<p data-end="186" data-start="128">ANZ believes the Reserve Bank is in no rush to move again.</p>

<p data-end="441" data-start="188">Following the release of the May Monetary Policy Board Minutes, ANZ has taken the view that the RBA is now firmly in a holding pattern, with the cumulative impact of previous rate hikes giving the Board scope to assess how the economy evolves from here.</p>

<p data-end="508" data-start="443">That positioning, in ANZ’s view, makes a June rate hike unlikely.</p>

<p data-end="680" data-start="510">The bank continues to expect the cash rate to remain unchanged at 4.35 per cent for an extended period, with the RBA adopting what is effectively a wait-and-see approach.</p>

<p data-end="1015" data-start="682">The Minutes point to a Board that sees financial conditions as already restrictive, but without a clear read on just how restrictive they are. That uncertainty has shifted the focus away from immediate policy action and toward monitoring both domestic conditions and global developments, particularly the conflict in the Middle East.</p>

<p data-end="1098" data-start="1017">As ANZ interprets it, the Board is deliberately avoiding strong forward guidance.</p>

<p data-end="1345" data-start="1100">Instead, it is allowing itself flexibility, acknowledging that monetary policy has limited ability to influence the near-term trajectory of inflation, while also recognising that economic growth is likely to remain below potential for some time.</p>

<p data-end="1436" data-start="1347">Despite that pause in momentum, ANZ notes that the Board still carries a tightening bias.</p>

<p data-end="1678" data-start="1438">The Minutes reveal that, in weighing up its decision, the Board seriously considered another 25 basis point increase. The key debate centred on the trade-off between inflation and activity, particularly in the context of global uncertainty.</p>

<p data-end="1755" data-start="1680">Ultimately, most members leaned toward the inflation side of that equation.</p>

<p data-end="2082" data-start="1757">Underlying inflation is still expected to remain above target for an extended period, regardless of how external risks evolve. That has led to a view within the Board that the risks to its inflation objective have increased, and that the current cash rate may not be sufficiently restrictive to fully contain those pressures.</p>

<p data-end="2101" data-start="2084">That’s important.</p>

<p data-end="2239" data-start="2103">While the decision, for now, is to hold, the underlying tone of the Minutes suggests the door to further tightening has not been closed.</p>

<p data-end="2597" data-start="2241">ANZ also points to commentary from Assistant Governor (Economic) Sarah Hunter, who highlighted the risk that inflation could pass through the economy more quickly and broadly than in previous cycles. Both Hunter and a majority of the Board expressed concern that inflation expectations could become less anchored after such a prolonged period above target.</p>

<p data-end="2733" data-start="2599">That combination, persistent inflation and the risk of expectations shifting, is what continues to underpin the RBA’s cautious stance.</p>

<p data-end="2807" data-start="2735">However, where ANZ diverges from the RBA is on the outlook for activity.</p>

<p data-end="3152" data-start="2809">The Board appears relatively comfortable with current spending patterns, effectively downplaying recent declines in business and consumer sentiment. It notes that sentiment has historically been only weakly correlated with actual spending, and that feedback from its liaison program has not yet pointed to a meaningful slowdown in consumption.</p>

<p data-end="3176" data-start="3154">ANZ is less convinced.</p>

<p data-end="3464" data-start="3178">The bank believes the link between household disposable income, sentiment and spending is more direct than the RBA is currently acknowledging. With inflation continuing to erode real incomes, ANZ expects household spending to soften more materially than the central bank is forecasting.</p>

<p data-end="3528" data-start="3466">That divergence matters because it shifts the balance of risk.</p>

<p data-end="3740" data-start="3530">If activity weakens more than expected, the trade-off between inflation and growth changes. In ANZ’s view, that would reduce the need for further tightening and reinforce the case for the RBA to remain on hold.</p>

<p data-end="3855" data-start="3742">It also suggests that the current policy setting may already be doing more work than the Board fully appreciates.</p>

<p data-end="3945" data-start="3857">The broader takeaway from ANZ’s interpretation is that the RBA is walking a narrow path.</p>

<p data-end="4135" data-start="3947">On one side sits the risk of inflation remaining elevated for longer than expected. On the other is the growing pressure on households and the potential for a sharper slowdown in activity.</p>

<p data-end="4176" data-start="4137">For now, the Board is choosing to wait.</p>

<p data-end="4286" data-start="4178">But it is a pause that still carries an underlying tightening bias, rather than a clear pivot toward easing.</p>

<p data-end="4423" data-start="4288">In practical terms, that leaves the cash rate anchored at 4.35 per cent for the foreseeable future, with the next move still uncertain.</p>

<p data-end="4494" data-start="4425">For borrowers, it reinforces the reality that relief is not imminent.</p>

<p data-end="4686" data-start="4496">And for the broader economy, it highlights the delicate balance the RBA is trying to strike, between bringing inflation back to target and avoiding an unnecessarily sharp slowdown in growth.</p>

<p data-end="4774" data-is-last-node="" data-is-only-node="" data-start="4688">According to ANZ, it is a balance that is becoming increasingly difficult to maintain.</p>


Joel Robinson

RBA to hold rates for "prolonged period" rather than hikes: ANZ

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/venturecrowd-property-projects">VentureCrowd</a> is down to the final Canopy Villa release at Cumulus Grand Villas in Carrara, as construction continues on the 59-residence gated community positioned above 100 hectares of natural savanna on the Gold Coast.</p>

