National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.

Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]

The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.

Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.

"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.

"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.

"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]

Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.

The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]

Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.

Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]

Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.

Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]

Joel Robinson

Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.

It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 52-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.

Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.

While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]

Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 52-storey tower, which has just shy of 250 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.

The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.

"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.

"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.

"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]

One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.

"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.

While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.

"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.

"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]

There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.

As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.

"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.

A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.

The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]

A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.

It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.

Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.

The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]

"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.

"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.

"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]

The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.

Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]

The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.

The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]

Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.

Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]

While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.

It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.

Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]

That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.

Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

As apartment living continues to evolve across Sydney's growth corridors, the quality and distribution of shared spaces is increasingly shaping how residents experience home. Rather than functioning as add-ons, amenities are being embedded into the daily rhythm of a building, supporting everything from quiet retreat to social interaction, often within a single vertical community.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aeris-melrose-park-nursery-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Aeris</a> in Melrose Park, this approach is resolved through a layered amenity offering that unfolds from ground level through to its upper podium. Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> in partnership with Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project introduces 468 apartments across two towers and a mid-rise building, positioned at the highest point of the broader masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=359199]

The amenity experience begins at street level, where two courtyards sit within a landscaped setting that connects residents to the wider network of parks and green spaces. These green spaces are not isolated pockets but part of a wider pedestrian network that links Aeris to the surrounding <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a> precinct, including Central Park, future schools, and the Town Centre opening in July 2026. The result is a transition that moves from public to private without abrupt boundaries, allowing residents to pass through shaded, tree-lined environments before reaching the building itself.

Moving upward, the focus shifts to the level five podium, where the primary communal facilities are concentrated. This space brings together a 16-metre swimming pool, outdoor seating areas, and a communal BBQ zone arranged to take advantage of elevated outlooks. Seating is positioned beneath pergolas, creating pockets of shade that extend the usability of the space throughout the day. The pool edge aligns with views toward the wider district, reinforcing the sense of elevation that defines the project’s positioning.

In the adjacent building, this is complemented by quieter, more contemplative spaces, including an outdoor cinema set within the same level. Positioned to operate primarily in the evening, it introduces a different tempo to the shared environment, shifting from daytime activity to after-hours use without requiring separate zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360299]

The podium also accommodates an intimate private resident gym. Located on the lower levels, it gives residents convenient access to fitness facilities without leaving the building.

Above, the elevated podium sky deck extends the amenity offering, providing additional open-air spaces with elevated outlooks across the surrounding landscape. While more restrained in program, this upper level reinforces the project’s vertical progression, from ground-level greenery to elevated outlook, allowing residents to move between distinct spatial conditions within a single address.

This distribution of amenities reflects a deliberate response to how residents use space across the day. Sekisui House Australia Sales and Marketing Director Peter Kalaf points to the role these shared areas play in shaping buyer demand. Aeris has been conceived as more than a collection of apartments, with the podium pool, gym and outdoor cinema forming part of a broader lifestyle offering that extends the home beyond each individual residence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360300]

What distinguishes Aeris is not the inclusion of these elements individually, but how they are arranged in relation to one another. Active, social, and passive spaces are layered vertically rather than separated, allowing residents to choose between them without leaving the building or moving far from their apartment. This proximity supports both routine use, such as a morning swim or evening workout, and more occasional gatherings, whether around the BBQ area or within the cinema setting.

The amenity design also sits within a broader framework of connectivity across Melrose Park. The Melrose Park Town Centre, anchored by Coles and Dan Murphys, features a mix of retail, dining, health and lifestyle offerings, bringing everyday convenience closer to residents. By the end of the year, more than five hectares of parks and open space, equivalent to around seven football fields of green space on residents' doorstep, will further enhance the precinct, allowing the internal facilities at Aeris to operate as an extension of the wider neighbourhood rather than a substitute for it.

Construction at Aeris continues to gather momentum, with ground floor slabs expected to be completed in late 2026 before the first sections of the buildings begin to rise above ground.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=426]

Elevated amenity anchors daily life at Aeris, Melrose Park

Repeat buyers are one of the strongest measures of confidence in any apartment development.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/era-newcastle-west-124-126-bull-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">ERA</a> in Newcastle West, some purchasers are returning to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> after living at the developer's One Apartments. Their decision to purchase again was driven by the quality of life they found after moving into their first GWH home.

