<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/smith-by-valli-collingwood-224-228-smith-street-collingwood-vic-3066">Smith Collingwood</a> is a new boutique apartment development bringing a refined, design-led approach to one of Melbourne’s most established inner-city neighbourhoods.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/pandolfini-architects">Pandolfini Architects</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/lisa-buxton-interiors">Lisa Buxton</a>, Smith by Valli sits on iconic Smith Street and comprises just 22 residences tailored toward owner-occupiers seeking a more considered style of apartment living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=140747 project_image_fid=367540]

The design of Smith focuses on a north-facing orientation across all residences, a relatively uncommon feature in dense inner-Melbourne settings. Each apartment has been planned to maximise natural light and outlook, alongside a material palette defined by warm tones, custom joinery, and a full suite of Gaggenau appliances.

The development comprises a mix of one, two, and three-bedroom apartments, with pricing currently ranging from just under $1 million to around $4.85 million for the premium penthouse-level residences, reflecting growing demand for luxury owner-occupier product in Melbourne’s inner urban market.

Residents will also have access to a private rooftop garden designed as an elevated retreat above the city, &nbsp;featuring curated landscaping, veggie boxes, intimate seating areas and spaces for relaxed gatherings. Sustainability has also been integrated into the project through a 7-star energy rating and two secure bicycle facilities for every residence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=140747 project_image_fid=367529]

Smith by Valli sits in the heart of one of Melbourne’s most established retail and hospitality strips, within walking distance of venues such as Falco Bakery, Carnation Canteen and Alimentari, alongside parks and everyday services. With a Walk Score of 99, the location reinforces the project’s positioning toward buyers prioritising walkability and access over car dependency.

With only a limited number of residences, Smith reflects growing demand for smaller, highly curated apartment developments that prioritise design quality, liveability, and connection to neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=140747]

Joel Robinson

Smith by Valli delivers a refined collection of luxury residences to Melbourne’s inner north

<a href="https://www.urban.com.au/developers/far-east-consortium">Far East Consortium</a>’s 640 Bourke Street stands as a testament to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.urban.com.au/developments/melbourne-vic-3000">Melbourne</a>’s ability to bridge its storied past with a bold vision for the future.&nbsp;

Rising above the heritage-listed Eliza Tinsley building, the development reflects a broader shift toward adaptive reuse in the city, where historical assets are retained and reinterpreted as part of new residential development.

Designed by <a href="https://www.urban.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/640-bourke-street-melbourne-640-bourke-street-melbourne-vic-3000">640 Bourke Street</a> incorporates the Eliza Tinsley building as its foundation, housing a grand gallery and lobby space that serve as both a functional and symbolic centrepiece. The heritage façade informs the tower’s design, creating a connection between Melbourne’s past and its contemporary skyline.

"It's a significant asset and wants to be celebrated and experienced by all residents every single time they go in and out of the building," Rothelowman Principal Stuart Marsland said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=509 project_image_fid=365684]

Above this historic base, the 68-storey tower will deliver just over 600 residences, a notable reduction from earlier schemes, reflecting a deliberate move toward larger-format apartments and a stronger owner-occupier focus.

Unlike traditional CBD developments that prioritised investor stock, 640 Bourke Street has been repositioned to respond to changing buyer expectations.

"The discussion was all around making 640 Bourke Street the best residence to live in, to be much more focused on the people in the building rather than people looking at the building," Marsland explained.&nbsp;

This shift is evident in the development’s interiors, which emphasise practical luxury with spacious layouts, high ceilings, and floor-to-ceiling windows framing sweeping views of Melbourne and Port Phillip Bay.&nbsp;

“What it's meant for 640 Bourke is we've actually reduced the number of apartments. We've increased the overall size of the apartments. We don't have any studios in here, and what that does for a project is it elevates it," Lauren Sheldon, Far East Consortium’s Director of Sales and Marketing, said.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=509 project_image_fid=365687]

Rothelowman Associate Jun Chang added, "We were given the opportunity to be more generous. The apartments became bigger and squarer than any other apartments which had been designed in the CBD before that."&nbsp;

Amenities spanning more than 3,000 sqm across multiple levels further reinforce this focus on resident experience. These include a pool, gym, co-working areas, and a range of hospitality-inspired spaces such as a whisky lounge, library, and private dining rooms, many drawing reference from traditional bathhouses and Melbourne’s laneway culture.

"We wanted to make both the pool and the gym area to be absolutely destinational, and when you traverse across to these spaces, there is a gentle familiarity to the beautiful notions of the hammams and the Roman baths, a gentle nod to history," Chang noted.

At street level, the project contributes to the ongoing transformation of the western CBD, with upgrades to Langs Lane and the introduction of retail, hospitality, and gallery spaces designed to activate the precinct and strengthen its connection to the surrounding city fabric.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=509 project_image_fid=365689]

The location places residents within walking distance of Southern Cross Station, Flagstaff Gardens, Queen Victoria Market, and the Docklands waterfront, positioning the development within a rapidly evolving inner-city neighbourhood.

"We believe it's the best site left in the city of Melbourne," Craig Williams, Executive Director at Far East Consortium, said.&nbsp;

640 Bourke Street is Far East Consortium’s 14th building in Melbourne’s western CBD.

"A very elegant designed building. It's going to be a Melbourne statement for many, many years to come."

One-bedroom apartments are priced from around $640,000, with 640 Bourke Street targeting completion in 2029.

Renders shown are Artist's Impressions correct as of May 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=509]

Heritage-led design anchors Far East Consortium’s 640 Bourke St, Melbourne

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD Group</a> has set a new residential price record in Queensland with the $30 million sale of the penthouse at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/one-burleigh-88-the-esplanade-burleigh-heads-qld-4220">ONE Burleigh</a> development in Burleigh Heads.

