Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.

The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.

That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.

The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.

A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.

&nbsp;

Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.

Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.

While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;

Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.

Joel Robinson

First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

IN BRIEF

<ul>
	<li>
	Just three double-storey Sky Homes sit at the top of The Waterline, each with its own private marina berth and rooftop terrace.
	</li>
	<li>
	Construction on The Waterline is complete, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.
	</li>
	<li>
	Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and are priced from $3.65 million.
	</li>
</ul>

<hr />
Lewis Land has opened the first completed sky home for inspection at Harbour Shores, giving buyers their first opportunity to step inside one of just three double-storey residences crowning The Waterline.

Each sky home comes with its own private marina berth, rooftop terrace and Broadwater views, combining the scale of a larger home with direct access to the boating lifestyle that underpins the wider <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366708]

Lewis Land Head of Development Michael Long said the inclusion of a berth with every Sky Home had become increasingly valuable as marina access across the Gold Coast tightened.

“Marina berths are becoming increasingly difficult to secure across the Gold Coast, so including one with every Sky Home makes this a genuinely rare offering,” Long said.

“The private 70-berth marina will accommodate boats up to 12 metres in length and is positioned just 2.5 kilometres from the Broadwater, placing the open ocean only 15 minutes away.

“Being able to step out of your home onto your boat is a rare luxury, and it’s something residents here can look forward to when it opens later this year.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366709]

The display opening comes as construction completes on The Waterline, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.

The three Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and each feature three bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive kitchens with butler's pantries and large balconies taking in the Broadwater outlook.

Each residence also has three secure basement car spaces and additional storage.

“This is the first opportunity the Gold Coast has had to step into Harbour Shores and see, touch and feel what we’re bringing to life here,” Long said.

“There are only three Sky Homes within The Waterline, ranging in size from 282sqm to 367sqm, with each residence featuring three large bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive custom-built kitchens with butler’s pantry, and large balconies capturing Broadwater views.”

<img alt="Harbour Shores" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bab65e10-4fab-45e1-92d8-fc56e2ab98ff" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-25%20at%202.00.16%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=XT8q76LsPkw3cYTsvN3JfFDaPLud90PN" />

Residents of The Waterline will have access to a private pool, along with Harbour Shores' wider collection of amenity including a lagoon pool, social clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga facilities and sauna.

Lewis Land partnered with Studio Collective to furnish the completed display, with the interiors designed to demonstrate how the residences could function as permanent homes rather than simply as show apartments.

Studio Collective Director Melissa Park said the surrounding waterways informed the interiors, but in a more restrained way than a traditional coastal scheme.

“We drew inspiration from the canals and coastal surrounds, but our approach was to interpret that subtly through layered materials and a grounded palette of earthy tones, rather than literal coastal references,” Park said.

“We introduced hero moments of green and teal to reference the surrounding waterways, while mirrored elements help reflect natural light.

“The result is a residence that feels elevated yet comfortable, somewhere buyers can genuinely imagine themselves living, entertaining and unwinding.”

Sky Homes are priced from $3.65 million.

Lewis Land is also offering private marina berths with The Residences, its limited collection of three and four-bedroom villas positioned directly along the Harbour Shores waterfront boardwalk.

Three-bedroom villas are priced from $2.99 million, while four-bedroom residences start from $3.19 million.

Harbour Shores is being marketed by Colliers International.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]

Lewis Land opens sky home display as The Waterline completes at Harbour Shores

St Vincent de Paul Society Housing Australia has filed plans for a major mixed-use housing precinct on the southern edge of the North Sydney CBD, adding another significant proposal to a pocket around North Sydn​ey Station that is quickly becoming one of the LGA's busiest development zones.

The State Significant Development Application covers a 5,990 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/1-19-mackenzie-street-lavender-bay-nsw-2060">1-19 MacKenzie Street and 211 Blues Point Road in Lavender Bay</a>, immediately south of Nor​th Sydney Station and between the commercial core and the lower-rise Lavender Bay Heritage Conservation Area.

Designed by Wardle, the proposal would deliver a new residential tower comprising 88 build-to-sell apartments and 19 affordable apartments, alongside a separate co-living building with 57 rooms and a building manager's studio.

It would also see the significant restoration and upgrade of St Francis Xavier Catholic Church, the adaptive reuse of the former school building, new parish facilities, retail, a new public square and around 1,000 sqm of publicly accessible open space.

<img alt="Vinnies North Sydney" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d5dd7f87-a617-463e-b577-17541e01f0e9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.10.13%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4R8TsFN3P_LrrXO2HswTOIrx2blil8lh" />

The project is seeking a concurrent rezoning of the site to R4 High Density Residential and an increase in the maximum building height to allow a tower reaching RL120, or up to 20 storeys. The proposal was progressed through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

The build-to-sell component will be weighted toward larger apartments, with just six one-bedroom apartments compared with 31 two-beds, 43 three-beds and eight four-bedroom residences.

The 19 affordable apartments will comprise two studios, 15 one-bedroom apartments and two two-bedroom apartments, taking the total apartment component to 107 residences before the 58 co-living rooms are included.

<img alt="Vnnies" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7d568ca5-cb90-4e18-96c6-d9795dba0c56" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.10.05%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=GY2R5M9VtQh0EKy1vajaea19PSLOPuRD" />

Wardle's design for the Vinnies site has sought to negotiate that emerging high-rise context while retaining the lower-scale character of MacKenzie Street and the adjoining heritage conservation area.

