The new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a> development in Melbourne's inner west is showing that landscaping can be just as influential as architecture, with buyers responding strongly to the garden-first approach adopted from the outset by developer Excelon Projects and the project's design team.

Excelon appointed Six Degrees Architects and landscape architects SBLA to work collaboratively on the development, with a brief to create "a sustainable, design-led building with a focus on community."

That approach has resonated with buyers. According to Next Chapter Director Tom Hirini, who is leading the sales campaign, the landscaped communal garden has become one of the project's defining features, alongside its boutique scale and European-inspired cluster housing concept.

Local downsizers, right-sizers and established families already living in Yarraville and surrounding suburbs have accounted for the majority of purchasers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297740]

Yarraville Green will comprise 53 homes, including apartments and townhomes, arranged around the shared central garden to maximise connections to the landscaped open space. Parking has been moved underground, allowing the ground plane to be dedicated to greenery, pedestrian movement and communal spaces.

The landscape extends well beyond passive planting. Productive garden beds, a pergola, communal gathering spaces, garden sheds and a pet wash have all been integrated into the masterplan, creating spaces designed to encourage everyday interaction between residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297741]

The interiors continue Excelon's focus on craftsmanship, incorporating bespoke elements by Melbourne artisans including leadlight detailing by Adadaz, hand-turned timber hardware by Auburn Woodturning and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen.

Sustainability has also been embedded throughout the project, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating through passive design principles, rooftop solar servicing common areas and rainwater harvesting for landscape irrigation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297735]

Construction continues to progress at Yarraville Green, with structural works well underway and framing works approaching completion under builder Balmain &amp; Co. The project remains on track for completion in mid-2027.

Apartments at Yarraville Green are currently priced from $625,000, while townhomes start from $1.4 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]

Joel Robinson

Garden-led design drives buyer demand at Yarraville Green

National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.

Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]

The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.

Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.

"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.

"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.

"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]

Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.

The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]

Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.

Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]

Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.

Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]

Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.

It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 41-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.

Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.

While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]

Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 41-storey tower, which has 229 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.

The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.

"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.

"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.

"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]

One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.

"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.

While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.

"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.

"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]

There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.

As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.

"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.

A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.

The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]

A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.

It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.

Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.

The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]

"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.

"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.

"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]

The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.

Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]

The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.

The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]

Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.

Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]

While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.

It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.

Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]

That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.

Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

As apartment living continues to evolve across Sydney's growth corridors, the quality and distribution of shared spaces is increasingly shaping how residents experience home. Rather than functioning as add-ons, amenities are being embedded into the daily rhythm of a building, supporting everything from quiet retreat to social interaction, often within a single vertical community.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aeris-melrose-park-nursery-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Aeris</a> in Melrose Park, this approach is resolved through a layered amenity offering that unfolds from ground level through to its upper podium. Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> in partnership with Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project introduces 468 apartments across two towers and a mid-rise building, positioned at the highest point of the broader masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=359199]

The amenity experience begins at street level, where two courtyards sit within a landscaped setting that connects residents to the wider network of parks and green spaces. These green spaces are not isolated pockets but part of a wider pedestrian network that links Aeris to the surrounding <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a> precinct, including Central Park, future schools, and the Town Centre opening in July 2026. The result is a transition that moves from public to private without abrupt boundaries, allowing residents to pass through shaded, tree-lined environments before reaching the building itself.

Moving upward, the focus shifts to the level five podium, where the primary communal facilities are concentrated. This space brings together a 16-metre swimming pool, outdoor seating areas, and a communal BBQ zone arranged to take advantage of elevated outlooks. Seating is positioned beneath pergolas, creating pockets of shade that extend the usability of the space throughout the day. The pool edge aligns with views toward the wider district, reinforcing the sense of elevation that defines the project’s positioning.

In the adjacent building, this is complemented by quieter, more contemplative spaces, including an outdoor cinema set within the same level. Positioned to operate primarily in the evening, it introduces a different tempo to the shared environment, shifting from daytime activity to after-hours use without requiring separate zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360299]

The podium also accommodates an intimate private resident gym. Located on the lower levels, it gives residents convenient access to fitness facilities without leaving the building.

Above, the elevated podium sky deck extends the amenity offering, providing additional open-air spaces with elevated outlooks across the surrounding landscape. While more restrained in program, this upper level reinforces the project’s vertical progression, from ground-level greenery to elevated outlook, allowing residents to move between distinct spatial conditions within a single address.

This distribution of amenities reflects a deliberate response to how residents use space across the day. Sekisui House Australia Sales and Marketing Director Peter Kalaf points to the role these shared areas play in shaping buyer demand. Aeris has been conceived as more than a collection of apartments, with the podium pool, gym and outdoor cinema forming part of a broader lifestyle offering that extends the home beyond each individual residence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360300]

What distinguishes Aeris is not the inclusion of these elements individually, but how they are arranged in relation to one another. Active, social, and passive spaces are layered vertically rather than separated, allowing residents to choose between them without leaving the building or moving far from their apartment. This proximity supports both routine use, such as a morning swim or evening workout, and more occasional gatherings, whether around the BBQ area or within the cinema setting.

