New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.

It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.

With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.

The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.

Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.

"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.

"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.

Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.

That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.

"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.

"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."

Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.

"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=5374]

The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.

Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.

That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.

"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

Joel Robinson

The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.

The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.

The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.

The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.

Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.

"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.

"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."

<img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" />

Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.

Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.

Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.

"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.

"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."

Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.

Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.

Rainbow Bay apartment doubles in price since off the plan sale during pandemic

The long-planned transformation of Brisbane's historic Shafston Estate has taken another major step, with Capella Hotel Group announced as the luxury hospitality partner behind what will become Brisbane's first branded residences.

The project, to be known as Capella Residences Brisbane, is being delivered by Verso Projects at the landmark Kangaroo Point riverfront estate, with completion targeted for 2029.

The announcement follows a series of planning changes to the project over recent years. The site was originally approved in 2023 for a 15-level, 37-apartment development designed by Rothelowman for Burgundy Group before Verso Projects took over the 10,070 sqm riverfront holding and lodged revised plans with Kerry Hill Architects to increase the development to a 25-level tower with 51 apartments.

The latest announcement confirms Capella Hotel Group will bring its branded residential offering to the project, marking just the second Capella Residences development globally after Seoul, and the group's first branded residential project in Australia.

The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/23-castlebar-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Castlebar Street development</a> will centre around the restoration of the heritage-listed Shafston House, one of Brisbane's oldest residences, originally constructed in 1851 by Reverend Robert Creyke as a single-storey cottage known as Ravenscott.

<img alt="Capella" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2b9f4ce5-638f-4d6b-8082-3ca7e4b75fca" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-09%20at%207.20.41%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=f7aeqsW_DzOJI4FymWb3lD8NptSfsP7q" />

Capella said the project aligns with its focus on heritage-led developments, with the Brisbane estate combining the restored historic residence with a new luxury apartment tower and hospitality-inspired resident amenities.

Residents will have access to the Capella Living Room, a concierge-led communal space inspired by the group's luxury hotels, alongside landscaped gardens, six swimming pools, wellness and recreation facilities.

The broader estate will also include two riverfront homes, a six-berth private marina, porte cochère arrival experience, secure basement parking and a new section of public riverwalk along the Brisbane River frontage.

The heritage Postal Depot Building will also be retained and repurposed as a guest house, in line with the revised development plans.

The project represents another evolution for the site, which Kerry Hill Architects previously described as a rare opportunity to restore one of Brisbane's most significant heritage estates while creating a new benchmark for apartment living.

"The Shafston Estate provides a once-in-a-generation opportunity to restore one of Brisbane's finest heritage precincts and to reinstate residential use as a unique site perched on the edge of Kangaroo Point," Kerry Hill Architects said in its Urban Context Report accompanying the planning submission.

"The project will celebrate excellence in sub-tropical residential design, setting a new benchmark for vertical living in Brisbane."

Verso Projects, which now has an $8.5 billion development pipeline spanning more than 6,000 dwellings across apartments, townhouses, retail and commercial projects, said the partnership with Capella would elevate the development beyond a traditional residential project.

"We feel honoured to be restoring Shafston Estate to its former glory, elevating it to new heights of luxury and excellence underpinned by Capella's distinctive service ethos and design philosophy, and making it a standout landmark in Brisbane," Verso Projects CEO Steve Laffey said.

"By partnering with Capella, globally recognised for its refined approach to luxury hospitality and deep respect for cultural and historical context, we will elevate this project beyond a residential offering into a world-class destination."

Capella Hotel Group President Roland Fasel said Brisbane's emergence as a global city made it the right location for the company's Australian residential debut.

"Brisbane is a city on the cusp of something remarkable, and Capella Residences is our commitment to being part of that story," Fasel said.

"The Capella residential experience is more than luxury. It is about a sense of belonging to a place with deep meaning."

Private appointments have now opened for the project, with a display suite expected to open in late 2026 ahead of the planned 2029 completion.

Capella to launch Brisbane's first branded residences at Shafston House, Kangaroo Point

Lewis Land's latest apartment release within its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplan is targeting one of the Gold Coast's fastest-growing buyer groups, with almost a third of apartments at Solis priced below $1 million.

The seven-storey building at Biggera Waters will comprise 91 apartments, including 24 one-bedroom residences starting from $778,000, a price point Lewis Land says is aimed squarely at first home buyers struggling to enter the Gold Coast market.

<img alt="Harbour Shires" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e7486e37-22f6-4c92-b212-9b0622070b8f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-08%20at%209.09.34%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=W8MJwJUCf6HkIyl_EVSksnd.QI6MZryY" />

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/lewis-land-group">Lewis Land</a> Head of Development Michael Long said the developer deliberately allocated a significant proportion of the project to more affordable apartment types.

"First home buyers have been priced out of many parts of the Gold Coast, and we saw a clear opportunity to address this and play our part in a longer-term housing solution," Long said.

"That's why 24 of the 91 apartments being delivered at Solis have been designed and priced for the city's next generation of homeowners, quality one-bedroom apartments, half of which include an additional multipurpose room to maximise space and flexibility.

"This approach places 30 per cent of apartments in Solis under $1 million, and with close proximity to Harbour Town's future light rail extension connecting residents to the city's major employment and knowledge hubs, it's a win for buyers looking to secure their first property."

<img alt="Sores" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="550526d3-73ba-4710-9739-c5f4294a30ef" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-08%20at%209.09.29%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=cQQdXHt9wS0UXwZEm5Py5bH_3kAmzyhu" />

Designed by BDA Architecture, Solis will deliver a mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments, with residences ranging up to 232 sqm. Apartments feature generous balconies and contemporary finishes, while residents will have access to Harbour Shores' lagoon pool, clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga studio and sauna.

The focus on first home buyers resonated with purchaser Holly Humphreys, who said she and her boyfriend spent more than a year searching for their first property before shifting their attention from houses to apartments.

"We fell in love with the first house we bid on and got our hopes up, but after repeated knockbacks we learned not to get too attached," Humphreys said.

"We offered at the high end of price guides, but sales kept going even higher. That's where we really struggled and we needed to re-evaluate our budget and our expectations. Standalone houses were off the table, and we pivoted to apartments and townhouses."

Humphreys said it was encouraging to see developers recognising the growing demand from first home buyers.

"There's a growing number of young buyers looking to enter the market earlier because they understand that getting in now can make a real difference as prices continue to rise," she said.

"It's fantastic to see a developer recognise this and then actively take measures to deliver an apartment with us in mind."

Solis is the first development planned within the second stage of the Harbour Shores masterplan, with early works expected to commence in September 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]

Lewis Land targets first home buyers at latest Harbour Shores release, Solis

Luxury apartment developer Abadeen has recorded $19.25 million in apartment sales across two of its Lower North Shore developments in the lead-up to the end of the financial year, headlined by the sale of a $6.75 million penthouse at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/koyo-crows-nest-5-rodborough-avenue-crows-nest-nsw-2065">KOYO in Crows Nest.</a>

The transactions also included the sale of a newly completed three-bedroom apartment at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/park-residences-cremorne-2-sutherland-street-cremorne-nsw-2090">Park Residences in Cremorne</a> for $6.35 million, with the residence selling shortly after the project's first public inspections following completion.

The sales come as completed, owner-occupier-focused apartments continue to attract strong demand across Sydney's Lower North Shore, particularly from buyers looking for certainty and immediate occupancy.

The penthouse at KOYO spans 491 sqm across a single level and was designed by architect Koichi Takada. The development is one of Abadeen's flagship boutique projects in Crows Nest.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108800 project_image_fid=370093]

Abadeen Executive Chairman and Founder Justin Brown said buyer activity lifted noticeably in the lead-up to the end of the financial year.

