Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Interest Rates

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Heritage Bank are the latest to announce they are cutting rates following the RBA's decision earlier in the month to cut for the first time since August 2016.
Heritage Bank haven't passed on the full rate cut, deciding to cut its variable home loan rates by 20 basis points.
Their Discount Variable home loan rate is now 3.57%, down from 3.77%.
Peter Lock, CEO of Heritage Bank, says the rates remained among the sharpest available in the market place.
He said Heritage had considered the best interests of all its customers, investors as well as borrowers, in coming to the decision.
“We have to think about both depositors and borrowers when we make these decisions.
“A 0.20% reduction in variable rates means our rates remain highly competitive, and strikes the right balance for us and our customers.”
Lock said Heritage’s customer-owned status meant it did not have the deep pockets of the big banks.
“We don’t set out to make massive profits, so our margins are lower than the big banks. In addition the big banks have a funding cost advantage that smaller customer-owned banks don’t enjoy. We continue to actively work with the Government to address this imbalance.  “Despite the imbalance we still have home loan interest rates that as a whole remain lower than those offered by the big banks.”
“We always make decisions to balance the best interests of all our customers at heart, not to maximise profit, so our rates stayed lower through that period.”
Of the big four banks, <a href="/news/cba-announce-full-rate-cut-after-june-rba-meeting">Commonwealth Bank</a> and <a href="/expert-insights/finance/nab-joins-cba-in-full-0-25-rate-cut-to-historic-lows">NAB</a> both passed on the full rate cute, while ANZ <a href="/expert-insights/finance/anz-first-to-pass-on-part-of-june-2019-rba-rate-cut">passed on 18 basis points</a> and Westpac <a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-to-cut-by-0-2-but-more-for-io-borrowers">passed on 20 basis points</a>.
Demand for fixed loans rising
Despite the declining variable rates across the majority of banks and lenders, it was demand for fixed rate home loans that rose in May.
According to new data from Mortgage Choice, fixed rate home loans rose over May, accounting for 22.47% of all home loans written.
Mortgage Choice CEO Susan Mitchell said over the last 12 months, fixed rates have accounted for 21.81% of all loans written.
"When you consider what has been happening in the market, the increase in demand is hardly surprising," Mitchell said.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/20/Mortgage%20Choice%20May%20rates.jpg" alt="">
“Lenders on our panel have been aggressively discounting fixed rate home loan products, which has been effective in enticing more borrowers to commit to a fixed term.  “With rates as low as 3.49% p.a*., it’s unsurprising to see an increasing proportion of borrowers choosing to fix.” The data revealed that fixed rate demand was highest in Queensland, where 26% of borrowers opted for this type of home loan. 
This was followed by Western Australia, where 25% of borrowers chose to fix the interest rate on their home loan. Borrowers in Victoria were the least likely to fix, with 15% of borrowers choosing this type of product.   The most popular home loan products in May were ongoing discount Variable Rate loans followed by Basic Variable rates. “For those borrowers who may be considering fixing part or all of their home loan, now could be a good time to do so," Mitchell said.
"Current fixed-rate loan pricing presents good value by long-term standards. 
Mitchell suggested it is good new in particular for first home buyers who are looking to take advantage of government schemes and record low interest rates to enter the property market. 
“While news of low interest rates is certainly going to pique borrower interest, it’s equally important that borrowers remember the interest rate isn’t the only component of a home loan and they should look for the right loan product and features for their short and long-term needs." 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Rate cuts continue as Heritage Bank pass on 20 basis point cut

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ME Bank has announced a historic rate cut, slashing its 2 year fixed home loan rate to 3.43% p.a. – the lowest rate ever offered by the bank.
ME’s 2-year fixed rate is available to home loan customers with a Member Package (for owner occupiers paying principal and interest with an LVR &lt;80%).
The bank has made further rate cuts across its fixed home loan range by as much as 30 basis points.
The changes come into effect on the 18th June 2019.
ME Bank previously announced they will be passing on the full RBA rate cut to variable home loan customers.
The announcement came three days after the <a href="/expert-insights/finance/rba-cut-official-cash-rate-to-a-historic-low-1-25-at-june-2019-meeting">RBA rate decision</a> and was to come into effect on 27th June 2019.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/18/ME%20Bank%20new%20rates.JPG" alt="">
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

