Buyers considering a residence at boutique Gordon townhouse development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/lume-gordon-43-47-dumaresq-street-gordon-nsw-2072">Lume</a>&nbsp;now have another reason to bring forward their decision.

For a limited time, purchasers of a residence at Lume will receive a BMW iX3 50 electric SUV, valued at more than $120,000, as part of their purchase. The offer is designed to add value for buyers while complementing the lifestyle envisioned for the architecturally designed Upper North Shore development.

Scott Timmins, Development Manager at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/winim">WINIM</a>, said the partnership was created to provide buyers with a compelling reason to act.

"In today's market, buyers need a compelling reason to act now, and the BMW partnership was designed to create that catalyst. We wanted to add genuine value for our future purchasers. Choosing the all-electric BMW iX3 50 also reflects the values behind LUME, forward-thinking design, innovation and a more sustainable way of living. It's a premium incentive that complements the lifestyle our buyers aspire to and rewards those who commit early."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7354 project_image_fid=374893]

Delivered by WINIM in partnership with Burtonwood Investment Partners, Lume comprises 14 architecturally designed two, three and four-bedroom townhomes created for families seeking the space of a freestanding house with the ease of modern, low-maintenance living.

The three-storey residences, designed by award-winning architecture practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>, have been tailored for families and multi-generational living, featuring private internal lifts, flexible lower-level spaces, generous open-plan living and entertaining areas, media rooms, and landscaped outdoor spaces with custom outdoor kitchens.&nbsp;

Inside, engineered oak flooring, bespoke dining joinery with integrated wine fridges and backlit bars, sculptural porcelain bathrooms, Parisi freestanding baths and Astra Walker tapware create interiors that balance functionality with refined finishes.

Each townhome has been designed to combine generous internal spaces with sustainability initiatives such as EV charging infrastructure, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/arcadia-landscape-architecture">Arcadia</a>'s landscaped communal areas, centred around a restored creek line and native planting, encourage residents to connect with nature and spend more time outdoors.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7354 project_image_fid=269527]

Rothelowman's Gary Tsui said the architecture was conceived to respond carefully to its Upper North Shore setting.

"Our vision was to create elegant, uplifting homes that draw on and positively contribute to the local character through meticulously considered design and an interaction with the surroundings."

The communal landscape has been designed as more than an open space between homes. Arcadia's Ben Newell and Kate Phillips said the adjoining reserve provided an opportunity to create a distinctive natural retreat for residents.

"Just as waterways carve their way through Ku-ring-gai's landscape, a raised boardwalk weaves through the reserve, connecting the homes to this tranquil oasis."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7354 project_image_fid=374892]

Located just 300 metres from <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/gordon-nsw-2072">Gordon</a> Village and Gordon railway station, Lume offers convenient access to Sydney's CBD while placing residents close to some of the North Shore's leading schools, including Ravenswood, Pymble Ladies' College and Knox Grammar. Lane Cove National Park, Gordon Golf Club and a range of cafés and restaurants further reinforce the family-focused lifestyle on offer, with the BMW iX3 50 complementing everything from local trips around Gordon to weekend drives and city commutes.

Construction is underway with completion expected in mid-2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=7354]

Joel Robinson

Boutique Gordon townhomes now come with a BMW iX3 50

Two apartments have sold for more than $10 million at EADE Byron Bay, setting some of the highest apartment prices ever achieved in the coastal town and underlining the growing appetite for luxury beachfront apartments in Australia's most popular coastal locations.

The $210 million project by Vitale Property Group has now secured more than $70 million in sales, led by residences that changed hands for $12.75 million and $11.75 million.

The record-breaking transactions reinforce the shift occurring in Byron Bay's premium property market, where affluent downsizers and lifestyle buyers are increasingly opting for high-end apartments over large beachfront homes.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/eade-byron-bay-29-shirley-street-byron-bay-nsw-2481">EADE Byron Bay</a> occupies a rare 6,000 sqm absolute beachfront site on the corner of Shirley and Milton Streets overlooking Main Beach and The Wreck surf break, just 350 metres from Byron Bay's town centre.

