The new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a> development in Melbourne's inner west is showing that landscaping can be just as influential as architecture, with buyers responding strongly to the garden-first approach adopted from the outset by developer Excelon Projects and the project's design team.

Excelon appointed Six Degrees Architects and landscape architects SBLA to work collaboratively on the development, with a brief to create "a sustainable, design-led building with a focus on community."

That approach has resonated with buyers. According to Next Chapter Director Tom Hirini, who is leading the sales campaign, the landscaped communal garden has become one of the project's defining features, alongside its boutique scale and European-inspired cluster housing concept.

Local downsizers, right-sizers and established families already living in Yarraville and surrounding suburbs have accounted for the majority of purchasers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297740]

Yarraville Green will comprise 53 homes, including apartments and townhomes, arranged around the shared central garden to maximise connections to the landscaped open space. Parking has been moved underground, allowing the ground plane to be dedicated to greenery, pedestrian movement and communal spaces.

The landscape extends well beyond passive planting. Productive garden beds, a pergola, communal gathering spaces, garden sheds and a pet wash have all been integrated into the masterplan, creating spaces designed to encourage everyday interaction between residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297741]

The interiors continue Excelon's focus on craftsmanship, incorporating bespoke elements by Melbourne artisans including leadlight detailing by Adadaz, hand-turned timber hardware by Auburn Woodturning and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen.

Sustainability has also been embedded throughout the project, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating through passive design principles, rooftop solar servicing common areas and rainwater harvesting for landscape irrigation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297735]

Construction continues to progress at Yarraville Green, with structural works well underway and framing works approaching completion under builder Balmain &amp; Co. The project remains on track for completion in mid-2027.

Apartments at Yarraville Green are currently priced from $625,000, while townhomes start from $1.4 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]

Joel Robinson

Garden-led design drives buyer demand at Yarraville Green

National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.

Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]

The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.

Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.

"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.

"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.

"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]

Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.

The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]

Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.

Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]

Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.

Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]

Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.

It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 41-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.

Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.

While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]

Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 41-storey tower, which has 229 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.

The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.

"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.

"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.

"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]

One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.

"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.

While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.

"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.

"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]

There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.

As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.

"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.

A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.

The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]

A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.

It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.

Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.

The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]

"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.

"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.

"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]

The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.

Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]

The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.

The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]

Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.

Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]

While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.

It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.

Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]

That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.

Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

As apartment living continues to evolve across Sydney's growth corridors, the quality and distribution of shared spaces is increasingly shaping how residents experience home. Rather than functioning as add-ons, amenities are being embedded into the daily rhythm of a building, supporting everything from quiet retreat to social interaction, often within a single vertical community.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aeris-melrose-park-nursery-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Aeris</a> in Melrose Park, this approach is resolved through a layered amenity offering that unfolds from ground level through to its upper podium. Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> in partnership with Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project introduces 468 apartments across two towers and a mid-rise building, positioned at the highest point of the broader masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=359199]

The amenity experience begins at street level, where two courtyards sit within a landscaped setting that connects residents to the wider network of parks and green spaces. These green spaces are not isolated pockets but part of a wider pedestrian network that links Aeris to the surrounding <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a> precinct, including Central Park, future schools, and the Town Centre opening in July 2026. The result is a transition that moves from public to private without abrupt boundaries, allowing residents to pass through shaded, tree-lined environments before reaching the building itself.

Moving upward, the focus shifts to the level five podium, where the primary communal facilities are concentrated. This space brings together a 16-metre swimming pool, outdoor seating areas, and a communal BBQ zone arranged to take advantage of elevated outlooks. Seating is positioned beneath pergolas, creating pockets of shade that extend the usability of the space throughout the day. The pool edge aligns with views toward the wider district, reinforcing the sense of elevation that defines the project’s positioning.

In the adjacent building, this is complemented by quieter, more contemplative spaces, including an outdoor cinema set within the same level. Positioned to operate primarily in the evening, it introduces a different tempo to the shared environment, shifting from daytime activity to after-hours use without requiring separate zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360299]

The podium also accommodates an intimate private resident gym. Located on the lower levels, it gives residents convenient access to fitness facilities without leaving the building.

