<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sunland-group">Sunland Group</a> has officially lodged plans for its first Gold Coast apartment project since the departure of the Abedian family from the company three years ago, unveiling a new high-rise proposal for a prominent Broadbeach corner site on Old Burleigh Road.

The application was submitted by an entity directed by Tom Jamieson, stepson of longtime Sunland leader Soheil Abedian, and Riaz Rezvanipour, brother-in-law of Sahba Abedian, Soheil’s son.

Sunland acquired the 1,283 sqm site on the corner of Old Burleigh Road and Armrick Avenue for $9.5 million late last year and is now seeking approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/99-101-old-burleigh-road-broadbeach-qld-4218">42-storey tower with 81 apartments</a>.

<img alt="First look: Sunland Group returns to Broadbeach with new Old Burleigh Road tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fea2946d-90ee-4cfc-babe-2a8ad5db2cb6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/pers.png?VersionId=BV0fihJw31nDIQ8ozY_h3GbS8mxDyhnm" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/contreras-earl-architecture">Contreras Earl Architecture</a>, the proposed tower at 99-101 Old Burleigh Road would deliver a predominantly larger-format apartment mix aimed at the owner-occupier market. Plans include 17 two-bedroom apartments, 55 three-bedroom apartments, and nine four-bedroom residences across 35 residential levels.

The development also incorporates three basement levels, four podium parking levels, two levels of communal recreation facilities, and rooftop plant and equipment. A total of 189 car spaces are proposed, significantly exceeding the 90 spaces required under the planning scheme.

The architecture adopts a sculpted, curvilinear form, with deep wraparound balconies and integrated landscaping intended to soften the tower’s vertical expression. The planning report states the building’s “slender footprint/form provides a complimentary yet varied built form within the local streetscape” and contributes to “a varied, yet ordered skyline.”

Contreras Earl noted in its Architectural Statement that from the early stages, the project addressed a fundamental challenge: how to accommodate the required residential yield while avoiding the conventional model of a tower sitting on a rigid, fully resolved parking podium.

“The most direct response would have been to consolidate parking into a singular, flat podium and extrude a repetitive tower above,” the statement said. “While efficient, this approach would result in a consolidated built form with limited engagement with the surrounding landscape and public realm.”

Instead, the conventional podium model was “deliberately rejected”. The architects described the base of the building as “a landscaped architectural condition where structure, planting and circulation are integrated”.

“Rather than presenting a continuous built mass, the base of the building is articulated through a series of concrete planter elements that organise the podium into a fragmented system,” the statement said. “This approach reduces the perceived bulk of the lower levels while establishing a more permeable interface with the streetscape and adjacent open space.”

<img alt="Sunland" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="923fad8d-c960-4527-8fbe-975cf1ddf88d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-25%20at%2010.32.03%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=pngwb0hYOIUpq9vDw6F2EsOiVuHF3DiX" />

&nbsp;

The site sits within the High Density Residential Zone and inside the City of Gold Coast’s unrestricted “HX” building height area, where the planning framework anticipates intensified residential development tied to the expanding light rail corridor. The planning report notes the area is undergoing “transition toward more intense development forms” given its proximity to Broadbeach, Surfers Paradise, and high-frequency public transport infrastructure.

Positioned directly opposite Broadbeach Park and within walking distance of Florida Gardens light rail station, the development would sit among a rapidly evolving stretch of Old Burleigh Road that has become one of the Gold Coast’s most active apartment development corridors.

The application joins a growing pipeline of luxury residential projects reshaping Broadbeach, including nearby developments by 5Point Projects, Polycell, and Graya.

The planning report argues the project contributes toward the Gold Coast’s long-term housing targets under the South East Queensland Regional Plan, which forecasts the need for more than 100,000 additional high-rise dwellings across the city by 2046.

<section data-scroll-anchor="false" data-testid="conversation-turn-4" data-turn="assistant" data-turn-id="request-WEB:84a2af5e-d7cf-4ddf-922a-f4d44d6c6caa-1" data-turn-id-container="request-WEB:84a2af5e-d7cf-4ddf-922a-f4d44d6c6caa-1" dir="auto">
The Abedian family departed Sunland Group in late 2023, ending a four-decade association with the company, and subsequently established the private development firm Abedian &amp; Co. The group is currently delivering <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/greenmount-residences-cnr-hill-street-and-marine-parade-coolangatta-qld-4225">Greenmount Residences</a> at Rainbow Bay and recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/18-mary-avenue-14-18-mary-avenue-broadbeach-qld-4218">18 Mary Avenue</a> in Broadbeach.
</section>

Joel Robinson

First look: Sunland Group returns to Broadbeach new apartment market with new Old Burleigh Road tower plans

The Minns Labor Government has established the new Bays West Delivery Authority to lead the development&nbsp;of the Bays West Precinct and Blackwattle Bay Precinct.&nbsp;

The Authority is charged with creating Sydney’s newest precinct, a thriving, connected, sustainable hub with White Bay Power Station as its cultural heart. Its vision is to build on the area’s natural, cultural and industrial history to shape a vibrant new neighbourhood.

The precinct will deliver up to 8,500 well-located homes, including a minimum of 10 per cent affordable and essential worker homes. Combine new housing with public open space, opening public access to the waterfront for the first time in more than 100 years, while retaining important deep-water facilities to support Sydney’s working harbour.

Located just minutes from the Sydney CBD and connected to a world-class metro, ferry, walking and cycling links, the Bays West precinct will rebalance housing growth towards well-serviced inner-city locations and help tackle the state’s housing crisis.

The Bays West Delivery Authority,&nbsp;an agency of the Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure, will report to the NSW Minister for Lands and Property who already has oversight of major precinct renewal projects including at Blackwattle Bay and Barangaroo.

As part of the broader Bays West transformation, the Minns Government recently announced that a proposal from Lendlease to redevelop part of the Bays West Precinct has progressed to Stage 2 of the NSW Government’s unsolicited proposals process.

