High-profile apartment defect cases have changed the way many NSW buyers approach purchasing, putting greater scrutiny on building quality, strata records and the parties behind a development before a contract is signed.

The industry buyers are assessing today, however, is also different from the one in which cases such as Opal Tower and Mascot Towers emerged.

NSW has introduced a series of regulatory measures aimed at strengthening oversight of apartment construction, including Building Commission NSW, the Residential Apartment Buildings Act 2020 and the Strata Building Bond and Inspections Scheme. Under the latter, developers are required to lodge a bond, with independent inspections forming part of the process for identifying defects in new strata developments.

Those changes provide another layer of protection, but they haven't removed the importance of buyer due diligence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

For purchasers considering an apartment, that means looking beyond the residence itself. Building and strata history, strata reports, the track record of the builder and developer, the condition of common property and any known or planned expenditure by the owners corporation can all form part of assessing a building before purchase.

Whether the development is already complete can also materially change what can be assessed.

An off-the-plan purchaser is necessarily buying before the finished product exists. A completed apartment, by comparison, can be walked through before contracts are signed, allowing the purchaser to see the finishes, common areas and broader building as they have actually been delivered rather than relying solely on plans and renders.

It also removes exposure to some of the uncertainties that exist between an off-the-plan purchase and completion, including construction delays, cost pressures and builder insolvency during the delivery period.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=927]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Projects by Equitifund</a> National Sales Director Ben Hamblett said that greater focus on tangible evidence is increasingly evident among apartment purchasers.

“The biggest shift we're seeing is buyers wanting proof, not promises,” Hamblett said.

“That's exactly why we deal in completed stock - you can inspect the building before you commit - and why we've backed every purchase with a cash bond against special levies.”

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> in Parramatta, that emphasis on a completed, inspectable product is already in place.

The 413-apartment, 46-level tower at 12 Phillip Street is being marketed by Projects by Equitifund, allowing prospective purchasers to inspect the residences, common areas and resident facilities before committing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=375255]

The Lennox also introduces another layer to the due-diligence conversation through Strata Surety.

The vendor-funded arrangement provides purchasers with a cash-backed bond held in their own solicitor's trust account from settlement. According to Equitifund, the bond covers any special levy raised during the applicable cover period and is provided at no cost to the purchaser.

Special levies can create an unexpected cost for apartment owners where an owners corporation needs funding beyond its existing strata contributions. Under NSW strata law, a special levy requires approval by owners at a general meeting.

Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said Strata Surety was designed to provide something more concrete than reassurance about that potential exposure.

“Buyers have every right to ask hard questions about strata risk - the industry has given them plenty of reasons to,” Huxley said.

“Our answer isn't a reassurance, it's a bond. Strata Surety puts real money behind that confidence, held by the buyer's own solicitor, not by us.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=375281]

For The Lennox, its completed status also means purchasers can assess not only the apartment itself, but a building that has already been occupied and operating for several years.

Completed in 2021, the $300 million development, designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, with open-plan living areas extending to private balconies. Interiors incorporate engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops and integrated appliances, while many upper-level residences have views across the river and surrounding district.

Its established amenity can similarly be inspected in operation. Resident facilities include the Watermark precinct with a 20-metre pool, outdoor terrace, barbecue areas, gym, fitness studio and conference room, while ground-floor retail addresses the river walk and surrounding public space.

The Lennox is also home to the Southern Hemisphere's first fully robotic residential car park, which has now operated for several years. Its nine-level basement combines three conventional parking levels with six automated levels, accommodating 327 vehicles using technology from German firm Lödige Industries.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

The riverfront address puts The Lennox close to much of central <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a>'s existing infrastructure, including Parramatta Station, Westfield Parramatta, Parramatta Park, and the Church Street dining precinct.

The remaining apartments form part of a limited release secured by Equitifund, following the sale of the majority of residences before and shortly after completion.

The regulatory environment around NSW apartment construction has changed considerably since the defect cases that reshaped public discussion around the sector. For purchasers, however, regulation is only one part of the equation. The ability to investigate a building's history, review its strata position and, where possible, inspect what has actually been delivered remains central to making an informed apartment purchase.

At The Lennox, its completed status provides that opportunity before contracts are signed, while Strata Surety adds a financial backstop against special levies beyond the protections already provided under NSW strata law.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

Joel Robinson

Buying with confidence: What NSW apartment buyers should check beyond the defect headlines

Too often, heritage buildings become the podium for a contemporary tower. At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/623-collins-607-623-collins-street-melbourne-vic-3000">623 Collins</a>, <a>Sterling Global</a> challenged its design team to reverse that process.

The brief to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> was deliberately simple: "Don't design around the heritage. Design from it." It became the philosophy behind a project that draws inspiration not only from two landmark heritage buildings, but from Collins Street itself, a street layered with architectural history and civic significance.

That philosophy has shaped one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melbourne-vic-3000">Melbourne</a> CBD's most considered residential projects, where the 1924 State Savings Bank and neighbouring Batman's Hill Hotel have become the architectural foundation for 623 Collins rather than remnants preserved beneath a new development.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=372749]

Rather than approaching the site as a blank canvas, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sterling-global">Sterling Global</a> saw the existing buildings as the beginning of the story.

"Sites like this rarely become available," the developer said.

"623 Collins wasn't simply an opportunity to develop a prominent CBD site. It was an opportunity to restore and reimagine one of Melbourne's important heritage landmarks while contributing to the continued evolution of Collins Street. For us, the existing buildings weren't constraints. They were the beginning of the story."

Instead of mimicking the ornate heritage architecture, Plus Studio studied the proportions, rhythm and craftsmanship of the original buildings before translating those characteristics into a contemporary 42-storey tower.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=372748]

"The brief challenged us to create a contemporary landmark that respected Melbourne's architectural history without becoming nostalgic," Plus Studio said.

"Rather than mimicking heritage, we sought to understand its proportions, rhythm and material language before translating those qualities into a distinctly contemporary architectural expression."

The practice says the State Savings Bank and Batman's Hill Hotel became the project's primary source of inspiration, allowing the heritage buildings and contemporary architecture to exist "in conversation rather than contrast." Generous planted terraces further soften the transition between old and new, creating elevated green spaces while reinforcing the dialogue between the restored podium and the contemporary tower.

That dialogue continues throughout the interiors, where Melbourne designer Fiona Lynch developed a material palette inspired by the idea of alchemy, balancing contrasting materials that reference both the Neo-Grec detailing of the original bank and contemporary urban living. The result is a series of spaces that feel timeless rather than trend-driven.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=354343]

The project will deliver 316 residences across four collections, Heirloom, Signature, Reserve and the Penthouse Collection, with each responding differently to its position within the building, from the restored heritage podium through to the upper levels of the tower. The Heirloom Residences retain defining heritage elements including original heritage windows, generous proportions and high ceilings, while the tower introduces contemporary homes with expansive layouts and elevated views.

