Malaysian developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> is the latest to jump into St Leonards booming Transport Oriented Development precinct.

The developer, which has previously delivered Sapphire by the Gardens apartment development in Melbourne, identified the Atchison Street site in 2023. It filed a Scoping Report around 12 months ago, and now has revealed the designs for the new&nbsp;40-storey mixed-use tower.

The State Significant Development Application covers <a href="https://next-portal.urban.com.au/projects/14650/summary">20-22 Atchison Street</a>, a 1,374 sqm site positioned between St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the project would deliver 181 apartments, above a four-storey commercial podium, five basement levels, and new public domain works along Mitchell Street. The apartment mix comprises 35 one-bedroom apartments, 39 one-bedroom-plus-study apartments, 85 two-bedroom apartments, and 22 three-bedroom residences.

The proposal has been lodged as a shop-top housing development under the NSW Government’s TOD planning pathway, which allows increased density around key transport infrastructure. The site sits within the recently rezoned Crows Nest Accelerated TOD Precinct.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b799673d-48e2-46b0-801a-0e33a9330100" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20site.png?VersionId=dPh0UfwfaHpbFL1R7H1cbZNbIW0CHbCC" />

SP Setia acquired the Atchison Street site as part of its continued expansion into the Australian apartment market. In comments made to City &amp; Country (The Edge Malaysia) in 2023, SP Setia President and CEO Datuk Choong Kai Wai described the acquisition as “a strategic move” aligned with the group’s post-pandemic market recovery strategy.

“Our target for this exceptional development is local and overseas buyers, including first-home buyers, downsizers and investors,” Choong said.

The tower has been designed as a slender vertical form rising from a mixed-use podium, with COX Architecture positioning the development as a response to the evolving St Leonards and Crows Nest skyline.

“The purpose of the project is to facilitate the delivery of high-quality housing at a strategically located site and deliver a built tower outcome that is consistent with the desired future character of St Leonards and aligns with the TOD controls,” the design report stated.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b1a85eee-76f7-436c-a6da-73ba827b9b13" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20entry.png?VersionId=dA9jHGPMcm.dDbwk4QfxqWiY5bfh3UVt" />

The podium would incorporate retail uses fronting Atchison Street, commercial tenancies, landscaped communal areas, and pedestrian improvements along Mitchell Street. Vehicle access and loading would be consolidated via Atchison Lane.

Residents would have access to more than 665 sqm of communal indoor and outdoor spaces, while the development proposes 96 parking spaces across five basement levels.

The proposal also includes a commitment for 10 per cent of residential floor space to be allocated toward affordable housing through a monetary contribution.

COX said the tower form responds directly to the emerging high-density character of the precinct while seeking to maximise solar access, cross ventilation, and outlook from apartments.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2163f85c-f63b-4be3-aafa-f8763976cec5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_5.png?VersionId=WiAmtIKJ6.ZQ41EtYEQ1fol7AeorKBlL" />

“The building is orientated towards north,” the Apartment Design Guide compliance report noted, adding that the tower’s slim form was driven by the constrained inner-urban site dimensions.

The design also incorporates landscaped setbacks and communal open space at podium level, intended to soften the interface with surrounding streets and improve pedestrian amenity.

The project adds to a growing wave of redevelopment proposals reshaping St Leonards and Crows Nest following the opening of the Sydney Metro City line and the NSW Government’s push for higher-density housing around major transport nodes.

Last week Stockland filed plans just down the road. They want to build a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/601-pacific-highway-st-leonards-nsw-2065">52-storey tower on Pacific Highway</a>.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">First look: Stockland plans 52-storey, 538-apartment St Leonards tower&nbsp;</a>

Joel Robinson

First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has revealed plans for a new mixed-use tower at 10 Dangar Street, Wickham, advancing a proposal that would reshape the southern gateway to Newcastle’s city centre with one of the city’s tallest residential buildings.

The State Significant Development proposal, now on exhibition, seeks approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bowline-10-dangar-street-wickham-nsw-2293">43-storey tower</a> immediately adjacent to the Newcastle Interchange. The project would deliver around 200 apartments, including 42 affordable housing dwellings, alongside 99 co-living units, a 171-room hotel, retail space, and new public domain integrated through the site.

The scheme marks a significant escalation of plans previously approved for the site. Urban Property Group took over the prominent 2,904 sqm parcel, where excavation and demolition had already commenced under an earlier consent for a 14-storey mixed-use development.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="58a96dd9-407f-4d20-86b4-94e4bfeef74b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20podium.png?VersionId=LGlf08pdFGAZDzvx_CXC4XakHNZRuEE0" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a>, the tower has been conceived as a landmark transit-oriented development anchored to the Newcastle Interchange precinct. The proposal includes 245 build-to-sell apartments across a mix of one, two, and three-bedroom residences, as well as two penthouses. Fifteen apartments and one operational unit are earmarked for NDIS housing. The co-living component would add a further 99 units, while the podium would accommodate retail uses and hotel facilities.