The sale equates to around $37,500 per sqm.

The two-level, 800 sqm penthouse, featuring five bedrooms, five bathrooms, five car spaces, and a private infinity pool overlooking the Pacific Ocean, was acquired by a Gold Coast-based entrepreneur, highlighting continued demand for ultra-premium beachfront product.

Selling agent Freddie Tehle of PRD Burleigh Heads said the result reflects tightening supply of high-quality, large-format apartments in Burleigh.

“There’s very limited opportunity to secure this level of scale and absolute beachfront position in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/burleigh-heads-qld-4220">Burleigh Heads</a>,” Tehle said.

“Buyers are increasingly seeking apartments that genuinely replace a standalone home, and this penthouse delivers that with its size, privacy, and direct ocean frontage.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146358 project_image_fid=323057]

The sale comes as construction progresses on ONE Burleigh, a boutique development of 17 full-floor residences at 88 The Esplanade, scheduled for completion in early 2027.

Developed by MAYD Group and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/mas-architecture-studio">MAS Architecture</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/sici-design">Sici Design</a>, the project has been positioned as a collection of house-sized beachfront apartments, each occupying an entire floor with around 381 sqm of internal and external living space.

When construction commenced, MAYD director Todd Mould pointed to the long-term resilience of premium coastal real estate as a key driver behind the project.

“Real estate, particularly at the premium end, remains one of the most resilient and proven long-term investment avenues,” Mould said.

“Our ambition is that anyone who buys a MAYD-built product can genuinely feel the care, craftsmanship and commitment we bring to every detail.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146358 project_image_fid=323055]

Each residence has been configured with four bedrooms, multiple living zones, a private office, and expansive ocean-facing terraces. Interiors draw on a restrained material palette, including travertine stone, timber joinery, and integrated premium appliances.

Interior designer Sici Design said the approach was to reflect the project’s coastal setting through both materiality and spatial planning.

“ONE Burleigh is our vision of luxury living, designed to bring the essence of Burleigh Heads' vibrant coastal beauty into an unparalleled residential experience.”

Residents will have access to a suite of wellness-focused amenities, including pools, sauna facilities, and dedicated relaxation spaces, reflecting a broader shift toward lifestyle-driven apartment design on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146358 project_image_fid=323052]

The project occupies a southern Esplanade site with uninterrupted beachfront frontage, an increasingly rare offering in Burleigh Heads, free from the Norfolk Pines that line much of the coastline and often limit direct ocean outlook.

Mould said the design intent was to balance that outlook with a sense of retreat.

“Living at ONE Burleigh is about how your day naturally unfolds, morning light across the ocean, coffee on the balcony, and being in Burleigh but elevated above the noise.”

The result further reinforces Burleigh Heads’ emergence as one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held and supply-constrained beachfront markets, where boutique, owner-occupier-focused developments are increasingly setting new price benchmarks.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=146358]

MAYD Group sets Queensland record with $30 million penthouse sale at ONE Burleigh in Burleigh Heads

Apartment developers in the Gold Coast are finding new, creative ways to differentiate themselves from competing projects, as new supply starts to flow through up and down the Coast.

Developer BIG Projects brought in the renowned Sydney-based design studio YSG Studio to craft the interiors for The Frederick, BIG Projects' new Mermaid Beach project and YSG Studio's first move into the multi-residential development space.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5346]

It was a strategic move for BIG Projects to bring in a Sydney eye to the development.

“Our role is to give our design partners the space and freedom to explore,” says Matt Barrett, Director of BIG Projects.

“We wanted YSG Studio to capture the essence of Nobby’s, to design a building that embraces life, light and connection, while creating a genuine sense of place.”

There are only 39 apartments in The Frederick, including a striking beach house, just 100 metres from the booming Nobby Beach precinct.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5347]

Yasmine Ghoniem, Director of YSG Studio, says their vision&nbsp;for The Frederick "reinvents coastal living."

“Nobby’s has such an iconic energy, it’s one of those rare pockets of the Gold Coast where the community, the beach, and the streets all feel connected,” Ghoniem says.

"Responding to the neighbouring coastline, soothing curves add a relaxing regional overlay, while unique detailing really sets it apart. It’s a place that feels lived in from the moment you step inside.”

A standout feature of The Frederick is its rooftop terrace, an uncommon inclusion for a boutique, low-rise building, where amenity is typically concentrated at ground level.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110588 project_image_fid=5360]

Positioned to capture panoramic views from the hinterland to the ocean, the rooftop has been designed as a series of intimate zones. It includes a pool, sauna, sun decks, workspaces and dedicated entertaining areas.

“The rooftop was conceived as a collection of spaces where residents can unwind and connect, an extension of the Nobby’s lifestyle,” Barrett says.

Architecture for the project was led by Plus Studio, with landscape design by LDG Landscape Architecture.

SRQ Projects Director Nick Clydsdale, who is handling sales at The Frederick, says the majority of enquiry is coming from South East QLD and Victorian buyers who have been actively searching between Broadbeach and Mermaid Beach for some time.

"They’ve reviewed a number of projects, however this one has stood out for its unique detailing and compelling design,"&nbsp;Clydsdale says.