Amenities have likewise been designed to support long-term city living rather than short-stay convenience. Residents will have access to concierge services, wellness facilities including a pool, cold plunge, sauna, steam room and gym, alongside private lounges, entertaining spaces and dedicated resident clubs.

Sterling Global says that approach is resonating with buyers seeking permanence rather than novelty.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=354347]

According to the sales team, purchasers are looking for enduring architecture, generous floorplans, heritage character and long-term value, with many commenting that 623 Collins "doesn't feel like another apartment development" because of the way the architecture has been curated around the site's history.

Situated on the prominent corner of Collins and Spencer streets, the project occupies one of Melbourne's most recognisable gateway sites, marking the western entrance to the city's best-known street. For Sterling Global, it also reflects a broader shift in city-making.

"Rather than maximising development yield, the project embraces adaptive reuse as a design philosophy, allowing heritage to inform architecture, interiors and the overall resident experience," the developer said.

"The result is a building that feels uniquely connected to Melbourne."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145324]

How Sterling Global designed 623 Collins from Melbourne's history

Avant Townhomes is adding to Ivanhoe’s family-sized housing options with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/three-82-ivanhoe-382-upper-heidelberg-road-ivanhoe-vic-3079">Three 82</a>, a collection of just 16 four-bedroom townhomes on Upper Heidelberg Road.

The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/intrapac-property">Intrapac Property</a> townhome division has taken a contemporary approach to the traditional family home, pairing larger floorplans with the lower-maintenance format of a townhouse.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152069 project_image_fid=374394]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/arcadia-studio">Arcadia</a>, with landscaping by Landsite, the homes feature generous open-plan living and dining areas that connect directly to outdoor spaces, with layouts also designed to maximise natural light and privacy.

Natural stone is used throughout the interiors, including in kitchens that pair stone surfaces with bespoke cabinetry, considered storage and SMEG appliances.

The four-bedroom layouts include built-in wardrobes and a main bedroom with its own ensuite, while family bathrooms service the additional bedrooms. Each home also includes a lock-up double garage and intercom entry.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152069 project_image_fid=374399]

Energy efficiency has been incorporated into the design through solar panels, double glazing and reverse-cycle heating and cooling, with the homes targeting 7-star energy ratings.

Rather than incorporating extensive communal facilities, Three 82 has been conceived around private residential amenity, with the 16-home scale keeping the focus on individual homes and their own indoor and outdoor spaces.

The development is located at 382 Upper Heidelberg Road, around one kilometre from Ivanhoe Village's cafés and retail and a short drive from Eaglemont Station and Ivanhoe Station.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152069 project_image_fid=374393]

Several of Ivanhoe's established schools are also nearby, including Ivanhoe Girls' Grammar and Ivanhoe Grammar School. The address also provides access to the suburb's parklands and the wider Yarra River corridor.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/nelson-alexander">Nelson Alexander</a> has been appointed to handle sales.

Construction is underway and progressing well, with Three 82 currently tracking toward completion in Q2 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152069]

Three 82 brings boutique four-bedroom townhome collection to Ivanhoe

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/graya">Graya</a> has secured a prime Newstead site from fellow developer Fraser, subsequently lodging plans for The Silo, a major mixed-use residential project in Newstead designed around a new public laneway linking the James Street precinct with the wider Gasworks and Newstead neighbourhood.

Proposed for the corner of Chester and Morse streets, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bureauproberts">Bureau^Proberts</a>-designed project places its strongest emphasis at ground level, where retail, landscaping and a new cobblestone pedestrian connection would open the site to the surrounding neighbourhood. The design team describes The Silo as “more than a residential building”, positioning the development as an extension of Newstead’s public realm rather than a standalone apartment tower.

“A new cobblestone laneway and landscaped connection between James Street and Gasworks unlock a missing pedestrian link, improving walkability and stitching together two of Brisbane’s significant urban destinations,” Bureau Proberts said in its Urban Design Report.

<img alt="First look: Graya plans The Silo as new pedestrian link between James Street and Gasworks" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0ea1b06a-75f5-40a5-b2c5-33c97bc86052" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/silo%20bldg.png?VersionId=KmjsAtNePu57_B31EM_DJ5T6KPJHtcmo" />

The Silo is planned as a mixed-use development incorporating apartments alongside a bar and centre activities including food and drink outlets, indoor sport and recreation, office and retail uses.

Architecturally, Bureau Proberts has conceived the building as a collection of vertically expressed, stepping forms rather than a single uniform tower. The composition rises from an articulated podium before being broken by a triple-height landscaped recreation level, with the upper section becoming more compact before terminating in a landscaped rooftop garden.

The project's name and architectural language draw directly from Newstead's industrial history. Patterned off-form concrete is proposed as the principal façade material, complemented by slender metal rod balustrades and extensive planting. The cylindrical and vertically ribbed elements give the building its silo-like expression, while curved balconies and planted edges introduce a softer subtropical layer.

“The Silo reinterprets its robust forms, scale and materiality through a contemporary subtropical architectural expression, creating a building that acknowledges its industrial legacy, while responding to the way the precinct is occupied today,” Bureau^Proberts said.

The recreation level is one of the defining breaks in the tower. Plans include a lap pool, mature subtropical planting and shared resident facilities within an elevated communal garden. Landscaping continues through the podium and onto the rooftop, where a further garden forms what the architects describe as a “subtropical crown” to the building.

<img alt="First look: Graya plans The Silo as new pedestrian link between James Street and Gasworks" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="f8451036-35a4-49a9-8d88-2ef4438eba3d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Silo%20Lane.png?VersionId=h8N31_rYmCEqoNrpt4kbYVQhJGZn60LH" />

At street level, the development has been designed to establish a more permeable block. Retail and hospitality tenancies address the public realm, while landscaped pedestrian spaces lead into the new laneway connection. Renders in the design report show the proposed “Silo Lane” as a substantial opening through the podium, framed by cylindrical concrete forms with cascading planting above.

The Silo continues Graya's move into larger apartment developments after building its reputation across high-end residential projects in Brisbane and the Gold Coast.

Graya buys Frasers Newstead site, plans The Silo between James Street and Gasworks precincts

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/wickton">Wickton</a>’s completed Linacre Rise development in Hampton is giving Bayside downsizers the opportunity to move into a spacious apartment near the beach, with the developer covering stamp duty for a limited time.

The 27-residence development has been designed for buyers who want to simplify their living arrangements without giving up the space, warmth and quality associated with a long-term family home. Most apartments have already been secured by Bayside locals, leaving a select collection of two and three-bedroom residences and penthouses available.

