Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.

The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.

That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.

The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.

A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.

&nbsp;

Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.

Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.

While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;

Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.

Joel Robinson

First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

IN BRIEF

<ul>
	<li>
	Just three double-storey Sky Homes sit at the top of The Waterline, each with its own private marina berth and rooftop terrace.
	</li>
	<li>
	Construction on The Waterline is complete, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.
	</li>
	<li>
	Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and are priced from $3.65 million.
	</li>
</ul>

<hr />
Lewis Land has opened the first completed sky home for inspection at Harbour Shores, giving buyers their first opportunity to step inside one of just three double-storey residences crowning The Waterline.

Each sky home comes with its own private marina berth, rooftop terrace and Broadwater views, combining the scale of a larger home with direct access to the boating lifestyle that underpins the wider <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366708]

Lewis Land Head of Development Michael Long said the inclusion of a berth with every Sky Home had become increasingly valuable as marina access across the Gold Coast tightened.

“Marina berths are becoming increasingly difficult to secure across the Gold Coast, so including one with every Sky Home makes this a genuinely rare offering,” Long said.

“The private 70-berth marina will accommodate boats up to 12 metres in length and is positioned just 2.5 kilometres from the Broadwater, placing the open ocean only 15 minutes away.

“Being able to step out of your home onto your boat is a rare luxury, and it’s something residents here can look forward to when it opens later this year.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366709]

The display opening comes as construction completes on The Waterline, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.

The three Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and each feature three bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive kitchens with butler's pantries and large balconies taking in the Broadwater outlook.

Each residence also has three secure basement car spaces and additional storage.

“This is the first opportunity the Gold Coast has had to step into Harbour Shores and see, touch and feel what we’re bringing to life here,” Long said.

“There are only three Sky Homes within The Waterline, ranging in size from 282sqm to 367sqm, with each residence featuring three large bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive custom-built kitchens with butler’s pantry, and large balconies capturing Broadwater views.”

<img alt="Harbour Shores" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bab65e10-4fab-45e1-92d8-fc56e2ab98ff" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-25%20at%202.00.16%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=XT8q76LsPkw3cYTsvN3JfFDaPLud90PN" />

Residents of The Waterline will have access to a private pool, along with Harbour Shores' wider collection of amenity including a lagoon pool, social clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga facilities and sauna.

Lewis Land partnered with Studio Collective to furnish the completed display, with the interiors designed to demonstrate how the residences could function as permanent homes rather than simply as show apartments.

Studio Collective Director Melissa Park said the surrounding waterways informed the interiors, but in a more restrained way than a traditional coastal scheme.

“We drew inspiration from the canals and coastal surrounds, but our approach was to interpret that subtly through layered materials and a grounded palette of earthy tones, rather than literal coastal references,” Park said.

“We introduced hero moments of green and teal to reference the surrounding waterways, while mirrored elements help reflect natural light.

“The result is a residence that feels elevated yet comfortable, somewhere buyers can genuinely imagine themselves living, entertaining and unwinding.”

Sky Homes are priced from $3.65 million.

Lewis Land is also offering private marina berths with The Residences, its limited collection of three and four-bedroom villas positioned directly along the Harbour Shores waterfront boardwalk.

Three-bedroom villas are priced from $2.99 million, while four-bedroom residences start from $3.19 million.

Harbour Shores is being marketed by Colliers International.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]

Lewis Land opens sky home display as The Waterline completes at Harbour Shores

St Vincent de Paul Society Housing Australia has filed plans for a major mixed-use housing precinct on the southern edge of the North Sydney CBD, adding another significant proposal to a pocket around North Sydn​ey Station that is quickly becoming one of the LGA's busiest development zones.

The State Significant Development Application covers a 5,990 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/1-19-mackenzie-street-lavender-bay-nsw-2060">1-19 MacKenzie Street and 211 Blues Point Road in Lavender Bay</a>, immediately south of Nor​th Sydney Station and between the commercial core and the lower-rise Lavender Bay Heritage Conservation Area.

Designed by Wardle, the proposal would deliver a new residential tower comprising 88 build-to-sell apartments and 19 affordable apartments, alongside a separate co-living building with 57 rooms and a building manager's studio.

It would also see the significant restoration and upgrade of St Francis Xavier Catholic Church, the adaptive reuse of the former school building, new parish facilities, retail, a new public square and around 1,000 sqm of publicly accessible open space.

<img alt="Vinnies North Sydney" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d5dd7f87-a617-463e-b577-17541e01f0e9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.10.13%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4R8TsFN3P_LrrXO2HswTOIrx2blil8lh" />

The project is seeking a concurrent rezoning of the site to R4 High Density Residential and an increase in the maximum building height to allow a tower reaching RL120, or up to 20 storeys. The proposal was progressed through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

The build-to-sell component will be weighted toward larger apartments, with just six one-bedroom apartments compared with 31 two-beds, 43 three-beds and eight four-bedroom residences.

The 19 affordable apartments will comprise two studios, 15 one-bedroom apartments and two two-bedroom apartments, taking the total apartment component to 107 residences before the 58 co-living rooms are included.

<img alt="Vnnies" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7d568ca5-cb90-4e18-96c6-d9795dba0c56" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.10.05%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=GY2R5M9VtQh0EKy1vajaea19PSLOPuRD" />

Wardle's design for the Vinnies site has sought to negotiate that emerging high-rise context while retaining the lower-scale character of MacKenzie Street and the adjoining heritage conservation area.

The main building adopts a three-storey podium and tower arrangement, with the podium aligned to the ridgeline and front setback of St Francis Xavier Church.&nbsp;Wardle has designed the podium with colonnades, seating, recessed entries and active ground-floor frontages, with sandstone-toned precast concrete and face brick referencing the materiality of the existing church.

The tower then steps back eight metres to the south and six metres to the north before rising in a sculpted form comprising four interlocking quadrants. Wardle has also introduced rounded forms and chamfered corners to reduce the tower's perceived bulk and improve view sharing with neighbouring development sites.

Resident facilities and outdoor areas are planned at the separation between the podium and tower at Level 3, oriented toward Sydney Harbour and the CBD skyline.

