Around 400 additional homes could be built at Southwark Grounds on Port Road, lifting total site capacity from 1300 to around 1700 dwellings.

A recently approved code amendment would allow apartment towers of up to 14 storeys in some areas of Renewal SA’s redevelopment of the former West End Brewery.

Renewal SA Acting Chief Executive Shane Wingard said he welcomed the code amendment, with the increase in heights and homes making a positive impact on the supply of high-quality, well-connected housing close to the city.

“By going higher across some parts of Southwark Grounds, we are adding a substantial number of very well-located homes with little impact on project delivery time or planned open space,” Mr Wingard said.

Since the project officially launched in 2025, Mr Wingard said more than 12,000 enquiries had been received about living at Southwark Grounds.

“The very strong early interest we’ve seen since homes were first released in the precinct reinforces our plans to create more housing opportunities,” he said.

The Southwark Grounds code amendment was launched in December last year, with community engagement undertaken over five weeks from January.

It proposed increasing maximum building heights from eight to 14 storeys on the eastern section of Southwark Grounds, and to 12 storeys across the remainder of the site, with minimum building heights ranging from two to four storeys.

The code amendment was implemented through an Early Commencement policy in late January, allowing developers to quickly explore the viability of increased height and housing yield while other planning processes continue.

One of the first developers delivering apartment sites have already finalised redesigns to increase the number of apartments following the code amendment.

Samaras’ development adjacent to the future Colonel Light Park is now planning to deliver 125 apartments across 11 storeys, significantly greater than original plans of around 50 apartments across four storeys.

The developer is also exploring the potential for additional affordable housing outcomes.

Most of the apartments at Southwark Grounds will be delivered within a master-planned precinct on a large parcel of land on the eastern portion of the site, covering around two-thirds of its 8.4 hectares.

Wingard said detailed precinct planning over the coming months may identify further opportunities to increase yield further that could see total apartment numbers at Southwark Grounds, exceed this number.

Affordable homes at Southwark Grounds will also see a net increase, with Renewal SA maintaining its commitment to a minimum of 20 per cent affordable housing across the development.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Civil works have begun across the site, with construction under way on the first new roads surrounding a townhouse precinct in the south‑west corner of Southwark Grounds. This includes Renewal SA’s 17 Founder’s Row homes, which are on track for completion by Christmas.

“We expect to have people living at Southwark Grounds by the end of the year, so delivering roads and public spaces for those residents is among our highest priorities.”

Construction of 40 townhouses off Anderson Street, known as West Village and being delivered by Contour, is forecast to begin in mid‑2026. Kolabb’s Anderson Lane development will follow shortly after, delivering a further 26 townhouses.

Southwark Grounds is a state government‑led urban renewal project now set to deliver around 1,700 homes over the next decade.

Homes will be supported by a supermarket, a range of retail and hospitality offerings anchored by a revitalised Walkerville Brew Tower, a childcare centre, car parking and well‑connected public spaces.

Joel Robinson

400 new homes planned for Adelaide's former West End Brewery site

Brisbane developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/cavcorp">Cavcorp</a> has lodged plans for a new mixed-use residential development at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/55-wyandra-street-teneriffe-qld-4005">55 Wyandra Street</a>, Teneriffe, anchored by an 85-metre public laneway designed to reconnect the suburb’s riverfront with the Gasworks precinct.

The buildings, known as Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane, would replace the existing Queensland Cotton head office site with a 15-storey residential tower transitioning to eight storeys toward Helen Street. The project has been designed by Plazibat Architects and lodged as a code assessable development application for 93 apartments across a 3,401 sqm mixed-use site within the Newstead and Teneriffe Waterfront neighbourhood plan.

Central to the scheme is the transformation of an existing service easement into a publicly accessible cross-block connection linking Wyandra and Helen Streets. Cavcorp says the new laneway will act as both a pedestrian shortcut and a landscaped civic space between the Teneriffe Riverwalk, ferry terminal, and Gasworks precinct.

<img alt="First Look: Cavcorp unveils Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane plans for landmark wellness tower in Teneriffe" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="26e7f058-b065-4de8-b13d-a2b8cb64dfcc" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/bldg.png?VersionId=sELS0ZKYi361oYipUa1BIKfe_.DLZoFV" />

“The revised proposal delivers a legacy public-realm cross-block link, permanently secured for community use, transforming an existing private easement into a safe, high-quality pedestrian connection between the Teneriffe heritage riverwalk and the Gasworks–Long Island precinct,” the planning report states.

The laneway will sit beneath a large subtropical loggia integrated into the podium levels of the development. The design incorporates deep landscaping, water gardens, lobby spaces, business lounges, and ground-floor apartments to create what Cavcorp describes as a climate-responsive “urban verandah.”

The tower itself has been designed as a slender form with recessed floorplates and curved translucent corners inspired by contemporary Japanese architecture. The building height aligns with the Commercial Road precinct controls, which permit towers up to 15 storeys within proximity to Longland Street.

<img alt="First Look: Cavcorp unveils Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane plans for landmark wellness tower in Teneriffe" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a8a17d40-43b6-4718-b3fd-67676fcbb485" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/pers%202_1.png?VersionId=i3VwDtp5AmL_8InW7w4qRbDFEpb744Jt" />

The project will comprise a mix of larger-format apartments aimed at owner-occupiers, downsizers, and families. The proposed apartment mix includes 11 loggia apartments across the lower levels, 50 four-bedroom Sky-Terrace apartments from levels three to seven, and 32 Sky-Pool Homes occupying the upper tower levels. The Sky-Pool Homes will feature private thermal plunge pools integrated into oversized balconies.

According to the application, the apartments are intended to reinterpret the scale and character of Teneriffe’s woolstore conversions and Queensland homes within a vertical residential format.

“The sky-pool homes build on Cavcorp’s previous projects and introduce a distinct apartment typology to Teneriffe, informed by both local and international precedent and responding to an identified market demand for enhanced safety, space and amenity,” the planning submission notes.

A major focus of the proposal is its five-level wellness and lifestyle offering, extending from the basement through to the rooftop.

Amenities proposed include a rooftop Swim &amp; Racquet Club with a 25-metre Olympic lap pool and tennis court, coworking spaces and libraries, golf simulators, wine storage, concierge facilities, business lounges, pet wash areas, and rooftop longevity-focused wellness spaces with spas, outdoor fitness zones, and landscaped terraces.

<img alt="First Look: Cavcorp unveils Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane plans for landmark wellness tower in Teneriffe" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="944b352c-49b9-4247-a4c6-5967b4b69fda" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/amenity.png?VersionId=Ed_qKjAtMwFT.5gfl3jiA9QwdWxSMsaX" />

All parking will be concealed within basement levels accessed from Wyandra and Helen Streets. Cavcorp says the deep-basement engineering approach allows the entire ground plane to prioritise landscaping, pedestrian movement, and active frontage rather than vehicle infrastructure.

The development continues Cavcorp’s concentration in Newstead and Teneriffe, where the Brisbane developer has delivered a number of apartment projects including Lucent, Le Bain, and Luminare, as well as the Long Island Wellness Precinct nearby. Several of those projects have received national design and architecture awards, including recognition under Brisbane’s “Buildings that Breathe” program.

Cavcorp unveils wellness-focused Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane apartment buildings

Focus Group Investments has lodged plans for a new apartment development at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/64-70-hanover-street-fitzroy-vic-3065">64–70 Hanover Street</a> in Fitzroy, seeking to utilise the Victorian Government’s recently introduced Great Design Fast Track pathway to accelerate approvals for the project.

The proposal is among the latest developments to emerge through the state-led initiative, which was established to fast-track well-designed residential projects in activity centres and transport-connected inner-city locations. The pathway allows qualifying developments that meet elevated design and housing benchmarks to bypass traditional council planning timeframes and instead be assessed directly by the Department of Transport and Planning.