<img alt="Sydney" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2ed71eb9-d8e8-4fa7-b9d1-de4531dcf2f3" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-25%20at%209.42.31%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=IDryFIbped9SNDg72LEN_EecvhUsOPvp" />

The Minns Labor Government has also confirmed the Bays West precinct will have a new suburb name. This will be the first major suburb built in close proximity to Sydney’s CBD in decades and will encompass the area currently being referred to as Bays West, including Glebe Island and the White Bay Power Station. Served by a new Metro station just five minutes from the CBD, it will become one of the most populous suburbs in the Inner West and one of Sydney’s premier cultural destinations.

An early works program is taking shape, which&nbsp;includes the first stages of an international design competition.&nbsp;

The aim of the Bays West&nbsp;International&nbsp;Design Competition is to&nbsp;ensure design excellence is embedded in the project from the start. The competition will deliver an&nbsp;urban framework that defines the character, ambition and long-term identity of&nbsp;this&nbsp;former industrial precinct as it transitions to a vibrant, inclusive and sustainable residential&nbsp;neighbourhood.

The competition will be led by the Bays West Delivery Authority in partnership with Government Architect NSW.&nbsp;

It will launch with an invitation for a global Expressions of Interest, before moving to an invitation-only stage that will be assessed by a panel that&nbsp;will provide advice to Cabinet who will select a winner.

Premier of NSW, Chris Minns said the establishment of the new Authority is the first step in transforming the Bays West precinct into a vibrant, livable suburb minutes from the Sydney CBD and two stops from Hunter St Station on the Metro West line.

“The Authority will deliver well-located homes close to the heart of the city and integrate the new precinct with Blackwattle Bay and the new Sydney Fish Market.

“This is a generational opportunity to build a new suburb on the city’s edge and open the harbour foreshore to the public for the first time in a century.”&nbsp;

Minister for Lands and Property Steve Kamper said the new Bays West Delivery Authority established by the Minns Government will turbocharge the development of Sydney’s newest suburb.

“The Authority is working at a record pace to deliver an international design competition, planning pathways and a financial model so that this development benefits Sydney with well-designed homes in a central location, close to public transport, jobs, entertainment and essential services.

“If we want Sydney to stay liveable and affordable, we need to be bold about using underutilised government-owned land to deliver homes for the future while making sure essential working harbour functions can be accommodated.”

Bays West Delivery Authority established to "turbocharge" Sydney’s newest suburb

Around 400 additional homes could be built at Southwark Grounds on Port Road, lifting total site capacity from 1300 to around 1700 dwellings.

A recently approved code amendment would allow apartment towers of up to 14 storeys in some areas of Renewal SA’s redevelopment of the former West End Brewery.

Renewal SA Acting Chief Executive Shane Wingard said he welcomed the code amendment, with the increase in heights and homes making a positive impact on the supply of high-quality, well-connected housing close to the city.

“By going higher across some parts of Southwark Grounds, we are adding a substantial number of very well-located homes with little impact on project delivery time or planned open space,” Mr Wingard said.

Since the project officially launched in 2025, Mr Wingard said more than 12,000 enquiries had been received about living at Southwark Grounds.

“The very strong early interest we’ve seen since homes were first released in the precinct reinforces our plans to create more housing opportunities,” he said.

The Southwark Grounds code amendment was launched in December last year, with community engagement undertaken over five weeks from January.

It proposed increasing maximum building heights from eight to 14 storeys on the eastern section of Southwark Grounds, and to 12 storeys across the remainder of the site, with minimum building heights ranging from two to four storeys.

The code amendment was implemented through an Early Commencement policy in late January, allowing developers to quickly explore the viability of increased height and housing yield while other planning processes continue.

One of the first developers delivering apartment sites have already finalised redesigns to increase the number of apartments following the code amendment.

Samaras’ development adjacent to the future Colonel Light Park is now planning to deliver 125 apartments across 11 storeys, significantly greater than original plans of around 50 apartments across four storeys.

The developer is also exploring the potential for additional affordable housing outcomes.

Most of the apartments at Southwark Grounds will be delivered within a master-planned precinct on a large parcel of land on the eastern portion of the site, covering around two-thirds of its 8.4 hectares.

Wingard said detailed precinct planning over the coming months may identify further opportunities to increase yield further that could see total apartment numbers at Southwark Grounds, exceed this number.

Affordable homes at Southwark Grounds will also see a net increase, with Renewal SA maintaining its commitment to a minimum of 20 per cent affordable housing across the development.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Civil works have begun across the site, with construction under way on the first new roads surrounding a townhouse precinct in the south‑west corner of Southwark Grounds. This includes Renewal SA’s 17 Founder’s Row homes, which are on track for completion by Christmas.

“We expect to have people living at Southwark Grounds by the end of the year, so delivering roads and public spaces for those residents is among our highest priorities.”

Construction of 40 townhouses off Anderson Street, known as West Village and being delivered by Contour, is forecast to begin in mid‑2026. Kolabb’s Anderson Lane development will follow shortly after, delivering a further 26 townhouses.

Southwark Grounds is a state government‑led urban renewal project now set to deliver around 1,700 homes over the next decade.

Homes will be supported by a supermarket, a range of retail and hospitality offerings anchored by a revitalised Walkerville Brew Tower, a childcare centre, car parking and well‑connected public spaces.

400 new homes planned for Adelaide's former West End Brewery site

Brisbane developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/cavcorp">Cavcorp</a> has lodged plans for a new mixed-use residential development at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/55-wyandra-street-teneriffe-qld-4005">55 Wyandra Street</a>, Teneriffe, anchored by an 85-metre public laneway designed to reconnect the suburb’s riverfront with the Gasworks precinct.

The buildings, known as Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane, would replace the existing Queensland Cotton head office site with a 15-storey residential tower transitioning to eight storeys toward Helen Street. The project has been designed by Plazibat Architects and lodged as a code assessable development application for 93 apartments across a 3,401 sqm mixed-use site within the Newstead and Teneriffe Waterfront neighbourhood plan.

Central to the scheme is the transformation of an existing service easement into a publicly accessible cross-block connection linking Wyandra and Helen Streets. Cavcorp says the new laneway will act as both a pedestrian shortcut and a landscaped civic space between the Teneriffe Riverwalk, ferry terminal, and Gasworks precinct.

