Busy developer Aqualand Prestige has formally taken the next step in its expansion across Sydney's Lower North Shore, lodging a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for its long-held Archer Street site in Chatswood.

The application covers <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/51-55-archer-street-chatswood-nsw-2067">51-55 Archer Street</a>, a 1,767 sqm amalgamated site on the eastern edge of the Chatswood CBD, where the developer is seeking approval for a 45-level mixed-use tower delivering 114 apartments, including a significant affordable housing component, alongside retail, commercial space and six basement levels of parking.

The SSDA marks the latest milestone for a project Aqualand has been quietly progressing over the past two years. The developer first secured the site for its Aqualand Prestige platform before undertaking an alternative design excellence process with PTW Architects, ultimately avoiding a formal design competition through the Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

The proposal has evolved considerably from Aqualand's original concept. The revised scheme has been designed around larger owner-occupier product, with an unusually high proportion of three and four-bedroom apartments, targeting the more affluent buyer profile, and downsizer, emerging across the North Shore.

<img alt="Archer St" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0171204c-5811-41b5-9b09-2335d1b7c3d0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-22%20at%208.52.48%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=6YTuxfq.puZo7k2wbfgemcO5K3QfXYGQ" />

The 114-apartment mix comprises six studios, 27 one-bedroom apartments, 18 two-bedroom apartments, 50 three-bedroom residences and 13 four-bedroom homes. A quarter of the building will be dedicated to affordable housing, well above the mandated 15 per cent&nbsp;

PTW has structured the building vertically, with affordable housing across levels one to six, premium apartments through levels seven to 31, duplex skyhomes on klevels 32 to 43, a penthouse on level 44, and a rooftop plant level above. Six basement levels will provide resident parking and servicing.

The tower is proposed to reach approximately 154 metres, placing it among a growing collection of residential high-rises transforming Chatswood's skyline.

Rather than competing purely on height, PTW says the design has been driven by creating a slimmer tower capable of delivering significantly larger apartments.

"The primary objective of this project was to create a distinctive building that stands out from the recently approved or built structures in the Chatswood area," the design report states, noting the structural efficiency allows greater investment into apartment quality and resident amenity.

Residents would have access to more than 450 sqm of communal open space including landscaped gardens, swimming pool, rooftop entertaining areas, fitness spaces, community gardens, children's play areas and barbecue facilities.

A major focus of the design has been the public domain.

The ground plane has been opened up through landscaped terraces inspired by Willoughby's sandstone ridges, with native planting, public seating, artwork, retail activation and a series of gathering spaces intended to soften what has traditionally been a hard commercial streetscape.

The landscape strategy references Blue Gum forests once common throughout the area, while incorporating Indigenous storytelling, public art and lighting installations to strengthen the connection to Country.

Chatswood has been one of Sydney's busiest apartment markets over the past 12 months, with a steady pipeline of both new project launches and fresh development applications.

Hyecorp recently launched Celine, a 122-apartment development just along Archer Street, while Changfa and Huirong Group are progressing The Anderson, an 84-apartment project on Anderson Street.

Develotek recently secured approval for a 101-apartment tower on Pacific Highway, while Tian An LFD received the green light for Hammond Greens, its apartment development on the edge of the Chatswood Bowling Club.

Commercial property developer FiveX is also making its move into the residential market. Last month it lodged plans for a 61-storey tower with 490 apartments, which, if approved, would become one of the tallest residential buildings in Chatswood.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-fivex-targets-chatswood-skyline-with-61-storey-tower-after-north-sydney-plans">First look: FiveX targets Chatswood skyline with 61-storey tower after North Sydney plans</a>

Aqualand is also expanding its development pipeline following the launch of its luxury residential brand, Aqualand Prestige. The developer has delivered a string of high-end apartment projects across Sydney's affluent suburbs over the past decade, most recently AURA by Aqualand on Walker Street in North Sydney.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=30959 project_image_fid=292863]

It has since quietly assembled its next wave of projects.

Earlier this year Aqualand launched Boronia in Roseville, a boutique 111-apartment development on Larkin Street. The project is one of the first significant apartment developments to launch in the suburb ahead of what is expected to become one of Sydney's most active new housing precincts under the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing reforms, which allow greater density around train stations.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152095 project_image_fid=373685]

The developer has also lodged plans for a two-tower, 413-apartment development on Herbert Street in nearby St Leonards, further strengthening its presence across the Lower North Shore.

Beyond that, Aqualand remains behind the final stage of Barangaroo, where plans will deliver a five-hectare mixed-use precinct comprising new homes, retail, hospitality and community facilities, alongside a new Metro entrance and more than two hectares of public open space, completing the Barangaroo precinct.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/central-barangaroo-development-takes-big-step-with-concept-proposal-approval">Central Barangaroo development takes big step with concept proposal approval</a>

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-aqualand-joins-st-leonards-apartment-party">First look: Aqualand joins St Leonards apartment party</a> 
&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

First look: Aqualand pushes ahead with Chatswood apartment tower as SSDA lodged for Archer Street

Mass timber is becoming an increasingly popular construction material in apartment developments, but Adelaide developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/otello">Otello</a> is taking the approach a step further.

At its new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flowe-bowden-18-gibson-street-bowden-sa-5007">Flowe Bowden</a> development, the exposed cross-laminated timber (CLT) structure isn't just about reducing the building's environmental footprint. It also forms the foundation of a broader wellness strategy, influencing everything from indoor air quality and natural materials to the way residents move through and experience the building.

The 115-apartment mixed-use development, designed by Melbourne-based architecture practice Fieldwork, will occupy a prominent island site opposite Bowden Village Reserve, combining one, two and three-bedroom apartments with retail and a dedicated wellness destination.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375528]

Wellness isn't confined to a gym or shared resident facility at Flowe. Instead, Fieldwork embedded the concept into the building itself.

