One of North Sydney's best-known commercial buildings could become hundreds of new homes, with insurance giant Zurich Australia lodging a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) to transform 5 Blue Street into a mixed-use residential development above North Sydney Station.

Rather than demolishing the existing building and starting again, Zurich is proposing an adaptive reuse project that would convert the landmark office building into a 15-level residential development delivering 62 apartments, 86 affordable co-living dwellings, activated retail and significant upgrades to the Blue Street Plaza.

The proposal reflects a growing trend of commercial property owners repositioning ageing office assets into residential housing as Sydney grapples with housing supply shortages and changing workplace demand.

<img alt="Zurich" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0bba7d12-06dc-4375-aad7-238c94b21ac5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-22%20at%2010.42.05%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=NJl5oLAEBDGuPmY3RnyliKODjMc8lvRh" />

Located directly above North Sydney Metro and train station, the 3,051 sqm site occupies one of the most strategically positioned parcels of land on Sydney's Lower North Shore.

Designed by fjcstudio, the proposal seeks to retain and adapt much of the existing structure while creating a contemporary residential address that better connects with the public domain surrounding North Sydney Station.

The application proposes two basement levels, ground floor retail, affordable co-living accommodation across the podium levels, and apartments above, while preserving and enhancing the publicly accessible Blue Street Plaza.

Rather than pursuing maximum apartment numbers, Zurich has opted for a housing mix heavily weighted towards larger owner-occupier residences.

The proposal includes 62 build-to-sell apartments comprising 12 one-bedroom, 19 two-bedroom, 29 three-bedroom apartments and two premium penthouses. It also incorporates 86 affordable co-living dwellings, which would be managed in perpetuity by a Community Housing Provider.

That balance between traditional apartments and affordable housing reflects the NSW Government's push to increase housing diversity around major transport infrastructure.

The proposal has been lodged concurrently with a rezoning application, with Zurich arguing the site is ideally positioned to support additional housing given its immediate proximity to public transport, employment and services.

"The proposal aims to respond to the housing challenges facing Sydney through the delivery of diverse housing types in a highly accessible location," the design report by fjcstudio states. It also seeks to improve pedestrian amenity through upgrades to Blue Street Plaza while creating a high-performing residential building that responds to the surrounding context.

<img alt="Zurich" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36082e15-c636-4481-bb68-5a5f6443fe39" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-22%20at%2010.41.36%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=5P6VD.fvmqjQfIG3TWWMRXxQWiQBjeFB" />

Rather than replacing the commercial building, fjcstudio has developed a design that works with the existing structural framework above the rail corridor, an approach that significantly reduces demolition while allowing the site to be repositioned as a mixed-use residential precinct.

The existing structural constraints have informed much of the building's design, including its relationship with Blue Street and surrounding public spaces.

The building has been designed as a slender tower rising above a clearly defined podium, with vertically expressed façades intended to reduce the perceived bulk while reinforcing North Sydney's emerging skyline.

According to fjcstudio, the architectural language responds directly to the surrounding commercial towers while maintaining a finer grain expression more closely aligned with the neighbouring Lavender Bay streetscape.

The tower incorporates articulated façade elements, landscaped podium edges and recessed upper levels to soften its appearance and improve pedestrian amenity below.

A significant component of the proposal is the revitalisation of Blue Street Plaza.

The existing public space has long served as one of the primary pedestrian connections between North Sydney Station, Greenwood Plaza and Blue Street, yet its role is expected to become even more important following the opening of Sydney Metro.

Zurich's proposal seeks to strengthen that role by improving landscaping, introducing new retail frontages, enhancing pedestrian permeability and creating more active edges throughout the day and evening.

Ground floor retail would wrap the plaza, while separate residential and co-living entries have been designed to improve wayfinding without reducing street activation.

Landscape design has been integrated throughout the podium and public realm, softening what is currently one of the most heavily urbanised parts of North Sydney.

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fjcstudio has carefully oriented apartments towards Sydney Harbour and the CBD while using privacy blades and articulated façades to minimise overlooking between neighbouring buildings.

Large framed openings along the western elevation maximise harbour outlooks, while the eastern apartments have been angled towards the south-east to improve privacy from neighbouring development.

The project forms part of the continuing transformation of North Sydney from a predominantly commercial CBD into a genuine mixed-use city centre.

Since the completion of Victoria Cross Metro Station, developers have increasingly shifted their attention towards residential projects capable of leveraging the area's unparalleled transport connectivity.

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FiveX recently lodged plans for a 61-storey, 490-apartment tower that would become one of the tallest residential buildings in North Sydney if approved.

Aqualand continues to expand its Lower North Shore presence following the completion of AURA on Walker Street and its recent St Leonards and Roseville proposals.

Developers are also progressing projects throughout Walker Street, Miller Street and the Victoria Cross precinct as demand for well-located owner-occupier apartments continues to strengthen.

Joel Robinson

First look: Zurich targets North Sydney office conversion with 148-unit proposal above Metro station

Busy developer Aqualand Prestige has formally taken the next step in its expansion across Sydney's Lower North Shore, lodging a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for its long-held Archer Street site in Chatswood.

The application covers <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/51-55-archer-street-chatswood-nsw-2067">51-55 Archer Street</a>, a 1,767 sqm amalgamated site on the eastern edge of the Chatswood CBD, where the developer is seeking approval for a 45-level mixed-use tower delivering 114 apartments, including a significant affordable housing component, alongside retail, commercial space and six basement levels of parking.

The SSDA marks the latest milestone for a project Aqualand has been quietly progressing over the past two years. The developer first secured the site for its Aqualand Prestige platform before undertaking an alternative design excellence process with PTW Architects, ultimately avoiding a formal design competition through the Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

The proposal has evolved considerably from Aqualand's original concept. The revised scheme has been designed around larger owner-occupier product, with an unusually high proportion of three and four-bedroom apartments, targeting the more affluent buyer profile, and downsizer, emerging across the North Shore.