Designed by SJB, the development will comprise a mix of apartments above activated lower levels, with a strong focus on architectural articulation, landscaping, and communal amenity. The design response seeks to balance the industrial character of Richmond’s former warehouse precincts with a more contemporary residential form.

<img alt="First look: Focus Group Investments taps Victoria’s Great Design Fast Track for Richmond apartments" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="abea51cc-d85b-479e-9aef-a589f3b37ca7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/ground.png?VersionId=e1Kf8EyPWwyiVumtqQ4rM5S4GpOR3CCz" />

Proposed are 63 new dwellings, a wide ranging mix of studio, one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments, and townhouses and duplexes. They will be spread across a part-three, part-eight storey building.

The Planning and Urban Context Report by Tract says the development is of an "exemplary architectural standard" and has been carefully crafted by SJB Architects.

"Dwellings&nbsp;will benefit from excellent access to natural light, cross-ventilation opportunities and extensive communal space," the report noted.

The architectural material highlights the project’s integration of landscaped elements and communal spaces throughout the building. The proposal also incorporates sustainability initiatives aligned with the Victorian Government’s push for higher-performing apartment developments under the fast-track program.

The Great Design Fast Track was unveiled by the Victorian Government in 2024 as part of a broader housing supply strategy aimed at accelerating the delivery of new homes. Projects assessed through the pathway must demonstrate high-quality architecture, sustainability outcomes, and housing diversity while being located close to public transport and existing infrastructure.

<img alt="First look: Focus Group Investments taps Victoria’s Great Design Fast Track for Richmond apartments" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="afdbe834-8dc4-4a77-a943-ba07bc927348" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/site_11.png?VersionId=0J657j.TaChAZfp93wqJYBTqSsnREJx2" />

Focus Group, founder and led by Paul De Lutiis, is increasingly active across Melbourne’s inner suburbs, targeting well-connected urban renewal locations suited to medium and higher-density residential development. The Fitzroy proposal continues that strategy, leveraging the area’s strong transport links, established retail amenity, and proximity to the CBD.

Fitzroy has been one of the most popular spots for developers and buyers in recent years. The likes of PACE Development Group, SMA Projects, Crema Group and Chapter Group, currently selling projects in the suburb.

First look: Focus Group Investments taps Victoria’s Great Design Fast Track for Fitzroy apartments

The Gold Coast Planning Committee has supported the preliminary approval for the Benowa Gardens Urban Village project following an extensive community consultation and assessment process.

The proposal will now proceed to a full council vote on June 2.

The application sought approval for a masterplanned urban village on the existing Benowa Gardens Shopping Centre site, combining new housing, retail, dining, health and lifestyle amenities within a walkable, integrated precinct.&nbsp;

The proposed redevelopment includes around 413 apartments integrated above a revitalised mixed-use centre featuring a full-line supermarket of 4,000 sqm, 6,000 sqm of specialty retail and dining space across around 30 retailers, a 7,000 sqm health and wellness precinct, and roughly 9,630 sqm of office and medical suites.&nbsp;

<img alt="$1b Benowa Gardens Urban Village moves to Full Council following Planning Committee support" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fb36ae47-80bc-45f0-9914-31b0c7b6007d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/PR26576%20Ashmore%20Road%20C4%201121%20FI.jpg?VersionId=6mRKk2uU4r67TmTt39DKGUlvFRbTVqWa" />

The broader masterplan also includes very significant traffic and transport improvements, wide pedestrian walkways, upgraded pedestrian and cycle connections, and enhanced public areas designed to create a more connected and walkable community environment.&nbsp;

Centre owner Patrick Lu said the milestone reflected months of detailed planning, technical assessment and ongoing communication with local residents, businesses, schools and stakeholders.

“We appreciate the time, consideration and care Council officers and the Planning Committee have given this proposal throughout the assessment process,” Lu said.

“We also sincerely thank the local community for engaging with us, sharing feedback and participating in the consultation process over many months.

<img alt="$1b Benowa Gardens Urban Village moves to Full Council following Planning Committee support" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="32fd1fc3-d0e6-485f-ac57-9916c9bcb818" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/PR26576%20Ashmore%20Road%20C5%201121%20FI_2.jpg?VersionId=fz8qQKDBLQ7MyFRc856Zccfbh9nFwLOe" />

“We understand projects of this scale bring questions and concerns, which is why we have worked hard to listen carefully, provide information transparently and continue refining elements of the proposal where possible.

“Our vision has always been to create a well-designed, community-focused urban village that responds to the changing needs of the Gold Coast, while delivering improved amenity, housing diversity, healthcare access and local lifestyle benefits.

“This proposal is about creating a genuine live-work-play environment where residents can access everyday services, schools, healthcare, dining, shopping and green space within walking distance, while also supporting local jobs and economic activity.”

<img alt="$1b Benowa Gardens Urban Village moves to Full Council following Planning Committee support" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="50dfbd04-590e-4fc6-983b-766880947867" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Dining%20Day%20Time%20-%20High%20Resolution.jpg?VersionId=BP7ZoKJ0DdL_8iRkkC8VVx99moICV6kg" />

Lu said the proposal had evolved significantly through consultation and technical review, particularly around traffic, pedestrian and student safety and neighbourhood connectivity.&nbsp;

Melissa Griffin, Director at Urbis, said the recommendation recognised the strategic importance of delivering more housing and services within established urban areas already supported by infrastructure.

“This proposal represents the type of thoughtful, integrated growth that planning frameworks across South-East Queensland are encouraging,” Ms Griffin said.

“The project seeks to place housing, retail, healthcare and employment opportunities together in a highly accessible location close to schools, transport and existing services.

“Importantly, the process has involved significant technical assessment and community engagement to ensure local issues and feedback were properly considered throughout the planning pathway.”

$1 billion Benowa Gardens Urban Village heads to council vote following Planning Committee support

Surfers Paradise is officially set for its first new residential development with a 45-storey skybridge connecting the two towers.

John Camilleri’s Celestino Developments has been given the green light by the Gold Coast City Council to develop its major beachfront precinct across its huge 4,000 sqm oceanfront site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/63-79-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">63–79 Garfield Terrace</a>, just five months after its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-exclusive-billionaire-winx-breeder-s-bold-two-tower-surfers-paradise-play-with-45th-storey-skybridge">submission in late 2025</a>.

The approved scheme will deliver two towers rising 55 and 48 storeys, connected by a skybridge positioned on level 45 that will house a range of resident-only wellness and entertainment spaces.

In its notice of approval, the Gold Coast City Council said the&nbsp;proposed overall built form has been designed to complement the scale, intensity and protect the adjacent amenity and surrounding streets through the use of varied setbacks, site cover and architectural elements.

<img alt="First look exclusive: Billionaire Winx breeder’s bold two-tower Surfers Paradise play with 45th-storey skybridge" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-30%20at%209.53.48%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=ADyPJ_TFbJvSU9wZFOiCBnlPtgF7VWqW" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/dbi">DBI</a>, the development will comprise 275 apartments across the two towers, including a mix of two-, three-, and four-bedroom residences, as well as several penthouses. The apartments will sit above a landscaped podium featuring more than 90 metres of beachfront pool frontage, private resident lawns, lounges, and wellness spaces.

DBI said the design draws heavily from the movement and form of the coastal environment, with curving balcony lines and sculpted façades intended to soften the scale of the towers while maximising ocean outlooks and passive shading outcomes.

“The project occupies a rare, uninterrupted oceanfront site and has been shaped by a design philosophy that merges architectural elegance with environmental responsiveness and a carefully curated lifestyle experience,” DBI said in planning documents submitted to the Gold Coast City Council.

The most distinctive element of the approved project is the skybridge linking the two towers at level 45. The elevated communal space is planned to include executive lounges, formal dining areas, wellness facilities, and panoramic ocean-facing outlooks.

“The skybridge enhances the identity of the development, promotes social interaction, and delivers a lifestyle experience not found elsewhere on the Gold Coast,” DBI said.

