<p data-end="186" data-start="128">ANZ believes the Reserve Bank is in no rush to move again.</p>

<p data-end="441" data-start="188">Following the release of the May Monetary Policy Board Minutes, ANZ has taken the view that the RBA is now firmly in a holding pattern, with the cumulative impact of previous rate hikes giving the Board scope to assess how the economy evolves from here.</p>

<p data-end="508" data-start="443">That positioning, in ANZ’s view, makes a June rate hike unlikely.</p>

<p data-end="680" data-start="510">The bank continues to expect the cash rate to remain unchanged at 4.35 per cent for an extended period, with the RBA adopting what is effectively a wait-and-see approach.</p>

<p data-end="1015" data-start="682">The Minutes point to a Board that sees financial conditions as already restrictive, but without a clear read on just how restrictive they are. That uncertainty has shifted the focus away from immediate policy action and toward monitoring both domestic conditions and global developments, particularly the conflict in the Middle East.</p>

<p data-end="1098" data-start="1017">As ANZ interprets it, the Board is deliberately avoiding strong forward guidance.</p>

<p data-end="1345" data-start="1100">Instead, it is allowing itself flexibility, acknowledging that monetary policy has limited ability to influence the near-term trajectory of inflation, while also recognising that economic growth is likely to remain below potential for some time.</p>

<p data-end="1436" data-start="1347">Despite that pause in momentum, ANZ notes that the Board still carries a tightening bias.</p>

<p data-end="1678" data-start="1438">The Minutes reveal that, in weighing up its decision, the Board seriously considered another 25 basis point increase. The key debate centred on the trade-off between inflation and activity, particularly in the context of global uncertainty.</p>

<p data-end="1755" data-start="1680">Ultimately, most members leaned toward the inflation side of that equation.</p>

<p data-end="2082" data-start="1757">Underlying inflation is still expected to remain above target for an extended period, regardless of how external risks evolve. That has led to a view within the Board that the risks to its inflation objective have increased, and that the current cash rate may not be sufficiently restrictive to fully contain those pressures.</p>

<p data-end="2101" data-start="2084">That’s important.</p>

<p data-end="2239" data-start="2103">While the decision, for now, is to hold, the underlying tone of the Minutes suggests the door to further tightening has not been closed.</p>

<p data-end="2597" data-start="2241">ANZ also points to commentary from Assistant Governor (Economic) Sarah Hunter, who highlighted the risk that inflation could pass through the economy more quickly and broadly than in previous cycles. Both Hunter and a majority of the Board expressed concern that inflation expectations could become less anchored after such a prolonged period above target.</p>

<p data-end="2733" data-start="2599">That combination, persistent inflation and the risk of expectations shifting, is what continues to underpin the RBA’s cautious stance.</p>

<p data-end="2807" data-start="2735">However, where ANZ diverges from the RBA is on the outlook for activity.</p>

<p data-end="3152" data-start="2809">The Board appears relatively comfortable with current spending patterns, effectively downplaying recent declines in business and consumer sentiment. It notes that sentiment has historically been only weakly correlated with actual spending, and that feedback from its liaison program has not yet pointed to a meaningful slowdown in consumption.</p>

<p data-end="3176" data-start="3154">ANZ is less convinced.</p>

<p data-end="3464" data-start="3178">The bank believes the link between household disposable income, sentiment and spending is more direct than the RBA is currently acknowledging. With inflation continuing to erode real incomes, ANZ expects household spending to soften more materially than the central bank is forecasting.</p>

<p data-end="3528" data-start="3466">That divergence matters because it shifts the balance of risk.</p>

<p data-end="3740" data-start="3530">If activity weakens more than expected, the trade-off between inflation and growth changes. In ANZ’s view, that would reduce the need for further tightening and reinforce the case for the RBA to remain on hold.</p>

<p data-end="3855" data-start="3742">It also suggests that the current policy setting may already be doing more work than the Board fully appreciates.</p>

<p data-end="3945" data-start="3857">The broader takeaway from ANZ’s interpretation is that the RBA is walking a narrow path.</p>

<p data-end="4135" data-start="3947">On one side sits the risk of inflation remaining elevated for longer than expected. On the other is the growing pressure on households and the potential for a sharper slowdown in activity.</p>

<p data-end="4176" data-start="4137">For now, the Board is choosing to wait.</p>

<p data-end="4286" data-start="4178">But it is a pause that still carries an underlying tightening bias, rather than a clear pivot toward easing.</p>

<p data-end="4423" data-start="4288">In practical terms, that leaves the cash rate anchored at 4.35 per cent for the foreseeable future, with the next move still uncertain.</p>

<p data-end="4494" data-start="4425">For borrowers, it reinforces the reality that relief is not imminent.</p>

<p data-end="4686" data-start="4496">And for the broader economy, it highlights the delicate balance the RBA is trying to strike, between bringing inflation back to target and avoiding an unnecessarily sharp slowdown in growth.</p>

<p data-end="4774" data-is-last-node="" data-is-only-node="" data-start="4688">According to ANZ, it is a balance that is becoming increasingly difficult to maintain.</p>


Joel Robinson

RBA to hold rates for "prolonged period" rather than hikes: ANZ

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/venturecrowd-property-projects">VentureCrowd</a> is down to the final Canopy Villa release at Cumulus Grand Villas in Carrara, as construction continues on the 59-residence gated community positioned above 100 hectares of natural savanna on the Gold Coast.</p>

<p>The remaining Canopy Villa forms part of one of four collections within the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>-designed community and has attracted interest from buyers seeking larger-format homes that combine privacy, security and low-maintenance living. Positioned within a private cul-de-sac and facing a protected black she oak forest, the four-bedroom villa includes a large private outdoor area suited to pet owners and families wanting more flexible space.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/cumulus-grand-villas-carrara-17-baltimore-court-carrara-qld-4211">Cumulus Grand Villas</a>, located at 17 Baltimore Court, comprises a mix of three and four-bedroom villas across the Skyline, Canopy, Savanna and Broadview collections. Prices currently range from $1.455 million to $1.895 million, with the final Canopy Villa priced from $1.825 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135663 project_image_fid=360477]</p>

<p>The Canopy Collection villas offer four bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms and approximately 245 sqm of internal space, alongside double garages and landscaped private areas. Expansive glazing, open-plan living spaces and private balconies have been designed to maximise natural light and outlooks toward the surrounding savanna landscape.</p>