Above, the elevated podium sky deck extends the amenity offering, providing additional open-air spaces with elevated outlooks across the surrounding landscape. While more restrained in program, this upper level reinforces the project’s vertical progression, from ground-level greenery to elevated outlook, allowing residents to move between distinct spatial conditions within a single address.

This distribution of amenities reflects a deliberate response to how residents use space across the day. Sekisui House Australia Sales and Marketing Director Peter Kalaf points to the role these shared areas play in shaping buyer demand. Aeris has been conceived as more than a collection of apartments, with the podium pool, gym and outdoor cinema forming part of a broader lifestyle offering that extends the home beyond each individual residence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360300]

What distinguishes Aeris is not the inclusion of these elements individually, but how they are arranged in relation to one another. Active, social, and passive spaces are layered vertically rather than separated, allowing residents to choose between them without leaving the building or moving far from their apartment. This proximity supports both routine use, such as a morning swim or evening workout, and more occasional gatherings, whether around the BBQ area or within the cinema setting.

The amenity design also sits within a broader framework of connectivity across Melrose Park. The Melrose Park Town Centre, anchored by Coles and Dan Murphys, features a mix of retail, dining, health and lifestyle offerings, bringing everyday convenience closer to residents. By the end of the year, more than five hectares of parks and open space, equivalent to around seven football fields of green space on residents' doorstep, will further enhance the precinct, allowing the internal facilities at Aeris to operate as an extension of the wider neighbourhood rather than a substitute for it.

Construction at Aeris continues to gather momentum, with ground floor slabs expected to be completed in late 2026 before the first sections of the buildings begin to rise above ground.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=426]

Elevated amenity anchors daily life at Aeris, Melrose Park

Sqm Research

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National residential listings decreased by four per cent in November, and are now down -12.6 per cent compared to the time last year.
Listings dropped from 308,469 in October to 296,267 in November.
All capital cities recorded decreases in listings over the month with the exception of Melbourne, which posted an increase of 1.2 per cent.
Darwin saw the largest listing decrease, down -6.7 per cent, followed by -6.4 per cent declines in Sydney and -6.1 per cent in Hobart.
Darwin, Sydney and Hobart posted the largest decreases of 6.7%, 6.4% and 6.1% respectively.
Brisbane recorded a -3.8 percent decrease, Canberra -3.2 per cent and Adelaide three per cent. Perth recorded the lowest decrease of -2.4 per cent.
Louis Christopher, managing director of SQM Research said the surprising decline in total listings for the month was predominantly driven by a decline in old listings.
"The fall in old listings tells me stock is being absorbed at a quicker rate than levels recorded earlier this year. It is a yet another signal that buyer activity is on the rise.”
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/DEC/2/SQM%20stock.jpg" alt="">
National year-on-year listings decreased -12.6 per cent, with significant decreases in Darwin (-28.2 per cent) and Hobart (-26.1 per cent) and Adelaide (-21.5 per cent).  
Sydney recorded a smaller decrease of 0.7 per cent. Melbourne however, recorded a large increase of 11.5 per cent. 
New listings across the country rose, just 0.48 per cent in November, with 381 more new properties listed for sale.
<a href="https://sqmresearch.com.au/total-property-listings.php?region=nt%253A%253ADarwin&amp;type=c&amp;t=1">Darwin’s</a> new listings increased by a significant 27.3 per cent. New listings in Melbourne increased by 4.1 per cent, while Sydney was the only capital that recorded a decline in new listings.
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Total property listings decrease in November as old stock gets snapped up: SQM

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The number of residential property listings nationally fell -1.2 per cent in September, according to the latest data from SQM Research. 
They dropped from 293,053 in August to 289,566, which is -7.4 per cent down on listings 12 months ago.
New listings were up 2.4 per cent however over September nationally, with 1,447 more listings hitting the market. And that's taking in to account Melbourne's -41.3 per cent decline in new listings.
Louis Christopher, managing director of SQM Research, says the fall in listings is a little abnormal for the spring season.
"It has been predominantly driven by two factors which include sharp falls in new listings for Melbourne over the month; as well a sizeable falls in older listings across the country.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/10/6/SQM%20stock%20levels.png" alt="">
"This second reason may point to an increase in absorption rates.
"In other words, there may have been increases in buyer activity over the month. There has also been other evidence of increases in buyer activity.
"This includes the rises in asking prices, the rises in auction clearance rates and the increases in housing finance approvals.”
Only Sydney and Perth bucked the trend of a drop in listings. Sydney saw its listings jump 1.8 per cent and Perth 0.9 per cent.
Sydney has 9.2 per cent more listings than it had 12 months ago. 
 