The development has been split into two residential wings connected by a naturally ventilated central breezeway, replacing traditional enclosed corridors with open-air walkways that improve natural light, encourage cross ventilation and create more opportunities for neighbourly interaction.

"Rather than treating wellness as something that only happens on the ground floor, our response integrates it throughout the building, which led us to ask what it really means to design a healthy building," Fieldwork Director Quino Holland said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375531]

The building's architecture also reflects Bowden's industrial heritage. The lower podium references the area's historic brick and sandstone buildings, while the upper levels transition to exposed CLT, allowing the timber structure to become a defining feature throughout the apartments and shared spaces.

The use of mass timber sits alongside a range of sustainability initiatives, including a fully electric, gas-free design, rooftop solar and a targeted 5 Star Green Star rating.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375524]

Inside the residences, the focus remains on natural, durable materials. Blackbutt engineered timber flooring, exposed CLT ceilings, porcelain surfaces and warm timber joinery create a calming interior palette, while low-VOC finishes and responsibly sourced materials have been selected to improve indoor air quality.

Kitchens have been designed as the centrepiece of each apartment, featuring porcelain island benchtops, timber-look cabinetry and brushed steel tapware, with layouts that maximise natural light and ventilation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375530]

The more traditional interpretation of wellness comes in the form of Level Eleven, a two-storey wellness club spanning the ground floor, mezzanine and first floor.

The facility will include a gym, yoga and reformer Pilates studios, Finnish and infrared saunas, magnesium hot and cold plunge pools, and dedicated recovery spaces. Unlike many residential wellness facilities, Level Eleven will also operate commercially, allowing the broader Bowden community to access the venue while giving residents exclusive membership benefits.

The ground floor has also been designed around everyday living. A café overlooking Bowden Village Reserve will activate the street frontage, while a bike workshop with tool storage, co-working space and dog wash has been incorporated to support daily routines and encourage interaction between residents.

"Flowe brings together my two biggest passions, creating places and creating healthier lives," Otello founder Daniel Harris said.

"We wanted to create something Adelaide hasn't seen before, a genuinely healthy building, where the way you live is lifted without even trying."

Flowe is positioned directly opposite Bowden Village Reserve and within walking distance of Bowden Railway Station and the Adelaide Entertainment Centre, placing future residents just minutes from the Adelaide CBD while remaining connected to one of the city's most established urban renewal precincts.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152022]

Otello launches wellness-focused Flowe Bowden with Adelaide-first mass timber apartment design

Not all apartment amenities are immediately visible.

Swimming pools, gyms, rooftop terraces and residents' lounges have long featured on buyers' wishlists, but as the way Australians live has changed, so too have the features that make apartment living more convenient.

Increasingly, buyers are placing value on the practical aspects of day-to-day life. Fast internet, EV charging, secure bike storage, flexible workspaces and parcel management are becoming just as relevant as lifestyle amenities, reflecting changing habits and expectations.

Online shopping has been one of the biggest drivers of that shift.

Australians spent a record $82.6 billion shopping online in 2025, with almost one in every four retail dollars now spent digitally, making parcel deliveries a routine part of everyday life rather than an occasional convenience.

For apartment residents, however, receiving those deliveries isn't always straightforward.

Without someone home to accept a parcel, deliveries can be redirected to a nearby Post Office, left in building foyers or common areas, or require building management to temporarily store packages. As apartment living continues to grow across Australia's cities, parcel management has become an increasingly important consideration for both residents and developers.

Australia Post's Parcel Locker network is one response to that shift.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/KPZ9j5FRdsQ?si=Qztc1dNP3ZvEIUhb" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

Rather than relying on home delivery, eligible parcels can be directed to a nominated Parcel Locker, where they're securely stored until collected. Once a parcel arrives, residents receive a notification through the AusPost app or SMS and can retrieve it using a one-time code or QR code at a time that suits them.

The network has expanded to more than 1,500 locations nationwide, with Parcel Lockers positioned at Post Offices, shopping centres, supermarkets, transport hubs and, increasingly, within or alongside residential developments.

That growing presence reflects a broader change in how apartment buildings are being planned.

Developers are increasingly considering the operational side of apartment living alongside traditional lifestyle amenities. Just as secure mailrooms, bicycle storage and EV charging have become more common inclusions, parcel management is emerging as another feature that supports everyday convenience.

It also helps preserve the arrival experience within a building. Carefully designed lobbies and communal spaces can quickly become cluttered when deliveries accumulate, while secure parcel solutions reduce the likelihood of missed deliveries or parcels being left unattended.

For buyers comparing apartments, these everyday details are becoming part of the decision-making process.

Location, floorplans and finishes remain fundamental, but the features that simplify daily life are carrying greater weight than they once did. As online shopping continues to shape consumer behaviour, secure parcel delivery is increasingly becoming another amenity worth looking for.

Parcel delivery is joining the apartment amenity checklist

Inca Property Group has lodged a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for Dawn, a 53-apartment oceanfront development overlooking Mona Vale Beach.

The proposal, at 35-39 Darley Street East, would replace an existing 18-apartment strata building with a new owner-occupier-focused development comprising 53 two and three-bedroom apartments, including nine affordable built-to-rent residences delivered under the State's infill affordable housing scheme.

Positioned on a 2,679 sqm elevated site around 280 metres from Mona Vale Beach, the development has been designed to maximise panoramic ocean views while responding to the site's sloping topography.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/inca-property-group">Inca Property Group</a> Managing Director Josh Thompson said the State Significant pathway provided greater certainty for projects of this scale.

"This State Significant pathway gives the team real certainty to progress <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/dawn-35-39-darley-street-east-mona-vale-nsw-2103">Dawn</a> through to completion," Thompson said.

"It allows us to acquire a one-off site, design it carefully and deliver the right offering for the suburb, assessed by the NSW Government's planning department."