<img alt="First Look: Cavcorp unveils Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane plans for landmark wellness tower in Teneriffe" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="26e7f058-b065-4de8-b13d-a2b8cb64dfcc" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/bldg.png?VersionId=sELS0ZKYi361oYipUa1BIKfe_.DLZoFV" />

“The revised proposal delivers a legacy public-realm cross-block link, permanently secured for community use, transforming an existing private easement into a safe, high-quality pedestrian connection between the Teneriffe heritage riverwalk and the Gasworks–Long Island precinct,” the planning report states.

The laneway will sit beneath a large subtropical loggia integrated into the podium levels of the development. The design incorporates deep landscaping, water gardens, lobby spaces, business lounges, and ground-floor apartments to create what Cavcorp describes as a climate-responsive “urban verandah.”

The tower itself has been designed as a slender form with recessed floorplates and curved translucent corners inspired by contemporary Japanese architecture. The building height aligns with the Commercial Road precinct controls, which permit towers up to 15 storeys within proximity to Longland Street.

<img alt="First Look: Cavcorp unveils Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane plans for landmark wellness tower in Teneriffe" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a8a17d40-43b6-4718-b3fd-67676fcbb485" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/pers%202_1.png?VersionId=i3VwDtp5AmL_8InW7w4qRbDFEpb744Jt" />

The project will comprise a mix of larger-format apartments aimed at owner-occupiers, downsizers, and families. The proposed apartment mix includes 11 loggia apartments across the lower levels, 50 four-bedroom Sky-Terrace apartments from levels three to seven, and 32 Sky-Pool Homes occupying the upper tower levels. The Sky-Pool Homes will feature private thermal plunge pools integrated into oversized balconies.

According to the application, the apartments are intended to reinterpret the scale and character of Teneriffe’s woolstore conversions and Queensland homes within a vertical residential format.

“The sky-pool homes build on Cavcorp’s previous projects and introduce a distinct apartment typology to Teneriffe, informed by both local and international precedent and responding to an identified market demand for enhanced safety, space and amenity,” the planning submission notes.

A major focus of the proposal is its five-level wellness and lifestyle offering, extending from the basement through to the rooftop.

Amenities proposed include a rooftop Swim &amp; Racquet Club with a 25-metre Olympic lap pool and tennis court, coworking spaces and libraries, golf simulators, wine storage, concierge facilities, business lounges, pet wash areas, and rooftop longevity-focused wellness spaces with spas, outdoor fitness zones, and landscaped terraces.

<img alt="First Look: Cavcorp unveils Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane plans for landmark wellness tower in Teneriffe" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="944b352c-49b9-4247-a4c6-5967b4b69fda" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/amenity.png?VersionId=Ed_qKjAtMwFT.5gfl3jiA9QwdWxSMsaX" />

All parking will be concealed within basement levels accessed from Wyandra and Helen Streets. Cavcorp says the deep-basement engineering approach allows the entire ground plane to prioritise landscaping, pedestrian movement, and active frontage rather than vehicle infrastructure.

The development continues Cavcorp’s concentration in Newstead and Teneriffe, where the Brisbane developer has delivered a number of apartment projects including Lucent, Le Bain, and Luminare, as well as the Long Island Wellness Precinct nearby. Several of those projects have received national design and architecture awards, including recognition under Brisbane’s “Buildings that Breathe” program.

Cavcorp unveils wellness-focused Teneriffe House and Teneriffe Lane apartment buildings

Focus Group Investments has lodged plans for a new apartment development at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/64-70-hanover-street-fitzroy-vic-3065">64–70 Hanover Street</a> in Fitzroy, seeking to utilise the Victorian Government’s recently introduced Great Design Fast Track pathway to accelerate approvals for the project.

The proposal is among the latest developments to emerge through the state-led initiative, which was established to fast-track well-designed residential projects in activity centres and transport-connected inner-city locations. The pathway allows qualifying developments that meet elevated design and housing benchmarks to bypass traditional council planning timeframes and instead be assessed directly by the Department of Transport and Planning.

Designed by SJB, the development will comprise a mix of apartments above activated lower levels, with a strong focus on architectural articulation, landscaping, and communal amenity. The design response seeks to balance the industrial character of Richmond’s former warehouse precincts with a more contemporary residential form.

<img alt="First look: Focus Group Investments taps Victoria’s Great Design Fast Track for Richmond apartments" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="abea51cc-d85b-479e-9aef-a589f3b37ca7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/ground.png?VersionId=e1Kf8EyPWwyiVumtqQ4rM5S4GpOR3CCz" />

Proposed are 63 new dwellings, a wide ranging mix of studio, one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments, and townhouses and duplexes. They will be spread across a part-three, part-eight storey building.

The Planning and Urban Context Report by Tract says the development is of an "exemplary architectural standard" and has been carefully crafted by SJB Architects.

"Dwellings&nbsp;will benefit from excellent access to natural light, cross-ventilation opportunities and extensive communal space," the report noted.

The architectural material highlights the project’s integration of landscaped elements and communal spaces throughout the building. The proposal also incorporates sustainability initiatives aligned with the Victorian Government’s push for higher-performing apartment developments under the fast-track program.

The Great Design Fast Track was unveiled by the Victorian Government in 2024 as part of a broader housing supply strategy aimed at accelerating the delivery of new homes. Projects assessed through the pathway must demonstrate high-quality architecture, sustainability outcomes, and housing diversity while being located close to public transport and existing infrastructure.

<img alt="First look: Focus Group Investments taps Victoria’s Great Design Fast Track for Richmond apartments" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="afdbe834-8dc4-4a77-a943-ba07bc927348" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/site_11.png?VersionId=0J657j.TaChAZfp93wqJYBTqSsnREJx2" />

Focus Group, founder and led by Paul De Lutiis, is increasingly active across Melbourne’s inner suburbs, targeting well-connected urban renewal locations suited to medium and higher-density residential development. The Fitzroy proposal continues that strategy, leveraging the area’s strong transport links, established retail amenity, and proximity to the CBD.