Keith Wilton had spent years living in a house in East Maitland before deciding it was time for a change. Apartment living had always been on his radar, but he was selective about what he wanted.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/FH_1EzB-1vs?si=XScVlP1ERsTDJoME" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

"I had some boxes I wanted to tick," he says.

Keith points to the open-plan design, generous outdoor areas and considered inclusions as key reasons One Apartments worked for him.

“One of those things was a nice indoor open plan area, but also I wanted a nice outdoor open area that I could entertain on in summer or Christmases or birthdays,” he says.

He also found value in the smaller details, from integrated appliances to shared resident spaces including the pool, cinema and rooftop areas.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356818]

After comparing several developments, he chose One Apartments because of GWH's longstanding local reputation and his own experience working with the developer on a commercial project more than a decade earlier.

"I knew that they were local, that the quality of the build was going to be up there. I'd looked at other apartment complexes around and close by, and I just knew that here was a better decision location wise."

Today, Keith says the move has completely changed how he experiences Newcastle.

"I enjoy living in this location because it's more of a lifestyle change. That Newcastle city living where you can walk to restaurants and bars and even beaches and parks and even shopping across the road."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356828]

Beyond the location, he says it's the sense of community that has surprised him most.

"Everyone loves living here because they chose to live here, but everyone looks out for each other. It's a real great community feel here."

For Aimee and Lyle Goodman, the journey started almost by chance.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/tsioMLcnjas?si=zq-ys3JuWpfa5hFv" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

The couple happened to be having coffee in Newcastle when they noticed the site where One Apartments was about to begin construction.

"We were aware GWH was planning a development," Aimee says. "We made one phone call and things moved pretty quickly after that."

As busy business owners, they initially thought apartment living would simply reduce the maintenance that came with larger homes. Instead, it fundamentally changed how they spent time together.

"We actually catch up more as a family now," Aimee says.

"We've had homes with big yards and lots of space, but everyone ended up in different rooms. Here we'll have dinner together, the kids can play, and we spend far more quality time together."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356829]

Lyle says their confidence came from GWH's reputation within Newcastle's building industry.

"I know people who've worked across different apartment projects, and whenever GWH came up the feedback was always the same. They're rock solid. They're quality."

That confidence only grew throughout the buying process.

"One of the things that really impressed us with GWH was the whole process, was the communication," Lyle says. "It was consistent, it was regular, there was no problem if we had some weird questions, there was no problems in getting answers."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351104]

Aimee says one moment stood out.

"The project actually finished on time. We realised we needed to hurry up and sell our house because everything was happening exactly when they said it would."

The positive experience at One Apartments ultimately gave all three buyers the confidence to purchase again with GWH, this time at ERA.

Their confidence reflects what many buyers are seeking in today's apartment market. Location remains important, but so too does certainty around delivery, quality and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356822]

ERA builds on those foundations with 280 one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two landmark towers in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Newcastle West</a>.&nbsp;

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">Fender Katsalidis</a>, the project will include more than 2,000 square metres of resident amenities, including a resort-style pool, gym, sauna, private cinema and rooftop entertaining spaces overlooking the harbour and coastline.&nbsp;

The development is also within walking distance of the Newcastle Interchange, Honeysuckle, Darby Street, the harbour foreshore, restaurants, retail and the city’s beaches, continuing the walkable lifestyle that existing GWH buyers say has transformed how they live.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356826]

For Keith, the appeal remains straightforward.

"You feel at home even before you've moved into your home."

For Aimee, the change is measured in time.

“I just felt like I had more time,” she says.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351102]

Construction at ERA is now underway, with more than half of the residences already sold and limited two and three-bedroom apartments remaining in the East Tower release. Priced from $980,000 for two-bedroom residences and $1.46 million for three-bedroom residences, buyers can secure an apartment with a 10 per cent deposit, with premium homes offering ocean views from Level 8 and harbour views from Level 10.