SJB said the site presents “a valuable opportunity to anchor the precinct by setting the standard for design, active ground planes and character at the key southern gateway.”

The architecture responds directly to the site’s position beside major transport infrastructure and within one of Newcastle’s fastest-evolving urban renewal precincts. The tower form sits above a sculpted podium designed to frame new public spaces, including a through-site pedestrian link connecting Station Street to Hannell Street, landscaped plazas, and activated retail edges.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a7bd6ff0-f7db-4ce8-a6dc-ea56e72c6149" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20lanne.png?VersionId=xzf39VADyhj7zBQY2I9fx9vI62u2tuSb" />

The design report describes the project as part of the broader transition of Wickham into “a vibrant, high-quality mixed-use urban precinct” that leverages proximity to the station, open space, and regional connectivity.

A detailed public art strategy has also been prepared for the development. The strategy positions the project as “a transit-oriented development of state significance at the gateway to Newcastle’s city centre” and outlines a series of integrated artworks responding to Newcastle’s industrial and transport heritage.

Creative Road’s curatorial framework for the project, titled Unveil, draws on “stratified surfaces, carved volumes, and light-filled apertures” while referencing Newcastle’s transformation from an industrial city into a contemporary education and technology hub.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="77a882bb-14b1-4d28-99ff-9438e39508c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20site.png?VersionId=cevgo_vN0eKPK78P8YcEu3mKPLkpFqE7" />

The proposal is being advanced through the NSW Housing Delivery Authority pathway after being declared State Significant Development in June 2025. The accompanying scoping report states the development aims to “maximise the site’s proximity to the Newcastle Interchange by delivering transit-oriented development” while increasing housing supply and affordable housing provision within the Newcastle LGA.

Urban Property Group’s plans align with the long-term strategic vision established under the Wickham Master Plan, which identified the interchange precinct as suitable for substantial uplift in height and density. The current proposal would significantly intensify that vision, positioning the tower among the tallest developments proposed for Newcastle.

The site sits immediately north of the Newcastle Interchange, bounded by Dangar Street, Hannell Street, and Charles Street. It is surrounded by a rapidly growing cluster of residential towers and mixed-use projects that have emerged following the completion of the light rail and transport interchange.

First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s latest tower at Wickham interchange

Bottega House has completed settlement of a landmark riverfront site in Macquarie Street, St Lucia, representing its first major Brisbane development.&nbsp;

Positioned on the banks of the Brisbane River, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/180-macquarie-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">premium site at 180 Macquarie Street</a> features uninterrupted river frontage in one of Brisbane’s most tightly held residential precincts.&nbsp;

The proposed development, currently under assessment with Brisbane City Council, has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/mim-design">Mim Design</a> and will deliver a boutique collection of premium residences positioned specifically for owner occupiers and downsizers.&nbsp;

The residences are set to redefine luxury apartment living in the area, with a focus on architectural quality, refined finishes, landscape integration and elevated amenities including curated wellness facilities, resort-style pools and recreation spaces rarely seen in the local market.&nbsp;

Exclusive sales for the project will be led by Keenan &amp; Byrne, ahead of an anticipated launch later this year.&nbsp;

Bottega House Managing Director Nick Malloch said the project reflects the group’s ambition to deliver a highly curated residential offering within one of Brisbane’s most tightly held precincts.&nbsp;

“This is an incredibly rare riverfront opportunity and one we have approached with a long-term perspective,” Malloch said.&nbsp;

“Our vision from the outset was to create a boutique collection of residences that feel more like private homes than traditional apartments, with generous proportions, refined finishes and exceptional amenity throughout."

Malloch says there is a&nbsp;lack of premium owner-occupier stock of this quality in the market, particularly for downsizers wanting space, privacy and a true lifestyle offering without compromise.&nbsp;

"Demand is expected to be strong given the scarcity of premium riverfront opportunities of this nature within Brisbane’s inner-west."&nbsp;

Bottega House secures landmark riverfront site in St Lucia 

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The arrival of the first piling rig officially marks the commencement of construction at SIERA’s new beachside apartment development, Exhale, in Northcliffe.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/exhale-surfers-paradise-8-enderley-avenue-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Exhale</a>, a glass-encased tower featuring 54 large-scale apartments at 8 Enderley Avenue, is SIERA’s third Gold Coast development. It follows the recently completed PIPIS Bilinga beachfront project, which achieved suburb-record prices, and the soon-to-be-completed Chevron Island development, Tapestry.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359603]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/siera">SIERA</a> Founder and Managing Director Brent Thompson said the arrival of the piling rig represented a significant milestone for the development, which is scheduled for completion in late 2028.

