High-profile apartment defect cases have changed the way many NSW buyers approach purchasing, putting greater scrutiny on building quality, strata records and the parties behind a development before a contract is signed.

The industry buyers are assessing today, however, is also different from the one in which cases such as Opal Tower and Mascot Towers emerged.

NSW has introduced a series of regulatory measures aimed at strengthening oversight of apartment construction, including Building Commission NSW, the Residential Apartment Buildings Act 2020 and the Strata Building Bond and Inspections Scheme. Under the latter, developers are required to lodge a bond, with independent inspections forming part of the process for identifying defects in new strata developments.

Those changes provide another layer of protection, but they haven't removed the importance of buyer due diligence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

For purchasers considering an apartment, that means looking beyond the residence itself. Building and strata history, strata reports, the track record of the builder and developer, the condition of common property and any known or planned expenditure by the owners corporation can all form part of assessing a building before purchase.

Whether the development is already complete can also materially change what can be assessed.

An off-the-plan purchaser is necessarily buying before the finished product exists. A completed apartment, by comparison, can be walked through before contracts are signed, allowing the purchaser to see the finishes, common areas and broader building as they have actually been delivered rather than relying solely on plans and renders.

It also removes exposure to some of the uncertainties that exist between an off-the-plan purchase and completion, including construction delays, cost pressures and builder insolvency during the delivery period.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=927]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Projects by Equitifund</a> National Sales Director Ben Hamblett said that greater focus on tangible evidence is increasingly evident among apartment purchasers.

“The biggest shift we're seeing is buyers wanting proof, not promises,” Hamblett said.

“That's exactly why we deal in completed stock - you can inspect the building before you commit - and why we've backed every purchase with a cash bond against special levies.”

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> in Parramatta, that emphasis on a completed, inspectable product is already in place.

The 413-apartment, 46-level tower at 12 Phillip Street is being marketed by Projects by Equitifund, allowing prospective purchasers to inspect the residences, common areas and resident facilities before committing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=375255]

The Lennox also introduces another layer to the due-diligence conversation through Strata Surety.

The vendor-funded arrangement provides purchasers with a cash-backed bond held in their own solicitor's trust account from settlement. According to Equitifund, the bond covers any special levy raised during the applicable cover period and is provided at no cost to the purchaser.

Special levies can create an unexpected cost for apartment owners where an owners corporation needs funding beyond its existing strata contributions. Under NSW strata law, a special levy requires approval by owners at a general meeting.

Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said Strata Surety was designed to provide something more concrete than reassurance about that potential exposure.

“Buyers have every right to ask hard questions about strata risk - the industry has given them plenty of reasons to,” Huxley said.

“Our answer isn't a reassurance, it's a bond. Strata Surety puts real money behind that confidence, held by the buyer's own solicitor, not by us.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=375281]

For The Lennox, its completed status also means purchasers can assess not only the apartment itself, but a building that has already been occupied and operating for several years.

Completed in 2021, the $300 million development, designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, with open-plan living areas extending to private balconies. Interiors incorporate engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops and integrated appliances, while many upper-level residences have views across the river and surrounding district.

Its established amenity can similarly be inspected in operation. Resident facilities include the Watermark precinct with a 20-metre pool, outdoor terrace, barbecue areas, gym, fitness studio and conference room, while ground-floor retail addresses the river walk and surrounding public space.

The Lennox is also home to the Southern Hemisphere's first fully robotic residential car park, which has now operated for several years. Its nine-level basement combines three conventional parking levels with six automated levels, accommodating 327 vehicles using technology from German firm Lödige Industries.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

The riverfront address puts The Lennox close to much of central <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a>'s existing infrastructure, including Parramatta Station, Westfield Parramatta, Parramatta Park, and the Church Street dining precinct.

The remaining apartments form part of a limited release secured by Equitifund, following the sale of the majority of residences before and shortly after completion.

The regulatory environment around NSW apartment construction has changed considerably since the defect cases that reshaped public discussion around the sector. For purchasers, however, regulation is only one part of the equation. The ability to investigate a building's history, review its strata position and, where possible, inspect what has actually been delivered remains central to making an informed apartment purchase.

At The Lennox, its completed status provides that opportunity before contracts are signed, while Strata Surety adds a financial backstop against special levies beyond the protections already provided under NSW strata law.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

Joel Robinson

Buying with confidence: What NSW apartment buyers should check beyond the defect headlines

Too often, heritage buildings become the podium for a contemporary tower. At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/623-collins-607-623-collins-street-melbourne-vic-3000">623 Collins</a>, <a>Sterling Global</a> challenged its design team to reverse that process.

The brief to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> was deliberately simple: "Don't design around the heritage. Design from it." It became the philosophy behind a project that draws inspiration not only from two landmark heritage buildings, but from Collins Street itself, a street layered with architectural history and civic significance.

That philosophy has shaped one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melbourne-vic-3000">Melbourne</a> CBD's most considered residential projects, where the 1924 State Savings Bank and neighbouring Batman's Hill Hotel have become the architectural foundation for 623 Collins rather than remnants preserved beneath a new development.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=372749]

Rather than approaching the site as a blank canvas, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sterling-global">Sterling Global</a> saw the existing buildings as the beginning of the story.

"Sites like this rarely become available," the developer said.

"623 Collins wasn't simply an opportunity to develop a prominent CBD site. It was an opportunity to restore and reimagine one of Melbourne's important heritage landmarks while contributing to the continued evolution of Collins Street. For us, the existing buildings weren't constraints. They were the beginning of the story."

Instead of mimicking the ornate heritage architecture, Plus Studio studied the proportions, rhythm and craftsmanship of the original buildings before translating those characteristics into a contemporary 42-storey tower.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=372748]

"The brief challenged us to create a contemporary landmark that respected Melbourne's architectural history without becoming nostalgic," Plus Studio said.