 
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Total property listings drop in September: SQM Research

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The national residential rental vacancy rate dropped over August, according to figures released by SQM Research. 
It dropped from 2.1 per cent to two per cent, with the total number of vacancies across the country dropping to 69,971.
But the locked-down Melbourne's rates have continued to soar, with its CBD recording its highest ever vacancy rate of 10 per cent, up from 8.8 per cent in July.
City-wide, the vacancy rate rose from 3.1 per cent to 3.4 per cent.
It was better news for property owners in other capital city CBD's.
Sydney's CBD vacancy rates are now 12.9 per cent, down from its record high of 16.2 per cent in May.
The Brisbane CBD also saw its vacancy rate scale back, to 11.4 per cent. Its high came in June when there were 14 per cent of residential properties vacant.
Adelaide's CBD vacancy rate also jumped, to 8.4 per cent from 7.6 per cent. Perth CBD remained stable at 5.5 per cent.
To enlarge, <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/9/15/SQM%20vacancy%20rates.png" target="_blank">click here</a>.
 <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/9/15/SQM%20vacancy%20rates.png" alt="">
Sydney still has the highest vacancy rate in the country. Despite scaling back 0.1 per cent in July, the vacancy rate still sits at 3.5 per cent.
Hobart’s vacancy rate is the lowest in the nation at 0.7%, with Canberra and Adelaide also recording low vacancy rates of 0.8% and 0.9% respectively.  
The regional market continues to be sought-after as city dwellers seek a life outside of CBD's.
Most regional locations recorded falls in rental vacancy rates, with Sydney’s Blue Mountains falling to a record low rental vacancy rate of just 0.7%, along with Victoria’s Mornington Peninsula. 
Queensland’s Ipswich fell to just 0.9%. 
 
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Melbourne spikes, but residential vacancy rates decrease over August: SQM Research

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The national residential rental vacancy rate recorded a decrease over the month from 2.5% in May to 2.2% throughout June 2020, according to the latest data from SQM Research.
The financial year ended with the total number of vacancies Australia-wide now at 77,132 vacant residential properties. 
This time last year, the national vacancy rate was slightly higher at 2.3%.
All capital cities recorded declines in vacancy rates over the month. 
Sydney currently has the highest vacancy rate in the nation at 3.8%, having declined by 0.2%, followed by Melbourne with a vacancy rate of 3.0%, declining by 0.1%. 
Hobart’s vacancy rate is the lowest in the nation at 0.9%, having declined by 0.4% over the month. 
Darwin recorded the largest decline in rental vacancy rate of 0.5% to now record a low vacancy rate of 1.8%. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/7/13/g1.png" alt="">
Even among the capital city CBD locations, there have been declines in vacancy rates over the month.  Sydney CBD has dropped to 13.8%, down from 16.2% in May, Melbourne’s CBD and Melbourne Southbank have also declined to 8.8% and 16.2% respectively.
Adelaide CBD has dropped to 7.1% and Perth CBD is now 5.3%.
However, Brisbane CBD’s vacancy rate has increased from 13.3% in May to 14.0% and Sydney’s Palm Beach is now 18.0%, up from 16.7% in May.
Over the month, Capital City asking rents decreased 3.1% for houses and 4.5% for units for the week ending 12 July 2020 to record asking rents of $534 per week for houses and $421 per week for units. 
Sydney, Melbourne and Adelaide recorded declines in asking rents for both houses and units over the month, whilst Brisbane and Perth continue to record increases in house and unit asking rents. 
Canberra and Darwin have had declines in house asking rents but recorded increases in unit asking rents.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/7/13/g2.png" alt="">
"We believe the surprise fall in vacancy rates is due to Airbnb property owners giving up on the longer term leasing market and moving back to short term leasing, especially in light of the July school holiday period and the opening of some state borders," said Louis Christopher, the managing director of SQM Research.
The fall in rents over the same period for a numbers of our capital cities suggests that the weakness in the rental market remains.
Going forward, our expectation is the Australian rental market will remain weak for the duration of 2020 or until such time as the international border reopens and we as a community have past the worst of COVID19."
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