Site demolition is slated for this month, with construction commencing soon after. BIG Projects is targeting a late 2027 completion.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=110588]

Sydney’s YSG Studio makes Gold Coast multi-residential debut with BIG Projects at The Frederick

Melbourne-based property developer ALTA Property has this week achieved planning approval for the adaptive re-use of a former commercial tower into a $200 million, 169-apartment project at 10 Queens Road, one of the last developable sites along the Albert Park Lake-fronting boulevard.&nbsp;

Set within one of Melbourne’s most sought-after precincts and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fraser-partners-0">Fraser and Partners</a>, the illustrious building will offer unparalleled views across Albert Park Lake, Port Phillip Bay and Melbourne CBD.&nbsp;

The mix of 1, 2 and 3-bedroom residences will be complemented by a ground-floor amenity featuring private dining, a lounge bar, gym and wellness spaces, co-working, outdoor communal gardens, and retail.&nbsp;

The 17-storey building is a masterclass in adaptive re-use, with the existing commercial building’s façade, shell and internal structure to be retained, before high-end residences are built from the ground up in a newly built Albert Park facing addition to the building.&nbsp;

Sitting atop the building will be two 320+sqm penthouses with private rooftop terraces, which are expected to be priced between $9 - $11 million.&nbsp;

<img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa11211b-5581-43f9-940c-fc84d30a0e61" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/C_04.png?VersionId=Yhf5p_1EgGDu_zOIMFgvA8Ug8j3sTFQs" />

Architecturally, the building will feature a curved, geometric façade that celebrates and elevates the existing structure, with warm, muted tones which were selected to extend the materiality of the existing building rather than contrast it.&nbsp;

Interiors will bring together three metre high ceilings with waffle concrete in some spaces, natural timber, granite and Australian materials, culminating in crafted, generous and considered spaces that are defined by authenticity.&nbsp;

The adaptive re-use means that the Queens Road project will be a sustainability led, high-quality finished product, with a 62% saving in carbon emissions by re-using the existing structure rather than knocking it down and rebuilding.&nbsp;

ALTA Property was launched by Nigel Givoni in 2023, bringing over 25 years of experience in multi level residential delivery.&nbsp;

Melbourne’s property market growth is currently led by apartments. According to RPM VIC Apartments &amp; Townhomes Market Report (April 2026), units are outpacing houses, especially in the middle ring suburbs where median prices hit $757,500 – a four-year high that represents 2.9 percent growth quarter-on-quarter.&nbsp;

<img alt="ALTA Property achieves permit approval for $200 million Queens Road tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="647e13d7-b4bc-433a-9bc9-fe3c3dd4f2ec" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/V_06.png?VersionId=ou4NUCWUgA3NAy.6CQJlEdKX50j3dOk6" />

For ALTA Property Founder Nigel Givoni, this performance speaks to the confidence he has in the Melbourne market.&nbsp;

“Queens Road represents a rare opportunity to continue to shape our presence in the Melbourne market.,"&nbsp;Givoni says.

"With a considered project team and a premier site along one of the city’s most sought-after boulevards, we look forward to contributing to the fabric of this established address.

“Other Australian markets are getting a lot of attention, but I believe the depth of value in Melbourne is being overlooked. The fundamentals are strong, population growth is steady and, based on our preliminary conversations with a leading builder, construction costs are beginning to normalise, creating further opportunity."

Givoni says the project is a&nbsp;highly considered example of adaptive re-use, delivering quality, high-end residences, premium hotel-inspired amenities and an architecturally striking façade, all achieved without the need to remove the existing structure.

"We are really looking forward to the market’s response,” he said.&nbsp;

ALTA Property to deliver $200 million Queens Road apartment tower

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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Woolworths has increased its lead as Australia’s top grocery retailer increasing its share of Australia’s total grocery market to 34% in 2018, up 1.4ppts from a year ago according to Roy Morgan’s latest survey data.
Their data showed, while Woolworths increased its market share the newly independent Coles now has a share of 27.6% of the total grocery market down 1.6ppts on a year ago.
 German supermarket chain Aldi has grown its market share to 11.4%, up 0.5ppts from a year ago.
Other Supermarkets outside the ‘big four’ such as 2018 Foodland, Foodworks and others increased their share of the total grocery market to 9.1% (up 1.2ppts) while IGA’s grocery share was down 0.4ppts to 7.1%.
Total grocery market – % market share 2017 cf. 2018
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/8/MARKET%20SHARE%20.png" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/4/8/MARKET%20SHARE%20.png" alt="">
 
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source. 
Michele Levine, Roy Morgan CEO, commented that the impressive performance of Woolworths over the last year has Australia’s leading grocery retailer in a strong position to deal with the entry of German ‘hypermarket’ Kaufland into Australia’s $100 billion+ grocery market:
“Australia’s leading supermarket chain Woolworths has increased its lead in Australia’s increasingly competitive grocery market in 2018 now capturing over a third of Australia’s total grocery spend in 2018 – up 1.4ppts to 34% from a year ago."
“The successful year for Woolworths has been built upon strong performances across the four key categories of fresh food. Woolworths has grown its market share in dollar terms for fresh meat, fresh deli, fresh bread and also fresh fruit and vegetables and is the market leader in all four categories ahead of main rival Coles."
“The demerger of Coles Group from industrial conglomerate Wesfarmers in the December quarter of 2018 means Australia’s second largest supermarket chain now has the opportunity to refocus on its core business ahead of the imminent arrival of German retailer Kaufland."
“Kaufland has already bought six industrial sites in Melbourne at which it plans to open its successful ‘hypermarkets’ over the next two years before rolling out stores Australia-wide following in the footsteps of fellow German retailer Aldi. Aldi also had a good year in 2018 and grew its share of the total grocery market by 0.5ppts to a new high of 11.4%."
“In addition to Kaufland the Australian grocery market is also anticipating a rollout of the ‘Amazon Fresh’ brand in the near future after the American Internet giant launched a food and grocery segment (although not yet fresh food) in the December quarter 2018."
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Woolworths grew grocery market share to 34% 2018: Roy Morgan