ME Bank cuts fixed home loan rates to record low of 3.43 per cent

<html><body>
Australia’s low rate lenders continue to battle it out with variable rates reaching as low as 3.09 per cent.
Over the past few days, non-bank lender Reduce Home Loans launched a new product at 3.09 per cent, receiving the honor of the new lowest ongoing variable rate.
The product is for new customers with a 40 per cent deposit (60% loan-to-value ratio, LVR).
Mortgage House has also dropped its lowest variable rate in the past couple of days, down to 3.14 per cent for people living outside of NSW with a 30 per cent deposit (70% LVR), while loans.com.au has dropped its lowest rate to 3.28 per cent.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/13/Latest%20cuts%201.JPG" alt="">
(Source: Ratecity.com.au)
Ubank, a subsidiary of it's parent company NAB has announced it will be passing on the full 0.25% rate cut effective June 28, and will apply to both new and existing customers.
<div class="cell-value" data-reactid="181">One competitor, Greater Bank, has broken the 3% barrier with a fixed home loan rate of just 2.99% for the first year before being bumped to 4.1%.</div>
<div class="cell-details" data-reactid="182"> </div>
<div class="cell-details" data-reactid="182">Further below are the lowest fixed home loan rates for 1, 3 and 5 year home loans as well as the latest changes to savings and deposit rates.</div>
RateCity.com.au research director Sally Tindall said the non-bank lenders were climbing over each other to claim the lowest rate.
“Ideal borrowers are increasingly being rewarded with lower rates. If you’re an owner-occupier paying down your debt with a bit of equity up your sleeve you’re in the box seat when it comes to rates."
“If the RBA cuts again, we will almost certainly see variable rates drop below 3 per cent,” she said.
A side effect of the ongoing rate cuts is that Australia’s credit card debt accruing interest has slid to the lowest level in over 11. 
The RBA credit card statistics released this week show Australia’s debt accruing interest on personal credit cards is now $29.5 billion, down 4.9 per cent year-on-year, and at it's lowest levels since December 2007.
Notably the number of personal credit card accounts has fallen 3.1 per cent year-on-year.
There are now 470,088 fewer active accounts than there were in April 2018.
In addition to this Sally Tindall said, “banks are cracking the whip at their end under instructions from ASIC to assess a person’s ability to repay their entire credit card limit within three years."
“As a result, credit limits have fallen to the lowest level in more than three and half years as new customers are being forced to cut back," she concluded.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/13/Latest%20cuts%202.JPG" alt="">
(Source: Ratecity.com.au)
New research from Finder found that Australian households could lose over a billion dollars in interest on their savings, following the Reserve Bank’s cash rate cut on Tuesday. 
According to their findings, if banks pass on the RBA’s 25 basis point interest rate cut in full, Australians will lose a whopping $1.3 billion in interest over the course of a year. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/13/latest%20savings%20cuts.JPG" alt="">
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What are the latest home loan cuts and who's making them? 