Two-bedroom apartments are priced from $1.275 million, three-bedroom residences from $2.25 million and penthouses from $3.375 million, with the completed homes available to inspect and move into now.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=95289 project_image_fid=366760]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/linacre-rise-hampton-8-10-linacre-road-hampton-vic-3188">Linacre Rise</a> occupies an elevated position on one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/hampton-vic-3188">Hampton</a>’s quiet, tree-lined streets, around 250 metres from the bay and 500 metres from Hampton’s village centre. Its setting gives residents access to the beach, local cafés, shops and Hampton Train Station while retaining the feel of an established residential neighbourhood.

Architecture and interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a> draw on the warmth and permanence of traditional brickwork, with the building integrated into terraced landscaping by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/john-patrick-landscape-architects">John Patrick</a>. Ground-floor apartments are elevated above the street and include private garden courtyards, while several upper-level residences have generous balconies and outlooks toward the bay.

Inside, the residences favour natural materials and generous proportions. Herringbone-pattern European oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, premium joinery and Swiss V-ZUG appliances are among the key inclusions, while integrated storage has been incorporated across kitchens, bathrooms, studies and living areas.

The kitchens have been planned as practical spaces for both everyday use and entertaining, with substantial island benches, detailed cabinetry and adjoining dining and living zones. Full-height wardrobes, plush bedroom carpeting and carefully considered lighting reinforce the residential character Wickton sought to retain for buyers moving from larger homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=95289 project_image_fid=366769]

A Linacre Rise purchaser said the completed apartment had delivered the space, outlook and construction quality they had been seeking.

“The unit is very light, has views to die for over the bay, all construction materials and fittings are premium quality, we have secure parking for three cars, EV charging at very competitive rates, the neighbours are friendly and there is just a lovely ambiance about the place,” the purchaser said.

Environmental features include solar panels, shared electric vehicle charging stations, rainwater harvesting for toilet flushing and landscape irrigation, double-glazed windows and water-efficient fixtures and appliances.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=95289 project_image_fid=366762]

The development was built by Balmain &amp; Co, with Wickton managing the broader development process through its in-house team.

For downsizers, the project’s completed status removes much of the uncertainty associated with buying off the plan. Purchasers can inspect the finished apartments, understand their outlook and proportions, and move in without waiting for construction to conclude.

The remaining selection includes north-oriented balconies, corner configurations and penthouses with elevated bay views. The developer-paid stamp duty initiative is available for a limited time, with potential savings of up to $200,000 depending on the residence purchased.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=95289]

Limited-time stamp duty offer at completed Linacre Rise apartments in Hampton

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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Last Thursday, an article by Mercedes Rueh highlighted the emerging trend of hubs and co-working spaces in Melbourne and other Australian capital cities.
What you need to take away from the article is that the nature of work is changing. And therefore, creating new opportunities for you and other commercial property investors, who are flexible and forward thinking.
What are co-working hubs?
Co-working spaces are shared offices with most of the facilities that you would find in a normal office — such as wi-fi access, audio visual equipment, coffee machines.
They can be large open working spaces with tables, or split into larger and smaller rooms. It just depends on the style and preference of the users for the space.
Individual and groups workers are able to rent space for hourly, daily, weekly or monthly fees or set monthly fees.
You are starting to find these hub facilities popping up in most Australian capital cities.
Who actually uses shared work-spaces?
Co-working spaces are the first choice for many 'bootstrapping' start-ups because they offer the features of a normal offices space with lower costs. But it is not just small start-ups using this hub format.
Deloitte, AMP Capital, the NSW government, the GPT Group and CBRE are just a few of the companies experimenting with dynamic work spaces.
These spaces are becoming more popular because they foster creativity, collaboration and community which benefit employees and managers.
The demand for co-working spaces is only increasing — as office workers, specifically Gen Y, demand work that is more flexible and engaging.
What does this mean for landlords?
The uses of commercial property are changing in many ways. And the emerging co-working trend offers you the opportunity to add value to your properties.
At the end of an existing lease, or when a tenant vacates — you could clear out an older office building floor. Then refurbish the office with as a modern co-working space.
The secret then lies in securing one of the emerging, more-progressive corporates. Or a single "entrepreneurial" head tenant, who will then assume responsibility for arranging and coordinating all the smaller users.
Bottom line is if you simply allow yourself think outside the box and recognise emerging trends in the commercial property market you'll always be able to find opportunities to significantly add value to your older portfolio.
 
<hr>
 Chris Lang is an advisor to commercial property investors, sell-out author and regular speaker on how to invest in commercial property. 
 
You can visit his website <a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" href="https://property-edge.com.au/">Property Edge Australia</a> to help you get the most out of your commercial property investing.
 
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chrislang-EQKojcgJPV

Breathing life back into your old office: Chris Lang

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A hotspot report can be a good way to start thinking about locations where property prices are likely to rise over the coming years.
They will also provide information about demographics, infrastructure, amenities and the type of properties to consider within a “hotspot”location to help guide your thinking.
But you should not rely on hotspot reports alone and certainly not assume that capital growth is guaranteed.
As highlighted by hotspotting.com.au’s Terry Ryder, there i sno such thing as a “bulletproof” suburb.
To make sure your decisions are based on solid facts the key is research, research, research.
Read absolutely anything and everything about the property market in your chosen area.
Extract information from friends and family who have residential holdings. Track sale prices against original asking prices using local papers and residential listings websites.
What is the sales history of the property and its neighbours?
The internet has enabled buyers to be better informed than everbefore, and for free.
You may also consider purchasing an independent report on a suburb or street from the likes of RP Data, Residex or Australian Property Monitors.
 
<hr>
This article is from Property Observer's free ebook <a href="/guides/free-ebook-top-10-property-investment-tips">Top 10 Property Investment Tips</a>
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