The main building adopts a three-storey podium and tower arrangement, with the podium aligned to the ridgeline and front setback of St Francis Xavier Church.&nbsp;Wardle has designed the podium with colonnades, seating, recessed entries and active ground-floor frontages, with sandstone-toned precast concrete and face brick referencing the materiality of the existing church.

The tower then steps back eight metres to the south and six metres to the north before rising in a sculpted form comprising four interlocking quadrants. Wardle has also introduced rounded forms and chamfered corners to reduce the tower's perceived bulk and improve view sharing with neighbouring development sites.

Resident facilities and outdoor areas are planned at the separation between the podium and tower at Level 3, oriented toward Sydney Harbour and the CBD skyline.

The tower itself will feature a glass reinforced concrete facade, with recessed balconies and deep reveals used both to provide shading and privacy and frame views toward the harbour and city. The lower levels take a different architectural approach, using brick and sandstone-toned finishes intended to establish a stronger relationship with St Francis Xavier Church. The Church itself will be conserved and upgraded for its continued use, while the former school building will be adaptively reused as part of the co-living component.

<img alt="Lavendar Bay" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2d4418ad-90aa-4d49-af93-c80b140aea80" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.09.47%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Kv4gzbsACaGvZSRuaqcfGC54jEJRXIDJ" />

&nbsp;

The proposal adds to an increasingly concentrated pipeline of residential development around Blue Street, MacKenzie Street and Lavender Bay.

Just west of the site, Central Element lodged plans earlier this year for one of the most significant residential developments proposed in Lavender Bay in recent years.

Central Element's SJB-designed scheme at 64-66 Lavender Street and 3-7 Middlemiss Street would deliver 163 apartments across two towers rising 23 and 32 storeys, replacing five existing apartment buildings containing 32 homes. The project also forms part of the Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-central-element-reveals-lavender-bay-apartment-plans?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener" target="_blank">First look: Central Element reveals Lavender Bay apartment plans</a>

Immediately around North Sy​dney Station, another two significant proposals have emerged at 5 and 15 Blue Street.

Zurich Australian Insurance Properties is seeking to adaptively reuse its longstanding commercial building at 5 Blue Street, directly above North Sydney Station, rather than demolishing the structure.

Its SSDA proposes converting the building into a 14-storey mixed-use development with 62 apartments and 86 co-living rooms, together with ground-floor retail and a major refurbishment of Blue Street Plaza. The application is currently at the Response to Submissions stage.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-zurich-targets-north-sydney-office-conversion-with-148-unit-proposal-above-metro-station">First look: Zurich targets North Sydney office conversion with 148-unit proposal above Metro station</a>

&nbsp;

First look: Vinnies files for 20-storey Lavender Bay apartment tower as North Sydney housing pocket heats up

When the opportunity arose for South Australian developer Palumbo to return to Kent Town, where it had previously delivered East Park Apartments and the East 
Rundle Apartments, it wasn't one the longstanding developer-builder was going to pass up.

The decision was quickly vindicated, with more than 30 apartments sold within the first month of launching <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/royal-apartments-kent-town-2-8-north-terrace-kent-town-sa-5067">Royal Apartments</a> to the market.

The 206-apartment development, which will bring significant new supply to Adelaide's tightly held eastern city fringe, also gives <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/palumbo">Palumbo</a> the opportunity to bring new life to one of Kent Town's most recognisable watering holes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376073]

Royal Apartments incorporates the historic Royal Hotel, a venue Palumbo Managing Director Daniel Palumbo said has a longstanding connection with the local community.

"Everyone in the area has history with the Royal Hotel," Palumbo told Apartments.com.au.

"It was quite an active pub and social gathering place for locals. We want to bring it back to its former glory."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376072]

The wider development will comprise two residential towers alongside the restored hotel, sitting on North Terrace opposite the Adelaide Park Lands.

For Palumbo, the project also marks a return to familiar territory.

The developer completed East Park Apartments next door more than a decade ago and jumped at the opportunity to develop in Kent Town again when the Royal Hotel site became available.

"The opportunity emerged, and we moved to secure the site," Palumbo said.

"We were approached by the previous landowner, who said they had extensive commitments in Sydney and weren't in a position to deliver the project.

"We took over the site and within six months recut the design scheme to be more in keeping with the type of development we want to bring to Adelaide.

"Now we're on the market and those changes have really resonated with local buyers."

That has translated into a strong start to sales, with 33 apartments transacting in the project's first 35 days.

Palumbo said the early purchaser profile had been consistent with the group's traditional focus on owner-occupiers rather than investor-led apartment stock.

"Local owner-occupiers have always been our market," he said.

"There are always some investors, but we've never developed what would be called traditional development stock. Owner-occupiers are very much our market."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376068]

The buyer mix has been diverse so far, with downsizers and younger professionals both accounting for a significant portion of early sales.

South Australia's current stamp duty settings, which allow&nbsp;eligible homeowners in South Australia aged 60 savings of up to $103,830 on stamp duty when they downsize to a new property valued at up to $2 million,&nbsp;have helped encourage downsizer activity, while younger buyers in their late 20s and early 30s have been attracted to the opportunity to live immediately outside the CBD while still being able to walk into the city.



Location has been a major part of the proposition for both buyer cohorts.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376075]

Royal Apartments sits on North Terrace directly opposite the Adelaide Park Lands, with residents able to walk through the parklands toward the East End, Rundle Street and Rundle Mall.

Apartments have been positioned to capture views across the parklands, Adelaide skyline, Botanic Gardens and Adelaide Hills.

Palumbo believes the scarcity of developable land along this section of the Park Lands makes the site particularly difficult to replicate.

"There's very few allotments on that side that can be developed," he said.