"We saw a clear increase in enquiry levels, inspection numbers and buyer engagement across our completed projects leading into the end of the financial year," Brown said.

"Buyers have become far more decisive over the past six months. The combination of improving confidence, limited supply and the ability to physically inspect completed residences is creating strong competition for premium apartments in the best locations."

Brown says the&nbsp;response to Park Residences following completion has been particularly strong.

"Buyers want certainty and are responding positively to the opportunity to walk through a finished product, inspect the quality firsthand and move in immediately," Brown suggested.

"Projects such as Park Residences and KOYO demonstrate that when the product is exceptional and the location is irreplaceable, buyers are prepared to act quickly."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114246 project_image_fid=370116]

Abadeen CEO Joe Tack said quality continued to differentiate projects in the current market.

"Today's buyers are incredibly discerning," Tack said.

"They are seeking larger floorplans, premium finishes, walkability, lifestyle amenity and confidence in the developer delivering the project. Well-designed boutique developments continue to outperform because they offer something genuinely difficult to replace.

"The enquiry we are seeing across our completed and recently completed Lower North Shore portfolio is very encouraging, and we expect this momentum to continue into spring."

The sales follow increased enquiry across Abadeen's Lower North Shore portfolio which also includes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/northcote-collective-naremburn-2-northcote-street-naremburn-nsw-2065">Northcote Collective in Naremburn</a> which also completed recently.

KOYO penthouse headlines Abadeen's $19.25 million EOFY sales flurry

Sydney’s property market is known for high prices, competitive bidding, and mounting pressure on first home buyers. But change is on the horizon.

From late 2025, eligible first home buyers in New South Wales will have access to a new federal government initiative aimed at addressing affordability: the Help to Buy Scheme.&nbsp;

<h2>What is the Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

The program introduces a shared equity model intended to reduce the upfront cost of entering the property market, particularly in high-demand urban areas such as Sydney.

The scheme operates under a shared ownership structure in which the federal government takes an equity stake of up to 40 per cent for new homes, or 30 per cent for existing dwellings. This arrangement allows eligible buyers to significantly reduce their loan size and avoid the added cost of Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI).

Under this model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required. The government’s contribution is not a loan but a co-ownership stake in the property. As such, there is no interest or rent charged on its portion.

Because the government’s equity combined with the buyer’s deposit typically meets or exceeds the 20 per cent threshold, LMI does not apply. The remaining balance, generally between 60 and 70 per cent of the property’s value, is financed through a standard home loan with a participating lender.

The government's equity in the property remains in place until the buyer chooses to repay it voluntarily or until the property is sold. Buyers can buy back the government’s share over time, in increments of at least five per cent, depending on their financial situation.

There is no fixed repayment timeline, but the amount to be repaid will be based on the property's market value at the time of repayment, not the original purchase price.

<h2>How do you qualify for the&nbsp;Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

To qualify for the Help to Buy Scheme, applicants must meet the following conditions:

<ul>
	<li>Be an Australian citizen at least 18 years of age.</li>
	<li>Be a first-home buyer who does not currently own property.</li>
	<li>Intend to live in the property as their primary residence.</li>
	<li>Earn less than $100,000 per year for individuals, or $160,000 for couples.</li>
	<li>Purchase a property within the regional price caps, currently $950,000 in Sydney, though this is expected to rise to approximately $1.3 million ahead of the program’s launch.</li>
</ul>

While the Help to Buy Scheme does not solve affordability challenges across the board, it does offer a more accessible pathway for a defined segment of the market, particularly younger buyers with moderate incomes who have been priced out of traditional lending routes.

The scheme is expected to commence in NSW in late 2025, as part of a national rollout.

Under the new model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required

Help to Buy Scheme: What first home buyers in NSW need to know

The First Home Owners Grant (FHOG) is a government initiative designed to help eligible first-time home buyers by offering financial assistance towards the purchase or construction of a new home.

While the FHOG is a nationwide program, it is administered separately by each state and territory, meaning the eligibility criteria, grant amounts, and property requirements can vary depending on your location. This means that the amount available and the conditions attached to the grant will differ, so it is important to check the specific guidelines for your state or territory.

It’s important to note that the FHOG is just one of several incentives available to first home buyers. In most states and territories, the grant is not linked to stamp duty exemptions or concessions, with the exception of the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). The FHOG is typically a one-off payment, reducing the overall cost of purchasing or building a new home before any stamp duty concessions are applied.

Below, we provide a breakdown of the First Home Owner Grants available across Australia, outlining the specific details for each state and territory.

<h2>New South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $600,000. For land purchases and owner-builders, the threshold extends to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Provides full stamp duty exemption for homes valued up to $800,000, with concessions available for properties up to $1 million.

<h2>Victoria South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides a $10,000 grant for first-home buyers purchasing or building new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Offers full stamp duty exemption for properties up to $600,000, with concessions available up to $750,000.

<h2>Queensland First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers $30,000 for contracts signed between 20 November 2023 and 30 June 2025. The FHOG applies to new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Provides additional concessions for properties valued up to $800,000.

<h2>Western Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

&nbsp;

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $750,000 in the southern regions and up to $1 million in the northern regions.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Available for homes valued up to $600,000 for transactions entered into on or after 9 May 2024.

<h2>Australian Capital Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Replaced by the Home Buyer Concession Scheme, offering full stamp duty concessions for eligible buyers.

<h2>South Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides up to $15,000 for new homes, including houses, apartments, and townhouses. As of 6 June 2024, there is no property value cap for eligibility.

Stamp Duty Relief: Available for new homes and vacant land purchases.

<h2>Tasmania First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes and off the plan purchases.

Stamp Duty Exemption: Between 18 February 2024 and 30 June 2026, first home buyers of established homes valued up to $750,000 receive a full exemption on property transfer duty.

<h2>Northern Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: The Northern Territory provides a $10,000 grant for new homes only. Additional government grants and concessions are available for first home buyers.

Stamp Duty Exemption: The only stamp duty exemption available to property buyers is the House and Land Package Exemption (HLPE).

Eligibility criteria and application processes differ across states. Prospective buyers should refer to their respective state revenue offices for full details on grant availability, conditions, and additional concessions.

Every First Home Owner Grant for new property by state

In the ever-evolving landscape of sustainable architecture and environmentally conscious design, systems and ratings in place can help determine the energy efficiency of residential buildings in Australia.

Australia has multiple building rating systems that evaluate energy efficiency and sustainability in existing and new building designs.

Some systems assess individual building components, while others provide an overall rating for the entire structure.

A rating system ensures that homes are comfortable and energy-efficient, whether you are buying, renovating, or building.

NatHERS (Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme) is a common way for new homes to meet energy efficiency requirements.

As new developments continue to shape the urban environment, understanding NatHERS ratings becomes essential for developers and homeowners. This article delves into the concept of NatHERS ratings, their significance, and how they contribute to creating energy-efficient homes.

<h2>What is NatHERS?</h2>

NatHERS is a national initiative implemented by the Australian government to promote energy efficiency in residential buildings. The scheme aims to provide a standardised method for assessing the thermal performance of homes, considering factors such as insulation, orientation, ventilation, and building materials.&nbsp;

NatHERS ratings are the most common way new homes meet the National Construction Code's (NCC's) minimum energy efficiency requirements.&nbsp;

NatHERS assessments provide thermal and whole-home ratings for new homes, townhouses, and apartments.

The rating helps evaluate the energy performance of buildings, guides homeowners and developers to make informed decisions about the energy efficiency of their properties, and encourages the construction of more sustainable, comfortable, and cost-effective homes.

<h2>How NatHERS Ratings Work</h2>

NatHERS ratings are determined through four accredited software tools (AccuRate, BERS Pro, FirstRate5, HERO) using a calculation engine CSIRO developed to predict building temperature based on various factors.

