<p data-end="1587" data-start="1236">The Victorian Government has secured the passage of the Building Legislation and Treasury Legislation (Tax Relief) Amendment Bill 2026, introducing a suite of reforms aimed at improving consumer protection and confidence in the apartment market.</p>

<p data-end="1587" data-start="1236">Resilience Insurance, Australia’s leading Latent Defects Insurance (LDI) provider, has welcomed the move.</p>

<p>The LDI elements of the Bill passed with bipartisan support and now moves to the Legislative Council where debate and passage are expected later this month. It represents a significant milestone in the national shift toward stronger, longer-term protection for apartment buyers.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The reform would deliver practical benefits across the housing system. Apartment owners will have stronger protection if major defects emerge, developers and builders will have a clearer quality framework to work within, and the State will reduce the risk of serious building failures becoming a long-term financial and social burden for households, communities and government.&nbsp;</p>

<p>LDI helps support apartment delivery while providing stronger protection for buyers and encouraging better construction outcomes.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Resilience LDI provides apartment owners with 10 years of insurance-backed cover for major structural defects from completion, with direct claim access to the insurer. This means owners are not required to first pursue developers or builders through costly legal action before accessing protection.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Resilience Insurance has been operating in Australia since 2022 and has already insured hundreds of development projects covering many thousands of apartments across Australia.&nbsp;</p>

<p>At approximately 1.8 per cent of build cost, it is a cost-competitive alternative to the traditional two per cent Strata Bond, bond while delivering significantly broader and longer protection.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“The Victorian Lower House vote shows that reforms like this succeed when they are practical, evidence-based and supported by industry," says Corey Nugent, CEO of Resilience Insurance.</p>

<p>"Victoria is moving quickly on a reform that will make a real difference for apartment buyers, while supporting better building outcomes and greater confidence in apartment delivery.</p>

<p>“This is step one. We look forward to the Bill completing its passage through the Legislative Council and to working with government and industry to implement the framework effectively.”&nbsp;</p>

<p>Fast Facts: What is Resilience LDI?&nbsp;</p>

<ul>
	<li>Resilience Latent Defects Insurance (LDI): Covers major structural defects for 10 years from completion.&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Consumer-first: Direct claim access, no need for lengthy legal action.&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Cost advantage: At approximately 1.8% of build cost, LDI is typically priced below the traditional 2% Strata Bond while offering broader protection.&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Market leader: Resilience Insurance is the first approved LDI provider in NSW.</li>
</ul>


The Building Legislation and Treasury Legislation (Tax Relief) Amendment Bill 2026 has passed the Victorian Lower House, putting Victoria on track to become the first state to legislate an industry workable LDI framework as a formal alternative to the Strata Building bond. 

Joel Robinson

10-year Latent Defects Insurance for new apartment buyers set to land in Victoria

<p>Just a few months after acquiring a prime Broadbeach site on the corner of First Avenue and Surf Parade, family-run developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/raptis">Raptis</a> has filed fresh plans for a new apartment development.</p>

<p>Raptis is seeking to deliver a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/17-19-first-avenue-broadbeach-qld-4217">29-storey tower with 73 apartments</a> on the 818 sqm site. It will be the developer's seventh project in the suburb, as they are approaching completion of The Sterling on George Avenue.</p>

<p>There will be a pool, barbecue and outdoor dining area, residents lounge and dining, sauna and steam room, gym, and a Yoga and Pilates studio.</p>

<p><img alt="Raptis" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b554da3f-7344-49aa-b1c9-44cf459af0d7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-05%20at%2010.41.45%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=zzjWu1iO1wnuYv4EV4fyOyf5nSXjGYut" /></p>

<p>Raptis Joint Managing Director, Evan Raptis, says they remain&nbsp;committed to developing quality infill sites across the Gold Coast in the lead-up to the 2032 Brisbane Olympics.</p>

<p>"This project continues our long track record of delivery in Broadbeach, and we look forward to bringing another premium development to this thriving precinct."</p>

<p>The announcement follows strong delivery momentum for Raptis, with The Sterling Broadbeach nearing completion and construction well underway on the final stage of the Waterpoint community adjacent to Harbour Town. The developer's continued investment in the Gold Coast reflects confidence in the region's apartment market fundamentals, underpinned by sustained Southeast Queensland population growth.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The outlook for the region is further bolstered by infrastructure investment tied to the Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games, which is expected to drive continued economic and population growth across the SEQ corridor.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Subject to a favourable response from Gold Coast City Council, construction on the new First Avenue tower is targeted to commence before the end of 2026.&nbsp;</p>

<p><em>Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/it-s-all-in-the-family-four-decades-later-raptis-continues-to-shape-the-gold-coast-skyline">It’s all in the family: Four decades later, Raptis continues to shape the Gold Coast skyline</a></em></p>

<p><em>Read more: <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/raptis-secures-prime-surf-parade-site-for-next-broadbeach-apartment-development">Raptis secures prime Surf Parade site for next Broadbeach apartment development</a></em><br />
&nbsp;</p>


Gold Coast developer brings seventh Broadbeach project to market, targeting construction commencement before year end

First look: Raptis lodges plans for new 29-storey Broadbeach tower 

<p>Brisbane development veteran Kevin Seymour's Seymour Group is set to deepen its presence on one of Brisbane's most tightly held riverfront addresses, lodging revised plans for a luxury apartment development on Oxlade, just a few doors down from The Oxlade, which it completed in 2024.</p>

<p>The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/70-72-oxlade-drive-new-farm-qld-4005">new project at 70-72 Oxlade Drive</a>, directly north of The Oxlade, will have 27 apartments across a seven-storey building&nbsp;overlooking the Brisbane River and Merthyr Park. It's a revision from a 2021-approved design.</p>

<p>Designed by bureau^proberts, the project has evolved from the previously approved 26-apartment scheme, introducing an additional penthouse level while maintaining a low-density, boutique character. The development will comprise 26 three-bedroom apartments and a single four-bedroom penthouse, supported by two basement levels with 86 car spaces and 34 bicycle spaces.</p>

<p>The architectural response is centred around two distinct building forms separated by a landscaped open-air atrium.&nbsp;"This dual composition captures and embraces Brisbane’s subtropical environment whilst breaking down built form and scale," the submission to the Brisbane City Council noted.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Seymour Group returns to Oxlade Drive with revised riverfront apartment plans in New Farm" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c12d84d0-bc11-4067-b46f-5bd2d786a34d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/new%20farm%20landscape.png?VersionId=YEPc2k5CAdh6aAPlu4uVpgZadh4MEfRd" /></p>

<p>A defining feature of the design is a deep landscaped void running through the centre of the building, creating what bureau^proberts describes as a "natural ravine" that enhances airflow, daylight penetration and resident amenity. The design report notes that the separation of the two building volumes is intended to maximise natural light, cross-ventilation and outlook while strengthening connections to the surrounding riverfront setting.</p>

<p>Curved balcony edges, integrated planting and extensive landscaping throughout the façade reinforce the subtropical design approach. The building's façade is softened by elevated gardens and planter beds, creating a green edge that complements the established landscape character of Oxlade Drive and neighbouring Merthyr Park.</p>

<p>New Farm has become one of Brisbane's most sought-after suburbs for developers delivering premium downsizer-focused apartments.</p>

<p>GRAYA has been particularly active in the precinct, completing both Chalk and York in recent years, while construction of Moray House, being delivered for Spyre, is now nearing completion. Architect-turned-developer Joe Adsett recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/arcilla-new-farm-by-joe-adsett-28-maxwell-street-new-farm-qld-4005">Arcilla on Maxwell Street</a>, an exclusive collection of just nine apartments.</p>


First look: Seymour Group returns to New Farm's Oxlade Drive with riverfront apartment plans

<p>A new residential tower will be the first piece of a broader mixed-use precinct set to reshape a prominent Newcastle West site, with local developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> bringing its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/cambridge-quarter-newcastle-west-12-denison-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Cambridge Quarter</a> vision to market.</p>

<p>The first release, Tempo, will introduce 87 apartments across a 24-storey tower, marking Stage 1 of the residential component of a larger urban regeneration project planned for the western end of Newcastle's city centre, encompassing the former Cambridge Hotel site.</p>

<p>Positioned on Denison Street, Tempo has been designed as the inaugural building within Cambridge Quarter, a precinct that will ultimately combine apartments, retail activation and revitalised public spaces including the revamping of the Cambridge Hotel.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135876 project_image_fid=368853]</p>

<p>The tower will comprise a mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments, including layouts with multipurpose rooms, catering to a broad cross-section of owner-occupiers. Apartment sizes range from around 60 sqm to 192 sqm, with a number of residences oriented to capture views across Newcastle Harbour, the city skyline and coastline.</p>

<p>GWH has emphasised liveability in the design, with open-plan layouts extending to generous balconies and terraces. Residents will have a choice of two interior palettes, while specifications include engineered stone benchtops, SMEG appliances, full-height bathroom tiling and secure building access. Premium upgrade packages will also be available.</p>