At podium level, residents will have access to a suite of resort-style amenities, including resident lounges, private dining rooms, a yoga lawn, gymnasium, plunge pools, and treatment spaces. The beachfront pool has been designed with separate lap, lounge, and children’s areas extending across the width of the site.

The project will also introduce new food and beverage offerings along the Enderley Avenue and Oceanway frontages, contributing additional activation to the beachfront precinct.

First look: Winx billionaire’s beachfront Surfers Paradise apartment development greenlit

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens has ticked off on a major item on the “to do” list for Australian policy-makers: raise the rate of growth in labour productivity.
In his keynote speech at the 2014 ESAMACE conference in Hobart last week, Stevens presented data showing that labour productivity – the value of output produced per hour of labour time – increased at an annual rate of 2.0% in the three years to June 2013.
This is a large jump compared with the rate of just 0.9% per annum in the preceding five years, the period which saw higher productivity growth added to the “to do” list. Stevens interpreted the increased rate of growth in labour productivity since 2010 as evidence that “a number of sectors are making serious efforts to control costs and lift productivity”.
Labour productivity is up
The argument that the rate of growth in labour productivity in Australia has accelerated in recent years certainly seems robust. For example, looking at slightly different periods than Stevens, <a href="https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B_H1wGTm98W3RTZNV3JIc2FET2M/edit?pli=1">in a recent study</a>, I have also shown an increasing rate of growth in labour productivity over the past decade. I calculate that annual labour productivity growth in Australia was 1.15% per annum from 2003 to 2008 and 1.45% per annum from 2008 to 2013.
What I believe requires more scrutiny is the cause of the acceleration in labour productivity growth. To be able to think properly about the causes of growth in labour productivity it is important to understand one big fact: labour productivity differs hugely between industries.
The mining differential
Taking an average over the period from 2003 to 2013, I find that, for example, at the top of the list, an hour of labour in mining produced output worth almost $320, whereas at the bottom of the list, an hour of labour in the accommodation and food services industry produced output worth just under $32 per hour (expressed in 2010-11 prices). Levels of labour productivity in other industries were between these amounts.
The huge differences in labour productivity between industries are mainly driven by differences in the capital intensity of production between industries. Workers in mining have their labour combined with much larger amounts of capital equipment than in accommodation and food services, and hence an hour of their labour produces a larger value of output.
That labour productivity differs so much between industries has major implications for how we should interpret the causes of a rise in the Australia-wide average level of labour productivity.
Article continues on the next page. Please click below.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
Ways to interpret the data
One way in which labour productivity can rise is the same as Stevens suggested in his speech. This is if workers within all (or many) industries become more productive. For example, suppose that the value of output produced by an hour of labour in mining increased from $320 to $330 and in accommodation and food services increased from $32 to $33. Then that growth in labour productivity within industries will raise the average level of labour productivity in Australia.
There is, however, a second way in which average labour productivity can increase. Suppose that we take a worker who previously had a job in the accommodation and food services industry and switch their job to the mining industry. That worker used to produce output worth $32 per hour, but will now produce output worth $320 per hour. Hence the average level of productivity in Australia will increase because a worker has been switched from a low-productivity industry to a high-productivity industry.
What I find in my analysis of labour productivity over the past decade in Australia is that it is changes in the industry composition of employment – the second way I described above - that have been the main cause of growth. In particular I find that the increases in the proportion of workers in mining have been most influential.
Between 2002-03 and 2012-13 the proportion of total hours worked in Australia accounted for by the mining industry increased from 1.2% to 3.1%. Because labour productivity is so high in the mining industry, this has the effect of raising the average level of labour productivity in Australia. I estimate that, without this shift towards the high productivity mining industry, labour productivity growth in Australia would have been only 0.2% per annum from 2003 to 2008, and 0.1% from 2008 to 2013. So rather than the higher rate of growth in labour productivity reflecting sectors making “serious efforts to contain costs and lift productivity”, I would argue that most of the acceleration in growth simply reflects a faster rate of increase in mining employment.
A different picture
In fact, far from productivity improving within industries, the opposite has happened in some key industries. Between 2003 and 2013 labour productivity in mining fell from $458 per hour to $238 per hour. This is a massive decline and has had the effect of lowering average labour productivity in Australia. I estimate that if labour productivity in mining had remained unchanged from 2003 then the rate of growth in labour productivity in Australia in the past five years would have virtually doubled to 2.8% per annum.
Acceleration in labour productivity growth in recent years therefore should be seen to reflect a shift in employment to the high-productivity mining industry rather than workers within industries becoming more productive. What does this mean for the future of labour productivity growth in Australia?
In the short to medium term it is probably good news. The mining boom is not over, and while the proportion of workers in the mining industry remains at its current high level, we will continue to get the benefit of having more workers in this high productivity industry. We are also likely to benefit from growth in productivity within the mining industry. The level of labour productivity in mining is currently at an historic low. Falling commodity prices are creating an imperative for cost savings in mining that will drive productivity improvement.
But it is also clear that in the longer-run, we face an adjustment. Once the mining boom slows, and workers shift out of that industry into other industries with lower-productivity jobs, there will be a drag on the average level of labour productivity in Australia. Then we really will need improvements in productivity that come from within industries.
Jeff Borland is professor of economics at University of Melbourne.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>.
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Labour productivity has risen – but it’s not exactly a good news story

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NSW attracted the largest number of new residents at 110,923 over the period followed by Victoria with 107,916 new residents, Queensland with 79,706, and Western Australia with 71,301.
An important indicator for the housing market, population growth statistics represent a proxy for housing demand. More residents imply more people who require accommodation.
At its peak, Australia’s population reached a record high in 2008 with an annual growth rate of 2.2%. Since then, population growth has fallen away sharply and dropped to its lowest point of 1.4% for the year end to March 2011. In 2012, population rose to reach a new high point of 1.8%.
ABS data indicates that the rate of population growth has been slipping since mid-last year, slowing to an annual growth rate of 1.7%. Despite a slowdown, population growth remains well above average.
<img src="/images/2014/06/26/lawless-june-26-one.gif" alt="">
Source: RP Data, ABS
The level of natural increase, that is births minus deaths, was 8.6% higher than the ten year average and 19.1% higher than their 30-years average over the 2013 calendar year. In addition, net overseas migration was tracking substantially higher than average at 16.7% above the 10 year average and 78.6% above the 30-years average.
Across the states, there were some diverse population growth trends where in raw numbers; NSW continues to attract the largest number of new residents, at 110,923 over the 2013 calendar year. Victoria showed the second largest number of new residents (107,916) followed by Queensland (79,706) then Western Australia (71,301).
According to the ABS, net overseas migration is the largest contributor to population growth. Across each of the states except for Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory, natural increase outweighs net overseas migration numbers.
New South Wales holds the largest number of overseas migrants at 71,446 net migrants over the calendar year, followed by Victoria which recorded 62,337 overseas migrants.
Both NSW and Victoria are the two states showing a healthy upwards trend in overseas migration. Net overseas migrants into WA were the third highest of any state at 45,401, however, the ABS data shows a substantial decline over the year with overseas migrant numbers down 19.8% compared with the 2012 calendar year. A similar trend is evident in the other mining state, Queensland, where overseas migration is down 19.1% over the year.
Victoria attracted the largest number of net interstate migrants for the second consecutive quarter; historically it has been Queensland and more recently Western Australia. A slowdown in the resources sector is the likely cause of stymied interstate migration into both of these states.
With population growth winding down we can expect some further easing of housing demand, both from a sales and a rental perspective. The slowdown seems to be most pronounced in the mining states of WA and Qld where population growth conditions have previously been the strongest.
<img src="/images/2014/06/26/lawless-june-26-two.gif" alt="">
 
<img src="/images/2014/06/26/lawless-june-26-three.gif" alt="">
<img src="/images/2014/06/26/lawless-june-26-four.gif" alt="">
Source: RP Data, ABS
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tlawless-5VLUrbAk9s

