Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Sqm Research

<html><body>
National residential property listings surged 2.2 per cent in January, according to figures released by SQM Research.
Numbers rose from 288,966 in December to 295,295 in January, an increase of just over 6,000 listings.
Figures were still 10 per cent down compared to last year however.
All capitals saw listings increase. The largest jump was in Sydney, whose listings grew by 5.1 per cent, closely followed by Hobart up 4.9 per cent.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/2/4/SQM%20Jan%20listings.jpg" alt="">
SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher said the rise in listings was a surprise.
"The month of January traditionally records small falls in properties listed for sale as the market is still in a summer holiday mode however, the positive start in new listings shows vendors are now keen to sell and we could see further increases in the coming months.”
Asking Prices
Capital city asking prices dropped by 0.4 per cent for both houses and units in January.
The average asking price for a house is now $973,500, compared with $575,100 for units.
Housing asking prices are 5.5 per cent higher than they were this time last year, but unit asking prices are down 0.1 per cent.
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Residential property listings surge in January: SQM Research

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Figures released by SQM Research show a decrease in national residential property listings across all capital cities in December 2019. 
National residential property listings across capital cities show an overall 12 per cent decline in 2019.
In December 2019, listings decreased by 14.8 per cent, declining from 338,971 in November to 288,966.
"The month of December traditionally records falls in properties listed for sale as it is the start of the festive and summer holiday period, whilst November shows a surge in listings as vendors are keen to sell before the holiday season approaches," explains Louis Christopher, managing director of SQM Research.
"The recent devastating bushfires in NSW, Canberra and Victoria could also result in declines in property listings and impact property values in these regions in the coming months."
All capital cities saw decreases in property listings over the month with the most significant decrease experienced in Sydney with 28.7 per cent, followed closely by Canberra with 28.1 per cent.
Property listings in Sydney fell from 32,101 in November 2019 to 22,888 in December while Canberra saw a decline from 4,998 to 3,595. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/1/9/N2_Market_Month.jpeg" alt="" width="790" height="202">
Year-on-year listings similarly show declines for all capital cities with Sydney showing a decline of 30.1 per cent, followed by Darwin with 25.2 per cent, and with Canberra only recording an overall 14.6 per cent decline. Meanwhile, Brisbane is revealed as declining the slightest with only 8.4 per cent. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/1/9/N1_Stock%20Market%20Table.png" alt="" width="796" height="263" style="caret-color: #000000; color: #000000;">
Stock on Market Table, SQM Research.
 
 
 
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Sydney vendors vacate market as December 2019 property listings decrease: SQM Research

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Average asking prices in capital cities only increase marginally in December 2019 according to SQM Research.
The capital city asking prices have increased by 2.4 per cent for houses and 0.8 per cent for units in December 2019 with the average asking price at the year end being $977,900 for houses and $577,600 for units. This is significantly lower than a year ago with the capital asking prices showing an increase of 5.8 per cent for houses and 1 per cent for units. 
Over December 2019, Sydney and Hobart were the only capital cities to show increases in both house and unit prices. 
Meanwhile, all other capital cities recorded increases in house prices but saw marginal declines in unit prices over the month. Perth, in particular, saw the greatest fall in the unit market with a 1.6 per cent decline while the city's house price increased by 0.3 per cent. Hobart's unit prices recorded the strongest growth of 2 per cent. Darwin continues to record declines in both house and unit prices of 2 per cent and 1.2 per cent respectively.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/1/9/N3_Asking%20Price.jpeg" alt="" width="915" height="693">
Weekly Asking Prices Index, SQM Research.
Overall, Melbourne shows the strongest price growth of 4.2 per cent for houses despite its decline in the unit market at 0.6 percent. Melbourne's median house asking price has now returned back to over one million dollars. This was last seen between the period of April and June 2018. The city's median asking price is currently sitting at $1,027,600. Following behind, the Sydney house market similarly climbed back to its 2017/2018 highs of over $1.3 million, records show a 2.4 per cent increase in asking house prices over December 2019. The current median asking house price in Sydney is $1,341,400.
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Capital cities average asking prices increase marginally: SQM Research  