<p>Construction is now underway across the fully funded development, which VentureCrowd says has become an increasingly important consideration for buyers assessing off-the-plan opportunities on the Gold Coast. The project is being delivered by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/devcon">Devcon Property Group</a>, which has operated in South East Queensland since 1993 and delivered more than 1,000 homes across the region.</p>

<p>VentureCrowd Director of Property David Whitting previously said the project responds to changing buyer priorities in the prestige Gold Coast market.</p>

<p>“Flexible floorplans have proven particularly relevant for purchasers aged between 40 and 65, including next home buyers, downsizers and investors,” Whitting said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135663 project_image_fid=360505]</p>

<p>The buyer profile at Cumulus has reflected that shift toward owner-occupier-driven demand. Stuart Towns and Tracey Loynes recently purchased a Canopy Villa, drawn to both the lifestyle offering and the flexibility the home provided for their next stage of living together.</p>

<p>The couple, who met three years ago, sold their Robina home earlier this year after identifying what they saw as strong long-term investment potential at Cumulus while remaining within the same Gold Coast market. The villa’s private backyard was a major drawcard for their dog Luna, while proximity to golf courses including Emerald Lakes also aligned with their lifestyle interests.</p>

<p>Beyond the residences themselves, the community has been planned around shared lifestyle and recreation amenities. The Infinity Terrace will include a 20-metre heated pool, barbecue facilities, alfresco dining spaces and elevated retreat areas overlooking the surrounding landscape. Walking trails, a private nature reserve, orchard and herb garden are also integrated into the masterplan.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135663 project_image_fid=360473]</p>

<p>BDA Architecture Director Darren Greenaway said the design approach was heavily influenced by the site’s outlook and secluded setting.</p>

<p>The practice sought to create what Greenaway described as a “little piece of paradise,” drawing inspiration from the elevated views, surrounding greenery and quiet location.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/carrara-qld-4211">Carrara</a> continues to attract buyers seeking larger homes within proximity to the coast but without direct beachfront pricing. Cumulus sits within easy reach of Broadbeach, Pacific Fair, Robina Town Centre and the M1, providing connections north to Brisbane and south toward the Gold Coast Airport and northern New South Wales.</p>

<p>The first stage of Cumulus Grand Villas is targeting completion in 2026.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135663]</p>


VentureCrowd nears sell-out of Canopy Collection at Cumulus Grand Villas in Carrara

<p data-end="89" data-start="0">Waverley Council has made a call that many councils have been reluctant to make publicly. Growth is coming, regardless of who controls it.</p>

<p data-end="659" data-start="141">The release of the Bondi Junction Vision and Master Plan is less about whether the Eastern Suburbs’ primary centre will change, and more about how that change is shaped, funded, and ultimately experienced on the ground. Waverley Council has released a 100-page plan which is effectively the first comprehensive blueprint for Bondi Junction in over two decades, and in doing so, signals a clear shift in how councils are positioning themselves in the current planning environment.</p>

<p data-end="1018" data-start="661">For the past 18 months, the conversation across New South Wales has been dominated by the State Government’s Low and Mid-Rise Housing reforms and the emergence of the Housing Delivery Authority pathway. Both have created faster, more centralised avenues for development approvals, particularly in well-located, infrastructure-rich areas like Bondi Junction.</p>

<p data-end="1087" data-start="1020">Waverley Council’s response has been to move early, and decisively.</p>

<p data-end="1547" data-start="1089">Rather than react to individual proposals as they come through the HDA or broader State-led reforms, Council has sought to establish a clear, place-based framework that sets the terms for how Bondi Junction evolves. The underlying position is relatively straightforward: if densification is inevitable, it should be tied to infrastructure, public domain improvements, and a cohesive vision for the centre, not delivered piecemeal through ad hoc applications.</p>

<p data-end="1547" data-start="1089"><img alt="bondi junction" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7f1f729c-ed99-4c6c-bf87-ffbce6991941" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-19%20at%209.58.16%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=ULX4OlXKjeJ5BvNCNGL86evgXCjCfMih" /></p>

<p data-end="2067" data-start="1591">At its core, the document is attempting to reposition Bondi Junction from what it largely functions as today, a transport interchange anchored by a major retail centre, into something far more layered. The ambition is to transform it into what the plan describes as the “civic and cultural heart of Sydney’s East,” a place that is active beyond commuting hours and capable of supporting a broader mix of uses, experiences and communities.</p>

<p data-end="2123" data-start="2069">That repositioning is built around four key ambitions.</p>

<p data-end="2424" data-start="2125">The first is to create a true destination. Bondi Junction already attracts significant foot traffic, with more than 86,000 daily transport users and millions of annual retail visits, but much of that activity is transient. People pass through, rather than stay.</p>

<p data-end="2897" data-start="2426">The Master Plan seeks to change that dynamic. It leans heavily into the idea of an “18-hour economy,” extending activity well beyond traditional retail hours through dining, cultural programming, events, and a more active night-time offering. This is not just about adding more hospitality venues, but about fundamentally shifting how the centre operates, from a daytime shopping destination to a place that functions across the full span of the day and into the evening.</p>

<p data-end="2951" data-start="2899">Oxford Street Mall sits at the centre of that shift.</p>

<p data-end="3478" data-start="2953">Long seen as underperforming relative to its potential, the Mall is identified as one of the key catalyst projects in the plan. It is to be reimagined as a day-to-night spine, combining retail, dining, wellness and cultural uses in a way that creates a continuous flow of activity. Outdoor dining, rooftop venues, laneway activation and a curated events program are all part of the strategy, alongside significant public domain upgrades that aim to improve comfort, safety and usability.</p>

<p data-end="3478" data-start="2953">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="3562" data-start="3480">The second ambition is to transform Bondi Junction into a world-class interchange.</p>

<p data-end="3890" data-start="3564">Despite being one of the most heavily used transport nodes in Sydney, the current experience is fragmented. Connections between the station, Westfield, Oxford Street Mall and surrounding streets are often unclear, and major roads create physical barriers that disrupt pedestrian movement.</p>

<p data-end="4240" data-start="3892">The Master Plan proposes a more seamless, people-focused network. That includes clearer pedestrian links, improved wayfinding, better integration between transport modes, and a rethinking of how arrival into the centre is experienced. The aim is to shift the perception of Bondi Junction from a place people move through, to a place they arrive in.</p>

<p data-end="4296" data-start="4242">The third ambition focuses on greening and open space.</p>