"If this location was in New York and you were sitting on Central Park, you'd be talking about a $60 million apartments."

Royal Apartments will offer a broad mix of residences, ranging from one-bedroom apartments through to four-bedroom sub-penthouses and penthouses.

Current listings include one-bedroom apartments from $680,000, while larger three and four-bedroom residences are priced around $2.5 million.

Residents will have access to a swimming pool, gym, barbecue and recreation areas, residents' lounge and dining space, and a communal deck.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376067]

The apartments will feature generous balconies, while secure parking, bicycle storage and storage cages will also be provided.

A porte-cochère-style arrival and drop-off area has also resonated with buyers, particularly those attracted to being able to walk into the CBD during the day while retaining secure vehicle access at home.

Palumbo is acting as developer, architect and builder on Royal Apartments, continuing the vertically integrated model it has used across its South Australian portfolio.

The group was also behind the $150 million Sofitel Adelaide, the 251-room five-star hotel and residential tower which opened in 2021.

Palumbo said Royal's launch had come at an interesting time for the broader Adelaide apartment market.

Buyer confidence had initially been impacted by uncertainty surrounding the Federal Budget and broader economic conditions, but Palumbo believes sentiment is beginning to improve against a backdrop of significant investment flowing into South Australia.

He pointed to increased activity across defence and resources, including Olympic Dam, as potential long-term drivers of the state's economy and housing market.

"Money is starting to flow into Adeliade, significant amounts as Adelaide bucks the trend of the rest of the country.," Palumbo said.

"There's a lot of activity in the economy over the next decade. I think more investment will come into this market."

Early works on Royal Apartments are expected to commence this year, with major construction activity and cranes anticipated on site from early next year.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6109]

Palumbo's return to Kent Town strikes early chord with buyers

Go-to builder-developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/graya">GRAYA</a> is continuing to bulk out its already impressive and diverse apartment portfolio across South East Queensland. Their latest milestone is securing development approval for Silk, its boutique riverfront apartment development in St Lucia.

The approval clears&nbsp;the way for the team to begin construction planning for the 22-residence project.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/silk-st-lucia-16-18-sandford-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">Silk</a> will rise 15 levels from an 810 sqm site at 16-18 Sandford Street, occupying a prominent bend of the Brisbane River with a prized northern aspect across Orleigh Park toward the Brisbane CBD.

The approved scheme will comprise 16 split-floor and six full-floor residences, continuing GRAYA's move into larger-format apartment developments targeting Brisbane's prestige owner-occupier market.

The project has been designed around the site's broad river frontage and dual-direction views, with GRAYA prioritising larger residences, privacy and outlook over apartment yield.

<img alt="Silk St Lucia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa5c2349-f96c-4914-a812-1f2cd6827af8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%208.25.44%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=WY0vEU_7vYjeRJKQHiCwFdMxu8PvFh52" />

GRAYA Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer Rob Gray said the project had been shaped around local homeowners wanting to remain in St Lucia without maintaining a traditional family home.

"St Lucia is one of those suburbs people do not want to leave," Gray said.

"They know the river, the trees, UQ, the golf course, Toowong and Indooroopilly, and that familiarity is hard to replace.

"True riverfront opportunities here are exceptionally scarce. What we have designed at Silk is a way to stay in the suburb people love, with the scale and privacy of a private home and far less to maintain.

"This is not typical apartment product. It is a proper home on the river, and that is exactly what this market has been missing."

The approval comes as new apartment development continues to increase across the St Lucia and neighbouring Toowong corridor, although direct riverfront sites remain considerably more tightly held.

GRAYA Co-founder and Managing Director Andrew Gray said securing the approval had removed a significant element of development risk from Silk.

"Genuine riverfront sites of this quality in St Lucia are not something that comes up regularly," Gray said.

"The approval removes a substantial layer of execution risk, and the location underwrites demand in a way very few inner-city sites can.

"The fundamentals here are as strong as anything we have assessed in Brisbane."

<img alt="Silk St Lucia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d0f3d734-65e1-48e8-8ed3-2e0715ffcdd9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%208.25.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sOLSs_jdHkXLWbBKzRyayf5BfTb2vPsD" />

Silk will see GRAYA return to a stretch of the Brisbane River where it already has recent construction experience. The vertically integrated group recently completed ARC in neighbouring Toowong as builder for developer Spyre, delivering the riverfront project on a constrained site.

GRAYA will take a different role at Silk, controlling the project from design and development through construction and aftercare under its vertically integrated model.

The development will include a gym and resident leisure areas at ground level, integrated with the river's edge.

Silk joins a growing pipeline for GRAYA across Brisbane and the Gold Coast, which includes Enclave, The Gallery, Coral and Ripple.

The developer-builder has also recently lodged plans for its largest project to date, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-silo-19-chester-street-newstead-qld-4006">The Silo</a>, a proposed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/graya-buys-frasers-newstead-site-plans-the-silo-between-james-street-and-gasworks-precincts">$700 million mixed-use development</a> in Brisbane's James Street precinct.

Silk is expected to predominantly target local owner-occupiers and prestige buyers seeking a permanent riverfront home in Brisbane's inner west.

Registrations of interest are now open, with further details on the project and construction program to be released as it progresses.