The project is one of the first developments in the area to be assessed under the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing policy, with the site sitting on the edge of the policy's designated inner area.

The proposal includes three basement levels providing 124 car spaces, alongside a range of resident amenities including a swimming pool, gym, sauna, wellness facilities and private plunge pools for selected ground-floor and penthouse apartments.

<img alt="Dawn" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fc1a1daf-0ce4-4f12-9076-b1fa553c7a91" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-21%20at%208.42.11%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4GZ9h.gpNkTljbxyAET8Jfhv51XUamDm" />

Thompson said Dawn had been designed specifically for owner-occupiers and downsizers, a buyer profile that has driven demand across Inca's recent Upper North Shore developments.

"The majority of buyers in our recent North Shore projects have been downsizers, and we are learning exactly what this market is looking for. Beyond the location itself, we have included resort-style amenities to deliver a genuine lifestyle offering," Thompson said.

Located within walking distance of Mona Vale Beach, the town centre, Mona Vale Golf Club and the Royal Motor Yacht Club, Dawn represents Inca's first Northern Beaches project following the sell-out of Tara on Park in Waitara and Ellis Residences, currently under construction in St Ives.

Construction will be undertaken by Inca's in-house construction arm, GOP Constructions.

Dawn is the latest major apartment proposal for Mona Vale, with the suburb emerging as one of the key beneficiaries of the NSW Government's new Low and Mid-Rise Housing policy.

New developer One Living, led by industry veteran Joseph Scuderi, recently secured a site on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, where it is planning around 140 apartments.

IPM is also planning its third project in Mona Vale, significantly increasing the scale of its previous developments with an 82-apartment proposal at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/159-167-darley-street-west-mona-vale-nsw-2103">159-167 Darley Street West</a>, opposite Bayview Golf Course and less than 800 metres from Mona Vale town centre.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/one-living-enters-sydneys-new-apartment-market-with-northern-beaches-site-acquisition">One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition</a>

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-ipm-plans-third-mona-vale-project">First look: IPM plans third Mona Vale project</a>

First look: Inca eyes Mona Vale with State Significant DA for Dawn apartments

Seasoned Victorian apartment developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a> has logged more than $400 million in sales in its luxury apartment project Palmera Residences at Northcliffe on the Gold Coast.&nbsp;

Central Equity Director Karl Kutner said the sales result reflected a combination of location, product quality and delivery certainty with the project already under construction by building powerhouse Multiplex.&nbsp;

"Surpassing $400 million in sales since launch is a significant milestone and an outstanding endorsement of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera Residences</a>,” he said.&nbsp;

"We believe one of the key reasons for this strong result is the confidence purchasers have in knowing the project is under construction with Multiplex. Buyers are increasingly looking for certainty. They want to know that the project they commit to today will be delivered by an experienced team with a proven track record."&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365782]

Kutner said it was clear there was still high demand for luxury projects that offered certainty of delivery.&nbsp;

“We are in a market where many residential developments have faced delays due to rising construction costs, labour shortages and financing challenges,” said Kutner.&nbsp;

"But having construction underway has provided our buyers with resounding confidence backed by more than 40 years of development delivery by Central Equity combined with construction by one of Australia's most respected construction companies."&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365785]

Central Equity is one of Australia's most experienced privately-owned property developers. Over more than four decades, the company has delivered in excess of 85 residential developments including 10,000 apartments and many thousands of stand alone homes.&nbsp;

Located on Garfield Terrace at Northcliffe, between Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, Palmera Residences occupies one of the Gold Coast's most sought after beachside locations. The development has been designed to appeal to owner occupiers seeking premium residences that combine generous living spaces and resort style amenities.&nbsp;

Palmera Residences will feature an exceptional collection of resort style amenities, including two swimming pools: a generously sized family pool with safe shallow zones for relaxed recreation, and a 20 metre lap pool positioned to maximise all day sunlight.&nbsp;

Residents will also enjoy exclusive access to wellness and recreational facilities including a magnesium pool, sauna, yoga studio, expansive fitted gymnasium, resident lounge, outdoor BBQ’s&nbsp;and indoor and outdoor dining areas, together with a dedicated concierge and luxurious hotel inspired entrance foyer.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365767]

A unique feature at Palmera Residences has been designed to enhance the Gold Coast lifestyle which includes both indoor and outdoor gymnasium facilities, together with thoughtfully designed indoor and outdoor dining and entertaining areas. A corner café has also been incorporated to provide residents with a destination for their everyday needs.&nbsp;

Kutner said buyer demand had been broad based with purchasers attracted from interstate as well as throughout South East Queensland.&nbsp;

"We're seeing strong interest from owner occupiers, lifestyle buyers and people relocating to the Gold Coast. Many purchasers have been searching for a premium beachside residence where quality, design and delivery are equally important."&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Kutner said the sales milestone was an important achievement, but the focus remained firmly on delivering an exceptional development.&nbsp;

"While reaching $400 million in sales is an important milestone, our priority remains delivering a project that exceeds purchaser expectations,” he said.&nbsp;

"Palmera Residences has been designed to become one of the Gold Coast's landmark residential addresses, and we look forward to welcoming our purchasers to their new homes."&nbsp;

There are a limited number of residences remaining in selected configurations with pricing from $2,950,000 to $8,950,000. Palmera Residences is also crowned by expansive penthouses with wrap around views.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

Construction certainty and strong buyer demand drive major sales result for luxury Gold Coast development