<img alt="Archer St" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0171204c-5811-41b5-9b09-2335d1b7c3d0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-22%20at%208.52.48%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=6YTuxfq.puZo7k2wbfgemcO5K3QfXYGQ" />

The 114-apartment mix comprises six studios, 27 one-bedroom apartments, 18 two-bedroom apartments, 50 three-bedroom residences and 13 four-bedroom homes. A quarter of the building will be dedicated to affordable housing, well above the mandated 15 per cent&nbsp;

PTW has structured the building vertically, with affordable housing across levels one to six, premium apartments through levels seven to 31, duplex skyhomes on klevels 32 to 43, a penthouse on level 44, and a rooftop plant level above. Six basement levels will provide resident parking and servicing.

The tower is proposed to reach approximately 154 metres, placing it among a growing collection of residential high-rises transforming Chatswood's skyline.

Rather than competing purely on height, PTW says the design has been driven by creating a slimmer tower capable of delivering significantly larger apartments.

"The primary objective of this project was to create a distinctive building that stands out from the recently approved or built structures in the Chatswood area," the design report states, noting the structural efficiency allows greater investment into apartment quality and resident amenity.

Residents would have access to more than 450 sqm of communal open space including landscaped gardens, swimming pool, rooftop entertaining areas, fitness spaces, community gardens, children's play areas and barbecue facilities.

A major focus of the design has been the public domain.

The ground plane has been opened up through landscaped terraces inspired by Willoughby's sandstone ridges, with native planting, public seating, artwork, retail activation and a series of gathering spaces intended to soften what has traditionally been a hard commercial streetscape.

The landscape strategy references Blue Gum forests once common throughout the area, while incorporating Indigenous storytelling, public art and lighting installations to strengthen the connection to Country.

Chatswood has been one of Sydney's busiest apartment markets over the past 12 months, with a steady pipeline of both new project launches and fresh development applications.

Hyecorp recently launched Celine, a 122-apartment development just along Archer Street, while Changfa and Huirong Group are progressing The Anderson, an 84-apartment project on Anderson Street.

Develotek recently secured approval for a 101-apartment tower on Pacific Highway, while Tian An LFD received the green light for Hammond Greens, its apartment development on the edge of the Chatswood Bowling Club.

Commercial property developer FiveX is also making its move into the residential market. Last month it lodged plans for a 61-storey tower with 490 apartments, which, if approved, would become one of the tallest residential buildings in Chatswood.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-fivex-targets-chatswood-skyline-with-61-storey-tower-after-north-sydney-plans">First look: FiveX targets Chatswood skyline with 61-storey tower after North Sydney plans</a>

Aqualand is also expanding its development pipeline following the launch of its luxury residential brand, Aqualand Prestige. The developer has delivered a string of high-end apartment projects across Sydney's affluent suburbs over the past decade, most recently AURA by Aqualand on Walker Street in North Sydney.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=30959 project_image_fid=292863]

It has since quietly assembled its next wave of projects.

Earlier this year Aqualand launched Boronia in Roseville, a boutique 111-apartment development on Larkin Street. The project is one of the first significant apartment developments to launch in the suburb ahead of what is expected to become one of Sydney's most active new housing precincts under the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing reforms, which allow greater density around train stations.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152095 project_image_fid=373685]

The developer has also lodged plans for a two-tower, 413-apartment development on Herbert Street in nearby St Leonards, further strengthening its presence across the Lower North Shore.

Beyond that, Aqualand remains behind the final stage of Barangaroo, where plans will deliver a five-hectare mixed-use precinct comprising new homes, retail, hospitality and community facilities, alongside a new Metro entrance and more than two hectares of public open space, completing the Barangaroo precinct.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/central-barangaroo-development-takes-big-step-with-concept-proposal-approval">Central Barangaroo development takes big step with concept proposal approval</a>

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-aqualand-joins-st-leonards-apartment-party">First look: Aqualand joins St Leonards apartment party</a> 
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First look: Aqualand pushes ahead with Chatswood apartment tower as SSDA lodged for Archer Street

Mass timber is becoming an increasingly popular construction material in apartment developments, but Adelaide developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/otello">Otello</a> is taking the approach a step further.

At its new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flowe-bowden-18-gibson-street-bowden-sa-5007">Flowe Bowden</a> development, the exposed cross-laminated timber (CLT) structure isn't just about reducing the building's environmental footprint. It also forms the foundation of a broader wellness strategy, influencing everything from indoor air quality and natural materials to the way residents move through and experience the building.

The 115-apartment mixed-use development, designed by Melbourne-based architecture practice Fieldwork, will occupy a prominent island site opposite Bowden Village Reserve, combining one, two and three-bedroom apartments with retail and a dedicated wellness destination.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375528]

Wellness isn't confined to a gym or shared resident facility at Flowe. Instead, Fieldwork embedded the concept into the building itself.

The development has been split into two residential wings connected by a naturally ventilated central breezeway, replacing traditional enclosed corridors with open-air walkways that improve natural light, encourage cross ventilation and create more opportunities for neighbourly interaction.

"Rather than treating wellness as something that only happens on the ground floor, our response integrates it throughout the building, which led us to ask what it really means to design a healthy building," Fieldwork Director Quino Holland said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375531]

The building's architecture also reflects Bowden's industrial heritage. The lower podium references the area's historic brick and sandstone buildings, while the upper levels transition to exposed CLT, allowing the timber structure to become a defining feature throughout the apartments and shared spaces.

The use of mass timber sits alongside a range of sustainability initiatives, including a fully electric, gas-free design, rooftop solar and a targeted 5 Star Green Star rating.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375524]

Inside the residences, the focus remains on natural, durable materials. Blackbutt engineered timber flooring, exposed CLT ceilings, porcelain surfaces and warm timber joinery create a calming interior palette, while low-VOC finishes and responsibly sourced materials have been selected to improve indoor air quality.