<hr />
<h2>SILK PROJECT FACTS</h2>

Developer-builder: GRAYA

Project: Silk

Location: 16-18 Sandford Street, St Lucia

Apartments: 22

Built form: 15 levels

Site: 810 sqm riverfront holding

Mix: 16 split-floor and six full-floor residences

Status: Development approved

Next step: Construction planning underway

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152168]

GRAYA greenlit for riverfront St Lucia apartment development, Silk

Property Prices

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<div>
A new report by market analyst BIS Shrapnel is predicting that property prices in most national capitals will fall over the next few years.
Not by much in Sydney and Melbourne, but Perth and Darwin aren't looking pretty.
Brisbane, Canberra and Hobart will escape the fall.
A lower population growth, increased apartment supply, a weakening economy and lack of affordability will offset the impact of lower interest rates and investor demand.
Hardest hit will be apartments, particularly in large apartment complexes, due to a record 220,000 new dwellings to be started this financial year.  
</div>
<div>
"As these dwellings reach completion, all states with the exception of NSW will have moved into over-supply, or be experiencing an increasing over-supply," said the report's author Angie Zigomanis.
"Rising supply and weakening investor demand will play an increasing role in the price outlook of Australia's capital cities over the next three years,"  said Angie Zigomanis, the chief of BIS Shrapnel's residential research unit.
Sydney is expected to be 1 per cent lower in 2019, or a real decline of 9 per cent over the period after taking account of inflation.
Melbourne is expected to be 1 per cent lower in three years, or a real decline of 8 per cent.
House and apartment prices are expected to fall in real terms in five of the nation's eight capitals with Perth forecast to slump by 23 per cent.
Darwin will continue struggling to recover from the collapse following the end of the mining boom.
<div>
Zigomanis, a senior manager, said 2016-17 will remain "relatively stable" but underlying pressures of oversupply, falling overseas demand and affordability will begin to erode gains.
He predicts a cyclical downturn that will take until the end of the decade to recover, assuming broader economic recovery to revive the property sector.
BIS Shrapnel senior manager and study author, Mr Angie Zigomanis, said the rate of price growth in Sydney and Melbourne has slowed in 2015/16.
"Investor demand has been a key driver of the upturn in both markets and moves by the regulator to slow growth in bank lending to investors have seen investors retreat.
"At the same time, dwelling completions are rising to record levels and the increasing supply/demand imbalance will increasingly dampen price growth.
"In particular, the boom in apartment construction over the last couple of years is creating a disconnect in the supply balance between detached houses and units, with a resulting difference in their price outlook.
“In fact, nearly all capital cities are building apartments at record rates on the back of the recent strength in investor demand,” said Zigomanis.
“As these projects are progressively completed, it is likely that there will not be enough tenants in a number of cities to support rents and consequently values upon completion."
The report noted national population growth in 2014/15 was at its second lowest level since 2005/06, with net overseas migration falling from 229,400 persons in 2011/12, to 176,500 persons in 2014/15 – although there have been wide variations across the states. 
"Meanwhile, the change in gears from resource investment to domestic demand driving the economy continues to be slow and economic growth nationally is muted.
"Without a substantial acceleration in economic conditions, employment and income growth will also be slow. Even in the stronger growing states of New South Wales and Victoria, there is further limited upside to prices."
The best prospects for median house price growth over the next three years are forecast to be in the Brisbane and Hobart markets, followed by Canberra. 
Interest rates are expected to remain low enough to provide some support to prices as investors should be able to meet their mortgage repayments despite potentially having to discount rents to attract tenants.
"Consequently, owners will be able to hold their properties through this weaker period with few forced sales likely to be taking place to create significant downward pressure on prices," the report noted.
 
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

BIS Shrapnel sees property price falls ahead

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Melbourne houses are now at market peak, according to the HTW June 2016 property clock.
Melbourne joins NSW's Central Coast, Dubbo and Newcastle also deemed at their peak.
Melbourne was approaching the peak last month, according to the valuation firm, Herron Todd White.
Bundaberg and Townsville in Queensland are placed at the bottom of the property cycle.
<a href="/images/2016/06/09/Screen%20Shot%202016-06-09%20at%202.40.30%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/06/09/Screen%20Shot%202016-06-09%20at%202.40.30%20PM.png" alt="" width="841" height="531">
 
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Melbourne houses now at market peak: HTW June property clock

