High-profile apartment defect cases have changed the way many NSW buyers approach purchasing, putting greater scrutiny on building quality, strata records and the parties behind a development before a contract is signed.

The industry buyers are assessing today, however, is also different from the one in which cases such as Opal Tower and Mascot Towers emerged.

NSW has introduced a series of regulatory measures aimed at strengthening oversight of apartment construction, including Building Commission NSW, the Residential Apartment Buildings Act 2020 and the Strata Building Bond and Inspections Scheme. Under the latter, developers are required to lodge a bond, with independent inspections forming part of the process for identifying defects in new strata developments.

Those changes provide another layer of protection, but they haven't removed the importance of buyer due diligence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

For purchasers considering an apartment, that means looking beyond the residence itself. Building and strata history, strata reports, the track record of the builder and developer, the condition of common property and any known or planned expenditure by the owners corporation can all form part of assessing a building before purchase.

Whether the development is already complete can also materially change what can be assessed.

An off-the-plan purchaser is necessarily buying before the finished product exists. A completed apartment, by comparison, can be walked through before contracts are signed, allowing the purchaser to see the finishes, common areas and broader building as they have actually been delivered rather than relying solely on plans and renders.

It also removes exposure to some of the uncertainties that exist between an off-the-plan purchase and completion, including construction delays, cost pressures and builder insolvency during the delivery period.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=927]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Projects by Equitifund</a> National Sales Director Ben Hamblett said that greater focus on tangible evidence is increasingly evident among apartment purchasers.

“The biggest shift we're seeing is buyers wanting proof, not promises,” Hamblett said.

“That's exactly why we deal in completed stock - you can inspect the building before you commit - and why we've backed every purchase with a cash bond against special levies.”

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> in Parramatta, that emphasis on a completed, inspectable product is already in place.

The 413-apartment, 46-level tower at 12 Phillip Street is being marketed by Projects by Equitifund, allowing prospective purchasers to inspect the residences, common areas and resident facilities before committing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=375255]

The Lennox also introduces another layer to the due-diligence conversation through Strata Surety.

The vendor-funded arrangement provides purchasers with a cash-backed bond held in their own solicitor's trust account from settlement. According to Equitifund, the bond covers any special levy raised during the applicable cover period and is provided at no cost to the purchaser.

Special levies can create an unexpected cost for apartment owners where an owners corporation needs funding beyond its existing strata contributions. Under NSW strata law, a special levy requires approval by owners at a general meeting.

Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said Strata Surety was designed to provide something more concrete than reassurance about that potential exposure.

“Buyers have every right to ask hard questions about strata risk - the industry has given them plenty of reasons to,” Huxley said.

“Our answer isn't a reassurance, it's a bond. Strata Surety puts real money behind that confidence, held by the buyer's own solicitor, not by us.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=375281]

For The Lennox, its completed status also means purchasers can assess not only the apartment itself, but a building that has already been occupied and operating for several years.

Completed in 2021, the $300 million development, designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, with open-plan living areas extending to private balconies. Interiors incorporate engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops and integrated appliances, while many upper-level residences have views across the river and surrounding district.

Its established amenity can similarly be inspected in operation. Resident facilities include the Watermark precinct with a 20-metre pool, outdoor terrace, barbecue areas, gym, fitness studio and conference room, while ground-floor retail addresses the river walk and surrounding public space.

The Lennox is also home to the Southern Hemisphere's first fully robotic residential car park, which has now operated for several years. Its nine-level basement combines three conventional parking levels with six automated levels, accommodating 327 vehicles using technology from German firm Lödige Industries.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

The riverfront address puts The Lennox close to much of central <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a>'s existing infrastructure, including Parramatta Station, Westfield Parramatta, Parramatta Park, and the Church Street dining precinct.

The remaining apartments form part of a limited release secured by Equitifund, following the sale of the majority of residences before and shortly after completion.

The regulatory environment around NSW apartment construction has changed considerably since the defect cases that reshaped public discussion around the sector. For purchasers, however, regulation is only one part of the equation. The ability to investigate a building's history, review its strata position and, where possible, inspect what has actually been delivered remains central to making an informed apartment purchase.

At The Lennox, its completed status provides that opportunity before contracts are signed, while Strata Surety adds a financial backstop against special levies beyond the protections already provided under NSW strata law.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

Joel Robinson

Buying with confidence: What NSW apartment buyers should check beyond the defect headlines

Too often, heritage buildings become the podium for a contemporary tower. At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/623-collins-607-623-collins-street-melbourne-vic-3000">623 Collins</a>, <a>Sterling Global</a> challenged its design team to reverse that process.

The brief to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> was deliberately simple: "Don't design around the heritage. Design from it." It became the philosophy behind a project that draws inspiration not only from two landmark heritage buildings, but from Collins Street itself, a street layered with architectural history and civic significance.

That philosophy has shaped one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melbourne-vic-3000">Melbourne</a> CBD's most considered residential projects, where the 1924 State Savings Bank and neighbouring Batman's Hill Hotel have become the architectural foundation for 623 Collins rather than remnants preserved beneath a new development.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=372749]

Rather than approaching the site as a blank canvas, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sterling-global">Sterling Global</a> saw the existing buildings as the beginning of the story.

"Sites like this rarely become available," the developer said.

"623 Collins wasn't simply an opportunity to develop a prominent CBD site. It was an opportunity to restore and reimagine one of Melbourne's important heritage landmarks while contributing to the continued evolution of Collins Street. For us, the existing buildings weren't constraints. They were the beginning of the story."

Instead of mimicking the ornate heritage architecture, Plus Studio studied the proportions, rhythm and craftsmanship of the original buildings before translating those characteristics into a contemporary 42-storey tower.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=372748]

"The brief challenged us to create a contemporary landmark that respected Melbourne's architectural history without becoming nostalgic," Plus Studio said.

"Rather than mimicking heritage, we sought to understand its proportions, rhythm and material language before translating those qualities into a distinctly contemporary architectural expression."

The practice says the State Savings Bank and Batman's Hill Hotel became the project's primary source of inspiration, allowing the heritage buildings and contemporary architecture to exist "in conversation rather than contrast." Generous planted terraces further soften the transition between old and new, creating elevated green spaces while reinforcing the dialogue between the restored podium and the contemporary tower.

That dialogue continues throughout the interiors, where Melbourne designer Fiona Lynch developed a material palette inspired by the idea of alchemy, balancing contrasting materials that reference both the Neo-Grec detailing of the original bank and contemporary urban living. The result is a series of spaces that feel timeless rather than trend-driven.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=354343]

The project will deliver 316 residences across four collections, Heirloom, Signature, Reserve and the Penthouse Collection, with each responding differently to its position within the building, from the restored heritage podium through to the upper levels of the tower. The Heirloom Residences retain defining heritage elements including original heritage windows, generous proportions and high ceilings, while the tower introduces contemporary homes with expansive layouts and elevated views.

Amenities have likewise been designed to support long-term city living rather than short-stay convenience. Residents will have access to concierge services, wellness facilities including a pool, cold plunge, sauna, steam room and gym, alongside private lounges, entertaining spaces and dedicated resident clubs.

