Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Mortgages

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While every expert surveyed by Finder this month predicted interest rates would stay on hold this month, many are expecting to see rates rise next year.
Of the 33 respondents, 30 think interest rates will begin to increase in 2015, with just one – <a href="/expert-insights/finance/domain-groups-andrew-wilson-predicts-rba-will-cut-rates-further">Andrew Wilson of Domain Group</a> – predicting the next move will be a decrease.
A third of the experts surveyed predict interest rates will peak at 4-4.25% within the next three years.
The overnight cash rate was last at 4.25% in April 2012, after dropping from 4.5% in November 2011.
When rates first dropped, NAB offered its standard variable lending rate at 7.47%, while Westpac and ANZ both cut their standard rate to 7.55%.
Currently, ANZ offers its standard variable loan at 5.88%, with a comparison rate of 5.98%. For a $500,000 loan, a borrower is likely to pay $4,025 per month, with $272,685 interest payable.
If the rate was bumped back up to 7.55%, monthly repayments would likely increase by $469 per month to $4,494, with total $362,770 interest payable.
Finder's Michelle Hutchison says if the cash rate hits 4%, borrowers with a $300,000 loan will need "a buffer of at least $300 per month".
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How would a 4.25% interest rate impact you?

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Interest rates remain at record lows and borrowers are increasingly opting for fixed rates.
Fixed rate loans now account for 26.64% of all loans written in October, compared to 25.45% in September and an eight month high, according to the national home loan approval data from Mortgage Choice
Mortgage Choice Spokesperson Jessica Darnbrough said that it’s unlikely we’ll see any more cuts to the official cash rate and as a result borrowers are keen to fix.
“No doubt borrowers’ appetite for fixed rate loans has also been provoked by the ongoing competition for business among Australia’s lenders who continue to offer sharp pricing, significant mortgage discounts and other borrower incentives,” Darnbrough said.
“It is pleasing to see that borrowers are taking advantage of the current home loan market by actively responding to lender incentives and making informed home loan choices.”
In the ACT and New South Wales, demand for fixed rates is at 31.54%, closely followed by Queensland at 31.25%. South Australia and the Northern Territory recorded fixed rate demand at 23.44%. Victoria and Tasmania at 19.34% and Western Australia at 16.14% were the least likely to opt for fixed loans.
Variable rates, of course, remain the most popular.
“Regardless of whether borrowers choose a fixed or variable rate mortgage, they will be sure to secure themselves a sharp deal,” Darnbrough said.
“With record low interest rates and ongoing lender competition, the prospects of getting a great deal on your home loan couldn’t be better.”
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

Demand for fixed rates at an eight-month high: Mortgage Choice

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Many lenders throughout the past rate cutting cycle altered their rates as competition heated up. However, it appears that now that the official cash rate has stabilised, so too have lenders rates.
Mozo’s latest insights into the home loans market notes that a mixture of increases and decreases were seen during the month, with just 12 providers making changes to their fixed rates. This is significantly lower number than in previous months.
So where does this leave us? Here’s Mozo’s snapshot of what is available:
MAJORS
The four major banks kept their home loan rates on hold over the past month.
All have the same fixed rates for their one year, two year, three year and five year packages, at 4.79%, 4.84%, 4.94% and 4.99% respectively.
Non-packaged rates do differ.
The lowest four year non-packaged fixed rate on the market, according to Mozo, is NAB and Westpac’s 4.99%, with Commonwealth offering 5.09% and ANZ at 5.49%.
OTHER LENDERS
Meanwhile, variable rates moved moderately among the lenders.
Suncorp, eMoney and Adelaide Bank all lowered their variable rates.
Australian Financial launched a new line of products with variable rates starting at 4.49%.
LENDERS WHO CUT FIXED RATES 
<ul>
<li>Citibank</li>
<li>P&amp;N Bank</li>
<li>BCU</li>
<li>BankVic</li>
<li>RESI</li>
<li>New England Credit Union</li>
</ul>
LENDERS WHO RAISED FIXED RATES 
<ul>
<li>Newcastle Permanent</li>
<li>Suncorp</li>
<li>Teachers Mutual Bank</li>
<li>Heritage Bank</li>
<li>SCU</li>
</ul>
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What rates are currently available? A snapshot of the mortgage market: Mozo