<p data-end="4709" data-start="4298">One of the more consistent pieces of community feedback throughout the Vision phase was the need for more greenery, better public spaces, and a more comfortable urban environment. Despite being surrounded by major parks, Bondi Junction itself has relatively limited accessible open space, with much of the public realm dominated by hard surfaces and traffic infrastructure.</p>

<p data-end="5076" data-start="4711">The plan responds with a network of new and upgraded public spaces, increased tree canopy, and what it terms the “Parkline,” a green link connecting Waverley Park through to Centennial Park. This is not just about aesthetics. It is about addressing heat, improving liveability, and ensuring that increased density is matched by access to high-quality outdoor space.</p>

<p data-end="5183" data-start="5078">The fourth ambition is perhaps the most important from a development perspective: growth that gives back.</p>

<p data-end="5501" data-start="5185">Bondi Junction is already the primary location for new housing supply in the Waverley LGA, and that is expected to continue. The area carries a target of 2,400 new dwellings by 2029, with further growth projected beyond that as demand for well-located housing continues to rise. The Master Plan does not seek to limit that growth. Instead, it attempts to shape it.</p>

<p data-end="5842" data-start="5590">New housing is to be concentrated around transport, with stepped building heights designed to protect the character of surrounding neighbourhoods. At the same time, the plan introduces a more explicit link between development uplift and public benefit. This is where value capture becomes central.</p>

<p data-end="6327" data-start="5890">The document outlines a framework where increased development potential is tied to contributions that fund public domain improvements, community infrastructure, open space, and affordable housing. It is an approach that recognises that much of the transformation of Bondi Junction will be delivered by the private sector, but seeks to ensure that the benefits of that growth are shared more broadly. The Civic Precinct is a key part of that equation.</p>

<p data-end="6732" data-start="6381">Leveraging Council-owned land, the plan proposes a consolidated civic and cultural hub centred around Ebley Street. This would include new community facilities, cultural spaces, and potentially a new Council Chambers, creating a focal point for civic life that currently does not exist in Bondi Junction at scale.</p>

<p data-end="6980" data-start="6734">It is one of several catalyst projects identified in the Master Plan, alongside the Oxford Street Mall transformation. These projects are intended to anchor change, acting as early interventions that unlock broader investment across the precinct.</p>

<p data-end="7137" data-start="6982">Importantly, the Master Plan is not just a design document. It includes a delivery framework that sets out how these ambitions are intended to be realised.</p>

<p data-end="7519" data-start="7139">Council is explicit in acknowledging that it cannot deliver the transformation alone. Implementation will require coordination between State agencies, private developers, landowners and the community, with a mix of planning agreements, infrastructure contributions and direct delivery mechanisms used to fund and stage improvements over time.</p>

<p data-end="7843" data-start="7556">The plan outlines a mix of short-term, medium-term and long-term actions, from immediate public domain upgrades and planning controls, through to larger-scale projects that will unfold over the next decade or more. In practical terms, the next 12 to 24 months will be the most important.</p>

<p data-end="8108" data-start="7845">This is when the Master Plan will move through exhibition, refinement and eventual adoption. It is also the period in which Council will seek to embed the framework into its planning controls, giving it weight in the assessment of future development applications.</p>

<p data-end="8528" data-start="8161">Council officers have indicated that once the Master Plan is in place, it could be used as a benchmark when assessing Housing Delivery Authority proposals, and potentially reduce the need for further HDA declarations within Bondi Junction. In effect, it is an attempt to bring planning control back to the local level, while still aligning with State housing targets.</p>

<p data-end="8654" data-start="8530">That tension between State-led reform and local planning control is not unique to Waverley. It is playing out across Sydney.</p>

<p data-end="8710" data-start="8656">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="8710" data-start="8656">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="9626" data-start="9587">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="10207" data-start="9884">If delivered as intended, Bondi Junction will become denser, more active, and more complex. It will support more residents, more workers, and a wider range of uses, extending beyond its current retail core into a more layered urban environment.</p>


“The civic and cultural heart of Sydney’s East”: Bondi Junction masterplan revealed

<p>Toorak's dress circle St Georges Road, home to some of the city's priciest homes, is set for a rare new apartment development.</p>

<p>Blood Diamond Group, an entity tied to Tina Brandi, wife of David Brandi who has been a prolific bidder on The Block over the years, has filed plans for an ultra-exclusive development across an amalgamated 3,662 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/104-106-st-georges-road-toorak-vic-3142">104 and 106 St Georges Road</a>.</p>

<p>The proposal would replace two existing homes on the riverfront site with a five-level apartment building cascading down the steeply sloping land toward the Yarra River. Designed by Charles Wright Architects, the development has been carefully shaped around the site’s topography and river environs, with the upper levels stepping back to reduce visual bulk from both St Georges Road and the Yarra corridor.</p>

<p>Planning documents describe the proposal as “a site layout and building typology that is consistent with the emerging character of the area and which provides exceptional amenity for future residents without compromising that of neighbouring properties.”&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Blood Diamond Group unveils riverfront apartment plans for Toorak Pavilion" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ea19a17e-7528-4fa8-b727-05f2f7c025e5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Toorak%20pavilion%20a_0.png?VersionId=rZ2IjdoUL_UrRl1sZ4wZHnQXbYUaEmUQ" /></p>

<p>The scheme comprises 12 apartments, including 10 three-bedroom residences, one one-bedroom apartment, and a substantial split-level five-bedroom penthouse. A 624 sqm communal rooftop terrace will crown the building, while three undercroft levels embedded into the hillside will accommodate apartments and basement parking.</p>

<p>The design leverages the site’s dramatic northern outlook across the Yarra River, with living areas and balconies oriented toward the water. A central atrium running the full height of the building is intended to draw natural light deep into the residences and improve internal amenity.</p>

<p>Landscape architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/jack-merlo">Jack Merlo Design &amp; Landscape</a> will play a major role in softening the built form, particularly along the river edge where significant setbacks have been introduced. The proposal includes a minimum 30-metre setback from the Yarra River boundary, preserving a substantial landscaped buffer between the development and the waterway.</p>

<p>While a mature English Oak near the front of the site is proposed for removal, the plans retain a large English Elm closer to the riverfront, alongside other established vegetation in the lower section of the property.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Blood Diamond Group unveils riverfront apartment plans for Toorak Pavilion" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ed3bf19b-5bc7-482f-bde7-41f709a13c3a" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Toorak%20pavilion%20b.png?VersionId=SG_kBGu4rOaSPY8FtVcmPJfSCrstuOfg" /></p>