Sterling Global says that approach is resonating with buyers seeking permanence rather than novelty.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145324 project_image_fid=354347]

According to the sales team, purchasers are looking for enduring architecture, generous floorplans, heritage character and long-term value, with many commenting that 623 Collins "doesn't feel like another apartment development" because of the way the architecture has been curated around the site's history.

Situated on the prominent corner of Collins and Spencer streets, the project occupies one of Melbourne's most recognisable gateway sites, marking the western entrance to the city's best-known street. For Sterling Global, it also reflects a broader shift in city-making.

"Rather than maximising development yield, the project embraces adaptive reuse as a design philosophy, allowing heritage to inform architecture, interiors and the overall resident experience," the developer said.

"The result is a building that feels uniquely connected to Melbourne."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145324]

How Sterling Global designed 623 Collins from Melbourne's history

Avant Townhomes is adding to Ivanhoe’s family-sized housing options with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/three-82-ivanhoe-382-upper-heidelberg-road-ivanhoe-vic-3079">Three 82</a>, a collection of just 16 four-bedroom townhomes on Upper Heidelberg Road.

The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/intrapac-property">Intrapac Property</a> townhome division has taken a contemporary approach to the traditional family home, pairing larger floorplans with the lower-maintenance format of a townhouse.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152069 project_image_fid=374394]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/arcadia-studio">Arcadia</a>, with landscaping by Landsite, the homes feature generous open-plan living and dining areas that connect directly to outdoor spaces, with layouts also designed to maximise natural light and privacy.

Natural stone is used throughout the interiors, including in kitchens that pair stone surfaces with bespoke cabinetry, considered storage and SMEG appliances.

The four-bedroom layouts include built-in wardrobes and a main bedroom with its own ensuite, while family bathrooms service the additional bedrooms. Each home also includes a lock-up double garage and intercom entry.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152069 project_image_fid=374399]

Energy efficiency has been incorporated into the design through solar panels, double glazing and reverse-cycle heating and cooling, with the homes targeting 7-star energy ratings.

Rather than incorporating extensive communal facilities, Three 82 has been conceived around private residential amenity, with the 16-home scale keeping the focus on individual homes and their own indoor and outdoor spaces.

The development is located at 382 Upper Heidelberg Road, around one kilometre from Ivanhoe Village's cafés and retail and a short drive from Eaglemont Station and Ivanhoe Station.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152069 project_image_fid=374393]

Several of Ivanhoe's established schools are also nearby, including Ivanhoe Girls' Grammar and Ivanhoe Grammar School. The address also provides access to the suburb's parklands and the wider Yarra River corridor.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/nelson-alexander">Nelson Alexander</a> has been appointed to handle sales.

Construction is underway and progressing well, with Three 82 currently tracking toward completion in Q2 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152069]

Three 82 brings boutique four-bedroom townhome collection to Ivanhoe

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/graya">Graya</a> has secured a prime Newstead site from fellow developer Fraser, subsequently lodging plans for The Silo, a major mixed-use residential project in Newstead designed around a new public laneway linking the James Street precinct with the wider Gasworks and Newstead neighbourhood.

Proposed for the corner of Chester and Morse streets, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bureauproberts">Bureau^Proberts</a>-designed project places its strongest emphasis at ground level, where retail, landscaping and a new cobblestone pedestrian connection would open the site to the surrounding neighbourhood. The design team describes The Silo as “more than a residential building”, positioning the development as an extension of Newstead’s public realm rather than a standalone apartment tower.

“A new cobblestone laneway and landscaped connection between James Street and Gasworks unlock a missing pedestrian link, improving walkability and stitching together two of Brisbane’s significant urban destinations,” Bureau Proberts said in its Urban Design Report.

<img alt="First look: Graya plans The Silo as new pedestrian link between James Street and Gasworks" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0ea1b06a-75f5-40a5-b2c5-33c97bc86052" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/silo%20bldg.png?VersionId=KmjsAtNePu57_B31EM_DJ5T6KPJHtcmo" />

The Silo is planned as a mixed-use development incorporating apartments alongside a bar and centre activities including food and drink outlets, indoor sport and recreation, office and retail uses.

Architecturally, Bureau Proberts has conceived the building as a collection of vertically expressed, stepping forms rather than a single uniform tower. The composition rises from an articulated podium before being broken by a triple-height landscaped recreation level, with the upper section becoming more compact before terminating in a landscaped rooftop garden.

The project's name and architectural language draw directly from Newstead's industrial history. Patterned off-form concrete is proposed as the principal façade material, complemented by slender metal rod balustrades and extensive planting. The cylindrical and vertically ribbed elements give the building its silo-like expression, while curved balconies and planted edges introduce a softer subtropical layer.

“The Silo reinterprets its robust forms, scale and materiality through a contemporary subtropical architectural expression, creating a building that acknowledges its industrial legacy, while responding to the way the precinct is occupied today,” Bureau^Proberts said.

The recreation level is one of the defining breaks in the tower. Plans include a lap pool, mature subtropical planting and shared resident facilities within an elevated communal garden. Landscaping continues through the podium and onto the rooftop, where a further garden forms what the architects describe as a “subtropical crown” to the building.

<img alt="First look: Graya plans The Silo as new pedestrian link between James Street and Gasworks" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="f8451036-35a4-49a9-8d88-2ef4438eba3d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Silo%20Lane.png?VersionId=h8N31_rYmCEqoNrpt4kbYVQhJGZn60LH" />

At street level, the development has been designed to establish a more permeable block. Retail and hospitality tenancies address the public realm, while landscaped pedestrian spaces lead into the new laneway connection. Renders in the design report show the proposed “Silo Lane” as a substantial opening through the podium, framed by cylindrical concrete forms with cascading planting above.

The Silo continues Graya's move into larger apartment developments after building its reputation across high-end residential projects in Brisbane and the Gold Coast.

Graya buys Frasers Newstead site, plans The Silo between James Street and Gasworks precincts

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/wickton">Wickton</a>’s completed Linacre Rise development in Hampton is giving Bayside downsizers the opportunity to move into a spacious apartment near the beach, with the developer covering stamp duty for a limited time.

The 27-residence development has been designed for buyers who want to simplify their living arrangements without giving up the space, warmth and quality associated with a long-term family home. Most apartments have already been secured by Bayside locals, leaving a select collection of two and three-bedroom residences and penthouses available.

Two-bedroom apartments are priced from $1.275 million, three-bedroom residences from $2.25 million and penthouses from $3.375 million, with the completed homes available to inspect and move into now.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=95289 project_image_fid=366760]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/linacre-rise-hampton-8-10-linacre-road-hampton-vic-3188">Linacre Rise</a> occupies an elevated position on one of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/hampton-vic-3188">Hampton</a>’s quiet, tree-lined streets, around 250 metres from the bay and 500 metres from Hampton’s village centre. Its setting gives residents access to the beach, local cafés, shops and Hampton Train Station while retaining the feel of an established residential neighbourhood.

Architecture and interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a> draw on the warmth and permanence of traditional brickwork, with the building integrated into terraced landscaping by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/john-patrick-landscape-architects">John Patrick</a>. Ground-floor apartments are elevated above the street and include private garden courtyards, while several upper-level residences have generous balconies and outlooks toward the bay.