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EXPERT OBSERVER
<div id="post-body-8300417078442297736" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>One of the most important releases of the global calendar, the US nonfarm payrolls, confirmed things are turning back down in the face of slower growth and trade war concerns. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Earlier in the week there had been a similarly weak indicator from a private payrolls report.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Nonfarm payroll employment increased by just +75,000 in May 2019 according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and critically there were also substantial downwards revisions to March (-36,000) and April (-39,000). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Combine a weak monthly gain of +75,000 with a combined revision of -75,000 and you get...not very much, although at least this did mark a record 104 consecutive months of gains. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The 3-month average gain is now just above +150,000, having been above +200,000 for much of 2018 and 2019. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-oCxVjG5jgE4/XPrPZcmCKyI/AAAAAAAAwZo/XIaPMHwveNQBQXCQcFF_y92gxVmx3g-7QCLcBGAs/s640/NFP1.jpg" width="640" height="368" data-original-height="800" data-original-width="1389"></div>
 The unemployment rate held steady at 3.6 per cent. <div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-VV6mk5t6S2Q/XPrPZQdLQBI/AAAAAAAAwZs/3T9WL5W_p5MDtBBnLiuydEN132e6RBW4QCLcBGAs/s640/NFP2.jpg" width="640" height="382" data-original-height="833" data-original-width="1390"></div>
 But annual average hourly earnings growth slowed to +3.1 per cent. <div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-6K-7SN1xz_A/XPrPZfVYmjI/AAAAAAAAwZw/6CDgCikRDroi5irW2jUAMrfmfWIjNo5_ACLcBGAs/s640/NFP3.jpg" width="640" height="364" data-original-height="790" data-original-width="1385"></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>A couple of Antipodean observations.</div>
<div>
 Firstly, hard though it is to imagine, markets are pricing a 4 in 5 chance of the Fed cutting interest rates as soon as July(!). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>And secondly, looking at unemployment rates from Japan to Germany, Netherlands, the US, UK, Taiwan, and South Korea - all 4 per cent or considerably lower in many cases - it's not hard to imagine that Australia's NAIRU could be much lower than previously assumed. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>For that reason and others, markets are now pricing in two further rate cuts in Australia over the next 12 months.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I was travelling yesterday and didn't get around to posting the pre-election housing finance figures, which showed a small uptick for homebuyers and a decline for investors.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Speaking with a few mortgage brokers yesterday, there has been a surge of enquiries since the election, and especially now interest rate cuts are being passed on.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Importantly, while banks were previously taking up to a couple of months to return documentation, not the figure is back down to about a week, so things are 'back to normal' in that regard. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>. </div>
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Rate hiking cycle crashes and burns: Pete Wargent

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ME Bank has announced they will be passing on the full RBA rate cut to variable home loan customers.
The announcement comes three days after the <a href="/expert-insights/finance/rba-cut-official-cash-rate-to-a-historic-low-1-25-at-june-2019-meeting">RBA rate decision</a> and comes into effect on 27th June 2019.
On the day of the RBA rate decision all of the Big Four banks as well as a number of smaller lenders announced cuts of varying size.
Both <a href="/expert-insights/finance/nab-joins-cba-in-full-0-25-rate-cut-to-historic-lows">NAB</a> and <a href="/news/cba-announce-full-rate-cut-after-june-rba-meeting">CBA</a> announced they will be passing on the full rate cut. But <a href="/expert-insights/finance/anz-first-to-pass-on-part-of-june-2019-rba-rate-cut">ANZ is only passing on a cut 0.18 basis points</a>, something Treasurer Josh Frydenberg especially disapproved of stating, “I think the ANZ has let down its customers."
<a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-to-cut-by-0-2-but-more-for-io-borrowers">Westpac was the last of the big four</a> to announce they were cutting rates, following the RBA's decision they announced their rate cuts late on Tuesday of 0.20 basis points.
ING, the nation’s fifth largest home loan lender chose to pass the full 0.25 per cent cut on to their variable rate customers, effective 25 June 2019.
Popular banks that have yet to announce their intentions include HSBC and AMP.
 
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ME Bank to pass on full RBA rate cut