National rental vacancy rates drops over June: SQM Research

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National residential property listings surprisingly decreased in June, by one percent, figures released by SQM Research have showed.
Listing were down from 304,137 in May 2020 to 301,140 in June.
Listing were down 7.5 per cent compared to this time last year.
Most capital cities experienced decreases in property listings over the month except for Melbourne and Perth, whilst Brisbane remained steady.
The largest listings decrease was in Hobart at 7.5% followed by Canberra by 5.7% and Darwin 5.3%. Sydney’s listings only decreased by 1.6%.
Melbourne and Perth were the only capital cities to record increases in listings, 2.7% and 0.4% respectively.
Year-on-year listings show more significant declines for nearly all capital cities with Darwin recording a high 22.2% decline, followed by Perth with a 15.4% decline. Melbourne however bucked the trend and increased listings by 10.2% this time last year.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/7/2/Stock%20SQM.JPG" alt="">
Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research said, “It is not unusual for listings to decrease in June as it is the start of the colder winter months."
There was a solid increase in new listings. Indeed, we have more new listings on the market compared to this time last year."
"Listings that were coming up to 90 days dropped the most, indicating that some of the older stock had either been withdrawn or was selling during June."
"Overall, these numbers on their own would indicate fairly normal activity in the housing market. Of course, we know that conditions are far from normal. And this is illustrated in the fall in vendor asking prices for the month.”
Asking Prices
Capital City average asking prices decreased by 0.8% for houses and 0.4% for units, over the month to 30thJune 2020. Unit asking prices are now at $571,000 and houses $989,100.
Compared to a year ago, the capital city asking prices posted increases of 8.8% for houses and 1.3% increase for units.
Over the month, most capital cities recorded marginal asking price increases however Sydney’s asking prices continue to decline to now record declines of 0.9% for houses and 1.3% for units. Melbourne recorded a 1.5% decrease in house prices but units increased by 0.7%
Strongest monthly growth was seen in Hobart’s unit prices with a 3.1% increase, followed by Perth’s house prices which had a 1.3% price increase.
Year on year, Darwin experienced declines in house and unit prices, 0.6% and 2.8% respectively, and Perth experienced declines in unit prices only of 1.3%. Sydney recorded an 11.5% increase in house price growth and a small decline of 0.1% for units this time last year whilst Melbourne recorded 9.9% increase in houses and a 5.4% increase for units.
All other capital cities recorded growth this time last year with Hobart recording a huge 19.8% house price growth and 10.4% unit price growth, this time last year.
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Residential property listings fell in June: SQM Research

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National residential property listings increased month-on-month in May by 3.9%, according to figures released by SQM Research.
Total listings rose to 304,137, up from 292,775 in April.
Compared to 12 months ago however, listings were down by 12.0%.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/6/3/listings%20graph.png" alt="">
All capital cities experienced increases in property listings over the month, except for Canberra which posted a 0.8% decrease.
The largest listings increase was in Melbourne and Sydney, with growth of 11.6% and 10.9% respectively.
Hobart also recorded a large increase of 7.8%.
Year-on-year listings show more significant declines for all capital cities with Perth recording a 20.0% decline, followed by Darwin with a 18.8% decline, and Hobart a 15.8% decline (compared to this time last year).
“Overall, there was a rise in listings at the national level, driven by older stock not selling,” SQM Research Managing Director, Louis Christopher.
“We have recorded a 12% increase in listings of over 60 days. This tells me it is a patchy market with vendors struggling to meet their pricing expectations.”
“New listings actually fell for the month at the national level, which is abnormal for May.”
Meanwhile, capital city average asking prices increased by 0.5% for houses and decreased 0.1% for units, over the month to 2nd June 2020.
Unit asking prices are now at $573,300 and houses $997,400.
Compared to a year ago, the capital city asking prices posted increases of 10.2% for houses and 2.5% increase for units.
The figures showed that most capital cities recorded marginal asking price increases however, Sydney’s unit prices declined by 0.4%.
Brisbane, Darwin and Hobart’s house prices also all recorded declines of 0.3%, 1.1% and 0.1%, respectively.
The strongest monthly growth was seen in Darwin, with unit prices seeing a 7.2% increase.
Hobart followed, with a 1.5% unit price increase, and Perth’s houses had a 1.2% increase.
Year on year, it was only Perth and Darwin that experienced declines in house and unit prices.
All other capital cities recorded growth year on year, with Sydney recording a 13.7% house price increase, Melbourne recording an 11.9% house price increase, and Hobart recording a 10.0% house price increase compared to this time last year.
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Property listings increase in May: SQM Research