Palmera Residences fly out the door as sales pass $400 million

2019 Property Price Forecast

<html><body>
The downturn in Sydney’s housing market has been the most pronounced of any capital city in 2018 after it enjoyed the strongest runup in recent years, according to Moody's Analytics latest report
The report found that, house values were down by 7.8% year over year in November, and Moody’s Analytics forecasts further falls in 2019.
Average Sydney home values have fallen 10.1% since their most recent 2017 peak, overtaking the prior peak-to-trough fall of 9.6% notched from 1989 to 1991.
However home values in Sydney remain around 60% higher than they were in 2012.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/14/NSW%20Forecast.JPG" alt="">
Sydney and Melbourne contain approximately 40% of Australian homes and represent approximately 60% of Australia’s housing wealth.
Housing completions for metropolitan Sydney came in at a record high in the year to September, according to New South Wales Housing Monitor.
Meanwhile, building approvals for Greater Sydney were broadly flat against a year earlier, according to the ABS.
Westpac’s consumer sentiment survey suggests that households have adjusted to a new medium-term norm, with only 10% of respondents in the December survey indicating that real estate is the wisest place for savings, the lowest result since 1974.
The authors noted, "a high level of supply has now come on line for apartments in the inner city and surrounding areas as well as dwellings in suburban areas via land releases and removal of some development restrictions. This will contribute to the forecast slowdown in 2018 and 2019."
"House values in the City and Inner South area are forecast to fall further in 2019 following a sharp decline in 2018."
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/7/Moodys%20Graph%205.JPG" alt="">
"The Inner West, which is expected to fall further in 2018, leads the way."
"The Eastern Suburbs and North Sydney are set for an entrenched slump; values are unlikely to recover before 2021," according to the report authors.
By 2020, the correction is forecast to have largely passed, but house value growth will be far from the lofty gains of recent years. Housing values are forecast to rise modestly in 2020. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/7/Moodys%20Graph%206.JPG" alt="">
The report forecasts house values in the Central Coast will escape the correction that has engulfed much of Greater Sydney in 2018 and will rise modestly in 2019, building on a 12.5% gain in 2017.
Home values rose 13% in the Outer West and Blue Mountains in 2017, although the housing market has since cooled.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/7/Moodys%20Graph%207.JPG" alt="">
</body></html>

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Sydney's apartment price downtown to turnaround in 2019: Moody's Analytics

<html><body>
The latest realestate.com.au data shows Surfers Paradise topped the Gold Coast's list of most searched suburbs on the property website.
House hunters searched it 267,709 times in the period from January to November last year.
Southport came in second with 221,455 searches followed by Burleigh Heads (216,466), Broadbeach (211,355) and Palm Beach (194,176).
location and affordability made the suburb so popular.
“I would say we’re the most affordable beachside suburb not only in Queensland but Australia,” Mrs Keegan said.
She said some apartments were listed for as little as $300,000 and with cafes, restaurants and the beach so close, people could not go past it.
“I’d probably say mainly apartments (were searched) because most people would have that postcard picture of Surfers Paradise in their minds,” she said.
“Tourism here is the strongest it’s ever been and I can’t see it slowing down.”
Ray White Prestige Gold Coast agent Sherry Smith believed interstate buyers were driving demand in Surfers Paradise because lifestyle and prices were attracting them.
An example of an apartment in the $300,000 range is 1/34 Monaco Street, Surfers Paradise (pictured above).
Set on 577 sqm, the two bedroom one bathroom apartment sold for $340,000.
Built in 1974 the unit last sold in 2016 for $312,500.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/1/Strip%20ad%20keep%20up%20in%202019.jpg" alt=""></a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/17/Surfers%20paradise%202.JPG" alt="">
Another example of this price range in Surfers Paradise is 3/7 View Avenue (pictured above).
The two bedroom one bathroom apartment sold for $295,000 in late December.
Featuring a balcony with glimpses of the water, the fully renovated East facing unit is only meters from the beach. 
She said Southport was popular because it was attracting investors and families wanting to be close to schools.
Lambert Willcox Estate Agents director Mitchell Lambert said the suburb was not always highly sought-after but the popularity of renovations had attracted people to older properties in need of work.
“We’re still selling houses for record prices and they haven’t stopped going up, and why not? It’s a great area,” he said.
TOP 10 MOST SEARCHED SUBURBS (number searched Jan-Nov 2018) 
1. Surfers Paradise — 267,709
2. Southport — 221,455
3. Burleigh Heads — 216,466
4. Broadbeach — 211,355
5. Palm Beach — 194,176
6. Robina — 172,518
7. Hope Island — 162,494
8. Helensvale — 160,887
9. Coolangatta — 139,902
10. Labrador — 124,319
(Source: realestate.com.au)
</body></html>

Surfers Paradise the most searched Gold Coast location in 2018 on realestate.com.au

<html><body>
The Australia Capital Territory’s residential real estate market held up well in 2018, with house and unit values rising moderately year over year, according to the latest report from Moody's Analytics.
However the report found that growth in house and unit values has turned down noticeably since late 2017, approaching lows not seen in close to two years.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/17/ACT%20home%20values%202017-2020.JPG" alt="">
Auction clearance rates have declined to around 40%, well below year-ago levels, while growth of housing finance commitments in the ACT has been trending lower, suggesting demand is cooling.
The report authors said, the ACT economy moderated in the September quarter, with growth of state final demand slowing to 0.9% quarter over quarter, down from 2.4% in the June quarter, as household consumption was flat and government consumption fell.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
"Investment, however, was strong, driven by robust construction."
"The ACT’s population grew by 2.2% in the year ended 2017, the biggest rise since 2012, driven by record net overseas migration," according to the authors.
ACT house values are forecast to rise 6.1% in 2019 following ongoing strength in the labour market and population growth.
In 2020 however a slowdown is forecast with house price growth slated for 4.8%.
Unit values are forecast to rise 3.3% in 2019 off the back of 2.9% growth in 2018.
Growth in unit values is set to increase in 2020 however reaching 4.6%.
</body></html>