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Generalisations about property markets are a major source of misleading information for investors.
The worst examples usually emanate from economists who speak about “the Australian property market” as a single homogenous entity. 
A statement such as “Australian house prices rose 7 percent last year” implies there was 7 percent growth across the nation, when it reality there were a few locations with double-digit growth, some with minor movement, many where prices hardly moved at all and others where prices went backwards, in some cases a lot.
We’ve had three years of empty rhetoric about property prices “soaring” and bubbles emerging, all based on a long-overdue revival of the Sydney market and action in some parts of Melbourne.
Even speaking about what happened or will happen to prices in a single major city is too much generalization to be of any use to buyers and sellers.
The entity described as “the Sydney property market” is a place with over 700 suburbs, with markets ranging from $370,000 units in Liverpool to $900,000 houses in Rouse Hill to top-end locations like Mosman where the median house price is $3 million.
Distilling all of that and more into a statement such as “Sydney property prices rose 3.6 percent in May” is the hallmark of lazy, incompetent analysts whose primary interest is publicity rather than being useful to consumers.
A study of the latest Market Monitor from the Real Estate Institute of Queensland provides plenty of evidence that generalised single-figure numbers to describe a large city are both pointless and misleading.
The report finds that the median house price in the Brisbane City LGA rose 6.1 percent in the past year. That’s the figure that 99% of media would report, indicating that Brisbane has a solid market but one that isn’t booming the way Sydney did until recently.
But Market Monitor delves deeper and provides figures for individual suburbs, revealing there are plenty of places which did a lot better than the generalised figure and a few where median prices were in reverse.
Middle ring areas in the Brisbane Southside precinct did well in the past year, including Coorparoo (up 11 percent), Holland Park West (up 12 percent), Macgregor (up 17 percent), Sunnybank Hills (up 12 percent), Eight Mile Plains (up 10 percent), Mansfield (up 11 percent), Wishart (up 15 percent) and Robertson (up almost 20 percent).
Similar areas on Brisbane City’s Northside have also out-performed, including Banyo (up 17 percent), Grange (up 16 percent), Hendra (up 13 percent), Wooloowin (up 16 percent), Sandgate (up 17%) and Mitchelton (up 11 percent).
In contrast, there is evidence of falling values in upmarket areas like Hamilton, Ascot, St Lucia, Teneriffe and Hawthorne, all suburbs with median house prices above $1 million. But the median price for New Farm (median house price $1.5 million) is up 15 percent.
The report also shows the impact of over-building of inner-city apartments, with the median unit price down 1.4 percent in the CBD, down 4.5 percent in Fortitude Valley and down 1.7 percent in West End. Median weekly rents have fallen in the past year in several of the inner-city unit markets, according to the REIQ data.
Heading south to the Logan City part of Greater Brisbane, the generalised figure indicates the median house price has risen only 4 percent in 12 months. But suburbs with annual growth above 8 percent include Browns Plains, Heritage Park, Loganlea, Waterford and Waterford West. Logan Central, Forestdale and Woodridge all had annual growth in the 13-15% range.
Logan City’s opposite number in Brisbane’s far north is the Moreton Bay Region, which has emerged recently as the No.1 rising market in the metropolitan area. Most suburbs in this LGA have median house prices in the $300,000s and $400,000s – and affordability is a major driver here. 
The generalised figure says house prices have risen 5% in 12 months, but many suburbs have done better, including Albany Creek, Banksia Beach, Bongaree, Burpengary East, Caboolture, Clontarf, Ferny Hills, Narangba, Toorbul, Warner and Woody Point - all of which recorded annual growth between 8 percent and 12 percent. Upmarket Newport on the Redcliffe Peninsula also grew 12 percent.
On the Gold Coast, house prices rose 5.8 percent on average, but there are 20 residential suburbs with growth between 10 percent and 20 percent.
By contrast, the apartment market is under-performing, with the median unit price in Surfers Paradise largely unchanged, while the medians for Broadbeach, Labrador and Mermaid Beach all dropped 5 percent in the past 12 months.
Surfers Paradise, Broadbeach and Mermaid Beach all have median unit prices considerably lower than five years ago, while Labrador and Southport are unchanged.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Three years of empty rhetoric about property prices “soaring": Terry Ryder

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GUEST OBSERVER
With plenty of hype around US property agent Jonathan Tepper’s predictions that Australian property prices will fall by 50 percent, here are ten reasons I think the Aussie property bubble won’t burst. 
1. Australia has high credit quality
Australia and the US are two completely different markets. Australia has higher quality home loans thanks to stricter lending criteria and requirements, which means borrowers who are approved for loans can generally afford to service them. In contrast, banks in the US at the time of the GFC were lending to people who hadn’t provided paperwork and couldn’t service the loan – a recipe for disaster.
2. Not as many foreclosures
Borrowers in the US weren’t required to stump up a deposit to get a mortgage. To make matters worse, banks had no recourse so a borrower could walk away from a property without being sued. In contrast, Australians can no longer borrow 100% of the property value, and lenders can seek financial retribution if a borrower defaults. Australian borrowers are therefore less likely to default on their home loan, resulting in fewer foreclosures.
3. You need to compare apples with apples
A major problem with Tepper’s examples is that he was talking about the US as a whole and not comparing apples with apples. We need to compare prominent cities with other prominent cities, like Sydney with New York, which didn’t have much of a collapse during the GFC. No one would compare Logan in Queensland with Manhattan, would they? It just doesn’t make sense.
4. Financial bodies are closely monitoring the market
Down under, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority is keeping a close eye on the market and responding swiftly. For example, last year when APRA found there were too many investors driving up the Australian property market, it brought in new regulations that required lenders to reduce their investor loan books. The banks responded quickly and as a result we haven’t seen a major drop in the property market.
5. We have a strong employment market
For a 40-50% property collapse to occur, there need to be massive job losses and foreclosures – but we are seeing the opposite in Australia, as unemployment has dropped to around 6%.
6. There’s a limited amount of land available
The US is covered coast to coast with property, whereas in Australia we are restricted to areas around the coast where there is water and amenities, so we have a limited amount of properties available. We also have record migration at the moment, which will underpin prices for land.
7. Continued property demand from foreign investors
The Australian market is also being propped up by continued investment by overseas buyers from countries like China.
8. The market is similar to 2003
If you compare the percentage of disposable income today to what it was in 2003, it is somewhat similar. Back then, the RBA increased the official cash rate and prices slowed down. However, prices still moved along with inflation – they didn’t drop. So we’ve seen this happen before and we are just as leveraged now as we were then.
9. The RBA has room to move
The good news is today the Reserve Bank of Australia still has 2% to play with, so if the market did start to collapse the RBA could push the official cash rate to 0%, which would help homeowners get through the tough period financially.
10. We have negative gearing
The US didn’t have negative gearing when the GFC occurred – and still doesn’t today. But tax benefits Down Under drive behaviour as many investors are willing to lose a portion of their wages for the benefit of capital gains and bringing down their taxable income. Even if negative gearing concessions were to be slashed, property prices are unlikely to drop by 50%.
So where will the Australian property market go?
Property clearance rates are improving from last year despite predictions the market would keep dropping, so I’m still tipping prices will go up by 3-4% and will keep up with inflation. 
Watch this space…
STEVE JOVCEVSKI is a property investment and home loan negotiator at <a href="https://mozo.com.au/" target="_blank">Mozo.com.au</a>.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Ten reasons the property bubble isn't going to burst: Mozo's Steve Jovcevski