"Rather than mimicking heritage, we sought to understand its proportions, rhythm and material language before translating those qualities into a distinctly contemporary architectural expression."

The practice says the State Savings Bank and Batman's Hill Hotel became the project's primary source of inspiration, allowing the heritage buildings and contemporary architecture to exist "in conversation rather than contrast." Generous planted terraces further soften the transition between old and new, creating elevated green spaces while reinforcing the dialogue between the restored podium and the contemporary tower.

That dialogue continues throughout the interiors, where Melbourne designer Fiona Lynch developed a material palette inspired by the idea of alchemy, balancing contrasting materials that reference both the Neo-Grec detailing of the original bank and contemporary urban living. The result is a series of spaces that feel timeless rather than trend-driven.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=354343]

The project will deliver 316 residences across four collections, Heirloom, Signature, Reserve and the Penthouse Collection, with each responding differently to its position within the building, from the restored heritage podium through to the upper levels of the tower. The Heirloom Residences retain defining heritage elements including original heritage windows, generous proportions and high ceilings, while the tower introduces contemporary homes with expansive layouts and elevated views.

Amenities have likewise been designed to support long-term city living rather than short-stay convenience. Residents will have access to concierge services, wellness facilities including a pool, cold plunge, sauna, steam room and gym, alongside private lounges, entertaining spaces and dedicated resident clubs.

Sterling Global says that approach is resonating with buyers seeking permanence rather than novelty.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=354347]

According to the sales team, purchasers are looking for enduring architecture, generous floorplans, heritage character and long-term value, with many commenting that 623 Collins "doesn't feel like another apartment development" because of the way the architecture has been curated around the site's history.

Situated on the prominent corner of Collins and Spencer streets, the project occupies one of Melbourne's most recognisable gateway sites, marking the western entrance to the city's best-known street. For Sterling Global, it also reflects a broader shift in city-making.

"Rather than maximising development yield, the project embraces adaptive reuse as a design philosophy, allowing heritage to inform architecture, interiors and the overall resident experience," the developer said.

"The result is a building that feels uniquely connected to Melbourne."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145324]

How Sterling Global designed 623 Collins from Melbourne's history

Avant Townhomes is adding to Ivanhoe’s family-sized housing options with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/three-82-ivanhoe-382-upper-heidelberg-road-ivanhoe-vic-3079">Three 82</a>, a collection of just 16 four-bedroom townhomes on Upper Heidelberg Road.

The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/intrapac-property">Intrapac Property</a> townhome division has taken a contemporary approach to the traditional family home, pairing larger floorplans with the lower-maintenance format of a townhouse.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152069 project_image_fid=374394]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/arcadia-studio">Arcadia</a>, with landscaping by Landsite, the homes feature generous open-plan living and dining areas that connect directly to outdoor spaces, with layouts also designed to maximise natural light and privacy.

Natural stone is used throughout the interiors, including in kitchens that pair stone surfaces with bespoke cabinetry, considered storage and SMEG appliances.

The four-bedroom layouts include built-in wardrobes and a main bedroom with its own ensuite, while family bathrooms service the additional bedrooms. Each home also includes a lock-up double garage and intercom entry.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152069 project_image_fid=374399]

Energy efficiency has been incorporated into the design through solar panels, double glazing and reverse-cycle heating and cooling, with the homes targeting 7-star energy ratings.

Rather than incorporating extensive communal facilities, Three 82 has been conceived around private residential amenity, with the 16-home scale keeping the focus on individual homes and their own indoor and outdoor spaces.

The development is located at 382 Upper Heidelberg Road, around one kilometre from Ivanhoe Village's cafés and retail and a short drive from Eaglemont Station and Ivanhoe Station.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152069 project_image_fid=374393]

Several of Ivanhoe's established schools are also nearby, including Ivanhoe Girls' Grammar and Ivanhoe Grammar School. The address also provides access to the suburb's parklands and the wider Yarra River corridor.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/nelson-alexander">Nelson Alexander</a> has been appointed to handle sales.

Construction is underway and progressing well, with Three 82 currently tracking toward completion in Q2 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152069]

Three 82 brings boutique four-bedroom townhome collection to Ivanhoe

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/graya">Graya</a> has secured a prime Newstead site from fellow developer Fraser, subsequently lodging plans for The Silo, a major mixed-use residential project in Newstead designed around a new public laneway linking the James Street precinct with the wider Gasworks and Newstead neighbourhood.

Proposed for the corner of Chester and Morse streets, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bureauproberts">Bureau^Proberts</a>-designed project places its strongest emphasis at ground level, where retail, landscaping and a new cobblestone pedestrian connection would open the site to the surrounding neighbourhood. The design team describes The Silo as “more than a residential building”, positioning the development as an extension of Newstead’s public realm rather than a standalone apartment tower.

“A new cobblestone laneway and landscaped connection between James Street and Gasworks unlock a missing pedestrian link, improving walkability and stitching together two of Brisbane’s significant urban destinations,” Bureau Proberts said in its Urban Design Report.

<img alt="First look: Graya plans The Silo as new pedestrian link between James Street and Gasworks" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0ea1b06a-75f5-40a5-b2c5-33c97bc86052" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/silo%20bldg.png?VersionId=KmjsAtNePu57_B31EM_DJ5T6KPJHtcmo" />

The Silo is planned as a mixed-use development incorporating apartments alongside a bar and centre activities including food and drink outlets, indoor sport and recreation, office and retail uses.

Architecturally, Bureau Proberts has conceived the building as a collection of vertically expressed, stepping forms rather than a single uniform tower. The composition rises from an articulated podium before being broken by a triple-height landscaped recreation level, with the upper section becoming more compact before terminating in a landscaped rooftop garden.

