Repeat buyers are one of the strongest measures of confidence in any apartment development.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/era-newcastle-west-124-126-bull-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">ERA</a> in Newcastle West, some purchasers are returning to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> after living at the developer's One Apartments. Their decision to purchase again was driven by the quality of life they found after moving into their first GWH home.

Keith Wilton had spent years living in a house in East Maitland before deciding it was time for a change. Apartment living had always been on his radar, but he was selective about what he wanted.

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"I had some boxes I wanted to tick," he says.

Keith points to the open-plan design, generous outdoor areas and considered inclusions as key reasons One Apartments worked for him.

“One of those things was a nice indoor open plan area, but also I wanted a nice outdoor open area that I could entertain on in summer or Christmases or birthdays,” he says.

He also found value in the smaller details, from integrated appliances to shared resident spaces including the pool, cinema and rooftop areas.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356818]

After comparing several developments, he chose One Apartments because of GWH's longstanding local reputation and his own experience working with the developer on a commercial project more than a decade earlier.

"I knew that they were local, that the quality of the build was going to be up there. I'd looked at other apartment complexes around and close by, and I just knew that here was a better decision location wise."

Today, Keith says the move has completely changed how he experiences Newcastle.

"I enjoy living in this location because it's more of a lifestyle change. That Newcastle city living where you can walk to restaurants and bars and even beaches and parks and even shopping across the road."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356828]

Beyond the location, he says it's the sense of community that has surprised him most.

"Everyone loves living here because they chose to live here, but everyone looks out for each other. It's a real great community feel here."

For Aimee and Lyle Goodman, the journey started almost by chance.

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The couple happened to be having coffee in Newcastle when they noticed the site where One Apartments was about to begin construction.

"We were aware GWH was planning a development," Aimee says. "We made one phone call and things moved pretty quickly after that."

As busy business owners, they initially thought apartment living would simply reduce the maintenance that came with larger homes. Instead, it fundamentally changed how they spent time together.

"We actually catch up more as a family now," Aimee says.

"We've had homes with big yards and lots of space, but everyone ended up in different rooms. Here we'll have dinner together, the kids can play, and we spend far more quality time together."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356829]

Lyle says their confidence came from GWH's reputation within Newcastle's building industry.

"I know people who've worked across different apartment projects, and whenever GWH came up the feedback was always the same. They're rock solid. They're quality."

That confidence only grew throughout the buying process.

"One of the things that really impressed us with GWH was the whole process, was the communication," Lyle says. "It was consistent, it was regular, there was no problem if we had some weird questions, there was no problems in getting answers."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351104]

Aimee says one moment stood out.

"The project actually finished on time. We realised we needed to hurry up and sell our house because everything was happening exactly when they said it would."

The positive experience at One Apartments ultimately gave all three buyers the confidence to purchase again with GWH, this time at ERA.

Their confidence reflects what many buyers are seeking in today's apartment market. Location remains important, but so too does certainty around delivery, quality and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356822]

ERA builds on those foundations with 280 one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two landmark towers in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Newcastle West</a>.&nbsp;

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">Fender Katsalidis</a>, the project will include more than 2,000 square metres of resident amenities, including a resort-style pool, gym, sauna, private cinema and rooftop entertaining spaces overlooking the harbour and coastline.&nbsp;

The development is also within walking distance of the Newcastle Interchange, Honeysuckle, Darby Street, the harbour foreshore, restaurants, retail and the city’s beaches, continuing the walkable lifestyle that existing GWH buyers say has transformed how they live.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356826]

For Keith, the appeal remains straightforward.

"You feel at home even before you've moved into your home."

For Aimee, the change is measured in time.

“I just felt like I had more time,” she says.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351102]

Construction at ERA is now underway, with more than half of the residences already sold and limited two and three-bedroom apartments remaining in the East Tower release. Priced from $980,000 for two-bedroom residences and $1.46 million for three-bedroom residences, buyers can secure an apartment with a 10 per cent deposit, with premium homes offering ocean views from Level 8 and harbour views from Level 10.

ERA is also backed by Resilience Insurance's 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing protection against structural or waterproofing defects for 10 years after completion. The project is anticipated to be completed in early 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135096]

Joel Robinson

From ONE to ERA: Why buyers are choosing GWH again in Newcastle West

Virgate Property Group is preparing to commence construction of Verdé, its new apartment development in Melbourne's Arts Precinct at Southbank, following a strong run of sales that has seen more than half of the project's 173 apartments secured.

Verdé has attracted a broad mix of first home buyers, owner-occupiers upgrading from nearby inner-city suburbs and investors, with younger owner-occupier couples aged between 28 and 45 accounting for the strongest enquiry. Many are already living in Southbank, South Melbourne, Albert Park, Port Melbourne, South Yarra and the CBD.

"Verdé is located in one of the most desirable pockets of southern Melbourne," Blair Property Group Director Darren Blair, who is managing sales at Verdé, said.

"It's within walking distance of the Arts Centre, Royal Botanic Gardens, Albert Park Lake, and Southbank's restaurants and retail. It's a great lifestyle location with strong amenity and liveability, which made it a very attractive choice for the project."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372549]

Virgate was already familiar with the precinct, having previously delivered the successful Domain House development in neighbouring South Melbourne. That experience gave the developer confidence to acquire the Coventry Street site and continue expanding its presence in Melbourne's inner south.

"We had been keeping an eye on the site and the broader precinct for a few months before deciding to move forward with the acquisition," Virgate said.

The project was ultimately secured in 2020 following feasibility studies, planning assessments and due diligence, with the brief centred on delivering "a high-quality, considered design that feels both refined and fit for purpose."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=314259]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bruce-henderson-architects">Bruce Henderson Architects</a>, Verdé comprises 173 one, two and three-bedroom apartments priced from $599,000. The architecture is distinguished by a faceted glass façade that responds to both the site's outlook and Melbourne's changing light conditions.

According to Bruce Henderson Architects, the coloured glazing gives the building a distinctive identity while also providing privacy and solar shading, with residences oriented to capture views across the bay, city skyline and surrounding parklands.

Inside, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/designoffice">DesignOffice</a> has created interiors focused on natural light, efficient planning and enduring materials. Apartments feature engineered oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, floor-to-ceiling glazing and SMEG appliances, while a restrained material palette aims to complement the expansive outlooks rather than compete with them.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372550]

Resident amenity has also been designed around everyday functionality rather than occasional use. Facilities include a concierge-serviced lobby, residents' lounge with fireplace, library and co-working space, gym, terrace garden with barbecue facilities, ground-floor café, and package delivery management.

