucluse home

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Despite the lift, the Leading Index growth rate remains below zero, indicating momentum tracking well below trend.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/1/29/10_NEWS_BILL%20EVANS.jpg" alt="" width="536" height="359">
In fact the December print represents the thirteenth straight month where the Index growth rate has been negative.
This has been consistent with the persistent below trend growth we have seen for the Australian economy.
The latest update points to weak economic momentum continuing in the first half of 2020 and is consistent with Westpac’s view that growth will remain around a two per cent pace in the first half of 2020.
The Leading Index growth rate deteriorated over the second half of 2019, moving from –0.03 per cent in July to –0.32 per cent in December.
The main components driving the 0.28ppt shift have been a sell-off in commodity prices (–0.61ppts) and a more mixed performance on the Australian share market (–0.42ppts).
This has been partially offset by a stabilisation in the Westpac-MI Unemployment Expectations Index (+0.25ppts) a reduced drag from declining US industrial production (+0.21ppts), a modest lift in aggregate hours worked (+0.13ppts) and a widening yield spread as the RBA’s cuts in the cash rate have lowered short term rates (+0.10ppts).
The Reserve Bank Board next meets on February 4. Westpac expects that the Board will decide to hold the cash rate steady at its February meeting. That decision will be in response to the surprise fall in the unemployment rate from 5.3 per cent to 5.1 per cent since the last Board meeting in December.
However, we expect that decision to be a temporary pause in the rate cut cycle. The recent falls in the unemployment rate are expected to be unsustainable with this becoming apparent by the April meeting when we expect the next cut.
It is clear that the Board is confident that lower rates will boost the economy through a more competitive exchange rate; improved cash flows to households; and rising asset prices. However, the policy debate should not be around ‘either monetary policy or fiscal policy’.
The policies are not mutually exclusive and while Westpac expects a second rate cut in August we also support the use of fiscal policy to boost demand.
Our preference is to lift household incomes through bringing forward the stage two tax cuts phased over two years. A rise in expected demand should be more effective in boosting business investment than tax incentives.
BILL EVANS is the Chief Economist at Westpac
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Westpac leading index remains negative for over a year: Bill Evans 