The project's name and architectural language draw directly from Newstead's industrial history. Patterned off-form concrete is proposed as the principal façade material, complemented by slender metal rod balustrades and extensive planting. The cylindrical and vertically ribbed elements give the building its silo-like expression, while curved balconies and planted edges introduce a softer subtropical layer.

“The Silo reinterprets its robust forms, scale and materiality through a contemporary subtropical architectural expression, creating a building that acknowledges its industrial legacy, while responding to the way the precinct is occupied today,” Bureau^Proberts said.

The recreation level is one of the defining breaks in the tower. Plans include a lap pool, mature subtropical planting and shared resident facilities within an elevated communal garden. Landscaping continues through the podium and onto the rooftop, where a further garden forms what the architects describe as a “subtropical crown” to the building.

<img alt="First look: Graya plans The Silo as new pedestrian link between James Street and Gasworks" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="f8451036-35a4-49a9-8d88-2ef4438eba3d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Silo%20Lane.png?VersionId=h8N31_rYmCEqoNrpt4kbYVQhJGZn60LH" />

At street level, the development has been designed to establish a more permeable block. Retail and hospitality tenancies address the public realm, while landscaped pedestrian spaces lead into the new laneway connection. Renders in the design report show the proposed “Silo Lane” as a substantial opening through the podium, framed by cylindrical concrete forms with cascading planting above.

The Silo continues Graya's move into larger apartment developments after building its reputation across high-end residential projects in Brisbane and the Gold Coast.

Graya buys Frasers Newstead site, plans The Silo between James Street and Gasworks precincts

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/wickton">Wickton</a>’s completed Linacre Rise development in Hampton is giving Bayside downsizers the opportunity to move into a spacious apartment near the beach, with the developer covering stamp duty for a limited time.

The 27-residence development has been designed for buyers who want to simplify their living arrangements without giving up the space, warmth and quality associated with a long-term family home. Most apartments have already been secured by Bayside locals, leaving a select collection of two and three-bedroom residences and penthouses available.

Two-bedroom apartments are priced from $1.275 million, three-bedroom residences from $2.25 million and penthouses from $3.375 million, with the completed homes available to inspect and move into now.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=95289 project_image_fid=366760]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/linacre-rise-hampton-8-10-linacre-road-hampton-vic-3188">Linacre Rise</a> occupies an elevated position on one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/hampton-vic-3188">Hampton</a>’s quiet, tree-lined streets, around 250 metres from the bay and 500 metres from Hampton’s village centre. Its setting gives residents access to the beach, local cafés, shops and Hampton Train Station while retaining the feel of an established residential neighbourhood.

Architecture and interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a> draw on the warmth and permanence of traditional brickwork, with the building integrated into terraced landscaping by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/john-patrick-landscape-architects">John Patrick</a>. Ground-floor apartments are elevated above the street and include private garden courtyards, while several upper-level residences have generous balconies and outlooks toward the bay.

Inside, the residences favour natural materials and generous proportions. Herringbone-pattern European oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, premium joinery and Swiss V-ZUG appliances are among the key inclusions, while integrated storage has been incorporated across kitchens, bathrooms, studies and living areas.

The kitchens have been planned as practical spaces for both everyday use and entertaining, with substantial island benches, detailed cabinetry and adjoining dining and living zones. Full-height wardrobes, plush bedroom carpeting and carefully considered lighting reinforce the residential character Wickton sought to retain for buyers moving from larger homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=95289 project_image_fid=366769]

A Linacre Rise purchaser said the completed apartment had delivered the space, outlook and construction quality they had been seeking.

“The unit is very light, has views to die for over the bay, all construction materials and fittings are premium quality, we have secure parking for three cars, EV charging at very competitive rates, the neighbours are friendly and there is just a lovely ambiance about the place,” the purchaser said.

Environmental features include solar panels, shared electric vehicle charging stations, rainwater harvesting for toilet flushing and landscape irrigation, double-glazed windows and water-efficient fixtures and appliances.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=95289 project_image_fid=366762]

The development was built by Balmain &amp; Co, with Wickton managing the broader development process through its in-house team.

For downsizers, the project’s completed status removes much of the uncertainty associated with buying off the plan. Purchasers can inspect the finished apartments, understand their outlook and proportions, and move in without waiting for construction to conclude.

The remaining selection includes north-oriented balconies, corner configurations and penthouses with elevated bay views. The developer-paid stamp duty initiative is available for a limited time, with potential savings of up to $200,000 depending on the residence purchased.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=95289]

Limited-time stamp duty offer at completed Linacre Rise apartments in Hampton

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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Since Primewest commenced investing in Australian commercial property in 1993 we have witnessed three tough periods. When we bought our first property (a neighbourhood shopping centre in Perth which we still own) a huge proportion of vendors were receivers or at least forced sellers.  
Banks were desperately unloading property to save themselves. The mid 90s were the best years to buy real estate in my memory. Around 2002 things got tough again as the economy slowed but this was really quite minor compared to the mid 90s and the GFC from 2008 till 2012.  
The GFC has been our next greatest buy period and for the same reasons as the 90s. Nervousness, even panic and many forced sellers presents countercyclical investors with the opportunity for out-performance and so it has transpired as property prices once again recover and in some instances rise sharply.    
Where to from here?
Right now there is a, for some, a worrying disconnect between market fundamentals on the one hand and rising prices on the other hand.  
In almost every commercial office market across Australia leasing has become tougher – exemplified by rising incentives on the one hand but lower or flat rents on the other. Continuing sluggish economies in Europe and the US and a somewhat unclear outlook in China has lead to cut backs in the mining services sector and a general lack of confidence by tenants. Industrial properties and neighbourhood shopping centres have fared better as there is generally not the same level of volatility in these sectors.  
So what is driving prices up?
At it’s simplest, it appears to be a weight of money argument. Both international and domestic investors are literally awash with cash to invest. Interest rates worldwide are at historic lows and as a result both the stock markets and real estate markets are seeing rising levels of investment. Investors are putting their money into relatively safe haven, transparent markets which can produce better than stagnant returns.    
Have investors got it wrong in the face of weak fundamentals?
I don’t believe so. I believe that the property market is operating in the same way as equities markets always do. It has been said that stock markets are invariable 12-18 months ahead of the actual economy. That is to say, investors buy shares ahead of company earnings recoveries or growth.  I think precisely the same phenomenon is at play in the commercial property market. Investors are predicting a recovery in market fundamentals over the next two to three years. That makes sense to me and therefore I remain confident that values will continue to rise as market fundamentals improve to justify these prices.    
My verdict – Good, not bad and not ugly.