Get tips from hotspot reports, but do your own due diligence and research

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By the close of business today, thousands of people will have queued around 20 big, flashy Apple shops across the country and smaller telco outlets like Telstra’s shops to look at and then buy a new Apple iPhone 5.
The hundreds of thousands of dollars they will spend today and into the following weeks will be money that won’t be spent in other retail outlets or activities.
And earlier this week, as many of us with teenagers will know, Grand Theft Auto V came out. It sold a record $US800 million worth in the first 24 hours in the US and Europe. Yes, $800 million! That’s more than all but the biggest Hollywood blockbuster movies make. Oh and by the way, new gaming consoles are coming from Microsoft and Sony later in the year. They’ll be accompanied by a new Call of Duty title. Expect similar numbers to GTA V —?except the main interest in CoD titles is online multiplayer gaming, for which you need not only a quality broadband connection but also an Xbox or PlayStation subscription. In the June quarter, Microsoft earned US$1.7 billion from Xbox Live points.
And by the close of business today, millions of dollars will have flown into the bank accounts of Westpac, CBA and their peers from millions of mortgage owners who are repaying their home loans faster than they have to. That’s part of the continuing deleveraging trend as bank deposits soar while consumers and especially home owners save, save, save, instead of spend, spend, spend, which in turn has confused retailers and others in government.
These are all reasons why big retailers?—?Solly Lew and the hands-on Mark McInnes at Premier Investment, Bernie Brookes at Myer, Gerry Harvey and so on?—?will continue to whinge about how tough they’re doing it. Retail in Australia is changing, and the change is clobbering their business models. And the change isn’t just the switch to online purchasing, GST-exempt services and food, as we’ve so often explained.
The spending on smartphones, not to mention the apps that you can buy for them (worth <a href="https://techcrunch.com/2013/09/19/gartner-102b-app-store-downloads-globally-in-2013-26b-in-sales-17-from-in-app-purchases/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">US$26.7 billion in revenue this year</a>), diverts revenue from existing shops and services into fast-growing areas of consumption dominated not by traditional retailers but by emerging retailers like Apple and telcos. Although iPods and mobile phones have been around for a decade or more, it’s only with the advent of the iPhone (and smartphones generally) and tablets that the sector has grown enormously. Moreover, it’s telcos that manage the accounts of smartphone owners, which sucks  billions of dollars more out of the domestic economy that a decade ago would have been available to be spent on consumable items and services.
Solomon Lew has locked himself out of this trend completely, preferring to concentrate on stay in clothing and apparel. That has hurt his group’s sales and profits, but Lew refuses to acknowledge that, preferring to blame online GST-free purchases from offshore, or bad management by the former ALP federal government.
Meantime, other new product categories have emerged that also have a significant diversionary effect. Gaming has long been dismissed as trivial and juvenile, but the numbers show it is a major entertainment product with, as the Xbox Live revenue shows, an ongoing revenue stream even between major event titles like GTA and CoD.Those titles do need to be physically purchased at an outlet, whether it’s a games store (a retail form that is going the way of the video store) or more likely an outlet like JB Hi-Fi. A rapidly growing segment of gaming is entirely online, purchased via outlets like Steam, despite the blatant gouging of Australians customers that game manufacturers engage in.
A key feature of these new categories is that they are based offshore. We don’t make or design smartphones here, and we don’t produce blockbuster video games, or game consoles. In fact, we don’t produce many entrepreneurs who have the smarts to develop new product categories at all. That means that the stronger the currency, the bigger the impact on traditional retail of these new categories. And right now, with the dollar regaining some of the recent and welcome fall in value, that means things will continue to worsen for retailers.
At least buying a game or an iPhone in Australia will generate GST revenue, if not enough for WA Premier Colin Barnett’s liking (Prime Minister Tony Abbott this morningagain ruled out altering the GST despite Barnett’s plea yesterday). But mortgage prepayments and rising bank deposits (up $125 billion in the year to June) means more diversion: money is being saved and not spent on products and services that attract GST. Some of us remember the 1980s when Australians were continually lectured to save more, or even the early part of last decade when our very low savings rate was said to be a cause of concern. Now the government hopes to knock our prudence and caution out of us so we spend more.
According to APRA figures there are about 4.8 million mortgages on issue in Australia, with around a third of those (1.6 million) held by investors who have a vested interest in not repaying their loans faster than they should because their investment is tax driven. The remaining mortgages are held by owner-occupiers, and upwards of 60% of these are repaying their mortgages faster than they should.
Yesterday, the RBA provided more evidence of the impact of this faster pace of repayments, with <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2013/sep/pdf/bu-0913-4.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">a research paper</a> revealing that between 50 and 90% of the 2.25 percentage points of rate cuts since late 2011 have been used for faster than normal mortgage payments. The RBA says this has cut credit growth for home lending by around 0.8% (which is equal to two months of nominal growth at the moment.
Credit growth in the year to July was 4.6%, up from 4.4% a couple of months ago. The 0.8% impact from the prepayments would have pushed growth to around 5.5%. The RBA researchers say that assuming no more changes interest rates, the impact of the high level of prepayments on credit growth will peak at 1% in 2014.
Traditional retailers might be better off thinking about why they’ve been left behind by consumption and savings trends, rather than begging for assistance. There’s?—?for once?—?<a href="https://www.afr.com/p/opinion/us_federal_reserve_to_test_tony_SM5erLtkJQzvBPZivtyu8M" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">a very good editorial </a>in the Australian Financial Review today suggesting that the best response to a strong currency isn’t to try to prop up industries like car manufacturing. “Australian business cannot depend on the Reserve Bank to dull the pain of a high dollar by cutting interest rates lower and lower,” the Fin concluded. Absolutely. And that applies as much to retailers as to manufacturers?—?or state governments such as Western Australia, which wants the rest of Australia to bail it out via a higher GST.

<hr>
This article first appeared on <a href="https://www.crikey.com.au/" rel="nofollow">Crikey</a>.
 
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Grand Theft Retail: Why traditional retailers will continue doing it tough

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Location, location, location. The age old real estate mantra should not just apply to where you live. Choosing the right location should be a key element of any good business strategy.
The location you choose for your business is critical in positioning your brand, while a good choice in location will be vital in attracting and retaining the best staff.
But don't be enticed to a premium location if it doesn't match your brand. Alternatively, don’t be put off by the cost of a premium location until you’ve done your due diligence and understood the benefits it can bring to your business.  A premium location may retain good staff, so ultimately cut down on your recruiting and training budgets.
Having a clear understanding of your business strategy and how your organisation sits in its market environment are the first steps to choosing your location.  Here are a few tips to consider when that all important choice has to be made:
Position it right and talent will follow
 In order to attract a steady supply of the right people to your business, you need to consider the type of person you wish to attract, their ages, qualifications, salary expectations and where they live.  Once you have a clear understanding of their profile, choose a location which will appeal to them. 
Keep competition close
 In most countries and cities there are clear geographic clusters for certain types of organisations. Employees move between these organisations and become accustomed to the geography.
 
What location tells your clients
 Where do your potential clients expect you to be? A company's physical address sends market signals that should be in tune with your branding and convey the appropriate stature and size to your target market.
 
Be easy to work with
Look at the type of business you are in and where work is carried out. Some businesses need their sales or support personnel to be based according to their clients' geographies. Major call centres are often located in proximity to major telecommunications hubs.
 
Catch talent with an easy commute
Consider where your preferred talent are likely to reside, then ensure that you choose a location that is as easy commute.
Don’t expect staff to walk for a sandwich
Amenity covers a wide range of considerations, from convenient and affordable parking, to cafes and bars, retail, banking and other services.
 