The tower itself will feature a glass reinforced concrete facade, with recessed balconies and deep reveals used both to provide shading and privacy and frame views toward the harbour and city. The lower levels take a different architectural approach, using brick and sandstone-toned finishes intended to establish a stronger relationship with St Francis Xavier Church. The Church itself will be conserved and upgraded for its continued use, while the former school building will be adaptively reused as part of the co-living component.

<img alt="Lavendar Bay" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2d4418ad-90aa-4d49-af93-c80b140aea80" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.09.47%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Kv4gzbsACaGvZSRuaqcfGC54jEJRXIDJ" />

&nbsp;

The proposal adds to an increasingly concentrated pipeline of residential development around Blue Street, MacKenzie Street and Lavender Bay.

Just west of the site, Central Element lodged plans earlier this year for one of the most significant residential developments proposed in Lavender Bay in recent years.

Central Element's SJB-designed scheme at 64-66 Lavender Street and 3-7 Middlemiss Street would deliver 163 apartments across two towers rising 23 and 32 storeys, replacing five existing apartment buildings containing 32 homes. The project also forms part of the Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-central-element-reveals-lavender-bay-apartment-plans?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener" target="_blank">First look: Central Element reveals Lavender Bay apartment plans</a>

Immediately around North Sy​dney Station, another two significant proposals have emerged at 5 and 15 Blue Street.

Zurich Australian Insurance Properties is seeking to adaptively reuse its longstanding commercial building at 5 Blue Street, directly above North Sydney Station, rather than demolishing the structure.

Its SSDA proposes converting the building into a 14-storey mixed-use development with 62 apartments and 86 co-living rooms, together with ground-floor retail and a major refurbishment of Blue Street Plaza. The application is currently at the Response to Submissions stage.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-zurich-targets-north-sydney-office-conversion-with-148-unit-proposal-above-metro-station">First look: Zurich targets North Sydney office conversion with 148-unit proposal above Metro station</a>

&nbsp;

First look: Vinnies files for 20-storey Lavender Bay apartment tower as North Sydney housing pocket heats up

When the opportunity arose for South Australian developer Palumbo to return to Kent Town, where it had previously delivered East Park Apartments and the East 
Rundle Apartments, it wasn't one the longstanding developer-builder was going to pass up.

The decision was quickly vindicated, with more than 30 apartments sold within the first month of launching <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/royal-apartments-kent-town-2-8-north-terrace-kent-town-sa-5067">Royal Apartments</a> to the market.

The 206-apartment development, which will bring significant new supply to Adelaide's tightly held eastern city fringe, also gives <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/palumbo">Palumbo</a> the opportunity to bring new life to one of Kent Town's most recognisable watering holes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376073]

Royal Apartments incorporates the historic Royal Hotel, a venue Palumbo Managing Director Daniel Palumbo said has a longstanding connection with the local community.

"Everyone in the area has history with the Royal Hotel," Palumbo told Apartments.com.au.

"It was quite an active pub and social gathering place for locals. We want to bring it back to its former glory."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376072]

The wider development will comprise two residential towers alongside the restored hotel, sitting on North Terrace opposite the Adelaide Park Lands.

For Palumbo, the project also marks a return to familiar territory.

The developer completed East Park Apartments next door more than a decade ago and jumped at the opportunity to develop in Kent Town again when the Royal Hotel site became available.

"The opportunity emerged, and we moved to secure the site," Palumbo said.

"We were approached by the previous landowner, who said they had extensive commitments in Sydney and weren't in a position to deliver the project.

"We took over the site and within six months recut the design scheme to be more in keeping with the type of development we want to bring to Adelaide.

"Now we're on the market and those changes have really resonated with local buyers."

That has translated into a strong start to sales, with 33 apartments transacting in the project's first 35 days.

Palumbo said the early purchaser profile had been consistent with the group's traditional focus on owner-occupiers rather than investor-led apartment stock.

"Local owner-occupiers have always been our market," he said.

"There are always some investors, but we've never developed what would be called traditional development stock. Owner-occupiers are very much our market."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376068]

The buyer mix has been diverse so far, with downsizers and younger professionals both accounting for a significant portion of early sales.

South Australia's current stamp duty settings, which allow&nbsp;eligible homeowners in South Australia aged 60 savings of up to $103,830 on stamp duty when they downsize to a new property valued at up to $2 million,&nbsp;have helped encourage downsizer activity, while younger buyers in their late 20s and early 30s have been attracted to the opportunity to live immediately outside the CBD while still being able to walk into the city.



Location has been a major part of the proposition for both buyer cohorts.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376075]

Royal Apartments sits on North Terrace directly opposite the Adelaide Park Lands, with residents able to walk through the parklands toward the East End, Rundle Street and Rundle Mall.

Apartments have been positioned to capture views across the parklands, Adelaide skyline, Botanic Gardens and Adelaide Hills.

Palumbo believes the scarcity of developable land along this section of the Park Lands makes the site particularly difficult to replicate.

"There's very few allotments on that side that can be developed," he said.

"If this location was in New York and you were sitting on Central Park, you'd be talking about a $60 million apartments."

Royal Apartments will offer a broad mix of residences, ranging from one-bedroom apartments through to four-bedroom sub-penthouses and penthouses.

Current listings include one-bedroom apartments from $680,000, while larger three and four-bedroom residences are priced around $2.5 million.

Residents will have access to a swimming pool, gym, barbecue and recreation areas, residents' lounge and dining space, and a communal deck.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376067]

The apartments will feature generous balconies, while secure parking, bicycle storage and storage cages will also be provided.

A porte-cochère-style arrival and drop-off area has also resonated with buyers, particularly those attracted to being able to walk into the CBD during the day while retaining secure vehicle access at home.

Palumbo is acting as developer, architect and builder on Royal Apartments, continuing the vertically integrated model it has used across its South Australian portfolio.

The group was also behind the $150 million Sofitel Adelaide, the 251-room five-star hotel and residential tower which opened in 2021.

Palumbo said Royal's launch had come at an interesting time for the broader Adelaide apartment market.

Buyer confidence had initially been impacted by uncertainty surrounding the Federal Budget and broader economic conditions, but Palumbo believes sentiment is beginning to improve against a backdrop of significant investment flowing into South Australia.

