Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Mortgages

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Second-round submissions to an inquiry into the banking system have challenged findings that the system is competitive and called for a review of mortgage broking practices to ensure consumers are getting quality advice on home loans.
The Financial System Inquiry released its interim report in July, calling for further input on a range of questions, including whether bank ownership of mortgage brokers was restricting competition.
Second round submissions were published on Friday.
The Mortgage and Finance Association of Australia challenged the report’s finding that the banking sector was “competitive, albeit concentrated”, noting that the financial crisis and government intervention had restricted competition.
However, the MFAA said there was no evidence that bank ownership of mortgage broking groups was limiting competition or discouraging brokers from acting in the consumers’ interest.
The MFAA argued that the National Consumer Credit Protection Act, 2009 required brokers to disclose commissions and lender panels and ensure clients were not disadvantaged by any conflicts of interest.
Suncorp disagreed, arguing that bank ownership of mortgage brokers was distorting the way in which mortgage brokers directed borrowers to lenders.
“Of great concern is the fact that customers view brokers as independent but the major banks have growing influence over these channels which they now predominantly own, and coupled with generous incentive schemes, are able to direct business to their products,” Suncorp said in its submission.
Consumer group Choice called for a review of how mortgage broking regulations were working for consumers including an assessment of the impact of mortgage brokers’ remuneration and institutional arrangements on the services they offered. It also called for an investigation into whether more extensive rules about the quality of mortgage broker recommendations and disclosures were required.
Choice said conflicts of interest reduced the quality of mortgage brokers’ recommendations and service for consumers. 
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Banking system uncompetitive and mortgage broking review needed: Senate inquiry submissions

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The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) released their quarterly Authorised Deposit-taking Institution (ADI) Property Exposures data for June 2014 yesterday.
The data always provides a valuable insight into current and historic mortgage lending by ADIs. This quarter’s data showed some very interesting trends.
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3648" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Chart-11.jpg" alt="Chart 1" width="500" height="181">
Based on the value of all outstanding mortgages by households to Australian ADI’s, there $811.7 billion outstanding to owner occupiers (66.2%) at the end of June 2014 and $413.5 billion to investors (33.8%). Over the 12 months to June 2014, the total value of outstanding mortgages to owner occupiers has increased by 7.5% compared to a 10.9% rise in outstanding credit to investors.
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3649" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Chart-21.jpg" alt="Chart 2" width="500" height="181">
At the end of June 2014, 36.0% of loans outstanding had an offset facility, up from 34.0% a year earlier. 35.7% of all outstanding mortgages were interest-only which was the highest on record and up from 34.3% a year earlier. 
Just 0.2% of all outstanding mortgages were reverse mortgages and 2.9% were low documentation which was down from 3.9% a year earlier. Other non-standard loans accounted for just 0.1% of all outstanding mortgages.
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3650" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Chart-31.jpg" alt="Chart 3" width="500" height="180">
The average balance on all outstanding mortgages at the end of June 2014 was $237,200.  The average balance has increased by 3.2% over the past year.  Loans with an offset facility ($282,900) and interest-only mortgages ($299,000) have much higher average outstanding loan balances.  It is interesting to note that the annual growth in average outstanding loan balances has been much more moderate for mortgages with an offset and interest-only mortgages at 1.6% and 1.8% respectively.  Encouragingly, the data also indicates that outstanding balances are reducing for low documentation and other non-standard loans as they become less common.  Over the past year the average balance has fallen by -3.5% for low-documentation loans and by 5.9% for other non-standard loans.
Turning the focus to new loans written over the June quarter, 62.1% of lending was to owner occupiers and a record high 37.9% was to investors.  Compared to the June 2013 quarter, owner occupier lending is up 2.0% and investment lending is 14.4% higher.
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3651" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Chart-41.jpg" alt="Chart 4" width="500" height="179">
Over the quarter, 0.7% of new loans approved were low-documentation, 43.2% were interest only, 0.2% were other non-standard loans, 43.0% were third party originated loans and 3.7% were loans approved outside of serviceability.  The 43.2% of new loans which were interest only was a record high, interest only loans tend to be (but not always) reflective of lending for investment purposes. 
The ADIs seem to be increasing the usage of their broker channels with the 43.0% of loans originated by third parties the highest proportion since June 2008.  Although only 3.7% of loans were approved outside of serviceability over the June quarter, this was the highest proportion on record. 
This may indicate that there has been some relaxation of lending standards over the quarter, however it is difficult to conclude any firm conclusions.  Nevertheless it is something to keep an eye on over the coming few quarters.
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3652" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Chart-51.jpg" alt="Chart 5" width="500" height="183">
Looking at the loan to value ratios (LVR) of loans written over the June quarter, 24.0% of new loans had an LVR of less than 60%, 42.2% of loans had an LVR of between 60% and 80%, 21.3% had an LVR of between 80% and 90% and 12.5% had an LVR of 90% or more. The 12.5% of new loans with an LVR of more than 90% is the lowest proportion since June 2011. This suggests there are proportionally less high-risk mortgages being written.
The data has certainly shifted quite significantly over the past quarter and year. There is definitely a significant level of activity by investors and clearly ADIs appear happy to lend to them.  The rise in the proportion of new loans written outside of serviceability is a potential concern. However, it is positive to see that the proportion of loans with an LVR of 90% or more falling.  The high level of interest only lending is also a cause for concern.  Of course interest rates are currently very low but such a high level of interest only lending in light of low interest rates may cause some issues when rates eventually start to rise.
As we have mentioned previously, the high proportion of investment lending is our biggest cause for concern in the current market. The lure of strong capital growth in Sydney and Melbourne is attracting the attention of investors as risk-free investments offer very low returns. 
Of course, that growth in values won’t continue forever and once it slows or values fall our chief concern remains that many investors may look to exit the asset class.  Should this occur, inner city unit markets (where investor activity is most prevalent) could see a more significant drop in values than they otherwise would have as investors exit at a time when demand also falls.  This scenario could have greater repercussions for the overall market, not just the inner city areas.
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The high proportion of investment lending remains our biggest cause for concern