The tools can model complex effects of building mass, insulation, window size, and other elements.

The outcome is a star rating that reflects the building's overall thermal efficiency, indicating how well it can maintain a comfortable indoor temperature without excessive reliance on heating or cooling systems.

The star rating scale ranges from 0 to 10, with a 6-star rating being the minimum requirement for compliance with the National Construction Code (NCC).&nbsp;

Achieving a higher star rating demonstrates a commitment to energy efficiency and sustainability, as the building is better equipped to minimise its environmental impact and reduce long-term energy costs.

Anyone can use NatHERS tools, but accredited assessors can provide certified ratings and professional advice.

<h2>Benefits of Higher NatHERS Ratings</h2>

Energy Efficiency: Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings are more energy-efficient, requiring less heating and cooling energy. This reduces the structure's carbon footprint and lowers occupants' energy bills.

Cost Savings: Homes with higher NatHERS ratings are generally more energy-efficient, resulting in reduced energy consumption for heating and cooling. This translates to lower energy bills for homeowners, making sustainable living environmentally friendly and economically viable in the long run.

Environmental Impact: Lower energy consumption directly translates to a reduced environmental impact. Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings contribute to the overall goal of mitigating climate change by lowering greenhouse gas emissions associated with heating and cooling systems.

Improved Comfort: Buildings with high NatHERS ratings offer better thermal comfort to occupants. Proper insulation, well-designed ventilation, and optimal orientation maintain a consistent and comfortable indoor temperature, providing occupants with a more enjoyable and healthier space.

Market Value and Desirability: Higher NatHERS ratings can enhance the market value of a property. As energy efficiency becomes a more significant consideration for homebuyers, a well-rated building may attract a premium price and stand out in the real estate market.

Compliance with Building Codes: NatHERS ratings are a vital component of the National Construction Code (NCC), and compliance with these ratings is often a mandatory requirement for new developments. Local councils and planning authorities may set minimum energy efficiency standards that must be met to obtain development approval.

The Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme (NatHERS) is a crucial initiative shaping the future of energy-efficient, resilient, and cost-effective homes. With its recent upgrades, NatHERS has evolved into a world-leading tool for the building sector, supporting the global commitment to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.

Staff Writer

What is a NatHERS rating in new off the plan apartment developments?

Mixed-use developments have gained significant popularity across Australia in recent years due to their unique blend of residential, commercial, and recreational spaces.

Unlike traditional single-purpose developments, mixed-use projects offer a harmonious integration of various functions within a single locale.

Residential units seamlessly coexist with commercial establishments, retail outlets, dining venues, entertainment hubs, and recreational facilities, with the combination not only enhances convenience but also fosters a vibrant lifestyle and a sense of community.

<h3>Convenience and accessibility</h3>

Mixed-use developments are designed with convenience in mind. They often integrate residential units with commercial spaces, retail outlets, restaurants, and recreational facilities, creating a self-contained community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=204874]

The proximity allows residents to enjoy the convenience of having essential amenities and services within walking distance. Whether it's grabbing a cup of coffee, going grocery shopping, or accessing healthcare services, everything is conveniently located, saving residents time and effort.

<h3>Vibrant lifestyle and community</h3>

One of the major advantages of mixed-use developments is the vibrant lifestyle they offer. With a diverse range of amenities and communal spaces, residents have ample opportunities to interact, socialise, and build a sense of community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107714 project_image_fid=214122]

The presence of parks, community centres, and shared spaces fosters a lively atmosphere, encouraging residents to engage in various activities and events. The vibrant lifestyle within these developments creates a unique sense of belonging and camaraderie among the residents.

<h3>Potential for higher rental yields and property value appreciation</h3>

Mixed-use developments tend to attract a broad range of tenants and buyers due to their versatile nature. This high demand can result in higher rental yields for investors and potentially lead to property value appreciation over time.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=139989 project_image_fid=212887]

The integration of commercial and retail spaces attracts businesses, which can provide a stable rental income stream. Additionally, the popularity of mixed-use developments often drives up property values, making them a potentially lucrative investment in the long term.

<h3>Enhanced security and maintenance</h3>

Mixed-use developments typically have comprehensive security measures in place. With controlled access points, CCTV surveillance, and professional security staff, residents can enjoy enhanced safety and peace of mind.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=212658]

Additionally, these developments often have dedicated maintenance teams responsible for the upkeep of common areas, landscaping, and infrastructure. This ensures that the overall appearance and functionality of the development are well-maintained, creating a pleasant living environment for residents.

<h3>Live-work-play balance</h3>

One of the key attractions of mixed-use developments is the ability to achieve a desirable live-work-play balance. The integration of residential and commercial spaces allows residents to live closer to their workplaces, reducing commuting time and improving work-life balance.

The proximity to various amenities and recreational facilities encourages an active and healthy lifestyle. Residents can easily access fitness centres, parks, restaurants, and entertainment options, all within the same development, leading to a more fulfilling and convenient way of life.

alisonwarters@gmail.com

The top five reasons to buy in a mixed-use development

When buying a property, everyone needs to be aware of the additional costs that come as part of the buying process.

Often the largest outlay, after the deposit which goes to the bank, is stamp duty.

<h2 style="line-height: 1.38;">What is Stamp Duty?</h2>

Stamp duty is an extra tax to pay the government when you buy land, a property, and other certain assets.

It happens when the legal ownership is transferred. It can also be known as property transfer duty or transfer duty.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/C32BWkB5--c" title="YouTube video player" width="660"></iframe>

<h2>Who pays Stamp Duty?</h2>

In some circumstances, you may get an exemption. For some states, you won’t have to pay for stamp duty if you are a first home buyer or a pensioner for houses under a particular price. There are also stamp duty concessions, where you may be entitled to a discount.

<h2>How much does Stamp Duty cost?</h2>

Each state has different rules which affect how much you need to pay. These rules can affect the rate you pay, and the timeframe you will need to pay in. Before you buy land or a property, make sure you check the up-to-date information for your state’s stamp duty.

You can use a free stamp duty calculator online to see approximately how much you’ll need to pay. Find out if you’re eligible for an exemption by enquiring on a project via Urban!

Overall, the stamp duty you need to pay will depend on:

<ul>
	<li aria-level="1">How much your land/property is worth</li>
	<li aria-level="1">Where your land/property is located</li>
	<li aria-level="1">What type of land/property it is</li>
</ul>

Want to find out more? <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanAustralia?utm_source=YouTube&amp;utm_medium=Video&amp;utm_campaign=Subscribe&amp;utm_id=Subscribe">Subscribe to our YouTube channel</a> for more property videos.

Ellen Walker

Off-the-plan property explained: What is stamp duty?

For the first time in a long time, Australia's inflation story is starting to look more like a landing than a fight.

The latest Consumer Price Index figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed annual inflation eased to four per cent in May, down from 4.2 per cent in April. On the surface, that might not seem like a major move. Inflation remains above the Reserve Bank's target range and some categories continue to record stubborn price growth.

But the significance of this result lies less in where inflation sits today and more in what it means for where interest rates are likely heading next.

The biggest takeaway is that inflation continues to move in the right direction.

Markets had been bracing for another sticky result after a period where progress appeared to stall. Instead, headline inflation came in softer than expected, helped by falling fuel prices and easing transport costs. Annual transport inflation halved from 6.6 per cent in April to 3.3 per cent in May, while automotive fuel prices fell 11.9 per cent during the month following lower oil prices and the impact of reduced fuel excise measures.

While petrol prices don't solve Australia's affordability challenges, they are one of the most visible and immediate costs for consumers. Falling fuel costs feed through the economy quickly, helping ease pressure on household budgets and business operating expenses.

The ABS data also showed headline inflation is now sitting at its lowest annual level in several months, reinforcing the broader trend that price growth is gradually moderating.