The 25-residence development is the first beachfront apartment project approved in Byron Bay in more than a decade and is currently under construction, with completion expected in May 2027.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145590 project_image_fid=359521]

The project has attracted a mix of local Byron Shire residents downsizing from larger homes, alongside interstate buyers from Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane seeking a permanent coastal lifestyle without compromising on space.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hayball">Hayball</a> and with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/alexander-co">Alexander &amp; Co</a>, EADE comprises&nbsp;10 garden apartments ranging from 284 sqm to 622 sqm, nine with private pools, five full-floor apartments and 10 rooftop residences with private plunge pools, expansive outdoor entertaining areas and uninterrupted ocean views.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145590 project_image_fid=359527]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/vitale-property-group">Vitale Property Group</a> Managing Partner Chris Vitale said the project's combination of scale, location and limited future supply was driving buyer demand.

"There isn't another beachfront holding in Byron Bay of this size and position that could be developed again," Vitale said.

"Buyers are responding to the scarcity and the irreplaceability of a site of this calibre and to floorplans they can't find elsewhere in the market.

"We are seeing buyers place significant value on quality, space, design, resort-style amenities and the rarity of the location. The sales achieved to date demonstrate that discerning purchasers recognise the long-term significance of what is being created at EADE Byron Bay.

"Many are coming from larger homes in the Byron region, or from Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, and are after the space, security and convenience, without the upkeep of a house."

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145590 project_image_fid=359523]

The Byron Bay project follows Vitale Property Group's delivery of the Mondrian Hotel and Private Residences at Burleigh Heads, with EADE continuing the developer's focus on luxury coastal developments.

Residents will have access to a resort-style swimming pool, gymnasium, sauna, cold plunge pool, concierge services and dedicated workspaces, while the project is targeting an 8-Star Green Star rating.

EADE Byron Bay is being exclusively marketed by Projx Australia in conjunction with WHITEFOX Projects.

WHITEFOX National Projects Director Phillip Rand said demand had been driven predominantly by owner-occupiers.

"We are seeing buyers at EADE place significant value on quality, space, design, resort-style amenities and the rarity of this location," Rand says.

"The sales achieved to date demonstrate that purchasers at this level recognise the long-term significance of what is being created at EADE Byron Bay."

Residences at EADE Byron Bay are currently priced between $4.75 million and $15.95 million.

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[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145590]

Vitale breaks Byron Bay records with EADE sales flurry 

When buying an apartment, most people compare the big-ticket items first. Floorplans. Kitchens. Balcony size. Natural light. The view.

But there's one everyday consideration that often doesn't come up until after moving in: how parcels are delivered.

As online shopping has become part of everyday life, parcel deliveries have shifted from an occasional event to a regular occurrence. Australians spent a record $82.6 billion shopping online in 2025, with almost one in every four retail dollars now spent digitally.

For apartment residents, that can present a challenge.

If nobody is home to accept a delivery, parcels may be redirected to a nearby Post Office, left in a building lobby or common area, or require building management to step in. In higher-density buildings, where dozens or even hundreds of residents may receive deliveries each day, parcel management has become an increasingly important part of everyday living.

That can create a range of frustrations. A missed delivery often means making time to collect a parcel elsewhere, while packages left unattended in foyers or mail areas can create clutter and increase the risk of theft. What seems like a minor inconvenience can quickly become a recurring issue for residents who shop online regularly.

It's one of those details that rarely features in a display suite but can have a noticeable impact once residents move in.

As a result, buyers are beginning to look beyond traditional apartment features and consider how a building supports day-to-day convenience, including whether there are secure options for receiving deliveries.

Australia Post's Parcel Lockers provide one solution.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/CkF2oKmlACg?si=C50sDaoUUn2nuLmq" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

Rather than having a parcel delivered directly to an apartment, eligible deliveries can be sent to a nominated Parcel Locker. Once the parcel arrives, residents receive a notification through the AusPost app or SMS and can collect it using a QR code or one-time PIN at a time that suits them.

The Parcel Locker network now includes more than 1,500 locations nationwide, with installations at Post Offices, shopping centres, transport hubs and an increasing number of residential developments. By providing a secure collection point, Parcel Lockers help reduce missed deliveries and avoid parcels being left unattended in common areas.

For developers, parcel infrastructure is becoming another way to improve the resident experience. Rather than relying on concierge staff or leaving parcels in communal spaces, secure collection points help streamline deliveries while preserving the presentation and functionality of shared areas.

For buyers, it's a reminder that the best apartment features aren't always the most obvious.

A generous floorplan or quality finishes might help narrow the shortlist, but the conveniences that simplify everyday life, whether that's EV charging, secure bike storage or reliable parcel delivery, often become the features residents appreciate most once they're living there.

The apartment feature many buyers don't think about, until their first missed delivery

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/hg-developments">HG Developments</a> is doubling down on Maud Street in Newstead, filing plans for a new apartment tower just a few doors down from its under-construction Aire Newstead development.