Over the next month, around 260 piles are expected to be installed as work progresses on the basement structure. The building is anticipated to rise above ground level early next year, before unveiling its sculptural glass curtain wall, developed in collaboration with specialist façade engineers.

“The façade was designed to maximise panoramic coastal views while creating a distinctive architectural identity,” Thompson said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=355935]

Designed by BDA Architecture, Exhale will comprise just 54 two- and three-bedroom residences across 26 levels, a level of low-density living rarely delivered in this beachside pocket between Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach.

The project has been conceived as a resident-only building, with no short-stay accommodation permitted. SIERA says the model is intended to appeal to long-term owner-occupiers rather than transient holiday demand.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=361052]

Residences have been designed with large-format layouts and expansive glazing, with most apartments featuring more than 30 metres of glass frontage to maximise natural light and ocean views.

The amenity offering spans two levels and centres on wellness and lifestyle, including a heated magnesium pool, sauna, yoga and Pilates studio, gymnasium, private dining facilities, cinema lounge, and dedicated surfcraft storage.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359607]

More than half of the apartments have already sold. SIERA has also opened a sales gallery for Exhale at its Chevron Island commercial premises, near its Tapestry tower and the site of its second Chevron Island apartment development, which is slated to launch in early 2027.
</section>
</section>

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112661]

SIERA kicks off construction at Northcliffe tower Exhale

Local Little Bay residents, along with buyers from premium postcodes across Sydney’s affluent Eastern Suburbs, have dominated purchases in developer-builder Urban Property Group’s first Eastern Suburbs apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a>.

The $250 million coastal project, one of the first new developments in the area in several years, has proven particularly popular with downsizers, especially those from Coogee and Bondi. One Double Bay downsizer paid $4.7 million for a four-bedroom penthouse, setting a new local apartment price record in the process.

Buyers have been attracted to the combination of coastal tranquillity, premium design and amenity-rich neighbourhood living. The walkable village setting, along with proximity to three of Sydney’s leading golf courses, New South Wales Golf Club, St Michael’s Golf Club and The Coast Golf Club, has also been a key drawcard.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352689]

Built across two low-rise buildings designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hill-thalis-architecture-urban-projects-pty-ltd">Hill Thalis</a> and set along a lush, landscaped green spine, designed by leading landscape architect <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/arcadia-landscape-architecture">Arcadia</a>, ESTE Little Bay offers a collection of one, two, three and four-bedroom residences with interiors by Richards Stanisich.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> Sales Director, Tom McIvor said the response to ESTE has been "nothing short of extraordinary."

“Buyers have been quick to recognise ESTE as a rare opportunity to invest in a coastal sanctuary that offers both seclusion and connectivity to the heart of Sydney,” McIvor said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352687]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">SRM Residential</a> Senior Director, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">Clayton Ross</a> said the local market has responded incredibly well, driven by ESTE’s exceptional location and the rarity it offers.

“We’ve seen strong interest from a variety of buyer groups, all of whom are drawn to the exclusivity and quality of the build and construction by the 4.5-star iCIRT-rated builder / developer, Urban Property Group. There’s truly nothing else like it along Sydney’s coastline.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352690]

The project also includes robust buyer protections, including Resilience Insurance’s Latent Defects Insurance, providing 10 years of structural cover, and an independent iCIRT-rating of the developer.

“The iCIRT-rating adds another layer of confidence,” Ross added. “Buyers see it as a safeguard for their investment and their lifestyle.” A highlight of ESTE’s offering is its exclusive wellness amenities, including a heated rooftop infinity pool and outdoor heated spa, a state-of-the-art Technogym fitness centre, and a sauna.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a> is topped out and is on track to complete towards the end of 2026, with residents moving in before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112343]

Eastern Suburbs buyers snap up ESTE Little Bay apartments

National Australia Bank (NAB) has brought forward the timing of the first RBA cash rate cut by three months.

NAB is now expecting a cut in February, in line with ANZ and Westpac, having initially thought a cut wouldn't come until May.

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB changed its call following the August monthly inflation figures that were released at the end of September, showing it had dropped to 2.7 per cent.

"The risk has been skewed to a first cut earlier in 2025, and today’s change acknowledges the balance of risks has likely shifted sufficiently for the RBA to feel comfortable cutting a little sooner than we earlier expected," NAB noted in its latest update.