<p>Multiple rooftop resident retreats will provide communal outdoor space overlooking the harbour and city, offering an elevated amenity layer above the activity of the precinct below.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135876 project_image_fid=368851]</p>

<p>The broader Cambridge Quarter vision extends beyond the residential tower itself. Ground-level retail activation and landscaped public areas are planned throughout the precinct, creating a walkable neighbourhood environment connected to the surrounding renewal of Newcastle West. The Cambridge Hotel is also earmarked for future redevelopment into a family-friendly hospitality venue integrated with the new precinct.</p>

<p>The project is strategically positioned within walking distance of Newcastle Interchange, providing access to light rail, regional rail services and direct connections to Sydney. Residents will also be close to Honeysuckle, Newcastle Harbour and the city's beaches and coastal walkways.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135876 project_image_fid=368852]</p>

<p>For GWH, Cambridge Quarter represents one of its most significant Newcastle developments to date. The locally based developer, which has operated in the Hunter region since 1995, describes the project as a new chapter in the ongoing transformation of Newcastle West.</p>

<p>GWH Executive Director Jonathan Craig said the project had been shaped by a focus on creating lasting community connections.</p>

<p>"We take pride in creating places that last. Spaces where people feel connected, comfortable and a genuine sense of belonging," Craig said.</p>

<p>"Cambridge Quarter is something we are truly proud of, a place shaped by local knowledge, built with care and designed to be part of Newcastle's next chapter."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135876]</p>


GWH unveils first release at landmark Cambridge Quarter precinct in Newcastle West

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ss-projects">S&amp;S Projects</a>,&nbsp;Rainbow Bay's busiest developer,&nbsp;has officially lodged plans for the largest development in its booming local portfolio, seeking approval for a further 88 apartments on Boundary Street.</p>

<p>The proposal&nbsp;at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">209–213 Boundary Street, Coolangatta</a>,&nbsp;marks the next chapter in the developer's transformation of the southern Gold Coast beachside precinct. It will be its fifth in the area, having already delivered Flow, Awaken and Esprit, while construction continues on the 38-apartment Radia. The new project would rise 57 metres above a consolidated 1,518 sqm site, on the same street as Radia and Esprit.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cottee-parker-architects">Cottee Parker</a>, the proposed development comprises 88 two and three-bedroom apartments across a contemporary podium-and-tower form that integrates extensive landscaping from street level through to the rooftop.</p>

<p>The tower would be delivered above a basement and multi-level podium accommodating resident and visitor parking, with the residential component commencing from level three. The design incorporates cascading planting throughout the façade, landscaped podium edges, and deep planting zones along the Boundary Street frontage.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: S&amp;S Projects lodges plans for 88-apartment wellness tower at Coolangatta's Boundary Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="677e6615-b5c0-4b6c-b4f9-efb14fcde1a6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/ss%20da%20pers.png?VersionId=YOnPKQm7IFXv0M5H326djEpxk80500Hi" /></p>

<p>A key feature of the development is its expansive rooftop wellness and recreation precinct. Plans reveal a resort-style pool deck, gymnasium, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, rooftop terraces, barbecue areas and landscaped relaxation spaces positioned to capture views across the southern Gold Coast coastline.</p>

<p>The rooftop wellness focus builds on the vision S&amp;S Projects first outlined when it acquired the site for $20.25 million last year.</p>

<p>"We are taking every advantage to create a truly unique rooftop wellness experience with a natural feel for residents, offering stone features throughout and an underlying theme that emulates a botanical garden," S&amp;S Projects founder and director Paul Gedoun said at the time.</p>

<p>The proposal seeks a 57-metre building height, representing a 50 per cent uplift on the site's mapped 38-metre height limit. Planning documents argue the additional height is consistent with recently approved and emerging towers in the immediate Boundary Street and Rainbow Bay precinct.</p>

<p>Urbis, acting as planning consultant, said the development would provide "88 dwellings, comprising a mix of two and three-bedroom apartments, contributing to housing choice and supply within an established medium to high-rise coastal urban neighbourhood."</p>

<p>The scheme has undergone extensive pre-lodgement consultation with the City of Gold Coast, with the design refined following feedback relating to architectural expression, landscaping, traffic access and podium treatment.</p>

<p><img alt="S&amp;S" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0a2d70fd-62ac-4b83-97c6-b798fc1243dd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-05%20at%209.16.31%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=yHmghUwKM3IVGpBktQU1mE.0Lpf3WimG" /></p>

<p>The architectural team is led by Brisbane-based Cottee Parker, one of Australia's most active residential design studios, with landscape architecture by Dunn + Moran. The consultant team also includes ADG Engineers, Windtech and Acoustic Works.</p>

<p>S&amp;S Projects has become one of the most influential private developers operating on the southern Gold Coast. Since entering Rainbow Bay in 2022, the company has assembled a portfolio exceeding $1 billion in end value, establishing itself as a key player in the area's evolution into a premium apartment destination. Pezet Matheson will again handle the sales for S&amp;S.</p>

<p>Coolangatta is entering another wave of apartment development, following the delivery of several prominent residential projects in recent years.</p>

<p>John Kearney's Immerse Projects will launch&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kaiya-kirra-beach-5-haig-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Kaiya on Haig Street</a>&nbsp;soon, meanwhile, Palm Beach-based Sherpa Property Group is preparing to bring its debut Coolangatta development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-viver-87-griffith-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Flourish Viveré</a>, to market later this year, subject to approvals.</p>


First look: S&S Projects proposes 88-apartment wellness tower at Coolangatta's Boundary Street

<p>Sydney’s property market is known for high prices, competitive bidding, and mounting pressure on first home buyers. But change is on the horizon.</p>

<p>From late 2025, eligible first home buyers in New South Wales will have access to a new federal government initiative aimed at addressing affordability: the Help to Buy Scheme.&nbsp;</p>

<h2>What is the Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

<p>The program introduces a shared equity model intended to reduce the upfront cost of entering the property market, particularly in high-demand urban areas such as Sydney.</p>

<p>The scheme operates under a shared ownership structure in which the federal government takes an equity stake of up to 40 per cent for new homes, or 30 per cent for existing dwellings. This arrangement allows eligible buyers to significantly reduce their loan size and avoid the added cost of Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI).</p>

<p>Under this model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required. The government’s contribution is not a loan but a co-ownership stake in the property. As such, there is no interest or rent charged on its portion.</p>

<p>Because the government’s equity combined with the buyer’s deposit typically meets or exceeds the 20 per cent threshold, LMI does not apply. The remaining balance, generally between 60 and 70 per cent of the property’s value, is financed through a standard home loan with a participating lender.</p>

<p>The government's equity in the property remains in place until the buyer chooses to repay it voluntarily or until the property is sold. Buyers can buy back the government’s share over time, in increments of at least five per cent, depending on their financial situation.</p>

<p>There is no fixed repayment timeline, but the amount to be repaid will be based on the property's market value at the time of repayment, not the original purchase price.</p>

<h2>How do you qualify for the&nbsp;Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

<p>To qualify for the Help to Buy Scheme, applicants must meet the following conditions:</p>

<ul>
	<li>Be an Australian citizen at least 18 years of age.</li>
	<li>Be a first-home buyer who does not currently own property.</li>
	<li>Intend to live in the property as their primary residence.</li>
	<li>Earn less than $100,000 per year for individuals, or $160,000 for couples.</li>
	<li>Purchase a property within the regional price caps, currently $950,000 in Sydney, though this is expected to rise to approximately $1.3 million ahead of the program’s launch.</li>
</ul>

<p>While the Help to Buy Scheme does not solve affordability challenges across the board, it does offer a more accessible pathway for a defined segment of the market, particularly younger buyers with moderate incomes who have been priced out of traditional lending routes.</p>

<p>The scheme is expected to commence in NSW in late 2025, as part of a national rollout.</p>


Under the new model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required

Help to Buy Scheme: What first home buyers in NSW need to know

<p>The First Home Owners Grant (FHOG) is a government initiative designed to help eligible first-time home buyers by offering financial assistance towards the purchase or construction of a new home.</p>

<p>While the FHOG is a nationwide program, it is administered separately by each state and territory, meaning the eligibility criteria, grant amounts, and property requirements can vary depending on your location. This means that the amount available and the conditions attached to the grant will differ, so it is important to check the specific guidelines for your state or territory.</p>

<p>It’s important to note that the FHOG is just one of several incentives available to first home buyers. In most states and territories, the grant is not linked to stamp duty exemptions or concessions, with the exception of the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). The FHOG is typically a one-off payment, reducing the overall cost of purchasing or building a new home before any stamp duty concessions are applied.</p>

<p>Below, we provide a breakdown of the First Home Owner Grants available across Australia, outlining the specific details for each state and territory.</p>