Kitchens have been designed as the centrepiece of each apartment, featuring porcelain island benchtops, timber-look cabinetry and brushed steel tapware, with layouts that maximise natural light and ventilation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375530]

The more traditional interpretation of wellness comes in the form of Level Eleven, a two-storey wellness club spanning the ground floor, mezzanine and first floor.

The facility will include a gym, yoga and reformer Pilates studios, Finnish and infrared saunas, magnesium hot and cold plunge pools, and dedicated recovery spaces. Unlike many residential wellness facilities, Level Eleven will also operate commercially, allowing the broader Bowden community to access the venue while giving residents exclusive membership benefits.

The ground floor has also been designed around everyday living. A café overlooking Bowden Village Reserve will activate the street frontage, while a bike workshop with tool storage, co-working space and dog wash has been incorporated to support daily routines and encourage interaction between residents.

"Flowe brings together my two biggest passions, creating places and creating healthier lives," Otello founder Daniel Harris said.

"We wanted to create something Adelaide hasn't seen before, a genuinely healthy building, where the way you live is lifted without even trying."

Flowe is positioned directly opposite Bowden Village Reserve and within walking distance of Bowden Railway Station and the Adelaide Entertainment Centre, placing future residents just minutes from the Adelaide CBD while remaining connected to one of the city's most established urban renewal precincts.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152022]

Otello launches wellness-focused Flowe Bowden with Adelaide-first mass timber apartment design

Not all apartment amenities are immediately visible.

Swimming pools, gyms, rooftop terraces and residents' lounges have long featured on buyers' wishlists, but as the way Australians live has changed, so too have the features that make apartment living more convenient.

Increasingly, buyers are placing value on the practical aspects of day-to-day life. Fast internet, EV charging, secure bike storage, flexible workspaces and parcel management are becoming just as relevant as lifestyle amenities, reflecting changing habits and expectations.

Online shopping has been one of the biggest drivers of that shift.

Australians spent a record $82.6 billion shopping online in 2025, with almost one in every four retail dollars now spent digitally, making parcel deliveries a routine part of everyday life rather than an occasional convenience.

For apartment residents, however, receiving those deliveries isn't always straightforward.

Without someone home to accept a parcel, deliveries can be redirected to a nearby Post Office, left in building foyers or common areas, or require building management to temporarily store packages. As apartment living continues to grow across Australia's cities, parcel management has become an increasingly important consideration for both residents and developers.

Australia Post's Parcel Locker network is one response to that shift.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/KPZ9j5FRdsQ?si=Qztc1dNP3ZvEIUhb" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

Rather than relying on home delivery, eligible parcels can be directed to a nominated Parcel Locker, where they're securely stored until collected. Once a parcel arrives, residents receive a notification through the AusPost app or SMS and can retrieve it using a one-time code or QR code at a time that suits them.

The network has expanded to more than 1,500 locations nationwide, with Parcel Lockers positioned at Post Offices, shopping centres, supermarkets, transport hubs and, increasingly, within or alongside residential developments.

That growing presence reflects a broader change in how apartment buildings are being planned.

Developers are increasingly considering the operational side of apartment living alongside traditional lifestyle amenities. Just as secure mailrooms, bicycle storage and EV charging have become more common inclusions, parcel management is emerging as another feature that supports everyday convenience.

It also helps preserve the arrival experience within a building. Carefully designed lobbies and communal spaces can quickly become cluttered when deliveries accumulate, while secure parcel solutions reduce the likelihood of missed deliveries or parcels being left unattended.

For buyers comparing apartments, these everyday details are becoming part of the decision-making process.

Location, floorplans and finishes remain fundamental, but the features that simplify daily life are carrying greater weight than they once did. As online shopping continues to shape consumer behaviour, secure parcel delivery is increasingly becoming another amenity worth looking for.

Parcel delivery is joining the apartment amenity checklist

Inca Property Group has lodged a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for Dawn, a 53-apartment oceanfront development overlooking Mona Vale Beach.

The proposal, at 35-39 Darley Street East, would replace an existing 18-apartment strata building with a new owner-occupier-focused development comprising 53 two and three-bedroom apartments, including nine affordable built-to-rent residences delivered under the State's infill affordable housing scheme.

Positioned on a 2,679 sqm elevated site around 280 metres from Mona Vale Beach, the development has been designed to maximise panoramic ocean views while responding to the site's sloping topography.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/inca-property-group">Inca Property Group</a> Managing Director Josh Thompson said the State Significant pathway provided greater certainty for projects of this scale.

"This State Significant pathway gives the team real certainty to progress <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/dawn-35-39-darley-street-east-mona-vale-nsw-2103">Dawn</a> through to completion," Thompson said.

"It allows us to acquire a one-off site, design it carefully and deliver the right offering for the suburb, assessed by the NSW Government's planning department."

The project is one of the first developments in the area to be assessed under the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing policy, with the site sitting on the edge of the policy's designated inner area.

The proposal includes three basement levels providing 124 car spaces, alongside a range of resident amenities including a swimming pool, gym, sauna, wellness facilities and private plunge pools for selected ground-floor and penthouse apartments.

<img alt="Dawn" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fc1a1daf-0ce4-4f12-9076-b1fa553c7a91" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-21%20at%208.42.11%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4GZ9h.gpNkTljbxyAET8Jfhv51XUamDm" />

Thompson said Dawn had been designed specifically for owner-occupiers and downsizers, a buyer profile that has driven demand across Inca's recent Upper North Shore developments.

"The majority of buyers in our recent North Shore projects have been downsizers, and we are learning exactly what this market is looking for. Beyond the location itself, we have included resort-style amenities to deliver a genuine lifestyle offering," Thompson said.