<p>Architecturally, the building adopts strong horizontal forms with expansive glazing and curved balcony edges facing the river. Planning documents note the upper levels “adopt a receding form” to ensure the building responds appropriately to the Yarra River environs overlay controls.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The surrounding streetscape is characterised by large contemporary homes embedded into the hillside, many presenting as modest one or two-storey forms to the street before expanding toward the river frontage below. The planning report notes this established pattern heavily influenced the massing strategy for Toorak Pavilion.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Until the recent sale of the landmark Clendon Road mansion Coonac for around $130 million, St Georges Road held the state's most expensive home, the $80,000,088 derelict "Ghost House" mansion that was bought by crypto king Ed Craven.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Blair House, also on St Georges Road, sold for $74.5 million in 2022.</p>


First look: Toorak Pavilions slated for dress circle St Georges Road

<p data-end="205" data-start="54">Six months after a development site on Kangaroo Point’s Shafston Avenue sold for $6.55 million, plans have been lodged for a 23-storey apartment tower.</p>

<p data-end="443" data-start="207">A company named JMT Mega Capital, understood to be interstate investors when the 1,222 sqm double block traded late last year through Patona Property, is proposing an 84-apartment development in place of the existing low-rise buildings.</p>

<p data-end="694" data-start="445">The slender tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/212-220-shafston-avenue-east-brisbane-qld-4169">212–220 Shafston Avenue</a>, overlooking the Brisbane River, has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/aplus-design-group">Aplus Design Group</a>. It will comprise a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments above six basement levels, topped by rooftop resident amenities.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: 23-storey Kangaroo Point tower planned for Shafston Avenue riverfront precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7e17ba9e-553e-42ef-92b6-22081671521a" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/podium_3.png?VersionId=hlVUf99vrOjUs.vhQs0qV0DhOncUy9T8" /></p>

<p>The development has been designed as a vertically articulated tower with recessed balconies, curved façades and planted edges intended to soften its scale within the evolving Shafston Avenue skyline. In the submitted Urban Design Report, Aplus Design Group said the tower had been “shaped with a slender vertical expression, articulated façades, recessed balcony zones, integrated planting and a clearly defined podium relationship, helping to reduce perceived bulk and create a more elegant contribution to the Shafston Avenue streetscape and broader Kangaroo Point skyline.”</p>

<p>The scheme comprises 84 apartments, including 25 one-bedroom units, 34 two-bedroom apartments and 25 three-bedroom residences. A total of 104 car spaces are proposed across six basement levels, including resident, visitor and accessible parking.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to rooftop communal open space and shared amenities, while the development also incorporates deep planting zones and subtropical landscaping throughout the podium and tower levels. The project includes 35 per cent communal space coverage across the site and a 17.5 per cent deep soil zone allocation to support urban greening outcomes.</p>

<p>The application exceeds the mapped building height under the Kangaroo Point Peninsula Neighbourhood Plan and is being assessed under Brisbane City Council’s impact assessment pathway. The design team argues the additional height is supported by the site’s strategic inner-city location, existing high-density zoning, and proximity to transport and employment hubs.</p>

<p>“The design has been developed to make better use of a well-serviced urban site within an established high-density residential setting, while improving the street presentation and overall quality of the public realm interface,” the report states.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: 23-storey Kangaroo Point tower planned for Shafston Avenue riverfront precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="1ab44b1e-ff45-4bf3-8da8-8aa0cd79db33" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/site_10.png?VersionId=tSxeGekZOqj1e9g3PEn_yFoC3taKDp3U" /></p>

<p>The proposal adds to a growing pipeline of apartment developments reshaping Kangaroo Point ahead of the 2032 Brisbane Olympic Games, with demand continuing to strengthen for new housing supply in well-connected inner-city precincts.</p>

<p>Mosaic has nearly sold out its under-construction <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-bedford-by-mosaic-16-30-prospect-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">The Bedford by Mosaic</a>&nbsp;and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-carter-by-mosaic-77-linton-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">The Carter</a>,&nbsp;while Pikos recently completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/skye-residences-by-pikos-kangaroo-point-8-river-terrace-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Skye Residences</a> nearby. Pikos is also delivering <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gaia-kangaroo-point-108-lambert-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Gaia</a>, over 230 three- and four-bedroom apartments on Lambert Street.</p>


First look: 23-storey Kangaroo Point apartment tower planned for Shafston Avenue riverfront precinct

<p>Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.</p>

<p>They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.</p>

<p>They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.</p>

<p>Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" /></p>

<p>Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor</p>

<p>Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" /></p>

<p>Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>​</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.</p>