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National residential property listings jumped over six percent in November, according to figures released by SQM Research.
They rose 6.3 per cent from 318,874 to 338,971.
Listings are still 6.3 per cent down on the same levels this time last year.
 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/12/3/SQM%20stock%20table%20November.jpg" alt="">
Darwin was the only capital not to experience a listing increase. Their listings are now over 12 per cent down over the year.
Listings in Hobart rose nearly 12 per cent, while Adelaide, Melbourne and Canberra all saw listings grow by over 10 per cent.
Canberra is the only capital with listings higher than the same time last year.
Sydney's listings went up by just over seven percent, and are over 19 per cent down on this time last year, the most across the country.
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Hobart lead property listings surge in November: SQM

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Most of Australia’s capital cities will benefit from the interest rate cuts and loosening of credit restrictions, even Perth which has been in a long term slump, according to Christopher’s Housing Boom and Bust Report for 2020, released today by SQM Research.
In every scenario barring the worst case, Scenario 4, a doomsday scenario, Perth is expected to see price growth.
<img src="https://gallery.mailchimp.com/9badbd870addb4af72206c2eb/images/4df1a5ab-58ab-48eb-be7c-da10730ccd12.png">
As a result of the improved international outlook and an existing recovering in mining investment, the city of Perth will finally record price rises next year after a prolonged housing downturn. The forecast is for Perth dwelling prices to rise between 3% to 6%.
In the base case forecasts, what SQM view as the most likely scenario, there are no changes in interest rates and no intervention by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA).
Louis Christopher, when referencing a long term perspective, "better value can definitely found in other markets that aren't Sydney and Melbourne such as Perth and Brisbane."
SQM Research also anticipates an ongoing recovery in the Brisbane and Perth rental markets in 2020, he noted.
<a href="/expert-insights/buying/sydney-house-prices-could-jump-14-per-cent-in-2020-sqm-research">Sydney</a> and <a href="/expert-insights/buying/melbourne-house-prices-tipped-to-rise-by-up-to-15-per-cent-sqm-research">Melbourne</a> look set for the largest recovery, with Hobart and Canberra next up, followed by <a href="/expert-insights/buying/perth-real-estate-finally-set-for-price-growth-in-2020-sqm-research">Perth</a> and <a href="/expert-insights/buying/brisbane-housing-market-will-see-growth-in-2020-sqm-research">Brisbane</a> while Adelaide and <a href="/expert-insights/buying/darwin-the-only-city-forecast-for-falling-real-estate-prices-in-2020-sqm-research">Darwin</a> look set for minimal growth, or a loss.
Read the <a href="https://sqmresearch.us5.list-manage.com/track/click?u=9badbd870addb4af72206c2eb&amp;id=944878d0b0&amp;e=0aab96dc54" target="_blank" data-auth="NotApplicable">Christopher’s Housing Boom and Bust Report</a> here.
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Perth real estate finally set for price growth in 2020: SQM Research

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Sydney house prices could make their way back above their 2017 peak next year, according to a new report by SQM Research.
Christopher's Housing Boom and Bust Report 2020 forecasts Sydney prices to grow between 10 per cent and 14 per cent, if factors in the most likely scenario come to fruition.
Their base scenario forecasts are built on if there are no further rate cuts in 2020, that the economy recovers and there is no APRA intervention until at least late 2020.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/11/14/SQM%20sceanrio%20forecasts.jpg" alt="">
Sydney house prices dropped peak to trough around 15 per cent since late 2017, with the slowdown coming to an end in June.
Since then, according to CoreLogic, there have been 5.3 per cent gains over the last four months. 
“The Sydney and Melbourne housing markets have recorded a sharp turnaround in the 2nd half of 2019 following on from the surprise result of the Federal Election, interest rate cuts, the loosening of credit restrictions and ongoing strong population growth rates," SQM Research boss Louis Christopher says.
"These factors are expected to drive the national housing market into 2020. In a close call, APRA is expected to not immediately intervene despite the strong price rises."
Christopher suggests however that long term, Sydney and Melbourne markets look vulnerable and forever reliant on cheap credit.
""Sydney and Melbourne are rising from an overvalued point," Christopher says.
"Housing debt, while falling compared to GDP over 2019, is still very high.
"Better value can definitely found elsewhere such as Perth and Brisbane”, Christopher added. 
Melbourne house prices are forecast to <a href="/expert-insights/buying/melbourne-house-prices-tipped-to-rise-by-up-to-15-per-cent-sqm-research">see up to 15 per cent growth</a>. 
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Sydney house prices could jump 14 per cent in 2020: SQM Research