ERA is also backed by Resilience Insurance's 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing protection against structural or waterproofing defects for 10 years after completion. The project is anticipated to be completed in early 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135096]

From ONE to ERA: Why buyers are choosing GWH again in Newcastle West

Interest Rates

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<img src="/images/2016/07/22/D819360E-D22F-45A0-950B-1527D8EA443823.png" alt="">
SPONSORED POST
If you are a home owner and a property investor the the new Mortgage Down loan will allow you to dramatically reduce your principal and interest home loan rate.
“Mortgage Down allows the property investor to pay of their home loan sooner and create equity in their own home faster. This gives the property owner more opportunity to create additional investments,” says Mortgage Down group marketing director Venn Williams.
Under a tax ruling from the Australian Taxation Office PR2015/2, the loan structure allows investors to reduce the interest rate on their non-deductible principal and interest home loan and increase the interest rate on their deductible interest-only investment loan. “If you own your own home and have an investment property, then you could qualify for a home loan rate beginning with a 2,” Williams says.
The average interest rate for a standard variable owner-occupied mortgage from a bank was 5.4 percent in May 2016, according to the Reserve Bank of Australia.
A 1 percent reduction in the interest rate charged on a $250,000 home loan taken over 25 years would save the borrower $43,468 over loan’s term and cut the time to repay the debt by 4 years. A 2 percent drop in the rate would save $84,640 and let the borrower repay the loan 6 and a half years sooner.
The higher interest rate charged on the investment loan means the investor may be able to claim a larger tax deduction.
The innovative loan structure is available to Australian residents who own their home and either already have an investment property or are about to buy one.
The product offers other features such as an off set account, redraw facilities and debit cards. Usual borrowing conditions apply.
To download a free ebook on new financial year taxation tips for property investors,<a href="http://propertyobserver.com.au/forward-planning/tools/ebooks-and-webinars/55208-new-financial-year-tax-planning-tips-for-property-investors" target="_blank"> click here</a>.
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Reduce your principal and interest home loan rate

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<div>CoreLogic's home value index for July will show that Sydney's prices have blazed 5.6 percent higher over the last quarter and a rip-snorting 10.3 percent in 2016 to date. </div>
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<div class="separator">And interest rates to fall further? Interesting times. </div>
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<div>Credit growth slows</div>
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<div>The Reserve Bank (RBA) has an inflation target of 2 to 3 percent, and the latest figures this week showed that inflation is running well below that level, and the softest inflation result in 17 years.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>On Friday the RBA released its Financial Aggregates figures for the month of June which showed total credit growth slowing.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Investor credit growth - denoted by the red line below - has more than halved to an annual pace of just 5 percent now, while personal credit growth remains weak, and business credit went backwards in the month. </div>
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<div><a href="/images/2016/08/01/RBA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
 <div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/08/01/RBA1.jpg" alt=""></div>
 <div>All up annual credit growth slowed to 6.2 percent, with broad money growth a little slower at 6 percent.</div>
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 Business...as usual <div>Unfortunately business credit growth printed negative in June, taking the annual result back to 6.6 percent, a disappointing reading which might point towards a cut in interest rates. </div>
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 Banks and housing <div> </div>
<div>While growth in term deposits remains understandably weak, other deposits with banks continue to surge at a very strong double digit pace. </div>
 <a href="/images/2016/08/01/RBA3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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<div class="post-body entry-content">
<img src="/images/2016/08/01/RBA3.jpg" alt=""> <div>In the housing market investor credit growth slowed to 5 percent, now tracking at just half the arbitrary "speed limit" imposed by APRA. </div>
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<div>Naturally banks and lenders have been pushing owner-occupier loans, but even here growth slow by a tiny fraction from 7.73 to 7.72 percent, having notched a 70-month high in May. </div>
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<div><a href="/images/2016/08/01/RBA5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
 <div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/08/01/RBA5.jpg" alt=""></div>
 <div>Total housing credit growth of 6.7 percent is now well below the 7.5 percent rate hit in November last year, which will provide some comfort that macro-prudential measures are doing what they were designed to do.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The wrap</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall, while nobody seems quite so sure any more what the split of credit relates to, total credit of $2.57 trillion is now growing at a slower pace of 6.2 percent, down from 6.7 percent in October last year. </div>
 <div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/08/01/RBA6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/08/01/RBA6.jpg" alt=""></div>
 <div>Another factor in this week's interest rate decision was that US real GDP printed at an annual pace of just 1.2 percent in Q2 2016, meaning that the US Federal Reserve won't be hiking rates soon. The Aussie dollar jumped to 76 US cents, and will probably jump higher again if interest rates are not cut on Tuesday. Bookies and financial markets are leaning towards an interest rate cut in Tuesday to a record low of 1.50 percent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. 
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
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Brace for record low rates: Pete Wargent