Located within walking distance of Mona Vale Beach, the town centre, Mona Vale Golf Club and the Royal Motor Yacht Club, Dawn represents Inca's first Northern Beaches project following the sell-out of Tara on Park in Waitara and Ellis Residences, currently under construction in St Ives.

Construction will be undertaken by Inca's in-house construction arm, GOP Constructions.

Dawn is the latest major apartment proposal for Mona Vale, with the suburb emerging as one of the key beneficiaries of the NSW Government's new Low and Mid-Rise Housing policy.

New developer One Living, led by industry veteran Joseph Scuderi, recently secured a site on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, where it is planning around 140 apartments.

IPM is also planning its third project in Mona Vale, significantly increasing the scale of its previous developments with an 82-apartment proposal at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/159-167-darley-street-west-mona-vale-nsw-2103">159-167 Darley Street West</a>, opposite Bayview Golf Course and less than 800 metres from Mona Vale town centre.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/one-living-enters-sydneys-new-apartment-market-with-northern-beaches-site-acquisition">One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition</a>

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-ipm-plans-third-mona-vale-project">First look: IPM plans third Mona Vale project</a>

First look: Inca eyes Mona Vale with State Significant DA for Dawn apartments

New South Wales

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Household consumption – three-fifths of gross state product – strengthened noticeably in NSW over 2014 (+4.1% year on year) alongside faster growth in household income and dwelling prices.
FIGURE 1. POSITIVE GROWTH OUTLOOK FOR NSW
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-one.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
Discretionary spending, which is particularly sensitive to the economic cycle, grew strongly over 2014 (Figure 2). Spending on household goods strengthened in line with the pick-up in dwelling construction. Discretionary spending on services – recreation activities and hotels, cafés, and restaurants – also increased significantly over the year.
FIGURE 2. DISCRETIONARY HOUSEHOLD SPENDING HAS STRENGTHENED
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-two.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
Consumer spending growth may be less robust this year as labour market conditions outside of Sydney remain challenging (see below) and house price growth is expected to moderate somewhat – retail sales growth in NSW has slowed considerably over the past six months or so (Figure 3). Nevertheless, strong population growth will provide ongoing support to spending and the lower currency will also direct a larger proportion of spending to local businesses.
FIGURE 3. NSW RETAIL SALES AND SYDNEY DWELLING PRICES
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-three.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, Core Logic RP Data, ANZ Research
INVESTMENT HAS BEEN WEAK OUTSIDE OF HOUSING
Dwelling investment in NSW has grown significantly over the past couple of years following a prolonged period of very low levels of building despite solid population growth (Figure 4). This has been driven by new housing construction, with renovations activity remaining subdued as it has nationwide. In contrast, business and public investment has been weak.
FIGURE 4. NON-RESIDENTIAL INVESTMENT HAS BEEN WEAK
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-four.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
Residential construction is expected to grow further in the near term and then remain at a high level for a prolonged period (Figure 5). This would be very different to the typical boom-bust cycles in the past. This time, activity should continue to be supported by strong population growth, pent up demand, very low interest rates and ongoing house price growth in Sydney. Nevertheless, our analysis suggests that a sizeable net housing deficit will remain in NSW (Figure 6).
FIGURE 5. DWELLING INVESTMENT AND COMMENCEMENTS
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-five.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
FIGURE 6. NSW HOUSING MARKET DEMAND AND SUPPLY
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-six.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
In contrast to the strength in housing construction, business and public investment has been subdued in NSW. Equipment investment has been weak, like it has been nationwide and despite a substantial amount of non-residential building activity in and around the Sydney CBD, overall underlying non-residential construction in NSW declined by 8.1% year on year in 2014.
Falling mining investment has weighed on overall business investment (Figure 7). In contrast, non-mining capex has improved but the outlook remains very uncertain. Encouragingly, non-residential building approvals have risen to a high level and the pipeline of public engineering construction remains healthy despite the equivalent private pipeline weakening (Figures 8 &amp; 9). Office market fundamentals have begun to improve as well.
FIGURE 7. NSW CAPEX &amp; EXPECTATIONS
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-seven.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
FIGURE 8. PRIVATE NON-RESIDENTIAL BUILDING APPROVALS
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-eight.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
FIGURE 9. NSW ENGINEERING WORK YET TO BE DONE
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-nine.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
This article continues on the next page. Please click below.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING COULD HANG IN THE BALANCE
The NSW government has proposed a large pipeline of public infrastructure projects in recent years, particularly roads, highways, bridges and rail. Of critical importance is the impact that the upcoming election will have on the Government’s infrastructure plans.
The current pipeline of projects under construction and committed to in the Budget will go ahead under a Labor government. But Labor will not commit to stage 3 of WestConnex, a tunnel designed to link the planned M5 East tunnel at St Peters to the future M4 East tunnel near Rozelle. Moreover, the building of a second harbour rail crossing would not begin until 2022 under Labor (it is slated for construction as early as 2017 under LNP). The Coalition has tied $11.3 billion to urban roads and urban public transport, $4.1 billion for regional transport, and $3.5 billion for social infrastructure projects to the proposed asset sales.