The house market in ACT is forecast to grow 6% in 2019: Moody's Analytics

<html><body>
Fitch Ratings has predicted Australian house prices will fall by a further five per cent in 2019, driven by reduced affordability and restricted credit access.
“Australian borrowers continue to be vulnerable to financial shocks,” Fitch analyst Ben McCarthy said.
The ratings agency said it expected prices to stabilise in 2020. 
The drop in house prices in Australia this year will be the worst in the world, one of the world’s major credit rating agencies predicted.
The Fitch Ratings report released on Wednesday predicted Australia’s housing industry would be the worst performer out of 24 countries for the second year running. 
Prices have already dropped by 6.7 per cent since their peak and Fitch said this was mostly due to lower investor demand thanks to tougher restrictions on lending. 
Fitch noted that high household debt made economies more vulnerable to shocks in the financial sector and borrowers more exposed to downturns given very high household debt level.
It was calculated as the highest in the report relative to GDP at about 120 per cent.
Fitch predicts house prices will stabilise by 2020 due to above-trend GDP growth and strong net migration.
In Sydney and Melbourne, where larger peak-to-trough falls of 11.1 per cent and 7.2 per cent have occurred, Fitch expects price declines to continue at a similar pace.
It notes that the most expensive properties have experienced the largest declines of 9.5 per cent.
Fitch has also warned Australians could struggle to keep up with their mortgage payments as house prices fall and it takes longer to sell a property.
 
</body></html>

Fitch Ratings see no Australian house price recovery until 2020

<html><body>
The Melbourne residential market has experienced years of unprecedented growth that saw prices peak in November 2017.
<div class="page" title="Page 1">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
Now, after decades of rapid price hikes, the market is starting to self-correct to a level more traditionally akin to a ‘normal’ market, with organic ebbs and flows. 
David Kobritz, executive chairman of Dealcorp, said the housing market in Melbourne has always come back stronger after downturns.
“Melbourne’s property market has experienced four significant downturns in the past 30 years and they have all been as a result of tightened credit conditions, whether at the instigation of banks themselves or through government/regulator intervention," Kobritz said.
"Every time the housing market comes back stronger due to the release of pent up demand and ongoing population growth; What is happening now is part of the natural property cycle in Australia, every eight – 10 years we go through a downturn, but we always recover quickly when common sense prevails.”
Kobritz suggested the fundamentals in the market remain strong, particularly around low vacancy rates, population growth, increasing cost of construction and foreign buyers with a strong appetite to purchase.
"I think we are at or close to the bottom of this downturn/cycle and we should return to strong growth in the medium term, especially as the supply side will reduce significantly over the next few years.”
He said the heat has been taken out of the market and will return to more normalised conditions.
“The economy relies on a strong property and construction market and I would expect that some of the restrictions and disincentives imposed by governments and regulators will begin to ease in 2019.”
Luke Hartman, managing director of Metro Property, said it won't take long for markets to recover, and believes those that are brave enough to buy property when there is weakness in the market are those that will prosper the most.
“We’ve seen this happen all before; any time there is uncertainty about the property sector, particularly around an election, buyers will sit on their hands and wait to see what happens next," he said.
"It causes the market to stagnate and drives prices down, the irony of which is that it makes it the perfect time to buy.” 
“Markets do recover, and I don’t think it will take long. 
"Next year we will have much more certainty on the direction the market is going following the results of the Royal Banking Commission and the federal election. 
"Once that happens, I think the market will bounce right back up. There is currently a very small window of opportunity that exists for buyers in the market before that happens.” 
"There’s less buyers to compete with, properties are better value and when the market inevitably picks back up again they will see their investment pay off with significant capital gain.”
Elias Jreissati, group chairman at Bensons Property Group, said the extent of the current softening is highly exaggerated and sensationalised.
"The Melbourne housing sector had very strong growth for nearly 10 years, it is natural that there will be a slowdown for a while," he advised. 
“The fundamental driver of housing is population growth and it continues unabated. Overseas immigration is still strong, people are still growing up and wanting to move out of home, downsizers are still wanting to downsize and people wanting to own their own home still aspire to do so. These facts never change.
</div>
</div>
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
<div class="page" title="Page 2">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
"With the mad heat having dissipated from the market, there should be more quality stock available for the discerning purchasers. The thing with property is that if you own it for the long term, it always forgives you and profits you.” 
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="page" title="Page 2">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
Leonard Teplin, director of Marshall White Projects, said there will always be demand for well-designed apartment developments. He said the office average sale price of an off-the-plan apartment rose to $963,000 over 2018.
“The apartment market for off-the-plan remains consistent, with enquiry meeting demand through most of 2018 within strong areas of Melbourne," he said.
"Given the relative affordability of finance for couples, these buyers are happy to invest more, move to stronger areas or purchase bigger apartments.
“There will always be demand for well-designed and appointed projects within good locations, close to amenities and infrastructure offering carefully considered floorplans that cater to the end buyer’s needs.
"These basic fundamentals have buoyed Melbourne’s property market and continue to get stronger.” 
</div>
</div>
</div>
</body></html>

jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Now is the time to buy in Melbourne: What the experts say