<hr>
John Bond is co-founding director of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.primewest.biz/">Primewest</a>.
 
 
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jbond-NJ67zxEV52

The commercial property market: The good, the bad or the ugly?

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The position of a retail store can make or break its success. For anyone considering embarking on a retail venture, or for existing retailers looking for a new site – where do you start in your search for the perfect space?
According to Colliers International, there is around 2.6 million square metres of retail space currently under construction or expected to be completed over the next five years. More retail space means more choice – but there’s no need to be confused by the options – there is a science behind selecting the position of a store that will give you the biggest chance of succeeding.
But what is that formula for success?
As Australia’s largest bakery franchise, which works both with, and on behalf of its franchisees to secure new sites, the Bakers Delight property team has years of experience in securing the best possible location to ensure its bakeries deliver the greatest potential for franchisees.
The methodology behind site selection is not just a matter of choosing between a local shopping strip or a shopping centre. Our stores do better in very specific circumstances and that knowledge is applied to ensure we’re located in the best possible position. Here are the three key areas to think about in crafting your own winning formula – from the macro through to the micro:
1. Macro-economics and demographics
The first question to ask is: what are the economic trends at play in the retail sector in general and what’s the broad economic profile of the area you’re considering?
It’s always worth staying across retail sector research – for example, the most recent Colliers International report states that across the retail categories, the highest individual sector returns were achieved by neighbourhood shopping centres (8.9%) for the year to March 2013. Statistics like these will be essential to your decision-making.
Then you need to consider the profile of the community. Is it already well-established or is there an opportunity for population growth due to housing developments in the area? Don’t just think about what’s there now, think about how this could change over the years and the opportunities and challenges that presents.
Now consider the demographic make-up of that community and does it match your likely customer base? Demographic profiles obviously include things like age, ethnicity and income, but it’s also worth thinking about demographics in terms of ‘life stages’ – as this is one of the biggest indicators of likely shopping habits.
Once you’ve established the bigger picture and know the broad economic and demographic profile of the area matches your strategy, look more closely at the position of the store within that community.
2. The middle macro mindset
Shopping centre or local shopping strip? This stage is all about the potential footfall from existing shoppers in the area – so it’s time to take a closer look at the surroundings. What other stores are close by, and most importantly, what mindset will shoppers be in when they’re in the area? Are the surrounding shops larger retail chains or smaller independents and what does that mean for your success?
Being surrounded by retailers that complement your products will increase your chances of footfall. For example, at Bakers Delight we know that being close to other ‘daily needs’ food retailers boosts our sales – shoppers will wander from the butcher, to the fishmonger to the bakery and the fruit and veg shop to stock up for the week. On the other hand, if the shopping centre or local shopping strip is more fashion focused, even if there are thousands of potential customers per day, they aren’t likely to be in the right mindset to buy our products and an accessories store, for example, would have much more success here.
3. The micro matters
Yes, the micro detail matters. Take a shopping centre, for example: the level the store is on, its proximity to an entrance, whether the centre’s architecture is linear or curved all have an impact on how many people pass by or walk in.
For example, in a curved shopping centre more people tend to walk on the inside not the outside of a curve. While shoppers themselves may not even realise they do this – there is a pattern to how they walk around and shop. A difference of 10 metres can make a huge difference. Have conversations with existing retailers in the area and learn from their experience. Try spending a few hours studying the shoppers in the area yourself and consider how things change at different times of day and on different days of the week.
In theory, there are no unlucky shopping centres – just retailers who haven’t done their research.

<hr>
Gerry Gerrard is the general manager of <a href="https://www.bakersdelight.com.au/?" target="_blank">Bakers Delight</a>. An Australian owned company, Bakers Delight has 700 bakeries employing more than 15,000 people, serving two million regular customers a week throughout Australia, New Zealand, and Canada.
This article first appeared on <a target="_blank" href="https://www.SmartCompany.com.au">SmartCompany</a>.
 
 
 
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jake-cSmGT7VXVf

Retail store locations: The science behind the choice

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The growth in Australian average wages has slowed, in some sectors to the lowest rate since 2000, as the mining boom tapers off and the new government puts the squeeze on public servants.
According to the RBA’s Statement on Monetary Policy released yesterday, wages in the June quarter rose 0.7%, bringing yearly wage growth to 2.9%.
This is 0.75% below the average annual growth over the past decade, and while it’s been led by declines in mining and the public service, the slowdown has been broad based.
“Over the year to the June quarter, wage growth was below its decade average in all industries and the dispersion in wage growth across industries was at its lowest level since at least 1998,” the RBA <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2013/nov/pdf/price-wage-dev.pdf">said in its report</a>.
“Wage growth in the mining industry has slowed particularly sharply since the beginning of the year, consistent with the decline in the demand for labour in that industry.
“Wage growth in the business services sector (which accounts for around one-fifth of total employment) has also declined markedly, in part reflecting the decline in mining-related demand for business services, and has accounted for a large part of the slowing in aggregate wage growth over the past year.”
Wage growth slowed in all Australian states over the year. In New South Wales, Queensland and Tasmania, wage growth is the slowest it’s been since the early 2000s.
James Morley, a macroeconomist at the University of New South Wales, says slowing wage growth feeds into the RBA’s views about likely future inflation, and makes them less likely to raise interest rates.
But on its own, this isn’t necessarily good news for business, he said.
“Over the past decade, <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/growth/economy/33195-meet-australia-s-most-cashed-up-people-wa-miners-win-the-wage-lottery">wages have grown faster than inflation</a>. You would expect that in a growing economy where workers are becoming more productive.
“The basic economic theory is that wage growth is related to productivity growth. So when you see declining wages, you could worry that it would reflect declining productivity growth, which isn’t good for anyone.
“That means real wages going up isn’t always a bad thing,” he says.
“But if it reflects inflation rather than productivity growth, that is a bad thing.”