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EXPERT OBSERVER

The greatest fiction generated in mainstream media in 2020 is that prices have risen because we have record low interest rates.

In March/April economists and others were lining up to predict a collapse in residential property values because of the pandemic impact. Some forecast price decline as large as 20% to 30%.

Four or five months later, the usual suspects were lining up again to “revise” their forecasts. They were forced to admit they got it wrong and were now predicting much more bullish outcomes for dwelling values. Some of the bank economists are now expecting boom-level price growth in 2021.

Asked to explain why prices have held up so well, the standard answer is “record low interest rates” - a response that shows how little they know about house markets. We entered the pandemic period with record low interest rates and very little has changed.

Those who have recently explained everything real estate with the cheap cost of finance include AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver, Domain analyst Nicola Powell, Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe, ABC business editor Ian Verrender, NAB chief economist Alan Oster and economists speaking on behalf of ANZ, Westpac and the CBA.

The “record low interest rates” rationale is the go-to response for pontificators who have limited knowledge of residential property dynamics.

When Sydney and Melbourne were having their price booms from 2013 to 2017, the standard explanation from economists was “record low interest rates”. They were unable to explain why prices were falling at the same time in Perth and Darwin, and stagnating in other capital cities like Brisbane and Adelaide.

Record low interest rates were still very much in place when the two biggest cities experienced their post-boom correction, with prices falling in 2018 and the first half of 2019.

When markets generally picked up in the second half of 2019, economists again rolled out their interest-rates arguments, ignoring the impact of the multiple other events that jointly had a huge impact, including the Federal Election result, the relaxation of lending rules by APRA and the announcement of tax cuts.

So now we have most markets rising, regardless of the pandemic-induced short recession, and record-low interest rates are again the standard answer. But little had changed with mortgage rates - the RBA has shaved a miniscule 0.15 of a percentage point off the official cash rate, but this hasn’t had any noticeable impact on the mortgage rates that typical home owners and investors are paying.

And it beggars belief that Australian consumers have only recently noticed that finance is cheap. It’s been the case for years.

I would also point out that the last two times Australia had genuine nationwide property booms - in the late 1980s and in the early year of this century - on both occasions mortgage rates were high and rising.

History shows we’re more likely to have a genuine national boom in periods when rates are high, because it means the economy is booming, consumers are spending and the people who pull the levers are trying to dampen things down (and usually not succeeding) by lifting the official interest rate.

In the late 1980s and during the 2001-02-03 boom, they kept putting up interest rates and the property booms raged on.

Right now interest rates are low because the economy is struggling - a time when people are less likely to be bullish and spending big on real estate.

So, given that interest rates are clearly not an acceptable explanation, why have property markets held up so well in 2020?

As with all things in real estate, there are many different factors working in unison.

The national economy was been stronger than predicted. The recession was muted and lasted only one quarter. Unemployment did not go into double digits as economists predicted. More importantly, many local economies have been strong through the pandemic period.

With the exception of Melbourne, most of the nation got the virus under control early and it’s been busy as usual, apart from the closure of state borders.

Many Australians have sought the safety and solidity of bricks and mortar. Various surveys have shown that consumers have rated residential real estate highly as an asset class in 2020 – and it has not disappointed them.

Government stimulus measures and support from lenders has made a big difference. Support was not switched off at the end of September (economists got that prediction wrong as well) and continues to have an impact.