<p>The remaining Canopy Villa forms part of one of four collections within the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>-designed community and has attracted interest from buyers seeking larger-format homes that combine privacy, security and low-maintenance living. Positioned within a private cul-de-sac and facing a protected black she oak forest, the four-bedroom villa includes a large private outdoor area suited to pet owners and families wanting more flexible space.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/cumulus-grand-villas-carrara-17-baltimore-court-carrara-qld-4211">Cumulus Grand Villas</a>, located at 17 Baltimore Court, comprises a mix of three and four-bedroom villas across the Skyline, Canopy, Savanna and Broadview collections. Prices currently range from $1.455 million to $1.895 million, with the final Canopy Villa priced from $1.825 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135663 project_image_fid=360477]</p>

<p>The Canopy Collection villas offer four bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms and approximately 245 sqm of internal space, alongside double garages and landscaped private areas. Expansive glazing, open-plan living spaces and private balconies have been designed to maximise natural light and outlooks toward the surrounding savanna landscape.</p>

<p>Construction is now underway across the fully funded development, which VentureCrowd says has become an increasingly important consideration for buyers assessing off-the-plan opportunities on the Gold Coast. The project is being delivered by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/devcon">Devcon Property Group</a>, which has operated in South East Queensland since 1993 and delivered more than 1,000 homes across the region.</p>

<p>VentureCrowd Director of Property David Whitting previously said the project responds to changing buyer priorities in the prestige Gold Coast market.</p>

<p>“Flexible floorplans have proven particularly relevant for purchasers aged between 40 and 65, including next home buyers, downsizers and investors,” Whitting said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135663 project_image_fid=360505]</p>

<p>The buyer profile at Cumulus has reflected that shift toward owner-occupier-driven demand. Stuart Towns and Tracey Loynes recently purchased a Canopy Villa, drawn to both the lifestyle offering and the flexibility the home provided for their next stage of living together.</p>

<p>The couple, who met three years ago, sold their Robina home earlier this year after identifying what they saw as strong long-term investment potential at Cumulus while remaining within the same Gold Coast market. The villa’s private backyard was a major drawcard for their dog Luna, while proximity to golf courses including Emerald Lakes also aligned with their lifestyle interests.</p>

<p>Beyond the residences themselves, the community has been planned around shared lifestyle and recreation amenities. The Infinity Terrace will include a 20-metre heated pool, barbecue facilities, alfresco dining spaces and elevated retreat areas overlooking the surrounding landscape. Walking trails, a private nature reserve, orchard and herb garden are also integrated into the masterplan.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135663 project_image_fid=360473]</p>

<p>BDA Architecture Director Darren Greenaway said the design approach was heavily influenced by the site’s outlook and secluded setting.</p>

<p>The practice sought to create what Greenaway described as a “little piece of paradise,” drawing inspiration from the elevated views, surrounding greenery and quiet location.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/carrara-qld-4211">Carrara</a> continues to attract buyers seeking larger homes within proximity to the coast but without direct beachfront pricing. Cumulus sits within easy reach of Broadbeach, Pacific Fair, Robina Town Centre and the M1, providing connections north to Brisbane and south toward the Gold Coast Airport and northern New South Wales.</p>

<p>The first stage of Cumulus Grand Villas is targeting completion in 2026.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135663]</p>


VentureCrowd nears sell-out of Canopy Collection at Cumulus Grand Villas in Carrara

<p data-end="89" data-start="0">Waverley Council has made a call that many councils have been reluctant to make publicly. Growth is coming, regardless of who controls it.</p>

<p data-end="659" data-start="141">The release of the Bondi Junction Vision and Master Plan is less about whether the Eastern Suburbs’ primary centre will change, and more about how that change is shaped, funded, and ultimately experienced on the ground. Waverley Council has released a 100-page plan which is effectively the first comprehensive blueprint for Bondi Junction in over two decades, and in doing so, signals a clear shift in how councils are positioning themselves in the current planning environment.</p>

<p data-end="1018" data-start="661">For the past 18 months, the conversation across New South Wales has been dominated by the State Government’s Low and Mid-Rise Housing reforms and the emergence of the Housing Delivery Authority pathway. Both have created faster, more centralised avenues for development approvals, particularly in well-located, infrastructure-rich areas like Bondi Junction.</p>

<p data-end="1087" data-start="1020">Waverley Council’s response has been to move early, and decisively.</p>

<p data-end="1547" data-start="1089">Rather than react to individual proposals as they come through the HDA or broader State-led reforms, Council has sought to establish a clear, place-based framework that sets the terms for how Bondi Junction evolves. The underlying position is relatively straightforward: if densification is inevitable, it should be tied to infrastructure, public domain improvements, and a cohesive vision for the centre, not delivered piecemeal through ad hoc applications.</p>

<p data-end="1547" data-start="1089"><img alt="bondi junction" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7f1f729c-ed99-4c6c-bf87-ffbce6991941" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-19%20at%209.58.16%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=ULX4OlXKjeJ5BvNCNGL86evgXCjCfMih" /></p>

<p data-end="2067" data-start="1591">At its core, the document is attempting to reposition Bondi Junction from what it largely functions as today, a transport interchange anchored by a major retail centre, into something far more layered. The ambition is to transform it into what the plan describes as the “civic and cultural heart of Sydney’s East,” a place that is active beyond commuting hours and capable of supporting a broader mix of uses, experiences and communities.</p>

<p data-end="2123" data-start="2069">That repositioning is built around four key ambitions.</p>

<p data-end="2424" data-start="2125">The first is to create a true destination. Bondi Junction already attracts significant foot traffic, with more than 86,000 daily transport users and millions of annual retail visits, but much of that activity is transient. People pass through, rather than stay.</p>