Inside, the residences favour natural materials and generous proportions. Herringbone-pattern European oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, premium joinery and Swiss V-ZUG appliances are among the key inclusions, while integrated storage has been incorporated across kitchens, bathrooms, studies and living areas.

The kitchens have been planned as practical spaces for both everyday use and entertaining, with substantial island benches, detailed cabinetry and adjoining dining and living zones. Full-height wardrobes, plush bedroom carpeting and carefully considered lighting reinforce the residential character Wickton sought to retain for buyers moving from larger homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=95289 project_image_fid=366769]

A Linacre Rise purchaser said the completed apartment had delivered the space, outlook and construction quality they had been seeking.

“The unit is very light, has views to die for over the bay, all construction materials and fittings are premium quality, we have secure parking for three cars, EV charging at very competitive rates, the neighbours are friendly and there is just a lovely ambiance about the place,” the purchaser said.

Environmental features include solar panels, shared electric vehicle charging stations, rainwater harvesting for toilet flushing and landscape irrigation, double-glazed windows and water-efficient fixtures and appliances.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=95289 project_image_fid=366762]

The development was built by Balmain &amp; Co, with Wickton managing the broader development process through its in-house team.

For downsizers, the project’s completed status removes much of the uncertainty associated with buying off the plan. Purchasers can inspect the finished apartments, understand their outlook and proportions, and move in without waiting for construction to conclude.

The remaining selection includes north-oriented balconies, corner configurations and penthouses with elevated bay views. The developer-paid stamp duty initiative is available for a limited time, with potential savings of up to $200,000 depending on the residence purchased.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=95289]

Limited-time stamp duty offer at completed Linacre Rise apartments in Hampton

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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A continuining drop in first home buyer numbers has chief executive of the Real Estate Instute of Western Australia (REIWA), Neville Pozzi, warning the government not to introduced any stamp duty increases for first timers.
He said that this drop should come as a budget warning to the state government.
“Given that first home buyers are dropping in numbers, it’s critical that the Treasurer doesn’t bring back stamp duty for this segment of the market,” Pozzi said.
Currently, first home buyers in Western Australia are exempt from stamp duty payments for homes under $500,000.
“It’s very concerning, however, that Premier Barnett has indicated that the current tax break for first home buyers is under review and might be changed,” he said.
“The housing market is very susceptible to cost pressures and making first homes more expensive would be a terrible blow to the market just as it’s starting to stabilise,” he said.
FHOG applications for the March quarter, as recorded by the Office of State Revenue, recorded a 9% drop. This is 21% below the June 2013 peak.
This drop is across both the established and new-build sectors, with established homes dropping by 14%.
“This means that grants being paid out have now fallen below the average since the FHOG was first introduced 14 years ago,” he said.
He noted that the "last thing" the market needs at present is any added cost pressure on first time buyers.
The median purchase by first home buyers in March was $470,000 in Perth, and $350,000 in regional Western Australia.
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

REIWA chief executive warns against FHB stamp duty introduction

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Charter Hall’s latest Brisbane development is 100 Skyring, a $175 million A-Grade 12-storey office building in Newstead. It’s three months ahead of schedule, with announcements that the first tenants will be moving in from November.
Located in the Gasworks precinct, the building is set to be the national headquarters for the Bank of Queensland, the anchor tenant who is leasing 54% of the building.
The 2,200 square metre campus-style building with floor plates is in the fastest growing office precinct in Brisbane.
It is 1.7 kilometres from the CBD, and contains 23,759 square metres of office and retail space. The area already has companies such as Leighton Contractors, Bechtel, Virgin Airlines, Macquarie Bank, AECOM, Australian Agricultural Company and Energex in residence.
Charter Hall regional asset manager Belinda Kalinin said that it’s now three months ahead of construction schedule due to careful planning.
“This month, Hutchinson Builders has installed the final level of facade, allowing interior work to ramp up,” explained Kalinin.
Interested tenants include companies looking for flexible floor plate office spaces near to Brisbane CBD.   
“100 Skyring, jointly owned by Charter Hall’s Core Plus Office Fund and a global institutional partner, is the latest major Brisbane office property investment by Charter Hall, which already owns Brisbane Square, 175 Eagle Street and 275 George Street,” she said.
BOQ is moving the headquarters to the development to transform the way staff work, creating a more flexible and collaborative environment, according to chief executive Stuart Grimshaw.
“We are also looking forward to being part of the growing Newstead community – it is exciting to see the calibre of companies and retailers choosing to base themselves there and there is a real sense of momentum building about the precinct."
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Brisbane’s 100 Skyring, new BOQ headquarters, to see first tenants

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The median price of a house in Adelaide now sits at $410,000 on a quarterly basis.
According to RP Data, Adelaide saw a 2.4% increase in its median house price over last month. Despite recording the strongest monthly price growth of any capital city market for the month, Adelaide house values are still the second lowest in the country, after Hobart’s.
Property Observer looks to recent Adelaide sales to see just what $410,000 will buy you.
<ol>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-port+adelaide-115474079" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">13 HAGEN AVENUE, PORT ADELAIDE</a><a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-port+adelaide-115474079" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;"> <img src="/images/2014/05/05/1.jpg" width="800" height="600"> </a>A three bedroom home was sold in Port Adelaide for $410,000 early last month. Marketed towards first home buyers, the house was a new build in an area that’s relatively well populated with subdivisions and new developments. The home includes an open plan living and dining area and an outdoor entertaining area. Price: $410,000 Bedrooms: three Drive to CBD: 22 minutes 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-kidman+park-116221411" target="_blank">1 STEWART STREET, KIDMAN PARK <img src="/images/2014/05/05/kidman%20street.jpg" width="800" height="600"> </a>This home sold for just under the city’s median price, going for $402,000 in March. With three bedrooms and located on a cul-de-sac, the house was marketed towards young families. Sitting on a 634 square metre lot, the home includes a sizeable backyard and a two car carport. The vendors purchased the property for $178,000 in 2001. Price: $402,000 Bedrooms: three Drive to CBD: 16 minutes 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-mansfield+park-116055019" target="_blank">1A KENT STREET, MANSFIELD PARK </a><a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-mansfield+park-116055019" target="_blank"> <img src="/images/2014/05/05/mansfield-may-2-breakout.jpg" alt=""> </a>This house on a subdivided plot brought in $422,000 for the vendors. Located just over 10 kilometres from the Adelaide CBD, this north facing brick veneer house was built in 2012. Inside there are four bedrooms, with floating floorboards throughout. Price: $422,000 Bedrooms: Four Drive to CBD: 20 minutes 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-clapham-115896883" target="_blank">10 MACPHERSON STREET, CLAPHAM <img src="/images/2014/05/05/claph.jpg" width="800" height="600"> </a>Located eight kilometres south of the Adelaide CBD, this two bedroom home sold for $412,500 after two weeks on the market. Vendors purchased the property in 2006 for $375,000. Price: $412,500 Bedrooms: Two Drive to CBD: 13 minutes 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-newton-116592771" target="_blank">12 CHATSWOOD GROVE, NEWTON </a>
<img src="/images/2014/05/05/newton.jpg" width="800" height="600">
Purchased last month for for $412,000, this three bedroom home is located in Adelaide’s north eastern suburbs. It is currently tenanted til the end of the month, with the previous owners earning $280 per week in rental income. They purchased the house in 2000 for $145,000. 
Price: $412,00 Bedrooms: Three Drive to CBD: 17 minutes
</li>
</ol>
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jrichardson-uRX5hFdKfN

What can you get for Adelaide’s median house price?