Stalling population growth will lead to further easing of housing demand

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That the number ‘eight’ is lucky in some peoples’ eyes, particularly when looking at trends around Chinese buyers, has spread like wildfire through the media and through real estate agent companies.
The word for ‘eight’ sounds similar to the words for ‘prosper’ or ‘wealth’, and the more eights in a number, the more lucky that number is. Often, prices will be stated with eights in the dollar value as well. 0, 6, 8 and 9 are said to be the lucky numbers.
There is a rumour being currently passed around online that the August coming up next month is especially important as it contains five Fridays, Saturdays and Sundays - which 'only happens once every 823 years'. The chain goes on to state that it is called “Silver pockets full” by the Chinese and is auspicious. 
This is, of course, a falsehood in terms of the frequency of the month (we last had an August of this nature in 2010), although the legend gains traction online every time a year of this nature appears.
If you’re interested in more information around superstitions and lucky omens, observer Cameron McEvoy wrote this <a href="/expert-insights/very-superstitious-marketing-and-building-property-based-on-superstitions">compelling piece around what constitutes a lucky number – and which ones are steered clear of</a>.
For the purposes of this article, we decided to see just how much this is beginning to permeate into real estate listings. Upon searching through a listings portal it was quickly obvious that ‘Lucky Eight’ is being used by real estate agents to sell properties – in particular, those “lucky enough” to be a number eight.
However, it appears to be taking effect in the prices as well. Jonathan Chancellor previously reported in February this year that a <a href="/expert-insights/investing/happy-chinese-new-year-as-1960s-glen-waverley-house-sells-for-1-100-888-on-lucky-third-attempt">Glen Waverley property sold for $1,100,888 at auction</a> after the agency, Biggin &amp; Scott, had timed the listing for Saturday, 8 February for Chinese New Year.
Here are eight properties currently on the market using Lucky Eight marketing – many of which are coming up for auction in August… the perhaps not-so auspicious eighth month. It's worth noting that there were many others using this marketing technique with a high concentration in Victoria and New South Wales.
 
<ol>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-brookfield-117362399%20" target="_blank">8 Magpie Street, Brookfield, Victoria </a> <img src="/images/2014/07/08/brookfiled%20july%208.jpg" alt=""> “Lucky 8's (sic),” the listing begins. “Good fortune waits for the lucky purchaser of this beautiful home.” The three-bedroom, two-bathroom home sits on 800 square metres of north facing land and has a double garage. It’s up for auction on 9 August, at 11am through Stockdale &amp; Leggo – Melton. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-tea+tree+gully-117352847%20" target="_blank">8 Peaceful Place, Tea Tree Gully, South Australia <img src="/images/2014/07/08/tea%20tree%20gullly%20july%208.jpg" alt=""> </a>Asking for $685,000, and having last sold for $625,000 in 2006, according to RP Data, this ad comes straight in with the capitalised “IS "8" YOUR LUCKY NUMBER?” <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-tea+tree+gully-117352847%20" target="_blank"></a>The six-bedroom, three-bathroom, three-storey tudor home is circa 1962 and is a gorgeous offering with a spa bath in the main bathroom, a his and hers walk in wardrobe in the main bedroom, a conservatory and a home theatre room. It spans 1,259 square metres and is offered through LJ Hooker – Golden Grove. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-st+albans-117395935" target="_blank">8 Avondale Avenue, St Albans, Victoria <img src="/images/2014/07/08/sta%20labns%20july%208.jpg" alt=""> </a> This three-bedroom, two-bathroom home has the headline “First Time On The Market! Lucky 8!” to attract purchasers. <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-st+albans-117395935" target="_blank"></a>On a 660 square metre allotment, it also has a four car garage and each room has a built in wadrobe. It’s being advertised through Raine&amp;Horne St Albans. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-wa-canning+vale-117219251" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">8 Saltram Turn, Canning Vale, Western Australia </a><img src="/images/2014/07/08/canning%20vale%20july%208.jpg" alt=""> Asking for offers from $850,000, this “Lucky number 8!” property has the added tagline “Good fortune lies within!” It has four bedrooms and three bathrooms, and is close to local schools and colleges. On 660 square metres, it has four included chandeliers, a theatre room, a two-car garage, solar panels on the roof and a 5,000 litre rainwater tank. It’s said to suit the “distinguished” buyer and is on the market with One Agency Phil Taylor – Maddington. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-apartment-vic-carnegie-117224055" target="_blank">2/8 Kokaribb Road, Carnegie, Victoria </a> <img src="/images/2014/07/08/carnegie%20july%208.jpg" alt=""> Up for auction at $380,000 plus, this apartment is on the market with Century 21 Anderson &amp; Co – Carnegie. <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-apartment-vic-carnegie-117224055" target="_blank"></a>The capitalised “LUCKY NUMBER 8” is what stands out from this advertisement, and it comes with two bedrooms, a separate entrance hall, a balcony, built in wardrobes and a lock-up garage. It’s close to train, TAFE and shops. The auction is on 12 July. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-townhouse-nsw-lurnea-117322963" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">8/31 Calabro Avenue, Lurnea, New South Wales <img src="/images/2014/07/08/lurnea%20july%208%20one.jpg" alt=""> </a>This “Lucky Number 8, Rear of Complex” two-storey townhouse with two bathrooms spans 200 square metres and includes three bedrooms and a study. Listed through Strathfield Partners – Strathfield, there is an entertainers courtyard, and it has beautiful exposed brick features. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-campsie-117133031" target="_blank">8 Gordon Street, Campsie, New South Wales <img src="/images/2014/07/08/campsie%20july%208%20one.jpg" alt=""> </a> This five-bedroom, two-bathroom property on the market with Lytin Real Estate – Campsie jumps straight in to “Lucky Number 8 in Blue Ribbon Location on 668sqm block”. <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-campsie-117133031" target="_blank"></a>Up for auction on 26th, it’s on a 668 square metre block, and they suggest that: “The lucky buyer may consider renovating this spacious home or you could keep it as a premier investment option whilst you make plans to build and further capitalise on this fantastic block and position.” 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-residential+land-qld-marsden-200803391%20" target="_blank">Lot 8, 19 Sam's Way, Marsden, Queensland <img src="/images/2014/07/08/marsden%20july%208.jpg" alt=""> </a>Now we turn our attention to vacant block of residential land, up for sale for $202,500. <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-residential+land-qld-marsden-200803391%20" target="_blank"></a>“Lot 8 (Lucky For Some) - Build Here!” we’re told by New Image Real Estate – Marsden. The 556 square metre block is in a new estate. “The number 8 in Chinese is to prosper and considered lucky according to the internet. Some people believe this to be true...” the listing continues. 
</li>
<li>
BONUS LISTING (9 is lucky too) <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-qld-parkinson-117153927" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">(Unnumbered) Parkinson, Queensland </a><img src="/images/2014/07/08/parkinson%20july%208.jpg" alt=""> Up for $568,000 negotiable, the property is advertised as a "Lucky 8 house don't miss out", with the four-bedroom, two-bathroom property sitting on 800 square metres. It's on the market through Prince Realty - Sunnybank.
</li>
</ol>
 
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-residential+land-qld-marsden-200803391%20" target="_blank"></a>
{module Do you think that the number eight has an effect when advertising property?}
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

Eight properties advertised with a “Lucky Eight” hook

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Adelaide United have secured a sponsorship deal with the Adelaide-based Chinese property developer Datong. 
It's a two-year sleeve sponsorship of the A-League side.
The Reds will boost their Asian profile by playing games in China, Adelaide United’s chairman, Greg Griffin, said.
“We are delighted to be the first Australian football club in a major national sporting competition to secure a major Chinese company as a significant sponsor," he said.
Datong is a major developer in China building prestigious apartments and commercial buildings exclusively in Adelaide.
Datong is chaired by Jin Liang.
From Chinese foundations in 1988, it has had a presence in Adelaide since the early 2000s, with apartment developments currently underway in both Flinders and Gouger streets with another project earmarked for Waymouth Street.
‘Da’ means large or leading, while ‘tong’ is a metaphor for a smoothened road.
Image courtesy of Football Australia. 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Datong developer group sponsors Adelaide United