<p>With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.</p>


Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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<p>The latest research from Melbourne Cityscope shows that commercial property sales have decreased in the past three months. </p>
<p>Sales recorded in the quarter ending March 2016 totalled $800.9 million, a decrease from the $935.1 million in sales recorded in the three months to December 2015 and significantly lower from the $3.525 billion recorded in the three months to September 2015. </p>
<p>This data brings the 12-month total to $6.108 billion from 323 sales, an increase compared with the previous 12-month total of $2.757 billion from 351 sales.</p>
<div>
<p>The table below shows sales recorded for the past eight updates of Melbourne Cityscope.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-11%20at%2012.37.42%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-11%20at%2012.37.42%20PM.png" alt="" width="552" height="313"></p>
<p><strong style="font-size: 12.16px; line-height: 1.3em;">The most notable sales recorded for the March 2016 update of Melbourne Cityscope include:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>The acquisition of the remaining 43 per cent interest by AMP Capital WOF of Bourke Place consisting of properties at 600 Bourke Street, a 55 level development on a 6,548 sqm site providing 65,427 sqm net lettable area, Bourke Place Studio at 577 Little Bourke Street, a six storey brick office building with a net lettable area of 2,362 sqm, 188-194 King Street, 184 King Street, a four storey office building and a paved vacant land at former Bourke Place for approximately $243 million through a deal brokered by Savills;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>A 50 per cent acquisition of SX2 Tower also known as Southern Cross West Tower at 111-129 Bourke Street by Southern Cross West Investment TC Pty Ltd for $218 million in a deal brokered by CBRE and Colliers International;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>One Collins Street, consisting of several linked new and refurbished buildings ranging up to 17 storeys and is connected by a covered overhead walkway with property at 12-20 Flinders Lane, a 10 storey building with car parking on levels 1, 2 and 3 and offices on upper levels, were bought together for $125 million in a deal brokered by Knight Frank.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Properties for sale in the area covered by Melbourne Cityscope in March 2016 include: </strong></p>
<ul>
<li>320-326 Queen Street a three storey Victorian rendered brick building occupied and owned by The Celtic Club and property at 316-318 Queen Street, a five-level brick and concrete office building including a basement with a combined site area of 676 sqm, are for sale and or as a redevelopment by international public tender closing May 6, 2016 through CBRE;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The Metropolitan on William Hotel at 263-267 William Street, a two storey older brick hotel building is for sale by auction on April 8, 2016 through CBRE and Killen Thomas. This property was last sold for $565,000 in 1993;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>185-187 Lonsdale Street, a three storey brick building is for sale with an asking price of $9.9 million through Savills and Burgess Rawson; and</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>51 Queen Street, an office building of 11 storeys plus mezzanine and basement, for sale through expressions of interest closing April 7, 2016 through Colliers International. This property was last sold for $16.388 million in 2012.</li>
</ul>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-11%20at%2012.40.29%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/11/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-11%20at%2012.40.29%20PM.png" alt="" width="568" height="327" style="font-size: 12.16px; line-height: 1.3em;"></p>
<p><strong>Leasing opportunities in the area covered by Melbourne Cityscope in March 2016 include: </strong></p>
<ul>
<li>485 La Trobe Street, two office towers linked by a six storey glass atrium and lobby with a total net lettable area of 33,639 sqm has office space ranging from 1,334 sqm to 7,317 sqm for lease through Savills and JLL Melbourne;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Melbourne Chambers, an 11 storey office building at 235 Queen Street with a net lettable office area of 3,533 sqm, has naming rights and areas ranging from 300 sqm to 3,621 sqm for lease through Colliers International and MP Burke Commercial;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Collins Place consisting of Collins Tower of 51 storeys at 35 Collins Street and the ANZ Tower at 55 Collins Street of 47 storeys has office floor area ranging from 1,689 sqm to 3,393 sqm for lease through Colliers International; and</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>KTS at 350 Queen Street, a 21 storey building consisting of an octagonal office tower above five levels of car parking with a net lettable area of 22,411 sqm, has office space ranging from 300 sqm to 9,000 sqm for lease through CBRE and Savills.</li>
</ul>
</div>
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prateek24-ezbwHMbNAk

Melbourne commercial property sales fell in the last three months: CoreLogic RP Data Cityscope

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<p>A beachfront landholding in Perth's North Fremantle has been scooped up by a private developer for $15.4 million.</p>
<p>Located on Leighton Beach, the 4,015 sqm site has been earmarked to form part of a mixed-use urban village. </p>
<p>CBRE’s Ben Younger and Michael Milne brokered the sale for LandCorp via a public Offers to Purchase invited campaign.</p>
<p>“Located within one of Perth’s most exclusive beachfront enclaves, this landholding was the very last remaining site held by LandCorp, as part of the state government’s re-zoning and normalisation of Leighton Beach for urban renewal,” Younger said.</p>
<p>The site may be developed into a five to six-level apartment complex similar to adjacent apartment projects completed by Mirvac and Brookfield Multiplex, added Milne.</p>
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Last Leighton beachfront site in Perth sold to developer for $15.4 million

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<p>The proposed relocation of Warringah Golf Club’s clubhouse facilities has prompted an expressions of interest (EOI) campaign for the sale of a 4,071 sqm landholding in North Manly - one of Sydney’s most sought after residential locations.</p>
<p>The property at 397 Condamine Street is being offered for sale for the first time since the Warringah Golf Club acquired the site and established its first clubhouse in 1939.</p>
<p>Warringah Council is supportive of the strategy, having promoted the move in its new ‘District Park Plan of Management’, which includes the development of a combined sports club, lease of the golf course and other associated sports facilities.</p>
<p>The listing agents are CBRE’s Aaron Arias and Richard Gell.</p>
<p>CBRE residential development manager Gell said the property is expected to draw good interest as “the site benefits from strong residential market fundamentals, including proximity to Westfield Warringah Mall, schools and public transport into the Sydney CBD”.</p>
<p>The property is being offered for sale as a raw site.</p>
<p> </p>
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Warringah Golf Clubhouse site in Sydney's Manly on sale 

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<p>A prominent five-level building overlooking Hindmarsh Square in Adelaide CBD is up for sale through expressions of interest and is expected to attract interest from a wide range of buyers, according to marketing agents Colliers International and JLL.</p>
<p>The building at 132 Grenfell Street has been refurbished. </p>
<p>Colliers International’s Alistair Mackie and JLL’s Jamie Guerra are marketing the property on behalf of Primewest.</p>
<p>“This five-level CBD building provides an ultra-modern workplace behind a historic façade,” Mackie said. </p>
<p>The office and retail building is 100% leased, with anchor tenant Bradford College occupying around 68% of the building as its Adelaide headquarters.</p>
<p>Bradford College is part of the Kaplan group and has more than five years remaining on its lease.</p>
<p>The diversified tenancy mix includes popular restaurateurs and returns an estimated fully leased net income of around $1,106,000 per annum.</p>
<p>The 3,155sqm (approx.) building sits on a virtual 985 sqm island site, said Guerra.</p>
<p>“The building overlooks Hindmarsh Square and has a prestigious Grenfell Street address,” he said. “Positioned on the bustling ‘people’s square’, amongst new developments including office buildings, two hotels and high end residential apartments, this is a premium Adelaide address.</p>
<p>The EOI campaign closes on May 12.</p>
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Commercial building in Adelaide CBD up for sale

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<div>Macroprudential measures have had the desired effect, and the rate of home price growth has steadied.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>CoreLogic-RP Data's Daily Home Value Index may be a little seasonal, but the year-on-year figures show the slower gradient of growth.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Nationally home price growth has slowed to +6.3 percent year-on-year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Melbourne (+8.8 percent), Sydney (+8.1 percent) and Brisbane (+4.5 percent) between them have accounted for most of the price growth over the past year. <br><br>While Sydney and Melbourne have been grabbing all the attention in recent years, Brisbane prices have just kept rising steadily and under the radar. <br><br>CoreLogic's index shows the median price for Brisbane &amp; Gold Coast having increased by $61,330 or +13.1 per cent over the past three years. <br><br>Although I have long been sceptical about the somewhat parlous state of the South Australian economy, Adelaide mediabn prices have also increased by just shy of +10 per cent over the same timeframe.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/11/RP1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/11/RP1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>I was busy doing other things than charting data over the Christmas/New Year 2014-15 period, so actually have no idea what happened in the gaps in the chart. <br><br>Maybe there was a property crash and a speedy recovery, for all I know, not sure.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Home price growth steadies: Pete Wargent