Recently submitted to Brisbane City Council, the proposal is for an 18-storey building designed by bureau^proberts, which has drawn heavily on Brisbane's subtropical design principles while referencing the suburb's industrial heritage.

A total of 64 apartments are planned for the amalgamated 1,518 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/17-21-maud-street-newstead-qld-4006">17–21 Maud Street</a>, a short walk from the Brisbane River and Newstead Riverwalk.

<img alt="First look: HG Developments plans 18-storey subtropical apartment tower for Newstead" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a400c7fd-bd15-48f8-a63b-10ede92efe00" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Maud%20st%20bldg.png?VersionId=.0vPmjpbC7CNP7kqGWa6L7rGIwsNExaw" />

"The building is defined by a series of vaulted motifs that reinterpret the arches, colonnades and layered facades evident throughout Newstead's historic built fabric," the Urban Design Report states.

"Combined with recessed glazing and generous balconies, these elements create a layered building envelope that provides shade, weather protection and opportunities for natural ventilation whilst establishing a distinctive architectural identity."

The proposal comprises 64 two, three and four-bedroom apartments across 18 residential levels, positioning it alongside a growing number of taller residential projects transforming Newstead's northern precinct. The tower incorporates extensive subtropical landscaping, with cascading planter boxes, deep planting at street level and a landscaped rooftop recreation area.

<img alt="First look: HG Developments plans 18-storey subtropical apartment tower for Newstead" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="1d8140f4-8b98-45cd-b1b8-1efe8c8e266b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Maud%20st%20podium.png?VersionId=VAZtbCoD44YCJ57N99fQCAKeSJx7ldZs" />

Bureau Proberts has prioritised passive environmental design throughout the project, with generous balconies, recessed glazing and operable façades helping reduce solar heat gain while maximising natural ventilation. River views become available from the upper levels, while the building has been orientated to capture prevailing breezes from both the Brisbane River and the west.

The architects say landscape is intended to be integral to the building rather than an applied element.

"Vertical greenery, cascading planter boxes and elevated gardens are woven throughout the architecture, softening the built form and strengthening the connection between residents and the subtropical environment."

"Through the integration of landscape, high-quality materials and passive design principles, the development delivers a refined residential address that celebrates Newstead's heritage character while contributing positively to Brisbane's evolving subtropical identity."

Newstead has remained one of Brisbane's most active apartment markets in recent years, with a number of developers continuing to back the inner-city suburb.

HG Developments is currently delivering the 40-apartment Aire Newstead at 25 Maud Street. Fortis recently launched the 65-apartment <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> on Kyabra Street, while builder-developer BPG and Don O'Rorke's Consolidated Properties are both expected to launch their respective Newstead projects before the end of the year.

HG Developments doubles down in Newstead with second Maud Street apartment development

Walk past a new apartment development promoting its sustainability credentials and it's easy to picture rooftop gardens, mature trees, landscaped courtyards and residents surrounded by nature.

But in many cases, that's not actually what those sustainability ratings guarantee.

Australia's leading environmental rating tools have played a significant role in improving the energy efficiency and environmental performance of buildings. Yet despite their focus on reducing emissions, many don't require developers to include trees, biodiversity or meaningful green space.

In other words, a building can achieve one of the country's highest sustainability ratings while containing little more than concrete, glass and hard landscaping.

That disconnect has led to the emergence of a new movement across Australia's property industry: nature-based cities.

The concept goes beyond designing buildings that consume less energy. Instead, it encourages developers to treat nature as essential infrastructure, integrating biodiversity, tree canopy, living landscapes and green spaces into projects from the earliest stages of planning.

Research has consistently linked access to nature with better physical and mental health, cooler neighbourhoods, improved biodiversity, stronger climate resilience and more connected communities. As Australia's cities continue to become denser, advocates say those outcomes should be considered just as important as energy efficiency.

Nature Based Cities (NBC) was established in 2022 to help accelerate that shift.

Founded by Hamton Executive Chairman Paul Hameister OAM, the not-for-profit was created after research highlighted a significant gap in Australia's sustainability framework. While existing environmental rating tools rewarded energy performance and emissions reductions, they placed little emphasis on the inclusion of living landscapes.

"We've always wanted to do more, and we know other developers who want to do more, but the ESD rating tools just aren't there," Hameister says.

"In Australia, you can have a five-green-star rated building that's concrete and glass with not a blade of grass.