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The national residential vacancy rate has jumped to 2.6 per cent in April, up from two per cent in March, according to figures released today by research house SQM Research.
The total number of residential vacancies Australia-wide has hit 88,668, with every state seeing an increase with the exception of Darwin.
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It was the CBD and holiday markets which saw the biggest jumps, with Sydney's vacancy rate now nearly 14 per cent in the city.
SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher said the vacancy rate rise was one of the largest one month rises record on their vacancy rate series
"The blow out in rental vacancy rates for the major CBDs suggests a mass exodus of tenants occurred over the course of March and April", Christopher said. 
"This might be attributed to the significant loss in employment in our CBDs plus the drop off in international students.  
"We are well aware of a surge in short term accommodation now being advertised for long term leasing. 
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Christopher said the question is now how long will we see such high rental vacancies. 
"If it is sustained throughout the course of the year, then we can expect far deeper falls in rents which will be good news for tenants but a disaster for landlords," Christopher suggested. 
"There will also be economic consequences with further sharp falls in building approvals likely; thereby risking a major depression in our residential construction sector as well as the rather obvious risks for housing prices.”
Over the month, capital city asking rents decreased 1.3 per cent for houses and remained stable for units for the week ending 12 May 2020, with asking rents of $537 per week for houses and $428 per week for units. 
Sydney, Melbourne and Perth all recorded decreases in asking rents for both houses and units over the month, while Brisbane, Canberra and Hobart recorded decreases in house asking rents but minor increases in unit asking rents
Adelaide bucked the trend and recorded rent increases for both houses and units of 0.1% and 1.4%.   
In terms of popular holiday markets, Surfers Paradise recorded a vacancy rate of 8.5 per cent, and Noosa's usually tight vacancy rate shot to 6.8 per cent.
 
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National residential rental vacancy jumps to 2.6 per cent in April: SQM Research

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Australian residential property listings decreased in April by 4.9%, according to the latest figures released by SQM Research.
Overall listings nationwide were at 292,775, down from 307,847 properties listed in March 2020.
Compared to 12 months ago, listings were down by 11.9%.
Canberra was the only capital city which did not experience a decrease in property listings, posting a small 0.4% increase.
The largest decrease was in Perth with an 8.4% retraction, followed by Sydney at 7.2%.
Adelaide and Darwin both posted 6.0% decreases in property listings.
Hobart had the smallest decrease of 4.3% in listings.
Year-on-year listings show more significant declines for all capital cities with Sydney recording a decline of 19.4%, followed by Darwin with a 17.7% decline and Perth a 17.4% decline this time last year.
To enlarge, <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/4/6/11.png" target="_blank">click here</a>.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/4/6/11.png" alt="">
The report found that the housing market “has clearly been weakened by the coronavirus and the restrictions placed on the economy to limit the outbreak.”
“With the lifting some restrictions over the course of May, we could see a lift in buyer activity for housing; however many issues persist such as the spike in unemployment and the ongoing closure of the international border,” the firm added.
Clearance times have, however, stayed remarkably steady.
In April 41.52% of properties sold in 90 days or less, while that figure was 41.16% in March.
This is slightly up from 12 months ago, when 40.28% of homes sold within the same time frame.
To enlarge, <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/4/6/22.png" target="_blank">click here</a>.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/4/6/22.png" alt="">
Meanwhile, capital city asking prices increased by 0.7% for houses and increased 0.1% for units, over the month to 5th May 2020.
Unit asking prices are now at $574,900 and houses $994,300.
Compared to a year ago, the capital city asking prices posted increases of 9.4% for houses and 3.0% increase for units.
Over the month, some capital cities recorded marginal asking price increases, with the exception of Perth, Canberra and Hobart which all recorded declines for both houses and units. Brisbane recorded the highest decline in house prices of 1.0% over the month, followed by Perth 0.9%, Hobart 0.7% and Canberra 0.1% decline in house prices.
Unit prices declined in Sydney by 0.6%, Perth 0.5%, Hobart 0.3% and Canberra 0.1%.
Melbourne, Adelaide and Darwin were the only capital cities to record increases in both house and unit prices.
Strongest monthly growth was seen in Sydney house prices with a 1.1% increase and Melbourne’s unit market which saw a 1.0% increase. Year on year, it was only Perth and Darwin that experienced declines in house and unit prices.
All other capital cities showed some strong growth this time last year where house prices rose 12.4% in Sydney, 11.2% in Melbourne and 12.0% in Hobart.
 