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Melbourne City Mission, Melbourne Melbourne’s oldest charity organisation, has continued to expand, leasing a whole floor in the Victory Tower.
Fitzroys agents Stephen Land and Sam Friend negotiated the five-year lease with a three year option over 393 sqm on Level 10 of Victory Tower, at $175,000 per annum plus GST on behalf of a private Melbourne-based landlord.
Melbourne City Mission said they intend to sub-lease part of the floor to Youth Law, another not-for-profit group they are co-locating with.
The lease comes just weeks before Melbourne City Mission opens its new $8 million crisis accommodation and homeless support centre on King Street in the CBD, which will be Victoria’s largest.
Stephen land said, “The premises contained existing workstations and chairs, and a recent upgrade that included new carpet, paint and kitchenette made the office desirable to prospective tenants that were looking to occupy an office with minimal work involved."
“Landlords are benefiting from the race to secure sub-500 sqm tenancies across the Melbourne CBD, as operators across a range of industries increasingly look to secure a city address.” 
“These major developments have prompted a broadening range of tenant enquiry in this part of the city. Operators want to be among the enhanced lifestyle, food and beverage offerings in the area that have been spurred by the booming worker population,” Land concluded.
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Melbourne City Mission begin lease in Victory Tower

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The recent release of SQM’s research is the latest in a series of economic modelling critical of Labor’s housing tax policy to increase capital gains tax and restrict negative gearing.
Previous research commissioned by Master Builders Australia has shown that the ALP’s policies would result in an up to 42,000 reduction in new home building activity.
Given the indications of weaker than expected economic growth this is the exactly the wrong time to be discouraging investment in housing. All current incentives should be kept on the table.
Instead of just saying ‘No We Can’t’, Labor needs to stop fobbing off and ignoring legitimate questions about the impact of its housing tax policy and rethink their policies
Housing market conditions are already in sharp decline – unfavourable policy changes would make things even worse. Even in the absence of NG/CGT changes, new home building starts are likely to decline from over 230,000 to about 175,000 over the next couple of years.
Labor continues to argue that ‘grandfathering’ will neutralise any negative impact of their policies and protect against future shocks to the housing market but the evidence we do have from the Hawke-Keating era and Cadence Economics modelling is that there will be negative impacts on the housing market regardless.
For example, the investment potential of grandfathered assets will be undervalued because all subsequent owners will have a 50% tax increase on their investment.
Treasury analysis (FOI 1876) that Labor quotes in support of its policies suggests that Labor’s policies to increase capital gain tax could compound upon a cyclical downturn in the housing market that may be underway.
All this amounts to a compelling need for Labor to consider the impact of its policies to increase capital tax and restrict negative gearing before the next federal election.
Master Builders also restates that Labor conceived this policy in booming housing market – this is no longer the case. House prices have fallen by at least 15% in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth while new dwelling approvals and lending volumes are driving lower at some pace.
DENITA WAWN is the Chief Executive of Master Builders Australia
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Labor should listen to fears about its housing tax changes: Master Builders Australia's Denita Wawn

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EXPERT OBSERVER
While media obsesses over big city markets where prices are falling, the nation’s hottest markets keep flying under the radar screens of all but the best-informed investors.
I’ve written a lot about Regional Victoria, which I regard as the nation’s strongest market, in terms of both busy sales activity and big price increases, as well as affordable prices and good rental yields.
Most property watchers will be aware of the strength of markets like Geelong, Ballarat and Bendigo, but new contenders keep popping up, many of them locations most people would know little about – or have never heard of.
During my most recent Live Q &amp; A on social media, someone asked what I thought about the market in Warburton (pictured top). I had to admit I knew little about the town. But something is happening in Warburton, up in the Yarra Ranges 70km east of central Melbourne. Its median price has risen 17% in the past year to reach $485,000.
Locations with those kind of growth numbers are the norm, not the exception, in Regional Victoria right now. And new ones keep emerging, replacing the early movers as market leaders.
This is because some of the state’s regional markets have passed their peaks. Geelong, for example, has been one of the nation’s most prolific markets in the past two years, but sales activity is no longer growing. It now has more plateau markets than rising ones. 
Other regions where demand has passed its peak (but price growth remains high) include the LGAs of Cardinia (Pakenham, Officer, Bunyip and Emerald), Baw Baw (Warragul, Drouin and Trafalgar), Surf Coast (Anglesea, Apollo Bay and Torquay), Bass Coast (Cowes, Inverloch and Wonthaggi) and Macedon Ranges (Gisborne, Kyneton, Romsey and Woodend).
But new growth markets continue to occur across Victoria. 
At Portland in the far south-west of the state, quarterly sales have been trending steadily upwards for the past two years. With a median house price of $235,000, affordability is a strong attraction, as well as the seaside lifestyle and the noted fishing resource.
Also in the south-west, there’s rising activity in Warrnambool, with median prices up 7% in Koroit and 5% in Warrnambool, while in nearby Port Fairy the median house price has risen 26% to $630,000.
In the Central Goldfields, quarterly sales in Maryborough have increased from 48 to 55 to 71 in the past year and its median house price has grown 18% to $230,000.
In the far east of the state, numerous locations have rising demand, including Bairnsdale and Lakes Entrance. The median price in Lakes Entrance has grown 13% to $325,000 in the past year, while Metung is up 7% to $375,000.
Other Regional Victoria markets with growing signs of uplift include Bright (up 17% to $575,000), Shepparton (up 5% to $275,000), Wangaratta (up 14% to $315,000) and Wodonga (up 3% to $350,000).
Another location that blipped on our radar screen recently, thanks to a client inquiry, is the town of Benalla, where the median house price has increased 10% in the past 12 months, but remains attractively cheap at $275,000. One of the big local drivers is a business which has won a major contract with Melbourne’s West Gate Tunnel project, creating 400 local jobs.
And then there’s Echuca. After watching this market chug along steadily for years, I’ve been forced to include it in the new edition of Top 5 Regional Victoria Hotspots - because, well, it can no longer be ignored.
Echuca is one of those strong regional centres which form the backbone of the nation in industries like agriculture, tourism and manufacturing – and while many people have heard of it, few have ever been there.
Hotspotting has often featured Echuca in The Price Predictor Index on the National Top 50 list of most consistent markets, as measured by quarterly sales volumes. Indeed, in one of our 2017 editions of the quarterly report, we named it the nation’s most consistent market.
And it keeps on keeping on, driven by a strong and diversified local economy, and steady growth. In the past 12 months, its median house price has lifted 16% to $365,000.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
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Real estate hotspots continue to emerge in regional Victoria: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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JLL’s new Brisbane headquarters, Central Plaza, has earned a 6 star Green Star Interiors v1.1 rating.
The Green Building Council of Australia (GBCA) placed the tenancy, on levels 39 and 40 at 345 Queen Street (pictured), in the World Leadership category.
6 stars is the highest rating that the GBCA can award in Australia.
The JLL Brisbane fitout, for which used its own in-house expertise rather than external consultants, is one of the only two fitouts to be rated a 6 star under Green Star interiors v1.1.
JLL’s Managing Director – Queensland, Geoff McIntyre, said: "this great achievement reflects the collaboration of so many different parts of our business from project management through to sustainability services. We have set a new internal standard, and we can roll out all future projects using this model."
JLL's Head of Energy and Sustainability Services – Asia Pacific, Matt Clifford, said: “this project is a clear demonstration that with the right approach, and the right leadership, achieving world-class levels of sustainability doesn’t need to be hard or costly. Rather, it can be simple, cost-effective and good for the environment, while delivering a fantastic place for our staff to work." 
“The use of LED lighting and timed sensors in the JLL Brisbane office has reduced the consumption to 33 per cent of recommended Australia Standards for lighting, which is expected to result in significantly lower electricity costs," he concluded.
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JLL Brisbane headquarters achieves 6 star Green Star rating