Labor has committed around $10 billion less than the Liberal National Coalition to infrastructure as it is opposed to the ‘poles &amp; wires’ privatisation and has a reluctance to increase debt.
FIGURE 10. NSW MAJOR PROJECTS PIPELINE
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-ten.jpg" alt=""> Source: BREE, company reports, Deloitte Access Economics, Infrastructure NSW, state government budget papers, ANZ Research
LABOUR MARKET DATA POINTS TO A DIVERGENT ECONOMY
Labour market conditions have been weak outside of Sydney. While the unemployment rate in Sydney has remained within earshot of 5% for some time, the regional unemployment rate has risen sharply to nearly 8% (Figure 11). This will reflect mining-related weakness in some regions but also the lack of property boom seen in Sydney.
FIGURE 11. LABOUR MARKET CONDITIONS ARE WEAK OUTSIDE OF SYDNEY
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-eleven.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
THE HOUSING MARKET
The Sydney housing market is very strong. The median dwelling price has risen 30% since January 2013 and sales activity has picked up strongly. Housing investor activity in NSW has been much more pronounced than in other states (Figure 12). Foreign investment has also been strong. In contrast to the Sydney market, regional NSW house price growth has been more moderate (Figure 13).
While Sydney dwelling prices now look to be around fair value, we see further gains of around 8-10% over 2015 amid low interest rates and as demand continues to outstrip supply.
FIGURE 12. HOUSING INVESTOR ACTIVITY VERY STRONG IN NSW
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-twelve.jpg" alt=""> Source: ABS, ANZ Research
FIGURE 13. HOUSE PRICE GROWTH MUCH SLOWER OUTSIDE OF SYDNEY
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-thirteen.jpg" alt=""> Source: Core Logic RP Data, ANZ Research
THE BUDGET OUTLOOK – RIDING ON THE PROPERTY MARKET
Unlike other states and territories, NSW does not publish a fiscal outlook during the election campaign, which means it is more difficult to ascertain the most up-to-date fiscal outlook for the state.
However, it is expected the state will deliver strong revenue from residential turnover and rising house prices. Figure 14 shows that residential transfer duty has increased sharply after a brief slow-down in the first half of 2014.
FIGURE 14. NEW SOUTH WALES TRANSFER DUTY
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-fourteen.jpg" alt=""> Source: NSW Government, ANZ Research
The outlook for housing turnover and house prices suggests that the NSW Government should benefit from elevated levels of residential transfer duty for some time. An easing policy cycle and strong house price growth will continue to spur existing property turnover and encourage the construction of new housing.
The mid-year review revised up the government’s expectations for residential turnover growth to 12% in 2014-15, driven mainly by higher house prices. Given the recent rate cut by the RBA and the expectation for a further cut next month, we would not be surprised if annual growth in residential transfer duty for 2014-15 exceeds this forecast.
The cyclical nature of the government’s own-source taxation revenue means that it needs stable funding to execute long-term infrastructure upgrades. Asset recycling is one way to go about this.
Neither party’s fiscal plans imply deterioration to the AAA stable outlook from both major rating agencies.
NSW SEMI GOVERNMENT BONDS
The aftermath of the Queensland state election saw a significant repricing in the level of Semi government bonds to both the ACGB curve and the swap curve. Queensland Treasury Corporation (QTC) bonds widened by around 20bp in the 10 year part of the curve. NSWTC issues also seem to be affected by this dynamic. Investors have been concerned with the shifting sands of the Australian electorate and this has been reflected in the level of Semi government spreads. It has clearly been a negative for NSWTC, as the first state to face an election since the Queensland poll in late January.
As Figure 15 shows, the spread of NSWTC bonds to the ACGB curve is at the widest point since the Queensland election. This surprises us to an extent for a number of reasons. Firstly, the NSWTC credit rating is stable at AAA. In the case of Queensland, market expectations had priced bonds to reflect the probability that the LNP would be elected. Furthermore, one ratings agency continues to hold a negative outlook on Queensland’s rating.
NSWTC bonds have also come under pressure due to investor preference for the debt of the Supranational borrowing entities from Europe. These borrowers, such as Germany’s KfW and Rentenbank, as well as the European Investment bank (EIB), have seen a strong performance in recent months after the ECB announced they would be bought as part of the ECB’s QE program.
Domestic investors have been better overall sellers of Semi government bonds to buy the Supranational bonds given the yield pick-up and the potential for outperformance of these names.
We believe the underperformance in NSWTC bonds is unwarranted and that the recent widening of spreads would be arrested by a strong mandate for asset sales.
FIGURE 15. WIDENING OF NSWTC BONDS AGAINST THE COMMONWEALTH
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-fifteen.jpg" alt=""> Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
In the event of a strong election win for the incumbent government, we believe NSWTC bonds should tighten by 8-12bp against the ACGB curve. The borrowing requirements for NSW remain low, with $4.6 billion of term issuance for the FY 2014-15. Moreover, as outlined above, the NSW economy is in a robust position which should be reflected in the spread to other borrowers.
We also see the potential performance of the NSWTC index linked issuance. Much of the issuance of NSWTC’s index linked bond curve comes from electricity assets. In the event of asset sales, the need for this issuance would be reduced and should see the NSWTC index linked curve tighten against both the nominal and the ACGB curve.
FIGURE 16. WIDENING OF NSWTC LINKERS AGAINST THE COMMONWEALTH
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-sixteen.jpg" alt=""> Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
FIGURE 17. NSWTC INFLATION BREAKEVEN SPREAD
<img src="/images/2015/03/24/anz-mar-24-seventeen.jpg" alt=""> Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
Kirk Zammit is an economist with ANZ Research.
Justin Fabo is senior economist with ANZ Research.
Cherelle Murphy is senior economist with ANZ Research.
Martin Whetton is senior rates strategist with ANZ Research.
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

Economy is strong, but little investment outside of housing: ANZ Research's NSW scorecard