The project's location continues to be one of its strongest drawcards. Positioned on Coventry Street, Verdé sits within walking distance of the National Gallery of Victoria, Arts Centre Melbourne, Royal Botanic Gardens and Albert Park Lake, while Southbank's dining precinct, Sturt Street trams and the new ANZAC Station are all nearby. The surrounding education catchment also includes Melbourne Grammar, Melbourne Girls Grammar, Mac.Robertson Girls' High School and several major university campuses.

The sales team says buyers have responded particularly well to the combination of location, design quality and long-term liveability.

"They're responding really positively to the quality of the design, premium resident amenities and the uninterrupted views. Many also appreciate the location and how connected it is to everything they need."

The ability to secure stamp duty savings before completion has also been a key factor for purchasers, alongside the opportunity to personalise finishes ahead of settlement.

With construction set to commence soon and more than half the apartments already sold, Verdé enters its next phase as one of the Arts Precinct's more established apartment developments, offering remaining buyers an opportunity to secure a residence before construction advances further. Expected completion is scheduled for late 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4661]

Virgate's Verdé Southbank moves toward construction as sales fly past halfway stage

Downsizer-focused apartment development Kooyongkoot in Hawthorn has been recognised at the 2026 Better Future Melbourne Design Awards, taking home Gold and Silver awards in two categories.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kooyongkoot-hawthorn-1-kooyongkoot-road-hawthorn-vic-3122">Kooyongkoot</a>, currently being delivered by developer PQD and designed by Cera Stribley, received Gold in the Interior Design – Proposed category and Silver in the Architecture – Proposed category.

The dual recognition reflects the design approach behind the boutique development on prestigious Kooyongkoot Road, where the focus has been on creating homes for downsizers seeking the space, quality and functionality of a detached house within a low-rise apartment building.

Rather than maximising apartment numbers, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/pqd">PQD</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a> limited the development to just 18 residences, allowing for larger floorplans, greater privacy, generous landscaping and expansive communal spaces.&nbsp;The majority of the apartments also benefit from corner aspects, allowing for dual sources of natural light.

Now around 70 per cent complete and on track for completion in November 2026, Kooyongkoot will comprise a mix of garden residences, ter​race apartments, sub-penthouses, and is crowned by two half-floor penthouses with direct lift access and private rooftop terraces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355297]

The Silver Award for Architecture recognised the way the building responds to its prominent corner position at the ent​rance to Hawthorn's Scotch Hill precinct, one of Melbourne's most established residential neighbourhoods.

Rather than competing with the grand homes that line Kooyongkoot Road, the architectural approach focused on restraint and longevity, using curved brickwork, generous landscaping and carefully considered proportions to integrate with the existing streetscape.

"The form feels fluid and timeless, as though shaped by the landscape itself – architecture that belongs, rather than competes," said Chris Stribley, Co-Founder and Managing Principal of Cera Stribley.

The judging submission also highlighted practical innovations throughout the building, including lift cores servicing only nine homes each, a central landscaped lightcourt designed to bring daylight and ventilation into the building, and fully enclosed private storage rooms with lighting, power and shelving to better accommodate residents transitioning from larger family homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355293]

The Gold Award for Interior Design recognised the project's focus on long-term liveability rather than display-home aesthetics.

According to the awards submission, the interiors were designed from the inside out, prioritising how homes would function over decades of daily use through generous proportions, practical storage, durable natural materials and flexible layouts.

The specification includes natural stone throughout, upgraded acoustic glazing, V-ZUG appliances and fully enclosed storage rooms, alongside an amenity offering focused on wellness, entertainment and everyday convenience.&nbsp;

Residents will have access to a gym and yoga studio, a wellness centre featuring traditional and infrared saunas, a cold therapy shower and treatment room, as well as a residents' lounge and golf simulator/cinema room for entertainment.&nbsp;Kooyongkoot has also considered the everyday convenience of its residents by offering a private carwash and pet wash facilities on site as well as dedicated parcel lockers and oversized fully enclosed storage rooms.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355303]

The project's attention to detail has already resonated with buyers. Earlier this year, Kooyongkoot recorded one of Boroondara's highest apartment sales when an $8 million penthouse was purchased by a Melbourne CEO downsizing from a nearby family home.

"Every detail feels deliberate, from the overall design down to the smallest touches," the purchaser said.

"The level of quality and refinement is exceptional, but what really sold it was how liveable it felt... It felt like a place where everything had been considered, not just a luxury building."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355304]

Sustainability also formed a key part of both award submissions. Kooyongkoot is targeting a minimum 7.5-star NatHERS rating across all residences, supported by passive design principles, high-performance glazing, EV charging infrastructure, water reuse systems and a wellness model focused on lower-energy dry facilities rather than pools and large wet areas.

Located within walking distance of Scotch College, Methodist Ladies' College, Koo​yong Lawn Tennis Club, Aubur​n Village and Camberwell Junction, Kooyongkoot continues to target owner-occupiers looking to remain in Melbourne's inner east without compromising on space or quality. A limited selection of two, three and four-bedroom residences remains available, with prices starting from $1.9 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=102717]

Kooyongkoot wins Gold and Silver at Better Future Melbourne Design Awards

New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.

It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.

With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.

The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.

Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.

"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.

"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.

Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.

That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.

"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.

"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."

Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.

"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=5374]

The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.

Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.

That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.

"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.

The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.

The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.

The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.

Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.

"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.

"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."

<img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" />

Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.

Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.

Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.

"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.

"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."

Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.

Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.