<hr>
This article first appeared on <a target="_blank" href="https://www.SmartCompany.com.au">SmartCompany</a>.
 
 
 
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mrobin-TVRYiru7si

Wage growth slows to lowest rate in decade: Why interest rates could stay low

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Chinese real estate buyers have gone from being hardly there to being everywhere in the property markets. How are Australians adjusting to this new reality?  
Chinese are the biggest international buyers of property in Queensland. They are also number one nationwide, when ranked by growth and momentum.  
People in communities all over Australia have embraced this new reality with a minimum of xenophobic fuss. As an Australian, it makes me proud of my native country.  
Here’s one data point. Because I operate the Chinese international property portal Juwai.com, I receive emails from all over the country from people asking for advice on how to sell their homes to Chinese buyers.  
Not once has anyone written to ask me how to prevent a Chinese buyer from purchasing their home.  
Sure, there have been some angry comments in the media. But nothing happens in this country without angry comments in the media. The typical monthly Reserve Bank announcement on interest rates generates more controversy than the whole Chinese buying phenomenon.  
One reason Australians have embraced Chinese property buying is because most understand that – at some level – they benefit from it.  
Those Chinese real estate buyers who come here to live permanently increase the size of our economy.  
Chinese immigration, which accounts for some of the Chinese buyers, is a boon for Australia. The Wall Street Journal has reported that increases in migration from China in one year lead to a stronger property market three years later, in the form of better sales prices.  
And how about an extra $400 in your pocket. Government research estimates that an increase in immigration today could boost the economy enough to pay that much to every Australian, every year within 20 years. That could be a total economic boost to the Australian economy of $14 billion.  
Those who immigrate here are just a fraction of the overall group of Chinese property buyers. Many more are investors, or are seeking the Aussie lifestyle in a second home. Some are here for business, or are providing a home for their children to live in while attending Australian schools.  
China is the biggest source of international students in the Australian education market. Their fees provide valuable cash flows to Australian educational institutions. That keeps education less expensive for those of us who grow up here.  
All those students also help make education-related travel services are our country’s fourth biggest export in dollar terms — right after iron, coal and gold.  
That brings us to real estate. Every time an offshore Chinese investor buys a new apartment or home, she is in effect slipping money into your pockets. Offshore investors are channeled by Foreign Investment Review Board rules into new construction. By buying off-the-plan, they give developers the funding they need to build more and keep prices stable.  
All that construction also creates jobs. Residential building will add $63 billion to the economy this financial year - an increase of 5% over last year.  
And the Australian Bureau of Statistics says the construction industry is one of the nation’s biggest employers, and also pays more than the national average.  
Australia has embraced Chinese property buyers. I think it might be time you did, too. Go ahead. Give a Chinese real estate investor a hug.
 
<hr>
 Andrew Taylor is the founder and co-CEO of <a href="https://juwai.com/">Juwai.com</a>, the number-one Chinese real estate portal for property in Australia and around the world. Find out more about him at <a href="https://list.juwai.com/">list.juwai.com</a>.
 
 
 
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Australia is embracing Chinese investment in real estate