First-home buyers have been highly active, boosted by record levels of government aid.

Vacancy rates are ultra-low in most locations, putting upward pressure on rents and prices.

The Exodus to Affordable Lifestyle, the most powerful trend estate rend this century, is driving strong demand in regional markets and the smaller capital cities.

Expats returning home to the relative safety of Australia have more than compensated for the absence of overseas migrants coming into the country.

The combination of all those factors have allowed housing markets to resist the negative forces of the pandemic and to not only survive but thrive in 2020.

It’s put residential real estate in a strong position heading into the New Year.

Stand by for the infrastructure-led property boom in 2021.

Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au

ryder@hotspotting.com.au

twitter.com/hotspotting
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The last two times Australia had genuine nationwide property booms - in the late 1980s and in the early year of this century - on both occasions mortgage rates were high and rising



terryryder

Record low interest rates not the reason the housing market didn't collapse: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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The RBA have kept the official interest rate on hold at the final meeting of 2020, also reaffirming their previously announced quantitative easing policy.
RBA governor Philip Lowe said In Australia, the economic recovery is under way and recent data has generally been better than expected.
CoreLogic's head of research Tim Lawless says the RBA remains in ‘wait and see’ mode as the earlier heavy lifting on monetary policy flows through to the Australian economy. 
"Labour markets are tightening, housing prices are broadly rising, credit flows are trending higher and consumers are more confident now than they were leading up to the pandemic," Lawless says.
"Most indicators are pointing towards a faster than forecast recovery thanks to record low interest rates along with ongoing fiscal support and containment of the virus."
As part of the Finder.com.au RBA Cash Rate Survey, AMP Capital economist Shane Oliver says the first rate hike is unlikely until sometime in 2024.
"Given that the cash rate is already at 0.1% and the RBA does not want to take it negative, the next move is likely to be a hike. But given the high level of spare capacity in the economy, inflation is unlikely to meet the RBA’s conditions for a hike of being sustainably within the 2-3% target range for another three years or so," Oliver says.
Since the last -0.15 per cent cash rate cut on November 3 which took the official rate down to a record low 0.1 per cent, financial comparison website Canstar have found that 25 lenders have cut variable home rates by an average of -0.17 per cent.
There have been significantly more cuts in the fixed rates as lenders seek to gain the market share. 
Some 63 lenders have cut 1,138 fixed rates by an average of -0.31 per cent.
A number of lenders have reduced their floor rates to under five per cent, which Laing+Simmons managing director Leanne Pilkington says could potential deliver a major boost in borrowing capacity.
Pilkington, also the REINSW president, says however that the real winners are likely to be vendors.
“Vendors already have reason to be confident," Pilkington says.
"Clearance rates are strong, the supply shortage ensures a large buyer pool for available properties, strong prices are being achieved and low interest rates give buyers the confidence to proceed.
“Now, it appears those buyers will be able to borrow more. The buyer pool for properties coming to market potentially grows larger. More competition from more finance-ready buyers is great news for vendors.”
Floor rates are used by lenders to guide their assessment of a customer's borrowing capacity.
Finsure managing director John Kolenda says expectations of a spending spree in the lead up to Christmas this year also augured well for the domestic economy.
“There are some very positive signs of a rebound with consumer confidence and spending on the rise, which is an indicator we have likely seen the worst of the downturn,” Kolenda said.
“I expect the property market will be a strong feature of the national economy over the coming 12 months with strong results being recorded around the country.
“All signs across the economy indicate we might have hit the bottom and that rates have also hit that level and we are not likely to see any further easing in the foreseeable future." 
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