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Macquarie Group research suggests Westpac was the most exposed to the property investor market, with investor lending accounting for 44% of its mortgage book.
Some 34% of CBA's book is investor lending, 29% at the ANZ and 28% at the NAB.
Westpac has the greatest exposure to the New South Wales property investor market.
The introduction of macroprudential policy to slow growth in parts of the residential property market could result in a decline in credit growth of as much as 7%, according to the Macquarie Group research.
It also concluded macroprudential policy could result in a 1% fall in big bank earnings, the banking website <a href="https://www.bankingday.com/nl06_news_selected.php?act=2&amp;stream=1&amp;selkey=17628&amp;hlc=2&amp;hlw=" target="_blank">BankingDay</a> reported.
UBS analyst Jonathan Mott recently said that after the financial system inquiry, it was inevitable the major banks will be required to hold more capital; with the requirement in the form of higher mortgage risk weights and additional capital buffers. 
Macquarie is expecting ANZ to report a net profit of $6.9 billion (up from $6.3 billion), when it releases its 2013/14 financial report this week. 
It expects Westpac to report a net profit of $7.5 billion (up from $6.8 billion).
And it expects NAB to report a net profit of $4.9 billion (down from $5.4 billion). NAB has already announced a $964 provision relating to UK conduct charges.
Macquarie analyst Mike Wiblin said the banks would ultimately pass on the costs of higher capital to customers by reducing the interest rate paid on their deposits.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Westpac most exposed to property investor mortgage market