"The focus is on reducing emissions, which is laudable, but there hasn't been enough attention paid to protecting and re-establishing nature. We need both for the health of the environment and for communities."

Since its launch, NBC has developed independent design guidelines and accreditation frameworks that encourage developers to prioritise ecology, biodiversity, tree canopy, walkability and living landscapes alongside traditional sustainability measures. The organisation first focused on medium and high-density residential developments before recently expanding into precinct-scale communities and masterplanned neighbourhoods.

Jan Talacko, founder of sustainability consultancy Ark Resources and a member of the Nature Based Cities Advisory Council, says the initiative addresses an area that has largely been overlooked by the property industry.

"Throughout my 25 years of working collaboratively with all stakeholders in the property sector, I've always favoured a pragmatic approach to sustainable design which encourages initiatives that not only meet environmental expectations but also improve amenity," Talacko says.

"Whilst we are making steady progress in relation to energy and carbon emissions from buildings, there has been much less emphasis on encouraging biodiversity and tackling the urban heat island effect.

"The Nature Based Cities initiative responds to a gap in the suite of tools currently used by the property development sector, which don't provide sufficient incentive, or recognition, for the integration of landscaping and greenery."

For apartment buyers, the shift is also changing the questions worth asking.

Rather than assuming a sustainable building will naturally include abundant green space, buyers are increasingly being encouraged to look beyond environmental ratings and ask what nature is actually being delivered. How much tree canopy will the development create? Has biodiversity been considered? Are landscaped spaces designed for people as well as appearance?

As Australia's cities continue to grow upwards and outwards, the next generation of sustainability may not simply be measured by lower emissions, but by how successfully developments bring nature back into everyday urban life.

What does it really mean for a building to be 'green'?

Arek Drozda

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Residential property is <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/residential/a-roof-over-your-head-or-the-biggest-investment-you-ll-ever-make-how-should-we-treat-residential-property/2014020967655" target="_blank">considered an investment class</a> and, as such, it is subject to market cycles where prices fluctuate over time.
Being aware of the stage of the market cycle can help in timing purchase and sale decisions.
However, it is rather difficult to gauge the state of the market and its future direction by examining only historical prices, even if these are reported on a daily basis - as is the case with RP Data's Home Value Index. Periods of rises and falls in prices are of different durations and subsequent movements can have very different magnitudes.
Frankly speaking, the dynamics of the Australian real estate market are very little understood despite its value exceeding more than threefold the capitalisation of all companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. Financial institutions are not investing in it directly hence long term research on performance and cycles is almost non-existent, or at least not available to the public. 
True, we do have various, raw measures of price movement, reports on auction clearance rates, vacancy rates, intentions to buy, asking prices, or various affordability indexes but these were developed primarily in support of valuation or risk management activities of lenders and insurers, or for the purpose of economic modelling, and not necessarily to help in decision making by individuals. Besides, each of these measures on its own gives only a partial picture of the market.
Traders in shares, bonds, currencies and similar financial instruments have developed a myriad of secondary “technical indicators” to aid in recognition of prevailing market cycles and trends. There are no such indicators available for buyers and sellers of residential properties.
The only thing that comes close to a true market gauge is the concept of a “property clock” but it tends to be very subjective and readings often differ from one commentator to another. In other words, we are missing a truly analytical perspective on the state of the property market.
To address the lack of consistent, long term analytical measures that help understand the state of property market in Australia, I have compiled a set of unique indicators which I would like to share with you on a regular basis.
The aim of this first set of indicators is to provide a broad perspective on the national property market as a whole. Peculiarities of local markets will be assessed with another set of indicators which I intend to publish at a later date.
About the Indicators
The first two indicators in the set (buy-rent indicator and purchase affordability indicator) provide objective measures of relative attractiveness of residential real estate to prospective buyers. In other words, whether there is a potential incentive, “value” if you like, for prospective buyers to consider buying a property or not.
The third indicator, economic wellbeing indicator, reflects perceptions of Australians about the economy. Since people are more inclined to commit to a substantial purchase if they have a positive outlook on the economy, this indicator evaluates the likelihood of people committing to property purchases.
The fourth indicator, private housing credit impulse, measures what people are actually doing. That is, whether perceptions about the value of owning a property and outlook on the economy translate to actual purchases or not.
The fifth indicator, property prices gauge, aims to forecast how the collective actions of buyers will likely impact property prices and whether actual change in prices is proportionate to the volume of money flowing into the property market at any given time.
Actual prices feed back into the value proposition, as reflected in the first two indicators, which closes the information loop. This is the minimum set of indicators that allows drawing a definite conclusion on the overall state of the property market now and in the recent past.
The indicators are calculated back to mid 1980’s and where possible I publish them with a reference to the change in prices of established houses (as reported by the Australian Bureau of Statistics) to show how well they reflect the reality over time. I will provide my interpretation of the latest results, a bit more extensively than usual in this first edition, but please feel free to derive and share your own conclusions via comments.
A short explanation of some conventions to help in interpreting the information:
<ul>
<li>
Market outlook can be: positive, positive with negative bias, neutral with positive bias, neutral, neutral with negative bias, negative with positive bias and negative 
</li>
<li>
Charts are labelled as:
</li>
</ul>
Estimate – if data estimates are used in calculations of the latest measure,
Preliminary – if mix of actual and estimated data is used to calculate the current measure, and
Final – where all inputs are actual data.
Caveat
The information is provided in good faith and does not constitute financial advice. Use with caution and at own risk.
Arek's April state of the market summary is on the following pages. Please click below. 
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
Summary
Market outlook: positive with negative bias
 