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A new bar is opening in Sydney’s CBD western corridor and it will be the first video-gamed themed small bar in the entire city.
Set to be located at 199 Clarence Street, and close to Baxter Inn, Lobo Plantation, Papa Gede’s and Since I Left You, the premises were leased by Spawn Point through John Skufris from Ray White Commercial for a private owner.
 “199 Clarence Street offered a lower ground whole floor tenancy with its own amenities, the availability of after hour access and was previously leased as storage space,” Skufris said.
“We were informed this is the Sydney CBD's first and only video gaming-themed small bar.”
The site is between Town Hall and Wynyard.
<img src="/images/2014/07/08/dev-plan-july-8-one.jpg" alt="">
Source: City of Sydney 
“The top floor is currently available for lease with an internal staircase to the building's rooftop area,” he said.
The entire building is six-storeys with a sandstone façade, and comes with independent air conditioning and its own amenities. It had been advertised as having the potential for a small bar subject to council approval – which it appears has been successfully achieved.
Spawn Point, founded by IT-professional and Sydney gamer Ben Mudie and Welder and Central Coast gamer Ben Shute, has taken a three year lease at gross rental of $475 per square metre per annum. The space is 88 square metres.
In June they managed to achieve Licensed Premises status from council.
They will have some tables with in-built arcade machines, and will offer cocktails, locally brewed beer on tap and they will also be accepting BITCOIN payments using a QRCode system via smartphones. Consoles include Xbox, Playstation, Game Cube, Nintendo and a number of vintage systems. These include Super Nintendo Entertainment System, Nintendo 64 and the Mega Drive 2.
“The small bar will target a different culture of people rather than the typical bar crowd,” documents submitted to <a href="https://development.cityofsydney.nsw.gov.au/Datasource/DANotifications/1141038_007.pdf" target="_blank">Council explain</a>.
The notes indicate that the bar has a maximum of 39 sitting, with a total of 60 patrons (not including staff) at any one time.
"The closest residential building is Windsor On Kent located at 365 Kent Street that is approximately 100 meters away. The next closest residential building being Broughton House located at 181 Clarence Street that is approximately 160 meters away," it explains. According to an acoustic report they provided, there shouldn't be adverse ambient noise problems noticed by the residents.
Windsor on Kent's two-bedroom apartments sell for around $700,000 to upwards of $900,000. 
"Signage will be put in place advising our patrons to leave in a quiet fashion to avoid any disturbance to residents of the CBD."
<img src="/images/2014/07/08/dev-plan-july-8-two.jpg" alt="">
Source: City of Sydney 
The proposed hours of business operation included Monday to Sunday 0800 to 0100 the next day, with alcohol to be served from 12.01 to 0045, though it's likely the bar will actually open from mid-afternoon onwards.
Casual and full time staff are expected to be hired.
Some renovations were noted as necessary, including to remove existing carpeting, removing a non-structural wall to create a single large room and removing the kitchenette to be replaced with a bar. Floating wood floor over concrete slab will be in place of the carpet. The bathrooms are also undergoing a re-tiling and replacing the vanities.
The lighting will retain the fluorescent that is currently in the building, and will include directional low powering lighting.
The street façade is the only aspect that would cause issues in regards to heritage listing – and no plans have been proposed to alter this. The internals had been previously modernised.
While it’s the first video game bar, and will likely see vast interest, there have been a number of board game bars and cafes around Sydney.
Glebe’s Bar 99 featured traditional boardgames such as Battleship and Trivial Pursuit, while Madam FlingFlong in Newtown featured Yahtzee, Cluedo and Connect Four. Both no longer operate.
Melburnians will be looking on with interest, following Mana Bar, a similar video game offering, which closed in September last year.
<a href="https://www.spawnpoint.com.au/" target="_blank">Spawn Point’s homepage</a> is currently “coming soon”. The name Spawn Point is taken from the video game colloquialism 'Spawning', which means the creation of a character. Most will be more familiar with the term 'Respawn' which is what occurs after a character dies and needs to re-appear in the game. The spawn point is where the characters appear in the game.
Previous estimates suggested that plans are for a door-opening in August.
For those looking to arcade-ready their home, here’s one <a href="/expert-insights/building/renovation-recreation-how-to-turn-your-bedroom-into-an-arcade">gamers take on a home renovation where he turned his bedroom into an arcade</a>.
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First video game-themed bar for Sydney

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The Australian Veterinary Association (AVA) in conjunction with the Australian Companion Animal Council have put out their 2014 guides, one for landlords and one for renters, around allowing pets in investment properties.
They provide <a href="https://www.ava.com.au/sites/default/files/AVA_website/ASAVA/CF142757%20ACAC%20Tenants%20with%20Pets%2007%2005%2014%20WEB.pdf" target="_blank">10 reasons they think animals should be allowed</a>:
<ol>
<li>Pet owning tenants are generally willing to pay more rent. 
</li>
<li>Pet-friendly properties rent faster. 
</li>
<li>Responsible pet owners can make excellent tenants. 
</li>
<li>Tenants with pets want to hold longer leases. 
</li>
<li>Reduce your advertising spend. 
</li>
<li>No more problems with ‘hidden’ pets. 
</li>
<li>Most Australians feel their pet is part of the family and care for them as such. 
</li>
<li>Reduce animal euthanasia; animal welfare agencies indicate that as many as 30% of dogs and cats are surrendered by owners who are unable to locate adequate accommodation. 
</li>
<li>“Considering pets” will not lock you into a pet- particular outcome. 
</li>
<li>Pet application and agreement forms are available to help landlords and managing agents implement a successful pet management policy and help tenants understand how to responsibly manage pets.</li>
</ol>
Source: AVA
In fact, when it comes to paying more rent, the research they cite suggests that renters are prepared to pay 7% to 14% more to bring their beloved pet along.
Basing their thoughts on US research that may reflect behaviours in Australia as well, they note that 25% of renters in the Companion Animal Renters and Pet-Friendly Housing in the US study were seeking pet-friendly accommodation, with applicable properties receiving twice as many applicants and renting out 10 days faster. The research from the US also suggests that longer leases are desired by tenants with pets, with some wanting to stay more than double the length of time as those without.
They also note that current Australia-based research suggests that 11% of pet-owning tenants keep their pets secretly, without telling their landlord, and usually it’s cats.
If you’re tempted to allow your tenant to keep pets, there are ways to go about it. Consider pet agreement forms, where you lay out your expectations, pet application forms for new tenants and, for Western Australian landlords, pet bonds.
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10 reasons landlords should consider allowing tenants to have pets: AVA