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The National Australian Bank has reported its third quarter results, posting a $1.7 billion net profit.
Its cash profit rose 7% to $1.6 billion, while revenue fell 1% due to lower markets income amid volatility.
Business lending balances grew at an annualised rate of 5.5% over the quarter.
“The group achieved a satisfactory third quarter result,” said NAB chief executive Andrew Thorburn.
“Costs were well contained and asset quality continues to improve. While revenue growth remains challenging, Australian home lending continues to achieve market share gains and Australian business loan growth improved in what is traditionally a stronger quarter,” he said.
This article first appeared on <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/" target="_blank">SmartCompany</a>.
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NAB reports $1.7 billion third quarter net profit

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QBE Insurance Group has announced plans to partially float QBE LMI, its mortgage insurance business.
The insurance giant has penciled in the partial float for 2015.
QBE's LMI division is one of just two mortgage insurers operating in Australia.
Rival Genworth was partially floated earlier this year by its US parent raising nearly $500 million. Its successful float in May was at $2.65 a share, trading yesterday at $3.56 a share.
QBE LMI holds around $1.2 billion in net tangible assets at the end of June.
“QBE LMI’s results have been outstanding and are expected to remain so for the foreseeable future,” QBE chief John Neal said.
“The capital intensity of this business led us to purchase additional reinsurance protection to support the business’ growth plans, however, with the longer term in mind, the introduction of third party shareholders offers QBE LMI enhanced capital flexibility to support its growth ambition.”
QBE today also released its audited half-year profit results, which had been flagged in a profit warning late last month.
The insurer confirmed a net profit after tax of US$392 million, down 18% on the prior corresponding period.
QBE has also announced a capital raising of around $810 million.
Around $650 million worth of shares will be offered to institutions, with $160 million to be sold through a share purchase plan.
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QBE LMI likely to float in 2015, following Genworth's successful strategy

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<h1><img src="https://62e528761d0685343e1c-f3d1b99a743ffa4142d9d7f1978d9686.ssl.cf2.rackcdn.com/files/56051/width668/q2sg9fzf-1407484075.png" alt="" style="color: #333333; font-family: Tahoma, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; line-height: 1.3em;"></h1>
Charis Palmer  is deputy business editor at The Conversation
Emil Jeyaratnam is multimedia editor at The Conversation.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/30272/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="line-height: 1.3em;">
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a>.
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How exposed are Australian banks? The infographic that explains Australian banks' exposure to commercial property