Fitzroy has been one of the most popular spots for developers and buyers in recent years. The likes of PACE Development Group, SMA Projects, Crema Group and Chapter Group, currently selling projects in the suburb.

First look: Focus Group Investments taps Victoria’s Great Design Fast Track for Fitzroy apartments

National Australia Bank (NAB) has brought forward the timing of the first RBA cash rate cut by three months.

NAB is now expecting a cut in February, in line with ANZ and Westpac, having initially thought a cut wouldn't come until May.

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB changed its call following the August monthly inflation figures that were released at the end of September, showing it had dropped to 2.7 per cent.

"The risk has been skewed to a first cut earlier in 2025, and today’s change acknowledges the balance of risks has likely shifted sufficiently for the RBA to feel comfortable cutting a little sooner than we earlier expected," NAB noted in its latest update.

They added that the cadence of the cuts may be faster than its central profile.

"Domestic inflation pressures are cooling, but only gradually, and we continue to expect the conditions for a cut will not be in place this year.

NAB believes the easing cycle will end at 3.1 per cent by early 2026, which is five cuts from the current 4.35 per cent cash rate.&nbsp;

CBA also thinks 3.1 per cent will mark the end of the cutting cycle, while Westpac is forecasting 3.35 per cent, and ANZ is the most pessimistic at 3.6 per cent, which would be just three interest rate cuts.

<h2>What would a rate cut in February look like for borrowers?</h2>

According to&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vK2ujS77CHs9VRvSSXzLC" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG" target="_blank">Canstar</a>, if there is a cut in February, a borrower with a $600,000 loan today and 25 years remaining would see their monthly repayments drop by $92.&nbsp;

<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Impact of 0.25% pt cut in February 2025
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Current loan size
			</td>
			<td>
			Drop in monthly repayment
			</td>
			<td>
			New monthly repayment
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$600,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$92
			</td>
			<td>
			$3,907
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$750,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$114
			</td>
			<td>
			$4,884
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$1M
			</td>
			<td>
			-$153
			</td>
			<td>
			$6,512
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Source:&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2qVnp6oqATgqDUi2Frm22q" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL" target="_blank">www.canstar.com.au</a>. Starting rate is the RBA existing average owner-occupier variable rate of 6.36%. Assumes banks pass the cash rate cut on in full the month after the meeting.
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Canstar Data Insights Director, Sally Tindall, says if core inflation continues to track in the right direction, or unemployment starts to accelerate significantly, we could well see a cash rate cut as early as February of next year.

“All four big banks now believe the RBA will be ready to cut the cash rate in just over four months’ time, if not before, in the case of CBA.

“However, the outlook for both inflation and unemployment is still highly uncertain. A couple of wobbly sets of inflation data could see the RBA holding for longer, particularly if unemployment remains relatively steady."

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Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

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The online mortgage marketplace, HashChing has partnered with global information solutions company, Equifax, that will provide its brokers with efficient, secure digital access to their clients’ complete 90-day transaction history.
The new service will automatically arrange any income and expense items within into 91 individual categories and flag risk factors, before they start filing for a loan. 
It will enable a more accurate understanding of an applicant’s financial position, allowing brokers to recommend the best loan products for individual borrowers.
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The HashChing chief Mandeep Sodhi, said he anticipated brokers will" feel better supported and have the tools needed to deliver an improved customer experience."
Specifically, they will be able to turn loan proposals around faster, make better and more accurate loan product decisions, identify and avoid fraud, and help borrowers capture all relevant income and expenses.
“This will assist in protecting households from unnecessary mortgage stress by helping ensure they aren’t taking on loans that they can’t repay.”
HashChing anticipates automating the collation of bank statements and categorisation of income and expenditure receipts will save its brokers an average of 45 minutes especially when there are multiple bank accounts and multiple applicants.
The new approach uses state of the art MOGO technology, enabling the automatic collection and categorisation of income and expense receipts in an instant.
HahChing's Sohi had suggested it "had been near impossible to ensure a borrower is complying with regulations by disclosing all income and expenses."
The move follows the current Royal Commission into Australia’s major banks that found that often brokers failed to accurately verify a borrower’s income.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Accurate credit checks become crucial following Royal Commission: HashChing

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
As widely expected, the June RBA Board meeting saw it leave interest rates on hold for a record 20 meetings or 22 months. 
Yet again the RBA made little substantive changes to its post meeting Statement. While it saw recent Australian data as being consistent with its forecasts for growth to pick up to a bit above 3% there was no sense of urgency to move interest rates in response to this and while recent data does point to an acceleration in March quarter GDP growth (to be published tomorrow) there have been numerous growth spikes in Australia to around 1% quarter on quarter in recent years only to be followed by a cooling again and the RBA is not doubt aware of this tendency for the economy to run hot and cold.
On the housing market the RBA does not appear to be too fussed by the further fall in Sydney and Melbourne property prices or the further tightening in lending standards now underway. Its doubtful though that the further tightening in lending standards will be offset by a continuing decline in “the average mortgage interest rate on outstanding loans” as the RBA seems to be implying, as the latter is simply occurring as new borrowers have lower rates than borrowers from say five years ago whereas the tightening in lending standards around income and expenses will act to slow the number of new borrowers who can get into the housing market.
Overall, there was nothing in the RBA’s latest Statement to suggest an imminent change in monetary policy.
While the global backdrop (assuming no upset from trade wars, Trump or Italy), business conditions, non-mining investment and infrastructure activity are positive and will support growth, uncertainty remains around the outlook for consumer spending, household debt is high, banks are tightening lending standards, wage growth and inflation remain low and will pick only gradually and house prices are falling.
As a result, we remain of the view that the RBA is likely to remain on hold for a long time yet and we don’t see a rate hike until 2020 at the earliest. And given the weakness in home prices and the negative wealth effect that will flow from that its premature to rule out the next move in official rates being a cut.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author">SHANE OLIVER</a> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.
 