<h2>New South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

<p><strong data-end="252" data-start="225">First Home Owner Grant:</strong> Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $600,000. For land purchases and owner-builders, the threshold extends to $750,000.</p>

<p><strong data-end="413" data-start="389">Stamp Duty Benefits:</strong> Provides full stamp duty exemption for homes valued up to $800,000, with concessions available for properties up to $1 million.</p>

<h2>Victoria South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

<p><strong>First Home Owner Grant:</strong> Provides a $10,000 grant for first-home buyers purchasing or building new homes valued up to $750,000.</p>

<p><strong>Stamp Duty Benefits</strong>: Offers full stamp duty exemption for properties up to $600,000, with concessions available up to $750,000.</p>

<h2>Queensland First Home Owner Grant</h2>

<p><strong data-end="920" data-start="893">First Home Owner Grant:</strong> Offers $30,000 for contracts signed between 20 November 2023 and 30 June 2025. The FHOG applies to new homes valued up to $750,000.</p>

<p><strong data-end="1162" data-start="1135">Stamp Duty Concessions:</strong> Provides additional concessions for properties valued up to $800,000.</p>

<h2>Western Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>First Home Owner Grant:</strong> Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $750,000 in the southern regions and up to $1 million in the northern regions.</p>

<p><strong>Stamp Duty Concessions:</strong> Available for homes valued up to $600,000 for transactions entered into on or after 9 May 2024.</p>

<h2>Australian Capital Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

<p><strong data-end="1617" data-start="1590">First Home Owner Grant:</strong> Replaced by the Home Buyer Concession Scheme, offering full stamp duty concessions for eligible buyers.</p>

<h2>South Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

<p><strong>First Home Owner Grant:</strong> Provides up to $15,000 for new homes, including houses, apartments, and townhouses. As of 6 June 2024, there is no property value cap for eligibility.</p>

<p><strong>Stamp Duty Relief:</strong> Available for new homes and vacant land purchases.</p>

<h2>Tasmania First Home Owner Grant</h2>

<p><strong>First Home Owner Grant</strong>: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes and off the plan purchases.</p>

<p><strong>Stamp Duty Exemption</strong>: Between 18 February 2024 and 30 June 2026, first home buyers of established homes valued up to $750,000 receive a full exemption on property transfer duty.</p>

<h2>Northern Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

<p><strong>First Home Owner Grant:</strong> The Northern Territory provides a $10,000 grant for new homes only. Additional government grants and concessions are available for first home buyers.</p>

<p><strong>Stamp Duty Exemption</strong>: The only stamp duty exemption available to property buyers is the House and Land Package Exemption (HLPE).</p>

<p><em>Eligibility criteria and application processes differ across states. Prospective buyers should refer to their respective state revenue offices for full details on grant availability, conditions, and additional concessions.</em></p>


Every First Home Owner Grant for new property by state

<p>In the ever-evolving landscape of sustainable architecture and environmentally conscious design, systems and ratings in place can help determine the energy efficiency of residential buildings in Australia.</p>

<p>Australia has multiple building rating systems that evaluate energy efficiency and sustainability in existing and new building designs.</p>

<p>Some systems assess individual building components, while others provide an overall rating for the entire structure.</p>

<p>A rating system ensures that homes are comfortable and energy-efficient, whether you are buying, renovating, or building.</p>

<p>NatHERS (Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme) is a common way for new homes to meet energy efficiency requirements.</p>

<p>As new developments continue to shape the urban environment, understanding NatHERS ratings becomes essential for developers and homeowners. This article delves into the concept of NatHERS ratings, their significance, and how they contribute to creating energy-efficient homes.</p>

<h2>What is NatHERS?</h2>

<p>NatHERS is a national initiative implemented by the Australian government to promote energy efficiency in residential buildings. The scheme aims to provide a standardised method for assessing the thermal performance of homes, considering factors such as insulation, orientation, ventilation, and building materials.&nbsp;</p>

<p>NatHERS ratings are the most common way new homes meet the National Construction Code's (NCC's) minimum energy efficiency requirements.&nbsp;</p>

<p>NatHERS assessments provide thermal and whole-home ratings for new homes, townhouses, and apartments.</p>

<p>The rating helps evaluate the energy performance of buildings, guides homeowners and developers to make informed decisions about the energy efficiency of their properties, and encourages the construction of more sustainable, comfortable, and cost-effective homes.</p>

<h2>How NatHERS Ratings Work</h2>

<p>NatHERS ratings are determined through four accredited software tools (AccuRate, BERS Pro, FirstRate5, HERO) using a calculation engine CSIRO developed to predict building temperature based on various factors.</p>

<p>The tools can model complex effects of building mass, insulation, window size, and other elements.</p>

<p>The outcome is a star rating that reflects the building's overall thermal efficiency, indicating how well it can maintain a comfortable indoor temperature without excessive reliance on heating or cooling systems.</p>

<p>The star rating scale ranges from 0 to 10, with a 6-star rating being the minimum requirement for compliance with the National Construction Code (NCC).&nbsp;</p>

<p>Achieving a higher star rating demonstrates a commitment to energy efficiency and sustainability, as the building is better equipped to minimise its environmental impact and reduce long-term energy costs.</p>

<p>Anyone can use NatHERS tools, but accredited assessors can provide certified ratings and professional advice.</p>

<h2>Benefits of Higher NatHERS Ratings</h2>

<p><strong>Energy Efficiency:</strong> Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings are more energy-efficient, requiring less heating and cooling energy. This reduces the structure's carbon footprint and lowers occupants' energy bills.</p>

<p><strong>Cost Savings:</strong> Homes with higher NatHERS ratings are generally more energy-efficient, resulting in reduced energy consumption for heating and cooling. This translates to lower energy bills for homeowners, making sustainable living environmentally friendly and economically viable in the long run.</p>

<p><strong>Environmental Impact:</strong> Lower energy consumption directly translates to a reduced environmental impact. Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings contribute to the overall goal of mitigating climate change by lowering greenhouse gas emissions associated with heating and cooling systems.</p>

<p><strong>Improved Comfort: </strong>Buildings with high NatHERS ratings offer better thermal comfort to occupants. Proper insulation, well-designed ventilation, and optimal orientation maintain a consistent and comfortable indoor temperature, providing occupants with a more enjoyable and healthier space.</p>

<p><strong>Market Value and Desirability:</strong> Higher NatHERS ratings can enhance the market value of a property. As energy efficiency becomes a more significant consideration for homebuyers, a well-rated building may attract a premium price and stand out in the real estate market.</p>

<p><strong>Compliance with Building Codes:</strong> NatHERS ratings are a vital component of the National Construction Code (NCC), and compliance with these ratings is often a mandatory requirement for new developments. Local councils and planning authorities may set minimum energy efficiency standards that must be met to obtain development approval.</p>


The Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme (NatHERS) is a crucial initiative shaping the future of energy-efficient, resilient, and cost-effective homes. With its recent upgrades, NatHERS has evolved into a world-leading tool for the building sector, supporting the global commitment to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.

Staff Writer

What is a NatHERS rating in new off the plan apartment developments?

<p>Mixed-use developments have gained significant popularity across Australia in recent years due to their unique blend of residential, commercial, and recreational spaces.</p>

<p>Unlike traditional single-purpose developments, mixed-use projects offer a harmonious integration of various functions within a single locale.</p>

<p>Residential units seamlessly coexist with commercial establishments, retail outlets, dining venues, entertainment hubs, and recreational facilities, with the combination not only enhances convenience but also fosters a vibrant lifestyle and a sense of community.</p>

<h3>Convenience and accessibility</h3>

<p>Mixed-use developments are designed with convenience in mind. They often integrate residential units with commercial spaces, retail outlets, restaurants, and recreational facilities, creating a self-contained community.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=204874]</p>

<p>The proximity allows residents to enjoy the convenience of having essential amenities and services within walking distance. Whether it's grabbing a cup of coffee, going grocery shopping, or accessing healthcare services, everything is conveniently located, saving residents time and effort.</p>

<h3>Vibrant lifestyle and community</h3>

<p>One of the major advantages of mixed-use developments is the vibrant lifestyle they offer. With a diverse range of amenities and communal spaces, residents have ample opportunities to interact, socialise, and build a sense of community.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=107714 project_image_fid=214122]</p>

<p>The presence of parks, community centres, and shared spaces fosters a lively atmosphere, encouraging residents to engage in various activities and events. The vibrant lifestyle within these developments creates a unique sense of belonging and camaraderie among the residents.</p>

<h3>Potential for higher rental yields and property value appreciation</h3>

<p>Mixed-use developments tend to attract a broad range of tenants and buyers due to their versatile nature. This high demand can result in higher rental yields for investors and potentially lead to property value appreciation over time.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=139989 project_image_fid=212887]</p>

<p>The integration of commercial and retail spaces attracts businesses, which can provide a stable rental income stream. Additionally, the popularity of mixed-use developments often drives up property values, making them a potentially lucrative investment in the long term.</p>