They added that the cadence of the cuts may be faster than its central profile.

"Domestic inflation pressures are cooling, but only gradually, and we continue to expect the conditions for a cut will not be in place this year.

NAB believes the easing cycle will end at 3.1 per cent by early 2026, which is five cuts from the current 4.35 per cent cash rate.&nbsp;

CBA also thinks 3.1 per cent will mark the end of the cutting cycle, while Westpac is forecasting 3.35 per cent, and ANZ is the most pessimistic at 3.6 per cent, which would be just three interest rate cuts.

<h2>What would a rate cut in February look like for borrowers?</h2>

According to&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vK2ujS77CHs9VRvSSXzLC" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG" target="_blank">Canstar</a>, if there is a cut in February, a borrower with a $600,000 loan today and 25 years remaining would see their monthly repayments drop by $92.&nbsp;

<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Impact of 0.25% pt cut in February 2025
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Current loan size
			</td>
			<td>
			Drop in monthly repayment
			</td>
			<td>
			New monthly repayment
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$600,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$92
			</td>
			<td>
			$3,907
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$750,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$114
			</td>
			<td>
			$4,884
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$1M
			</td>
			<td>
			-$153
			</td>
			<td>
			$6,512
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Source:&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2qVnp6oqATgqDUi2Frm22q" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL" target="_blank">www.canstar.com.au</a>. Starting rate is the RBA existing average owner-occupier variable rate of 6.36%. Assumes banks pass the cash rate cut on in full the month after the meeting.
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Canstar Data Insights Director, Sally Tindall, says if core inflation continues to track in the right direction, or unemployment starts to accelerate significantly, we could well see a cash rate cut as early as February of next year.

“All four big banks now believe the RBA will be ready to cut the cash rate in just over four months’ time, if not before, in the case of CBA.

“However, the outlook for both inflation and unemployment is still highly uncertain. A couple of wobbly sets of inflation data could see the RBA holding for longer, particularly if unemployment remains relatively steady."

&nbsp;

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

<html><body>
Consumer satisfaction at the four major banks increased marginally during April, taking the current levels well above the long-term average.
The latest Roy Morgan research polled more than 50,000 consumers and found that consumer satisfaction with the big four was at 80.1% in the six months prior to April.
The small increase of 0.3% from the same period in 2016.
It sits above the long-term average of 74.9% recorded since 2005.
However, home loan customers are less satisfied with levels sitting at 78% compared to 80.5% for other types of customers.
Home loan customers at CBA experienced the highest satisfaction levels at 78.8%. This was followed by Westpac (78.5%), NAB (77.3%) and ANZ (77.0%). The biggest improvement in this area was for ANZ (up 1.0%) and NAB (up 0.9%).
Over the past year, the big banks have closed this gap marginally, researchers found.
Amongst the big four banks, consumer satisfaction levels are as follows:
<ul>
<li>Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA): 81.4%</li>
<li>National Australia Bank (NAB): 80.2%</li>
<li>Australia &amp; New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ): 78.7%</li>
<li>Westpac: 78.1%</li>
</ul>
Westpac experienced the largest improvement in April, Australian Broker noted, moving up 0.7% as a result of increases in scores for both home loan and non-home loan customers.
For non-home loan customers, CBA again leads at 81.9%. This is followed by NAB (81.0%), ANZ (79.1%) and Westpac (78.0%).
“Roy Morgan data shows that customer satisfaction with the big four banks remains well above their long term average and after trending up strongly for more than a decade, for the last two years it has plateaued rather than showing any real signs of declining,” said Norman Morris, industry communications director at Roy Morgan Research.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Home borrowers the least satisfied bank customers: Roy Morgan

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Mark Bouris, executive chairman of Yellow Brick Road, says borrowers need to vote with their feet.
"Quite simply, if the banks ratchet up rates and costs, go elsewhere and borrow from another lender," he wrote in his weekly Fairfax column.
He noted the property federal budget bank levy goes back to 2008, when a financial crisis was building and the four major trading banks – plus Macquarie Bank – wanted assistance from the federal government to stabilise our financial system.
"The government – actually, the taxpayer – guaranteed Australian deposits at deposit-taking institutions, up to $250,000.
"The banks also got a governmentguarantee over some bank debt and an ongoing facility up to $180 billion, which gave the banks access to very cheap debt.
"This new levy is 0.06 per cent of this government-guaranteed facility – it’s a very low charge for allowing banks to reduce their overseas borrowing costs and therefore, make bigger profits.
"So why would the bank charge you for giving it access to the cheapest capital?," he asked adding we’ll see what the banks decide to do – absorb the levy or pass it on.
He told borrowers there are only five banks being taxed with the levy.
"But have a look at a comparison website and you’ll see many lenders out there, from credit unions and building societies to small and regional banks, as well as loans offered by mortgage brokers and other financial services players.
"On any week, there can be a 1 per cent difference in interest rate between the lowest cost and most expensive standard variable mortgages.
"Why pay more than you should?"
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Mark Bouris says look for the 1 percent difference in available mortgage rates