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Bill Shorten, in his budget reply speech last night, reaffirmed Labor’s commitment to restrict negative gearing to investors who purchased new housing if elected.
He claimed the current system gives investors "loaded dice" putting younger generations at a disadvantage.
It's a “bias” in the tax system that is shutting young people out of the housing market, Mr Shorten said.
“Getting together a 20 per cent deposit plus stamp duty is so much, much harder than it was 20 or 25 years ago,” the opposition leader said.
“It is even more difficult when your government uses your taxpayer money to subsidise the property investors bidding against you.”
Mr Shorten said his negative gearing rule changes were part of Labor’s plan to “stop intergenerational unfairness in our tax system”.
“A government must be brave enough and decent enough to stop the bias against first home buyers and young Australians and we will be that government,” Mr Shorten said.
He added “lectures about cutting back on smashed avo” were patronising to young people.
“You cannot have property investors playing with loaded dice against our young people, Generation Y and the Millennials,” Mr Shorten said.
However, according to recent HIA research, only 34 percent of Australians are aware of the proposed changes and understand it at some level, while others have no understanding.
While 52 percent of people believe rents will rise as a consequence of the changes. 
HIA Managing Director, Graham Wolfe said, "with 92 percent of all renters aspiring to buy their own home, Labor’s proposed changes will weigh heavily on their savings’ plans.“
"If these changes are made, rents will rise as supply dries up due to a lack of investment in new housing. This will make renting a home less affordable."
“If rents rise, renters saving for a deposit for their own home will take a backward step."
“We can’t solve the housing affordability challenge by taxing housing. This policy seeks to do just that,“ he concluded.
But Bill Shorten's 2019-20 Federal Budget reply headlines the overarching support of future housing in the previously announced National Housing Supply Council, national Housing Ministerial and National Housing Strategy, Nicholas Proud, CEO of PowerHousing Australia said.
It represents 32 of Australia’s largest Tier One and scale-growth Community Housing Providers.
Mr Proud said, “The Federal Opposition has shown a real commitment here to seeing the jobs, economic multipliers and adequate supply of housing become a national priority if they come to Government at the next election. 
"A commitment to delivering a massive 250,000 affordable rentals over a 10-year period with 20,000 to be built in the first three years with Community Housing Providers proponents of the task is a challenge CHPs are ready to take on.
“This 10-year subsidy combined with other elements such as build-to-rent, a Housing Minister, National Housing Strategy and reinstatement of a National Housing Supply Council, as promised, will tackle a housing downturn to preserve jobs, support state economies and deliver more dwellings.
“A focus on delivering expediting new NDIS investment is welcomed to capitalise on the recent momentum gained by the Agency if this shadow budget is eventually delivered.
“Whilst there is much to praise, there are tens of thousands of families in non-CHP properties who, over the next five years, are set to see the loss of the NRAS One incentives which started to lapse in December 2018.
"A response to support these non-CHP managed NRAS homes is critical and our CHP members will look to take up this challenge to seek a pragmatic solution here," Mr Proud concluded. 
Mr Shorten’s budget reply speech also mentioned plans to support build-to-rent schemes.
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Bill Shorten reaffirms Labor stance on negative gearing