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The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment declined 1.8% to 93.4 in January from 95.1 in December.
It is entirely reasonable to have expected that the Index would have fallen during this period of devastating bushfires. Perhaps it is somewhat surprising that the fall in the Index was not more severe particularly in light of the 5.8% fall we saw during the Queensland floods in 2011.
However the fall in the Index during the floods was from 111.0 to 104.6 – overall confidence levels during that period were very high – much higher than we are currently experiencing.
Indeed, since the lows of the Global Financial Crisis where the Index averaged only 89 over a 15 month period from March 2008 to May 2009 there have only been seven monthly readings where the Index has printed below 93.4.
In short, Confidence has been further eroded by the bushfires but because the Index was starting from such a modest level it was likely that the fall in Confidence would be less than some may have expected.
Arguably, because the survey occurred in a week where there was widespread rain the negative impact of the bushfires was somewhat reduced. If the survey had been conducted a few weeks earlier then the Index is likely to have fallen by even more, notwithstanding the very low starting point.
This low level of Confidence is consistent with the generally lack lustre reports on consumer spending. The surprising jump in retail sales which was reported for November is likely to have largely reflected the “Black Friday” effect. A more widespread boost to spending will be required before there are credible grounds to dispute the downbeat signals associated with the consistently low levels of the Index.
Apart from the fires, which would have been the dominant influence on Sentiment for this survey, other factors should have been somewhat supportive. Optimism around financial markets and the global economy has lifted, with the Australian share market up by 6% since the start of the year.
Furthermore, the housing related components of the survey also pointed to ongoing confidence in the housing market.
All the economic components of the Index recorded declines in January.
The ‘economy, next five years’ sub-index fell 3.7% in January and the ‘economy, next 12 months’ sub-index fell 5.4%. Both are down sharply on a year ago (–8.9% and –11.9% respectively).
The ‘time to buy a major household item’ sub-index fell 1.8% in January. At 113.4, the sub-index is well below its long run average of 127 and 4.1% down on last year, suggesting consumers are likely to be extra cautious, particularly in December and January.
Consistent with improved performance of financial markets and housing we saw the “own finances” components remain broadly steady.
The ‘finances vs a year ago’ sub-index rose 0.7% in January and the ‘finances, next 12 months’ sub-index increased by 0.9%.These components are down by 3.1% and 3.2% respectively on a year ago.
The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Unemployment Expectations Index fell 2.9% to 134 in January, up 8.4% on this time last year (recall that higher readings indicate that more consumers expect unemployment to rise in the year ahead). The readings are consistent with a slowdown in jobs growth and steady increases in the unemployment and underemployment rates over the year ahead. Note that Westpac is expecting the unemployment rate to lift to 5.6% from 5.2% over the course of the first half of 2020.
Housing-related sentiment was strong in January, with views on time to buy lifting while price expectations continued to surge.
The ‘time to buy a dwelling’ index rose 5.7% in January to 118.8, nearing the long run average of 120. Despite the increase in this index we expect that it has peaked in this cycle. The index is down by 6.4% from its peak in August, shortly after the low point for prices which occurred in June.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/1/22/7_OBS%20graph.jpg" alt="" width="552" height="387">
Note that, similarly, the index bottomed out at 90.0 in May 2017 – coinciding with the peak in prices in the previous cycle.
On that basis (current level of 118.8 compared to low point of 90.0 in the previous cycle) it certainly appears that price gains have further to run. If, as we expect, this Index loses ground through 2020 then the pace of house price appreciation may slow. Sydney’s low point in the previous cycle was 74 in May 2017. Melbourne’s low point was 83 a little later in August 2017. Currently the Sydney index sits at 117.4 and Melbourne’s is at 105.8, off recent peaks of 130 and 133 respectively.
The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of House Price Expectations Index rose 8.1% in January to 151.48, up a staggering 58% over the year. While the Index has reached higher levels in previous price cycles the boost in optimism has not been as dramatic as we are witnessing in this cycle. Before, the previous peak (which had outstripped the current level of 151.48) the annual lift in the index was “only” 26.7%.
“The “Time to Buy” Index and the “House Price Expectations “Index are both likely to provide useful lead indicators of the shape of this current house price cycle. For now, the indexes are indicating that this current period of positive price action is unlikely to end in the near term.
The Reserve Bank Board next meets on February 4. Westpac expects that the Board will decide to cut the cash rate by 0.25% to 0.5%.
Markets are not convinced. Market probabilities for a rate cut are priced at around 50%.
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The other complication around this meeting is that there has, understandably, been no public communication from the Reserve Bank for the weeks of the holiday period.
The minutes of the last Board meeting therefore take on considerable importance. From our perspective the key observations were that the Board would review the outlook in February (unusual to be so specific in minutes); the ongoing concern with weak wages growth; and the emphasis on the effectiveness of monetary policy.
In fact, the Governor has previously emphasised the boost to spending from a positive wealth effect of higher house prices and the direct impact of rising housing turnover on expenditure on household goods.
There has been recent media criticism about the effectiveness of monetary policy but the Reserve Bank Board is very clear in the minutes, “While members recognised the negative confidence effects for some parts of the community arising from lower interest rates, they judged that the impact of these effects was unlikely to outweigh the stimulus to the economy from lower interest rates”.
Finally, it is always reasonable to point to the limited further scope the Reserve Bank has with respect to easing rates. However the Board has also been clear on that point, arguing that it is the level rather than the change in rates that counts, so if lower rates are needed then best to move regardless of whether there is limited further scope.
The decision to cut the cash rate in February is also expected to be supported by a downgrade in the growth forecasts for 2020.
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Consumer sentiment falls further: Bill Evans  