<p data-end="2897" data-start="2426">The Master Plan seeks to change that dynamic. It leans heavily into the idea of an “18-hour economy,” extending activity well beyond traditional retail hours through dining, cultural programming, events, and a more active night-time offering. This is not just about adding more hospitality venues, but about fundamentally shifting how the centre operates, from a daytime shopping destination to a place that functions across the full span of the day and into the evening.</p>

<p data-end="2951" data-start="2899">Oxford Street Mall sits at the centre of that shift.</p>

<p data-end="3478" data-start="2953">Long seen as underperforming relative to its potential, the Mall is identified as one of the key catalyst projects in the plan. It is to be reimagined as a day-to-night spine, combining retail, dining, wellness and cultural uses in a way that creates a continuous flow of activity. Outdoor dining, rooftop venues, laneway activation and a curated events program are all part of the strategy, alongside significant public domain upgrades that aim to improve comfort, safety and usability.</p>

<p data-end="3478" data-start="2953">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="3562" data-start="3480">The second ambition is to transform Bondi Junction into a world-class interchange.</p>

<p data-end="3890" data-start="3564">Despite being one of the most heavily used transport nodes in Sydney, the current experience is fragmented. Connections between the station, Westfield, Oxford Street Mall and surrounding streets are often unclear, and major roads create physical barriers that disrupt pedestrian movement.</p>

<p data-end="4240" data-start="3892">The Master Plan proposes a more seamless, people-focused network. That includes clearer pedestrian links, improved wayfinding, better integration between transport modes, and a rethinking of how arrival into the centre is experienced. The aim is to shift the perception of Bondi Junction from a place people move through, to a place they arrive in.</p>

<p data-end="4296" data-start="4242">The third ambition focuses on greening and open space.</p>

<p data-end="4709" data-start="4298">One of the more consistent pieces of community feedback throughout the Vision phase was the need for more greenery, better public spaces, and a more comfortable urban environment. Despite being surrounded by major parks, Bondi Junction itself has relatively limited accessible open space, with much of the public realm dominated by hard surfaces and traffic infrastructure.</p>

<p data-end="5076" data-start="4711">The plan responds with a network of new and upgraded public spaces, increased tree canopy, and what it terms the “Parkline,” a green link connecting Waverley Park through to Centennial Park. This is not just about aesthetics. It is about addressing heat, improving liveability, and ensuring that increased density is matched by access to high-quality outdoor space.</p>

<p data-end="5183" data-start="5078">The fourth ambition is perhaps the most important from a development perspective: growth that gives back.</p>

<p data-end="5501" data-start="5185">Bondi Junction is already the primary location for new housing supply in the Waverley LGA, and that is expected to continue. The area carries a target of 2,400 new dwellings by 2029, with further growth projected beyond that as demand for well-located housing continues to rise. The Master Plan does not seek to limit that growth. Instead, it attempts to shape it.</p>

<p data-end="5842" data-start="5590">New housing is to be concentrated around transport, with stepped building heights designed to protect the character of surrounding neighbourhoods. At the same time, the plan introduces a more explicit link between development uplift and public benefit. This is where value capture becomes central.</p>

<p data-end="6327" data-start="5890">The document outlines a framework where increased development potential is tied to contributions that fund public domain improvements, community infrastructure, open space, and affordable housing. It is an approach that recognises that much of the transformation of Bondi Junction will be delivered by the private sector, but seeks to ensure that the benefits of that growth are shared more broadly. The Civic Precinct is a key part of that equation.</p>

<p data-end="6732" data-start="6381">Leveraging Council-owned land, the plan proposes a consolidated civic and cultural hub centred around Ebley Street. This would include new community facilities, cultural spaces, and potentially a new Council Chambers, creating a focal point for civic life that currently does not exist in Bondi Junction at scale.</p>

<p data-end="6980" data-start="6734">It is one of several catalyst projects identified in the Master Plan, alongside the Oxford Street Mall transformation. These projects are intended to anchor change, acting as early interventions that unlock broader investment across the precinct.</p>

<p data-end="7137" data-start="6982">Importantly, the Master Plan is not just a design document. It includes a delivery framework that sets out how these ambitions are intended to be realised.</p>

<p data-end="7519" data-start="7139">Council is explicit in acknowledging that it cannot deliver the transformation alone. Implementation will require coordination between State agencies, private developers, landowners and the community, with a mix of planning agreements, infrastructure contributions and direct delivery mechanisms used to fund and stage improvements over time.</p>

<p data-end="7843" data-start="7556">The plan outlines a mix of short-term, medium-term and long-term actions, from immediate public domain upgrades and planning controls, through to larger-scale projects that will unfold over the next decade or more. In practical terms, the next 12 to 24 months will be the most important.</p>

<p data-end="8108" data-start="7845">This is when the Master Plan will move through exhibition, refinement and eventual adoption. It is also the period in which Council will seek to embed the framework into its planning controls, giving it weight in the assessment of future development applications.</p>

<p data-end="8528" data-start="8161">Council officers have indicated that once the Master Plan is in place, it could be used as a benchmark when assessing Housing Delivery Authority proposals, and potentially reduce the need for further HDA declarations within Bondi Junction. In effect, it is an attempt to bring planning control back to the local level, while still aligning with State housing targets.</p>

<p data-end="8654" data-start="8530">That tension between State-led reform and local planning control is not unique to Waverley. It is playing out across Sydney.</p>