He pointed to increased activity across defence and resources, including Olympic Dam, as potential long-term drivers of the state's economy and housing market.

"Money is starting to flow into Adeliade, significant amounts as Adelaide bucks the trend of the rest of the country.," Palumbo said.

"There's a lot of activity in the economy over the next decade. I think more investment will come into this market."

Early works on Royal Apartments are expected to commence this year, with major construction activity and cranes anticipated on site from early next year.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6109]

Palumbo's return to Kent Town strikes early chord with buyers

Go-to builder-developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/graya">GRAYA</a> is continuing to bulk out its already impressive and diverse apartment portfolio across South East Queensland. Their latest milestone is securing development approval for Silk, its boutique riverfront apartment development in St Lucia.

The approval clears&nbsp;the way for the team to begin construction planning for the 22-residence project.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/silk-st-lucia-16-18-sandford-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">Silk</a> will rise 15 levels from an 810 sqm site at 16-18 Sandford Street, occupying a prominent bend of the Brisbane River with a prized northern aspect across Orleigh Park toward the Brisbane CBD.

The approved scheme will comprise 16 split-floor and six full-floor residences, continuing GRAYA's move into larger-format apartment developments targeting Brisbane's prestige owner-occupier market.

The project has been designed around the site's broad river frontage and dual-direction views, with GRAYA prioritising larger residences, privacy and outlook over apartment yield.

<img alt="Silk St Lucia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa5c2349-f96c-4914-a812-1f2cd6827af8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%208.25.44%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=WY0vEU_7vYjeRJKQHiCwFdMxu8PvFh52" />

GRAYA Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer Rob Gray said the project had been shaped around local homeowners wanting to remain in St Lucia without maintaining a traditional family home.

"St Lucia is one of those suburbs people do not want to leave," Gray said.

"They know the river, the trees, UQ, the golf course, Toowong and Indooroopilly, and that familiarity is hard to replace.

"True riverfront opportunities here are exceptionally scarce. What we have designed at Silk is a way to stay in the suburb people love, with the scale and privacy of a private home and far less to maintain.

"This is not typical apartment product. It is a proper home on the river, and that is exactly what this market has been missing."

The approval comes as new apartment development continues to increase across the St Lucia and neighbouring Toowong corridor, although direct riverfront sites remain considerably more tightly held.

GRAYA Co-founder and Managing Director Andrew Gray said securing the approval had removed a significant element of development risk from Silk.

"Genuine riverfront sites of this quality in St Lucia are not something that comes up regularly," Gray said.

"The approval removes a substantial layer of execution risk, and the location underwrites demand in a way very few inner-city sites can.

"The fundamentals here are as strong as anything we have assessed in Brisbane."

<img alt="Silk St Lucia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d0f3d734-65e1-48e8-8ed3-2e0715ffcdd9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%208.25.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sOLSs_jdHkXLWbBKzRyayf5BfTb2vPsD" />

Silk will see GRAYA return to a stretch of the Brisbane River where it already has recent construction experience. The vertically integrated group recently completed ARC in neighbouring Toowong as builder for developer Spyre, delivering the riverfront project on a constrained site.

GRAYA will take a different role at Silk, controlling the project from design and development through construction and aftercare under its vertically integrated model.

The development will include a gym and resident leisure areas at ground level, integrated with the river's edge.

Silk joins a growing pipeline for GRAYA across Brisbane and the Gold Coast, which includes Enclave, The Gallery, Coral and Ripple.

The developer-builder has also recently lodged plans for its largest project to date, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-silo-19-chester-street-newstead-qld-4006">The Silo</a>, a proposed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/graya-buys-frasers-newstead-site-plans-the-silo-between-james-street-and-gasworks-precincts">$700 million mixed-use development</a> in Brisbane's James Street precinct.

Silk is expected to predominantly target local owner-occupiers and prestige buyers seeking a permanent riverfront home in Brisbane's inner west.

Registrations of interest are now open, with further details on the project and construction program to be released as it progresses.

<hr />
<h2>SILK PROJECT FACTS</h2>

Developer-builder: GRAYA

Project: Silk

Location: 16-18 Sandford Street, St Lucia

Apartments: 22

Built form: 15 levels

Site: 810 sqm riverfront holding

Mix: 16 split-floor and six full-floor residences

Status: Development approved

Next step: Construction planning underway

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152168]