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Declining union membership is unlikely to be responsible for low wage growth, a research discussion paper from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has suggested.
The report, entitled Is Declining Union Membership Contributing to Low Wages Growth?, was authored by RBA economists James Bishop and Iris Chan looked at micro data, covering all enterprise agreements federally registered between 1991 and 2017.
It set out to test whether the hypothesis that the decline in union membership since the 1950s caused a fall in the bargaining power of workers, which in turn has contributed to low wages growth in recent years.
However, the report found that is unlikely that recent low wages growth is a result of changing unionisation patterns.
“First, there has been no decline in the share of employees covered by enterprise agreements negotiated with union involvement even as union membership has declined,” the report stated.
“Second, the ‘union wage growth premium’ in the private sector has been stable over time.
“Third, spillover effects from union involvement in enterprise agreement negotiations onto wage outcomes in other enterprise agreements exist, but have not changed materially over time.”
The full report is available to read <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2019/pdf/rdp2019-02.pdf">here</a>.
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Declining union membership not the cause of low wages growth: RBA

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
White collar has driven employment gains but the surge in construction broke a 20yr downtrend for metal manufacturing employment.
<ul>
<li>In the year to February 2019, total employment grew 284k or 2.3% which is explained by the expansion of white collar employment and the lion share of this occurred in NSW and Victoria. Of the remaining sectors, the loss of employment in construction and manufacturing sectors was offset by modest gains in leisure &amp; hospitality with some help from smaller gains in retail, education and health.</li>
<li>White collar employment was boosted by solid gains in public administration &amp; safety (118.2k) and professional, scientific &amp; technical services (93.4k). The gains in leisure &amp; hospitality sectors was split between accommodation &amp; food services (+29.7k) and other household services (+43k).</li>
<li>Flat employment in education &amp; health hides losses of –36k in NSW and –31.5k in WA which were offset by growth in Victoria (44.5k) and Queensland (30.9k).</li>
<li>Goods production sector employment declined 41.6k due to a collapse in manufacturing employment (-63.7k) only partly offset by gains in mining (+16.7k) and agriculture (+10.5k).  </li>
<li>Construction had been a significant positive for employment with its share of total employment hitting a record high of 9.6% in 2018 Q1. But through the year it eased to 9.0% with the decline in construction employment making a –0.4ppt drag on annual total employment growth (total ex-construction was +2.7ppt contribution/total 2.3%yr).</li>
<li>The correction in construction has been focused in NSW and WA with most job losses occurring in construction services. At this stage, building and heavy engineering appear to be peaking, rather than correcting, but these sectors tend to lag the services involved with establishing a construction project.</li>
<li>Manufacturing dependent on construction expanded employment in 2018, breaking a longer-term down trend. While public infrastructure should support steel demand, at least for the near term, growth is likely to be somewhat less than it has been.</li>
</ul>
In the year to February, white collar employment explained just about all of the 282k growth in employment. We define white collar employment as those employees in finance, real estate &amp; hiring services, professional, scientific &amp; technical services, other business services and government services.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%201.jpg">Click here </a>to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%201.jpg" alt="">
Source: Westpac
Household services (accommodation &amp; food services, education &amp; training, health care &amp; social assistance and arts &amp; recreation) has been the powerhouse of employment growth for some time (see chart over) but in the last year there has been a shift of focus with households services employment slowing to 1.7%yr contributing just 0.6ppt to the annual pace of total employment growth.
Meanwhile, business services (information, media and telecommunications, finance &amp; insurance services, rental, hiring &amp; real estate, professional, scientific &amp; technical and administrative support services) employment growth accelerated to 5.2%yr contributing 1.0ppt to annual total employment growth but the big surge came from the 23.5%yr lift in government employment contributing 1.3ppt to the 2.3%yr pace in total employment.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%202.jpg" alt="">
Source: Westpac 
Looking at the state data highlights where the big swings have occurred. In NSW employment gains were driven by leisure &amp; hospitality and white collar while education &amp; health plus construction were the main drags on employment. There was surge in employment from public administration &amp; safety (+83.5k in the year) and professional, scientific &amp; technical services added 58.9k; both of these are white collar and business services sectors.
Accommodation &amp; food services (household services) added a healthy 40.6k but from there it was a drop to +26.7k from agriculture, forestry &amp; fishing (production sector). Leading the decline in NSW employment was –33.5k from construction (production sector) and education &amp; training surprised with a 30.4k decline (household services) and manufacturing shed 19.9k (production sector).
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%203.jpg">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%203.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: Westpac
Contrast this with Victoria where education &amp; health plus white collar employment drove the gains. In the year to February total employment grew more in Victoria than NSW (132.7k vs. 120.3k in the year) and at the same time the distribution amongst the sectors was a bit more even. Public administration &amp; safety led the charge in Victoria but the 39.7k gain was somewhat smaller than the gain by this sector in NSW (+83.5k).
Victorian healthcare &amp; social assistance (household sector) added 35k employees where as it contracted –4.2k in NSW, professional, scientific &amp; technical employment lifted 23.1k in Victoria and while public administration surged in NSW it grew a more modest 21.8k in Victoria.
Leading the decline in Victoria was the –23.0k in accommodation &amp; food services employment while manufacturing shed 14.3k employees and retail trade (household sector) was not much better at –12.7k. Victorian construction employment was a bit better than NSW at –9.2k (vs. –33.5k in NSW) full-time construction employment rose 6.4k in Victoria compared to –31.8k in NSW suggesting NSW appears to have entered a more protracted construction downturn as hours worked there appear to be more tightly managed.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%204.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%204.jpg" alt="">