Rainbow Bay apartment doubles in price since off the plan sale during pandemic

Hotspots

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Is investing (or should one say, "speculating") in single industry towns a good idea?
In a word – no.
Single industry towns are typically offer a poor risk versus return equation and can represent excessively perilous locations in which to purchase an investment property.
Two of the main advantages of residential property are that everyday investors can generally use greater leverage than they can in other asset classes, and due to only a small percentage of the housing stock turning over in any given year, price movements generally tend not to be volatile.
However, just as a sportsman's greatest strength can also be his Achilles heel, so it is in real estate investment.
Using high levels of debt in an illiquid asset where there is a sustained or drawn-out price reversal means that punters can be stuck with a leveraged investment which is steadily declining in value, which is just about the worst thing an investor can do.
That's why I only recommend investing relatively close to the centre of the largest and growing capital cities for the long-term.
Risk v return
Of course, the concept of risk v return holds that if you pick the right town and you are not using excessive leverage, then it is possible to make fast gains in single industry regions.
Massive price gains in the Pilbara during the mining construction boom proved this to be true.
But the flip side is that if you don't get out again before the market peaks, there may be very few willing buyers on the way back down the price curve.
We have seen this in the Pilbara too, plus plenty of other regions which were tipped as hotspots in 2012 based upon the false premise of a mining construction boom that was - somewhat ridiculously – supposedly going to go on for decades.
Cash buyers or those with 50% plus deposits may be more willing to take on such a risk, but generally speaking, it is too risky a proposition.
Macroeconomic environment
OK, with all the above caveats and disclaimers out of the way, are there any towns or regions which are set for such a boost in 2015 and beyond?
Indeed there are.
If you study and have a basic understanding of Australia's macroeconomic environment then the answer to this question should write itself.
Australia is now coming down the other side of the mining construction boom with intention surveys suggesting a capex bust which could be one for the ages.
Meanwhile, as engineering construction collapses globally bulk commodities markets have been flooded with supply as the new mines come online and pump export volumes out at a record pace.
What does this mean for property markets?
Two things – a cash rate set to decline to a record low of perhaps 1.75% by 2016 – which will fire up some of the investor-heavy inner ring capital city markets - and a currency which has rapidly dropped off a cliff from around 110 US cents to below 78 cents.
 <img src="/images/2015/02/23/usd.png" alt="">
What about regional towns and cities?
Summarily, the towns and regions which are likely set for a property market boost include tourism regions and those with a heavy emphasis on dollar-exposed industries.
There are several regions which immediately spring to mind.
Firstly, these include a couple of Queensland's major coastal tourism regions.
Secondly, there is also a conurbation in tropical north Queensland which is long overdue to pick up after suffering a diabolical property market performance for the past decade and a half.
Be wary, however, as unemployment rates are elevated up in parts of the north, and these can be both volatile and illiquid markets.
And thirdly, while parts of Tasmania were clobbered by the dollar as it soared towards 110 cents against the US dollar, there should correspondingly be some relief as the dollar has  been dumped all the way back to 78 cents.
A word of warning, though – some of Tasmania's industries such as forestry will never regain their former glories - one of Australia's most established companies Gunns was thrust into administration an subsequently there were suggestions by the administrator of the grand old company having traded while insolvent.
Hobart's property market appears to be tightening considerably, which suggests a "landlords' market" is finally arriving after no price growth in real terms over the past decade.
There are several such regions and towns which could well see a 20% or more uplift in property valuations.
But I still wouldn't recommend investing in them. Sure you might get a 20% uplift, or perhaps even more, but then what?
Article continues on the next page. Please click below.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
Investment strategy
Investing in residential property in growing capital cities can work well over the very long-term as an inflation hedge since new properties must be built to house the immigrant population and they will always be built in today's dollars and at today's construction and labour costs.
High transaction costs and capital gains taxes upon subsequent sale reflect that property does not generally work well as a regularly traded asset.
Over the long-term dwelling prices can be driven higher by:
<ul>
<li>a growing population; and</li>
<li>the growing wealth of that population.</li>
</ul>
While you might see either or both of these in a single industry town for a period of time, it is unlikely to be a sustained dynamic, and much of the wealth from an economic boom tends to filter back to capital cities in any case,
If property prices do genuinely take off in region then land is often released for development resulting in a glut and a corresponding market crash, as we have seen in some of Queensland's coal towns, including Moranbah.
Ask yourself how would you cope with a four week vacancy? Or a 4four month vacancy? If the answer is "not too well" then steer clear.
Furthermore if you hear vested interests in a market using phrases such as the following, alarm bells should probably begin to chime:
"Only 15-20% of employment in this region is employed in mining/tourism/forestry/other industry" – directly perhaps, but what about indirectly in related services industries.
And anyway, if unemployment rates are rising, 15-20% is a very significant figure.
"It's only a blip, this will blow over" – is the commentator qualified to opine on the industry outlook? Particularly if until only recently they thought the boom times would last for decades?
Timing the market is tough
Of course, like most markets, residential property is chock-a-block full with folk who think they are smarter than the market.
But, just as most drivers on the roads believe they are "better than average", by definition they cannot all be correct.
And indeed, they aren't.
You only have to look at some of the recommendations by expert advisors in the media over the past six or seven years – in fact, even over the last three - to know that picking regional property hotspots can be a hit-and-miss game.
Since the market bottomed in 2009, meanwhile, we have seen capital growth of around 78% in London on the Office for National Statistics indices.
In Sydney we have seen capital growth of around 60 since that time, with another massive year of price growth ahead.
For long-term sustainable capital growth - and a more accessible price entry point - investors should also consider inner ring Brisbane, in those suburbs with constrained supply (there are several which are not) and very low unemployment.
Instead as a property investor you should leave the single industry towns for the gamblers and construct a plan to compound or snowball your wealth for as long as you live.
The wrap
Remember, businesses and industries tend to have a life cycle, which is why for most average investors it is much safer to acquire assets which they can onto hold forever, such as an index fund.
This "all caps" approach works because all industries will not simultaneously decline, and if one company falls upon hard times, then another business from a different industry steps up to take its place.
And it's a bit like this when investing in property in capital cities.
The majority of jobs in the modern era are in the services sphere, with finance, banking, insurance and healthcare likely to be amongst the most thriving sectors.
Basic common sense dictates that investors should acquire property within easy commuting distance of where the great bulk of those jobs are located, in landlocked and supply-constrained suburbs, and hold on to them for the very long-term.
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.
His new book '<a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' is out now.
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Risk v return: Is investing in a single industry towns a good idea? Pete Wargent

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Ipswich has one of the fastest growing populations in Australia over the last decade.
When a few marketing jazz words are combined with a low entry price and above-average rental yields, it’s never been difficult for the so-called property guru to attract property investors to Ipswich. But does the region really stack up?
With its vast amounts of developable, cheap land available, Ipswich plays a key role in the <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/keep-granny-ditch-the-flat/" target="_blank">state government’s strategy</a> to try and direct population growth away from the coast.
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
Population Growth
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
2003-2013
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
2008-2013
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
 