GRAYA greenlit for riverfront St Lucia apartment development, Silk

Hotspots

<html><body>
The key to prosperity in property investment is buying in the right places.
It's clear from the figures I presented in my previous column that capital city price growth has been ordinary at best in the past 10 years. Darwin (averaging 8% a year) and Perth (7%) have been okay, but five of the eight capitals have growth rates no better than wages growth or the rate of inflation.
Sydney has averaged just 3.8% per year in the past decade, despite the lift in the past 18 months.
Would you invest in real estate on those numbers? I would suggest no – not if those growth numbers applied everywhere.
The secret is finding places likely to deliver out-performance. To give you an idea of what's possible, here are some of the results of places we identified one to two years ago as good places to buy for future growth.
Toowoomba in regional Queensland is a standout example. In 2012, I started shouting about its prospects to rise from ordinary performance to out-performance. In the past 12 months, the potential has started to be realised.
Many Toowoomba suburbs, which have long-term growth averages of around 6% per year, have recorded double-digit growth in the past 12 months.
East Toowoomba, Harristown, Mount Lofty, Newtown, North Toowoomba, South Toowoomba and Toowoomba City have all registered growth ranging between 12% and 19% in 12 months.
You would not have poured money into Toowoomba based on its historic performance, but with real estate investment it's the future that matters.
Another Queensland regional city with a poor recent history but a glittering future is Cairns.
Some Cairns markets, particularly unit markets, still have pricing lower than five years ago. Others have averaged less than 1% per year in growth since 2009. That reflects weakness in the local economy and developer over-supply.
The future, however, looks very different. Cairns is rapidly transitioning from an economy overly reliant on tourism to a place where a massive infrastructure spend is broadening and strengthening the base.
That, plus previous price decline and the highest rental yields in Australia, has made Cairns an attractive proposition for investors.
In the past 12 months, Cairns has started to deliver. In terms of median price growth (based on Australian Property Monitors data), here are some of the results in Cairns suburban markets:
<ul>
<li>Bungalow houses up 18%</li>
<li>Edge Hill houses up 14%</li>
<li>Woree houses up 16%</li>
<li>Yorkey's Knob houses up 15%</li>
<li>Cairns City units up 19%</li>
<li>Earlville units up 19%</li>
<li>Edge Hill units up 12%</li>
<li>Holloways Beach units up 27%</li>
<li>Manunda units up 30%</li>
<li>Woree units up 27%</li>
<li>Yorkey's Knob units up 23%</li>
</ul>
In 2012 and 2013, I suggested the Swan City precinct of Perth as a place with appeal from the collective viewpoints of location, lifestyle, affordability and infrastructure spending. It's shown pretty solid growth in the years since - including, in the past 12 months, double-digit growth in Aveley (14%), Ballajura (11%), Caversham (15%), Lockridge (12%) and The Vines (13%), well ahead of city averages.
Monash City has appealed as a middle market location with growth prospects in Melbourne. About a year ago we included it in our Top 10 reports and since then multiple suburbs in this municipality have delivered double-digit growth in median prices, ranging from 12% in Clayton to 23% in Glen Waverley – well above the average (about 8%) for metropolitan Melbourne in the past 12 months.
There are many other examples, spread across the major cities and regional Australia.
It serves to highlight the shallowness of most commentary about Australian real estate, especially by economists who continue to speak in terms such as: "Australian house prices have risen 9% in the past year".
In most places, the growth has been less than that – but in select locations with the right growth drivers, the upside has been considerably more.
Finding them is the essence of good investing.
</body></html>

terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Spotting an out-performer

<html><body>
A little over a year ago Apartments.com.au ran a piece on Hawthorn, highlighting the <a href="/news/hawthorn-apartment-market-the-quiet-achiever">increased number of apartment developments</a> aiming to begin construction, with a high concentration around Burwood Road. Fast forward to earlier this week and the latest crane was erected in the area, marking Hawthorn and Hawthorn East as apartment hotspots.

Since the August 2013 article Apartments.com.au has tracked 492 apartments through to completion within Hawthorn over a number of developments, ranging in size from 20 apartments to <a href="/new-apartments/atria-291-burwood-road-hawthorn">Atria's</a> 249 apartments. Providing upwards of 1000 new residents for the suburb, the number of apartments completed is nearly matched by the number either under construction or due to commence.

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/image36haw.jpg" rel="gallery-all" title="Syracuse gains its crane, joining the Hawthorn ranks"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="429" src="/sites/urbanmelbourne.info/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/image36haw.jpg?itok=WYm-A2lm" title="Syracuse gains its crane, joining the Hawthorn ranks" width="580"></a>

<figcaption>Syracuse gains its crane, joining the Hawthorn ranks</figcaption></figure>Currently tower cranes are present on four of the six major apartment projects under construction in the area. <a href="/new-apartments/brilliant-hawthorn-30-lilydale-grove-hawthorn-east">Brilliant Hawthorn</a>, Syracuse, <a href="/buildings/my-place-hawthorn-10-albert-street-hawthorn-east">My Place</a> and Hawthorn Hill constitute those four projects with Averi and <a href="/buildings/8-montrose-street-hawthorn-east">8 Montrose</a> also in the construction mix. Combined these six under construction projects add a further 447 apartments around Burwood Road, with the exception of Averi which is located south of the strip.

Further west along Camberwell Road, <a href="/buildings/leo-18-camberwell-road-hawthorn-east">Leo Apartments</a>, <a href="/buildings/elmington-96-camberwell-road-hawthorn-east">Elmington</a> and <a href="/buildings/solstice-apartments-138-camberwell-road-hawthorn-east">Solstice</a> are at varying stages of construction. Together these add an additional 264 dwellings to the Camberwell Road strip between Burwood Road and Burke Road which has in recent years become a desireable location for buyers in its own right.

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/image37haw.jpg" rel="gallery-all" title="Aerial perspective of Lilydale Grove - Montrose Street. Image courtesy Interlandi Mantesso"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="296" src="/sites/urbanmelbourne.info/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/image37haw.jpg?itok=oRXJigAL" title="Aerial perspective of Lilydale Grove - Montrose Street. Image courtesy Interlandi Mantesso" width="580"></a>

<figcaption>Aerial perspective of 18-22 Lilydale Grove and the wider area. Image courtesy Interlandi Mantesso</figcaption></figure>Looking ahead <a href="/buildings/hawthorn-black-5-montrose-street-hawthorn-east">Hawthorn Black</a> at 5 Montrose Street and <a href="/buildings/luton-lane-8-luton-lane-hawthorn">Luton Lane</a> are due to begin construction shortly whilst ICD Property's <a href="/buildings/maple-121-power-street-hawthorn">124 Burwood Road</a> is expected to be released for sales in the not too distant future. Beyond the current group of apartments under construction a number of approved/at planning projects are set for Lilydale Grove with <a href="/buildings/esquire-hawthorn-18-lilydale-grove-hawthorn-east">18-22 Lilydale Grove</a> and <a href="/new-apartments/24-lilydale-grove-hawthorn-east">24 Lilydale Grove</a> in the Apartments.com.au Project Database.

JD Group's <a href="http://jd-group.com.au/projects/domestic/196burwood">196 Burwood Road</a> is a prime example of the multitude of large, low-rise development sites within Hawthorn and Hawthorn East falling under the control of property developers with sizeable apartment projects in mind. And it's for this reason that certain areas of Hawthorn and surrounds are set to continue their rapid transformation into high density enclaves.