<h3>Enhanced security and maintenance</h3>

<p>Mixed-use developments typically have comprehensive security measures in place. With controlled access points, CCTV surveillance, and professional security staff, residents can enjoy enhanced safety and peace of mind.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=212658]</p>

<p>Additionally, these developments often have dedicated maintenance teams responsible for the upkeep of common areas, landscaping, and infrastructure. This ensures that the overall appearance and functionality of the development are well-maintained, creating a pleasant living environment for residents.</p>

<h3>Live-work-play balance</h3>

<p>One of the key attractions of mixed-use developments is the ability to achieve a desirable live-work-play balance. The integration of residential and commercial spaces allows residents to live closer to their workplaces, reducing commuting time and improving work-life balance.</p>

<p>The proximity to various amenities and recreational facilities encourages an active and healthy lifestyle. Residents can easily access fitness centres, parks, restaurants, and entertainment options, all within the same development, leading to a more fulfilling and convenient way of life.</p>


alisonwarters@gmail.com

The top five reasons to buy in a mixed-use development

<p style="line-height: 1.38;">When buying a property, everyone needs to be aware of the additional costs that come as part of the buying process.</p>

<p style="line-height: 1.38;">Often the largest outlay, after the deposit which goes to the bank, is stamp duty.</p>

<h2 style="line-height: 1.38;">What is Stamp Duty?</h2>

<p>Stamp duty is an extra tax to pay the government when you buy land, a property, and other certain assets.</p>

<p>It happens when the legal ownership is transferred. It can also be known as property transfer duty or transfer duty.</p>

<p style="line-height: 1.38;"><iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/C32BWkB5--c" title="YouTube video player" width="660"></iframe></p>

<h2>Who pays Stamp Duty?</h2>

<p>In some circumstances, you may get an exemption. For some states, you won’t have to pay for stamp duty if you are a first home buyer or a pensioner for houses under a particular price. There are also stamp duty concessions, where you may be entitled to a discount.</p>

<h2>How much does Stamp Duty cost?</h2>

<p>Each state has different rules which affect how much you need to pay. These rules can affect the rate you pay, and the timeframe you will need to pay in. Before you buy land or a property, make sure you check the up-to-date information for your state’s stamp duty.</p>

<p>You can use a free stamp duty calculator online to see approximately how much you’ll need to pay. Find out if you’re eligible for an exemption by enquiring on a project via Urban!</p>

<p>Overall, the stamp duty you need to pay will depend on:</p>

<ul>
	<li aria-level="1">How much your land/property is worth</li>
	<li aria-level="1">Where your land/property is located</li>
	<li aria-level="1">What type of land/property it is</li>
</ul>

<p style="line-height:1.38">Want to find out more? <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanAustralia?utm_source=YouTube&amp;utm_medium=Video&amp;utm_campaign=Subscribe&amp;utm_id=Subscribe">Subscribe to our YouTube channel</a> for more property videos.</p>


Ellen Walker

Off-the-plan property explained: What is stamp duty?

<p>Australia’s online shopping habits have shifted dramatically over the last decade. As eCommerce volumes surged, so too did the frustrations that came with traditional parcel delivery: missed deliveries, long Post Office queues, parcel theft and the challenge of being home during business hours.</p>

<p>Australia Post’s Parcel Lockers emerged as one of the more practical responses to that changing consumer behaviour.</p>

<p>What started as a relatively niche delivery option has evolved into a nationwide network of more than 1,400 self-service Parcel Lockers positioned at train stations, shopping centres, supermarkets and Post Offices across the country. The system allows Australians to send, collect and return parcels 24 hours a day, fundamentally changing how many people interact with deliveries.</p>

<p>The appeal is relatively straightforward: flexibility.</p>

<p>Instead of waiting at home for a delivery driver or rushing to a Post Office before closing time, users can direct eligible parcels to a Parcel Locker location of their choice. Once the parcel arrives, Australia Post sends a notification with a collection code or QR access through the AusPost app, allowing customers to retrieve their package at any time within the collection window.</p>

<p>For apartment residents in particular, the system has become increasingly valuable.</p>

<p>Higher-density living has created logistical challenges around deliveries, especially in buildings without concierge services or secure parcel rooms. Missed deliveries are common, while parcel theft has become an increasing concern as online shopping volumes continue to rise.</p>

<p><iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/dVG5ChLHf7E?si=7FZ1Sk-Vm60JbLwi" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe></p>

<p>Australia Post itself has repeatedly highlighted the growing issue of “porch pirates” during peak shopping periods, encouraging customers to use Parcel Lockers as a safer alternative to unattended home deliveries.</p>

<p>That security aspect is one of the key reasons the Australia Post Parcel Locker network has grown so rapidly.</p>

<p>Parcel Lockers are positioned as secure, monitored collection points that reduce the risk of theft while also improving delivery efficiency for Australia Post. Instead of multiple redelivery attempts, parcels can be consolidated into a single secure destination.</p>

<p>The Parcel Lockers themselves are free to use through a MyPost account and support a range of parcel sizes up to 16 kilograms and dimensions of approximately 35 x 44 x 61 centimetres.</p>

<p>Beyond receiving parcels, the system has increasingly become integrated into the broader eCommerce ecosystem.</p>

<p>Customers can now use Parcel Lockers to return online purchases, while retailers have embraced the model as a way to improve delivery success rates and reduce friction in the shopping process. Australia Post has actively expanded partnerships with major retailers and promoted Parcel Lockers as part of a broader out-of-home strategy.</p>

<p>The timing of that expansion aligns with broader changes in Australian shopping behaviour.</p>

<p>The acceleration of online retail during and after the pandemic placed enormous pressure on delivery infrastructure. Parcel volumes reached record highs, particularly during Black Friday and Christmas periods, with Australia Post delivering more than 100 million parcels during peak festive seasons.</p>

<p>That growth forced logistics providers to rethink the “last mile” of delivery, widely regarded as the most expensive and operationally difficult stage of the process.</p>

<p>Parcel Locker systems have increasingly been viewed as part of the long-term solution.</p>

<p>The concept itself is not unique to Australia. Parcel Locker networks have become common globally, particularly across Europe and Asia, where dense urban environments and apartment living create similar logistical challenges. But Australia’s geography and suburban sprawl made adoption slower initially.</p>

<p>Now, however, the convenience factor is driving mainstream usage.</p>

<p>For commuters, Parcel Lockers near train stations allow parcels to be collected on the way home from work. For apartment dwellers, they remove the uncertainty around access and missed deliveries.</p>

<p>The rise of the AusPost app has also streamlined the experience, centralising notifications, tracking and Parcel Locker access into a single platform. Australia Post has increasingly pushed customers toward app-based delivery management, partly as a way to combat phishing scams and fake delivery notifications, which have become more sophisticated in recent years.</p>

<p>The Parcel Locker model is also beginning to influence property development itself.</p>

<p>Parcel management has become a growing consideration in apartment building design, particularly as online shopping becomes embedded in everyday life. Many new residential developments are now incorporating dedicated parcel rooms or Parcel Locker systems into foyers and communal spaces.</p>

<p>For developers, parcel management is increasingly viewed as part of the broader resident amenity offering, alongside gyms, wellness spaces and communal work areas.</p>

<p>That reflects a wider evolution in how residential buildings are designed.</p>

<p>Apartment buyers are placing greater emphasis on convenience, security and operational functionality, particularly in higher-density urban environments. Parcel delivery, once considered a minor operational detail, has become an increasingly important part of that equation.</p>

<p>Australia Post’s Parcel Locker network sits at the centre of that behavioural shift.</p>

<p>What began as a simple alternative delivery option has evolved into a key piece of infrastructure supporting Australia’s growing eCommerce economy and changing urban lifestyles.</p>

<p>And as online shopping continues to expand, the role of Parcel Lockers is likely to become even more embedded in how Australians live, shop and receive goods.</p>


How Australia Post Parcel Lockers changed parcel delivery convenience in Australia