<p data-end="8710" data-start="8656">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="8710" data-start="8656">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="9626" data-start="9587">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="10207" data-start="9884">If delivered as intended, Bondi Junction will become denser, more active, and more complex. It will support more residents, more workers, and a wider range of uses, extending beyond its current retail core into a more layered urban environment.</p>


“The civic and cultural heart of Sydney’s East”: Bondi Junction masterplan revealed

<p>Toorak's dress circle St Georges Road, home to some of the city's priciest homes, is set for a rare new apartment development.</p>

<p>Blood Diamond Group, an entity tied to Tina Brandi, wife of David Brandi who has been a prolific bidder on The Block over the years, has filed plans for an ultra-exclusive development across an amalgamated 3,662 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/104-106-st-georges-road-toorak-vic-3142">104 and 106 St Georges Road</a>.</p>

<p>The proposal would replace two existing homes on the riverfront site with a five-level apartment building cascading down the steeply sloping land toward the Yarra River. Designed by Charles Wright Architects, the development has been carefully shaped around the site’s topography and river environs, with the upper levels stepping back to reduce visual bulk from both St Georges Road and the Yarra corridor.</p>

<p>Planning documents describe the proposal as “a site layout and building typology that is consistent with the emerging character of the area and which provides exceptional amenity for future residents without compromising that of neighbouring properties.”&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Blood Diamond Group unveils riverfront apartment plans for Toorak Pavilion" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ea19a17e-7528-4fa8-b727-05f2f7c025e5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Toorak%20pavilion%20a_0.png?VersionId=rZ2IjdoUL_UrRl1sZ4wZHnQXbYUaEmUQ" /></p>

<p>The scheme comprises 12 apartments, including 10 three-bedroom residences, one one-bedroom apartment, and a substantial split-level five-bedroom penthouse. A 624 sqm communal rooftop terrace will crown the building, while three undercroft levels embedded into the hillside will accommodate apartments and basement parking.</p>

<p>The design leverages the site’s dramatic northern outlook across the Yarra River, with living areas and balconies oriented toward the water. A central atrium running the full height of the building is intended to draw natural light deep into the residences and improve internal amenity.</p>

<p>Landscape architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/jack-merlo">Jack Merlo Design &amp; Landscape</a> will play a major role in softening the built form, particularly along the river edge where significant setbacks have been introduced. The proposal includes a minimum 30-metre setback from the Yarra River boundary, preserving a substantial landscaped buffer between the development and the waterway.</p>

<p>While a mature English Oak near the front of the site is proposed for removal, the plans retain a large English Elm closer to the riverfront, alongside other established vegetation in the lower section of the property.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Blood Diamond Group unveils riverfront apartment plans for Toorak Pavilion" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ed3bf19b-5bc7-482f-bde7-41f709a13c3a" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Toorak%20pavilion%20b.png?VersionId=SG_kBGu4rOaSPY8FtVcmPJfSCrstuOfg" /></p>

<p>Architecturally, the building adopts strong horizontal forms with expansive glazing and curved balcony edges facing the river. Planning documents note the upper levels “adopt a receding form” to ensure the building responds appropriately to the Yarra River environs overlay controls.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The surrounding streetscape is characterised by large contemporary homes embedded into the hillside, many presenting as modest one or two-storey forms to the street before expanding toward the river frontage below. The planning report notes this established pattern heavily influenced the massing strategy for Toorak Pavilion.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Until the recent sale of the landmark Clendon Road mansion Coonac for around $130 million, St Georges Road held the state's most expensive home, the $80,000,088 derelict "Ghost House" mansion that was bought by crypto king Ed Craven.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Blair House, also on St Georges Road, sold for $74.5 million in 2022.</p>


First look: Toorak Pavilions slated for dress circle St Georges Road

<p data-end="205" data-start="54">Six months after a development site on Kangaroo Point’s Shafston Avenue sold for $6.55 million, plans have been lodged for a 23-storey apartment tower.</p>

<p data-end="443" data-start="207">A company named JMT Mega Capital, understood to be interstate investors when the 1,222 sqm double block traded late last year through Patona Property, is proposing an 84-apartment development in place of the existing low-rise buildings.</p>

<p data-end="694" data-start="445">The slender tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/212-220-shafston-avenue-east-brisbane-qld-4169">212–220 Shafston Avenue</a>, overlooking the Brisbane River, has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/aplus-design-group">Aplus Design Group</a>. It will comprise a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments above six basement levels, topped by rooftop resident amenities.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: 23-storey Kangaroo Point tower planned for Shafston Avenue riverfront precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7e17ba9e-553e-42ef-92b6-22081671521a" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/podium_3.png?VersionId=hlVUf99vrOjUs.vhQs0qV0DhOncUy9T8" /></p>

<p>The development has been designed as a vertically articulated tower with recessed balconies, curved façades and planted edges intended to soften its scale within the evolving Shafston Avenue skyline. In the submitted Urban Design Report, Aplus Design Group said the tower had been “shaped with a slender vertical expression, articulated façades, recessed balcony zones, integrated planting and a clearly defined podium relationship, helping to reduce perceived bulk and create a more elegant contribution to the Shafston Avenue streetscape and broader Kangaroo Point skyline.”</p>

<p>The scheme comprises 84 apartments, including 25 one-bedroom units, 34 two-bedroom apartments and 25 three-bedroom residences. A total of 104 car spaces are proposed across six basement levels, including resident, visitor and accessible parking.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to rooftop communal open space and shared amenities, while the development also incorporates deep planting zones and subtropical landscaping throughout the podium and tower levels. The project includes 35 per cent communal space coverage across the site and a 17.5 per cent deep soil zone allocation to support urban greening outcomes.</p>