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Westpac has made interest rate cuts of between 0.19% and 0.50% to its package fixed rate investment loans across all terms for both interest only and principal and interest repayments.
Westpac’s 0.50% interest rate cut puts its 5-year fixed rate loan for investment lending with principal and interest payments at 3.19%.
It is now the lowest rate of its kind, according to Canstar.com.au and Westpac has positioned itself in the lowest priced 10 loans in the market in all fixed investment loan categories.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/1/22/Westpac%20rate%20cuts%201.JPG" alt="">
Canstar finance expert, Steve Mickenbecker said, "you know the home loan market has become competitive when a loan from a major bank has the top rate in its category."
“The investment lending market has remained sluggish, as lending to owner occupiers has shown recovery, and Westpac is clearly working to lift its share of that market.
“While Westpac’s new rates are competitive, the comparison rates are much higher, incorporating the $395 package fee and with a higher rate attaching when the loan moves to variable interest after the fixed rate period," he said.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/1/22/Westpac%20rate%20cuts%202.JPG" alt="">
"Investors will have to be on their toes at the end of the fixed rate period to assure a competitive rate, he warned.
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Westpac makes big cuts to fixed rate loans

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Westpac was set to be one of the two major banks to offer mortgages under the federal government’s first home loan deposit scheme.
<a href="/expert-insights/finance/nab-to-offer-competitive-home-loans-for-fhbs-in-government-s-first-home-loan-deposit-scheme">NAB was announced yesterday</a> as the first bank on the lending panel.
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But Westpac is set to be axed as the other big bank in light of the money-laundering allegations it is currently facing according to bank insiders, <a href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/" target="_blank">The Australian </a>reports.
The Australian confirmed Westpac’s bid was one of the two best applications reviewed by the National Housing Finance and Investment Corporation (NHFIC) under strict criteria including competitiveness of home-loan offerings, geographic reach and readiness to meet scheme implem­entation timelines.
NHFIC’s other key evaluation criteria included “the reputation of the respondent”.
The government will now choose from either Commonwealth Bank or ANZ to join the scheme with NAB, giving the banks get access to up to 5000 eligible first home buyers per year.
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Westpac insiders told The Australian it had expected to be approved as the second major ­lender but now understood the embattled financial institution would be excluded from the scheme, which starts on January 1.
The scheme, one of Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s key pledges at the May 18 election, provides a guarantee allowing first-home buyers on low and middle incomes to buy with a depos­it of as little as 5 per cent.
The big banks will only be entitled to receive up to half of the 10,000 guarantees allocated per financial year.
There will also be a range of non-major lenders appointed to the lending panel.
Loan applications for the scheme are not yet open.
 
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Westpac ditched from government’s first home loan deposit scheme

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Australians are becoming more and more confident in the housing market, suggests Westpac's November Housing Pulse.
Westpac have said Australia's housing market is now into a "self-sustaining recovery."
The Westpac Housing Consumer Sentiment Index remains near five year highs, however the time to buy segment has softened a touch.
"Prices have lifted and are set to finish up slightly for the 2019 calendar year," the report advised.
"Turnover has been slower to turn but is starting to show a clearer pick up as well."
Westpac suggests the positive sentiment readings are consistent with a pick up in turnover which will carry through year end and in to the first half of 2020. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/11/26/Westpac%20consumer%20sentiment.jpg" alt="">
"The swing that became apparent mid year continues to be led by a strong resurgence in NSW and Vic but with other states also showing a clear pick up.
"Auction markets, finance activity, prices and listings now all confirm the turn."
 Westpac suggest conditions continue to vary markedly by state.
They say NSW is showing a strong, broad based price rebound, however that is already bringing affordability issues back to the fore.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/11/26/NSW%20VIC%20WESTPAC%20SENTIMENT.jpg" alt="">
Victoria's recovery has good momentum but is more uneven across segments, while Queensland missed out on most of the recent price cycle, but is showing signs of perking up.
South Australis is seeing a gentle firming but Western Australia is still struggling to pull out of its multi-year correction.
 
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