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Everyone knows Harvey Norman co-founder Gerry Harvey will want to mop up the last of his debt, but the Australian Taxation Office will also be watching closely when the first of former mining magnate Nathan Tinkler's four stud farm auctions gets underway this Thursday.
The Tax Office has taken the unusual step of registering two mortgages over the stud farms following their recent deed of settlement with the coal baron.
Title searches show one deed relates to a $20.1 million debt, signed last month between the Tax Commissioner and Tinkler himself (and witnessed by his sister Donna), five Patinack entities, and the companies that own the Newcastle Jets A-League team and formerly owned the Newcastle Knights rugby league team.
A separate deed over a $19.5 million debt, signed in May, is between the Tax Commissioner, the Tinkler group of companies and four Patinack Farm entities.
Tinkler reportedly owed Harvey about $40 million and was forced to break up his beloved Patinack Farm operation after a touted $130 million sale to a Middle Eastern consortium, led by <a href="https://www.crikey.com.au/2014/06/17/the-shadowy-bizarre-company-that-bought-tinklers-stud/" target="_blank">mysterious Dubai-based Cibola Capital</a>, fell through earlier this year.
A four-day total stud dispersal sale at Harvey’s Magic Millions auctions on the Gold Coast netted $34 million. Reports suggested Harvey has either been paid in full or was close to being extinguished. It is unclear whether the Tax Office ranks ahead of Harvey, or vice versa.
Listing agents expect somewhere between $43 million and $60 million is likely to be recouped in the four stud farm sales over the next fortnight.
The <a href="https://mail.privatemedia.com.au/owa/14.3.181.6/scripts/premium/redir.aspx?C=b6s5zWgaskCYAkXPp0B8zl_qmxN0wNEIQdGKzACICvDHDfRs7iuOVZDgKgu4U1-85jyRe4DvcX0.&amp;URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.afr.com%2fp%2fbusiness%2fcompanies%2fcould_nathan_tinkler_get_rich_on_BxEbmluMbhwE6sxjmsXAyH" target="_blank">Australian Financial Review reckoned</a> the sales would leave Tinkler with a fortune of $50 million to “play with” but the tally does not include outstanding tax debts, or the other unpaid creditors lining up against him.
Auditors Ernst and Young filed a wind-up application against a number of the Patinack Farm entities in July, andCrikey is aware of numerous other claimants who say they are owed money by Tinkler.
Once a billionaire, Tinkler had hoped to use the proceeds of the Patinack Farm sale to fund a comeback in the coal industry, but <a href="https://mail.privatemedia.com.au/owa/14.3.181.6/scripts/premium/redir.aspx?C=b6s5zWgaskCYAkXPp0B8zl_qmxN0wNEIQdGKzACICvDHDfRs7iuOVZDgKgu4U1-85jyRe4DvcX0.&amp;URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.crikey.com.au%2f2014%2f08%2f27%2ftinklers-last-roll-of-the-dice-to-get-back-into-the-coal-game%2f%3fwpmp_switcher%3dmobile" target="_blank">a deal to buy the mothballed Wilkie Creek mine</a> from American giant Peabody Energy collapsed in August.
A former mine electrician from the Hunter Valley, Tinkler struck it rich in 2008 when he sold his stake in the Middlemount coal project to Macarthur Coal, reaping a $442 million cash windfall. In a giant shopping spree he snapped up mansions, jets, supercars and football teams and blew an unprecedented $300 million to establish his own racing dynasty, Patinack Farm, fulfilling a childhood dream. Over the past two years, Tinkler has lost control of most of his assets. The NRL <a href="https://mail.privatemedia.com.au/owa/14.3.181.6/scripts/premium/redir.aspx?C=b6s5zWgaskCYAkXPp0B8zl_qmxN0wNEIQdGKzACICvDHDfRs7iuOVZDgKgu4U1-85jyRe4DvcX0.&amp;URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.theherald.com.au%2fstory%2f2364195%2fgame-over-how-tinkler-lost-the-knights%2f" target="_blank">took ownership of the Knights in June</a>, and the Jets are for sale.
Patinack Farm, Canungra, Queensland, is the initial offering, with 447 hectares comprising four properties known as Wadham Park, Elysian Fields, Benobble and Sarahvale listed through LJ Hooker Surfers Paradise.
The price estimates for the four ­Canungra properties range from $18 million to $23 million in total.
LJ Hooker agent ­Cameron McPhie has advised at least five international buyers have inspected the property, with three from Hong Kong, and one from Europe and one from the US.
Next week, Patinack Farm's Hunter Valley ­complex, Richmond Grove Stud, a 1337-hectare property goes under the hammer, likely to fetch between $17 million and $25 million.
Patinack Farm's 1397-hectare Tremayne property in Broke will also go up for October 30 auction with sale estimates around $6-$9 million.
The final Patinack property Banoon, in Monegeetta, Victoria, has been scheduled for an October 31 auction with Keating Real Estate suggesting a sale between $2 million and $3 million, which would represent a loss.
*Paddy Manning is the author of <a href="https://mail.privatemedia.com.au/owa/14.3.181.6/scripts/premium/redir.aspx?C=b6s5zWgaskCYAkXPp0B8zl_qmxN0wNEIQdGKzACICvDHDfRs7iuOVZDgKgu4U1-85jyRe4DvcX0.&amp;URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.blackincbooks.com%2fbooks%2fboganaire" target="_blank">Boganaire: The Rise and Fall of Nathan Tinkler</a>, published by Black Inc and available in bookstores now (RRP $29.99).
This article first appeared on <a href="https://www.crikey.com.au" target="_blank">Crikey</a>.
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

Nathan Tinkler horse stud farm sales come with ATO mortgages

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Reserve Bank of Australia board members have noted the ongoing strength in the housing market, but sense momentum is slowing.
"Dwelling investment had increased by more than 8% over the year to the June quarter, and continued strength in building approvals and other indicators pointed to further growth in coming quarters," the October board minutes noted.
"House price growth had been a little slower, on average, over 2014 than in late 2013, but remained consistent with strong conditions in the established housing market.
"Over the previous six months, overall housing credit growth had been steady at around 7% in annualised terms, but members noted that growth of investor credit had increased to close to 10%."
It reported growth in dwelling investment had been strong, whereas mining and non-mining business investment in aggregate had fallen over the year.
On employment the minutes noted members recognised that historically slow wage growth outcomes were consistent with spare capacity in the labour market. 
They also noted that the recent labour force data had been quite volatile, suggesting the possibility of some measurement problems. 
The unemployment rate in August had retraced the sharp rise recorded in July to be close to 6 per cent, around the average of the monthly unemployment rate over the year to date. Employment had reportedly increased substantially in August, driven by an exceptionally strong rise in part-time employment. 
"Looking at a broader range of data, members concluded that labour market conditions remained subdued, although they appeared to have stabilised somewhat over the course of 2014 to date. 
"Forward-looking indicators had picked up a little, but still pointed to only modest employment growth over the coming months," the minutes concluded.
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House price growth slowing: RBA October board minutes