<ul>
<li>Current conditions favour purchasing over renting but change in trend is imminent (as at December 2013) </li>
<li>Purchase affordability is at a historically high level and has most likely reached its peak (as at December 2013) </li>
<li>Confidence in the economy has started to deteriorate in recent months but is still positive (as at March 2014) </li>
<li>Housing credit is growing strongly, indicating healthy demand (as at March 2014) </li>
<li>Actual prices are slightly ahead of what could be expected based on housing credit growth (as at February 2014)</li>
</ul>
 
National real estate price forecast
Conditions are supportive of further growth in prices in June 2014 quarter and beyond, however increasing pessimism about the economy indicates a possible slowdown in the pace of that growth.
#1 Optimal accommodation choice: Buying more advantageous than renting
<img src="/images/2014/04/28/BRI_April2014.png" alt="">
The Buy-Rent Indicator (BRI) identifies how cost of buying is changing in relation to cost of renting.
BRI bottomed in June 2012 (indicating the lowest point in the current cycle) and it has been rising consistently since then. Although still in buy-territory, the indicator is fast approaching the equilibrium line.
This indicator is constructed based on a simple concept that renting and buying are substitute accommodation options, hence the optimal choice depends on which cost is rising in relation to the other.
BRI in “buy zone” implies that the cost of buying a property has either declined more or risen less, in percentage terms, than cost of renting, therefore making this accommodation option more attractive.
The practical use of this indicator is for identifying market cycles and for timing purchase and sale decisions. In particular, market cycles can be determined by identifying peaks or troughs on the graph (for example, the last two peaks were in March 2008 and June 2010 - and coincide with peaks in national property price indexes).
The crossing of the indicator from rent to buy zone gives a signal that costs of buying started to decline, or at least are rising less than costs of renting.
For those intending to buy in the current cycle the optimal point for making a purchase is when the indicator crosses into buy territory, if the decline is driven by falling interest rates. However, if the fall is caused primarily by falling prices the optimal point is when the indicator turns up, confirming that purchasing costs have bottomed in the current cycle.
The crossing of the indicator from buy to rent zone (which is now approaching) gives a signal that buying costs are rising faster than rental costs.
In the market where property prices are rising, this marks the point in time when opportunities to purchase a property at attractive prices may be all but exhausted in the current cycle. Prices are expected to continue on the upward trajectory from this point onwards which will cause buying costs to rise further.
For those intending to sell in the current cycle, the crossover marks the optimal point if costs of buying are rising due to changes in interest rates. If buying costs are rising primarily due to price increases, the optimal point for selling will be when the indicator peaks, which should coincide with a peak in property prices.
Please note, this indicator can be calculated only on a quarterly basis and is therefore lagging (the latest reading is for December 2013). That is, the confirmation of the cycle peak or trough can be delayed for up to six months.
#2 Purchase affordability: At historically high level, started to decline 
 <img src="/images/2014/04/28/PAI_April2014.png" alt="">
The Purchase Affordability Indicator (PAI) compares changes in the annual cost of buying to changes in average full time adult income, therefore it identifies how purchase affordability has changed over time.
PAI is at historically high level, comparable to that reached in 2009 or 1994, but has recorded a decline in December 2013 from a peak reached in September 2013.
This indicator explains the reason why prices have been growing so strongly. That is, relative to incomes of Australians working full-time, property prices are still very affordable (in the past 30 years purchase affordability was only better between September 1996 and December 2002).
PAI is a lagging indicator and the latest available reading is for December 2013. This indicator will continue to decline if cost of buying grows faster than adult full time incomes. However, prices have still a lot of room to move before they reach an overpriced territory.
Article continues on next page. Please click below.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
#3 Perceptions about economy: Outlook is positive but conditions are deteriorating
<img src="/images/2014/04/28/EWI_April2014.png" alt=""> 
The Economic Wellbeing Index (EWI) is designed to reflect general perceptions of Australians about the current economic conditions.
The EWI is in positive territory but has been declining since June 2013.
A more volatile raw measure of the index is trending up again but only after it recorded significant falls in the previous four months and crossed over into the negative territory.