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The NSW Baird Government’s recent ‘blitz’ on real estate agents , and specifically underquoting, is political grandstanding of the highest order.
By their own admission there were only 82 complaints to NSW Fair trading last year on under quoting – coming from over 200,000 property transactions.
All this in a rising market where it is extremely difficult to very accurately price property based on historical comparable sales.
The current Fair Trading Minister and Premier Baird should be consulting with the industry to arrive at the best long term solutions rather than their current actions obviously designed to win a few more votes. If they are serious about taking appropriate action to avoid any possibility of underquoting there are three steps they should take;
<ul>
<li>Eliminate the growing trend of ‘offers from’. This does no favours for the real estate industry, frustrates consumers and gives the impression the agent hasn’t a clue on assessing the value of a property. Traditionally, there are three main methods of sale – private treaty with a firm asking price; public auction and tender or expressions of interest , both methods, with a firm deadline and a concealed price. The government should insist on one of these 3 methods being employed by agents with no mention of price in an auction or tender process. 
</li>
<li>The NSW government and the Real Estate Institute should be heavily promoting buyers agents in every transaction. This would mean all purchasers had professional representation in the transaction thereby eliminating disputes surrounding price levels, gazumping and the general belief that ,an agent being paid by the vendor, is also acting for the purchaser. This initiative would almost entirely eliminate disputes and ensure a purchaser had advice on market research, price levels, buying strategies and professional negotiating. 
</li>
<li>Increase the education requirements for agent licensing. It is now well documented that the current education requirements are at their lowest levels in NSW history . The entry requirements must be increased and preferably aligned to the best education levels of other States. In addition, the Continuing Professional Development rules should be modified to being less prescriptive and broaden the annual learning requirements.</li>
</ul>
The government’s current actions where they recently ‘raided’ numerous agents in the Sutherland Shire and announced a blitz on under quoting has to be seen very cynically so close to an election. It is akin to taking a chainsaw to a small bonsai plant.
Tony Brasier is managing director of <a href="https://www.prdnationwide.com.au/" target="_blank">PRDnationwide</a>.
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Baird's underquoting blitz just political grandstanding: Tony Brasier

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The Byron Bay project, Fortyfive Lawson has sold out.
It was the village's first luxury apartment development in 15 years on the main beach strip.
<img src="/images/2015/03/25/140908%2045%20Lawson%20Penthouse.jpg" alt="">
Sales totalled $33 million for the developer, and Flight Centre co-founder, Jim Goldburg.
“Since Australia Day the remaining four properties were snapped up,” Goldburg said.
“All apartments sold at listing price, confirming the strong interest in a limited market with the majority of the nine apartments purchased by Australian buyers from Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane.
The demolition of the pre-existing building and construction commencing signalled to buyers and investors that "time was running out", he said.
Last year it broke the record price for an off the plan Byron Bay apartment sale after a Brisbane family paid just under $5 million for a four bedroom, 405 square metre penthouse.
The luxury development had four single level residences, one spacious retreat-style two-level terrace, two sub penthouses and two penthouses boasting views over Byron Bay’s Main Beach.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Byron Bay sellout in luxury beachfront location