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
Australian GDP rose by 0.4% in the March quarter and annual growth slowed to 1.8%, which missed market forecasts of 0.5% and is also a little weaker than the RBA's recent forecasts. This was the weakest annual growth since September 2009.
The weakness in the Australian economy that started in mid-2018 has continued into early 2019 with the latest GDP data showing low economic growth in the March quarter (see chart below).
What’s more the make-up of growth in the March quarter remains concerning with falling private final demand for the second quarter in a row. Were it not for government spending and net exports GDP growth would have been zero.
We expect that this low growth environment will continue in Australia for now and we see GDP growth averaging around 1.75% over 2019, which is below RBA’s forecasts for growth around 2.75%.  
The economy is now in its 28th year of recession-free economic growth, and while the near-term outlook for growth still looks positive as the various parts of the economy muddle through, the outlook for 2020 looks challenging as government infrastructure spending looks like it will slow after this year, residential construction looks likely to continue to decline, the consumer is expected to remain weak and risks are building around the global economic outlook as a result of Trump’s trade wars. So we see a higher risk of an Australian recession in 2020 (risk of around 25% from 15% before).
More RBA interest rate cuts along with fiscal stimulus are likely to be necessary to offset the threat to growth. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/6/5/gdp%20growth.png" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/5/gdp%20growth.png" alt="">
Source: ABS, AMP Capital
The key components of the data are:
<ul type="disc">
<li>
Consumer spending rose by 0.3%, contributing 0.1 percentage points to March quarter GDP, and annual growth in spending declined to 1.8%. The household savings rate increased again, to 2.8% after bottoming at 2.5% in the September quarter. We expect that the fall in home prices and the associated negative wealth effect will push the household savings ratio higher over the next 1-2 years which will be a drag on consumer spending as wages growth is stuck at just over 2%. But consumer spending will benefit from the latest RBA interest rate cut (and further potential cuts) as well as tax stimulus, announced in the Federal Budget which will be paid after July when households do their tax return.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>
Housing investment continues to decline with residential construction down by 1.8% in the March quarter, alterations and additions spending falling by 3.8% and ownership transfer costs (a proxy for housing turnover activity) plummeting by 13.0% which all detracted 0.3 percentage points from growth. Building approvals for residential property have continued to fall so there is still further downside to residential construction. </li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>
Underlying business investment (which takes into account asset transfers between the private and public sector) rose by 0.5% and contributed 0.1 percentage points to growth. Non-residential building activity is lifting after many quarters of weakness, engineering construction fell and machinery and equipment investment declined marginally. The outlook for non-mining investment is still looking okay, particularly for manufacturing, and mining investment looks like it is starting to lift again after falling since 2012 as commodity prices have held up well. </li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>
Underlying government spending (which takes into account asset transfers between the private and public sector) rose by 0.7% and contributed 0.2 percentage points to growth. State and Federal government spending on infrastructure has been driving public spending over the past few years. While there are still many projects in the construction pipeline (particularly for transport), the pace of growth in public spending is declining and recent state government budgets indicate lower revenue (as stamp duty collections have fallen) and therefore some tightening in state fiscal spending which means that government spending growth will start to slow and in the absence of more infrastructure projects may become a drag on the economy later in 2020.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>
Inventories detracted 0.1 percentage points from growth as farm and public inventories collapsed (following a build up in the prior quarter) but private inventories increased.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>
Net exports contributed 0.2 percentage points to growth with a rise in export volumes and a fall in import volumes. Australia’s external sector is doing extremely well from the booming iron ore price (around $100USD/tonne) which is a boost to the government’s budget. But the risk is that the weakening global environment, particularly around trade, will hit net exports.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>
Inflation pressures and wages growth are still poor. Inflation as measured by the private final consumption deflator was just 0.4% in the March quarter or 1.5% over the year. Average compensation per employee was up by just 0.4% or 1.4% over the year which is well below the wage price data (of 2.3% year on year) reflecting compositional changes.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>
Productivity declined by 0.4% in the March quarter and is down by 0.9% which reconciles the divergence between strong employment growth and the weakening GDP numbers. </li>
</ul>
Implications
With economic growth running well below potential, which is around 2.75%, the RBA will need to cut interest rates multiple times to get growth up and get the unemployment rate down below 4.5% (it is currently 5.2%) in order to get inflation back into its 2 to 3% target range.
We see another 0.25% rate cut in July or August and two more rate cuts in the first half of 2020 which will take the cash rate to 0.5% in 2020. Hopefully additional fiscal stimulus will help too. The need for quantitative easing is a rising risk, but hopefully it won’t be necessary.  
DR SHANE OLIVER is the Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP Capital.
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RBA to cut interest rates to 0.5%: Shane Oliver 