The amenity design also sits within a broader framework of connectivity across Melrose Park. The Melrose Park Town Centre, anchored by Coles and Dan Murphys, features a mix of retail, dining, health and lifestyle offerings, bringing everyday convenience closer to residents. By the end of the year, more than five hectares of parks and open space, equivalent to around seven football fields of green space on residents' doorstep, will further enhance the precinct, allowing the internal facilities at Aeris to operate as an extension of the wider neighbourhood rather than a substitute for it.

Construction at Aeris continues to gather momentum, with ground floor slabs expected to be completed in late 2026 before the first sections of the buildings begin to rise above ground.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=426]

Elevated amenity anchors daily life at Aeris, Melrose Park

Sqm Research

<html><body>
SQM Research believes there is a "very high risk" based on Labor’s proposed negative gearing policy, that investors purchasing new property may experience losses on a resale in the first three years of the property’s life.
"Investors seeking to benefit from the new concession by buying new properties are exposed to a substantial risk of their property being valued below purchase price, especially if the buyer is seeking to sell their investment within the first three years," SQM director Louis Christopher said.
While the SQM director Louis Christopher says there is no solid data to prove this point, it was in SQM'S experience that over the course of a cycle:
<ul>
<li>Off-the-plan developments will be sold between a 15-30% premium to the existing market.</li>
<li>30% of off-the-plan developments will sell at a loss to the initial purchase price if sold within the first three years if the dwelling’s life.</li>
</ul>
A premium paid over and above the existing market is often justified as one is effectively buying ‘new’ and the best quality fixtures and fittings compared to the existing market. 
Christopher predicts dwelling prices to fall.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/3/22/JPEG%20-%202020%202022%20Dwelling%20Price%20Forecasts.JPG" alt="">
"Given the forecast of initial negligible rental growth, SQM Research forecasts an additional correction in the housing market of between 4% to 8% over a three year period (2020 to 2022) with most of the falls occurring in years one and two."
This assumes an interest rate cut of 50 basis points by early January 2020.
He sees yields as rising.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/3/22/JPEG%20-%20Yields%20to%20Rise%20International%20Comparisons%20table.JPG" alt="">
International comparisons as well as historical precedents indicate that acquisition rental yields are likely to rise between 0.85% and 1.2% (85-120 basis points) over a two to three year period post the implementation of the new policy.
"If interest rates are cut by 50 basis points, the rise in yields will be smaller at between 60 and 95 basis points."
He tips rents to rise 7-12% over 2020 to 2022.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/3/22/JPEG%20-%202020%202022%20Dwelling%20Rent%20Forecasts.JPG" alt="">
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/3/22/JPEG%20-%20Change%20in%20National%20CPI%20and%20Rent%20Index.JPG" alt="">
"Rental changes are initially likely to be negligible due in part to a current oversupply in Sydney and some other cities.
"However, there may be an acceleration from year 2021 due to an expected sharp fall in dwelling completions.
"Brisbane and Perth are forecasted to record the largest rises."
The report envisages housing construction and completions will fall further.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/3/22/JPEG%20-%20Aust%20Dwelling%20Commencements.JPG" alt="">
SQM Research forecasts the total fall in housing construction activity will amount to a 25% to 30% decline from 2019 levels.
"Given the existing falls in construction and the anticipated peak in infrastructure spend in 2021 this could have a large impact on GDP and employment in the economy," Christopher said.
"The total adjustment in the market housing market is forecasted to last for approximately three years, with most of the adjustment phase occurring within two years.
"Thereafter the market would likely return to equilibrium, having ‘priced-in’ the loss of the tax concessions."
He forsees sales turnover to fall by another 12% to 15% with most of the declines in sales to occur in the first year (FY2021).
This would result in a fall in state stamp duty revenue of approximately $2.3 billion.
The report represents an update on his 2016 research to cover the potential price, rent and turnover impact of the Labor Party’s negative gearing policy initially released February 2016.
Labor will limit negative gearing to new housing from a yet-to-be-determined date after the next election.
All investments made before this date will not be affected by this change and will be grandfathered which means that taxpayers will continue to be able to deduct net rental losses against their wage income, providing the losses come from newly constructed housing.
From a yet-to-be-determined date after the next election losses from new investments in shares and existing properties can still be used to offset investment income tax liabilities. These losses can also continue to be carried forward to offset the final capital gain on the investment.
The report presents several scenarios.
<ul>
<li>Scenario 1 - Negative Gearing cut 1 July 2020 and interest rates cut by 50 basis point</li>
</ul>
In the first scenario, The Reserve Bank of Australia cuts interest rates starting from late 2019 by half a percent (50bp). Negative Gearing is changed and CGT increases are passed and enacted on 1 July 2020.
SQM take the view there would be an overall gross yield increase of some 65 basis points after taking into account the rate cut; 25 basis points of which is passed on. Prices would still considerably fall in Sydney and Melbourne but other cities would be less affected.
There is a likelihood the housing market could rally post the interest rate cuts and leading into 1 July 2020 as investors take advantage of grandfathering. The earlier the rate cuts, the greater the likelihood of a rally. Most of the price falls would happen over later 2020 and 2021 with a potential market bottom in 2022.
Rents in Sydney and Melbourne do not lift initially on the back of some existing oversupply of rental stock. But that stock is quickly absorbed in 2021/2022 leading to an acceleration in rents.
<ul>
<li>Scenario 2 – No Interest Rate cut</li>
</ul>
In this scenario, the market takes the full brunt of the Negative Gearing change and CGT lift. Prices fall sharply with a minimal pick up in demand prior to passing of the bill (assumed 1 July 2020).
Average capital city gross rental yields lift by 85 to 120 basis points with the yield increase being shared between price falls and rent increases.
With prices falling sharply over 2020/21, housing commencements fall greater than scenario one therefore creating a larger shortage of housing relative to underlying demand in 2021/2022.
<ul>
<li>Scenario 2 assumes no recession but there would have to be serious questions on the state of the economy.</li>
<li>Scenario 3 – No Negative Gearing change and 50 basis point rate cut</li>
</ul>
This scenario assumes either the Labor Party defers the tax changes or the Liberal Government wins the 2019 Federal Election. This assumes therefore, a likely recovery in the housing market as confidence returns due to a rate cut, no Negative Gearing change and no Capital Gains Tax increases. Bank lending is less restrictive.
</body></html>