<p>The application exceeds the mapped building height under the Kangaroo Point Peninsula Neighbourhood Plan and is being assessed under Brisbane City Council’s impact assessment pathway. The design team argues the additional height is supported by the site’s strategic inner-city location, existing high-density zoning, and proximity to transport and employment hubs.</p>

<p>“The design has been developed to make better use of a well-serviced urban site within an established high-density residential setting, while improving the street presentation and overall quality of the public realm interface,” the report states.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: 23-storey Kangaroo Point tower planned for Shafston Avenue riverfront precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="1ab44b1e-ff45-4bf3-8da8-8aa0cd79db33" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/site_10.png?VersionId=tSxeGekZOqj1e9g3PEn_yFoC3taKDp3U" /></p>

<p>The proposal adds to a growing pipeline of apartment developments reshaping Kangaroo Point ahead of the 2032 Brisbane Olympic Games, with demand continuing to strengthen for new housing supply in well-connected inner-city precincts.</p>

<p>Mosaic has nearly sold out its under-construction <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-bedford-by-mosaic-16-30-prospect-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">The Bedford by Mosaic</a>&nbsp;and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-carter-by-mosaic-77-linton-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">The Carter</a>,&nbsp;while Pikos recently completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/skye-residences-by-pikos-kangaroo-point-8-river-terrace-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Skye Residences</a> nearby. Pikos is also delivering <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gaia-kangaroo-point-108-lambert-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Gaia</a>, over 230 three- and four-bedroom apartments on Lambert Street.</p>


First look: 23-storey Kangaroo Point apartment tower planned for Shafston Avenue riverfront precinct

<p>Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.</p>

<p>They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.</p>

<p>They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.</p>

<p>Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" /></p>

<p>Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor</p>

<p>Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.</p>

<p><img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" /></p>

<p>Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>​</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.</p>

<p>With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.</p>


Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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<p><span>The far north-eastern New South Wales suburb of Murwillumbah offers rental yields of 8.96 percent for its 2 bedroom units, the best return in the country for apartments.</span></p>
<p><span>The median listing price for the 2 bedroom apartments is $145,000, which have a median weekly rent of $250, according to Investar's Top 50 suburbs report.</span></p>
<p><span>Murwillumbah is the only suburb in New South Wales in the top 20 across Australia for units and houses.</span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span> </span></p>
<p><span><span>{mijopolls 134}</span></span></p>
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Murwillumbah boasts New South Wales highest yielding units

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<p><span>LYZ Property Group, a subsidiary of Chinese developer Hengmao Group, has bought in Melbourne's Hawthorn for $17 million.</span></p>
<p>The office property on <a href="https://www.realcommercial.com.au/property-retail-vic-hawthorn-501846306" target="_blank">283-285 Burwood Road</a> sold on a 4 percent yield.</p>
<p><span>LYZ is known for the Chiara and Lucia apartments in South Yarra.</span></p>
<p><span>It plans to hold the 4500 sqm building, which has redevelopment potential, as a long-term investment.</span></p>
<p><span>The building also comes with 28 car spaces sit on a 2655 sqm site.</span></p>
<p><span>It is leased to Snooze for 10 years and National Storage for 15 years, earning total net annual rent of $682,000.</span></p>
<p><span>Teska Carson's Tom Maule and Michael Taylor brokered the deal.</span></p>
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Hawthorn office block sale to LYZ

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<p><span>A factory warehouse that has been a Petersham landmark since its 1904 construction failed to sell at weekend auction.</span></p>
<p><span>With the site conditionally approved for a residential development, Duncan Gordon and Michael Harris of Raine &amp; Horne had initial $5 million hopes.</span></p>
<p><span>It now is listed with $4.28 million to $4.5 million price guidance.</span></p>
<p><span><a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-petersham-122281234" target="_blank">The Beynon &amp; Hayward warehouse</a></span><span> at 6 Livingstone Road was originally a grain store. The building was adapted in the 1930s into Sydney's first furniture removalist and storage facility and the iconic signage along Livingstone Road has been in place ever since. </span></p>
<p><span>The building was originally constructed between 1886 and 1904 by James E. Gould, who was Marrickville’s mayor in 1897, 1898 and 1905, operating as a grains store and.</span></p>
<p><span>The site is being offered complete with conditional DA approval for a high quality residential development featuring 18 luxury apartments and two ground floor retail outlets.</span></p>
<p><span>The property has three street frontages.</span></p>
<p><span>This section of Petersham is less than seven km to Sydney CBD either on bus or by train, with retail and coffee/dining all closeby. </span></p>
<p><span>The existing warehouse features vast interiors, soaring corrugated iron roofing, exposed timber beams and original brick walls. The new complex will include a choice of studio, one and two-bedroom layouts each with generous proportions and good natural light. </span></p>
<p><span>Architects have worked to retain the building's signature sawtooth facade and showcase designer chic with quality modern finishes throughout. </span></p>
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Petersham warehouse conversion site gets price reduction