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Residential property listings decrease nationwide in April: SQM Research

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Expert Observation
Despite the current gains recorded for the March quarter being on track with our base case forecasts, given current events, there is only a single scenario that is still feasible and that is Scenario 4 – a scenario we outlined in our top 4 scenarios for 2020. 
One where the RBA would bring the cash rate to zero and start quantitative easing. It was based on a possibility the tentative trade war truce between the U.S and China would collapse and a ‘take no prisoners’ trade war would break out between the two countries, turning into a global trade war.
The outlook for housing in this scenario was one where the market would eventually stall and start to record price decreases from mid-year onwards. That the rate cuts and money printing would not be able to offset job losses and subsequently, forced sales activity.
Yes, the RBA has now had to introduce quantitative easing. Yes, the cash rate is now just 0.25 per cent. But what we now face economically is a tsunami that dwarfs even a global trade war.
To get a sense of the economic carnage that is underway, check out this gif of U.S jobless claims.
The scale of what we are facing right now on the economic front is something never truly encountered since The Great Depression. And if we don’t manage it well then a depression (a contract in in GDP of greater than 10 per cent) is what we will have – something which I am far more frightened of than catching Covid-19. And believe me, I do not want to catch this virus.
Click <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/4/16/SQM%20chart.JPG" target="_blank">here</a> to enlarge.
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So, with that in mind, I want to now give a general outlook on what I think are two main scenarios that are really in play this year.
A V-shaped recovery
Let’s be clear, despite the positive Corelogic numbers (dwelling prices rose 2.8 per cent for the quarter) and indeed our asking price indexes, I think housing price expectations have already corrected by five per cent to ten per cent from their very highs. That may not show up in the official numbers as the highs were only briefly obtained during the later stages of February. It is anecdotal only, through my discussions with real estate agents and the sharp fall in clearance rates, which were already occurring prior to the auction ban starting from the 25th of March.
The best case scenario from here for property owners and investors is one where we get to zero new Covid-19 cases before April is over with. And on that front the numbers have been looking promising. I believe it is now a 50 per cent chance that our three major states will record a zero new Covid-19 cases day before the month is over. If we get to that point, the next question begs how long will restrictions be kept? Potentially some restrictions could be lifted in May. And my bet is that when restrictions are eventually lifted, they will be lifted in the reverse order that they were placed on to begin with. As the ban on auctions occurred as one of the last stages (25 March), it is quite feasible that lifting that ban could come sooner than expected.
If we are able to get back to close to normal business by end of May (I certainly don’t think all restrictions will be lifted by that time), then I think confidence in the housing market is going to return. Assisted with all the stimulus announced and the economic damage relatively limited, it would mean a fall in housing prices recorded for the June quarter but a bounce back in the September and December quarters. The net result for the year may come in at our Scenario 4 range or slightly better.
It should not be underestimated how much expenditure has been announced (including RBA money printing via quantitative easing) and how low lending rates are now. 
A borrower with a good credit rating can now expect a variable owner occupier lending rate somewhere between 2.5 per cent to 2.8 per cent. Average capital city gross rental yields are running at about 2.9 per cent for houses and 3.9 per cent for units.
That means property owners on a purely interest expenses verses rental payments scenario could do better owning. And of course it also means that investors may find more cashflow positive properties in our major cities.
That said though, we think there is trouble ahead for the rental market. We will come to that point later.
<h2>The worse-case scenario</h2>
The worse-case scenario is we have a second wave in new virus case counts and it occurs shortly after some restrictions are lifted. Or that new case numbers flatten at current levels but never quite manage to get to zero cases or stay at zero cases. This appears to be the plight of South Korea at the moment.
If this second wave were to occur, we think the housing market will have a much deeper correction.
A second wave of new Covid-19 cases is a great risk. Note, a second wave of Spanish Flue hit Australia in mid-1919 and this occurred just after restrictions were lifted after the first wave, noting hospital numbers (which is the available data we have for time) never actually got to zero on the lull.
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Such a scenario would mean current restrictions would stay with us for longer. Probably more than six months. Or worse, more restrictions added. A second wave of infections may be more deadly as it would potentially occur over the course of the Southern Hemisphere winter. A sharp rise in deaths may result in more panic at the shops and most certainly a new low in confidence.
Damage to the economy would be deeper and longer lasting. Many businesses, including those that are currently on life-support, would not last the distance and will be liquidated.
You see, even with the generous measures announced for small business, it won’t be enough to keep much of the sector alive for half a year. When there is little to zero revenues coming in, month after month, PAYG relief is not enough. Being subsidised to cover employee wages at $1,500 a fortnight is not enough. Neither is a $10,000 cash grant for most. And forget about asking small business to go into debt. Most of them, particularly in retail, hospitality and tourism, will refuse to do so. And so job creation would occur at a far slower rate when a recovery would eventually return.