To see a current images of Hawthorn and the aforementioned projects, visit the dedicated <a href="/news">Hawthorn forum thread</a>.
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silvermb

Hawthorn in construction mode

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With prices rising in Sydney and its surrounds, many investors will look further out to regional areas for cheaper entry level prices and higher yields.
But where should you look?
John McGrath has tipped four New South Wales areas “to watch” for growth in the state's regions.
<a href="/news">Moss Vale </a>
First on the list is Moss Vale – a “beautiful village area with diverse housing,” he says.
“Moss Vale is a 10 minute drive south of Bowral and offers better value but the same lifestyle,” he notes, pointing to median house prices approximately $185,000 cheaper than Bowral.
Houses
<ul>
<li>Median price: $400,000</li>
<li>Rental yield: 4.68%</li>
</ul>
Source: RP Data
<a href="/news">Mount Ousley</a>, <a href="/news">Balgownie</a>
North of Wollongong’s CBD, McGrath notes that the areas are popular with both young families and Sydney commuters due to its easy access to the Princes Motorway for just a half an hour trip to Sydney’s southern border.
“[It’s a] fantastic local village shops at Balgownie and a lot of housing diversity,” he says.
Houses – Mount Ousley
<ul>
<li>Median price: $510,000</li>
<li>Rental yield: 5.25%</li>
</ul>
Source: RP Data
Houses – Balgownie
<ul>
<li>Median price: $577,000</li>
<li>Rental yield: 4.06%</li>
</ul>
Source: RP Data
John McGrath's next two tips are on the next page. PLease click below.
 
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
<a href="/news">Blackheath </a>
Meanwhile, he points to the wonderful character homes in Blackheath on offer from $350,000 on quarter-acre blocks.
“It has a lively local village and is already benefiting from road upgrades enabling faster access to Sydney,” he says.
Houses
<ul>
<li>Median price: $380,000</li>
<li>Rental yield: 4.52%</li>
</ul>
Source: RP Data
<a href="/news">Kincumber</a>
Kincumber is the affordable neighbour of suburbs <a href="/news">Avoca Beach</a> and<a href="/news"> Saratoga</a>, and as a result offers good yields, he says.
It has “prospects for capital growth with today’s prices about 20% less than Avoca Beach and Saratoga”.
Houses
<ul>
<li>Median price: $427,000</li>
<li>Rental yield: 4.87%</li>
<li>Source: RP Data</li>
</ul>
Click on the names of the suburbs for more details. For other suburb information, see our free data pages here.
You might also want to read:
<a href="/expert-insights/investing/john-mcgrath-s-10-sydney-suburb-picks">John McGrath's 10 Sydney suburb picks</a>
<a href="/news/qld/john-mcgrath-s-five-south-east-queensland-hotspots">John McGrath’s five South East Queensland hotspots</a>
<a href="/news/act/john-mcgrath-s-three-canberra-hotspots-under-the-microscope">John McGrath’s three Canberra hotspots under the microscope</a>
Photo of Moss Vale courtesy of Bidgee/<a class="mw-mmv-license cc-license" href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/au/deed.en" target="_blank">CC-BY-SA-3.0-au</a>.
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John McGrath’s top four regional New South Wales hotspots

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Localities in South East Queensland have been on many an investor’s radar over the past year.
Property Observer previously shared industry expert <a href="/expert-insights/investing/john-mcgrath-s-10-sydney-suburb-picks">John McGrath’s top 10 Sydney picks</a> that he recommends for future strength. However, where is he suggesting in Brisbane and its surrounds?
Here are the five suburbs that made his list.
<ol>
<li>
<a href="/news">Indooroopilly</a> This area offers a great mix of property types including new apartments and prestige homes. The new $450 million refurbishment of Indooroopilly Shopping Centre has created a major suburban retail mecca &amp; a real alternative to the CBD for major shopping excursions. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Carindale</a> Just 10 kilometres from the Brisbane CBD benefiting as people widen their search from the inner ring. It offers bigger blocks &amp; homes for fractionally less &amp; good local shops including a Westfield. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Hendra</a> A popular suburb with easy access to the airport. A value alternative to the renowned blue-chip areas of <a href="/news">Hamilton</a> and <a href="/news">Ascot</a>. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Newtown</a> Less than 2 kilometres west of the Toowoomba CBD, Newtown is an affordable hot spot undergoing change as more young couples and families move in and renovate. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Helensvale</a> Located a 15 minute drive from Southport, Helensvale is a sleeping giant. This large suburb offers a range of properties with good buying available. There are good schools and easy access to highways leading to Brisbane, Southport and Surfers Paradise.</li>
</ol>
YOU MIGHT ALSO WANT TO READ:
<ul>
<li>
<a href="/news/qld/terry-ryders-top-10-queensland-hotspots">Terry Ryder's top 10 Queensland hotspots</a> 
</li>
<li><a href="/expert-insights/buying/exclusive-first-home-buyer-picks-from-the-experts">Where the experts would purchase on a first home buyer budget</a></li>
</ul>
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John McGrath’s five South East Queensland hotspots