<html><body>
The quick turnaround in the housing market looks to be more prolonged than many forecast according to new research from SQM Research.
In the new 'Christopher's Housing Boom and Bust Report 2020', Melbourne house markets could climb up to 15 per cent.
The report offers four scenarios that could play out over 2020, with the base case the most likely.
Should the cash rate remain at 0.75 per cent and there be a recovery in the economy, as well as no intervention from APRA until late 2020, then house prices in Melbourne will return to the peaks of late 2017.
Sydney gains are likely to be slightly more modest, with <a href="/expert-insights/buying/sydney-house-prices-could-jump-14-per-cent-in-2020-sqm-research">gains forecast up to 14 per cent</a>.
<div><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/11/14/SQM%20sceanrio%20forecasts.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div>
“The Sydney and Melbourne housing markets have recorded a sharp turnaround in the 2nd half of 2019 following on from the surprise result of the Federal Election, interest rate cuts, the loosening of credit restrictions and ongoing strong population growth rates," SQM Research boss Louis Christopher says.
"These factors are expected to drive the national housing market into 2020. In a close call, APRA is expected to not immediately intervene despite the strong price rises."
Christopher notes however he has some misgivings on the sustainability of the new recovery.
"Sydney and Melbourne are rising from an overvalued point. Long term, our two largest housing markets look vulnerable and forever reliant on cheap credit. Housing debt, while falling compared to GDP over 2019, is still very high.
"Better value can definitely found elsewhere such as Perth and Brisbane”, said Christopher.
Nationally SQM believe dwellings will rise between seven per cent and 11 per cent.
At the most unlikely end of the scale, scenario four, if rates were cut to 0 and quantitative easing begins, then house prices in Sydney and Melbourne could be flat, or see marginal gains.
</div>
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Melbourne house prices tipped to rise by up to 15 per cent: SQM Research

<html><body>
The national residential rental vacancy rate remained steady in October at 2.1 per cent 
The total number of vacancies across the country is now at 69,951, up two per cent from October 2018's 67,337 vacant dwellings 
Sydney, Adelaide and Hobart recorded minor decreases in vacancy rates over the month, dropping 0.1 per cent.
<img src="https://gallery.mailchimp.com/9badbd870addb4af72206c2eb/images/a62dd82f-9411-474a-b41b-850868305569.png" width="600" height="229">
Source: SQM
Both Brisbane and Canberra increased by 0.1 per cent, with Melbourne remaining steady at 2.0 per cent.
Hobart continues to have the lowest vacancy rate in the country at 0.5 per cent, although Adelaide is not far behind with a low 0.8 per cent vacancy rate.  
Sydney and Darwin recorded the highest vacancy rate, both at 3.1%.
 
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Vacancy rates remain steady in October: SQM Research

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National residential property listings increased in October by two per cent, according to figures from SQM Research.
They ticked to 321,754, up from 318,874 in September. 
Listings are still down nearly five per cent compared to 12 months ago.
All states were up over October, apart from Darwin where listings dropped 2.4 per cent.
The biggest jump was in Sydney, with listings up over four per cent in October, however the harbour capital also has the biggest gap to its stock levels last year, down 19 per cent.
Canberra saw the second highest stock level increase, just behind Sydney, to be one of just three capitals with stock levels higher than they were 12 months ago.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/11/6/SQM%20research%20listings.jpg" alt="">
Source: SQM Research
Sydney's total listings still sit behind Brisbane, with Melbourne having the most stock on the market in October.
Sydney's fresh stock however is considerably closer to Melbourne's number of listings as we head in to summer. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/11/6/SQM%20days%20on%20market.jpg" alt=""> Source: SQM Research
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Real estate listings rise mid-spring: SQM Research