With the surging and sustained unemployment rate, the banks could start to get nervous on mortgages. Potentially, after the six-month hiatus, banks may be backed into a corner where they are forced to repossession on defaulted housing loans. Now I believe the RBA and/or the Federal Government would come to the rescue to enable banks to avoid a mass repossession event. Let’s keep in mind that in 2008, the banks could have pulled the trigger on the commercial property sector. Many owners at the time were in breach of lending covenants. The banks, by and large, chose not to pull that trigger. Mainly for their own self-preservation, as doing so would have created a cascading affect that would have smashed their balance sheets.
So I am not convinced we will see a lot of forced sales activity, even in this bleaker scenario. All the same, there will be many property owners who will want to sell out if this crisis goes on for six months or more. They will see the falls in dwelling prices over the course of the June quarter. And they will be very protective of what is left of their net wealth.
The buy side of the property equation would be hit very hard as it is being hit hard now. But far worse than what we had in 2018 or indeed 2008.
You see it’s not just the loss of employees representing many first home buyers, but, as mentioned above it is also the potential wipe out of many thousands of small business owners, who themselves employ nearly 50 per cent of the total workforce. Small business owners actually represent a very large component of the home buyer market. As at the 2016 Census there were over two million small businesses.
So this is very much a buy side issue in my view. Anyone that is worried they will lose their job or their business, won’t be seriously thinking of taking out a home loan to buy into the property market.
Let’s also remind ourselves that our international border is closed to most except for permanent residents, citizens and some temporary visa holders. And I believe it will remain closed for many months to come. So underlying demand for housing, which has been predominantly driven by net overseas migration has now stalled for this year. This will be a different experience to the Spanish Flu of 1919, whereby population growth still expanded at a very strong rate (1.9 per cent for 2019) due to our soldiers returning home as well as the settling of European refuges.
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Up to a 30 per cent peak to trough price decline cannot be ruled out.
In this more bleaker scenario, a 30 per cent decline in dwelling prices would be on the cards. Note, I have not modelled this out, other than taking elements such as previous work on the relationship between unemployment and the housing market. Modelling in this environment is almost impossible. It is simply based on my experience and study. The most overvalued cities would be hit the hardest, that being Sydney and Melbourne. Other cities should do better than a 30 per cent correction given their relative fair value. Now some of you will note that during The Great Depression, the Australian housing market did not correct by this magnitude. Nor, during the Spanish plague of 1919 did the Australian housing market record such a correction. However, those two markets were not laden with the debt burden our current housing market has. Not even close. The only market that comes close in Australia was the massive boom/bust of the 1890s.
Of course, it should be noted that period was also laden by a very dodgy and nearly entirely unregulated banking sector.
Either way, the rental market is in trouble.
Overall, a stalling in underlying demand for accommodation driven by near zero migration, combined with a reduction in existing tenancy demand (as a result of job losses) plus a very likely increase in supply from empty AirBNB accommodation will likely mean we can now expect a rise in rental vacancies over this year. Previously the forecast was for a gentle reduction in vacancies in 2020 as dwelling completions were (and still are) due to fall.
On our estimates and other estimates, there are some 120,000+ properties nationwide at any point in time being used for short term accommodation via websites such as airbnb. And on our latest numbers for February,there were some 68,000 vacant rental properties available for normal leasing.
I can’t tell you how many property owners are going to switch back to longer term leasing but there will be a number, especially if this plays out for longer. This is not a scenario here. This is our view. Our view is that rental vacancy rates are going to rise sharply over the short term. I think we can expect the rate to rise from the current 2.0 per cent to north of 2.5 per cent and perhaps north of 3.0 per cent. That may not sound like much to you but if we do hit 3.0 per cent that would be a record high on our index which goes back to 2005. Rents would fall as a result. Perhaps our weekly asking rents index is already revealing some weakness with national asking rents for houses down by 0.9 per cent for the month and 0.3 per cent down for units.
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The weakness in the rental market will probably put off many would-be property investors over 2020 creating more issues on the buy side of the market.
So what is it going to be? - Scenario 1, Scenario 2 or another scenario?
The next 30 days will likely tell the story. It is very hard to judge it. Like everyone else I am watching the new case numbers closely.
Let me tell you. I don’t want Scenario 2 to play out. A depression would create massive economic misery. Suicides will rise, so will crime.
There is also the possibility we muddle through somewhere between the two scenarios. A world where daily new virus cases don’t quite get to zero but there isn’t a second wave. Restrictions lifted very gradually over many months. Eventually, a vaccine is produced and distributed in 2021. We would need to see what is lifted and at what point in time to work out the impact on the housing market. Regardless, rents will still be hit for simply the fact that the international border will still remain closed.
LOUIS CHRISTOPHER is the CEO of SQM Research
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Looking back at forecasts made in October last year: Louis Christopher