Source: Westpac
For Queensland, just about all of the gains in employment can be put down to household services and, in particular, government employment or sectors funded by governments. Education &amp; training made the largest contribution (+17.6k) but public administration &amp; safety almost matched its contribution (+17.2k) while healthcare &amp; social assistance was not far behind (+14.7k) and information, media &amp; telecommunications made a healthy contribution (12.8k). The key drag in the year was manufacturing (–35.0k), retail trade (–23.3k) and administration &amp; support services (–12.9k). All up white collar employment was positive (+19.5k) adding to the 30.9k gain in education &amp; health and a sound 17.4k contribution from leisure &amp; hospitality more than offsetting the contraction in production employment (–25.7k) and retail &amp; distribution (–26.8k).
WA saw a mix in the sectors driving employment with retail &amp; wholesale gaining 30.8k while white collar employment lifted 29.5k in the year (+16.9k professional, scientific &amp; technology, +15.3 public administration &amp; safety and +9.5k other services more than offsetting the 12.6k loss in arts &amp; recreation and –4.9k in financial services). Mining was also positive (+8.1k) but declines in manufacturing and agriculture (–1.8k and –7.7k respectively) led to a small decline in production manufacturing. In the year to February, education &amp; health swung to being a significant drag in WA shedding 31.5k employees while construction shed 18.2k workers over the same period of time. Manufacturing was basically flat printing +1.8k.
Looking deeper into the sectors sheds some light onto what has been driving employment growth and where the risk to the employment outlook lies.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%205.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%205.jpg" alt="">
Source: Westpac 
Construction was an important driver of employment through 2017 with gains peaking at +103.8k /9.8%yr in the year to November 2017. This represented a 0.9ppt contribution to the 3.3%yr pace in total employment growth at that time. Construction's share of total employment peaked a quarter later at 9.5% in February 2018 which was a record high for this series going back to the start of the data in late 1984.
Since then construction employment has fallen 49.2k in the year to February 2019 representing a drag of –0.4ppt on total employment growth (which printed 2.3%yr). The last time construction employment represented a meaningful drag on employment growth was back in 2012 when it contracted –61.6k in the year to August 2012 generating a drag of –0.6ppt on total employment (which printed 1.2%yr).
Given that the starting point of construction's share of total employment is now larger than it was in 2012 (the peak back then was 9.1% in August 2011) construction has the potential to have a larger drag on employment this time should the construction downturn continue to deepen and broaden out of NSW and WA where it is currently focused.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%206.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%206.jpg" alt="">
Source: Westpac 
Looking at the breakdown of the sub-sectors behind the correction in construction employment suggests the current correction could have further to run. In the year to February 2019, all of the decline in construction employment can be explained by the –66k decline in construction services. The level of employment in this sector peaked at +777.6k in February 2018 having grown 86.1k, or 12.5%, in the previous two years.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%207.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%207.jpg" alt="">
Source: Westpac
Construction services includes land development &amp; site preparation services, building structure services, building installation services, building completion services and other construction services (which we suspect includes construction contractors). A fair proportion of these services are involved with project and site preparation before construction activity starts. We would expect to see some lift from heavy, civil engineering as public works projects continue but the down turn in dwelling construction activity is going to weigh on building construction employment through 2019 and it is likely to be sometime before construction services find a base to grow from.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%208.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%208.jpg" alt="">
Source: Westpac
The impact of construction activity on employment is broader than direct construction employment. Westpac has long compiled an aggregate of sectors in manufacturing that would have a strong linkage with construction – wood products, non-metallic minerals, metal products and furniture – which represents a bit more than 30% of manufacturing employment.
Employment in these sectors had been in a trend decline since the late 1990s, as are most manufacturing sectors. During the downtrend there have been some short-run up cycles but from the August 2016 low in employment these sectors grew 29.9k to February 2019, the first sustained uptrend in employment in almost two decades. November 2016 was the recent low in construction employment share of total employment which then rose to a peak in February 2018. Manufacturing employment linked to construction activity peaked in November 2018.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%209.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/WESTPAC%209.jpg" alt="">
Source: Westpac
In the last year all of the gains in manufacturing employment has been from metal products (+19.1k); all the other sectors were either flat or declining. Employment metal productions totalled 172.1k in February and if you exclude the recent run-up, employment in metal products is back to a level not seen since early 2014. Not even the mining investment boom produced a comparable lift in steel manufacturing employment indicative of just how significant the recent lift in construction activity has been for broader employment gains. By contrast transport &amp; machinery equipment employment declined 24.9k in the year to February while petroleum, chemical &amp; coal shed 21.0k workers and food, beverage &amp; tobacco has retrenched 16.7k.
Looking forward we don't expect public construction activity to peak until well into 2020 but nevertheless the pace of growth will be somewhat less than it has been. As such steel manufacturing employment should be supported but is very unlikely to be a significant contributor to employment growth going forward and as we head into 2020, it is likely to become a drag on employment.
Looking at the states, Queensland saw the biggest decline in manufacturing employment losing –18.8k employees in the year while NSW shed –7.2k, Vic lost –5.0k and WA lost –2.2k. SA added 9.6k and Tasmania gained 16.6k.
JUSTIN SMIRK is a ‎senior economist for Westpac Group
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Australian employment gains have been in white collar industries: Justin Smirk