That trend is important because it aligns with what many economists and lenders have been saying for the last month.

Prior to this week's inflation data, ANZ, NAB and Commonwealth Bank had all shifted their forecasts, now believing the Reserve Bank had likely reached the peak of the interest rate cycle. Following the May inflation release, ANZ reaffirmed that view.

In its latest economic update, ANZ said it expects quarterly trimmed mean inflation to come in at 3.7 per cent for the June quarter, slightly below the Reserve Bank's forecast of 3.8 per cent. Importantly, the bank said that outcome, when combined with slowing economic activity, "supports our view that the cash rate has peaked".

The Reserve Bank has spent the better part of three years attempting to bring inflation under control through higher interest rates. If Australia's major banks are correct and rates have now peaked, the conversation shifts from how much higher rates could go to when they might begin coming down.

Westpac's caution comes from underlying inflation. The trimmed mean, the measure most closely watched by the Reserve Bank, increased from 3.4 per cent to 3.6 per cent annually. Housing inflation remains elevated at 6.5 per cent, reflecting ongoing increases in rents, electricity costs and new dwelling construction.

Electricity prices remain particularly problematic, rising 21.1 per cent over the past year following the removal of government rebates.

Housing construction costs are also showing signs of renewed pressure. ANZ noted new dwelling costs rose 0.9 per cent in May and are now running at an annualised pace of 8.6 per cent over the past three months. Builders continue to face higher labour, fuel and material costs, a reminder that inflationary pressures have not completely disappeared.

Housing affordability has deteriorated largely because of higher interest rates rather than higher property prices alone. Even modest reductions in mortgage rates would improve borrowing capacity, increase buyer confidence and reduce repayment pressure on existing homeowners.

While August is far from a certainty, the latest inflation result has strengthened the view that the next move in rates is more likely to be down than up. For borrowers, buyers and the development sector, that alone represents a significant shift from the conversation that dominated much of the past two years.

The inflation result the property market was waiting for

<html><body>
Melbourne’s Outer East had the highest weekend auction clearance rate, according to CoreLogic’s latest report.
The property data firm says that out of the 52 auctions in the area 80.8% resulted in a successful outcome.
This is followed by the West with 79.6% and the North East with 78.5%.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%2011.16.47%20am.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%2011.16.47%20am.jpg" alt="">
The Inner East region had the lowest clearance rate with only 67.8% of its auctions cleared.
A five bedroom Wheelers Hill house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-wheelers+hill-126126226" target="_blank">17 Highwood Drive</a> (below) was sold over the weekend for $1.206 million.
It last sold in 1975 for $69,500.
A three bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-glen+waverley-126077354" target="_blank">19 Diamond Avenue</a>, Glen Waverley (below) was sold for $1.37 million.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/09/04/19%20Diamond%20Avenue.jpg" alt="">
</body></html>

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Outer East Melbourne region scores highest weekend auction clearance rate: CoreLogic

<html><body>
<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/82207/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-advanced" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
Workers aren’t being compensated as much as they should be for precarious work in casual positions. 
One in four Australian employees today is a casual worker. Among younger workers (15-24 year olds) the numbers are higher still: more than half of them are casuals.
These jobs come without some of the benefits of permanent employment, such as paid annual holiday leave and sick leave. In exchange for giving up these entitlements, casual workers are supposed to receive a higher hourly rate of pay – known as a casual “loading”. 
But the costs of casual work are now outweighing the benefits in wages.
Costs and benefits of casual work
Casual jobs offer flexibility, but also come with costs. For workers, apart from missing out on paid leave, there are other compromises: less predictable working hours and earnings, and the prospect of dismissal without notice. Uncertainty about their future employment can hinder casual workers in other ways, such as making family arrangements, getting a mortgage, and juggling education with work. 
Not surprisingly, casual workers have lower expectations about keeping their current job. For example the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) found 19% expect to leave their job within 12 months, compared to 7% of other workers. Casuals are also much less likely to get work-related training, which limits their opportunities for skills development.
The employers of casual workers also face higher costs. High staff turnover adds to recruitment costs. But perhaps the main cost is the “loading” that casual workers are supposed to be paid on top of their ordinary hourly wage. 
Australia’s system of minimum wage awards specifies a casual loading of 25%. So, a casual worker paid under an award should get 25% more for each hour than another worker doing the same job on a permanent basis. In enterprise agreements, the casual loading varies by sector, but tends to be between 15 and 25%.
The practice of paying a casual loading developed for two reasons. One was to provide some compensation for workers missing out on paid leave. The other, quite different, motivation was to make casual employment more expensive and discourage excessive use of it. However this disincentive has not prevented the casual sector of the workforce from growing substantially.
Casual jobs aren’t much better paid
One approach in determining whether casual workers are paid more is simply to compare the hourly wages of casual and “non-casual” (permanent and fixed-term) employees in the same occupations. This can be done using data from the 2016 ABS Survey of Employee Earnings and Hours. 
We compared median hourly wages for adult non-managerial employees, based on their ordinary earnings and hours of work (i.e. excluding overtime payments). If the median wage for casuals is higher than for non-casuals, there is a casual premium. If the median casual wage is lower, there is a penalty.
The 10 occupations below accounted for over half of all adult casual workers in 2016. In most of these occupations, there is a modest casual wage premium - in the order of 4-5%.
The size of the typical casual wage premium is much smaller, in most cases, than the loadings written into awards and agreements. Only one occupation (school teachers) has a premium (22%) in line with what might be expected.
Three of the 10 largest casual occupations actually penalise this sort of work. And overall for these 10 occupations there is a casual wage penalty of 5%. This method of analysis suggests that few casual workers enjoy substantially higher wages as a trade-off for paid leave.
Taking a closer look involves controlling for a wider range of differences between casual and non-casual workers. One major Australian study in 2005 compared wages after taking account of many factors other than occupation, including age, education, job location, and employer size. 
All else equal, it found that part-time, casual workers do receive an hourly wage premium over full-time, permanent workers. The premium is worth around 10%, on average, for men and between 4 and 7% for women.
These results imply that most casual workers (who are in part-time positions) can expect to receive higher hourly wages than comparable employees in full-time, permanent positions. However, the value of the benefit is again found to be less than would be expected, given the larger casual loadings mentioned in awards and agreements. 
It seems that while there is some short-term financial benefit to being a casual worker, this advantage is worth less in practice than on paper.
A recent study, using 14 years of data from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia Survey (HILDA), finds no evidence of any long-term pay benefit for casual workers. 
The study’s authors estimate that, among men, there is an average casual wage penalty of 10% - the opposite of what we should see if casual loadings fully offset the foregone leave and insecurity of casual jobs. Among female casual workers, there is also a wage penalty, but this is smaller, at around 4%. 
This study also finds that the size of the negative casual wage effect tends to reduce over time for individual workers, bringing them closer to equality with permanent workers. But very few casual workers out-earn permanent workers in the long-term.
Inferior jobs, but fewer alternatives
The evidence on hourly wage differences leads us to conclude that casual workers are not being adequately compensated for the lack of paid leave, or for other forms of insecurity they face. This makes casual jobs a less appealing option for workers.
This does not mean that all casual workers dislike their jobs – indeed, many are satisfied. But a clear-eyed look at what these jobs pay suggests their benefits are skewed in favour of employers.
Despite this, the choice for many workers - especially young jobseekers - is increasingly between a casual job or no job at all. Half of employed 15-24 year olds are in casual jobs. 
In a labour market characterised by high underemployment and intensifying job competition, young people with little or no work experience are understandably willing to make some sacrifices to get a start in the workforce. The option of “holding out” for a permanent job looks increasingly risky as these opportunities dwindle.
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/joshua-healy-104950" target="_blank">Joshua Healy </a>is Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Workplace Leadership, University of Melbourne.
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/daniel-nicholson-315854" target="_blank">Daniel Nicholson</a> is Research Assistant, Industrial Relations, University of Melbourne.
Both are authors for <a href="https://theconversation.com/au" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>.
</body></html>

jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

The costs of a casual job are now outweighing any pay benefits

<html><body>
The Future Fund is dispensing with its government bond holdings and beefing up cash levels in readiness for rising global interest rates, which its chairman Peter Costello says is “just a question of when”.
The sovereign wealth fund reported an annual return of 8.7 per cent that helped lift its assets to $133.5 billion from the initial $60.5 billion contribution 10 years ago.
But its cash weighting of more than $28 billion was once again a focus of attention.
"Markets are trying to adjust and central banks are trying to give them direction so when the adjustment comes it's not a surprise," Costello was cited as saying by The Australian Financial Review.
The fund's chief executive, David Neal, stressed that the fund's outlook had hardly changed over the year and that even though it had a large cash position, the fund in aggregate was taking risks. For instance it had risky positions in property, venture capital and high yield debt.
The fund has about 6 percent invested in property assets.
Recently, Treasurer Scott Morrison cited strong demand for low-yielding government bonds as the reason the Federal government would not draw on the fund’s assets to meet the its unfunded pension liabilities, for at least 10 years.
"We just had our 1000th bond tender earlier this week, [it was] four times oversubscribed," Morrison said at a Bloomberg Event on Thursday.
"Being able to borrow at those rates means we have made the decision not to draw down on the Future Fund – which is earning at 6 to 8 per cent," he said.
"And why would you draw down when it has that cost to your returns, when you can [borrow] at this other level, maintain the Future Fund for another 10 years to ensure your unfunded superannuation liabilities are covered off."
With nearly a decade since the GFC, Costello said central banks would try to return to normal interest rates.
"You don't stay in a state of emergency long after the storm has passed," he said.
Costello said there shouldn't be any surprises that Australians have increased their borrowings in a period of low interest rates.
"When central banks supported by governments reduce interest rates they are asking people to borrow and Australians have responded by borrowing," he said.
“But when they raise interest rates they are asking people to cut borrowing and when they start [that process] asset prices will readjust."
High debt-to-wages ratio has been worrying the RBA.
"Virtually all of our debt is in high risk investments seeking higher returns than a traditional portfolio,” Neal added.
"We have no sovereign bonds in our debt portfolios – they are in specialist investments that are trying to deliver equity like returns and when you put that together you end up with a higher cash weighting."
Neal said sovereign, or government bonds, were "expensive".
"At some point those rates will rise and even if they don't you aren't getting paid much to hold them so instead we have a cash position."
While low interest rates may be putting the Future Fund off sovereign bonds and other assets tied to long term interest rates, governments are benefiting from cheap funding. Australia's 10-year bond rate of 2.7 per cent remains well below the 20-year average of 4.90 per cent, and fell as low as 1.9 per cent in July 2016.
The fund, said it had become more liquid, which Neal said increased its "ability to reposition the portfolio in response to whatever the market throws at us".
</body></html>

jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Future Fund bolsters cash levels as it sees global interest rate hikes

<html><body>
GUET OBSERVER
It seems momentous things happen in years ending in seven.
Well, at least in the last 50 years starting with the “summer of love” in 1967 and the introduction of the Chevrolet Camaro.
But after that, it was downhill with Elvis leaving the building in 1977, the 1987 share market crash, the Asian crisis of 1997 and the GFC that started in 2007.
While Lehman Brothers didn’t go bankrupt until September 2008, the GFC’s initial tremors occurred in 2007.
Financial markets really started to take notice in August of that year, with shares taking a big hit before rebounding to new highs for US and Australian shares in October/November 2007 ahead of a roughly 55% decline into March 2009.
This note looks at the main lessons for investors from the GFC and whether it can happen again.
But first some history.
The GFC was the worst global financial crisis since the Great Depression.
It saw the freezing up of lending between banks, multiple financial institutions needing to be rescued, 50% plus share market falls and the worst post-war global economic contraction.
At the core of the GFC was something very basic.
In an environment of low interest rates (with often initially low “teaser” rates) too many loans were made to US homebuyers that set off a housing boom that went bust when interest rates rose and supply surged.
So no big deal – it happens all the time!
But it was what went on around it that ultimately saw it turn into a global crisis.
A massive proportion of the loans (40% or so) went to people who had no ability to service them – sub-prime and low doc borrowers.
Remember NINJA loans – loans to people who had no income, no job and no assets!
And many were non-recourse loans – so borrowers could just hand over the house if its value fell below the debt owed on it and that was the end of their liability.
Recall – jingle mail!
This was encouraged by public policy aimed at boosting home ownership and ending discrimination in lending.
It was made possible by a massive easing in lending standards facilitated by financial innovation that packaged up the sub-prime loans into securities, which were then given AAA ratings on the basis that while a small proportion of loans may default the risk will be offset by the broad exposure.
These securities were then leveraged up and sold all over the world with fancy names like Collateralised Debt Obligations (CDOs) that found willing buyers looking for decent low risk (remember AAA rated!) yield at a time of low interest rates.
Hedge funds investing in such products even got awards like “yield manager of the year”.
But the trouble was that with the sub-prime loans moved out of the banks, there was no “bank manager” looking after them.
This all came as banks globally were sourcing an increasing amount of the money they were lending from global money markets – which had freed them up from relying on expensive bank deposits via bricks and mortar branches.
The music stopped in 2006 when poor affordability, an oversupply of homes and 17 interest rates hikes from the Fed over two years saw US house prices peak and then start to slide.
This made it harder for sub-prime borrowers to refinance their loans at their initial “teaser” rates.
As a result, more and more borrowers defaulted causing investors in the fancy products that invested in sub-prime loans (like CDOs) to start suffering losses.
The problem really caught the attention of global investors in August 2007 after BNP froze redemptions from three of its funds because it couldn’t value the CDOs within them, which in turn set in train a credit crunch with sharp rises in the cost of funding for banks and a reduction in its availability triggering sharp falls in share markets.
Shares rebounded but only to peak in late October/November 2007 before commencing roughly 55% falls as the credit crunch worsened, the global economy fell into recession, mortgage defaults escalated and multiple banks failed.
The crisis went global as: losses mounted; these were magnified by gearing, which forced investment banks and hedge funds to liquidate sound positions to meet redemptions thereby spreading the crisis to other assets; the distribution of securities investing in US sub-prime debt globally led to a wide range of exposed investors and hence greater worries about who was at risk; this all led to a freezing up of lending between banks.
All of which affected confidence and economic activity.
Fault lay with home borrowers, the US Government, lenders, ratings agencies, regulators, and investors and financial organisations for taking on too much risk.
It came to an end in 2009 after significant monetary easing and fiscal stimulus helped restore the normal operation of money markets, confidence and growth.
That said, aftershocks continued with sub-par global growth and very low inflation.
The GFC highlighted several lessons for investors:
· The economic and investment cycle is alive and well. Talk of a “great moderation” was all the rage prior to the GFC but the GFC reminded us yet again that periods of great returns are invariably followed by a fall back. If returns are too good to be true they probably are.
· High returns come with higher risk. While risk is often dormant for years, it usually returns with a vengeance as was apparent in the GFC. Backward-looking measures of volatility are no better than attempting to drive focussed only on the rear view mirror.
· While each boom bust cycle is different, markets are pushed to extremes of valuation and sentiment. The low in 2009 was characterised by ultra cheap shares and credit investments with investors highly pessimistic.
· Be sceptical of financial engineering or hard-to-understand products. The biggest losses for investors in the GFC were generally in products that relied heavily on financial engineering purporting to turn junk into AAA investments that were impossible to understand.
· Avoid too much gearing or gearing of the wrong sort. Gearing is fine when all is going well. But it will magnify losses when things reverse and can force the closure of positions at a big loss when the lenders lose their confidence and refuse to roll over maturing debt or when a margin call occurs forcing an investor to sell their position just at the time they should be adding to it.
· The importance of true diversification. While listed property trusts and hedge funds were popular alternatives to low-yielding government bonds prior to the GFC, through the crisis they ran into big trouble (in fact Australian Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) fell 79%), whereas government bonds were the star performers. REITs have cut their gearing and returned to their knitting. But “in a crisis correlations go to one – except for true safe havens”.
· Fiscal and monetary policy work. There is a role for government in putting free market economies back on track when they get into a downward spiral. While some have argued that easy money just benefitted the rich (who invest in shares), doing nothing would have likely ended with 20% plus unemployment and worse inequality.
· The return to normal from major financial crises can take time, as the blow to confidence depresses lending and borrowing and hence consumer spending and investment for years afterwards. This muscle memory eventually fades but the impact can be seen for a decade or so.
· The importance of asset allocation. The GFC provided an extreme reminder that what really matters for your investment performance is your asset mix – ie your allocation to shares, bonds, cash, property, etc. Exposure to individual shares or fund managers is second order.
· Finally, “stuff happens”. While after each economic crisis there is a desire to “make sure it never happens again”, history tells us that manias, panics and crashes are part and parcel of the process of “creative destruction” that has led to an exponential increase in material prosperity in capitalist countries. The trick is to ensure that the regulation of financial markets minimises the economic fallout that can occur when free markets go astray but doesn’t stop the dynamism necessary for economic prosperity.
Of course there will be another boom and bust...but as Mark Twain is thought to have said “history doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes” so the specifics will be different next time.
History is replete with bubbles and crashes and tells us it’s inevitable that they will happen again as each generation forgets and must relearn the lessons of the past.
Often the seeds for each new bubble are sown in the ashes of the former.
Fortunately, in the post-GFC environment seen so far there has been an absence of broad-based bubbles on the scale of the tech boom or US housing/credit boom.
E-commerce stocks like Facebook and Amazon are a candidate but they have seen nowhere near the gains or infinite PEs seen in the late 1990s tech boom.
Click to enlarge
On the global debt front, a concern is that after a post-GFC pull back, it has grown to an all-time high relative to global GDP.
Click to enlarge
However, just because global debt has grown to a new high doesn’t mean a crisis is upon us.
It has been trending up for decades, much of the growth in debt in developed countries post the GFC has been in public debt and debt interest burdens are low thanks to low interest rates in contrast to the pre-GFC period.
Furthermore, the other signs of signs of excess that normally set the scene for recessions and associated deep bear markets in shares like that seen in the GFC are not present on a widespread basis just now.
Inflation is low, monetary policy globally has barely tightened, there has been no widespread overinvestment in technology (as preceded the tech wreck) or housing (as preceded the GFC in the US) and bank lending standards have not been relaxed to the same degree as seen prior to the GFC.
Moreover, financial regulations have tightened significantly with banks required to have higher capital ratios and source a greater proportion of funds from their depositors.
So another boom bust cycle is inevitable at some point, but it will likely be very different to the GFC.
And many of the signs of excess that normally precede deep bear markets are still absent.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author" target="_blank">SHANE OLIVER</a> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home" target="_blank">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.
</body></html>