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Almost everyday there's a new contradictory report backed up with data and opinion on Sydney's anticipated price direction. Who to believe? The spoiler or spruiker? What to do with your life?
The likelihood is no-one really knows, especially given the negative gearing doubt, but owner occupiers should thoughtfully proceed with caution in this low interest rate environment, while investors will continue t weight up their chase for yield without emotion.
Estate agent John McGrath recently advised that at the end of housing booms, buyers can get a bit obsessed with timing.
"They often hold off believing (or rather, hoping) prices will fall and this delays their purchase," he said, suggesting it comes at a potential cost.
He says after being in the game for 32 years that buying the best property you can afford, when you can afford it; and holding it for the long term is always the best play.
"Believe me, time in the market is much more important than timing the market when you buy," he suggested.
True, but overpay and then sell during the dips Sydney has periodically recorded in recent years, and it's a costly loss. 
Recently $2.62 million secured a Woollahra terrace that sold at $2.7 million in 2007, which provides delicious conversation at the home buyers' house warming.
At Rose Bay, a Harry Seidler-designed penthouse sold last week for around the same $5.6 million price bought it for a decade ago.
The 2/20 Ian Street, Rose Bay apartment sold on Friday ahead of a planned auction through 1st City agents Alexander Gold and Rod Fox.
 
There are plenty of near backward prices undermining another adage that Sydney property doubles every seven years.
The more recent housing cycles have necessarily seen this adage adapted to every 10 years.
But I saw a Macquarie Street, Sydney CBD apartment sell recently at $2 million, having been bought off the plan in 1999 at $1.01 million.
Nationally only 32 percent of homes are currently reselling at double or more than their purchase price, typically owned for 17 years.
Cameron Kusher at CoreLogic RP Data did some research on the decade to January 2016, finding home values across the combined capital cities increased by 72 percent which suggests values aren't doubling over the decade.
If we look at the split between houses and units, house values are 73 percent higher compared to 64 percent increase in unit values.
Although combined capital city home values haven’t doubled over the past decade, the previous decade was quite a different story.
Between January 1996 and January 2006 combined capital city home values increased by 151 percent with house values up 159 percent and unit values 110 percent higher. B
Taking a look at value growth across individual capital cities shows a diversity in results as Melbourne was the only capital city housing market where home values doubled over the past decade.
Home values in Sydney and Darwin have each recorded increases of more than 75% over the past decade.
Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth, Hobart and Canberra increased by less than 50%. 
But over the 10 years to January 2006, home values more than doubled across every capital.
It all suggests the days of rapid value rises are behind us, or or at least for most of us.
This article was first published in the Saturday Daily Telegraph.
 
 
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It's taking longer to double your property price

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The housing market concluded 2015 with a whimper, with national house prices falling again at the national level in December. However, strong price growth in the first half of the year meant that prices were still up solidly over the past year.
But the current environment of subdued demand is likely to see price growth remain sluggish as we move into 2016.
<a href="/images/2016/01/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-11%20at%2010.25.42%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/01/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-11%20at%2010.25.42%20AM.png" alt="" width="891" height="258"> 
Prices fell across the key markets of Sydney and Melbourne in December in seasonally adjusted terms. Prices in Sydney have now fallen for three consecutive months – the first such run in nearly five years. 
Prices are being driven by softer demand and sentiment in the housing sector. Tighter regulation and higher interest rates have contributed to auction clearance rates falling from their recent peak. As clearance rates dipped further in December, to a three-year low in Sydney, house prices have been correspondingly soft (Figure 1). 
<a href="/images/2016/01/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-11%20at%2010.28.46%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/01/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-11%20at%2010.28.46%20AM.png" alt="" width="806" height="580">
Falling prices were prevalent across most of the smaller capitals too in December. However, one brighter spot was Brisbane, which experienced rising prices over the past two months. This is consistent with our belief that Queensland’s economy has turned the corner, supporting housing sentiment. In addition, the absence of earlier price growth to the extent of Sydney or Melbourne means that there is less room for unwinding over the near term (Figure 2). 
<a href="/images/2016/01/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-11%20at%2010.28.57%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/01/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-11%20at%2010.28.57%20AM.png" alt="" width="797" height="547">
<a href="/images/2016/01/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-11%20at%2010.31.55%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/01/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-11%20at%2010.31.55%20AM.png" alt="" width="780" height="552">
 
Cherelle Murphy is co-head of Australian economics, ANZ and Daniel Gradwell is economist. They can be contacted <a href="https://bluenotes.anz.com/authors/our-economists/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Australian house prices finished 2015 on a whimper: ANZ Research