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<div>ANZ today announced variable interest rates for its home loans will remain unchanged after its October 2014 interest rate review.</div>
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<div>ANZ’s standard variable home loan rate remains at 5.88% per annum (5.98% per annum comparison rate).</div>
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The bank is the current Home Lender of the Year, as awarded by Money magazine, for the 13th time in 16 years.
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Money magazine editor Effie Zahos said options such as 100% offset, the ability to redraw and lower discharge and package fees helped ANZ stand out.
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Money magazine’s Home Lender of the Year award assesses 1,800 home loans from over 100 lenders. 
The award is based on a comparison of the cost of a home loan (including interest rate and fees), and over 200 features of variable, fixed and line of credit home loans. 
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ANZ keeps home mortgage rates unaltered after October review

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With the cash rate at a record low 2.5% and on hold, RateCity has found that the number of low deposit home loans on offer across Australia has reduced by more than 5% over the past year.
Low deposit home loans, which require savings of 5% of the property value or less for a deposit, account for 69% of the market, down from 73% in 2013.
RateCity product director Peter Arnold said that with the cheapest borrowing on record for over a year, the figures show that some borrowers are overstretching.
“So the banks are starting to take the reins on this matter and some are pulling in the belt before the regulators do,” said Arnold.
He expects the tightening up of lending criteria to continue.
“We see this as a good thing in terms of responsible lending, it means that borrowers, especially first home buyers, need to do the ground work and not borrow beyond their means,” he said.
On current available interest rates, with the average standard variable at 5.37%, a return to historical averages around 7% could see borrowers paying an extra $300 more per month on average and potentially more.
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Low deposit home loans have reduced by 5%

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Sydney's price escalation was evident in the latest Reserve Bank of Australia's chart pack.
The regions meanwhile show little signs of the boom.
<a class="advance-link" href="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/household-sector" title="Housing Prices graph" rel="history"> <img src="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/images/5-6-household-sector/6bl-houspri-small.gif?accessed=2014-10-08-11-33-58" alt="Housing Prices graph"></a>
 
The chart pack also shows the narrowing of the gap between investor numbers and the traditional owner occupier market.
<a class="advance-link" href="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/household-sector" title="Housing Loan Approvals graph" rel="history"> <img src="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/images/5-6-household-sector/6br-hla-small.gif?accessed=2014-10-08-11-33-58" alt="Housing Loan Approvals graph"></a><a class="subscriberEmail" href="redir.aspx?C=lCaxenTkxUGidjIW7kywPUgJmxAkttEIKPCpFKWO484WuaPe4R7CWjc9SO2N-ozwmKkfgeKj0m0.&amp;URL=http%3a%2f%2fclick.mailchimpapp.com%2ftrack%2fclick%2f10612303%2fus2.admin.mailchimp.com%3fp%3deyJzIjoiTElZTW5LNjBMM3JhMjVPSldPeVR0ZXliQ21zIiwidiI6MSwicCI6IntcInVcIjoxMDYxMjMwMyxcInZcIjoxLFwidXJsXCI6XCJodHRwczpcXFwvXFxcL3VzMi5hZG1pbi5tYWlsY2hpbXAuY29tXFxcL2xpc3RzXFxcL21lbWJlcnNcXFwvdmlldz9pZD0yNDU0OTk4NzdcIixcImlkXCI6XCJjNzRmM2UxMWQ1ZDk0Yzk2YTQ3Y2Q1YTExNTY0OGYxMFwiLFwidXJsX2lkc1wiOltcImU4YmNlNWY1NGM5NTBjMGYyMTVkNTg0Y2MxNzM0ZTE1NThjMjhiNDlcIl19In0" target="_blank"> </a>
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Sydney's price escalation: RBA chart