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It’s a tale of two cities: Home loan approvals in September were the highest since October 2009 - yet the month had the lowest proportion of first home borrowers in two decades.
Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show that the first quarter of the financial year had 12% national growth in loan approvals over the previous year and 13% year on year growth for September.
This comes on the back of record low interest rates, high clearance rates and a boost in the number of properties for sale.
However, increased investor activity – and a noticeable rise in cashed-up foreigners - has forced first home buyers out of the race, with their numbers falling from 13.7% of buyers in August to 12.5% in September.
The proportion of first home buyers in the number of owner-occupied housing finance commitments is now one in eight - the lowest since data was collected in July 1991, the Real Estate Institute of Australia says. It is far lower than the long-run average of 20.15%, despite eight interest rate cuts since November 2011.
In contrast, owner-occupied finance approvals rose 12.6% for the 12 months to September and investors took out 5.2% more loans in September than in August.  
"With the proportion of first home buyers at historic lows and figures indicating no bubble in lending, the Reserve Bank Board should be taking a ‘steady as she goes’ approach in December," said REIA president Peter Bushby.  
Changes to the first home buyers’ grants - which in Victoria is $10,000 for the purchase of new homes after July 1 this year but none for established homes – is being blamed for keeping first home buyers behind the eight ball. Pressure on them is further compounded by investors having greater equity in existing property and being able to borrow more at cheaper rates - without the need for mortgage insurance.  
But state treasurer Michael O’Brien said loan approvals for new dwellings in Victoria were the highest of any state. "Victoria contributed 29% of national loans for new dwellings in September which is above its population share of 24.8 %.
"The Coalition government is supporting first home buyers by increasing grants for new homes and bringing forward a major cut in stamp duty.
"Since July 1, more than 6,500 new home buyers have received the stamp duty concession, which amounts to almost $36 million in benefits to first home buyers.
"Targeting the first home owner grant to newly constructed homes – whether in regional Victoria, Melbourne’s growth corridors or new CBD apartments – will stimulate the economy and create jobs in the construction sector." He said the move "brings Victoria into line with New South Wales, Queensland and South Australia".
Loan Market director Mark De Martino said that the first quarter of the financial year was off to "a very hot start" with low interest rates and a recovering property market helping boost activity in the home finance space.  
"Nearly every state is showing double digit growth for the first quarter" De Martino said.  
The 51,938 home finance approvals in September were a rebound from the August figures which saw the first month-on-month drop in approvals in 45 months.  
High auction clearance rates this spring point to a continuing upward trend in market activity.  
De Martino said pre-approvals were helping buyers get a ‘leg up’ over the competition at auctions, although he agreed first home buyers were struggling to enter the market. "As the prospective pool of buyers grows, it’s only a matter of time before first home buyers return. 
"They are competing with cashed-up investors and upgraders who have significant equity in their properties. Building a sizable deposit and understanding their borrowing power with pre approval will give them the best chance to compete in this market."  
Number of Home Finance Commitments September 2013: ABS  
<table style="width: 470px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td>
State
</td>
<td>
September 2013 v 2012
</td>
<td>
Quarter v Quarter
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
NSW
</td>
<td>
9%
</td>
<td>
11%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
VIC
</td>
<td>
17%
</td>
<td>
15%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
QLD
</td>
<td>
11%
</td>
<td>
12%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
SA
</td>
<td>
19%
</td>
<td>
16%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
WA
</td>
<td>
11%
</td>
<td>
8%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
TAS
</td>
<td>
6%
</td>
<td>
8%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
NT
</td>
<td>
-1%
</td>
<td>
-11%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
ACT
</td>
<td>
24%
</td>
<td>
23%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
Australia
</td>
<td>
13%
</td>
<td>
12%
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<hr>
<img src="/images/stories/2013/11/06/jc-insights.png" width="140" height="150" alt="jc-insights" style="float: left;">PROPERTY INSIGHTS
<a title="Falling first home buyers numbers the result of state government FHB grant meddling" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/news/falling-first-home-buyers-numbers-the-result-of-state-government-fhb-grant-meddling/2013111166285?utm_source=po&amp;utm_medium=aida&amp;utm_campaign=jonathanchancellor'spropertyinsights">Falling first home buyers numbers the result of state government FHB grant meddling</a>
"The decline in FHB numbers follow the re-targeting of the originating FHB grants and/or stamp duty exemptions across the states to encourage FHBs to buy new homes not established homes."
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staylor-63KgDrKwoY

Home loan approvals soar while first home buyer proportion sinks

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A Melbourne real estate agent was ordered to serve 200 hours of community services after illegally claiming a First Home Owner Grant (FHOG) despite already owning a home, according to the State Revenue Office (SRO) of Victoria. 
The man pleaded guilty to the First Home Owner Grant Act 2000 and Tax Administration Act 1997. His legal team told the court that he was unclear about what he was doing and the repercussions of his actions. The magistrate dismissed this claim due to the nature of the man’s occupation.
The man first bought a property in St Kilda in 2005 and received the FHOG. The grant was later reclaimed after the SRO found he did not meet the residency requirements.
In 2009, he purchased a second property in Chadstone and applied unsuccessfully to receive the FHOG. The SRO rejected the application on the basis that he had not repaid the FHOG for his St Kilda property.
After repaying that amount, he once again applied for the FHOG. During this period he acquired another property in Moorabbin. When SRO investigators questioned the purchase of this property, he provided a statutory declaration stating the Moorabbin property was for investment purposes and he had never lived there.
Upon receipt of this declaration, he was then paid a $16,000 FHOG.
The SRO conducted further investigations and found that the man once again did not meet the residency requirements to receive a FHOG.
The court heard that the man was extremely sorry and had learned an important lesson from his actions. He was then sentenced without conviction to a 24-month community correction order that requires him to perform 200 hours of community work, amongst other conditions. He was also ordered to pay an extra $203.60 of out-of-pocket costs to the SRO within a month.
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dleow-BGaNPbHWyK

Melbourne real estate agent pleads guilty to First Home Owner Grant offences

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Its never been easy. Every generation of first home buyers has faced affordability obstacles and choices, but the noisiest of the latest batch of first home buyers would prefer to bleat rather than make the latterday sacrifices that were undertaken, in an earlier form, by their parents. 
I accept that the 2013 buying prospects are diminished, but the buying priorities and requirements appear almost non-negotiable by this so-called, doomed to rent for life generation.
At weekend auction, when the APM median house sale price was a likely record $1.065 million, I spotted at least 25 offerings sold at below $500,000, with opportunities for instance to buy a unit in Meadowbank, Cronulla, Parramatta, Summer Hill, Burwood, Five Dock, Croydon Park, even Bronte.
There were houses in Granville, Casula, Parramatta, Blackett and Fairfield West.
The weekend's cheapest sale was $191,000 for a four bedroom 1960s house on 1500 square metres in the Blue Mountains. The Bullaburra property, which sold to an investor, had last sold at $240,000 in 2007. The suburb's median house price is $377,000.
Sydney currently has 51 suburbs with median house prices below $400,000 including:
Tregear $240,000
Bidwill $250,000
Blackett $251,000
Emerton $252,000
Lethbridge Park $255,000
There are 122 Sydney suburbs with house medians below $500,000.
For units, it has 45 suburbs with median unit prices below $400,000.
There are some 98 suburbs with below $500,000 unit median prices.
That's out of the 650 Sydney suburbs.
Some of these options are located in the upper north shore, the inner west and the city and east, including Hornsby $450,000 units, Forest Lodge $456,000 units, Newtown $466,000 units, Ultimo $490,000 units and Eastlakes $410,000 units.
Yes APM has previously acknowledged the average distance from the city centre for the Sydney suburbs below $400,000 was 52 kilometres.
That's compared with 36 kilometres in Melbourne and 30 kilometres in Brisbane, APM noted.
But as Andrew Wilson, the senior economist at Australian Property Monitors recently noted, Sydney has a lower end housing market that is "as accessible, if not more accessible, than most other capital city markets."
With the Sydney median house price now exceding $700,000, it is the option for first buyers to look where they can buy new houses for less than $400,000 and existing stock for over $240,000.
Sydney, with its high median because the middle market is so strong, does has the buying prospects. They just have to be viewed as worthy, transitory, not unpalatable.
<a target="_blank" href="mailto:news@propertyobserver.com.au"></a><a href="mailto:news@propertyobserver.com.au">news@propertyobserver.com.au</a>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