There's safety in numbers
With longer working hours the norm for many organisations, the relative risks involved in making it safely into one's car, bus or train when leaving the workplace after dark do impact on people's employment decisions.
 
Pay only for what you need
Do you actually need a physical office presence? Some organisations may be able to operate successfully on a largely virtual basis, with team members working from their homes, co working sites or clients' sites. Where previously staff needed to work in a central office to be able to access records and equipment, this is no longer the case. However, for many organisations a central office fulfils important collaborative, social, cultural/brand and other requirements.
<hr>
David McEwen is a workplace strategy consultant with <a href="https://www.colliers.com.au/?" target="_parent">Colliers International</a>.
 
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Office location – what does it mean for your business? David McEwen

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On Thursday 5 March 2009, the Bank of England announced a cut in the official bank rate from 1.00% to 0.50%. This followed a rapid series of cuts in response to the impacts of the sub-prime fallout from 5.75% in July 2007.

The Bank of England has not cut interest rates any further since that time for 0.50% is effectively the 'zero bound' in the UK. We are heading towards five years later, so is there a chance of rates rising soon? Gradually people are beginning to think so as the economy improves, although Governor Carney recently announced guidance suggesting that rates could be stuck at 0.50% for three more years.
Down under, Australian government bond yields and spreads have ticked up in recent months, suggesting that the bottom of our own interest rate cycle may be closing in on us some time in the next year.
<img alt="Spread between Australian 10-year bond Yield and the Cash Rate graph" height="277" src="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/images/18-22-interest-rates/20tl-10ycrau-small.gif?accessed=2013-09-21-15-31-18" width="320" style="padding: 5px; border: 1px solid #ebebeb; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;">
Elsewhere, government bond yields have ticked up, although US yields received a blow after the 'no taper' announcement from the Federal Reserve this week.
<img alt="10-year Government Bond Yields graph" height="261" src="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/images/18-22-interest-rates/19br-10yg3-small.gif?accessed=2013-09-21-15-31-18" width="320" style="padding: 5px; border: 1px solid #ebebeb; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;">
The UK is by no means unique in its application of a zero interest rate policy (ZIRP). In the US interest rates have been stuck at rock bottom since late 2008. Even in Australia, where we have not experienced a recession in more than 20 years, the cash rate has fallen sharply to only 2.50%.
<img alt="Australian Cash Rate graph" height="272" src="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/images/18-22-interest-rates/18bl-cr-small.gif?accessed=2013-09-21-15-11-11" width="320" style="padding: 5px; border: 1px solid #ebebeb; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 18px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;">
In fact, take a look at other advanced economies - very low interest rate policies since the onset of the global financial crisis:
<img alt="Policy Interest Rates – Advanced Economies graph" height="272" src="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/images/18-22-interest-rates/18br-pradv-small.gif?accessed=2013-09-21-15-11-11" width="320" style="padding: 5px; border: 1px solid #ebebeb; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 18px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;">
Inflation is a risk in some emerging markets and policy interest rates have tended to remain some way higher:
<img alt="Policy Interest Rates – Emerging Markets Asia graph" height="268" src="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/images/18-22-interest-rates/19tl-prasia-small.gif?accessed=2013-09-21-15-11-11" width="320" style="padding: 5px; border: 1px solid #ebebeb; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 18px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;">
A new era?
This week the Federal Reserve in the US threw markets a curve-ball by announcing that it would not yet be tapering back its monetary stimulus, leading commentators to observe that the US economy is "addicted to stimulus".
There are some who now believe that rather than developed countries raising and lowering interest rates to stimulate or cool their respective economies, central banks will instead switch quantitative easing (QE) - the 'printing' of money' - on and off, in order to achieve the same outcomes.
Will this prove true? Well, in the short-term this might well be the case. But over the long term, history tells us that the direction and behaviour of interest rates are by no means predictable
During the Great Depression and after World War II the world saw periods where interest rates fell low and many felt that developed economies might never escape from their downward spiral and low rates. Yet by the 1980s inflation was raging and interest rates were instead spiralling upwards to 20% in the US, 15% in Australia and 15% in the UK.
What we can do about it?
In short, the defence against excessive monetary stimulus is to hold income-producing assets which represent a good inflation hedge - shares and well-located property. There is a lot of focus on whether share markets are 'higher' or 'lower' than where they were five years ago. Some markets, such as the S&amp;P 500 are at 'record highs'; the ASX 200 (XJO) index chart in Australia sits below where it was before the financial crisis:
<img height="220" src="https://hfgapps.hubb.com/asxtools/imageChart.axd?s=xjo&amp;pi=Index&amp;ct=3&amp;tf=M10&amp;ovs=&amp;si=Code%20not%20supplied&amp;tima1=0&amp;tima2=0&amp;bi=2&amp;bima=0&amp;comt=index&amp;ds=xjo&amp;dovs=0&amp;ex=ASX&amp;ex2=ASX&amp;val=1&amp;stmp=20130922004134601" width="320" style="padding: 5px; border: 1px solid #ebebeb; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;">
Source: ASX
What this overlooks is that equities are an income asset and therefore when tax-favoured dividends are included in returns, Aussie shares are also at all time highs and continue to represent a proven inflation-busting asset class. <img alt="ScreenHunter_65 Sep. 20 10.16" height="234" src="https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/ScreenHunter_65-Sep.-20-10.16.gif" width="320" style="padding: 5px; border: 1px solid #ebebeb; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;">
If there is a risk of ongoing monetary stimulus, rock-bottom interest rates continuing and inflation hitting the economy, this simply makes it all the more important to have a better plan than just having cash in a bank account. 
<hr>
Pete Wargent is the co-founder of <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="https://allenwargent.com/">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/">blogger</a>.
His new book '<a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' was released on 1 September 2013.
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Are we on the cusp of a low interest rates era? Pete Wargent

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Our Friday poll found that the majority of respondents are looking to purchase in the $300,000 to $400,000 bracket, further suggesting that they may be pushing up against first home buyers.
With 26.9% of readers pointing to the $300,000 to $400,000 bracket, and 62.7% looking to purchase under $500,000 in total, it looks like investors will be driving the affordable bracket.
<img alt="poll-results-sept-23" height="320" width="470" src="/images/stories/2013/09/23/poll-results-sept-23.jpg">
With investors pouring into the market, and talks of prices rising substantially in some capitals, it’s no wonder that first time buyers are starting to feel the heat.
Of course, there are two waves of thought here. One goes along the lines of ‘get in now before everything jumps in value and prices you out’, while another perspective is ‘wait until there isn’t any competition in the market’.
Similarly, if you’re sitting on a 5% deposit, then the temptation to hold off of entering can be strong.
In fact, investors have <a href="/news">recently been blamed for first home buyer woes</a>, and SQM Research announced that<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finance/first-home-buyers-priced-out-of-the-market/2013092265179?utm_source=po&amp;utm_medium=aida&amp;utm_campaign=news" target="_blank"> first time buyers are already getting priced out</a> of the market.
All this comes at a time when markets are heating up.
 