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
(10yrs)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
(Post-GFC)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
Australia
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
1.7%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
1.8%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
Queensland
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
2.4%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
2.1%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
Ipswich
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
4.2%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
3.7%
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
The impact of a relatively large volume of sales of new properties in a developing region creates a distortion between the data for changes in median property values and the real change in property values.
As the graphic below illustrates, dwelling supply and population growth have kept pace with each other. In spite of the regular hotspot rhetoric that Ipswich cops from time to time, its property market performance has in fact been quite underwhelming.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2015/01/27/Ipswich_SupplyDemand_2006-2014.jpg" alt="">
With a traditional blue-collar demographic, successive state governments and the Ipswich City Council have had to work hard to create sufficient jobs for its growing population.
The award-winning Springfield masterplanned community has been developed over the last decade as a satellite city - Brisbane’s version of Parramatta.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2015/01/27/Ipswich_GreenfieldMap.jpg" alt="">
Already with a new hospital, business park, and railway line, Springfield currently has several good projects in the pipeline. These include a $50 million expansion of the University of Southern Queensland, $70 million headquarters for GE, $80 million Mater hospital, $100 million Brookwater resort and plans to further extend the Orion shopping centre.
The existing Amberley RAAF base has also been spoken about as an anchor tenant for a potential aeronautical precinct.
Investors could do worse than Ipswich, although it is far from our first preference. With so much land flagged for development, expect to see significant new supply, mostly concentrated around Springfield, Ripley, and Redbank Plains.
There is currently in the vicinity of $275 million in house and land packages currently under construction. The Springfield Land Corporation has also just announced a proposal to develop 10,000 new apartments.
Simon Pressley is managing director of <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/" target="_blank">Propertyology</a>, a full-time property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Australia’s (REIA) Buyer’s Agent of the Year (2012+2013+2014).
Picture courtesy of Clarebear/ <a class="mw-mmv-license cc-license" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0" target="_blank">CC BY-SA 3.0</a>.
 
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How the Ipswich region stacks up: Simon Pressley

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Just when you thought affordability was becoming a word of the past, I’ve unearthed another hard to believe story on the Gold Coast, alongside further evidence of the appeal of the local market as local demographics continue to evolve.
Our Gold Coast Team have just launched a new residential project located in the heart of Robina, on the doorstep of the thriving $2.5 billion town centre.
Robina is a classic and now very successful masterplanned residential community that has gone from strength to strength over the last two decades.
Perhaps best known as the home of the Bond University, Robina is now delivering the dream of the planners, it’s a thriving desirable community. Yes, it has access to great beaches and much more.
As a potential place to buy into the Queensland real estate market it offers a range of opportunities that will appeal to both future residents and investors alike. I also think that the development mix adds to the area’s appeal.
The choices are dynamic and importantly aim to meet the needs of singles, families, retirees and students across a variety of prices. Variety is important with apartments, villas, townhouses and detached homes.
While the Robina Town Centre is the focus of the area, there’s a direct train link to Brisbane. While employment is diverse across the Bond University, Varsity Lakes IT hub and now a brand new football stadium will also create economic momentum.
Robina’s history doesn’t extend much past the late 1980s, which makes the rate and scale of development impressive as it has matured into a business, medical, commercial and residential centre.
Robina has certainly proved to be centrepiece of Gold Coast development and with a strong future.
Picture of Robina courtesy of <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:TravellerQLD" target="_blank" title="User:TravellerQLD">TravellerQLD</a>/<a class="mw-mmv-license" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0" target="_blank" style="font-size: 12.1599998474121px; line-height: 1.3em;">CC BY-SA 3.0</a>.
 
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Robina has proved to be centrepiece of Gold Coast development: Peter Chittenden

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I talk a lot about infrastructure in connection with areas we rate as future hotspots. I often refer to infrastructure as the ultimate driver of values in residential property.
Over many years of researching outperforming areas, the Hotspotting team has found that the common denominators of most good growth areas are affordable real estate, good infrastructure (with a bonus of spending on new infrastructure) and proximity to major jobs nodes.
Many hotspots fit this basic formula: affordability + infrastructure + jobs = price growth.
Nothing in real estate is ever quite that simple, but that basic recipe is a pretty good starting point for property investors.
The term “infrastructure” covers all manner of things, but the key elements are transport infrastructure and education-medical infrastructure.
The core impacts of these types of infrastructure is that they create tremendous economic activity and jobs (leading to real estate demand) while under construction and they improve the amenity and appeal of locations once completed.
Transport infrastructure covers roads, tunnels, bridges and rail links which improve the accessibility of areas. Nothing revolutionises the appeal of a location like the creation of new train links.
Last week Channel 7’s Today Tonight interviewed me about my high rating of the suburb of Forrestfield in Perth.
There were two key factors. Apart from the inherently good qualities about this suburb (location, amenities, etc), it stood out in the short-term because of recent rises in sales volumes, leading inevitably to price growth. But, taking a longer-term view, the central factor was the state government decision to create a new rail line linking central Perth to Forrestfield via the airport.
In some ways, education-medical infrastructure is even more influential. I link hospitals and universities together because often they are clustered in the same location in our major cities.
One of the characteristics of this type of infrastructure is that it creates employment while under construction, but even more jobs once completed. Any suburb or precinct with a cluster of major medical and education facilities in its midst has a extraordinary source of accommodation demand. So much activity, including real estate demand, is generated around these types of facilities.
Infrastructure is the chief reason we rate the Sunshine precinct in Melbourne’s west so highly. The area already has a major hospital and two university campuses, but new spending will take this precinct to a new level. Another hospital is planned and an $800 million transport hub is being built as part of the $5 billion Regional Rail Link.
Events like this are game changers for property markets.
Big ticket infrastructure is influential in its own right, but one of the bonus benefits is the new activity it generates. If a major new hospital is built, other development will sprout around it.
Queensland’s Sunshine Coast is a transition economy, one that is evolving from a weak economy reliant on unreliable tourism to one with other strong factors. The game changer there is the $2 billion University Hospital. It’s a significant event by itself but it’s causing all manner of new ventures to spring up in its shadow.
There’s the Oceanside Kawana Health Hub, the $60 million Health and Social Wellbeing Learning Precinct and the $40 million IRT Woodlands retirement community.
These projects are all consequences of the creation of that massive new hospital. A whole new industry is being created and is helping to make the Sunshine Coast one of the most compelling regional economies in Australia.
Investment in infrastructure and property developments in the Sunshine Coast Region totals around $15 billion. No other regional city in Australia comes close to that level of investment (other than Gladstone, where those three huge gas facilities are under construction).
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://www.twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter</a>.
If you missed our free webinar with Terry Ryder, 'The Best and Worst for 2015: Top 5 Hotspots and 5 Places to Avoid', you can <a href="https://propertyobserver.us2.list-manage.com/track/click?u=24bd0766a834290948593f5aa&amp;id=2e37cb3570&amp;e=035e81ff9a" target="_blank">watch the video or download the slides here</a>.
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My basic formula for identifying hotspots: Terry Ryder