<html><body>
EXPERT OBSERVER
Home prices slid in 2018, in some places by quite a lot.
According to the widely-used <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/research/monthly-indices" target="_blank">Corelogic Hedonic Home Value Index</a>, home prices were down 4.8% across the nation in 2018. Sydney was particularly hard hit, down 8.9% and prices in Melbourne slipped 7.0%. Hobart was a bright spot, but an exception, up 8.7%.
You might be dying to ask what “hedonic” means. The word relates to pleasure, in this case the pleasure of owning a home.
<h2>Hedonic. It’s how we compare like with like</h2>
In earlier times monthly house price moves were calculated by comparing the average price of houses sold in one month with the average price of houses sold in the previous month.
But what if the “pleasure” that was sold in that month was different from the pleasure that was sold the previous month? What if, for example, in December mainly good five-bedroom mansions in good suburbs were sold, whereas in January it was mainly one bedroom dumps located where people didn’t want to live? The average recorded price would go down even if the price of individual houses had not.
The hedonic index gets around this by comparing <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/research/rp-data-corelogic-home-value-index-methodology" target="_blank">like with like</a> - the price of three-bedroom homes in a middle ranking suburb with the price of three-bedroom homes in the same middle ranking suburb and so on. It’s made up of a lot of indexes combined, and is unaffected by the mix of properties that happen to be sold in any particular month.
The results are not good news for current home owners, but they are worth putting into perspective.
<h2>How far back do you want to go?</h2>
In Melbourne prices are down 7.2% from their peak, but they are no lower than they were as recently as February 2017. In Sydney, prices are no lower than they were in August 2016 according to Corelogic.
So, should we focus on the latest very recent drop in prices, or the incredibly strong growth over the previous 20 years?
The following chart from Corelogic’s Head of Research Tim Lawless demonstrates that long-run growth in Sydney, as well as the fact there have been pretty significant short-run dips along the way.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/11/HOLDEN.jpg" alt="">
The most obvious point to make is that if you bought recently then the current price drops hurt. If you had a 20% deposit, the latest falls in Sydney and Melbourne have wiped out about half of your starting equity; more if you factor in stamp duty and moving costs.
If you bought a longer time ago, you might feel the sting of the latest price slide just a touch, but you are still well ahead.
So from a personal perspective, it’s natural that some people will care a lot about what’s happened, and others won’t much mind.
<h2>What’ll it mean for the economy?</h2>
The biggest concern is the so-called “wealth effect”.
When home prices fall, homeowners feel (and are) poorer.
It affects how much they are prepared to spend, although as the <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/pdf/rdp2015-08.pdf" target="_blank">Reserve Bank and others have pointed out</a> the size of the effect remains unclear.
But it might be bigger than you think. Many of us aren’t rational. We have <a href="http://www.columbia.edu/%7Emd3405/RD_lecture_1_handout.pdf" target="_blank">“reference points”</a>. If, because of the barrage of media reports at the time, we use the start of 2018 (the top of the market) as our reference point, then even those of us who have owned properties for a long time will feel poorer. And because of that, we might spend less.
Since private spending <a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/household-final-consumption-expenditure-etc-percent-of-gdp-wb-data" target="_blank">accounts for well over half of Australia’s gross domestic product</a>, spending less can have a big effect.
<h2>What’ll it mean for the banks?</h2>
Australia’s big four banks are the biggest lenders to residential property owners and are among the biggest companies in Australia.
Could the slide in property prices put them in jeopardy?
If a few homebuyers had a 20% deposit and suffered at most maybe a 15% fall in prices, there isn’t a problem, right?
That view is basically correct – except when it’s not.
Some lenders have been bulking up loans to borrowers who earlier took out, say, A$600,000. When their homes came to be worth, say, $1.5 million they lent them more - boosting their loans by most of the extra value.
The practice calls into question the view that only a small number of the most recent buyers are highly leveraged. Many more folks could be – but without the loan-level data that the banks have, we don’t know.
<h2>Is 2018 a good predictor of 2019?</h2>
At the heart of all of these questions is whether the 2018 price falls are likely to continue, which would mean them getting much bigger.
That depends on what caused them.
A key part of it was that banks (at least the big four) lent less than they used to. With less money borrowed, there was less money to bid up prices.
As I have noted before, Australian banks were arguably lending too much; about 25% more than US banks to equivalent borrowers.
Post Royal Commission, that’s changed. As has been widely discussed, banks are now looking at borrower’s expenses much more carefully. Too carefully, according to Treasurer Josh Frydenberg who has <a href="https://www.afr.com/news/politics/josh-frydenberg-tells-banks-to-ease-up-on-lending-crackdown-20181109-h17q2g" target="_blank">called on them to lend more</a>.
The important point is that if there has been a one-off adjustment in the borrowing capacity of Australians, then the price falls should stop fairly soon: predictions of more modest falls in 2019 followed by a reset and uptick in 2020 mightn’t be too far off the mark.
If so, the short-term slide will remain for most people, just that.
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/richard-holden-118107" target="_blank">Richard Holden</a>, Professor of Economics, <a href="http://theconversation.com/institutions/unsw-1414" target="_blank">UNSW</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/vital-signs-so-far-its-more-of-a-house-price-blip-than-a-bust-in-the-making-109568" target="_blank">original article</a>.
</body></html>