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Rents to rise under Labor, negative gearing/CGT policy risky to economy: SQM's Louis Christopher

<html><body>
The national residential vacancy rate has remained steady at 2.2% in February 2019, according to the latest data from SQM Research.
The total number of vacancies Australia-wide is now at 72,333, it said. 
Adelaide was the only capital city to increase its vacancy rate over the month, from 1.1% in January to 1.2%, resulting in 2,197 properties available for rent in February 2019.
Brisbane, Canberra, Darwin and Hobart experienced marginal decreases of 0.1% in vacancy rates.
Melbourne decreased by 0.2% over the month to 1.7%.
Sydney and Perth’s vacancy rates remained steady at 3.2% and 3.0% respectively.
Hobart still remains the lowest of all capital cities at 0.4% for February 2019.
Darwin ranks the highest of all capital cities at 3.7%.
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td width="13%">City</td>
<td width="12%">Feb-2018 Vacancies</td>
<td width="16%">Feb-2018 Vacancy Rate</td>
<td width="14%">Jan-2019 Vacancies</td>
<td width="15%">Jan-2019 Vacancy Rate</td>
<td width="12%">Feb-2019 Vacancies</td>
<td width="14%">Feb-2019 Vacancy Rate</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td nowrap width="13%">Sydney</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">15,581 </td>
<td nowrap width="16%">2.3%</td>
<td nowrap width="14%">22,426 </td>
<td nowrap width="15%">3.2%</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">22,396 </td>
<td nowrap width="14%">3.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td nowrap width="13%">Melbourne</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">7,889 </td>
<td nowrap width="16%">1.4%</td>
<td nowrap width="14%">10,564 </td>
<td nowrap width="15%">1.9%</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">9,818 </td>
<td nowrap width="14%">1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td nowrap width="13%">Brisbane</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">10,925 </td>
<td nowrap width="16%">3.4%</td>
<td nowrap width="14%">8,911 </td>
<td nowrap width="15%">2.7%</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">8,611 </td>
<td nowrap width="14%">2.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td nowrap width="13%">Perth</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">8,319 </td>
<td nowrap width="16%">4.1%</td>
<td nowrap width="14%">6,121 </td>
<td nowrap width="15%">3.0%</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">6,170 </td>
<td nowrap width="14%">3.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td nowrap width="13%">Adelaide</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">2,540 </td>
<td nowrap width="16%">1.4%</td>
<td nowrap width="14%">2,141 </td>
<td nowrap width="15%">1.1%</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">2,197 </td>
<td nowrap width="14%">1.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td nowrap width="13%">Canberra</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">495 </td>
<td nowrap width="16%">0.8%</td>
<td nowrap width="14%">594 </td>
<td nowrap width="15%">0.9%</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">502 </td>
<td nowrap width="14%">0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td nowrap width="13%">Darwin</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">989 </td>
<td nowrap width="16%">3.3%</td>
<td nowrap width="14%">1,193 </td>
<td nowrap width="15%">3.8%</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">1,161 </td>
<td nowrap width="14%">3.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td nowrap width="13%">Hobart</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">145 </td>
<td nowrap width="16%">0.5%</td>
<td nowrap width="14%">144 </td>
<td nowrap width="15%">0.5%</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">133 </td>
<td nowrap width="14%">0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td nowrap width="13%">National</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">69,727 </td>
<td nowrap width="16%">2.2%</td>
<td nowrap width="14%">72,574 </td>
<td nowrap width="15%">2.2%</td>
<td nowrap width="12%">72,333 </td>
<td nowrap width="14%">2.2%</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
Source: SQM Research
Asking Rents
Capital city asking rents declined 0.2% for both houses and units over the month to 12 March 2019 to $559 per week for houses and $441 per week for units. 
Similarly, over the 12 months, asking rents for both houses and units also declined by 0.2%.
Adelaide and Hobart recorded increases in weekly rents over the month for both houses and units with Hobart houses recording the highest weekly rental increase of 4.5% for houses and 1.8% for units.
Sydney, Brisbane, Canberra and Darwin recorded marginal decreases in both house and unit asking rents over the month to 12 March 2019. 
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="6" valign="top" width="100%">SQM Research Weekly Rents Index</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="2" valign="bottom" width="35%">Week ending: 12 Mar 2019</td>
<td valign="bottom" width="14%">Rent</td>
<td valign="bottom" width="13%">Change on prev week</td>
<td valign="bottom" width="19%">Rolling month % chg</td>
<td valign="bottom" width="17%">12 month % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">Sydney</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">706.9</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">0.1  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.5%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">-4.3%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">507.2</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">-0.2  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.7%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">-3.2%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">Melbourne</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">543.6</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">-0.6  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.0%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">2.3%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">420.1</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">0.9  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">0.7%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">4.0%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">Brisbane</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">456.8</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">-0.8  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.1%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">2.1%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">370.9</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">0.1  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-1.0%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">1.2%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">Perth</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">440.5</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">0.5  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.1%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">4.2%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">333.3</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">1.7  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">1.4%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">2.0%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">Adelaide</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">394.8</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">1.2  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">0.6%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">3.4%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">302.4</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">0.6  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">0.9%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">2.3%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">Canberra</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">644.9</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">3.1  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.0%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">4.1%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">455.1</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">-0.1  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-1.2%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">4.0%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">Darwin</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">490.3</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">-0.3  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-2.8%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">-9.5%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">378.4</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">-0.4  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-1.6%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">-8.6%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">Hobart</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">437.7</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">6.3  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">4.5%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">3.7%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">364.4</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">-2.4  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">1.8%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">-0.2%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">National</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">447.0</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">2.0  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.2%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">0.9%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">360.0</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.6%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">0.8%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2" valign="top" width="20%">Cap City Average</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Houses</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">559.0</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">1.0  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.2%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">-0.2%  </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">All Units</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="14%">441.0</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="13%">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="19%">-0.2%  </td>
<td valign="top" nowrap width="17%">-0.2%  </td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
Source: <a href="http://www.sqmresearch.com.au/" target="_blank">www.sqmresearch.com.au</a>
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National vacancy rate steadies in February: SQM Research 