{module Should first time buyers be holding off or jumping into the market now?}
 
 
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Should first time buyers purchase now?

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I was fortunate enough to attend the SQM seminar last week as Louis Christopher – one of the most well respected voices in the real estate industry for his balanced assessment of market data – presented a state by state rundown of projected activity over 2014.
<a target="_blank" href="#https://www.sqmresearch.com.au/capitalcitiesreports.php">Louis predicts</a> Sydney’s established housing market will see a 15-20% ‘rapid rise’ over the course of 2014, highlighting the middle suburbs in particular to capture the overflow of demand, as inner city development constraints force consumers outwards.  
There’s been plenty of talk regarding housing affordability and the very real risk associated with an unsustainable boom in values, with some claiming – based in part on our low interest rate environment – that any mention of a concern is a mere myth.  
When asked from an audience member at the seminar if first home buyers were being crowded out of Sydney, Louis concluded they were – and indeed it would be hard to deny.  
Investor activity has dominated the Australian property market over the last 12 months or so.  Banks are bidding for buyers in a highly competitive environment, and the lion’s share of mortgage demand is being eaten up between investors and upgraders.  
A third of all new loans are with loan to value ratios of more than 80%, and 40% are on interest only terms.  Clearly investors are speculating on a continued pattern of price gains from an already high plateau – an ambitious projection.  
Under the existing financial system, inevitably, it’s none other than rising debt that fuels accelerated growth.  However, <a target="_blank" href="#https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2013/09/charting-the-australian-first-home-buyer-retreat/">since March 2009</a>, whilst the average first homebuyer mortgage has increased by only 1.4%, the mortgage for the market as a whole has grown by 7.9%.  
Meanwhile, first home buyers have seen their savings eroded, and as the latest ABS housing finance data outlines, wishful thinking that rising yields are pushing greater numbers into the market, has had scant effect.  
According to research by <a target="_blank" href="https://www.ratecity.com.au/">Rate City</a>, “first home buyers now account for just 11% of home loan commitments. This is below the 20 year average of 15% and has not been this low since 2004.” And whilst interest rates on their own can have little impact on price rises or falls in the near term – a long period of low rates and the dependency it invokes, can be dangerous in inelastic areas of limited supply.  
Current competition coupled with pent up demand, has done little more than push values further out of reach of a genuine entry buyer demographic.  And as complex as it may be to slowly unpick the current distortions that tie up the established market and hamper construction, the implications of not doing so, are potentially worst over the longer term.  
No one should be fooled by the rhetoric from various industry commentators concluding current inflationary gains are of no concern. Hence why we are seeing a conundrum in central banks across the globe employing "precautionary policy activism” in an attempt to cool asset inflation without hampering the broader economy by raising rates.  
<a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/news/new-zealand-rba-announces-restrictions-on-mortgage-lending-for-borrowers-with-less-than-a-20-deposit/2013082064388">In New Zealand in particular it’s a point of concern</a> and not just a localised issue. House prices currently sit at record highs, with the government property valuer ‘QV’ residential index showing gains of 8.5% in the 12-month period ending August 30.  
As reporter for real estate news on Sky Business 602, Iggy Damiani pointed out to me last week that Australian banks' ownership of New Zealand’s 'big four', place them in a precarious position - currently having the highest exposure to residential mortgages in the world. Therefore asset gains, which outpace both wage growth and inflation, must be addressed.  
Even assuming low rates are assisting first home buyers, saving a deposit and sourcing a suitably affordable property is no easy task for a demographic who are often burdened with a hangover of student debt, and, in many cases, can’t conceivably buy in until they partner with a second income earner.  
With this in mind, it must be pondered what the effect will be when rates do inevitably rise, considering our household debt to income ratio remains stubbornly high, at around 148%.  
Property to some extent connects together like a flowchart. Supply is fed in from the bottom to allow those upgrading (and then downsizing) a ready market to sell into in order to make the move.  
However, when investors predominantly negatively gear into the asset class most favoured by first home buyers – inevitably resulting in inflated established property values – and the state government fails to come to the party with feasible affordable alternatives, our property wheel of upgrading and downsizing risks stagnation.  
In the near term, heated investor activity may keep everyone dancing, however over the longer term we’re losing a valuable demographic of property buyer, which will no doubt have a flow-on effect across the property chain as a whole.  
As these changes push through the generation gap, it’s fair to assess, increasing numbers will retire whist still factoring as short-term renters.  
Investors tend to hold property for extended periods of time in order to build equity – many choose to invest as part of their self-managed super funds and subsequently do not sell until retirement. Therefore the ready supply, which usually comes from initial homebuyers selling and upgrading, will start to slow.  
 