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An interesting release from Australia's largest mortgage aggregator Australian Finance Group, showing some notable trends in the Aussie property market.
The index is highly seasonal, of course, as we are now into the cold winter months - and most certainly in Sydney we are!
Stripping out seasonality, mortgage demand sits some 23% higher than it was a year ago.
Even allowing for any possible shifts in AFG's market share, this implies a huge annualised uplift in mortgages sold:
 <img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Y6RNrL1ZFBc/U7SvsRlQbvI/AAAAAAAAOOs/cVdY8ya1T7o/s1600/AFg6.jpg">
The average mortgage size by state shows that how it has been New South Wales and specifically Sydney which has driven the property boom over the past 18 months.
Queensland has also been a strong performer over the 12 months from July 2013.
Elsewhere, markets have been solid enough, but relatively much more subdued:
 <img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-KTJ0y5gnZqs/U7Svs_LC0gI/AAAAAAAAOOc/rF4Cf7JvuvE/s1600/Afg1.jpg">
One trend we are watching is the role of investors by state, and in particular whether investors will spread their wings to look at the Sunshine State of Queensland next up in seeking yield and value.
There has been an uplift in the share of investors in the Queensland market, but Sydney remains the speculator's paradise with more than 45% of the mortgage market being sen up by investment purchases:
 <img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-sHzCLOouTno/U7SwGxPWEVI/AAAAAAAAOO0/0YWRcv0ET_g/s1600/AFG7.jpg">
In terms of mortgages sold for the state, New South Wales demand has ripped upwards by +33% year on year, despite the low number of reported first home buyers.
It will be interesting to see if NSW mortgage demand resumes its upwards trajectory from July through to December as it did in 2013:
 <img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-ceaR2JP-uZ8/U7Svro9UdXI/AAAAAAAAOOQ/B8kauromDCo/s1600/AFg4.jpg">
Overall, a strong release, and stripping out seasonality mortgage demand appears to remain in a secular uptrend which has been in place since 2011.
Article continues on next page. Please click below. 
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Housing construction boom still on track?
I put forward the view some time ago that residential building approvals would likely hit all-time record highs, driven on by rising dwelling prices over the past couple of years.
Although is is argued by some that supply is effectively strangled by planning restrictions and NIMBY-ism (to some extent, this obviously does play a part, particularly in established inner- and middle-ring suburbs), there has been another factor at play.
And that is, with high labour and construction costs in Australia combined with government charges, dwelling prices were simply not high enough to encourage developers to build.
The numbers are clear - if Sydney's apartment prices were to dip much below $550,000, construction will quickly dry up, even with today's lower financing costs.
In short, projects would not be sufficiently profitable for developers to build and there would be no adequate return on investment.
<img src="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2013/images/sp-so-230413-graph8-small.gif" alt="Graph 8: Construction Costs">
It's that simple. Ask anyone who works for a major developer in a residential division and they will tell you the same thing.
Dwelling values were previously too low and price action not strong enough for developers to be interested, until recently.
Indeed, RBA Governor Glenn Stevens confirmed as much in a speech this morning.
However, with prices moving up, there is clearly no shortage of approvals being waved through now in Sydney, thus underscoring the point.
In some areas, every second block appears to be under construction, especially in a number of inner south suburbs where thousands upon thousand of apartments are due to come online.
After three months of softer data, most commentators had already called the end of the approvals boom.
Admittedly, things were looking a tad shaky, but at the end of the day monthly approvals data is always necessarily going to be all over the shop.
In the event, after three weak readings building approvals in May jumped by 9.9% month on month to be up 14.3% year on year:
 <img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-OmJ3i3uomTc/U7UFvwEANpI/AAAAAAAAOPk/YFCx_BAwDfQ/s1600/a+approvals.jpg">
This data is always easier to read when smoothed out on a rolling monthly basis.
As you can see, rolling 12 monthly approvals are approaching the highest level ever recorded in Australia, now tracking at well over 190,000.
The previous annualised record was recorded in 1994 after the cash rate had been slashed from the nosebleed level of 17.5% to just 4.75%, resulting in higher prices and and a construction boom:
 <img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-OmJ3i3uomTc/U7UFvwEANpI/AAAAAAAAOPk/YFCx_BAwDfQ/s1600/a+approvals.jpg">
The major driver in this cycle has been a big ~20% year on year uplift in apartment approvals, casting a lot of doubt over the sticky supply response theory.
In fact, apartment approvals are booming to new record highs:
 <img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-WdLE8tX-6IU/U7UH3Da_DEI/AAAAAAAAOQI/JhEwwZ3HirU/s1600/3+units.jpg">
New South Wales, a state with both a dwelling and an infrastructure deficit, has been leading the way with gusto in recent years:
 <img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-9oOHSiKj9R8/U7UFveRjdOI/AAAAAAAAOPc/CbrADiFPzO0/s1600/4+NSW.jpg">
In NSW's case too, it's also been largely an apartment story, with nearly seven in every 10 approvals over the past year relating to unit and apartment stock in Sydney and the state-wide level of apartment approvals soaring:
 <img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-DiMTITiI9rE/U7UFvl0XoWI/AAAAAAAAOPg/68ayXXSzr38/s1600/5+NSW+apartments.jpg">
That said, it's notable that what started as a New South Wales and Western Australia boom is now becoming more broad-based.
Only in the Australian Capital Territory jurisdiction, where new supply is essentially not really needed, are building approvals not materially higher than a year ago.
In terms of the capital cities, approvals are generally very strong as detailed by RP Data's Cameron Kusher here:
 <img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-d-JzbvPy290/U7UJMz1CTPI/AAAAAAAAOQc/lbcukkrH_hA/s1600/7RPD.jpg">
Source: RP Data, ABS.
"As you can see from the above chart, across each of the major capital cities there has been an upswing in dwelling approvals.
"The most significant upswing has occurred in Sydney and Brisbane however, the number of approvals remains much higher in Sydney and Melbourne than in all other cities.
"The number of dwellings approved for construction is at an all-time high currently in Perth, is very close to its record high in Sydney and at its highest level since the 12 months to June 2004 in Brisbane," wrote Kusher.
No signs of any constipated supply response there, rather the market just seems to be doing exactly what it should do, and the dwelling construction boom remains - albeit tentatively - still on track.
Acquirers of property, particularly buyers of units and apartments, must be wary of pockets of oversupply.
Great wall of foreign capital hits Sydney &amp; Melbourne
Some years ago when I wrote my first book, I noted that one day in the not too distant future, the Aussie dollar would depreciate again and certain parts of our property markets would likely be hit by a great wall of foreign capital.
It's all part of a global shift towards storing wealth in real estate which I discussed in more detail here, and which we have seen playing out in London over the past two decades with ever-widening eyes.
However, as I noted in my book, foreign buyers generally aren't interested in smaller cities and regional centres.
Instead, they will be predominantly interested in buying medium-density properties in the areas they are generally most familiar with - that is to say, inner Sydney and inner Melbourne.
Credit growth in Australia is only just rebounding from 40 year lows and yet prices are surging, with Sydney prices up by 15.4% in the last 12 months alone.
Well, that unprecedented great wall of foreign capital is now here.There has been a lot of debate about foreign buyers purchasing illegally, but even approved annualised spending is up by a whopping 93% to an annualised equivalent of more than $33 billion.
The always-excellent Chris Joye <a href="https://www.afr.com/f/free/blogs/christopher_joye/foreign_buyers_purchase_homes_to_VCVDT4m60HAlgpYbdGrCSL" target="_blank">highlighted in the AFR</a> how foreign buyers are buying up to 40% of newly constructed homes in Sydney and Melbourne (while simultaneously completely disregarding the southern states):
"Foreign investors are likely key drivers of the Sydney and Melbourne housing booms, according to new UBS data, potentially buying up to 40% of all newly constructed homes, and accounting for up to one in eight Australian sales overall.
"Unprecedented levels of foreign buyer activity, combined with the ability of the $559 billion self-managed super fund sector to leverage its cash five times when making property purchases, could be two reasons why this Australian housing cycle is different to anything we’ve seen before."
<img src="https://www.afr.com/r/AFR/Blogs/christopher_joye/201406/Images/housing414x727.png" width="227" height="400">
Article continues on next page. Please click below. 
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Lucky 888 Visas take-off
An interest sub-plot which has not received much airtime in the mainstream media is that the controversial "Significant Investor Visas" are being issued overwhelmingly in New South Wales and Victoria too - 85% of them.
The investor "Golden Ticket" or "Lucky 888" visas (doubtless that subclass was chosen as they will be mainly issued to Chinese immigrants) require a minimum $5 million of investment in qualifying assets in exchange for a visa, and the rules allow them to be processed very rapidly.
Another 81 visas were issued in April and May taking the tally to date up to 255, but the big story is that another 928 applications for Golden Ticket visas have been lodged.
Tally all of that up and that's another $5 billion of investment coming overwhelmingly into the two major states, not to mention the additional wealth that the new visa holders will bring with them.
And this is doubtless only the beginning.
Canada recently shut down its equivalent visa scheme with there still being a staggering 59,000 shut out in the waiting lists, most of them wealthy Chinese.
Throw in all of that together with another new advent - SMSF lending for property investment - mixed in with record low interest rates, and I continue to see little prospect of dwindling prices in inner Sydney any time soon.
Yesterday's <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/Lookup/3401.0Main+Features1May%202014?OpenDocument" target="_blank">Overseas Arrivals and Departures</a> data revealed some very interesting trends.
The number of short-term visitors to Australian shores reached a new record high of 583,600 in May on a seasonally adjusted basis.
The first key point of note today, which has actually been quite evident to me, both in the capital city and up and down the coast, has been the very substantial increase in the number of Chinese visitors to Australian shores. 
It's long been argued by commentators that Australia will become a playground for wealthy Asians.
Not to say that all Chinese visitors are wealthy, of course! 
But what has certainly been the case that there has been a strong and increasing interest in Sydney and Melbourne for $5 million Significant Investor or "Golden Ticket" Visas, with nearly 1,000 applications reportedly now in the queue to be processed in addition to those already dished out (85% of which were issued in Victoria and New South Wales). 
The number of Chinese tourists in May alone hit 66,700 (+5.9% y/y) - which was 11.4% of the total visitors for the month - helping to pump the short-term visitor levels to new heights:
 <img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/--gsHtO-E4vQ/U7oxWXGUQFI/AAAAAAAAOWE/fwePpA6uUPc/s1600/Arrivals1.jpg">
The number of long-term arrivals tailed back marginally to a shade under 760,000 on a rolling annual basis, from a peak level of close to 800,000:
 <img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-9D_5bScSZ-0/U7oxX-0yt2I/AAAAAAAAOWY/GWTByl0-Ykg/s1600/arrivals2.jpg">
After accounting for long-term and permanent departures, rolling annual net long term migration came in at just a little over 376,000 in May, which is also down from its most recent peak of approximately 408,000 a year ago:
<img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-HsHrOAudybA/U7oxWUUc7_I/AAAAAAAAOV8/PALex_CKoOo/s1600/Arrivals3.jpg">
Australia's population growth is now accounted for by approximately 60% net long term migration and 40% natural increase. These figures appear to be commensurate with annual population growth tailing back from searing highs of well above 400,000 to slightly more moderate (although still undeniably strong) levels, perhaps somewhere in the 300,000s range in 2014.
 