<html><body>
Data released by SQM Research revealed the national residential vacancy rate predictably declined to 2.2% in January, down from 2.5% in December 2018.
SQM had the total number of vacancies Australia-wide declining to 72,574 – some 9,984 fewer properties are now available for rent in December 2018.
All capital cities, except Hobart experienced a decline in their vacancy rates in January with Darwin currently having the highest vacancy rate of all capital cities at 3.8%, down from 0.5% on December’s vacancy of 4.3%.
Although Hobart increased its vacancy rate marginally by 0.1%, it still remains the lowest of all capital cities at 0.5% for January 2019.
Sydney’s vacancy rate, although declining, is still currently the second highest of all capital cities at 3.2% with 22,426 properties available for rent. 
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td width="13%">
City
</td>
<td width="12%">
Jan-2018 Vacancies
</td>
<td width="16%">
Jan-2018 Vacancy Rate
</td>
<td width="14%">
Dec-2018 Vacancies
</td>
<td width="15%">
Dec-2018 Vacancy Rate
</td>
<td width="12%">
Jan-2019 Vacancies
</td>
<td width="14%">
Jan-2019 Vacancy Rate
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="13%">
Adelaide
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
2,793 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="16%">
1.5%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
2,383 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="15%">
1.3%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
2,141 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
1.1%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="13%">
Perth
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
8,909 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="16%">
4.4%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
6,935 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="15%">
3.4%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
6,121 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
3.0%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="13%">
Melbourne
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
9,744 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="16%">
1.8%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
12,619 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="15%">
2.2%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
10,564 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
1.9%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="13%">
Brisbane
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
11,505 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="16%">
3.6%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
10,519 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="15%">
3.2%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
8,911 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
2.7%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="13%">
Canberra
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
569 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="16%">
0.9%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
829 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="15%">
1.3%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
594 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
0.9%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="13%">
Sydney
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
15,775 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="16%">
2.3%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
25,177 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="15%">
3.6%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
22,426 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
3.2%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="13%">
Darwin
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
941 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="16%">
3.1%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
1,317 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="15%">
4.3%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
1,193 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
3.8%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="13%">
Hobart
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
126 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="16%">
0.4%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
121 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="15%">
0.4%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
144 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
0.5%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="13%">
National
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
74,113 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="16%">
2.3%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
82,558 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="15%">
2.5%
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="12%">
72,574 
</td>
<td valign="bottom" nowrap width="14%">
2.2%
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
SQM’s calculations of vacancies are based on online rental listings that have been advertised for three weeks or more compared to the total number of established rental properties.
SQM considers this to be a superior methodology compared to using a potentially incomplete sample of agency surveys or merely relying on raw online listings advertised. 
The managing director of SQM Research, Louis Christopher said, the decline in vacancies is expected in January as December usually has a higher seasonal listings.
"It still appears to be a tenants market in Darwin and Sydney where vacancy rates are high at 3.8% and 3.2% respectively," he said. 
"Going forward, we expect another seasonal decline in vacancies for the month of February.
"However for the year our expectation is national vacancy rates will rise at the national level, driven by rises in Sydney." 
The decline in vacancies saw asking rents for houses in capital city increase 0.2% over the month to 12 February 2019 to $560 a week.
Unit asking rents also increased 0.7% to $442 a week. Over the year, asking rents for houses declined 0.4% while unit asking rents remained steady.
Hobart recorded the highest weekly rental increase of 4.8% for units but house weekly rents declined 0.6% declined. Just 12 months ago, Hobart’s house asking rent had increased by 4.3%.
Sydney, Melbourne and Perth recorded marginal increases in both house and unit asking rents over the month to 12 February 2019.
Whilst Darwin, Brisbane and Adelaide recorded declines in weekly rents for both houses and units.  Canberra’s house rentals increased 1.6% but unit asking rents declined 1.7%.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/2/12/sqm%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/2/12/sqm%201.jpg" alt="">
SQM's <a href="http://www.sqmresearch.com.au/graph_vacancy.php?region=nsw::Sydney&amp;type=c&amp;t=1#terms" target="_blank">methodology page</a> explains how SQM’s vacancies are compiled.
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Vacancy rates decline in January across most capital cities

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SQM's Louis Christopher has forecast dwelling prices across Sydney are likely to fall 6 percent to 9 percent during 2019. 
It will happen for the most part in the first half of the year, he suggests.
"There is a chance we may well see a bottoming out but that is dependent on a number of events which have not yet unfolded, for example we may see the RBA intervene in the market," he told a <a href="http://harrispartners.com.au/resources/videos" target="_blank">Harris Partners podcast</a>.
"It's looking increasingly likely that this will be a 15%-20% peak to trough decline."
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
Christopher described the inner west as a market "correctly fairly fiercely" because the market was overvalued.
"I think we will still see some fairly rapid falls," he said.
Christopher noted the ongoing crosschecking of loan applicants incomes and expenses.
"That will result in a number of potential buyers having less borrowing power.
"I fear there may be a second credit crunch playing out in 2019.
"If the RBA come to the view that these price drops could lead to an economic recession, it is likely they will cut rates to put a floor in the market place."
Louis Christopher is the <a href="http://sqmresearch.com.au/about-us.php" target="_blank">managing director at SQM Research.</a> 
 
 
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SQM's Louis Christopher affirms Sydney prices to fall 6 percent to 9 percent during 2019