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<div>There's a theory that hosing down investor demand should have no impact on rents.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That's because <em>in theory</em> for every property that isn't bought by an investor, an owner-occupier buys instead, and thus  the balance of supply and demand for rental properties remains unchanged. <br><br>In the real world capital city property markets don't work like that. In reality, many are renters either by choice or by circumstance, such as new graduates, transient employees, international or interstate visitors, and other folk who prefer taking a rental close to the city to ownership in the outer suburbs. Many others simply don't have an available deposit saved, so buying is not an option for them. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As such rental growth is to a large extent determined by the growth in demand for rentals - underpinned over time by population growth - and by the relative activity of investors. For example, rents in Australian capital cities (and especially Sydney) boomed in 1986 and again in 2008 both of which were periods when investor buying had crashed in half.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>For this reason it will be interesting to see what impact APRA's crackdown has on apartment rents in Sydney.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I've rented out several properties in Sydney in recent months, all of them for more than last year. However, the properties in question are in high demand areas such as on the Sydney harbourside, and as such are not likely to be very representative of what is happening in construction pockets like, say, Parramatta or Green Square. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Domain reported last week that as at March 2016 Sydney apartment rents were up by +4.0 per cent of 2016 from one year ago to a record median high of $520/week, with apartment rents now nearly as high as median house rents of $530/week in the harbour city. CoreLogic-RP Data has Sydney apartment rents +3.4 per cent higher than one year ago, and SQM Research records an increase of +5.7 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>To date this may in part simply be due to newer stock coming online, which typically is advertised for rent at higher prices than the older stock it often replaces. And we shouldn't be expecting runaway growth in rents any time soon, since investor activity is still at a historically high level, even after APRA's dampening of the buy-to-let sector.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>While it's still early days, this trend is certainly one to watch. Markets are quite complex beasts when you drill into the detail, with endless subtle balances and counter-balances, and in an expensive capital city such as Sydney with a growing population rental growth is likely to continue to have an inverse relationship to investor activity. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Another trend that is worth watching I looked at here, and that is that inner Sydney vacancy rates have tightened while vacancy rates in secondary and outers areas of Sydney are rising.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>A question for today, then: could it be that foreign buyers of apartments are leaving their inner city units vacant?</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">FIRB data curve ball</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>In the 1980s Japanese buyers famously  bought heavily into Gold Coast property, but then promptly withdrew funds as the economic outlook soured. As I mused in some detail here, the FIRB data shows that through this cycle there has been an unprecedented surge in Chinese investment in Australian real estate, on a scale never before seen.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>If you've been following some of my pieces over the years, you'll know that I aim to identify new trends well before you read about them in the wider media, which of course sometimes means being wrong. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>On the topic of localised apartment oversupply, such as in Sydney's inner south, for example, I was yapping on about this emerging risk way back in 2013, long before it ever became a standard media topic <em>du jour</em>.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In that spirit, here's a possible anti-counter-contrarian view for you: maybe the high-rise building approvals boom won't prove to be such a big a deal after all? There are plenty of risk areas around, for sure, including some already alluded to above, but here are some lines of reasoning to consider:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>-<a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/2016/04/immigration-alley-oop" target="_blank">i</a>mmigration is rising again - and therefore so is population growth - while the construction boom will soon pass its peak</div>
<div> </div>
<div>-in the most populous capital cities at least, annual population growth never really slowed down anyway: it's still tracking at monumentally strong levels in Greater Sydney (+83,300 in FY2015) and Melbourne (+91,600)</div>
<div> </div>
<div>-the numbers of international students forecast to immigrate into the largest cities is vast - I mean, really vast </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>-although the take-up of permanent residency by international students to date has not yet been as strong as had been suggested by earlier forecasts, the cumulative intake over the next five years is expected to be truly enormous.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A6.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>-the most timely available indicators of education arrivals suggest an unprecedented boom is well underway, with another new record high hit in the month of February.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>-with about 58 per cent of new construction approvals accounted for by foreign  buyers, especially driven by buyers from the Chinese mainland, many may choose not to rent their apartments out, and as such, might not add to the new supply of rental stock at all.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Absorption?</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Mostly these are familiar points. Certainly both Sydney (35,231) and Melbourne (32,614) have approved a historically high number of attached dwellings over the past year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/BA3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/BA3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, some of these apartments are destined to forever remain in the "approved but not yet commenced" column, approvals are now trending down again, and in the grand scheme of things although there are certainly many cranes on the horizon, these are not outlandish numbers for cities of such a large and expanding population (Greater Sydney will blaze past 5 million in the next few months).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Moreover, the latest FIRB data show that the Chinese appetite for the purchase of new dwellings through this cycle is statistically unique. What if those Chinese buyers opt to rent out the apartments only on a short-stay basis? Or save them for their soon-to-be international student offspring? Or, most likely, simply never bother to ever bring them to market at all?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Suddenly Australia's apparent inner city apartment glut, represented by the green line below, could prove to be yet another doomsday scenario that never eventuates.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/BA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/BA1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>This is mostly conjecture, and it's not necessarily a base case, or even probable. And there are plenty of risks for the new and high-rise apartment markets in particular, as we have known now for some years.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Settlement risks are now considerably higher than they were, with increased deposit requirements. And what if there are legislative changes in China which force sales and repatriation of funds? This may not seem rational or realistic, but then again nobody forecast the scale of the Chinese investment boom in the first place, so who really knows what comes next?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In my opinion, most mainland Chinese investors deliberately invest in Australian and other overseas property markets with no intention of repatriating funds. In many cases, the financial return may not be the only objective, or even the primary objective.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Keep a close eye on asking rents and vacancy rates. If the inner city markets do begin to tighten contrary to expectations, then this may be an indicator that mainland Chinese buyers are electing not to bring their shiny new apartments to the rental market, at the same time as domestic investor activity is being throttled. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>An interesting week of news ahead, commencing this morning with the Housing Finance data for February.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>January had been a weaker month for housing loan approvals, but then January is never a big month for activity, so the February figures will give us a much clearer picture of likely activity levels of 2016.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The market consensus forecast is for a moderate rebound in the number of approvals in the month, which broadly fits with what I've been seeing and hearing, that being a steady increase in home loan activity in aggregate. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>On Thursday, the ABS will release the latest March Labour Force figures, which will be the most important data of the week. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Last month the reported seasonally adjusted unemployment rate declined to 5.8 percent, but there is a fair chance that this volatile monthly reading could revert higher, with analysts expecting a bit of a rebound in both employment and the participation rate (following last month's surprise drop from 65.14 percent to 64.9 percent).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
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Sydney unit rents rise to record high? Pete Wargent