RBA stick with interest rate, QE policy at December meeting

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There are now 50 lenders offering a total of 126 home loans under two per cent.
For the average $400,000 home loan paying down principal and interest, a rate under two per cent brings the cost of mortgage repayments down to less than $50 a day.
That's compared to a $59 a day cost to two years ago, when the lowest mortgage rate was 3.44 per cent according to RateCity.com.au.
The RBA cuts over the last two years, which takes the lowest rate down to 1.77 per cent, sees the average mortgage holder save $12 a day on their home loan, which is around $360 a month and $4,380 a year.
 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/NOV/30/RateCity%20repayments%202.jpg" alt=""> 
There are 50 lenders now offering a total of 126 home loan under two per cent, 40 per cent of the 124 lenders on the <a href="http://ratecity.com.au/">RateCity.com.au</a> database with at least one home loan rate starting with a ‘1’.
There were 11 lenders with rates under 2 per cent right before the November 3 RBA cut. Since then, the list has more than quadrupled.
RateCity.com.au research director Sally Tindall said home loan rates under two per cent were becoming the new norm. 
‘At the start of this month a rate under two per cent was as rare as hens’ teeth. Today there’s well over 100 of them," Tindall said.
“Record low interest rates have supercharged people’s borrowing power. As a result, some first home buyers are finally finding themselves in contention at open homes and auctions."
The latest ABS lending finance figures show there was a 51% increase in the number of first home buyer loans over the last year in original terms.
“The formula of record low rates and government grants seems to have hit the sweet spot for many first home buyers. They’re finally enjoying their time in the sun," Tindall added.
“Two years ago, the lowest variable rate was 3.44 per cent. Today its 1.77 per cent and it’s not just the low-cost lenders that have moved. The whole market has been forced to follow behind them.
“Just last year, owner occupiers with a rate in the threes probably thought they had a cracking deal. Today, you’d be pretty mortified with that."
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50 lenders offering average mortgage rates at $50 a day

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Steady decline in average mortgage interest rate to continue: RBA's Guy Debelle

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Despite the preference for lenders to cut their fixed rates to entice new customers, there are some lenders cutting their variable rates.
Canstar found that last week over 10 lenders cut their variable rates, at an average cut of 20 basis points, or 0.20 per cent.
The home lenders who cut rates are:  
<ol>
<li>AMO Group</li>
<li>Aussie</li>
<li>Greater Bank</li>
<li>G&amp;C Mutual Bank</li>
<li>Heritage Bank</li>
<li>Hume Bank</li>
<li>MOVE Bank</li>
<li>Qudos Bank</li>
<li>Suncorp Bank</li>
<li>The Capricornian</li>
<li>Tic Toc Home Loans</li>
</ol>
 Over the last week, 30 lenders cut 576 fixed rates by an average of -0.32 per cent.
The average variable interest rate for owner occupiers paying principal and interest is 3.33% and the lowest rate is 1.77% (60% LVR) or 1.99% (80% LVR)
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/NOV/23/Owner%20occupier%20PI.jpg" alt="">
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wdavis-8cCN98p7xp

Lenders cutting variable and fixed rates

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The Reserve Bank has left the cash rate on hold today at 0.25 per cent but has left the door open to a future cut.
While home-owners won’t be getting an RBA cut from their bank this month, they can still save thousands by refinancing.
New figures released by the RBA today show the average existing mortgage holder had a home loan rate of 3.19 per cent in August, yet new owner-occupier customers were offered, on average, a rate of just 2.69 per cent.
RateCity.com.au database
<ul type="disc">
<li>Lowest variable rate is 1.89%</li>
<li>Lowest big four bank variable rate is 2.19% (Westpac, intro rate for 2 years, reverts to 2.69%)</li>
<li>87 lenders have at least one fixed or variable rate below 2.50%</li>
<li>12 lenders have at least one fixed or variable rate below 2%</li>
</ul>
RateCity.com.au analysis shows the average owner-occupier would pay $33 less a month with a 0.15 per cent rate cut, but if they refinanced to the RBA average new customer rate their monthly repayments could drop three times as much.
RateCity.com.au research director, Sally Tindall, said mortgage holders don’t need to wait around for the RBA to save money.
“While home-owners didn’t get any reprieve from the RBA this month, they can still make significant savings by shopping around."
“If you’re fortunate enough to still have your regular income and a decent amount of equity in your home, you’re in prime position to capitalise on the refinancing boom."
“According to RBA data, the average existing home loan customer is on a rate that’s half a percent higher than a new customer."
</body></html>