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Illegal drug labs set up in rental properties can cause fear for property investors, particularly as the clean up costs can be significant, not to mention a hefty repair bill in some instances.
While it's uncommon for tenants to be engaged in this type of activity, it's worth every property manager and investor (particularly self-managing landlords) to be keeping an eye out for any suspicious activity.
Terri Scheer Insurance's executive manager Carolyn Parrella explains that whether it's cannabis, methamphetamine or ecstasy, illegal drug cultivation has specific signs that astute investors can look for.
“Temporary drug laboratories in rental properties can be difficult to detect if you do not know what to look out for,” said Parrella, even though tenants will go to significant lengths to hide this type of activity.
For those who do find evidence of a drug lab, investors should first contact their property manager, and also the police.  Obtaining insurance coverage often requires a police report. A tenant will be required to vacate, after which time insurance assessors can determine the damage.
In the meantime, here are the five things to watch out for:
<ol>
<li>
Regularly inspect  There's no way to figure out whether illegal activity is being undertaken if you are not regularly inspecting.  Detecting temporary drug labs can save you money, particularly if they're found early, as this will help mitigate loss and will allow you to lodge an insurance claim as soon as possible, said Parella.  “It takes three months to cultivate a hydroponics crop so carrying out quarterly inspections will increase the chances of detecting any illegal activity as soon as possible," she said. Ensure you undertake routine inspections. 
</li>
<li>
Neglect or lack of furnishings  The first thing you should be looking for at an inspection is a lack of furniture, and/or signs of neglect. While some certainly live with the bare minimum, it's unusual to see a rental that has a lack of personal effects.  “When conducting an inspection look for signs that the property is being lived in. Illegal drug manufacturers generally do not live at the properties they use to cultivate drugs, therefore the premises may appear under furnished or neglected," she explains.  It is always worth asking the tenant if they've been away, and looking for another reason before assuming they run a drug lab (a stretch if this is the only suggestion can see). 
</li>
<li>
Look for modifications  Creating a drug lab isn't exactly a simple task. As anyone who watched Breaking Bad can tell you, it requires some specific equipment, materials and products.  “Some hydroponic systems or temporary drug laboratories require specific modifications to the property,” she said.  You want to be on the lookout for tampering with the property. Pipes and hoses are often required in hydroponic setups, that filter through the roof or a man hole. Holes in the ceiling can be a signal of a drug lab set up.  “It is also a good idea to check whether the meter board has been tampered with or rewired. Holes in nearby walls or built-in cupboards are common in order to feed wires to a power source," she advised. 
</li>
<li>
Look for specific items  We can't all know what every item is that someone else owns, however an abundance of unusual items may suggest that something untoward is happening.  “Certain items are commonly used to manufacture illegal drugs, including glass flasks, beakers, rubber tubing, gas cylinders, chemical containers, drums, drain cleaner, acid garden fertiliser and cough, cold or allergy medicine,” Parrella said.  A portable air conditioner is also frequently a key part of kit when cultivating hydronic crops, she said. Again, don't jump to conclusions - similar items have been owned in children's chemistry sets - however, use your common sense. Some of these items in combination may set alarm bells ringing. 
</li>
<li>
Sealed/covered windows  Windows that are constantly covered or sealed during the day may also be a small suggestion that these tenants are looking for an extra level of privacy.  Windows covered in aluminium foil, in particular, however should have you concerned. 
</li>
<li>
Bills If you're seeing unusual signs in the property, then it's time to turn to the bills.  “A dramatic spike in water consumption could signal drug manufacturing as more water is generally needed to cultivate drug crops," notes Parella. 
</li>
<li>
Unusual wear and tear  Temporary drug labs can leave signs in unusual ways. Colour variations on the walls, such as behind hanging pictures or artworks, after a short-term period is worth a second look.  “If there are intense lights being used as part of a hydroponics set up it may visibly fade paintwork," notes Parella.
</li>
</ol>
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Seven ways to detect if your investment property is being used as a drug lab

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Eling Forest Vineyard, the Southern Highlands of NSW boutique winery, has been sold.
Located just west of Sutton Forest village, the 73 hectare property has been bought by the Wang family for $5.8 million.
<a href="https://www.andrewhearn.com.au/listings/rural_sale-93411-sutton-forest/" target="_blank">It had been listed</a> by interests associated with Warwick Wainberg through Andrew Hearn at the Berrima based Andrew Hearn Real Estate.
The buyers were Wei Guo Wang, Wei Min Wang, Chen Yang Wang and Pei Hong Cao.
It last traded in 2005 at $600,000.
It highlights the Southern Highlands stature as one of Australia's most exciting new wine regions, though still not a patch on the Hunter Valley which has been attracting strong Chinese buying interest in recent years.
The Southern Highlands' first wine producer in recent times was Kim Mogine at Joadja in 1983. There were about 50 vineyards in the region by 2000 that spanned 145 hectares within Australia's newest wine region better known for its tulips.
Cool climate vineyards were first planted at Joadja Creek in the 1870s, supplying Sydney with table grapes.
Established in 1990, Eling Forest was the second modern winery to be established in the cool climate area, with its first wines produced in 1993. 
Its first vines were planted by Leslie Fritz, who was then 80, and came from a long line of winemakers in Hungary. The then 157 hectare holding had cost $1.9 million in 1989.
The grapes are handpicked and vines hand pruned in the traditional manner at the Hume Highway property, with the wine fermented in stainless steel vats, then aged in American and French oak barrels. 
<a href="https://www.elingforest.com.au/cafe-a-cellar-door/gallery" target="_blank">About 120,000 bottles are currently produced plus "Apple Thief" ciders.</a>
The cool climate vineyard produces white and red wine varieties and blends sold through is cellar door which is open seven days a week.
There is an 1840 colonial homestead - restored in 2005 during the ownership of Ron Fryer - and other living quarters that provides accommodation in picturesque gardens tendered to at one point by Clause Crowe. 
It comes with function centre that caters for up to 200.
The former boxer Fortunato "Lucky" Gattellari and his brother Frank briefly bought into Eling Forest Winery, initially securing a small stake around 2003. Their venture, which soon soured, <a href="https://articles.chicagotribune.com/2003-01-22/entertainment/0301220080_1_winemaking-wine-bottle-australian" target="_blank">attracted international media interest</a>.
Other major vineyards in the highlands include the Centennial Vineyards at Bowral, established by the co-founders of Cellarmasters, John Piven Large and his partner, Mark Dowling.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Eling Forest, Sutton Forest vineyard sold to Chinese interests