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<p><span>Sydney office rents will surge between now and the end of 2018 as market power shifts back to landlords, according to BIS Shrapnel.</span></p>
<p><span>The forecasters expect net face rents to rise by about 30 per cent over the next three years</span></p>
<p><span>Agents are starting to see face rents rise and incentives contract.</span></p>
<p><span>BIS Shrapnel expects prime net face rents to increase from an average of $890 per square metre to $1200 per sq m by December 2018.</span></p>
<p><span>On an effective basis, with incentives forecast to fall from 28 per cent to 10 per cent, rents will almost double from $570 to $1100 per sq m.</span></p>
<p><span>"Tenants have become used to receiving large leasing incentives in the Sydney CBD over the last six to seven years. But the ground is starting to shift." said Lee Walker, Senior Project Manager at BIS Shrapnel.</span></p>
<p><span>The key driver will be the vacancy rate as BIS Shrapnel forecasts this to fall from a current seven-year low of 6.3 per cent to just 3 per cent by 2018.</span></p>
<p><span>"After years of delaying leasing decisions, businesses are looking to expand in Sydney, buoyed by the strength of the NSW economy," he said.</span></p>
<p><span>Last year, CBD office net absorption reached a 10 year high of over 150,000 square metres. </span></p>
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Sydney office rents to rise: BIS Shrapnel

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<p>The latest research from Docklands Cityscope shows that commercial property sales for the quarter have significantly declined.</p>
<p>In the three months to April 2016 there were 11 sales at a total value of just $4.2 million, compared to 16 sales at a total value of $120.2 million for the quarter to January 2016, and 11 sales at a total value of $164.2 million for the quarter to October 2015. The yearly figures are also markedly down, with 54 sales at a total value of $300.2 million for the twelve months to April 2016, compared to 64 sales at a total value of $1.494 billion over the previous year.</p>
<p>Notable sales, such as they are, in the April 2016 update of Docklands Cityscope include:</p>
<ul>
<li>Lot 222 at 838 Collins Street, Docklands, a commercial unit on the level four mezzanine, which sold for $820,000;</li>
<li>Lot 15 at 838 Collins Street, Docklands, a retail unit on the ground floor, which sold for $650,000; and</li>
<li>Unit 216 at 757 Bourke Street, Docklands, a commercial unit on the second floor, which sold for $395,000.</li>
</ul>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/29/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-30%20at%2012.49.39%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/29/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-30%20at%2012.49.39%20AM.png" alt=""> </p>
<p>Properties listed as for sale in the April 2016 update of Docklands Cityscope include:</p>
<ul>
<li>Unit 13 at 42 Newquay Promenade, Docklands, a retail lot of 323 sqm, at an asking price of $1,850,000;</li>
<li>Unit 101W at 425-441 Docklands Drive, Docklands, a 200-sqm shop, available through CVA Property Consultants and No Agent Property Moorabbin; and</li>
<li>Unit 4 at 54 Newquay Promenade, Docklands, a 236-sqm shop, available through MP Burke Commercial.</li>
</ul>
<p>Leasing opportunities in the April 2016 update of Docklands Cityscope include:</p>
<ul>
<li>Aurecon Centre, an eight-storey office building with retail space and parking on the ground floor at 850 Collins Street, which has up to 6,464 sqm of office space for lease through Colliers International and CBRE;</li>
<li>Ericsson Commercial Tower, a ten-storey office building with retail space on the ground floor and three levels of parking at 818 Bourke Street, Docklands, which has up to 3,600 sqm of office space for lease through JLL; and</li>
<li>The Gauge, an eight-storey office building with retail space and parking on the ground floor at 825 Bourke Street, Docklands, which has office space of up to 1,508 sqm for lease through CBRE.</li>
</ul>
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Docklands commercial property sales fall sharply in quarter to April: Cityscope

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<p><span>The worrying health of the global economy, workforce strategies and rising cost and speed of business are having a big impact on real estate decision-making for major corporations, finds a new survey by CBRE Group, Inc of global corporate real estate executives.</span></p>
<p><span>“The volatility of today’s global economy is challenging executives to align naturally long-term real estate initiatives with increasingly short-term corporate agendas,” said Karen Ellzey, executive managing director of consulting for CBRE Global Workplace Solutions.</span></p>
<p><span>“Today’s real estate strategies have to focus on delivering ‘growth without growth’ — expanding a corporation’s capabilities without spikes in capital investment or operational expense.”</span></p>
<p><span>More than 400 corporate real estate executives from around the world participated in the CBRE survey. Nearly half (49 percent) cited economic uncertainty as their greatest challenge, while 43 percent noted cost escalation as their greatest challenge.</span></p>
<p><span>Forty-eight percent projected a stable real estate footprint for this year. Seventy-nine percent stated that they are actively using space-efficiency initiatives—“saving in place”— to manage costs, combining ground-up workplace strategies with top-down cost management initiatives.</span></p>
<p><span>“Controlling costs and supporting employee needs are the leading goals of workplace strategies globally,” said Julie Whelan, head of Americas occupier research for CBRE.</span></p>
<p><span>“There has been a natural shift to create workplaces that are efficient, functional and modern, allowing corporate real estate executives to balance employee desires with cost management disciplines.”</span></p>
<p><span>Workplace strategies are also driven by talent-centric initiatives. Fifty-five percent of survey respondents cited better collaboration as the main driver in designing and implementing workplace strategies, while 49 percent cited employee attraction and retention as a key aim.</span></p>
<p><span>Work-life balance is also top of mind, with executives reporting workplace flexibility, high indoor environmental quality and easy access to public transportation as features important to employees.</span></p>
<p><span>Global corporate executives favoured emerging markets as destinations for growth, with Southeast Asia and India as top locations for expansion. Fifty-six percent of respondents indicate interest in expanding their corporate portfolios in the coming three years in Southeast Asian markets where economic opportunities are emerging.</span></p>
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Global economy, workforce and rising costs of business driving corporate real estate decisions: CBRE study 