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One of the specialist property magazines, for lack of an original idea, is featuring what it calls “the age-old stoush” of capital growth v cash flow.
This recurring theme in property media – whether you should buy for good capital growth or for good cashflow prospects – shows a fundamental lack of understanding.
Investors do not have to make that choice. A good property investment will provide both.
There are myriad opportunities around Australia to secure properties that pay their own way and are located in areas with the core drivers to deliver good capital growth as well.
Currently, the best income yields in the nation are found in Cairns. The days of double-digit yields in mining towns and resources-driven regional centres are over, for now at least. Cairns, meanwhile, can readily provide investment properties with gross yields in the 7-8% range.
Cairns is also a strong prospect for ongoing capital growth. The North Queensland centre has a poor record but in hotspotting the recent past is irrelevant. The future is another country.
Cairns’ future will be different from its past because there is fundamental change taking place in the city’s economy. Like others including the Sunshine Coast and Port Macquarie, Cairns is re-inventing itself, so that it is no longer just a tourism town.
Tourism-based economies are fragile and habitually bad real estate performers. It’s only when economies diversify through infrastructure spending and creation of new industries that their real estate performance improves.
Cairns is undergoing that process. There is major spending on infrastructure, city leaders are working hard to encourage economic diversity and, as a bonus, tourism is thriving again.
In New South Wales, Dubbo is one of the strongest regional economies. It offers an attractive package for investors: affordable property with good rental returns, underpinned by a growing population, a strong economy with diversity and plenty of jobs generation.
It’s not too hard to find houses with returns above 6% and the median house price has increased 10% in the past year. In other words, good cashflow and good capital growth is on offer.
At the Victoria-NSW border, Albury-Wodonga is one of the nation’s most important regional economies, underpinned by a strategic location with strong road, rail and air links. Houses are typically priced in the $200,000s and rental yields in the 6-7% range are common.
In the past 12 months, many suburbs including <a href="/news">Lavington</a>, <a href="/news">North Albury</a>, <a href="/news">West Albury</a>, <a href="/news">Wodonga </a>and <a href="/news">West Wodonga</a> recorded median price growth of 8% and above.
There are myriad examples in regional Australia. Toowoomba and Rockhampton in Queensland, Tamworth and Goulburn in NSW, and Bendigo and Ballarat in Victoria, are all strong growing cities that offer the desired combination of good cashflow and superior growth.
It’s a formula that can also be found in capital cities. Brisbane and Adelaide will be among the growth leaders in 2015 and both present options for investors seeking the best of both worlds.
In affordable Logan City, the municipality the bridges the urban gap between Brisbane City and Gold Coast City, eight suburbs have recorded median price growth between 8% and 13% in the past 12 months.
There are also a dozen suburbs with median rental yields in the 5.7% to 6.7% range.
The most compelling location in Adelaide, in terms of 2015 growth prospects, is the municipality of Salisbury in the city’s north. This is an area with good infrastructure and lots of major job nodes. Most of the LGA’s suburbs have median prices below $300,000, with typical yields in the 5.7% to 6.5% range.
Virtually every suburb in this precinct has shown some sort of capital growth in the past year, with more to come in 2015.
The question occupying the minds of property investors is not whether they should chase capital growth or cashflow, but which of many available options should they choose to achieve both.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://www.twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter</a>.
Terry will be participating in a webinar on 'The Best and Worst for 2015: Top 5 Hotspots and 5 Places to Avoid' on 3 February.
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Best of both worlds - the cities where you can find capital growth and cash flow: Terry Ryder

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In February last year, NAB released a list of suburbs tipped to enjoy above average capital growth over the next year.
The list was compiled from responses from a panel of respondents involved in the real estate industry, including agents, developers, fund managers and investors.
This year, 28 <a href="/expert-insights/investing/the-28-suburbs-tipped-to-enjoy-above-average-2015-price-growth-nab-economics-survey">outperforming picks</a> have been chosen including Sydney's Penrith, Melbourne's Essendon and Perth's Kelmscott.
But how did last year's picks fare?
Property Observer has cast an eye over the 27 suburbs picked out by NAB's respondents at the beginning of 2014, excluding the city centres – Darwin, Brisbane, Melbourne, Sydney and Perth – due to lack of specificity.
The suburb where NAB's respondents seem to have gotten it the most wrong is Perth's Subiaco.
Rather than enjoying "above average capital growth", Subiaco saw, according to Corelogic RP Data, that unit prices decline over 2014 by 6%. There was 1.8% median house price growth over 2014.
CoreLogic RP Data's December figures report that Perth wide, house prices were up 2.1% for the year, while units were up 1.9%.
This Subiaco house, at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-wa-subiaco-118078359" target="_blank">72 Townshend Road</a>, sold for $810,000 in October last year (pictured below). The price was just 1.8% up from the $795,000 vendors paid for it in 2009.
<img src="/images/2015/01/28/subiaco%20house.jpg" alt="">
Buyers paid $340,000 for <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-apartment-wa-subiaco-117587127" target="_blank">10/36 Bagot Road in Subiaco (pictured below)</a> in August last year, only $5,000 than vendors paid in 2009 – a difference of just 1.4% over five years, or average annual growth of 0.03%.
<img src="/images/2015/01/28/subiaco%20unit.jpg" alt="">
However, NAB's respondents certainly did get it right with their pick of Liverpool, in Sydney.
According to CoreLogic RP Data, Liverpool houses recorded 24% median price growth over 2014, well above the city's already impressive average of 13.4%.
The south-western suburb had a median price of $629,000 in December.
After just six months of ownership, the owners of <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-liverpool-118478895" target="_blank">the Liverpool home</a> pictured below flipped it for $625,000, $89,000 higher than their purchase price of $536,000.
<img src="/images/2015/01/28/liverpool%20house.jpg" alt="">
Over 2014, Liverpool's median unit price increased by 12.2%, while Sydney's median unit price was up 8.3% for the same period.
In November last year, the unit at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-apartment-nsw-liverpool-118305579" target="_blank">10/5 Charles Street in Liverpool</a> sold for $115,000 more than its October 2013 purchase price.
<img src="/images/2015/01/28/liverpool%20unit.jpg" alt="">
The vendors paid $230,000 for the home in 2013, before trading it for $345,000 in November – a 50% increase in just 13 months.
Here are NAB's Residential Property Survey 2014 picks for above average growth, and their actual 2014 median price capital growth, according to CoreLogic RP Data.
South Australia:
<ul>
<li>St Peters Houses: 5.6% Units: 0%</li>
</ul>
Western Australia:
<ul>
<li>
<a href="/news">Mandurah</a> Houses: 5.6% Units: 9.8%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Maylands Houses: -2.6% Units: 0.0%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>South Lake Houses: 4.8% Unit: 9.9%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Subiaco Houses: 1.8% Units: -6%</li>
</ul>
Queensland:
<ul>
<li>Bulimba Houses: 16.1% Unit: 3.9%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Caboolture Houses: 3.5% Unit: -8%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>New Farm Houses: 9.2% Unit: 4.2%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Toowoomba (City) Houses: 4.7% Units: -22%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>West End Houses: 6.6% Units: 0.4%</li>
</ul>
New South Wales:
<ul>
<li>Blacktown Houses: 18.7% Units: 14.9%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Darlinghurst Houses: 26.1% Units: -4.8%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Dulwich Hill Houses: 8.1% Units: 21%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Liverpool Houses: 24% Units: 12.2%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Marrickville Houses 11.1% Units: 13.1%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Penrith Houses: 20.9% Units: 15.1%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Potts Point Houses: 0.0% Units: 3.7%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Rosebery Houses: 5.6% Units: 16.3%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Surry Hills Houses: 16.5% Units: 17.6%</li>
</ul>
Victoria: 
<ul>
<li>Cheltenham Houses: 10.6% Units: 7.8%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Frankston Houses: 6.3% Units: 4.1%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Glen Iris Houses: 9.5% Units: 3.5%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Hastings Houses: 0.9% Units: 8.6%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Highett Houses: 13.9% Units: 3.1%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Point Cook Houses: 3.4% Units: -13.5%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Richmond Houses: 10.3% Units: -0.2%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Toorak Houses: 7.8% Units: 4.9%</li>
</ul>
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Liverpool took off, but Subiaco was a dud: winners and losers in NAB's 27 survey predictions for 2014