soliver-smf6LQXgW9

Lessons learned a decade from the GFC: Shane Oliver

<html><body>
A vacant lot at Point Vernon, near Hervey Bay has been listed for mortgagee sale.
Located at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-residential%20land-qld-point+vernon-201901098" target="_blank">100 Corser Street</a>, the 641 sqm property last sold for $100,000 in 1992.
It is 15 minutes to the Hervey Bay CBD.
The property is fenced on two sides and fully serviced by water, power and sewerage.
There is kerbside guttering.
The property is being marketed as ideal to develop with Gatakers Bay close by as well as shops and cafes.
The property will be auctioned on October 8 through Scott and Katrina Mitchell from Mitchell’s Realty Hervey Bay.
CoreLogic puts the median house price as $315,000.
The latest vacant block to sell was at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-residential+land-qld-point+vernon-201867902" target="_blank">18 Mant Street</a>, Point Vernon (below) which sold for $447,500 in July 2017.
The land size was 663 sqm with waterfront views.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/09/04/18%20Mant%20Street.jpg" alt="">
A cheaper block of land at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-residential+land-qld-point+vernon-201733770" target="_blank">5 Montrose Close</a>, Point Vernon (below) was sold in May 2017 for $170,000.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/09/04/5%20Montrose%20Close.jpg" alt="">
</body></html>

Point Vernon vacant land mortgagee sale 

<html><body>
The Reserve Bank of Australia will leave the cash rate at a record low of 1.50 percent when it meets tomorrow.
RateCity.com.au’s analysis of 22 domestic and economic indicators found 17 were pointing to the RBA leaving the cash rate on hold, where it has been since August 2016.
RateCity.com.au money editor Sally Tindall said there was no compelling reason for the Reserve Bank to change monetary policy.
“The RBA would like to hike rates, but the high Australian dollar, combined with low wages growth and low inflation will keep rates grounded in the short-term,” she said.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/image002.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/04/image002.png" alt="">
“The economy is moving steadily rather than spectacularly, so the logical option is for the Board to hold fire until there are major changes in the key economic indicators.
“This means the RBA is currently playing a waiting game.
“They won’t want to move rates until families get some relief from the current cost of living pressures. With little relief in sight, they’re likely to hold off until next year.
“The other complicating factor is that the banks already increased rates in the first half of this year so we’ve actually experienced an unofficial tightening of monetary policy, despite no official change in the cash rate,” said Ms Tindall.
</body></html>