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<div>
<div>EXPERT OBSERVER</div>
</div>
<div>
 Just a quick update on a few thoughts and stats on the market as we start the new property year off this weekend.   Firstly, Sydney and Melbourne valuation points have improved with the price declines but both markets remain heavily overvalued on our favoured measurement, which is house prices to nominal GDP. Both markets could do with another year of price drops. If we were to have it (and we think there will be more price declines), then valuations would at least return to closer longer term trends for Sydney. Melbourne still needs to correct some more. <img src="https://gallery.mailchimp.com/9badbd870addb4af72206c2eb/images/94248197-92c6-4585-87be-a0f3318f26a7.png" data-imagetype="External">
</div>
<div>
 <img src="https://gallery.mailchimp.com/9badbd870addb4af72206c2eb/images/06d1119b-c91c-42eb-bacd-aa0bba793422.png" data-imagetype="External">
</div>
<div>
 Of course, there is a massive difference between where prices ‘should’ be and where they may actually go. All I do know is when housing prices do eventually bottom in this cycle (very unlikely to be this year), the housing bears will no doubt be forecasting (and demanding!) yet more declines. Housing bears are notoriously hopeless in picking housing market bottoms and I can assure you now it will be no different in this cycle! As mentioned, this coming weekend will be the opening of the new auction season for Sydney and Melbourne. We can expect just over 150 auctions in Sydney and around 200 for Melbourne. As each weekend goes by in February, auctions numbers will increase to the point where the market will should reach its full volume on the 2nd of March with about 850 to 1000 Saturday auctions that day for each city.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a> As per the opening of each season, auction clearance rates will likely rise from the December lows. I am expecting Sydney to rise back into the late 40s or maybe early 50s after unreported results. While Melbourne may reach the high 50s. Be careful of the media reading too much into this. Some may herald this as a recovery in the housing market.  It won’t be. Just recall this time last year the market opened up with Sydney recording a clearance rates in the high 50s and Melbourne actually touched 70%. No, this downturn still has some legs to run yet. As mentioned above, Sydney and Melbourne remain heavily overvalued despite the price falls that have happened, there is a election just a few months away where negative gearing is at play, and then the banks are still being very draconian on providing loans to the market. But I have noticed one thing – there are more bargain hunters in the market. And the first home buyers are somewhat out. This downturn has been going on for over 18 months now. Its not new any more and the longer it goes for, the more sensitive it will be to any stimulus thrown at it.  APRA have also signalled a reversal of policy. Back prior to Christmas, APRA scrapped its interest only <a id="LPlnk67935" href="https://sqmresearch.us5.list-manage.com/track/click?u=9badbd870addb4af72206c2eb&amp;id=2a328c6fb0&amp;e=0aab96dc54" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable">lending limits</a>, which was in our view the final straw for the market when the interest only limits were brought in earlier 2017.  Speculation is rising that the next move from APRA may well be to lower the 7% buffer threshold to maybe 6% or lower still. This buffer is a minimum servicing requirement that’s of the loan applicant if they could handle an average lending rate of 7%. With average lending rates in the 4s it is now very hard to see a scenario where lending rates lift by some 300 basis points. In the current environment, doing so would probably see revolution on the streets, let alone the deepest housing crash in history.   