Article continues on next page. Please click below. 
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Asian century
The Permanent Movements - Settlers data series showed that significant numbers of today's migrants hail from countries such as the Phillipines, Vietnam, Sri Lanka and Malaysia. From the Middle East, Iraq was another surprisingly strong contributor, at least, to me. 
An interesting point of note is how the number of settlers from New Zealand, and in particular, the United Kingdom, have dropped off dramatically since peaking in January 2009 and February 2008 respectively on a rolling annual basis.
In Britain's case, I'm fairly certain from my own experience that this is in part due to dramatic shifts in the exchange rate caused by the respective fortunes of those economies, and therefore the relative cost of living for Poms in Australia, as I discussed in <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/2014/07/currency" target="_blank">this timely post</a>.
For my money, the biggest news of today's data set is explained by the graph below:
<img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-6pk7fLfq3Ok/U7oxWgrwrjI/AAAAAAAAOWA/EfOZeuorEq4/s1600/Arrivals4.jpg">
Note how permanent settlers from both China and India are now tracking at or close to record highs.
Incredibly, approximately one in every eight permanent settlers in Australia hails from China (12.3%), and nearly one in every seven from India (13.7%).
Unevenly spread
The above charts show how clearly Australia has increasingly embraced a "populate or perish" mentality in recent years, and this decade and the next are likely to be noteworthy for the dramatic impact of immigration from Asia.
It's worth noting here though how the population growth differs greatly by state and by region:
<img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-KcPgnQY8UAk/U7oxXf3UhGI/AAAAAAAAOWc/-qaoiH6hynI/s1600/Arrivals5.jpg">
The <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/3101.0" target="_blank">Australian Demographic Statistics</a> for the year to December 2013 showed how the New South Wales population increased by a thumping +110,300 in the 2013 calendar year, with the overwhelming majority of that taking place in Greater Sydney.
Many of the highest growth rates are being seen in the inner and middle-ring suburbs if the harbour city, placing a colossal strain on existing infrastructure and housing markets.
This population and labour market growth has occurred, and is occurring, at the expense of nearly every New South Wales regional centre where population growth rates below the national averages have been seen.
On the other hand, net absolute population growth in Tasmania, the Northern Territory, the Australian Capital Territory and South Australia remained fairly minimal in 2013:
<img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-6EzgEBHbvTg/U7oxXrENM-I/AAAAAAAAOWU/_o0bgEAQNdE/s1600/Arrivals6.jpg">
Summary
Population growth in 2014 looks set to be driven more by China and India than ever before, as well as a number of other south-east Asian and far-east Asian countries. 
However, the absolute Australian population growth figure looks to have peaked for this cycle and perhaps may be closer to 300,000 than 400,000 in this calendar year. 
On the face of it this ongoing strong population growth is all great news for property investors.
However, some alarm bells are starting to ring in a number of areas as higher prices and lower interest rates are driving a glut of new supply in some regions.
In particular, certain parts of Melbourne and regional Victoria appear to have worryingly high vacancy rates, as do some parts of regional New South Wales and Queensland.
Moreover, there has been plenty of questinable advice over the last couple of years about investing for high yields in overpriced mining towns.
Yet in some mining locations we now we have the prospect of a potentially devastating trifecta of declining commodity prices, a crunching drop-off in mining construction and a jumping in unemployment in the resources sector.
Each to their own, but personally I'd be giving the one-trick mining towns a very wide berth.
You can visit <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) or Pete's <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blog</a>.
His latest book is '<a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' .
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Lucky 888 Visas take-off and is the housing construction boom still on track?

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NSW Treasurer Andrew Constance has confirmed just how much Sydney’s real estate boom is adding to the general fortunes of the state.
The 2014 budget papers show that "a resurgence in the property market has significantly lifted transfer duties in 2013-14". Transfer duty, including stamp duty, contributed $938 million of state budget revenue. This result was seen as a ‘windfall’ and measures to further stimulate the rate of new home construction were also announced in the budget.
The Treasurer also announced that the threshold for the first home buyer $15,000 grant will be boosted to $750,000 – an increase of $100,000. From 1 July 2014, the NSW government will boost the threshold of the First Home Buyers Grant for new homes by $100,000, which means entry level buyers can spend up to $750,000 on a new property.
However extending this to established homes appears to be totally off the agenda given the level of demand and the increased prices over the last six to 12 months. Still, eligibility for the grant will from 1 July 2014 be restricted only to citizens who are permanent Australian residents.
The NSW government has also pledged to freeing up land supply and speeding the delivery of some infrastructure to help boost construction activity.
Property Plays a Big Part in State’s Economy
However when looking at the government’s revenue papers in the budget, it is easy to see how important a robust property market is. But at the same time the extent of revenue from property and some related areas may be placing too great a burden on the sector.
Comments in the budget also underline how relatively volatile, even fragile this revenue stream can be, and so I think it’s worth looking in more detail at some key points. What we can see is how reliant the government is on this revenue and why any move to abolish stamp duty as part of a possible review of state-based tax reforms looks a long way off, if ever, although remaining mortgage duty is being abolished in 2015.
One of the most telling figures in the revenue statement is the comparison between GST revenue and transfer duty. GST revenue in 2014-15 is estimated at $6.094 billion rising to $6.9 billion in 2017-18. By comparison transfer duty revenue in 2014-15 is estimated at $6.095 billiob but is anticipated to rise more than GST to $7.256 billion in 2017-18. On top of which Land Tax will add $2.4 billion – $2.8 billion in the same time frame, while we should not forget the parking space levy set to reach $115 million by 2017-18 and so adding these figures we see that by 2017-18 direct property related revenue for the state will be some $10.24 billion.
The budget papers do point out that the 2013-14 results were expected to increase by 20.5% but in fact the increase looks set to be closer to 35%. Further the current budget anticipated an increased volume of sales at 6% but the final figure was much more at 18%. And residential property prices have increased by some 10% over the past budget period, however those figures are not expected to be maintained, but any slow down is expected to be gentler than previous cycles. And in the four years to 2017-18 the government is expecting a growth rate of 7% over the four years. In today’s market this looks a conservative estimate.
What Has Been Driving These Figures
The Office of State Revenue might be expected to be conservative in its views, however key facts driving the revenue in 2013-14 have, according to the Office, been: historically low interest rates, pent up demand, under supply, improved consumer confidence and of course the obvious big increase in house prices.
When looking at the impact of house prices, the Office points out that activity was initially driven by sales of less than $600,000 but now strong growth in sales of homes valued over $1.2 million is apparent, however the Offices argues that this trend might also mark a peak in the housing cycle.
A Keen Eye Out for Strong Construction Activity
Given the potential of $10 billion in annual revenue by 2017-18 the government is also keen to keep the recovery in new construction on a robust footing. In the December quarter 2013 private sector dwelling approvals were 44% higher than the decade average, as were dwelling commencements while completion were 14% above the decade average.
The hope is that these strong results will continue over the next 4 years, as this appears vital for the health of NSW. However the reality is that the sector and those home buyers paying stamp duty (and that’s the majority) are doing some heavy lifting when it comes to government revenues and any adjustment to the GST needs to address this reality.
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pchittenden-eLqUUC8TWW