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<div>It's almost becoming an annual tradition that the Treasury scrambles until 4.59pm on a Friday before pinging out the Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB) Annual Report and nipping off for a few cold ones.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>And this year the finance team surely did not disappoint scrimmaging until mere moments before "schooner o'clock" on Friday before delivering the goods!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Broadly as expected total foreign investment in Australia was very strong in FY2015, increasing by +16.3 percent to $194.6 billion, with real estate (both commercial and residential) the largest sector at $97 billion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The total number of real estate approvals increased from 23,428 to 37,347 in FY2015, mainly for new dwellings.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Real estate approvals have more than tripled in only two years. Bazinga. </div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB1.jpg" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<p> </p>
<div>Proposed investment in real estate soared to $96.9 billion, incorporating $36.2 billion of commercial real estate proposals.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB2.jpg" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Foreign investment in residential real estate</span></strong></p>
<div>Proposed foreign investment in residential real estate ripped from $34.7 billion in FY2014 to $60.8 billion in FY2015, a level that could even not have been imagined only two years earlier.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span>
</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>No proposals were rejected in FY2015 following three rejections in the preceding year, although 40 percent of approvals were granted with conditions attached, such as time periods for development or the requirement for temporary residents to sell should they depart Australia (approvals are filtered by specific questions, and therefore are to a large degree self-selecting).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>One divestment order was made in May 2015 by the FIRB, with an established $39 million residential Sydney property having been purchased illegally by a foreign company.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Thereafter in May last year responsibility for divestment orders was assumed by the Australian Taxation Office (ATO), and a further 26 divestment orders were actioned.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There was a massive 60 percent increase in the number of residential real estate approvals, with about 80 percent of those approvals for purchases of under $1 million in value (i.e. apartments).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The bulk of this monster increase in foreign investment related to new real estate, including developer off the plan purchases, meaning that in aggregate foreign investors accounted for nearly 60 percent of all new residential construction.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">China's rise</span></strong></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>The value of total FIRB approvals for China has increased by around 68 per cent since the prior year and accounted for around 33 per cent of the total value of approvals by foreign country in FY2015.</span></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>Approvals for all Chinese investment in real estate, incorporating residential and commercial investment, all but doubled to $24.3 billion.</span></div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Finally, Melbourne retained its crown as the king of foreign investment in terms of residential real estate, reflecting the huge volumes of residential construction in that city, with Sydney comfortably  bopped into second place.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There was also enormous foreign investment in vacant land in Victoria at $3.4 billion, far exceeding the $1 billion seen in New South Wales, for example.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The above having been said, Queensland saw far larger increases in foreign residential real estate investment in percentage terms.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB5.jpg" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Foreign investment in Australian residential real estate is something of a double-edged sword.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It is abundantly clear that foreign investors became more active in the purchase of new dwellings in FY2015, and monumentally so, with most of that foreign interest coming from China.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Foreign investment has thus been a crucial factor in the strength of this residential construction boom, accounting for more than half of the investment in new dwellings, helping in turn to keep rental growth subdued.  </div>
<div> </div>
<div>On the flip side, foreign developers in Sydney have shown a willingness on occasion to pay prices for development opportunities far in excess of what locals are generally prepared to pay, putting significant upwards pressure on land values.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Whether this can level of investment in new dwellings can be sustained is less clear as the residential construction cycle passes its peak imminently.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Clearly there is vast foreign interest in Australian property from China, and it seems reasonable to me to suggest that any holes in the FIRB Annual Report are likely to be errors of omission rather than errors of commission.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As such, the above information acts as a useful indicator, but it may not be complete.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>With immigration now rising again, the share of overseas born Aussies at a 120 year high, and as the number of international students in Australia skyrockets, the potential pathways for foreign capital to ultimately find its way into established residential property markets are multiplying, particularly in the largest capital cities.<br><br>A final thought or question for you - what percentage share of these new apartments bought by investors from the Chinese mainland ever make it to the local rental market?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
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FIRB real estate approvals triple in two years: Pete Wargent

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<p>The site of popular watering hole, the Evening Star Hotel in Sydney's Surry Hills, will go up for auction on May 3.</p>
<p>The pub, which tapped its first keg in 1873, is located at <a href="https://www.gunningre.com.au/1P3893" target="_blank">360 Elizabeth Street</a>.</p>
<p>It is pictured before the apartments went up above it around 2006 and below after renovations.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/11/lt-1-1P3893-145679489287956429-rsd.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="409"></p>
<p>The listing agent is Daniel Gunning of Gunning Real Estate. </p>
<p>“It is a secure and well leased investment,” Gunning said. “The redevelopment of the hotel in 2006 consisted of retaining its façade and the floor space being reduced to a single storey premises as it is today, the rest of the land was developed into a high-rise residential building known as Icon."</p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/11/lt-1-1P3893-145679491315796114-rsd.jpg" alt="" width="669" height="446"></p>
<p>Tenant, the Marvan Hotel group, has recently signed a new seven-year lease with a further five-year option.</p>
<p>“The Marvan Hotel group has also committed to a major renovation of which will capitalise on its positioning close to China Town and Haymarket. The focus will be on gaming and TAB facilities," he said.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/11/lt-1-1P3893-145679494002630847-rsd.jpg" alt="" width="659" height="439"></p>
<p>Marvan Hotel group also operates other hotels, including the Sea Breeze, Nelson bay; Lidcombe Hotel, Lidcombe; The Flynn, Sydney; The Bald Face Stag, Leichhardt; The Westmead Tavern, Westmead and The Merrylands tavern, Merrylands.</p>
<p>“Outside of the lockout law precinct, 360 Elizabeth Street represents good value for future leasing opportunities and with the tram coming through in the area in 2017/2018, we believe demand will be high for this property.</p>
<p>He added that the property has the potential to be subdivided into multiple smaller retail shops or remain “as is” in-one-line.</p>
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Evening Star pub in Sydney's Surry Hills up for auction 