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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) touches on some interesting points in its latest Financial Stability Review, including the paradox of low interest rates.
Household debt-to-income ratios have been flat for the past eight years, but the RBA quite rightly senses a risk that low rates could see this figure busting out to new highs and looks on cautiously.
<img src="/images/2014/10/7/RBA1.jpg" alt="">
The paradox is that low interest rates have made life pretty easy going for existing owners of property on variable rate mortgages, with the interest payments-to-income ratio falling from 13% to just 9%
Mortgage buffers
The RBA notes that aggregate mortgage buffers are at remarkably high levels, the equivalent of "more than two years" of scheduled repayments. A big reason for this, as I've experienced myself, is that banks have frequently left mortgage repayment amounts on auto-pilot despite declining mortgage rates:
"Households' ability to service their debt has been aided by ongoing low interest rates. The proportion of disposable income required to meet interest payments on household debt has stabilised accordingly, at around 9%.
"Households continue to take advantage of lower interest rates to pay down their mortgages more quickly than required. The aggregate mortgage buffer – balances in mortgage offset and redraw facilities – has risen to be around 15% of outstanding balances, which is equivalent to more than two years of scheduled repayments at current interest rates.
"Prepayment rates and the proportion of borrowers ahead of schedule on their mortgage repayments are also high according to liaison with banks. Part of this prepayment behaviour has been due to some banks' systems not automatically changing customer repayment amounts as interest rates have declined, while in many cases households have not actively sought to reduce their repayments.
"This might be a sign that household stress is currently limited. The household saving ratio, although trending down a little lately, remains high at just under 10%. Households' aggregate balance sheet position has continued to improve in recent quarters: real net worth per household is estimated to have increased by 4% over the year to September 2014."
Rental market
With dwelling prices rising we might expect to see rental vacancies increasing and yields declining. Historically speaking, however, Sydney's vacancy rate remains low despite pockets of forthcoming oversupply. RBA again:
"Despite the activity and housing price inflation in the Sydney and Melbourne property markets, rental yields have not declined to a significant extent and vacancy rates in these cities remain fairly low."
<img src="/images/2014/10/7/RBA3.jpg" alt="">
True, but vacancy rates are elevated and likely to rise in inner city Melbourne apartments as the RBA observes.
Household financial stress?
Generally 90 day+ loan arrears at now at very low levels at only 0.5 percent, but there are some indicators of household financial stress in Victoria. Back to the RBA:
"Aggregate indicators suggest that household financial stress is generally low, despite the increase in the unemployment rate over the past year. The share of banks' housing loans that are non-performing has declined for both owner-occupiers and investors since reaching a peak in the middle of 2011.
"Data on securitised housing loans show that the share that are 90  days or more past due has declined over the year for most states, coinciding with lower interest rates and rising housing prices. In Victoria, however, loan performance has deteriorated slightly."
<img src="/images/2014/10/7/RBA2.jpg" alt="">
The RBA notes instances of mortgage stress and arrears in "outer west and north Melbourne".
Interest rate rises?
So it's largely happy days for homeowners at present. But what about interest rate increases?
Previously we have covered off the possibility here that interest rates might yet fall further as the mining construction boom tails off.
So, what could lead to hikes? Mostly we'll be looking at inflation and the jobs market.
The TD-MI inflation gauge printed flat again for the month, leaving this particular measure sliding towards the bottom of the 2-3% range (now at just 2.2%) and suggesting little in the way of inflationary pressures or a pressing need to hike interest rates.
The declining Aussie dollar could well wash through a little more tradables inflation in due course, but sustained inflationary pressure would likely need the labour market to pick up, since there currently appears to be a fair amount of slack therein.
<img src="/images/2014/10/7/4br-tradeinf-small.gif" alt="">
Some heartening news on that front today with ANZ job adverts recording its fourth consecutive monthly gain to hit its best reading in two years.
Could this suggest that the labour market is picking up as was suggested here by last month's figures? Maybe! The next round of Labour Force figures on the 9th of this month is very eagerly anticipated for all of the above reasons.
In any case, interest rates will be very much stuck on hold today at 2.50%. It seems likely that prudent households will have at least another year of low rates ahead to keep building up those mortgage buffers.
 
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