New South Wales reliant on the property market for revenue

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Al, my business partner, and I were recently out at one of the secondary schools talking to the students about the basics of investing and property as an investment option.
But I decided to start my property section a little different from usual and I think it really woke them up.
I wanted to provide them insight to the property world that most Australians never get.
Here’s how it went…
I started explaining to them that I had a friend named Leigh, who when growing up was mesmerised by Hollywood. He loved film making and a bit over 10 years ago wrote a movie script for a little film called Saw. When Leigh and his mate James landed in Los Angeles the first time they were swept off their feet by Hollywood executives and were promised the world. They rejected all offers to purchase their script and decided to hold onto the movie rights. They made Saw and have now gone on to make other films like Insidious, The Conjuring, and James currently directing the latest Fast and Furious film. So yes these boys made it big time.
Hollywood is called 'tinsel town' for a reason. There are lots of bright lights but these lights are only there to cover up the rotting core. Talking to Leigh over the years he explained to me that Hollywood is very similar to the way I describe one part of the property industry. The part I relate to Hollywood is what I call the property advisory or seminar circuit.
The thought of making it big time seems fantastic, but something in your gut just doesn’t feel right. This is how Leigh felt about Hollywood and this is how I felt about the property industry.
Wherever there is large amounts of money there will be sharks. So I told the kids I was going to do an exercise and if they participated they would see the advisory or seminar circuit for what it really was. They would hopefully then be able to remain safe as they ventured into the property investment world.
So Al and I split the room up in two. We put on some pumping music and started throwing $20 notes into the crowd. We worked the kids up to a frenzy getting them to yell ridiculous things back and forth at each other. They had an absolute ball and pocketed some quick cash in the process. Al and I joined in the yelling and ran around high fiving all the kids.
I then turned the music off and asked them to sit down. I asked them if any of them had been to a property seminar.
None raised their hands.
I told them that they all had now just been to a property seminar and went on to discuss that the majority of property seminars are design to follow on with charging you for overpriced education or over-inflated property purchases.
Here are some of the points we then discussed.
The dictionary defines a scammer as the following: "Swindler / Scammer: a person who swindles you by means of deception or fraud."
When it comes to buying property we are talking about large sums of money. We are not buying lollipops. Sadly this brings in the sharks.
Signs that the sharks are circling.
<ul>
<li>Pumping music aimed at getting you hyped up. Smart investors do not buy on emotion.</li>
<li>Visuals of money or luxury items.</li>
<li>The presenter positions themselves as a saint. They tell you about the charity that they support. Philanthropists do not promote the fact that they give their money away. If someone promotes the fact that they are a philanthropist this is a big tell-tale sign that they want to take more than they give.</li>
<li>Questions asked multiple times like ‘Are you ready to change? Are you ready to take action? Are you ready to make the sacrifice?’ If you hear this you’re about to be the sacrifice.</li>
<li>Act now, price reduction offers during or at the end of seminars.</li>
<li>No discussion on the risks of investing. This should be the centre of an education session. I always find it amusing that risk is either skimmed over or never discussed.</li>
<li>The promise of getting rich quick. Remember smart investors get rich slow.</li>
<li>Promises of above average returns.</li>
</ul>
I told the kids that they should always question and advisors motivation. To understand why someone is promoting a certain product or service, you need to firstly understand how they are paid. 
These were pretty smart kids so hopefully this lesson will keep them safe in the years to come. 
Cam McLellan is a successful property investor, businessman and the founder and CEO of <a href="https://openwealthcreation.com.au/" target="_blank">Open Wealth Creation</a>. 
Open Wealth Creation advise, coach and guide people through the property investment process including arranging finance and choosing property to finding tenants and portfolio management.
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cmclellan-94LEvYTinN

How to stay safe from the property sharks

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Stocktake sales have enticed Australian shoppers to open up their wallets after the May budget, with retail sales up 18.4% in the past two weeks.
While retail sales took a hit after the <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/federal-budget-2014/765-finance/41935-budget-2014-small-business-reacts-to-not-a-bad-budget" target="_blank">Abbott government’s first budget</a>, data from the Australian Retail Index shows the sector finished off the 2013-14 financial year on a strong note with 4.1% growth in June.
“After a slump in sales post the release of the federal budget, shoppers were quick to forget their concerns, and return with confidence,” said Simon Scalzo, national retail lead partner of BDO, one of the firms behind the Australian Retail Index.
Russell Zimmerman, executive director of the Australian Retailers Association, told SmartCompany he has seen a similar recovery in sales since the budget.
While Zimmerman says it is hard to say for sure which factors caused lower retail sales in May, he says it is fair to say “consumers kicked back” against the budget. Shoppers were also less likely to purchase winter goods in May due to unusually warm weather, he says.
“What we are hearing is that it has come good in the past few weeks and that is in part due to the return of the cold weather that retailers were looking for,” says Zimmerman.
“I think some consumers are also realising the budget was not as bad as they initially thought.”
“But I would caution it is not across the board,” he says. “Some retailers have said it hasn’t been as strong, including some SMEs and those in the hardware sector. Some have said it has been tough.”
Nevertheless, Zimmerman says the sector had “generally not a bad finish” to the end of the financial year, led by the department stores which appear to have benefited from their traditional mid-year stocktake sales.
While Zimmerman says stocktake sales might not be as popular as they were 20 years ago, he says they “absolutely” still make a difference to the country’s retailers.
“People still believe in the stocktake sale. It’s the same with Boxing Day,” says Zimmerman.
The Australian Retail Index, which was <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/marketing/sales/41642-new-retail-sales-index-to-give-shop-owners-daily-data" target="_blank">launched in April</a>, also tracks fluctuations across different retail categories, including furniture and homewares, fashion and accessories, sporting goods and other general retail.
Scalzo says the furniture and homewares category proved the most stable throughout the 2013-14 financial year, while fashion and accessories and other general retail proved the most volatile.
But while the retail sector appears to be well-placed heading into the new financial year, Scalzo says retailers should brace themselves for the winter months.
“If history is anything to go by, retailers should expect activity to be short-lived over the remaining cooler months, with historic consumer confidence showing a dip in sales between August and October,” says Scalzo.
<img src="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/images/retail%20story%20graph%20070714.jpg" width="548" height="463">
Source: Australian Retail Index
This article first appeared on <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/" target="_blank">SmartCompany</a>.
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