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Take a cursory look through the international press and reports on housing related matters, and it could be merged it into one text as property cycles become increasingly interrelated and investors search for ‘safe havens’ off-shore.
Overwhelmingly, affordability, bubbles, the rise of Asian investors, and fears of a new breed of non-home owning ‘renters’ dominates, and although headline chasing would place any sensationalist report front of line, the reader comments and related dialogue that follow present a familiar picture for the ordinary home buyer – no matter what reforms are taken, it never seems to get any easier. 
You could be forgiven in thinking it’s by some abject force of nature, bustled in at the time of the ‘big bang’ that property (or as I pointed out <a href="https://catherinecashmore.com.au/wp/?p=494" target="_blank">here</a>, ‘land’) is deemed unaffordable. Outpacing wage growth and inflation through the course of a cycle, subject to the whims of a bank’s propensity to lend - burdening buyers with one of the most stressful experiences they’ll go through in life. 
Or in the bleak words of the eminent poet <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lin-a2lTelg&amp;feature=kp" target="_blank">Leonard Cohen</a>:
“Everybody knows… That’s just the way it goes.”
This is what the real estate and finance industry would have you believe as they navigate through the fluctuations of the property cycle with authoritative analysis, on what and where to buy.  And no doubt, it’s been a prosperous affair.
The number of property investment <a href="https://www.propertybooks.com.au/">books</a> written by the ‘<a href="https://www.propertybooks.com.au/">I Did It - And You Can Too!</a>’ experts, belies belief. And yet, becoming successful in the game isn’t incredibly hard for anyone with an ounce of locational common sense. The authors are simply singing their own interpretation of an age-old song titled ‘Monopoly’. 
Over the course of a business cycle, which is both lead by, and correlated to the housing cycle, the gains – more correctly termed economic rent or “earnings from land,” alone - by far and away surpass those that can be gleaned from other more productive investments.
This was stressed in a recent submission by <a href="https://www.earthsharing.org.au/" target="_blank">Earthshare Australia</a> to the upcoming Senate enquiry into housing affordability:
“Unearned incomes in land increased a whopping $187 billion in the December 2013 quarter alone (<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/6416.0" target="_blank">ABS 6416</a>). Total yearly dividends (2013), for investors engaged in risk, was recently reported at $84 billion – $103 billion less for an entire year.
(Leading them to question) “Why invest in small business or the ASX when one can earn more for less risk at a lower tax rate as a land speculator?”
These gains occur primarily because we choose to leave the larger proportion of ‘economic rent’ (mistakenly termed, ‘capital growth’ – however in this context, we are talking about the unimproved value of the site) locked in the land, rather than recycled back into community – from where it evolved.
Hence why housing is so expensive – the financial benefit derived from improving the surrounding facilities, is not effectively utilised – and our tax and supply policies do little to assist.
The Henry Tax review was not slow to <a href="https://taxreview.treasury.gov.au/content/finalreport.aspx?doc=html/publications/papers/final_report_part_1/chapter_12.htm" target="_blank">point this out</a>, when it suggested progressively scrapping a vast array of ‘bad taxes’ (payroll, insurance, vehicle registration, stamp duty, and forth, as well as reducing those that reward speculation) and instead, collecting more of the economic rent of natural resources - significantly land. (Notwithstanding, it was another government review which fell largely on deaf ears.)
Yet, historically, the capture of economic rent (through land tax and to some extent ‘betterment’ taxes) financed some of the most remarkable infrastructure we have. Sydney Harbour Bridge being a case in point.
The tale of a bridge and our accumulated wealth
It was <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/rearvision/tony-abbotts-big-plans-at-odds-with-infrastructure-history/5404212" target="_blank">acknowledged</a> at the time, that residents on the north shore would benefit significantly from an increase in their property values as a result of this essential piece of infrastructure.  Therefore, a framework was set in place to capture a proportion of the uplift – approximately one third – to assist with funding. 
This was in no way detrimental to the property owners. 
The increased advantage of economic activity coupled with the rise in prices resulting from the enterprise, more than compensated. A win-win if you like – and readily accepted by the public as fair.
Over time, changes in the way both state and federal government collected tax moved focus away from land values, onto productivity, effectively, placing a fine on labour and doing a good job of keeping us asset rich and income poor.
It’s great for the haves – but not the ‘have-nots’ (our growing pool of tenants.)
Consequently, the wealth locked in our residential land market, through the process of this accrued speculation – sits at post $4 trillion (add the buildings on top, and it’s an estimated $5.02 trillion).
It’s so large a number; it’s almost meaningless in real terms.
In comparison, the UK housing market is assessed to be $5.2 trillion with a population of around 60 million, so the distribution across a population of 23 million, is telling.
It’s this, that enables publications, such as the <a href="https://www.credit-suisse.com/ch/en/news-and-expertise/topics/wealth.article/article/pwp/news-and-expertise/2012/10/en/global-wealth-report-locating-the-super-rich.html" target="_blank">Global Wealth Report</a> produced annually by Credit Suisse, to assess Australian’s to be the ‘richest in the world’ in median terms. 
In other words – if you stand everyone in a long line, richest to poorest, the middleman has more asset wealth than any other country assessed.
It should therefore come as no surprise that our wealthy know where to bank their dollars - and it’s not down the high street.
As economist <a href="https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/adair-turner-explains-how-a-fresh-wave-of-automation-is-transforming-employment-and-much-else" target="_blank">Adair Turner</a> and others have pointed out in response to a recent report by Oxfam, which demonstrates how Britain’s five richest families are wealthier than the poorest 20% of the population.  The riches are only in part derived through productive activity – the vast ‘wealth’ however, has been derived through ‘rents’ (unearned gains) in land.
If you thought wars were about religion – think again.
The compounded rent is effectively what we pay for when acquiring real estate – a calculation that takes into account expectations of future growth, minus expenses for the time held – along with a range of other variables such as wages and borrowing rates.
Yet capturing a greater percentage of annual land values, whilst at the same time reducing those on productivity holds much in its favour.
<ul>
<li>It reduces the propensity of boom/bust housing cycles. 
</li>
<li>Encourages timely construction and effective utilisation (good for both the economy, employment and consequently, our welfare state). 
</li>
<li>Aids infrastructure financing. 
</li>
<li>Supports decentralisation. 
</li>
<li>Assists in keeping the cost of shelter affordable – levelling to some degree, the playing field between non-owners and owners. 
</li>
<li>And importantly, in regions where it’s been implemented with <a href="https://catherinecashmore.com.au/wp/?p=414" target="_blank">success</a> - Pittsburgh and Pennsylvania being examples - most owners pay less tax when there’s a shift from productivity onto land, than would be the case otherwise.</li>
</ul>
Article continues on next page. Please click below. 
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
Change ahead?
Of course, to change the mindset of any nation that has been encouraged to use their housing investments as leverage for economic activity, a welfare fund for retirement, collateral for the advancement of business and commerce, and an ATM for family emergencies, is no easy task. 