So, what are our forecast again? <img src="https://gallery.mailchimp.com/9badbd870addb4af72206c2eb/images/d8d04315-ef9c-44aa-9857-46476dcd0c83.png" data-imagetype="External"> Nothing much has changed in our view since the release of our results. We think our base case is very much in play but I do also think the odds have increased just a little more that instead of a possible rate cut later this year, the RBA will lean on APRA as mentioned above. Doing so may well create the same effect as a rate cut which  in turn, just might create a bottom in the current housing downturn, especially if APRA keeps loosening lending restrictions into 2020. Offsetting this view will be fears by investors over the repeal of negative gearing, assuming Labor wins in May plus the ongoing hard core scrutiny of the banks on loan applicants.  For now, there is no rush for buyers to enter into the market. But keep an eye out for easy pickings. We have quite a few distressed listings in our Distressed Property report now. Some 23,000 of them, of which, many vendors are quite negotiable…</div>
<div>
Louis Christopher is the <a href="http://sqmresearch.com.au/about-us.php" target="_blank">managing director at SQM Research.</a> 
<div>
<div id="cpgAdsenseContainerId"><ins id="aswift_0_expand" data-ad-slot="3195360564"></ins></div>
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louischristopher-TWpYcZDLBK

Housing bears are notoriously hopeless in picking housing market bottoms: Louis Christopher

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The national vacancy rate rose to 2.5 percent in December, up from 2.3 percent in November, according to SQM Research.
Sydney and Canberra were the biggest contributors, with both of their vacancy rates increasing 0.4 percent.
Sydney's vacant rate is currently the second highest of all capital cities at 3.6 percent, with 25,177 properties available for rent.
Canberra's is at a lot 1.3 percent, with just the 829 properties for rate.
Louis Christopher, managing director of SQM Research, said 2019 could become a tenants market.
"The rise in vacancies continue into December due to seasonality, with Hobart continuing to face ongoing tight rental conditions however rents in Hobart have decreased over the month for both houses and units.”
 “If current vacancy rate levels continue to rise into January and February, Darwin, Sydney, Brisbane and Perth will be a tenant’s market in 2019,” Christopher said.
The total number of vacancies Australia-wide increased to 82,558 – an additional 7,968 properties now available for rent since November 2018.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/1/15/SQM-Rents.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge</a>.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/15/SQM-Rents.jpg" alt="">
Darwin has the highest vacancy rate at 4.3 percent. 
Perth follows Sydney as the third highest capital vacancy rate, although it's remained steady at 3.4 percent from November and well down from 4.6 percent a year ago when it was the highest of all capital cities.
Brisbane edged higher in December from three percent to 3.2 percent in November. A year ago the vacancy rate sat at 3.8 percent.
Melbourne's vacancy rate is at a low 2.2 percent, but increased from its 1.9 percent rate in November. It's up just 0.1 percent from a year ago.
Adelaide rose 0.1 percent in December, but is down from 1.5 percent in December 2017. 
Hobart has continued its record low vacancy rate of 0.4 percent with no change from November.
Asking rents for houses grew 0.7 percent over the month to 12 January to $559 a week.
Unit asking rents also grew 0.7 percent over the same period to $429 a week.
Over the year, asking rents for houses rose 0.7% while unit asking rents slipped 0.2%.
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Sydney and Canberra drive national vacancy rates higher in December: SQM Research