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Hi Margaret, 
What would be your thoughts on ways to mitigate the risks involved in hotspots? 
One such example would be Gladstone which has good strong fundamentals but is now experiencing oversupply.
The reason I am asking is that while a location is flagged as having good capital growth and yield,  I believe it is also important that I protect myself against overzealous developers who contribute to oversupply.  I am sure the above happens to many locations too.
Assuming that I've bought in a hotspot before a majority of the building stocks are dumped into the market, I might still be experiencing long periods of negative growth in a solid location when that happens.  I would be losing money if I sell out, but holding it would be extremely "painful".    
Thanks,
Adelyn
Article continues on the next page. Please click below.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
Hi Adelyn,
The first thing we have to sort out here is ‘what is a hotspot’. 
Here, you say that Gladstone is an example of a hotspot. In reality, Gladstone is an example of an area that some property experts, and many property spruikers, have said is a hotspot. But is it?
In my opinion, no, but then again, this is just my opinion, and it will (often) be different than others.  I personally define a hotspot as an area which possesses an abundance of growth drivers, the capacity to experience ‘generational’ growth (where growth occurs steadily throughout an entire generation), a limited land supply, and very few people buying there as it has yet to be discovered and pillaged by the experts.
Growth drivers include things such as diverse employment opportunities, significant infrastructure development, low land supply and a population growing faster than the national average.
If we compared Gladstone to that description, it comes up wanting, and for that reason I feel that Gladstone does not qualify to be called a hotspot.  Instead, Gladstone is a speculative investment which requires precise market timing, both in and out. 
There are significant drawbacks attached to areas such as Gladstone – the single industry employment (mining), the itinerant and unstable population, the existence of too many developers selling properties at prices which bear no relationship to intrinsic value, to name a few. 
<a href="/expert-insights/the-tenant-in-my-mining-town-investment-has-done-a-runner-ask-margaret">Investors with money to lose who are willing to gamble </a>can make money in such a market but they must accurately read the micro economy to establish when to buy and when to sell. 
Ordinary investors attempting to create a sound portfolio which has an identifiable time frame (as in they know when they are likely to want to exit) should not be considering investing in such volatile markets where the fortunes are linked to an industry which is completely governed by the world economic situation.
The other thing to remember is that the word ‘hotspot’ these days seems to apply to the areas being written about by the ‘experts’. 
I can assure you that if it is being written about, you are far too late to be buying there. Thousands of people are reading the same report as you, and many of these will attempt to jump into such a market, at the same time.  This creates an upward pressure on prices and seems to justify that the area is actually a hotspot after all!
It’s a little like insider trading for shares – let the word out, everyone buys in and makes it look like the share is good after all, when in fact it is the market pushing up the price, not the underlying value.
The best way for you to be sure that what you buy is actually a sound investment, with the capacity to perform year on year, is to learn how to choose the right area yourself. 
In this world of instant gratification and busy lives every one wants someone else to do it for them - tell them where to buy, find a property for them, or worse, sell a property to them.  This is the best way to set yourself up for a poor or inappropriate buy which performs less well than  you would have liked and leaves you vulnerable to market falls. 
Learn what really makes an area perform for the long-term, and you’ll be able to scour the country and choose areas which are pre-hotspot, long before you read about them in the magazines.
Regards, 
Margaret
Have a property question?  <a href="mailto:askmargaret@propertyobserver.com.au" target="_blank">Ask Margaret!</a>
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mlomas-KC9MUPZ6Ca

What are the risks involved in buying in a 'hotspot'? Ask Margaret

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About 18 months ago I started including Wollongong in some of the Hotspotting reports which identify markets expected to out-perform in the future.
This was at a time when the <a href="/news">Illawarra</a> was generally expected to be a non-performer. Indeed, some had predicted recession and a collapse in the property market there, because of recent economic bad news.
But <a href="/news">Wollongong</a> is a quality regional centre and I’ve been charting real estate markets long enough to know that good regional centres always fight back.
<a href="/news">Newcastle </a>did so after BHP shut down operations in the 1990s, reinventing itself and coming back stronger than before. I expected Wollongong to do likewise (just as I am confident <a href="/news">Geelong</a> will survive industry shutdowns and thrive in the future).
<a href="/expert-insights/investing/too-late-to-buy-sydney-try-wollongong-or-dubbo-tamworth-and-gunnedah-and-newcastle">Earlier this year I wrote</a> on Property Observer: “Wollongong has defied predictions that it would lapse into recession following economic reversals such as downsizing by Bluescope Steel. One hysterical headline suggested property values would fall 50%.
“But the Illawarra is the latest example of a regional community fighting back from adverse circumstances. A lot of infrastructure and property development money is pumping into Wollongong and real estate markets are rising.”
<blockquote>
Much of Wollongong’s improvement is due to its inherent qualities as a regional centre and the extent of new investment there.
</blockquote>
Now we have seen price data published which confirms that Wollongong has defied the dire forecasts made a couple of years ago.
Australian Property Monitors’ quarterly housing report credits Wollongong with a 7.5% rise in its median house price in the June quarter and an annual rise of 14%. The median has risen from $439,000 to $500,000 in 12 months.
Nearby markets also delivered solid annual increases, including <a href="/news">Shellharbour</a> (7%) and <a href="/news">Kiama</a> (12%).
I attribute part of the increases to a ripple effect from Sydney. As expected, regional centres close to the state capital have caught the Sydney wave.
But much of Wollongong’s improvement is due to its inherent qualities as a regional centre and the extent of new investment there.
The place has a lot going for it. There’s a substantial and growing population (the Illawarra region has around 275,000 residents), the proximity to Sydney, the seaside location, the strength of spending on infrastructure (including $1 billion on hospital facilities and $500 million at Wollongong University), and the significant investment in new property projects by national development entities like Lend Lease and Australand.
Australand’s Shell Cove is a $1.5 billion project. The total value of all the infrastructure and property developments on our lists for Wollongong is almost $5 billion.
Nothing drives property values like infrastructure spending, which generates economic activity, jobs growth and ultimately demand for accommodation.
The Wollongong has that factor working for it on overdrive.
You can contact Terry via <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email</a> or on <a href="https://www.twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter</a>.
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Nothing drives property values like infrastructure spending and Wollongong is in overdrive