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Data released by SQM Research has revealed the national residential vacancy rate edged lower to 2.1% in September 2019, down from 2.2% in August, with the number of vacancies dropping in most cities. 
The SQM Research data suggest the number of vacancies Australia-wide sat at 71,404 properties.
Sydney’s vacancy rate dropped to 3.2% in from 3.4% in August with 22,762 properties available for rent.
Melbourne’s vacancy rate was steady at 2.0% with 11,599 rental properties available while in Brisbane, the vacancy rate fell to 2.3% in September from 2.5% with 7,880 properties available for rent.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/10/15/vacancies%20.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/10/15/vacancies%20.jpg" alt=""> 
Source: SQM Research
SQM’s calculations of vacancies are based on online rental listings that have been advertised for three weeks or more compared to the total number of established rental properties.
SQM considers this to be a superior methodology compared to using a potentially incomplete sample of agency surveys or merely relying on raw online listings advertised. 
Canberra’s rental market remained tight, with the vacancy rate falling to 1.0%, down from 1.2%.
Hobart’s rate rose was steady at 0.6%.
Perth’s vacancy rate edged lower to 2.7% from 2.9% in August, but is well down from 3.6% a year ago.  
Darwin’s vacancy rate was steady at 2.9%, but well down from 3.6% a year ago. Adelaide's fell slightly to 0.9% from 1.0%.
Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, said: “It was a better month for leasing in August, especially in the cities of Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide and Canberra.
 “Sydney also had a relatively good month as well, but vacancies in Sydney still remain elevated and are still predicted to rise before the year is over. Perth and Brisbane are likely to continue to record falls in vacancies over the short to medium term due to current low dwelling completion activity verses increased underlying demand.”
Asking Rents
Despite the rise in vacancies, capital city asking rents for houses were steady over the month to 12 October 2019 at $544 a week.
Unit asking rents, however, fell 0.7% to $435 a week. Over the year, asking rents for houses rose fell 1.4% while unit asking rents slipped 0.5%. 
Despite the upward pressure on the vacancy rate and falling rents in Sydney, the asking rent for a three-bedroom house in Sydney remains the highest nationwide at $672 a week and $496 a week for two-bedroom units.
Asking unit rents were down 0.3% in Sydney over the month while asking house rents fell 0.6%.
Asking rents in Melbourne for houses rose 2.0% over the month to $527 a week while asking rents for units fell 1.0% to $411.
<table style="width: 324px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="6" valign="top" width="324">
SQM Research Weekly Rents Index
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="2" valign="top" width="171">
Week ending 12 Oct 2019
</td>
<td valign="top">
Rent
</td>
<td valign="top">
Chg on prev wk
</td>
<td valign="top">
Rolling month % chg
</td>
<td valign="top">
12 mth % chg
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
Sydney
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
671.6
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.6  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.7%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-6.0%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
496.3
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.3  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.3%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-3.2%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
Melbourne
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
527.0
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.0  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.4%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.5%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
411.0
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-1.0  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-1.8%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
1.2%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
Brisbane
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
462.4
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-1.4  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.8%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.4%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
379.2
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.2  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.3%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.6%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
Perth
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
443.0
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.0  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.6%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
4.4%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
336.7
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.3  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.3%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
4.8%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
Adelaide
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
396.5
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.5  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.7%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.4%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
309.6
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.4  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.8%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
3.6%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
Canberra
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
615.2
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.8  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.0%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-1.4%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
462.1
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.1  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.6%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
4.4%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
Darwin
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
519.1
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-4.1  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
1.2%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.8%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
381.6
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.6  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.4%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-3.8%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
Hobart
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
435.4
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-2.4  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-1.7%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.3%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
403.6
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
4.4  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-2.1%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
11.7%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
National
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
442.0
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-1.0  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.0%
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.2%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
363.0
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-2.0  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.8%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.3%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="81">
Cap City Average
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Houses
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
544.0
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
2.0  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.0%
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-1.4%  
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
All Units
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
435.0
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
0.0
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.7%  
</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap>
-0.5%  
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
Source: <a href="http://www.sqmresearch.com.au/" target="_blank" style="text-align: left;">www.sqmresearch.com.au</a>
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