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GUEST OBSERVATION
It’s been widely reported that the coal mining industry is facing a <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/carbon-economy/coal-mining-downturn-to-be-prolonged-citi-20140812-1034fi" target="_blank">prolonged downturn</a>, with investment analysts at Citibank telling clients last year not to expect a rapid revival in thermal coal prices, while many Australian coal producers have posted <a href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/latest/aust-coal-industry-facing-weaker-chinese-demand/story-e6frg90f-1227255476299">financial losses</a> in recent years.
That’s why it is surprising to learn of a recent spate of approvals for mine expansions in the coal heartlands of New South Wales. It seems that even in a downturn, the approvals process for new mines – at least in NSW – is continuing to move as fast as ever.
Those mine approvals will leave a lasting legacy. According to the NSW Auditor-General, as of 30 June 2012 there were about <a href="https://www.audit.nsw.gov.au/ArticleDocuments/255/27_Volume_Six_2012_Department_Trade_Investment_Regional_Infrastructure_Services.pdf.aspx?Embed=Y" target="_blank">573 derelict mine sites</a> in NSW (including gold and other minerals, as well as former coal mines). And only a small fraction of those <a href="https://www.resourcesandenergy.nsw.gov.au/miners-and-explorers/programs-and-initiatives/derelict" target="_blank">derelict mines</a> were being rehabilitated.
New mine approvals
Earlier this month, the NSW Planning Assessment Commission (PAC) gave a green light to Rio Tinto’s controversial <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/environment/rio-tinto-wins-planning-nod-for-controversial-warkworth-coal-mine-20150305-13vonn" target="_blank">Mount Thorley-Warkworth extension</a> in the Hunter Valley. The move follows the PAC’s decision last month to approve <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/environment/nsw-gives-green-light-to-two-big-coal-mine-expansions-20150202-1345lg" target="_blank">two other big coal mine expansions</a>, at Moolarben, near Mudgee, and Bengalla, near Muswellbrook.
In each case, the argument hinged on economic benefits, such as the direct and indirect spending associated with the project, the government royalties they will generate, and the jobs they will create and existing jobs they will secure.
The negative aspects of these developments, such as the impact on the local environment and communities, including the way regional landscapes are being scarred by huge holes in the ground, do not seem to have received the same consideration by the PAC and by most in the media.
In the case of <a href="https://www.yancoal.com.au/page/key-assets/mines/moolarben/" target="_blank">Yancoal’s expansion near Mudgee</a>, the <a href="https://www.pac.nsw.gov.au/Projects/tabid/77/ctl/viewreview/mid/462/pac/451/view/readonly/myctl/rev/Default.aspx" target="_blank">PAC acknowledged</a> that 1,534 hectares of land will be cleared (of which 123 hectares is deemed to contain endangered ecological communities).
Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.riotinto.com/copperandcoal/mount-thorley-warkworth-10427.aspx" target="_blank">Rio Tinto’s Mount Thorley Warkworth project</a> is expected to have a significant impact on the community of Bulga and its surrounding environment.
The rules on who’s responsible for mined land
In NSW all exploration and mining activity must be conducted in accordance with approvals under the Mining Act 1992 and the rehabilitation of mined land is therefore covered by law.
Resources and Energy (NSW Trade and Investment) has the responsibility for setting and assessing sustainable rehabilitation outcomes, and the industry must demonstrate to them “best practice ecological rehabilitation” of mined land if they are to recover their mine closure bond. There is therefore a strong financial incentive for miners to do a good job, as they must demonstrate that they have a plan for post-mining land use and mine closure when open-cut mining ceases.
Corinne Unger from the University of Queensland’s Centre for Mined Land Rehabilitation is among those to have raised the question of how Australia should be better managing the <a href="https://theconversation.com/what-should-we-do-with-australias-50-000-abandoned-mines-18197" target="_blank">50,000 abandoned mine sites</a> across the country.
There are more and more of these <a href="https://www.theherald.com.au/story/305968/poll-managing-holes-left-by-mines/" target="_blank">“final voids”</a> – typically meaning huge holes in the ground – being left as a legacy of both former and current opencut mining operations.
<a href="https://www.theherald.com.au/story/305968/poll-managing-holes-left-by-mines/" target="_blank">The Newcastle Herald</a> reported earlier this month that:
"Mining in the Hunter Valley could leave a legacy of more than 10,000 hectares of land consumed as “final voids”, or giant holes left by mines, prompting a push for the state government to investigate their cumulative impacts on the region’s water table and agriculture. The independent Planning Assessment Commission has urged the government to undertake the study, and branded as ‘‘unacceptable’’ mining giant Rio Tinto’s proposal for a 950-hectare final void at its Mount Thorley mine site – an area it notes is … about a sixth of Sydney Harbour.
"In advice issued to the commission, the Department of Planning has revealed it is “not aware of the total size” of existing and approved voids in the Hunter. But approval had been given for about 30 to be developed that on a “conservative estimate” would cover 7500 to 10,000 hectares," it said.
This has been a long-running issue. Back in 2005, a <a href="https://www.planning.nsw.gov.au/regional/pdf/final-draft1_5.pdf" target="_blank">NSW Department of Planning report</a> found that there would be more than two dozen of these large open holes left on the floor of the Hunter Valley, and that all would become “saline water sinks” without rehabilitation.
The question is: why aren’t these miners required to fill in their final voids as a matter of course, as part of the government-approved mine rehabilitation plan?
One word: cost.
As The Newcastle Herald has <a href="https://www.theherald.com.au/story/2932508/hunters-mining-moonscape-10000-hectares-of-holes/">also reported</a>, a Rio Tinto spokesman said that the final void left behind at the Mount Thorley-Warkworth mine “will be largely hidden from view due to the surrounding landscape and extensive rehabilitation works planned after mining”. But will it be completely filled in? No.
The NSW Department of Planning <a href="https://www.theherald.com.au/story/2932508/hunters-mining-moonscape-10000-hectares-of-holes/">has estimated</a> it would cost at least A$2 billion over the life of the mine to completely fill the void, and said it would “not be reasonable to impose a condition that requires Rio Tinto to completely or even partially backfill the final void”.
The NSW government has a wide range of legislated powers for regulating mine site rehabilitation, including setting environmental management and rehabilitation conditions, requiring rehabilitation security bonds and enforcement powers to ensure lease holders comply with their obligations.
But the regulators now accept that mine voids from current mines are to remain in the landscape once mining ceases, despite their legal responsibility to ensure that miners undertake best-practice rehabilitation, if they are to recover their bond monies.
It seems that rehabilitation of the final void is going a little too far in terms of “best-practice ecological rehabilitation” of mined lands. The cost to rehabilitate the final void should be borne by the industry that has earned income from digging up and selling the coal. It should no longer be acceptable to leave a large hole in the ground as a legacy.
Cleaning up the problem
Later this month, a <a href="https://www.uononlineshop.com/index.php/conference/conferences-events/tom-farrell-institute/mine-rehab-conference-2015" target="_blank">Best Practice Mine Rehabilitation Conference</a> is being held in Singleton, which will feature a panel discussion on the role that final voids could play in the landscape of the Hunter Valley.
In my view, this would not be needed if the industry and regulators were doing the right thing for the community and the environment by requiring that these features be filled in.
As the situation currently stands, the hundreds of mining holes that litter the Hunter Valley represent a significant financial liability to the state.
Very little government funding is available for their ongoing management, let alone their rehabilitation. In 2013-14, the NSW government allocated just A$4.276 million for the rehabilitation of derelict mines – and that amount fell in 2014-15 to <a href="https://www.resourcesandenergy.nsw.gov.au/miners-and-explorers/programs-and-initiatives/derelict">A$4.071 million</a>.
That’s a pittance of the A$1.5 billion that <a href="https://www.nswmining.com.au/getattachment/menu/Media/Publications/2014-15-NSW-Minerals-Council-Pre-Budget-Submission-%281%29.pdf" target="_blank">the NSW mining sector</a> says it paid to the NSW government in 2013-14.
Whoever wins the March 28 election, the next NSW government needs to recognise the financial liability being left to current and future taxpayers not only from derelict sites, but also the current mines being allowed to be left behind in future without complete rehabilitation.
For “best practice” to mean something, this should mean that people living in regional NSW are not left with a landscape blighted with hundreds of holes in the ground.
Phillip Geary is associate professor environmental science at University of Newcastle.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>.
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Disused mines blight New South Wales, yet the approvals continue: Phillip Geary

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CoreLogic RP Data says the Illawarra housing market was a region that had been a strong performer over 2014.
Sales activity across the region is currently sitting 7% above the five year average and median house values have risen by 8.2% over the 12 months to December 2014, while unit values are up 8%.
There were 6,377 Illawarra homes sold over the 12 months to November 2014, just slightly more than the 6,346 homes sold over the preceding year.
Key stats across the region including vendor discounting levels and average time on market had also improved over the year. 
Click to open in new window:
<a href="/images/2015/03/16/illawarra-mar-16-one.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="/images/2015/03/16/illawarra-mar-16-one.jpg" alt=""></a>
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Illawarra a strong performing housing region: CoreLogic RP Data