Not to mention the many vested interests in both government and the property industry, all of which derive their income from the promotion of it.
However, it’s vitally important we do so – because it sits at the very base of everyconversation government is current having regarding the welfare state, cutting pensions, and increasing the working age until retirement.
Even in our technological age of driverless cars, lasers that can change the weather, 3D printers that can produce substitute body parts, and solar farms that can produce enough energy to run a small city, nothing is possible without the land which gives us the food we eat, the water we drink, the air we breathe, and a rich array of commodities to fuel our appetite for ‘growth.’
There is nothing to be gleaned in from the hording of land, and whilst secure private tenure of property is vital in so much as land needs to be cared for, cultivated, and effectively utilised, a proportion of unearned economic gains that come from the locational rent of the unimproved value alone – should not be privatised to the extent that prices escalate through the inducement of speculative gain.
Can supply policy solve it alone?
We talk a lot about supply, but whilst the status quo exists - rising land values being used as the primary driver for economic growth – high prices ensure land will only developed for profit, timed to capture the upward wave of a cycle, rather than developed to meet the immediate needs of a home buyer, which does little to deter the wasteful process of <a href="https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/business/wa/a/22865421/developers-choking-land-supply/" target="_blank">land banking</a>.
It is not insignificant that the burdens to supply policy, which we consistently criticise – the structural impediments to development - were implemented along side a gradual shift of the rental capture of land, onto productivity.
As <a href="https://www.bobday.com.au/PDF/Home-Truths-Revisited-May-2013.pdf" target="_blank">Bob Day asserts in his submission</a> to the Senate debate on housing affordability:
“The regulatory seeds of the housing affordability crisis were sown in the 1970s. Until then land was abundant and affordable, and the development of new suburbs was largely left to the private sector.”
The 1970s was not only the point at which urban zoning (a process of false scarcity) was imposed by state governments – it also came at a time at which any hope of tax capturing the fair uplift in land values to keep construction timely and offset soaring costs, had been truly eroded.
This, coupled with a shift in infrastructure financing – as private enterprise played an ever-increasing role and projects were no longer provided with capacity ahead of time, but required to prove revenue – ‘user pays’ whilst home owner benefits – was the beginning of the end.  
A Glance Back At Policy
Early settlers had rejected the British system of taxing both land and buildings, in favour of the methods advocated by the classical economist <a href="https://www.prosper.org.au/about/henry-george/" target="_blank">Henry George</a>, who had previously presented his ‘single tax' theory in Australia to thunderous success. 
However, over time, the government’s inept and poor administration in the regularity and standard of valuations, the creeping in of exemptions (including the family home) coupled with lobbying from large landholders - a group which have historically maintained the greatest political clout – significantly eroded the system, and by the 1950s an array of taxes were falling increasingly on productivity, rather than land. 
In 1953 when the Menzies government abolished the <a href="https://www.prosper.org.au/about/geoists-in-history/clyde-cameron/" target="_blank">Federal Land Tax</a>, rapid post war population growth had firmly laid the foundations for a thirst to profit through capital gain (mounting land values.
The then Labour party – which had historically always rallied in favour of raising revenue from the economic rent of land rather than productivity, were up in arms, prompting <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arthur_Calwell" target="_blank">Arthur Calwell</a> to speak in opposition of the plan, passionately declaring:
“We have always believed in the land tax…The land belongs to the people, and its use must be safeguarded and protected at all times!” (Hansard, Vol 221, pp 165-170 passim)
However, it was the beginning of the end. Up until 1961 it was an integral part of the Labour platform. By 1963 however, the commitment had been omitted all together, apparently, <a href="https://www.cooperativeindividualism.org/cameron-clyde_how-labor-lost-its-way-2005" target="_blank">without conference approval</a>.
When Whitlam came to power in 1972 (see Bob Day’s comment above) he ignored any call to bring in legislation to collect the economic rent of land, instead of levying heavy direct and indirect taxes on income, and in so doing, a politically fabricated boom in land values was underway.
In the decades that followed, the promotion of negative gearing (1985), halving of the capital gains on investors (1999), onerous levies on development and upfront infrastructure costs passed onto buyers - grants, incentives and so forth, had little to do with the delivery of affordable housing, and everything to do with escalating land prices.
It should come as no surprise then, that large landowners and the commission side of the real estate industry, shy away from any changes to the tax system. The smoke screen debates on affordability and scrapping negative gearing are just that.
So what now?
Due to China-led resilience and economic stimulus Australia, although in no way unscathed, avoided the disastrous consequences of 2008, resulting in thousands of foreclosures across the US and Europe, whilst banks were bailed and families <a href="https://stephendonnelly.ie/betrayed-by-victorian-era-debtors-prison-mentality/" target="_blank">continue</a> to be evicted.
Not so the recession that marked the early 1990s.  
Affecting 17 out of 18 comparable OECD countries, high unemployment, a large current account deficit and elevated level of foreign debt left many economists gloomy Australia would ever achieve long lasting economic recovery.
Endless debate was given to the causes and consequence, which left policy makers reassuring the community that lessons’, would be learnt! However, as the then Governor of the RBA, <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/saturdayextra/ian-macfarlane/3378434" target="_blank">Ian McFarlane, later summed up in his 2006 Boyer lecture</a>:
“Any boom built on rising asset prices financed by increased borrowing has to end.”
And considering the date this lecture was given (2006), the following comment was insightful:
“No-one though has a clear mandate at the moment to deal with the threat of major financial instability associated with an asset price boom and bust.”
It’s unfortunate that “no-one” happens to be our most influential political and economic policy makers – and indeed, we’re not alone. 
After every economic crisis, there is always the promise that events will never happen again – safe guards are put in place and eventually the wreckage is cleared. however happen they do, and reforms that promise otherwise repeatedly fail.
Significantly, globalisation, the interrelating of major economies, is adding to the volatile nature of each economic downturn.  As Wayne Swan asserted in his speech <a href="https://ministers.treasury.gov.au/DisplayDocs.aspx?doc=speeches/2009/006.htm&amp;pageID=005&amp;min=wms&amp;Year=&amp;DocType=" target="_blank">“A Future Of Promise”</a> given at The Sydney institute in 2007:
“It is, truly, the sharpest synchronised global downturn in living memory… And it's being inflicted on good Australians through no fault of their own.”
No cycle is exactly the same, but while history may not exactly mirror the past, patterns do emerge. 
There’s only one reason we have devastating house price booms and busts –  and that is speculation induced, in this case, through the privatisation of unearned gains.  And whilst some continue to reap a windfall from exploiting the process, we really need to pause and ask – Who is it really benefitting?
It’s time for change. 
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catherinecashmore-6LXia3pPQj