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Data released by SQM Research reveals that national residential property listings increased in March 2020 by 3.7%, up from 296,770 in February to 307,847.
Compared to 12 months ago, listings were down by 13.2%.
All capital cities experienced increases in property listings over the month with the largest increase in Darwin of 15.6%, followed closely by Canberra with a 11.0% increase and Sydney a 10.5% increase. Hobart had the smallest increase of 2.4% increase in listings.
Listings that have been on the market for between 30 to 60 days surged by 74%, suggesting sales activity did slow during March.
Year-on-year listings show declines for all capital cities with Sydney recording a significant decline of 22.8% and Hobart an 18.5% decline this time last year.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/4/8/chart%201.png" alt="">
Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research said, “residential property listings are starting to increase and accumulate. I note the surge of stock that has been on the market between 30 and 60 days.  This may reflect the start of a capital city housing market downturn due to the health and economic impact of COVID-19. I also note though the rise in asking prices for the month, so quite a number of vendors have not really adjusted their pricing expectations as yet.”
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/4/8/chart%202.png" alt="">
Capital City asking prices increased by 0.7% for houses and increased 0.6% for houses, over the month to 31st March 2020. Unit asking prices are now at $577,000 and houses $990,500.
Compared to a year ago, the capital city asking prices posted increases of 8.8% for houses and 2.1% increase for units.
Over the month, most capital cities recorded asking price increases, with Darwin and Hobart both recording the highest increases for houses of 3.1%.  Highest price increase in units was Sydney and Perth with 0.8% increase. 
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