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In February, the trade surplus climbed to a record high of $4.8bn, up from $4.35bn in January, eclipsing the previous record of $4.6bn in December 2016. The February result exceeded expectations (market median $3.7bn and Westpac $3.8bn).
Imports surprised to the low side, declining by 1.1%, whereas we anticipate a rise of 1.1%. A drop in fuels was the source of weakness.
Exports provided an upside surprise, increasing by 0.2% vs a forecast decline of 0.9%. Notably, the expected pull-back in gold failed to materialise.
More fundamentally, a key dynamic driving a widening of the trade surplus is the boost to export earnings from higher commodity prices, notably for iron ore and coal.  Total exports in February are 13.2% above the level of a year ago, outstripping a 4.4% rise in imports.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/TRADE%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/TRADE%201.jpg" alt="">
Metal ore exports (including iron ore) jumped in February, as anticipated, up by $1.0bn to $9.6bn - which is also a record high. Recall, the iron ore price leapt to US$85/t in the month as global supply was dented by the tailings dam disaster in Brazil. Iron ore is now trading close to US$90/t.
The trade surplus in the March quarter to date is running at $4.6bn a month, well up from $2.9bn per month in the December quarter. The bulk of this improvement likely reflects higher commodity prices.
The lift in commodity prices is boosting Australia's national income, which is flowing through to higher tax revenues - providing governments with additional fiscal flexibility, as evident in recent budget updates. However, despite this, wages growth remains sluggish.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/TRADE%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/TRADE%202.jpg" alt="">
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In February, the import bill declined by 1.1% to $35.0bn. Key to the fall was a drop in fuels, down $344mn. Imports ex fuel were broadly flat in the month, inching 0.1% lower. Similarly, for the March quarter to date relative to the December quarter, fuels are tracking sharply lower - likely a mix of lower prices and lower volumes.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/3/TRADE%203.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/3/TRADE%203.jpg" alt="">
Export earnings inched 0.2% higher in the month of February. As noted above, metal ores (including iron ore) jumped by $1.0bn to $9.6bn, a record high - driven by rising prices. Coal fell by $0.8bn on lower volumes. For the quarter to date, export earnings are up by around 4% on the December quarter - led higher by metal ores and gold, as well as rural goods, more than offsetting a softening for coal.
ANDREW HANLAN is a senior economist for Westpac
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Australia's trade account, surplus hits record high on higher iron ore price: Andrew Hanlan

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
While the budget speech referenced housing a few times, in the sense that falling housing prices represent a downside risk to budget forecasts, there was in fact very little in the budget directly focussed on the housing sector. With the performance of the housing and household sector so critical to the Government achieving their forecasts and planned surplus, there is certainly an argument that more could have been provided in the budget to support these sectors.
<ul>
<li>The Government expects wages to rise only modestly, with growth forecast to rise from 2.1% to 2.5% in 2018/19 before ticking higher to 2.75% in 2019/20, supported by lower unemployment and jobs growth of around 2% per annum. Based on these forecasts, and their potential to undershoot as they have over previous years, we can’t rely on a material improvement in household incomes to boost spending and stave off a higher rate of saving.</li>
<li>On the positive side, household income and consumption should find some support from personal income tax cuts for low to middle income workers (those earning $126,000 or less) and cost of living relief to pensioners. With income growth slow additional cash in people’s pockets each week is positive and could be moderately stimulatory from a consumer expenditure perspective. For example, those that earn between $48,001 and $90,000 will gain an additional $1,080 over a year.</li>
<li>The Treasurer reiterated that housing affordability was a key priority for the Government, but it looks like the Government is content to see housing affordability improve ‘organically’ via lower housing prices that could act as a contagion to weaker household consumption and a sharper than expected fall in residential construction. While this may seems a bit passive, it’s clear that housing affordability has improved substantially since the last budget due to lower housing values in the most expensive cities as well as the lowest mortgage rates since the 1960s and a subtle rise in incomes. </li>
</ul>
Arguably, the state and local governments have more ability to tackle housing affordability than the federal government, with factors such as stamp duty payments, allocation of the first home buyers grant, land release, development charges and town planning all falling outside of the federal government arena. 
Perhaps the most substantial area of the budget related to housing is a reiteration of the strong infrastructure spend and the City Deals, which will provide stimulus for specific regions of the country and help to cushion the downturn in residential construction. 
Infrastructure spending is up 25% on last year, with a record level $100 billion spend over the next ten years. While the allocation of this spend is short on detail (likely to be trickle fed to the market via election announcements), it seems much will be dedicated to improving transport infrastructure in an effort to ease congestion and better manage population growth. Major projects included funding of $2 billion for the fast rail between Melbourne and Geelong, a quadrupling of the urban congestion fund to $4 billion and detailed assessments for additional fast rail corridors. These additional fast rail corridors are: Sydney to Wollongong, Sydney to Parkes, Melbourne to Albury/Wodonga, Melbourne to Traralgon and Brisbane to the Gold Coast. Sticking with a public transport theme, the Budget committed $500 million from the Urban Congestion Fund to provide better park and ride facilities.
The City Deals are nothing new, however the budget reaffirms commitment of $5.7 billion of funding delivered in Townsville, Launceston, Western Sydney, Darwin, Hobart, Geelong and Adelaide, as well as the announcement of a recent deal for South East Queensland. The Government has also announced a roll out of regional deals for Barkley NT, Hinkler Qld and Albury Wodonga NSW/Vic.
No doubt the strong infrastructure spend and investment in improving the key areas of Australia’s cities will be stimulatory for housing markets that benefit from the improvements. Tackling congestion and improving access to essential amenities should indirectly support housing affordability by making the most affordable regions of the cities more accessible and liveable. Questions remain as to whether $100 billion is actually enough to tackle the infrastructure deficit however, expenditure up materially which is encouraging.
Overall, the Budget didn’t really focus on housing however, some of the associated issues such as household incomes and infrastructure investment are being addressed which is positive to see.
TIM LAWLESS heads up the CoreLogic RP Data research and analytics team and can be contacted<a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/author/timlawless/" target="_blank"> here.</a>
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