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soliver-smf6LQXgW9

RBA likely to remain on hold out to 2020: Shane Oliver

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People power is the only way to send the big banks a message, says RateCity spokesperson Sally Tindall.
New research has revealed the average home loan customer could save $82,000 by switching from a big four bank, to a low rate online lender.
The comparison site RateCity is urging home loan customers unhappy with the behaviour of our major banks to shop around. 
New calculations show a family with a $350,000 loan looking for a fully-featured mortgage, could save up to $82,118 over the life of their loan, by going with the lowest comparable online lender, instead of a major bank.
RateCity spokesperson Sally Tindall said the only way to give the majors a wake-up call is to vote with your feet. 
“The big four banks have an incredible 75 per cent share of the home loan market.
"If you’re fed up with what’s coming out of the Royal Commission, now could be the time to switch.
“Online lenders are increasingly putting fully-featured loan products on the table – at significantly lower rates,” she said.
For example, the big four advertise fully-featured loans for about 4.5 percent, along with a hefty package fee of $395 a year, while some of the smaller lenders are offering fully-flexible loans for as little as 3.49 per cent, complete with a 100 per cent offset account and no ongoing fees.
Low rate online lenders with offset accounts
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/6/6/Low%20rate%20lenders.png" alt="">
 
Roughly 30% of lenders in the RateCity database are online.
Australia’s fifth largest home loan lender is online only (ING).
While nine of the 10 lowest rate lenders in the RateCity database are online lenders.
To find the best home loan for you it is recommended that you use a comparison site such as RateCity.com.au to research online lenders which including ratings for each product, find out what services each provider offers to field customer enquiries, test out their call centre and online chat service as well as reading online reviews, in particular social media feedback and it is of vital importance that they have a comprehensive website, check carefully for hidden fee's or charges as these are big red flags.
Mozo suggest some 7 in 10 home borrowers who have haggled their lender for a better home loan interest rate have received one.
According to research from Mozo.com.au, the comparison site consumers are far more comfortable haggling at the shops on a new fridge or television rather than their home loan, despite seven times the potential savings from home loan haggling, Mozo research has found.  
Mozo research indicates there is little reward for being a loyal mortgage customer unless you are actively pushing for a better deal on a regular basis.  
With 44% of mortgage holders currently on a home loan rate above 4.00%, there is plenty of room to haggle. More than half of the lenders in the Mozo database are now offering a rate under 3.70%. 
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Home loan customers can save $82,000 by switching from a big four bank

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At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent.
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The global economy has strengthened over the past year. A number of advanced economies are growing at an above-trend rate and unemployment rates are low. The Chinese economy continues to grow solidly, with the authorities paying increased attention to the risks in the financial sector and the sustainability of growth. Globally, inflation remains low, although it has increased in some economies and further increases are expected given the tight labour markets. As conditions have improved in the global economy, a number of central banks have withdrawn some monetary stimulus and further steps in this direction are expected.
Financial markets have been affected by political developments in the eurozone, particularly in Italy. There are also concerns about the direction of international trade policy in the United States and economic developments in a few emerging market economies. Long-term bond yields in most major economies have declined recently and there has been some widening of corporate credit spreads. Overall, though, financial conditions remain expansionary. Conditions in US dollar short-term money markets have eased recently, although they are tighter than earlier in the year, with US dollar short-term interest rates having increased for reasons other than the increase in the federal funds rate. The higher rates in the United States have flowed through to higher short-term interest rates in a few other countries, including Australia.
The price of oil has increased over recent months, as have the prices of some base metals. Australia's terms of trade are expected to decline over the next few years, but remain at a relatively high level.
The recent data on the Australian economy have been consistent with the Bank's central forecast for GDP growth to pick up, to average a bit above 3 per cent in 2018 and 2019. Business conditions are positive and non-mining business investment is increasing. Higher levels of public infrastructure investment are also supporting the economy. Stronger growth in exports is expected. One continuing source of uncertainty is the outlook for household consumption. Household income has been growing slowly and debt levels are high.
Employment has grown strongly over the past year, although growth has slowed over recent months. The strong growth in employment has been accompanied by a significant rise in labour force participation, particularly by women and older Australians. The unemployment rate has been little changed at around 5½ per cent for much of the past year. The various forward-looking indicators continue to point to solid growth in employment in the period ahead, with a gradual reduction in the unemployment rate expected. Wages growth remains low. This is likely to continue for a while yet, although the stronger economy should see some lift in wages growth over time. Consistent with this, the rate of wages growth appears to have troughed and there are reports that some employers are finding it more difficult to hire workers with the necessary skills.
Inflation is low and is likely to remain so for some time, reflecting low growth in labour costs and strong competition in retailing. A gradual pick-up in inflation is, however, expected as the economy strengthens. The central forecast is for CPI inflation to be a bit above 2 per cent in 2018.
The Australian dollar remains within the range that it has been in over the past two years. An appreciating exchange rate would be expected to result in a slower pick-up in economic activity and inflation than currently forecast.
The housing markets in Sydney and Melbourne have slowed. Nationwide measures of housing prices are little changed over the past six months, with prices having recorded falls in some areas. Housing credit growth has slowed over the past year, especially to investors. APRA's supervisory measures and tighter credit standards have been helpful in containing the build-up of risk in household balance sheets, although the level of household debt remains high. While there may be some further tightening of lending standards, the average mortgage interest rate on outstanding loans is continuing to decline.
The low level of interest rates is continuing to support the Australian economy. Further progress in reducing unemployment and having inflation return to target is expected, although this progress is likely to be gradual. Taking account of the available information, the Board judged that holding the stance of monetary policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time.
Click here for the <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2018/mr-18-14" target="_blank">original article.</a>
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Household debts still remain high, further tightening expected: RBA Governor's June 2018 meeting statement