Declining EWI indicates that perception of Australians about the state of economy started to change to less upbeat since mid-2013 but overall, it is still positive.
The key premise behind this indicator is that people are generally less inclined to make big purchases when they are worried about the state of the economy. This has certainly been a pattern in the past – every time the index crossed into the negative territory, property prices either declined or reduced the rate of growth.
The index is still positive so there should be still plenty of positively thinking buyers and property prices are not likely to decline however, increased uncertainty should take some heat off the market.
The EWI is updated monthly and therefore it offers quite timely insight into the perceptions about the state of economy.
#4 Demand: Housing credit continue to grow
 <img src="/images/2014/04/28/PHCI_April2014.png" alt="">
The Private Housing Credit Impulse (PHCI) provides an indication of the level of buyer activity in the residential property market in Australia, hence it reflects underlying demand for properties.
The March 2014 estimate is positive and reached its highest value since December 2011.
Positive and rising value of the indicator reflects continued strong demand for residential property.
The practical use of this indicator is to provide early warning about impending changes in housing credit uptake, and hence, changes in the underlying demand for residential property.
The most significant signals are when the indicator turns up after bottoming in the negative territory or when it turns down after peaking in a positive territory - since these indicate major trend reversal points.
PHCI bottomed in December 2011 when the decline in the rate of quarterly growth in mortgage finance reached the lowest level and started to improve (i.e. when mortgage finance started accelerating again). This trend was immediately reflected by the reduction in the rate of declines in property prices.
As more money started to flow into the property market, it coincided with a pick up in residential property prices from December 2012 onwards. The demand for property has been rising ever since, with a minor slowdown in June 2013 quarter.
The indicator is currently close to a level at which it turned down on two previous occasions - the September 2006 peak, after which credit declined significantly in a lead up to the Global Financial Crisis (which also coincided with a period of severe purchase unaffordability), and in June 2010 when property prices reached another peak, induced by post GFC stimulus.
In contrast to those previous occasions, property is now much more affordable than in 2006 and demand for residential property seems to be real (rather than induced with incentives, as in 2010), so there is a strong momentum for mortgage credit to continue to rise. However, there could be a temporary slowdown in the strength of that rise as a result of self-imposed credit restraints due to economic uncertainty.
It is important to note that, although this indicator is reported in quarterly intervals, it is derived on a monthly basis. In other words, it is initially calculated based on estimated values which are subject to subsequent revision once actual data becomes available. Hence, the latest quarterly reading can change from one month to the next.
#5 Property price expectation: Values are rising and are close to the level of actual prices
 <img src="/images/2014/04/28/PPG_April2014.png" alt="">
The Property Prices Gauge (PPG) is a proxy of a property price index. It becomes a leading indicator when combined with House Price Index (HPI).
PPG continues on the upward trajectory after a temporary slowdown between March and July 2013. The value of the indicator is close to the value of establish house price index.
Expected and actual prices are relatively close now, although were at variance for a while. This indicates that recent price rises are now in line with underlying demand and are not the result of a mad rush to buy.
PPG is calculated from credit related statistics and is not dependent on any reported property price data. It provides a good indication of the magnitude and future direction of the actual price movement.
The most significant signals from this indicator are when it diverges from actual prices - it points to either underlying strength or weakness of the market.
For example, it provided ample warning about 2008 price falls - almost a year in advance, and then signalled strength of a subsequent recovery. Post-June 2010, it provided evidence that the market was stronger than actual price falls indicated and again, signalled market recovery since March 2012.
The index is calculated on a monthly basis but house price data can only be updated in quarterly intervals.
You can read more of Arek Drozda's pieces here.
AREK DROZDA is an independent analyst who has worked in the public and private sectors for over 20 years in business development, data analysis and in building geographic information systems. 
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Arek Drozda

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