It’s more of a house price blip than a bust in the making: Richard Holden

<html><body>
House rents in Sydney have declined annually for the first time in more than 12 years and are now back to 2016 levels, according to the latest research released by Domain.
They found that house rents declined 1.8 per cent over the quarter and the year to $540 per week, while rental yields increased 0.9 per cent over the quarter and 4.2 per cent over the year to 3.24 per cent. 
Unit rents declined 2.8 per cent over the quarter to $530 per week and rental yields increased 0.1 per cent over the quarter and 1.7 per cent over the year to 3.87 per cent. 
For the first time since 2004 unit rents have fallen for two consecutive quarters.
The cost of renting a unit is now at 2017 levels.
For the first time in 11 years the cost of renting a house in Canberra is now higher than Sydney, according to the latest data from Domain.
The difference in weekly house rents between Canberra and Sydney has jumped to $20.
Canberra house rents increased 1.8 per cent over the quarter and 3.7 per cent over the year to $560 per week, while rental yields improved 1.4 per cent over the quarter and 0.6 per cent over the year to 4.36 per cent. 
Unit rents increased 3.3 per cent over the quarter and 8.1 per cent over the year to $465 per week.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/9/Domain%20Rent%20Syd.JPG" alt=""> Domain research analyst, Dr Nicola Powell said available rental stock continued to increased over the year, with development completions adding to the pipeline of supply.
"We expect rental supply to increase further in 2019, putting tenants in the driver’s seat. Tenants will find greater bargaining power as rising supply keeps pressure on rents, providing strong grounds to negotiate lease terms. Landlords will be keen to retain good tenants as leases expire, with incentives and rental discounts a realistic prospect.” “Gross yields are nearing a two-year high, suggesting rental prices are holding firmer than property values. Despite improved yields, we expect many investors will look to other capital city markets in 2019, with the prospect of short-term capital gains unlikely.
"This could serve to tighten rental supply over the long term. However, slowing interstate and overseas migration could offset this impact,” she concluded.
Melbourne house and unit rental prices continue to rise, with both achieving new record highs, according to the latest research from Domain.
Domain found, Melbourne house rents increased 2.3 per cent over the quarter and 3.5 per cent over the year to $440 per week, while rental yields improved 1.4 per cent over the quarter and 4.4 per cent over the year to 3.20 per cent. 
Available Brisbane rental stock has been sliding since the end of 2017, and is now at a three and a half year low, according to the latest research from Domain.
House rents increased 2.5 per cent over the quarter and year to $410 per week, while rental yields declined 0.3 per cent over the quarter but increased 1 per cent over the year to 4.62 per cent. 
Brisbane unit rents increased 1.3 per cent over the quarter and 2.7 per cent over the year to $380 per week.
However, rental yields declined 0.2 per cent over the quarter but improved 3.7 per cent over the year to 5.12 per cent.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
“If rental stock keeps shrinking, greater competition between tenants will emerge, putting further upward pressure on rental prices, a marked change given the prolonged period of stability," Domain research analyst, Dr Nicola Powell said.
"House and unit rents are already displaying a higher pace of growth relative to last year, with houses recording the first positive movement and units the strongest gain on an annual basis in roughly three years.”
“Population growth in the sunshine state has been driven in fairly equal measure by natural increases, interstate migration and overseas migration. Queensland is the only state or territory to have such balance, which has helped to support a broad-based demand for housing. Job prospects, an improving economy and greater housing affordability continues to lure residents from NSW and Victoria.”
“Given property prices have fallen in Sydney and Melbourne, investors have already started to find Brisbane a more attractive option as they seek better yields and growth potential. Investors will be further enticed north as rental prices and gross yields continue to improve,” she concluded.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/9/Domain%20Rent%20Bris.JPG" alt="">
</body></html>

Sydney no longer the nation’s most expensive capital city to rent a house: Domain

<html><body>
South Australia’s housing market is forecast to remain relatively subdued with slow but steady growth, according to the latest report from Moody's Analytics.
Moody’s Analytics have forecast housing values will pick up slightly in 2019, while apartment values will likely be weak off the back of a slow 2018.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/8/Adelaide%201.JPG" alt="">
Greater Adelaide is expected to see sustained housing growth of 2.6% in 2019 and 3.6% in 2020, a small improvement on 2018, while apartments are forecast to see subdued growth as in the trend of previous years.
The Central and Hills region of Adelaide is forecast to see housing growth of 2.5% in 2019 in line with greater Adelaide and slightly less growth in 2020, while apartments are expected to stabilise after making a small loss last year of -0.8%.
Adelaide North is forecast to have greater growth in 2020 than in 2019 reaching 4.6% an improvement on its previous performance, while apartments are forecast to continue a small downward trend in 2019 and 2020.
The Southern Adelaide region is forecast to have the strongest housing growth in Adelaide growing 3.7% in 2019 and 4.9% in 2020, while apartments are forecast to have slow growth in 2019 of 1.4% and the strongest apartment growth of any SA region in 2020 at 3.9%.
Western Adelaide is forecast to see small growth in housing prices in 2019 and 2020 of 2% and 2.9% respectively, while apartments are expected to have a strong 2019 with growth of 3% lower than their 2018 growth of 4.5% before slumping to a loss in of 2.9% in 2020.
The rest of SA is expected to be continued a trend of home price weakness in 2019 with a loss of -0.6% forecast by Moody's Analytics, however in 2020 a recovery has been predicted with growth pegged at 4.2%.
Barossa, Yorke, and Mid North SA are predicted to experience weakening house prices in 2019 before experiencing a pick up in 2020 of 3.4%, after experiencing price growth in 2017 and 2018.
The Outback region of SA is forecast to see price falls of -10.2 throughout 2019 continuing a trend of price falls before bouncing back in 2020 to grow 5.6%.
South East SA is forecast to have consistent price growth in 2019 (3.9%) and 2020 (4.1%) after seeing a reduction of -0.6% last year. 
The report authors note, "although low population growth has dampened home values, a recovery in employment growth, coupled with increased incomes over the next few years, could result in pockets of South Australia outperforming the rest of the state."
The dwelling market in Adelaide-North is likely to remain mixed with house values expected to accelerate while apartment values remain subdued.
Overall, population growth has supported home values; nearly 50% of the total population gain in Adelaide has been in Adelaide-North in 2016-2017.
However population growth is expected to moderate.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/8/Adelaide%203.JPG" alt="">
The report said, "the Adelaide-Central and Hills region enjoyed a strong run in 2017, but values have slowed in 2018, and a slow recovery is likely in 2019."
"Moreover, a strong runup in apartment supply since 2014 has prompted apartment values to fall in 2018, and only a small recovery is likely in 2019 and 2020."
"A higher supply—with around 1.4 apartments approved for every home approved since 2015—will limit apartment value gains in the region," the report stated.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/8/Adelaide%202.JPG" alt="">
Moody's Analytics forecast that slow population and income growth will weigh on the South Australian housing market.
They have also predicted that high rental values will keep the Adelaide housing market stable and prevent a sharp collapse seen elsewhere nationwide.
Notably, agriculture commodity prices are expected to remain subdued, while the Australian dollar is unlikely to fall further.
These external developments will limit income gains across the Barossa-Yorke-Mid North and South Australia-Outback regions in the coming years.
Consequently it is forecast the housing market there is will correct further in 2019 before a recovery takes place in 2020.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
</body></html>