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The fifth meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia for 2018 saw no change in the official cash rate.
The central bank's last move saw it go to 1.5 percent at the August 2016 meeting, so rates have been held steady for 20 meetings.
It was 21 meetings ago that they last came down. 
Almost every economist predicted another hold.
CoreLogic's head of research Tim Lawless said the weakness in the Australian economy meant the rate hold came at no surprise.
"The rate hold is of little surprise given some of the underlying weaknesses still prevalent in the Australian economy; a 0.4% decline in the Australian housing market in the year to May, weak wages growth (2.1%), high underemployment (8.3%) and core inflation at the lower bound of the RBA target range (2.0%)," Lawless said.
"Financial markets are not fully pricing in a rate hike until October 2019. That is despite the latest RBA forecasts suggesting headline inflation will reach 2.25% by the end of this year and unemployment will fall to 5.25%.  From a housing market perspective, a stable rate environment is positive. However, there is risk that mortgage rates could rise, regardless of the steady cash rate, due to higher funding costs being faced by lenders overseas. 
'"At the end of May, standard variable mortgage rates for owner occupiers remained at their lowest level since 1965, averaging 5.2% and the average discounted rate is tracking even lower at 4.5%. The average three year fixed rate is lower yet again at 4.15%.  Even if mortgage rates do rise, they are still well below the twenty year average of 6.8%.  
"Despite mortgage rates being low, activity in the housing market has slowed since 2015. CoreLogic’s latest estimates indicate the number of settled residential property sales is down 7.7% year on year and transaction numbers are 15.1% lower relative to the recent 2015 peak.  Although interest rates are set to remain on hold for the time being, the availability of housing credit has tightened substantially, which is the primary driver of slower housing market activity and falling home values. 
"The latest figures on housing credit show the monthly rate of growth, at 0.43% is the lowest since June 2013, dragged down mostly by less lending for investment purposes.  Credit policies are likely to remain tight, if not even tighter, with APRA advising lenders to focus more on reducing their exposure to high debt to income loans.
"As a result, we expect housing market conditions to continue their slow decline, at least from a macro perspective.  Since peaking in November last year, national dwelling values are down 1.1%. There are exceptions to this national picture, with dwelling values in Brisbane, Adelaide and Hobart at record highs.
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RBA keeps rates on hold for record 20th consecutive meeting

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Over 40 percent of Finder.com.au experts and economists forecasted a five to six percent price fall in Sydney by the end of 2018
Some of the panellists of the June RBA cash rate survey suggested there could be even bigger falls in the harbour city. 
14 percent predicted falls over six percent.
Only seven percent forecasted rising property prices in Sydney.
23 percent of panellists suggested there will be falls of over six percent in Brisbane over the year.
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Melbourne was forecast for a less extreme price drop with 50% of experts and economists expecting values to dip between ​3% and 4%​. 
Finder.com.au insights manager Graham Cooke says homebuyers may want to consider purchasing in a cooled market. 
“For those mulling over buying their first property, this year could be a good time to snap up a bargain if prices do take a tumble. 
“With some heat removed from the market, cheaper dwelling prices could be a first home buyer’s ticket into the property market. 
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“A cheaper price tag means they’ll have a smaller deposit, meaning they can jump onto the property ladder sooner,” he says. 
The analysis shows Brisbane, Perth and Darwin housing prices are also tipped to fall this year, with no experts or economists indicating a rise in Darwin. 
Brisbane housing price are most likely to plummet with 23% of respondents forecasting a fall of over 6%, which is the greatest predicted fall among the capital cities. 
“This is also good news for those looking to buy in Brisbane, but things won’t be as peachy for sellers in the Sunshine State,” Mr Cooke says. 
On the other hand, Adelaide and Hobart were identified as growth markets among the panel with 55% of respondents estimating 1-2% growth in Adelaide, while a combined 72% are forecasting Hobart prices to lift by 1-2% or 3-4%. 
“The quieter cities of Adelaide and Hobart could be hot spots for investors wanting to unlock capital growth, or for homebuyers looking to put their property on the market,” he says.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/6/6/finder1.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/6/6/finder1.jpg" alt="">
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Here’s what the Finder.com.au experts had to say: 
Jordan Eliseo, ABC Bullion: ​"The RBA will keep rates steady at their upcoming meeting, though we remain convinced the next move will be an interest rate cut. Local economic data remains soft at best, whilst fears over house price declines, and a more subdued environment for private sector credit growth continue to build, fuelled by some of the more troubling revelations from the Banking Royal Commission. The positive narrative around accelerating global growth is also starting to fade, with political uncertainty in Italy (and by extension Europe) unlikely to help." 
Tim Nelson, AGL Energy:​ "Previous meeting indicated that there wasn't a strong case for near-term adjustment." 
Shane Oliver, AMP Capital: ​"Basically nothing has changed. Signs of stronger investment, booming infrastructure spending, strong export volumes and the RBA’s own forecasts argue against a cut but uncertainty around consumer spending, the slowing Sydney and Melbourne property markets, tightening bank lending standards and the slowing Sydney and Melbourne property markets argue against a hike. So no case to move!" 
Alison Booth, ANU: ​"Fundamentals haven’t yet changed sufficiently to warrant altering the interest-rate." 
John Hewson, ANU: ​"No clear evidence to support a tightening especially given household debt." 
Jonathan Chancellor, Property Observer:​ "The RBA won't be wanting to use its lever quite yet, as the economy is in a challenging state of transition. " 
Malcolm Wood, Baillieu Holst:​ "Sluggish domestic economic data and inflation at the low end of the target range." 
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Paul Dales, Capital Economics:​ "Economic conditions are not strong enough to warrant higher rates and the RBA is becoming concerned that the Banking Royal Commission will result in some households and businesses finding it harder to get credit. The RBA won't want to raise the price of credit at the same time." 
Saul Eslake, Corinna Economic Advisory: ​"Data releases since the last Board meeting are unlikely to have changed the Board's belief that it will be some time before spare capacity in the labour market has declined sufficiently, and economic growth picked up sufficiently, to warrant taking the first step back towards more 'normal' monetary policy settings." 
Peter Gilmore, Gateway Bank Ltd: ​"Some of the fundamentals are beginning to show signs of lining up, but it's still too soon to move." 
Mark Brimble, Griffith Uni: ​"Nothing has sufficiently changed." Peter Haller, Heritage Bank:​ "Market conditions do not warrant a change. The RBA is 
comfortably on hold for the foreseeable future." 
Shane Garrett, Housing Industry Association: ​"The economy is gathering pace in some areas without generating an increase in inflation - this means that no change in the RBA's cash rate is warranted for the moment." 
Alex Joiner, IFM Investors: ​"There's been no shift in the economic outlook - this is particularly true in the labour market where spare capacity remains and therefore no meaningful acceleration of wages growth should be expected. In this way population growth remaining strong is a double-edged sword for the RBA in so far as it supports economic growth but keeps the unemployment rate from declining. Indeed the RBA does not expect full employment to be achieved over its forecast horizon." 
Michael Witts, ING:​ "The RBA has indicated that rates will remain on hold for an extended period." 
Leanne Pilkington, Laing+Simmons:​ "The housing market, from a number of key indicator perspectives, has peaked. Prices in select pockets are easing, clearance rates have dropped, and residential building approvals for April showed a 5% decline, which is more pronounced than most expected. So we’re seeing the market correct at the moment, but in a sustainable, soft-landing way. Raising interest rates prematurely could jeopardise this soft landing, so we expect the RBA to continue the hold pattern." 
Mathew Tiller, LJ Hooker:​ "There has been no material change in indicators since last month. Property price growth continues to moderate which will be welcome by the RBA. Investor demand has eased with owner occupiers and first home buyers coming back into the market to fill the gap." 
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Stephen Koukoulas, Market Economics:​ "It remains the case that the RBA is downplaying the news of falling house prices, rising unemployment rate, weak wages and inflation. It should cut rates but it won't." 
John Caelli, ME: ​"The RBA will want to see inflation and wages improve and lower unemployment before making any changes." 
Michael Yardney, Metropole: ​"There's no reason to change rates. Jobs growth rebounded strongly last month but not enough to stop the jobless rate rising to a 9 month high of 5.6% keeping wages pressure low and rates won't rise until wages start growing." 
Mark Crosby, Monash University: ​"The RBA is likely to remain on hold for the next few months unless wages growth and inflation strengthen. Moderation in asset price growth also lessens the probability of a rate rise." 
Jacqueline Dearle, Mortgage Choice: ​"The RBA's decision to hold would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy, home loan demand remaining stable, and achieving the inflation target over time." 
Dr Andrew Wilson, My Housing Market: ​"Most recent relevant economic data continues to support steady rates and the Banks conservative stance on monetary policy. Rising spectre of a tariff enhanced-trade war however may require action to lower the AUD which would mean lower official rates.” 
Alan Oster, NAB: ​"Watching for signs of better wages and labour market outcomes. Inflation still low." 
Matthew Peter, QIC:​ "The rosy global economic backdrop is coming under pressure. Slowing growth momentum, Italian political chaos, uncertainty over Korea, and emerging-market instability in the face of rising interest rates and USD are eroding confidence in the global economy. Domestically, we have the Banking Royal Commission casting a shadow over credit growth. In the face of rising uncertainties, RBA will have not have to think twice before remaining on hold." 
Noel Whittaker, QUT: ​"There is no compelling reason to increase them – and they certainly won't be reducing them." 
Nerida Conisbee, REA Group:​ "The economy still isn't growing fast enough for the RBA to start moving rates upwards to slow it down." 
Christine Williams, Smarter Property Investing: ​"Employment has stabilized. APRA's recommendations have been accepted and rolled out to all major funders." 
Janu Chan, St.George Bank:​ "Low inflation, ongoing spare capacity, downside risks to housing and the household sector suggests RBA will remain on hold for some time.” 
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Clement Tisdell, UQ-School of Economics:​ "The statements of the bank." 
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House prices to tumble in 2018, but two cities may buck the trend: Finder