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The Reserve Bank cut interest rates on Tuesday because we aren’t spending or pushing up prices at anything like the rate it would like. And things are even worse than it might have realised.
As the board met in Martin Place in Sydney, in Canberra at 11.30 am the Bureau of Statistics released details of retail spending in April, one month beyond the March quarter figures the bank was using to make its decision.
They show the dollars spent in shops fell in April, slipping 0.1%, notwithstanding weakly growing prices and a more strongly growing population.
The March quarter figures the board was looking at were adjusted for prices. They show that the volume of goods and services bought, but not the amount paid for them, fell in seasonally adjusted terms during the March quarter.
Adjusted for population, the volume bought would have fallen further.
<h2>We’ll know more on Wednesday</h2>
The Bureau of Statistics will release population-adjusted figures as part of the national accounts on Wednesday.
The figures for the September quarter show that income and spending per person barely grew. The figures for the December quarter show income and spending per person fell.
A second fall in the March quarter will mean two in a row – what some people call a per capita recession.
<hr>
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/275325/original/file-20190520-69186-1pvxbji.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/275325/original/file-20190520-69186-1pvxbji.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a> <a class="source" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/5206.0" target="_blank">Australian National Accounts</a>
<hr>
Even unadjusted for population, economic growth is dismal.
During the September and December quarters the economy grew just <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/5206.0" target="_blank">0.3% and 0.2%</a> – an annualised rate of just 1%.
That’s well short of the <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/myefo-treasury-downgrades-its-budget-projections-20151124-gl6mfd" target="_blank">2.75%</a> the treasury believes we are capable of, and the lower than normal <a href="https://budget.gov.au/2019-20/content/overview.htm" target="_blank">2.25%</a> it has forecast for the year to June.
<hr>
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/275322/original/file-20190520-69199-1ir7rrj.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/275322/original/file-20190520-69199-1ir7rrj.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a> <a class="source" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/5206.0" target="_blank">Australian National Accounts</a>
<hr>
We’ve been doing it by ourselves. As Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe said in <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2019/mr-19-15" target="_blank">announcing the rates decision</a> on Tuesday:
"The main domestic uncertainty continues to be the outlook for household consumption, which is being affected by a protracted period of low income growth and declining housing prices."
The bank wants both inflation and employment higher, and it wants us to spend more in order to do it. Lower rates should help, although <a href="https://theconversation.com/why-the-reserve-bank-shouldnt-but-might-cut-interest-rates-on-tuesday-116354" target="_blank">not for everybody</a>.
Lowe acknowledged this in a <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2019/sp-gov-2019-06-04" target="_blank">speech to a Sydney business audience on Tuesday night</a>, but he said households paid two dollars in interest for every one dollar of interest they received. So while rate cuts hurt savers, they benefit borrowers by more, and over time should benefit all households by boosting the economy. They also drive the dollar lower, making Australian businesses more competitive.
Tuesday’s cut should free up an extra A$60 a month for a typical mortgage holder. Another one will free up a total of A$120.
It’s not much, and there’s doubt about whether it will do much, but interest rates are about the only tool the Reserve Bank has.
It is required by its agreement with the government to aim for an inflation rate of between <a href="https://rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/framework/stmt-conduct-mp-7-2016-09-19" target="_blank">2% and 3%</a>, “on average, over time”.
<img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/270879/original/file-20190425-121220-1csg8ma.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="">Treasurer and Reserve Bank Governor, Statement on the Conduct of Monetary Policy, September 19, 2016. <a class="source" href="https://rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/framework/stmt-conduct-mp-7-2016-09-19" target="_blank">Reserve Bank of Australia</a>
Uncomfortably for Governor Lowe, underlying inflation (abstracting from unusual moves which are quickly reversed) has been below 2% ever since he was appointed governor in late 2016.
Explaining his push for higher inflation to a business audience in Sydney on Tuesday night he said that while adherence to the target was intended to be flexible, that flexibility was “not boundless”.
"If inflation stays too low for too long, it is possible that inflation expectations move lower – that Australians come to expect sub-2% inflation on an ongoing basis. If this were to happen, it would be harder to achieve the medium term inflation goal. So we need to guard against this possibility."