First home buyers have choices; but they deem distant western Sydney option unpalatable

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For property managers, landlords, and short-term rental owners, schoolies can understandably be a significant time of stress with young high-school grads likely resident in your properties, particularly around coastal and holiday areas.
Recently, schoolies <a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/new-south-wales/schoolies-warned-not-to-trash-apartments/2013101465683">have been warned not to trash apartments</a>, and while it can be a nervous time, much damage can easily be avoided with some simple risk mitigation and ground rules, according to Archers Body Corporate Management senior body corporate manager Michael Ryall.  
“To assist with preventing any misbehaviour or tragic events unit owners should revisit their behaviour management plan and schoolies ‘House Rules’ now,” said Ryall, noting the majority of graduates are actually well behaved.  
Sending the rules to school leavers early, to ensure they understand expectations, can be a quick and easy way to stamp out any issues.  
“A body corporate has control over the common property but cannot independently take action such as locking doors to restrict access to areas within a single lot,” he said.  
“If owners are looking to lock balcony doors they should discuss this with the resident managers of their buildings.”  
With many schoolies concerned about getting their bond money returned, he said that it’s unlikely trouble will occur, however resident managers on site should be enforcing the house rules.
He suggested some of the following guidelines: 
<ul>
<li>No glass bottles in the room or pool area (bag checks can be carried out by onsite security)</li>
<li>Maximum of two external guests permitted to the room at any time, with identification held at reception (this restricts likelihood of parties)</li>
<li>Noise must be kept to a minimum</li>
<li>Dangerous behaviour will be dealt with by police</li>
</ul>
“Any damage made to the room or contents during a stay will come out of the bond amount. If schoolies encounter problems, the best way to come to a resolution is to talk to the accommodation provider with respect,” he said.  
“Accommodation providers are required to have a complaint handling process and schoolies are entitled to lodge a written complaint if they feel that they have been treated unfairly.”  
Tips for schoolies looking to get their bond back:   
<ul>
<li>Obtain a receipt, find out when the money will be paid back and how any potential disputes will be resolved</li>
<li>Become very familiar with your house rules and responsibilities under the accommodation’s booking conditions and make sure you and your friends abide by them</li>
<li>Inspect the room very well as soon as you arrive and report any damage as soon as possible. Take photos of any damage or marks so you have a record</li>
<li>Be present and attentive during the check-out inspection and talk to the accommodation provider about the final report</li>
</ul>
Source: Archers Body Corporate Management  
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

Schoolies are on their way to a rental near you: Risk mitigation tips

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When it comes to safety and the upkeep of the investment properties, or “rental properties,” the question that echoes through the industry is this one: Who is liable should anything happen to the tenants? <a target="_blank" href="/news">In my last article</a> there were a number of issues raised and the need for property managers to be better versed in the area of safety and hazards that are overlooked in rental properties. This time around we will look at electrical issues.
<img src="/images/stories/2013/11/08/Just_Think_Property_Safety_Switch_1.jpg" alt="Just_Think_Property_Safety_Switch_1" height="353" width="470">
Electrical fuse boxes
With over 1,000 electric shocks, and on average four fatalities reported in NSW in 2010-2012, I am once again calling out to the authorities to take action in what is an alarming situation when it comes to lack of safety and electrical negligence on the part of the agents/landlords. In the last three months we have inspected new managements coming into our office and find a disturbing number of properties with dangerous and faulty electrical cabling and particularly fuse boxes with no adequate safety measures.
Many believe that by having one “safety switch” it is enough to protect the occupants. Well, it’s not. These only protect the power circuits in most instances. What of the light circuits, the hard wired stoves, water heaters and air conditioning units that require circuit breakers? But then there are also a number of properties that don’t even have a safety switch.
Alarmingly we come across these regularly. I am not referring to just self-managed rental homes either, but also to properties that have been managed by professional agencies and for many years.
<img src="/images/stories/2013/11/08/Just_Think_Property_Safety_Switch_2.jpg" alt="Just_Think_Property_Safety_Switch_2" height="353" width="470">
Where do we begin?
I am not calling for real estate agents to become electricians, but surely simple observations can determine if the main electrical boxes require professional attention and upgrading. The main indicator will no doubt be the age of the property itself. My soccer coach used to tell us “if in doubt kick it out” when we found ourselves overwhelmed with the opposing side attacking our goal. Likewise, I say “if in doubt call the expert” in this case the electrician that is up to speed with the regulations and requirements. Better still, send the electrician a photo through your smartphone and get an answer ASAP. Don’t delay the response or action, electricity is not to be messed with.
What I am calling for, is the industry to lift its game when it comes to safety issues and hazards in and around rental properties. But as stated previously, there are many factors preventing and creating an impasse for any lift in standards.
Edwin Almeida is managing partner and licensee-in-charge of <a href="https://www.just-think.com.au/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Just Think Real Estate</a>. 
 