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Digital Finance Analysts' Martin North has noted credit is harder to get. 
The surveys conduction by DFA show that up to 40 percent of applications for mortgages are now being turned down, compared with just five percent a year ago, as lenders apply more forensic analysis of applications received.
This was triggering weaker conditions in Sydney and Melbourne.
He noted CBA is now looking at applications with a loan to income of 4.5 times and above.
"I am getting more reports of households who are finding their available borrowing power is as much as 35 percent down on a year ago."
So North suggests unlike the small correction which occurred to the CoreLogic Index in 2015, as credit was harder to get briefly, and which reverted a few months later, it would be "different this time."
He referred to the enhanced focus on mortgage lending serviceability means that a consideration of the loan to income ratio or LTI is ever more important.
In the UK, where LTI calculations are the norm, the Bank of England first introduced limits on high LTI mortgages in 2014.
These measures meant that no more than 15 per cent of mortgages issued should exceed a loan-to-income ratio of 4.5. 
The UK’s 4.5 LTI cap on 85 per cent of new lending is still in place. In June last year, Bank of England governor Mark Carney announced that the 4.5 ratio “insurance measures” will become “structural features of the UK housing market.
"It should be of no surprise to note that the Commonwealth Bank of Australia has announced that it has brought in its new debt-to-income measurement for borrowers," North blogged.
CBA, who is the largest owner occupied mortgage lender in Australia has disclosed that it will now “monitor” loan applications with a debt-to-income ratio higher than 4.5 and will also bring in a new e-learning requirement for brokers that have not settled a CBA loan for more than a year.
Applications with a DTI higher than 7 will be subject to a manual credit approval check.
North estimates across the country around 7.9% of all loans have a current loan to income ratio of 6 times or more.
"But the prize goes to New South Wales with a massive 15.8% of households currently holding loans with a loan to income ratio of 6 or more. This is of course explained by the high prices, big mortgages, and lose lending standards," he says.
 It is 7.1% of households in Victoria holding a loan to income ratio of 6 times or higher.
A recent borrowing sample was done by commentator Lindsay David at LF Economics on the Aussie Home Loan lending calculator site that showed how much the money on offer had dropped over recent years.
David's first image (below), is the figures of lending at an interest rate of 4.94 percent with a salary of $100,000 two years ago.
Aussie's online calculator advised it would be willing to lend up to nearly $825,000 two years ago.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/5/10/aussie2016.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
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Fast forward two years and the mortgage lending giant are willing to offer over $200,000 less to the same borrower type.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/5/10/AUSSIE-2018.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
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North looked at the RBA released their credit aggregates to April 2018. 
He noted total mortgage lending rose $7.2 billion to $1.76 trillion, another record.
 Within that, owner occupied loans rose $6.4 billion up 0.55%, and investment loans rose just 0.14% up $800 million. 
 Personal credit fell 0.3%, down $500 million and business lending rose $6.3 billion, up 0.69%. 
The annualised stats show owner occupied lending is still running at 8%, while business lending is around 4% annualised, investment lending down to 2.3% and personal credit down 0.3%.  On this basis, household debt is still rising. 
But the Bank lending data from APRA showed that tighter lending standards are biting.  
"In fact, Westpac apart, all the majors reduced their investor property lending in April," North noted.
 Owner occupied loans grew by 0.29% or $3.1 billion to $1.07 trillion while investment loans fell slightly, down 0.01% or $42 million.  
As a result, the relative share of investment loans fell to 34.14%.
 