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National residential listings jumped 7.9% in November 2018 with the expected seasonal uptick in stock on market, according to SQM Research.
Listings rose across every capital city, growing from 335,014 in October to 361,619 in November.
The rise was just shy of national listing rise of 8.1 percent this time last year.
Sydney's property listings rose by 7.5% over the month to 39,772, the highest reading since 2009. Listings are up over 20% from a year ago in the harbour capital.
Melbourne saw a November spike of 11.6% to be over 32% higher than a year ago.
Hobart saw the highest stock level surge, rising 17.2% over the month, however down one percent from last November.
Canberra (12.5%), Adelaide (11.8%), Perth (9.7%) and Brisbane (8.4%) all saw strong listing increases.
Darwin, despite being some way off the rest, saw listings rise 4.4%, 
“We are also finally seeing some relief in Hobart, with listings jumping in November, helping to reverse a shortage of properties available for sale,” he said.
Louis Christopher, managing director of SQM Research, said a rise in listings is normal in November as people try sell properties before the year’s end.
An additional weekend made it into November rather than October, also helping to lift listings over the month.
“November listings usually jump ahead of the market slowing during the Christmas and New Year’s break, so the results are expected. That said, the year-on-year increases in Sydney and Melbourne are large. The market in these big cities is now flooded with stock. Vendors who do not price their properties realistically will not sell in this market. It has been a particularly bad spring selling season for vendors and agents alike,” Christopher said.
“We are also finally seeing some relief in Hobart, with listings jumping in November, helping to reverse a shortage of properties available for sale,” he said.
“It is also likely this will be the peak in listings for the year as we expect the December reading to fall given the Christmas break," he said.
Capital city average asking prices for houses fell to $932,600 while unit asking prices were steady at $569,300 over the month to December 4.
 Asking house prices in Sydney dropped again, by 2.3% to $1.274 million, to be down 5.2% from a year earlier. Unit prices too fell by 1.0% to $696,000, reflecting the surplus of stock in Australia’s biggest city. 
Melbourne asking house prices rose 0.4% to $963,200, while unit prices were up 0.5% to $555,800. Canberra’s asking house prices in contrast rose by 0.8% over the month to $$836,500 be up 7.3% from a year ago, the greatest growth of any capital city. 
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Residential listings jump in November: SQM Research

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The total peak to trough declines in Sydney and Melbourne could reach 12 and 17 percent by the end of 2019, according to new research from SQM Research.
The most likely 'base case' prediction from SQM is that the two biggest housing markets will decline a further six to nine percent by the end of next year.
The base case forecasts assume no changes in interest rates, a Labor win at the next Federal Election with Negative Gearing repeal and CGT changes coming into effect 1 July 2020. 
The second scenario, which relies on an out of cycle rate hike by the banks and an official RBA rate cut in late 2019, suggests prices could decline up to 11 percent in both Sydney and Melbourne.
SQM also believes that, should the RBA not intervene in the market, 2020 could also record price declines due in part to the repeal of negative gearing, which is a firmly stated Labor party objective.
This would be the worst case scenario, which could see total peak to trough declines in the range of 20% to 30% for our two largest capital cities.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/11/15/SQM%20BB%201.JPG" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/11/15/SQM%20BB%201.JPG" alt="">
SQM managing director Louis Christopher said if the RBA does not respond and/or the bank lift interest rates again in 2019, it is possible the peak to trough falls in Sydney and Melbourne could be even more than this negative range.
"But we do take the view that the downturn in Sydney and Melbourne will be a significant negative for the overall economy, and so the central bank will eventually respond at some point and cut interest rates," Christopher said.
“The looming changes of Negative Gearing and Capital Gains Tax are increasingly weighing on investor sentiment. Quite frankly implementing these changes during a housing downtown is very risky and may trip the economy into a recession,” Christopher added.
SQM’s "base case"" forecast is for national dwelling prices to fall between -6% to -3%, which is a continuation of the current falls of 4.5% over the past 12 months.
Other cities will record mixed results with Hobart expected to have a third year of strong price rises of 5% to 9%.
SQM Research also anticipates a recovery in the Brisbane and Perth rental markets in 2019 with Canberra to also record solid rental increases. However Darwin will continue to record steep declines in both rents and prices as the local Northern Territory economy enters recession.
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Sydney to decline 17 percent peak to trough: SQM