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GUEST OBSERVER
Property prices will rise next year, despite some plateauing in recent weeks.
The late 2015 Melbourne property market has been a remarkably balanced affair in terms of the relative power of buyers and sellers. Supply has been strong, with a record number of 1000-plus auction weekends. But there has also been enough buyers out there to soak up the supply. Only just though, as evidenced by the lack of price movement since the end of winter.
After the strength of the market over the preceding three years, it is tempting to extrapolate this result as the turning point downwards for the market. But I suspect there is some more capital growth to come off the back of residual momentum.
Come late February 2016, when the property auction market reopens, I expect buyers will once again outnumber sellers.  This is a common seasonal characteristic of the early autumn market, just as there tends to be a glut of sellers in the late spring market. 
Buyers are typically ‘ready and keen’ to buy sooner in the calendar year after the long summer holidays than sellers.
There are of course headwinds for the market: a strong pipeline of new properties, especially apartments, adding to supply; tighter prudential lending rules making borrowing slightly more expensive and scarce; overseas buyer demand is moderating after a strengthening of foreign investment rules; falling rental yields; and, not least, the impact of three years’ capital growth on affordability.
On the other hand, interest rates remain at a historically low level and an interest rate rise is a distant likelihood. Even with softer rental yields, prospective investors enjoy an unusually small ‘funding gap’ – the difference between their borrowing costs and the net rental return.
Allied to this, participation in the market is likely to be supported by the relatively benign economic conditions: stable unemployment, low inflation and reasonable consumer confidence.”
Winter Blues?
The outlook becomes more uncertain in the second half of 2016.
By June 2016, it will be 15 quarters, or just under four years, since the start of the latest upswing in Melbourne property prices. That’s an impressive run. It is almost inevitable that there will be a pause or even a downturn at some point in the not too distant future. 
However, should it turn out that we are not at the bottom of the Reserve Bank’s cash rate interest rate reduction phase – which may be the case given that few of us would have predicted even a year ago that the cash rate would go as low as today’s 2% – then price growth may persist, albeit modestly, across 2016.”
Where will prices be in 2026?
Although fun to crystal ball gaze into 2016, thinking about where prices will be in ten years’ time – in 2026 – is more worthwhile.
Ultimately, if you’re planning to invest in property next year, it should be with the intention to stick with that asset for at least seven years and ideally ten.  Over that longer time frame, prices are far less volatile and more predictable than they are year-to-year.  Choose a great asset and I can’t tell you whether it will rise or fall in value next year, but I’m very certain it will double in value after 10 years.
By great assets I mean established one- and two-bedroom apartments and two-bedroom period-style houses on quiet, attractive residential streets in inner suburban Melbourne that are proximate to transport, village-type shopping strips, schools and health facilities. Select older-style architecture and all units should have dedicated off-street parking and be in blocks containing no more than around 20 apartments.
What to avoid in 2016
Whilst it is difficult to call when the market will turn, there are certain parts that should be avoided in 2016.
The Federal Government has been vigorous over recent months in putting in place and policing measures that address widespread non-compliant property purchases by non-residents. Whilst a small proportion of buyers overall, overseas buyers were sufficiently concentrated in some school-belt Melbourne eastern suburbs to push prices beyond fair value.  We anticipate that there may be a pullback in prices in suburbs such as Balwyn, Box Hill and Mont Albert in 2016, as these markets adapt to a fall in demand.
The high rise multi-apartment sector in our CBD and surrounds will almost certainly struggle under the weight of a massive pipeline of new properties expected to flow into the market over the next 12 months. It’s hard to have a good word to say about a sector where so many buyers are marketed a dream and sold a nightmare. 
But let me try: If making money is not your goal and you want to be in the city, then you may be able to buy an affordable high rise apartment in 2016. But make sure you buy it second hand.  You’ll probably secure a 20%-plus discount on the price of new apartments because you’re not paying for a developer’s marketing costs and you’re dealing with a vendor who cannot sell it to overseas buyers because it isn’t new.
Paul Nugent is a director of <a href="https://www.wakelin.com.au" target="_blank">Wakelin Property Advisory</a>, an independent firm specialising in acquiring residential property for investors.
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Further growth for Melbourne property prices in early 2016: Wakelin's Paul Nugent