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<p><span>A Greenwich guesthouse in Sydney’s lower North Shore has sold at a yield of about 5 percent, underpinning the demand for boarding houses.</span></p>
<p>The 12-room Shore Inn Guesthouse at <a href="https://www.realcommercial.com.au/property-hotel+leisure-nsw-greenwich-501824366" target="_blank">314a Pacific Highway</a> was purchased by a private Sydney-based investor for $1.82 million. </p>
<p><span>Located on a 411 sqm landholding, the Shore Inn Guesthouse provides short, medium and long-term stay options over two levels, with four of the rooms including ensuites. </span></p>
<p><span>There is also development potential, with a draft scheme in place to add an additional level with a further four rooms and balcony. If materialised, it is expected to boost the income by up to 50 percent. </span></p>
<p><span>The property, which had been previously listed with four agents for four months, was sold by CBRE’s Toby Silk within four days.</span></p>
<p><span>“Investors are drawn to boarding houses due to the flexibility and control they offer on investment. By running the operation’s side, they have control over the property and can maximise the income generated," Silk said. </span></p>
<p><span>The Shore Inn Guesthouse is close to the St Leonards train station, and offers signage exposure to six lanes of traffic on Pacific Highway. </span></p>
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Guesthouse in Sydney's North Shore sells for $1.82 million

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<div>Following APRA's actions to slow investor lending, annual credit growth in this sector has fallen very sharply over the past 9 months from 11 percent to 7 percent, with undoubtedly more declines to come.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Reserve Bank's Financial Aggregates figures for March showed that housing credit has continued to switch its focus towards homebuyers, with annual owner-occupier credit growth increasing to a 66-month high of 7.2 percent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The net result is that annual housing credit growth has gradually moderated to 7.2 percent, from a cyclical peak of 7.5 percent six months previously.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/A1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><br><span>Overall credit growth in the economy has also eased back to an annual pace of 6.2 per cent. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/A2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Business and banking</span></strong></p>
<div>Business credit growth notched up a result of only 0.3 per cent growth for the month, with the annual pace of growth steady at 6.5 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>This mirrors softening trends suggested elsewhere such as in the ABS lending finance data series, while initial and secondary capital raised on the securities exchange has also slowed in 2016.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/05/02/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/05/02/A4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The cost of business funding is at a record low, but research has shown that expected returns and hurdle rates can be a more important driver of business or project funding decisions.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In terms of bank lending and funding, although growth in term deposits has been understandably weak in the prevailing low interest rate environment, the growth in other bank deposits has been hugely strong.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Combined with equity raisings this means that banks will have few problems meeting their funding requirements in 2016, strong deposit growth and capital raised helping to offset any moderate rising in funding costs.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/a3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/a3.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<div>Bank funding costs declined significantly in 2015 in any event, and sit way below the levels seen in 2012 or during the financial crisis.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Housing and outstanding credit</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Although the pace of growth has slowed a notch, overall outstanding housing credit has continued to power higher to $1.55 trillion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The composition of housing credit has shifted dramatically over the past eight months, with the investor share of outstanding credit having fallen by fully 3 per cent over that timeframe, a remarkably rapid shift in market dynamics exacerbated by loan reclassifications.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/05/02/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/05/02/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>One other curious observation is how personal credit is actually now in decline. <br><br>One wonders whether this is related to the growth in the use of mortgage buffers and offset accounts, as it is certainly very unusual to see personal credit going backwards in Australia, even with mortgage repayments at such low levels for many existing homeowners.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/A6.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div>Total credit increased by 1.5 percent or $38 billion in the first quarter of 2016 to a grand total of $2.54 trillion.</div>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Overall, the result was pretty much as expected on all fronts, with tightening measures restricting the annual growth in housing credit somewhat over the past six months to 7.2 per cent, and total credit growth a bit steadier at 6.4 percent.</span></p>
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Annual housing credit growth moderating: Pete Wargent

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<div><span>Given that APRA's crackdown on investor lending has skimmed so many high loan-to-value ratio (LVR) investors out of the property market, it was always going to take a super-human 1Q 2016 investor update from Genworth Mortgage Insurance (GMA) to keep its share price buoyant.</span></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>In the event, GMA reported statutory net profit after tax (NPAT) of $67.3 million and underlying NPAT of $61.8 million for the quarter ended 31 March 2016.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>Overall this was a solid set of results given that Gross Written Premium was down by a thumping 33.4 per cent from 1Q 2015, having declined dramatically from $127.7 million to $85 million.</span></div>
<div> </div>
<div>This statistic is a fabulous measure of the impact of the regulatory intervention - the riskier loans have largely been crimped out of the property market.</div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><br>Delinquencies</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Genworth's portfolio delinquency rate was marginally higher at 0.40 per cent, up from 0.36 per cent in 1Q 2015.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall mortgage delinquencies remain remarkably low, and can realistically only move in one direction from here, particularly given that numerous resources towns in regional Queensland have effectively become ghost towns.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Unfortunately many investors were sucked in to buying in mining towns and regions lured by superficially "stronger" yields, but unfortunately in many cases there is now nobody to rent the houses to, and as equity turns negative foreclosure rates will inevitably rise.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The lesson here is that "yield" and "income" are not the same thing, and that as an abstract spot calculation yield is largely useless as an indicator of future returns. This applies to all asset classes.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Even in some of the larger conurbations there are likely to be some severe challenges ahead, with unemployment in Townsville having risen to a <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/2016/04/townsville-unemployment-at-13-year-high" target="_blank">13 year high</a> last month.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Despite these bleak statistics, overall delinquency developments have shaped up quite favourably since 2009, with mortgage delinquencies by book year having cascaded lower over time. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The 2008 book year saw heightened mortgage stress among self-employed borrowers as a result of the financial crisis (0.98 per cent), while flooding in Queensland saw elevated delinquency rates in the 2011 book year.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/GMA.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/GMA.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<div>At the state level delinquency rates are incredibly low in New South Wales (0.29 per cent).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Delinquency rates are notably higher in Queensland (0.55 per cent), in part due to mining town foreclosures, and largely related to the literal wash-up from the severe 2011 flooding in the state.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The largest year-on-year rise in delinquency rates of 16 basis points was seen in resources rich Western Australia, where portfolio delinquencies have increased to 0.53 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Nevertheless, Genworth sees the mortgage market remaining strong in aggregate, reporting in its investor update:</div>
<div> </div>
<div><em>"The outlook for the Australian residential mortgage market remains strong, supported by sound fundamentals including low unemployment, record-low interest rates and a continued focus by regulators on lending standards."</em></div>
<div> </div>
<div>And notably Genworth expects further constraints on high LVR lending in 2016 and beyond:</div>
<div>
<br><em>"The high LVR market continues to be constrained in 2016 and Genworth continues to expect GWP to decline by approximately 20 per cent due to these market conditions."</em>
</div>
<div><em> </em></div>
<div>Share market analysts were fairly unmoved on the news, the share price steady at around $2.39.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
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Genworth mortgage insurance update: Pete Wargent