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<p>I’m not sure just how closely you have been following Australia’s property markets but what I can add is we are now starting to see some amazing trends emerging that will have both negative and positive outcomes.</p>
<p>This week we read that despite our national apartment building boom rents continue to rise. With approximately 30,000 apartments nearing completion in Sydney I predict that we have seen the rental peak. Unbeknown to many the major banks have already started black spotting many areas across Australia – where they are now no – go areas for future lending. For example, where you have an area that has undergone unprecedented new apartment high density developments you can expect values to start decreasing quite rapidly.</p>
<p>In Sydney the areas on ignore include, Darling Harbour, Dawes Point, Haymarket, Millers Point, Sydney, Sydney South, Waterloo, Annandale, Zetland, Homebush and Arncliffe. It will only be a matter of time before these areas spread further given the sudden – impact of oversupply where the vast majority of these properties will be left fighting it out in this newly created competitive rental market. It is quite unprecedented to see the lenders adopting this strategy given they are creating their own problems although they did approve the respective loans.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Gen Y (or Gen Why? as I call them) should stop complaining and consider themselves lucky that they missed most of this modern day apartment investment boom. Since December 2008, when the Rudd government moved the off – the – plan apartment overseas buying ratio from 50 per cent to 100 per cent where the large percentage of these buyers came from Asia, which has a combined population of approximately 4 billion people compared to our 24 million. Whilst I certainly don’t agree with this decision we have introduced foreign owners although the debt remains local – another big problem.</p>
<p>Then of course it would be remiss of me not to mention that the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) has gladly accepted the role of “Big Brother” where every single property transaction in Australia dating back to 1985 now being scrutinised. Whilst the ATO has been remarkably quiet on the announcement side of developments this is an election year and the decision to hand the ATO total ownership of Australian property data was a decision by the present government, so we can expect this to figure prominently in the forthcoming election debate.</p>
<p>Now if developments were not getting interesting we now have the Panama Papers (the largest leak in journalistic history) which the ATO would be all over given 800 Australians managed to make guest appearances as a direct result from the leaked papers.</p>
<p>Just what the exposure to Australian property markets is remains to be seen although I did read in <em>The Guardian</em> this week – “Which is exactly why today’s revelations about the connections between tax havens and property ownership are so important. Revealed in the leaked documents was the fact that 2,800 Mossack Fonseca companies are connected to more than 6,000 UK title deeds, worth at least £7bn. On top of this, according to Guardian analysis, more than 90,000 properties in England and Wales are listed in the Land Registry to overseas owners, at least 75,000 of which are owned by companies or individuals registered in tax havens.”</p>
<p>Now can you start to see why raising the overseas buyers’ ratio from 50 per cent to 100 per cent could have a serious impact on our Australian property markets? Given all that is presently going on it would be sage advice to closely monitor exactly what is going on in these areas of high density development.</p>
<p>To be fair many areas saw very little development so they will go through this with minimum downside to property prices and rental returns. Having said that the property aggregators bundle all the statistics into the one bundle so rents will then show signs of easing although in some areas it will be quite the opposite.</p>
<p>I have no doubt that the role the ATO is currently playing within the tapestry of the Australian property markets will have a defining outcome that will result in many forced sales. Just what effect this will have on property prices is way too early to call although I see the investment market under significant pressure with all presently going on. Then again there will be a knock – on effect with all the new developments which are presently in the re – zoning and planning stages more particularly, those areas that already that are already marked as being over developed – over supply.</p>
<p>On the other hand the owner operated housing market has just been ambling along and looks to have well and truly dodged this modern day investor bullet. If there were to be an investor market collapse the owner occupiers would then be placed again with the opportunity of a lifetime with record low cash rates coupled with an investor market collapse. Yes, we have seen such markets before although never on this grand scale.</p>
<p>In my opinion, these are the markets you should be closely following on high visual alert.</p>
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 56</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market last week – 45</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this week – 43</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 53</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market last week – 46</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this week – 48</p>
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 0</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market last week – 5</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this week – 6</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 8</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market last week – 26</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this week – 14</p>
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 0</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market last week – 7</p>
<p>•Number of houses on the market this week – 11</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 42</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market last week – 26</p>
<p>*Number of apartments on the market this week – 24</p>
<p> </p>
<p><em><span>ROBERT SIMEON</span> is a director of </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> </em><em>and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. <br>He has also been writing real estate blog </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> </em><em>since 2000. </em></p>
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robertsimeon-hRNTwJyXkQ

Why property markets keep confusing us: Robert Simeon

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<p><span lang="EN-US">Real estate company JLL has bought the management rights of a Brisbane boutique residential development, Newstead Series.</span></p>
<p><span lang="EN-US">The purchase is the first ‘off the plan’ acquisition of residential management rights in Queensland for JLL, said a media release.</span></p>
<p><span lang="EN-US">Newstead Series is being developed by JGL Properties and</span> comprises four boutique buildings – The Carlyle, The Donaldson, The Ajax and The Koerstz – named after Australia’s famous wool presses.</p>
<p>The buildings are set amongst half an acre of subtropical landscaped gardens with a 25 m pool, gymnasium, alfresco dining areas, outdoor cinema and recreational lawns. The project is due for completion in 2017.</p>
<p>“JLL’s property management business continues to be a major engine room for growth, and the Newstead Series acquisition further expands and diversifies our reach and allows us to leverage our extensive commercial management portfolio,” said Geoff McIntyre, managing director of JLL’s Queensland business.</p>
<p><span lang="EN-US">JLL is the largest property manager in Australia. </span></p>
<p><span lang="EN-US">National head of Property and Asset Management Richard Fennell said, “diversifying our business has been a key strategy, and growing into the residential sector has been a successful factor.”</span></p>
<p><span lang="EN-US">“We believe there will be strong future rental demand, driven by the boutique nature of Newstead Series, its spacious apartment and townhome designs, as well as the generous half an acre of lifestyle and community amenities.  </span></p>
<p>Newstead Series developer John Livingstone from JGL Properties said the investment by JLL delivered a strong endorsement for the project. </p>
<p><span lang="EN-US">“To have Australia’s largest property services firm acquire the Newstead Series management rights is a huge vote of confidence in the project and for the stakeholders involved,” said Livingstone.</span></p>
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