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Everyone wants to buy in a “hotspot” area that becomes trendy and popular in the near future and allows investors to take advantage of some good capital growth over a shorter time period.
Here are 10 of Melbourne’s suburbs that we believe have the potential to give investors good returns in the coming years.
Click on the suburbs names to find the latest property data, mapping tools and demographic information, from RP Data.
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Reservoir</a></li>
</ul>
Reservoir is located 12 kilometres north of the CBD. Bounded by the Merri Creek in the west, and the Darebin Creek in the east, Reservoir is a mixed use suburb in Melbourne's north.
The suburb has significant industrial areas in the west and a commercial focus around the railways station and along Broadway.
Reservoir is well represented by the Italian population and also features the Reservoir Private Hospital and Edwardes Lake Park.
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Frankston</a></li>
</ul>
Frankston is located 41 kilometres south of the CBD.
Frankston is the major commercial; retail, educational and transport centre in Melbourne's outer south, servicing a large hinterland including the Mornington Peninsula.
The major commercial area is located between Nepean Highway and the railway station, although Karingal Hub Shopping Centre is located in the east of the suburb. Frankston also features Monash University Peninsula Campus, the Peninsula Institute of TAFE and Frankston Hospital as well as a number of golf courses.
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Footscray</a></li>
</ul>
Footscray is located 6 kilometres west of the CBD. Located in the inner west of Melbourne, Footscray is a multicultural community with a significant Vietnamese population.
The suburb has a combination of residential, industrial and commercial land, with retail activity centred on Barkly Street and industrial activity in the east and north. Footscray also features the Whitten Oval, the Victorian University of Technology, a major rail junction for the St Albans and Werribee Railway lines, the Western Hospital - Footscray Campus and Footscray Park.
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Preston</a></li>
</ul>
Preston is located 9 kilometres north-east of the CBD. Bounded by the Merri Creek in the west, and the Darebin Creek in the east, Preston is a mixed use suburb in Melbourne's north.
The suburb features a significant commercial district along High Street, while the eastern regions feature a significant amount of light industry. It is also a multicultural suburb, with large Greek and Italian communities. Preston also features Northland Shopping Centre and the Northern Melbourne Institute of TAFE - Preston Campus.
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Sunshine</a></li>
</ul>
Sunshine is located 12 kilometres west of the CBD. Sunshine is the major commercial, industrial and transport centre for the middle and outer western suburbs of Melbourne.
It is a highly multicultural suburb, comprising a significant Vietnamese community. Although there has been a decrease in manufacturing employment since the early 1980s, it still provides a quarter of all jobs for Sunshine's workforce.
Sunshine is the railway junction for the Ballarat and St Albans railway lines and features the Footscray TAFE - Sunshine Campus and the Sunshine Centre Plaza.
Five more of Frank Valentic's Melbourne hostpots on the next page. Please click below.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Kingsville</a></li>
</ul>
Kingsville is located 8 kilometers west of the CBD.
Kingsville is a small residential area located in Melbourne's western suburbs. It is multiculturally diverse, well represented by people from the countries of the former Yugoslavia and Vietnam.
Kingsville's labour force is concentrated in the manufacturing sector, providing a significant labour base to adjacent industrial suburbs. The suburb also features commercial areas along its boundaries.
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Thornbury</a></li>
</ul>
Thornbury is located 7 kilometres north-east of the CBD. Located between the Merri Creek in the west and the Darebin Creek in the east, Thornbury is a residential suburb, with significant areas of commercial activity, especially along High Street.
It is a multicultural community, with the Italian, Greek and Chinese communities being well represented.
Thornbury also features many areas of open space, including the Hayes, Mayer, Penders and John Cain Memorial Parks and the Sir Douglas Nicholls Reserve.
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Brunswick West</a></li>
</ul>
Brunswick West is located 6 kilometres north of the CBD. Bounded by the Moonee Ponds Creek in the west and Moreland Road in the north, Brunswick West is a primarily residential suburb.
The suburb is densely populated,featuring a young population, most notably 25-34 year olds.
Brunswick West also features a number of reserves and recreational areas, such as the Dunstan, the Denzil Don, Hudson, Shiels and Wylie Reserves.
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Glen Huntly</a></li>
</ul>
Glen Huntly is located 12 kilometres south-east of the CBD. Bounded by Neernim Road in the south and Grange Road in the west, it is a small, primarily residential suburb in Melbourne's south-east. The suburb's retail activity is concentrated around the railway station. 
Glen Huntly also features parkland including Garden Avenue Reserve. The suburb's population includes a large number of renters and small households.
<ul>
<li><a href="/news">Mornington</a></li>
</ul>
Mornington is located 47 kilometres south of the CBD. Mornington is one of the larger commercial centres on the Mornington Peninsula to Melbourne's south.
This bayside suburb is traditionally a popular retirement area and has a number of aged care facilities.
Mornington also has a large number of families living in the area, especially in the new residential subdivisions on the eastern side of the Nepean Highway. The suburb features the Mornington Racecourse and the Mornington Country Golf Club.
FRANK VALENTIC is managing director of award-winning buyers' agency <a href="https://www.advantageproperty.com.au/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Advantage Property Consulting.</a>
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fvalentic-kJt4iZ5jDx

The top 10 Melbourne hotspot suburbs: Frank Valentic

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Terry Ryder’s most recent Price Predictor Index, June to September 2014, looks at Sydney’s fastest rising markets for units and houses across the suburbs.
Within the <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au" target="_parent">hotspotting.com.au</a> list, Property Observer selected the 17 opportunities for investors who are looking to enter into the market for $500,000 or less. We have included the suburbs available in alphabetical order over the page, as well as noting whether houses or units were on Ryder’s radar. The price provided is the median for the unit or house market in the respective suburb.
Ryder notes that while Sydney’s metropolitan star remains the inner-city market, the west and south west are continuing their rise to prominence.
The City of Sydney won the overall list, with six suburbs on the Rising Fast list, which numbered some 68 opportunities (some being the house and unit markets in the same suburbs), and seven on a subsequent Rising Steadily list.
The report notes that sales levels in <a href="/news">Darlinghurst </a>have doubled in less than 12 months, with <a href="/news">Chippendale </a>and <a href="/news">Haymarket </a>experiencing a similar result.
<a href="/news">Pyrmont </a>was also a performer, with a 110% sales rise in nine months.
“We are concerned that inner-city Sydney will eventually have a similar issue to inner Melbourne, where far too many apartments are being built, but at this stage Sydney has no apparent over-supply issues and demand for city units continues to rise,” the report notes.
However, beyond the CBD, it’s out west that is rising fast – and providing a more affordable entry point.
“Heading west from the City, the municipalities of Parramatta, Blacktown and Penrith are rising, while in the south-west Bankstown, Liverpool, Campbelltown and Camden all have strong markets,” explains Ryder.
Blacktown LGA continues its strong position, Penrith LGA also recorded good results and Parramatta LGA is a standout on the rising steadily and the consistent list.
Camden LGA, Bankstown LGA and Campbelltown LGA also managed to achieve strong rising market results.
Turn the page to see the 17 Rising Fast suburbs with median prices at $500,000 or less.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
17 affordable Rising Fast markets
<ol>
<li>Auburn (U) $375,000 
</li>
<li>Bankstown (U) $365,000 
</li>
<li>Blacktown (H) $450,000 
</li>
<li>Camden South (H) $465,000 
</li>
<li>Cranebrook (H) $435,000 
</li>
<li>Greenacre (U) $469,000 
</li>
<li>Hinchinbrook (H) $500,000 
</li>
<li>Homebush West (U) $470,000 
</li>
<li>Ingleburn (H) $385,000 
</li>
<li>Jamisontown (H) $435,000 
</li>
<li>Jamisontown (U) $289,000 
</li>
<li>Kellyville Ridge (U) $440,000 
</li>
<li>Lakemba (H) $315,000 
</li>
<li>Liverpool (U) $300,000 
</li>
<li>Merrylands (U) $379,000 
</li>
<li>Roselands (U) $367,000 
</li>
<li>Westmead (U) $432,000</li>
</ol>
Source: hotspotting.com.au
Key:
(H) Houses
(U) Units
 