He is also required to <a href="https://rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/framework/stmt-conduct-mp-7-2016-09-19" target="_blank">aim for full employment</a>.
He told the business audience that while for some years the bank and others had thought full employment meant an unemployment rate of 5%, the absence of inflation at 5% and the persistence of underemployment (where people wanted more hours) meant it could and should go lower.
"Our judgement now is that we can do better than this – that we can sustain an unemployment rate of 4 point something."
Lower interest rates should help by making it easier to businesses to borrow to expand, and giving consumers something in their pockets to buy from them.
<h2>If you don’t succeed…</h2>
If that doesn’t happen, the bank will cut again.
Tuesday’s statement as good as said so:
"The board will continue to monitor developments in the labour market closely and adjust monetary policy to support sustainable growth in the economy and the achievement of the inflation target over time."
Tuesday’s cut and the next will take the bank into uncharted waters, where its so-called cash rate – what it pays to banks to deposit money with it overnight – is close to zero.
As far as can be discerned it has never been that low in the 100+ years the Reserve Bank has been in operation, originally as the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
<hr>
Reserve Bank cash rate since 1990
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/277841/original/file-20190604-69059-1j2m4r9.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/277841/original/file-20190604-69059-1j2m4r9.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a> <a class="source" href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2019/mr-19-15" target="_blank">Reserve Bank of Australia</a>
<hr>
Should inflation still not pick up and employment still not fall as far as it believes it could, it will have to effectively cut its cash rate below zero, forcing cash into the hands of banks by aggressively buying government bonds, giving them little choice but to lend it to households and businesses, in a process known as quantitative easing. It has been done in the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom and Japan, and is by now <a href="https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/quantitative-easing" target="_blank">anything but unconventional</a>.
Governor Lowe would prefer the government to pull its weight by cutting tax and boosting spending, especially on infrastructure, and by policies that make Australia more productive.
He said so on Tuesday night
"The best approach to delivering lower unemployment and a stronger economy is through structural policies that support firms expanding, investing, innovating and employing people. As we ease monetary policy, it is in the country’s interest that other policy options are considered too.
Treasurer Josh Frydenberg gets it.
He pointed out on Tuesday that the yet-to-be-approved tax offsets in the budget will give Australians on up to A$126,000 a cash bonus of up to A$1,080 when they submit this year’s tax return, far more than the rate cut.
His biggest concern, and the biggest concern of the governor, might be that they don’t spend it. Another concern would be that the banks don’t pass the rate cut on.
The ANZ has said it will only cut mortgage rates by 0.18 points instead of the full 0.25, a decision Frydenberg said “let down” customers. Westpac has cut by only 0.20 points. The National Australia and Commonwealth banks have passed on the cut in full.
On Tuesday night in Sydney Governor Lowe addressed the question of whether the banks should have passed on the full cut head on:
"My usual practice in answering this question has been to explain that there are a range of other factors that influence mortgage pricing, and then say “it all depends”.
"Today, though, I would like to break with my usual practice and provide a clearer answer. And that is: Yes. There has been a substantial reduction in the cost of banks raising funds in wholesale markets. Average rates on retail deposits have also come down.
This means that the lower cash rate should be fully passed through into standard variable mortgage rates. Full pass-through would also mean that the economy receives the full benefit of today’s policy decision.
The Governor is concerned that, for their own reasons, lenders such as ANZ and Westpac are forcing him to cut rates lower than he should and making an already difficult job harder.
If he has to cut further he will, but with the cash rate at just 1.25%, he would dearly love not to have to.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/277854/original/file-20190604-69071-xecu9u.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/277854/original/file-20190604-69071-xecu9u.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a> <a class="source" href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2019/mr-19-15" target="_blank">Reserve Bank of Australia</a>
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/peter-martin-682709" target="_blank">Peter Martin</a>, Visiting Fellow, <a href="http://theconversation.com/institutions/crawford-school-of-public-policy-australian-national-university-3292" target="_blank">Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/the-reserve-bank-will-cut-rates-again-and-again-until-we-lift-spending-and-push-up-prices-118263" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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The Reserve Bank will cut rates again and again, until we lift spending and push up prices