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Miles, which is often considered together with Chinchilla, is a small town in the Surat Basin Western Downs area in Queensland.
It recently fell onto Property Observer’s radar again due to its status as the highest yielding suburb in Queensland for houses, at 11.17%,  according to RP Data.
Half an hour west of Chinchilla and about an hour and a half east of Roma, Chinchilla, Miles, Roma and Dalby are regularly mentioned in the same breath. However, Chinchilla offers a 5.88% rental yield, while Roma boasts 7.09% and Dalby's yield is recorded at 5.52%. Not quite the striking on-paper statistics seen in Miles.
Click to open in new window:
<a href="/images/2014/11/13/miles%20nov%2013%20one.png" target="_blank"><img src="/images/2014/11/13/miles%20nov%2013%20one.png" alt=""></a>
Originally known as Dogwood Crossing when established in the 1800s, Miles is a country town with over 20 historically important buildings and with a strong agricultural background.
Today, it also has a significant mining influence.
According to RP Data, the median weekly advertised rent is $750, with a median price house being $349,000, providing this strong rental yield figure.
However, while this may instantly put the area on some peoples’ hotspot lists, it may be worth taking a closer look.
Over the past three months, the median price movement was down 9.94%, with figure down 8.16% over 12 months. Over the past three years, the median price has increased by 39.60%, representing an average annual growth of 16.92%.
With a seven year average hold period, even with the 102 days on market average, it’s not looking too bad for the long-term property owners in Miles.
In fact, Matusik Property Insights, writing a report about Miles a couple of years ago, pointed to the fact that almost 10% of Queensland’s manufacturing gross domestic product is produced within the Western Downs region, with the energy resources sector boasting the potential to more than triple their gross regional product in the years ahead.
“Recently there have been a number of gas fired power stations built with others being proposed. There are both solar generated power and wind generated power projects being proposed in the Western Downs,” their report noted.
“However, the Surat Basin is not dependent on any one industry or commodity, with coal, gas, power generation, solar energy, coal seam gas, water projects, rail infrastructure, farming and supporting businesses all present in the area. This means the area’s economy is protected from downturn if one industry sector endures a bad period. In fact, there are over 4,500 businesses in the Western Downs Regional Council according to official figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).”
They noted that a large number of new workers were expected for Chinchilla, Miles and Roma, with an expected figure of more than 42,000 workers required to service the new projects in the Surat Basin (you can see a list of those near Miles over the page).
The number of transient miners in the area was expected to increase from 4,000 to 16,000 by 2015.
“To this end, it should be noted that during 2010, the Western Downs Regional Council recorded a 57% increase in residential dwelling approvals compared with the previous year.
This reflects the high demand that exists in the area for additional housing arising from the region’s strong levels of economic activity and job creation.”
In July 2012, Surat Basin Property Group’s chief operating officer Jason van Hooft told Property Observer that the opportunities for investors in the Surat Basin are <a href="/news/qld/chinchilla-queensland-mining-hotspot-or-one-underpinned-by-marketeers">“unique in Australia”</a>, pointing to the fact they’d already built and sold 200 house and land packages in Chinchilla.
“For a start, we are not that isolated, being only 3.5 hours' drive from Brisbane, and secondly the towns of Chinchilla and Miles are long established country communities with existing infrastructure, existing thriving communities and broad-based economies," van Hooft said.
“If you like, the resources boom is the icing on the cake for these centres,” he said.
Last year, approval was given for a 3,000 bed mining camp for Miles. Interestingly, <a href="https://www.nexthotspot.com.au/" target="_blank">NextHotSpot</a> pointed to the limitations on capacity in Miles and Chinchilla when picking their hotspot of Toowoomba for this year.
“With major job creation in the Surat Basin on the way (perhaps 27,000 jobs over the next 3 years) and the small towns of Dalby, Chinchilla and Miles unable to accommodate other than in mining camps, Toowoomba becomes a natural capture point for much of the overflow,” they explain.
Looking at house sales that have occurred over this year, there have been remarkably few in Miles.
It seems that this past year has been slow, if not backwards, but that investors holding on for the long term have done well with very few currently selling out to realise losses.
Many property owners purchased at the beginning of the 2000s for $100,000 and below. These investors have seen their properties doubling, or more, on sale price.
However, gains have been slower since 2010. Two properties purchased in 2011, for $290,000 and $140,000, sold for a $25,000 gain and a $35,000 gain respectively.
A March 2012 buyer, who purchased a large home for $750,000 and was noted in the listing as “motivated”, took a $100,000 drop to sell in June this year.
Another property, on Daisy Street, sat on the market for 497 days, initially listed at $240,000 in November 2012. It finally achieved $225,000 in April 2014.
Perhaps capital gains are not as forthcoming this year.
But what about that double figure rental yield that remained elusive for <a href="/news/qld/can-you-really-get-a-double-digit-rental-return-in-queenslands-mount-morgan">our runner up town of Mount Morgan yesterday</a>?
Rising rents have been an interesting experience in Miles. The Residential Tenancies Authority of Queensland in 2012 noted an increase in Miles  from $300 to $550 per week for a  three bedroom house, as well as in Chinchilla from $320 to $375, over the year to the December quarter 2012. Looking at their more recent data (based on bonds lodged), it seems that four bedroom homes are rented at a median $450 per week and three bedrooms at $375. Last year, this was $550 and $700 respectively. There was weak or no data for townhouses or apartments.
The major thorn in the side for Miles is the scary figure that emerges when looking at the vacancy rate. With a 28.2% vacancy rate recorded by SQM Research, managing director Louis Christopher told Property Observer when vacancy rates get that high, it’s worth looking a little deeper and being suspicious of the figures.
Looking for new developments, Surat Basin Homes’ The Pines Miles ‘Parkland Living’, with House and Land packages from $447,346 has recently seen Stage one and two completely sold, with 135 residences to be sold across the estate. They are particularly aimed towards property investors.
Considering that in the 2011 Census a total of 1,854 people were counted, any development of this size has the capacity to have a big effect on the local property market.
Hotspotting.com.au’s Terry Ryder told us that the towns of the Surat Basin, including our focus of Miles, have been afflicted by the same problems seen in Gladstone and Mackay.
“The demand forces are still strong but developers have piled in and oversupplied the markets in that area, including also Chinchilla,” said Ryder.
“Miles has had exceptional price growth in the past five years, but in the past 12 months the median price has dropped 27%. Average time to sell a house in Miles is now six months and discounting is close to 20%.
“The number of house sales in Miles in the past five quarters have been 17, 10, seven, three and zero,” he said.
“Developers have an incredible capacity to destroy boom markets and Miles is yet another example.”
When searching the rental listings, it’s clear that an abundance of new properties do exist. Looking for houses only, and not including surrounding suburbs or office-homes, approximately 78 rentals remain. Rent per week ranges from as low as $200 per week for a two bedroom, one bathroom “tidy” home to $1,200 per week for a five bedroom, six bathroom family offering.
One of the listings was undisclosed.
The rest currently available fall into these brackets:
$700 or more: 4
$600 to $699: 7
$500 to $599: 14
$400 to $499: 25
$300 to $399: 19
$200 to $299: 7
Assuming we owned a home that we were aiming to rent for the upper brackets, it appears that the standards are quite high if you’re aiming for a quick tenant – particularly with that amount of competition on the market.
Property Observer looked at the current rentals and found that 41 were advertised as fully furnished, 14 were brand new with a further 12 mentioning they were close to new or in a ‘new estate’. Another 19 advertised the property as renovated.
Of all the listings, eight offered rental incentives, such as free rent, or the ability to negotiate with the landlord on the price.
All in all, it seems that the investors who did the best in Miles did so some years ago, although this situation may change with a number of projects coming up.
Photo of Miles main street courtesy of <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:Mattinbgn" title="User:Mattinbgn">Mattinbgn</a>/<a class="mw-mmv-license cc-license" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0" target="_blank">CC BY-SA 3.0</a>.
See over page for a list from Advance Western Downs in 2012 for projects planned in Miles.
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According to Advance Western Downs, a number of projects are planned, completed or underway in Miles and close by locations as of 2012.
Here are the projects:
Australia Pacific LNG - coal seam gas to LNG project (Construction)
Columboola South Transmission Network - part of power supply project (Construction)
Columboola Substation - part of power link project (Construction)
Columboola to Wandoan South Transmission Project - transmission line and substation (Construction)
Queensland Curtis LNG - Coal seam gas development (Construction)
Arrow Surat Pipeline - Connected Surat Basin coal seam gam with LNG facility in Gladstone (Planning)
Cameby Downs Expansion Project - Increase mine rate (Planning)
Columboola Project - Mining operation JV between MetroCoal and SinoCoal (Planning)
Nathan Dam and Pipeline - Water supply for mining, power, urban, agriculture operations (Planning)
Surat Gas Project - Coal seam gas exploration expansion (Planning)
Cameby Downs Mine Project - Coal mine (Operation)
Condamine Power Station - Coal seam gas power station (Operation)
Kenya to Chinchilla Weir Pipeline - water supply during coal seam gas project (Proposal)
Columboola Creek Crossing - coal mine (Proposal)
Davies Road - coal mine (Proposal)
Rywung - coal mine (Proposal)
Surat Project - exploration project (Proposal)
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