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<p>If there were a term that I would love to see introduced into the Australian property vernacular it would be just the one word – “shifts”.</p>
<p>For some time now I have found it most frustrating the way commentators and (to a much lesser extent) politicians raise topics, such as housing affordability is a fine example, Headlines such as “Australia’s housing affordability improved in the first three months of 2016” mean very little and serve little purpose. The problem with the housing affordability debate is that it focuses on Sydney and Melbourne which are the two most sort after locations whilst there is no mention of the affordable areas.</p>
<p>Rather we should for example look at what’s actually driving our specific market demographics on a suburb by suburb basis. Only then can we actually get a proper idea of what is actually happening where, believe me, we are now seeing some healthy shifts and some alarming shifts.</p>
<p>For example, in many Sydney suburbs we are now seeing record low stock levels particularly with houses – so what caused these shifts? In the vast majority of cases it always comes back to government policies whether federal, state or local. The reason why we are seeing less houses on the markets is because property values have grown to such a level that the barrier is now stamp duty. For a house purchased at $3,000,000 it is $150,490 and a house purchased at $4,000,000 it is $220,490 so home owners are now going to Plan B – refinancing and renovating.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>When I speak to property valuers in our area I’m told that their workloads are now split 50/50 between purchases and re-financing which is a shift that started 3 years ago. Three years ago in Mosman there would be around 125 houses on the market each week where today there is around 50, so homeowners are refinancing to renovate with a view to a longer hold.</p>
<p>In November 2013, the value of housing finance was 26 percent higher than the previous year. This shift has continued ever since which clearly identifies where homeowners are shifting their monies taking household debts to historic highs with historic low interest rates.</p>
<p>Mosman has 5,890 houses approximately with 55 on the market today. Cremorne has 7,135 houses approximately with 7 on the market today. Neutral Bay has 1,109 houses approximately with 8 on the market today. Cammeray has 1,275 houses approximately with 9 on the market today. Northbridge has 1,914 houses approximately with 10 on the market today and Seaforth has 2,317 houses approximately with 18 on the market today. This has been the pattern for the last three years and don’t expect this to change any time soon.</p>
<p>Now when we look at the shifts in the new apartment markets this is where it gets scary because the blame here is shared equally between the state and federal governments. When the state government starts introducing a strategy for massive high–density developments and the federal government changes the ratio restrictions from 50 per cent to 100 per cent for overseas buyers on off–the–plan purchases, as I said a few years ago – train wreck.</p>
<p>Recently we read that the major banks ceased foreign lending so I immediately thought something is happening here as banks never turn away new revenue streams. Now we read that Westpac and the ANZ have found approximately $1 billion in Chinese mortgage application fraud. No doubt a precursor to the Australian Taxation Office clampdown on non – resident purchases so the anxious buyers then shifted to federal government endorsed off–the–plan purchases. It’s anyone’s guess where this will end up, although you would be right in saying this is only going to get worse. More particularly this has the potential so see a major revaluation of existing apartment purchases significantly down. Little wonder the major lenders announced recently that they were not approving any more loans in many Sydney suburbs.</p>
<p>Now shift your attention to the upcoming federal election where the Liberal party is not going to touch negative gearing and the Labor party are going to only make negative gearing available to new properties. Can you see another potential shift in the markets if negative gearing only applies to the new developments where given what’s currently happening nobody will be buying anything until these markets sort themselves out?</p>
<p>Then I read an article recently where Harry Triguboff announced that recently sales to Chinese buyers had halved and that Chinese buyers over the past few years had accounted for 80 percent of new Sydney apartment sales. Yes – 80 percent! Why is this not an election issue?</p>
<p>Now to put this into further perspective household consumption is actually what’s presently driving the Australian economy. In the December quarter 2015 national accounts household consumption delivered 0.4 percent of the total 0.6 percent growth.</p>
<p>Now there are a few shifts that need much closer examination. First signs for the NSW government will be a dramatic collapse in stamp duty revenues which is happening big time. The once ever dependable existing house market is renovating or has renovated so no financial joy there either. Then there will be a dependence on the off–the–plan purchases actually completing, although that’s looking shaky too. With 93 percent of investors preferring to buy existing properties and now the ALP wants them to but new properties – well that won’t work. We now know that nearly all the off–the–plan sales have gone to Asian investors.</p>
<p>The ALP need to be corrected on this as this policy change to negative gearing is Mining Tax Mark II.</p>
<h4>MOSMAN – 2088</h4>
<p>Number of houses on the market this time last year – 57</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market last week – 51</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market this week – 55</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 49</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market last week – 53</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this week – 50</p>
<h4>CREMORNE – 2090</h4>
<p>Number of houses on the market this time last year – 4</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market last week – 8</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market this week – 7</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 14</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market last week – 24</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this week – 23</p>
<h4>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h4>
<p>Number of houses on the market this time last year – 3</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market last week – 11</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market this week – 8</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 27</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market last week – 25</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this week – 21</p>
<p> </p>
<p><em><span>ROBERT SIMEON</span> is a director of </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> </em><em>and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. <br>He has also been writing real estate blog </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> </em><em>since 2000.</em></p>
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robertsimeon-hRNTwJyXkQ

Beware of the Sydney property shifts

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<div>It's quite commonly argued that if dwelling prices aren't rising then investors will rush to the exits in order to sell their properties, particularly those recording net rental losses. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>It was a popular but flawed argument in 2011 too, come to think of it.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, while a significant number of new negatively geared investors in Sydney and Melbourne <em>are</em> making painful losses right now - some of them by design, even! - most investors are not, particularly in the prevailing low interest rate environment. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>This is partly because cash flows on investment property generally improve over time, with only a small share of the total number of investment property owners having bought their asset in the past year.<br><br>It is also partly because the losses reported by the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) include non-cash costs, which aren't incurred annually by the owner.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Reported losses</span></strong>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Superficially it would appear that a high proportion of investors are losing a good deal of cash, with more than 1.25 million taxpayers claiming net rental losses in FY2014, the most recent tax year for which detailed figures are available to date. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/05/25/NG4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/05/25/NG4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, all is not quite as it first appears.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>One of the reasons for this is that non-cash costs (specifically capital works and depreciation allowances) account for a goodly chunk of the reported losses. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Indeed through increased awareness capital works claimed have increased substantially by 42 per cent since FY2011 to $2.7 billion.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/25/NG2.jpg" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/05/25/NG2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>This has been one of the contributing factors in reducing the average net rental loss by 64 percent since 2008, although of course the predominant influence has been falling interest rates. </div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/25/NG3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/05/25/NG3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div>
<br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Example</span></strong><br><br>As an example of why most informed investors for whom cash flow is a key consideration need not consider selling even if house prices are stagnant for a period of time - or even falling - refer to the below hypothetical example of a two year old house bought recently by an investor in Brisbane.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>After the mortgage interest repayments and other cash holding costs the investor is making a small loss of a couple of hundred bucks in the first year. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Yet because the house is relatively new the depreciation and capital allowances deductions are generous, allowing him or her to record a significant loss on their lodged tax return, thereby saving significant tax at their marginal rate.<br><br>Note that since tax is saved at the marginal rate, this strategy is particularly beneficial to higher rate taxpayers. </div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/25/NG1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/25/NG1.jpg" alt=""><br><br><span>The depreciation and capital allowances are clearly beneficial to the investor in this example.</span></p>
<div>Although the land component does not qualify for a capital works or a decline in value deduction, the total capital works and plant and equipment deduction claimable over 40 years might be around half of the total purchase price of the property (in th<span>is case, <span>~</span>$360,000). </span>
</div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>The ATO provides a detailed list of depreciable items in its Rental Properties Guide document.</span></div>
<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Observations</span></strong><br><br>This is rarely well understood in market analysis, in all likelihood because much of the commentary railing against negative gearing is naturally enough undertaken by folk that have never owned a rental.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The above example highlights a few things to me. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Firstly, for investors wanting a strong cash flow or to reduce their tax liability, nearly new or newly renovated properties can be attractive for their depreciation benefits, particularly houses. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Secondly, even if house prices are flat or fall for a period of time the investor in the example above is unlikely to be motivated to sell, particularly having already paid a lump sum of stamp duty and when considering the other entry and exit transaction costs. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>And thirdly, it seems obvious to me that (although I'm not campaigning for them myself) if it were deemed necessary there are a raft of potential avenues to tweak tax legislation to make property investment less attractive without taking a sledgehammer to the market. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Property investor average net loss reduced by 64 percent since 2008: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>Auction activity will rise this week, with CoreLogic currently monitoring a total of 2,301 capital city auctions, representing a 20 percent rise in activity compared with last week (1,920). </span></p>
<p><span>Despite the week-on-week rise, the number of capital city auctions compared to last year remains remarkably lower, given 2,792 were held over the same week last year.</span></p>
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<p><span><img src="/images/2016/05/25/Screen%20Shot%202016-05-26%20at%203.44.12%20PM.png" alt=""></span></p>
<p>One of the significant differences when comparing this year to last year is the activity in Sydney. One year ago, over the week there were 1,149 Sydney auctions, while this year there are currently 732 scheduled. In Melbourne, the difference is less noticeable, with 1,110 scheduled for this week, compared to 1,248 one year ago. </p>
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<p>The busiest individual suburb for auctions this week is Melbourne’s Glen Waverley, where a total of 25 residential properties will be taken to auction. Reservoir (19), Craigieburn (16) and South Yarra (16), also in Melbourne, follow on from Glen Waverley as the busiest auction suburbs this week.</p>
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<p><span>Summary of last </span><span>week’s </span><span>results: </span></p>
<p><span>After recording a preliminary clearance rate of 70 percent last week, the final auction clearance rate revised down slightly, to 68.9 percent across 1,765 auction results. </span></p>
<p><span>The two largest auction markets of Sydney and Melbourne recorded the strongest clearance rates last week, at 73.2 percent and 70 percent, respectively, followed by Adelaide (68.8 percent) and Canberra (67.2 percent). </span></p>
<p><span>Results from last week show that across Queensland, auction clearance rates remained within 10.5 percentage points across the three main auction markets of Brisbane (50.9 percent), the Gold Coast (44.1 percent) and the Sunshine Coast (54.6 percent). </span></p>
<p><span>Regional New South Wales auction clearance rates were relatively similar to what was seen across the </span><span>state’s </span><span>capital city, at 71 percent for Hunter and 70.4 percent for Wollongong. The Geelong clearance rate of 70 percent across 20 auction results was the same as Melbourne, at 70 percent across a much more substantial 797 results. </span></p>
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smiller-vwPjRHTkST