Who is really benefiting from the property cycle, and at what cost?

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Month end - again
Been blinkin' busy of late, and yesterday I was appalled to discover that according to my calendar it's already the start of a new month!
That being the case, with all the usual caveats about why spending too much time looking at monthly and quarterly dwelling price data might not be a smart idea, we can run a few calculations to show what RP Data will report in a few days time as their dwelling price movements for the month, quarter and year to date.
<div>
<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-yDRXr-mmbhI/U2A20wikabI/AAAAAAAAM1U/wtIDKYYc5eM/s1600/RPDq12014.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-yDRXr-mmbhI/U2A20wikabI/AAAAAAAAM1U/wtIDKYYc5eM/s1600/RPDq12014.jpg"></a>
</div>
So, nationally dwelling prices were recorded as being +0.3% for the month, +2.6% for the quarter and an extremely strong +3.9% for the 2014 year to date, with the national figures being skewed by exceptionally strong growth in Sydney.
The strongest gains in 2014 have been in Sydney (+5.0%) as we <a href="/expert-insights/buying/crystal-ball-gazing-property-market-predictions-for-2014">confidently predicted</a> in our 2014 forecasts, with Melbourne just a tick behind (+4.9%).
Forecasting
I also explained in the same article why I'm not a big believer in property price forecasts...particularly those which claim to forecast to one decimal place!
Anyone who tells you that they have a model to predict prices to that level of accuracy is either (a) lying or (b) delusional.
It doesn't matter what econometric model you choose to build, eventually it will blow up due to an unforeseen X factor.
All you can really do is start with borrowing rates, household debt levels, market sentiment and fundamentals, economic and employment forecasts etc. and then build a base case from there.
But think of all the unpredictable events we've seen in recent years - the US sequester and fiscal cliff, the US debt ceiling crisis, Cyprus debt crisis, changes in monetary and fiscal policy...you just can't predict and factor in all that stuff.
So you either make a forecasts with a huge range (e.g. 12% to 30% growth in 2014) or you make a weighted average forecast, accept you'll probably be wrong and risk ending up looking like a total doofus (e.g. our own <a href="/expert-insights/buying/crystal-ball-gazing-property-market-predictions-for-2014">6% to 9%</a> in 2014 for Sydney).
As to whether or not Sydney overshoots the top of our expectations? Well, we're only a third of the way through the year, and that remains to be seen.
This all rather contrary to my investment philosophy in any case, which is that property should be seen as a 20-30 year investment decision, and ideally much longer still.
If you're banking on market price movements within a few years, then you're probably in the wrong game.
Other cities
You'll note from the <a href="/expert-insights/buying/crystal-ball-gazing-property-market-predictions-for-2014">same article</a> that we were generally less optimistic than almost everyone else about property prices in 2014, since we felt that houeshold debt levels were generally too high and annualised wages growth tracking too low to facilitate anything like the levels of nationwide dwelling price growth we've seen in cycles past.
Anyways, back to RP Data's figures.
Melbourne was next up for the year to date (+4.9%), though there's been plenty of chatter around easing auction clearance rates, and RP Data recorded a small fall for the month of April itself (-0.5%).
Some signs of life in Adelaide at last too! - although year-on-year the South Australian capital has still been the worst performing major capital city by a wide margin.
Still, prices have under-performed in Adelaide for so many years that some level of catch-up at last now appears due.
Other providers 
<div>Incidentally, I don't have any allegiance to particular data providers.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>And since I have no barrow to push on that front and have even less interest in the bickering between them (just look at all of them is my reckoning, and if necessary, give any outlying results the flick) below is what Australian Property Monitors recorded for the first quarter for houses and units.</div>
 
<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-_oT6dawPwtU/U2A4GLzG3aI/AAAAAAAAM1g/gHePLGV-THQ/s1600/APM+Q1.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-_oT6dawPwtU/U2A4GLzG3aI/AAAAAAAAM1g/gHePLGV-THQ/s1600/APM+Q1.jpg"></a>
Sydney still clearly leading the recovery, both in terms of houses and apartments. Note, however, that these figures have been impacted by revisions to the December quarter figures. Without the revisions, Melbourne would have recorded extremely strong house price growth of more than 6% in the first quarter.
SQM Forecasts
<div>Our forecast for Sydney was 6% to 9% growth in 2014, taking the broad view that price growth could eventually be derailed as the year draws to a close and yields begin to sag, just as they did in 2003.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>At this stage that looks like that forecast be a touch under-cooked since prices are growing strongly, the market is tight and as yet there is no sign of interest rate hikes on the horizon to dampen sentiment.</div>
<a href="https://www.sqmresearch.com.au/NationalOutlookReport2014MediaRelease.pdf" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">SQM Research forecast</a> very strong growth of 15-20% in Sydney in 2014. 
Natch these forecasts will be benchmarked against a different price series from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) at the end of the year, but for a bit of light interest as much as anything else, I've been tracking their annual forecasts against RP Data's Daily Home Value Index. A bit of mental gymnastics tells me that since a third of the year has gone and Sydney's dwelling price index has been humming along at 5% YTD price growth, then prices should be tracking right at the bottom end of SQM's forecast range:
<div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-VCZ8faEN_uE/U2A6l_2ELbI/AAAAAAAAM14/gDX2r-x_Ym4/s1600/SQM2014SYD.jpg"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-VCZ8faEN_uE/U2A6l_2ELbI/AAAAAAAAM14/gDX2r-x_Ym4/s1600/SQM2014SYD.jpg"></a></div>
And indeed, so they are.
</div>
<div>
And below are SQM's national forecasts benchmarked against RP Data's index for the first four months of the year.
<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-5v6TwFilem0/U2A65csTnZI/AAAAAAAAM2A/nbrhiJzcs-A/s1600/SQM2014AUS.jpg"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-5v6TwFilem0/U2A65csTnZI/AAAAAAAAM2A/nbrhiJzcs-A/s1600/SQM2014AUS.jpg"></a>
Only a third of the year gone, but at this stage I'd take a bet that their national dwelling price forecast could prove to be bang on the money when benchmarked against the ABS series.
You can visit <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) or Pete's <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blog</a>.
His new book '<a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' is out now.
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Dwelling prices rise further in April

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The release of the Commission of Audit yesterday has recommended the federal government abolish support for funding through the <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.startupsmart.com.au/financing-a-business/commission-says-startups-should-not-receive-government-help/2014050112201" target="_blank">Commercialisation Australia and Innovation Investment Fund</a>.
The commission believes the government should stop providing assistance to startups as there was no greater public benefit, with benefits only for the companies.
“The intellectual property, and any profits arising from these new ideas remains with the business, and there are no clear public benefits arising,” the report says.
“The process of commercialising new products can often be a difficult one.
“However, skills and finance can be acquired from the private sector, and there is no clear reason for the Commonwealth to provide this assistance in competition with private sector providers.”
We spoke to a number of investors about their reaction to the recommendation and what impact, if any, it would have on the community.
Rui Rodrigues, investment manager, <a href="https://www.tankstream.vc/" target="_blank">Tank Stream Ventures</a>:
Rodrigues says that while the tech sector is not reliant on these grants, and nor should they be, there will be an impact in the industry should the recommendations be approved by the government.
“There grants are important in early stage startups and there will be consequences for the sector if they are abolished,” Rodrigues says.
He points out that Commercialisation Australia was responsible for commercialising Wi-Fi (a method was developed and patented by Australian CSIRO researchers to "unsmear" radio waves that echo off indoor surfaces making Wi-Fi possible) something the government was still reaping rewards from through licensing.
He says the audit was not well executed and there were no ideas on how to support innovation and no recommendations on how things could be done better.
“Companies will continue with these grants or not, it’s not critical, but they will be impacted,” Rodrigues says.  
Governments should not be responsible for investment in startups, but they do need to put incentives in place to facilitate it from the private sector.”
Adrian Stone, chairman, <a href="https://www.investorsorg.com/" target="_blank">Investor’s Org</a> and early stage investor:
Stone says his concern is for early stage startups, which were never well-supported by their Commercialisation Australia or the Innovation Investment Fund.
“They were relics of the old days developed along a manufacturing model that did not support startups well,” he says.
The crucial factor here, according to Stone, is that early stage investment represents better “bang for your buck.” Using government money to get in early would represent a greater reward to the economy in the long-run with smaller amounts of money needed.
“The Commercialisation Grant should stay, but it needs to be simplified,” Stone says. “Governments should be co-investing with investors and accelerators that know and understand the market.”
He says IIR was never relevant and in setting up accelerator Inspire 9, of which he is a partner, there was no government support available.
He says a new process that was quicker and simpler was needed by the industry and the current commercialisation grant, which insisted on startups being “pre-revenue”, went against lean startup best principles, forcing startups to apply at a stage where they hadn’t proven their viability as a business.
Clearly the government had a mandate to save money without giving much thought to the longer term impact beyond two years, he adds.
This article first appeared on <a href="https://www.startupsmart.com.au/" target="_blank">StartUpSmart</a>.
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Investors react to Commission of Audit recommendations