Miles, Queensland: The limping Surat Basin hotspot

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Earlier during 2014 Apartments.com.au highlighted the strengthening momentum <a href="/news/hot-or-what-the-collingwood-apartment-juggernaut-rolls-on">Smith Street</a> Collingwood was gathering as one of Melbourne's must-live destinations. With the apartment development landscape in the area changing rapidly, it pays to once more visit the current state of play in terms of Smith Street and Collingwood as a whole.

While many have now progressed to construction, a second wave of apartment projects are emerging as a multitude of developers look take advantage of continuing buyer interest in the suburb.

<h2>At construction</h2>

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/image22.jpg" rel="gallery-all" title="All Collingwood projects currently under construction"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="763" src="/sites/urbanmelbourne.info/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/image22.jpg?itok=Kno1Nc95" title="All Collingwood projects currently under construction" width="580"></a>

<figcaption>All <a href="/developments/collingwood-vic-3066">Collingwood projects</a> currently under construction</figcaption></figure>Eight major apartment projects are currently at various stages of construction, yielding in the vicinity of 980 apartments. With completion for the majority expected mid to late 2015, Collingwood will see an appreciable swell in residents at these projects progressively achieve completion.

Seen above in clockwise fashion are <a href="/buildings/you-and-i-450-smith-street-collingwood">You and I</a>, Oxley Apartments, <a href="/buildings/41-peel-street-collingwood">41 Peel Street</a>, <a href="/buildings/yorkshire-1-robert-st-collingwood">Yorkshire Brewery</a>, <a href="/buildings/little-ox-2-johnston-street-collingwood">Little Ox</a>, <a href="/buildings/tapestry-apartments-80-stanley-street-collingwood">Tapestry Apartments</a> and <a href="/buildings/oxford-peel-22-peel-street-collingwood">Oxford &amp; Peel</a>. Last but not least is <a href="/buildings/smith-co-132-172-smith-street-collingwood">Smith&amp;Co.</a> which under developer Banco Group announced on Apartments.com.au yesterday the final release of extra spacious apartments over the top levels of the development.

<h2>Registration and sales</h2>

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/image27.jpg" rel="gallery-all" title="Ever closer to construction; projects at registration and sales"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="405" src="/sites/urbanmelbourne.info/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/image27.jpg?itok=gGOtAWce" title="Ever closer to construction; projects at registration and sales" width="580"></a>

<figcaption>Ever closer to construction; projects at registration and sales</figcaption></figure>In between the construction boom and surge of new projects in their infancy a handful of developments are seeking to make the transition from sales to reality. Shown as accepting registrations of interest on developer Preview Property's website, <a href="/buildings/this-is-collingwood-60-66-islington-street-collingwood">Islington Apartments</a> joins Angelo Property Group's <a href="/buildings/haus-apartments-416-smith-street-collingwood">Haus Apartments</a> as the two projects most likely to progress to construction next, with the latter having already completed site demolition.