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The prospect of rising interest rates has more borrowers wanting to lock into fixed-rate loans, says a new study. 
More than a third of Aussies (35.5 per cent) looking to take out a home loan would go for a fixed-rate loan, according to Gateway Credit Union. The split rate option was favoured by 34 per cent and the variable rate by 30.7 per cent. 
And over half of those surveyed said they would be in it for the long haul — choosing to fix their home loan rate for five years.
The sentiment for fixed loans is high in spite of the Reserve Bank of Australia keeping interest rates on hold and at a record low for the past several months. Banks, however, have been making out-of-cycle home loan rate increases, citing tough regulatory environment.
Of the major cities, Brisbane residents are the second most likely in the country to want to fix their mortgage after Sydneysiders, with 35.1 per cent saying they would choose a fixed rate home loan over a variable or split option, the www.realestate.com.au reported citing The Courier Mail.
The news comes after Mortgage Choice’s national home loan approval data found Queenslanders were the keenest on fixed rates, with 24.74 per cent of all March loans being locked in.
As to the preferences by age, the younger generation (18 to 29 year olds) are more inclined to take out a fixed rate home loan, followed by the 50 plus age bracket.
Gateway CEO Paul Thomas was cited in the article saying speculation around changing market conditions had rattled borrowers.
“We know property prices are sky high, compound that with low wage growth, high levels of household debt and out of cycle rate hikes and you can expect that consumers might be worried about maintaining a loan, especially if they have no control over repayments because of a fluctuating rate,” Thomas said.
“Borrowers have enjoyed low rates for quite some time but the results suggest that we may be in for tougher times ahead.”
These findings suggest borrowers think that once rates start to shift upwards they won’t be coming back down again for some time, he added.
Borrowers would do well to consider fixing part, or all, of your home loan. 
Omniwealth’s Andrew Zbik suggested borrowers take several steps, such as building a cash buffer, having an offset account and budgeting carefully.
Zbik said he suggests to clients to have at least six months of expenses put aside as a cash buffer.
“This will help to shield you from any immediate increases in interest rates and give you time to adjust any spending commitments,” he said. 
According to the RBA, only one-in-three households have enough cash on hand to meet one month’s mortgage payments.
Offset accounts are another way to put your surplus cash to work, Zbik said. Your savings and everyday cash flow will be used to reduce the repayments on your home loan. For example, if you have $100,000 of loan outstanding and you have $10,000 in the offset account, the bank will only charge you interest on the $90,000.
He also suggested disciplined budgeting using automatic budget tracking programs such as Moneysoft or MoneyBrilliant.
“Knowing where you spend your money will help you to prepare for where interest rates need to be before cashflow gets tight,” he added.
 
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

More borrowers favouring fixed-rate loans

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GUEST OBSERVER
Aussies are missing out on savings of up to $3,184 a year by shunning online lenders in favour of the big banks according to financial comparison site Mozo.com.au.
A nationally representative survey conducted by Mozo found Aussies are less likely to apply for a home loan online than other financial products despite the huge savings on offer.
“Our research shows while more than half of consumers are comfortable taking out car insurance, credit cards and personal loans online, just 27 per cent would consider doing the same for a home loan,” says Mozo Director Kirsty Lamont.
“Surprisingly, less than half of consumers would consider getting a home loan with an online lender despite the majority saying the main drawcards of signing up with an online lender are cheaper interest rates and lower fees.”
Mozo compared 504 home loans from 89 providers to identify Australia’s best value home loans for its annual Mozo Experts Choice Home Loan Awards, and found that nearly two thirds of the best value home loans on the market are from online lenders.
“We found that online lenders are on average 0.70% cheaper than the Big 4 banks for a typical loan of $350,000 over 25 years. When you look at the room for savings, it’s well worth looking beyond the traditional bricks and mortar lenders.”
Mozo found the biggest barrier to Aussies getting a home loan online is their lack of familiarity with online lenders, with 56 per cent saying they simply don’t know enough about them.
“Unfamiliarity with online lenders is stopping borrowers from accessing better home loan deals,” says Lamont. “Many online lenders are able to pass on significant cost savings to consumers because they have fewer overheads than traditional banks.”
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/24/MOZO%202.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/24/MOZO%202.png" width="700" height="343">
The research shows more males than females would consider applying for a home loan online, while females were more likely not to borrow from an online lender because they didn’t know enough about them.
Of those who said they would apply for a home loan online, half are between the ages of 25 and 44, which indicates that Gen X and Y are more comfortable applying for a home loan online than other generations.
In addition to lack of familiarity, 43 per cent of consumers say they avoid shopping online for a home loan because they’d prefer to discuss their needs face to face with a mortgage expert.
“Seeking expert advice from a third party might be a valuable service in navigating the mortgage application maze but this could come at a steep price if borrowers neglect to do independent research beforehand,” says Lamont.
“Many borrowers who go through a bank or mortgage broker often don’t get to see the full spectrum of offers available and may be unsure of what rates are available elsewhere, especially in the online space.”
Online lenders iMortgage, loans.com.au and UBank were among the major winners in this year’s Mozo Experts Choice Awards, while Homestar was named the Non-Bank Home Lender of the Year after raking in mentions across five home loan categories.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/24/MOZO%20-3.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/24/MOZO%20-3.png" width="700" height="417">
Kirsty Lamont is the director of <a href="https://mozo.com.au" target="_blank">Mozo.com.au</a>
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elalademann0606-LAMLni4EAX