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There’s something of a home loan ‘rate war’ going on at the moment, which can be great for borrowers. But it also creates pitfalls for the unwary.
Take some mortgage advertising I saw this week: it promoted a variable mortgage rate of 4.65% but beside it was a ‘5.21% comparison rate’.
Look at the difference: on a $300,000 25-year mortgage at 4.65% your total interest bill is $207,941. But if you pay 5.21%, your costs total $237,198. The difference between what’s calculated from the headline offer and the actual costs over the long-term is around $30,000.
This type of advertising is a common marketing device. The low interest rate is merely an ‘introductory rate’ which in this case lasts three years. And after three years the home loan reverts to a much higher rate.
So given the current interest rate cycle it’s a good time to discuss the comparison rate. The ‘comparison rate’ is a legislated requirement brought in by the federal government. It was introduced in 2003 at a time when ‘honeymoon rates’ were popular and advertised interest rates were not informing borrowers about the true long-term cost of their home loan.
It’s quite difficult for average borrowers to calculate what they really pay over the long-term if they pay one rate for, say, two years and then revert to a ‘true’ rate for the next 23 years.
So to resolve the confusion the government mandated a formula that all mortgage lenders must use in their advertising. It includes unavoidable fees and charges, and interest rates over a set period, which creates the comparison interest rate.
Because all lenders have to use the same formula, the result gives a borrower the means to compare the true cost of a loan before they commit to it, and it gives some reality to the headline interest rate.
This regulation set by the government is important, but it only goes so far. The key to getting the right loan is for you as a consumer to take this information and act on it. The law says that a comparison rate must be co-located with the promotional rate, and with the same prominence. But a comparison rate is useless unless borrowers are looking at it and registering what it means. In talking to people, I often find that consumers misinterpret the comparison rate as “X” lenders best rate compared to “Y” lenders best rate. This is not at all the case.
When you look down the most affordable variable rate loans (4.6%-4.8%) at a site such as RateCity, you see that those lenders with the best ranking have comparison rates almost identical to their advertised rates – that is, the rate they advertise is basically what the borrower will pay. But other loans only start at 4.6%, before reverting to something much higher.
Consumers are easily confused by the terminology and practices of the financial services industry. So if you’re searching for something as important as a mortgage, and a comparison rate gives you a chance to level the playing field, you really must pay attention.
Mark Bouris is Executive Chairman of wealth management company <a href="https://www.ybr.com.au" target="_blank">Yellow Brick Road</a>.<a href="https://www.ybr.com.au/"> </a>
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What the comparison rate really tells you about your mortgage

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The major Australian banks have recently cut fixed mortgage rates below 5%. They have done so without any prompting from the Reserve Bank of Australia, which may actually start raising the policy rate within the next six months, especially if inflation continues to run around the top end of its 2-3% target range.
Why, then, did the Australian banks cut their mortgage rates?
One possible reason lies in an obscure old macroeconomic theory of “secular stagnation” that has been gaining credence recently throughout the financial industry worldwide.
Resurrecting an old theory
In a speech at the International Monetary Fund last November, Larry Summers, Harvard economist and former US Treasury Secretary, resurrected this old theory, originally developed by another Harvard economist, Alvin Hansen, in the late 1930s.
When a consumption-led recovery in the midst of the Great Depression started to falter, Alvin Hansen was inspired by the then nascent Keynesian idea that the economy as a whole could persistently suffer from inadequate demand in the absence of a massive policy intervention.
US population growth had slowed dramatically during the Great Depression and Hansen believed this was a “secular” (that is, long-term, non-policy) source of decline in private investment in new capital infrastructure. According to his very Keynesian theory, this weak investment brought consumption down with it and, like John Maynard Keynes, Hansen did not believe in the ability of wage and price adjustment to restore the economy to full employment in the face of inadequate demand. Instead, he believed that fiscal policy would have to take up the slack, which it did with the onset of World War II.
The baby boom after the war meant that the theory of secular stagnation was largely forgotten. But Larry Summers sees similar forces at work in recent times and he considers secular stagnation as a leading explanation for why the US housing bubble in the 2000s didn’t result in an overheated economy at the time.
One might question the idea that the US economy didn’t overheat prior to the global financial crisis. But real GDP growth and inflation were actually quite moderate by historical standards throughout the 2000s. Summers speculates that this was because economic growth would have been much slower in the absence of a bubble due to secular stagnation.
Global savings glut and the chase for yield
This story is somewhat related to former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s “global savings glut” hypothesis about why interest rates remained so low throughout the 2000s. In Bernanke’s view, there were too many savers, especially from Asia, chasing too few high-return and often risky investments. This “chase for yield” put downward pressure on interest rates and fuelled the US housing bubble.
So what is the prediction of secular stagnation for the future and why might it explain the Australian banks’ recent cuts in mortgage rates?
The basic prediction of the theory is that economies throughout the world will continue to stumble along with anaemic growth and no inflationary pressures for the foreseeable future. At best, there will be more moderate growth from time to time, but it will occur due to periodic financial bubbles triggered by a chase for yield and low interest rates. Faced with slow economic growth and low inflation, central banks will contribute to these bubbles by lowering their policy rates or making large-scale asset purchases (aka “quantitative easing”) when rates hit the zero lower bound.
In cutting their mortgage rates, the Australian banks appear to have bought into the secular stagnation theory and are clearly betting on continued downward pressure on interest rates driven by a global chase for yield.
Is there hope for a less stagnant future?
Can anything to be done about secular stagnation or, perhaps, is its relevance to the current economic situation overstated?
Similar to Alvin Hansen in the 1930s, Larry Summers argues that public investment in infrastructure provides the best way to address inadequate demand. He notes that current low interest rates also mean that the cost of financing public infrastructure investment is unusually low.
Would this fiscal policy approach work? Japan is an obvious place to look at in terms of what might happen in the face of demographic-led stagnation. And the results are not particularly promising. Japan has undertaken massive debt-financed infrastructure spending and this has not exactly produced a booming economy. Of course, unemployment has remained low and deflation, not inflation, has been the greater problem. So perhaps things would have been even worse in the absence of Japan’s massive fiscal interventions.
Meanwhile, it’s not really clear how relevant secular stagnation is for the rest of the world, including Australia. Indeed, in an odd way, the possibility of secular stagnation means that we should at least briefly celebrate when we see Australian inflation running at the top end of its target range.
This is not to say that the RBA should abandon or revise up its inflation target. But higher inflation is an indication that the secular stagnation hypothesis may be incorrect, while the RBA can always raise its policy rate to bring inflation down again in the future. Of course, the Australian banks currently betting on low interest rates won’t be quite as happy if this scenario were to play out.
James Morley is professor of economics and associate dean (research) at <a href="https://www.asb.unsw.edu.au/Pages/default.aspx" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">Australian School of Business</a>. He receives funding from the Australian Research Council.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>.
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Why did Australian banks cut their mortgage rates?