Auction activity will rise this week: CoreLogic RP Data's Shana Miller

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<div id="post-body-3534858795590951741" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>The Detailed Labour Force figures reported that Greater Sydney's unemployment rate fell to just 4.8 percent in April. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>When tracked in rolling annual terms to smooth out the monthly volatility, Sydney's unemployment rate has been cascading lower for 26 beautiful months now.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The unemployment rate in Melbourne has also been trending lower for 17 months, although the unemployment rate in Brisbane has stopped falling for the time being after an impressive run. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Across most of the capital cities ex-Sydney unemployment rates seem to be converging to around a 6 per cent level, neither great nor amazingly bad.<br><br>Adelaide has been the outlier on this measure.</div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/05/31/UNEMPLOYMENT.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/05/31/UNEMPLOYMENT.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>Over the past two years New South Wales and Victoria (read: Melbourne) have created more than 85 per cent of net new employment (+333,000 jobs), although Brisbane has had a more than decent past 12 months (+34,900 jobs). </div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/05/31/DLF1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/05/31/DLF1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><br></span></strong><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Residex April update</span></strong><br><div>
<br>CoreLogic is reporting that Sydney's median home value has increased by 6.9 percent over the last quarter, the figure perhaps skewed higher by the running of some new parameters.<br><br>
</div>
<div>In its monthly market update Residex reported that Sydney's median house price increased by 0.4 percent month of April to $1,046,000.  </div>
<div>
<br>This is 10.6 per cent higher than one year ago, although the median looks to be struggling a bit to break new highs now.</div>
<br><div>Despite various gloomy predictions and talk of oversupply, Sydney unit prices increased by 1.3 per cent in the harbour city over the thee months to April to be 10.5 per cent higher over the year.<br><br>The median Sydney unit price is now at a new record high for unit prices anywhere in Australia of $695,000.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Dichotomy</span></strong>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>How is this occurring despite lower stock turnover and somewhat lower mortgage finance in New South Wales?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Without generalizing too much, the inner suburbs (where most units are located) are seeing feisty activity, but many of the outer or secondary suburbs are struggling. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>You can witness this trend in auction clearance rates, with the eastern suburbs, lower north shore, city &amp; south, and northern beaches sub-regions continued star performers. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As you move away from the prized inner suburbs the market begins to look a little sketchier, while some areas are in all likelihood experienced declining prices.</div>
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<br><div>Remember that the reported median price is a midpoint of the frequency distribution, but it doesn't necessarily reflect what is happening across all markets.</div>
<br><div>Elsewhere, Residex reported that over the year to April there have been solid increases in house prices in Melbourne (10.8 per cent) and Brisbane (5.3 per cent). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Residex noted that value declines in resources regions, although ongoing, appear to be easing.</div>
<div> </div>
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<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Sydney apartments surge: Pete Wargent

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<p>The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has released its quarterly Authorised Deposit-taking Institution (ADI) property exposures data for the March 2016 quarter. </p>
<p>This data is really valuable as it provides additional insight into the mortgage market, including data which is not available from the monthly housing finance statistics.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-1-4-580x207.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-1-4-580x207.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The data initially focuses on outstanding total values and shows that at the end of the March 2016 quarter there was $906.7 billion outstanding to owner occupiers and $501.3 billion to investors.  While total lending continued to rise, up 8.7% year-on-year, it is interesting to see how the tilt away from investment lending has progressed.</p>
<p>Over the past 12 months, total investor lending has increased by just 0.1% with the total value of investor mortgage lending outstanding down -3.2% from its June 2015 quarter peak.  The data also indicates that investor credit growth now sits significantly below the APRA imposed 10% pa speed limit.  This could lead to a rebound in lending to investors over the coming quarters.  Total lending to owner occupiers has continued to increase and is up 14.0% year-on-year.  In terms of the total value of outstanding mortgages, owner occupiers account for 64.4% compared to 35.6% to investors.  The proportion of outstanding mortgages to investors has fallen sharply from its recent peak of 39.0% in June 2015.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-2-3-580x211.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-2-3-580x211.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Although the total value of outstanding mortgages is rising you can see that growth is generally slowing.  Mortgages with offset facilities account for a record-high 43.0% of all outstanding mortgages and the value of these mortgages has increased 20.4% year-on-year.  Interest-only mortgages account for 39.3% of total outstanding mortgages, with the value having increased by 9.6% year-on-year.  Reverse mortgages account for just 0.5% of all outstanding mortgages with the value of outstanding mortgages up 1.4% year-on-year.  Only 2.4% of the value of outstanding mortgages are for low-documentation loans and 0.1% are other non-standard loans.  Year-on-year the value of outstanding low-documentation mortgages is -16.5% lower and other non-standard mortgages are -4.0% lower.  In fact the total value of outstanding low-documentation and other non-standard mortgages is at a record low.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-3-3-580x208.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-3-3-580x208.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The average outstanding mortgage balance was recorded at $251,900 in March 2016, having increased by 4.8% year-on-year.  At the end of March 2016, the average outstanding balances across loan types were: $307,200 for loans with an offset, $334,400 for interest-only, $96,500 for reverse mortgages, $192,200 for low-documentation and $193,400 for other non-standard loans.  All loan types except for low-documentation (-1.1%) and other non-standard (-7.0%) have seen the average balance increase over the past year: offset (6.3%), interest-only (5.0%), reverse mortgages (2.4%).</p>
<p>To date, all data analysed has focused on total balances outstanding, the following data will focus specifically on quarterly new lending.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-4-2-580x208.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-4-2-580x208.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Over the March 2016 quarter there was $81.7 billion in new mortgage lending, which was the lowest quarterly value of new lending since the March 2014 quarter.  This figure comprises of $56.0 billion in lending to owner occupiers and $25.7 billion in lending to investors.  The value of new lending to owner occupiers has increased by 16.1% year-on-year while the value of investor lending is -25.5% lower year-on-year.  The value of new lending to investors is the lowest since the March 2013 quarter and is -37.7% lower from its peak over the June 2015 quarter.  The data indicates that there has been a significant pull-back in new lending to investors over recent quarters.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-5-1-580x207.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/06/01/Chart-5-1-580x207.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>With the value of new mortgage lending falling, the value of most loan types is now also falling.  Over the March 2016 quarter, 0.3% of new lending was for low documentation loans, 34.9% was for interest-only, 0.1% was for other non-standard loans, 46.5% was originated through third part channels and 3.8% of loans were approved outside of serviceability.  The value of new lending for low documentation mortgages was at a record low.  The value of new interest-only lending was the lowest since the March 2013 quarter.  The value of other non-standard lending was the lowest since the same quarter last year as was loans approved outside of serviceability.  The value of new mortgage lending by third parties was the lowest since the September 2014 quarter.</p>
<p>Higher loan to value ratio (LVR) lending is reducing meaning that borrowers are typically using larger deposits.  In fact, the value of new lending for LVRS above 90% in the March 2016 was the lowest since the March 2011 quarter and has fallen by -22.8% over the past year.  Lending for LVRs between 80% and 90% has increased by 2.7% year-on-year however, it has fallen over each of the past four quarters.  In fact, lending for LVRs above 80% represented 22.4% of all new lending in March 2016 which was its lowest proportion on record and well down from the peak in March 2009 where it accounted for 37.6% of all new lending.</p>
<p>The value of lending to investors is falling sharply as assessment criteria is tightened and investors are typically now charged a higher interest rate than owner occupiers.  Interest-only lending which APRA and the Reserve bank have previously sounded warnings about is also starting to fall and is now at its lowest level since March 2013.  Higher LVR lending which is associated with smaller deposits are also trending lower which indicates less risky lending.  The added benefit surrounding lower LVRs is that if a borrower has a deposit of more than 20% of the value of the property they can typically avoid lenders mortgage insurance (LMI).  New lending to loans outside of serviceability, low documentation loans and other non-standard loans has also been falling over recent quarters which is reflective of less risky lending practices being undertaken.  These emerging trends can only be positives for the stability and security of the Australian mortgage lending market.</p>
<p>Based on the data presented, it is apparent that tighter lending policies by lenders is having a noticeable impact on the mortgage market.</p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic RP Data. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.</em></p>
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Tighter lending policies see a reduction in investor and riskier lending types: Cameron Kusher