Factoring in <a href="/buildings/this-is-collingwood-60-66-islington-street-collingwood">9 Smith Street</a> and The Patersons which also at sales and front Smith Street yet are considered to be in Fitzroy, the four projects may well add in excess of 250 apartments to the area.

<h2>The new wave</h2>

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/image35.jpg" rel="gallery-all" title="The next wave lining up Collingwood"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="889" src="/sites/urbanmelbourne.info/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/image35.jpg?itok=cUp3S1lG" title="The next wave lining up Collingwood" width="580"></a>

<figcaption>The next wave lining up Collingwood</figcaption></figure>Here are the seven latest Collingwood projects in waiting, with only <a href="/buildings/the-lantern-195-wellington-street-collingwood">195 Wellington Street</a> holding approval. Clockwise once more <a href="/new-apartments/386-smith-street-collingwood">386 Smith Street</a>, <a href="/buildings/peel-by-milieu-47-peel-street-collingwood">109 Wellington Street</a>, <a href="/buildings/little-oxford-7-little-oxford-street-collingwood">7 and 9-15 Little Oxford Street</a>, <a href="/buildings/trilby-466-smith-street-collingwood">466-482 Smith Street</a> and <a href="/buildings/28-stanley-street-collingwood">24-28 Stanley Street</a> find themselves at planning while Koúl Property enters the suburb with their proposed predominantly brick building at 203-205 Johnston Street which has yet to hit the official planning channels.

These projects combined are slated to hold in excess of 250 apartments; while the number of apartment developments continues to flow, the smaller site size dictates that fewer apartments will be contained within each development on average.

Not yet submitted for approval are two additional projects which will add approximately 200 additional apartments. Angelo Property Group is set to go again with 365 Smith Street which in time will host in excess of 100 one and two bedroom apartments and retail tenancies fronting Smith Street. Gurner also plans a return with 107 Cambridge Street (following 24-28 Stanley Street) which is expected to carry 92 apartments in an Elenberg Fraser-designed complex highlighted by an almost lace-like facade.

All in all the mass of residential developments within Collingwood ensures Apartments.com.au will be writing about the area for some time to come.
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silvermb

Hot or what? The Collingwood apartment juggernaut rolls on

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The most recent Real Estate Institute of Queensland (REIQ) statistics show that rental markets remain tight, with south-east Queensland’s Logan and Ipswich becoming strong rental hotspots for investors.
REIQ CEO, Antonia Mercorella, said that the latest Residential Rental Survey, conducted at the end of September, found that just four of Queensland’s 16 major regions recorded significant changes in vacancy rates.
She noted that this is evidence of a two-tier residential rental market across the state.
“Logan and Ipswich are emerging as the south-east’s rental hotspots as tenants move further afield from inner-Brisbane in search of more affordable rents,” Mercorella said.
“For the rent you’d pay for a three-bedroom house in Brisbane, you can get a four bedroom house in Brisbane’s outlying areas for up to $65 less a week.”
She noted that, for this reason, Logan and Ipswich are now very tight rental markets with the lowest vacancy rates in the Greater Brisbane region.
By the close of September, Brisbane City LGA recorded a 2.3% vacancy rate, relatively stable since the end of June.
“Brisbane’s middle to outer suburbs – those 5-to-20 kilometres from the CBD - recorded a slight easing in vacancy levels, up 0.2% to 2% at the end of September,” she said.
“The city’s inner suburbs, on the other hand, recorded a vacancy level of 2.9%, down from 3.4% at the end of June.”
The Residential Tenancy Authority’s records of median weekly rents for the September quarter also noted relatively steady rents across the LGA, with greater Brisbane returning to a vacancy rate seen 12 months ago – 1.7%.
“Vacancy levels in the Moreton Bay and Redland City council areas remained relatively steady over the three months to September, with both recording 1.8%,” she said.
“While not quite as tight as Logan and Ipswich, strong investor activity and tenant demand are setting the scene for competitive rental markets in both LGAs.”
Logan City’s vacancy rate currently sits at 1.5%, with Ipswich City at 1.6%, both down 1.4%.
Picture courtesy of Wikimedia Commons/Clarebear/ <a class="mw-mmv-license cc-license" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0" target="_blank">CC BY-SA 3.0</a>.
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Logan and Ipswich emerge as south-east Queensland rental hotspots: REIQ

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There are eight regional cities expecting capital growth above double digits over the next three years, according to the Australian Housing Outlook 2014-2017 prepared by BIS Shrapnel for QBE.
The cities are located in New South Wales, Victoria and Brisbane.
Here are the markets QBE is tipping to grow:
New South Wales
Newcastle: Total price growth of 15% forecast for 2014/2015 and 2015/2016, accelerating in the latter year as affordability in Sydney becomes more challenging and outward migration picks up. Minimal increases expected in 2016/2017, resulting in total growth of 17% over the three year horizon.
Illawarra: The local rental market is tight, with vacancy rates low. Price growth is expected to be 7% per annum over 2014/2015 and 2015/2016, with rises around 1% in 2016/2017, to a total of 16% over the three years.
Victoria
Ballarat: With growth below that of Geelong and Bendigo over 2013/2014, population growth has remained strong and vacancies tight. Prices are expected to rise by a total of 11% in the three years to 2016/2017.
Bendigo: A strong economic environment and the new $600 million Bendigo hospital is underpinning employment. As a result, 6% growth is forecast over 2014/2-15, although a progressive slowing will then occur. As of June 2017, the three year growth is expected to total 10%.
Queensland
Gold Coast: A total 15% growth is forecast for the three years to 2016/2017. This is on the back of prices down 16% from peak in real terms as of June 2013. A pick up in the construction sector, and infrastructure will help underpin growth.
Sunshine Coast: A total 14% increase is expected over the three year period on the back of the Sunshine Coast University Hospital, and strong intrastate and interstate migration.
Townsville: Vacancy rates increased over the past 12 months, with the median price dropping by 1% due to the impact of fiscal consolidation on jobs. However, conditions are expected to improve to a total 10% growth over the three years.
Cairns: Showing signs of a recovery, vacancy rates have tightened with a lack of supply coming onto the market. The median house price has already seen a 10% gain, and can expect a further 14% over the next three years as the tourism sector strengthens.
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