 
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

40 percent of loan applications are being turned down as credit squeeze hits would be-borrowers

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ANZ has dropped the fixed interest rates on selected residential investment home loans as mortgage brokers sense more rate cuts for investors are expected over coming weeks. Other lenders are likely to move by cutting investment rates following APRA's recent removal of lending caps.
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<div>The rate cut included principal and interest and interest only.</div>
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Ratecity reported two-year fixed rates on ANZ principal &amp; interest residential investment loans dropped 0.11 basis points, aimed at encouraging investors back into the property market as lower rates make it cheaper to borrow. 
The two-year fixed rates for interest only and interest in advance residential investment loans fell by 0.26 basis points.
It puts the headline rates at 4.33 per cent and 4.13 per cent respectively.
Westpac has the highest exposure to interest-only loans.
 
 
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ANZ cuts IO loan rates by up to 0.26 basis points

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Canstar's weekly wrap of interest rates for owner occupiers puts the average standard variable rate at 4.43%.
The rates range from 3.39% to 5.73%.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/5/23/principal.jpg" target="_blank">Click here to open in new window</a>
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Interest only has an average 4.74% rate, with a range from 3.58% to just over 6%.
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Interest rates for owner occupiers average 4.43% standard variable rate

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<div class="column">EXPERT OBSERVATION</div>
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<div class="column">We have delayed the timing of when we expect the RBA to start a gradual rate hiking cycle.  
The change reflects the fact there is no sign yet of stronger wages growth and unemployment has been stuck around 5.5% for the best part of a year.
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<div class="column">While still very data dependent we now have the start of the rate hiking cycle in mid-2019.</div>
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 We still expect the economy to strengthen, leading to a declining unemployment rate. This should eventually translate into stronger wages growth and give the RBA confidence that inflation will track back to its 2.5% target. However, we acknowledge there is considerable uncertainty around the timing at which wages growth will strengthen, and the time of the RBA’s next move will remain highly data dependent.
For some time NAB has been forecasting that if the economy were to improve as expected, then the RBA would at some point feel confident enough with the economic outlook to start the process of raising the cash rate from its current low level of 11⁄2%. In particular, our view has been that economic growth will strengthen over the coming year and that, with the pace of jobs growth already solid, this would lead to a declining unemployment rate and as a result upwards pressure on wages growth and inflation.
We still consider that this is the most likely trajectory for the economy and RBA policy. However, this week’s data on wages and the labour market indicate that November 2018, our previous forecast for the first rate rise, is too early and we now expect the RBA to be on hold through the rest of this year.
The unemployment rate ticked up 0.1ppt in April to 5.6%, and while the monthly data can bounce around, it adds to the evidence that progress in reducing the unemployment rate has stalled. The ABS measure of the trend unemployment rate has been at 5.5% since August last year; while jobs growth has been solid over this period, this has been offset by further increases in workforce participation. On the wages front, the Wage Price Index (WPI) for the March quarter 2018 was unchanged at 2.1% y/y, with private sector wages growth also unchanged at a slightly weaker 1.9% y/y and showing no signs of accelerating.
The RBA’s view on the outlook for the Australian economy is similar to NAB’s, in that it expects growth to strengthen, and for unemployment to decline leading to a pick-up in wages. The Bank continues to expect progress on unemployment, wages and inflation to be only gradual and has made clear that there is not a strong case for a near-term change in the cash rate. This week’s wage and unemployment data clearly will have done nothing to change this view. Quite reasonably, the RBA does not see 2% wages growth as consistent with 2.5% inflation over time and wants to see some pick-up in wages before lifting rates.
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We still believe that conditions are in place for wages growth to rise in the future. Our modelling of factors that affect wages – inflation, labour market underutilisation, productivity and the terms of trade - suggest that we would already have expected to see stronger wages growth. Clearly this has not happened and may reflect the need for the unemployment rate to get closer to its long-term ‘neutral’ rate of 5% or lower, before sufficient wage pressures emerge. This has been the experience of other countries in recent years.
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With the unemployment rate stuck around 5.5% recently, we now don’t expect the unemployment rate to get close to the 5% mark until mid-2019. That said, businesses continue to indicate – through our Quarterly Business Survey – that they are finding it increasingly difficult to find suitable labour; historically this has been associated with a decline in the unemployment rate, as well as the underutilisation rate and, ultimately, wages growth.
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As a result our forecasts for WPI growth are more conservative than the model projections but we still expect to see some acceleration in wages growth. We are projecting that by mid-2019 WPI growth will reach the 21⁄2% y/y mark. At that time, with unemployment close to its full-employment level, growth above trend and wages growth gradually accelerating, we expect the RBA would have sufficient confidence that inflation will move back towards target and so start to gradually lift the cash rate off its current very low level. 
We expect once the tightening cycle starts, further rate increases will be very gradual. We are now expecting the first move to be in mid (May) 2019, with the next move after that not until late in the year (November 2019).
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However we acknowledge that there is considerable uncertainty around the timing of the RBA’s next move. The divergence of wages growth from what is suggested by the models makes this uncertainty greater than usual. The RBA will remain heavily data dependent and will want to see sustained signs of a pick-up in wages growth before moving, even if the rest of the economy moves in line with expectations.
Alan Oster is group chief economist, National Australia Bank, and can be contacted <a href="https://business.nab.com.au/author/alan-oster/">here</a>.
 
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