 
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ealmedia-arK4DBYLjS

Landlords, lift your game: Safety issues are putting tenants at risk

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Jobs are an important element of the housing market equation. Without a job it’s hard to keep up mortgage payments or apply for a loan and the same can be said when the hours worked are too few. A weaker jobs market will generally translate to less wages growth and less upwards pressure on dwelling values. So it’s encouraging to see Australia’s labour market remains fairly tight, at least from an international standpoint.
The labour market data for October which was released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics last week showed a headline seasonally adjusted unemployment rate of just 5.7% which is unchanged from September after an upwards revision over the month. As some international comparisons, unemployment in the USA is 7.2%, the Euro area is at 12.2%, United Kingdom has an unemployment rate of 7.7%, New Zealand is at 6.2% and Canada is recording unemployment of 6.9%. There are plenty of counties with a lower rate of unemployment than Australia’s (for example, Japan at 4.0%, Germany at 5.2%, China at 4.0%, Switzerland at 3.0%), however Australia’s jobs market is looking OK at face value.
<img style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/National-unemployment-rate-580x198.jpg" alt="National unemployment rate" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2679" height="160" width="470">
Taking a look below the headlines though shows some aspects of the labour market which are softening.
For a start, at a national level there were no full time jobs created over the past 12 months. The total number of jobs created over the twelve months to October 2013 was 89,200 of which there were 59,500 fewer full time jobs and 148,700 more part time jobs. The last time we saw such a divergence in full time versus part time jobs creation was back in 2008.
<img style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Annual-change-in-number-of-full-time-and-part-time-jobs-580x216.jpg" alt="Annual change in number of full time and part time jobs" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2680" height="175" width="470">
At a state level we can get a clearer idea of where the jobs are being created and lost (note that the below data isn’t seasonally adjusted). It’s encouraging to see that Queensland, where the jobs market has been patchy since the onset of the GFC, has recorded the highest level of jobs growth with 53,500 new positions over the past year. That equates to more than half the national total which is a very positive sign for the Queensland economy and housing market. Victoria is showing the second largest number of new jobs at 25,700 followed by Western Australia (18,400) then New South Wales (10,800). There were 13,600 fewer jobs in South Australia and 5,600 fewer jobs in Tasmania.
<img style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Number-of-jobs-created-over-past-twelve-months-580x226.jpg" alt="Number of jobs created over past twelve months" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2681" height="183" width="470">
Analysing the data across full time and part time jobs creation gets a bit more interesting. Just to qualify this data before going into the detail, the Australian Bureau of Statitics classifies a part time job as one where the worker has worked for less than 35 hours over the week. So the definition is quite liberal. The downturn in full time jobs creation was caused almost entirely by a reduction of full time jobs in New South Wales where there were 48,700 fewer full time workers over the year. In balance, the level of part time jobs growth was the highest of any capital city, however the reduction in full time employment is disturbing and potentially is another factor why first time buyers are such a small proportion of the NSW housing market.
Queensland, where overall jobs creation has been the strongest over the past year, recorded only 5,100 new full time jobs over the year, or about 9.6% of the total number of new jobs.
Victoria created the most new full time jobs (11,400 over the past year) and shows the best split between full time and part time jobs creation (44% of new jobs were full time and 56% of new jobs were part time).
<img style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Annual-change-in-number-of-jobs-full-time-versus-part-time-580x225.jpg" alt="Annual change in number of jobs, full time versus part time" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2682" height="182" width="470">
Part time workers as a proportion of the total number of jobs reached a new record high in October, comprising 30.5% of the jobs pool. Despite the rise in business confidence since the federal election, the labour force data suggests that tough business conditions are causing employers to remain reluctant to make long term employment commitments at the moment.
<a style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline-width: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: transparent; color: #bf0000; text-decoration: none;" rel="wp-prettyPhoto[g2677]" href="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Proportion-of-part-time-workers-employ3ed.jpg"><img style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Proportion-of-part-time-workers-employ3ed-580x191.jpg" alt="Proportion of part time workers employ3ed" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2683" height="155" width="470"></a>
Another factor that suggests the jobs market isn’t quite as buoyant as what the headline figures would suggest is the participation rate which has been trending lower since November 2010. Participation in the labour force has moved from 66.0% in November 2010 to 64.8% in September and October this year. Clearly we are seeing more eligible members of the labour force ‘opt out’ due to either early retirement (the ageing baby boomer cohort is no doubt fuelling the lower participation rate) or frustration with an inability to secure a job.
Without a lower participation rate the jobless rate would have certainly moved higher. Westpac have suggested that if the participation rate hadn’t slipped lower over the past six months the current rate of unemployment would be 6.5% nationally.
<img style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Labour-force-participation-rate-580x206.jpg" alt="Labour force participation rate" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2684" height="167" width="470">
An interesting feature of the declining participation rate is that it is being dragged lower primarily by males, rather than females, leaving the work force.
<img style="margin: 0px auto 15px; padding: 3px; border: 1px solid #e6e6e6; outline-width: 0px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.701961); max-width: 100%; text-align: center; height: auto; display: block; vertical-align: bottom;" src="https://blog.rpdata.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Participation-rate-males-v-females-580x196.jpg" alt="Participation rate males v females" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2685" height="159" width="470">
The official forecast from Treasury is that the national unemployment rate will peak at 6.25% in June next year. If the participation rate continues to fall the official national jobless rate might not reach this high despite what appears to be softer underlying labour market conditions.
It’s worthwhile reminding that unemployment is a lagging indicator; higher unemployment comes after weaker economic conditions. Leading indicators such as dwelling approvals, consumer and business sentiment, share market performance and number of hours worked have shown a much more positive flow over recent months suggesting that labour markets may benefit from these improved business conditions in the future.

<hr>
Tim Lawless is national research director of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.myrp.com.au/" rel="nofollow">RP Data.</a>
 
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