RBA holds but home-owners can triple savings by refinancing: RateCity

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The RBA have resisted a cut to the official cash rate at their October meeting today, with the budget announcement tonight expected to have kept the RBA waiting.
They noted in their meeting statement that they are still considering <a href="/expert-insights/finance/board-continues-to-consider-how-additional-monetary-easing-could-support-jobs-rba-governor-philip-lowes-october-2020-meeting-statement">how additional monetary policy can support jobs</a>.
CoreLogic's head of residential research Tim Lawless says the focus will now be on whether the stimulus measurers announced in the budget tonight are enough to offset the tapering of JobKeeper and the effect of higher mortgage arrears as home loan repayment deferrals become less prevalent.
"Such a low setting for interest rates, along with policies aimed at ensuring liquidity across financial markets, has been a key factor in supporting housing market activity and insulating home values", Lawless said.
"With the cash rate and mortgage rates set to remain low or reduce even further, prospective home buyers are likely to feel more confident in making high commitment purchasing decisions, such as property.
"Government incentives, such as the first home loan deposit guarantee, the first home buyers grant and the HomeBuilder grant, along with state based incentives such as stamp duty discounts, have supported greater levels of participation from first home buyers, while existing mortgage holders have been shopping around for the best mortgage rates fuelling a surge in refinancing
Mortgage Choice chief executive Susan Mitchell said it was unlikely to board would cut today despite hinting at a cut.
“Board members will wait to digest the Federal Budget announcement before making their next move," Mitchell said. 
CreditorWatch economist Harley Dale says the RBA will likely reduce the cash rate in due course. 
“Tonight, it is the turn of the Federal Government to set out a clear agenda for recovery in what is the most important fiscal update in close to a century.” 
<div>Westpac's chief economist Bill Evans had <a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-now-expect-rba-to-cut-in-october-bill-evans">pencilled in a cut for October</a>, but when the government announced the budget for the same day, he <a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-push-rba-rate-cut-forecast-to-november">pushed the cut to November.</a>
</div>
<div>
Graham Cooke, insights manager at Finder, said that a standalone cut of 15 basis points is unlikely to have much of an impact on Australia’s economy.
“The cash rate has fallen by 125 basis points over the last year and a half– 15 more is unlikely to make much of a difference beyond making the RBA feel like they are at least doing something.
“The decision to hold the rate for now also suggests that the RBA wants to assess the budget in detail before making a decision about further moves,” he said.
</div>
<h1>A good time to buy?</h1>
Two thirds of experts in the Finder survey say now is a good time to buy property.
Some 86 per cent of respondents said the housing market is showing more resilience than anticipated, with one of Commonwealth Bank's worst case scenario's tipping more than 30 per cent falls. 
<div>
 <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/10/6/to%20buy%20finder%20experts.png" alt="">
Rebecca Cassells of Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre said that government stimulus measures during the pandemic have largely propped up the property market. 
“The current resilience of the housing market is related to the stimulus that both federal and state governments are directing to the sector and not necessarily driven by current economic conditions,” Cassells said.
When asked about the areas where house prices are most likely to retain their value, those who weighed in cited the coastal surrounds of Sydney (50%, 9/18), followed by Greater Melbourne (41%, 7/17). 
 
<div> </div>
</div>
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RBA keeps rates on hold at October meeting

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EXPERT OBSERVER
We think the RBA will leave rates on hold today but keep the door open for more easing depending on the outcome of the budget and other economic news in the coming weeks, particularly the inflation numbers due in a couple of weeks. Our focus is more on the liquidity measures as they have a direct impact on lending and investment.  Our data suggests that investors are starting to move into the real estate investment market as low rates start to bite into both their savings and future cashflow projects. Early signs are of a faster than expected Melbourne recovery, but we’ll get a better idea of this trend in coming months. 
Bottom line: Future cuts will have a minimal impact on market lending rates, particularly to ordinary real estate investors. But liquidity measures loosening or tightening are perhaps more important. Bond yields are pricing in a lower for longer rate scenario and we think a November cut is more likely than October. Talk must be followed by action. 
Stephanie Davies is the investment director at Wealthi.
 
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