Adelaide's housing market forecast to see slow but steady growth: Moody's Analytics

<html><body>
Queensland’s 2019 housing market is expected to vary across the state, largely because of its diverse economy, according to Moody's Analytics latest report.
The report noted that the Brisbane area has seen its strongest growth since the lull in 2012, thanks mostly to improved activity in the services sector.
The outlook for Queensland's housing markets is for either flat or mildly positive returns over the next two years.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/7/Moodys%20Graph%203.JPG" alt="">
The authors noted, "although Brisbane home values rose steadily through 2017 and 2018, the apartment market has been more subdued."
"A runup in supply over the past few years has capped gains in the apartment market."
"However, supply has tightened since its peak; the latest data suggest apartment building approvals have fallen from their 2013 levels."
"Therefore, a reduced apartment glut will likely usher in a broad-based recovery in apartment values from 2019 onward," according to the report authors.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/8/Brisbane%20apts%203.JPG" alt="">
The contrast between home and apartment values is most apparent in Brisbane Inner City (comprising South Brisbane, Ascot and Grange).
Moody’s Analytics forecasts home values to underperform throughout the forecast period, while apartment values are expected to accelerate.
This is a reversal of trend from the past few years; home values had risen more than 30% since mid-2012, while apartment values had risen only around 5%.
 <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/8/Brisbane%20apts%204.JPG" alt="">
(Source: Moody's Analytics, CoreLogic)
Apartments in Greater Brisbane are forecast to grow 2.8 percent overall in 2019 with every region seeing growth, ranging from 2.7% to 7.6%, after falling -3.1 and -0.9 percent in prior years.
Moreton Bay, Logan and Ipswich are projected by Moody's Analytics to be the three largest growth areas for apartments with a forecast growth over 2019 and 2020 ranging from 13.5% in Ipswich to 18.6% in Moreton Bay - North over the next two year. 
Brisbane North and South as well as the Inner City Brisbane region are expected to see medium to high growth with Inner City region expecting growth of 7.3%.
However Brisbane East and the Inner City region are expected to see a slowdown in 2020 with both areas still forecast to grow.
The second housing sector comprising more “lifestyle” areas, including Sunshine Coast, Wide Bay and Cairns, are expected to perform better over the forecast period, as income growth remains robust and the degree of supply increase is not as great as in areas of Brisbane.
Lifestyle areas are also buoyed by overseas tourist demand, which has remained strong on the back of the falling Australian dollar.
Moody’s Analytics forecasts home values to underperform throughout the forecast period, while apartment values are expected to accelerate.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/7/Moodys%20Graph%204.JPG" alt="">
The third housing market region in Queensland comprises commodity-producing areas.
These include Central Queensland, Mackay-Isaac-Whitsunday, and Darling Downs-Maranoa.
The report authors note, "values have declined significantly here over the past few years, partly as a result of the end of the mining boom."
"The recent uptick in commodity prices is unlikely to provide a tailwind, with housing values expected to correct further through 2019."
"A lack of job opportunities will subdue population growth, lowering equilibrium home values," the authors concluded.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
</body></html>

Brisbane apartment market forecast to see stronger price growth in 2019: Moody's Analytics

<html><body>
House prices are falling at the fastest rate in 35 years, according to global investment bank Morgan Stanley.
In October Morgan Stanley predicted the downturn, suggesting it will be the <a href="/news/morgan-stanley-forecast-property-downturn-will-be-the-largest-since-the-early-1980s">largest since the early 1980s</a>.
And December's 1.8 percent house price slide in Sydney put the harbour capital's housing market at a 3.9 percent decline over the last three months of the year, the bank noted according to CoreLogic's figures.
That equates to an annualised figure of nearly 16 percent.
Nationally house prices declined 1.4 percent over December, the largest house price decline since 1983, to be 6.7 percent down over the year.
Morgan Stanley have advised that the likelihood of a disorderly market correction and economic recession has increased. 
Morgan Stanley did note some of the housing weakness in December was "seasonal."
However its model of six key market indicators, ranging from credit supply to house price expectations, suggests approvals and prices will continue to fall with a likely peak to trough decline of between 10 and 15 per cent.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
"A rate of the continuation of the rate of decline in December would be a signal we are shifting to this scenario (a balance sheet recession)," Morgan Stanley's analysis suggested.
<div class="_2vba1">
"With entrenched weakness across all aspects of the market, 2019 looks unlikely to hold an improvement."
"Focus is now on the broader economic impact of the ongoing correction. Further details continue to suggest a sustained deterioration in conditions, with few signs of a turnaround," the report warns.
Last year saw a number of the big banks change their house price forecast, having initially saw only small declines over 2018 and 2019.
ANZ revised their housing market forecast in November, instead seeing <a href="/expert-insights/buying/anz-revise-forecast-upwards-to-20-percent-house-price-declines-in-sydney-and-melbourne">prices falling as much as 20 percent</a> in Sydney and Melbourne.
They previously predicted 10 percent falls peak to trough on their <a href="/news/anz-revise-property-forecasts-and-see-10-percent-declines-in-sydney-and-melbourne">second forecast revision</a> in June 2018.
In October <a href="/news/nab-change-property-price-correction-forecast-after-confidence-collapses">NAB changed their predictions</a>, suggesting the orderly correction in house prices will continue over the next 18 to 24 months, with Sydney units falling around 10 percent and Melbourne houses over eight percent.
Now AMP Capital's Shane Oliver, Industry Super's Stephen Anthony and Market Economics' Stephen Koukoulas believe the <a href="/expert-insights/finance/why-the-rba-will-cut-interest-rates-in-2019">RBA will cut interest rates this year.</a>
</div>
 
</body></html>

2019 Property Price Forecast

Editor's Picks

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News

2019 Property Price Forecast

Editor's Picks

Receive the latest news stories to your inbox

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News