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NAB has announced they will reduce all standard variable rate (SVR) home loans by 0.25% per annum, in line with the RBA announcement.
As a result the bank’s SVR will be the lowest it has been in more than 40 years.
Mike Baird, Chief Customer Officer – Consumer Banking said, “we strongly believe reducing rates is the right thing to do by our customers and reflects our focus on earning trust in the community and rewarding our loyal existing customers."
“This will save owner-occupier customers making principal and interest repayments on a $400,000 home loan about $62 per month or $744 per year, which will provide more money in household budgets for other expenses at a time when cost of living remains challenging,” Mr Baird added.
NAB will reduce all standard variable rate home loans by 0.25% per annum, making it their lowest rates they've offered in more than 40 years.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/4/NAB%20new%20rates.JPG" alt="">
(Source: NAB)
NAB are the third of the Big Four banks to reduce rates following the announcement and the second to reduce rates at an equal amount to that of the full RBA rate shift <a href="/news/cba-announce-full-rate-cut-after-june-rba-meeting">as CBA did</a>.
ANZ, the first of the Big Four <a href="/expert-insights/finance/anz-first-to-pass-on-part-of-june-2019-rba-rate-cut">to announce rate reductions</a>, will only reduce SVR loans by 0.18 basis points.
 
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NAB joins CBA in full 0.25% rate cut to historic lows

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The Commonwealth Bank (CBA) have announced they will be passing on the full RBA rate cut of 0.25 basis points.
Effective from June 25 CBA's standard variable rate home loans will be reduced by 0.25% p.a.
Angus Sullivan Group Executive Retail Banking Services said, “we have carefully considered the RBA rate decision and the current funding environment, together with how we continue to meet our regulatory commitments, capital requirements, and community expectations."
By reducing the standard variable home loan rate by 0.25%, the minimum required monthly repayment amount will reduce by $62 a month, based on a mortgage of $400,000 for Owner Occupiers paying Principal and Interest.
CBA was the second of the Big Four banks to make this announcement as <a href="/expert-insights/finance/anz-first-to-pass-on-part-of-june-2019-rba-rate-cut">ANZ beat them to the punch</a> with an announcement of rate cuts just 9 minutes after the RBA released their decision.
ANZ's new lowest rate will be 3.63%, however they are only passing on a cut of 0.18 basis points effective June 14.
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CBA announce full rate cut after June RBA meeting

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The ANZ was the first of the big four banks to cut rates, nine minutes after today's RBA decision.
They didn't pass on the full 0.25% rate cut with rates reduced only by 0.18 basis points effective June 14.
ANZ Group Executive, Australia Retail &amp; Commercial, Mark Hand said, “in making this decision we have weighed up a number of factors, such as business performance, market conditions and the impact on our customers, including our depositors.”
“I think the ANZ has let down its customers,” the federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg said after the RBA decision and the ANZ response. 
“This is deeply disappointing from the ANZ,” Mr Frydenberg said.
Athena was the first non-bank lender to reduce rates, and they passed on the whole cut, reducing rates by 0.25 basis points.
The Sydney based online lender announced a new headline variable rate for owner-occupiers paying principal and interest of 3.34 per cent p.a. within 15 minutes of the RBA decision.
Athena only entered the home loan market this year.
The next to cut rates is Reduce Home Loans making their reducing their rates by 0.25 basis points. 
RACQ Bank have also announced they will also pass on the whole 0.25 per cent rate cut.
At 3:50 the Commonwealth Bank (CBA) announced a full rate cut effective from June 25.
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