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The owner-builder Ben Wheeler secured a record $2.18 million at weekend auction for his new home in Narraweena.
He and his wife Shonagh spent more than five years creating the four bedroom, three bathroom trophy home.
The property at 102 Victor Road (pictured above) exceeded the suburb record by $520,000, with the prior record of $1,655,000 only set in December for a house in Karoola Street.
The latest sale was by agent Lachlan Yeates, of Raine and Horne Dee Why, who told the local News Ltd paper 19 parties registered to buy the Wheeler home, the highest number he'd ever had register for an auction.
The new owners are a couple from Melbourne. 
Acco­rding to CoreLogic RP Data, it became a million-dollar suburb this month, the last on Sydney's northern beaches to do so.
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Narraweena the last on the northern beaches to become a $1 million median suburb

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Newcastle and Lake Macquarie sales volumes have recently shown some improvement, according to the latest CoreLogic RP Data report.
However the districts continue to be well below the levels seen over the previous market peak in the early 2,000s.
Over the 12 months to November 2014 there were 6,729 houses and 1,463 units sold and current sales activity is 5% above the five year average.
Over the 2014 calendar year, home values across the region increased, up 7.2% for houses and 5.8% for units.
CoreLogic RP Data also reports that in comparison to the same time last year, homes are selling at a faster rate, with homes selling by an average of 12 days faster for houses and 13 days faster for units. <img src="/images/2015/02/25/chart-feb-25-one.jpg" alt="">
Source: CoreLogic RP Data
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Around 7% house price growth in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie CoreLogic: RP Data

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To date the No Land Tax political party has only been evident with bright yellow campaign signs on roadside telegraph poles, but that has all changed as the single issue party as won the coveted first spot on the ballot paper for Legislative Council election.
The No Land Tax party drew position A, giving it a reasonable chance of getting its candidate elected. It is running 93 lower house candidates which ought generate assistance for the upper house prospect.
<a href="https://www.nolandtax.com.au/" target="_blank">The party</a> wants a full restructuring of the state's taxation system, including land tax, stamp duty and payroll tax.
A total of 24 groups are contesting the Upper House election. No Land Tax has 16 candidates on its upper house list.
Candidate Peter Jones hopes land tax can be abolished just like death duties were in 1981.
Land tax is levied on investment residential and commercial property and holiday homes in NSW regardless of the income generated by the property. 
The party's website says over 150,000 people are hit with land tax every year in NSW. 
"There is no equivalent tax on share investors," it notes.
"With high property prices in Sydney and NSW, it’s not difficult to be dragged into paying land tax.
"Land tax is calculated on the 'highest permissible use' of the property, so for example, a warehouse that has been rezoned for residential development is taxed at the higher valuation, even if the warehouse tenant has a long term lease.
"It is not uncommon for some property investors to pay more in land tax than they receive in rent."
In 2003 the NSW government collected over $1.1 billion in land tax. The figure is almost $2.4 billion now and it is expected to increase to almost $3 billion by 2017.
Over the years Peter Jones has caught the attention of Fairfax and News Ltd journalists, with 2GB broadcaster Ray Hadley suggesting the party was an interesting invention that would secure plenty of colourful coverage.
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No Land Tax party puts the $2.4 billion issue atop the NSW election agenda

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The NSW Treasurer Andrew Constance says the Labor Opposition's home buyers stamp duty relief policy was merely reheating a failed Labor government stamp duty policy.
“The Stamp Duty Deferral Scheme is just that – a deferral – which will have to be paid back as a $561 first home buyer tax every month,” Constance said.
“Under Labor’s plan, new home buyers who purchase a $750,000 home and defer paying $29,240 in stamp duty will then be slugged every month, when they can least afford it.”
Labor’s Stamp Duty Deferral Scheme was originally introduced in the mid-1990s, then scrapped by former NSW Labor Treasurer Michael Egan because it was becoming a financial burden on those entering the housing market.
Egan told Parliament in his 1998 Budget Speech: ”The current option of deferring stamp duty… is not working. Only 25 per cent of first-time buyers are taking it, it is more costly to them than the discount option, and many who do take it find that they are creating a later financial trap, with almost 48 per cent of them in arrears.”
“Those who fail to learn from history are bound to re-live it,” Constance said.
“Under Labor’s plan, first home buyers will pay two mortgages instead of one."
The Baird government has first time buyers has receiving a $15,000 grant on new homes worth up to $750,000, with stamp duty exemptions and discounts available for new builds valued between $550,000 and $650,000,” Mr Constance said.
NSW Labor leader Luke Foley told 2GB broadcaster Alan Jones that Sydney needs more land release.
"Part of the answer is supply," said Foley.
"Sydney will have 5.9 million people by 2031, so we need greenfield and infill housing supply."
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NSW Treasurer attacks Labor staggered stamp duty scheme

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The NSW government has decided to grant pool owners a further 12-month extension to make sure they have a valid compliance certificate before a property can be sold or leased.
The delay has been welcomed by the Real Estate Institute of NSW (REINSW). REINSW CEO Tim McKibbin said the Institute had lobbied Minister for Local Government Paul Toole to extend the deadline for a second time after it became clear that the number of existing qualified inspectors was still inadequate to respond to market demand. “While we are disappointed that the pool compliance deadline has had to be extended by a further 12 months it is important to ensure that property owners are not adversely affected,” Mr McKibbin said.
The 12 month extension follows on from a similar announcement made in March 2014 by the office of the Minister for Local Government and sees a new deadline of 29 April 2016. 
The NSW government and REINSW encourages all owners of properties with a pool or spa who are thinking of selling or leasing to immediately apply for a Swimming Pool Certificate of Compliance.
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