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<p class="Body">If you rely on mainstream media for your news, you probably won’t be aware of this: there has been a significant improvement in housing affordability in Australia recently.</p>
<p class="Body"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">In fact, my reading of the HIA’s Affordability Report for the March Quarter is that the Housing Affordability Index for Australia is now the best it’s been in five years. In some parts of the nation, the situation is the best it’s been in 13 years.</span></p>
<p class="Body">Affordability nationally improved 2.7 percent in the March Quarter, compared to the December Quarter, despite slightly higher interest rates.</p>
<p class="Body">Affordability is significantly better than it was five years ago, because interest rates are much lower (notwithstanding the recent out-of-cycle increases), average earnings have been gradually rising and price growth (meaning changes in the national median dwelling price) has been relatively muted, despite three years of big growth in Sydney.</p>
<p class="Body">Very little was said about this in Australia’s major newspapers. They’re simply not interested in facts that conflict with their cherished storylines about an affordability crisis, young Australians being priced out of the market by foreign investors and negatively-geared Australian investors, and the Great Australian Dream being dead.</p>
<p class="Body">A long-standing joke in journalistic circles is that you never let the facts get in the way of a good story. A good story is, by definition, a negative one. If it bleeds, it leads. If something comes along that doesn’t fit the formula (for example, portrays a positive scenario or contradicts beloved beliefs), bury it.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">So we have a situation where the national affordability index portrays a strong position but few people realise it. The national median dwelling price has decreased and average earnings have risen. The situation would be better were it not for major banks lifting their mortgage rates.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">That’s the average national situation. As the HIA report points out, “the differences in affordability across and within states are still considerable”.</p>
<p class="Body">In aggregate, affordability improved 4.1 percent in the eight capital cities in the March Quarter, with a lesser improvement in the regional areas.</p>
<p class="Body">Sydney’s quarterly improvement was considerably larger than the national average. It recorded an 8.9 percent increase in affordability, while Perth was 4.9 percent better and Darwin 4.4 percent.</p>
<p class="Body">Sydney’s affordability is now at its most favourable since the March 2015 Quarter. Price growth has stopped and incomes have risen. But it still has some way to go before it gets in line with the national average situation of being the best in over five years. Regional NSW, on the other hand, needs only a marginal improvement to achieve that.</p>
<p class="Body">Melbourne’s affordability index has improved with a slight reduction in the median dwelling price and increases in earnings, but remains 4.4 percent less favourable than a year ago.</p>
<p class="Body">Brisbane’s affordability position, on the other hand, has deteriorated because the median dwelling price is up and average earnings are down (slightly).<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">But in Perth the affordability index improved 4.9 percent in the quarter and 9.9 percent for the year, because prices have been falling and incomes, surprisingly perhaps, have risen. Perth’s affordability position, and that of Western Australia generally, is the best it’s been for a long time. “Statewide affordability in WA is at its most favourable since the final quarter of 2003,” the HIA report says.</p>
<p class="Body">The position has improved also in Hobart and Tasmania. There the economy has been making notable strides and income growth is well above the national average. The HIA notes: “For Tasmania as a whole, affordability has reached its most favourable level since late 2003.”<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p class="Body">In the Northern Territory, the housing affordability index is 11.3 percent better than a year ago. And it’s better than it’s been any time in at least the past five years. Darwin’s index has improved 13.9 percent compared to a year ago. The Darwin market peaked more than three years ago and prices have been trending downwards since then, but average earnings have been rising.</p>
<p class="Body"><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p>
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Significant improvement in housing affordability: Terry Ryder

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<div>Whoa, there! It seems that inflation has disappeared into a puff of dust!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Nothing like an outlying result to shake things up a bit, and today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) or inflation result for the March quarter was an absolute ripper!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Headline inflation printed negative at -0.2 percent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>This was miles below expectations and the second weakest reading in nearly two decades, taking the annual result all the way down to 1.3 percent (which is well below the target inflation range to 2 to 3 percent).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The falls were broad based, with six out of the eleven CPI groups recording declines.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/28/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/28/A6.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<div>More importantly, the "core" analytical series, which strips out outlying readings, notched an extraordinarily soft set of numbers to take the respective annual readings to a record low. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>I've diced the data up below to four decimal places, but all you really need to know is that the incredibly weak trimmed mean (0.2 per cent) and weighted median (0.1 per cent) inflation for the quarter have taken the annual readings down to exceptionally low levels at 1.7 per cent and only 1.4 per cent respectively.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/28/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/28/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Non-tradables inflation, which is taken to be a reasonable proxy for domestic price pressures, fell to its lowest annual reading since some seventeen years ago in June 1999. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/28/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/28/A1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<p> </p>
<div>In the normal course of things this sort of result would make an interest rate cut a no-brainer.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>While markets are suddenly pricing a cut as soon as next week on Budget day as an each-way bet, it would nevertheless still be quite a surprise to see such a change of narrative from the Reserve Bank so soon. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>That said many analysts will now see June and August as potentially live meetings for rate cuts, which could take the cash rate down to a record low of just 1.50 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Generally it is said that easy monetary policy brings inflation in time, but if a lack of investment is the underlying problem then it is questionable whether more rate cuts alone will bring this to the party.</div>
<p><br><span>Anyway, what a result, and a game-changer, indeed!</span></p>
<div>
<br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Rental growth slowest since 1994</span></strong>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There isn't space here to run through all of the positive (education, medical services, pharmaceuticals) and negative (fuel, transport, holidays) contributors to inflation this quarter in detail, but we can see that rental growth has slowed to its lowest level since 1994. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As you can see depicted in the chart below, the periods when investors were spooked out of the market (1985 to 1987, and 2008) were also precisely the periods when rents spiked.</div>
<div>
<br>Correspondingly the record surge in investor activity since 2012 in response to low interest rates - which Blind Freddy could have predicted - has led to near-record low levels of rental growth.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Rampant investor lending has now been successfully stymied so equilibrium should return in due course, as the construction boom also passes its peak. It's always interesting and strangely satisfying when markets work just as they should. </div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/28/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/28/A2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<div>Rents have continued to rise modestly in most cities through this cycle, but Darwin (-4.4 per cent) and Perth (-4.4 per cent) are in significantly negative territory year-on-year. On the other hand rents kept rising in Sydney by another +2.3 per cent over the year to March.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/28/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/28/A4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Looking instead at annual rental growth we can see how Perth has gone from star pupil straight into detention, and now must work through its elevated vacancy rates before annual rental growth reverts to the mean.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/28/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/28/A3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Rental growth was also negative in Canberra over the year to March (-0.6 per cent) but looks to be heading back into positive territory in the national's capital, while annual rental growth in Hobart increased to 1.4 per cent in the first quarter.</div>
<p><strong style="line-height: 1.3em;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<div>Well, well. A stunningly low inflation result which wrong-footed markets and puts interest rate cuts right back into the frame. Game on.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Inflation show stopper: Pete Wargent

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<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">This week will be the busiest for capital city auction markets since the week prior to Easter, with 2,419 auctions currently being monitored by CoreLogic.</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> Compared to last week, auction volumes are higher in each individual capital city market and have almost doubled in Melbourne, up from 602 last week to the current scheduled number of 1,233. </span></p>
<p>This week is set to be the busiest for auctions in six weeks for Adelaide, Canberra and Perth, while the number of homes being taken to auction across Brisbane remains relatively steady. Sydney, the nation’s second busiest auction market has 763 auctions scheduled this week.<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p><span> </span><strong>Capital City Auctions this week: </strong></p>
<p>• Sydney: 763 </p>
<p>• Melbourne: 1,233 </p>
<p>• Brisbane: 141 </p>
<p>• Adelaide: 129 </p>
<p>• Perth: 44 </p>
<p>• Canberra: 101 <span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p>The busiest individual suburb for auctions this week is Bentleigh East in Melbourne, with 28 auctions to be held. The second busiest suburb is St Kilda (21), followed by Craigieburn, Malvern East and Reservoir, each with 18 auctions. All five suburbs are located in Melbourne. </p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/28/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%2012.58.31%20PM.png" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/28/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%2012.58.31%20PM.png" alt=""></p>
<p><span> </span><strong>Summary of last week’s results</strong></p>
<p>While auction volumes fell slightly last week with 1,565 capital city auctions held, the final auction clearance rate rose slightly, from 67.4 per cent the previous week to 69.7 per cent last week. Sydney was the best performing capital city auction market last week, with both the highest volume of auctions (643) and the strongest clearance rate, at 77.4 per cent, having risen substantially from 69.8 per cent the previous week when auction volumes were lower. Of the 15 individual sub-regions of Sydney, five regions recorded a clearance rate in excess of 80 per cent this week.</p>
<p>In Melbourne, 602 auctions took place and the clearance rate remained steady, at 71.5 per cent over the week. Unlike Sydney, no Melbourne sub-regions recorded a clearance rate above 80 per cent. Across the non-capital city auction markets monitored by CoreLogic, the Hunter region was the strongest performer, with 73.9 per cent of reported auctions successful, up substantially from 44.4 per cent the previous week. Clearance rates improved in each individual regional auction market on a week-on-week basis, with the exclusion of the Gold Coast, where the clearance rate fell from 45.5 per cent the previous week to 40 per cent last week.</p>
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Busiest auction week since before Easter: CoreLogic RP Data's Shana Miller