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
Additionally, we have the first world problem of an aging population creating future headwinds across the economy, with <a target="_blank" href="https://archive.treasury.gov.au/igr/igr2010/report/pdf/IGR_2010.pdf">government intergenerational reports</a> forecasting the already reducing workforce participation rate, to drop to around 60% by 2050.  
Considering the predominant home buying activity takes place within the ages of 22-44, it seems reasonable to assume that there’ll eventually be proportionally greater demand from those downsizing as we progress through these buyer type changes.  
However, if the flow-on home buyer effect doesn’t follow through, the mismatch of household size comparable to property type will continue to stagnate our property buying and selling terrain, further tying down supply in the areas most want and need to reside – areas within easy commutable distance to city suburbs, jobs and essential amenities such as schools, hospitals, doctors, public transport systems and so forth.  
Therefore, the last thing we should be doing, is advocating the spruik that rising property prices are somehow good for the economy having a supposed flow on effect into retail spending, which in itself is currently not producing the desired result.  First home buyers may head out to purchase white goods and furniture for their new abode, but our investment sector certainly won’t.  
Additionally, choices are limited in a market that has been turned into a speculative terrain.  
If we were building homes that were viable for first home buyers to gain a foothold which would not only maintain consistent market demand in order to upgrade, but also provide feasible accommodation for this demographic to settle for an adequate period of time, then having an investor-dominated inner-city terrain could perhaps be balanced somewhat so as not to affect the stagnated flow of the home buyer chain.  
However, the new home options are either limited to outer-suburban estates lacking in infrastructure, which is an essential component needed at the start of each project if we’re to lure home buyers outwards, or alternatively, inner-city high-density low grade developments.  
Our census data already demonstrates that most lone person households are tottering around in accommodation that’s far too big for their requirements. Building an abundance of one-bedroom apartments therefore won’t suffice; only 14% of the total single person households of all ages opt for one-bedroom units.  We instead need a wider diversity of options, in particular, accommodation suited to families - with the decrease of ownership for this demographic showing a fall from 79.5% in 2006 to 77.2% in 2011.  
<a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/residential/why-investor-activity-is-causing-our-property-markets-to-stagnate-catherine-cashmore/2013021759370">As I’ve mentioned previously</a>, the percentage of investor-owned apartments in both Darwin and Brisbane falls close to 70% – and in the other capitals, it comes in between 60 and 70%.  
And whilst this generation of existing investors may continue to enjoy short-term speculative gains of the oft quoted property cycle, since when did the future of the first home buyer market become ours to erode?  
I’ve assisted numerous first home buyers and renters over the past few years, and it’s no exaggeration many perceive the capital price of property and the risks associated with taking on a greater proportion of debt a potential liability. For those who argue based on textbook analysis that property is not over priced, I suggest they change their frame of reference. There may be historical logic behind the long-term growth in values, but this doesn’t change the consequence; it is both over priced and under supplied.  
Therefore, pressure on the rental market is unlikely to ease in the near to far future, with ABS data showing almost two-thirds of new residents from overseas are long-term property renters along with half new residents from within Australia who also class themselves within the same bracket.  
Furthermore, economic conditions such as wage growth, unemployment, consumer confidence and frequent changes of work placements all reduce the likelihood of a strengthening owner-occupier market over the next decade.  
Current policy is built around the general assumption that renting is a step on the road to ownership. However, unless the trend takes an about turn, tomorrow’s generation will hold a growing percentage of residents for which renting is for life, and as such, we also need to consider their welfare.  
Policy should be steered towards the creation of a fairer partnership between owner and renter.  This would include longer terms of tenancy, protection from exorbitant rent rises coupled with enforcement of basic standards of accommodation in both the private and public sector.  
As it stands, in the rental market, and the property buying/selling market short termism dominates.  No surprise, as we’re governed by those who derive personal and political benefit from the existing system, polling for the popular vote from home owners and investors; pinned to our flawed debt based financial system that relies on an ever inflating future to under-pin existing gains.  
 
<hr>
 Catherine Cashmore is a market analyst with extensive experience in all aspects relating to property acquisition.
 
     
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The future of the first home buyer should not be ours to erode: Catherine Cashmore

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Sceptical though I am about reading too much into short-term data, RP Data's Daily Home Value Index is always entertaining and is showing some strong indications of property price rises.
It's also worth noting that all property types within a city do not move in a harmonious manner as statistics at the macro level might seem to imply.
And in fact, Melbourne is perhaps a prime example of a city with property markets with deviating prospects (high rise inner-city stock and remote fringe suburbs may fare less well than quality dwellings in landlocked middle suburbs, for example).
<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Z8spfTDNuDc/UjpDVXEPL2I/AAAAAAAAKSY/swTy_a3uy0c/s1600/RPD.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="text-decoration: none; color: #7f7f7f; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="238" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Z8spfTDNuDc/UjpDVXEPL2I/AAAAAAAAKSY/swTy_a3uy0c/s400/RPD.jpg" width="400" style="border: 1px solid #ebebeb; position: relative; padding: 5px; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"></a>
Source: RP Data
Dwelling prices in Melbourne are reported as being up by 6.87% quarter on quarter, with I find remarkable, although the gains year on year are notably less dramatic at 5.70%.
As for Sydney, it's equally remarkable to think that as recently as the first week of June commentators were talking about prices possibly being in a downtrend (they quite obviously weren't) due to an instantaneous negative consumer response to the budget.
Since June 9, Sydney's dwelling prices are also reported as being up by more than 7%, disproving the theory.
The numbers for the last quarter aren't really backing me up here, but my gut feeling is that Sydney has stronger fundamentals than Melbourne at this point in time.
What about elsewhere? There is talk of slowing jobs growth in Perth as the mining boom shifts away from construction and towards production. Prices remain up very strongly year on year, but gains seem to have slowed up.
There appear to be tentative signs of life in Brisbane and perhaps better days ahead for the sunshine state it would seem.
The only city where prices remain below where they were a year ago is Adelaide, although with interest rates looking to be locked at bargain basement levels for some time to come, moderate rises would surely be on the cards.
Whether or not the city can recapture its previous peaks of 2010 only time will tell.
<img alt="Dwelling Prices graph" src="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/images/5-6-household-sector/6bl-dwelpri-small.gif?accessed=2013-09-19-01-27-29" style="padding: 5px; border: 1px solid #ebebeb; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 18px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;">
 
<hr>
Pete Wargent is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.
His new book '<a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' was released on 1 September 2013.
 
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What's happening to Melbourne dwelling prices? Pete Wargent

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Last week, Louis Christopher from SQM Research declared the “Sydney though is turning into a beast unto itself. We have a strong conviction that the ABS will record 15% to 20% house price rises next year for that city. Such a rise will create a large dilemma for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), especially if the national economy is running below average growth.”