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Figures by SQM Research reveal national residential listings fell slightly in October 2018 to 335,014 from 335,854 in September.
Compared to a year ago, national listings rose 3.3%, boosted by a big increase in Melbourne, where listings also bucked the national trend and increased 5.9% in October.
Over the year, the stock available for sale in Melbourne jumped by 24.3%. 
In Sydney, property listings rose by 2.4% over the month to be up 18.2% higher from a year ago.
Listings also jumped by 10.3% in Canberra over the month while asking house prices also continued to rise in the nation’s capital, compared to drops in Sydney and Melbourne. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/11/6/SQM%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/11/6/SQM%201.jpg" alt="">
Source: SQM Research
In Hobart, listings rose 0.6%, but remain down 12.9% from a year ago, reflecting a shortage of properties available for sale there.
In Perth, stock on market fell 1.1% in October, while Darwin’s listings dropped 4.9%. In Adelaide, listings dropped 3.2%. Listings were flat in Brisbane over the month. 
Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, said a slight drop in listings is normal October after a rise in September listings.
"It is typical to record a slight decline in listings in October after an initial Spring jump in September," said Christopher.
"A second surge is usual in November, before the property market slows down for Christmas, and so we expect listings to rise again this month. 
"Having said that, listings were significantly up in Melbourne, creating large recorded rises over the year, which is illustrative of the downturn Melbourne has entered into.
"In Sydney too, listings are up compared to a year earlier, as well as Canberra, as more vendors consider selling."
Asking Prices
Capital city average asking prices were steady for houses at $939,200 while unit asking prices fell 0.4% to $569,500 over the month to 6 November.
Asking house prices in Sydney fell again, by 0.3% to $1.30 million, to be down 2.8% from a year earlier. Unit prices too fell by 0.4% to $702,700, as the property market continues to correct in Australia’s biggest city. 
Melbourne asking house prices fell again to $959,200, though unit prices were up 0.5% to $553,100. Canberra’s asking house prices in contrast rose by 0.7% over the month to 6 November to be up 12.7% from a year ago, the greatest growth of any capital city. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/11/6/SQM%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/11/6/SQM%202.jpg" alt="">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/11/6/SQM%203.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/11/6/SQM%203.jpg" alt="">
Source: SQM Research
 
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Property listings slip modestly in October: SQM Research

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The national residential vacancy rate was steady at 2.1% in September 2018, according to data released by SQM Research.
The number of vacancies Australia-wide sat at 70,172 properties.
At a capital city level, Sydney’s vacancy rate remained at its highest level in 13 years, unchanged at 2.8% in September from August with 19,469 properties available for rent.  
Melbourne’s vacancy rate rose to 1.7% in September from 1.6% in August with 9,676 dwellings available for rent.  
Hobart’s vacancy rate slipped to just 0.4% and Canberra’s tightened to 0.6%. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/10/16/SQM%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/10/16/SQM%201.jpg" alt="">
Brisbane’s vacancy rate rose to 2.9% from 2.8% in September, but was down from 3.5% a year ago.
Perth’s vacancy rate fell to 3.6% from 3.7% from August, being well down from 4.9% a year ago as the oversupply of rental properties.
Darwin’s vacancy rate rose to 3.6% from 3.5% while Adelaide's slipped to just 1.1% from 1.2%.
SQM’s calculations of vacancies are based on online rental listings that have been advertised for three weeks or more compared to the total number of established rental properties.
Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, said:
“There is now an extreme shortage of rental accommodation in Hobart with just over 100 properties vacant and available to rent.  
“Hobart rents have already been rising well above the national average for the past three years and I think that is likely to continue for the foreseeable future as the construction pipeline is not keeping up with underlying demand.
“There is a similar situation in Canberra.
“While we may speak of a surplus of rental properties in our largest city Sydney, this is a timely reminder that we have a mixed national housing market overall.”
Asking Rents
Capital city asking rents for houses were steady over the month to 12 October 2018 at $552 a week, while Unit asking rents fell to 0.7% to $437 a week, SQM Research said.
Over the year, asking rents for houses rose just 0.4% while unit asking rents slipped 0.2%.
The asking rent for a three-bedroom house in Sydney remains the highest nationwide at $714 a week and $513 a week for two-bedroom units.
Asking unit rents were down 0.4% in Sydney over the month while asking house rents rose 0.9%. 
Asking rents in Melbourne have fallen, with unit down 0.7% over the month to 12 October to $406 a week while asking rents for houses fell 0.5% to $524.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/10/16/SQM%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/10/16/SQM%202.jpg" alt="">
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