Borrowers lose over $3,000 in annual savings by shunning online lenders: Kirsty Lamont

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The Commonwealth Bank has followed moves by ANZ and Westpac to tighten its policies on interest-only home loans.
Interest-only customers who want to refinance their loan with CBA will no longer be entitled to a $1,250 rebate.
Customers who want to take out interest-only loans will also need to hold a 20 per cent deposit, an increase of 5 per cent for owner-occupiers and 10 per cent for investors. 
The changes only applies to new customers and would reduce incentives for interest only borrowing.
The decision from CBA follows Westpac and ANZ Bank who earlier this week announced changes to its lending policy.
Westpac will no longer accept interest-only applications from owner-occupiers with a deposit smaller than 10 percent, up five percent.
They raised their interest-only fixed-rates for owner occupiers and investors at the end of April. So too did CBA.
ANZ Bank now demand a 20 percent deposit for home loans.
The changes are part of new regulations to attempt to cool the demand in the housing market and reduce interest-only lending.
The rules require the banks to limit their interest-only loan book to 30 per cent of total lending.
Currently the country's major banks lend close to 40 per cent of all loans on an interest-only basis.
 
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CBA tighten policies on interest-only home loans

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The Reserve Bank of Australia might need to cut interest rates several times due to the weakness in the labour market, according to Credit Suisse, a view which goes against the general market expectations.
While jobs growth in April beat expectations and the unemployment rate fell to a four-month low, full-time jobs edged down and the weakness in the detail would have been bigger if not for another month of bias from the sample rotation, Credit Suisse analysts, led by Damien Boey, said in a note to investors, the Business Insider reported.
The current cash rate is at a record low of 1.5 percent and many industry observers say the RBA will actually lift its cash rate, though this won’t be anytime soon. 
HSBC’s senior economist Paul Bloxham also recently suggested that the Q1 CPI numbers also suggest that rate rises are not likely any time soon. 
“The output gap is at levels historically consistent with another cash rate cut,” Credit Suisse said. “We believe there is a case for multiple cuts, because our measure of the output gap is based on upwardly-biased labour market data, and probably understates the degree of slack in the economy.”
That said, Credit Suisse felt the positive headline data means the RBA is yet to get a trigger to change its policy stance, the Business Insider said.
Latest ABS data showed Australia added 37,400 jobs, well above expectations for an increase of 5,000.
However, full-time employment fell by 11,600 over the month, while part-time employment surged by 49,000.
“Employment quality was even more questionable considering statistical distortions. For yet another month, the ABS rotated its sample in favour of cohorts with higher full-time employment to population ratios,” noted Credit Suisse.
“There is a notable net upward bias to the full-time employment data since late 2016. In our view, this means that if we were to remove upward statistical biases, the decline in full-time employment in April would have been even greater than officially reported.”
Employment leading indicators, based on business and consumer confidence, as well as trend growth in loan approvals point to a near-term bottoming out in the labour market, the bank said.
However, the official data, thanks to the statistical problem, has stolen the march and shows the jobs market has already bottomed out and when the sample bias reverses, it could start throwing out some ugly numbers.
Credit Suisse is not alone in blaming the data. Commonwealth Bank of Australia economists said the jobs report left them scratching their heads and pointed to the fact the job additions over the last two months were the equivalent of 1.2 million increase in US non-farm payrolls over the same period.
“Our cash rate model currently points to one further cut,” Credit Suisse analysts said.
“However, because of our belief that full-time employment gains have been significantly overstated, we think that our output gap proxy understates the amount of slack in the economy. We remain of the view that the RBA needs to cut rates multiple times this year.”
 