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<p>Yes, I know everyone hates elections but the more I look at this election the more I like it simply because real estate is front and centre.</p>
<p>History will judge whether the government and opposition erred by allowing negative gearing into the debate, although what they have done is to finally open that can of worms which previously had been removed from all discussions.</p>
<p>When you take the time to contemplate the direction that property prices are headed (thanks mainly to all these new developments) there are plenty of dark clouds building. For mine; the smartest solution is to simply limit the number of investment properties to a single tax file number. Opinions vary that negative gearing is driving the values of property although investors account for just one third (approximately) of purchases, so that in itself can’t be the major contributor.</p>
<p>The problem why Australia’s property prices are so high sees the blame at failed political policies where prices have increased two to three times than that when the Baby Boomers were buying property – which by the way were single income families. Governments have failed miserably when it comes to infrastructure where we only ever hear of Very Fast Trains in an election year – come July 2, we in all probability won’t hear it mentioned for another three years.</p>
<p>Opinions when it comes to real estate are always interesting where today we see many property markets starting to ease and nobody comes out and states that this is actually a good thing. Many of Australia’s property markets are actually self-medicating and correcting which is great news given the damage a crash can cause. Naturally we should not also forget that property markets historically slow when an election is announced although many parts of Australia had already started to re-calibrate their prices downwards – we have passed the peak.</p>
<p>This week we saw that for the first time in seven years Australia was now recording deflation – which immediately called for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut the cash rate when they meet next week. Even if it were to cut the cash rate say – 0.25 you can rest assured that the banks won’t be passing this on.</p>
<p>I’ve been on the public record as being opposed to federal government policy in December 2008 when off – the – plan – purchases by foreigners were raised from 50 to 100 per cent – the governments have not addressed nor even discussed this. With interest I have noted that this month the ANZ, Commonwealth Bank and this week Westpac are no longer lending money to foreign buyers wanting to buy residential property in Australia.</p>
<p>The major lenders have already implemented black – spot areas where they will no longer finance new apartment developments. Interestingly nobody has even bothered to raise this with any politicians given this is a significant stance by the major lenders that relates directly to government policy. Now we can expect this to remain the case for quite a few years to come with Sydney and Melbourne embarking on massive new development construction – the major lenders have massive exposure here.</p>
<p>Now should the ALP be elected what does this do to their new policy regarding negative gearing? I can tell you what it will do to off – the – plan acquisitions (new property) – it will shut it down almost immediately. Investors are not permitted to buy existing properties, only new – despite 93 per cent of investors preferring to buy existing.</p>
<p>One would think that there should be much more debate about the repercussions to the economy with the major lenders now not lending to foreign buyers. Then of course one can’t rule out a significant price correction given these new developments are massively over valued due mainly to foreign buyers driving these prices. Investors aren’t going to be buying into these new developments for negative gearing purposes when they know full well that these properties are facing a significant value correction.</p>
<p>One only has to look at the body language of the major banks to see quite clearly they have already commenced direct action to minimise their exposure to this newly created property market.</p>
<p>The problem as I see it is that politicians are making some huge mistakes in judgement when it comes to our property markets but sadly nobody is asking them the right questions. A classic example of this the banks deciding to restrict all loans to foreign buyers which is in direct contradiction to the federal governments policy – which we all know is dumb. Even funnier is that the government did not bat an eyelid when the major lenders announced this policy review.</p>
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
<p>Number of houses on the market this time last year – 61</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market last week – 43</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market this week – 45</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 52</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market last week – 50</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this week – 55</p>
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
<p>Number of houses on the market this time last year – 1</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market last week – 7</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market this week – 9</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 15</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market last week – 26</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this week – 26</p>
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
<p>Number of houses on the market this time last year – 2</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market last week – 11</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market this week – 11</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 30</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market last week – 27</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this week – 23</p>
<p><em><span>ROBERT SIMEON</span> is a director of </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> </em><em>and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. <br>He has also been writing real estate blog </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> </em><em>since 2000.</em></p>
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