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Charis Palmer is deputy business editor and Emil Jeyaratnam multimedia editor at <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a>.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a>.
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Australia’s housing debt: The infographic that shows why we should be cautious

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Yesterday, the Commonwealth Bank cut its five-year fixed mortgage rate by 70 basis points to 4.99%, prompting cuts from competitors NAB and Westpac.
It's a record low for the bank. As <a href="/expert-insights/finance/competitive-cba-cuts-five-year-rate-to-record-low-as-inflation-quickens">Jonathan Chancellor reports</a>, Westpac and NAB matched the Commonwealth Bank's rate within a few hours. 
Westpac's 0.80% cut only comes into effect on July 28. Their offer includes a discount of 0.2% under the bank's Premier Advantage Package. It will be available to both new and existing customers for a limited time.
NAB dropped its five-year fixed rate by 70 basis points, matching the Commonwealth Bank's 4.99% rate. The new rate will be available from tomorrow. It also cut rates on its three and four-year fixed rate home loans, with a 4.99% rate for its four-year product and 4.94% rate for its three year fixed rate loan. 
ANZ is the only of the "big four" banks to hold the interest rate on its five-year fixed rate loan after yesterday's Consumer Price Index figures were released. Its offers a 5.94% rate on the product. Michelle Hutchison of rate comparison website Finder.com.au says those worried about potential interest rate rises should consider adopting a fixed loan while rate remain competitive.
"Long-term fixed rates such as five-year terms are riskier than shorter terms for one or two years because you have potentially more to lose because you're betting over a longer period of time," said Hutchison. However, she warns borrowers against taking up a loan purely because of a low interest rate.
"It's great to see the big banks dropping their rates and being more competitive but borrowers need to look into all the conditions and details before jumping into a fixed home loan. For instance, Commonwealth Bank's five-year fixed rate of 4.99% must be taken out in their packaged deal which means it has an annual fee and you need to open other accounts with the bank too," she says.
"The problem with fixing your home loan right now is that there's a chance more lenders will follow the major banks' lead and drop their five-year fixed rates even further so borrowers could miss out on even bigger savings. 
"Borrowers are also betting on their fixed rate staying below variable rates for most of the next five years. But fixing brings reassurance that your mortgage repayments won't move which can be worthwhile if you're budget is tight or you're planning to have a reduced income for starting a family or going overseas in the next few years," Hutchison explains.
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NAB and Westpac meet CBA's rate cut

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The Commonwealth Bank has cut its five-year fixed mortgage rate to a record 4.99% low, an adjustment of 70 basis points from July 23.
 It is the first time the big bank has cut its five-year fixed rate below 5%. Within hours Westpac and NAB followed by matching the CBA's five-year rate. 
The NAB also cut rates on its three and four-year loans.
Meanwhile Australia’s headline inflation rate was up 0.5% in the June quarter.
There was an annual gain of 3%, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
The ABS’s measure of core inflation sits near the top of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s target range of 2% to 3%.
Michael Blythe, chief economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said the figures were a touch above market expectations and "are a reminder that not all inflation risks are to the downside".
"The QI underlying figures were revised a touch higher as well. Nevertheless, the message from the RBA is that they want a long period of stability in rates," he advised.
"In our view, the RBA can stay on hold till QI 2015."
Savanth Sebastian, economist at CommSec said at present inflation is not a threat to the economy, meaning that the Reserve Bank can comfortably keep interest rates at exceptionally low levels over the medium term. 
"Domestic inflationary pressures remain well contained and given the slow growth in wages it is unlikely to result in a change to the domestic inflation landscape." 
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