For more information on the report see <a href="https://hotspotting.com.au/reports/%20" target="_blank">Terry Ryder’s latest reports available here</a>.
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Sydney’s fastest rising markets under $500,000: Terry Ryder

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The term "hotspot" was around long before I established my Hotspotting website eight years ago.
But today the word is bandied about with joyous abandon by way too many people, with fairly liberal definitions of what it means. 
For the record, I define a hotspot as a location which, for identifiable reasons such as infrastructure spending, will out-perform mainstream markets on price growth in the medium to long-term - and where it is currently a good time to buy. They are not places that will show flash-in-the-pan growth, with short-term spikes in the price graph, but locations with the fundamentals to deliver good growth over time.
It's important for consumer to understand that "hotspot" is used carelessly by press release writers and some media organisations which publish their work. Often, it is used to describe areas that have had strong medium price growth in the past 12 months past. By contrast, my purpose is to identify the strong locations of the future, which is of far greater value to property investors.
A current example is the reporting of a<a href="/expert-insights/investing/list-of-the-day-top-20-building-and-population-hotspots"> research document published by the Housing Industry Association</a>. This report pinpoints areas which have, in the recent past, experienced high levels of residential building and, as a result, new population growth.
In most cases, they are outer suburbs where new housing estates are being established.
This has been widely reported as a document identifying "real estate growth hotspots", which is both misleading and dangerous for investors who believe the locations highlighted are great places to buy.
Many of the top-ranked locations in this report are demonstrably poor places to invest.
Three of the top places in this report are in Canberra. They are suburbs with new housing estates, which is why they show up under the HIA's criteria of locations with high levels of new building and population growth.
But hotspots in terms of their potential for capital growth? Definitely not.
Right now, nowhere in Canberra is a hotspot under our definition. In stark contrast to Sydney, and one or two other cities, the Canberra market is stalled, with many statistics showing prices and rentals either stagnating or going backwards.
The federal government's spending cuts - which undermine Canberra's status as a place of high incomes and low unemployment - are hurting. There is more pain to come in this market.
It's important to realise also that the building approval and population data on which this report is based, was out dated even before the report was published. It focuses on the 2012-13 financial year, which is of limited interest or value now that we are into the 2014-15 financial year.
The report has interest, in terms of identifying the locations where new dwellings are being built, but these are not, in most cases, places that will deliver out-performance in price growth.
Accordingly, they are not the "hot real estate markets" described in many media outlets.
You can contact Terry via <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email</a> or on<a href="https://www.twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter</a>.
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The term "hotspot" is bandied around with joyous abandon and has little value to investors

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Australia's top 20 hotspots for both population growth and residential construction have been identified by the Housing Industry Association Economics Group in their Population and Residential Building Construction report.
To make the list, suburbs were required to have a population growth rater faster than the national average, as well as approved residential building work in excess of $100 million, for regions in New South Wales, Queensland, Victoria and Western Australia, or in excess of $50 million for South Australia. The Northern Territory and ACT were required to record over $20 million. In Tasmania the threshold was $5 million.
The report notes that with such a high population growth at a national level, or 1.8%, just 698 suburbs came above this, with just 50 falling into the required building work level.
“In terms of building work approved, the Waterloo-Beaconsfield area in Sydney’s inner south recorded the greatest value of new residential work approved with $513.2 million during the year. Being an area with a relatively large population already, the 4.6% growth in the population in 2012/13 is impressive but is not sufficient to rank among the top 20 hot spots nationally,” the report explains.
“Three new suburbs in the ACT took out the top three spots on the list this year, with Crace leading the way followed by Bonner (top of last year’s list) and Casey. All three of these areas recorded population growth in excess of 40% in 2012/13. The high rate of growth reflects a stage in the emergence of a new suburb whereby households are moving into their new homes in an area which had previously been unoccupied vacant land.”
This is therefore an irregular situation seeing ACT take out the top three spaces, and if they had not then Victoria’s Brunswick East, Craigieburn-Mickleham and Queensland’s Clinton-New Auckland would have achieved bottom spaces on the top 20.
Their top 20 hotspots (Statistical Area Level 2):
<ol>
<li><a href="/news">Crace</a> ACT (58.1%) </li>
<li><a href="/news">Bonner</a> ACT (43.3%) </li>
<li><a href="/news">Casey </a>ACT (40.6%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Melbourne </a>VIC (22.7%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Abbotsford </a>VIC (19.7%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Forrestdale</a>/<a href="/news">Harrisdale</a>/<a href="/news">Piara Waters</a> WA (19.1%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Cranbourne East</a> VIC (16.5%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Baldivis </a>WA (15.8%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Docklands </a>VIC (15.3%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Yanchep </a>WA (14.8%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Parklea</a>/<a href="/news">Kellyville Ridge</a> NSW (13.3%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">South Morang</a> VIC (12.6%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Truganina </a>VIC (11.0%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Cobbitty </a>– <a href="/news">Leppington </a>NSW (10.8%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Ellenbrook </a>WA (9.3%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Homebush Bay</a>/<a href="/news">Silverwater </a>NSW (9.2%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Epping </a>VIC (9.1%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Deeragun </a>QLD (8.9%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">North Lakes</a>/<a href="/news">Mango Hill </a>QLD (8.8%)</li>
<li><a href="/news">Point Cook</a> VIC (8.7%)</li>
</ol>
Source: HIA
Interestingly, the report also notes that there have been strong leading indicators of activity in New South Wales and Western Australia, as well as improving signs for Queensland.
These developments, however, are past this report’s cut off and will perhaps alter the list in next year’s.
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