RBA set to leave cash rate at 1.50 percent

<html><body>
Sydney’s auction market had its weakest start to the spring selling season for five years.
Domain reported Sydney's clearance rate of 67.1 per cent was down on the 67.9 per cent recorded on the last weekend of winter.
Both results sit well below the 80 per cent reported this time last year.
Saturday’s tally was the third consecutive decline in weekend rates.
"Sydney’s auction market has had its worst start to the spring selling season since 2012 with the local market clearly running out of puff over the last month," Domain economist Dr Andrew Wilson noted.
"The lower north was sharply down this weekend with just 63.3 per cent," he said.
"Inner-suburban, higher priced regions continue to generally produce the best suburban results in Sydney, but clearance rates in those areas are now consistently lower than recorded over autumn and the early winter market," he noted.
CoreLogic's entire week results were a slightly healthier 70.5 per cent across Sydney, but leading auctioneers reported a weakening trend.
Cooley Auctions secured 56 percent from its 50 plus auctions.
"A balanced or normal market clearance rate is 50 percent to 60 percent and that's where we are headed," Damien Cooley said.
Ray White Sydney auctioneer Jerome Smith said the market was patchy in some parts. 
The most expensive house sold at auction in Sydney was a five-bedroom Strathfield home.
Set on 1416 square metres at <a href="https://www.domain.com.au/73-newton-road-strathfield-nsw-2135-2013752236" target="_blank">73 Newton Road, Strathfield</a>, Devine Real Estate sold the home for $5.5 million as a deceased estate.
It was on the market for the first time in 88 years.
It was marketed as one of few remaining blocks in Strathfield with enough space for a tennis court.
The new owners planned to rent out the existing house for a year and then construct a new single residence.
Melbourne's top sale was when a grand Victorian in South Yarra sold for $7.015 million, after a contest between three bidders.
The buyers had sold the four-bedroom terrace at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-south+yarra-126101606" target="_blank">16 William St</a> to the vendors six years ago, Abercromby’s Armadale auctioneer Tim Derham told The Herald Sun.
The current owners engaged Techne Architecture + Interior Design to renovate and extend it shortly after purchasing it for $3.755 million in 2011. 
Across Melbourne 73.5 per cent of the 839 reported auctions sold on the weekend.
There were 976 properties taken to auction across the city, down from 1,124 last week when the final clearance rate was recorded at 72.3 per cent.
Over the same week last year, 830 auctions were held and a clearance rate of 79.3 per cent was recorded.
The strongest Melbourne clearance was recorded across the Outer East region, where 80.8 per cent of the 52 auctions were successful.
There was a tie for the nation's cheapest result.
A one bedroom Brunswick East apartment sold pre-auction for $320,000 making it Melbourne’s cheapest weekend auction listing.
The 40 sqm apartment had been a $300 a week rental.
Located at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-apartment-vic-brunswick+east-126135986" target="_blank">3/50A Brunswick Road</a>, the 1970s Monte Carlo apartment last sold in July 2000 for $89,950.
In Adelaide, a 1910 Mount Barker house sold for $320,000.
Located at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-mount+barker-126003610" target="_blank">20 Albert Road</a>, the three bedroom home on the 1200 sqm block has many original features including a rare pressed tin facade.
It also has pressed tin ceilings.
There is an open fire place in most rooms.
In Adelaide, a 60.4 per cent preliminary result was recorded across 75 auctions.
While the weakest capital city, the preliminary clearance rate in Brisbane increased to 47.1 per cent, from 43.9 per cent last week.
Brisbane auction volumes were slightly lower with 136 auctions held, down from 140 last week.
But Brisbane achieved one of the highest under the hammer results for some time when a four bedroom Teneriffe house sold for $4.8 million.
Located at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-qld-teneriffe-126138898" target="_blank">77 Macquarie Street</a>, amid some of Brisbane’s most exclusive real estate, it features three levels of riverfront living with views.
Built in 2001 it last sold for $3.785 million in 2014.
The property, with 488 sqm of living space, was offered through Ray White agents Matt Lancashire and Brandon Wortley.
Perth’s clearance rate of 63.6 per cent across 11 auction results is up from last week, when 35 auctions were held and a clearance rate of 48.3 per cent was recorded.
Across Canberra, 69 homes were taken to auction this week.
Preliminary results show a clearance rate of 68.4 per cent, down from 71.9 per cent the previous week.
Canberra prices ranged from a $540,000 three bedroom Dunlop townhouse and a four bedroom O’Malley house that sold for $1.4 million.
Located at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-act-o%27malley-126136534" target="_blank">20 Numeralla Street</a>, O'Malley, the 1995-built home on a 1049 sqm block last sold for $1.23 million in 2009.
Canberra’s cheapest weekend result at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-townhouse-act-dunlop-126127882" target="_blank">3/34 Sunshine Loop</a> last sold for $409,000 in 2014
CoreLogic's latest weekend update indicated that auction numbers were down for spring's opening compared to the prior weekend.
There were 2,060 properties taken to auction this week, down from 2,270 last week.
It was higher than this time last year, when 1,899 auctions.
</body></html>

Sydney's weakest spring selling season start for five years

<html><body>
One of Australia's most successful artists David Bromley and fashion designer wife Yuge have listed their Daylesford home.
The couple have been splitting their time down south between their Victorian country retreat and their home in Prahran.
The <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-hepburn+springs-126276294" target="_blank">early 1900s dwelling</a> is a character-filled family home, with their creative touch unmissable in the listing photos. 
It once had 13 bedrooms off its long central hallway, but now it comes with seven.
It sits on 2,200 sqm of parklike grounds. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/09/04/131%20Main%20Road.jpg" alt="">
Hockingstuart Daylesford agents Nathan Skewes and Glenda Rozen are asking $1.7 million for the home that for three decades had been a care home for dementia patients.
The Bromley's bought the home for $750,000 in 2013 when they were living in Byron Bay. 
Bromley retains warehouse space in the town some 120 kilometres north west of Melbourne. 
This article first appeared in the Weekend Australian Mansions Australia section. 
</body></html>

firstname1-iYD4UYzvBa

Artist David Bromley lists Daylesford retreat

<html><body>
South Australians are falling out of love with the ‘Great Australian Dream’ of a living in a house with yard, more than anywhere else in the nation.
That is according to the Bankwest Housing Density report which is released today and provides an analysis of approvals in medium density and low density housing over both the long and the short term, combined with the latest Census 2016 data.
The report reveals SA saw the lowest growth in standalone housing stock in the country, rising by just 0.5% in the five years to June 2016.
In comparison, levels of medium density housing (apartments) grew by 12.3% in the same period, signaling a shift towards apartment-style living and away from a house with a yard in SA.
Bankwest General Manager Broker Sales Stewart Saunders say the state’s slowing population growth has clearly had an impact on the types of houses found in SA.
“SA’s population growth was just 5.0% in the five years to June 2016 – the lowest of all the states - which will have had undoubted impact on the amount of new homes needed during that period,” said Mr Saunders.
Today’s new report shows the level of low density housing stock is basically static as is the amount of low density housing approvals granted in the 12 months to March – down by just 1.2%.
Medium density approvals for the same short term period declined by 10.7% over the 12 months to March.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/08/16/Screen%20Shot%202017-08-16%20at%201.05.45%20pm.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/08/16/Screen%20Shot%202017-08-16%20at%201.05.45%20pm.jpg" alt="">
“Looking at the changes in the whole of SA and in Adelaide it’s clear to see the vast majority of new apartment style homes are being built in the capital city,” said Mr Saunders.
“Adelaide accounted for almost (97.6%) all of the state’s new medium density housing approvals in the 12 months to March,” he added.
“When we look again at the broader, national picture the data paints a picture of a country where, overall, there is a continuing long term trend towards apartment style living.
“But what is noticeable in the short term analysis is that we see that over the 12 months to March the country has experienced its biggest decline in the proportion of medium density approvals for four years,” Mr Saunders added.
Medium density approvals declined by 6.5% in the 12 months to March to 110,471, down from 118,156 the previous year.
This national decline was largely driven by declines at a state level in Queensland (down 25.6%), and Western Australia (down 27.1%).
Mr Saunders said the annual Housing Density Report had been produced as part of Bankwest’s ongoing commitment to offer insights on economic data, trends and issues of value to its customers, businesses, communities and policy makers.
“Bankwest is committed to helping customers and local businesses achieve what matters, contributing to the development of our communities and being a positive voice in the debate on the future of the economy.”
</body></html>