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<p><span>Many doomsday predictions have been dumped on regional cities in the wake of adverse events. Few of those forecasts have come to pass.</span></p>
<p>When negative events sour the economy of a regional city, the community mobilizes. Civic, business and political leaders take action. The apparently doomed city fights back, recovers and often reinvents itself.</p>
<p>The latest to have a premature death proclaimed, Townsville and Whyalla, follow a long line of notable examples of cities about which their death was greatly exaggerated. They include Newcastle, Wollongong and Geelong.</p>
<p>Newcastle was widely considered to have suffered a mortal wound when BHP shut down in the late 1990s. It fought back and is today one of Australia’s largest and strongest regional cities. Its economic strength and diversity has been sufficient to withstand the negative impacts of the recent downturn in the coal sector.</p>
<p>When Bluescope Steel seriously downsized in 2011, it was declared the end for Wollongong. I recall one newspaper headline which predicted a 50% decline in property values. In contrast to that rather extreme forecast, Wollongong’s property market has shown strong growth in recent years. </p>
<p>What many failed to realise is that Wollongong was no longer a smoke-stake town dependent on steel furnaces for its prosperity. It had been reinventing itself for years, with education, IT and tourism the key sectors.</p>
<p>Similar things are true of Geelong, once a factory town but now a modern city where the biggest employers are the health and education sectors. The decision to locate the national headquarters of the NDIS in Geelong has created a new industry sector, with related businesses keen to locate nearby.</p>
<p>So the impending closure of a car plant, while an adverse event many would prefer did not happen, can be absorbed by this growing economy without too many side-affects. Geelong continues to be the strongest Victorian property market outside of Melbourne.</p>
<p>Now we have Townsville apparently on its deathbed because another of Clive Palmer’s extravaganzas has gone belly up.</p>
<p>When this story exploded in January I wrote: “The latest Australian regional city to inspire a premature obituary is Townsville in the wake of the decision by political and business buffoon Clive Palmer to shed 237 jobs at his Queensland Nickel refinery.</p>
<p>“As has become common in the wake of such events, the media coverage has been a tad over the top since the announcement. I’ve seen reports predicting devastation of the local economy. One suggested Townsville would become ‘a ghost town’.”</p>
<p>The story has moved on since then, with the refinery business collapsing. That’s a hit to the Townsville economy, particularly as it was struggling a bit beforehand. But it’s far from terminal.</p>
<p>Townsville is a very resilient place. It has one of the most diverse economies in regional Australia, with strong elements of government administration, education, tourism, the military, the resources sector and manufacturing.</p>
<p>And lots of positive news has emerged more recently. Some seriously major enterprises have stepped forward to help take up some of the economic and employment slack created by Clive’s latest brain explosion.</p>
<p>The economic and defence deal between Australia and Singapore means $2.25 billion in new defence infrastructure will be built in Queensland, including in Townsville, which already has a big military presence through its RAAF Base and recently-expanded Army base.</p>
<p>In the past week came the announcement of “Australia’s biggest solar farm” covering 200ha just outside Townsville, with Origin Energy signed up to buy the electricity generated from 2017 to 2030.</p>
<p>A $400 million maintenance contract for Queensland Rail will be shared between UGL in Townsville and Downer EDI in Maryborough, reportedly at the behest of the State Government.</p>
<p>The State Government says it has fast-tracked almost $200 million worth of infrastructure spending in the Townsville area to boost the economy in the wake of the nickel refinery collapse, while $75 million in Federal Government funding will help establish the new Cooperative Research Centre for Developing Northern Australia in Townsville.</p>
<p>If you add together all those positives, and subtract the nickel refinery negative, I see it as a net gain for the city of Townsville.</p>
<p>Whyalla in South Australia will take a hit if attempts to rescue the Arrium steel business are unsuccessful. Arrium, formerly OneSteel, is a big chunk of Whyalla’s economy and is in voluntary administration.</p>
<p>But is this the end for SA’s biggest regional city? I would suggest not. Like Townsville, Whyalla has been attracting plenty of positive announcements in the past few weeks.</p>
<p>Oz Minerals is advancing its $975 million Carrapateena copper mine expansion and it wants to build its $150 million Concentrate Treatment Plant at Whyalla. The mine expansion will create 800 jobs and it’s hoped many of the workforce members will be sourced from Whyalla.</p>
<p>BHP Billiton continues to work on its alternative plan for development of the Olympic Dam resource and said in April it hoped to include Whyalla in the new project plans (put together after the previous $30 billion scheme was shelved because it was too expensive).</p>
<p>And there is hope for Arrium in the announcement that 15,000 tonnes of its steel will be used for a $620 million road project, the Darlington Upgrade Project, in Adelaide.</p>
<p>The Federal Government has handed Arrium at $80 million contract to replace around 1200km of rail lines for federal agency ARTC.</p>
<p>Arrium is also a chance to attract steel orders from the recently-confirmed Federal Government project to build 12 submarines in Adelaide.</p>
<p>I’ve been getting lots of emails from people who own real estate in Whyalla. I would suggest those who panic and sell in the wake of recent negative headlines will regret it later.</p>
<p><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p>
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Doomsday predictions dumped on regional cities: Terry Ryder

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<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Housing investment in Australia has generally been a successful, largely one-way bet over many years. </span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Although this has been the case, home values have fallen in the past, are currently falling in some capital cities and will almost certainly fall again in the future.</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">As can be evidenced in the accompanying charts, in most instances across combined capital cities, the Index has been rising, in fact from December 1995 to November 2015. Combined capital city home values have increased by a cumulative 330.5% and values fell in 2008 and again between 2011 and 2012. </span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">During 2008, combined capital city home values fell by -6.1% between March and December. Home values fell by -6.5% between March 2011 and May 2012. </span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">While the Index shows a certain set of trends, it’s important to remember that it is largely influenced by Sydney and Melbourne. In fact, combined capital city home values have increased by 8.7% over the 12 months to November 2015 however, only Sydney and Melbourne have recorded value growth stronger than that level. Values have also been declining over the past year in both Perth and Darwin.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/12/11/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-11%20at%2010.31.04%20AM.png" target="_blank"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><img src="/images/2015/12/11/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-11%20at%2010.31.04%20AM.png" alt=""></span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Over the period from December 1995 to November 1995, all capital cities have seen values increase while each city has seen periods where values fall. Across the cities, the cumulative value increases have been recorded at: </span></p>
<p>• 330.1% in Sydney </p>
<p>• 421.4% in Melbourne </p>
<p>• 259.4% in Brisbane </p>
<p>• 261.2% in Adelaide </p>
<p>• 293.0% in Perth </p>
<p>• 208.0% in Hobart (from Sep-97) </p>
<p>• 180.1% in Darwin (from Apr-99) </p>
<p>• 258.7% in Canberra.</p>
<p>Of all the cities, Melbourne has led by recording the strongest rate of growth over the period followed by Sydney. Growth in Perth has been stronger than in Brisbane, Adelaide and Canberra where cumulative growth has been remarkably similar. While home values have risen significantly in each city, value falls have occurred.</p>
<p>There have been periods where values have fallen in a particular city but not others. As an example, from mid-2004 Sydney values started falling while in other cities, the rate of growth just slowed. Sydney home values fell by - 8.2% between March 2004 and December 2005. They then took until March 2009 to eclipse and remain above March 2004 levels.</p>
<p>Over the past few months we have seen early signs of value falls in the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets. Based on our data, we can see that falls have previously occurred, and will no doubt happen again, however, the question is how large; of course no one knows.</p>
<p>Given that investor activity has been at a record high, building approvals have also hit record highs and record high levels of household leverage there is a possibility that falls could be larger than what we have seen in the past. Note: Adjacent, the table looks at the two most recent periods of decline across the combined capital cities: the financial crisis in 2008 and as the RBA started to lift interest rates in 2011. The data shows the financial crisis saw a short, sharp fall in values and a fairly rapid recovery. The second period saw, in most instances, a much larger decline and a much longer period for recovery. </p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/12/11/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-11%20at%2010.26.15%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/12/11/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-11%20at%2010.26.15%20AM.png" alt="" width="871" height="520"></p>
<p> </p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/12/11/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-11%20at%2010.30.04%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/12/11/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-11%20at%2010.30.04%20AM.png" alt=""> </p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic RP Data. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/author/cameron-kusher/" target="_blank">here</a>.</em> </span></p>
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