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Aircraft noise has had minimal, if any, impact on property prices in suburbs near or under the flight paths to Brisbane Airport, a QUT analysis of 26 years of property sales, rental and investment performance has found.
The study found property prices in some high-value suburbs with high noise complaints rose at a greater rate than other similar suburbs unaffected by aircraft noise.
Property economist Professor Chris Eves and Andrea Blake from QUT’s School of Civil Engineering and Built Environment and the QUT Air Transport Innovation Centre analysed price, saleability, investment performance and capital growth from 1988 to 2014 of residential properties in 40 Brisbane suburbs either near the airport or under a flight path.
“It is the most detailed and comprehensive analysis of the impact of aircraft noise ever undertaken in Australia,” Professor Eves said. The study was commissioned by Brisbane Airport Corporation.
“In total we looked at more than 180,000 sales transactions in 40 suburbs ranging from those whose residents recorded the highest number of noise complaints to those which reported minimal or no aircraft noise.
“Our findings suggest that factors such as proximity to transport, the Brisbane CBD, schools, recreation facilities, the airport and other services, far outweigh any negative impact experienced as a consequence of being under a flight path or from aircraft noise.”
Professor Eves said the suburbs were classified by the number of aircraft noise complaints recorded by Air Services Australia over the past five years. These suburbs were classified  as having high, moderate or minimal/no noise complaints.
“Our analysis shows very little difference in growth of house prices across high-value suburbs regardless of where they were situated or their exposure to aircraft noise.
“For example, Bulimba, which is under an existing flight path and records moderate noise complaints, has capital returns slightly higher than New Farm which is not subject to any noise complaints.
“The capital returns for Ascot and Balmoral, which are currently not under a flight path, are less than the capital returns for Bulimba.”
Professor Eves said units and townhouses under Brisbane flight paths also showed no impact on investment performance from aircraft noise.
“Rental properties under the existing main southern flight path, which attracts the highest level of noise complaints, have a rental market increasing at the same percentage as properties not located under an existing flight path,” he said.
“In fact, over the 26 years, units and townhouses in the high noise complaint suburbs showed an average annual capital return of 7.66 per cent, which is higher than the capital returns in the moderate noise complaint suburbs of 7.40 per cent, but slightly lower than capital return for no noise complaint suburbs.
“In higher value, middle socio-economic suburbs, two of the highest average annual capital returns for the 26-year period for houses were achieved by Camp Hill (9.52 per cent) and Cannon Hill (9.72 per cent).
“Each of these suburbs is under the main southern flight path and subject to high noise complaints. In contrast, Bardon with minimal/no noise complaints achieved 9.02 per cent.”
Professor Eves said Hendra, another higher value middle socio-economic suburb, adjoining the airport, had recorded moderate noise complaints but outdid them all and achieved an average annual capital return of 10.9 per cent.
“Hendra is not currently under a flight path but will be when the New Parallel Runway opens in 2020,” he said.
“Even when we looked at the only two lower- value, middle socioeconomic suburbs in the study, we found similar effects.
“Mt Gravatt East, which records moderate noise complaints under the existing flight path, had, at 7.93 per cent, a higher average annual capital return than the Brisbane median of 7.72 per cent.
“In contrast Chermside West, which has minimal/no noise complaints under the existing flight path, had below the median growth of 6.46 per cent?
“Overall the study found that the value and price of housing and units in Brisbane located under flight paths are determined by a range of factors other than aircraft noise.”
Professor Eves said that when the new proposed flight paths open in 2020 there would be many suburbs which had less noise because aircraft movements would be shared.
Brisbane Airport Corporation (BAC) corporate relations head Rachel Crowley said the potential negative impact on property values was a cause of concern for people living near an airport or under a flight path.
“We’re pleased that this study may provide some comfort to people who may be anxious about whether or not their property value is constrained by their location under a flight path,” Ms Crowley said.
“We also hope this study may convince property developers, vendors and real estate agents that being open and transparent about the presence of a flight path should not negatively impact sale price.
“Airports are essential national infrastructure and the importance of their ability to operate unencumbered cannot be over-stated.  
“Queensland is in the fortunate position of having its major gateway airport  both well-located and well-protected by a significant buffer of industrial land which protects residents from the worst aircraft noise experienced in cities which have residential development far closer to the airport.”
Suburbs in the study were:
High noise complaints 
Morningside,
Coorparoo
Camp Hill
Cannon Hill
Tarragindi
Seven Hills
Tingalpa
Norman Park
Holland Park West
The Gap
Murrarie
Belmont
Moderate Noise Complaints
Gordon Park
Northgate
Bulimba
Mount Gravatt East
Balmoral
Clayfield
Ashgrove
Chapel Hill
Wynnum
Fairfield
Hawthorne
Ascot
Minimal/no noise complaints
Annerley
Mitchelton
New Farm
Mansfield
Virginia
Chelmer
Sherwood
Jindalee
Forest Lake
Kenmore
Graceville
Hamilton
Suburbs under south flight path
Morningside
Camp Hill
Seven Hills
Mt Gravatt East
Balmoral
Murrarie
Tarragindi
Coorparoo
North flight path
Ascot
Hendra
Albion
Chermside West
Ashgrove
Bardon
New flight path (2020)
Hamilton
Annerley
Stafford
New Farm
No flight path
Mansfield
Mitchelton
Wooloowin 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

What noise? Property prices in Brisbane suburbs under flight paths continue their climb

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A new report suggests retail property prices will be built up by investors due to tightening yields, improved consumer sentiment and other asset classes not providing the same stability.
The LJ Hooker Commercial Retail Market Monitor said the value of retail transactions dropped in 2014-15, with the downturn attributed to the lack of available stock, with regional centres hit the hardest.
“Investment transaction activity was a little subdued in the first half of 2015, constrained in dollar terms by the low level of stock available,’’ he said.
“Regional centres have been consolidated on the back of improved retail spending.
"Queensland’s capital and secondary markets experienced a halving of retail turnover from 5.3% in 2013 to 2.5% in July this year.
“But we’re expecting a considerable turn-around for Queensland eclipsed, not surprisingly, only by Sydney and New South Wales over the next two years."
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mick.cee-iDmgDDAmu8

Tight yields to drive retail property investors

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Brisbane is gaining a reputation as Australia's most affordable eastern capital with price growth potential, according to Herron Todd White.
Herron Todd White's October Month in Review found entry level and mid-range property within 10km of the CBD is going great guns and said buyers are 'sheep-dogging' over each other when an appropriately priced property hits the market - preferably second hand unit stock.
HTW said it’s price accessible, in locations that have a lot of rental demand and for a few grand, you can spruce up the space and add some value.
"Attached housing in the $330,000 to $550,000 range is doing well. Try Coorparoo and Greenslopes for units and townhouses at $330,000 to $400,000. That price point will land you an unrenovated, 2-bed, 1-bath abode in a 1980s complex. Townhouses at $450,000 to $550,000 are 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom for the record," HTW noted.
"For detached housing, the sweet spot is in the $600,000 to $800,000 bracket around the mid/ inner ring,
"You can get great quality homes at a fraction of the Sydney prices. Coorparoo, Camp Hill and Norman Park provide high set 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom dwelling in average condition on a 405 square metre to 607 square metre allotments at this price point. Our expectation is that this sector will continue to perform over the remainder of the year.
"Capital growth is tracking at approximately 5% per annum for the past 12 months and there is a good level of supply at present to match the demand, which is coming predominately from owner- occupiers."
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