What a bold announcement given he left out what will actually influence this price proliferation. Even more remarkable is that Sydney consists of approximately 650 suburbs – so what a huge call!
This then prompted the dialogue to move to the words “boom and bubble.” Personally, I believe the word bubble is best left to describing champagne given the Sydney property market has been defying analysts for decades. Over the global financial crisis Mosman property prices fell up to 30% – smaller at the lower end and much greater at the top – end. So projected increases of 15 to 20% would realign the market back to where it was in 2007.
If you really want to look when Sydney had its last (what I call property boom) cast your mind back to 1988 – when the bubbles were really popping as Australia celebrated its bicentenary – in that case under the influence.
Prices rocketed by 75% to 100% which then led to the “recession we had to have”. When I look back to 1988 I can identify just five agents in Mosman who were selling back then of which Steve and I, nearly make up half. The cash rate back in 1988 varied from 13.50% to 15.00%. In 2004, we had another buoyant market with the cash rate remaining stable at 7.50% and again in 2007 where the cash rate bounced from 6.25% to 6.75%. One would not need to be a genius to see that with a cash rate of 2.50% eventually (despite ongoing conflicting global influences) we will see a stronger return back to bricks and mortar.
<a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessspectator.com.au/article/2013/9/18/economy/housing-bubble-you-bewdy">Alan Kohler wrote last week</a> “investing in property is a no-brainer at the moment. Prices have bottomed, auction clearance rates are on fire, especially in Sydney, and you can get a fixed rate of 4.8% with 100% gearing, 70% in your super fund.” The dominant players in the current market are definitely the investors with an insatiable diet for apartments.
<img style="margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px; outline-width: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; max-width: 100%; display: block;" height="333" width="470" src="https://www.rwm.com.au/files/2013/09/17-09-2013-12-55-56-PM.jpg" alt="17-09-2013 12-55-56 PM" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-8196">
This week marked the fifth anniversary of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/world-business/the-day-lehman-brothers-hit-the-canvas-and-stayed-down-20130913-2tqbg" title="The day Lehman Brothers hit the canvas and stayed down ">the day Lehman Brothers hit the canvas and stayed down </a>which destroyed the modern theory that banks can’t go broke.
Of greater influence <a target="_blank" href="https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/09/5-years-later-weve-learned-nothing-from-the-financial-crisis/279506/" title="5 Years Later, We’ve Learned Nothing From The Financial Crisis">five years later, we’ve learned nothing from the financial crisis</a> which then fuels speculation – <a target="_blank" href="https://www.theage.com.au/business/world-business/why-the-financial-crisis-could-return-20130913-2tqbh" title="why the financial crisis could return.">why the financial crisis could return.</a>
When we look at what’s influencing the top-end of the Mosman market our RWM Research can reveal that over the last twelve months there have been twenty sales over $5 million. Of those twenty sales Chinese buyers have acquired 40% and growing.
Richardson &amp; Wrench Mosman (RWM) posted 7 of the 20 sales including the top three sales. The Chinese buyers purchased five properties in Beauty Point and three in Balmoral.
A strong week’s activity for <a target="_blank" href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" title="sales in Mosman">sales in Mosman</a> with house volumes still down 33% on this time last year and apartments down 40%.
The <a target="_blank" href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/rba-deflates-talk-of-housing-bubble-20130918-2tzp7">RBA stepped into the ‘bubble and boom” debate</a> this week although it was also quick to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.theage.com.au/business/rba-issues-warning-over-cheap-credit-20130917-2tx8e" title="RBA issues warning on cheap credit">issue a warning on cheap credit</a> and say that it was <a target="_blank" href="https://www.theage.com.au/business/reserve-worried-about-smsf-property-gearing-20130917-2twlg" title="Reserve worried about SMSF property gearing ">worried about SMSF property gearing </a>given investors are by far the biggest players in the current property run.
Just as interesting was <a target="_blank" href="https://www.afr.com/p/national/economy/momentum_builds_for_home_loan_limits_0pOasL2qGiKlMIkr1B5OrL" title="momentum building for home loan limits ">momentum building for home loan limits </a>so it would be fair to say that this time around our regulators have their respective eyes – wide open.
What I would add is that the vast majority who keep pushing the “bubble and boom” are more than likely under the influence.

<hr>
Robert Simeon is a director of <a title="RWM" href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" style="font-size: 14px;">Richardson  Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay </a>and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. 
The RWM real estate model has sold in excess of $1 billion in database sales globally.
 He has also been writing real estate blog <a title="Virtual Realty News" href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" style="font-size: 14px;">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000. 
 
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robertsimeon-hRNTwJyXkQ

The only talk of property bubbles should be about popping champagne: Robert Simeon

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Queensland’s capital city, Brisbane, is the largest municipality in Australia.  There are 1,110,473 people that live in Brisbane, comprising just fewer than 5% of Australia’s population.  The second largest council, which is also in the south-east corner of Queensland, is the Gold Coast where the population is less than half that of Brisbane’s at 526,173 persons. 
In fact, four of the top five council regions (including the entirety of the ACT) are located in south-east Queensland; the other two are Moreton Bay and Sunshine Coast.  These four council regions alone account for slightly more than 10% of the national population.
Not only is the Brisbane City Council region large in both area and population, it is growing rapidly.  Over the past 10 years the area has increased in population by about 20,200 persons each year or nearly 1,700 new residents every month.
There are some benefits of having a large council.  The taxation base is larger providing some economy of scale and the urban planning and approval process tends to be much more streamlined.
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2354" alt="Largest LGAs" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Largest-LGAs.jpg" width="470" height="160" style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;">
The fastest growing council regions:
Six out of the top ten fastest growing council regions around the country are located across Western Australia and four of them are in the Perth metro area.  The Perth Council has recorded a population growth rate of 125% over the ten years to June 2012 to reach a population of roughly 19,000 residents.  The population growth rate across the Perth council area remains high at 3.7% over the 2011/12 financial year, however, councils like Serpentine-Jarrahdale (+8.1%), Kwinana (+6.6%), Armidale (+5.9%) and Wanneroo (+5.6%) have been outpacing Perth over the most recent 2011/12 period.
Rapid population growth provides both positive and negative factors for local governments.  The positive is that population growth is stimulatory – more people means a larger tax base and more demand for housing which provides a multiplier effect on the local economy as higher demand for housing translates to more employment, building materials, white goods, home furnishings etc.
The challenge with rapid population growth is to ensure infrastructure and local amenity keeps pace with the population.  More people means more traffic, a greater requirement for public transport, health care, schooling, retail facilities etc.  Delivering on infrastructure is expensive and is the area where many governments simply fail to deliver.
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2355" alt="Fastest growing LGAS" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Fastest-growing-LGAS.jpg" width="470" height="174" style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;">
The fastest shrinking council regions:
The regions where population growth is in significant decline can broadly be described as regional areas often associated with agriculture.  Five of the top 10 regions where the population is shrinking the most rapidly are located across Western Australia’s wheat belt.  Camamah (-30.1%), Dalwallinu (-27.8%), Mukinbudin (-27.7%) and Wyalkatchem (-20.6%) are seeing their population dropping from an already low level.
The trend towards smaller populations across these rural areas is nothing new and is likely to continue as the average population of these areas grows older and younger cohorts move away.  A declining population creates other issues including a lack of social diversity. 
The challenge for many of these areas is to continue providing infrastructure and services across a lower taxation base.  These regions are extremely large in area which compounds the costs involved in servicing the sparse population.
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2356" alt="Largest declines in population" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Largest-declines-in-population.jpg" width="470" height="157" style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;">
The councils with the highest population densities:
Nine of the 10 most densely populated council regions are located within the Sydney metro area.  The most densely populated council is Waverley where there are just over 7,500 residents per square kilometre.  The council includes popular suburbs such as Bondi, Tamarama, Dover Heights, Bronte and the Waverley.  About 80% of Waverly dwellings are units or semi-attached.
The regions with the highest population density tend to be located very close to the central business districts of each capital city and are of course synonymous with fewer detached homes, more apartments and town houses, efficient public transport systems and wide range of facilities and social options close by.
<img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2357" alt="highest density LGAs" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/highest-density-LGAs.jpg" width="470" height="165" style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;">
 
<hr>
 Cameron Kusher is senior research analyst at RP Data.
 
 
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