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RBA needs to cut interest rates several times: Credit Suisse

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<div>
Shadow banks are charging interest-only investors nearly 60 basis points less for standard variable loans than the big bank competitors.
The big savings for property buyers explains their growing popularity, analysts have suggested.
Shadow bankers are however bracing for growth speed limits and pressures to constrain interest-only lending as faced by their major peers. 
John Khall, chief executive and founder of Pacific Mortgage Group, said it has not happened yet "but we expect some changes."
Their acceptance been facilitated by their prominence on online best-price comparator websites.
Moves by prudential regulators to increase regulation of the big banks has assisted in the shift to shadow banking finance. 
The shadow banks are non-authorised deposit taking institutions known as non-bank lenders.
Data suggests almost half their loan portfolios are interest-only borrowers, well above new regulatory standards intended to slow speculative lending. 
The big banks now need to keep interest-only loans to a 30 percent limit with their overall loan book. 
Shadow banks typically use securitisations to raise funding.
The are able to use low-cost distribution and lower regulatory capital requirements to out-price rivals.
Shadow banks on average out-price the majors on standard variable residential principal and interest by 60 basis points, standard variable investment principal and interest by 64 basis points, standard variable residential interest-only by 43 basis points and standard variable investment interest-only by 57 basis points.
The analysis published in Fairfax Media by Canstar, which monitors financial service products, is based on a $1 million loan with a loan-to-value ratio of 80 percent.
Using the ‘other financial intermediaries’ (OFIs) measure, the RBA said some time back that Australia's shadow banking sector is small relative to the global average, although they have surged after the APRA restrictions on investor lending. The RBA said earlier this year that it is watching the sector.
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Interest only buyers seeking shadow banks to outprice the majors

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Financial comparison site RateCity.com.au will be hosting Australia’s first industry home loan sale from Monday 8 May to 10pm Tuesday 9 May, offering refinancers exclusive deals and potential savings of up to $39,000 for customers of the big banks.
Lasting for only 40 hours, the Switch &amp; Save Sale will see eight home loan lenders come together to slash fees, offer cashbacks and cut rates.
Pre-registrations for the sale opened last week.
RateCity.com.au Money Editor Sally Tindall said there had been a huge influx of traffic to the site.
“Some of these deals could potentially sell out. 
“Our research shows that the average mortgage holder could save up to $39,000 on a 15- year loan,” she said.
“There are no up-front obligations, and customers have up to 30 days to take advantage of the discounted offer, provided they register within the initial 40-hour period,” she said.
RateCity’s Switch and Save Sale includes well-known banks such as ING Direct and HSBC, alongside competitive lenders such as Mortgage House, Reduce Home Loans, loans.com.au and IMB.
Ms Tindall said the climate was ripe for refinancing.
“With banks putting up rates out of cycle, alongside comparatively low wages growth, mortgage repayments are starting to pinch.
"Refinancing isn’t as hard as people might think,” she said.
The sale runs from 6am (AEST) Monday 8 May to 10pm (AEST) Tuesday 9 May 2017. 
For more information, <a href="https://www.ratecity.com.au/sale?utm_source=propertyobserver&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=rcsale_propertyobserver_text&amp;rmatt=tsid:1030695%7Ccid:54369%7Ccgid:543693734136%7Ccrid:15969003" target="_blank">click here</a>.
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RateCity home loan sale gives Australians the incentive to switch