The Great Australian Dream is going out in South Australia: Bankwest

<html><body>
GUEST OBSERVER
Most of the timely indicators of domestic economic activity suggest that growth is set to pick up pace in coming quarters (we expect year-ended GDP growth of 3.3% over 2017).
Key amongst these indicators are surveyed business conditions, which are around decade highs, and employment growth, which has picked up recently with sufficient momentum to push the unemployment rate lower.
A major driver of these developments has been an improvement in conditions in the mining sector, which has spent a number of years in retreat. Higher commodity prices and the end of the decline in mining investment mean that the resources sector is a tailwind, rather than a headwind for growth (see A commodity prices tailwind, finally, 17 January 2017). The latest manifestation of this has been the strong profits reported by Australia’s miners. The timely economic indicators have also been supported by a bounce-back in activity after poor weather held back Q1 GDP. Retail sales, non-mining investment and coal exports have risen recently. Reflecting this, we revise up our Q2 GDP growth forecast to 0.9% q-o-q (previously 0.5%).
A key question for the RBA remains whether the expected lift in growth will feed through to a pick-up in wages growth and domestic inflation. Weak wages growth has been a factor that has weighed on consumer sentiment and growth in household consumption. We expect wages growth to pick up modestly in the second half of 2017, due to a boost to the minimum wage and the impact that the lift in corporate profitability typically has on wages growth. This should mean that domestic inflation is past its trough, and we see the underlying inflation measures lifting back into the bottom part of the 2-3% target band in coming quarters.
Above trend growth, a modest lift in wages growth and underlying inflation, plus still uncomfortably exuberant Sydney and Melbourne housing markets are, in our view, likely to be sufficient to see the RBA lifting its cash rate in early 2018.
On fixed income strategy, we see potential for more money market risk premium but there is little to fear for the long-end even if the RBA tightens policy next year. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.28.31%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.28.31%20AM.png" alt="">
Business conditions and the labour market are improving 
Surveyed business conditions have remained around their highest levels for a decade in recent months (Chart 1).
Across industries, this reflects continued positive business conditions for most of the non-mining sectors and a significant improvement in the survey results for mining companies.
The improvement in business conditions is consistent with the recent strong profit reporting season, with the mining companies the stand-out performers in terms of profitability.
The key business surveys also show a pick-up in capacity utilisation. To meet demand, firms are hiring more labour, with growth in employment and hours worked picking up pace in recent months (Chart 2).
There are also signs that non-mining business investment is set to rise, with the ABS Capex survey showing a pick-up in its forward-looking estimates (Chart 3). This fits with our view that business investment will turn positive for the first time in six years in 2018 (Downunder Digest: Australia’s next investment upswing, 21 March 2017).
Timely indicators of activity, such as retail sales and exports, have also lifted in recent months, partly because they were held back by wet weather (including Cyclone Debbie), which weighed on GDP in Q1.
Given an earlier bounce-back than we had expected (we were expecting the bounce-back to be stronger into Q3), we now expect Q2 GDP growth (due out on 6 September) to be 0.9% q-o-q (previously 0.5%).
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.29.41%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.29.41%20AM.png" alt="">
However, we now expect a little less growth in Q3 and Q4 and are maintaining our through-the-year forecast for 3.3% y-o-y over 2017 (Chart 4).
The lift in economic activity is also starting to spread to Western Australia, which is the region that had been hardest hit by the end of the mining boom. Jobs growth in Western Australia has picked up to be running at around 1.5% y-o-y, up from falling at that pace 12 months earlier (Chart 5).
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.31.04%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.31.04%20AM.png" alt="">
As we pointed out in a recent piece, the improvement in conditions in the mining states, particularly in Western Australia, is a signal that the process of rebalancing growth following the end of the mining boom has almost come to its end (Downunder Digest: States reveal the rebalancing act is almost done, 21 July 2017). For the RBA, this should mean that it may no longer need to maintain its current highly accommodative stance of policy.
Wages growth sluggish but expected to pick up
A key challenge for the RBA is that although growth is expected to pick up and the labour market is tightening, wages growth remains sluggish. The wage price index rose by 1.9% y-o-y in Q2, which is around its slowest pace on record, although it appears to have stabilised in recent quarters (Chart 6).
However, we expect wages growth to edge higher in coming quarters for a number of reasons. First, the minimum wage was lifted by more this year than last year, which should directly add around 0.2-0.3ppts to wages growth from Q3 2017.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.32.12%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.32.12%20AM.png" alt="">
Second, the labour market is tightening, which should provide some support for wages growth. Third, there is a strong positive historical correlation between corporate profits in Australia and wages growth. Typically, when profitability improves, as it has done recently, some of this additional income feeds through to the household sector in the form of wages growth (see Downunder Digest: Show me the money, 20 April 2017).
The AUD has risen but so have commodity prices
Another concern has been that the Australian dollar has risen recently and that this could weigh on growth, by reducing export competitiveness and driving import substitution, and could also weigh on inflation. However, it is important to keep in mind that the increase in the AUD has been accompanied by a pick-up in the prices of Australia’s commodity exports, led by iron ore and coal, and a lift in global growth.
Because of this, the RBA has been reluctant to suggest that the AUD ought to fall. In its public commentary the RBA has, instead noted that ‘an appreciating exchange rate would be expected to result in a slower pick-up in economic activity and inflation than currently forecast’.
There is clearly considerable uncertainty about what the lift in the AUD could mean for the Australian economy. A pure mechanical model would suggest that a 10% rise in the real trade- weighted AUD index would weigh on export growth to the tune of 4% of exports. However, this assumes all else equal. If the lift in the AUD reflects a pick-up in global growth or commodity 
prices, the rise in the currency may itself be a signal of better growth to come (see Downunder Digest: Trade leads the way, 24 August 2017). Historically, it has often been the case that the first sign that local growth is set to pick up shows up in a higher Australian currency.
RBA Governor Lowe says ‘up rather than down’
At a testimony to a parliamentary committee the RBA Governor, Phil Lowe, noted that the current market pricing implying a greater probability of a rate rise than a reduction was a ‘reasonable assumption’. He stated that it is reasonable to assume that the ‘next rate move will be up rather than down’, but that ‘it’s quite some time away if things play out as we expect’.
That the next move is likely to be up is a view we have had since September 2016 (The RBA Observer: The case for no more cuts is strengthening, 30 September 2016). As we noted last month, the RBA does not give forward guidance. So Governor Lowe’s comments are by no means a promise to deliver but are instead his best current judgement as to what is likely, given the RBA’s forecasts.
We see the first hike as likely to arrive a bit earlier than the market is currently pricing. Our view partly hinges on continued expected concerns about the housing market. Although the RBA has been noting that there are ‘signs that conditions in the Sydney and Melbourne markets had eased somewhat’, the housing price growth in these markets is still running at double-digit rates y-o-y (Chart 8).
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.33.08%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.33.08%20AM.png" alt="">
If, as we expect, by early 2018, growth is running at an above trend pace, underlying inflation is back in the 2-3% target band (albeit around the bottom edge of the band) and wages growth is past its trough, the RBA may see little need to maintain its highly accommodative monetary policy stance, particularly given its ongoing concerns about the exuberance in the housing market.
Fixed income: more front-end risk premium
There have been modest signs of a cyclical improvement in the region since we turned bullish on bonds in Q1. Given the RBA’s one-sided guidance – that the next move is likely to be a hike – this argues for more money market risk premium and we see the 2-3Y segment of the swap curve as most vulnerable to re-pricing, having lagged the move higher in the RBA dates.
Fundamentally, it is also worth noting that above-average increases to the minimum wage and fair work awards as well as rising utility prices should add around 0.2ppts to the y-o-y rates of both the wage price index and headline CPI, respectively, in Q3. While the long-term impact is uncertain, such prints should at least embolden those arguing that these gauges have bottomed. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.34.10%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/04/Screen%20Shot%202017-09-04%20at%208.34.10%20AM.png" alt=""> 
Yet there is little to fear for long-dated bonds even if central banks tighten policy as our economists expect in Q1 2018, sooner than currently priced. History tells us that yield curves flatten when the RBA hikes and long-end rates often fall (Chart 10). That valuations are not stretched, especially on a cross-market basis, emboldens our view (see AUD &amp; NZD Rates: Little to fear for the long-end, 30 August 2017). 
 <a href="https://www.about.hsbc.com.au/hsbc-in-australia/management-team" target="_blank">PAUL BLOXHAM</a> IS CHIEF ECONOMIST (AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND) FOR HSBC. 
<div class="page" title="Page 1">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
<div class="page" title="Page 2">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
 
</div>
</div>
</div>
 
</div>
</div>
</div>
</body></html>

Latest Expert Insights

The inflation result the property market was waiting for

Guides

Editor's Picks

Guides

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News

Latest Expert Insights

The inflation result the property market was waiting for

Guides

Editor's Picks

Receive the latest news stories to your inbox

Guides

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News