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International cosmetics retailer Sephora will arrive in Australia in time for Christmas, with the retailer confirming on Thursday that it will open a stand-alone store in Sydney’s CBD in December.
After <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/marketing/sales/41469-sephora-tipped-to-open-in-australia" target="_blank">reports earlier this year</a> that the retailer would enter the Australian market in the first half of 2015, <a href="https://www.afr.com/p/business/companies/sephora_to_open_first_australian_PzbdFGr3eLfG9vgtnaKtUN" target="_blank">Fairfax reports</a> Sephora has secured a three-level 800 square metres store in Pitt Street Mall which is currently occupied by clothing retailer Esprit.
It’s just the first step in the retailer’s ambitious plans to shake up the local beauty and cosmetics market, with Ravi Thakran, group president for Asia and the Middle East for parent company LVMH, telling Fairfax there is room for around 20 Sephora stores to launch in Australia in coming years.
Sephora is the fastest growing brand within the LVMH group, which includes other brands such as Louis Vuitton, Givenchy and Bulgari.
The retailer will be hoping to secure a share of Australia’s cosmetic and toiletry sector, which according to the latest figures from IBISWorld generates annual revenues of $5.5 billion, and is projected to grow at an annual rate of 3% over the next five years.
Senior IBISWorld analyst Caroline Finch told SmartCompany the local cosmetics market is “big bikkies”, with local shoppers choosing to spend their cash with a variety of retailers, including David Jones and Myer, Priceline, and speciality retailers such as Aesop and the Body Shop.
As the latest <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/growth/economy/33935-uniqlo-to-open-first-australian-store-in-melbourne" target="_blank">international retailer to set its sights on the Australian market</a>, we’ve pulled together three quick pieces of information you probably didn’t know about Sephora.
1. European market leader
Sephora has a long history in the European beauty and cosmetics market, having been founded in in 1969. The retailer is now the market leader in Europe, as well as holding a large portion of the United States cosmetics market.
The business was acquired by LVMH in 1997 and now operates more than 1,400 stores in 30 countries.
2. A wide range of premium products
According to Finch, Sephora will opt for a “targeted approach” to the Australian market that will be based on offering an extensive range of premium beauty products, including high-end brands such as Marc Jacobs not currently distributed locally.
For this reason, Finch believes the retailer will pose the biggest threat to DJs and Myer, rather than Priceline, which competes on everyday low prices. In fact, Finch says Sephora may complement Priceline’s strategy, with customers choosing to buy high-end products from Sephora but continuing to visit Priceline for basics.
3. More bang for your buck
Finch says the biggest challenge for the department stores will come from Sephora’s customer service strategy, with the retailer’s sales staff able to sell across brands.
While sales staff at DJs and Myer work on commissions, customers visiting Sephora stores will be shown products from more than one retailer at a time. Finch says this is likely to please shoppers, who will see value in the approach.
Internationally, Sephora is also known for providing free samples to its customers, another feature of the retailer’s strategy likely to impress local shoppers.
This article first appeared on <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/" target="_blank">SmartCompany</a>.
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International cosmetics giant Sephora to open first Australian store in December

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GUEST OBSERVATION
If you own a rental property you could be one of the 110,000 investors who will be getting a letter from the Australian Tax Office (ATO) about your tax liabilities.
The ATO has announced that it will be writing to a sample of rental property owners about their tax obligations and entitlements, after new data mining technology identified that property investors may have submitted incorrect tax claims in prior tax years.
The ATO are targeting aggressive expense deductions and particularly the estimated two thirds of property investors who are negatively gearing their investments and claiming losses on their investment properties to offset their tax bills.
If you fall into this category, the following tips might be worth considering when you are completing your tax return.
What’s the status of the property?
Firstly, it’s vital that, if you’re claiming deductions, your rental property needs to be rented or available for rent. If a property is not available for rent, then expenses incurred by a taxpayer are not deductible.
This would seem an obvious point, but it’s worth remembering particularly if your property – as a holiday home or other part-time accommodation - is not rented out across the entire year. If that’s the case, remember that you can only claim deductions for the period that the property is rented or available for rent.
Who’s the owner?
It’s also worth remembering that the legal ownership of the rental property determines the proportion of ownership and entitlement to deductions on your individual tax return. This means that if a husband and wife purchase a rental property in joint names, then their levels of ownership will be 50/50 unless stated otherwise in the purchase contract.
Categories of deduction
Generally, the ATO specifies three types of rental property expenses:
<ul>
<li>Those which you cannot claim a deduction. 
</li>
<li>Those which can be claimed as an immediate deduction in the financial year in which they were incurred. 
</li>
<li>Those that can be deducted over a number of years.</li>
</ul>
Capital or personal expenses aren’t deductible, although you may be able to claim decline in value deductions (depreciation) or capital works deductions, or include certain capital costs in the cost base of the property for capital gains tax purposes. Other examples across each of the three categories are outlined in the sidebar alongside this article.
The picture also gets a bit more complicated when other considerations are factored in. For example, if you take out a loan to purchase a rental property, you can claim the interest charged on that loan as a deduction. However, if the loan is taken out for more than one purpose, you can only claim the interest relevant to the amount borrowed for the rental property. Depending on your circumstances, there may also be potential to claim prepaid interest to maximise your deductions.
Another factor which often confuses owners is the area of repairs and improvements to the property. Spending on repairs and maintenance is tax deductible, but you can’t immediately deduct costs on improvements and total replacements of items, as these are considered capital in nature. However, you might be able to claim depreciation and capital allowances on some improvements.
And, if you’re looking to fix something straight after buying the property, remember that you cannot claim initial repair costs for deterioration and damage already there when you bought the property until at least 12 months after purchase
You should consider getting a quantity surveyor’s depreciation report to ensure you can claim the maximum depreciation and capital allowances deductions. A specialist quantity surveyor can visit your property and prepare a depreciation report that will cover the actual building and the items within it (such as air-conditioner, stove, hot water service, etc).
It’s also worth consulting your accountant before you leap into the property investment space. Given the issues outlined above, tax time can be complex for property investors. When it comes to completing your tax return, working with your accountant to get it right can save a great deal of paperwork – and cost – down the track.
Daniel Deutsch is a partner at <a href="https://www.marinaccountants.com.au/" target="_blank">Marin Accountants</a>, a firm specialising in advice for individuals, investors and family businesses. 
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