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GUEST OBSERVER
The RBA left the cash rate unchanged at 1.5 percent at today’s meeting.
The recent data flow, coupled with RBA commentary, suggests the decision to leave policy unchanged was straight forward.
We have the RBA on hold at 1.5 percent throughout 2017 and well into 2018.
The RBA’s decision to leave policy unchanged today was no surprise. Governor Philip Lowe has made it crystal clear that concerns around rapid dwelling price growth and the level of household debt mean that the cash rate is unlikely go lower unless there is a sustained loss of momentum in job creation.
The strong, albeit questionable, March employment report has allayed fears at the RBA that the labour market was softening given the weakness in the February data.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/02/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-03%20at%208.21.28%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/02/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-03%20at%208.21.28%20AM.png" alt="">
There was very little to gain in the way of new insights in today’s Statement. In our view, the most noteworthy change was around the outlook for wages growth. Lowe expanded on last month’s assessment that “wage growth remains slow,” and added that, “this is likely to remain the case for a while yet.” We agree given the significant amount of slack in the labour market (see here).
The Governor commented on recent developments in the labour market and noted that although, “the unemployment rate has moved a little higher over recent months, employment growth has been a little stronger.” He also added that, “the unemployment rate is expected to decline gradually over time.” In other words, the Governor views the recent lift in the unemployment rate as temporary. We agree and would add that it was driven higher by rising participation.
On inflation, the Governor noted that the headline QI CPI, published last week, was “in line with the Bank’s expectations”. And that, “a gradual further increase in underlying inflation is expected as the economy strengthens”.
The rest of today’s Statement contained only cosmetic changes compared with the April Statement.
The outlook
Our monetary policy call has the RBA on the sidelines in 2017 and well into 2018. We see jobs growth sufficient enough for policy to remain on hold. But the risk lies with another cut given very weak wages growth, below target core inflation and an expected further downturn in hard commodity prices. In our view, the recent additional measures announced by APRA to address risks in the housing market marginally lower the hurdle for another rate cut. In that context, market pricing, which implies a 13 percent chance that policy is eased again, is a fair assessment of the balance of risks.
The near term focus for the monetary policy outlook turns to Thursday when Governor Lowe will speak at a luncheon. The title of his speech, “Household Debt, Housing Prices and Resilience” – suggests the Governor will once again emphasise the RBA’s reluctance to cut the cash rate from here.
On Friday the RBA publishes its quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP). The Bank’s near-term GDP forecasts may be nudged up a little, but underlying CPI projections are expected to remain unchanged.
Gareth Aird is economist at Commonwealth Bank and can be contacted <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://au.linkedin.com/pub/gareth-aird/14/790/905">here</a>.
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mick.cee-iDmgDDAmu8

RBA's neutral bias reaffirmed: Gareth Aird

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GUEST OBSERVER
As expected, the Reserve Bank Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.5 percent.
The minutes of the April Board meeting noted that “the Board judged that developments in the labour and housing market warranted careful monitoring over coming months”. It was therefore a little surprising that the Governor did not repeat that same sentiment in his statement.
Instead, the statement finished in the usual way “the Board judged that holding the stance of monetary policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time”.
Possibly explaining this approach is a more confident assessment of the labour market. This comes in response to the March employment report which showed that full-time jobs increased by 74.5k and total jobs rose by 60.9k.
This one month report seems to have calmed concerns at the Bank. For example, in April the Governor commented that “indicators of conditions in the labour market have softened recently… the unemployment rate has moved a little higher and employment growth is modest”. In this statement, he notes that “the unemployment rate is expected to decline gradually over time” and employment growth has been a little stronger.
It is unlikely that we will be able to discern an improved outlook for the labour market in the Bank’s forecasts, which will be updated for the May Statement on Monetary Policy, to be released on September 5.
That is because the unemployment rate forecast is a rather timid “5-6 percent". As we predicted in the preview of the SoMP, it now seems likely that the key growth and inflation forecasts will remain unchanged from the February SoMP.
In the Governor’s statement today, he foreshadows that “growth is expected to increase gradually over the next couple of years to a little above 3 percent”. Note that the growth forecasts for the February SoMP are 2.5-3.5 percent for 2017 and 2.75-3.75 percent for 2018 (mid-points of 3 percent and 3.25%).
Similar comments can be made about the inflation forecasts. The Statement refers to underlying inflation running at “around 1.75 percent” and gradually increasing. The forecasts for underlying inflation in the February SoMP are 1.5-2.5 percent in both 2017 and 2018 (or 2 percent mid-point).
While the Governor clearly responded to the better than expected employment report, there is no change in the assessment of the housing market despite recent reports that house price growth in April was the weakest for sixteen months. He still worries that growth in household debt is outpacing household incomes and notes that “prices have been rising briskly in some markets”. As in April, he points out that recently announced supervisory measures should help address housing risks.
Commentary on other aspects of the domestic economy remains downbeat. Indeed, whereas in April, he referred to “non-mining business investment has risen over the past year”, he now talks about non-mining investment” remaining low as a share of GDP“.
Finally, commentary on the global economy is more confident than in April. He talks about a “broad based pick up in the global economy” whilst recognising that commodity prices have recently reversed.
Conclusion
Westpac has been forecasting that the official cash rate will remain on hold throughout 2017 and 2018. With our view that growth is likely to slow in 2018 under the weight of a contraction in the residential construction cycle and falling terms of trade, the case for raising rates in that year will prove to be fragile.
BILL EVANS is chief economist of <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/">Westpac</a>. 
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